Re: [PEN-L] Art as Commodity

2008-02-22 Thread Jim Devine
Louis Proyect wrote:
 My review of No Country for Old Men has generated a more general
  discussion about art and politics on my blog and on Stan Goff's Feral
  Scholar. Although the debate has been pretty polarized over the role
  of Cormac McCarthy in realizing some ideal about Great Literature,
  just about every participant lays claim to radicalism or Marxism.

  One of the more ubiquitous posters is one John Steppling, who seeks
  to rescue art from commissars like myself who are represented as
  latter day partisans of the proletarian novel and socialist realism:

  You cannot attack Mccarthy for not writing a book making the didatic
  points you want him to make. Thats not what literature does at any
  time. I find a lot of people on all political sides become a bit
  frightened by characters when they are constructed as McCarthy
  constructs them…by which I mean without conventional sentimentality
  and motivation.

I don't know what's been said in the discussion, but my feeling is
that No Country for Old Men does have a political point. It's just
not one that's especially pleasant to the left. My reading is that the
movie is all about the Tommy Lee Jones character (thus the movie's
title), rather than being about the other two main characters. The
world had become so chaotic and lawless (circa 1980!) that even a
dedicated lawman like Jones gives up. The anarchy of the situation was
symbolized to me by the scene at the end where the Javier Bardem
character is hit, along with the behavior of the two boys. If I am
right in my interpretation, the film is profoundly right wing.
 --
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] China's Socialist Path (Hart-Landsberg and Paul Burkett)

2008-02-22 Thread Jim Devine
ken hanly wrote:
 I do not see China's path as socialist at all or
  likely to lead to socialism. While Maoist China may
  not have been socialist in terms of some ideal
  nevertheless the actually existing socialism of Mao
  certainly did socialise most of the instruments of
  production distribution and exchange and did not
  produce solely on the basis of profit. The present
  regime has degraded or replaced socialist economic
  mechanisms through privatisation and market mechnisms
  with the results noted by Hart-Landsberg and Burkett.

   As for China being bureaucratic socialism, Mao
  realised the problem and tried to reduce the power of
  the bureaucracy but was ultimately unsuccessful and
  the bureaucrats sucessfully struck back. The handful
  of capitalist roaders are now firmly at the helm but
  they have grown in numbers, strength, and riches.

a problem with the category bureaucratic socialism (or better,
bureaucratic collectivism) is that there are at least two different
meanings to the word bureaucracy.

The basic idea is that  though the means of production were
collectively owned by the state, it's not the peasants or workers who
owned the state. Rather, it was the bureaucracy. That could mean
either the planning apparatus or the CP (or a combination of the two).
In neither case does this theory refer to the Weberian concept of
ideal bureaucracy.

In addition, just as the capitalists have factions, so does the
bureaucracy. The Mao faction was fighting the Zhou faction, etc. Both
groups were trying to control the economy and the society from above.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] elections [was: China's Socialist Path]

2008-02-22 Thread Jim Devine
FWIW, my wife had an important reason to vote for Obama rather than
Clinton in the CA primary: he's _less annoying_ to listen to on TV and
radio. After 8 years of listening to W (one of the most annoying
public speakers in history), that's an important reason.

But then, it turned out she was registered Peace  Freedom and
couldn't vote for either of them. (I was registered as a Dem and voted
for Gravel, despite his rocky reputation.)

On Fri, Feb 22, 2008 at 2:44 PM, Carrol Cox [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I think the point has been made sufficiently re both Obama  Clinton so
  when they inevitably MORE THAN disappoint their fans* we will be free to
  say I told you so and keep saying it until we have to make the same
  predictions in 2012  about whoever is running then. Of course I don't
  know whether at 82 I'll still be around, but if I am I'm going to rub
  some people's nose in it.

  But now isn't it about time to find a better topic than the imperialist
  elections?

  Carrol




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] China's Socialist Path

2008-02-21 Thread Jim Devine
Shane Mage wrote:
  What is wrong with it is that it describes the emergence and flourishing
  of Chinese capitalism in its present form as a movement *away from*
  socialism.  It is the opposite--a movement from a backward bureaucratic
  state capitalism, which reflected the semi-feudal and dependent colonial
  structures inherited by the CCP, towards a modern, globalized capitalism
  in which the proletariat is growing by leaps and bounds, in numbers,
  strength, and confidence.  It is then, within the capitalist mode of
  production, an enormous step *toward* [the possibility of] socialism.

It doesn't matter to me if we call the old system in China state
capitalism or bureaucratic socialism or bureaucratic collectivism
or whatever. However, I think backward is off.

the PRC under Mao, etc., was a developmental dictatorship, trying to
develop the national economy in a way that involved collective
solutions (and sometimes collective disasters, such as the Great Leap
Forward). That is, the CCP was trying to make China rich, while
getting rid of semi-feudal and dependent colonial structures. In
other words, it was trying to getting rid of backwardness as part of
a nationalist program. It built the basis for the new capitalist China
we now see.

Also, at some stages, this government leaned toward helping the
peasants and embracing a relatively egalitarian growth process,
because the peasants were a major political basis for the CCP. Even
developmental dictatorships need to be legitimized.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] fertilizer [was: Peak food]

2008-02-20 Thread Jim Devine
speaking of excessive energy costs, there was a story on US National
Public Radio a week or so ago about the loss of fertility of African
soils. The experts spoke, recommending aid to help Africans buy more
(energy-intensive, import-intensive) artificial infertilizer. Whatever
happened to rotating crops, letting some land lay fallow, and/or
growing crops together that help each other.

soula avramidis wrote:
 isn't the rising cost of energy content of modern agriculture specifically
 rising oil prices partly responsible for the rise in food prices?
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] fertilizer [was: Peak food]

2008-02-20 Thread Jim Devine
I agree, but even fragile soils can be helped with old-fashioned
techniques (though perhaps not healed). Part of the problem, of
course, is that in many places the best lands were grabbed by the
Europeans during colonization.

On Feb 20, 2008 8:45 AM, Perelman, Michael [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 It is worse than that.  Many of Africa's soils are very fragile -- not
 like our own Midwest.  That kind of farming is not sustainable, but the
 same goes for some of Brazil, which is doing so far more intensively.



 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
 Chico, CA 95929
 530-898-5321
 fax 530-898-5901
 michaelperelman.wordpress.com

 -Original Message-
 From: PEN-L list [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Jim Devine
 Sent: Wednesday, February 20, 2008 7:47 AM
 To: PEN-L@SUS.CSUCHICO.EDU
 Subject: [PEN-L] fertilizer [was: Peak food]

 speaking of excessive energy costs, there was a story on US National
 Public Radio a week or so ago about the loss of fertility of African
 soils. The experts spoke, recommending aid to help Africans buy more
 (energy-intensive, import-intensive) artificial infertilizer. Whatever
 happened to rotating crops, letting some land lay fallow, and/or
 growing crops together that help each other.

 soula avramidis wrote:
  isn't the rising cost of energy content of modern agriculture
 specifically
  rising oil prices partly responsible for the rise in food prices?
 --
 Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
 way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] fertilizer [was: Peak food]

2008-02-20 Thread Jim Devine
me:
 I agree, but even fragile soils can be helped with old-fashioned
 techniques (though perhaps not healed). Part of the problem, of
 course, is that in many places the best lands were grabbed by the
 Europeans during colonization.

Michael Perelman wrote:
 Not really.  The peasants like the barren hillsides, which are much more
 interesting than the fertile plains.

When did you get the job at the Heritage Foundation, Michael?
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Krugman: a peak oil believer?

2008-02-20 Thread Jim Devine
Sandwichman (Tom) wrote:
 It should also be needless to say we will NEVER run out of oil. The
 whole peak business has to do with the technical capacity to extract
 *ever increasing quantities* of the product economically.

In other words, it's a modern variant of the Ricardo/Malthus
prediction of diminishing returns to land.

 Predictions
 of peak oil may be based on pessimistic assessments of the prospects
 of technical breakthroughs. However, the argument against peak oil
 *assumes* that technical breakthroughs will occur when needed, simply
 because they are needed. While the pessimistic predictions may be
 merely wrong, the pollyanna scenario is fantastic.

why? it seems that technological change is almost a constant under
capitalism (though many of those changes are a bad thing from a
humanistic perspective). Further, persistently high prices of oil adds
an extra incentive to find cheaper ways to get the stuff. That
includes introducing new technology. (That doesn't mean that high
prices of oil create an incentive to do the right thing, however.)
Also, high oil prices encourage people to use less of it (or steal it,
like some people are doing with copper).

 And yes, global warming may get us first. But it also could become a
 contributor to the peak episode in that climate change could
 accelerate demand at the same time it interupts supply.

it's possible that rising sea levels could swamp oil fields. Also a
severe depression would block new investment in oil technology.

in response to Tom, Paul writes:
...  Economically viable oil will *sooner or later run out*...  

What defines economically viable? might technological change not
allow some oil that's currently not economically viable to become
so?

BTW, I think fears of peak oil are a good thing (except for those
cultists reported on by HARPER'S magazine a year or so ago). It
encourages people to stop using oil and thus delays global warming.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Peak food

2008-02-20 Thread Jim Devine
soula avramidis wrote:
 ... moreover since prices are in the purview of
 capital workers can only raise their nominal thru
 union activity.

Kalecki's equation is often interpreted as saying that all unions can
do is raise money wages. Since the boss simply adds a mark-up to unit
labor costs, raising money wages does not raise real wages.
Alternatively, for a constant degree of monopoly (and mark-up) and
with constant unit costs of raw materials, the equation says that real
wages will rise with average labor productivity.

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Subprime jumps the shark

2008-02-20 Thread Jim Devine
here in Tinsel Town, jumping the shark means going bad. Supposedly,
the phrase came about because in the show Happy Days (the one with
the Fonz), one of the characters was water-skiing and literally jumped
the shark. From then on, the show was (allegedly) not worth watching
and it was soon canceled.

On Wed, Feb 20, 2008 at 8:55 AM, Max B. Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I don't know if Shemano did the 'Subprime' power point thing, but it's all 
 over the Internet and Wall Street now.

  http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/02/how-subprime-re.html#comments
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A Subprime Military

2008-02-19 Thread Jim Devine
it's not the dark side.  It's agreeing with Henwood's reason. Instead
of trying to predict th unknown (unknowable), I try to think in terms
of alternative scenarios.

BTW, the actual quote ftom THE ECONOMIST is The secret of successful
forecasting is to give a number or a date, but never both.
Jim

On 2/18/08, Eugene Coyle [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Jim, everyone can predict the future.

 Monetary policy is based on predicting the future.  The stock market
 is based on predicting the future.  I predict the future when I buy my
 lottery ticket.

 But my comment reflected my concern that you were going over to
 Henwood's dark side.

 Gene


 On Feb 18, 2008, at 6:48 AM, Jim Devine wrote:

  no-one can predict the future.
 
  On Feb 17, 2008 5:22 PM, Eugene Coyle [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  If a recession is happening,  ???
 
  If?  If?
 
  Gene Coyle
 
 
 
  --
  Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
  way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.



--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A Subprime Military

2008-02-18 Thread Jim Devine
no-one can predict the future.

On Feb 17, 2008 5:22 PM, Eugene Coyle [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 If a recession is happening,  ???

 If?  If?

 Gene Coyle



--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Peak food

2008-02-18 Thread Jim Devine
is that peak food or a run-up of food prices due to the ethanol boom?

On Feb 18, 2008 12:47 AM, Sandwichman [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 A guy came into the food co-op today to pick up his four 25-pound
 sacks of wheat. He advised me to pick up a couple of sacks of wheat
 for yourself and store them in your basement. So I took a look at
 recent news stories on agricultural commodity prices. Prices are
 soaring. Every kind of planted crop has increased in price by 30% to
 50% over the past few months. This will have a huge impact on food
 prices.

 Things are going to get very interesting.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Economists Against Family Values?

2008-02-18 Thread Jim Devine
markets work best when people are totally atomized, homo economi,
rather than acting like homo sapiens.
jim

On 2/18/08, Perelman, Michael [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Paul Phillips wrote:
 Why should this surprise anyone?  Every labour economist worth her salt
 knows that unemployment and job loss is a major factor in family breakup
 as is suicide, alcoholism, mental illness and crime, all of which are
 correlated/related to the incidence of family breakup.

 This story concerned a reverse causation -- that family stability
 inhibits labor flexibility.  In our own recent hiring experience at
 Chico State, an inordinate number of good candidates proved unhirable
 because of the need to accommodate a spouse.

 In a similar vein, Andrew Oswald showed a correlation between home
 ownership and unemployment presumably because people with phones are
 less likely to pick up and leave.

 --


 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
 Chico, CA 95929
 530-898-5321
 fax 530-898-5901
 michaelperelman.wordpress.com



--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A Subprime Military

2008-02-18 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  no-one can predict the future.

Eugene Coyle  wrote:
  If a recession is happening,  ???
 
  If?  If?

Shane:
 But 60 percent of Americans (together with a few economists)
 can see the present.

now those 60% are likely not familiar with the technical definition of
recession. Okay, the technical definition isn't important. Whether
there's a technically-defined recession or not, the US economy is
what economists call deep shit.

Also, we don't know how deep (or what color) the doo-doo is. Exports
are doing well, much better than before, while the government is
pumping up demand. It's possible that the Fed could abandon all fears
of inflation and do what they did in 2001 and after.  It's quite
possible that we could have an even-more unequally-distributed
prosperity based on widespread debt-peonage.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Peak food

2008-02-18 Thread Jim Devine
The Blessed Max wrote:
 If prices rise, doesn't it put some of the marginal corn producers back
 in the game?
 I'm thinking about Mexico.

it's possible that it could intensify the incentive for the rich to
steal the poor's land.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A Subprime Military

2008-02-18 Thread Jim Devine
The ECONOMIST once said that when one forecasts, one can say what's
going to happen or when  -- but not both.

On 2/18/08, Rudy Fichtenbaum [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I think it was John K. Galbraith who said something like: When it comes
 to forecasting there are two kinds of economists: those who know that
 they don't know and those that don't.

 Rudy

 Sandwichman wrote:
  On 2/18/08, Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  no-one can predict the future.
 
 
  I thought it was, it's tough to make predictions -- especially about
  the future, or something like that.
 
 
  --
  Sandwichman
 

 --
 Rudy Fichtenbaum
 Professor of Economics
 Chief Negotiator AAUP-WSU
 Wright State University
 Dayton, OH 45435-0001
 937-775-3085



--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] China, Speilberg, and the Olympics: The real story

2008-02-17 Thread Jim Devine
 In reply to questions about the then-impending attack on Iraq, Speilberg
 told journalists, Bush's politics has been solid, grounded in reality,
 willing to uproot terrorism wherever it may be found...if Bush, as I
 believe, has reliable information on the fact that Saddam is making 'weapons
 of mass destruction,' I cannot not support the policies of his government.

this is unfair to SS, since lots of mainstream people were fooled by
Bush's lies. But people like SS, who know nothing about the world,
shouldn't get involved in foreign policy issues. I think he got
involved with Darfur  China only because he was subject to a lot of
pressure. (I don't know why, but pro-Israel pressure groups focus on
Darfur. Perhaps it's because Sudan is Islamic. My impression is that
there are lots of places where equally bad crimes are being committed,
including cutting off electricity as a way to impose collective
punishment on Gaza.)


--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] China, Speilberg, and the Olympics: The real story

2008-02-17 Thread Jim Devine
what I mean is that it's best to learn something about what you're
talking about before you say something. Now, it's okay for average
people to violate this rule, but if someone is a public figure (like
SS) whose words have special weight, then it's best to be mum -- and
then study the issue. If I say something stupid (as I do sometimes,
perhaps once a day) it doesn't matter. But if SS does, people listen.

By the way, does anyone know what the pro-Zionists have against Sudan?
is it simply a matter of wanting the US to be the world police? (kinda
like Team America of the film of the same name.)

On Feb 17, 2008 11:26 AM, Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Feb 17, 2008, at 10:21 AM, Jim Devine wrote:

  But people like SS, who know nothing about the world,
  shouldn't get involved in foreign policy issues.

 Who should then? Experts? What kind of philosophy is this for a
 putative democracy?

 Doug




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Here comes the big one

2008-02-17 Thread Jim Devine
good article, but the author should avoid using the phrase debt
deflation to refer to debt contracts becoming worthless. To
economists, it refers to Irving Fisher's theory of what caused the
Great Depression.

On Feb 17, 2008 8:58 AM, Louis Proyect [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 http://crookedtimber.org/2008/02/17/here-comes-the-big-one/#more-6658




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] subprime primer

2008-02-17 Thread Jim Devine
it's good. They thought up a way to hide risk by spreading it all over
the financial system, so that when it went bad it screwed up the
entire financial system. It's like hiding plutonium by blowing it up
so that plutonium dust is evenly distributed in the atmosphere.

On Feb 15, 2008 7:40 PM, Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 David Shemano sent a funny explanation of the subprime crisis.  He kindly 
 asked if
 he should post it to the list, but it is far to big for most mailboxes.

 I put a link to it here.

 http://michaelperelman.wordpress.com/2008/02/15/a-subprime-primer/
 --
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 Chico, CA 95929

 Tel. 530-898-5321
 E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
 michaelperelman.wordpress.com




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A Subprime Military

2008-02-17 Thread Jim Devine
If a recession is happening, that will provide a new stream of
recruits to the volunteer armed forces.

On Feb 17, 2008 2:22 PM, Charles Brown [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 http://lists.econ.utah.edu/pipermail/a-list/2008-February/070175.html

 http://lists.econ.utah.edu/pipermail/a-list/2008-February/070185.html

 Iraq has been hurting the US military, which is good news, but
 unfortunately subprime recruits are renewable resources, given the way
 the US class system is set up to fail children at education. -- Yoshie


--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] the next steroids?

2008-02-14 Thread Jim Devine
[I'm not much of a sports fan, but it seems to me that it's time to
take the money totally out of sports (beyond salaries for jobs done).
The winner take all nature of the game creates a _gigantic_
incentive to use performance-enhancing drugs to get into the high-paid
majors (which pay much (much) more than the minors and amateur sports)
or to stay there (cf. Barry Bonds). If things continue to go the way
they are going, big-league professional sports will either involve
cyborgs, druggies, and/or transplantees -- or it will involve a
draconian and intrusive system to prevent any kind of significant
enhancement (making an extremely arbitrary decision about what's
significant). So, even though I can't be the pied piper in this
movement, I think sports fans should shun major-league sports and
flock to (truly) amateur sports, or as a compromise, minor-league
sports. The Olympics would be a good place to start: fans should
insist that it go back to amateur athletics, perhaps with some
allowance for athletes receiving a standardized salary.]

The New York Times  / February 12, 2008
Finding May Solve Riddle of Fatigue in Muscles
By GINA (Piña) KOLATA

One of the great unanswered questions in physiology is why muscles get
tired. The experience is universal, common to creatures that have
muscles, but the answer has been elusive until now.

Scientists at Columbia say they have not only come up with an answer,
but have also devised, for mice, an experimental drug that can revive
the animals and let them keep running long after they would normally
flop down in exhaustion.

For decades, muscle fatigue had been largely ignored or misunderstood.
Leading physiology textbooks did not even try to offer a mechanism,
said Dr. Andrew Marks, principal investigator of the new study. A
popular theory, that muscles become tired because they release lactic
acid, was discredited not long ago.

In a report published Monday in an early online edition of Proceedings
of the National Academy of Sciences, Dr. Marks says the problem is
calcium flow inside muscle cells. Ordinarily, ebbs and flows of
calcium in cells control muscle contractions. But when muscles grow
tired, the investigators report, tiny channels in them start leaking
calcium, and that weakens contractions. At the same time, the leaked
calcium stimulates an enzyme that eats into muscle fibers,
contributing to the muscle exhaustion.

ellipsis

Then, collaborating with David Nieman, an exercise scientist at
Appalachian State University in Boone, N.C., the investigators asked
whether the human skeletal muscles grew tired for the same reason,
calcium leaks.

Highly trained bicyclists rode stationary bikes at intense levels of
exertion for three hours a day three days in a row. For comparison,
other cyclists sat in the room but did not exercise.

Dr. Nieman removed snips of thigh muscle from all the athletes after
the third day and sent them to Columbia, where Dr. Marks's group
analyzed them without knowing which samples were from the exercisers
and which were not.The results, Dr. Marks said, were clear. The
calcium channels in the exercisers leaked. A few days later, the
channels had repaired themselves. The athletes were back to normal.

Of course, even though Dr. Marks wants to develop the drug to help
people with congestive heart failure, hoping to alleviate their
fatigue and improve their heart functions, athletes might also be
tempted to use it if it eventually goes to the market.

ellipsis

So the day may come when there is an antifatigue drug.

That idea, is sort of amazing, said Dr. Steven Liggett, a
heart-failure researcher at the University of Maryland. Yet, Dr.
Liggett said, for athletes we have to ask whether it would be prudent
to be circumventing this mechanism.

Maybe this is a protective mechanism, he said. Maybe fatigue is
saying that you are getting ready to go into a danger zone. So it is
cutting you off. If you could will yourself to run as fast and as long
as you could, some people would run until they keeled over and died.

Copyright 2008 The New York Times Company


a couch potato,

Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] On the third hand [was: Let.s Go Hillary]

2008-02-13 Thread Jim Devine
Carrol Cox wrote:
 The term conspiracy should be reserved (for political clarity) for those
activities which cannot work except as complete secrecy is involved. 

that's an excellent clarification of the meaning of that word.

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Conspiracies

2008-02-13 Thread Jim Devine
Carol Cox wrote:
  The term conspiracy should be reserved (for political clarity) for those
  activities which cannot work except as complete secrecy is involved.

Paul Zarembka wrote:
 The Manhattan project involved hundreds of thousands and the participants
 did NOT know what the purpose was. Even VP Truman did not. Only a small
 number knew its purpose; there was a clear quote in the 10/30/2007 NYT to
 this effect.

it seems to me that the MP could have worked even without total
secrecy. The Russians knew about it, no? And it didn't really matter
that much if the Nazis knew about it, since they already had their
version of the MP. It's only some of the technical details that needed
to be secret -- and even if they were known, anyone who wanted to
build a Bomb needed to have a large infrastructure of facilities,
scientists, and engineers. Just knowing how to make a Bomb is hardly
sufficient.

 Operation Gladio [OG] was a major terrorist operation also kept secret.  The
 sinking of the Lusitania involved significant aspects only known with Colin
 Simpson's 1972 book 'Lusitania'.

again, Gladio was likely known to the CP of Italy and that didn't
affect its success very much. I don't know enough about the sinking of
the L to comment. But didn't the Brits know that U-Boats were sinking
ships at the time?

It does not seem to me that secrecy was _essential_ to the success of
the MP or OG. It's not like, say, the alleged assassination of Paul
Wellstone, where the alleged conspirators (Karl Rove?) would be
revealed as total traitors and murderers if the facts were revealed,
totally undermining the success of the operation.[*] On the other
hand, the secrecy of both the MP and OG could be protected by the mass
feelings of intense patriotism amongst their participants.They were
not going against what's good for the US as perceived at the time in
their circles and so were not pushed to reveal their operations.

[*] I heard a minor CA DP official hint broadly that Wellstone had
been bumped off by the GOPsters.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] the people speak: Chavez threat

2008-02-13 Thread Jim Devine
Chavez Threatens To Cut United States Off

Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez has threatened to stop sending oil to
the United States, citing Washington's role in aiding Exxon Mobil with
a lawsuit against nationalizing the country's oil. What do you think?

Bettie Arnold, Systems Analyst:
Bullies like Chavez should never underestimate the little guy—in this
case, Exxon Mobil.

Pedro Barajas, Hotel Clerk
I'm surprised by how relatively reasonable this threat is.

Adam Metz, Carpet Installer
Exxon Mobil or Hugo Chavez. Please don't make me choose sides here.

[from the ONION]
-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Conspiracies

2008-02-13 Thread Jim Devine
in terms of the actual practice of the Manhattan Project's
conspiracy, patriotism and anti-Nazism were crucial glues which kept
it secret. This created problems, by the way, when the target was
switched to being Japan, since the anti-Nazi motivation faded.

If we want to understand history, our current moral feelings are irrelevant.

On Feb 13, 2008 8:13 AM, Max B. Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Well I meant American citizens.
 At least I hope no such scheme could ever be kept
 secret.  Not that a scheme to murder foreigners is
 any more ethical, but the narrower view at least
 reflects a molecule of morality.


 On Feb 13, 2008, at 10:38 AM, Max B. Sawicky wrote:
 
  I'm as paranoid as anyone, but moreover, the MP had an objective
  that few patriots could object to, in contrast to some scheme to
  murder thousands of innocent citizens.
 
 I.e., a scheme to murder millions of innocent (foreign) citizens?
 
 Shane Mage




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] David Brooks predicts a centrist Democratic president whoever wins

2008-02-12 Thread Jim Devine
DAVID BROOKS writes:
 Which brings us to second looming Democratic divide: domestic
 spending. Both campaigns now promise fiscal discipline, as well as
 ambitious new programs. These kinds of have-your-cake-and-eat-it-too
 vows were merely laughable last year when the federal deficit was
 running at a manageable $163 billion a year. But the economic
 slowdown, the hangover from the Bush years and the growing bite of
 entitlements mean that the federal deficit will almost certainly top
 $400 billion by 2009. The accumulated national debt will be in
 shouting distance of the $10 trillion mark. With that much red ink,
 the primary-season spending plans are simply ridiculous.

there's a way for the DP to square the circle: redefine the deficit.
The federal deficit (net borrowing) for the 4th quarter of 2007 is
currently estimated to be $440.1 Billion. But (following the late
economist Robert Eisner) the Clinama or Oton could advocate splitting
the budget into the capital budget and the current budget, just as
corporations do. In 2007/IV, the federal government's gross investment
was estimated to be $474.4 billion. So they could say that since the
gov't is investing more than it's borrowing, it is currently running a
surplus on the current budget. (After all, don't households run
deficits to buy houses and cars?)

Of course, a lot of that investment is in military capital. So I
guess Brooks' point remains: his pal Dubya has fucked up the world so
bad that a DP president won't be able to do anything good.

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] On the third hand [was: Let.s Go Hillary]

2008-02-12 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  To say that these are their jobs is much too conspiratorial for my
  tastes. I prefer the old Marxian word objectively. Objectively
  speaking, Clinton (whatever her subjective intentions) will corral
  the votes of those who seek equality of the sexes, Obama (whatever
  his subjective intentions) will corral the votes of those who seek
  racial justice.

Dan Scanlan writes:
 Nothing happens in politics without conspiracy. The latter is the
 manifestation of the former.

of course!  it's true by definition for the current US style of
politics, if we defined conspiracy as involving any application of
power or influence in secret.[*]

Of course, the view that nothing happens in politics without
conspiracy is not true in a world where there are democratic mass
movements that oppose the power of the elites and try to abolish their
power, influence, and secrecy. They can make things happen in politics
without conspiracy.

 The Democratic Leadership Council, with Bill Clinton as its first head
 in 1985 and Hillary, Gore, Lieberman, Gephart and a few others as his
 cohorts, was created to deliver the Democratic voting constituency to
 the same corporations that had been funding the Republicans so they,
 as new leaders of the Democratic Party, could reap the same financial
 rewards corporations were bestowing on the Reaganites. ...

That doesn't seem very secret -- or secretive -- to me. How come so
many people know about the DLC? and why do they advertise their
nefarious plans on the Internet? (It's hard to imagine a
self-respecting Dr. Evil associating himself with them. They hardly
give him a chance to say Bwa-Ha-Ha-Ha!)

The DLC seems a very standard result of the structural bias of the US
electoral system to be dominated by dollar votes. It does not seem
like a conspiracy at all, not at all like the (alleged) plot to
assassinate the late left-DP Senator Paul Wellstone. If that
conspiracy actually happened, it fits the description of a successful
conspiracy in the footnote: it succeeded in its goals (partially
purging the DP of its left) while preventing the leaking of any
information to the world at large.

me again:
  They have this objective -- and likely unintended -- effect because
  the political/electoral system they work within is severely biased
  toward maintaining the _status quo_.

Dan:
 I don't think there is anything unintended about it. Sure the system
 is severely biased -- or fixed. And, boy, do these candidates know how
 to work it. They ain't EVEN out to fix it. ...

sure, but they are products of the same biased system. The system --
and this includes the schools and colleges -- reward the opportunists
and punish those with (good) principles.

[*] Of course, there's more to a _successful_ conspiracy than the
secret application of power and influence. One must lack competition
from other conspiracies: there's no Democratic Populist Leadership
Council (or whatever) that plots to foil the intrigues of the DLC. One
must be tightly organized with no internal conflicts, so that the
leadership can make sure that the lackeys, underlings, puppets, and
willing flunkies (all of whom are necessary to the process) follow
orders and don't leak secrets to the world outside of the cabal. The
leadership must have as complete information as possible about the
world it is manipulating (the strings it is pulling) and the impact of
its machinations on the path of history. It must also have as complete
information as possible about what the lackeys, underlings, etc. are
doing, so that they can be punished if they break ranks.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] On the third hand [was: Let.s Go Hillary]

2008-02-12 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  Sure, I'm going to vote for whomever the Dems choose, to prevent the
  current version of Bush from being elected. But I know that the vote
  is wasted. It's totally harmless to the corporations. (Besides, as
  the anarchists say, if voting could change the system it would be
  illegal.) ...
  Voting is a futile act. We have to find those acts that aren't futile.

Julio:
 The average influence of one individual vote is infinitesimally small,
 negligible.  But it doesn't follow from it that the aggregate
 influence of voting is negligible.  So, in this sense, the argument
 that voting is a futile act is fallacious -- as in fallacy of
 composition.

I agree with this. Though the common Ekon idea that a single vote is
useless or irrational (recently recycled by Tim Hartford in his new
book) was in the back of my mind, it is something I am trying to
purge.

However, that common Ekon idea wasn't what I was talking about (and
I'm sorry I didn't make that clear). Instead, I am talking about the
way the entire electoral game is rigged (specifically in the US). The
_real_ primaries involve the collection of campaign contributions and
the earning of the nod from the corporate media.

Anyone who deviates from the corporate norm will be ignored (e.g.,
Kucinich) or castigated (e.g., Nader) or both (e.g., Edwards) by the
media. This fact interacts with and is reinforced by a second fact:
deviants won't receive very many campaign contributions. So their
campaigns will die -- because without money you can't air the
thousands of ads on TV, etc., that are necessary to winning. (The
two-party system and the electoral college are other filters that
discourage deviance from the norm. In addition, there is the dominant
ideology that pushes voters to generally agree with the media.)

In olden days, labor unions and other groups could mobilize their
members to go door to door to convince people to vote for the
candidate. But that kind of people power has faded, partly because
of the repeated victory of the dollar votes in the electoral arena.
It's also partly because these non-electoral movements have become
more bureaucratic (more run by their main offices), more scattered,
and more hopeless in their perspectives, seeing elections as the only
way they can affect political change to serve their aims. Under the
pressure of history, these groups have become more and more like the
special interest groups that they are often criticized for being.
(The labor movement, for example, has survived largely by narrowing
its goals.)

Even if a deviant does get elected (and the only major one currently
in the US presidential campaign is on the right, Huckabee), he or she
will be pressed to compromise with two houses of Congress elected in
similar ways and with courts packed by people elected in similar ways.
Back in 1972, I remember, some voters complained about McGovern being
too radical. Notably, a DP congresscritter replied: it's our job to
make sure that his policies are not too radical.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] Euros accepted at NY stores

2008-02-11 Thread Jim Devine
U.S. Stores Accepting Euros

In what is seen as a sign of the declining dollar, many New York City
stores have begun accepting Euros. What do you think?

Eric Cox, Systems Analyst
I'd like to refer everyone to Lou Dobbs for my opinion on this matter.

Tammy Jackson, Soda Vendor
I just hope they go back to accepting pelts. Long story short, I got
a lot of pelts I need to unload.

Scott Hernandez, Street Cleaner
If you're gouging people on the price of a bottle of water, it just
seems more polite to do it in their own currency.

[from the ONION]
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-11 Thread Jim Devine
Carrol wrote:
  It seems to me that to put one's hopes in either
  Obama or Clinton is to express utter despair.

hey, if Obama is elected, he'll probably turn out to be as bad as
Clinton would be. But it would be a sign that at least some of the
struggle against racism has been successful.

On the other hand, if Clinton is elected, she'll probably turn out to
be as bad as Obama would be. But it would be a sign that at least some
of the struggle against sexism has been successful.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] On the third hand [was: Let.s Go Hillary]

2008-02-11 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  hey, if Obama is elected, he'll probably turn out to be as bad as
  Clinton would be. But it would be a sign that at least some of the
  struggle against racism has been successful.
 
  On the other hand, if Clinton is elected, she'll probably turn out to
  be as bad as Obama would be. But it would be a sign that at least some
  of the struggle against sexism has been successful.

Dan Scanlan wrote:
 This is certainly one way of looking at it. Here's another: Both
 Clinton and Obama are corporate functionaries. Clinton's job is to
 corral the votes of those who seek equality of the sexes. Obama's job
 is to corral the votes of those who seek racial justice.

To say that these are their jobs is much too conspiratorial for my
tastes. I prefer the old Marxian word objectively. Objectively
speaking, Clinton (whatever her subjective intentions) will corral
the votes of those who seek equality of the sexes, Obama (whatever
his subjective intentions) will corral the votes of those who seek
racial justice.

They have this objective -- and likely unintended -- effect because
the political/electoral system they work within is severely biased
toward maintaining the _status quo_.

 In both cases
 the votes are rendered harmless to the corporations.

Votes for Nader seem similarly harmless to corporations. We might say
that objectively speaking, Nader (whatever his subjective intentions)
will corral the votes of those who seek to upset the
establishmentarian applecart.

Julio Huato writes:
 Yet on the third hand, if McCain wins he may turn out to be as good as Bush!

Yeah, as I've said, I don't think the old line about the Dems and GOPs
being equivalent works this time around. And as the Dems say, think
about the Supreme Court.

Sure, I'm going to vote for whomever the Dems choose, to prevent the
current version of Bush from being elected. But I know that the vote
is wasted. It's totally harmless to the corporations. (Besides, as
the anarchists say, if voting could change the system it would be
illegal.)

Carrol made the point that voting is a sign of despair. That's right.
But to quote Joe Hill, don't mourn, organize.

Okay, mourn a small amount (that is, vote) but realize that real
politics isn't made in elections. Even McCain would pull out of Iraq
if there were a mass movement against staying in. Even Clinton would
pull out of Iraq if there were a mass movement against staying in.
Even Obama would pull out of Iraq if there were a mass movement
against staying in.

Voting is a futile act. We have to find those acts that aren't futile.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] apologia

2008-02-11 Thread Jim Devine
Dean Baker writes:
 You may wonder why the NYT would print columns from someone with such a
 consistent reputation for getting things wrong. I guess that is the
 price that we pay for having a regular column from Paul Krugman. Too bad
 they can't find a conservative who could at least make an honest argument.

the _prices_ we pay! we also have to put up with columns by David
Brooks and (ugh) William Kristol.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] apologia

2008-02-10 Thread Jim Devine
 recession is to enact protectionist measures.
While foreign competition may have eroded some American workers'
incomes, looking at consumption broadens our perspective. Simply put,
the poor are less poor. Globalization extends and deepens a capitalist
system that has for generations been lifting American living standards
— for high-income households, of course, but for low-income ones as
well.

W. Michael Cox is the senior vice president and chief economist and
Richard Alm is the senior economics writer at the Federal Reserve Bank
of Dallas.


Copyright 2008 The New York Times Company



-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-10 Thread Jim Devine
Carrol wrote:
  When a national coalition to replace the DP-Pimps at UFPJ ==
 
  When something somewhere entirely unexpected and unpredictable now
  occurs [e.g., Walmart employees emulate the Fisher Body Sit Down Strike)
  --
 
  When 50,000 white, black,  asian marchers come out to a pro-illegal
  immigrant march in Chicago --
 
  When something happens 'in the street' as they say --
 
  And happens again, _larger_ --
 
  Then it will make sense to talk of HOPE.

Julio Huato wrote:
 In other words, you are HOPELESS.

I know it's a cliché, but whatever happened to optimism of the will,
pessimism of the intellect?
-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] it's the water [was: apologia]

2008-02-10 Thread Jim Devine
Max B. Sawicky wrote:
 Anyway, Cox was going on about how much better
 off we are these days because we have innovations like many varieties
 of bottled water, even though the stuff coming out of the tap is
 periodically found to have uncomfortable levels of doo-doo.

but haven't other studies found that tap water is often cleaner than
bottled water?

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] it's the water [was: apologia]

2008-02-10 Thread Jim Devine
Michael Perelman wrote:
 I wonder how Dr. Cox would feel however if
 groggy firefighters who are supposed to save his house were already exhausted 
 from
 their other job.

he may live in an area where fire services are privatized, where the
fire-fighters simply drive past burning houses whose owners haven't
paid their retainers.

Max Sawicky writes:
There is some paranoia because of stories about NYC water being at
least temporarily contaminated, also some episodes here in D.C. area.


I remember when there was a temporary scare about the water in LA (in
what year I don't know, 1987??). Suddenly there was a surge in the
demand for bottled water, one that's never been reversed (even though
the tap water is fine). This is one of these cases where a conspiracy
theory may apply. If nothing else, the bottled water peddlers milked a
real problem to the max (as it were).

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] apologia

2008-02-10 Thread Jim Devine
do we really grow rice in California? (I may have reported this, but
I'm not convinced it's true.)

Doyle Saylor wrote:
  Why grow rice in California?

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-10 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  I know it's a cliché, but whatever happened to optimism of the will,
  pessimism of the intellect?

Julio Huato wrote:
 How is voting for Hillary, McCain, Huckabee, Paul, Gravel, Nader, the
 SWP, etc. -- or not voting! -- a manifestation of this optimism of
 the will?

I interpret optimism of the will as involving seeing all the
relevant possibilities for future social change, and then being
willing to act to produce the best possible change. On the other hand,
pessimism of the intellect tells us not to rely on the best (or even
the good) change happening. (Or maybe I'm misinterpreting Gramsci.)

_Any_ kind of voting involves optimism of the will, since one person's
vote does not matter at all.
-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] the role of government

2008-02-08 Thread Jim Devine
from SLATE: The [Wall Street J0URINAL] notes that it's looking
increasingly likely that contractors were involved in water-boarding
terrorist suspects. Although Hayden insisted that contractors must
follow the same rules as CIA operatives, some doubt they can be held
to the same standards or are as accountable. Also, some lawmakers are
questioning whether using contractors for interrogations is even legal
since, according to policy, inherently governmental activities must
be performed by government employees.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] PK on the R

2008-02-08 Thread Jim Devine
The New York Times / February 8, 2008
Op-Ed Columnist

A Long Story
By PAUL KRUGMAN

The economic news has been fairly dire this week. The credit crunch is
getting worse, and a widely watched indicator of trends in the service
sector — which is most of the economy — has fallen off a cliff. It's
still not a certainty that we're headed into recession, but the odds
are growing greater.

And if past experience is any guide, the troubles will persist for a
long time — say, into the middle of 2010.

The problems now facing the U.S. economy look a lot like the problems
that caused the last two recessions — but this time in combination.

On one side, the bursting of the housing bubble is playing the role
that the bursting of the dot-com bubble played in 2001. On the other,
the subprime crisis is creating a credit crunch reminiscent of the
crunch after the savings-and-loan crisis of the late 1980s, which led
to recession in 1990.

Now, you may have heard that those recessions were short. And it's
true that the last two recessions both officially ended after only
eight months.

But the official end dates for those recessions are deeply misleading,
at least as far as most peoples' experience is concerned. There's a
reason that the Bush administration, in its (increasingly strained)
efforts to tout economic performance on its watch, always talks about
jobs added since August 2003. It was only then — two and a half years
after the recession began — that the U.S. economy began to experience
anything that felt like a recovery.

And the same thing happened a decade earlier: the recession that began
in 1990 officially ended in March 1991, but the jobless recovery that
followed kept Americans feeling miserable about the economy right up
through the 1992 election.

Since the current problems of the U.S. economy look like a combination
of 1990 and 2001, the shape of this episode of economic distress will
probably be similar to that of the earlier episodes: even if the
official recession is short, the bad times will linger well into the
next administration.

How severe will the distress be? The double-bubble nature of the
underlying problem — a housing bubble and a credit bubble combined —
suggests that it may well be worse than either 1990 or 2001.

And some highly respected economists are issuing dire warnings. There
has been a lot of buzz about a new paper by Carmen Reinhart and
Kenneth Rogoff that compares the United States in recent years to
other advanced countries that have experienced financial crises. They
find that the U.S. profile resembles that of the big five crises, a
list that includes, for example, Sweden's 1991 crisis, which caused
the unemployment rate to soar from 2 percent to 9 percent over a
two-year period.

Maybe we'll be lucky, and that won't happen. But what can be done to
limit the damage?

Since September, the Federal Reserve has slashed its target interest
rate five times, and everyone expects it to cut further. But interest
rates were cut dramatically during the last two slumps, too — yet the
slumps went on for years anyway.

Meanwhile, Congress and the Bush administration have reached agreement
on a much-hyped stimulus package. But the package, while probably
better than nothing, is unlikely to make a noticeable dent in the
problem — in part because the insistence of the administration and
Senate Republicans on blocking precisely the measures, such as
expanded unemployment insurance and food stamps, that are most likely
to be effective.

Still, by January the White House will have a new occupant. If the
slump is still going on, which is likely, this will offer a chance to
consider other, more effective measures.

In particular, now would be a good time to think about the possibility
of going beyond tax cuts and rebate checks, and stimulating the
economy with some much-needed public investment — say, in repairing
the country's crumbling infrastructure.

The usual rap against public spending as a form of economic stimulus
is that it takes too long to get going — that by the time the money
starts flowing, the recession is already over. But if this turns out
to be a prolonged slump, which seems likely, that won't be a problem.

But we won't get any innovative action to help the economy unless the
next president has a couple of key attributes.

First, he or she has to be free of the ideological blinders that make
the current administration and its allies fiercely oppose the idea
that the government can do anything positive aside from cutting taxes.

[oops. We're f*kt.]

Second, he or she has to be knowledgeable about and interested in
economic policy. Presidents don't have to be their own chief
economists, but they do need to know enough to take the right advice.

Will we have that kind of president? Stay tuned.

Copyright 2008 The New York Times Company

-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A comment on No Country for Old Men

2008-02-08 Thread Jim Devine
 the
 question [is] what this film, and film in general, has to say about the
 human condition, and particularly the human condition at this
 critical juncture in time on this planet; what does the film have to
 say about the individual facing the contradictions and violence of
 modern society, coping with the ever-increasing material and social
 inequality and constraints on a stable and meaningful life posed by
 neo-liberal, late-stage capitalism, and the concomitant ecological
 collapse; what does the film have to say about the individual's
 struggle against the very real violent and dehumanizing authoritarian
 and mass social forces in a time of rapid change; what does the film
 have to say about the search for community in a time of
 homogenization; what does the film have to say about the individual
 confronting the age-old forces of time, fate, change and death, and
 making a meaningful personal peace with them? Apparently very little.

does every film have to be a message film?

the film does say something about the decadence of Southwestern US society.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-07 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  I think that was
 in 1972, when the CP ran its own independent campaign, but most of its
 members supported McGovern

Charles:
 Did you do a poll of the members or did you get this info from the
 FBI ?  Most party members are not public because there is not freedom of
 political association for Communists in the US.

no, I didn't do a poll. But that was the word on the street and my
friends in the CP didn't deny it.

Me:
  and the USSR, its patron, supported Nixon.

Charles:
 Afterall, Dems and Reps are both parties of Big Business so why not
 support the one who was going to win and with whom you have to negotiate
 nuclear weapons treaties.

and Nixon was an ally of J. Edgar Hoover, who was busy denying freedom of
political association to the CP. Yes, Hoover shuffled off to that big
dress shop in the sky that year, but his truth went marching on...

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-07 Thread Jim Devine
  CB: No, they considered it a Business Party, and said so.

Louis Proyect wrote:
 Do you have a citation for that? I, of course, am not referring to the
 3rd period, when the CP was certainly hostile to the Democrats.

I remember hearing the CP presidential candidate (Gus Hall) saying
that neither the DP nor the GOP candidate would step on the toes of
big business, but that the CP would step on its neck. I think that was
in 1972, when the CP ran its own independent campaign, but most of its
members supported McGovern and the USSR, its patron, supported Nixon.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] Bob Scheer on Obamillary

2008-02-07 Thread Jim Devine
.
Web site development by Hop Studios | Hosted by NEXCESS.NET
-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-07 Thread Jim Devine
I'm tired of this defensiveness.

On Feb 7, 2008 1:16 PM, Charles Brown [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Jim Devine

 Charles:
  Did you do a poll of the members or did you get this info from the
  FBI ?  Most party members are not public because there is not freedom
 of
  political association for Communists in the US.

 no, I didn't do a poll. But that was the word on the street and my
 friends in the CP didn't deny it.

 ^
 CB: word on the street from anti-CPers ?  My friends in the CP did
 deny it.

 ^^^

 Me:
   and the USSR, its patron, supported Nixon.



 and Nixon was an ally of J. Edgar Hoover, who was busy denying freedom
 of
 political association to the CP. Yes, Hoover shuffled off to that big
 dress shop in the sky that year, but his truth went marching on...

 ^
  CB:  Wow. That's a stretch, but such stretches are not uncommon in the
 mental gymnastics of anti-Communism and anti-Sovietism.

 So, the Soviet Union was not the patron of the CPUSA ?

 (Michael will step in now,  because straightening out old anti-Soviet
 thinking is too pro-Soviet. One wonders why since the SU is a ghost.
 What to fear  from discussing the defunct SU ?)




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] bangs per buck

2008-02-07 Thread Jim Devine
according to SLATE:
The NY [TIMES] notes that, based on 2007 fund-raising figures, no one
got a bigger bang for his buck than Mike Huckabee. The former Arkansas
governor won 156 delegates at a cost of approximately $45,000 each.
Mitt Romney, on the other hand, spent $654,000 per delegate. But
that's chump change compared with Rep. Ron Paul, who has lined up five
delegates at a cost of about $4 million each.

on another topic, did Prez Bush fulfill his promise to rebuild Trent
Lott's house after Katrina?

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] stock returns [was: Ignore the Obituaries, U.S. Reign Will Endure]

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
Doug Henwood wrote:
 The Dow could well reach 36,000 someday, but Hassett  Glassman
 thought the Dow shold have reached 36,000 very quickly after 1999. So
 yes, Their argument was that markets had systemically overestimated
 the risk of stocks, so PEs should have been much higher than they
 were back then, at a point when PEs were extremely high. A year
 later, the market fell apart and stocks were revealed to be quite
 risky. So it's been disproven, massively.

the Hassett/Glassman prediction was based on the assumption that
stocks were becoming as safe as bonds, no? How could that ever be
true? (contrary to the MF, I think that the assumptions can be as
important as the prediction.)

BTW, Baran  Sweezy (1965) suggested that dividends were becoming as
regular as interest payments. I think Galbraith pére may have made the
same kind of suggestion way back then. If so, then stocks are more
like bonds, at least for the blue chip stocks. Of course, it was only
given the political economy of Monopoly Capital/New Industrial State,
which soon ended. (Some argue that monopoly capital persists, but
it's very different from the BS version.)

-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] the Black Swan

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
I wrote:
  the impact of the fall of LTCM would have been bigger if the Fed
  hadn't organized a bail-out.

Shane Mage wrote:
 That's what its there for, isn't it?  Effects take place within systems.

well, that fits Taleb's strategy. He wants a big safe part of his
portfolio, so the class of financiers needs one too. Instead of a
bunch of T-bills, the US monetary insurance is provided by the Fed
(and backed by the power of the state).
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
Michael Perelman wrote:
 I think Hillary Clinton will be an excellent candidate.  ...
 More than anyone else, she has the potential of finally proving the emptiness 
 of the
 Democratic Party to the general public.

she's better than Mike Dukakis for this purpose? hard to believe.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] stock returns [was: Ignore the Obituaries, U.S. Reign Will Endure]

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  (Some argue that monopoly capital persists, but
 it's very different from the BS version.)

Charles Brown:
 How is today's monopoly or oligopoly capital different than the
 older version ?

In line with Baran's Frankfurt-school view, Baran  Sweezy's MC is
monolithic. (This is really clear in Baran's POLITICAL ECONOMY OF
GROWTH.)  MC has won the battle, beating the working class. All
problems come from the edges, from non-mainstream forces like the
African-American people of the time or the alienated youth. (There
were no Barach Obama (mainstream) figures back then.)

  If it is not monopoly capitalism , does that mean that there is free
 market capitalism today ? with no entities having significant economic
 advantages or significantly more wealth than most others ?  What is the
 nature of non-monopoly/non-oligopoly capitalism ?

I don't really care about what it's called. Free market capitalism is
just as bad for working people as is monopoly or oligopoly capitalism.

The stage that I see prevailing right now reflects the neo-liberal
policy revolution of the 1980s. It's part of the weak labor phase of
the 1970s to the present, an instant replay in many ways of the Gilded
Age or the 1920s. It differs from the Keynesian liberal or (soft)
social democratic capitalism of the 1950s and 1960s, during which we
had strong labor (especially in Western Europe).
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
Charles Brown wrote:
  Is the emptiness of the Democratic Party  the lack of charm of its
 presidential candidates  ?

in some ways. The _real_ primaries (the collection of campaign
contributions) favors anyone who can rake in the bucks, whether they
have charm or not. Thus, Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry,  Gore. The real
primaries filter out anyone like Edwards, who followed a populist
path, and discourage people like Gore from going down that path. This
undermines the candidate's charm. If Gore had gone with his initial
populist leanings, he would have been much more interesting.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
Charles Brown wrote:
   Is the emptiness of the Democratic Party  the lack of charm of its
  presidential candidates  ?

me:
 in some ways. The _real_ primaries (the collection of campaign
 contributions) favors anyone who can rake in the bucks, whether they
 have charm or not. Thus, Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry,  Gore. The real
 primaries filter out anyone like Edwards, who followed a populist
 path, and discourage people like Gore from going down that path. This
 undermines the candidate's charm. If Gore had gone with his initial
 populist leanings, he would have been much more interesting.
-

CB:  I've been thinking the emptiness is more like what Carrol and Lou
 Pro raise consistently - fake champions of  working class interests,
 diverting and smothering popular and working class movements, etc.

It's true that a lot of the emptiness of the DP is fake populism or
reflects the shortcomings of true populism.  (Much of what Edwards
said fits in either or both categories.) But amazingly, the real
primaries run by the donors filters theses populisms out too.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] stock returns [was: Ignore the Obituaries, U.S. Reign Will Endure]

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  In line with Baran's Frankfurt-school view, Baran  Sweezy's MC is
 monolithic. (This is really clear in Baran's POLITICAL ECONOMY OF
 GROWTH.)  MC has won the battle, beating the working class. All
 problems come from the edges, from non-mainstream forces like the
 African-American people of the time or the alienated youth. (There
 were no Barach Obama (mainstream) figures back then.)

Charles:
 Not disagreeing with you about the content of their thesis, but
 late 40's , 50's was the high point in membership  and influence of
 organized labor, so, I'm wondering how that was a point in time that the
 working class was beaten in comparison with other times.

the Baran view was that the labor movement had been co-opted. The
1950s/60s labor stasis was seen in comparison to the militancy of much
of the labor movement in the 1930s and 1940s, along with the context
of the revolution that many expected after WW2.

Charles:
   If it is not monopoly capitalism , does that mean that there is  free
  market capitalism today ? with no entities having significant  economic
  advantages or significantly more wealth than most others ?  What is  the
  nature of non-monopoly/non-oligopoly capitalism ?

me:
 I don't really care about what it's called. Free market capitalism is
 just as bad for working people as is monopoly or oligopoly capitalism.

Charles:
 I was trying to recognize that in the past you have preferred the
 term oligopoly. I believe because there usually is not just one
 (mono) dominant company in what is referred to as monopoly ( like
 the old Big Three in auto).

oligopoly is the preferred economic term, yes. Nowadays, auto is even
more competitive, I think.

 I'm trying to think what is the significance of monopolization for the
 working class if free market capitalism is the same in effect.

in terms of auto, the oligopolization of the product market and the
domination by GM meant that if the UAW raised wages, the bosses could
more easily raise prices, which made them (the bosses) more amenable
to wage increases.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] religion in the news!

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
Pope's Rewrite of Latin Prayer Draws Criticism From 2 Sides

By IAN FISHER
February 6, 2008

ROME — Pope Benedict XVI on Tuesday issued a replacement for a
contentious Good Friday prayer in Latin, removing language that many
Jewish groups found offensive but still calling for the Jews'
conversion.

However, representatives of Jewish groups as well as traditionalist
Catholics quickly condemned the new prayer, though for different
reasons. Jewish groups said it was still offensive, and
traditionalists said they preferred the version that was replaced.

It's disappointing, said Rabbi David Rosen, director of
inter-religious affairs for the American Jewish Committee, who for 20
years has worked on Jewish-Catholic relations with Benedict as pope
and, earlier, when he was a cardinal.

The prayer was a focus of dispute last year when Benedict allowed for
greater use of a traditional version of the Latin Mass, called the
Tridentine rite. That decree improved ties with Catholic
traditionalists, who oppose the sweeping changes to church liturgy
made from 1962 through 1965 during the Second Vatican Council.

The prayer is not part of the standard service used by most of the
world's 1.1 billion Catholics, who celebrate Mass in their local
languages.

The new prayer, published only in Latin on Tuesday in the Vatican
newspaper, L'Osservatore Romano, deletes a reference to Jews'
blindness and a call that God may lift the veil from their hearts.

An unofficial translation of the new prayer reads: Let us pray for
the Jews. May the Lord Our God enlighten their hearts so that they may
acknowledge Jesus Christ, the savior of all men.

Almighty and everlasting God, it continues, you who want all men to
be saved and to reach the awareness of the truth, graciously grant
that, with the fullness of peoples entering into your church, all
Israel may be saved.

comment: why should the Pope listen to either side? he's infallible, no?

The New York Times
Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Storms Across 5 States Leave at Least 50 Dead
By JOHN HOLUSHA
Authorities were searching for victims after a wide swath
of thunderstorms packing tornadoes, high winds and hail
swept through the South.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/06/us/06cnd-storm.html?8auemc=au

comment: why does God hate the South?


Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Let.s Go Hillary

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  It's true that a lot of the emptiness of the DP is fake populism or
  reflects the shortcomings of true populism.  (Much of what Edwards
  said fits in either or both categories.) But amazingly, the real
  primaries run by the donors filters theses populisms out too.

Carrol Cox writes:
 I would take that as evidence that no substantial sector of the
 capitalist class is particularly worried about politi cal danger
 stemming from current economic turmoil. No one seems to be saying, as
 Papa Kennedy did back in the '30s, I would be willing to give up half
 my money if left to enjoy the other half in peace.

I don't know if I said this before or not, but this is a good answer
to Schumpeter's critique of Keynes and FDR back in the 1930s. His
argument is that Keynesian policy (if implemented) and the New Deal
hurt business confidence and thus (what we would call) capital
accumulation, thus prolonging the Depression. But the alternative to
FDR or Keynesian policy was the rise of a militant working class (or
fascism, which is unpleasant for capitalists, even if it's sometimes
necessary). So FDR or Keynesian policy could be seen as raising
capitalist confidence. Or, more correctly, the two stories cancel out:
the fear of Keynesianism or FDR had little or no effect on capitalist
confidence.

They did hate FDR (and some actually launched an abortive coup). My
rich grandparents' generation made anti-semitic remarks against him
(Rosenveldt), etc. This hatred of the New Deal is one of the
historical origins of modern W. Bushism (though it hardly explains why
W rose to power at the time he did).

 If a real threat were perceived, there would be ruling-class support for
 (relatively) radical politics (as well as some support for radical
 right-- extra-legal-- politics). Both occurred in the '30s.

yes, the key problem with Edwards is that populist politics is totally
disorganized and decentralized, so that his program was largely (or
almost completely) coming from above. Populism from above! Now there's
a contradiction in terms.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] stock returns [was: Ignore the Obituaries, U.S. Reign Will Endure]

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  oligopoly is the preferred economic term, yes. Nowadays, auto is even
  more competitive, I think.

Shane Mage:
 Not my preferred term.  What textbooks call oligopoly I would call
 shared
 monopoly,  thus in one phrase indicating both structure and process.

I use both terms in my teaching. I want my students to be able to
understand what other econ. profs. are talking about.

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] bad omens

2008-02-06 Thread Jim Devine
[a day-trading type sent me this]

This morning, Bill King points out another amusing coincidence: The
Ticker Tape Parade Indicator:

• The NY Giants won their first Super Bowl in 1987; the Great US Stock
Market Crash appeared later.

• The NY Giants won their second Super Bowl in 1991; the last US
full-blown recession appeared; money center banks barely avoided the
abyss.

• Before yesterday, the last NYC ticker-tape parade was 2000
(Yankees); the Great US Stock Bubble burst.

• The NY Giants won their third Super Bowl in 2008 and received a
ticker-tape parade; head to the caves!
-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] [lbo-talk] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
Isn't it a bit late to discuss who to vote for? (or bit early, if
Super Dooper Tuesday doesn't settle the issue?)

I already voted absentee (on Saturday). Since CA moved its
presidential primary so that it would actually have an effect, I
swallowed my price  intelligence and changed my registration to the
DP. Then, the only candidates who were decent all dropped out. So I
voted for Gravel.

I like Mike! I like Mike! I like Mike! I like Mike!

in any event, to have any president do anything decent or
progressive, we need a mass movement to keep him or her honest.

On Feb 5, 2008 9:03 AM, Shane Mage [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Feb 5, 2008, at 10:51 AM, Julio Huato wrote:


  C'mon everybody in the U.S.  Go out and vote.  For Obama, of course.
  Then keep doing whatever you're doing to advance socialism in the
  world.

 I agree with Julio.  A walk along Broadway on Sunday let me compare
 the kids campaigning for Obama to the tired old hacks at the Clintons'
 tables.
 No doubt that the live forces of any future radicalization have found
 something here to stir them.  If they hope that electing Obama or any
 Dumbocrat will produce meaningful change within the capitalist system
 they are surely mistaken: but as the old man said, the youth must have
 the right to make their own mistakes--and learn from them.

 By the way, the only reason I'm able to follow Julio's advice is that by
 1989 I had become so revulsed by Hizzoner Koch that I registered Dumbo
 in order to beat him.  The Clinton's are just as puke-arousing as
 Koch, and
 Obama is a far better specimen, even for a Dumbo, than Dinkens.  So I
 won't be doing something unprecedented today!


 Shane Mage

 Thunderbolt steers all things...it consents and does not consent to
 be called Zeus.

 Herakleitos of Ephesos




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] it's good news week!

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
from HARPER'S WEEKLY: Mississippi lawmakers introduced a bill that
would make it illegal for restaurants in the state to serve obese
people, and an unidentified robber killed five women in a Chicago-area
branch of the plus-sized clothing store Lane Bryant. A camping-goods
website was selling a cheeseburger in a can. 

Meanwhile, British scientists announced that it would soon be
possible to convert female bone mar-row into viable sperm cells,
hastening the obsolescence of men.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
Doyle Saylor wrote:
There is a genuine move left happening.

there is definitely a leftward shift in US politics, or rather, a
polarization. In fact, I think this year's election will go against
the standard left line that the two main parties are Twaddle Dee and
Twaddle Dumb. Obama (or Clinton) versus McCain (or Romney or
Huckabee)  will be a bit like the 1964 LBJ/Goldwater election.

However, remember what the victorious LBJ did...
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] [lbo-talk] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  in any event, to have any president do anything decent or
  progressive, we need a mass movement to keep him or her honest.

Doyle:
 How?

that's the $64 billion question! What _is_ to be done?
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
where's the goat?

g.a.s. wrote:
 Heading for the primary:

 http://www.gribbenstockyards.com.au/images/PS3.jpg

 Happy voting!


--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] the Black Swan

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
he doesn't come off as arrogant as his book does? BTW, he also
disparaged people who read newspapers.

also, it's a mistake to trash _all_ economists and he should know it.
After all, his book praises economists such as Shackle, Hayek, and (if
I remember correctly) Keynes.

On Feb 5, 2008 10:58 AM, Eugene Coyle [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I went along with a friend last night to hear Nassim Nicholas Taleb,
 the author of the hot book THE BLACK SWAN.  He's an appealing speaker
 and smeared economists in most paragraphs of his talk, which I much
 appreciated.  He really sees economists as the lowest of the low.

 In the Q  A he was offered an opportunity to disparage other
 professions, such as priests and bishops, but he declined, saving his
 opprobrium for economits.

 Gene Coyle




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  Obama (or Clinton) versus McCain (or Romney or
  Huckabee)  will be a bit like the 1964 LBJ/Goldwater election.

Doug:
 So the peace candidate will escalate the war?

it's quite possible. How best to end the war than to win it? Peace
through superior firepower. But done with compassion. But it seems
less likely that a DP Prez will invade Iran.

if/when a DP candidate is elected President, he or she will likely
present us with rationalized GW Bushism, just as GHW Bush and Bill
Clinton rationalized Reaganism, sanding off the rough edges.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
Charles Brown wrote:
Don't you think McCain will win ?

I think he would be easy for either Obama or Clinton to beat. They
could simply report on his singing Bomb Bomb Bomb Iran (playing the
videotape) and describe his various positions totally accurately and
then say Is this who we want to lead American?
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  But it seems
  less likely that a DP Prez will invade Iran.

Doug:
 You think? It wouldn't surprise me at all if a Dem had to prove him-
 or herself by doing just that. Esp Obama, who'd have to prove that
 his middle name means nothing.

Currently, I see a big split within the ruling class, between the
Bushies (who want to bomb Iran) and the multilateralists (who
don't). Because of the disaster that Bush has created, I see the multi
types as being on the rise. Both Hillary and Barach seem to lean
toward the multilateralists (in terms of their foreign policy
advisers, etc.) The multilateralists don't seem to want to bomb/attack
Iran.

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
 On Tuesday 05 February 2008 15:36:44 Jim Devine wrote:
   The multilateralists don't seem to want to bomb/attack
  Iran.

 Michael Smith wrote:
 But the Israel lobby does, and the Israel lobby has even more
 clout with the Dems than it has with the Reeps.

the way I read the weather suggests that Israel Lobby -- or rather the
Israel Lobbies -- is a bit chastened when it comes to foreign policy
and needs allies in the multilateralist camp, just as the
multilateralist camp needs allies in Europe. The revelation that Iran
had discontinued any bomb programs a few years ago undermined European
support for the anti-Iran war.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] the Black Swan

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
  CB: In the book he disparages the mathematical concept of the bell
  curve.


 Really?  Its elementary mathematical statistics.  Does he also disparage
 the Pythagorean Theorem?

Taleb isn't against the bell curve as much as the assumption that it's
an accurate description of randomness in reality. He emphasizes the
role of outliers, which he sees as normal but totally unpredictable.
(and as having big effects, such as tanking Long-Term Capital
Management.)

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Leo Panitch: do stimulus packages work?

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
this is right on target.

On Jan 28, 2008 6:49 AM, Louis Proyect [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 http://www.zcommunications.org/zvideo/2484




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] the Black Swan

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
the impact of the fall of LTCM would have been bigger if the Fed
hadn't organized a bail-out.

On Feb 5, 2008 5:11 PM, Shane Mage [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Feb 5, 2008, at 6:50 PM, Jim Devine wrote:
 
  Taleb isn't against the bell curve as much as the assumption that it's
  an accurate description of randomness in reality. He emphasizes the
  role of outliers, which he sees as normal but totally unpredictable.
  (and as having big effects, such as tanking Long-Term Capital
  Management.)

 Big effect? Depends from whose point of view.  Quite apart from its
 political and economic (not to speak of historical) triviality,  I
 believe that
 even now far more people would claim a clear recall of Johnny Podres's
 shutout in the seventh gane of the 1955 series than can remember even
 the haziest aspects of that big effect.



 Shane Mage

 Thunderbolt steers all things...it consents and does not consent to
 be called Zeus.

 Herakleitos of Ephesos




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] I hope you all vote(d) for Obama

2008-02-05 Thread Jim Devine
On Feb 5, 2008 5:39 PM, Julio Huato [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Michael Perelman for president.

Now THERE'S an idea!! all it needs is more exclamation points!!

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Who was Jesse James?

2008-02-04 Thread Jim Devine
so the Brad Pitt portrayal of Jesse James in The Assassination of
Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford wasn't accurate? say it ain't
so, Louis!

Louis Proyect quotes:
 Paradoxically, however, this tale also reveals the integration of the
 nation's past. The life of Jesse James is, in many ways, an
 African-American story. His entire existence was tightly wrapped
 around the struggle fur­or, rather, against ­black freedom. Raised in
 large part by an African-American woman in a mostly black household,
 he had a father who battled abolitionists in the Baptist church, a
 mother who kept two black children in virtual slavery after the war,
 a guerrilla unit that casually murdered African Americans, and a
 bandit career that pitted him openly against Radical Republicans.
 Missouri's white population was too badly divided to make race alone
 the starkest aspect of Jesse's public image, yet it formed a patina
 that covered it all. At the beginning of his life, the secessionist
 movement in Missouri emerged from an especially intolerant faction
 that had mobilized to defend slavery in the 1850s; toward the end of
 his life, he selected as his target Adelbert Ames, one of the
 nation's leading spokesmen for racial equality.
clip

-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A Sociological Analysis of the Rogue Trader

2008-02-03 Thread Jim Devine
he's an over-achiever.

Michael Perelman wrote:
 The Wall Street Journal has a very perceptive article about the class nature 
 of
 Jerome Kerviel, a striving person from a modest background, who was trying to
 compete with and win approval from his more fortunate colleagues.  Kerviel's 
 story
 is obviously self-serving, but much of it rings true -- especially his 
 ill-fated
 efforts to be accepted.




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Eisenhower Republicans

2008-02-02 Thread Jim Devine
back in the 1950s  1960s, the ultra-right-wing John Birch Society
said that Eisenhower was a communist. Nowadays, when JBS crap (e.g.,
Anne Coulter) has become mainstream, they may be right. What a
difference a few decades make.

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] Capitalist pig of the month

2008-01-31 Thread Jim Devine
 I am a socialist in the real sense of the word, Mr. Vargas says.

 CB: I wonder if the translation of this should be socialite instead
 of socialist.

or he means that he wants to socialize risks while privatizing benefits.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] cassandra's dream

2008-01-31 Thread Jim Devine
I saw the new Woody Allen flick Cassandra's Dream last night.

My review: skip it. See Before the Devil Knows You're Dead instead.
(It's also about brothers in crime. Phillip Seymour Hoffman is worth
the price of admission.) As my wife pointed out, we have to see some
bad films to appreciate the good ones. Cassandra's Dream was often
excessively melodramatic, generally slow-paced, and sometimes made us
laugh (despite Allen's intentions).

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] cassandra's dream

2008-01-31 Thread Jim Devine
I should have said Phillip Seymour Hoffman is worth  the price of
admission _as usual_.

On Jan 31, 2008 11:35 AM, Louis Proyect [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Jim Devine wrote:
 
  My review: skip it. See Before the Devil Knows You're Dead instead.
  (It's also about brothers in crime. Phillip Seymour Hoffman is worth
  the price of admission.)

 YEAH!!!




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] Devine in the news!

2008-01-31 Thread Jim Devine
In LA OPINION, a L.A. Spanish-language newspaper, I am  said something
like the following (my translation, based on an on-line translation
service and my memory of what I said):

... James Devine, professor of economics of Loyola Marymount
University, warns of the danger that a large business organization
[called BizFed] as the one that has just formed can negatively affect
the workers.

It would be translated in lower salaries — or wages that grow less —
which would at the same time would contribute to keeping the economy
stagnant, says Devine, indicating that the comparison [of the big
business group] with the unions is not valid.

The workers need to be united in unions because they have less
bargaining power than their employers, and many less resources and
ways to transmit their positions to the politicians and legislators,
says Devine.

The head Office Union AFL-GO BACKWARDS [which originally was
AFL-CIO!] criticized the reasons in which BizFed has given to
justify its creation.  It criticized that have conceived as a
counterweight to what the unions have come doing up to now.  

the original article:

Nueva federación de negocios en LA

Un total de 44 organizaciones empresariales que representan a 70 mil
empresas se unieron en BizFed; no hay ninguna hispana

Yolanda Arenales
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
30 de enero de 2008

Múltiples organizaciones de negocios del condado de Los Ángeles han
decidido unirse para actuar de forma colectiva a la hora de dejar oír
su voz.

Los sindicatos han tenido mucho éxito con este tipo de estrategia, y
creemos que hacer lo mismo desde el lado empresarial equilibrará la
forma en que ambos lados tratamos de conseguir nuestros intereses,
señalaba ayer David Fleming, presidente de BizFed, la nueva
organización que de momento agrupa a 44 organizaciones empresariales
como la Alianza Económica del Valle de San Fernando, la Asociación de
Hoteles de Los Ángeles y diversas cámaras de comercio como la de
Hollywood, Pasadera, Santa Mónica y Claremont, entre otras.

La Asociación Asiática de Negocios de Los Ángeles y la Cámara de
Comercio Afroamericana de la región metropolitana de Los Ángeles son
algunas de las asociaciones que representan a empresarios
minoritarios.

Sin embargo, hasta ahora, no hay ninguna organización hispana.

No sabía nada sobre que se estuviera creando esta asociación, dice
Rubén Guerra, presidente de la Asociación de Negocios Latinos (LBA).

Guerra opina que, en muchos aspectos, la Cámara de Comercio de Los
Ángeles (LAChamber) —organización de la que partió la iniciativa de
crear BizFed— no está alineada en las mismas posiciones que defienden
los empresarios latinos.

Por ejemplo, nos distancia la posición en cuanto a seguro de salud,
dice Guerra, señalando que muchos empresarios hispanos están a favor
de ofrecerlo a sus empleados porque, además de valorar sus gastos
operativos, toman en cuenta los intereses de la comunidad hispana, una
de las más necesitadas de este tipo de servicios.

Martha Montoya, que está al frente de la región sur de la Cámara
Hispana de Comercio de California, tampoco tenía noticia de la
creación de BizFed.

Pero Gary Toebben, presidente de LAChamber, enfatiza que la nueva
federación espera contar pronto con organizaciones hispanas.

Representan una parte muy importante de nuestra economía, y queremos
trabajar con ellos para mejorarla, comentó Toebben, subrayando que
las organizaciones de negocios latinos están invitadas a unirse a
BizFed.

Según una encuesta recientemente realizada entre sus miembros, los
temas prioritarios en los que la nueva organización quiere trabajar
son la mejora del transporte (tanto personal como de mercancías), la
reducción de la criminalidad, particularmente la relacionada con la
actividad de pandilleros y la mejora de la educación, sobre todo entre
los niveles K-12, para garantizar que la región cuente en el futuro
con mano de obra cualificada.

Se trata, en definitiva, de que los negocios que están se queden, y
además que consigamos atraer otros nuevos, dice Fleming.

Sin embargo, James Devine, profesor de economía de la Universidad
Loyola Marymount, advierte sobre el peligro de que una gran
organización empresarial como la que acaba de formarse pueda afectar
negativamente a los trabajadores.

Podría traducirse en salarios más bajos —o que aumentan menos— algo
que a su vez contribuiría a mantener estancada la economía, dice
Devine, señalando que la comparación con los sindicatos no es válida.

Los trabajadores necesitan unirse en sindicatos porque de entrada
tienen menos poder de negociación que sus empleadores, y muchos menos
recursos y vías para transmitir sus posiciones a los políticos y
legisladores, dice Devine.

La Central Sindical AFL-CIO criticó las razones en las que BizFed ha
dado para justificar su creación. Criticó que se haya concebido como
un contrapeso a lo que los sindicatos han venido haciendo hasta ahora.

-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let

Re: [PEN-L] Devine in the news!

2008-01-31 Thread Jim Devine
(s)he's my evil twin.

On Jan 31, 2008 7:21 PM, Max B. Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 When I saw the header I thought this was about that big fat drag queen
 in the John Waters movies.



 Jim Devine wrote:
  In LA OPINION, a L.A. Spanish-language newspaper, I am  said something
  like the following (my translation, based on an on-line translation
  service and my memory of what I said):




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] The dollar and U.S. hegemony

2008-01-31 Thread Jim Devine
Ingo Schmidt writes: What is noteworthy is that, at the same time as
the dollar declined, the US foreign deficit reached record highs,
contrary to the market logic that predicts a smaller current account
deficit in the case of currency depreciation.  This is a new
development.  In the past, depreciations and decreasing current
account deficits actually went hand in hand.  What does the current
de-linking of dollar rates and the US current account position imply?

I haven't checked the exact facts on this description, but the the
fact that at the same time as the dollar declined, the US foreign
deficit reached record highs  is _not_  contrary to the market logic
that predicts a smaller current account deficit in the case of
currency depreciation.

A currency can easily fall at the same time we see a larger current
account deficit. First, as the US$ falls (in terms of Euros), the $
price of goods imported from (say) Europe rises. But the US does not
cut the real volume of its imports as quickly as the $ falls. (In
terms of market logic, the demand for imports is inelastic, at least
in the short term.) So the total price of US imports ($ price times
real quantity of imports) can actually rise.

At the same time, as the US$ falls, the Europeans don't automatically
increase the real volume of their imports from the US in step with the
depreciation of the $. (Again, the demand for imports -- this time
seen from the European point of view -- is inelastic, at least in the
short-term.) That means that the total price of European imports (=
that of US exports) can actually fall as the US$ falls. So, the total
price of US net exports can fall even though the US$ is falling. The
other elements of the current account balance don't change very
quickly, so that the current account balance can and likely will get
worse.

This phenomenon is so familiar to foreign trade buffs that it even has
a name, the J curve effect: as the US$ falls, the trade and current
account balances get worse and then (eventually) get better. (Note the
repeated phrase in the short term above.)  It's hard to tell how
long it takes before the corner is turned and trade and
current-account benefits start getting better, but it usually happens,
especially for a powerful country like the US.

 It is also not true that In the past, depreciations and decreasing
current account deficits actually went hand in hand. It (the J curve
phenomenon) happened in the later 1980s.

The J curve effect does make the US situation worse, however. Instead
of the wished-for or hoped-for instant recovery of the trade and
current-account balances, they get worse. That might stimulate a
speculative crash of the US$. But it doesn't have to do so.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] U.S. economist on Marx in Chinese newspaper

2008-01-31 Thread Jim Devine
 balances the market.

Where does this democratic politics come from? does it fall from the
sky? is it innate in the mind? No. They come from social practice, and
from it alone. (Gee, I wonder if people reading the Shanghai Daily
know who I plagiarized that from.)

In 19th century England, as in most other capitalist countries,
democratic politics came from below, from movements such as the
Chartists. That is, working people fought back -- and the moneyed
rulers weren't interested in democracy.  (In the US, the story is
different, because many democratic rights were won without
working-class struggle because a big chunk of the male population
owned land in the early stages. Still, US workers had to fight pretty
damn hard.)

And of course, the growing money potentates used their friends in the
government (or hired scabs) to fight the working-class upsurge. They
also developed ways to control democracy so that it wouldn't get out
of hand, while (1) keeping working people quiet because it was their
government and (2) making them alienated from politics because their
government was corrupt (owned by -- guess who?)

Of course, it's wrong to over-generalize from the corrupt system of
managed democracy we see in the US. The workers don't always lose. But
they don't win if they rely on the condescending masters in the
government to solve the problems.

 Government educates and  invests.

and who pays for that? and what good is a public information if the
government destroys its scarcity value by educating lots of people,
creating your competition? it's great to be literate, numerate, etc.,
but it doesn't give you a leg up to compete with the moneyed powers.

 It also provides social insurance by taxing the prosperous and
 redistributing benefits to the less fortunate.

As Otto von Bismark (who invented it) knew, social insurance is almost
completely a matter of redistribution within the working class, not
a redistribution from the rich. Like most insurance, it's needed. But
we pay for it, not the rich. (Your employer contributes to
unemployment insurance, it's true, but all economists (though maybe
not deLong) know that that tax is passed on and is really paid by the
employees.)

 Economist Simon Kuznets
 proposed the existence of a sharp rise in inequality upon
 industrialization, followed by a decline to social-democratic levels.

As Doug Henwood has said, we've gone beyond the Kuznets curve. His
curve has inequality up followed by inequality down. Even it this
happened, we in the US are now in a new inequality up phase, since
1980 or so.

 But, over the past generation, confidence in the Kuznets curve has
 faded. Social-democratic governments have been on the defensive against
 those who claim that redistributing wealth exacts too high a cost on
 economic growth.

These people who are defending economic growth are neoliberals, by
the way.  In recent decades, they have been successful at feathering
their own nests and those of their employers. They also define
growth in totally market-driven terms (GDP). If you do that, you've
lost the game (as it were).

 The consequence has been a loss of morale among those of us who trusted
 market forces and social-democratic governments to prove Marx wrong
 about income distribution in the long run - and a search for new and
 different tools of economic management.

 Increasingly, pillars of the establishment are sounding like shrill
 critics. Consider Martin Wolf, a columnist at The Financial Times.

 Wolf recently excoriated the world's big banks as an industry with an
 extraordinary talent for privatizing gains and socializing losses ...
 (and) get(ting) ... self-righteously angry when public officials ...
 fail to come at once to their rescue when they get into (well-deserved)
 trouble ... (T)he conflicts of interest created by large financial
 institutions are far harder to manage than in any other industry.

 For Wolf, the solution is to require that such bankers receive their pay
 in installments over the decade after which they have done their work.
 But Wolf's solution is not enough, for the problem is not confined to
 high finance.

 The problem is a broader failure of market competition to give rise to
 alternative providers and underbid the fortunes demanded for their work
 by our current generation of mercantile princes.

What? _now_ Mr. deLong recognizes the existence of mercantile
princes? and now his only response is totally ambiguous? Is he hoping
that democratic politics is going to fall from the sky again? is he
going to convince those mercantile princes to be nice for a change?

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] What is the Fed worried about?

2008-01-30 Thread Jim Devine
Eugene Coyle wrote:
 The conventional wisdom is that the Fed is worried about a recession.

 The Fed did the 3/4 point cut the morning after Asian and European
 markets crashed.  (Plus another 1/2 point just now.)

 I think they were/are more worried about the stock market.  If the US
 market had tanked the morning after the others the mark to market
 could have sunk a number of Wall St. institutions, perhaps including
 banks. ...

it's more than the stock market _per se_. It's all of US finance
that's affected by the housing market (and all those bad loans). I
don't think the housing market itself will recover soon, but lower
rates allow refinancing while avoiding sudden and unaffordable
increases in payments on variable-rate mortgages.

By the way, the second rate-cut shows that the Fed wasn't simply
reacting to the effects of the fraud by that French guy.

Free Jerome Kerviel and all other political prisoners!
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] What is the Fed worried about?

2008-01-30 Thread Jim Devine
Doug Henwood wrote:
 A rogue trader, as they say, is one who starts losing money.

Isn't it that a rogue trader is one who's caught?
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] What is the Fed worried about?

2008-01-30 Thread Jim Devine
me:   Free Jerome Kerviel and all other political prisoners!

Shane:  But Kerviel *is* free--on his opn recognizance.

hey, it was a joke, hearkening back to when the left was always
calling for freeing political prisoners.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] What is the Fed worried about?

2008-01-30 Thread Jim Devine
CAN IT HAPPEN AGAIN? and JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES are good books by
Minsky.  -- Jim D.

On 1/30/08, Max B. Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Maybe it's time to read Minsky.
 To nobody in particular, any suggestions on that front?



  By these rate cuts at a time of high and rising inflation the fed is
  sending a four word message: ITS TIME TO PANIC.



--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] unproductive labor's role [was: A New Economy?

2008-01-29 Thread Jim Devine
Below, I wrote that in one treatment of the wages of unproductive
labor-power,  if S1 denotes the surplus value created by productive
workers and if the rate of profit is stated as

r = (S1 + U)/(C + V) =  [(S1/V) + (U/V)]/[(C/V) + 1]

then an increase in (U/V) does not not affect the value of the
numerator in the equation.

As pen-l alumnus Jurriaan Bendien notes, I was wrong.

The problem is that I unthinkingly assumed that the rise in U was
totally compensated for by a fall in S1 (as some seem to assume), so
that any increase in U/V was compensated for by a fall in S1/V. With
this assumption, r is constant even though U is becoming more
important.

On Jan 28, 2008 9:10 AM, Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Shane Mage wrote:   Marx makes it quite clear that the wages of
 socially necessary but unproductive labor are paid out of [the
 circulating portion of] constant capital. While to the individual
 capitalist they appear to be a deduction from surplus value, to the
 capitalist system as a whole they are part of the overall cost
 structure.  ... Thus, because these wages consist of part of the gross
 product, the higher their share of the total wage bill the lower the
 share of the gross product available to the ownership  class for
 consumption and investment, and accordingly the *lower* the rate of
 exploitation.

 Does it really matter? there are three ways of treating the wages of
 unproductive labor-power (U) among Marxist political economists: (1)
 as Shane says, U is part of circulating part of constant capital; (2)
 U is part of variable capital (V); and U is part of surplus-value (S).

 Let the rate of profit r  = S/(C + V) = (S/V)/[(C/V) + 1], ignoring
 the role of fixed capital and differences in turnover time. Let the
 rate of surplus-value, s = S/V.

 for (1), C becomes U + C1, where C1 is the physical input component of
 constant capital. So the rate of profit becomes S/(U + C1 + V) =
 (S/V)/[(U/V) + (C1/V) + 1]. A rise in U/V raises C/V and the
 denominator of r and thus hurts it, holding (C1/V) and the numerator
 constant.

 A rise of (U/V) also hurts the numerator, s = (Y - C1 - U - V)/V =
 (Y/V) - (C1/V) - (U/V) - 1, where Y is total (gross) value.  This
 assertion works only if (C1/V) and (Y/V) are constant.

 In this view, the fall in the rates of profit and surplus-value can be
 counteracted by a rise in Y/V (what might be called the value
 productivity of productive labor) or a fall in C1/V.

 for (2), V is replaced by V1 + U, where V1 is the wages of productive
 labor. The profit rate becomes S/(C + V1 + U) = (S/V1)/[(C/V1) + 1 +
 (U/V1)]. A rise in U/V1 has exactly the same depressing effect on the
 rate of profit as in #1, again holding the numerator and (C/V1)
 constant.

 Again holding (C/V1) and (Y/V1) constant, the rise in (U/V1) also
 hurts the numerator, the rate of surplus value = (Y - C - U - V1)/V1 =
 (Y/V1) - (C/V1) - (U/V1) - 1.

 Just as for #1, the fall in the rates of profit and surplus-value can
 be counteracted by a rise in (Y/V1) or a fall in (C/V1). It seems that
 even though the concepts are different, #1 and #2 are mathematically
 equivalent. Both treat U as part of costs.

 I guess you could get different results if you replaced (Y/V1) with
 (Y/[V1 + U]),  (C/V1) with (C/[V1 + U]), and (U/V1) with (U/[V1 +U]).
 But these new ratios don't make as much sense to me. The whole idea of
 productive labor says that we should care about the relative role of
 C and productive labor and the value productivity of productive labor.

 (3) This is the version that Fred Moseley uses. In this case, S = S1 +
 U, where S1 is the surplus-value produced by productive labor. The
 rate of profit has to be restated as r = (S1 + U)/(C + V) =  [(S1/V) +
 (U/V)]/[(C/V) + 1].

 In this case, a rise in (U/V) does not affect the denominator -- or
 the numerator. So it has no effect at all on the rates of profit or
 surplus-value.

 However, Moseley admits that what's important is the conventional
 rate of profit, which treats U as a cost, not a benefit, to the
 capitalist class. That gets us back to either #1 or #2.

 Where, then, does U matter? It might matter as part of the
 accumulation process (as Adam Smith hinted it might). If capitalist
 accumulation out of gross S goes to raise U rather than raising the
 wage-bill for productive workers (V1) or expenditure on material
 circulating capital (C1). If V1 doesn't rise very much, that limits
 the mass of profits (= s times V1). If C1 doesn't rise very much, that
 limits the rise of C1/V1 and thus the growth of the value-productivity
 of productive capital. Either of these can hurt the long-term process
 of accumulation, rather than simply being a matter of fiddling with
 formulas.

 This last paragraph doesn't quite make sense to me, so any input would help.
 --

 Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
 way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.




--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e

Re: [PEN-L] A New Economy?

2008-01-28 Thread Jim Devine
Shane Mage wrote:   Marx makes it quite clear that the wages of
socially necessary but unproductive labor are paid out of [the
circulating portion of] constant capital. While to the individual
capitalist they appear to be a deduction from surplus value, to the
capitalist system as a whole they are part of the overall cost
structure.  ... Thus, because these wages consist of part of the gross
product, the higher their share of the total wage bill the lower the
share of the gross product available to the ownership  class for
consumption and investment, and accordingly the *lower* the rate of
exploitation.

Does it really matter? there are three ways of treating the wages of
unproductive labor-power (U) among Marxist political economists: (1)
as Shane says, U is part of circulating part of constant capital; (2)
U is part of variable capital (V); and U is part of surplus-value (S).

Let the rate of profit r  = S/(C + V) = (S/V)/[(C/V) + 1], ignoring
the role of fixed capital and differences in turnover time. Let the
rate of surplus-value, s = S/V.

for (1), C becomes U + C1, where C1 is the physical input component of
constant capital. So the rate of profit becomes S/(U + C1 + V) =
(S/V)/[(U/V) + (C1/V) + 1]. A rise in U/V raises C/V and the
denominator of r and thus hurts it, holding (C1/V) and the numerator
constant.

A rise of (U/V) also hurts the numerator, s = (Y - C1 - U - V)/V =
(Y/V) - (C1/V) - (U/V) - 1, where Y is total (gross) value.  This
assertion works only if (C1/V) and (Y/V) are constant.

In this view, the fall in the rates of profit and surplus-value can be
counteracted by a rise in Y/V (what might be called the value
productivity of productive labor) or a fall in C1/V.

for (2), V is replaced by V1 + U, where V1 is the wages of productive
labor. The profit rate becomes S/(C + V1 + U) = (S/V1)/[(C/V1) + 1 +
(U/V1)]. A rise in U/V1 has exactly the same depressing effect on the
rate of profit as in #1, again holding the numerator and (C/V1)
constant.

Again holding (C/V1) and (Y/V1) constant, the rise in (U/V1) also
hurts the numerator, the rate of surplus value = (Y - C - U - V1)/V1 =
(Y/V1) - (C/V1) - (U/V1) - 1.

Just as for #1, the fall in the rates of profit and surplus-value can
be counteracted by a rise in (Y/V1) or a fall in (C/V1). It seems that
even though the concepts are different, #1 and #2 are mathematically
equivalent. Both treat U as part of costs.

I guess you could get different results if you replaced (Y/V1) with
(Y/[V1 + U]),  (C/V1) with (C/[V1 + U]), and (U/V1) with (U/[V1 +U]).
But these new ratios don't make as much sense to me. The whole idea of
productive labor says that we should care about the relative role of
C and productive labor and the value productivity of productive labor.

(3) This is the version that Fred Moseley uses. In this case, S = S1 +
U, where S1 is the surplus-value produced by productive labor. The
rate of profit has to be restated as r = (S1 + U)/(C + V) =  [(S1/V) +
(U/V)]/[(C/V) + 1].

In this case, a rise in (U/V) does not affect the denominator -- or
the numerator. So it has no effect at all on the rates of profit or
surplus-value.

However, Moseley admits that what's important is the conventional
rate of profit, which treats U as a cost, not a benefit, to the
capitalist class. That gets us back to either #1 or #2.

Where, then, does U matter? It might matter as part of the
accumulation process (as Adam Smith hinted it might). If capitalist
accumulation out of gross S goes to raise U rather than raising the
wage-bill for productive workers (V1) or expenditure on material
circulating capital (C1). If V1 doesn't rise very much, that limits
the mass of profits (= s times V1). If C1 doesn't rise very much, that
limits the rise of C1/V1 and thus the growth of the value-productivity
of productive capital. Either of these can hurt the long-term process
of accumulation, rather than simply being a matter of fiddling with
formulas.

This last paragraph doesn't quite make sense to me, so any input would help.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] George Habash, marxist, Dies at 82

2008-01-27 Thread Jim Devine
according to the newspaper, he's famous for arranging airplane
hijacking. Any comments?

On Jan 26, 2008 10:48 PM, soula avramidis [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 http://www.pflp.ps/english/?q=print/161
 The Palestinian newspaper Al-Ayyam interviewed Dr. George Habash, Founder of 
 the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, in May 2001. The interview 
 follows below:

 The key to facing any potential internal conflict is to ensure democratic 
 process at all levels of society, to preserve the human rights, dignity, and 
 freedom of the Arab person, to ensure that the basic material needs of each 
 person are met, and to protect cultural, religious, political, and social 
 pluralism within society. In this respect, pluralism becomes a source of 
 wealth and cultural and social richness rather than a means of fragmentation 
 and an invitation for external, colonialist interference.

 Source URL: http://www.pflp.ps/english/?q=interview-dr-george-habash-2001
 Links:
 [1] http://www.pflp.ps/english/?q=english/%3Fq%3Dnode/148


   
 
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--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] light bulbs -- not a joke.

2008-01-27 Thread Jim Devine
Michael Perelman wrote:
 Some kinds of regulation do seem workable.  Many people are now in favor of 
 the
 mercury-involved light bulbs, calling for the elimination of incadescent 
 bulbs.

mercury-involved light bulbs? Mercury is a deadly metal. Do you mean
fluorescent bulbs? I didn't know that. But the site I cite below says
so.

Fluorescent bulbs are bad in other ways. Many people are driven to
distraction by their flickering. Folks with AD/HD or on the autism
spectrum, for two.

The way to go is with LED-lights. Luckily, the price should be coming
down soon.

from http://www.p2pays.org/mercury/lights.asp: Mercury is an
essential ingredient for most energy-efficient lamps. Fluorescent
lamps and high intensity discharge (HID) lamps are the two most common
types of lamps that utilize mercury. Fluorescent lamps provide
lighting for most schools, office buildings and stores. HID lamps,
which include mercury-vapor, metal halide and high-pressure sodium
lamps, are used for street lights, floodlights and industrial
lighting. A typical fluorescent lamp is composed of a phosphor-coated
glass tube with electrodes located at either end. The tube contains
mercury, of which only a very small amount is in vapor form. When a
voltage is applied, the electrodes energize the mercury vapor, causing
it to emit ultraviolet (UV) energy. The phosphor coating absorbs the
UV energy, causing the phosphor to fluoresce and emit visible light.
Without the mercury vapor to produce UV energy, there would be no
light. A four-foot fluorescent lamp has an average rated life of at
least 20,000 hours. To achieve this long life, lamps must contain a
specific quantity of mercury. The amount of mercury required is very
small, typically measured in milligrams, and varies by lamp type, date
of manufacture, manufacturing plant and manufacturer.

how many pen-pals does it take to screw in a light-bulb?
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] light bulbs -- not a joke.

2008-01-27 Thread Jim Devine
me:
  Fluorescent bulbs are bad in other ways. Many people are driven to
  distraction by their flickering. Folks with AD/HD or on the autism
  spectrum, for two.

 In terms of flickering; higher quality FL don't flicker, though they
 still appear to cause problems for a minority of people. Obviously
 standard bulbs should be discouraged rather than outlawed. This would
 appear to be a perfect case for a green tax; put a two dollar per bulb
 tax on incandescent bulbs.

right. But what about those of us who are aggravated by fluorescents
but have to work for companies who use them? maybe we could set up a
cap-and-trade system.

 Give a $5 or $10 a month subsidy to people
 with medical disabilities aggrevated by FL to compensate for the added
 cost of incadescents for them.

it makes more sense to give the monthly rebate to everyone, because we
don't want to create the incentive for people to fake being aggravated
by fluorescent bulbs.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] democracy/republic in Iran vs. in the USA

2008-01-27 Thread Jim Devine
I found a summary on the Wikipedia of how the Islamic Republic of
Iran's government is organized. It is similar in many ways to that of
the USA. Below, I have emphasized the similarities by replacing
Iranian terms with US ones. There are also differences, as noted.

 The political system of the [USA] is based on the [1787] Constitution. The 
 system comprises several intricately connected governing bodies. The 
 [President] of [the USA] is responsible for delineation and supervision of 
 the general policies of the [USA]. The Supreme Leader [i.e., President] is 
 Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces, controls the military intelligence 
 and security operations; and [in practice] has sole power to declare war or 
 peace. The heads of the judiciary, state radio and television networks [NPR 
 and PBS], the commanders of the [national] police and military forces and six 
 of the twelve members of the Council of Guardians are appointed by the 
 Supreme Leader.

[There is no equivalent of the Council of Guardians in the U.S., but
the Supreme Court plays a similar similar role.]

The Assembly of Experts [the most well-heeled campaign contributors
and corporate media pundits] elects and dismisses the Supreme Leader
on the basis of qualifications and popular esteem [as seen in polls
and elections]. The Assembly of Experts is responsible for supervising
the Supreme Leader in the performance of legal duties.

After the Supreme Leader, the Constitution defines the President of
Iran as the highest state authority. [This role is like prime
minister in most countries. In the USA, this job is combined with
that of President.]

The President is elected by universal suffrage for a term of four
years and can only be re-elected for one term. Presidential candidates
must be approved by [US Assembly of Experts and] the Council of
Guardians prior to running in order to ensure their allegiance to the
ideals of the [USA, i.e., capitalism and managed democracy].

The President is responsible for the implementation of the
Constitution and for the exercise of executive powers, except for
matters directly related to the Supreme Leader, who has the final say
in all matters. [since the two jobs are combined in the USA, there is
less of a check or balance than in Iran.]

The President appoints and supervises the Council of Ministers
[cabinet], coordinates government decisions, and selects government
policies to be placed before the legislature. 

In general, it seems that power is more diffuse in the USA, so it's
harder for people to decide who to blame.

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] folkloric? [was: A New Economy?

2008-01-27 Thread Jim Devine
CHRISTOPHER CALDWELL writes:
 If Republicans have had more luck talking about the economy for the
 last generation or so, it is because they were the less folkloric of
 the two parties.

Huh? the GOPsters are quite folkloric. They long for the idealized
golden Age of the 1950s when America was Unified in its defense of
the Free World, when almost all of the people on TV looked like us
whites, when abortion only happened in back alleys, when men were men,
when women were women (perhaps with a little help from Valium), when
marriage was heterosexual, and when gays were confirmed bachelors.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A New Economy?

2008-01-27 Thread Jim Devine
raghu:
 What is the Marxist take on this new economy? Do most of the service
 sector jobs fall in the category of unproductive labor? After all
 security guards and cashiers do not create any use value. (Blackjack
 dealers arguably do create use value though of a dubious kind.)
 -raghu.

Louis Proyect wrote:
 Didn't you mean to say that security guards and cashiers do not
 produce surplus value? I myself find that distinction rather useless
 since they are necessary to the realization of surplus value over the
 entire productive sphere.

guards and dealers definitely produce use-values; otherwise no-one
would pay them. But, at least in Marxian political economy, they do
not produce surplus-value. The guard simply preserves property rights,
while the cashier transfers them. The worker who produces
surplus-value -- who might be a service-worker, contrary to Adam Smith
-- actually creates new property rights, which are held by the
employer.

Paul Phillips:
But Louis, isn't that the point. Unproductive labour must be paid out of
 surplus value.  As the ratio of unproductive to productive labour
 increases, the rate of exploitation of productive labour must increase, no?






--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] A New Economy?

2008-01-27 Thread Jim Devine
 pops up.

Dubai doesn't have oil?

I conclude say that Marx's concept of unproductive creates a quandary.
On the one hand, as part of a value accounting framework for
capitalism as a whole, it makes total sense. On the other, alas, I'm
afraid it does not add very much to our understanding of the laws of
motion of capitalism, especially the most concrete aspects of those
dynamics.
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


Re: [PEN-L] query: laws of models

2008-01-24 Thread Jim Devine
 world that lies behind our perceptions of
it. But it's not a mental picture the way a model is.

In some ways, however, a photograph is a mixture of data and a model,
since the photographer has a major effect on the appearance of the
picture. But it's not a model as I use that word. But the example does
point up an important aspect of data: the nature of (almost?) all data
is infused with and affected by pre-existing theory.

By the way, in case anyone was wondering, I wasn't talking about Tyra
Banks either.

Doug quotes: The SLB [Sharpe-Lintner-Black capital asset pricing]
model is just a model and so surely false. - Eugene Fama

Like a map, it is false as a picture of the details of the territory,
but like a map it might be useful as a tool for getting where people
want to go. I don't know enough about that specific model to say
anything about its validity or lack thereof.

Doug also quotes the Maestro: It doesn't, however, induce us to then
conclude that, if the model doesn't forecast - which implies that it
has not captured the appropriate structure - we nonetheless tend to
use the structure of the model to do analysis and draw significant
conclusions about how the inner workings of relationships occur even
though the coefficients which we're employing clearly don't forecast
anything worthwhile. - Alan Greenspan

huh? AG is ambiguous, as usual. (He should have played the Sphinx in
the movie Mystery Men. Maybe in the stage version?) Isn't there a
not missing somewhere in there?

Robert writes: Asimov later added a fourth, which he decided he had
to call the zeroth law.

According to the Wikipedia, the three laws of robotics are:
 1. A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human 
 being to come to harm.

2. A robot must obey orders given to it by human beings, except where
such orders would conflict with the First Law.

3. A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection
does not conflict with the First or Second Law.

The zeroeth law is that:

 A robot may not harm humanity, or, by inaction, allow humanity to come to 
 harm; the rest of the laws are modified sequentially to acknowledge this.

A lot of Asimov's robot stories are about how these laws fail to
solve all problems with robots.
-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] new coins

2008-01-24 Thread Jim Devine
the following is funny and sad, despite a dollop of right-wing
nuttiness: http://blip.tv/file/520347

--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] [only?] 935 False Statements that Led a Nation to War

2008-01-23 Thread Jim Devine
From: Juan Cole [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Jan 23, 2008 2:48 AM

The Center for Public Integrity has published a study finding that

'President George W. Bush and seven of his administration's top
officials, including Vice President Dick Cheney, National Security
Adviser Condoleezza Rice, and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, made
at least 935 false statements in the two years following September 11,
2001, about the national security threat posed by Saddam Hussein's
Iraq. Nearly five years after the U.S. invasion of Iraq, an exhaustive
examination of the record shows that the statements were part of an
orchestrated campaign that effectively galvanized public opinion and,
in the process, led the nation to war under decidedly false pretenses.

On at least 532 separate occasions (in speeches, briefings,
interviews, testimony, and the like), Bush and these three key
officials, along with Secretary of State Colin Powell, Deputy Defense
Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, and White House press secretaries Ari
Fleischer and Scott McClellan, stated unequivocally that Iraq had
weapons of mass destruction (or was trying to produce or obtain them),
links to Al Qaeda, or both. This concerted effort was the underpinning
of the Bush administration's case for war. '

Although the study starts out in a neutral tone, as you read, it
becomes clear that the authors think the database of administration
statements they have compiled shows a deliberate pattern of
misrepresentation.

The study won't create a lot of controversy, since the American people
long ago concluded that BushCo had lied us into a destructive and
dangerous quagmire of a war. But it is nice to see someone nail down
the specifics of the Goebbels-like propaganda campaign that was run on
us.

The report continues,

ellipsis

# In the closing days of September 2002, with a congressional vote
fast approaching on authorizing the use of military force in Iraq,
Bush told the nation in his weekly radio address: The Iraqi regime
possesses biological and chemical weapons, is rebuilding the
facilities to make more and, according to the British government,
could launch a biological or chemical attack in as little as 45
minutes after the order is given. . . . This regime is seeking a
nuclear bomb, and with fissile material could build one within a
year. A few days later, similar findings were also included in a
much-hurried National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq's weapons of mass
destruction — an analysis that hadn't been done in years, as the
intelligence community had deemed it unnecessary and the White House
hadn't requested it.

[NPR played this tape on-air this morning. Strangely, W pronounced
nuclear correctly! His cowboy persona slipped? ]

snip

-- 
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


[PEN-L] query: laws of models

2008-01-23 Thread Jim Devine
I made up the following list of The Three Laws of Models.

1.  No model can be an exact representation of the complexities of
empirical reality.

2.  The predictions implied by any model vary as the assumptions change.

3.   No model applies to answer all questions (to predict in all
domains) because no model can tell the whole story.

does anyone have any comments? is there anything I can add to the
list? (A fourth presents a problem: Isaac Asimov had only three laws
of  robotics and I don't want to exceed his effort.)
--
Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.


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