still not, because whether someone shoots and hits is an entirely separate issue from whether someone else was shooting at you yesterday. Also not sure if your off of getting hit are 50-50. I suspect not. Sorry. Also, even if you were right the number would be one half to the tenth power. I am too lazy to calculate that but I know it's less than 0.1, even O.1 percent.
On 11/11/06, Gruss Gott <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Dana wrote: > > now, your odds of getting a head six times in a row are > > ..5*.5*.5*.5*.5*.5, which is what you are talking about. > > > > That's ALWAYS BEEN what I'm talking about!! > > Here's the point: let's say a soldier has a 50% chance of being blown > up on any given day. That means she's got a 50% chance of living. > Now, on **any given day** her chances of living are 50%. That's your > point. We agree. I'm going one step farther, though. > > Her chances of living 10 days IN A ROW are only 0.1% > > If she was immortal, then you'd be right because her chances of being > hit ON ANY GIVEN DAY are 50%. > > Of course the key to living is not getting hit multiple days in a row. > And if you have a 50% chance of being hit on any given day, your odds > of not getting hit 10 days in a row are only 0.1%. > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Introducing the Fusion Authority Quarterly Update. 80 pages of hard-hitting, up-to-date ColdFusion information by your peers, delivered to your door four times a year. http://www.fusionauthority.com/quarterly Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/message.cfm/messageid:220420 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5