try looking at this. http://shazam.econ.ubc.ca/flip/
On 11/11/06, Dana <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > no it's still 50-50, sorry. The coin does not care how many times it's > been heads already. It still has a fifty-fifty shot of being tails the > next time. > > now, your odds of getting a head six times in a row are > .5*.5*.5*.5*.5*.5, which is what you are talking about. > > On 11/11/06, Gruss Gott <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > Dana wrote: > > > I understand your point. > > > > No you don't, but you think you do because you worked in a math lab or > > something. I did the math for you and it's right on the page. What > > you're pointing out is totally different. > > > > You: The odds of the NEXT flip being heads is 50%. True. > > > > Me: The odds of the next flip being heads GIVEN that you've flipped 9 > > heads in a row is 0.1% > > > > That's the math. There is no other math. Now, let's take that to a casino > > ... > > > > If you're playing at the coin flip table and you bet $1 on each flip > > that it comes up heads, your odd of winning on the next flip is 50%. > > Your odds of winning 10 flips in a row is only 0.1% > > > > So the casino could entire you to play by saying that you win the > > $10,000 jackpot if you can flip 10 heads in a row. They can feel > > comfortable that 99.9% of the time they won't have to pay out. > > > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Introducing the Fusion Authority Quarterly Update. 80 pages of hard-hitting, up-to-date ColdFusion information by your peers, delivered to your door four times a year. http://www.fusionauthority.com/quarterly Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/message.cfm/messageid:220418 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5
