RE: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread Chris de Morsella
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of LizR
Sent: Monday, February 24, 2014 1:21 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

 

Solar cells are getting cheaper and easier to use (e.g. flexible plastic
ones). It should be possible to stick them anywhere you want, e.g. on
buildings or cars. This would mean at least some solar power could be
harvested using existing infrastructure. As usual the technology is there,
or almost there, but this needs political or commercial will to achieve.

One idea I like is to engineer road surface blocks that double as solar
collectors. to turn the road surface itself into an energy harvesting
medium. It is not as outlandish at it may seem at first. The PV layer would
be beneath a tough layer of relatively clear roughened glass (good
traction), and the blocks would be built to last for the useful life of the
embedded PV.

Personally I'd like to see a solar farm that uses the energy it receives
from the Sun to power machinery that sucks CO2 and water from the air and
turns them into petrol. (Then you really could run a 747 on solar power :)

If battery energy density improves by a factor of around ten - lithium-air
or zinc-air variants are getting so close in the lab at least -- you could
have all electric jumbo jets, running on electric turbines.

Chris

 

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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Quentin Anciaux
2014-02-25 8:43 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:

 Hi Quentin

 *That's nonsense, *

 The point wasn't whether you think its nonsense or not. I couldn't care
 less about that. we were arguing about whether there are Oxford Dons who
 adopt the same standpoint as me, and given your little outburst above I
 think you've just discovered that there are. And that they are publishing
 these ideas in respected and peer reviewed journals.

 Just to recap then: It is perfectly respectable to reject the notion of
 subjective uncertainty without abandoning MWI. Just as I said.


 * and contrary to observed fact. *

 I always wince when you throw that one out. How does one break it to the
 angriest member of a list that they are continually begging the question?



 * David Deutsch does not reject probability... *

 Sure he does, he swaps out the Born rule for rational decision theory (+
 amendments to make it compatible with MWI). There isn't probability, but we
 should act 'as if' there was. Its what he's famous for, Quentin.


o_O... he doesn't reject probability usage.




 *or could you please show a quote where he does.*
 Do your own homework, mate. I'm not your little quote monkey.


Ok, I give up talking to you, if you want to assert thing and not back them
up, well...


 I've kindly described to you what I think people like Deutsch and Wallace
 argue, I've supplied papers which you've refused to read.


I don't refuse to read them. You've cited *one* paper, I didn't have time
to read it, I will this week. The abstract though did not reject
probability calculus, only the interpretation of what it means. It is clear
that in MWI setting probability is not about what happen and what does not,
but about frequency and measure... that doesn't render probability
meaningless... proof is, as you always are in *one* world, your measure
will follow the predicted distribution... so what's your point ?


 if you disagree you need display the same generosity and explain to me
 what you think they are arguing and how that is different.


See upper

Quentin


 Waving your hands in the air demanding more and more to unceremoniously
 and uncritically ditch is no-ones idea of fun.

 All the best

 Chris.

 --
 Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2014 20:26:52 +1300

 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 From: lizj...@gmail.com
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com


 In the MWI you *do* see spin up every time! ,,, if the definition of
 you has been changed to accommodate the fact that you've split. Or to put
 it another way, you (now) will become you (who sees spin up) and you (who
 sees spin down), which by then will be two different people.


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All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. (Roy
Batty/Rutger Hauer)

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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Edgar L. Owen
Jesse,

Here is a clearer, unambiguous and more general way to define p-time 
simultaneity in terms of proper times. Let me know what you think. I'll 
also address your latest questions in separate replies...


Drop an arbitrary coordinate system onto an arbitrary space. Place a clock 
at each grid intersection. I don't think we even have to worry about those 
clocks being synchronized initially. (We do assume only that physical 
processes, including the rate of time, follow the same relativistic laws at 
all locations.) Place a stationary observer with each clock just for 
terminological convenience. We don't really need this coordinate clock 
system but I include it to address your concerns.

Each clock will display the coordinate time of its grid intersection, which 
will also be the proper time of the stationary observer at that location.

These grid clocks will run at different rates depending on the 
gravitational potentials of their grid locations.

Do you agree?


Now also introduce an arbitrary number of observers either stationary, or 
moving relative to this grid, each with its own proper time clock, some 
accelerating, some with just constant relative motion.

This model covers all possible types of relativistic time effects 
(disregarding black holes and other types of horizons for the moment).

Do you agree?


It is possible for all observers in this space to have knowledge of the 
relativistic conditions of all other observers as well as themselves. In 
other words they can know the equations governing how any observer would 
view any other observer.

Do you agree?


Thus it is possible for all observers to know the RATES of all proper 
clocks in this system, and all observers will agree on all those proper 
clock rates.

E.g. all observers would agree that the proper clock in a certain gravity 
would be running at 1/2 the rate as clocks in no gravity. All observers 
would agree that the proper clock rates of all observers in inertial motion 
would be running at the same rate. And all observers would agree that the 
proper clock of an observer with a specific acceleration close to the speed 
of light would have a proper clock rate half that of a non-accelerating 
observer. 

Do you agree?


So all observers in this space can agree on all proper time RATES. But to 
tie p-time simultaneity to proper times we need to establish a notion of 
proper time SIMULTANEITY as well as proper time RATES. So how do observers 
know the actual proper time clock reading of any other observer in the 
general case without having to initially get together and synchronize their 
clocks? (They of course can do this if they wish but they don't actually 
have to.)

Well, it's actually easy. They simply tell each other what their proper 
clock time readings are and compare them. Observer A sends a light message 
to any observer B saying when I sent this message my proper time was t. 
Observer B knows how long it takes to receive that message by both A's and 
his own proper clock RATES. As soon as he receives the message he sends a 
light reply telling A that when he received the message his proper time was 
t'.

In this way it is simple for both A and B to calculate what the other's 
proper time was at every past moment of their own proper time, and what it 
will be for every future moment of their own proper time, and what it is 
now for their current proper times.

Do you agree?


And this proper time relationship is transitive among all observers. In 
other words, by all observers establishing a proper time correlation with 
some other observer(s) until all observers are included in this proper time 
network, every observer will agree on how his proper time correlates 1:1 
with the proper times of all other observers in the space.

In this way we establish a 1:1 proper time correlation among all observers 
which all observers agree upon. Every observer knows exactly what the 
proper time t' of any OTHER observer IS, WAS, OR WILL BE that corresponds 
to any proper time t of his OWN.

Note that this is NOT a proper time plane of simultaneity. The proper times 
of various observers can be different, but always in a 1:1 knowable way 
that all observers agree upon.

Do you agree? I know you said you had a counter example. If so please 
present it.


Now the current proper time of any observer always tells the current p-time 
(the current present moment). Thus we have now established both the FACT of 
a universal p-time common to all observers, AND an operational method to 
unambiguously determine that in terms of proper time readings for all 
relativistic observers.

Do you agree?


We have thus established a current P-time plane of simultaneity in terms of 
the (differing) proper times of all observers in our test space, and a 
method to determine all previous (and theoretically future) P-time planes 
of simultaneity in terms of the proper times of all observers in our test 
space.

Do you agree?

Edgar


On 

RE: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread chris peck
Hi Quentin

 I don't refuse to read them. You've cited *one* paper, I didn't have time to 
 read it, I will this week.

Ah so you dismiss things that you havent read then? Impressive!


 The abstract though did not reject probability calculus, only the 
 interpretation of what it means. It is clear that in MWI setting probability 
 is not about what happen and what does not,

If I say that x will happen with 50% probability I certainly am talking about 
things happening or not happening and if it is clear that probability is not 
about that in MWI, then it is clear that probability in MWI is not about 
probability. 

 but about frequency and measure... that doesn't render probability 
 meaningless... proof is, as you always are in *one* world, your measure will 
 follow the predicted distribution.


So you're strategy is to try and semantically wriggle out of the claims you 
make? Pretend the words you use have a different meaning than they really do?


 f you want to assert thing and not back them up, well...

But I did back up what I said. You couldn't be arsed to read the paper about 
Deutsch I offered, remember? You're the only one here refusing to back up 
claims. Perhaps you should give up on yourself?


Here's Deutsh from the abstract of his paper: Quantum Theory of Probability 
and Decisions

The probabilistic predictions of quantum theory are conventionally obtained
from a special probabilistic axiom. But that is unnecessary because all the
practical consequences of such predictions follow from the remaining, non-
probabilistic, axioms of quantum theory, together with the non-probabilistic
part of classical decision theory

Read it carefully. It makes clear that he believes that all relevent 
predictions can be made from non probabilistic axioms. You're not going to 
turn around and argue that he meant 'probabilistic axioms' are you?


And from the conclusion:

No probabilistic axiom is required in quantum theory. A decision maker who
believes only the non-probabilistic part of the theory, and is 'rational' in 
the sense
defined by a strictly non-probabilistic restriction of classical decision 
theory, will
make all decisions that depend on predicting the outcomes of measurements as if
those outcomes were determined by stochastic processes, with probabilities 
given by
axiom (1). (However, in other respects he will not behave as if he believed that
stochastic processes occur. For instance if asked whether they occur he will 
certainly
reply 'no', because the non-probabilistic axioms of quantum theory require the 
state
to evolve in a continuous and deterministic way.)

Now if you want to make the case that Deutsch 'does not reject probability' 
whilst he is insisting, indeed founding his reputation on the claim that 'no 
probabilistic axiom is required in quantum theory' be my guest. Im always up 
for a laugh.

All the best

Chris.

From: allco...@gmail.com
Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2014 10:43:33 +0100
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com




2014-02-25 8:43 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:





Hi Quentin

That's nonsense, 

The point wasn't whether you think its nonsense or not. I couldn't care less 
about that. we were arguing about whether there are Oxford Dons who adopt the 
same standpoint as me, and given your little outburst above I think you've just 
discovered that there are. And that they are publishing these ideas in 
respected and peer reviewed journals.



Just to recap then: It is perfectly respectable to reject the notion of 
subjective uncertainty without abandoning MWI. Just as I said.

 and contrary to observed fact. 



I always wince when you throw that one out. How does one break it to the 
angriest member of a list that they are continually begging the question?


 David Deutsch does not reject probability... 



Sure he does, he swaps out the Born rule for rational decision theory (+ 
amendments to make it compatible with MWI). There isn't probability, but we 
should act 'as if' there was. Its what he's famous for, Quentin.


o_O... he doesn't reject probability usage. 




or could you please show a quote where he does.

Do your own homework, mate. I'm not your little quote monkey.
Ok, I give up talking to you, if you want to assert thing and not back them up, 
well...


  I've kindly described to you what I think people like Deutsch and Wallace 
argue, I've supplied papers which you've refused to read. 


I don't refuse to read them. You've cited *one* paper, I didn't have time to 
read it, I will this week. The abstract though did not reject probability 
calculus, only the interpretation of what it means. It is clear that in MWI 
setting probability is not about what happen and what does not, but about 
frequency and measure... that doesn't render probability meaningless... proof 
is, as you always are in *one* world, your measure will follow the predicted 
distribution... so what's your point ?


 if 

Re: Turning the tables on the doctor

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 23 Feb 2014, at 13:54, David Nyman wrote:


On 23 February 2014 09:22, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:
On 23 February 2014 20:48, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:
On 2/22/2014 9:21 PM, LizR wrote:

On 23 February 2014 17:40, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:
On 2/22/2014 5:49 PM, David Nyman wrote:
No, I don't think that follows. The indefinite continuation of  
consciousness is directly entailed by CTM. In fact it is  
equivalent to the continuing existence of the sensible world (i.e.  
per comp, the world is what is observed). Hence any observer can  
expect to remain centred in the circle of observation, come what  
may, to speak rather loosely. There is a transcendent expectation  
of a definite continuation (aka no cul-de-sac). This expectation  
is relativised only secondarily in terms of the specifics of some  
particular continuation.


So does your consciousness continue indefinitely into the past?

This would imply there is no initial state of mind - assumed  
digital, I assume? - or that every possible mental state has a  
precursor. Does computational theory assume this, or can a mind  
start from a blank state?


Even if it doesn't, it would seem a remarkable coincidence that  
everyone seems to be on their first consciousness.


Not necessarily. It might be a selection effect (a similar argument  
can be made for the QTI, if true - why are we at the start of an  
infinite lifetime? Well, you have to start somewhere.)


Right. And I guess you'd expect me by now to invite you to consider  
this with a Hoylean hat on. From Hoyle's perspective a momentary  
experience can be *typical* only to the degree that equivalent  
fungible experiences predominate in some underlying measure contest.  
So, as an analogy, experiences in which I hold a losing ticket in  
the UK lottery predominate hugely over those in which I hold a  
winning ticket, and this continues to be the case even though from  
Hoyle's perspective I am *all* the ticket holders. If this makes  
any sense, we must assume (for the analogy to hold) that experiences  
in which I appear to have a relatively recent origin in space and  
time predominate in the measure battle with those in which my  
apparent origin recedes towards some asymptotic limit. The former,  
one might say, are more *typical* of the experience of the universal  
observer than the latter.



For me this touches open problems (some made worst by explaining in  
comp the possibility of the salvia experience).


All memorized past can only scratches the futures. In a sense we  
are always young. From inside, it always look like a beginning, and  
in a sense it is (I think).


Bruno






David



Or given that consciousness is not the contents of consciousness,


I see no reason to assume that.

Hence the phraseology used above. If you say given that X, that  
means you're assuming it for the sake of argument. Sorry, maybe I  
should have said if we assume that... to make it clearer.
does this just imply amensia about previous lives? (And maybe that  
I am he as you are he as he is me, etc).


Or does it imply that consciousness and memory are intrinsic to  
certain physical processes?


Since you can see no reason to assume the initial premise (see  
above) it seems a bit odd that you are then trying to draw  
conclusions from it!



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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Quentin Anciaux
2014-02-25 15:02 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:

 Hi Quentin


 * I don't refuse to read them. You've cited *one* paper, I didn't have
 time to read it, I will this week.*

 Ah so you dismiss things that you havent read then? Impressive!


I don't... I've said it's about the abstract, and I didn't *dismiss* it.




 * The abstract though did not reject probability calculus, only the
 interpretation of what it means. It is clear that in MWI setting
 probability is not about what happen and what does not,*

 If I say that x will happen with 50% probability I certainly am talking
 about things happening or not happening and if it is clear that
 probability is not about that in MWI, then it is clear that probability in
 MWI is not about probability.


WTF ?? Do you claim people when they are taking MWI seriously say that 0.5
probability to see spin up, means if you see spin up, the spin down version
of the observer does not exists ? Do you really claim that ? because with
MWI, both version do exist, so sure probability in MWI settings is not
about what exists and what doesn't... it's about measure and frequency,
what else could it be ?



 * but about frequency and measure... that doesn't render probability
 meaningless... proof is, as you always are in *one* world, your measure
 will follow the predicted distribution.*


 So you're strategy is to try and semantically wriggle out of the claims
 you make? Pretend the words you use have a different meaning than they
 really do?


So your strategy is to troll ? Have I got it right ?




 * f you want to assert thing and not back them up, well...*

 But I did back up what I said.


No you didn't.


 You couldn't be arsed to read the paper about Deutsch I offered, remember?


Which paper ?


 You're the only one here refusing to back up claims. Perhaps you should
 give up on yourself?


I do.




 Here's Deutsh from the abstract of his paper: Quantum Theory of
 Probability and Decisions





 *The probabilistic predictions of quantum theory are conventionally
 obtainedfrom a special probabilistic axiom. But that is unnecessary because
 all the practical consequences of such predictions follow from the
 remaining, non-probabilistic, axioms of quantum theory, together with the
 non-probabilisticpart of classical decision theory*

 Read it carefully. It makes clear that he believes that all relevent
 predictions can be made from non probabilistic axioms. You're not going
 to turn around and argue that he meant 'probabilistic axioms' are you?


He didn't reject *The probabilistic predictions  *he's just saying as I
do... that it doesn't mean some things happens or not... as with MWI
clearly every non zero probability do happen... what else could it mean ?




 And from the conclusion:





 *No probabilistic axiom is required in quantum theory. A decision maker
 who believes only the non-probabilistic part of the theory, and is
 ‘rational’ in the sensedefined by a strictly non-probabilistic restriction
 of classical decision theory, willmake all decisions that depend on
 predicting the outcomes of measurements as if those outcomes were
 determined by stochastic processes, *




 ***with probabilities given by axiom (1). ***


Wait ? what ? he's talking about probabilities or what ?

Quentin





 *(However, in other respects he will not behave as if he believed
 thatstochastic processes occur. For instance if asked whether they occur he
 will certainly reply ‘no’, because the non-probabilistic axioms of quantum
 theory require the stateto evolve in a continuous and deterministic way.)*

 Now if you want to make the case that Deutsch 'does not reject
 probability' whilst he is insisting, indeed founding his reputation on the
 claim that 'no probabilistic axiom is required in quantum theory' be my
 guest. Im always up for a laugh.

 All the best

 Chris.

 --
 From: allco...@gmail.com
 Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2014 10:43:33 +0100

 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com





 2014-02-25 8:43 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:

 Hi Quentin

 *That's nonsense, *

 The point wasn't whether you think its nonsense or not. I couldn't care
 less about that. we were arguing about whether there are Oxford Dons who
 adopt the same standpoint as me, and given your little outburst above I
 think you've just discovered that there are. And that they are publishing
 these ideas in respected and peer reviewed journals.

 Just to recap then: It is perfectly respectable to reject the notion of
 subjective uncertainty without abandoning MWI. Just as I said.


 * and contrary to observed fact. *

 I always wince when you throw that one out. How does one break it to the
 angriest member of a list that they are continually begging the question?



 * David Deutsch does not reject probability... *

 Sure he does, he swaps out the Born rule for rational decision theory (+
 

Re: Turning the tables on the doctor

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 23 Feb 2014, at 20:07, meekerdb wrote:


On 2/23/2014 1:13 AM, LizR wrote:

On 23 February 2014 20:48, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:
On 2/22/2014 9:21 PM, LizR wrote:

On 23 February 2014 17:40, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:
On 2/22/2014 5:49 PM, David Nyman wrote:
No, I don't think that follows. The indefinite continuation of  
consciousness is directly entailed by CTM. In fact it is  
equivalent to the continuing existence of the sensible world  
(i.e. per comp, the world is what is observed). Hence any  
observer can expect to remain centred in the circle of  
observation, come what may, to speak rather loosely. There is a  
transcendent expectation of a definite continuation (aka no cul- 
de-sac). This expectation is relativised only secondarily in  
terms of the specifics of some particular continuation.


So does your consciousness continue indefinitely into the past?

This would imply there is no initial state of mind - assumed  
digital, I assume? - or that every possible mental state has a  
precursor. Does computational theory assume this, or can a mind  
start from a blank state?


Even if it doesn't, it would seem a remarkable coincidence that  
everyone seems to be on their first consciousness.


Not necessarily. It might be a selection effect (a similar argument  
can be made for the QTI, if true - why are we at the start of an  
infinite lifetime? Well, because you have to start somewhere...  
This could be similar - there may be reasons to expect everyone to  
be on their first consciousness this near to the big bang,  
perhaps.)

Or given that consciousness is not the contents of consciousness,


I see no reason to assume that.

Hence the phraseology used above. If you say given that X, that  
means you're assuming it for the sake of argument. (Sorry, maybe I  
should have said if we assume that... to make it clearer?)
does this just imply amensia about previous lives? (And maybe that  
I am he as you are he as he is me, etc).


Or does it imply that consciousness and memory are intrinsic to  
certain physical processes?


Since you can see no reason to assume the initial premise (see  
above) it seems a bit odd that you are then trying to draw  
conclusions from it!


I wrote no reason to assume that consciousness is not the content  
of consciousness.  The premise I took is everyone's on their first  
consciousness. For which you offered the explanation of amnesia; 
and I offered a different one.  If you're going to criticize logic  
you need to parse correctly.


But it raises the question, given complete amnesia and then growing  
up with different experiences and memories in what sense could you  
be the same person.  I John Clark and Bruno's back and forth, the  
one thing they always agree on is that as soon as the M-man and the  
W-man open the transporter doors and see different scenes they are  
different people.



We agree that the W-man and the M-man are different, yes.
We even agree that both the W-man and the M-man are the H-man,  
admitting simply that indexical notion are modal notion, and thus  
don't need to obey to Leibniz identity rule.


I am not sure there is any disagreement, actually, except only on  
this, but even there he does not convince me. Why he stays mute on  
step 4 is perhaps that he does already understand it and the  
consequences, and he dislikes them, perhaps. Well, it is weird, but we  
are accustom of irrationality in theology aren't we?


Bruno





Brent

Brent

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Re: Turning the tables on the doctor

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 23 Feb 2014, at 20:38, meekerdb wrote:


On 2/23/2014 4:35 AM, David Nyman wrote:
Not my consciousness, no. I'm just suggesting that CTM ultimately  
relies on some transcendent notion of perspective itself. IOW, the  
sensible world is conceived as the resultant of the inter- 
subjective agreement of its possible observers, each of which  
discovers itself to be centred in some perspective.


Is the sensible world of *possible* observers supposed to include  
the whole world.  I'm always suspicious of the word possible.   
Does it refer to chance, i.e. many events were possible, I might  
have had coffee instead of tea this morning, but only a few are  
actual?  Does it refer to anything not prohibited by (our best  
theory of) physics: It's possible a meteorite might strike my  
house?  Or is it anything not entailing a contradiction: X and not X?


Possible in the large sense, is the diamond of the modal logic. There  
are as many notions of possibility than there are modal logics, and  
there are many.


I appreciate that you put in your enumeration the possible in the  
sense of the consistent (not entailing A  ~A, or not entailing f).


That one, consistency,  can be defined in arithmetic for all  
arithmetically correct machine(~beweisbar('~(0=0)')), and it happens  
also that such a definition entails different logics for the  
philosophical or physical variant of it, and this choose the  
different modal logics from machines self-references.


Bruno


PS my p-time seems to be delayed, I am still in the 23 february, gosh!






Brent

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Re: Turning the tables on the doctor

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 23 Feb 2014, at 20:57, ghib...@gmail.com wrote:



On Sunday, February 23, 2014 7:07:21 PM UTC, Brent wrote:
On 2/23/2014 1:13 AM, LizR wrote:

On 23 February 2014 20:48, meekerdb meek...@verizon.net wrote:
On 2/22/2014 9:21 PM, LizR wrote:

On 23 February 2014 17:40, meekerdb meek...@verizon.net wrote:
On 2/22/2014 5:49 PM, David Nyman wrote:
No, I don't think that follows. The indefinite continuation of  
consciousness is directly entailed by CTM. In fact it is  
equivalent to the continuing existence of the sensible world  
(i.e. per comp, the world is what is observed). Hence any  
observer can expect to remain centred in the circle of  
observation, come what may, to speak rather loosely. There is a  
transcendent expectation of a definite continuation (aka no cul- 
de-sac). This expectation is relativised only secondarily in  
terms of the specifics of some particular continuation.


So does your consciousness continue indefinitely into the past?

This would imply there is no initial state of mind - assumed  
digital, I assume? - or that every possible mental state has a  
precursor. Does computational theory assume this, or can a mind  
start from a blank state?


Even if it doesn't, it would seem a remarkable coincidence that  
everyone seems to be on their first consciousness.


Not necessarily. It might be a selection effect (a similar argument  
can be made for the QTI, if true - why are we at the start of an  
infinite lifetime? Well, because you have to start somewhere...  
This could be similar - there may be reasons to expect everyone to  
be on their first consciousness this near to the big bang,  
perhaps.)

Or given that consciousness is not the contents of consciousness,


I see no reason to assume that.

Hence the phraseology used above. If you say given that X, that  
means you're assuming it for the sake of argument. (Sorry, maybe I  
should have said if we assume that... to make it clearer?)
does this just imply amensia about previous lives? (And maybe that  
I am he as you are he ashe is me, etc).


Or does it imply that consciousness and memory are intrinsic to  
certain physical processes?


Since you can see no reason to assume the initial premise (see  
above) it seems a bit odd that you are then trying to draw  
conclusions from it!


I wrote no reason to assume that consciousness is not the content  
of consciousness.  The premise I took is everyone's on their first  
consciousness. For which you offered the explanation of amnesia;  
and I offered a different one.  If you're going to criticize logic  
you need to parse correctly.


But it raises the question, given complete amnesia and then growing  
up with different experiences and memories in what sense could you  
be the same person.  I John Clark and Bruno's back and forth, the  
one thing they always agree on is that as soon as the M-man and the  
W-man open the transporter doors and see different scenes they are  
different people.


Brent


I'd be very interested to know who in this community currently  
subscribes to this idea that consciousness is not entirely a product  
of evolution of the nervous system and physical


I cannot see the faintest hint of things going this way. The brain  
is exactly the right conditions this extraordinary thing can be  
explicable.


On the bright side, perhaps we can look on this as a distinct predict.

Bruno - what is hanging on this prediction?  Are you willing to nail  
the colours of your work to something hard here?


I have nailed comp+theaetetus on something hard, as I give the comp  
quantum logic, and compare them to the one derived from observation.  
That's the whole point.








Things are advancing briskly enough in brain sciences, so it's  
realistic to think a resolution might emerge in the not distant  
future.


That is logically impossible. Or you assume comp, and get the  
conceptual solution which is almost modest as it is not much more than  
listen to the machines. What they say is already quite astonishing,  
even if today this require some study of mathematical logic.





What sort of standard of proof would it take then, for you to regard  
your theory falsified?


The result is that comp+theaetetus is falsified if nature contradicts  
a physical comp tautology, that if a theorem of Z1*.






Or, where do your assertions about consciousness fit into your whole  
theory?


I define comp with consciousness. Comp is the belief that I will keep  
my consciousness through the use of *some* universal machine  
relatively to some probable universal machine.


But the UDA use not a lot, as it uses only a sharable notion of 1p  
(memory accompanying the person entering in the telebox).





Is it just a loosely associated preference, or is it absolutely  
indispensable?


You judge.





Will you formalize a falsifiable prediction?


I did. The arithmetical material hypostases, that is mainly the  
arithmetical quantum logic Z1*.



 

Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Jesse Mazer
On Tue, Feb 25, 2014 at 8:57 AM, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote:

 Jesse,

 Here is a clearer, unambiguous and more general way to define p-time
 simultaneity in terms of proper times. Let me know what you think. I'll
 also address your latest questions in separate replies...


 Drop an arbitrary coordinate system onto an arbitrary space. Place a clock
 at each grid intersection. I don't think we even have to worry about those
 clocks being synchronized initially. (We do assume only that physical
 processes, including the rate of time, follow the same relativistic laws at
 all locations.) Place a stationary observer with each clock just for
 terminological convenience. We don't really need this coordinate clock
 system but I include it to address your concerns.

 Each clock will display the coordinate time of its grid intersection,
 which will also be the proper time of the stationary observer at that
 location.

 These grid clocks will run at different rates depending on the
 gravitational potentials of their grid locations.

 Do you agree?


I agree you can construct an arbitrary non-inertial coordinate system in
this way. As I said before in the second half of my post at
https://groups.google.com/d/msg/everything-list/jFX-wTm_E_Q/SX19ccLeij0J(starting
with the paragraph that begins Not a well-defined assumption.),
I think the only two ways to compare the rates of clocks at different
locations are by 1) picking an arbitrary coordinate system and looking at
how fast each clock ticks relative to coordinate time in that system, or 2)
restricting yourself to talking about purely visual rates of one clock as
seen by an observer at a different position, with the visual signals timed
against his own clock. If you think there is any more objective notion of
clocks having different rates which can be compared with one another,
then I disagree.





 Now also introduce an arbitrary number of observers either stationary, or
 moving relative to this grid, each with its own proper time clock, some
 accelerating, some with just constant relative motion.

 This model covers all possible types of relativistic time effects
 (disregarding black holes and other types of horizons for the moment).

 Do you agree?


I basically agree, although I would also specify that you can have more
than one coordinate grid covering the same region of spacetime (imagine
them as being able to pass through one another without obstruction), since
some of the mathematics of relativity deals with coordinate transformations
from one system to another, like the Lorentz transformation that deals with
how the coordinates of different inertial frames map to one another.




 It is possible for all observers in this space to have knowledge of the
 relativistic conditions of all other observers as well as themselves. In
 other words they can know the equations governing how any observer would
 view any other observer.

 Do you agree?



How any observer would view any other observer seems ill-defined, again
the only way I can think of for observers to have views of one another is
either 1) associate a coordinate system with a particular observer--often
one where they are at rest and coordinate time matches their own proper
time along their worldline--and examine the coordinate-dependent behavior
of other observers in this coordinate system, and 2) just consider what a
given observer sees visually about other observers using light signals,
including the proper times that he receives different signals. If you're
talking about 1), note that although in SPECIAL relativity physicists often
adopt the linguistic convention that a given inertial observer's view or
perspective is taken as a shorthand for how things work in their own
inertial rest frame, in general relativity there is no similar convention
for assigning meaning to a word like view, and you have an infinite
variety of possible non-inertial coordinate systems that could be used by a
given observer (even if you restrict yourself to coordinate systems where
that observer is at rest and coordinate time matches proper time along
their worldline).,

So, I would agree only if you are either using view to refer purely to
what each observer sees visually, or if you mean that we SPECIFY a
particular coordinate system that should be used by a given observer to
define his view. If you don't mean either of those things, then I don't
think this is a well-defined statement in relativity.





 Thus it is possible for all observers to know the RATES of all proper
 clocks in this system, and all observers will agree on all those proper
 clock rates.

 E.g. all observers would agree that the proper clock in a certain gravity
 would be running at 1/2 the rate as clocks in no gravity. All observers
 would agree that the proper clock rates of all observers in inertial motion
 would be running at the same rate. And all observers would agree that the
 proper clock of an observer with a specific 

Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/24/2014 11:24 PM, Chris de Morsella wrote:


That would certainly be true if there is no sense of urgency to get the job done, but we 
got to the moon in less than 9 years once we decided we really really wanted to go 
there. There is no scientific reason it would take decades to get a LFTR online, but 
there are political reasons.


How many Apollo V rockets did we build for all that dough? It would take many trillions 
of dollars to retool our energy systems; again there is no comparison between the 
moonshot Cold War race and deploying a radically different electric energy generation 
infrastructure.




Except nuclear power is not radically different, it's just using a different heat source 
to make steam for turbines.  The infrastructure is essentially the same.


Brent

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Re: Turning the tables on the doctor

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 24 Feb 2014, at 04:23, Craig Weinberg wrote:




On Sunday, February 23, 2014 11:50:57 AM UTC-5, Bruno Marchal wrote:

On 22 Feb 2014, at 18:36, Craig Weinberg wrote:




On Saturday, February 22, 2014 11:27:45 AM UTC-5, Bruno Marchal  
wrote:


On 22 Feb 2014, at 15:25, Craig Weinberg wrote:

 If you say yes to the doctor, you are saying that originality is an
 illusion


Not at all. Your 1p-originality is preserved all the time.

I'm not thinking of 1p originality though, I'm talking about  
originality itself - absolute uniqueness. The idea that something  
can occur for the first, last, and only time, and perhaps, by  
extension that everything is in some sense utterly unique and  
irreplacable.


You reify an 1p notion.

What makes you think its more of a 1p notion than arithmetic is?


What makes you think that arithmetic is a 1p notion?

Answer: because you assume only 1p, and believe that you can derive  
anything from that.


The problem is that you don't have a theory, but a collection of  
image, which I still could appreciate, if you were not using it in a  
non valid way on computationalism.









In the H-WM
duplication experience, the experiencers get all a unique experience
of the type

I am the H-guy
I am the H-guy-Washington guy
I am the H-guy-Washington guy, then Moscow guy
I am the H-guy-Washington guy, then Moscow guy, then again Moscow guy
I am the H-guy-Washington guy, then Moscow guy, then again Moscow guy
and again Moscow guy ...

He never feel the split, and keeps its originality all along. he get
doppelgangers who also keep up their originality and develop their
personality.

I understand, but I think it is based on the assumption that I am  
the H-guy comes along for the ride when you reproduce a  
description of his body, or the blueprints for his behaviors.


Or a diophantine approximation of the quantum string-brane state  
with 10^(10^10) correct decimal for the rational complex numbers  
involved.


That assumes originality is not fundamental though.


I grant you that. Nor is it easy to define.




I don't see a compelling reason to allow that bottom up construction  
of consciousness will work.


I might agree with you. I am not sure comp allow a bottom up  
construction of consciousness, due to its peculiar relation with truth.


You must study a theory, as you take time to criticize only your own  
restricted comprehension of it.







To the contrary, everything that I have seen suggests that it cannot.



I think you are right on this. It is only your uses of things like  
this against computationalism which are not valid.








My point has been from the start that this is false.



But that is an extraordinary claim, which requires an extraordinary  
arguments.


Why would it be any more extraordinary than the claim that a unique  
conscious experience can be assembled from generic unconscious parts?



That uniqueness is 1p. Comp, if true, guaranties it for each 1p view.  
God knows better, but we are not yet there, isn't it?










No lifetime or event within a lifetime can be reproduced wholly -



I completely agree with you, but those are 1p notion. They have  
referent, but we cannot invoke them when we study them.


All notions are 1p, including the notion that there could be notions  
which are not 1p.



That is akin to solipsism.

And then again explain me why 0 = 0 in your theory, of why there is an  
infinite of primes.


The acceptable level of rigor is to be able to be clear enough so that  
someone else can translated in a first or higher order logic or in  
some already existing theory.


I love poets but I dislike the use of poetry in science.









there is no such thing.


You have to prove that.

It may not be possible to prove anything related to consciousness.


Again I can make a lot sense to this.



If it can be proved, then it only has to do with some particular  
relation within consciousness.


But then how do you know that the digital duplicate is a doll.

Very often, you do the opposite of what your own phenomenology should  
suggest.













All that can be reproduced is a representation within some sensory  
context. Outside of that context, it is a facade.


You should search for an experiment testing your idea, if only with  
the pedagogical goal of giving more sense to it.


The experiments are all around us. I see an actor on TV, but if I  
turn off the TV, it becomes clear that the image is only a visual  
facade.


This is not valid, and beside I was asking for an experience giving a  
different number than say string theory, or computationalism.











Yes, I am saying that C-t and CTM have only to do with  
representations of a particular kind of logic and measurement.


On the contrary, CT makes many different logics mathematically  
amenable, that is the reason to be study it. Whatever the truth is,  
it can only be more complex and subtle.


But is still quantifiable, impersonal kinds of logic, as 

RE: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread Chris de Morsella
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of meekerdb

 

On 2/24/2014 11:24 PM, Chris de Morsella wrote:

That would certainly be true if there is no sense of urgency to get the
job done, but we got to the moon in less than 9 years once we decided we
really really wanted to go there. There is no scientific reason it would
take decades to get a LFTR online, but there are political reasons.

 

How many Apollo V rockets did we build for all that dough? It would take
many trillions of dollars to retool our energy systems; again there is no
comparison between the moonshot Cold War race and deploying a radically
different electric energy generation infrastructure. 


Except nuclear power is not radically different, it's just using a
different heat source to make steam for turbines.  The infrastructure is
essentially the same.

 

True. in that nuclear power, is basically boiling water to produce hot high
pressure steam. It is essentially the same from the stage of having produced
high pressure steam to spin a turbine to make electricity, but the entire
logistical tail is vastly different - and of course the nature of the
boilers is essentially untested (sure there may still be some data from
the old Oak Ridge experimental LFTR reactor that operated for some years in
Oak Ridge during the 1960s, but that is all there is)  The reactors
themselves will need to be designed, tested, verified, stress tested,
systems tested, material fatigue tested, and finally built from scratch.
LFTR reactors do not exist, there are no blue prints to build them from. It
is unknown how various proposed materials will actually perform, in the
reactor core environment - over the years of operational life.

How many years do you think it would take - if it was a national priority?
10, 20, 30? 

And finally - just to underline my point -- fusion reactors are also
essentially water boilers - that does not make them the same as coal
thermo-electric plants and they are not buildable with our current
technology.. Though ITER is trying. There are fundamental technological
hurdles that remain. for fusion certainly - and, I would argue for LFTR
reactors as well -- even though in the end it is all about boiling water.

Chris



Brent.

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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread John Clark
On Sun, Feb 23, 2014 at 1:37 AM, Bruno Marchal marc...@ulb.ac.be wrote:


  Did the Helsinki Man see Washington and Moscow? Yes.


   In the 3-1 view. Not in the 1-1 view.



  In who's 1-1 view? You'll probably say in The Helsinki Man's


  No. The W-man and the M-m


But that's 2 not one, so if Bruno Marchal wishes to be logical then Bruno
Marchal is going to have to stop saying the 1-1 view and start saying a
1-1 view.

  but his view is just of Helsinki. Perhaps you mean the future 1 view
 of the Helsinki Man. If so then anybody who can remember having the past 1
 view of the Helsinki Man would fit that description; so the Helsinki Man
 will see both Washington and Moscow.

  In the 3-1 views. Not in the 1-1 views.


In who's 1-1 view?

  I said that we have to interview all copies.


  Good, then I never want to hear you say again that the Washington Man
 saying that he didn't see Moscow contradicts the claim that the Helsinki
 man will see both Washington AND Moscow.

  In the 3-1 views. Not in the 1-1 view.


In who's 1-1 view?


  this looks like wordplay


The reason it's so childishly easy to play with your words and tie them
into logical knots is because they are so self contradictory; if your words
made sense I couldn't do that.

 If the FPI does not exist


I never said it does not exist, what I said is that in a world with
duplicating chambers great care must be taken in explaining exactly who the
P in the FPI is, and you have been anything but careful.

 provide the algorithm of prediction.


Why? What does that have to do with the price of eggs? FPI is about the
feeling of self and prediction has nothing to do with it.

 W  M has been refuted.


You said that we have to interview all copies and I agree. After the
interviews this is what we find:

W has not refuted it.
M has not refuted it.
W  M have confirmed it.

 You miss this only by confusing the 3-1 view and the 1-view,


Who's the 1-view?

  John K Clark

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Re: Turning the tables on the doctor

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/25/2014 7:00 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
admitting simply that indexical notion are modal notion, and thus don't need to obey to 
Leibniz identity rule.


I don't understand that remark.  Are you saying that there is some modal notion that makes 
identity of indiscernibles wrong?  I think of indexical predicates as being ostensive.


Brent

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Re: Turning the tables on the doctor

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/25/2014 7:15 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:


On 23 Feb 2014, at 20:38, meekerdb wrote:


On 2/23/2014 4:35 AM, David Nyman wrote:
Not my consciousness, no. I'm just suggesting that CTM ultimately relies on some 
transcendent notion of perspective itself. IOW, the sensible world is conceived as the 
resultant of the inter-subjective agreement of its possible observers, each of which 
discovers itself to be centred in some perspective.


Is the sensible world of *possible* observers supposed to include the whole world.  I'm 
always suspicious of the word possible.  Does it refer to chance, i.e. many events 
were possible, I might have had coffee instead of tea this morning, but only a few are 
actual?  Does it refer to anything not prohibited by (our best theory of) physics: It's 
possible a meteorite might strike my house?  Or is it anything not entailing a 
contradiction: X and not X?


Possible in the large sense, is the diamond of the modal logic.


But  is just a symbol that we use with certain rules of inference.  To be applied it 
requires some interpretation.



There are as many notions of possibility than there are modal logics, and there 
are many.

I appreciate that you put in your enumeration the possible in the sense of the 
consistent (not entailing A  ~A, or not entailing f).


David used possible observers as part of a definition.  I don't know what it would mean 
for an observer to not entail f.  So I think he had some other meaning (nomological) in 
mind.  But in that case his definition is somewhat circular.


Brent



That one, consistency,  can be defined in arithmetic for all arithmetically correct 
machine(~beweisbar('~(0=0)')), and it happens also that such a definition entails 
different logics for the philosophical or physical variant of it, and this choose 
the different modal logics from machines self-references.






Bruno


PS my p-time seems to be delayed, I am still in the 23 february, gosh!


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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Edgar L. Owen
Stathis,

I understand your point but you don't understand my point.

My point is that you try to prove time doesn't flow by giving me an example 
is which time DOES flow (the running projector). The projector has to run 
in time to give the motion of the frames.

That kind of proof obviously doesn't work. Please give me a proof that time 
DOES NOT flow without using something running in time. I say this is 
impossible. There is no way you can prove time does not flow without using 
some FLOW of time, something running in time, to try to prove it.

Therefore the notion that time doesn't flow cannot be proved.

Do you see my point now?

Edgar



On Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:39:30 AM UTC-5, stathisp wrote:

 On 25 February 2014 00:26, Edgar L. Owen edga...@att.net javascript: 
 wrote: 
  Stathis, 
  
  1. This disproves what it sets out to prove. It assumes a RUNNING 
 computer 
  which assumes a flowing time. This example can't be taken seriously. If 
  anything it's a proof that time has to flow to give the appearance of 
 time 
  flowing, which is the correct understanding... 

 No, what it shows is that the running time is not relevant to the 
 appearance of continuity. The computer can be restarted after a second 
 or after a billion years in the Andromeda galaxy, and it makes no 
 subjective difference. This is how the separate frames in a block 
 universe join up. 

  2. I assume in this context you don't mean 'multiverse' but 'many 
 worlds' 
  and that your use of 'multiverse' was a typo? 
  
  If so I have some questions I like to ask to clarify how you understand 
 MWI, 
  particularly in the block universe context you previously mentioned. 

 I meant multiverse, not specifically the MWI of QM. 


 -- 
 Stathis Papaioannou 


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Re: Digital Neurology

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 24 Feb 2014, at 06:25, Stathis Papaioannou wrote:


On 24 February 2014 12:43, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:

John Searle in one of his papers proposes that if our brain were  
being
gradually replaced we would find ourselves losing qualia while  
declaring
that everything was normal, and being unable to make any protest  
to the
contrary. This would imply that we think with something other than  
our
brain, a soul equivalent, and that in certain situations the brain  
and this

soul equivalent can become decoupled.

So he's either suggesting we'd lose them and be unable to  
articulate the

fact, or that we'd lose them and wouldn't know it..?

The first one seems ridiculous. If we knew we were losing qualia,  
whatever
that would be like, surely we would be able to say so? Although I'm  
not sure
how one could lose qualia, what does that mean? Surely it isn't  
like the
artist in Oliver Sacks' book who lost the ability to see colours?  
He knew
he'd lost the ability even though he couldn't imagine what seeing  
colours
was like. So he knew he'd lost something, and could say so, but  
couldn't

bring to mind what the thing he'd lost was like.

I don't really ujnderstand how one could lose qualia and not know  
it. Or is
the point that there's no longer anyone there to know it - a  
philosophical

zombie?


There is a condition called Anton's Syndrome in which some people who
have lesions in their visual cortex are blind but do not recognise it.
They make up excuses when asked why they didn't recognise someone or
why they trip over things. It is a subtype of anosognosia, where the
patient does not realise he has an illness; parietal neglect in stroke
victims and lack of insight in schizophrenia are other examples.
However, this is due to specific neurological deficits and is
associated with abnormal behaviour as well as abnormal qualia.

The point of this is that if the brain is responsible for
consciousness it is absurd to suppose that the brain's behaviour could
be replaced with a functional analogue while leaving out any
associated qualia. This constitutes a proof of functionalism, and of
its subset computationalism if it is further established that physics
is computable.


?

On the contrary if computationalism is correct the physics cannot be  
entirely computable, some observable cannot be computed (but it might  
be no more that the frequency-operator, like in Graham Preskill. But  
still, we must explain why physics seems computable, despite it result  
of FMP on non computable domains).


Also,you are not using functionalism in its standard sense, which is  
Putnam names for comp (at a non specified level assumed to be close to  
neurons).


What do you mean by function? If you take all functions (like in set  
theory), then it seems to me that functionalism is trivial, and the  
relation between consciousness and a process, even natural, become  
ambiguous.


But if you take all functions computable in some topos or category, of  
computability on a ring, or that type of structure, then you *might*  
get genuine generalization of comp.






I don't think we have to settle for Bruno's modest
assertion that comp is a matter of faith.


It has to be, from a theoretical point of view. Assuming you are  
correct when betting on comp, you cannot prove, even to yourself (but  
your 1p does not need that!) that you did survive a teleportation.


Of course I take proof in a rather strong literal sense. Non comp  
might be consistent with comp, like PA is inconsistent is consistent  
with PA.


Bruno





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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 25 Feb 2014, at 01:05, chris peck wrote:

The point is that how probability fits into MWI's determinist  
framework, or any TofE really, is still an open question.



Of course, and my point is that comp aggravates that problem, as only  
extends the indterminacy from a wave to arithmetic.
But then I show that comp+theaetetus provides the means to test the  
theory.





And to argue that must reject MWI if they reject Brunos probability  
sums is plain wrong. Im happy to find myself in the company of  
Oxford Dons like Deutsch and Greaves.


OK, I appreciate the work, but they don't address the mind-body  
problem. Still less the computationalist form of that problem. But  
they get the closer view of the physical possible with respect to both  
comp, and the mathematical theory (comp+Theaetetus).


Bruno




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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 25 Feb 2014, at 10:43, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


 David Deutsch does not reject probability...

Sure he does, he swaps out the Born rule for rational decision  
theory (+ amendments to make it compatible with MWI). There isn't  
probability, but we should act 'as if' there was. Its what he's  
famous for, Quentin.


I think Deustch is more famous for the quantum universal Turing machine.

To say There isn't probability, but we should act 'as if' there was.  
seems to me to oversimplify what he says, as it is close to non sense  
to me.


With comp this would extends into there is no physical reality, but we  
should act as if.


It is still better than there is no consciousness, but we must act as  
if.


Bruno



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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 25 Feb 2014, at 18:35, John Clark wrote:




 provide the algorithm of prediction.

Why? What does that have to do with the price of eggs? FPI is about  
the feeling of self and prediction has nothing to do with it.


FPI = first person indeterminacy of result of experience having two  
outcome due to digital self-duplication.






 W  M has been refuted.

You said that we have to interview all copies and I agree. After  
the interviews this is what we find:


W has not refuted it.
M has not refuted it.
W  M have confirmed it.


In the 3-1 views.






 You miss this only by confusing the 3-1 view and the 1-view,

Who's the 1-view?


Each of them.

Bruno


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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Feb 25, 2014 at 2:24 AM, Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.comwrote:

   I think the early experiments at Oak Ridge with LFTR were side-lined
 because it did not fit well with the requirements of the Cold War. The LFTR
 fuel cycle does not support (i.e. help scale up) the military need for
 highly enriched U-235.

The problem is that a LFTR does not produce measurable amounts of
Plutonium, in the 1950s that was considered a severe disadvantage, today it
looks like a big advantage.

That would certainly be true if there is no sense of urgency to get the
 job done, but we got to the moon in less than 9 years once we decided we
 really really wanted to go there. There is no scientific reason it would
 take decades to get a LFTR online, but there are political reasons.



  How many Apollo V rockets did we build for all that dough? It would take
 many trillions of dollars to retool our energy systems; again there is no
 comparison between the moonshot Cold War race and deploying a radically
 different electric energy generation infrastructure.


Switching over to a LFTR based economy would be a radical change, but not
nearly as radical as switching over to one based on wind or tides or
photovoltaics or fusion.

 Dilute sources of power actually match quite well with how power is
 actually consumed for the most part. Most electric power is consumed by the
 vast number of dispersed (dilute) small consumers.


Well let's see, my car has 306 horsepower, one horsepower is equal to 746
watts so my car needs 228,276 watts.  On a bright day at noon solar cells
produce about 10 watts per square foot, so my car would need 22,827 square
feet of solar cells, that's not counting the additional air resistance
caused by the 151x151 foot rectangle mounted on the car's roof. And how do
I get to work at night or on cloudy days?


  James Hansen is one of the world's leading environmentalists and has
 done more to raise the alarm about climate change than anybody else, he
 started to do so in 1988. Hansen has recently changed his mind and is now
 in favor of nuclear power because he figures it causes less environmental
 impact than anything else, or at least anything else that wasn't moonbeams
 and could actually make a dent in satiating the worldwide energy demand.

  Yes I know and Hansen is terribly wrong on this. It is ironic to hear
 you speak of this alleged small environmental impact of nuclear just a few
 years scant years into the beginning of a trillion dollar mess at Fukushima

The coal power plants in China alone kill about 350,000 people EACH YEAR;
the number of people that Fukushima, the worst nuclear accident in almost
30 years, has killed is ZERO.  And environmentalist go on and on about the
sixth extinction and the existential threat brought on by the terrifying
.74 degree Celsius increase in temperature from 1906 to 2005 ( it increased
between 4 and 7 degrees Celsius over the last 5,000 years), but say we
shouldn't use nuclear power even though it does not contribute to global
warming because it's too dangerous. If global warming was half as dreadful
as the environmentalists say I wouldn't care if we had a Fukushima ever
damn day!

  John K Clark

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/25/2014 10:47 AM, John Clark wrote:
Well let's see, my car has 306 horsepower, one horsepower is equal to 746 watts so my 
car needs 228,276 watts. On a bright day at noon solar cells produce about 10 watts per 
square foot, so my car would need 22,827 square feet of solar cells, that's not counting 
the additional air resistance caused by the 151x151 foot rectangle mounted on the car's 
roof. And how do I get to work at night or on cloudy days


You're car engine needs to generate that 306hp when it's going about 150mph.  In normal 
highway use it's probably making about 30hp.


Brent

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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Edgar L. Owen
Jesse,

So we agree on my first two points. And yes, I agree you can have as many 
arbitrary coordinate systems as you like but that adds nothing to the 
discussion.

I accept your criticism of my third point which was not worded tightly 
enough. I'll reword it...

What I mean here is that all observers can know how relativity works both 
for them, and for all other observers. In other words they can know exactly 
what equations any observer A uses to calculate the observables of any 
other observer B, in particular the equation A uses to calculate the clock 
time of B relative to A's own proper time clock. This is standard 
relativity theory assumed in all relativity examples. it follows for any 
observer who knows relativity theory.

With that revision do you now agree?


As for your last comments where you disagree. I do NOT mean 
observationally, I mean computationally via his knowledge of relativity 
theory. 

You inconveniently snipped the examples where I made clear what I meant by 
this and did not respond. Here they are again:

Thus it is possible for all observers to know the RATES of all proper 
clocks in this system, and all observers will agree on all those proper 
clock RATES. Note I'm talking here only of RATES, not of proper TIME clock 
readings. We will get to that.

E.g. IF THEY UNDERSTAND RELATIVITY, then all observers would agree that the 
PROPER clock in a certain gravity would be running at 1/2 the rate as 
PROPER clocks in no gravity. All observers would agree that the PROPER 
clock rates of all observers in inertial motion would be running at the 
same rate. And all observers would agree that the PROPER clock of an 
observer with a specific acceleration close to the speed of light would 
have a PROPER clock rate 1/2 that of a non-accelerating observer. 

Do you agree? This is just using standard relativity theory to deduce what 
PROPER time rates would result in what observational clock time rates of 
other clocks for any observer. It's done all the time in pretty much any 
relativity example.

If you don't agree I can lead you through any number of examples to 
demonstrate how it works, but on second thought I've already done that for 
a number of examples, so you still may not get it.


Let me try one example though to make it clear...

Take twins A and B.

1. They are initially at the same spacetime point (by your definition). 
They synchronize their clocks.

2. They BOTH embark on what I will call a symmetric relativistic trip. By 
symmetric I mean that their worldlines are exact reflections of each other. 
Their velocities, accelerations, and gravitational encounters, whatever 
they are, will be exactly symmetric so that their worldlines will be exact 
reflections of each other. 

3. Still with symmetric worldlines they again meet up at the same spacetime 
point (your definition). 

4. Because their trips were symmetric their clocks will read exactly the 
same because their relativistic histories will be equivalent in their 
effects on their clocks.

Do you agree? Again, this is standard relativity theory.

5. Thus because their relativistic histories were exactly symmetric their 
proper times must have been exactly in synch from the beginning to the end 
of the trip. They cannot OBSERVE this but they they both KNOW it is true 
because they both understand how relativity works. They both know that 
equivalent relativistic effects cause equivalent PROPER clock time rates.

Do you agree? Again standard relativity theory...

Edgar



On Tuesday, February 25, 2014 10:52:26 AM UTC-5, jessem wrote:



 On Tue, Feb 25, 2014 at 8:57 AM, Edgar L. Owen edga...@att.netjavascript:
  wrote:

 Jesse,

 Here is a clearer, unambiguous and more general way to define p-time 
 simultaneity in terms of proper times. Let me know what you think. I'll 
 also address your latest questions in separate replies...


 Drop an arbitrary coordinate system onto an arbitrary space. Place a clock 
 at each grid intersection. I don't think we even have to worry about those 
 clocks being synchronized initially. (We do assume only that physical 
 processes, including the rate of time, follow the same relativistic laws at 
 all locations.) Place a stationary observer with each clock just for 
 terminological convenience. We don't really need this coordinate clock 
 system but I include it to address your concerns.

 Each clock will display the coordinate time of its grid intersection, 
 which will also be the proper time of the stationary observer at that 
 location.

 These grid clocks will run at different rates depending on the 
 gravitational potentials of their grid locations.

 Do you agree?


 I agree you can construct an arbitrary non-inertial coordinate system in 
 this way. As I said before in the second half of my post at 
 https://groups.google.com/d/msg/everything-list/jFX-wTm_E_Q/SX19ccLeij0J(starting
  with the paragraph that begins Not a well-defined assumption.), 
 I think the only two ways 

Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Edgar L. Owen
Stathis,

I know that's your point. You are just restating it once again, but you are 
completely UNABLE TO DEMONSTRATE IT without using some example in which 
time is already FLOWING.

Since you can't demonstrate it, there is no reason to believe it. Belief in 
a block universe becomes a matter of blind faith, rather than a logical 
consequence of anything, and it is certainly NOT based on any empirical 
evidence whatsoever.

Edgar




On Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:44:55 AM UTC-5, stathisp wrote:

 On 25 February 2014 00:35, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote: 
  Stathis, 
  
  You've of course hit on the crux in your explanation, though perhaps 
  unknowingly so. 
  
  You state The me, yesterday is not me, now 
  
  Yes, I agree completely. You, yourself have just stated the selection 
  mechanism is the 'NOW' which you mention. It is the now that you are in 
 that 
  selects which version of Stathis you are on the basis of what time it is 
 in 
  that now. The Stathis that corresponds to that time is the Stathis that 
 you 
  are right now at that time. 
  
  That is what I've been telling you, that you are the Stathis version of 
  yourself that you are because that is the only one that exists in this 
 NOW 
  in which you exist. 
  
  That in itself demonstrates there is a now, a present moment, which 
 selects 
  the actual version of yourself that you are at this particular time. And 
 if 
  there is a particular now, then time MUST flow... 
  
  You, yourself demonstrate my point... 

 The point was that I, now am no more privileged in time compared to 
 other versions of myself than I am privileged in space compared to 
 other people. 


 -- 
 Stathis Papaioannou 


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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Edgar L. Owen
Stathis,

PS: You claim you are not, but you ARE privileged in SPACE compared to 
other people because your consciousness and your biological being are 
located where you are, not where anyone else is. That's a stupid claim on 
your part

So your example proves MY point, not yours..

Edgar



On Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:44:55 AM UTC-5, stathisp wrote:

 On 25 February 2014 00:35, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote: 
  Stathis, 
  
  You've of course hit on the crux in your explanation, though perhaps 
  unknowingly so. 
  
  You state The me, yesterday is not me, now 
  
  Yes, I agree completely. You, yourself have just stated the selection 
  mechanism is the 'NOW' which you mention. It is the now that you are in 
 that 
  selects which version of Stathis you are on the basis of what time it is 
 in 
  that now. The Stathis that corresponds to that time is the Stathis that 
 you 
  are right now at that time. 
  
  That is what I've been telling you, that you are the Stathis version of 
  yourself that you are because that is the only one that exists in this 
 NOW 
  in which you exist. 
  
  That in itself demonstrates there is a now, a present moment, which 
 selects 
  the actual version of yourself that you are at this particular time. And 
 if 
  there is a particular now, then time MUST flow... 
  
  You, yourself demonstrate my point... 

 The point was that I, now am no more privileged in time compared to 
 other versions of myself than I am privileged in space compared to 
 other people. 


 -- 
 Stathis Papaioannou 


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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new
components (i.e. different types of generators - nuclear etc) and
everything continues to work the same way downstream.

This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and making
petrol, if possible. No change is required to the energy infrastructure, as
there would be with say hydrogen or electric cars, but it's carbon neutral.
We'd get a closed cycle in which the atmosphere was just a temporary
reservoir for the materials needed to make the fuel. Presumably we'd
eventually be able to extract CO2 at a rate that even reduced the amount of
GHGs in the air.

All a pipe dream no doubt.

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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Jesse Mazer
On Tue, Feb 25, 2014 at 4:02 PM, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote:

 Jesse,

 So we agree on my first two points. And yes, I agree you can have as many
 arbitrary coordinate systems as you like but that adds nothing to the
 discussion.

 I accept your criticism of my third point which was not worded tightly
 enough. I'll reword it...

 What I mean here is that all observers can know how relativity works both
 for them, and for all other observers. In other words they can know exactly
 what equations any observer A uses to calculate the observables of any
 other observer B, in particular the equation A uses to calculate the clock
 time of B relative to A's own proper time clock. This is standard
 relativity theory assumed in all relativity examples. it follows for any
 observer who knows relativity theory.

 With that revision do you now agree?



No, you still seem to be laboring under the misconception that there is
some single set of equations that define the view of a given observer,
which they use to calculate observables for distant clocks. But all
relativistic calculations depend on the use of a COORDINATE SYSTEM, and
only with inertial observers in flat SR spacetime is there a standard
linguistic convention which treats the view of a given observer as
shorthand for a specific coordinate system, his inertial rest frame.

Please answer these questions:

--Do you disagree that equations that observer A uses to calculate the
observables of any other observer B are always based on A using some
particular coordinate system? (if so, can you give an example of an
equation that could be used to make such a calculation which would not
depend on any specific coordinate system, but which would still be
observer-dependent in some sense, so it would still be meaningful to
identify this equation specifically with observer A?)

--If you don't disagree with the statement above, do you disagree with my
statement that there's no specific coordinate system that is understood by
physicists to represent a particular observer's view or perspective in
general relativity, so that if you just talk about equations used by
observer A without specifying a coordinate system, physicists wouldn't know
what you were talking about?





 You inconveniently snipped the examples where I made clear what I meant by
 this and did not respond. Here they are again:


I did respond, I said it was wrong, because that there is no basis in
relativity for an agreement between observers about rates.



 Thus it is possible for all observers to know the RATES of all proper
 clocks in this system, and all observers will agree on all those proper
 clock RATES. Note I'm talking here only of RATES, not of proper TIME clock
 readings. We will get to that.

 E.g. IF THEY UNDERSTAND RELATIVITY, then all observers would agree that
 the PROPER clock in a certain gravity would be running at 1/2 the rate as
 PROPER clocks in no gravity.


Nope, this is just a misconception that is obviously based on an incorrect
intuitive understanding, not any detailed understanding of particular
equations used in relativity (if it was, you would write out the equations
rather than making vague statements like if they understand relativity).
My point was that there are only two ways to compare rates of clocks at
different points in space in general relativity:

1. Pick a coordinate system, and look at the rate each clock is ticking
relative to coordinate time at a pair of points on each clock's worldline
(or an interval on each clock's worldline, if you want to talk about
average rates over an extended period rather than instantaneous rates)

2. Restrict yourself to talking about visual rates a given observer sees
using light signals

And as I said, in NEITHER case will you get universal agreement--for 1), if
two different observers use two different coordinate systems they can
disagree about the rates, and for 2), two different observers each looking
at one another can disagree about the ratio of the other clock and their
won clock in terms of visual speeds.

If you disagree, please actually address this ARGUMENT rather than just
accusing me of not having read you closely enough and repeating something
I've already told you I don't agree is true. Specifically, please answer
these questions:

--Do you disagree that 1) and 2) are the only methods *in relativity* of
comparing rates of clocks that are separated in space? Yes or no? (if you
do disagree, please be specific and give the equations and/or technical
term for a third way of comparing rates that could be found in mainstream
relativity texts)

--Do you disagree with my statement that neither 1) nor 2) will produce
universal agreement about the ratio between the rates of separated clocks?





 All observers would agree that the PROPER clock rates of all observers in
 inertial motion would be running at the same rate. And all observers would
 agree that the PROPER clock of an observer with a specific acceleration

Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/25/2014 1:23 PM, LizR wrote:
The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new components (i.e. 
different types of generators - nuclear etc) and everything continues to work the same 
way downstream.


This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and making petrol, if 
possible. No change is required to the energy infrastructure, as there would be with say 
hydrogen or electric cars, but it's carbon neutral. We'd get a closed cycle in which the 
atmosphere was just a temporary reservoir for the materials needed to make the fuel. 
Presumably we'd eventually be able to extract CO2 at a rate that even reduced the amount 
of GHGs in the air.


That's essentially what the research on hydrocarbon producing algae and bacteris is trying 
to do.


Brent

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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On 26 February 2014 04:50, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote:
 Stathis,

 I understand your point but you don't understand my point.

 My point is that you try to prove time doesn't flow by giving me an example
 is which time DOES flow (the running projector). The projector has to run in
 time to give the motion of the frames.

 That kind of proof obviously doesn't work. Please give me a proof that time
 DOES NOT flow without using something running in time. I say this is
 impossible. There is no way you can prove time does not flow without using
 some FLOW of time, something running in time, to try to prove it.

 Therefore the notion that time doesn't flow cannot be proved.

 Do you see my point now?

The computation occurs in two parts, separated across time and space.
They could even be done simultaneously, in reverse order, or in
different universes. The effect of continuous motion would be
maintained for the observer in the computation. If running time were
needed to connect them how could mangling it in this way have no
effect?


-- 
Stathis Papaioannou

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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On 26 February 2014 08:14, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote:
 Stathis,

 PS: You claim you are not, but you ARE privileged in SPACE compared to other
 people because your consciousness and your biological being are located
 where you are, not where anyone else is. That's a stupid claim on your
 part

 So your example proves MY point, not yours..

Your claim is that running time is needed to make the present moment
special but it isn't: it is only special to me because I am me, here
and now. All the other people in the world feel special to themselves
in the same way, and all the other versions of me in a block universe
feel special to themselves in the same way. No spotlight from the
universe in the form of the present moment or the present location
is needed to create this effect.


-- 
Stathis Papaioannou

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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On 26 February 2014 08:07, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote:
 Stathis,

 I know that's your point. You are just restating it once again, but you are
 completely UNABLE TO DEMONSTRATE IT without using some example in which time
 is already FLOWING.

 Since you can't demonstrate it, there is no reason to believe it. Belief in
 a block universe becomes a matter of blind faith, rather than a logical
 consequence of anything, and it is certainly NOT based on any empirical
 evidence whatsoever.

I'm not arguing that there is empirical evidence for a block universe,
just that a block universe is consistent with our experience.


-- 
Stathis Papaioannou

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Re: Block Universes

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
On 26 February 2014 11:39, Stathis Papaioannou stath...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 26 February 2014 08:07, Edgar L. Owen edgaro...@att.net wrote:
  Stathis,
 
  I know that's your point. You are just restating it once again, but you
 are
  completely UNABLE TO DEMONSTRATE IT without using some example in which
 time
  is already FLOWING.
 
  Since you can't demonstrate it, there is no reason to believe it. Belief
 in
  a block universe becomes a matter of blind faith, rather than a logical
  consequence of anything, and it is certainly NOT based on any empirical
  evidence whatsoever.

 I'm not arguing that there is empirical evidence for a block universe,
 just that a block universe is consistent with our experience.


And requires less extra assumptions than any known alternatives, and hence
is preferred by Occam's razor.

Also there is, potentially, empirical evidence, insofar as the relativity
of simultaneity has observable consequences. I don't know if, or how well
this has been tested - most of the relativistic objects in our experience
are either on a galactic or subatomic scale. But I believe both these types
of objects work in a way that accords with SR, and hence at least support
the R. of S..

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
On 26 February 2014 11:18, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 On 2/25/2014 1:23 PM, LizR wrote:

 The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new
 components (i.e. different types of generators - nuclear etc) and
 everything continues to work the same way downstream.

 This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and
 making petrol, if possible. No change is required to the energy
 infrastructure, as there would be with say hydrogen or electric cars, but
 it's carbon neutral. We'd get a closed cycle in which the atmosphere was
 just a temporary reservoir for the materials needed to make the fuel.
 Presumably we'd eventually be able to extract CO2 at a rate that even
 reduced the amount of GHGs in the air.


 That's essentially what the research on hydrocarbon producing algae and
 bacteris is trying to do.

 Well, that's good. I wonder if there is any more efficient way of doing it
(or do we have to wait for nanomachines which can grab passing molecules
and stick them together?)

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/25/2014 2:52 PM, LizR wrote:
On 26 February 2014 11:18, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net mailto:meeke...@verizon.net 
wrote:


On 2/25/2014 1:23 PM, LizR wrote:

The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new 
components
(i.e. different types of generators - nuclear etc) and everything 
continues to
work the same way downstream.

This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and 
making
petrol, if possible. No change is required to the energy 
infrastructure, as
there would be with say hydrogen or electric cars, but it's carbon 
neutral. We'd
get a closed cycle in which the atmosphere was just a temporary 
reservoir for
the materials needed to make the fuel. Presumably we'd eventually be 
able to
extract CO2 at a rate that even reduced the amount of GHGs in the air.


That's essentially what the research on hydrocarbon producing algae and 
bacteris is
trying to do.

Well, that's good. I wonder if there is any more efficient way of doing it (or do we 
have to wait for nanomachines which can grab passing molecules and stick them together?)


Dunno, but nano-machines are what algae and bacteria are - and self manufacturing to 
boot.  So I'd try for some genetic engineering to improve their efficiency, rather than 
trying to make nanobots from scratch.


Brent

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
On 26 February 2014 12:05, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 2/25/2014 2:52 PM, LizR wrote:

  On 26 February 2014 11:18, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 On 2/25/2014 1:23 PM, LizR wrote:

 The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new
 components (i.e. different types of generators - nuclear etc) and
 everything continues to work the same way downstream.

 This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and
 making petrol, if possible. No change is required to the energy
 infrastructure, as there would be with say hydrogen or electric cars, but
 it's carbon neutral. We'd get a closed cycle in which the atmosphere was
 just a temporary reservoir for the materials needed to make the fuel.
 Presumably we'd eventually be able to extract CO2 at a rate that even
 reduced the amount of GHGs in the air.


  That's essentially what the research on hydrocarbon producing algae and
 bacteris is trying to do.

   Well, that's good. I wonder if there is any more efficient way of
 doing it (or do we have to wait for nanomachines which can grab passing
 molecules and stick them together?)

  Dunno, but nano-machines are what algae and bacteria are - and self
 manufacturing to boot.  So I'd try for some genetic engineering to improve
 their efficiency, rather than trying to make nanobots from scratch.


Yes.

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread spudboy100

Its only a pipe dream if it doesn't work. Its all lies and exaggeration if a 
technology if it does not. For decades, people all over the world have worked 
on energy systems to replace the dirty sources that we have trouble with, 
regarding air and water contamination. Many progressive billionaires and their 
kept politicians have promoted solar, but it cannot yet power a single city on 
Earth. I am not saying this is impossible, but the means of affordably making 
and storing electricity, is not enough to power, say, even one quarter of 
Auckland, for example. There are always articles on technical improvements, and 
I totally support all RD, but if we cannot supply large cities with 
electricity on a 7 x 24 x 365 basis, and until solar can, its a crock. The 
problem is the progressives world wide, as an ideology, want solar to be the 
source-whether it supplies power of not. This, is a totalitarian quality, and 
as such, is civilizational threatening. 

One thing, possibly worth considering, are reactors based on Canadian Slowpoke 
reactors, used for basic research. They supply small amounts of kilowatts, so 
we'd need lots of them, and what the money cost would be is unknown by ignorant 
me. I do know that these are fail safe in operation. I don't know if they can 
be used as a target for terrorists, teenagers, criminals, etc. What I have seen 
is that they could be buried in steel reinforced concrete, and made 
inaccessible. Would this make it all too expensive? Possibly.  If solar can't 
and uranium or thorium should not be for safety issues, then where else can we 
turn? Certainly shale gas, and possibly methane hydrates, which exist in 
amounts, should we dare go after it, would be enough energy to supply our 
species for 2000-1 years. There is the methane release issue involved with 
this. 

My sense of things is that it is not AGW we should fear, or it's dishonest, 
descendent, Climate Change, but our true enemies,  pollution, and energy 
starvation. Think, the 80's Road Warrior scenario. Easier to watch then to 
live, I reckon.

-Original Message-
From: LizR lizj...@gmail.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tue, Feb 25, 2014 4:23 pm
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating



The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new components 
(i.e. different types of generators - nuclear etc) and everything continues to 
work the same way downstream.


This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and making 
petrol, if possible. No change is required to the energy infrastructure, as 
there would be with say hydrogen or electric cars, but it's carbon neutral. 
We'd get a closed cycle in which the atmosphere was just a temporary reservoir 
for the materials needed to make the fuel. Presumably we'd eventually be able 
to extract CO2 at a rate that even reduced the amount of GHGs in the air.


All a pipe dream no doubt.





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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/25/2014 4:15 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:
Its only a pipe dream if it doesn't work. Its all lies and exaggeration if a technology 
if it does not. For decades, people all over the world have worked on energy systems to 
replace the dirty sources that we have trouble with, regarding air and water 
contamination. Many progressive billionaires and their kept politicians have promoted 
solar, but it cannot yet power a single city on Earth. I am not saying this is 
impossible, but the means of affordably making and storing electricity, is not enough to 
power, say, even one quarter of Auckland, for example. There are always articles on 
technical improvements, and I totally support all RD, but if we cannot supply large 
cities with electricity on a 7 x 24 x 365 basis, and until solar can, its a crock. The 
problem is the progressives world wide, as an ideology, want solar to be the 
source-whether it supplies power of not. This, is a totalitarian quality, and as such, 
is civilizational threatening.


Let's review that: Since solar power (doesn't that include hydroelectric?) can't provide 
24/7/365 power to a major city - it's worthless and we should just keep subsidizing the 
fossil fuel industry (including using the military as necessary) while they endanger the 
future of civilization; because actually trying to provide sustainable energy is an evil 
plot by unnamed progressive billionaires.


It is to laugh...or cry.

Brent

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RE: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread chris peck
Hi Liz

 In the MWI you do see spin up every time! ,,, if the definition of you has 
 been changed to accommodate the fact that you've split. 

Well what definition of 'you' do you suggest we use? What is your criterion for 
identity over time?

With regards to Bruno's steps, at this point I actually don't feel I need a 
criterion myself. What I have instead is the yes-doctor assumption. In other 
words, whatever criterion is adopted it must satisfy the condition that 
whenever I am copied, destroyed and reconstructed somewhere else, the 
reconstruction IS me. Otherwise, unless suicidal, I would never say yes to the 
doctor.

This is why I used to argue Bruno was hoisted by his own petard because its his 
yes-doctor assumption that forces me to 'accommodate the fact that Ive split'.

All the best

Chris.


 From: marc...@ulb.ac.be
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2014 19:21:00 +0100
 
 
 On 25 Feb 2014, at 18:35, John Clark wrote:
 
 
 
   provide the algorithm of prediction.
 
  Why? What does that have to do with the price of eggs? FPI is about  
  the feeling of self and prediction has nothing to do with it.
 
 FPI = first person indeterminacy of result of experience having two  
 outcome due to digital self-duplication.
 
 
 
 
   W  M has been refuted.
 
  You said that we have to interview all copies and I agree. After  
  the interviews this is what we find:
 
  W has not refuted it.
  M has not refuted it.
  W  M have confirmed it.
 
 In the 3-1 views.
 
 
 
 
 
   You miss this only by confusing the 3-1 view and the 1-view,
 
  Who's the 1-view?
 
 Each of them.
 
 Bruno
 
 
 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/
 
 
 
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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
On 26 February 2014 15:16, chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com wrote:

 Hi Liz

 * In the MWI you do see spin up every time! ,,, if the definition of
 you has been changed to accommodate the fact that you've split. *

 Well what definition of 'you' do you suggest we use? What is your
 criterion for identity over time?


Assuming comp it appears to be the state(s) that could follow on from your
current brain state via whatever transitions rules are allowed by - I
assume - logical necessity. Perhaps Bruno can explain.


 With regards to Bruno's steps, at this point I actually don't feel I need
 a criterion myself. What I have instead is the yes-doctor assumption. In
 other words, whatever criterion is adopted it must satisfy the condition
 that whenever I am copied, destroyed and reconstructed somewhere else, the
 reconstruction IS me. Otherwise, unless suicidal, I would never say yes to
 the doctor.

 This is why I used to argue Bruno was hoist by his own petard because its
 his yes-doctor assumption that forces me to 'accommodate the fact that Ive
 split'.

 Indeed. I have mentioned at times that if you accept Yes Doctor the rest
of comp follows. Which I realise isn't quite true, but that's the big leap.

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
Every time someone says we should worry about climate change or look for
renewable sources of power, people start saying it's a plot by greenies to
rule the world.

Psychologists tell us that people tend to project their own motives onto
others...

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RE: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread chris peck
Hi Liz

Assuming comp it appears to be the state(s) that could 
follow on from your current brain state via whatever transitions rules 
are allowed by - I assume - logical necessity. Perhaps Bruno can 
explain.

let me ask a more round about question:

you say that we see spin up every time 'if the definition of you has been 
changed to accommodate the fact that you've split'

Changed from which definition?

All the best

Chris.

Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 15:31:01 +1300
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
From: lizj...@gmail.com
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com

On 26 February 2014 15:16, chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com wrote:




Hi Liz
 In the MWI you do see spin up every time! ,,, if the definition of you has 
 been changed to accommodate the fact that you've split. 


Well what definition of 'you' do you suggest we use? What is your criterion for 
identity over time?

Assuming comp it appears to be the state(s) that could follow on from your 
current brain state via whatever transitions rules are allowed by - I assume - 
logical necessity. Perhaps Bruno can explain.


With regards to Bruno's steps, at this point I actually don't feel I need a 
criterion myself. What I have instead is the yes-doctor assumption. In other 
words, whatever criterion is adopted it must satisfy the condition that 
whenever I am copied, destroyed and reconstructed somewhere else, the 
reconstruction IS me. Otherwise, unless suicidal, I would never say yes to the 
doctor.


This is why I used to argue Bruno was hoist by his own petard because its his 
yes-doctor assumption that forces me to 'accommodate the fact that Ive split'.

Indeed. I have mentioned at times that if you accept Yes Doctor the rest of 
comp follows. Which I realise isn't quite true, but that's the big leap.






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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
On 26 February 2014 15:53, chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com wrote:

 Hi Liz

 *Assuming comp it appears to be the state(s) that could follow on from
 your current brain state via whatever transitions rules are allowed by - I
 assume - logical necessity. Perhaps Bruno can explain.*

 let me ask a more round about question:

 you say that we see spin up every time 'if the definition of you has
 been changed to accommodate the fact that you've split'

 Changed from which definition?


I meant changed from our everyday definition, in which we normally assume
there is only one you, which is (or is at least associated with) your
physical structure. Which we generally assume exists in one universe.

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
Hydro IS solar. How do you think the water gets up those hills and into the
lakes?!

Governments having subsidised and otherwise helped out fossil fuels and
nuclear for years, I believe, a level playing field would be to subsidise
solar to the same extent they've been subsidised so far.


On 26 February 2014 16:18, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

 Point taken. But I know that the progressive billionaires do advocate
 switching off our current dirty, in exchange for promises of clean.
 Promises, only, that is. Hydroelectric, isn't really solar, its gravity, so
 we can call it gravity power. We should never subsidize nuclear, fossil
 fuels, or solar, because they should stand or fall on their own. Its not
 the politics of it, its the physics of it. Right now people are not using
 solar as a primary source of electricity because they cannot, even though a
 majority would love to have it. It doesn't provide enough and it cannot do
 7 x 24. Nuclear has proven a disaster, the way its conceived, hence my
 urging to switch to Canadian Slowpoke reactors. But lets face it, it will
 likely never happen. Shale gas has become the default power as a result of
 no other alternatives. What do you suggest and how much time do we have to
 replace the dirty and old, since, I take you support AGW? So, what do we do?
  -Original Message-
 From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
 To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
 Sent: Tue, Feb 25, 2014 7:29 pm
 Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

  On 2/25/2014 4:15 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

 Its only a pipe dream if it doesn't work. Its all lies and exaggeration if
 a technology if it does not. For decades, people all over the world have
 worked on energy systems to replace the dirty sources that we have
 trouble with, regarding air and water contamination. Many progressive
 billionaires and their kept politicians have promoted solar, but it cannot
 yet power a single city on Earth. I am not saying this is impossible, but
 the means of affordably making and storing electricity, is not enough to
 power, say, even one quarter of Auckland, for example. There are always
 articles on technical improvements, and I totally support all RD, but if
 we cannot supply large cities with electricity on a 7 x 24 x 365 basis, and
 until solar can, its a crock. The problem is the progressives world wide,
 as an ideology, want solar to be the source-whether it supplies power of
 not. This, is a totalitarian quality, and as such, is civilizational
 threatening.


 Let's review that: Since solar power (doesn't that include hydroelectric?)
 can't provide 24/7/365 power to a major city - it's worthless and we should
 just keep subsidizing the fossil fuel industry (including using the
 military as necessary) while they endanger the future of civilization;
 because actually trying to provide sustainable energy is an evil plot by
 unnamed progressive billionaires.

 It is to laugh...or cry.

 Brent
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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread meekerdb

On 2/25/2014 7:18 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:
Point taken. But I know that the progressive billionaires do advocate switching off our 
current dirty, in exchange for promises of clean. Promises, only, that is. 
Hydroelectric, isn't really solar, its gravity, so we can call it gravity power.


How do you think the water gets up above sea level?

We should never subsidize nuclear, fossil fuels, or solar, because they should stand or 
fall on their own.


So how will they be charged for the external costs they impose?


Its not the politics of it, its the physics of it. Right now people are not using solar 
as a primary source of electricity because they cannot, even though a majority would 
love to have it. It doesn't provide enough and it cannot do 7 x 24. Nuclear has proven a 
disaster, the way its conceived,


Didn't you read John Clark's post on the relative deaths per year due to coal fired power 
plants vs nuclear plants?  And he didn't even note that we've never had a fatality due to 
any of those nuclear powerplants used by the Navy and NASA (although the Russians have).


hence my urging to switch to Canadian Slowpoke reactors. But lets face it, it will 
likely never happen. Shale gas has become the default power as a result of no other 
alternatives. What do you suggest and how much time do we have to replace the dirty and 
old, since, I take you support AGW? So, what do we do?


It's clear what to do.  We continue to conserve power, convert to sustainable power, and 
replace coal fired plants with nuclear as fast as possible while continuing research on 
all promising power sources.  The problem is how to get this done.  It's scope obviously 
requires government level leadership and organization, but YOU exemplify the obstruction 
to that with your Ayn Rand fear of government and dogmatic faith in 'free markets'.


Brent

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Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
On 26 February 2014 16:31, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 It's scope obviously requires government level leadership and
 organization, but YOU exemplify the obstruction to that with your Ayn Rand
 fear of government and dogmatic faith in 'free markets'.

 This is SO similar to a friend of mine ... Ayn Rand and free markets!
could be her battle cry.

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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal
Chris, I wait your answer to my post. The one I re-explained and ask  
what is wrong above. Please use the 1-p distinction, which is the  
key precision to get things right (which is why Clark systematically  
forget it to refute step 3).


Bruno


On 26 Feb 2014, at 03:16, chris peck wrote:


Hi Liz

 In the MWI you do see spin up every time! ,,, if the definition  
of you has been changed to accommodate the fact that you've split.


Well what definition of 'you' do you suggest we use? What is your  
criterion for identity over time?


With regards to Bruno's steps, at this point I actually don't feel I  
need a criterion myself. What I have instead is the yes-doctor  
assumption. In other words, whatever criterion is adopted it must  
satisfy the condition that whenever I am copied, destroyed and  
reconstructed somewhere else, the reconstruction IS me. Otherwise,  
unless suicidal, I would never say yes to the doctor.


This is why I used to argue Bruno was hoisted by his own petard  
because its his yes-doctor assumption that forces me to 'accommodate  
the fact that Ive split'.


All the best

Chris.


 From: marc...@ulb.ac.be
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2014 19:21:00 +0100


 On 25 Feb 2014, at 18:35, John Clark wrote:

 
 
   provide the algorithm of prediction.
 
  Why? What does that have to do with the price of eggs? FPI is  
about

  the feeling of self and prediction has nothing to do with it.

 FPI = first person indeterminacy of result of experience having two
 outcome due to digital self-duplication.



 
   W  M has been refuted.
 
  You said that we have to interview all copies and I agree. After
  the interviews this is what we find:
 
  W has not refuted it.
  M has not refuted it.
  W  M have confirmed it.

 In the 3-1 views.




 
   You miss this only by confusing the 3-1 view and the 1-view,
 
  Who's the 1-view?

 Each of them.

 Bruno


 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 25 Feb 2014, at 07:31, Quentin Anciaux wrote:

Greaves rejects subjective uncertainty. With respect to spin up and  
spin down pay special attention to the point in section 4.1 where,  
in discussion of a thought experiment formally identical to Bruno's  
step 3, he argues:


What ... should Alice expect to see? Here I invoke the following  
premise: whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with  
certainty!) to see. So, she should (with certainty) expect to see  
spin-up, and she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-down.


That's nonsense, and contrary to observed fact.



Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views. She should have  
said:



 whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with  
certainty!) to see SOMETHING definite. And in the 1p it is obvious  
she will never see both outcome.


Bruno

http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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RE: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread Chris de Morsella
There is a whole sector of biofuels devoted to various interesting
microorganisms -- some that have also been genetically engineered - to
harness them in order to produce chemicals, including fuels and important
pre-curser chemicals (Butanol being one) 

 

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24085385

Microalgae are another group of photosynthetic autotroph of interest due to
their superior growth rates, relatively high photosynthetic conversion
efficiencies, and vast metabolic capabilities. Heterotrophic microorganisms,
such as yeast and bacteria, can utilize carbohydrates from lignocellulosic
biomass directly or after pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis to produce
liquid biofuels such as ethanol and butanol. Although finding a suitable
organism for biofuel production is not easy, many naturally occurring
organisms with good traits have recently been obtained.

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of LizR
Sent: Tuesday, February 25, 2014 3:22 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

 

On 26 February 2014 12:05, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 2/25/2014 2:52 PM, LizR wrote:

On 26 February 2014 11:18, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 2/25/2014 1:23 PM, LizR wrote:

The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new components
(i.e. different types of generators - nuclear etc) and everything continues
to work the same way downstream.

This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and making
petrol, if possible. No change is required to the energy infrastructure, as
there would be with say hydrogen or electric cars, but it's carbon neutral.
We'd get a closed cycle in which the atmosphere was just a temporary
reservoir for the materials needed to make the fuel. Presumably we'd
eventually be able to extract CO2 at a rate that even reduced the amount of
GHGs in the air.

 

That's essentially what the research on hydrocarbon producing algae and
bacteris is trying to do. 

 

Well, that's good. I wonder if there is any more efficient way of doing it
(or do we have to wait for nanomachines which can grab passing molecules and
stick them together?)

Dunno, but nano-machines are what algae and bacteria are - and self
manufacturing to boot.  So I'd try for some genetic engineering to improve
their efficiency, rather than trying to make nanobots from scratch.

 

Yes.

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RE: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread Chris de Morsella
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of 

 

 Its only a pipe dream if it doesn't work. Its all lies and exaggeration
if a technology if it does not. For decades, people all over the world have
worked on energy systems to replace the dirty sources that we have trouble
with, regarding air and water contamination. Many progressive billionaires
and their kept politicians have promoted solar, but it cannot yet power a
single city on Earth. I am not saying this is impossible, but the means of
affordably making and storing electricity, is not enough to power, say, even
one quarter of Auckland, for example. There are always articles on technical
improvements, and I totally support all RD, but if we cannot supply large
cities with electricity on a 7 x 24 x 365 basis, and until solar can, its a
crock. The problem is the progressives world wide, as an ideology, want
solar to be the source-whether it supplies power of not. This, is a
totalitarian quality, and as such, is civilizational threatening. 

 

I suppose that depends on your definition of work well now doesn't it. Solar
PV cells produce electricity from light. In what way do they not work? They
work as advertised. I notice you put dirty [electricity energy sources] in
quotes. pretty funny - you were joking right? Or did you buy into the myth
of clean coal? 

The global installed capacity for solar PV is growing at breakneck speeds -
regardless of what you may believe. Cumulative global installed capacity of
solar PV reached roughly 65 gigawatts at the end of 2011; newly added solar
PV capacity for this year alone is forecast to be between 40 and 45 GW of
new extra added capacity to the already installed base. Cumulative global
installed photovoltaic capacities have doubled every two years on average
since 2004.

The prices for PV keeps coming down as well; in fact it has dropped an
amazing 99% in the past quarter century. The price for installed power
systems is also rapidly falling; it fell by a range of 6 to 14 percent, or
$0.30 per watt to $0.90 per watt, from 2011 to 2012 according to the sixth
edition of Tracking the Sun, an annual PV cost-tracking report published
this week by the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory.

I am going to go out on a limb here and point out that the facts pretty much
demonstrate that you do not know what you are talking about.

Chris

 

One thing, possibly worth considering, are reactors based on Canadian
Slowpoke reactors, used for basic research. They supply small amounts of
kilowatts, so we'd need lots of them, and what the money cost would be is
unknown by ignorant me. I do know that these are fail safe in operation. I
don't know if they can be used as a target for terrorists, teenagers,
criminals, etc. What I have seen is that they could be buried in steel
reinforced concrete, and made inaccessible. Would this make it all too
expensive? Possibly.  If solar can't and uranium or thorium should not be
for safety issues, then where else can we turn? Certainly shale gas, and
possibly methane hydrates, which exist in amounts, should we dare go after
it, would be enough energy to supply our species for 2000-1 years. There
is the methane release issue involved with this. 

 

My sense of things is that it is not AGW we should fear, or it's dishonest,
descendent, Climate Change, but our true enemies,  pollution, and energy
starvation. Think, the 80's Road Warrior scenario. Easier to watch then to
live, I reckon.

-Original Message-
From: LizR lizj...@gmail.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tue, Feb 25, 2014 4:23 pm
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

The great thing about using an energy grid is you can plug in new components
(i.e. different types of generators - nuclear etc) and everything continues
to work the same way downstream.

This is why I'm keen on the idea of extracting CO2 from the air and making
petrol, if possible. No change is required to the energy infrastructure, as
there would be with say hydrogen or electric cars, but it's carbon neutral.
We'd get a closed cycle in which the atmosphere was just a temporary
reservoir for the materials needed to make the fuel. Presumably we'd
eventually be able to extract CO2 at a rate that even reduced the amount of
GHGs in the air.

All a pipe dream no doubt.

 

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RE: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread Chris de Morsella
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Tuesday, February 25, 2014 7:19 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

 

Point taken. But I know that the progressive billionaires do advocate
switching off our current dirty, in exchange for promises of clean.
Promises, only, that is. Hydroelectric, isn't really solar, its gravity, so
we can call it gravity power. We should never subsidize nuclear, fossil
fuels, or solar, because they should stand or fall on their own. Its not the
politics of it, its the physics of it. Right now people are not using solar
as a primary source of electricity because they cannot, even though a
majority would love to have it. It doesn't provide enough and it cannot do 7
x 24. Nuclear has proven a disaster, the way its conceived, hence my urging
to switch to Canadian Slowpoke reactors. But lets face it, it will likely
never happen. Shale gas has become the default power as a result of no other
alternatives. What do you suggest and how much time do we have to replace
the dirty and old, since, I take you support AGW? So, what do we do?

 

The shale gas and oil (kerogen) plays in the Eagle-Ford, Bakken,  Marcelus
formations (to name the big American plays) is definitely a boom for the
drillers who are getting rich off all that sucker money pouring into this
sector.. It has also been a huge PR win for the Gas sector with people
believing that it will provide energy for a long time.. Smile. For those,
instead, who play close attention to the rates of depletion and the return
on Capex (capital expenditure) it is proving to be a monumental bust.
Depletion rates in fracked fields are much higher and the onset of depletion
is much faster than it is for traditional non-fracked gas (and oil)
deposits. Already the Eagle-Ford is showing abundant evidence of this - for
those who look beyond the glossy - happy face -- PR spin put out by the
sector, and the earlier Bakken formation wells are also following on the
same depletion curves. As soon as the breakneck pace of drilling slows the
house of cards is going to fall as reality can no longer be swept under the
rug by huge numbers of new wells coming online.

Did you know that energy now accounts for fully one third of all global
capital spending - the lion's share of it for gas  oil. The global
technology sector by comparison accounts for 7% --
http://www.businessinsider.com/capex-spending-by-industry-2014-2

Chris

 

-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tue, Feb 25, 2014 7:29 pm
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

On 2/25/2014 4:15 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Its only a pipe dream if it doesn't work. Its all lies and exaggeration if a
technology if it does not. For decades, people all over the world have
worked on energy systems to replace the dirty sources that we have trouble
with, regarding air and water contamination. Many progressive billionaires
and their kept politicians have promoted solar, but it cannot yet power a
single city on Earth. I am not saying this is impossible, but the means of
affordably making and storing electricity, is not enough to power, say, even
one quarter of Auckland, for example. There are always articles on technical
improvements, and I totally support all RD, but if we cannot supply large
cities with electricity on a 7 x 24 x 365 basis, and until solar can, its a
crock. The problem is the progressives world wide, as an ideology, want
solar to be the source-whether it supplies power of not. This, is a
totalitarian quality, and as such, is civilizational threatening. 


Let's review that: Since solar power (doesn't that include hydroelectric?)
can't provide 24/7/365 power to a major city - it's worthless and we should
just keep subsidizing the fossil fuel industry (including using the military
as necessary) while they endanger the future of civilization; because
actually trying to provide sustainable energy is an evil plot by unnamed
progressive billionaires.

It is to laugh...or cry.

Brent

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RE: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

2014-02-25 Thread Chris de Morsella
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of LizR
Sent: Tuesday, February 25, 2014 7:23 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

 

Hydro IS solar. How do you think the water gets up those hills and into the
lakes?!

It must be by anti-gravity.

Governments having subsidised and otherwise helped out fossil fuels and
nuclear for years, I believe, a level playing field would be to subsidise
solar to the same extent they've been subsidised so far.

 

As I pointed out earlier - nuclear power just got a huge $8.3 billion doll
out of new public assistance - a figure that dwarfs any assistance to solar
and wind put together. In a truly level playing field the world would be
seeing a lot more PV a lot more quickly.

 

On 26 February 2014 16:18, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Point taken. But I know that the progressive billionaires do advocate
switching off our current dirty, in exchange for promises of clean.
Promises, only, that is. Hydroelectric, isn't really solar, its gravity, so
we can call it gravity power. We should never subsidize nuclear, fossil
fuels, or solar, because they should stand or fall on their own. Its not the
politics of it, its the physics of it. Right now people are not using solar
as a primary source of electricity because they cannot, even though a
majority would love to have it. It doesn't provide enough and it cannot do 7
x 24. Nuclear has proven a disaster, the way its conceived, hence my urging
to switch to Canadian Slowpoke reactors. But lets face it, it will likely
never happen. Shale gas has become the default power as a result of no other
alternatives. What do you suggest and how much time do we have to replace
the dirty and old, since, I take you support AGW? So, what do we do?

-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com

Sent: Tue, Feb 25, 2014 7:29 pm
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating

On 2/25/2014 4:15 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Its only a pipe dream if it doesn't work. Its all lies and exaggeration if a
technology if it does not. For decades, people all over the world have
worked on energy systems to replace the dirty sources that we have trouble
with, regarding air and water contamination. Many progressive billionaires
and their kept politicians have promoted solar, but it cannot yet power a
single city on Earth. I am not saying this is impossible, but the means of
affordably making and storing electricity, is not enough to power, say, even
one quarter of Auckland, for example. There are always articles on technical
improvements, and I totally support all RD, but if we cannot supply large
cities with electricity on a 7 x 24 x 365 basis, and until solar can, its a
crock. The problem is the progressives world wide, as an ideology, want
solar to be the source-whether it supplies power of not. This, is a
totalitarian quality, and as such, is civilizational threatening. 


Let's review that: Since solar power (doesn't that include hydroelectric?)
can't provide 24/7/365 power to a major city - it's worthless and we should
just keep subsidizing the fossil fuel industry (including using the military
as necessary) while they endanger the future of civilization; because
actually trying to provide sustainable energy is an evil plot by unnamed
progressive billionaires.

It is to laugh...or cry.

Brent

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RE: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread chris peck
Hi Bruno

 Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views.

There is no such confusion. I haven't seen anyone confusing these.

She should have said: whatever she knows she will see, she should expect 
(with certainty!) to see SOMETHING definite. 

But, If she had of said that you'd both be wrong! 

 And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both outcome.

You need to stop confusing what is seen with what can be expected to be seen. I 
think that's the source of many of your mistakes. She can expect to see each 
outcome without being committed to the view that either future self sees both. 
All that 1p,3p,3-1p,1-3p stuff is a rubbishy smoke screen to divert attention 
from the simple error you make here, isn't it?

All the best

Chris.

From: marc...@ulb.ac.be
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 05:26:02 +0100


On 25 Feb 2014, at 07:31, Quentin Anciaux wrote:Greaves rejects subjective 
uncertainty. With respect to spin up and spin down pay special attention to the 
point in section 4.1 where, in discussion of a thought experiment formally 
identical to Bruno's step 3, he argues:

What ... should Alice expect to see? Here I invoke the following premise: 
whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with certainty!) to see. 
So, she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-up, and she should (with 
certainty) expect to see spin-down.
That's nonsense, and contrary to observed fact. 

Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views. She should have said:

 whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with certainty!) to see 
SOMETHING definite. And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both 
outcome.
Bruno
 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/ 





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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Quentin Anciaux
2014-02-26 7:21 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:

 Hi Bruno


  Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views.

 There is no such confusion. I haven't seen anyone confusing these.


 She should have said: whatever she knows she will see, she should
 expect (with certainty!) to see SOMETHING definite.

 But, If she had of said that you'd both be wrong!

  And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both outcome.

 You need to stop confusing what is seen with what can be expected to be
 seen. I think that's the source of many of your mistakes. She can expect to
 see each outcome without being committed to the view that either future
 self sees both. All that 1p,3p,3-1p,1-3p stuff is a rubbishy smoke screen
 to divert attention from the simple error you make here, isn't it?


She can make a probabilistic prediction as you can make in MWI... you're
the one wanting to say probability are wrong, but only the interpretation
of what is probability change in MWI (and duplication settings)... not the
prediction... if you say it is totally useless, then you're ready to make a
bet with me (as everything for your has equal probability of happening...)

Quentin


 All the best

 Chris.

 --
 From: marc...@ulb.ac.be
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com

 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 05:26:02 +0100



 On 25 Feb 2014, at 07:31, Quentin Anciaux wrote:

 Greaves rejects subjective uncertainty. With respect to spin up and spin
 down pay special attention to the point in section 4.1 where, in discussion
 of a thought experiment formally identical to Bruno's step 3, he argues:

 *What ... should Alice expect to see? Here I invoke the following
 premise: whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with
 certainty!) to see. So, she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-up,
 and she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-down.*

 That's nonsense, and contrary to observed fact.



 Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views. She should have
 said:


  whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with certainty!) to
 see SOMETHING definite. And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see
 both outcome.

 Bruno

 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/




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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Quentin Anciaux
2014-02-26 7:28 GMT+01:00 Quentin Anciaux allco...@gmail.com:




 2014-02-26 7:21 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:

  Hi Bruno


  Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views.

 There is no such confusion. I haven't seen anyone confusing these.


 She should have said: whatever she knows she will see, she should
 expect (with certainty!) to see SOMETHING definite.

 But, If she had of said that you'd both be wrong!

  And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both outcome.

 You need to stop confusing what is seen with what can be expected to be
 seen. I think that's the source of many of your mistakes. She can expect to
 see each outcome without being committed to the view that either future
 self sees both. All that 1p,3p,3-1p,1-3p stuff is a rubbishy smoke screen
 to divert attention from the simple error you make here, isn't it?


And so your error come from the no probability smoke screen you use  as
defense... Don't say Deutsch follows you, he accept probabilistic
prediction,  he even explains at length how a rational agent in MWI would
follow the probabilistic distribution when making a choice.

Quentin


 She can make a probabilistic prediction as you can make in MWI... you're
 the one wanting to say probability are wrong, but only the interpretation
 of what is probability change in MWI (and duplication settings)... not the
 prediction... if you say it is totally useless, then you're ready to make a
 bet with me (as everything for your has equal probability of happening...)

 Quentin


 All the best

 Chris.

 --
 From: marc...@ulb.ac.be
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com

 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 05:26:02 +0100



 On 25 Feb 2014, at 07:31, Quentin Anciaux wrote:

 Greaves rejects subjective uncertainty. With respect to spin up and spin
 down pay special attention to the point in section 4.1 where, in discussion
 of a thought experiment formally identical to Bruno's step 3, he argues:

 *What ... should Alice expect to see? Here I invoke the following
 premise: whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with
 certainty!) to see. So, she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-up,
 and she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-down.*

 That's nonsense, and contrary to observed fact.



 Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views. She should have
 said:


  whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with certainty!) to
 see SOMETHING definite. And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see
 both outcome.

 Bruno

 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/




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 Batty/Rutger Hauer)




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RE: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread chris peck
Hi Liz

 I meant changed from our everyday definition, in which we normally assume 
 there is only one you, which is (or is at least associated with) your 
 physical structure. Which we generally assume exists in one universe.

We lose that definition just by stepping into the realm of MWI don't we? Its 
not as if we can have use of it in MWI until we want to argue that we will 
always see 'spin up'. 

MWI forces upon us either the complete abandonment of any notion of personal 
identity over time, or the equal distribution of it through all the branches in 
which 'we' appear.

All the best

Chris.

From: allco...@gmail.com
Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 07:28:53 +0100
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com




2014-02-26 7:21 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:





Hi Bruno

 Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views.

There is no such confusion. I haven't seen anyone confusing these.

She should have said: whatever she knows she will see, she should expect 
(with certainty!) to see SOMETHING definite. 



But, If she had of said that you'd both be wrong! 

 And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both outcome.

You need to stop confusing what is seen with what can be expected to be seen. I 
think that's the source of many of your mistakes. She can expect to see each 
outcome without being committed to the view that either future self sees both. 
All that 1p,3p,3-1p,1-3p stuff is a rubbishy smoke screen to divert attention 
from the simple error you make here, isn't it?



She can make a probabilistic prediction as you can make in MWI... you're the 
one wanting to say probability are wrong, but only the interpretation of what 
is probability change in MWI (and duplication settings)... not the 
prediction... if you say it is totally useless, then you're ready to make a bet 
with me (as everything for your has equal probability of happening...)


Quentin
All the best

Chris.

From: marc...@ulb.ac.be


To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 05:26:02 +0100




On 25 Feb 2014, at 07:31, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


Greaves rejects subjective uncertainty. With respect to spin up and spin down 
pay special attention to the point in section 4.1 where, in discussion of a 
thought experiment formally identical to Bruno's step 3, he argues:



What ... should Alice expect to see? Here I invoke the following premise: 
whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with certainty!) to see. 
So, she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-up, and she should (with 
certainty) expect to see spin-down.


That's nonsense, and contrary to observed fact. 

Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views. She should have said:



 whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with certainty!) to see 
SOMETHING definite. And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both 
outcome.


Bruno
 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



 





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Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread Quentin Anciaux
2014-02-26 7:31 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:

 Hi Liz


 * I meant changed from our everyday definition, in which we normally
 assume there is only one you, which is (or is at least associated with)
 your physical structure. Which we generally assume exists in one universe.*

 We lose that definition just by stepping into the realm of MWI don't we?
 Its not as if we can have use of it in MWI until we want to argue that we
 will always see 'spin up'.

 MWI forces upon us either the complete abandonment of any notion of
 personal identity over time, or the equal distribution of it through all
 the branches in which 'we' appear.


That's where your wrong... that would mean all branches have equal measure,
where it must not, if MWI must be in accordance with QM.

http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/qm-manyworlds/#PRPO



 All the best

 Chris.

 --
 From: allco...@gmail.com
 Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 07:28:53 +0100

 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com





 2014-02-26 7:21 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:

 Hi Bruno


  Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views.

 There is no such confusion. I haven't seen anyone confusing these.


 She should have said: whatever she knows she will see, she should
 expect (with certainty!) to see SOMETHING definite.

 But, If she had of said that you'd both be wrong!

  And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both outcome.

 You need to stop confusing what is seen with what can be expected to be
 seen. I think that's the source of many of your mistakes. She can expect to
 see each outcome without being committed to the view that either future
 self sees both. All that 1p,3p,3-1p,1-3p stuff is a rubbishy smoke screen
 to divert attention from the simple error you make here, isn't it?


 She can make a probabilistic prediction as you can make in MWI... you're
 the one wanting to say probability are wrong, but only the interpretation
 of what is probability change in MWI (and duplication settings)... not the
 prediction... if you say it is totally useless, then you're ready to make a
 bet with me (as everything for your has equal probability of happening...)

 Quentin


 All the best

 Chris.

 --
 From: marc...@ulb.ac.be
 To: everything-list@googlegroups.com

 Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
 Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 05:26:02 +0100



 On 25 Feb 2014, at 07:31, Quentin Anciaux wrote:

 Greaves rejects subjective uncertainty. With respect to spin up and spin
 down pay special attention to the point in section 4.1 where, in discussion
 of a thought experiment formally identical to Bruno's step 3, he argues:

 *What ... should Alice expect to see? Here I invoke the following
 premise: whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with
 certainty!) to see. So, she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-up,
 and she should (with certainty) expect to see spin-down.*

 That's nonsense, and contrary to observed fact.



 Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views. She should have
 said:


  whatever she knows she will see, she should expect (with certainty!) to
 see SOMETHING definite. And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see
 both outcome.

 Bruno

 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/




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 --
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 Batty/Rutger Hauer)

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RE: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread chris peck
Hi Bruno

 Of course, and my point is that comp aggravates that problem, as only 
 extends the indterminacy from a wave to arithmetic.

Personally, I don't think it makes a difference what the underlying substrata 
of reality consists of, be it sums or some fundamental 'matter-esq' substance. 
What causes the problem is just the fact that in any TofE all outcomes are 
catered for. In such a theory genuine probabilities just vanish and subjective 
uncertainty can only exist as an epistemic measure.

In versions of MWI it can exist when a person is unable to locate himself in a 
particular branch. ie. in earlier versions of Deutsch where infinite numbers of 
universes run in parallel one might not know whether one is in a spin up or 
spin down universe. Or in your step 3, subjective uncertainty can exist after 
duplication but before opening the door. These people are unable to locate and 
that lack of knowledge translates into subjective uncertainty. They can assign 
a probability value between 0 and 1 to possible outcomes.

But crucially, where all relevant facts are known, the only values available 
must be 1 or 0. That just follows from the fact that all outcomes are catered 
for. And it seems to me that H guy in step 3 has all these relevent facts.

So, whilst the duplicates before opening the door would assign 0.5 to M or W, 
prior to duplication H guy would assign 1. 

This is why I have accused you in the past of smuggling probabilities in from 
the future which strikes me as very fishy.


 OK, I appreciate the work, but they don't address the mind-body problem. 
 Still less the computationalist form of that problem. But they get the 
 closer view of the physical possible with respect to both comp, and the 
 mathematical theory (comp+Theaetetus).

Im not arguing that these people have a complete or even coherent theory. My 
guess is that they don't, I mean who does? It seems like everyone but me thinks 
they are in direct contact with the one and only truth, but its all just 
hubris. It might well be the case that your theory fairs better than theirs on 
the mind-body problem and much else besides but so what? They do far better 
when it comes to probability assignment and subjective uncertainty, imho.

All the best

Chris

From: allco...@gmail.com
Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 07:33:21 +0100
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com




2014-02-26 7:31 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:





Hi Liz

 I meant changed from our everyday definition, in which we normally assume 
 there is only one you, which is (or is at least associated with) your 
 physical structure. Which we generally assume exists in one universe.



We lose that definition just by stepping into the realm of MWI don't we? Its 
not as if we can have use of it in MWI until we want to argue that we will 
always see 'spin up'. 

MWI forces upon us either the complete abandonment of any notion of personal 
identity over time, or the equal distribution of it through all the branches in 
which 'we' appear.



That's where your wrong... that would mean all branches have equal measure, 
where it must not, if MWI must be in accordance with QM.
http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/qm-manyworlds/#PRPO


 
All the best



Chris.

From: allco...@gmail.com
Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 07:28:53 +0100
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)


To: everything-list@googlegroups.com




2014-02-26 7:21 GMT+01:00 chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com:







Hi Bruno

 Yes, it is the common confusion between 1 and 3 views.

There is no such confusion. I haven't seen anyone confusing these.

She should have said: whatever she knows she will see, she should expect 
(with certainty!) to see SOMETHING definite. 





But, If she had of said that you'd both be wrong! 

 And in the 1p it is obvious she will never see both outcome.

You need to stop confusing what is seen with what can be expected to be seen. I 
think that's the source of many of your mistakes. She can expect to see each 
outcome without being committed to the view that either future self sees both. 
All that 1p,3p,3-1p,1-3p stuff is a rubbishy smoke screen to divert attention 
from the simple error you make here, isn't it?





She can make a probabilistic prediction as you can make in MWI... you're the 
one wanting to say probability are wrong, but only the interpretation of what 
is probability change in MWI (and duplication settings)... not the 
prediction... if you say it is totally useless, then you're ready to make a bet 
with me (as everything for your has equal probability of happening...)




Quentin
All the best

Chris.

From: marc...@ulb.ac.be




To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)
Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2014 05:26:02 +0100






On 25 Feb 2014, at 07:31, Quentin Anciaux wrote:




Greaves rejects subjective uncertainty. With respect to spin up 

Re: 3-1 views (was: Re: Better Than the Chinese Room)

2014-02-25 Thread LizR
On 26 February 2014 19:31, chris peck chris_peck...@hotmail.com wrote:

 Hi Liz

 * I meant changed from our everyday definition, in which we normally
 assume there is only one you, which is (or is at least associated with)
 your physical structure. Which we generally assume exists in one universe.*

 We lose that definition just by stepping into the realm of MWI don't we?
 Its not as if we can have use of it in MWI until we want to argue that we
 will always see 'spin up'.

 MWI forces upon us either the complete abandonment of any notion of
 personal identity over time, or the equal distribution of it through all
 the branches in which 'we' appear.

 Yes indeed. However we do cling on to our apparent identities even if we
do believe the MWI is correct. For example I expect to go to work tomorrow,
rather than unexpectedly being declared Empress of the Universe and never
having to lift a finger again.

I think we all know what happens once the MWI is assumed. The rest is just
arguing over terminology.

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