Re: A Question for the Moderator

2004-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Michael Perelman wrote:

> I don't have any simple answers.

Please unsubscribe me from your list.

Ulhas


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A Question for the Moderator

2004-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Michael Perelman,

Some posters on this list have expressed their support
for the breakup of Russia, India, Iran, Iraq, Syria
and Turkey. I would like know what is your personal
opinion in this matter.

Ulhas



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Communalising Kerala

2004-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Tuesday, May 13, 2003

Communalising Kerala

By K.N. Panikkar

A transition from the communitarian to the communal
has been taking place, slowly but steadily.

ANOTHER BASTION is falling. Kerala known for its
relatively harmonious communal relations has lately
witnessed quite a few clashes between members of
different communities. In Nadapuram, Panur, Taikal and
Pathanamthitta.

The latest is in Marad, a coastal village near
Kozhikode, in which nine persons were brutally killed
and several injured on May 3. It was not a communal
riot in the generally accepted sense, in which the
members of two communities violently engage with each
other, in most cases spontaneously, due to some
immediate provocation. In Marad, it was a sudden
attack by a group of people well armed and well
organized who, if the police are to be believed,
carried out the operation in one sweep in less than 15
minutes.

Marad has fallen victim to communal fury for a second
time. In January last year the members of two
communities had clashed, the reason for which is not
entirely known. It is believed that inter-communal
tension grew out of a New Year day function. Five
persons were killed, about 100 houses were destroyed
and several boats on fire. Many in the predominantly
fishing community in the village lost their means of
livelihood.

It aroused considerable indignation and concern,
especially among social activists and the
intelligentsia, who took several initiatives to bring
about communal harmony. The Government also
intervened, particularly in the field of
rehabilitation. Yet, they did not have the desired
effect, as evident from the repetition of the
brutality, which many believe has its roots in the
first incident. This is because the efforts to bring
about communal harmony did not address the basic
issue, namely, the communalisation of Kerala society,
particularly after the demolition of the Babri Masjid,
an important marker in the social consciousness of
both the Muslim minority and the Hindu majority.

During the last couple of decades, the activity and
influence of communal formations have considerably
increased in Kerala. According to the data published
by the Organiser in its issue of March 25, 2001, the
Rashtriya Swayamsewak Sangh runs 4300 `shakas' and
`upasakhas' in Kerala. The increase in numbers
thereafter is not known. The Vishwa Hindu Parishad has
now established its organisational set up in almost
all parts of the state.

Recently, it undertook the distribution of tridents,
as a part of the effort to use religious symbols for
mobilisation and to create self-confidence rooted in
religious identity. There are a couple of newspapers
and quite a few periodicals which generally serve the
Hindu communal cause. Saraswati Shishu Mandirs and
such other schools serve as recruiting grounds of
unsuspecting young children. There are innumerable
cultural organisations,
promoting and disseminating communal ideas in the
guise of patronising literature, theatre, traditional
arts and science or the renovation of village temples.
Their activities have led to the emergence of a
cultural right in Kerala, which receives legitimacy
from intellectuals who claim to be independent. The
intervention of these institutions has made a
qualitative change in the consciousness and outlook of
a fairly large number of Hindus. A fundamentalist
shift has taken place.

A similar tendency has developed among the Muslims as
well. After the demolition of the Babri Masjid, a
section of the Muslim youth felt rather restive and
dissatisfied with the pacifist stand taken by the
existing political and social formations. They rallied
around more militant outfits such as the Islamic
Service Society and the National Development Front.

There are also several other fundamentalist groups,
active in different
fields of social life. The following of the
fundamentalist- militant
organisations has been steadily on the increase for
quite some time. The
reformist forces among the Muslims have not been able
check this.

The incident in Marad indicates that communalism has
arrived in Kerala. It
is a proof that the stage of proto-communalism, which
had a long period of
incubation, is over. During this phase, a sense of
religious division had
slowly emerged, socially articulated through organised
religiosity. The
organisations of different religions vie with each
other to bring the faith
of the believer to the streets. The religious
practices have now spilled
over from the domestic and sacred spaces to the public
space, eliminating in
the process the distinction between religious beliefs
and religiosity.

Religious processions in which women and children
participate carrying
religious symbols is a familiar sight in almost all
parts of Kerala. The
street processions have become common for festivals of
all religious
denominations. This was unknown about 20 years back,
but now conducted with
the support of social organisations and the blessings
of public figures.

Like 

KERALA: Orange Letter Day

2004-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
OutLookIndia.com

Magazine | Jun 14, 2004

KERALA

Orange Letter Day

A pro-NDA verdict opens the account at last in the
south state. One-off, or
is the parivar consolidating?

JOHN MARY

When Archbishop Cardinal Mar Varkey Vithayathil, on
the eve of the Lok Sabha
elections, said on TV that the BJP was "not
untouchable", he was only
underscoring an attitudinal shift in the Syrian
Christian mindset. From
being totally anti-BJP, the community has begun to
show tolerance towards
the saffron party. The proof of this came the day the
results were declared.
For the first time, the BJP-led NDA alliance opened
its account in Kerala.

It returned a Syrian Christian (former Union minister
P.C. Thomas) to the
Lok Sabha from the Catholic heartland of Muvattupuzha
in central Kerala. His
Indian Federal Democratic Party is part of the NDA.

The total voteshare of the BJP alliance in Kerala also
crossed the
single-digit threshold, posting a never-before 12.1
per cent. Of this, the
BJP alone notched 10.4 per cent of the votes polled.
To top it all, the BJP
came first in five assembly segments and second in
another five. This, in a
state where it does not have a single representative
in the assembly.

Obviously, the state BJP is upbeat since it is seen to
be making a slow but
steady electoral breach in a state where minorities
make up 45 per cent of
the population and the remaining 55 per cent Hindus
are strongly polarised,
either with the Left or the Congress. Besides, Hindu
social organisations
like the forward caste Nair Service Society and the
Sree Narayana Dharma
Paripalana Yogam of the backward Ezhava community have
kept a safe distance
for fear of being overrun by the BJP.

"We are looking forward to the local government
elections due a year from
now and the assembly elections thereafter. Our
strategy will be to position
ourselves as a credible alternative to the Congress
and the Left, which are
too close to be seen separately," says NDA state
convenor B.K. Shekhar.

According to him, the BJP's Muvattupuzha experiment is
a signpost. The party
could ride piggy-back to the legislature provided it
props up the likes of
Thomas.

The Left parties, especially the CPI(M), sense the
danger too. Says state
secretary Pinarayi Vijayan: "It is of concern that the
decline in the
Congress-led alliance's vote has benefited the BJP."
While the Congress-led
UDF's voteshare dipped by 8.57 per cent, the LDF has
gained only 2.48
percentage points. So the net gainer has been the NDA,
which added 5.5 per
cent to its voteshare at the expense of the UDF.

There are still doubters like Professor Ninan Koshy,
ex-director of the
World Council of Churches, who believes the BJP will
find it difficult to
overcome conventional socio-political impediments. He
cites two reasons for
the BJP not being able to enlarge the space between
the strong bipolar Left
and not-so-left coalitions in Kerala. One, the
overriding anti-government
sentiment is likely to benefit the well-entrenched
Left much more than the
BJP in the next assembly elections. Secondly, the
BJP's appeal has reduced
for the electorate since it has no chance of
dislodging the Congress-led
government in Delhi in the short-term.

Sangh parivar ideologue P. Parameswaran, though, has a
different take. He
feels the shrinking Hindu population in the state has
spawned a greater
"awareness" among the community that minorities would
soon overtake them.

The Hindu population has declined from 57 per cent to
55 per cent over the
decade even as Muslims and Christians climbed to 23.34
per cent and 19.32
per cent respectively. This, according to
Parameswaran, is sure to encourage
a wary Hindu population to gravitate towards a
nationalist pro-Hindu party.

Countering Koshy, Parameswaran points out that the BJP
is still very much
the party-in-waiting at the Centre. So the BJP-minded
sections would only be
happy to rally behind the most credible alternative to
the Congress-CPI(M)
axis in Delhi

The alarm bells have certainly begun to ring in the
Left and the Congress.
Over the years, the rss presence has become
increasingly visible throughout
the state.There are about 5,000 shakhas in operation
now. The Sangh has
identified nearly 10,000 locations for active work. In
1,330 places, active
discussions and drills take place everyday. Slowly but
surely, the Hindutva
brigade is spreading its roots in a state where it has
hitherto always drawn
a blank.




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BMW team concludes Kerala assessment visit

2004-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Business Standard

Thursday, July 29, 2004

BMW team concludes Kerala assessment visit

Our Correspondent / Kochi July 29,2004

A high level delegation from German car major BMW
concluded a 3-day visit to
the state to check out the possibility of starting a
vehicles manufacturing
unit.

According to Kerala State Industrial Development
Corporation (KSIDC) and
Kerala Industrial Infrastructure Development
Corporation (Kinfra) officials,
the team visited many sites and also held discussions
with higher officials
of the state industries department.

BMW is expected to take a decision on the facility in
the next three months.

The delegation evaluated facilities in and around
Kochi, including major
hospitals and schools and held discussions with the
trade union leaders too.

The team also visited a site at Kalamassery near Kochi
and another at
Nedumbassery near the Kochi international air port.

Kinfra will provide 25 acres of land adjacent to Kochi
Indira Gandhi
Co-operative Medical College for the first phase and
another 50 acre for
further expansion in due course.

The team had discussions with the industries secretary
K Mohankumar, Kinfra
managing director G C Gopalapillai, KSIDC managing
director P H Kurian and
Development Commissioner of Kochi Special Economic
Zone Paul Antony on
various issues relating to the proposed unit.

The Kochi Port Trust chairman Jacob Thomas also held
discussion with the BMW
team and he said that the proposed Vallarpadam
container port was an added
attraction to the German car major.








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Re: HDI\PPP Michael,Ulhas and Michael

2004-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Paul wrote:

> [See what happens with some encouragement - soon
> I'll be overposting!

Is there a limit on posting?

> For India, from 1992 to 2001, the GNI increased by
> 64% when calculated by
> the World Bank "Atlas" method (non-PPP).

I presume this comment is about India's GDP as a whole
and not the GDP for the bottom 20% of the population.
Is this figure ok?

>But for
> the same period GNI
> increased by 91% using PPP!

So what is your objection?

> It is
> not just that India is made to look less poor via
> developed countries

Perhaps India should always look worse that what it
really is?

> Furthermore, the discrepancy between the two methods
> grows - by as much as
> 4 or 5 times - during the neo-liberal period (tell
> me off-line if you want
> the chart for India, the change is dramatic).

What do you mean by the term "neo-liberal" in the
context of Indian economy?

> there is a "bias in the
> bias" which shows neo-liberalism as a great success.

It could be your bias which is dismissive of the
"Third World" and its achievements.

> Then the
> statistics are used to prove
> correct the assumptions from the free market model.
> [BTW there are various
> flavors of PPP-type models.  The Bank has chosen the
> most extreme version
> that has the most free-market assumptions.  The
> other versions of PPP,
> logically, produce lower numbers.  See below for
> examples.]

You can use other sources. Indian resources, e.g.
Indian's Central Bank publishes data. Perhaps that
source is also tainted one?

Btw, infant mortality in India has declined from 250
to 70 per thousand in 50 years. How is it that India's
population has gone up from about 400 million to 1 bn
in 50 years?

Ulhas



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Maoist abduct 50 school children in Nepal

2004-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
HindustanTimes.com

Monday, July 19, 2004

Maoist rebels abduct 50 school children in Nepal

Reuters
kathmandu, July 19

Maoist guerrillas have abducted at least 50 students
and a dozen teachers
from a school on the outskirts of the Nepali capital
in a bid to force them
into their fold, a police officer said on Monday.

The rebels dragged the children, aged between 13 and
16, and teachers at
gunpoint from the school in Chaimale village on Sunday
afternoon, police
officer Deepak Ranjit said.

The Maoists, who are fighting to overthrow Nepal's
constitutional monarchy,
have in the past kidnapped school and university
students to boost their
numbers.

Ranjit said soldiers have been deployed to secure the
release of the
hostages. Most of the kidnapped students were girls.

© HT Media Ltd. 2004.




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China has 600 million telephone users

2004-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
People's Daily Online

Life
UPDATED: 18:16, July 22, 2004

China has 600 million telephone users

China had close to 600 million fixed and mobile phone
users by the end of
June this year.

Statistics released from the Ministry of Information
Industry show 30
million new telephone users signed up for services in
the first six months
of the year.

Experts point out, however, that access to telephones
remains very low in
rural areas, which has encouraged the ministry to
ensure most villages have
telephones by 2005.

It also aims to make every household in China have a
phone by 2020.

Copyright by People's Daily Online, all rights
reserved





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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state? -

2004-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
ravi wrote:

Kashmir:
> > a US protectorate in reality.

> then our duty is not to deny the
> former, but to fight the
> latter, isn't it?

How do you fight the latter?

Btw, do CPI and CPM share your positions?

Ulhas


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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state? -

2004-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
ravi wrote:

> > This is equally true of terrorists in Kashmir.
> About
> > 70% of terrorists killed in Kashmir in the recent
> > years have been non-Kashmiris. They are usually
> > Punjabis trained by the ISI and smuggled into
> Kashmir.

> what are the sources for these numbers?

I suggest you visit cemetaries in Kashmir where
"freedom fighters" have been buried. Their names may
give you some clues.

> imho, the more important debate is regarding cause
> and effect: did local
> popular unrest and uprising lead to the influx of
> foreign terrorists? or
> did foreign terrorists bring about the image of
> local unrest?

The terrorist upsurge in Kashmir must be seen in the
context of US led Jihad against the Soviets in
Afghanistan with Saudi funding and Pakistani support.

> if the former is true, the discussion regarding the
> current composition
> and nature of activists/terrorists may prove to be a
> distraction.

The former, even if it is true, irrelevant today. The
so-called self determination for Kashmiris will create
a US protectorate in reality.

Ulhas



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UN food programme facing funding shortfall

2004-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
HindustanTimes.com

Thursday, July 29, 2004

UN food programme facing severe shortfall of funding

Press Trust of India
United Nations, July 29

Severe shortfall in funding has forced the United
Nations to cut its
deliveries of vital rations to millions of hungry
people in North Korea.

The North Korean humanitarian programme is one of the
most under-funded with
the world body having received only 23 per cent of 221
million dollars it
requested.

The world body said that its World Food Programme
(WFP) has received only
28.5 million dollars out of 171 million it requires
for its emergency
feeding programme this year. It needs about 40,000
tons of food, valued at
around 14.2 million dollars, per month till December.

But over the past two months, more than two million
people in the west
benefiting from WFP aid, including young children and
pregnant and nursing
women, did not receive any cereal rations, while the
average caloric intake
among pregnant and nursing women was only 70 per cent
of the recommended
amount.

A spokesman for WFP said the agency had hoped to feed
6.5 million people
this year but because of the funding shortfall has had
to cut back on its
operations dramatically, reaching only 1.8 million of
the most vulnerable
women, children and the elderly.

"A huge segment of the most vulnerable has had to make
do with the meagre
distributions from the public distribution system,
which accounts for only
50 per cent or less of their daily caloric intake," he
said.

© HT Media Ltd. 2004.




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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state? -

2004-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Chris Doss wrote:

> Reactionary is an understatement.

This is equally true of terrorists in Kashmir. About
70% of terrorists killed in Kashmir in the recent
years have been non-Kashmiris. They are usually
Punjabis trained by the ISI and smuggled into Kashmir.

But other nationalities are also involved. e.g.
Uighurs. How they can be regarded as "freedom fighters
and anti-imperialists" is hard to understand.

Ulhas






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Russia plays energy card

2004-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Tuesday, Jul 06, 2004

Russia plays energy card

By Vladimir Radyuhin

As global energy demand soars, President Vladimir
Putin wants to use oil and
gas exports as instruments to speed up Russia's
economic revival and enhance
its geopolitical weight.

RUSSIA HAS embarked on a new geopolitical game,
playing its energy card to
reclaim global clout. Its vast energy reserves and
control over the markets
in the former Soviet Union are to be leveraged to turn
Russia into a
superpower.

As global energy demand soars, the Russian President,
Vladimir Putin, wants
to position Russia as a key broker in the
international market and use oil
and gas exports as instruments to speed up the
country's economic revival
and enhance its geopolitical weight.

After dropping nearly 50 per cent from the Soviet era
peak, Russia's oil
output has soared again to exceed 450 million tonnes
(together with gas
condensates) by the end of the current year making it
the world's second
largest producer, behind only Saudi Arabia.

Total oil reserves are a state secret in Russia, but
the former Energy
Minister, Yuri Shafranik, estimates that Russia may
have 44 billion tonnes
of oil, more than Saudi Arabia does. Russia currently
exports over 6.5
million barrels a day, taking crude oil and product
together, and plans to
boost exports to about 9 million barrels a day by the
end of the decade -
roughly equal to Saudi Arabia's current exports.

Russia is also the number one producer of natural gas
in the world and has
the biggest share - 32 per cent - of global reserves.
Taken together, oil
and gas make Russia the biggest energy producer in the
world, and moreover,
one of the few countries whose reserves are not
shrinking yet. With the
situation in West Asia destabilised in the wake of the
Iraq war, the United
States and other top oil-consuming nations have turned
their eyes to Russia
and energy-rich ex-Soviet republics.

The U.S. made big inroads into what Moscow considers
its legitimate backyard
during the chaotic rule of Russia's first post-Soviet
President, Boris
Yeltsin. Mounting an aggressive drive for control over
Central Asia and
Caspian oil and gas flows, Washington has pushed
through the construction of
a $3.6 billion Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline
from Azerbaijan's
coast on the Caspian Sea via neighbouring Georgia to
Turkey's Mediterranean
port of Ceyhan and is canvassing for building a gas
pipeline to run
parallel. These pipes should bring oil and gas from
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan
and other Central Asian states to Western markets
bypassing Russia. American
and other Western energy giants control 60 per cent of
oil extraction in
Azerbaijan and 40 per cent in Kazakhstan.

Washington also came close to gaining a foothold in
Russia's energy sector,
privatised during the biggest selloff in world history
in the 1990s.
Following the purchase by British Petroleum of a 50
per cent stake in the
Russian oil major, TNK, ExxonMobil and ChevronTexaco
came vying for a
controlling 44 per cent share in Russia's biggest
private oil company,
Yukos.

If the deal had come through, the West would have won
control over
one-third of Russia's total oil output and could have
gained access to
Russian export pipelines, which are currently
controlled by the state. The
idea was to mould Russia into an alternative supplier
of oil free from
OPEC-like state controls.

Mr. Putin wrecked these plans. The arrest of the Yukos
head, Mikhail
Khodorkovsky, last October on charges of fraud and tax
evasion disrupted the
company's sale to the U.S. oil majors and sent a clear
message to
Washington: the Kremlin is reasserting control over
the strategic heights of
the Russian economy. In a further display of new tough
rules, Moscow in
January annulled the results of a 1993 tender for a
Sakhalin-3 oil field in
the Far East won by the U.S. giants, ExxonMobil and
ChevronTexaco, citing
the companies' failure to develop the field.

Mr. Putin's proactive policy in ex-Soviet Central Asia
helped Moscow
consolidate its hold over oil and gas flows from the
energy-rich region.
Last year, Russia's natural gas monopoly, Gazprom,
sealed a mega deal with
Turkmenistan to buy up to 50 billion cubic metres -
practically all of
Turkmenistan's gas exports - in the next 25 years.
Earlier this month,
Russia's LUKOil major signed a $930-million contract
to develop a
250-billion-cubic-metre gas field in Bukhara,
Uzbekistan, while the Gazprom
natural gas giant is finalising a $1.5-billion 45-year
deal to exploit
fields on the Ustyurt plateau, western Uzbekistan.

A fierce struggle is unfolding for oil and gas exports
from Kazakhstan, a
land-locked Central Asian nation, which sits on the
second biggest
hydrocarbon reserves among the former Soviet states.
Despite U.S. pressure,
Kazakhstan may not give enough oil to the
Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline to
make it commercially viable, as BTC transit tariffs
are going to be twice as
high as Russia's. Earlier this year, Kazakhstan's
President, Nursu

North Korea: Open For Business -- A Bit

2004-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
BusinessWeek Online

JULY 26, 2004   .

ASIAN BUSINESS

North Korea: Open For Business -- A Bit

North Korea remains poor, but Kim's reforms are
bringing growth
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_30/b3893074.htm




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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Diane Monaco wrote:

>That being said and I agree again with you, the
>Kurds are an oppressed nationality. Period.

Does it mean that the Left should support the breakup
of Iran, Iraq, Syria and Turkey?

Ulhas


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Re: Cuba: Dealing with the dollar

2004-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Diane Monaco wrote:

> >How far Cuba can be regarded as an independent and
> >socialist nation-state, if there is extensive
> >dollarisation of Cuban economy?

> I'm not sure what "independent" really means,

True, the Left no longer seems know what
"independence" really means ! :)

> Cuba is
> communist/socialist in the mechanisms it uses to
> attempt to ensure that the
> means of producing goods and services are owned by
> the community as a
> whole, and that all citizens enjoy social/economic
> equality.

Cuba invites and accepts foreign investment,
encourages tourism and receives remittances from
Cubans settled abroad. Cuba also trades with other
countries. (I don't know what is Cuba's external
indebtedness.) These things would erode Cuba's
autonomy. Is Cuba's relationship with the World
Economy any different from that of other developing
countries?

> Dollarization
> is a mechanism that Cuba is forced to use to
> circumvent the US embargo
> against Cuba on all trade

Cuba was forced to do it, but wouldn't that imply loss
of control over monetary policy?

>including basic
> necessities to facilitate the
> acquisition the goods and services in sufficient
> amounts for all its citizens.

It's my impression that Cuba wasn't able to reduce
it's dependence on sugar between 1960-1990. I wonder
why.

Ulhas








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Ukraine drops bid to join E.U., NATO

2004-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Wednesday, Jul 28, 2004

Ukraine drops bid to join E.U., NATO

By Vladimir Radyuhin

MOSCOW, JULY 27. Ukraine has formally abandoned its
goal of joining NATO in
a sign of its growing tilt towards Russia.

The Ukrainian President, Leonid Kuchma, signed a
decree ordering changes in
the country's defence doctrine to remove reference to
membership in the
European Union and NATO as the ultimate goal of
Ukraine's foreign policy.
Henceforth, Ukraine will only strive to "deepen
relations" with the two
organisations.

Victory for Putin

The decree, made public a day before the Russian
President, Vladimir Putin,
flew to Ukraine for an informal bilateral summit with
Mr. Kuchma, is seen as
a victory for Moscow in its tug-of-war with the West
for influence in
Ukraine.

New doctrine

The Ukrainian leader had just signed the new defence
doctrine in June that
stated the aim of joining NATO and the E.U. However,
Mr. Kuchma badly needs
Russia's crucial support for his bid to have his
chosen heir, the Prime
Minister, Viktor Yanukovich, win a presidential
election in October against
the more popular pro-Western Opposition candidate,
Viktor Yushchenko.

Mr. Putin has taken full advantage of his position as
a king-maker to
encourage a U-turn in Ukraine's foreign policy towards
closer integration
with Russia. Last September, Ukraine after repeated
refusals, finally signed
up to a Single Economic Zone pact with Russia,
Kazakhstan and Belarus. The
accord provides for a customs union, free movement of
goods, capital and
labour, and a common tax, monetary and foreign trade
policy.

After his meeting with the Ukrainian leader on Monday,
Mr. Putin issued a
stern warning to the West not to get in the way of
Russia and Ukraine
forging closer ties.

"Their (Western nations') agents, both inside our
countries and outside, are
trying everything possible to compromise the
integration between Russia and
Ukraine," Mr. Putin said, speaking to businessmen from
both countries.

Copyright © 2004, The Hindu.



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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-27 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Devine, James wrote:

> I don't know much about this subject, but isn't a
> lot of Kashmir controlled by Pakistan?

Yes, about a third of Kashmir is controlled by
Pakistan.

> wouldn't it be best if both India and
> Pakistan gave up their claims to the areas that the
> other controls?

Yes. India willing to accept the Line of Control (LOC)
as the international border, but Pakistan isn't.

> why does India want the Pakistan-controlled area of
> Kashmir?

The Simla Agreement of 1972 between India and Pakistan
was meant to convert the LOC into the international
boundary.

>why does Pakistan want the India-controlled
> area?

For Pakistan, it's a logical extension of the Two
Nation Theory,i.e. that Hindus and Muslims are
separate nations. India and the Indian Left don't
accept the Two Nation Theory.

Ulhas


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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-27 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
raviwrote:

> i think if i understand you correctly, you are
> commenting on the
> hypocrisy of cuban support for kashmiris. that may
> be valid. can i infer
> further that you do not disagree with the content of
> their call: i.e.,
> the kashmiri people deserve the right of
> self-determination?

No, I don't agree. Kashmir is a part of India.India
has been partitioned once with disastrous
consequences. Do you want more partitions?

Is anybody on the Left demanding right of
self-determination for Tibet or Xinjiang? Why should
it be different for Kashmir?

Ulhas


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100 million Chinese suffer iodine deficiency

2004-07-27 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
People's Daily Online

Life

UPDATED: 14:01, July 27, 2004

Some 100 million Chinese continue to suffer iodine
deficiency

China's plan to eradicate iodine deficiency disorders
by 2000 has been
frustrated by chronic shortages of the indispensable
element in some areas,
health authorities said at a recent meeting.

The Chinese government launched a program in 1993 to
eliminate iodine
deficiency throughout the country by 2000. It has not
yet been successful,
as four provinces, two autonomous regions and one
municipality failed to
reach the goal, said Liu Jiayi, an official of disease
control with the
Ministry of Health.

Liu characterized the seven areas which have yet to
stamp out the problem --
Tibet, Qinghai, Xinjiang, Sichuan, Gansu, Hainan and
Chongqing -- as being
located in remote sections of the country.

China has reset its goal, planning to provide enough
of the element to
everyone in the iodine-deficient areas within five
years.

Around 100 million people in China, or some eight
percent of the population,
suffer from a deficiency of iodine. About two million
newly born infants in
the country face the threat of iodine deficiency every
year.

It is generally believed that iodized salt provides
the most economic and
effective way of distributing iodine. But high
shipping costs have hindered
the promotion of iodized salt in remote areas, said
Lin Jiahua, deputy
general manager of the China National Salt Industry
Corporation.

Lin said that iodized salt distribution networks still
cannot cover some key
iodine-deficient areas.

Health education is also necessary to promote the use
of iodized salt, Lin
said, as people in some iodine-lack areas are
accustomed to crude salt and
might not choose iodized salt even ifthe product is
available.

Copyright by People's Daily Online, all rights
reserved






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China frees whistle-blower

2004-07-27 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Thursday, Jul 22, 2004

China frees whistle-blower

Beijing: The Chinese military surgeon who exposed the
Government's cover-up
of the SARS crisis was released on Tuesday after seven
weeks of "political
re-education'', his family said. Jiang Yanyong (72), a
semi-retired general
in the People's Liberation Army, had been detained at
a secret location
where he was forced to undergo daily study sessions
aimed to make him
renounce a critical letter he had written about the
1989 Tiananmen Square
massacre.

It was unclear whether he had signed a letter of
contrition to
secure his freedom. Dr. Jiang's family said he was in
good health, but
forbidden to talk to the media without the prior
approval of his superiors
at the No. 301 military hospital in Beijing.

Dr. Jiang and his wife, Hua Zhongwei, were detained on
June 1 while going to
the U.S. embassy, where they were applying for visas
to visit their
California-based daughter. They were among dozens of
dissenters who were
removed from public view or held under house arrest in
the run-up to the
politically sensitive 15th
anniversary of the Tiananmen Square crackdown on June
4. Mrs. Hua and most
of the others were released within two weeks, but Dr.
Jiang was held for
what sympathisers called `brainwashing,' which would
have required
authorisation by Jiang Zemin, the head of the
military.

 - Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004

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The Sarajevo Of Iraq

2004-07-27 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
OutlookIndia.com

Web | Jul 23, 2004

OPINION

The Sarajevo Of Iraq

In the ongoing crisis in Iraq, one factor has remained
unchanged: the loyalty of the Kurds to Washington. And
the worsening Kurdish-Arab friction.

DILIP HIRO
http://www.outlookindia.com/full.asp?fodname=20040723&fname=hiro&sid=1




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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-26 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
sartesian wrote:

>The
> issue is the material determinants of the struggle,
> the history of the
> conflict in the area and what the resolution
> requires.

1. "Independent" Kashmir would be a US protectorate in
reality.

2. Jammu & Kashmir is not a homogenous entity.

3. A part of the territory of Kashmir (5000 sq. km.)
was given by Pakistan to China in 1963. How Kashmiris
will that back?

Ulhas


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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-26 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
ravi wrote:

>> Let there be self-determination everywhere, from
Bejing to
> > Havana.
> >
>
> in a general sense, why not?

Surely, Cuban leadership (and this is only an
example)should offer self-determination to Cubans
before it demands demands self-determination for
Kashmiris?

Ulhas


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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-26 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
ravi wrote:

> tariq ali writes:

> TA> The real question is what to do about Kashmir,
> and the simple answer
> is to ask the Kashmiris.

Let us then ask Tibetan and Uighurs what they want.
Let us ask Sindhis and Baluchis in Pakistan, Tamils in
Sri Lanka, Arakan people in Mynamar, muslims in South
Thailand and Philippines what they want. Let Cuban
freely decide what kind of rule they want. Let there
be self-determination everywhere, from Bejing to
Havana.

Ulhas


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Re: Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-26 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Chris Doss wrote: > Ha.

Do you know Cuba supports "self-determination" by
Kashmiris?

Ulhas

> --- Ulhas Joglekar <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> wrote:
> > The Hindu
> >
> > Monday, Jul 26, 2004
> >
> > Israel pushing for Kurdish state?
> >
> > By Atul Aneja



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Re: Subject: Re: Suicides, Military and Economic

2004-07-26 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Anthony D'Costa wrote:

>But what he said was
> that Chandra Babu Naidu
> the laptop toting chief minister of Andhra Pradesh,
> who was recently
> ousted in the elections, transferred massive water
> to the urban, high tech
> driven city, at the expense of the rural folks.

This story hasn't been reported in the media AFAIK.
It's possible I missed it. But how exactly he did
this?

> The
> water table is
> drastically falling in the southern region and
> virtually all major
> southern cities (Hyderabad, Bangalore, Chennai) are
> all facing massive
> water supply problems.

For all the headlines over (unfortunate) suicides in
Andhra Pradesh, the state with a very high level of
suicides rate is Kerala.

Ulhas



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Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

2004-07-26 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Monday, Jul 26, 2004

Israel pushing for Kurdish state?

By Atul Aneja

MANAMA, JULY 25. Relations between Turkey and Israel
appear to be souring
rapidly amid reports that Israeli commandos are
training Kurds in northern
Iraq to encourage the emergence of an independent
Kurdish state.
Israel has vociferously denied these reports, which
acquired prominence in a
recent article written by the American investigative
journalist, Seymour
Hersh, in The New Yorker magazine.

In a damage control exercise, the Israeli Deputy Prime
Minister, Ehud
Olmert, rushed to the Turkish capital, Ankara, last
week where he addressed
this issue. At a press conference, Mr. Olmert said, "I
conveyed at every
opportunity that we are not in northern Iraq and that
we have never been
active in that region. It is a lie that Israel is
cooperating with Kurds."

Israel and Turkey have been known as "strategic
partners" and have had a
strong military relationship. Israel has also viewed
Turkey as its strategic
anchor in West Asia — a region that has been intensely
hostile towards it.
Turkey, however, has a huge stake in seeing that
northern Iraq does not
become independent.

Fears of secession

Turkey fears that an independent state at its doorstep
Iraq could become the
nucleus for a larger Kurdish nation, which could
incorporate parts of its
territory where Kurds reside in large numbers. Iran
and Syria, which also
have large Kurdish populations on their soil also
share these apprehensions
and have stood opposed to Kurdish secession in
northern Iraq.

Notwithstanding Israel's denial, the Turkish Prime
Minister, Recep Tayyip
Erdogan, signalled his unhappiness by declining to
meet Mr. Olmert. He met
Naci Otri, Prime Minister of Syria — Israel's arch
foe, who was also
visiting Turkey at the same time. Differences between
Turkey and Israel have
also come out in the open over the Israeli treatment
of Palestinians.

Mr. Erdogan has not given much credence to reports of
Israeli presence in
northern Iraq, indicating that the dissonance could
also be driven by other
factors. Analysts point out that Ankara has begun to
perceive that Israel
opposes Turkey's attempt to enter the European Union —
its core foreign
policy objective.

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Re: HDI, GNP and the PPP factor

2004-07-25 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Paul wrote:

> It is "buried" in the statistics they (the
> neo-liberal proponents)
> use.

I was making a simple point that the debate on
economic policy in India has little to do the utility
of PPP numbers.

Paul was trying to show how PPP numbers overstate the
economic growth in the developing countries. I am not
sure I understand how he has reached that conclusion.

Ulhas


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Re: HDI, GNP and the PPP factor

2004-07-25 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Paul wrote:

>The PPP numbers ARE used to show that
> neo-liberal policies
> in India would be better for India.

I don't know what you mean "neo-liberal", but nobody
is using _PPP numbers_ in India to support neo-liberal
policies. Nor anybody in India is opposing _PPP
numbers_ to justify Marxists or fascist policies.

Btw, the Human Development Report for India is
prepared by India's Planning Commission. What WB has
to do with it?

Ulhas





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Nepal: The decline of the Monarchy

2004-07-25 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Sunday, Jul 25, 2004

The decline of the palace

[King Gyanendra faces dwindling support. -- Photo: AP
]

TWO INCIDENTS earlier this month, the details of which
were reported in the
Nepali press, confirmed for many their fears about
Crown Prince Paras.

Last Saturday, the Prince stormed out of his father's
birthday celebrations
and headed to a nightclub with his cousins. When his
wife followed him there
to take him home, he fired shots from his gun.

Hours later, he jumped into a vehicle with friends,
but without his personal
security guards, and sped to Pokhara, 200 km away.
There, security forces
stopped the vehicle and reportedly almost gunned the
prince down thinking he
was a Maoist guerrilla. They recognised him in the
nick of time.

Image problems

Crown Prince Paras is only one of the many image
problems that have
surrounded King Gyanendra since he took over as
Nepal's constitutional
monarch after the 2001 massacre at the Narayanhiti
Palace.

If the killings of King Birendra and his family
diminished the status of the
monarchy by exposing the indiscipline behind the
Palace walls, his successor
has the added problem that Nepalis do not accept the
official version of the
massacre.

King Gyanendra also had big shoes to fill. In the last
years of his life,
his brother kept a low profile but his aura grew as
the politicians of the
new multi-party democracy squabbled among themselves.

The new King's overt political ambitions, his
dissolution of an elected
Parliament in 2002, followed by his sacking of the
Prime Minister, have led
to a steep erosion of his personal image and that of
the monarchy. He is
widely perceived as playing one political party
against another in order to
strengthen his own position.

"We are hearing slogans on the streets against the
King that we did not hear
even during the People's Movement in 1990," says
political analyst Deepak
Thapa.

For the first time too, there is open talk about a
republic. The Maoists,
who are waging an insurgent war against the state,
were the first to bring
up the issue, one of their stated aims being the
abolition of the
constitutional monarchy. But sections of the Nepali
intelligentsia, students
and politicians have all joined the debate.

"This is not a constitutional monarchy, it is a real
monarchy, and the king
is the biggest obstruction to democracy," says Lok Raj
Baral, professor of
political science at the Tribhuvan Universty.
Recently, the students at the
university voted overwhelmingly in favour of a
republic in a mock
referendum.

One of the points of contention about the King's
powers is his continuing
hold over the Royal Nepal Army, a force originally
raised for his protection
but which is now deployed in battling the Maoists.

"When the King is so often encroaching upon the
Constitution, why not go for
a Constituent Assembly and put the monarchy on its
agenda, as the Maoists
are demanding,"
asks Dagan Nath Dhungana, a senior member of the
Girija Prasad Koirala-led
Nepali Congress (NC) and former Speaker.

Mr. Dhungana, who was in the team that framed the 1990
Constitution that
gave the monarch a constitutional role in a
multi-party democracy, says the
experiment failed because "the King is not prepared to
remain under the
Constitution."

Role as unifier

But there are also large sections of Nepalis who still
see a role for the
King, provided he plays it by the book. "In a country
with no common
language, or religion, or ethnicity, there is a clear
role for him as a
unifier. But he must do this strictly within the
confines of the
Constitution," says Kunda Dixit, editor of the weekly,
Nepali Times.

Nepal has 60 caste and ethnic groups and Nepali, the
official language, is
the mother tongue of only 50 per cent of its people.
Although commonly
described as a Hindu kingdom, its people practise
varied religions. "But if
he goes around saying, as he has done, that he is the
King of the world's
Hindus, it works against the unifying theory," Mr.
Dixit says.

Many people still cherish the tradition of kingship,
but at the same time,
in the last dozen years, people have also got used to
thinking freely, he
adds. "No king can take the country back to an
absolute monarchy ... His
first order of business should be to restore the
respect for the monarchy by
leaving politics to politicians."

Prabhakar Shamsher Rana, a friend of the King and
chairman emeritus of the
Soaltee Group, in which the royal family has a
sizeable interest, says if
Nepal turns into a Republic, the country will descend
into anarchy as its
democratic institutions are not mature enough to take
the monarchy's place.

"The presence of the monarch gives faith to the people
that if other things
go wrong, this institution is still there to protect
them, to keep the
country together," Mr. Rana says.

But the institution also needs to keep pace with the
times and assist in the
evolution of the country's multi-party democracy, he
says.

"The King can't go bicycling as royals do in 

Re: HDI, GNP and the PPP factor

2004-07-25 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Paul wrote:

> BUT, using the PPP technique I described in earlier
> posts, the World Bank
> also calculates an imputed (imaginary) GNI.  For the
> same group of
> countries this calculation boosts their Gross
> National Income from $6.1 to
> $20.5 trillion!  This is a 320% increase - but just
> on paper

Relative prices in different parts of the world would
have to be considered to obtain a fair picture of
relative incomes. I can buy a banana for 3 cents in my
city (Pop. 15 million). How much a banana costs in New
York?

Ulhas



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Re: Cuba: Dealing with the dollar

2004-07-24 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Diane Monaco wrote:

> There are three  -- actually four if you include the
> euro that is now
> accepted at a few tourist locations in Havana  --
> currencies used in Cuba:
> the Cuban peso, the convertible peso (equivalent to
> the dollar), and
> dollars.  All three of these currencies circulate
> freely in Cuba.

How far Cuba can be regarded as an independent and
socialist nation-state, if there is extensive
dollarisation of Cuban economy?

Ulhas






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Re: Subject: Re: Suicides, Military and Economic

2004-07-24 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Michael Perelman wrote:

> Yes, but why are they localized in only 1 state?
> Aren't these problems more widespread?

I have not studied the pattern of rainfall region by
region. Distribution of monsoon varies from region to
region and within each region its timing during
June-September monsoon period. Some regions also get
rains in winter, others have irrigation based on snow
fed rivers. Without that sort of study (which I have
not done), it's hard to explain why, e.g. we don't
hear about suicides by Karnataka farmers _on the same
scale_ as those in Andhra Pradesh?

Ulhas


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Re: Subject: Re: Suicides, Military and Economic

2004-07-24 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Perelman, Michael wrote:

Farmers' suicides:
> Why are they localized?

Failure of monsoons, farmers' indebtness, shift to the
cash crops etc. are among the principal factors.

See interview of CPIM Secretary, B.V. Raghavalu for
Andhra Pradesh (Pop. about 80 million)for details in
Fronline, 19 June-2 July 2004:
(i)Interview: CPIM Secretary for Andhra Pradesh,
B.V.Raghavalu
http://www.hinduonnet.com/fline/fl2113/stories/20040702006201900.htm

(ii)Other Frontline articles on farmers' suicides in
Andhra Pradesh
http://www.hinduonnet.com/fline/fl2113/fl211300.htm





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Re: Subject: Re: Suicides, Military and Economic

2004-07-24 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Seth Sandronsky wrote:

> “Peasant Suicides in India” is a chapter in Contours
> of Descent: U.S.
> Economic Fractures and the Landscape of Global
> Austerity by Robert Pollin
> that details the ruinous outcomes of IMF policies on
> Indian farmers.

India doesn't owe any money to the IMF. How IMF
policies are ruining Indian farmers?

As for farmers' suicides, they are largely in Andhra
Pradesh, not elsewhere in India.

Ulhas


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Iran will have nuke capacity by '07: Israel

2004-07-24 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Times of India

THURSDAY, JULY 22, 2004

Iran will have nuke capacity by '07: Israel

AFP

JERUSALEM: Israeli intelligence chiefs told Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon's
security cabinet in a joint assessment on Wednesday
that Iran will have a
nuclear weapons capacity by 2007, public radio
reported.

The warning came in a report delivered by the heads of
the Mossad overseas
spy agency, domestic Shin Beth intelligence service
and representatives from
army.

Copyright © 2004 Times Internet Limited. All rights
reserved.







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Stiglitz on Trade Talks

2004-07-24 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Economic Times

Thursday, July 22, 2004

Let the pleasant trade winds blow

JOSEPH E STIGLITZ

In the year since the breakdown of the trade talks in
Cancun, sentiment has
increasingly grown in the developing world that no
agreement is better than
a bad agreement. But what would a good agreement look
like?

The British Commonwealth recently posed this question
to me and the
Initiative for Policy Dialogue, an international
network of economists
committed to helping developing countries. Our first
message was that the
current round of trade negotiations, especially as it
has evolved, does not
deserve even to be called a development round.

Well before the riots that marked the World Trade
Organization talks in
Seattle in 1999, I called for a true "development
round" of trade talks to
redress the inequities of previous rounds.

The advanced countries, with their dominant corporate
and financial
interests, had set the agenda for those negotiations.
Whether or not
developing countries benefited was of little concern.
Indeed, in the last
round of trade negotiations, the Uruguay Round, the
world's poorest region,
sub-Saharan Africa, was actually made worse off.

Our second message was optimistic: if the agenda of
the current round is
reoriented towards development, and if assistance is
provided to manage
implementation and adjustment costs, developing
countries can gain much.

We analysed which reforms in the international trade
regime would most
benefit those in the developing world, and we
presented an alternative
agenda based on our findings.

The results were perhaps obvious: more people live
from agriculture in the
developing world than from manufacturing, so
agricultural liberalisation
must be high on the agenda.

But genuinely beneficial agricultural reform would
need to go further than
merely transforming export subsidies into other types
of subsidies, because
many supposedly non-distorting subsidies lead to more
output, which hurts
producers in developing countries by lowering prices.

Trade reforms must be sensitive to the effects on
developing countries, many
of which are net importers of subsidised agricultural
commodities.

But some subsidies, like cotton subsidies in the
United States, are rightly
emblematic of America's bad faith. Eliminating this
subsidy would help 10
million poor cotton farmers in sub-Saharan Africa.

American taxpayers would also benefit. The only losers
would be the 25,000
rich farmers who currently divvy up $3-4 billion in
government hand-outs
each year.

Developing countries also need access for the
unskilled labour-intensive
services in which they have a comparative advantage.
These were off the
agenda in earlier trade rounds, as the US pushed for
liberalisation of
financial services - thus serving its own comparative
advantage. Today,
unskilled services remain off the agenda.

Developing countries' gains from capital market
liberalisation have been
widely noted (although recent studies raise some
doubts about these
benefits). Nevertheless, the global gains from
allowing freer flows of
unskilled labour (even temporarily), let alone the
benefits to developing
countries, far outweigh the benefits from capital
market liberalisation.
But, as I said, this issue is not on the agenda.

The trade talks in Cancun raised new subjects - the
so-called Singapore
issues. But even a cursory look at these items reveals
that they primarily
reflect the interests of developed countries. Indeed,
poor countries'
development would arguably have been set back if they
had acquiesced in some
of the demands.

Consider the issue of government procurement. The
single largest area of US
government procurement is defence, a sector in which
even the European Union
has found it difficult to make inroads. Are developing
countries really
targeting this area in the next few years? Clearly,
this issue is not high
on their agenda.

Competition is another example. Without competition,
lowering tariffs may
merely be reflected in higher profit margins for a
monopoly importer. The
most important competition issue for developing
countries, however, is
reform of dumping duties. The US and EU keep out
products from developing
countries, alleging that they charge less than the
cost of production.

But why would anyone knowingly sell at a loss? This
could only be rational
if the seller can hope to establish a monopoly
position and extract large
profits in the future. But few developing countries
are in a position to
establish such monopoly positions, so the dumping
charges are mostly bogus.

As tariff barriers have come down, the unfair "fair
trade" laws are
increasingly being used as America's favoured
protectionist tool. Treating
foreign and domestic firms the same with respect to
competitive practices
would stop these abuses. This, too, should be a high
priority of a true
development round.

The breakdown of the Cancun talks may yet provide an
opportunity for deeper
reflection. Now that rich countries no longer ne

Kurdish warlords delay unity

2004-07-23 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Saturday, Jul 24, 2004

Kurdish warlords delay unity

By Jonathan Steele

Kurdistan's two big party leaders may end up producing
a deal with Baghdad
that their own people denounce.

SHORT OF leaving Iraq altogether, the only chance of
escaping Baghdad's
overwhelming heat and the constant risk of suicide
bombs is to drive to
Kurdistan. Little more than three hours from the
capital is a land of lakes
and mountains where you can venture outdoors in the
afternoon without having
to dash to the nearest spot of shade. Groves of
slender date-palm, now
starting to brim with clumps of fruit, give a certain
dignity to the
flatlands of Mesopotamia, but there comes a time when
you long for some
undulation in the landscape, a grassy knoll perhaps,
or even a respectable
hill.

Go east, south, or west and there is no chance of
finding it. Travel north
and you will. So it is no surprise that increasing
numbers of better-off
Iraqis who can afford a short holiday plump for the
Kurdish area. For 12
years, it was effectively separate from Saddam
Hussein's Iraq, and Baghdadis
had little idea what was going on behind the curtain.
Many are stunned to
discover a region that is not just different
scenically but has a thriving
economy, minimal unemployment, and no serious security
problems. The word
has gone out that cities such as Sulaimaniya are
enjoying a boom in
house-building. As a result, workers from the Arab
south are also coming up
in droves to take up construction jobs.

Nothing is quite what it seems, and beyond the
attractive landscape and the
security calm, the Kurdish region has serious unsolved
problems. Its leaders
try to project a united front in Baghdad and abroad,
but few Kurds in the
north or Arabs in the south have forgotten that the
region's two dynasties
spent four of their Saddam Hussein-free years fighting
a civil war. Indeed
one of them, Massoud Barzani, the head of the Kurdish
Democratic party
(KDP), based in Irbil, even committed the ultimate sin
of inviting Mr.
Hussein's tanks to come up and help him push back the
forces of Jalal
Talabani's Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK).

The United States' mediation produced a truce in 1998,
and last year the
armies - known as peshmerga (those who face death) -
helped their U.S.
protectors bring down Mr. Hussein. They reject the
label militias and see
themselves as liberators.

Many Kurds hoped victory would produce unity. They
looked to a plan agreed
with the U.S. occupation authorities in June, under
which all Iraqi militias
were supposed to disband and become part of Iraq's
national army. Mr.
Barzani and Mr. Talabani accepted the deal but, as
Iraq gradually becomes
sovereign, they show no sign of implementing the
so-called "peshmerger."

Kurdistan is due to hold elections for its regional
assembly in January, at
the same time as Iraq's national elections. They will
be the first
parliamentary vote for 12 years. But as long as the
two big parties rule
their areas like fiefdoms, Kurds fear that the
peshmerga will act as
intimidators during the coming campaign.

The parties' nepotism and lack of internal democracy
also cause anger. Some
feel that Mr. Barzani and Mr. Talabani failed to
exploit their wartime
alliance with the U.S. to extract more concessions on
autonomy. If the
elections are free, they may show a surge for radical
nationalist and
pro-independence candidates.

The U.S. plan for disbanding the peshmerga is based on
a twin formula of
cash and restructuring. Instead of the peshmerga being
financed by the KDP
and the PUK, the Iraqi Ministry of Defence will pay
them, thereby cutting
the party link. They are to be cut by at least
two-thirds from their current
estimated number of 75,000, with some pensioned off or
retrained for police
or other civilian jobs. The rest will be divided
between border troops, the
national guard and a counter-terrorism force based in
Kurdistan.

With Mr. Hussein gone, Kurdistan's leaders have
decided to give Arab
politicians another chance. They have five Ministers
in the un-elected,
U.S.-approved government in Baghdad.

Compromising with the Arab majority is an
understandable strategy but the
ground needs to be better prepared. Unless they
depoliticise their militias,
accept open debate and cease to behave like warlords,
the two big party
leaders may end up producing a deal with Baghdad which
their own people
denounce. Yesterday's heroes can become tomorrow's
traitors if they fail to
change with the times.

© Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004

Copyright © 2004, The Hindu.




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India: Human Development Report 2001

2004-07-23 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Planning Commission

Government of India

National Human Development Report 2001
http://planningcommission.nic.in/reports/genrep/reportsf.htm




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Cuba: Dealing with the dollar

2004-07-23 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Frontline

Volume 16 - Issue 8, Apr. 10 - 23, 1999

CUBA

Cuba: Dealing with the dollar

C.P. CHANDRASEKHAR
recently in Havana

How Cuba copes with the long-term effects of the U.S.
blockade against it by
making the pursuit of dollar earning a virtual
movement.
http://www.hinduonnet.com/fline/fl1608/16081090.htm




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Re: Human Development Index 2004

2004-07-23 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Daniel Davies wrote:

> nor is Malaysia

>> Behalf Of Chris Doss

> Russia is not a 3rd world country.

"Third World" is not a useful category.

Ulhas


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Re: phones and human welfare

2004-07-22 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Devine, James" wrote:

> In any event, there's no way one could reduce human
> welfare to either cell phones or all phones.

300 million Indians watch CTVs today, but I know there
is no way one could reduce human welfare to CTVs.

Ulhas


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Slave labour in Brazil

2004-07-22 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The Hindu

Tuesday, Jul 20, 2004

Slave labour in Brazil

By Paul Brown

An unpublished report for the ILO says that despite
the best efforts of the
Brazilian Government, slave labour continues in the
country's interior.

AN ESTIMATED 25,000 people are working as slave
labourers in Brazil clearing
the Amazon jungle for ranchers, or producing pig iron
in the forest using
charcoal smelters, according to a new study.

An unpublished report for the Geneva-based
International Labour Organisation
concludes that despite the best efforts of the
Government of President Luiz
Ignacio Lula da Silva to free slaves and prosecute
offenders, the level of
lawlessness in the country's interior means that the
practice continues.

The report also uncovers a new area of labour
"analogous to slavery," where
men, women and children who are illegal immigrants
from Bolivia, Peru and
Paraguay are working in sweatshops in Sao Paulo.

Workshop owners are part of a flourishing cheap
clothes industry that uses
the fear of deportation to enforce harsh conditions
under which people are
sometimes locked up where they work and sleep. The
London-based Guardian
newspaper was passed a copy of the report because
anti-slavery campaigners
feared that the ILO was suppressing it. They believe
that officials are
nervous of criticism of the organisation's failure to
make an impact on the
situation. The report is also sensitive because it
shows that the United
States is directly benefiting from the proceeds of
slavery.

But Roger Plant, head of the ILO's forced labour
programme in Geneva, denied
the report was being withheld. He said it had been
held back to include more
statistics and it would be updated and published next
year.

Mr. Plant said the report made clear that the
Brazilian Government was
making efforts to attack slavery, and it was unfair to
single out a state
when Peru and Bolivia also had slaves, probably in
similar numbers.

New figures show that since the Lula Government took
office in January 2002
with a promise to end slave labour, 5,400 slave
workers have been released
and £ 1.4 million paid to them in compensation.

The author of the report, Jan Rocha, said on Sunday:
"After a good start
cracking down, the Government has given in to the
landowners' lobby's
pressure in Congress to delay a bill that would
confiscate their estates
when slave labour has been found, in exchange for
their votes on other
bills.

"As the report pointed out, the scandalous fact is
that many federal
Congressmen and regional politicos have been found
using slave labour on
their cattle ranches - so some of the men who got the
law postponed are
those who personally benefit from the delay."

Attempts to tackle slave labour have been hindered by
the lawlessness of the
territories involved and the puny punishments that
have been handed out.

Ms. Rocha describes how slave workers live in hovels
under plastic sheets
without sanitation, with the job of clearing the
forest for soya bean
plantations and cattle. In the charcoal smelters they
work without
protective clothing in extreme heat.

The report concludes that the only way slavery will
disappear is that if
everyone regards it as "a national outrage" and
ranches and businesses are
confiscated as a punishment. - Guardian Newspapers
Limited 2004

Copyright © 2004, The Hindu.




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Re: Cuba: siempre con combate

2004-07-22 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Diane Monaco wrote:

> Cuba IS a remarkable country

Hi Diane ! Mexico is not far behind Cuba in HDI,
AFAIK.

Btw, 75% Singaporeans, 50% Malaysians & 33% of Thais
have cell phones. How many cell phones Cuba has?

Ulhas



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41 million Chinese believed to have hepatitis C virus: report

2004-07-22 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
People's Daily Online

Life

UPDATED: 17:34, June 26, 2004

41 million Chinese believed to have hepatitis C virus:
report

An estimated 41 million people in China have
contracted the hepatitis C
virus, which could become a fatal "quiet epidemic,"
according to Professor
Xu Daozheng, a liver disease expert with Ditan
Hospital in Beijing.

The Chinese Ministry of Health said in a report,
issued in February, the
number of hepatitis C patient was growing. A national
epidemicological
survey covering the 1992-1995 period found 3.2 percent
of the country's
population, or 38 million people, had hepatitis C
virus.

Prof. Xu said his estimate is quite conservative, and
suggested the disease
should be included in normal medical checks, like
hepatitis B, because it
has become a serious public health issue in China.

At present, a patient with hepatitis C may look normal
and feeljust as good
as a healthy person, and the disease will not be
detected until it is too
late, the professor warned.

Unlike other types of hepatitis B, 75 percent of
people with hepatitis C
show no signs of symptoms in the early stage, said Xu.

About 15 percent of the people with hepatitis C will
develop hepatocirrhosis
and 5 percent would develop cancer if the disease is
detected in a later
stage, the expert explained.

There is still no vaccine against hepatitis C in
China, and theChina Medical
Association has called for screening the disease in
normal blood tests,
especially among high-risk groups.

China has about 20 million people with chronic viral
liver diseases out of
its 1.3 billion population, and half of the 280,000
patients of liver
disease died of liver cancer.

Source:Xinhua

Copyright by People's Daily Online, all rights
reserved




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Re: India's HDI Improves, Ranking Doesn't

2004-07-22 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
Anthony D'Costa wrote:

>The Hindu-Muslim divide is India's least problematic
>cultural divide.

Hindu-Muslim divide has the potential to threaten
India's unity and democratic structure. Caste divide
does not have that potential.

>The Indian government has generally handled demands
>for autonomy reasonably well, if keeping the states
>within the Indian union is a criterion for managing
>splits well.

Yes, we could compare India with the fSU, Yugoslavia
and Pakistan.

Ulhas



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India's HDI Improves, Ranking Doesn't

2004-07-21 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Financial ExpressFriday, July 16, 2004HDI Improves, Ranking Doesn'tOUR POLICY BUREAUPosted online: Friday, July 16, 2004 at 0103 hours ISTNEW DELHI, JULY 15:  India's human development index (HDI) has shown asteady improvement in the last couple of years. India's ranking, however, at127 out of 177 countries remains the same as in the previous year. 
 
The challenge before India, according to the UNDP's Human Development Index2004, is to manage cultural diversity. This assumes significance as thecountry, despite its long secular tradition, has experienced considerablecommunal violence in the last one decade.According to the report, which was released by Union minister forinformation, broadcasting and culture S Jaipal Reddy on Thursday, Malaysia,China, Sri Lanka, Indonesia and Vietnam rank above India. The countrieswhich are ranked below India are Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal andPakistan.India's HDI has consistently gone up from 0.411 in 1975 to 0.595 in 2002.The HDI was 0.579 in 2000. The HDI, it may be mentioned, is an index whichfocuses on three measurable dimensions of human development - living a longand healthy life, being educated and having a decent standard of living. Theindex combines measures of life expectancy, school enrollment, literacy
 andincome to allow a broader view of a country's development.The 2002 report, which focuses on "Cultural liberty in today's world",recognises India's vibrant multi-cultural ethos based on a strong andcomposite policy framework that promotes democracy and diversity. 
 
The report, UNDP resident representative Maxine Olson said, "salutes India forits multi-cultural facet." In India there is space for state identity whilemaintaining a strong Central focus simultaneously, she added.Terming the HDI 2004 a monumental contribution, Mr Reddy said that culturalliberty was important not only for peace and progress but also for thesurvival of mankind. 
 
"We must all learn to live together, and celebrate diversity," the minister added.© 2004: Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd. All rights reservedthroughout the world.

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India's HDI Improves, Ranking Doesn't

2004-07-21 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Financial ExpressFriday, July 16, 2004HDI Improves, Ranking Doesn'tOUR POLICY BUREAUPosted online: Friday, July 16, 2004 at 0103 hours ISTNEW DELHI, JULY 15:  India's human development index (HDI) has shown asteady improvement in the last couple of years. India's ranking, however, at127 out of 177 countries remains the same as in the previous year. 
 
The challenge before India, according to the UNDP's Human Development Index2004, is to manage cultural diversity. This assumes significance as thecountry, despite its long secular tradition, has experienced considerablecommunal violence in the last one decade.According to the report, which was released by Union minister forinformation, broadcasting and culture S Jaipal Reddy on Thursday, Malaysia,China, Sri Lanka, Indonesia and Vietnam rank above India. The countrieswhich are ranked below India are Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal andPakistan.India's HDI has consistently gone up from 0.411 in 1975 to 0.595 in 2002.The HDI was 0.579 in 2000. The HDI, it may be mentioned, is an index whichfocuses on three measurable dimensions of human development - living a longand healthy life, being educated and having a decent standard of living. Theindex combines measures of life expectancy, school enrollment, literacy
 andincome to allow a broader view of a country's development.The 2002 report, which focuses on "Cultural liberty in today's world",recognises India's vibrant multi-cultural ethos based on a strong andcomposite policy framework that promotes democracy and diversity. 
 
The report, UNDP resident representative Maxine Olson said, "salutes India forits multi-cultural facet." In India there is space for state identity whilemaintaining a strong Central focus simultaneously, she added.Terming the HDI 2004 a monumental contribution, Mr Reddy said that culturalliberty was important not only for peace and progress but also for thesurvival of mankind. 
 
"We must all learn to live together, and celebrate diversity," the minister added.© 2004: Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd. All rights reservedthroughout the world.

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Church minister killed in Indonesia

2004-07-21 Thread Ulhas Joglekar
The HinduTuesday, Jul 20, 2004Indonesian church minister killedJAKARTA: Unidentified gunmen burst into a church in central Indonesia andopened fire, killing the woman minister and wounding four worshippers,police said on Monday. The killing on Sunday evening took place in Palu,central Sulawesi province, which has been hit by sporadic violence betweenMuslims and Christians since 2001. At least 1,000 people have been killed.Two men armed with automatic weapons overpowered the security guard atPalu's Effata Church before opening fire, the national police spokesman Gen.Paiman said. The preacher Susianti Tinulele was killed instantly, and fourothers were injured, he said."We are trying to determine the motive,'' said Gen. Paiman, who goes by asingle name. "It is very disturbing that attacks like this continue tohappen in churches in Palu.''In May, gunmen killed a prominent Christian prosecutor in Palu
 as he leftchurch. The town, 600 km northeast of Jakarta, was a major battleground infighting between Christians and Muslims three years ago. Large-scale clashesbetween the two sides have now subsided, but occasional shootings and bombblasts still take place in the region.APCopyright © 2004, The Hindu.

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Re: To Ulhas re definitions

2002-08-21 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Jim wrote:

>My impression is that the old USSR subsidized Cuba big time, by buying
>sugar at a >(usually) above-market rate and selling oil to them at a
>(usually) below-market rate. >Thus, when the USSR went south, Cuba's
economy
>went into severe crisis (which >they have adapted to very well,
>considering). Cuba, and the USSR's support for it, >made the USSR look
good.

Cuban ambassador to India recently invited Indian business to invest in
Cuba. Cuba seems to be inviting FDI. Cuba is a member of the WTO. Not much
different from other "Third World" nations in that aspect.

Ulhas





Re: Re: Re:To Ulhas re definitions_Cuba

2002-08-21 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Hari Kumar wrote:

>1) You ask essentially, whether I think Cuba was a neo-colony of the fUSSR?
>Answer: I do.  Our views on Cuban Revisionism; & Castro, & to a limited
>extent on >Guevera are at this site address:  Cuban Revisionism
>In synopsis: a national bourgeoisie who rapidly appreciated that there was
>liitle/no >base to build a viable state structure, who went to USA
>imperialism to ask for >collaborationist support; & who being rejected by
>them, had nowhere else to go but >to the USSR for such support. Castro
>"re-discovered" a pseudo-Marxism at that >point.

What has happened to Cuba since the USSR's demise? Is Cuba a neo-colony of
some other nation?

Ulhas





Vietnam's army gears up for telecoms offensive

2002-08-21 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

HindustanTimes.com

Wednesday, August 21, 2002

Vietnam's army gears up for telecoms offensive
AFP
Hanoi, August 21

Vietnam's military will kick off its major offensive on the domestic
telecommunications market on September 2, becoming the communist state's
fifth Internet service provider (ISP).

The army-run Electronic and Telecommunications Co. or Vietel, which was
granted a licence to provide online access in 1998, will only serve Hanoi
and the southern commercial capital of Ho Chi Minh City, a company spokesman
said.

It will be in direct competition with rival state-owned ISPs, Vietnam Data
and Communication Co., FPT, Saigon Net and Net Nam.

The military's move into the online world comes on the back of it receiving
the green light earlier this month to enter the fixed line telephone market
to complement its march into the lucrative mobile sector.

The start up date for Vietel's Internet operations coincides with Vietnam's
National Day celebrations commemorating the proclamation of independence
from French colonial rule in 1945 by communist party founding father Ho Chi
Minh.

For an initial period Vietel will offer discounted rates to attract
customers but it will then adopt a similar pricing policy to its
competitors, charging between 100 and 200 dong a minute (around one US
cent), the spokesman said.

He refused to reveal the amount of investment or its subscriber targets.
A further six other companies have been granted ISP licences but they have
yet to start operations.

As of June this year there were only 175,000 registered Internet users
across the predominantly agricultural country, a 30 percent increase on
2001.

However the number of people with online access, mainly via the country's
4,000-plus Internet cafes, is estimated to be as many as 1,000,000 from a
population of 79 million.

Low telephone ownership is one of the main barriers to Internet access since
it was first introduced to Vietnam in 1997 -- last year there were just 5.4
telephones per 100 people, according to the Vietnam Posts and
Telecommunications Corp. (VNPT).

Personal computer ownership is lower still in the Southeast Asian country,
where gross domestic product per capita last year was around 400 dollars.
The army, which has its fingers in nearly 200 businesses ranging from
transportation to construction and textiles, is also preparing for its entry
into the fixed line domestic phone market at the beginning of 2003.
For the past two years it has operated a cheap-rate international call
service, renting technology from VNPT. However Vietel says recent investment
in technology will enable it to go head-to-head with its former state-owned
partner in its own backyard.

The military's GSM (general system for mobile communications) network is
also scheduled to be operational during the first quarter of 2003, but will
initially only cover the capital, the central city of Danang and Ho Chi Minh
City.

Vietel says that by mid-2003, 40 of Vietnam's 61 provinces and cities should
be hooked up, breaking VNPT's lucrative stranglehold on the cellular market
through its VinaPhone network and from its MobiFone joint venture with
Sweden's Comvik.

Vietnam has around 1.6 million mobile phone subscribers but the figure is
predicted to reach more than seven million by the end of 2005, according to
VNPT.

The government has targeted telecoms development as one the keys to economic
growth and has marked it as high priority.

Industry experts say Vietnam is the second most rapidly expanding telecoms
market in the world after China.

© Hindustan Times Ltd. 2002.
Reproduction in any form is prohibited without prior permission
To send your feedback via web click here or email
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Re:To Ulhas re definitions

2002-08-21 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Hari Kumar wrote:

>3) a neo-colony, a former colony which has become a semi- colony,
>continuing to be dominated by a greater power for the benefit of
>the latter's ruling class, e.g., Tunisia, Jamaica.

I don't know much about Cuba, but how would you describe Cuba's relationship
to the fSU? Fraternal ties?

Ulhas





Soviet ships in the Indian Navy

2002-08-20 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

rediff.com:

April 6, 2001

Admiral J G Nadkarni (retd)

Who cares if Soviet ships were new or old?

Obviously the three services and the ministry of defence are on a major
image mending exercise. Aided and advised by the media's elder statesman B G
Verghese, the army and navy recently held public confessionals, justifying
purchases and trying belatedly to inject a bit of transparency to the
business of arms imports.

The Indian Navy held a press conference in which two senior naval officers
defended the purchase of the Barak missiles from Israel. Unfortunately, the
headlines next day talked more of Russian arms and spares than those from
Israel.

In probably an unguarded moment, the naval spokesman let out that the Soviet
Union has been possibly flogging us secondhand ships in the past. How true
are these charges and what effect has this had on the state of the Indian
fleet?

India's arms purchases from the Soviet Union began in the mid-sixties. As a
result of India's refusal to join any of the military alliances, Western
powers, especially the US and the UK, refused to supply us with our
requirements in weapons and other military hardware, leaving defence
minister Yashwant Chavan with no alternative except to seek them from the
Soviet Union.

Beginning in 1965, the Soviets supplied India's armed forces with nearly 70
per cent of its weapons, tanks, ships and aircraft. The Indian Navy received
Petya class patrol vessels, Foxtrot class submarines, mine sweepers, landing
craft, a submarine tender and a submarine rescue vessel.

The switch over from west to east required a great deal of sacrifice and
adjustment from the navy and its personnel. Up to that time India's
principal supplier had been the United Kingdom. There was a close
association between the Indian Navy and the Royal Navy. Most of the senior
officers had been trained in the UK and on board British ships. Indeed, for
nearly 15 years after independence the navy was headed by a Royal Navy
officer on loan.

Each country builds its warships according to its own peculiar philosophy.
The ships are designed around equipment which that country produces. The
Royal Navy gave a lot of importance to habitability, sea keeping qualities,
neatness and good looks. The Soviets on the other hand believed in stuffing
their ships with weapons and equipment resulting in crammed accommodation
and poor habitability.

Indian officers and sailors, brought up on western propaganda, believed the
Soviet ships to be badly designed, with inferior equipment and poor sea
keeping qualities. Only after the first lot of crews had got used to the
Soviet ships did they realise that not only were the ships not in any way
worse than their British counterparts but in many ways superior to them. The
Soviet Petyas, for example, which we acquired in the mid-sixties were fitted
with gas turbines which the west only began to fit on their ships in the
seventies.

In the latter acquisitions, such as the Kashins and the Kilo class
submarines, which we acquired in the early eighties, there was a vast
improvement in accommodation and habitability. The Soviets, who had little
clue in the early years about operating ships in the tropics, began to
accede to our requirements. Air conditioning capacity was enhanced and ships
made a little more comfortable.

Did the Soviets palm off secondhand ships to India? There is strong
circumstantial evidence to indicate that this might have been true. Prior to
the Soviet purchases, India had acquired eight new frigates from the UK. In
every case of building a new ship the process starts at the builder's yard.
Right from the start, technical representatives of the buyer are present and
oversee the construction. They have even the right to reject a part of the
construction, as indeed did happen at the yard of HDW in Germany when a
major assembly of the submarine was rejected by Indian overseers. The keel
laying and the launching of a ship are ceremonies which are undertaken with
a degree of pomp and publicity. The ship is named during launching by a
VVIP.

None of this happened with the Soviet purchases. From the start the Soviets
had a take-it-or-leave-it attitude. They refused permission for Indian
officers to be stationed at the building yards, even as observers, leave
alone as overseers. Indeed, no one knew where the ships were being built and
launched. The crew would be asked to come to a particular port where the
ship would be handed over for commissioning.

In the initial purchases the Soviets even refused to admit Indian personnel
to be present during sea trials. It took nearly twenty years of haggling and
persistence for the Soviets to agree to Indian presence during sea trials.
The recent launch of the Krivak class frigate Talwar was the first occasion
that Indians have performed a launching ceremony at a Russian yard.
All this led to a deep suspicion among India sailors that the Soviets were
not building ships anew for the Indian Navy but pulling out

Re::Stiglitz interview_Character of PRC

2002-08-20 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Hari Kumar wrote:

> I suggest that the term is still meaningful.  [Even despite the
> increasingly 'narrow' stage on which national capitalists can play in
> today's even more inter-penetrated world].  It describes for instance
> the opponents of Chavez in the recent tussles in Venezuela. ie. Those
> whose vested interests (you use the term accumulation) reside in
> external imperial connections. The original term according to Oxford
> dictionary was coined regarding the agents for imperial shipping firms
> in China. I think that this still describes a grouping whose primary
> economic function is as the funnel of imperialism into various
> semi-colonies or neo-colonial states. This is largely different from the
> role of political sycophancy that for instance, Mr.Blair - leading
> representatives of rival imperialism may indulges in.

I don't know anything about Venezuela. My question was about the concept of
comprador capital, if there is one. Similarly we need the concepts of other
terms you use, viz. semi-colony, neo-colony etc., if loose talk about x or y
nation being a colony/semi-colony/neocolony is to be avoided. Perhaps you
could
offer a set of definitions which can be applied consistently and rigorously
to various social formations.

Ulhas






Re::Stiglitz interview_Character of PRC

2002-08-19 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Hari Kumar:

> (1) IT si true that the COMPRADOR capital was expropriated:

What is comprador capital in contemporary capitalism? We know productive
capital, industrial capital etc. from their place in the accumulation
process. What do compradors do in the accumulation process today? Is the
term relevant any longer?

Ulhas




Vietnam may fortify Internet firewall

2002-08-19 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

HindustanTimes.com

Friday, August 16, 2002

Communist Vietnam may fortify Internet firewall
Reuters
Hanoi, August 16

Communist-ruled Vietnam, which has been policing Internet use more closely,
may further fortify its Internet firewall to block out subversive material
and pornography, a government official said.

The Lao Dong (Labour) newspaper quoted Phan An Sa, deputy chief inspector of
the Culture and Information Ministry, as urging Vietnam's Internet access
providers to tighten firewalls to block subversive material.

Cyberspace usage in the southeast Asian country is already controlled, and
some sites, such as those run by overseas dissident groups, are hard to
access.

Rights groups accused the government earlier this year of detaining three
dissidents for publishing on the Internet pro-democracy texts and criticism
of Vietnam's border agreements with China, a charge Hanoi has denied.

Last month the government also suspended the operations of a local website,
saying it had not registered with the authorities.

Sa told the newspaper that Internet service providers "need to stop
immediately (inbound subversive information) at the national gateway".
Vietnam has three state-run Internet access firms of which the largest is
Vietnam Data Communication Co. About one million of Vietnam's 80 million
population surf the Net.

Sa, who headed a two-week nationwide inspection of Internet usage that ended
on Wednesday, said Internet service providers must be responsible for
restricting users' access to "degenerating information" or pornographic
material.
Sa could not be reached for further comment.

In the interview, he said five types of information "which affect national
security" had been discovered on the Internet, including outbound and
inbound transfers of anti-government materials and the use of cyberspace for
fraud.

Sa said 70 percent of Internet users in Vietnam log in for chatting, 10
percent for games, 10 percent for e-mails and 10 percent for access to
websites, of which five percent mainly surfed "harmful sites containing
reactionary and sexual content".

No punishment has yet been set for the offences uncovered during the
crackdown but Sa said authorities should impose fines and increase education
on Internet use for young people since most of those who surfed the net were
between 14 and 24.

The Culture and Information Ministry is in charge of monitoring Internet
content in Vietnam, which is seeking to push an aggressive economic agenda
and promote foreign investment while maintaining control over its
population.

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Reproduction in any form is prohibited without prior permission
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Re: RE: Re: production & realization

2002-08-18 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Jim wrote:
>an accounting quibble: it's not a balance of payments deficit, but a
>current-account >deficit balanced by a capital-account surplus, where the
>latter implies that the US >national net worth is falling.

Thanks for replying. One more question, if you don't mind. How the US can
have a capital-account surplus despite low interest rates?

Ulhas




UN cuts rations in Afghanistan

2002-08-18 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

HindustanTimes.com

Sunday, August 18, 2002

UN cuts rations as Afghan food aid runs out

Simon Denyer (Reuters)
Mazar-i-Sharif, August 18

The UN's World Food Programme is being forced to cut rations for millions of
hungry and vulnerable Afghans because international donors have failed to
stump up promised cash, officials say.

Just seven months after Western nations pledged billions of dollars in aid
to help rebuild Afghanistan, money is already running out for the most basic
requirement - feeding people who continue to live on the borderline of
survival.

"The level of resources we are going to get will not be enough," said Guy
Gauvreau, the WFP's representative for northern Afghanistan.

"We're extremely worried about it. It's understandable - there's a drought
in southern Africa - but we cannot forget Afghanistan," he said.

Some six million Afghans still need food aid over the next year, according
to UN figures.

The WFP has appealed for $285 million this year but is still short of more
than $90 million - or 200,000 tonnes of food - and the lack of cash is
beginning to hurt.

Afghanistan is only slowly getting back on its feet after 23 years of war
and the worst drought in living memory. The south remains bone dry for a
fourth year, and while there has been decent rainfall in the north, many
people are still struggling.

UNPRECEDENTED DESTITUTION

Shortages of seeds or oxen combined with locust infestations and a lack of
security in many areas all limited the harvest, which Gauvreau says was
"good, but not enough to feed people".

Afghanistan already has one of the highest levels of infant and maternal
mortality in the world and life expectancy is among the lowest. The drought
has brought people to a unprecedented levels of destitution, aid workers
say.

More than half the country's livestock has been lost in the last four years,
with massive deaths and distress selling last year. Rebuilding of herds is
only happening slowly this year.
"People have sold livestock, mortgaged their land, some have gone into debt,
even sold the beams of their houses," said Andrew Pinney of Irish aid agency
GOAL. "And they have sold in a terrible market, that's how desperate they
have become."

Pinney says some parents in the north have even been forced to sell their
daughters as child brides, girls as young as eight fetching between $150 and
$800.

"The practice seems to have stopped in the last six months as food aid has
produced some sort of buffer," Pinney said, adding continued support was
essential to help communities recover.

But support is running out. Only a fraction of the $4.5 billion in aid
pledged to Afghanistan in January has so far come through.

Donors have cited security concerns and Afghanistan's still limited capacity
to absorb aid, but critics blame bureaucracy and many Afghans feel the
outside world has simply failed to live up to its promises.

RATIONS CUT AS BRUSSELS, WASHINGTON SQUABBLE

Humanitarian sources say Washington, which has so far provided the lion's
share of WFP's funding for Afghanistan this year, is demanding Brussels meet
more of the shortfall.
As the two capitals squabble over who should pay the bill, Gauvreau is being
forced to cut back on aid for vulnerable Afghans in the north.

Former refugees returning from abroad used to receive a one- time handout
from WFP of 250 kg of wheat to help them get back on their feet.

That ration has been cut this month to just 100 kg, and Gauvreau says he
fears a further cut to 50 kg within two weeks if aid does not arrive fast.

Crucial food-for-work programmes -- where communities receive aid in return
for digging wells or canals or improving their land -- also face the axe
throughout the north.

Gauvreau needs to find 18,000 tonnes of wheat from somewhere to truck into
the mountains before the roads close around the end of October, to help two
million people get through the harsh winter.

"What we are afraid of is that if the winterisation plan does not have
enough resources to implement, there's going to be a major nutritional
crisis in the mountain areas," he said.

© Hindustan Times Ltd. 2002.
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Re: Pakistan reject UN inspection of nuclear plants

2002-08-18 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

ken hanly wrote:
> So how come Pakistan isnt part of the axis of evil and attacked for
> developing weapons of mass destruction and ignoring the UN?

Pakistan acquired nuclear weapons capability in 80s. The decision to develop
nuclear weapon capability was probably made immediately after the loss of
Bangladesh in 1971. During 80s Pakistan was a frontline state in the US
campaign (supported by China) against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan.
US could not do without Pakistan, since Iran was a anti-US after Iranian
revolution. US, therefore, ignored Pakistan's acquisition of nuclear
weapons. Much of Pakistani missile capability to deliver nuclear weapons,
comes from China and North Korea.

There is no question of Pakistan ignoring the UN, since the UN doesn't have
resolutions about nukes. Pakistan is not required to accept UN inspection.
P-5 monopoly over nuclear weapons is codified by Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty. India and Pakistan are not signatories to this treaty.

Ulhas





Re: RE: Re: production & realization

2002-08-17 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Jim wrote:

>In fact, under the right conditions, such as those of the 1950s and 1960s
>in the U.S., >it can pull up wages (relative to labor productivity) and
thus
>consumer demand, >preventing underconsumption problems (without it being
>necessary for consumers >to get into severe debt).

Would this correspond to capital accumulation largely founded on the
relative surplus value?

>But under historically-specific conditions such as those of the 1920s or
>the 1990s, >where accumulation doesn't pull wages up much relative to labor
>productivity and >there's a world-wide "race" (or creep) to the bottom,
>there's an underconsumption >undertow. The one-sided class struggle against
>labor -- combined with competitive >austerity and export-promotion -- keeps
>consumer demand growing very slowly.

Is this the strategy of accumulation grounded in the absolute surplus value?

>But that doesn't mean we can't have economic booms like that of the late
>1990s >(again in the U.S.) Accumulation can speed ahead. In fact, it did
so,
>but it had to speed >up more than in the 1950s or 1960s, to make up for the
>baleful pull of the >undertow. And consumption boomed, but almost
completely
>based on a truly >dramatic increase in indebtedness. Both of these booms
>corresponded to a rapid >increase in U.S. external indebtedness. So the
>"solution" to the undertow created >new problems, new imbalances, with
which
>we are still living.

I don't know much about the US economy, but the popular perception about the
US economy is the US lives beyond its means. US savings rate is low. US
economy has a massive balance of payments deficit combined with a huge
fiscal deficit (except perhaps for Clinton years) Thus, the US would seem to
be characterised by overconsumption, rather than an underconsumption
undertow. How do we reconcile the hypothesis of undertow with the appearance
of profligacy?

Ulhas




Re: production & realization

2002-08-17 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Jim D. wrote:
>Laissez-faire_ (blatantly pro-business) capitalism of the sort that
>prevailed in >the .1920s and the 1980s-90s eventually causes an
>underconsumption undertow that >increasingly drags the system into crisis.
>Counteracting influences -- such as >increasing extension of credit --
>eventually fail, so the economy falls, as happened in >1929-33 and seems to
>be happening now. (However, we can't say yet that the >magnitude of the
>current problem is as big as that of the 1930s.)

Could you explain what you mean by "an underconsumption undertow"? Is this
different from usual underconsumptionist arguments?

Ulhas






Taiwan Bank Mergers

2002-08-17 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Financial Express

Thursday, August 15, 2002

Taiwan Banks To Expedite Merger Efforts As Competition Hots Up

Taipei, Aug 14:  Two large bank mergers in Taiwan, worth nearly $ six
billion, will force smaller rivals to speed up their search for partners in
a crowded financial sector that has been slow to reform and is dogged by bad
debts and weak profits.

Taiwan's 52 banks, striving to widen services to the island's 23 million
people, are also being spurred to merge by the lure of China as the world's
largest potential market gradually opens up.

With thousands of Taiwan manufacturers based in China, Taiwan banks have a
huge customer base just waiting to be served.

The long-delayed bank consolidation was set in motion with the $2.4 billion
merger between Fubon Financial Holding Co and government-backed Taipei Bank,
forming Taiwan's fourth largest financial group. Cathay Financial Holdings
Co Ltd, Taiwan's largest listed financial group, followed with a plan to pay
$3.4 billion in stock for United World Chinese Commercial Bank, in the
island's largest corporate takeover.

The deals created two new entrants into Asia's 10 largest financial groups
outside of Japan and Australia.

"Yes, definitely. Perhaps this will be a catalyst to speed up decision
making at these institutions," said a financial sector analyst at Goldman
Sachs based in Hong Kong.

She was referring to strong private banking firms such as SinoPac Holdings
Co, which could become a target for the three failed suitors for Taipei
Bank. They are Chinatrust Financial Holding, China Development Financial and
Yuanta-Core Pacific Securities.

Chinatrust Financial, which includes Taiwan's largest private bank, raised
$400 million in June for a takeover of a local bank. A month earlier, China
Development, the island's biggest venture capital firm, raised $575 million
for the same purpose.

"Even if you are a successful, healthy independent institution, times are
changing quickly and you have to consider joining forces with other
institutions that can bring more product to your customers," said Mr Andrew
Brown, the global banking team leader at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter in Hong
Kong.

Taiwan's move to force consolidation has come later than regional peers such
as South Korea, which has some 20 banks serving a population more than twice
that of the island.

As overdue loans continued to rise, reaching a record 8.04 per cent in the
first quarter this year - private analysts say the true level is double
that - the government became serious about consolidation as WTO entry
loomed.

- Reuters

© 2002: Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd. All rights reserved
throughout the world.




Hong Kong’s super rich still have a ball

2002-08-16 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Economic Times

Saturday, August 10, 2002

Forget slump, Hong Kong’s super rich still have a ball

REUTERS

HONG KONG: Abbie Chan drives a Porsche and says she owns about half a dozen
luxury apartments in Hong Kong.

A regular on the high-society circuit, the businesswoman attends 3-4 balls a
month, spending around HK$10,000 ($1,300) on new clothes and accessories
each time.

Trim and fashionable, she is one of Hong Kong’s ultra rich, boasting a
lifestyle the overwhelming majority of residents can only read about in the
society pages of newspapers. While most people fret about unemployment and
how to make ends meet as the city struggles to shake off its second
recession in five years, such woes are remote to the super-rich.

Chan says she made $25m selling insurance when she was 23 before going on to
make more by distributing health products in the last eight years. While the
halving of Hong Kong real estate prices since ‘97 has hit the value of her
properties, Ms Chan continues her skiing trips and shopping sprees in
Europe. Asked how she felt about the hardship most people in the territory
face, Chan said, “I’m lucky and I treasure what I have.”

Showing off a wine cellar in her sprawling duplex flat, the 30-something
says her career success and wealth have very little to do with her
privileged background. The wine cellar cost HK$500,000 to build and the wine
is worth up to HK$2m, she said. Her architect father owns a string of
properties in Hong Kong and went into retirement in his 40s.

Ms Chan and her older sister clinched exclusive rights to distribute the
Maruha brand of shark liver pills outside Japan in ‘94 and the business has
since grown. Popular belief credits shark liver pills with being a sovereign
remedy for illness ranging from arthritis to diabetes.

Apart from Hong Kong, the sisters also distribute the products in
Switzerland, Singapore and Australia. “When you are rich, you will be
beautiful. Money can buy beauty,” says the golfer, who swims and undergoes
regular slimming treatments and beauty care.

While the less fortunate tighten their belts, the slump has meant little to
Ms Chan and her ilk. Sales of foreign branded items have remained strong and
luxury car dealers recently said their top-end customers are still bringing
in the much-needed revenues.

There are the exceptions, however. The downturn has claimed many casualties
in Hong Kong, and amongst them are a few well-known names. Veteran Cantopop
singer Kenny Bee, once the heart-throb of thousands of teenage girls, filed
for bankruptcy in July.

Mr Bee and his former wife Teresa Cheung borrowed heavily to invest in Hong
Kong’s real estate in the ‘90s, but found themselves stuck with huge debts
when the property market crashed in ‘97. Newspapers put the sum at HK$250m.
The number of personal bankruptcies hit a record 10,173 in the first half of
‘02, almost triple those in the same period last year and surpassing the
total for all of ‘01.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




Re: From Hyperbolic Comparisons to Haughty Patronisation

2002-08-15 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Hari Kumar wrote:

>Dear Louis, don't patronise.

Indian CPs have 1 million party members, but on Left-wing mailing lists I
have been subjected to lectures on party building, stagism, Marx's letter to
Zasulikh, Marx on India, Vasco de gama etc etc. ! :-)

Ulhas




Re: Re: Re: American anti-terrorist drive targets Filipino Communists

2002-08-15 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Scott Harrison wrote:

> There are still Marxist revolutionaries in this world, and in fact growing
> numbers of them in some areas--especially south Asia

Growing number in South Asia as a whole? You mean Nepal, I presume.

Ulhas




Malaysian courts order illegal immigrants to be whipped

2002-08-15 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Times of India

SUNDAY, AUGUST 11, 2002

Malaysian courts order illegal immigrants to be whipped

AP

KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian courts for the first time ordered seven foreigners
to be whipped and imprisoned for entering the country without valid papers
under tough new laws against illegal immigrants, court officials said on
Saturday.

Four Indonesians were sentenced to be lashed twice with a rattan cane.
Another Indonesian and two Bangladesh nationals were ordered to be whipped
once.

The seven, aged between 22 to 38, who pleaded guilty to entering the country
illegally, were also sentenced to jail terms between six months and two
years.

The sentences were handed out by lower courts in the central state of
Selangor and the northern island state of Penang on Friday, court officials
in the two states said on condition of anonymity.

The seven are the first to be charged under new laws that were enforced this
month which provide for fines of up to 10,000 ringgit ($2,600), mandatory
prison terms of six months to five years and up to six strokes of the cane.

Previously offenders were fined and in some cases given jail sentences of
less then three months before they were deported.

The new laws came into force after a four-month grace period that allowed
illegal immigrants to leave the country lapsed. Government officials say
about 290,000 illegal immigrants, mainly from Indonesia and Bangladesh, left
the country during that time.

Officials estimated that before the crackdown up to 600,000 illegal workers
formed a labor black market in Malaysia, one of Southeast Asia's wealthiest
countries and a magnet for migrants fleeing poverty and violence in the
region. The government says about 450,000 of them are Indonesians who mostly
work in menial plantation, construction or housekeeping jobs.

The plight of thousands of illegal Indonesian workers still in Malaysia -
who face caning and imprisonment if caught by authorities - topped the
agenda during talks between Malaysian Premier Mahathir Mohamad and
Indonesian President Megawati Sukarnoputri in Bali, Indonesia earlier this
week.

Indonesia is asking Malaysia to allow the remaining illegal workers to stay
while their travel documents and work visas are processed in the Malaysian
cities of Kuala Lumpur and Johor Bahru. The Malaysian government says it
will give extra time to people who can prove they plan to leave the country.

Officials from the two countries insist ties between their governments
remain strong despite the eviction of thousands of Indonesian workers from
Malaysia.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




FDI in China continues to show robust growth

2002-08-14 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Economic Times

Tuesday, August 13, 2002

FDI in China continues to show robust growth

AFP

BEIJING: Foreign direct investment in China surged 22 per cent year-on-year
in the first seven months of 2002, well up on the 18.7 per cent recorded in
the first half of the year, official figures showed on Monday.

A total of $29.5 billion of overseas investment was pumped into the
country's economy to the end of July, the Ministry of Foreign Trade and
Economic Cooperation said.

The swift growth follows China's World Trade Organization membership,
achieved late last year.

Foreign investment has shot up as China begins dismantling many of its
arcane regulations that excluded foreign competition, now outlawed under WTO
regulations.

Investment commitment in the first seven months to July also showed strong
gains, up 34.9 per cent, although this year-on-year increase slowed from the
stellar 45.7 mark of the comparable seven-month period in 2001.

China's Minister for Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation Shi Guangsheng
forecast earlier this month that China's total direct foreign investment
could reach $50 billion this year, up from $46.8 billion in 2001.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.






Moon within our reach Isro

2002-08-13 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Times of India

TUESDAY, AUGUST 13, 2002

Moon within our reach: Isro

SRINIVAS LAXMAN

TIMES NEWS NETWORK

MUMBAI: The report of the lunar mission task force, which was constituted by
the Indian Space Research Organisation (Isro) last year, states that the
moon is within India’s reach.

The report, which was submitted to Isro chairperson K. Kasturirangan in
July, emphasises that this country has the technical capability to launch an
unmanned flight to the moon in five years.

The task force was headed by George Joseph, former director of the
Ahmedabad-based Space Applications Centre. Its other members included space
scientists P C Agarwal of the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research in
Mumbai and N Bhandari of the Physical Research Laboratory at Ahmedabad. Its
membersecretary was K. Thyagarajan of the Isro satellite centre in
Bangalore.

Speaking to TNN from Ahmedabad on Monday, Joseph said, “Ours is the official
report on India’s mission to the moon. Our studies clearly indicate that
this country has the technical capability to launch this mission and place a
satellite in the lunar orbit for carrying out scientific studies.”

He said it took quite some time to prepare the report because the task force
members had to do a lot of research by carrying out computer simulations.
Outlining some of the salient points in the recently- submitted report, he
said:

The rocket to be used for the mission will be the highly-proven Polar
Satellite Launch Vehicle.

After launch, the satellite will be initially placed in a particular orbit
(the geo-synchronous transfer orbit).

At this point, it will fire its thruster motors,which will raise the
satellite to the lunar orbit. The flight from launch to the lunar orbit is
expected to last for five days.

A deep space network for communication purposes has to be set up prior to
embarking on the lunar mission. One such unit can be set up at the tracking
centre at Bangalore.

The project will cost less than Rs 400 crore, which includes setting up the
deep space network.

Joseph said the Indian moon project arose out of Kasturirangan’s vision to
embark on such an exciting and challenging mission. According to Joseph, it
has the backing of prestigious bodies like the Astronautical Society of
India.

Once the Indian lunar mission is given the formal go-ahead by Kasturirangan,
it will have be to be cleared at different levels in the government.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




Re: Reform-ism

2002-08-12 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Jurriaan Bendien wrote:

> Michael is quite right. I just don't see any real evidence of Marx arguing
> for stage-ism, in the sense of a necessary sequence of stages of
> development. He just says that the more developed capitalist country shows
> the less developed capitalist country an image of its own future. That is
a
> developmental trajectory, not a stage (although it could be interpreted in
> a stagist way, I suppose).  But Trotsky argues no different, he makes the
> same argument but then in terms of unequal and combined development.

There is also a tendency to bend the stick excessively in the other
(anti-stagist) direction. Anti-stagism frequently becomes a unversally
formula, just like stagism.

Ulhas





Japanese firms cutting pension benefits report

2002-08-12 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Economic Times

Sunday, August 11, 2002

Japanese firms cutting pension benefits: report

REUTERS

TOKYO: Declining investment returns are forcing a growing number of Japanese
companies to cut pension benefits, according to a government survey reported
in the financial daily Nihon Keizai Shimbun.

As of the end of March 2002, 366 companies, or more than 20 per cent of
those surveyed by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, had cut
pension benefits, the newspaper said. Some had cut payments by almost a
quarter.

Most were targeting future pension payments promised to employees, but seven
firms had cut benefits for people who had already retired. Another 100 or so
companies are expected to cut pension benefits in the current financial
year, the paper quoted the government report as saying.

Japanese employee pension funds are divided into two portions, one of which
is managed by the public pension system, under which benefits are fixed.

The other portion is the responsibility of the firms, which had calculated
pension levels on the assumption that their investments would return between
three and five per cent annually.

But with interest rates hovering near all-time lows and Japan's Nikkei stock
average at little more than a quarter of its peak levels, many companies
have found it impossible to squeeze returns from pension capital.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




Mekong: A river of opportunity

2002-08-11 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Business Standard

Friday, August 9, 2002

ASIA FILE

A river of opportunity

It is classic regional cooperation, although environmentalists will have
different views, says Barun Roy

It is classic regional cooperation, although environmentalists will have
different views. Thailand is helping China build a 1,500 MW hydroelectric
power station on the Mekong in Yunnan province and will buy back its entire
output.

The $1 billion plant, fourth in a series of eight that Beijing has planned
to build to turn Yunnan into an energy base, will be located at Jinghong,
about 105 km from the Laotian border.

GMS Power, one of Thailand’s leading private power developers, is the
project’s principal shareholder, with a 70 per cent financial stake. Chinese
Power Corporation, Yunnan Electricity Generating Authority, and the
government of Yunnan province are the other partners. Work is scheduled to
start in 2006. A transmission line through Laos will deliver the power to
Chiangmai, 400 kilometres away, where the Thai grid will take over.

China sees the Mekong as a gigantic water machine to generate enough
electricity to transform its southern regions and also leave some for its
neighbours.

Its part of the river, known locally as the Lancang, is a turbulent course
with steep drops all along its 1,240 km stretch, making it an ideal turner
of turbines. The eight plants will have a combined capacity of 15,550 MW,
equal to almost 80 per cent of the proposed capacity of the massive Three
Gorges project on the Yangtze.

On its own, Thailand cannot produce all the electricity it needs and Yunnan,
with its grandiose plans, is a convenient source. This convergence of demand
and supply has made Thailand sign up for 3,000 MW of Yunnan power.
The remaining 1,500 MW of the Chinese supply is to come from the 4,500 MW
fifth Lancang power station to be built at Nuozhadu, upriver from Jinghong,
and the power will be available by 2014.

Thailand has signed similar energy contracts with Laos, and three Laotian
power plants — the Theun Hinboun, Houay Ho, and Nam Leuk — are more or less
dedicated to supplying its needs. By 2008, Thailand will be buying a total
of 3,263 MW from at least six Laotian plants, including the $600 million Nam
Ngum-3.

When completed by December 2006, Nam Ngum-3, also sponsored by GMS Power,
will feature a 220-metre-high concrete-face rock-fill dam across the Nam
Ngum River (a Mekong tributary), a 440 MW underground power station, and a
133 km, 230 kV transmission line to the border of Thailand.

The 4,200 km Mekong, thus, has truly emerged as a river of opportunity.
While energy is an obvious field of cooperation, there are other areas of
opportunity. River transport, and tourism based on it, is one of them.
Since the 1960s, China has been dredging the Lancang to enable it to
accommodate ships between 100 DWT and 300 DWT (deadweight tonnage). In June
2001, an 886 km section from Simao Port in Yunnan to Luang Prabang in Laos
was opened to commercial navigation. With further improvements, almost the
entire stretch of the Mekong from the delta to Yunnan will be passable by
large ships carrying cargo and tourists.

Before 1990, the Mekong wasn’t a viable export route for China. Today, at
least 250,000 tons of Chinese exports pass through the river every year. And
over 100 passenger ships sail it on regular cruises, offering tourists an
unforgettable adventure through some of Asia’s most exotic landscapes and
cultures.

As economic cooperation builds up along the Mekong, environmentalists are
worried that the mighty river and its ecosystem could be at grave risk from
human activity. They are particularly disturbed by China’s dam projects,
which, they argue, will interrupt the river’s natural flow, destroy its many
islands, swallow vast agricultural areas, swamp villages, and ruin fishing
grounds in Laos, Cambodia, and Vietnam.

China doesn’t think so and believes its dams will, on the contrary, increase
the Mekong’s dry-season runoff in its lower reaches by at least threefold,
from 689 cubic metres per second at present to 1,869 cubic metres per
second.

The first Lancang dam, supporting a 1,250 MW power station, was commissioned
at Manwan, about 500 km from Kunming, in 1996. The second, 111 metres high,
with a total storage capacity of 940 million cubic metres, is located at
Dachaoshan, 131 km further downstream, where the first generating unit
started rolling last year, three units will be in operation this year, and
two more will be completed in 2003.

Last January, China started building its third project on the Lancang, at
Xiaowan, whose 292-metre-high (100 storey) dam wall will make it the world’s
tallest. It will be a $4 billion behemoth, with a reservoir that will hold
15 billion cubic metres of water, the combined volume of all reservoirs in
Yunnan.

It is this project that has angered the world’s environmentalists, but it’s
crucial in China’s energy calculations. The 4,200 MW plant, whose first unit
will be rea

Jordan won't be a launchpad for Iraq strikes

2002-08-10 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

HindustanTimes.com

Saturday, August 10, 2002

Jordan won't be a launchpad for Iraq strikes

Agence France-Presse
Kuwait City, August 10

Jordan's foreign minister stressed Saturday his country would not serve as a
launchpad for any US military action against Iraq and saw time enough for
Baghdad to implement UN resolutions to avert a strike.

"No one has asked us to use our territory. We cannot accept such requests
anyway," Marwan Moasher told Kuwaiti daily Al-Rai Al-Aam in an interview.

"No one has asked us for things which are above our capacity," he added.

"It's clear that if Iraq doesn't implement UN Security Council resolutions
the strike will definitely take place, 100 percent," Moasher warned.

"However, if Iraq implements UN resolutions, there will be at least a
chance, even a very slim one, to avoid the strike."

Moasher said he believed there was still ample time "to try and avoid such a
strike, and we have to exploit any opportunity to avoid the strike."

The Jordanian official also warned that "the region has enough problems as
it is, especially the political and security crisis in the Palestinian
territories. We can not withstand two fires at one time."

Moasher said his country had not discussed with the United States details of
a military strike against Iraq, "for the simple reason that we're
essentially against a strike."

Washington "didn't inform us of any military plans in this regard. And
naturally, we strongly refuse to participate in such a strike or permit the
use of our territory."

The United States has threatened to take military action against Iraq in a
bid to unseat President Saddam Hussein whom it accuses of developing weapons
of mass destruction.

Jordan, a key Western ally in the region, has repeatedly insisted that it
will play no part in any US-led attack and last month took journalists on a
rare tour of an air base near the Iraqi border in a bid to prove there were
no US forces there.

© Hindustan Times Ltd. 2002.
Reproduction in any form is prohibited without prior permission
To send your feedback via web click here or email
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Re: Dismal rumination

2002-08-09 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Rob Schaap wrote:
> 'Globalisation' may not have looked too synchronised while the hegemon
> seemed to be going well, but it sure looks synchronised when it's not.

> >Global: A Global Double Dip?
>
> >Stephen Roach (New York)
>
> >With globalization comes a world business cycle with increasingly
> >synchronous fluctuations.

What's the future of Left nationalism in Asia and elsewhere, if the US
economy is the most important source of capital accumulation globally?

Ulhas





China's Three Gorges' project

2002-08-09 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Economist.com

China's Three Gorges' project

Dam shame

Jul 4th 2002 | FENGJIE COUNTY
>From The Economist print edition

What happens to the villagers who dare to protest

IN THE village of Yaowan on the northern bank of the Yangtze River, some
residents are dreading the imminent arrival of the demolition teams that
will flatten their settlement and force its occupants to move elsewhere.
Yaowan is one of hundreds of villages and dozens of towns that will be
flooded after the world's biggest hydroelectric dam blocks the Yangtze at
the bottom of the scenic Three Gorges in June next year. Many in the
reservoir area, 600km (375 miles) long, complain that the government's
resettlement programme is unfair and plagued by corruption. Yaowan's
citizens are particularly angry.
In late May, hundreds of Yaowan's inhabitants gathered to protest against
what they say is the government's failure to compensate them adequately for
the loss of their land and houses. They blocked traffic attempting to pass
through the village, which lies on a main road running through Fengjie
County at the entrance to the gorges. Elderly villagers sat on rocks placed
in the middle of the road, until the authorities lost patience.
The government is fearful of unrest that could cast more doubt over the
controversial project and complicate the task of relocating more than 1.2m
people, or perhaps as many as 2m according to some Chinese experts.
Criticism of the project is rarely allowed to appear in China's
state-controlled media. But in 1999 a Chinese academic wrote in a leading
journal that the resettlement of reservoir-area inhabitants could become "an
explosive social problem, a source of constant social instability in our
country for the first half of the next century."
It already is a huge social problem. A scarcity of arable land means many of
those resettled will have to move far from their homes. The finance ministry
has recommended relocating them to sparsely populated areas such as Tibet
and Xinjiang, which will fuel anti-Chinese sentiment among ethnic minorities
in those areas. Compensation payments are woefully inadequate and much of
the little that is available is drained away by corruption. The government
admitted two years ago that some $58m of resettlement money, out of $2.1
billion then allocated, had been misappropriated.

But the government does not want evacuees airing their grievances in public.
Early last year, the authorities arrested four farmers in Yunyang, in the
next county upriver from Fengjie, who had complained to foreign journalists
about corruption among officials in charge of resettlement. The farmers were
accused of leaking state secrets.
In Yaowan village, hundreds of police and paramilitary troops were deployed
to stop the protests. Participants say the protests were peaceful. Officials
say some villagers violently resisted attempts to disperse them. The police
detained more than a dozen people, of whom villagers say nine remain in
custody. They say the police are still looking for organisers. "We don't
dare to speak out," says one villager. "If we do, we'll be arrested."
Protests such as those in Yaowan could become more frequent in the coming
months as the resettlement process moves into high gear. Between the start
of the Three Gorges dam construction in 1993 and the end of last year,
458,000 people were moved. This year alone, another 148,000 will have to
relocate. The aim is to complete the process by the end of the year,
including the demolition of buildings beneath the reservoir's initial water
level. But even though demolition teams have already reduced much of the
riparian settlement between the dam site and Chongqing, at the head of the
reservoir-to-be, there is much work to be done.
The government tried to create a sense of urgency in January by organising
television coverage of the dynamiting of Fengjie County's government
headquarters in Yongan and a disused power station. But much of Yongan is
still standing. Its narrow streets, known as a haunt of some the nation's
most famous classical poets, still teem with life. Its decades-old rubbish
tips have yet to be moved, if they ever will be. A Chinese newspaper said in
a forthright report in February that the reservoir, filled with refuse,
could breed disease.
Much of the new county seat, high above the river, is still a building site,
though government and Communist Party organs have already occupied their
lavish new offices and a few senior officials have moved into luxury
five-bedroom apartments overlooking the river-suspiciously comfortable given
that Fengjie is relatively poor. Most of Fengjie's urban residents will end
up with better housing. But the compensation scheme provides free housing
only up to the same size as residents' cramped homes. Since most of the new
accommodation is bigger, residents have to pay premium prices for the
additional floor space. "Ordinary people have to spend a lifetime's savings
for a new place," says the manag

Re: RE: Re: models and theory

2002-08-08 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Jim D. wrote:

>I didn't say that India was pursuing the export-led growth model. My
>understanding -- >based on incomplete info, BTW -- is that after
>independence the "model" was import->substitution and that in the last 10
>years or so, India was in the process of switching >over to export-led
>growth (without going all the way, since India has such a large >internal
>market).

My point was that the economy must have substitutable imports in sufficient
magnitude to make import substitution model possible. Further, the debate
about the export led and import substitution models focuses on the role of
markets in capital accumulation. My question is this: Is it capital
accumulation that creates markets or markets that stimulate capital
accumulation? I am assuming that the problem is posed from the standpoint,
not of individual capital, but of the total capital.

Ulhas





Re: Re: models and theory

2002-08-08 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Anthony D'Costa wrote:
> Both import substitution industrialization and export oriented
> industrialization can be seen as national strategies, which are not quite
> the same thing as models.  On hindsight strategies may become models,
> when theorised and abstracted.

Yes, the word strategy would cover a wide range of policies on trade and
tariff, monetary and fiscal policy, pubilc sector investments, regulatory
framework etc. These are ultimately grounded in relations of production etc.
in a given social formation.

Ulhas




Russia holds massive military exercises in Caspian

2002-08-08 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

HindustanTimes.com

Thursday, August 01, 2002

Russia holds biggest post-Soviet military exercises in Caspian
Agence France-Presse
Moscow, August 01

Russia on Thursday launched large-scale military exercises in the Caspian
Sea which will involve more than 60 warships and 10,000 men, the biggest
presence in the area since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

The two-week exercises, seen as an attempt by Russia to flex its muscles in
the disputed oil-rich region, are divided into two stages: purely
theoretical until August 7 and then war games until August 15 involving air,
sea and land forces.

Some 30 planes and helicopters will also take part in the exercises, which
will involve all branches of the Russian military, including 4,000 sailors
from the Caspian Fleet.

Russian navy commander Admiral Vladimir Kuroyedov denied that Russia was
demonstrating its military strength but he signalled that Moscow wanted to
show it can protect its interests.

"By planning exercises of the Caspian Fleet we are not trying to demonstrate
our strength. But Russia has a strong military potential for tackling its
tasks in the Caspian Sea should peaceful means fail," he told the Interfax
news agency.

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the war games in April a day
after a summit of heads of state from the five Caspian states in
Turkmenistan aimed at resolving the partition of the Caspian Sea's oil
wealth ended in failure.

The Caspian Sea is thought to hold the world's third biggest oil and gas
reserves after Russia and the Gulf but exploration is being held up by the
dispute over boundaries.

Iran, with backing from Turkmenistan, wants the sea to be split five ways,
with each country apportioned 20 percent of the Caspian.

However, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia favour splitting the sea
according to the length of the nations' shorelines, which would leave the
Islamic republic with the smallest share, about 13 percent.

Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan will be participating in the exercises, with Baku
sending two ships including a minesweeper and Astana four Su-27 fighter
planes, according to Russian defence military sources cited by Interfax.

Representatives from Iran and Turkmenistan have been invited as observers.

The state news agency RIA Novosti reported that Iran had asked to take part
in the exercises but Russia had refused, citing a 1924 treaty between Tehran
and the USSR barring all ships other than Soviet from the Caspian.

Russian foreign ministry spokesman Alexander Yakovenko denied that the
military exercises were aimed at any another country and insisted that
Moscow's aim was to safeguard regional stability.

"This is not a threat to foreign states," Yakovenko told RIA Novosti, adding
that Russia's military presence in the Caspian was "an important factor in
maintaining regional security and stability."

The official pointed to the need to protect the strategic and economically
important zone against the global terrorist threat.

The highlight of the war games, which are taking place in the northern
sector of the Caspian as well as on land in Astrakhan and Dagestan, will be
a blockade of some remote isles to flush out suspected terrorists and arms
and drugs smugglers.

The exercises will also simulate an operation to free an oil platform seized
by terrorists, foil an explosion on a railroad bridge over the Volga as well
as clean up after an oil spill.

© Hindustan Times Ltd. 2002.
Reproduction in any form is prohibited without prior permission
To send your feedback via web click here or email
[EMAIL PROTECTED]





Foreign Cash for Chinese Airline Revamp

2002-08-04 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Financial Express

Friday, August 02, 2002

Foreign Cash To Propel Chinese Airline Revamp

Shanghai, August 1:  China's easing of caps on foreign investment in the
aviation sector on Thursday will propel its airlines into the global jet set
and give foreign carriers a bigger share of the coveted domestic market,
analysts said.
The relaxation would draw more foreign capital andexpertise to the sector,
beefing up China's top three airlines - Air China, China Eastern and China
Southern - and accelerating an industry-wide consolidation, they said.
China now allows foreign investors larger stakes in its airlines and
airports - formerly capped at 35 and 49 per cent - by merely requiring that
domestic shareholders have a controlling stake.
The move was announced in early July and aimed at deepening reforms of the
tightly controlled aviation sector after China joined the World Trade
Organisation last December.
"We believe the potential introduction of foreign strategic shareholders
could be the first step toward Chinese airline membership into one of the
three principal global airline alliances," Goldman Sachs said in a research
report last month.
Chinese state-owned airlines now trail foreign counterparts due to low
prices and poor management of the oil-price and currency risks that all
carriers have to face.
Air fares and fuel costs are under government control and bloated pay rolls
and heavy financial costs eat into bottom lines.
China's massive market potential is a huge drawing card for foreign
investors. But the country guards its aviation market fiercely and has no
plans to grant domestic flight rights to foreign airlines, analysts said.
Most countries forbid foreign-controlled airlines from flying their domestic
routes.
"Foreign airlines can't own flights within China, so buying a stake in our
airlines seems to be the only way to share the market growth," said analyst
Luo Wen of Guotai Junan Securities.
Foreign capital and technology are essential to fuel the global ambitions of
China's Big Three airlines, analysts said.
China Eastern Airlines Co Ltd was the top pick because of its attractive
base in Shanghai, they said. The thriving commercial hub is China's largest
gateway for international flights and is well connected to other Chinese
cities.
Analysts said Eastern was also hungry for cash as its low return on equity
of about two percent prevents it from issuing more shares domestically under
exchange rules.
Guangzhou-based China Southern Airlines Co Ltd is another attractive target
as it has the biggest fleet in China, although the carrier is weaker on
international routes than Eastern or flag carrier Air China.
The flag carrier will benefit from the investment relaxations as it is
planning an overseas listing and can now float more than 35 per cent of its
share capital, analysts said.
Although foreign firms cannot take a controlling stake in a Chinese airline,
having a large shareholding can give them enough influence on operations,
especially since foreigners can now head management at a domestic airline.
"To take a fairly large stake would have a more profound effect in
penetrating the Chinese market compared with other types of cooperation,
like code sharing," said analyst Deng Hongmei of China Everbright
Securities.
Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd, Singapore Airlines Ltd, Air France SA and AMR
Corp's American Airlines have appeared keen to buy stakes in Chinese
airlines and to help them promote their brands abroad, analysts said.China's
air passenger market is expected to grow by an annual eight per cent and
cargo by more than 10 per cent, a bright spot when global airlines are still
struggling to recover from the fallout of the September 11 attacks.
- Reuters

© 2002: Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd. All rights reserved
throughout the world.




Re: the D of P

2002-08-03 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Devine, James:

>Stalinism (which prevailed from the 1920s to the 1980s in the USSR, with a
>political >party holding a monopoly of the state power and the state
>dominating society) does >not seem a good case of "armed workers in control
>of their own state" at all. If >anything, a new stratum (or class) had
taken
>power. Maybe they had a welfare state, >but that's been seen under
>capitalism, too.

Malaysia's (Pop. 20 mn) rank (59) in global HDI data for 2002 is not far
behind that of Cuba (55). Malaysia became independent in 1955 or 1956.

In terms of per capita income in PPP terms, Malaysia is far ahead of  Cuba.

Ulhas








Iran may find it hard to spurn Russian offer

2002-08-03 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Hindu

Thursday, Aug 01, 2002

Iran may find it hard to spurn Russian offer

By Atul Aneja

MANAMA (BAHRAIN) JULY 31. Though Iran has got a commitment from Russia on
the supply of civilian nuclear reactors, in return it may have to go along
with Moscow's controversial plans to share the Caspian Sea oil and gas
resources.
Russia last week announced that it was considering supplying more nuclear
power reactors to Iran at its facility in Bushehr. The U.S. is opposed to
the supply of the reactors as it fears Iran may use them to develop nuclear
weapons. Russia and Iran differ on the formulation that will define the
sharing of the Caspian seabed resources. Iran believes that the five
countries — Iran, Russia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan — that
straddle the Caspian Sea should share these resources equally.
The Caspian Sea deposits, when combined with the estimated mainland reserves
in the countries that surround it, are huge and could be nearly one-third
the size of the Persian Gulf reserves. Other states, especially Kazakhstan,
Azerbaijan and chiefly Russia, disagree with Iran, pointing to the
variations in the length of their coastlines as the basis for an alternative
arrangement.
Impatient with the delay in arriving at a consensus, Russia has worked out
reserve-sharing bilateral agreements with Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan. Under
this arrangement, the seabed, with crucial modifications, is carved along a
median line drawn between the countries that face each other. Iran feels
that it will lose out greatly in case this arrangement is applied. From the
20 per cent that it claims, its share would drop to 12 to 13 per cent of the
seabed. Encouraged by Russia which has already worked out a deal with
Kazakhstan for a stake in developing its off-shore Kurmangazy field, Astana,
on its part, is working out a sea bed sharing arrangement with Azerbaijan.
Incidentally, India is also getting embroiled in Caspian Sea politics for
the Kazakhs during the Prime Minister, Atal Behari Vajpayee's June visit to
Almaty, offered New Delhi participation in developing the Kurmangazy field.
Russia, which is already present in Kurmangazy, and India have already
worked together in developing the Sakhalin area along with Exxon Corporation
of the United States. Iran, in the light of the joint progress made by
Russia, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, is feeling left out. Last year, Iran
expressed its resentment by sending its gunboats after an Azerbaijani survey
ship which was allegedly in its territorial waters. The near clash between
Azerbaijan and Iran, was a wake up call, especially for Russia that is
looking for stability in the Caspian.
Significantly, in what appeared to be an ultimatum to Iran to make up its
mind, the Russian Defence Minister, Sergei Ivanov, has announced that
Russia, along with Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, will be shortly undertaking
military exercises in the Caspian. But keen to avoid a confrontation with
Iran, provided its strategic interests in the Caspian are not undermined,
Russia has subsequently invited Iran to participate in these manoeuvres.
By going ahead with flexing its muscles, Russia, according to analysts, has
signalled to the Iranians that it will protect its core interests in the
Caspian, even if it has to pay a high cost. But, on the other hand, if the
Iranians respect Russian stakes in this zone, Moscow is ready to promote
Iranian interests in other fields, even if this meant confronting
Washington.
Not surprisingly, Russia has dangled the carrot of supplying more nuclear
power reactors to Iran, soon after the U.S. Senate introduced a resolution
that advocated that Washington should give up on the Iranian leaders,
including the moderate President, Mohammad Khatami. With Iran facing
pressure from all-around, it might find it difficult to spurn Moscow's
comforting hand.

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contents of this screen are expressly prohibited without the written consent
of The Hindu




Strike on Iraq would redraw regional economic map

2002-08-03 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Economic Times

Saturday, August 03, 2002

Strike on Iraq would redraw regional economic map

REUTERS

CAIRO: Success for Washington's stated goal of "regime change" in Iraq would
redraw the economic map of west Asia as well as its political map.

A possible return of Iraq as a full trading partner and unfettered oil
producer would also upset a range of regional economic interests in the
longer term, pouring oil from the world's second largest crude reserves back
into world markets, analysts said.

Opec members, and especially oil giant Saudi Arabia, where oil revenues
provide 90-95 per cent of total export earnings and around two-thirds of
state revenues, have most to lose. US oil companies eager to exploit Iraq's
reserves have most to gain.

In a potential radical revision of now politically-driven trade ties,
Egyptian and Syrian exports to Iraq might plummet.

Iraq on Thursday hinted it might let in UN arms inspectors for the first
time since 1998, as Washington reaffirmed its aim of toppling Iraqi
President Saddam Hussein.

Oil companies are already making contingency plans to handle any oil supply
disruptions from a threatened US strike to unseat Saddam, but some experts
are looking farther ahead.

"One has to be mindful of the real possibility that sanctions get lifted
against Iraq and it returns to its former oil production status," said Brad
Bourland, chief economist for Saudi American Bank.

Baghdad has said it aims to reach an oil production capacity target of six
million barrels per day when and if UN sanctions imposed following Iraq's
invasion of Kuwait in 1990 are lifted.

The result could be a substantial amount of additional Iraqi oil competing
for customers now supplied by the Saudis, Kuwaitis and other Opec members.
Iraq's current exports are running at 1.2 million bpd, one million bpd below
its capacity.

"The view in Iraq is that Saudi Arabia took its market share in 1990 when it
went out of the market and Saudi Arabia should give up that share back to
Iraq when it returns," Bourland said.

De-facto Opec leader Saudi Arabia, which stepped in to replace Iraqi and
Kuwaiti supplies lost during the first Gulf crisis in 1990, is already under
pressure to contain Opec members seeking to release output curbed by quota
agreed last year to support oil prices near $25 a barrel.

Unless world demand exceeds forecasts in years to come, a big rise in Iraqi
exports would have to be countered by even tighter Opec restrictions, or
prices could fall heavily.

But the assumption that Saudi Arabia and other Opec members would make way
for Iraqi exports is far from assured, raising the risk of a tussle for
market share, and lower oil prices as the market reacts to loss of Opec
cohesion.

"I look at that as a scenario which concerns me about the Saudi economy in
terms of lower oil revenues," Bourland said.

Lower oil prices would hurt Saudi Arabia's plans to boost growth to cope
with its own soaring population. The average age of the country's 22 million
people is 16 and rising unemployment has become a key issue.

New partnerships

Former US policy maker Gary Sick, now at Columbia University in New York,
said another long-term consequence to the end of UN Iraq sanctions would be
competition by international oil firms for access to Iraq's huge oil
reserves for global oil companies.

"If the oil majors went into Iraq in a big way and began to develop the
oilfields, say within 10 years, they could emerge as the great rival to
Saudi dominance of the oil markets," he said.

A post-Saddam government would not necessarily honour the commitments made
under the current strongman, who has handed out oil export contracts and
negotiated oilfield development projects with oil companies from countries
deemed politically sympathetic, such as Russia, France and China.

Senior Iraq analyst Raad Alkaadiri of Petroleum Finance Co. (PFC)
consultancy has described the Iraqi oil sector as the potential "Klondike"
of the early 21st century, referring to the exploration frenzy inspired by
the discovery of gold in a Canadian riverbed in the 1890s.

Access to Iraqi acreage could be particularly enticing to US companies
barred from investment in Iran, where European and other majors have found
investment terms in the oil and gas sector unpacceptable.

International oil firms are finding talks to gain access to Saudi Arabia's
upstream gas for the first time in 25 years tough, with both sides at
loggerheads over commercial terms.

Alkadiri warned any post-Saddam government would not necessarily give
international oil companies easier terms to access its own vast resources.
"But at the end of the day Iraq's return will mean the investment
environment could be radically different for everyone," he said.

Tangled web of trade

Changes in the economic environment would also follow if Iraq gets the
chance to reweave a web of trade ties - legal and illegal - that has bound
Baghdad to its neighbours and the wider world during nearly 12 y

Review of Indian Agriculture

2002-08-02 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Economic and Political Weekly

July 27, 202

REVIEW OF AGRICULTURE

Reforms in Agricultural Extension
   --Rita Sharma

Crisis in Agrarian Economy in Punjab
   --H S Sidhu

Rice Production in Punjab
   --Karam Singh
   --Sajla Kalra

Agriculture in India and Pakistan, 1900-95
   --Takashi Kurosaki

Sagging Agricultural Commodity Exchanges
   --K G Sahadevan

Indian Agricultural Commodity Futures Markets
   --Gopal Naik

http://www.epw.org.in/showFileCurrent.php#CURR 





China modernising Pak infrastructure

2002-08-02 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Times of India

THURSDAY, AUGUST 01, 2002

China modernising Pak infrastructure

PTI

BEIJING: As part of Beijing's efforts to supplement its strong political and
military ties with Islamabad, China is actively helping develop Pakistan's
key infrastructure sectors like roads, ports and railways.

The leadership of the two countries during their recent meetings has decided
to establish a "comprehensive partnership" in all fields of mutual interest,
particularly in the economic field, official sources said.

Under China's plans to rehabilitate and modernise Pakistan Railways, the
first-batch of China-made 14 air-conditioned passenger coaches were exported
to Pakistan recently.

These coaches, which have arrived in Karachi, would be formally inducted in
the country's railways at an independence day ceremony on August 14, when
they would be used to run a "Pak-China" train service between Lahore and the
port city, sources said here.

A Chinese government delegation is expected to attend the function.

The second batch of 26 coaches will be sent to Pakistan by the first quarter
of next year as part of an agreement under which China will provide 175
coaches and 69 locomotives to Pakistan railways within three years costing
nearly $200 million.

According to the agreement, 40 coaches and 15 locomotives would be
manufactured in China while the rest would be developed and assembled at the
railway locomotive factory in Risalpur in Pakistan.

EXIM Bank of China will meet 87.5 per cent of the total financial
requirements on supplier credit basis.

Sources said the Chinese companies have also shown keen interest in helping
Pakistan in updating its worn out rail tracks as well as improving the
overall railways signal system.

Pakistan has also signed a contract worth $22 million with China for
purchase of 52,000 metric tonnes of railways tracks.

China has committed over $1.5 billion in economic assistance, credits and
investments to Pakistan over the last two years, sources said.

The cost of projects currently underway is estimated to be more than $700
million while those in pipeline are worth $800 million.

China has also provided $500 million to Pakistan as temporary balance of
payment support through a recently rolled over cash deposit with the
National Bank of Pakistan for three years ending 2005.

It has helped Pakistan in constructing the Karakoram highway and is now
involved in developing the strategically important Gwadar deep-sea port.

The work on the deep-sea port was started in March this year with a total
cost estimation at $248 million. The project is scheduled to be completed in
three years.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




Re: Re: Jim Blaut on world systems analysis

2002-08-01 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

joanna bujes :

>Yeah, I read the Wallerstein piece that was posted earlier today and I was
> profoundly underwhelmed.  It made me think that one cure for neo-marxism
> would be some kind of grunt job for at least a year (in lieu of a
> sabbatical). Beyond that, Hardt/Negri/Wallerstein/etc interest me only as
> flavors of social/intellectual/ pathology; and right now, there are more
> urgent tasks.like organizing against any and all forms of US
aggression.

That's right. The best way of helping other nations is to change one's own
by understanding it. What the Left in Chile (for example) thinks about
Mongolia (for example) is of no consequence. If a Chilean Marxist wants to
specialise in the history and culture of Mongolia, he is welcome to do. But
endless conjectures about distant nations by dilettantes don't help anyone.

Ulhas




Jordan opposes action against Iraq

2002-08-01 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Hindu

Tuesday, Jul 30, 2002

Jordan opposes action against Iraq

By Hasan Suroor

LONDON JULY 29. King Abdullah of Jordan, who met the British Prime Minister,
Tony Blair, here on Monday, rejected speculation that his country would back
any U.S. military action in Iraq and accused the hardliners in Pentagon of
being "fixated on Iraq''.
His meeting with Mr. Blair took place amid growing opposition among Labour
MPs, including some Cabinet ministers, to any British backing for an attack
on Baghdad despite the Prime Minister's assertion last week that it was "not
imminent''. But the Foreign Office Minister, Ben Bradshaw, fuelled
speculation when he suggested that the `threat' from Iraq would not go away
by simply ignoring it and brushed aside an opinion poll which showed that 51
per cent of Britons were opposed to a military option.
King Abdullah said that in his talks with the U.S. President, George W.
Bush, later this week he would warn that any attack on Iraq would open up a
"Pandora's box'' in West Asia. He distanced himself from the U.S.-backed
Iraqi dissidents who recently met in London to discuss the overthrow of the
Iraqi President, Saddam Hussein. The presence of his estranged uncle, Prince
Hassan, at the meeting had prompted speculation that it signalled Jordanian
Government's support for anti-Iraq moves. It was regarded as significant in
the context of reports, which were later denied, that Jordan was willing to
offer bases to U.S. to launch an attack on Iraq.
``Prince Hassan blundered into something he did not realise he was getting
into, and we're all picking up the pieces,'' he told The Times.
He warned that the hawks in the Bush administration, pressing for an attack
on Iraq, posed a threat to American "strategic interests'' in West Asia. The
international community, he said, was `united' in its opposition to any such
action, and so was Jordan. "Ask our friends in China, in Moscow, in England,
in Paris everybody will tell you that we have concerns about military
actions against Iraq,'' he said.
The situation in West Asia dominated his discussions with Mr. Blair with the
two sides stressing the need to get Israel and the Palestinians back on the
negotiating table. Their talks, however, were overshadowed by a fresh
controversy over Iraq following reports that Government lawyers had advised
against British participation in a military attack on Baghdad without a
United Nations mandate. This seemed to contradict the Government's position
that the 23 U.N. resolutions were sufficient justification for intervention.
A former Defence Minister in the Blair Government, Peter Kilfoyle,
meanwhile, warned of a major split in the Labour party if the Prime Minister
backed an invasion of Iraq without proper authorisation.

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contents of this screen are expressly prohibited without the written consent
of The Hindu




Jean Dreze: Ending destitution

2002-07-31 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Hindu

Monday, Jul 29, 2002

Ending destitution

By Jean Dreze

Food transfers to the destitute are a good way of using the surplus grain
stocks.

SAMRI DEVI is a 70-year-old widow who lives in Kusumatand, an impoverished
hamlet in Palamau district, Jharkhand. Her son, Bhageshwar Bhuiya, suffers
from TB and is unable to work. Her daughter-in-law has taken leave of this
world. So the burden of looking after Bhageshwar and his seven children
rests on Samri Devi's frail shoulders. She feeds the family, somehow, by
gleaning leftover rice from a local rice mill, collecting wild foods and
begging from time to time. The children are severely undernourished and none
of them goes to school. Except for one cooking pot and a few rags, Samri
Devi's family owns absolutely nothing — not even a blanket or a pair of
chappals.
Samri Devi's is one among millions of households in rural India that might
be described as "destitute". These households typically have no able-bodied
adult member and no regular source of income. They survive by doing a
variety of informal activities such as gathering food from the village
commons, making baskets, selling minor forest produce and keeping the odd
goat.
We met Samri Devi during a recent survey of destitution in five States
(Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh),
conducted by researchers from the Centre for Development Economics and the
Centre for Equity Studies. We were shocked to find that even in prosperous
villages some households lived in conditions of extreme poverty and hunger.
A casual visitor is unlikely to notice them, as destitute households keep a
low profile and are often socially invisible. But if you look for them, you
will find them, quietly struggling to earn their next meal or patiently
starving in a dark mud hut. From this, one point is clear: destitute
households cannot rely on spontaneous community support. Social security
arrangements are needed.
As things stand, however, destitute households are beyond the pale of most
development programmes and welfare schemes. They are unable to participate
in rural employment programmes, if available. Getting a bank loan is for
most of them beyond the realm of possibility. Even "self-help groups" tend
to shun them. Some destitute households are able to take advantage of
pension schemes such as those meant for widows and the aged, but the
coverage of these schemes is very limited and the formalities involved often
end up excluding the poorest of the poor.
In this sea of neglect, an island of hope has recently emerged — the
Antyodaya Anna Yojana. This programme, introduced in early 2001 (despite
predictable objections from the Finance Ministry), is addressed to the
poorest of the poor, as identified by gram panchayats and gram sabhas.
Antyodaya households have special ration cards and are entitled to 35 kg of
grain a month at highly subsidised prices (Rs. 2 a kg for wheat and Rs. 3 a
kg for rice).
The survey mentioned earlier indicates that the programme is doing well, in
sharp contrast with other components of the public distribution system
(PDS). First and foremost, the selection of Antyodaya households appears to
be quite fair: among the 450 Antyodaya households living in the sample
villages, a large majority turned out to be very poor. Nearly two thirds of
these households are constrained to skip meals from time to time. More than
half do not own a single blanket or quilt. Only two per cent of the sample
households lived in economic conditions described by the field investigators
as "better than average", compared with other households in the village. In
other words, the community-based selection procedure is working. Antyodaya
also seems to be reasonably successful in terms of the timely and effective
distribution of food rations. This is particularly so in Andhra Pradesh,
where most of the sample households had received their full quota every
month since the programme was initiated. Taking the five sample States
together, we estimated that the average Antyodaya household obtained close
to 75 per cent of its full entitlement since the programme began. Regarding
the quality of grain received, 85 per cent of the respondents described it
as "average" or "good". And while the prices charged to the Antyodaya
households were occasionally higher than the official issue prices, the
extent of overcharging is not very large — about 13 per cent on average.
This is not to say that the programme is flawless. In some areas
(particularly in Jharkhand), we found that many Antyodaya households had
been deprived of their entitlements, as ration-shop dealers took advantage
of their powerlessness. Yet, the experience so far strongly suggests that
these failures can be addressed and that the basic approach underlying the
Antyodaya programme is quite sound.
The main limitation of the Antyodaya Anna Yojana, seen as a social security
programme, is its restricted coverage (less than 5 per cent of the rural
popul

Pak court awards death sentence for blasphemy

2002-07-31 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Times of India

SUNDAY, JULY 28, 2002

Pak court awards death sentence for blasphemy

PTI

ISLAMABAD: A Pakistani man, who once worked for the husband of noted human
rights activist Asma Jahangir, has been sentenced to death by a court in
Lahore for making derogatory remarks about Islam.

Besides the death penalty, Additional District and Sessions Court judge
Sardar Ahmed Naeem imposed a fine of Rs 2.70 lakh on Wajih-ul-Hassan, 26, on
Saturday after upholding charges against him that he made derogatory remarks
about Prophet Mohammad.

"In Islam, there are clear rules and regulations to check every kind of
mischief and the Shariah (law) shows no leniency to those whose evil and
malicious conduct tarnishes the dignity and honour of the Ummah," the judge
said.

Hassan, who was arrested on May 25, 2001, in Iqbal Town, was convicted even
though he denied the charges levelled against him by the complainant Ismail
Qureshi, a lawyer.

He also denied that he was a converted Christian saying he "is a Muslim and
all the allegations levelled against him are false".

Hassan claimed that Qureshi nursed a grudge against Jahangir and her
associate Hina Jilani after they registered a police complaint against him.
Hassan said since he and his father previously worked in the office of
Jahangir's husband he has been framed up in the case.

Hassan was convicted on the grounds that he made an extra-judicial
confessional statement before prosecution winesses Waseem and his friend
Naveed, that he had been converted to Christianity. He also confessed before
them that he wrote letters to Qureshi in which derogatory language was used
against the Prophet, The News daily reported today.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




Re: RE: Re: Re: Kerala

2002-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Devine, James:
>To say that models aren't useful is basically saying that theory and
>abstraction have no >role. But people can't think without abstraction. A
>mere list of "facts" doesn't help at >all.
>The key is to combine abstract knowledge (theories, model) with concrete
>knowledge >of the real world. We can often learn from the contrast between
>the model and the >world.

I agree with almost everything Jim D. says, except for the term 'model'. I
recognise the importance of theory and abstractions. My remarks were about
'models', not about theory and abstraction. I would like to distinguish
between the two. I value a work like Capital, though it is abstract. But I
don't find theories of imperialism now currently available, very convincing.
My scepticism about "Global Theory" wasn't meant to include work like
Capital or Grundrisse. It was used to indicate theories like theory of
imperialism. I am not a theoretician and I don't claim to be an India
expert.

Ulhas





Re: Re: Kerala

2002-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Michael Pollak wrote:
 > I guess in one sentence what I'm looking for is a book that describes the
> actually-existing Indian model and compares it to those others.  Does such
> a thing exist?

I see what you mean and will keep my eyes open for a thing of that sort !

I am not sure models are useful. I don't want to sound trite, but I think
each society is a unique combination of economic, political and ideological
elements. That's why I am sceptical of claims of global theories. I believe
in competence and expertise (without being technocratic) !

Ulhas




Re: Re: Vandana Shiva

2002-07-30 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Michael Pollak wrote:
>
> Maybe not.  It's perfectly possible that some crops are better
> industrialized and some not.  Or it's possible that all are better
> industrialized.  I'd just like to see some reliable figures and causal
> explanations of why this is so.
>
> But just to take your first example of cotton, are we sure cotton really
> is an exception?  Our man Roger Thurow at the Wall Street Journal (who
> seems to be working Mali beat) wrote an article that was posted to Pen-l a
> month ago that seems to suggest the opposite:

You could be right about cotton production in Mali. My point is not about
cotton production for exports. My point was about textile industry: yarn,
cloth, garments etc. For countries like China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh,
Cambodia, Sri Lanka etc., textiles are an important item in exports. China's
textile exports are about $50 bn (I don't have precise number), India's
exports of textlies are about $10 bn etc. Indian exports will not be able to
compete with other nations' textile exports, if Indian textile industry is
globally not competitive. The same is true of other nations as well. One
important component of cost structure of textile industry is cotton cost.
One method of cutting cost is by improving yields on cotton farms. The
quality of cotton also
influences sales price and profitabiity. This factor is putting presssure on
textile exporting nations to make changes in cotton farming. e.g.
introduction of GM cotton. If Indian cotton farms are only half as
productive as Chinese farms, Indian textile exports would not competitive.
This pressure will grow, since textile trade is going to free from 2005.

Ulhas









Re: Re: Vandana Shiva

2002-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Michael Pollak :
 > On Sun, 28 Jul 2002, Ulhas  Joglekar wrote:
>
> >
> > Yes, but there is a viewpoint which attributes the relative backwardness
> > of French industry to the presence of French peasant economy.
>
> I'm not sure I follow.  By 1970 France had certainly reached the point
> every developing country would like to develop to, no?  Namely a rich
> welfare state.  Its alternative agricultural path didn't stop it.

Sorry, I wasn't clear. I meant relative backwardness of French industry in
the 19th century. Compared with German industry and agriculture. Even the
picture of capitalism in the 1950s that Sartre paints in his book Comminist
and Peace and elsewhere is not pretty, though not due in this case due to
French agriculture.

Ulhas




UNDP urges political reform in China

2002-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Times of India

SATURDAY, JUNE 29, 2002

UNDP urges political reform in China

AFP

BEIJING: A scathing UN-sponsored report published Friday urged the Chinese
government to implement political reforms if it is to head off a mounting
environment catastrophe as well as growing social unrest.

The China Human Development Report 2002, unveiled in Beijing, was produced
by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) in collaboration with the
United Nations Development Program.

It spells out a dismal environmental situation in China, exacerbated by huge
population pressures, land and resource scarcities, worsening pollution,
increased urbanization and uncertain food and water supplies.

"Environmental degradation has now become so acute that it is one of the
main factors forcing future multi-faceted change," the report warned.

"Indeed, environmental factors are likely to constrain, or even reverse,
social and economic progress."

The report calls on China's government to use its centralized political
system to adopt "green" development strategies that are both economically
and environmentally sustainable.

"The situation in terms of the environment will continue to get worse for a
while, before it could turn better," said the SEI's Karl Hallding, lead
author of the report.

"The next five years will be a critical juncture for China to make choices
for a yet more reform-oriented path... and towards good governance," he
said.

"The critical issue is to bend the curve to go up to a better future."

China must abandon its 20-year developmental strategy of "getting rich fast
and cleaning up later," and an over-reliance on planned economic methods
that breed inefficiencies by setting production quotas and price levels, the
report said.

The minority elite that has benefited most from 20 years of market-driven
reforms should also not be allowed to use their "strong influence" with the
central government to thwart sustainable environmental strategies.

China must additionally make a further shift "towards stronger market-based
governance", in order to introduce sustainable development, the authors
said.

Good governance would come mainly through broader participation in the
political decision-making process, increased press freedom and the right to
organize non-governmental organizations (NGOs), it said.

"It is safe to assert that the heavy top-down governance structure that
prevailed through the first half-century of the People's Republic by and
large has proven counterproductive to sustainable development."

Although attempts had been made to establish the rule of law and
decentralize powers, China in the 21st century continued to be ruled by a
millennium-old "deeply stratified form of bureaucratic governance," it said.

Failure to deepen reform would lead to a scenario where "the political
climate remains unresponsive to public debate, and there are no alternative
channels for people to express their concerns," it said.

Under such a "perilous" scenario, "signs of political and social instability
increase to near crisis conditions by 2050," the authors warned.

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




Re: Re: Kerala

2002-07-29 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Michael Pollak wrote:
> Ulhas, could recommend a good book that describes India's distinctive, and
> recently fairly successful, non-export-led development path?  And perhaps
> as well an intelligent (rather than cookie-cutter ideological) critique of
> the limits of same?

Michael, I am not sure what period you have in mind. But you could try a) A
Decade of Neoliberal Economic Reforms by C.P.Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh,
LeftWord Books, 2002. : Left Nationalist critique of 1990s policies, b)
Crisis as Conquest: Learning from East Asia by Jayati Ghosh and C.P.
Chandrasekhar, Orient Longman, 2001 : Discussion of Asian crisis (primarily)
and its implications for India

I assume you have seen two long articles, links to which I posted to pen-l
from the recent issues of EPW:

1.India's Medium Term Growth Prospects by Shankar Acharya, pen-l 28427 dated
24 July, 2002. Broad survey of Indian economy in the last 50 years and brief
discussion of the medium term propsects from liberal perspective

2. India: Well-Being in the 1990s, Towards a Balance Sheet by R.H. Cassen,
pen-l 28003 dated 14 July, 2002 Discussion of HDI related issues.

For colonial period:

The Economic History of India, 1857-1947 by Tirthankar Roy, Oxford
University Press, 2000.

Ulhas




Russia's move to expand ties with Iran may anger U.S.

2002-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Hindu

Sunday, Jul 28, 2002

Russia's move to expand ties with Iran may anger U.S.

By Vladimir Radyuhin

MOSCOW JULY 27. Ignoring American protests Russia has unveiled plans to
expand trade and economic ties with Iran. The Russian Government has
approved a 10-year programme of wide-ranging economic cooperation with Iran,
which covers nuclear power, aviation and hydrocarbons, the AK&M news agency
reported.
The plan cannot but be seen as a challenge to the U. S., with the Russian
Prime Minister, Mikhail Kasyanov, signing it on the same day the U. S.
Congress called for replacing the political regime in Iran. Under the plan
Russia will build 10 nuclear reactors in Iran, a sour issue with Washington,
and several thermal power stations. Russia will also help Iran manufacture
Russian airliners and aircraft engines, build two steel plants and several
petrochemical projects, as well as develop oil, gas and coal fields.
The plan also calls for Russian participation in "the financing and
exploitation of a gas pipeline between Iran and India,'' and cooperation
with Iran in developing the North-South transport corridor, including the
construction of a railway line linking two Iranian ports — Bandar Abbas in
the Persian Gulf and Anzali in the Caspian sea.
Simultaneously a senior Russian military official reaffirmed Moscow's
intention to sell Iran conventional weapons, which is fiercely opposed by
Washington.
The Deputy Defence Minister in charge of arms exports, Mikhail Dmitriyev,
said Russia could sell some defensive weapons to Iran and help it modernise
its Soviet-built military hardware.

Copyright © 2002, The Hindu. Republication or redissemination of the
contents of this screen are expressly prohibited without the written consent
of The Hindu




Re: Re: Kerala

2002-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Michael Pollak wrote:
> On Sun, 28 Jul 2002, Ulhas  Joglekar wrote:
>
> > The share of agriculture in India's GDP has declined from 55% in 1950 to
> > 26% in 2000.
>
> Out of curiousity, Ulhas, what's its share in terms of percentage of
> population?

Urban population is 27% of the total population. The rest is rural.
Population directly involved in agriculture is about 66%. So one could say
that 66% of population produces and earns only 26% of the national income.
But that would be a very crude comparison. I don't have a precise estimate
of urban /rural share of GDP right now, but I will try to find it. You would
need to make adjustments for taxes, subsidies, differential interest rates
etc. e.g. There is no income tax on income from agriculture,
while the corporate tax rate is 35%.

Indian industry has considerable interest in development of rural incomes,
since exports are only 10% of the annual corporate sales. India has not
pursued the strategy of export lead growth. The growth involves widening and
deepening of internal market. (I don't mean by that import substitution.)
This includes agriculture. It would not be ppropriate to imagine that the
interests of industrial capital and agrarian interests are completely
antithetical.

The Home page of Indian Census Bureau at http://www.censusindia.net/ can
provide useful statistics.

Ulhas








Re: Re: Kerala (was Re: Vandana Shiva)

2002-07-28 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Ben Day wrote:
> Well, Kerala was also the only Indian state, to a great extent, to
> successfully implement land reform.

Land reforms have taken place in West Bengal (Pop. 75 million), where the
CPs are in power for last 25 years without a break. Land reforms have taken
in other parts of
India, though they have not been as thorough as Kerala (Pop. 35 million) and
Bengal.

>This seems to me a basic prerequisite
> of industrialization of any sort, but almost impossible elsewhere in India
> since the Congress Party - like the parties that drove independence and
> dominate the political landscape in so many developing countries - is
> inextricably bound up with landed elites.

The share of agriculture in India's GDP has declined from 55% in 1950 to 26%
in 2000. The growth of industry and particularly services is reducing the
importance of agriculture in relative terms. The Congress Party's programme
was a programme of Indian industrial capital, though the mass base of
Congress Party was to be found in all classes and strata of Indian society.
Though services have grown at a faster rate, it is not correct to say that
industrialisation has not taken place.

>Kerala was able to carry out land
> reform due to the strength of its two Communist Parties (but particularly
> the Communist Party--Marxist, which split from the CP during independence
> when Stalin backed Nehru, and the rest of the CP followed the Moscow line
> by taking an accomodationist tack with the Congress Party),

The Indian CP split in 1964 long after Stalin's death.

>So, although we usually single out
> Kerala's welfare policies, and the debate over the "Kerala model" in
> developmental economics hinges on whether a welfare state is a viable (or
> more importantly, a sustainable) road to development - I think we tend to
> miss Kerala's real accomplishments, which involve the successful
> commodification of land and labor.

Kerala's achievements are admirable, but other states moving in the same
direction with some time lag. But then uneven and combined development is
the norm everywhere. You take all India data, literacy has gone up from 18%
to 65% (against 90% in Kerala) in 50 years. Male literacy is 75% on all
India basis. It's due to lower female literacy (55%)  that the average comes
down. The lower female literacy is due to gender inequality.

> There is also the  issue of time, suggested by Ulhas

What was the population of say, Germany, when Germany began to develop
industrially in later half 19 the Century? Compare that with the population
of China, India and Indonesia at the corresponding stage economic
development. Elimination of poverty of 2.5 billion people and of 25 million
people are not comparable challenges.

Ulhas




Mao with soya sauce

2002-07-27 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Business Standard

Tuesday, November 28, 2000

WATCHWORD

Mao Zedong with soya sauce

Manas Chakravarty discovers that Mao has been forgotten in Shanghai

"Mao is passe", said the Singapore businessman sitting next to me on the
China Eastern Airlines' Shanghai flight. He had just learned that I was on a
trip to pay my respects to the late Chairman.
"Nobody gives a damn about him", continued my fellow-traveller, "you'll know
soon enough in Shanghai." I wasn't giving up so easily.
Shanghai was, after all, the birthplace of the Chinese Communist Party, the
scene of the uprising against the Kuomintang in 1927, the city where the
workers took control of the factories after the Cultural Revolution. And isn
't China communist?
Yes, it is. It's communist in the sense that a minister can speak about how
the 32 per cent annual growth rate in the Shenzhen special economic zone,
that paradise of raw, unadulterated capitalism, red in tooth and claw, is a
reflection of the superiority of the socialist system. The newspapers report
this bilge without irony, without even a Ha! Ha! in brackets.
Apart from that, there's precious little of the old doctrine. There aren't
any people waving the Red Book, there are no red flags, the hammer and
sickle symbols have been exported en masse to Calcutta, and the big
character posters have been replaced by huge billboards advertising Coke and
e-commerce.
In Shanghai, the 30-minute bus ride from Hongqiao airport to Pudong goes
over flyovers for about 20 minutes and through a tunnel under the Huangpu
river for the next ten.
The 87-storey JinMao tower, a monstrosity in aluminium, and the Oriental
Pearl TV Tower with a revolving restaurant on top, which looks like
something out of science fiction, symbolise the new Shanghai.
The lift at the TV station had an attendant who recited, in sing-song
English, how symbolic the tower was to Shanghai's upwardly mobile spirit. No
slums, wide roads, everything sleek and shiny and mint-new. With about $40
billion in foreign direct investment pouring into the country every year,
they can afford it.
When I heard that Shanghai has, at the last count, over 110,000 private
enterprises, I realised that Mao was certainly not in Shanghai. Sure, you do
have a big statue of the great helmsman in the middle of the Bund, Shanghai'
s European quarter. There's also Mao's embalmed body in Tiananmen Square in
Beijing. But Mao these days lives on mainly in restaurants.
To view the centre of Maoism in contemporary China, you'll have to visit the
Mao Family Restaurant in Yonghegong Street, Beijing, well-known for the
great leader's native Hunan cuisine.
For the Mao fan, this is where the action is. Right from the bust of Mao at
the entrance to the photographs and posters of Mao as a student, Mao on the
Long March, Mao as chairman, Mao exhorting the masses, this is the place
where the great teacher is really honoured.
In the background, as you sample the chef's special Mao Family black bean
tofu, revolutionary songs soothe nerves frayed by the ubiquitous capitalist
BMWs, Mercs, mobile phones, karaoke bars and discos.
Here in the soothing ambience of pictures taken from the great liberator's
life, you can calm a stomach upset by the sight of McDonalds and Kentucky
Fried Chicken with Mao's favourite pork rind in soya sauce.
For those of us who still hold fast to the chairman's quotation that a
revolution is not a dinner party, there is one other way to see Maoism in
action.
To do that, you'll have to go to Changsha, the capital of Hunan province,
which used to be known as the city nearest to Mao's birthplace at Shaoshan,
but is now better recognised as the home of Hunan Television & Broadcast
Industry Co, the first media company to secure a stock-market listing in
China. A 90-mile drive will take you to Shaoshan where you can see Mao's
house (13 rooms, thatched roof, pond - a disappointingly kulak affair).
After buying the Mao busts and the Mao keychains, visit the Museum of
Comrade Mao in Shaoshan, where you can get a computer-generated picture of
yourself with the Chairman, maybe with your arm around him. He could do with
the support these days.
For die-hards searching for the communist Utopia, there's also a little
haven leaning against the capitalist storm. About 500 miles south of
Beijing, in central Henan nestles Nanjie village, a backslider from the
capitalist road.
It's a commune where everything is still owned in common. Housing, health
care, education are all free, as are meat, fish, poultry and eggs. The
commune is highly profitable, with its top product Yingsong instant noodles
being exported as far as Russia and Korea. What's more, the commune has
attracted investment from Germany as well as Japan.
But then, Nanjie is a throwback, a freak in modern-day China. As for Mao,
his place in China today has been brilliantly evoked by avant-garde artist
Wang Guangyi.
His painting "Mao Zedong no. 1" shows the chairman in grey, imprisoned
behind a grid of criss-crossing 

The Vietnamese farm offensive

2002-07-27 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

Business Standard

Friday, December 15, 2000

ASIA FILE

The Vietnamese farm offensive

Diversification paves the way for a success story of the nation's farm
sector, says Barun Roy

Beginning next year, Vietnam will abolish all export quotas for rice, end
the public sector monopoly in rice trade and give private companies equal
authority to sell Vietnam's rice abroad. No permission from the Ministry of
Trade will be necessary. This, the government believes, will help find more
niche markets for the commodity and give exports a bigger boost.
Since Hanoi began reforming agriculture in 1981, the farm sector has grown
steadily and rice has emerged as the most profitable of crops. Vietnam used
to import around 1 million tonne of rice a year.
It no longer does. In 1999, it became the second largest exporter of rice
after Thailand, with a volume of 4.5 million tonne. This turnaround has
convinced the government that agriculture holds the key to higher export
earnings and the more the sector is diversified, the better would be its
chances.
Coffee is the other success story that has driven the government's
diversification offensive. Four years ago, Vietnam ousted Indonesia as the
world's third biggest coffee producer after Brazil and Colombia, and has
maintained the position since.
In the 1999-2000 growing season, 5,40,000 metric tonne were produced and
almost entirely exported, mainly to Europe and the US. In 2000-2001, a
harvest of 6,60,000 metric tonne is expected and, hopefully, Americans will
be drinking more Vietnamese coffee when tariffs go down under the new trade
pact with the US.
Much of this dynamism on the farm is the result of Vietnam's new land laws,
which recognize the farm household as the principal unit of production,
allow farmers to own the land they tend and make individual land-use rights
transferable and usable as collateral for credit applications.
Farming was never more attractive to the Vietnamese and diversification
never appeared more important. There is now in Vietnam a virtual rush into
plantations, and among the new favourites, in addition to rubber and
sugarcane, are tea and fruit.
The government is convinced tea can equal coffee as an export crop and is
planning a substantial development of the industry to lift Vietnam's ranking
(currently eighth) among the major tea producing countries.
Tea export has been rising since 1997 and reached from 30,000 metric tonne
in that year to 42,145 metric tonne in 1999. The plan now is to raise
production level from 60,000 metric tonne at present to 2,14,000 metric
tonne by 2010 and push export to 1,10,000 metric tonne.
Vietnam is in a good position to expand tea. It has large tracts of
deforested land that have been found suitable for the crop. The unit cost of
production is lower than all its major competitors, including India. And,
domestic consumption being green tea-oriented, almost all black tea is
available for export.
Quality has been a problem, as well as productivity, but that's being
addressed with a loan from the Asian Development Bank. New processing
facilities will be established, better clones will be developed and
introduced, credit will be made available to replant and rehabilitate old
gardens and another 30,000 hectares are to be added to the existing acreage
of some 75,000 hectares.
The goal for fruit is even more ambitious. By 2010, the fruit area is to be
expanded from 4,50,000 hectares at present to 1 million hectares, mainly
using deforested land, while production will, hopefully, increase from 4.5
million tonne to 12 million tonne.
Vietnam produces a wide range of tropical and sub-tropical fruit, such as
pineapple, banana, pomelo, mango, litchi, longan, dragon's eye and rambutan,
and as interest in Vietnamese fruit grows in such markets as China, Japan,
the Netherlands and Sweden, foreign investors are getting involved.
Foreigners, including Taiwanese, Japanese and Koreans, have already poured a
total of $70 million into 40 fruit and vegetable projects across the
country. The combined turnover of these projects is said to have reached
more than $30 million and over 90 per cent of it comes from exports.

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