Jeff D., Gary R., list,

Peirce held that the question of whether a hypothesis explains a phenomenon, and how plausibly it does so, are questions of logical critic. Peirce says so in Section IV of "A Neglected Argument..." (1908). Section IV begins with a one-paragraph discussion of the validities of deduction and induction as questions of logical critic, and spends the remaining four paragraphs, beginning "Finally comes the bottom question of logical Critic, What sort of validity can be attributed to the First Stage of inquiry? " on the validity of abduction as a question of logical critic. He discusses plausibility, concerning which hypothesis is to be favored, and proceeds to discuss plausibility in terms of a simplicity that is not logical simplicity but the natural, the facile, etc., as seen in Galileo's /il lume naturale/ (natural light of reason; Peirce was already discussing such naturalness in 1901 in "On the Drawing of History from Ancient Documents").

Remember that in the Carnegie Application (1902) he said, "Methodeutic has a special interest in abduction, or the inference which starts a scientific hypothesis. For it is not sufficient that a hypothesis should be a justifiable one. Any hypothesis which explains the facts is justified critically. But among justifiable hypotheses we have to select that one which is suitable for being tested by experiment." That adverb "critically" is a reference to logical critic, the critique of arguments. In the rest of that quote he is discussing why methodeutic gets involved. In 1908 in "A Neglected Argument" he discusses plausibilty as natural simplicity and is explicit in placing the issue in logical critic.

Best, Ben

On 9/26/2016 12:11 PM, Jeffrey Brian Downard wrote:
Hello Ben U., List,

I, too, assume we're discussing what Peirce thought, rather than what we variously may 
think for our own parts. Having said that, my general aim is to draw from other sources, 
such as the lectures concerning the first principle of logic and the conception of 
continuity that are collected in Reasoning and the Logic of Things, as resources for 
interpreting "The Neglected Argument for the Reality of God." As such, it is 
possible that I might go too far at times when reading some of these ideas and arguments 
from earlier lectures and essays into what Peirce seems be saying, either explicitly or 
implicitly, in the Humble Argument and the Neglected Argument.

For my part, I'm not yet able to see what you appear to be saying--which is that these passages 
from the Carnegie application and "Pragmatism as the Logic of Abduction" run at odds with 
the interpretative suggestions I am trying to explore. I'm starting to wonder if we might be 
working with different notions of what is, on Peirce's account, more instinctive in our habits of 
feeling, action and thought. The reason I suspect this might be the case is because I'm not yet 
able to get a clear idea of what you seem to be emphasizing when you talk about Peirce's account of 
"instinctual plausibility." I'll keep working on it in the hopes of clearing up some of 
the vagueness in my ideas.

For my part, I think grounds of Peirce's the division between speculative 
grammar, critical logic, and methodeutic can be interpreted in a number of 
ways. Jeff Kasser has offered some nice explanations of what Peirce means when 
he talks about methodeutical considerations pertaining to the economy of 
research. Recently, I've been looking at Mats Bergman's Peirce's Philosophy of 
Communication: The Rhetorical Underpinnings of the Theory of Signs and have 
found his sorting of some of the competing lines of interpretation to be 
helpful.

As I have suggested in earlier posts, I think that Peirce's emphasis on the 
relations between signs, object and interpretants that we need to focus our 
attention on in each of these areas of semiotics can be used to help steer the 
inquiries. When it comes to matters of the assurance of different forms of 
inference, I am drawn to the idea that the sort of mediation that is at work 
here involves relations of determination between the dynamical object and sign 
(typically the focus of inquiry in critical logic) and between the sign and 
normal interpretant (typically the focus of inquiry in methodeutic). My 
interpretative suggestion is that the relation between the dynamical object and 
the final interpretant (so that we have some assurance that the final 
interpretant is in a relation to the same object that was the object of the 
sign) should be understood as mediated by these two relations. As such, the 
mediation involves a triadic relationship between the three dyadic relations as 
well as a triadic relation between three triads. Gary F. has indicated that he 
finds the diagrams I've offered hard to make out, so I suspect that others 
might find them similarly puzzling. Having said that, I'll continue to look at 
the textual support for this interpretative hypothesis--and I'll see what might 
be done to make the diagrams clearer.

--Jeff

Jeffrey Downard
Associate Professor
Department of Philosophy
Northern Arizona University
(o) 928 523-8354
________________________________________
From: Benjamin Udell [baud...@gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, September 25, 2016 12:15 PM
To: peirce-l@list.iupui.edu
Subject: Re: [PEIRCE-L] Peirce's Theory of Thinking

Jeff D., Gary R., list,

I assume we're discussing what Peirce thought, rather than what we variously may think for 
our own parts. Peirce spells out the difference between critical and methodeutical 
justifications in the Carnegie application _New Elements of Mathematics_ passage that I 
quoted earlier. The fuller passage can be seen both by Google preview 
https://books.google.com/books?id=aLxTkSob9UMC&pg=PA62&lpg=PA62&dq=%22Methodeutic+has+a+special+interest+in+Abduction%22
 in Joe Ransdell's reconstruction at Arisbe (although it looks like Joe missed some 
italicizations) http://www.iupui.edu/~arisbe/menu/library/bycsp/L75/ver1/l75v1-08.htm#m27 :

MEMOIR   27: OF METHODEUTIC

[....]

>From Draft B - MS L75.279-280

The first business of this memoir is to develop a precise conception of the 
nature of methodeutical logic. In methodeutic, it is assumed that the signs 
considered will conform to the conditions of critic, and be true. But just as 
critical logic inquires whether and how a sign corresponds to its intended 
ultimate object, the reality, so methodeutic looks to the purposed ultimate 
interpretant and inquires what conditions a sign must conform to in order to be 
pertinent to the purpose. Methodeutic has a special interest in abduction, or 
the inference which starts a scientific hypothesis. For it is not sufficient 
that a hypothesis should be a justifiable one. Any hypothesis which explains 
the facts is justified critically. But among justifiable hypotheses we have to 
select that one which is suitable for being tested by experiment. There is no 
such need of a subsequent choice after drawing deductive and inductive 
conclusions. Yet although methodeutic has not the same special concern with 
them, it has to develop the principles which are to guide us in the invention 
of proofs, those which are to govern the general course of an investigation, 
and those which determine what problems shall engage our energies. It is, 
therefore, throughout of an economic character. Two other problems of 
methodeutic which the old logics usually made almost its only business are, 
first, the principles of definition, and of rendering ideas clear; and second, 
the principles of classification.
[End quote]

Note, that he is also saying that the principles of definition, and of 
rendering ideas clear, i.e., the principles of pragmatism, are part of 
methodeutic. The consideration of conceivable experimental consequences is how 
the logic of pragmatism is the logic of abductive inference. Methodeutic does 
not have the same special interest in deduction and induction; the specific 
justifications of deductions and inductions as valid are topics of critical 
logic.

The difference matters because instinctual plausibility has to do with how much 
one thinks a hypothesis true. That a hypothesis is conceivably testable does 
not lend assurance of its truth. More specific concerns of methodeutic 
including the economics of resarch - the suitability of a hypothesis for 
testing because of cheapness, or because of its bearing on other hypotheses, 
i.e., its caution (as in 20 Questions), incomplexity, or breadth, have no 
direct bearing on one's assurance, going in, that the hypothesis is true. A 
hypothesis, merely by being easier or more promising to test, does not become a 
more plausible and naturally simple explanation of a phenomenon.

In "Pragmatism as the Logic of Abduction" (Lecture VII of the 1903 Harvard 
lectures on pragmatism), see CP 5 196–200 http://www.textlog.de/7663.html , and somewhere 
in EP 2:226–241

.... What is good abduction? What should an explanatory hypothesis be to be 
worthy to rank as a hypothesis? Of course, it must explain the facts. But what 
other conditions ought it to fulfill to be good? .... Any hypothesis, 
therefore, may be admissible, in the absence of any special reasons to the 
contrary, provided it be capable of experimental verification, and only insofar 
as it is capable of such verification. This is approximately the doctrine of 
pragmatism.
[End quote]

Moreover, pragmatism is the logic of abductive inference to the extent that 
rules need to be specified for abductive inference at all. Peirce does not 
offer rules for instinct.

Best, Ben

On 9/25/2016 1:56 PM, Jeffrey Brian Downard wrote:

Ben U., Gary R., List,

The following remarks seem--at least to my ear--to bear on the some 
relationships between plausibility and methodeutical justification.

Peirce says: "As I phrase it, he provisionally holds it to be "Plausible"; this 
acceptance ranges in different cases -- and reasonably so -- from a mere expression of it in the 
interrogative mood, as a question meriting attention and reply, up through all appraisals of 
Plausibility, to uncontrollable inclination to believe."

The inference to a hypothesis expressed in the interrogative mood suggests that the 
holding of the question to be "plausible" (e.g., well-fitted to the surprising 
phenomena, well-formed as having great uberty, etc.) does seem to derive its plausibility 
from the first rule of reason. At the very least, the idea that the question has been 
formulated by a sincere desire to learn, and in a manner that does not embody undue bias 
or prejudice, and that it does not close the door of inquiry all seem to provide some 
justification to the claim that the question is plausible.

What is more, the suggestion that plausibility comes in varying degrees, ranging from the lowest 
levels of assurance up to the "high peaks" of plausibility does suggest that the 
principle of continuity applies to the manner in which seek and then provide degrees of assurance. 
For instance, the efforts to rid one’s estimations of plausibility of the undue effects of bias and 
prejudice are something that one might seek to improve on an incremental basis. What is more, the 
manner in which one might assure that the door of inquiry is kept open might vary from something 
like a door that is barely cracked open to one that is wide open. Furthermore, the way in which the 
door is held open might vary from a door that swings uncontrollably due to the "winds" of 
vicissitude, to one that is firmly held open with a wedge.

Finally, the remark that "where conjecture mounts the high peaks of Plausibility -- 
and is really most worthy of confidence" suggest that what makes a conjecture really 
worthy of confidence is that the many estimations of the suitability of the hypothesis as 
an explanation is a process that has effectively been guided by the pragmatic maxim. If 
the leading conceptions in the hypothesis have been clarified up to the third degree, 
then it really is most worthy of our confidence as a hypothetical explanation of a set of 
surprising phenomena. The fact that the surprising character fades the more worthy it is 
of our confidence does suggest that the fit is one with a large system of our other 
beliefs that are relatively well settled as habits--and that the hypothesis is sufficient 
to explain all that was, initially, quite surprising.

--Jeff

Jeffrey Downard
Associate Professor
Department of Philosophy
Northern Arizona University
(o) 928 523-8354

From: Benjamin Udell <baud...@gmail.com><mailto:baud...@gmail.com>
Sent: Sunday, September 25, 2016 9:50 AM
To: peirce-l@list.iupui.edu<mailto:peirce-l@list.iupui.edu>
Subject: Re: [PEIRCE-L] Peirce's Theory of Thinking

Jeff D., Gary R., list,

Your quote from "A Neglected Argument..." bears on plausibility, which Peirce 
elsewhere in the same essay discusses as natural, instinctual simplicity; it bears upon 
assurance by instinct; I don't find him discussing methodeutical justification (e.g., 
testability) of abductive inference in the passage that you quoted. I've had some further 
thoughts on the nature of assurance by form, but they would just lead us further into 
byways.

You get into some of the bigger question that you raised in earlier posts, 
including the idea that Peirce's Humble Argument may be the only game in town 
(my words) on the questions that it concerns. I have lots of half-formed 
remarks that I could offer on that, and when I try to get started, I digress. 
Maybe I should just mention topics that occur to me but that I'm unsure of how 
to address:

• Only game in town - is the assurance of the Humble Argument's being the only 
game in town to be acheived by instinctual plausibility, by experience, or by 
form? Probably by a combination, but would one kind of assurance be foremost in 
the overall assurance? For example, suppose that string theory were proven 
mathematically to be the only consistent way to unite general relativity with 
quantum field theory. It would still have to have assurance by experience by 
accordance with all observations, but it would still lack confirmation of 
predictions that distinguish it from general relativity per se and quantum 
field theory per se, which predictions, since they are about quantum gravity, 
would currently require a particle collider the size of the known universe - a 
conceivable practical test, but contingently fantastically impractical for us. 
So, if it were to be found, I'd call such an assurance of string theory (as 
sole possible mathematico-physical unifier of GR and QFT) an assurance by form. 
See what I mean about my digressions? More to the point, I should just ask, how 
does one strengthen the assurance that the Humble Argument is the only game in 
town?

• Common elements in theological ideals of various religions - how alike are 
those ideals, really?

Best, Ben

On 9/25/2016 12:06 AM, Jeffrey Brian Downard wrote:



-----------------------------
PEIRCE-L subscribers: Click on "Reply List" or "Reply All" to REPLY ON PEIRCE-L 
to this message. PEIRCE-L posts should go to peirce-L@list.iupui.edu . To 
UNSUBSCRIBE, send a message not to PEIRCE-L but to l...@list.iupui.edu with the 
line "UNSubscribe PEIRCE-L" in the BODY of the message. More at 
http://www.cspeirce.com/peirce-l/peirce-l.htm .




Reply via email to