Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Yeah, I saw “Ron’s” tweet with the FSP MRAP going across the bridge with it’s American flag flying off the back earlier today. Glad they’re getting things sorted, they were talking about barging all of that stuff over last week. What an ordeal that would have been. > On Oct 12, 2022, at 4:37

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Oh, wow. They're already running power company trucks all the way to Sanibel. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JIL3EeZx-Pg ___ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Sanibel Causeway reconstruction. The dirt part is easy. The elevated bridge part will take some effort. Governor IIRC says we will be able to drive to Sanibel this month. That will be amazing if it happens by Halloween. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZQrdPI5OOf8

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

That happened a few years ago here during Dorian. We were forecasted to get 10-12ft surge (which would have put charleston under about that much water) but the storm veered offshore. I rode my bike to the beach and the water was way out, even at a high tide, lower than low tide. It was really

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Daytona will get 21" of rain?? On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 4:11 PM mitch--- via Mercedes wrote: > On 2022-09-28 14:39, dan penoff.com via Mercedes wrote: > > I can assure you that there are a lot of very nice cars in first floor > > garages that are now underwater in Naples. > > > > Some of them

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

On 2022-09-28 14:39, dan penoff.com via Mercedes wrote: I can assure you that there are a lot of very nice cars in first floor garages that are now underwater in Naples. Some of them washed out of first floor garages. https://twitter.com/RPOIII/status/1575210349699137603

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Oh I see someone already posted. Its a P3 Orion - not a c130. Almost got mowed down by two c130s off Oxnard yesterday at 4500. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022, 11:43 AM dan penoff.com via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > I can’t think of a better airframe I would want to be on going through >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Thanks - I had been considering that one - I'll get one when they get them back in stock. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 12:12 PM dan penoff.com via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > I got both of mine from Amazon, a Chinese vendor, I suspect: > > >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Hope you found some high ground Dan! Gotta follow Tropical Nick Underwood for the Inside track: https://twitter.com/TheAstroNick/status/1575152959767322625?t=XzBB3d0rCNyv0YJsKAz_-w=19 On Wed, Sep 28, 2022, 12:31 PM Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > Reverse surge

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Reverse surge in Tampa Bay: https://news.yahoo.com/water-tampa-bay-recedes-dramatically-171627070.html On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 3:21 PM Andrew Strasfogel wrote: > This could be Manila. > > On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 3:20 PM mitch--- via Mercedes < > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > >> Hey look! New

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

This could be Manila. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 3:20 PM mitch--- via Mercedes wrote: > Hey look! New houses! (Ft Myers) > > Before: > > https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/505655/Screen_Shot_2022-09-28_at_3_05_02_PM-2542706.png > > After: > >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Back in The Day we had no storm surge, although we did have flooding... On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 3:15 PM mitch--- via Mercedes wrote: > Ft Myers houseboats. > https://twitter.com/wxkaitlin/status/1575188234010705920 > > Here's the Lee County Sheriff's houseboat: >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Hey look! New houses! (Ft Myers) Before: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/505655/Screen_Shot_2022-09-28_at_3_05_02_PM-2542706.png After: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/505655/Screen_Shot_2022-09-28_at_3_05_41_PM-2542707.png ___

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Ft Myers houseboats. https://twitter.com/wxkaitlin/status/1575188234010705920 Here's the Lee County Sheriff's houseboat: https://twitter.com/ChadBlue83/status/1575193844978978816 ___ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Most of those folks aren’t there. They’re seasonal residents who come down in the winter. Granted, a few might have property managers that would take care of this, but I’m betting a lot don’t. The property managers I worked with down there and on Longboat Key, a similar enclave off the coast

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Would you not think that many, or most,  of those folks would have got into their fancy cars and headed for higher ground sometime earlier? Randy On 28/09/2022 1:39 PM, dan penoff.com via Mercedes wrote: I can assure you that there are a lot of very nice cars in first floor garages that are

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

You can't drown in Ft Myers if you don't get blown off the roof. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/381696/itsbethbooker_2022-Sep-28_jpg-2542692.JPG ___ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

I can’t think of a better airframe I would want to be on going through that stuff. Those things are built like brick doghouses. -D > On Sep 28, 2022, at 2:38 PM, mitch--- via Mercedes > wrote: > > Hey, let's fly a WC130 through that CAT5 and see how it goes... > >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

market? > > Rick > > From: mercedes@okiebenz.com > Sent: September 28, 2022 1:26 PM > To: mercedes@okiebenz.com > Reply-to: mercedes@okiebenz.com > Cc: mi...@mitchellhaley.com > Subject: Re: [MBZ] Bullseye > > On 2022-09-28 14:21, dan penoff.com via Mercedes wrote: &g

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Hey, let's fly a WC130 through that CAT5 and see how it goes... https://twitter.com/TheAstroNick/status/1575179322599493632 ___ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Yep. I wonder how many nice cars from the wealthy communities will be on the market? Rick From: mercedes@okiebenz.com Sent: September 28, 2022 1:26 PM To: mercedes@okiebenz.com Reply-to: mercedes@okiebenz.com Cc: mi...@mitchellhaley.com Subject: Re: [MBZ] Bullseye On 2022-09-28 14:21, dan

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Today's special: 50 percent off all floaters. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 2:26 PM mitch--- via Mercedes wrote: > On 2022-09-28 14:21, dan penoff.com via Mercedes wrote: > > Hope anyone in the Ft. Myers area bailed. Eye wall winds are arriving. > > Don't go used car shopping in Ft Myers: > > >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye 2PM update

Overall, I am impressed at the improvement in hurricane forecast accuracy over the past decade, particularly in the ability to forecast development of a major hurricane long before there was anything obvious in the works. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 2:21 PM Buggered Benzmail via Mercedes <

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

On 2022-09-28 14:21, dan penoff.com via Mercedes wrote: Hope anyone in the Ft. Myers area bailed. Eye wall winds are arriving. Don't go used car shopping in Ft Myers: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/381696/ashleygrahamtv_2022-Sep-28_jpg-2542664.JPG

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye 2PM update

I just looked at the Poos weather station and unless it has been blown away is showing a balmy spring day. But seems not quite to be the case ...IAN CAUSING CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Ian was located

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

I have friends in Napoli, not sure if they bailed or riding it out. --FT Sent from iFōn > On Sep 28, 2022, at 1:52 PM, dan penoff.com via Mercedes > wrote: > > MIL in staying with us since she lives just off the coast in Pasco County to > the north. Just walked through the family room

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

MIL in staying with us since she lives just off the coast in Pasco County to the north. Just walked through the family room where she was watching the Weather Channel live from Naples. Some major league flooding going on there. -D > On Sep 28, 2022, at 1:45 PM, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

The development is .2 miles from the beach. The last hurricane was mainly a wind event. I can't imagine their first floor condo won't get flooded. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 1:43 PM Allan Streib via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > Nothing they shouldn't be prepared for, living there. >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Nothing they shouldn't be prepared for, living there. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022, at 12:37, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes wrote: > Looks grim. > > On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 1:27 PM mitch--- via Mercedes > wrote: > >> On 2022-09-28 13:17, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes wrote: >> > Girl friend's family.

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Looks grim. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 1:27 PM mitch--- via Mercedes wrote: > On 2022-09-28 13:17, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes wrote: > > Girl friend's family. Not all that wealthy either. > > Naples be wet, yo. > https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FdwWf1bXwAM5LFB?format=jpg=small > > > Bzzzt: >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

On 2022-09-28 13:17, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes wrote: Girl friend's family. Not all that wealthy either. Naples be wet, yo. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FdwWf1bXwAM5LFB?format=jpg=small Bzzzt: https://twitter.com/NotADirtyDem/status/1575159597802946563

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

[cid:D9E70BD3-5F7D-4BA5-ADE6-2D1A6D02A6FC] -D On Sep 28, 2022, at 1:17 PM, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes mailto:mercedes@okiebenz.com>> wrote: Girl friend's family. Not all that wealthy either. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 1:14 PM dan penoff.com via Mercedes <

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Girl friend's family. Not all that wealthy either. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 1:14 PM dan penoff.com via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > Why? Got family/friends there? > > Many of the residents are seasonal and filthy rich. > > -D > > > On Sep 28, 2022, at 1:11 PM, Andrew Strasfogel via

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Why? Got family/friends there? Many of the residents are seasonal and filthy rich. -D > On Sep 28, 2022, at 1:11 PM, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes > wrote: > > I hope Naples is spared the worst of the storm. > > On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 11:40 AM OK Don via Mercedes > wrote: > >> Tell me

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

I got both of mine from Amazon, a Chinese vendor, I suspect: https://smile.amazon.com/gp/product/B09W89SLMG/ref=ppx_yo_dt_b_search_asin_title?ie=UTF8=1 I chose this one mainly due to the size of the display. It hasn’t been available for several months, and now I see that it’s out of stock. I’ve

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

I hope Naples is spared the worst of the storm. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 11:40 AM OK Don via Mercedes wrote: > Tell me about your weather station - I need one here, but get put off by > the prices or reviews. > > On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 10:24 AM dan penoff.com via Mercedes < >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Tell me about your weather station - I need one here, but get put off by the prices or reviews. On Wed, Sep 28, 2022 at 10:24 AM dan penoff.com via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > Not this time, unfortunately. We’ll get some tropical storm force winds > and rain later today as the eye

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Not this time, unfortunately. We’ll get some tropical storm force winds and rain later today as the eye moves inland, but that will be about it. Think like a strong summer thunderstorm at Okie Acres, only going on continuously for about 12-18 hours. You can monitor my weather station here:

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

So I guess your vast southern estate will not get blown away? Sent from my iPhone > On Sep 28, 2022, at 10:16 AM, dan penoff.com via Mercedes > wrote: > > Just checked with our EOC and saw that eye wall winds of around 155 mph > (CAT4) are hitting Sanibel and Captiva. There will be some

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Just checked with our EOC and saw that eye wall winds of around 155 mph (CAT4) are hitting Sanibel and Captiva. There will be some serious devastation there. -D > On Sep 27, 2022, at 8:37 PM, dan penoff.com wrote: > > Both. My Dad was an executive vice president for the commercial lending >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

On Wed, 28 Sep 2022 00:37:32 + "dan penoff.com via Mercedes" wrote: > Gene Shepard lived there. We used to run into him at the general store > on Captiva, but I didn’t know the guy from Adam at the time. My folks > told me who it was some years later, but I remember the guy. It wasn’t >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Both. My Dad was an executive vice president for the commercial lending division of General Motors until the summer of 1969. “Yellow Motors Credit” as it was known then. And later an executive VP of commercial lending at Merchant’s Bank in Indianapolis. Sanibel was a bit of a hole back then,

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Were your parents more wealthy than I thought, or was Sanibel a lot cheaper back then? The guy I quoted has a nice if virtually unused house there, occasionally parks his 87' boat at the dock and I don't think it's the biggest dock in the neighborhood. On 2022-09-27 18:23, dan penoff.com via

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

You got it! -D On Sep 27, 2022, at 7:08 PM, Buggered Benzmail via Mercedes mailto:mercedes@okiebenz.com>> wrote: No man he strapped it down with trailer anchors and ratchet straps so it’s all good --FT Sent from iFōn > On Sep 27, 2022, at 6:59 PM, Kaleb Striplin via Mercedes >

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Having spent a fair amount of time at my parent’s former house on Sanibel, if Ian goes over Sanibel and Captiva there won’t be much left when it’s gone. My folks owned a place on Sanibel from the late 1960s until the early 80s. They bailed because it was getting too commercialized - in other

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

On 2022-09-27 17:45, dan penoff.com via Mercedes wrote: Maybe. Ian is going to sit out in the Gulf right along the coast and “churn” for at least 24 hours with CAT3 (or higher) winds. While storm surges might not be as bad, damage from high winds will be much worse. We’ll have much higher

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Maybe. Ian is going to sit out in the Gulf right along the coast and “churn” for at least 24 hours with CAT3 (or higher) winds. While storm surges might not be as bad, damage from high winds will be much worse. We’ll have much higher rainfall since the north side of the hurricane will make

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Looks like the crosshairs are no longer centered on Tampa. Key Points 1. Landfall has been shifted southward to near Port Charlotte tomorrow afternoon. 2. The threat of significant wind and a large storm surge into Tampa has diminished. 3. Hurricane threat and storm surge threat has increased

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

I like that! Yeah, there’s only so much you can do. If my sister in law was home we would button the place up, pack up things and head over there (she lives on the east coast over by West Palm) since they won’t get any of the storm. Then it’s just a matter of getting back after the storm to

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

I went out yesterday morning to top off the fuel in both cars and to get some additional bottled water. It was quite busy, but not too crazy. For grins I filled up a spare propane cylinder, and business at the hardware store was quite brisk, they were on their second refill of their 2000 gallon

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Yeah they all go buy tons of TP, milk, bread, and bottled water. Smart ones get beer wine and likka too --FT Sent from iFōn > On Sep 26, 2022, at 9:41 PM, Bob Rentfro via Mercedes > wrote: > > I can well imagine that the vast majority of humanity down there does not > approach this as

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Jeez. As my great uncle, who lived somewhere in south Florida used to say, “ hang on to your wigs and hats.” I can well imagine that the vast majority of humanity down there does not approach this as calmly as y’all do. AZBob Sent from my iPad > On Sep 26, 2022, at 6:22 PM, Dwight Giles via

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

good luck whatever On Mon, Sep 26, 2022, 7:38 PM dan penoff.com via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > We are screwed. > > [cid:67448ACD-87D5-45C1-A967-2252ECE71FCD] > > Figure CAT3 (140 mph winds) or higher and churning in the Gulf for a day > offshore. We will get beat to heck, not to

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

My view on the matter is to stay through the event having a safe place to ride it out if it gets *really* bad (and the CAT 1s here have been scary enough) then once it passes take care of any compromising house damage if that is possible. And then to bug out if necessary. I have 30gal of gas

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

What is truly amazing is that despite its prime location, Tampa has not had a direct hit from a major hurricane in 100 years. On Mon, Sep 26, 2022, 7:51 PM dan penoff.com via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > Tomorrow evening is when the winds are supposed to start up. > > I wouldn’t

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Tomorrow evening is when the winds are supposed to start up. I wouldn’t say a moment’s notice, but in a relatively short period of time. You must understand that you can’t go out in this sort of stuff. If you don’t bail before it gets here, you’re pretty much stuck for the duration. -D > On

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

So I take it you are there but ready to head out at a moments notice? When is it supposed to arrive? Sent from my iPhone > On Sep 26, 2022, at 6:39 PM, dan penoff.com via Mercedes > wrote: > > No need with Mother Nature throwing 140 mph winds at it for a day. The roof > is rated to 120

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

No need with Mother Nature throwing 140 mph winds at it for a day. The roof is rated to 120 mph, so that’s a good enough margin it should lift or tear it off easily. I’ve got everything inventoried and the important stuff packed and ready to go. I’ll be well prepared to complete the insurance

Re: [MBZ] Bullseye

Is there some way your house can develop a gas leak and blow up? Sent from my iPhone > On Sep 26, 2022, at 6:33 PM, dan penoff.com via Mercedes > wrote: > > We are screwed. > > [cid:67448ACD-87D5-45C1-A967-2252ECE71FCD] > > Figure CAT3 (140 mph winds) or higher and churning in the Gulf for

[MBZ] Bullseye

We are screwed. [cid:67448ACD-87D5-45C1-A967-2252ECE71FCD] Figure CAT3 (140 mph winds) or higher and churning in the Gulf for a day offshore. We will get beat to heck, not to mention the massive storm surge now estimated at 10’ or more that will hammer the bay at least twice during high