> RoMunn wrote: > dude, you are so wrong. what is the desired result? not getting shot or > blown up in combat?
*sigh* It's a reference model. But, since you're asking, just to prove me right, let's actually use my "theory" and see what happens: There's about 120,000 troops in Iraq and there's been about 2843 combat deaths. We've been over there about 3-1/2 years which is about 1278 days. That means the troops killed per day is: 2843 deaths / 1278 days = 2.22 or about 2 deaths per day. That makes the probability of dying in combat 2/120,000 = 0.000017 That means a soldier has a 0.0017% chance each day of dying in combat. Or a 1-.000017=.999983 or 99.9983 chance of living *each day* (Dana's probability) So now to my point: what is the chance of a soldier living through 1 year of combat in Iraq? Let's us my "theory": ..999983^365=.993814 or 99.3814% chance of living. That means a soldier has 1-.993814=.006186 or 0.6% chance of dying based on current statistics. This is actually quite surprising! Think about it: in a room of 167 people, 1 will die per year from combat in Iraq. That's a lot. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Introducing the Fusion Authority Quarterly Update. 80 pages of hard-hitting, up-to-date ColdFusion information by your peers, delivered to your door four times a year. http://www.fusionauthority.com/quarterly Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/message.cfm/messageid:220437 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5
