Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Telmo Menezes
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 12:31 AM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:
 On 11/9/2013 3:09 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

 On Sat, Nov 9, 2013 at 9:55 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 On 11/9/2013 9:37 AM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

 Brent, my analogy, however badly its thought-up, is to force the
 idealists
 to produce. My idea was to force the idealist back to painful reality and
 hard choices, rather then mentally living in La La land. Saying  Oh
 they're
 working on solar and soon..


 How about forcing the libertarians to painful reality.  They're going
 through the six stages of denial:

 1. There is no global warming.
 2. The science is uncertain.
 3. There's global warming but it's just a natural cycle.
 4. Global warming will really be good for us.
 5. It's too costly to stop global warming.
 6. Nothing can be done.

 Most of them I know are stuck around 3 or 4 now.  They're hoping to delay
 any action so they can get to 6.  Why?  Because they'd rather face
 extinction than admit there are some things that you need government to
 do.

 Brent,

 Out of curiosity: why do you care so much about what libertarians
 think? They are a small minority. I believe most are very much aware
 that big government is here to stay. Most people in the western world
 vote for some variation of a conservative or liberal party, both
 statist.

 Surely if you are right, and global warming is an existential threat,
 and government intervention is the only way to solve it, what
 libertarians think should be quite low in your list of concerns no?


 Except that they have a disproportionate voice in the public debate because
 their message is amplified by monied interests who depend on fossil fuel
 (e.g. the Koch brothers).  There was only a small number of lawyers,
 publicists, and scientists who claimed that:

 1. Smoking has nothing to do with lung cancer.
 2. There may be a relation but the science is uncertain.
 3. Lung cancer just occurs naturally.
 4. There are new, healthier cigarettes.
 5. It will hurt the economy to limit cigarettes.
 6. People should be free to smoke if they want to.

 and they delayed any government action against smoking for forty years.  In
 fact some of them are *exactly* the same people hired to spread doubt about
 global warming.  To undertake big government action in a democracy you need
 a solid majority in the populace.  As long as libertarians and oil companies
 can sow doubt that's enough to prevent any action.

Come on Brent... You really want to believe...
The reason why Bush or Obama or any other President or government in
the current system do not take actions that hurt big corporations is
that these big corporation fund their careers and campaigns. Once they
get in power, the corporations own then. They are not innocent by any
means, and they clearly just want the position. If they didn't they
would resign once they realised that they won't be able to do any of
the things that they supposedly stand for.

Are you really going to tell me, with a straight face, that if you
managed to convince the libertarians that they should like government
more, then the mainstream politicians would start taking measure that
could hurt big corps.?

Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is,
it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve
it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to
government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's
very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already
ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they do
at the moment.

Telmo.


 Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread LizR
On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:


 Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is,
 it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve
 it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to
 government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's
 very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already
 ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they do
 at the moment.

 There is however a point at which a problem gets so big that even
politicians realise they should do something about it, for their own sakes.
Even the ultra rich will eventually realise that their own safety is at
stake (they need all those poor people to keep them in the style to which
they've become accustomed - they can't actually eat money). Whether they
solve the problem by building giant space stations or fixing the earth is
another question...

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Telmo Menezes
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:12 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:


 Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is,
 it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve
 it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to
 government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's
 very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already
 ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they do
 at the moment.

 There is however a point at which a problem gets so big that even
 politicians realise they should do something about it, for their own sakes.

But if the global warming models are correct, that is already too
late. If I understand the most common models correctly, it _is_
already too late.

 Even the ultra rich will eventually realise that their own safety is at
 stake (they need all those poor people to keep them in the style to which
 they've become accustomed - they can't actually eat money). Whether they
 solve the problem by building giant space stations or fixing the earth is
 another question...

The next iteration of humanity will look mostly like Donald Trump and
Bill Gates. We'll be better off dead! :)

Telmo.

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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Telmo Menezes
Thanks Jason, nice work!

A few comments:

- It's not obvious what's going on when the block of wood turns into
two. Even expecting the multiple outcomes, one does not intuitively
expect a beam of light to move a block of wood. I don't mind the
exaggeration but I suggest you make it explicit in the text and
indicate displacement in the figure somehow;

- Numbering figures would be a great improvement;

- You should sign your work!

Best,
Telmo.

On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:49 AM, Jason Resch jasonre...@gmail.com wrote:
 All,

 I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of explaining
 something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding of a given
 subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it might help
 anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer regarding it.

 Jason

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Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread Jason Resch
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 1:37 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 10 November 2013 08:13, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/9/2013 1:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

 Tegmark thinks he will survive, if the gun works sufficiently well. if
 not he might degrade and eventually ... die. This makes no sense to me. It
 is annoying, but we can degrade a lot, yet we can't die (with just comp,
 or, ITSM, with just the quantum MWI). With comp, we can expect jump, and
 consciousness phase transition, though.


 Aside from not finding myself the oldest person on the planet, I see a
 problem with quantum immortality in that quantum mechanics is time-reverse
 invariant.  So I should be 'past immortal' also.  But as Mark Twain said, I
 do not fear death, in view of the fact that I had been dead for billions
 and billions of years before I was born, and had not suffered the slightest
 inconvenience from it.  If we are what our brains do it is easy to see why
 we should live from past (low entropy) to future (higher entropy), be born
 and die.

 Leaving aside time reversibility (which I am myself rather hot on) for a
 moment, if you're quantum immortal you can only expect to *eventually*find 
 yourself the oldest person. Give it time. You have to go through the
 bit beforehand beforehand...


Let's say the average life expectancy is a not infinite, but some very
large number, like a google plex years.  If you were to draw a ball at
random from an urn that had a googleplex balls in it, each with its unique
number inscribed on it, would you be surprised if the number was less than
100?

That is found to be less than 100 is surprising to a lot of people who
consider quantum immortality, but it shouldn't be for a few reasons.  One's
statistical measure decreases over time.  This is easiest to see in the
quantum suicide experiment, where each pull of the trigger cuts one's
measure in half.  Imagine someone who did this every day of their life,
their measure over time would be an infinite serious with a finite (not
infinite) sum.  Just like 3.33 is a sum of an infinite number of
numbers 3 + 0.3 + 0.003 ... nonetheless, it is still less than 4.  If one's
measure diminishes geometrically as they live to ever increasingly absurd
lifetimes 200 years, 300 years, 400 years, etc., then the same effect is
the result, and we should not be surprised at drawing a number less than
100.

The other reason we should not be surprised is that we have no idea how old
we really are.  Let's say heaven is real and all people live eternally.
 Then probabilistically this moment you are experiencing now is infinitely
more likely to be a moment of perfect recall of this moment of life on
earth (from heaven) rather than your life as the first time you lived it.
 In other words, if heaven exists, then you are almost surely already in
it.  Your age is some infinite number, and you have recalled this moment an
infinite number of times.

Quantum immortality guarantees you will always have a next experience, but
it does not guarantee what memories you will have access to in those next
experiences.

Jason

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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Jason Resch
Telmo,

Thank you very much for that feedback; those are all good points and I will
incorporate it into a new and improved version.

Do you think it would be clearer if instead of a block of wood I used a
very small (but light absorbing object), like a dust mote, or a single
atom, etc. (something that more intuitively could be moved by light?)

Perhaps I could built up with multiple levels, first the light hits an
electron, which puts it into two states, and gives it two momentums, then
the electron hits a phosphorescent screen, which puts it into multiple
states of illumination, and then the person looking at the screeen is
finally put into two states?

Jason


On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 11:19 AM, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.comwrote:

 Thanks Jason, nice work!

 A few comments:

 - It's not obvious what's going on when the block of wood turns into
 two. Even expecting the multiple outcomes, one does not intuitively
 expect a beam of light to move a block of wood. I don't mind the
 exaggeration but I suggest you make it explicit in the text and
 indicate displacement in the figure somehow;

 - Numbering figures would be a great improvement;

 - You should sign your work!

 Best,
 Telmo.

 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:49 AM, Jason Resch jasonre...@gmail.com
 wrote:
  All,
 
  I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of explaining
  something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding of a given
  subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it might help
  anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer regarding
 it.
 
  Jason
 
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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Telmo Menezes
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 6:36 PM, Jason Resch jasonre...@gmail.com wrote:
 Telmo,

 Thank you very much for that feedback; those are all good points and I will
 incorporate it into a new and improved version.

 Do you think it would be clearer if instead of a block of wood I used a very
 small (but light absorbing object), like a dust mote, or a single atom, etc.
 (something that more intuitively could be moved by light?)

 Perhaps I could built up with multiple levels, first the light hits an
 electron, which puts it into two states, and gives it two momentums, then
 the electron hits a phosphorescent screen, which puts it into multiple
 states of illumination, and then the person looking at the screeen is
 finally put into two states?

Yeah, I would prefer this. Even if the sequence of events is a bit
more complicated, I think the overall cognitive load is lower because
you never have to suspend disbelief.

Another thing I noticed: you say at one point that the light behaves
like red light but there's never a payoff for this bit of
information.

Telmo.

 Jason



 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 11:19 AM, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com
 wrote:

 Thanks Jason, nice work!

 A few comments:

 - It's not obvious what's going on when the block of wood turns into
 two. Even expecting the multiple outcomes, one does not intuitively
 expect a beam of light to move a block of wood. I don't mind the
 exaggeration but I suggest you make it explicit in the text and
 indicate displacement in the figure somehow;

 - Numbering figures would be a great improvement;

 - You should sign your work!

 Best,
 Telmo.

 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:49 AM, Jason Resch jasonre...@gmail.com
 wrote:
  All,
 
  I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of
  explaining
  something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding of a
  given
  subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it might
  help
  anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer regarding
  it.
 
  Jason
 
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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

I would say you are incorrect concerning cities which rely on one primary power 
source, especially, if its local or regional. Power by wire, is common 
practice, but first we must have sufficient spinning, or ready reserve. My 
objection is now the source of power, but if it produce enough power at an 
affordable cost? Your solar and wind may, 17 years from now, do the job that 
gas turbines, or nukes, or coal, or hydroelectric does right now. Right now, 
today 40 GW (is that Gigawatt hours or days?) is no more then a trifling amount 
of what is needed by the human species. I object to governments switching off 
power, when no sufficient substitute now exists. Many greens are fine with 
rolling blackouts and brownouts because at least whatever power is produced is 
environmentally benign. I suspect that when people start doing a die-off, the 
Greens will state: Oh, then would've died anyway from pollution, 
contamination, and a ruined environment..


-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:44 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World


  

On 11/9/2013 4:53 PM,  spudboy...@aol.com wrote:


Yourbasically saying I am wrong for no contestable reason, you have 
   no city in the world to cite to me that is powered by solarpower or 
wind, for that matter, 

And there are none powered exclusively by hydroelectric powereither.  
It's a completely specious critereon that you cite asthough it meant 
something.  Because B cannot now completely satisfyall demand for X 
currently supplied by A doesn't make B useless, nordoes it make A desirable 
or necessary.

Brent


  

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

I have zero issue with any energy source that produces enough electrical power 
and is not too costly. I do have real problems when people advocate technology 
which cannot, this day, supply enough energy. The grande prize is just 
incentive, great incentive, to produce a new energy source, a medical 
treatment, a means of earth transport, a spectacularly, successful spacecraft. 
I am just guessing that the prize thing may be a better motivator then just a 
grant. This holds true if you really want results or not? But if you can 
deliver these goodies the old fashioned way, then, I say, Rock on.


-Original Message-
From: LizR lizj...@gmail.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:17 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World


The rich get richer via the stock exchange and similar financial institutions. 
This is done with software nowadays - a thousandth of  a second delay in 
investing can mean the difference between accumulating and losing. This doesn't 
actually produce improvements in anything (except financial modelling 
software). It's a cloud of abstract numbers spiralling off into never never 
land with no connection to producing anything useful.




On 10 November 2013 12:20, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 11/9/2013 2:49 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Yes, Jesse, I do buy into that arguement. If you permit me, I will exclude 
DailyKos Kos Kids from your evidence, as the are far from a disinterested party 
in this matter. Whatever the politics, whatever the polemics, a technology has 
to do this, be successful. If solar is always just a fraction of the world's 
energy, despite decades and bilions, then I have some problem with proposing 
it. 



If, but then you draw conclusions as if you had stated a fact. Decades after 
oil was discovered it too only supplied a fraction of the world's energy.



Or a successful solar tech, that powers all human activity, forever, may be 200 
years away, for some unknown reason. 



What's your point - that you can imagine some insuperable problem with solar 
power?  The Sun might stop shining?  What about not nearly so speculative 
exhaustion of easily extracted fossil fuel? What if fossil fuel runs out?  What 
if it makes large areas of the earth uninhabitably hot and dry.



What should we do until that glorious day? We can say exactly, the same with 
fusion. Tax payer subsudies are fine, if they work. But I surmise these 
companies live for the subsidies, and not the big win in the market place. 



You surmise whatever fits your prejudice.



Hence, my alternative of a grand prize to spur innovation, and win a giant 
profit that will wipe out an investors debts. I say we as a society have waited 
way too long, doing things the Statist way, lets let innovatoes, innovate, for 
the reward of an  avalanche of  prize money, plus tons of profits. I sense we 
are standing still, otherwise. 



And where are the great entrepreneurial advances of the past?  Did private 
investors invent nuclear power, space flight, GPS, the internet, vaccinations, 
the Panama Canal, interstate highways.  Free market capitalism is great for 
some things, but it's not going to invest in developing stuff with a 20yr 
horizon for return.

Brent


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Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/9/2013 11:37 PM, LizR wrote:
On 10 November 2013 08:13, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net mailto:meeke...@verizon.net 
wrote:


On 11/9/2013 1:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

Tegmark thinks he will survive, if the gun works sufficiently well. if not 
he might
degrade and eventually ... die. This makes no sense to me. It is annoying, 
but we
can degrade a lot, yet we can't die (with just comp, or, ITSM, with just the
quantum MWI). With comp, we can expect jump, and consciousness phase 
transition,
though. 


Aside from not finding myself the oldest person on the planet, I see a 
problem with
quantum immortality in that quantum mechanics is time-reverse invariant.  
So I
should be 'past immortal' also.  But as Mark Twain said, I do not fear 
death, in
view of the fact that I had been dead for billions and billions of years 
before I
was born, and had not suffered the slightest inconvenience from it.  If we 
are what
our brains do it is easy to see why we should live from past (low entropy) 
to future
(higher entropy), be born and die.

Leaving aside time reversibility (which I am myself rather hot on) for a moment, if 
you're quantum immortal you can only expect to /eventually/ find yourself the oldest 
person. Give it time. You have to go through the bit beforehand beforehand...


True, but finding yourself in the first 1/N of your life when N=inf is highly 
unlikely.

Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

Ahem, the observation is from behavioral psychologists like BF Skinner, or old. 
Operant conditioning and all that. 
Nuclear (especially LFTRs), wind, and solar.??

I am interested in all these types, but are all implementable in time? Will 
liquid fluoride really be safer, then a Canadian CANDU SLOWPOKE, I don't know. 
I will guess that all of this to be able to completely replace the dirty stuff 
will take decades. We might in ten years add these as supplemental electricity 
makers, but not the lions share of juice, for sure.

?? You mean the U.S. government refuses to act in the best interestsof 
it's citizens: Vote them out.

You are an idealist, aren't you? What if, the majority of citizens, or a large, 
noisy, minority, demur from your advice of voting them out? Furthermore, what 
if the People's Republic of China says: We will not ruin ourselves economically 
on the orders of this fierce, foreigner, Brent Meeker!  What will you do 
Brent, give us a nipple pinch, boycott our products, declare war? Remember, 
please, that this is your world too. We are spewing poisons into the air and 
water. Plus, we are melting your Polar Ice Caps. What shall you do against such 
suicidal, murderous, nations? Ah! I didn't catch it till just now. Economic 
sanctions. Got ya. What if sanctions do not make us mend our ways, and it 
hasn't worked on the Ayatiollah's yet, what then?

So you've already given up.  I hope you've bought land in the Arctic.
Brent
Sorry, me lad, I am not a real estate guy, and am but a humble, prole, alas! 
And, yes, I have given up on lots of things.

Cheers





Complete bullshit from the Faux News talking points.  All theclimate 
scientists are civil servants or tenured academics and havegood job whether 
AGW is true or not.  What they have on the line istheir professional 
reputations and if any one of them had data todispute AGW they'd be only to 
glad to make their reputation as theguy who proved AGW wrong.  It's the 
deniers and obfuscators who onlyget paid by Exxon and the Koch brothers if 
they publish some junkscience to obfuscate the question.




If AGW is more nuanced, shall we say,then the salaries, the power 
is diminished. If the climatepause takes longer, then the people 
proposing climatechange, have to come up with an excuse. Notice, 
please thatuntil recently, AGW is now called Climate Change. My 
bestbet on this is that the term was change to cover all
variations in climate, in case it doesn't get warmer, asexemplified 
by the UK's weather over the last 10 years. NoMiami temps in London 
so far. This goes against earlierforecasts, doesn't it?

 

Now to your Libertarian denial theme, let us say I am  agnostic but 
deeply suspicious myself, but allow me to counter  question. 

1. What non-carbon fuel source do you have at the ready to  replace 
climate damaging fossil fuels?
  

Nuclear (especially LFTRs), wind, and solar.



2. Do your solutions include switching off dirty power in  the US, 
without a working substitute?
  
Of course not.  No one has ever suggested that (except Denierssetting 
up a straw man).



3. What do you recommend if the US refuses to comply?
  

?? You mean the U.S. government refuses to act in the best interestsof 
it's citizens: Vote them out.



4. Ditto, India, China, Russia, Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico,  etc?
  

Economic sanctions.



 

I guess I am at step 5 and 6 on your scheme of things.

  

So you've already given up.  I hope you've bought land in theArctic.

Brent




-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:52 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World


  

On 11/9/2013 5:12 PM,  spudboy...@aol.com wrote:



Brent, let us look at human nature asit exists and not posit 
perfection to scientists andbureaucrats. Climate scientist who 
peddle AGW have skin inthe game. What's their reward? They get 
guaranteed jobs anddo the planning and make policies if true, thus, 
theircareers are set Bureaucrat's ,like politicians, want  power
over others and also have guaranteed careers. 
  

Complete bullshit from the Faux News talking points.  All theclimate 
scientists are civil servants or tenured academics and havegood job whether 
AGW is true or not.  What they have on the line istheir professional 
reputations and if any one of them had data todispute AGW they'd be only to 
glad to make their reputation as theguy who proved AGW 

Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 12:40 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 12:31 AM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 11/9/2013 3:09 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

On Sat, Nov 9, 2013 at 9:55 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 11/9/2013 9:37 AM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Brent, my analogy, however badly its thought-up, is to force the
idealists
to produce. My idea was to force the idealist back to painful reality and
hard choices, rather then mentally living in La La land. Saying  Oh
they're
working on solar and soon..


How about forcing the libertarians to painful reality.  They're going
through the six stages of denial:

1. There is no global warming.
2. The science is uncertain.
3. There's global warming but it's just a natural cycle.
4. Global warming will really be good for us.
5. It's too costly to stop global warming.
6. Nothing can be done.

Most of them I know are stuck around 3 or 4 now.  They're hoping to delay
any action so they can get to 6.  Why?  Because they'd rather face
extinction than admit there are some things that you need government to
do.

Brent,

Out of curiosity: why do you care so much about what libertarians
think? They are a small minority. I believe most are very much aware
that big government is here to stay. Most people in the western world
vote for some variation of a conservative or liberal party, both
statist.

Surely if you are right, and global warming is an existential threat,
and government intervention is the only way to solve it, what
libertarians think should be quite low in your list of concerns no?


Except that they have a disproportionate voice in the public debate because
their message is amplified by monied interests who depend on fossil fuel
(e.g. the Koch brothers).  There was only a small number of lawyers,
publicists, and scientists who claimed that:

1. Smoking has nothing to do with lung cancer.
2. There may be a relation but the science is uncertain.
3. Lung cancer just occurs naturally.
4. There are new, healthier cigarettes.
5. It will hurt the economy to limit cigarettes.
6. People should be free to smoke if they want to.

and they delayed any government action against smoking for forty years.  In
fact some of them are *exactly* the same people hired to spread doubt about
global warming.  To undertake big government action in a democracy you need
a solid majority in the populace.  As long as libertarians and oil companies
can sow doubt that's enough to prevent any action.

Come on Brent... You really want to believe...
The reason why Bush or Obama or any other President or government in
the current system do not take actions that hurt big corporations is
that these big corporation fund their careers and campaigns. Once they
get in power, the corporations own then. They are not innocent by any
means, and they clearly just want the position. If they didn't they
would resign once they realised that they won't be able to do any of
the things that they supposedly stand for.

Are you really going to tell me, with a straight face, that if you
managed to convince the libertarians that they should like government
more, then the mainstream politicians would start taking measure that
could hurt big corps.?


No, the libertarians are just one of the factions that spread FUD about AGW.  But they are 
particularly effective in providing a don't trust the government gloss - as you do above 
- and so don't give the government power to do anything.  Sure Bush, Obama and other 
Presidents are influenced by corporate money - but they are not owned.  Obama isn't even 
going to run again.  Congressmen are much more subject to corruption because they're 
always looking to the next election.  But they will respond to voters too, IF there's a 
solid majority.




Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is,
it's game over.


Read the scientific literature - and cash in your chips.



Big government is most definitely not going to solve
it.


But big government *could* solve it.  Big Money is not only not going to solve it, it's 
trying to keep government from solving it.


Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 1:26 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:12 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:

On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:


Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is,
it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve
it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to
government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's
very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already
ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they do
at the moment.


There is however a point at which a problem gets so big that even
politicians realise they should do something about it, for their own sakes.

But if the global warming models are correct, that is already too
late. If I understand the most common models correctly, it _is_
already too late.


Why don't you read what the IPCC reports actually say.  It's too late keep CO2 below 
450ppm.  It's too late to prevent a temperature rise of 2degC.  That doesn't mean it's too 
late to save civilization.


Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

I agree with just about everything she notes. I do have an issue with putting 
pv plantations in the Sahara. I know the Germans were keen on this, and the 
wired the power to Deutschland. Look no further than the happening with the US 
embassy in Benghazi about 18 mos ago on 9-11. The subcritical reactor is 
excellent, but unless it gets to market, it will just be a lab curiosity. Same 
with fusion. I am good with all energy sources, as long as they can be 
implemented quickly, and we don't have to keep waiting for tomorrows that never 
come. That would be the logical thing IF, everyone is convinced about AGW being 
the chief existential threat. What Greens propose as public policy is really 
energy starvation rather then CO2 or methane, or particulate containment. If, 
for example, America, or NZ, tanks economically/collapses, most are good with 
this, because the environment is helped. It's helped except for the 
contributions of the BRIC's who will tell us all to go pound sand.






Although there are lots of grassroots movements on this, the real power to do 
some good of course lies with governments and big business. This is an 
infrastructure thing, like state highways, but on a global scale - there is no 
bigger commons than the environment, nor a bigger tragedy of the commons than 
ecological collapse. Can we get our fingers out of our arses and do something? 
I doubt it, but here are a few suggestions.
 

We need lots more nuclear (yes, I know, and I live in New Zealand where around 
70% of the power is hydro and wind). Subcritical reactors are best, they run on 
thorium, can't melt down, and can be used to reprocess uranium and plutonium 
into something less dangerous. However they can't be used as part of a weapons 
programme, which is why they've been ignored (except, I think, by India).


We need lots more solar - the Sun produces far more energy that we can use, 
even the tiny bit that falls on Earth far exceeds our requirements. How much is 
going begging in (say) the Sahara alone? A useful by-product would be bringing 
Africa's economy up to speed, if it started exporting cheap power.


We probably need some geoengineering like aerosols in the upper atmosphere for 
a short term fix, given that every week new climate records are broken, 
Australia and America keep catching fire, we have the biggest storm on record 
in the Phillipines, hottest year on record, hottest decade on record etc etc 
etc.


We need a ton of research into renewables and carbon sequestration




-Original Message-
From: LizR lizj...@gmail.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:43 am
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World



On 10 November 2013 14:12,  spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Brent, let us look at human nature as it exists and not posit perfection to 
scientists and bureaucrats. Climate scientist who peddle AGW have skin in the 
game. What's their reward? They get guaranteed jobs and do the planning and 
make policies if true, thus, their careers are set Bureaucrat's ,like 
politicians, want  power over others and also have guaranteed careers. If AGW 
is more nuanced, shall we say, then the salaries, the power is diminished. If 
the climate pause takes longer, then the people proposing climate change, have 
to come up with an excuse. Notice, please that until recently, AGW is now 
called Climate Change. My best bet on this is that the term was change to cover 
all variations in climate, in case it doesn't get warmer, as exemplified by the 
UK's weather over the last 10 years. No Miami temps in London so far. This goes 
against earlier forecasts, doesn't it?
 
Now to your Libertarian denial theme, let us say I am agnostic but deeply 
suspicious myself, but allow me to counter question. 
1. What non-carbon fuel source do you have at the ready to replace climate 
damaging fossil fuels?
2. Do your solutions include switching off dirty power in the US, without a 
working substitute?
3. What do you recommend if the US refuses to comply?
4. Ditto, India, China, Russia, Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, etc?
 
I guess I am at step 5 and 6 on your scheme of things. But if you have 
knowledge of workable solutions, maybe you could write about it? Even 
denialists want to hear what we all can do?



Although there are lots of grassroots movements on this, the real power to do 
some good of course lies with governments and big business. This is an 
infrastructure thing, like state highways, but on a global scale - there is no 
bigger commons than the environment, nor a bigger tragedy of the commons than 
ecological collapse. Can we get our fingers out of our arses and do something? 
I doubt it, but here are a few suggestions.
 

We need lots more nuclear (yes, I know, and I live in New Zealand where around 
70% of the power is hydro and wind). Subcritical reactors are best, they run on 
thorium, can't melt down, and can be used to reprocess uranium and plutonium 
into something less 

RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Chris de Morsella
Name me one large city that gets its power 100% exclusively from coal or
from nuclear? You can't because all major energy markets are fed by a mix of
energy generation capacity. Yet you keep on with this straw man argument.
Why?

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:14 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

I would say you are incorrect concerning cities which rely on one primary
power source, especially, if its local or regional. Power by wire, is common
practice, but first we must have sufficient spinning, or ready reserve. My
objection is now the source of power, but if it produce enough power at an
affordable cost? Your solar and wind may, 17 years from now, do the job that
gas turbines, or nukes, or coal, or hydroelectric does right now. Right now,
today 40 GW (is that Gigawatt hours or days?) is no more then a trifling
amount of what is needed by the human species. I object to governments
switching off power, when no sufficient substitute now exists. Many greens
are fine with rolling blackouts and brownouts because at least whatever
power is produced is environmentally benign. I suspect that when people
start doing a die-off, the Greens will state: Oh, then would've died anyway
from pollution, contamination, and a ruined environment..

-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:44 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

On 11/9/2013 4:53 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Your basically saying I am wrong for no contestable reason, you have no city
in the world to cite to me that is powered by solar power or wind, for that
matter, 


And there are none powered exclusively by hydroelectric power either.  It's
a completely specious critereon that you cite as though it meant something.
Because B cannot now completely satisfy all demand for X currently supplied
by A doesn't make B useless, nor does it make A desirable or necessary.

Brent



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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb
I'm going to teach a public class on QM and when I saw this email I thought Great! I'll 
just steal Jason's stuff.  And I liked the first part.  But at the end you leave out 
decoherence and leave the impression that it is the mind that produces the classical 
appearance.  That would REALY confuse'm.


Brent

On 11/10/2013 1:49 AM, Jason Resch wrote:

All,

I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of explaining something in 
simple terms can help improve one's understanding of a given subject.  I thought I would 
share it with this list in case it might help anyone else. I also welcome any feedback 
anyone has to offer regarding it.


Jason
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No virus found in this message.
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RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Chris de Morsella
Seriously increasing our energy efficiency is key to building a bridge to a
living future. One thing this whole discussion is overlooking -- focused as
it is, on electric energy supply (a fraction of total energy supply and
demand) -- is the low hanging fruit of increasing energy efficiency. There
is so much room for improvement in the efficiency with which we use energy.
In transportation of course, but especially in heating and cooling and
lighting our societies built spaces -- both commercial, industrial 
residential. 
Building heating, cooling  lighting accounts for the lion's share of all
energy use (usually measured in units of Quads --  quadrillion Btus); in
fact this area amounts to almost half of all energy use (around 40% -- if I
recall the percentage figure). A country like the USA could use half as much
energy as it currently does -- if it did so more efficiently -- and still
enjoy the same level of heating, cooling, lighting and mobility as we are
currently enjoying.
Trying to increase supplies -- or shift to renewable supplies -- makes
little sense if not also paired with a serious attempt at ramping up energy
efficiency. Just simple acts insulating ceilings, floors and walls; like
caulking cracks around windows etc. and closing up these many tiny air leaks
from buildings, or replacing single pane windows with double or triple pane
windows; or using energy efficient lighting can have major impacts in
reducing energy requirements. So much of our built space is really crappy in
terms of energy efficiency and lighting and the carbon impact of an
aggressive national effort at ramping up energy efficiency would be larger
than any other single thing we could do.
This is not sexy stuff, it is rather low tech, but it does generate a lot of
local jobs and provides almost immediate relief from high energy bills.
Chris

-Original Message-
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of meekerdb
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:52 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

On 11/10/2013 1:26 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:
 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:12 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:

 Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is, 
 it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve 
 it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to 
 government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's 
 very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already 
 ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they 
 do at the moment.

 There is however a point at which a problem gets so big that even 
 politicians realise they should do something about it, for their own
sakes.
 But if the global warming models are correct, that is already too 
 late. If I understand the most common models correctly, it _is_ 
 already too late.

Why don't you read what the IPCC reports actually say.  It's too late keep
CO2 below 450ppm.  It's too late to prevent a temperature rise of 2degC.
That doesn't mean it's too late to save civilization.

Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

One example might be the San Onofre plant in California, near San Diego. It's a 
uranium burner, and supplies 90% of the electricity, about 85% of the time. But 
let us look at your sun and wind power contribution that you mentioned before. 
40 GW, which I am assuming, is GW's per kilowatt hour, rather than a day, a 
week, etc? Lets say, its not inconsiderable (40 x 1000 MW plants) but its also 
not reliable when the sun don't shine, the winds don't blow. Do you expect 
these clean sources to fully replace the dirty one's in ten years, twenty 
years, five years, thirty? When can we turn of these poisonous electricity 
sources that we have come to rely on? Do you advocate shutting these suckers 
down, before the solar and wind supplied power is fully, implemented? 


-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 1:51 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World



Name me one large city that gets its power 100% exclusively from coal or from 
nuclear? You can’t because all major energy markets are fed by a mix of energy 
generation capacity. Yet you keep on with this straw man argument. Why?
 
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:14 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World
 

I would say you are incorrect concerning cities which rely on one primary power 
source, especially, if its local or regional. Power by wire, is common 
practice, but first we must have sufficient spinning, or ready reserve. My 
objection is now the source of power, but if it produce enough power at an 
affordable cost? Your solar and wind may, 17 years from now, do the job that 
gas turbines, or nukes, or coal, or hydroelectric does right now. Right now, 
today 40 GW (is that Gigawatt hours or days?) is no more then a trifling amount 
of what is needed by the human species. I object to governments switching off 
power, when no sufficient substitute now exists. Many greens are fine with 
rolling blackouts and brownouts because at least whatever power is produced is 
environmentally benign. I suspect that when people start doing a die-off, the 
Greens will state: Oh, then would've died anyway from pollution, 
contamination, and a ruined environment..

-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:44 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World


On 11/9/2013 4:53 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Your basically saying I am wrong for no contestable reason, you have no city in 
the world to cite to me that is powered by solar power or wind, for that 
matter, 


And there are none powered exclusively by hydroelectric power either.  It's a 
completely specious critereon that you cite as though it meant something.  
Because B cannot now completely satisfy all demand for X currently supplied by 
A doesn't make B useless, nor does it make A desirable or necessary.

Brent



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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Craig Weinberg


Thanks for uploading it, great job!

Here's what I propose to re-interpret QM:

http://multisenserealism.files.wordpress.com/2013/11/instant_eternal.jpg

Beams exist only within the experience of the various participants, not as 
literal beams across a vacuum. There are no literal waves or particles. 
What is happening is that the stimulated physical components are arranged 
to reflect their stimulation to each other, which occurs in a physical 
frame of time that is essentially timeless. The physical layer, I am saying 
is the most primitive layer of experience, within which space and time 
divergence is generated. Light does not happen in spacetime, spacetime 
happens in experience (which is light, or any other sensation).

On the right hand side, the topological layers of sensitivity slow down the 
instant and recapitulate larger and larger chunks of eternity into each 
frame of awareness. 

I tried to show how the footprint of the inanimate objects extends all the 
way down to the bottom, but remains indifferent to the spatiotemporal 
strata on the right hand side. Not the best diagram, I admit, but maybe 
gives some sense of the model I suggest.

Thanks,

Craig



On Sunday, November 10, 2013 4:49:00 AM UTC-5, Jason wrote:

 All,

 I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of explaining 
 something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding of a given 
 subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it might help 
 anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer regarding it.

 Jason


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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

I used to be a fan of Amory Lovins too but am concerned that better 
efficiencies might not get us across the bridge to Solar City. Lovin's  Kevlar 
cars never took off, for one reason, is because they were so light that strong 
winds would guide them off the test track. If we weigh them down to be highway 
ready, there goes the mileage. New materials might do the trick 
architecturally, as you stated. 

I am personally sort of obsessed with the idea of using pumped storage at sea 
(probably costly) using wind power, ocean current to pump uphill, vast, amounts 
of sea water into synthetic reservoirs, and then get hydro-electric juice 
flowing for days or weeks from these structures. But, the efficiencies of 
moving tons of sea water uphill, may just suck at producing electricity? An 
energy sink is no energy source.


-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:08 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World


Seriously increasing our energy efficiency is key to building a bridge to a
living future. One thing this whole discussion is overlooking -- focused as
it is, on electric energy supply (a fraction of total energy supply and
demand) -- is the low hanging fruit of increasing energy efficiency. There
is so much room for improvement in the efficiency with which we use energy.
In transportation of course, but especially in heating and cooling and
lighting our societies built spaces -- both commercial, industrial 
residential. 
Building heating, cooling  lighting accounts for the lion's share of all
energy use (usually measured in units of Quads --  quadrillion Btus); in
fact this area amounts to almost half of all energy use (around 40% -- if I
recall the percentage figure). A country like the USA could use half as much
energy as it currently does -- if it did so more efficiently -- and still
enjoy the same level of heating, cooling, lighting and mobility as we are
currently enjoying.
Trying to increase supplies -- or shift to renewable supplies -- makes
little sense if not also paired with a serious attempt at ramping up energy
efficiency. Just simple acts insulating ceilings, floors and walls; like
caulking cracks around windows etc. and closing up these many tiny air leaks
from buildings, or replacing single pane windows with double or triple pane
windows; or using energy efficient lighting can have major impacts in
reducing energy requirements. So much of our built space is really crappy in
terms of energy efficiency and lighting and the carbon impact of an
aggressive national effort at ramping up energy efficiency would be larger
than any other single thing we could do.
This is not sexy stuff, it is rather low tech, but it does generate a lot of
local jobs and provides almost immediate relief from high energy bills.
Chris

-Original Message-
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of meekerdb
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:52 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

On 11/10/2013 1:26 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:
 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:12 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:

 Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is, 
 it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve 
 it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to 
 government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's 
 very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already 
 ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they 
 do at the moment.

 There is however a point at which a problem gets so big that even 
 politicians realise they should do something about it, for their own
sakes.
 But if the global warming models are correct, that is already too 
 late. If I understand the most common models correctly, it _is_ 
 already too late.

Why don't you read what the IPCC reports actually say.  It's too late keep
CO2 below 450ppm.  It's too late to prevent a temperature rise of 2degC.
That doesn't mean it's too late to save civilization.

Brent

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Visit 

RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Chris de Morsella
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 11:08 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

One example might be the San Onofre plant in California, near San Diego.
It's a uranium burner, and supplies 90% of the electricity, about 85% of the
time. But let us look at your sun and wind power contribution that you
mentioned before. 40 GW, which I am assuming, is GW's per kilowatt hour,
rather than a day, a week, etc? Lets say, its not inconsiderable (40 x 1000
MW plants) but its also not reliable when the sun don't shine, the winds
don't blow. Do you expect these clean sources to fully replace the dirty
one's in ten years, twenty years, five years, thirty? When can we turn of
these poisonous electricity sources that we have come to rely on? Do you
advocate shutting these suckers down, before the solar and wind supplied
power is fully, implemented? 

 

The San Onofre nuclear power plant has been decommissioned - it is past its
service life and now many more billions of dollars are going to be need to
be spent over decades of time in order to decommission this facility - (it
was very intelligently sited on an earthquake fault line by the way) Cost
estimates for permanently closing and decommissioning San Onofre are over $4
billion. 

The plant's first unit, Unit 1, operated from 1968 to 1992.[5]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Onofre_Nuclear_Generating_Station#cite_not
e-5  Unit 2 was started in 1983 and Unit 3 started in 1984. Upgrades
designed to last 20 years were made to the reactor units in 2009 and 2010;
however, both reactors had to be shut down in January 2012 due to premature
wear found on over 3,000 tubes in the recently replaced steam generators.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Onofre_Nuclear_Generating_Station

The actual answer to your question then is that the San Onofre power plants
are supplying 0% of the San Diego electric energy market with electric
power.  You might want to pick a better example to make your case. LOL

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 1:51 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

Name me one large city that gets its power 100% exclusively from coal or
from nuclear? You can't because all major energy markets are fed by a mix of
energy generation capacity. Yet you keep on with this straw man argument.
Why?

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com
mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com? ] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:14 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

I would say you are incorrect concerning cities which rely on one primary
power source, especially, if its local or regional. Power by wire, is common
practice, but first we must have sufficient spinning, or ready reserve. My
objection is now the source of power, but if it produce enough power at an
affordable cost? Your solar and wind may, 17 years from now, do the job that
gas turbines, or nukes, or coal, or hydroelectric does right now. Right now,
today 40 GW (is that Gigawatt hours or days?) is no more then a trifling
amount of what is needed by the human species. I object to governments
switching off power, when no sufficient substitute now exists. Many greens
are fine with rolling blackouts and brownouts because at least whatever
power is produced is environmentally benign. I suspect that when people
start doing a die-off, the Greens will state: Oh, then would've died anyway
from pollution, contamination, and a ruined environment..

-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:44 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

On 11/9/2013 4:53 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Your basically saying I am wrong for no contestable reason, you have no city
in the world to cite to me that is powered by solar power or wind, for that
matter, 


And there are none powered exclusively by hydroelectric power either.  It's
a completely specious critereon that you cite as though it meant something.
Because B cannot now completely satisfy all demand for X currently supplied
by A doesn't make B useless, nor does it make A desirable or necessary.

Brent

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RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Chris de Morsella
Who knows -- you may be interested in a Dutch idea to build an energy island
in the North sea by diking around an area of sea then using periods of
surplus wind power generation form the north sea offshore wind farms (of
which there are quite a few now) to pump water out from inside of the diked
off area lowering the water levels inside with respect to the sea level
outside. Creating a reservoir of pumped storage that could be drawn down
when supplies did not meet demand.

Large scale pumped storage is by far the largest form of electric energy
storage that currently exists and there are some interesting projects coming
on line now - such as the Eagle Crest project in the deserts of Southern
California which will provide 1300 MW of dispatchable power onto the grid
and which pairs perfectly with the wind and solar generation facilities that
are sited in that region. 

Chris

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 11:19 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

I used to be a fan of Amory Lovins too but am concerned that better
efficiencies might not get us across the bridge to Solar City. Lovin's
Kevlar cars never took off, for one reason, is because they were so light
that strong winds would guide them off the test track. If we weigh them down
to be highway ready, there goes the mileage. New materials might do the
trick architecturally, as you stated. 

 

I am personally sort of obsessed with the idea of using pumped storage at
sea (probably costly) using wind power, ocean current to pump uphill, vast,
amounts of sea water into synthetic reservoirs, and then get hydro-electric
juice flowing for days or weeks from these structures. But, the efficiencies
of moving tons of sea water uphill, may just suck at producing electricity?
An energy sink is no energy source.

-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:08 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

Seriously increasing our energy efficiency is key to building a bridge to a
living future. One thing this whole discussion is overlooking -- focused as
it is, on electric energy supply (a fraction of total energy supply and
demand) -- is the low hanging fruit of increasing energy efficiency. There
is so much room for improvement in the efficiency with which we use energy.
In transportation of course, but especially in heating and cooling and
lighting our societies built spaces -- both commercial, industrial 
residential. 
Building heating, cooling  lighting accounts for the lion's share of all
energy use (usually measured in units of Quads --  quadrillion Btus); in
fact this area amounts to almost half of all energy use (around 40% -- if I
recall the percentage figure). A country like the USA could use half as much
energy as it currently does -- if it did so more efficiently -- and still
enjoy the same level of heating, cooling, lighting and mobility as we are
currently enjoying.
Trying to increase supplies -- or shift to renewable supplies -- makes
little sense if not also paired with a serious attempt at ramping up energy
efficiency. Just simple acts insulating ceilings, floors and walls; like
caulking cracks around windows etc. and closing up these many tiny air leaks
from buildings, or replacing single pane windows with double or triple pane
windows; or using energy efficient lighting can have major impacts in
reducing energy requirements. So much of our built space is really crappy in
terms of energy efficiency and lighting and the carbon impact of an
aggressive national effort at ramping up energy efficiency would be larger
than any other single thing we could do.
This is not sexy stuff, it is rather low tech, but it does generate a lot of
local jobs and provides almost immediate relief from high energy bills.
Chris
 
-Original Message-
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com
mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com? ] On Behalf Of meekerdb
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:52 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World
 
On 11/10/2013 1:26 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:
 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:12 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:
 
 Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is, 
 it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve 
 it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to 
 government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's 
 very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already 
 ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they 
 do at the moment.
 
 There is however a point at which a problem gets so big that even 
 politicians realise they 

Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 9:25 AM, Jason Resch wrote:




On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 1:37 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com 
mailto:lizj...@gmail.com wrote:

On 10 November 2013 08:13, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
mailto:meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 11/9/2013 1:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

Tegmark thinks he will survive, if the gun works sufficiently well. if 
not he
might degrade and eventually ... die. This makes no sense to me. It is
annoying, but we can degrade a lot, yet we can't die (with just comp, 
or, ITSM,
with just the quantum MWI). With comp, we can expect jump, and 
consciousness
phase transition, though. 


Aside from not finding myself the oldest person on the planet, I see a 
problem
with quantum immortality in that quantum mechanics is time-reverse invariant. 
So I should be 'past immortal' also.  But as Mark Twain said, I do not fear

death, in view of the fact that I had been dead for billions and 
billions of
years before I was born, and had not suffered the slightest 
inconvenience from
it.  If we are what our brains do it is easy to see why we should live 
from
past (low entropy) to future (higher entropy), be born and die.

Leaving aside time reversibility (which I am myself rather hot on) for a 
moment, if
you're quantum immortal you can only expect to /eventually/ find yourself 
the oldest
person. Give it time. You have to go through the bit beforehand 
beforehand...


Let's say the average life expectancy is a not infinite, but some very large number, 
like a google plex years.  If you were to draw a ball at random from an urn that had a 
googleplex balls in it, each with its unique number inscribed on it, would you be 
surprised if the number was less than 100?


That is found to be less than 100 is surprising to a lot of people who consider quantum 
immortality, but it shouldn't be for a few reasons.  One's statistical measure decreases 
over time.  This is easiest to see in the quantum suicide experiment, where each pull of 
the trigger cuts one's measure in half.  Imagine someone who did this every day of their 
life, their measure over time would be an infinite serious with a finite (not infinite) 
sum.  Just like 3.33 is a sum of an infinite number of numbers 3 + 0.3 + 0.003 ... 
nonetheless, it is still less than 4.  If one's measure diminishes geometrically as they 
live to ever increasingly absurd lifetimes 200 years, 300 years, 400 years, etc., then 
the same effect is the result, and we should not be surprised at drawing a number less 
than 100.


So when your measure becomes less than one bit or too small to support your experience - 
you're dead.




The other reason we should not be surprised is that we have no idea how old we really 
are.  Let's say heaven is real and all people live eternally.  Then probabilistically 
this moment you are experiencing now is infinitely more likely to be a moment of perfect 
recall of this moment of life on earth (from heaven) rather than your life as the first 
time you lived it.  In other words, if heaven exists, then you are almost surely already 
in it.  Your age is some infinite number, and you have recalled this moment an infinite 
number of times.


Nietzsche's eternal return.  But is it heaven, or is it hell?

Brent
Only through ignorance and delusion do men indulge in the
dream that their souls are separate and self-existing
entities. Their heart still clings to Self. They are anxious
about heaven and they seek the pleasure of Self in heaven.
Thus they cannot see the bliss of righteousness of the
immortality of truth.' Selfish ideas appear in man's mind
due to his conception of Self and craving for existence.
  --- Siddhartha Gautama

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 09 Nov 2013, at 19:09, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

I am emphasizing having governments print out (Keynes style)  
absolutely, colossal, amounts of cash, as a reward for coming up  
with excellent disease treatments and cures, human solar system  
tours, and clean energy solution, environmental remediation. If the  
banks won't fund researchers, then private equity will, if private  
equity won't then a million contributors-open source-will, provided  
they get a cut of the reward offered by a government prize. I  
wouldn't be shocked if you, Professor, Marchal, might summon up 25  
ECU's in exchange for receiving 3000 ECU's or Golden Yuans, in  
payment, 5 years later.



Only if this reflects some honest contracts.

Honesty is not just moral, it is something which elevates a lot the  
real value of money. It generates trust.


Be honest.
If you don't try to be honest for the calm of your conscience, do it  
for the wealth of your children.


Today big corporations are based on lies. That's the problem.

Bruno



http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Telmo Menezes
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 7:51 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:
 On 11/10/2013 1:26 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:12 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:


 Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is,
 it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve
 it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical point where to
 government gets so big that it starts doing the right thing. If it's
 very small, at least there's less opportunity for the already
 ultra-rich to further their interests with our tax-money, like they do
 at the moment.

 There is however a point at which a problem gets so big that even
 politicians realise they should do something about it, for their own
 sakes.

 But if the global warming models are correct, that is already too
 late. If I understand the most common models correctly, it _is_
 already too late.


 Why don't you read what the IPCC reports actually say.  It's too late keep
 CO2 below 450ppm.  It's too late to prevent a temperature rise of 2degC.
 That doesn't mean it's too late to save civilization.

Alright, I was being a smart-ass about it because every few years we
receive this message that we have some window of opportunity of 5 more
minutes or we are doomed. The last one was last month at some complex
systems conference.

As I said before, I am agnostic on this issue for the following reasons:

- I am not educated in climate science and I am sufficiently educated
in science to understand that it would take years of full-time effort
to get to a point where I could judge the merit of climate science
research findings by myself -- even there I would probably have to
become an insider, because I understand that a lot of key data is
never made publicly available;
- I am sufficiently knowledgable of complex systems to be skeptical of
the predictive power of any complex systems model at our current level
of sophistication;
- The issue became so heavily politicised that it is basically not
reasonable to trust news reporting on either side of it.

I am aware of the 5th IPCC report and I am also aware of claims by
reputable climate scientists that the models' predictions appear to be
deviating increasingly from the observables:

http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/30/implications-for-climate-models-of-their-disagreement-with-observations/

I am not invested in disproving global warming. I like to think I am
scientifically-minded, so I accept reality whatever it is. I hope it
is wrong. I suspect some people want it to be true.

Telmo.

 Brent


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Re: Re: [4DWorldx] Is mass mental or physical ?

2013-11-10 Thread John Mikes
Liz: it all starts with the proper use of words we use so imroperly.

What is  P H Y S I C A L ?  the explanational domain where features are
proven by other featires of the explanational theoretical domain? (By
instruments from WITHIN)
What is  M E N T A L  ?  we live in a maze and use 'language' to
communicate.

Look at ' M A T E R I A L ' at the final dissolution of the particles: no
matter-like in them.
Look at ' M E N T A L '  in the (conventional) scientific explanatory
figments: you end up with PHYSICAL sites (in the brain) and PHYSICAL
processes (electrical etc.) to explain.  Another look-up comes from the
changes of such figments over the millennia of our developmental process,
how ALL of them transformed as we 'learned' more about the circumstances we
know so little about.

This is why my agnosticism is based on: The only thing we know is We
Don't.

The rest is 'science' etc. we keep talking about. Belief, doubt, Nobel
Prizes, etc.
(And maybe: Bruno's numbers? applied by his (Loeb's?) universal
machine).

John Mikes


On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 2:35 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 10 November 2013 04:11, Richard Ruquist yann...@gmail.com wrote:

 Mathematical proof is all that is lacking.
 That is that particles like electrons and quarks are strings.
 That electrons and quarks have mass is established experimentally

 Well, they appear to, in the sense that they interact in certain ways.
 Does string theory and / or the higgs mechanism explain the equivalence of
 gravitational and intertial mass, by the way?

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 12:29 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

As I said before, I am agnostic on this issue for the following reasons:

- I am not educated in climate science and I am sufficiently educated
in science to understand that it would take years of full-time effort
to get to a point where I could judge the merit of climate science
research findings by myself -- even there I would probably have to
become an insider, because I understand that a lot of key data is
never made publicly available;
- I am sufficiently knowledgable of complex systems to be skeptical of
the predictive power of any complex systems model at our current level
of sophistication;
- The issue became so heavily politicised that it is basically not
reasonable to trust news reporting on either side of it.

I am aware of the 5th IPCC report and I am also aware of claims by
reputable climate scientists that the models' predictions appear to be
deviating increasingly from the observables:

http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/30/implications-for-climate-models-of-their-disagreement-with-observations/


Are you aware that Judith Curry was on the Berkley Earth team to resolve the question of 
whether the earth is actually warming.  She and Richard Muller had been critical of the 
analyses performed by NOAA, Hadley, CRU, and GISS.  When the new analysis, which met all 
the past criticisms, confirmed all the previous conclusions, she quit the team and shifted 
her criticism from it's not happening to it's not predictable.  Notice that means it 
could be a lot worse than predicted too - but the Deniers and FUDers never mention that.




I am not invested in disproving global warming. I like to think I am
scientifically-minded, so I accept reality whatever it is. I hope it
is wrong. I suspect some people want it to be true.


Yes, you're the perfect example of the success of the Deniers FUD campaign.  98% of all 
climate scientists agree that AGW is happening and it will have bad consequences.  But 
you're aware of skeptical scientists, like Judith Curry (who are given TV time on Faux 
News), so it's a toss-up.  It's been heavily politicized - by money from the fossil fuel 
companies - so no news can be trusted. You're not expert enough to read the scientific 
literature - so you're agnostic.


You *suspect* some people want it to be true???  In other words you suspect some academics 
of wanting to trash the world economy for vague, unexpressed personal reasons.  But you 
don't suspect the Koch brothers, Exxon, BP, Faux News, the Discovery Institute, the 
MacArthur Foundation, and a host of right-wing think tanks of wanting it to be false AND 
paying a lot of PR firms to obfuscate the issue.


Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread John Mikes
Bruno and Brent:

*Who are you to  T E L L  society what it needs?*
(BTW: I agree perfectly with your position).

I had discussions on other lists in aspects of religion and gun-control and
received similar offensive repercussions. No universal machine can tell any
other universal machine how to think and what to aim at. Voting is a lying
hoax, democracy is nonetxistent. A handful people of goodwill will not
change the malicious crowd.
When I abhor shooting to kill people, it does not prove wrong those crazies
who like to do it - just marks a difference of opinions.
TELLING society what it needs is fascism, socialism, or religion.

Be careful with your words: they are mostly meaningless substitutes.

John M.


On Sat, Nov 9, 2013 at 11:50 AM, John Mikes jami...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 06 Nov 2013, at 17:25, meekerdb wrote:

 On 11/6/2013 12:58 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:


 There is nothing wrong being rich, unless the money is stolen money, and
 that's the case today.


 There's nothing morally wrong with being rich, but it creates an ethical
 problem.  Being much wealthier than others bestows a lot of power.  If
 there is no effective government (like parts of Somalia) then the rich hire
 a personal army to protect their property.  Where there is government, the
 police protect their property and the rich attempt to control the
 government through propaganda and buying influence.  So long as the rich
 are not so rich as to live in a different 'world' than the middle class and
 they are relatively diverse this works OK.  But the system seems to be
 unstable in that the rich can and do use their wealth and power to get more
 wealth and power - and not necessarily productively.  So those who inherit
 wealth tend to gain even more wealth.  Society needs to do something to
 stabilize the system and prevent the increasing concentration of wealth.


 *I completely agree. The problem is that with money, you can produce more
 money in two ways, honestly or dishonestly.*...

 Bruno, before I touch the basics - could you explain what you would
 consider to produce *M O R E  money HONESTLY?*  Same question to Brent's
 text above: *that the rich can and do use their wealth and power to get
 more wealth and power - and not necessarily productively*.

 I don't see a 'productive' way how 'the rich' get more wealth and power
 by using their wealth and power. It is exploitation, political scam,
 bribery, terrorism, etc. - all in the framework of accepted morals of the
 system (either capitalist, or fascist).

 I recall some basics (I am no 'Socialist') from Marx:
 NOBODY *owns *Nature so any natural products (mining, farming, or other)
 are valued 'honestly' as recompensation for the *efforts* invested into
 the natural process for getting money - honestly - productively, without
 exploitation. Does any mine-owner work on his product? Does any Farming
 conglomerated stockholder work honestly on the crop? I do not advocate the
 CEO to sweep the floor: there is tasks' - organization in which everyone
 has a role to perform, but are the roles proportionately paid for? Mao
 tried to switch 'roles' temporarily - he failed. Lenin realized that such
 just distribution is impossible in today's society and postulated FIRST the
 development of som COMMUINST MAN who lives up to such 'just distribution'
 of benefits - surely realizing the impossibility of such development. All
 other (Socialist?) countries suffered from the same malaise as the
 (democraticly?) capitalistic ones: the leadership and its power usurped
 wealth, acquired MONEY and POWER on the back of the 'not so fortunate'
 exploited majority.
 Alas, I have no solution to remedy the situation.
 Re-hire Dr. Guillotine is unrealistic.
 JM





 On Wed, Nov 6, 2013 at 5:24 PM, Bruno Marchal marc...@ulb.ac.be wrote:


 On 06 Nov 2013, at 17:25, meekerdb wrote:

  On 11/6/2013 12:58 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:


  There is nothing wrong being rich, unless the money is stolen money,
 and that's the case today.


 There's nothing morally wrong with being rich, but it creates an ethical
 problem.  Being much wealthier than others bestows a lot of power.  If
 there is no effective government (like parts of Somalia) then the rich hire
 a personal army to protect their property.  Where there is government, the
 police protect their property and the rich attempt to control the
 government through propaganda and buying influence.  So long as the rich
 are not so rich as to live in a different 'world' than the middle class and
 they are relatively diverse this works OK.  But the system seems to be
 unstable in that the rich can and do use their wealth and power to get more
 wealth and power - and not necessarily productively.  So those who inherit
 wealth tend to gain even more wealth.  Society needs to do something to
 stabilize the system and prevent the increasing concentration of wealth.


 I completely agree. The problem is that with money, you can produce more
 money in two ways, 

Re: [4DWorldx] Is mass mental or physical ?

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 12:44 PM, John Mikes wrote:


This is why my agnosticism is based on: The only thing we know is We Don't.


Do we really know that??  :-)

Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 1:06 PM, John Mikes wrote:

Bruno and Brent:

*_Who are you to  T E L L  society what it needs?_*
(BTW: I agree perfectly with your position).

I had discussions on other lists in aspects of religion and gun-control and received 
similar offensive repercussions. No universal machine can tell any other universal 
machine how to think and what to aim at. Voting is a lying hoax, democracy is 
nonetxistent. A handful people of goodwill will not change the malicious crowd.
When I abhor shooting to kill people, it does not prove wrong those crazies who like to 
do it - just marks a difference of opinions.

TELLING society what it needs is fascism, socialism, or religion.


What about telling society what it needs to survive?  Are you telling me fascism, 
socialism, and religion are bad?


Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread John Mikes
Brent wrote:

What about telling society what it needs to survive?  Are you telling me
fascism, socialism, and religion are bad?
 (earlier):
Society needs to do something to stabilize the system and prevent the
increasing concentration of wealth.

The 3 belief systems I mentioned are bad - *IN MY OPINION.*
This last remark is what I missed in your statement as well.
Besides: I did not include the 3 systems' names as some qualifying
statement: just referred to their activity as in intruding into peoples'
private beliefs.
John





On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 4:12 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/10/2013 1:06 PM, John Mikes wrote:

 Bruno and Brent:

 *Who are you to  T E L L  society what it needs?*
  (BTW: I agree perfectly with your position).

  I had discussions on other lists in aspects of religion and gun-control
 and received similar offensive repercussions. No universal machine can tell
 any other universal machine how to think and what to aim at. Voting is a
 lying hoax, democracy is nonetxistent. A handful people of goodwill will
 not change the malicious crowd.
 When I abhor shooting to kill people, it does not prove wrong those
 crazies who like to do it - just marks a difference of opinions.
 TELLING society what it needs is fascism, socialism, or religion.


 What about telling society what it needs to survive?  Are you telling me
 fascism, socialism, and religion are bad?

 Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Telmo Menezes
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:05 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:
 On 11/10/2013 12:29 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

 As I said before, I am agnostic on this issue for the following reasons:

 - I am not educated in climate science and I am sufficiently educated
 in science to understand that it would take years of full-time effort
 to get to a point where I could judge the merit of climate science
 research findings by myself -- even there I would probably have to
 become an insider, because I understand that a lot of key data is
 never made publicly available;
 - I am sufficiently knowledgable of complex systems to be skeptical of
 the predictive power of any complex systems model at our current level
 of sophistication;
 - The issue became so heavily politicised that it is basically not
 reasonable to trust news reporting on either side of it.

 I am aware of the 5th IPCC report and I am also aware of claims by
 reputable climate scientists that the models' predictions appear to be
 deviating increasingly from the observables:

 http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/30/implications-for-climate-models-of-their-disagreement-with-observations/


 Are you aware that Judith Curry was on the Berkley Earth team to resolve the
 question of whether the earth is actually warming.  She and Richard Muller
 had been critical of the analyses performed by NOAA, Hadley, CRU, and GISS.
 When the new analysis, which met all the past criticisms, confirmed all the
 previous conclusions, she quit the team and shifted her criticism from it's
 not happening to it's not predictable.  Notice that means it could be a
 lot worse than predicted too - but the Deniers and FUDers never mention
 that.

I've been around long enough to know that she could possibly describe
the same sequence of events in a way that makes her look good and her
opponents bad. I am more interested in the graphs.

 I am not invested in disproving global warming. I like to think I am
 scientifically-minded, so I accept reality whatever it is. I hope it
 is wrong. I suspect some people want it to be true.


 Yes, you're the perfect example of the success of the Deniers FUD campaign.

Maybe, but I would be more confident that I was witnessing a serious
scientific debate if people were not using terms like Deniers and
FUD campaign.

 98% of all climate scientists agree that AGW is happening and it will have
 bad consequences.

This is a badly disguised argument from authority. It's precisely
phrases like 98% of all climate scientists... that triggered my BS
alarms in this issue.

  But you're aware of skeptical scientists, like Judith
 Curry (who are given TV time on Faux News), so it's a toss-up.  It's been
 heavily politicized - by money from the fossil fuel companies - so no news
 can be trusted.  You're not expert enough to read the scientific literature
 - so you're agnostic.

This may be the case.

 You *suspect* some people want it to be true???

Well I'm almost sure.

 In other words you suspect
 some academics of wanting to trash the world economy for vague, unexpressed
 personal reasons.

I wasn't referring to the academics, nor suggesting wrong-doings. Some
people strongly dislike capitalism and take pleasure in the
possibility that it could be destructive for the environment. There's
a sort of moral reward for them in that. Notice that I'm not saying
that they are wrong. They could be right. I am saying that they may be
biased.

 But you don't suspect the Koch brothers, Exxon, BP, Faux
 News, the Discovery Institute, the MacArthur Foundation, and a host of
 right-wing think tanks of wanting it to be false AND paying a lot of PR
 firms to obfuscate the issue.

Of course I suspect that too. In fact I'm essentially sure that they
are doing all that. But this doesn't mean that the global warming
models are correct.

Telmo.

 Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 2:19 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:05 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 11/10/2013 12:29 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

As I said before, I am agnostic on this issue for the following reasons:

- I am not educated in climate science and I am sufficiently educated
in science to understand that it would take years of full-time effort
to get to a point where I could judge the merit of climate science
research findings by myself -- even there I would probably have to
become an insider, because I understand that a lot of key data is
never made publicly available;
- I am sufficiently knowledgable of complex systems to be skeptical of
the predictive power of any complex systems model at our current level
of sophistication;
- The issue became so heavily politicised that it is basically not
reasonable to trust news reporting on either side of it.

I am aware of the 5th IPCC report and I am also aware of claims by
reputable climate scientists that the models' predictions appear to be
deviating increasingly from the observables:

http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/30/implications-for-climate-models-of-their-disagreement-with-observations/


Are you aware that Judith Curry was on the Berkley Earth team to resolve the
question of whether the earth is actually warming.  She and Richard Muller
had been critical of the analyses performed by NOAA, Hadley, CRU, and GISS.
When the new analysis, which met all the past criticisms, confirmed all the
previous conclusions, she quit the team and shifted her criticism from it's
not happening to it's not predictable.  Notice that means it could be a
lot worse than predicted too - but the Deniers and FUDers never mention
that.

I've been around long enough to know that she could possibly describe
the same sequence of events in a way that makes her look good and her
opponents bad. I am more interested in the graphs.


Then look at these:

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2013/02/2012-updates-to-model-observation-comparions/




I am not invested in disproving global warming. I like to think I am
scientifically-minded, so I accept reality whatever it is. I hope it
is wrong. I suspect some people want it to be true.


Yes, you're the perfect example of the success of the Deniers FUD campaign.

Maybe, but I would be more confident that I was witnessing a serious
scientific debate if people were not using terms like Deniers and
FUD campaign.


But that's exactly the point.  You are NOT witnessing a serious scientific debate.  
There's ZERO serious science on the side of Deniers.  They are like anti-evolutionist.  
All they do is look for some small anomaly (like a prediction that was off) and say, What 
about THAT?.  You are witnessing a disinformation campaign - and the cui bono is pretty 
obvious.





98% of all climate scientists agree that AGW is happening and it will have
bad consequences.

This is a badly disguised argument from authority. It's precisely
phrases like 98% of all climate scientists... that triggered my BS
alarms in this issue.


Since you said you didn't feel up to understanding the science what are you going to rely 
on?  Talking heads on Faux News or the IPCC?





  But you're aware of skeptical scientists, like Judith
Curry (who are given TV time on Faux News), so it's a toss-up.  It's been
heavily politicized - by money from the fossil fuel companies - so no news
can be trusted.  You're not expert enough to read the scientific literature
- so you're agnostic.

This may be the case.


You *suspect* some people want it to be true???

Well I'm almost sure.


In other words you suspect
some academics of wanting to trash the world economy for vague, unexpressed
personal reasons.

I wasn't referring to the academics, nor suggesting wrong-doings. Some
people strongly dislike capitalism and take pleasure in the
possibility that it could be destructive for the environment. There's
a sort of moral reward for them in that. Notice that I'm not saying
that they are wrong. They could be right. I am saying that they may be
biased.


Since they are not the ones publishing studies and analyses what does their opinion have 
to do with anything?  Your implication was that the warnings about AGW were falsely 
motivated.  What difference does it make if Joe Sixpack is biased (and you can bet he's 
not biased in favor of high fuel prices)?





But you don't suspect the Koch brothers, Exxon, BP, Faux
News, the Discovery Institute, the MacArthur Foundation, and a host of
right-wing think tanks of wanting it to be false AND paying a lot of PR
firms to obfuscate the issue.

Of course I suspect that too. In fact I'm essentially sure that they
are doing all that. But this doesn't mean that the global warming
models are correct.


Yet you're willing to suspect the IPCC report by scientists is phony because some 
anti-capitalists believe it???  Seems to me that you're biased because you think that if 
AGW is serious it will require 

Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread Quentin Anciaux
2013/11/10 meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net

  On 11/9/2013 11:37 PM, LizR wrote:

  On 10 November 2013 08:13, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/9/2013 1:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

 Tegmark thinks he will survive, if the gun works sufficiently well. if
 not he might degrade and eventually ... die. This makes no sense to me. It
 is annoying, but we can degrade a lot, yet we can't die (with just comp,
 or, ITSM, with just the quantum MWI). With comp, we can expect jump, and
 consciousness phase transition, though.


  Aside from not finding myself the oldest person on the planet, I see a
 problem with quantum immortality in that quantum mechanics is time-reverse
 invariant.  So I should be 'past immortal' also.  But as Mark Twain said, I
 do not fear death, in view of the fact that I had been dead for billions
 and billions of years before I was born, and had not suffered the slightest
 inconvenience from it.  If we are what our brains do it is easy to see why
 we should live from past (low entropy) to future (higher entropy), be born
 and die.

  Leaving aside time reversibility (which I am myself rather hot on) for
 a moment, if you're quantum immortal you can only expect to *eventually*find 
 yourself the oldest person. Give it time. You have to go through the
 bit beforehand beforehand...


 True, but finding yourself in the first 1/N of your life when N=inf is
 highly unlikely.


Sure, but the thing is that *you have to*, and asking such question at that
stage is very likely... you can't be 10⁵ years old before having been 1
year old... it's simply nonsense.

Quentin


 Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Richard Ruquist
Richard Lindzen from MIT is a serious academic scientist who has some
reservations about the IPCC reports
and is often labeled as a denier. I put my faith in his research. From
wiki-Lindzen:

Lindzen has expressed his concern over the validity of computer
modelshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_model used
to predict future climate change. Lindzen said that predicted warming may
be overestimated because of inadequate handling of the climate system's water
vapor feedback http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_vapor_feedback. The
feedback due to water vapor is a major factor in determining how much
warming would be expected to occur with increased atmospheric
concentrations of carbon dioxidehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide.
Lindzen said that the water vapor feedback could act to nullify future
warming.[2]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-stevenswnyt-2
This
claim has been sharply
criticised.[45]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-47
Contrary
to the IPCC's 
assessmenthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPCC_Third_Assessment_Report,
Lindzen said that climate models are inadequate. Despite accepted errors in
their models, e.g., treatment of clouds http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud,
modelers still thought their climate predictions were
valid.[46]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-guterlfnewsweek-48
Lindzen
has stated that due to the non-linear effects of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere, CO2 levels are now around 30% higher than pre-industrial levels
but temperatures have responded by about 75% 0.6 °C (1.08 °F) of the
expected value for a doubling of CO2. The IPCC (2007) estimates that the
expected rise in temperature due to a doubling of CO2 to be about 3 °C
(5.4 °F), ± 1.5°. Lindzen has given estimates of the Earth's climate
sensitivity to be 0.5°C based on ERBE
data.[47]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-erbe-49These
estimates have been criticized by other
researchers.[48]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-50
Lindzen
addressed these criticisms in a 2011 paper, still showing the models
exaggerating climate
sensitivity.[49]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-51


On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 6:04 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 On 11/10/2013 2:19 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:05 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 On 11/10/2013 12:29 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

 As I said before, I am agnostic on this issue for the following reasons:

 - I am not educated in climate science and I am sufficiently educated
 in science to understand that it would take years of full-time effort
 to get to a point where I could judge the merit of climate science
 research findings by myself -- even there I would probably have to
 become an insider, because I understand that a lot of key data is
 never made publicly available;
 - I am sufficiently knowledgable of complex systems to be skeptical of
 the predictive power of any complex systems model at our current level
 of sophistication;
 - The issue became so heavily politicised that it is basically not
 reasonable to trust news reporting on either side of it.

 I am aware of the 5th IPCC report and I am also aware of claims by
 reputable climate scientists that the models' predictions appear to be
 deviating increasingly from the observables:

 http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/30/implications-for-
 climate-models-of-their-disagreement-with-observations/


 Are you aware that Judith Curry was on the Berkley Earth team to resolve
 the
 question of whether the earth is actually warming.  She and Richard
 Muller
 had been critical of the analyses performed by NOAA, Hadley, CRU, and
 GISS.
 When the new analysis, which met all the past criticisms, confirmed all
 the
 previous conclusions, she quit the team and shifted her criticism from
 it's
 not happening to it's not predictable.  Notice that means it could be
 a
 lot worse than predicted too - but the Deniers and FUDers never mention
 that.

 I've been around long enough to know that she could possibly describe
 the same sequence of events in a way that makes her look good and her
 opponents bad. I am more interested in the graphs.


 Then look at these:

 http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2013/02/
 2012-updates-to-model-observation-comparions/



  I am not invested in disproving global warming. I like to think I am
 scientifically-minded, so I accept reality whatever it is. I hope it
 is wrong. I suspect some people want it to be true.


 Yes, you're the perfect example of the success of the Deniers FUD
 campaign.

 Maybe, but I would be more confident that I was witnessing a serious
 scientific debate if people were not using terms like Deniers and
 FUD campaign.


 But that's exactly the point.  You are NOT witnessing a serious scientific
 debate.  There's ZERO serious science on the side of Deniers.  They are
 like anti-evolutionist.  All they do is look for some 

Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

Cool, I didn't bother to look it up, but rather remembered San Onofre. Whatever 
you want for solar, and if  it cannot supply replacement electricity 
sufficiently, and you still shutdown the dirty sources, anyway, people will die.


-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:21 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World



 
 
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 11:08 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World
 

One example might be the San Onofre plant in California, near San Diego. It's a 
uranium burner, and supplies 90% of the electricity, about 85% of the time. But 
let us look at your sun and wind power contribution that you mentioned before. 
40 GW, which I am assuming, is GW's per kilowatt hour, rather than a day, a 
week, etc? Lets say, its not inconsiderable (40 x 1000 MW plants) but its also 
not reliable when the sun don't shine, the winds don't blow. Do you expect 
these clean sources to fully replace the dirty one's in ten years, twenty 
years, five years, thirty? When can we turn of these poisonous electricity 
sources that we have come to rely on? Do you advocate shutting these suckers 
down, before the solar and wind supplied power is fully, implemented? 
 
The San Onofre nuclear power plant has been decommissioned – it is past its 
service life and now many more billions of dollars are going to be need to be 
spent over decades of time in order to decommission this facility – (it was 
very intelligently sited on an earthquake fault line by the way) Cost estimates 
for permanently closing and decommissioning San Onofre are over $4 billion. 
“The plant's first unit, Unit 1, operated from 1968 to 1992.[5] Unit 2 was 
started in 1983 and Unit 3 started in 1984. Upgrades designed to last 20 years 
were made to the reactor units in 2009 and 2010; however, both reactors had to 
be shut down in January 2012 due to premature wear found on over 3,000 tubes in 
the recently replaced steam generators.” 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Onofre_Nuclear_Generating_Station
The actual answer to your question then is that the San Onofre power plants are 
supplying 0% of the San Diego electric energy market with electric power.  You 
might want to pick a better example to make your case. LOL
 
 

-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 1:51 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World


Name me one large city that gets its power 100% exclusively from coal or from 
nuclear? You can’t because all major energy markets are fed by a mix of energy 
generation capacity. Yet you keep on with this straw man argument. Why?

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:14 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 


I would say you are incorrect concerning cities which rely on one primary power 
source, especially, if its local or regional. Power by wire, is common 
practice, but first we must have sufficient spinning, or ready reserve. My 
objection is now the source of power, but if it produce enough power at an 
affordable cost? Your solar and wind may, 17 years from now, do the job that 
gas turbines, or nukes, or coal, or hydroelectric does right now. Right now, 
today 40 GW (is that Gigawatt hours or days?) is no more then a trifling amount 
of what is needed by the human species. I object to governments switching off 
power, when no sufficient substitute now exists. Many greens are fine with 
rolling blackouts and brownouts because at least whatever power is produced is 
environmentally benign. I suspect that when people start doing a die-off, the 
Greens will state: Oh, then would've died anyway from pollution, 
contamination, and a ruined environment..


-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:44 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World



On 11/9/2013 4:53 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:


Your basically saying I am wrong for no contestable reason, you have no city in 
the world to cite to me that is powered by solar power or wind, for that 
matter, 



And there are none powered exclusively by hydroelectric power either.  It's a 
completely specious critereon that you cite as though it meant something.  
Because B cannot now completely satisfy all demand for X currently supplied by 
A doesn't make B useless, nor does it make A desirable or necessary.

Brent


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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

Ok, but this is a technique for priming the intellectual pump. If it produces 
nothing good, nothing powerful, then this method would be a complete failure. 


-Original Message-
From: Bruno Marchal marc...@ulb.ac.be
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:49 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World




On 09 Nov 2013, at 19:09, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:


 
I am emphasizing having governments print out (Keynes style) absolutely, 
colossal, amounts of cash, as a reward for coming up with excellent disease 
treatments and cures, human solar system tours, and clean energy solution, 
environmental remediation. If the banks won't fund researchers, then private 
equity will, if private equity won't then a million contributors-open 
source-will, provided they get a cut of the reward offered by a government 
prize. I wouldn't be shocked if you, Professor, Marchal, might summon up 25 
ECU's in exchange for receiving 3000 ECU's or Golden Yuans, in payment, 5 years 
later.  





Only if this reflects some honest contracts.


Honesty is not just moral, it is something which elevates a lot the real 
value of money. It generates trust. 


Be honest. 
If you don't try to be honest for the calm of your conscience, do it for the 
wealth of your children.


Today big corporations are based on lies. That's the problem.


Bruno







 
http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



 



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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread spudboy100

I am not wedded to unworkable ideas, all I maintain, is before we switch off 
the dirty energy, we must be assured that the clean stuff produces enough watts.


-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:33 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World



Who knows -- you may be interested in a Dutch idea to build an energy island in 
the North sea by diking around an area of sea then using periods of surplus 
wind power generation form the north sea offshore wind farms (of which there 
are quite a few now) to pump water out from inside of the diked off area 
lowering the water levels inside with respect to the sea level outside. 
Creating a reservoir of pumped storage that could be drawn down when supplies 
did not meet demand.
Large scale pumped storage is by far the largest form of electric energy 
storage that currently exists and there are some interesting projects coming on 
line now – such as the Eagle Crest project in the deserts of Southern 
California which will provide 1300 MW of dispatchable power onto the grid and 
which pairs perfectly with the wind and solar generation facilities that are 
sited in that region. 
Chris
 
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 11:19 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World
 

I used to be a fan of Amory Lovins too but am concerned that better 
efficiencies might not get us across the bridge to Solar City. Lovin's  Kevlar 
cars never took off, for one reason, is because they were so light that strong 
winds would guide them off the test track. If we weigh them down to be highway 
ready, there goes the mileage. New materials might do the trick 
architecturally, as you stated. 

 

I am personally sort of obsessed with the idea of using pumped storage at sea 
(probably costly) using wind power, ocean current to pump uphill, vast, amounts 
of sea water into synthetic reservoirs, and then get hydro-electric juice 
flowing for days or weeks from these structures. But, the efficiencies of 
moving tons of sea water uphill, may just suck at producing electricity? An 
energy sink is no energy source.

-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:08 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

Seriously increasing our energy efficiency is key to building a bridge to a
living future. One thing this whole discussion is overlooking -- focused as
it is, on electric energy supply (a fraction of total energy supply and
demand) -- is the low hanging fruit of increasing energy efficiency. There
is so much room for improvement in the efficiency with which we use energy.
In transportation of course, but especially in heating and cooling and
lighting our societies built spaces -- both commercial, industrial 
residential. 
Building heating, cooling  lighting accounts for the lion's share of all
energy use (usually measured in units of Quads --  quadrillion Btus); in
fact this area amounts to almost half of all energy use (around 40% -- if I
recall the percentage figure). A country like the USA could use half as much
energy as it currently does -- if it did so more efficiently -- and still
enjoy the same level of heating, cooling, lighting and mobility as we are
currently enjoying.
Trying to increase supplies -- or shift to renewable supplies -- makes
little sense if not also paired with a serious attempt at ramping up energy
efficiency. Just simple acts insulating ceilings, floors and walls; like
caulking cracks around windows etc. and closing up these many tiny air leaks
from buildings, or replacing single pane windows with double or triple pane
windows; or using energy efficient lighting can have major impacts in
reducing energy requirements. So much of our built space is really crappy in
terms of energy efficiency and lighting and the carbon impact of an
aggressive national effort at ramping up energy efficiency would be larger
than any other single thing we could do.
This is not sexy stuff, it is rather low tech, but it does generate a lot of
local jobs and provides almost immediate relief from high energy bills.
Chris
 
-Original Message-
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of meekerdb
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:52 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World
 
On 11/10/2013 1:26 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:
 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:12 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 10 November 2013 21:40, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com wrote:
 
 Look, I hope global warming is not that serious, because if it is, 
 it's game over. Big government is most definitely not going to solve 
 it. I think you know this too. There isn't a magical 

Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 3:54 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:




2013/11/10 meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net mailto:meeke...@verizon.net

On 11/9/2013 11:37 PM, LizR wrote:

On 10 November 2013 08:13, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
mailto:meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 11/9/2013 1:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

Tegmark thinks he will survive, if the gun works sufficiently well. if 
not he
might degrade and eventually ... die. This makes no sense to me. It is
annoying, but we can degrade a lot, yet we can't die (with just comp, 
or,
ITSM, with just the quantum MWI). With comp, we can expect jump, and
consciousness phase transition, though. 


Aside from not finding myself the oldest person on the planet, I see a 
problem
with quantum immortality in that quantum mechanics is time-reverse invariant. 
So I should be 'past immortal' also.  But as Mark Twain said, I do not fear

death, in view of the fact that I had been dead for billions and 
billions of
years before I was born, and had not suffered the slightest 
inconvenience from
it.  If we are what our brains do it is easy to see why we should live 
from
past (low entropy) to future (higher entropy), be born and die.

Leaving aside time reversibility (which I am myself rather hot on) for a 
moment, if
you're quantum immortal you can only expect to /eventually/ find yourself 
the
oldest person. Give it time. You have to go through the bit beforehand 
beforehand...


True, but finding yourself in the first 1/N of your life when N=inf is 
highly unlikely.


Sure, but the thing is that *you have to*, and asking such question at that stage is 
very likely... you can't be 10⁵ years old before having been 1 year old... it's simply 
nonsense.


So you're falling back on the all-purpose 'everything' answer; whatever you observe is one 
of everything and that why everything is consistent with it - like why I'm not a Chinaman?


Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 4:21 PM, Richard Ruquist wrote:
Richard Lindzen from MIT is a serious academic scientist who has some reservations about 
the IPCC reports

and is often labeled as a denier. I put my faith in his research.


I hope you didn't also put your faith in those doctors who had reservations as to whether 
smoking causes lung cancer?


Brent

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Richard Ruquist
You comment does not merit a response.


On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 7:58 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/10/2013 4:21 PM, Richard Ruquist wrote:

 Richard Lindzen from MIT is a serious academic scientist who has some
 reservations about the IPCC reports
 and is often labeled as a denier. I put my faith in his research.


 I hope you didn't also put your faith in those doctors who had
 reservations as to whether smoking causes lung cancer?

 Brent

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RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Chris de Morsella
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 4:24 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

Cool, I didn't bother to look it up, but rather remembered San Onofre.
Whatever you want for solar, and if  it cannot supply replacement
electricity sufficiently, and you still shutdown the dirty sources, anyway,
people will die.

 

Explain exactly how people will die? Curious to see how your thinking works
to make you state this as if it were a fact.

 

-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 2:21 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com
mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com? ] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 11:08 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

One example might be the San Onofre plant in California, near San Diego.
It's a uranium burner, and supplies 90% of the electricity, about 85% of the
time. But let us look at your sun and wind power contribution that you
mentioned before. 40 GW, which I am assuming, is GW's per kilowatt hour,
rather than a day, a week, etc? Lets say, its not inconsiderable (40 x 1000
MW plants) but its also not reliable when the sun don't shine, the winds
don't blow. Do you expect these clean sources to fully replace the dirty
one's in ten years, twenty years, five years, thirty? When can we turn of
these poisonous electricity sources that we have come to rely on? Do you
advocate shutting these suckers down, before the solar and wind supplied
power is fully, implemented? 

 

The San Onofre nuclear power plant has been decommissioned - it is past its
service life and now many more billions of dollars are going to be need to
be spent over decades of time in order to decommission this facility - (it
was very intelligently sited on an earthquake fault line by the way) Cost
estimates for permanently closing and decommissioning San Onofre are over $4
billion. 

The plant's first unit, Unit 1, operated from 1968 to 1992.[5]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Onofre_Nuclear_Generating_Station#cite_not
e-5  Unit 2 was started in 1983 and Unit 3 started in 1984. Upgrades
designed to last 20 years were made to the reactor units in 2009 and 2010;
however, both reactors had to be shut down in January 2012 due to premature
wear found on over 3,000 tubes in the recently replaced steam generators.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Onofre_Nuclear_Generating_Station

The actual answer to your question then is that the San Onofre power plants
are supplying 0% of the San Diego electric energy market with electric
power.  You might want to pick a better example to make your case. LOL

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Chris de Morsella cdemorse...@yahoo.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Nov 10, 2013 1:51 pm
Subject: RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

Name me one large city that gets its power 100% exclusively from coal or
from nuclear? You can't because all major energy markets are fed by a mix of
energy generation capacity. Yet you keep on with this straw man argument.
Why?

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com
mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com? ] On Behalf Of spudboy...@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 10:14 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

I would say you are incorrect concerning cities which rely on one primary
power source, especially, if its local or regional. Power by wire, is common
practice, but first we must have sufficient spinning, or ready reserve. My
objection is now the source of power, but if it produce enough power at an
affordable cost? Your solar and wind may, 17 years from now, do the job that
gas turbines, or nukes, or coal, or hydroelectric does right now. Right now,
today 40 GW (is that Gigawatt hours or days?) is no more then a trifling
amount of what is needed by the human species. I object to governments
switching off power, when no sufficient substitute now exists. Many greens
are fine with rolling blackouts and brownouts because at least whatever
power is produced is environmentally benign. I suspect that when people
start doing a die-off, the Greens will state: Oh, then would've died anyway
from pollution, contamination, and a ruined environment..

-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Nov 9, 2013 11:44 pm
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

On 11/9/2013 4:53 PM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Your basically saying I am wrong for no contestable reason, you have no city
in the world to cite to me that is powered by solar power or wind, for 

Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 4:21 PM, Richard Ruquist wrote:
Richard Lindzen from MIT is a serious academic scientist who has some reservations about 
the IPCC reports

and is often labeled as a denier. I put my faith in his research. From 
wiki-Lindzen:

Lindzen has expressed his concern over the validity of computer models 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_model used to predict future climate change. 
Lindzen said that predicted warming may be overestimated because of inadequate handling 
of the climate system's water vapor feedback 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_vapor_feedback. The feedback due to water vapor is 
a major factor in determining how much warming would be expected to occur with increased 
atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide. Lindzen said that the water vapor 
feedback could act to nullify future warming.^[2] 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-stevenswnyt-2


Except all the theory and data says that water vapor is a positive feedback - which is why 
his theory is sharply criticized.  It's just speculative, They might be wrong stuff.


Dessler's paper (Science, Vol. 330., 
http://geotest.tamu.edu/userfiles/216/dessler10b.pdf) focused on quantifying the cloud 
feedback. Using the ENSO to study changing cloud patterns during climatic variability, he 
found that the feedback is likely positive, consistent with the feedback that climate 
models yield.


Lindzen is not a climate scientist, although he's a professor of meteorology.  He's 
notorious for making misleading insinuations about global warming, e.g.


This is sufficient to conclude that Lindzen did indeed make the mistake of confusing 
his temperature indices, though a more accurate replication would need some playing around 
since the exact data that Lindzen used is obscure.


Thus, instead of correctly attributing the difference to the different methods and 
source data, he has jumped to the conclusion that GISS is manipulating the data 
inappropriately. At the very minimum, this is extremely careless, and given the gravity of 
the insinuation, seriously irresponsible. There are indeed issues with producing climate 
data records going back in time, but nothing here is remotely relevant to the actual issues.


Such a cavalier attitude to analysing and presenting data probably has some lessons 
for how seriously one should take Lindzen's comments. I anticipate with interest Lindzen's 
corrections of this in future presentations and his apology for misleading his audience 
last month.


http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/03/misrepresentation-from-lindzen/;

Brent

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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Jason Resch
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 12:57 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  I'm going to teach a public class on QM and when I saw this email I
 thought Great! I'll just steal Jason's stuff.  And I liked the first part.


Thanks.  Let me know if you would like the powerpoint slides.



   But at the end you leave out decoherence


If you have suggestions for how I could explain it simply I would be glad
to try and enhance the primer with some information on decoherence.


 and leave the impression that it is the mind that produces the classical
 appearance.  That would REALY confuse'm.


How do you suggest I make it more clear what is responsible for classical
appearances?

Thanks,

Jason




 Brent


 On 11/10/2013 1:49 AM, Jason Resch wrote:

   All,

  I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of explaining
 something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding of a given
 subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it might help
 anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer regarding it.

  Jason
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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Richard Ruquist
http://heartland.org/policy-documents/wikipedia-bans-real-climate-propagandist


On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 8:25 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/10/2013 4:21 PM, Richard Ruquist wrote:

 Richard Lindzen from MIT is a serious academic scientist who has some
 reservations about the IPCC reports
 and is often labeled as a denier. I put my faith in his research. From
 wiki-Lindzen:

  Lindzen has expressed his concern over the validity of computer 
 modelshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_model used
 to predict future climate change. Lindzen said that predicted warming may
 be overestimated because of inadequate handling of the climate system's water
 vapor feedback http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_vapor_feedback. The
 feedback due to water vapor is a major factor in determining how much
 warming would be expected to occur with increased atmospheric
 concentrations of carbon dioxidehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide.
 Lindzen said that the water vapor feedback could act to nullify future
 warming.[2]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Lindzen#cite_note-stevenswnyt-2


 Except all the theory and data says that water vapor is a positive
 feedback - which is why his theory is sharply criticized.  It's just
 speculative, They might be wrong stuff.

 Dessler’s paper (Science, Vol. 330.,
 http://geotest.tamu.edu/userfiles/216/dessler10b.pdf) focused on
 quantifying the cloud feedback. Using the ENSO to study changing cloud
 patterns during climatic variability, he found that the feedback is likely
 positive, consistent with the feedback that climate models yield.

 Lindzen is not a climate scientist, although he's a professor of
 meteorology.  He's notorious for making misleading insinuations about
 global warming, e.g.

 This is sufficient to conclude that Lindzen did indeed make the
 mistake of confusing his temperature indices, though a more accurate
 replication would need some playing around since the exact data that
 Lindzen used is obscure.

 Thus, instead of correctly attributing the difference to the different
 methods and source data, he has jumped to the conclusion that GISS is
 manipulating the data inappropriately. At the very minimum, this is
 extremely careless, and given the gravity of the insinuation, seriously
 irresponsible. There are indeed issues with producing climate data records
 going back in time, but nothing here is remotely relevant to the actual
 issues.

 Such a cavalier attitude to analysing and presenting data probably has
 some lessons for how seriously one should take Lindzen’s comments. I
 anticipate with interest Lindzen’s corrections of this in future
 presentations and his apology for misleading his audience last month.


 http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/03/misrepresentation-from-lindzen/
 

 Brent

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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Jason Resch
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 1:16 PM, Craig Weinberg whatsons...@gmail.comwrote:

 Thanks for uploading it, great job!

 Here's what I propose to re-interpret QM:

 http://multisenserealism.files.wordpress.com/2013/11/instant_eternal.jpg

 Beams exist only within the experience of the various participants, not as
 literal beams across a vacuum. There are no literal waves or particles.
 What is happening is that the stimulated physical components are arranged
 to reflect their stimulation to each other, which occurs in a physical
 frame of time that is essentially timeless.


I believe in a four-dimensional existence (timeless physics).


 The physical layer, I am saying is the most primitive layer of experience,
 within which space and time divergence is generated. Light does not happen
 in spacetime, spacetime happens in experience (which is light, or any other
 sensation).


Is this like describing a type of idealism then? (
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subjective_idealism )


 On the right hand side, the topological layers of sensitivity slow down
 the instant and recapitulate larger and larger chunks of eternity into each
 frame of awareness.


How does some particle carry all that information of its entire history?
Aren't particles of the same kind practically (if not theoretically)
indistinguishable?  Perhaps in QM the multiple values a particle's property
can take on represent an ever growing collection of information that can be
associated with that particle?


 I tried to show how the footprint of the inanimate objects extends all the
 way down to the bottom, but remains indifferent to the spatiotemporal
 strata on the right hand side. Not the best diagram, I admit, but maybe
 gives some sense of the model I suggest.


It took me a few times re-reading what you wrote but I think I can
interpret some of what you are saying.

Jason




 On Sunday, November 10, 2013 4:49:00 AM UTC-5, Jason wrote:

 All,

 I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of explaining
 something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding of a given
 subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it might help
 anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer regarding it.

 Jason

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Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread LizR
On 11 November 2013 13:53, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/10/2013 3:54 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


  Sure, but the thing is that *you have to*, and asking such question at
 that stage is very likely... you can't be 10⁵ years old before having been
 1 year old... it's simply nonsense.


 So you're falling back on the all-purpose 'everything' answer; whatever
 you observe is one of everything and that why everything is consistent with
 it - like why I'm not a Chinaman?

 There isn't any falling back here that I can see. It seems quite
reasonable to say you have to pass through your birthdays in ascending
order. I can't see why that is problematic / contraversial?

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Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread LizR
I have looked into quite a few climate change deniers in detail, but life
is too short to show where every single one of them is cherry pickling or
misinterpretting data, and ultimately I feel justified in believing the
99.7% consensus of climate scientists on this one.

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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Craig Weinberg


On Sunday, November 10, 2013 8:42:34 PM UTC-5, Jason wrote:




 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 1:16 PM, Craig Weinberg 
 whats...@gmail.comjavascript:
  wrote:

 Thanks for uploading it, great job!

 Here's what I propose to re-interpret QM:

 http://multisenserealism.files.wordpress.com/2013/11/instant_eternal.jpg

 Beams exist only within the experience of the various participants, not 
 as literal beams across a vacuum. There are no literal waves or particles. 
 What is happening is that the stimulated physical components are arranged 
 to reflect their stimulation to each other, which occurs in a physical 
 frame of time that is essentially timeless.


 I believe in a four-dimensional existence (timeless physics).
  

  The physical layer, I am saying is the most primitive layer of 
 experience, within which space and time divergence is generated. Light does 
 not happen in spacetime, spacetime happens in experience (which is light, 
 or any other sensation).


 Is this like describing a type of idealism then? ( 
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subjective_idealism )


No, I call it pansensitivity or primordial identity pansensitivity. 
Idealism implies a subject and and intellect. Sensitivity is about 
interacting experiences.


 

 On the right hand side, the topological layers of sensitivity slow down 
 the instant and recapitulate larger and larger chunks of eternity into each 
 frame of awareness. 


 How does some particle carry all that information of its entire history?


A particle is an appearance. If I am a large-now experience looking as a 
relatively small-now experience, it looks like a particle to me, but 
actually that appearance is just a sideways glance at a history of 
small-now experiences. I was trying to use the topographic map to give a 
sense of this - particles like islands but with roots going all the way 
down. The particle doesn't carry information, its appearance embodies the 
significance which relates itself to whatever other experience is 
encountering it. The entire cosmos is history, which is masked and 
alienated according to the significance of our own history. This kind of 
modulation of sense among different experiences on different frames 
(small-now vs large-now) is what I call eigenmorphism. It's not a smooth 
hierarchy, as in, we see a sharp distinction between living organisms and 
minerals, because of what we are and what our history has been. The same 
distinction would not appear from the mineral's perceptual frame (whatever 
that is).
 

   Aren't particles of the same kind practically (if not theoretically) 
 indistinguishable?


To us, yes, but aren't we ultimately using instruments made of particles to 
detect them? 
 

   Perhaps in QM the multiple values a particle's property can take on 
 represent an ever growing collection of information that can be associated 
 with that particle?


Information access is a matter of sensitivity. The more perceptual frames 
we can access, the more of the future and the past might be exposed (when 
we tap into the larger nows externally).
 

  

 I tried to show how the footprint of the inanimate objects extends all 
 the way down to the bottom, but remains indifferent to the spatiotemporal 
 strata on the right hand side. Not the best diagram, I admit, but maybe 
 gives some sense of the model I suggest.


 It took me a few times re-reading what you wrote but I think I can 
 interpret some of what you are saying.


Cool. It really shouldn't be as opaque as I'm making it, it just comes out 
that way because I'm handicapped as far as putting it into a clear and 
simple explanation. Mainly it's that all of the 4-D physical histories meet 
in a transdimensional/transmeaureable hub (which is ordinary sense), so it 
is the histories themselves which are separated from each other by measure. 
If it were a giant porcupine, QM is looking at the tips of the quills and 
inferring a spacetime topology out there on the periphery. We see 
entanglement as the special case, but it would be sort of like *breaking 
the space off* between two quills so that they are automatically joined. 
It's a figure-ground reversal. Spacetime is nothing but insensitivity. The 
quills are experience, growing outward from the primordial identity. 
Decoherence then is really Disentanglement, and Emergence is Divergence.

Craig


 Jason
  



 On Sunday, November 10, 2013 4:49:00 AM UTC-5, Jason wrote:

 All,

 I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of 
 explaining something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding 
 of a given subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it 
 might help anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer 
 regarding it.

 Jason

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 You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
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 To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an 
 email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com javascript:.
 

Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Alberto G. Corona
I think that, since the forces of progress and human dignity lost Siberia
as the location for stablishing psychiatrics to reconduct deviated enemies
of the People, The North and South poles can well be used to make global
warming negationist to reconsider is position against Humanity and human
rights.

Don´t you think so, comrade Meekerdb?


2013/11/10 meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net

 On 11/9/2013 3:09 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

 On Sat, Nov 9, 2013 at 9:55 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 On 11/9/2013 9:37 AM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

 Brent, my analogy, however badly its thought-up, is to force the
 idealists
 to produce. My idea was to force the idealist back to painful reality and
 hard choices, rather then mentally living in La La land. Saying  Oh
 they're
 working on solar and soon..


 How about forcing the libertarians to painful reality.  They're going
 through the six stages of denial:

 1. There is no global warming.
 2. The science is uncertain.
 3. There's global warming but it's just a natural cycle.
 4. Global warming will really be good for us.
 5. It's too costly to stop global warming.
 6. Nothing can be done.

 Most of them I know are stuck around 3 or 4 now.  They're hoping to delay
 any action so they can get to 6.  Why?  Because they'd rather face
 extinction than admit there are some things that you need government to
 do.

 Brent,

 Out of curiosity: why do you care so much about what libertarians
 think? They are a small minority. I believe most are very much aware
 that big government is here to stay. Most people in the western world
 vote for some variation of a conservative or liberal party, both
 statist.

 Surely if you are right, and global warming is an existential threat,
 and government intervention is the only way to solve it, what
 libertarians think should be quite low in your list of concerns no?


 Except that they have a disproportionate voice in the public debate
 because their message is amplified by monied interests who depend on fossil
 fuel (e.g. the Koch brothers).  There was only a small number of lawyers,
 publicists, and scientists who claimed that:

 1. Smoking has nothing to do with lung cancer.
 2. There may be a relation but the science is uncertain.
 3. Lung cancer just occurs naturally.
 4. There are new, healthier cigarettes.
 5. It will hurt the economy to limit cigarettes.
 6. People should be free to smoke if they want to.

 and they delayed any government action against smoking for forty years.
  In fact some of them are *exactly* the same people hired to spread doubt
 about global warming.  To undertake big government action in a democracy
 you need a solid majority in the populace.  As long as libertarians and oil
 companies can sow doubt that's enough to prevent any action.


 Brent

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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Craig Weinberg


http://24.media.tumblr.com/81bb846756fd19a9561c4bceae885d3e/tumblr_mw2xreqAQl1qeenqko1_500.jpg
Another diagram, maybe better?



On Sunday, November 10, 2013 8:42:34 PM UTC-5, Jason wrote:




 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 1:16 PM, Craig Weinberg 
 whats...@gmail.comjavascript:
  wrote:

 Thanks for uploading it, great job!

 Here's what I propose to re-interpret QM:

 http://multisenserealism.files.wordpress.com/2013/11/instant_eternal.jpg

 Beams exist only within the experience of the various participants, not 
 as literal beams across a vacuum. There are no literal waves or particles. 
 What is happening is that the stimulated physical components are arranged 
 to reflect their stimulation to each other, which occurs in a physical 
 frame of time that is essentially timeless.


 I believe in a four-dimensional existence (timeless physics).
  

  The physical layer, I am saying is the most primitive layer of 
 experience, within which space and time divergence is generated. Light does 
 not happen in spacetime, spacetime happens in experience (which is light, 
 or any other sensation).


 Is this like describing a type of idealism then? ( 
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subjective_idealism )
  

 On the right hand side, the topological layers of sensitivity slow down 
 the instant and recapitulate larger and larger chunks of eternity into each 
 frame of awareness. 


 How does some particle carry all that information of its entire history?  
 Aren't particles of the same kind practically (if not theoretically) 
 indistinguishable?  Perhaps in QM the multiple values a particle's property 
 can take on represent an ever growing collection of information that can be 
 associated with that particle?
  

 I tried to show how the footprint of the inanimate objects extends all 
 the way down to the bottom, but remains indifferent to the spatiotemporal 
 strata on the right hand side. Not the best diagram, I admit, but maybe 
 gives some sense of the model I suggest.


 It took me a few times re-reading what you wrote but I think I can 
 interpret some of what you are saying.

 Jason
  



 On Sunday, November 10, 2013 4:49:00 AM UTC-5, Jason wrote:

 All,

 I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of 
 explaining something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding 
 of a given subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it 
 might help anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer 
 regarding it.

 Jason

  -- 
 You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
 Everything List group.
 To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an 
 email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com javascript:.
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 .
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RE: Our Demon-Haunted World

2013-11-10 Thread Chris de Morsella
When somebody doesn’t agree with you, do you then start insulting them?

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Alberto G. Corona 
Sent: Sunday, November 10, 2013 6:36 PM
To: everything-list
Subject: Re: Our Demon-Haunted World

 

I think that, since the forces of progress and human dignity lost Siberia as
the location for stablishing psychiatrics to reconduct deviated enemies of
the People, The North and South poles can well be used to make global
warming negationist to reconsider is position against Humanity and human
rights.

 

Don´t you think so, comrade Meekerdb?

 

2013/11/10 meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net

On 11/9/2013 3:09 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:

On Sat, Nov 9, 2013 at 9:55 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

On 11/9/2013 9:37 AM, spudboy...@aol.com wrote:

Brent, my analogy, however badly its thought-up, is to force the idealists
to produce. My idea was to force the idealist back to painful reality and
hard choices, rather then mentally living in La La land. Saying  Oh they're
working on solar and soon..



How about forcing the libertarians to painful reality.  They're going
through the six stages of denial:

1. There is no global warming.
2. The science is uncertain.
3. There's global warming but it's just a natural cycle.
4. Global warming will really be good for us.
5. It's too costly to stop global warming.
6. Nothing can be done.

Most of them I know are stuck around 3 or 4 now.  They're hoping to delay
any action so they can get to 6.  Why?  Because they'd rather face
extinction than admit there are some things that you need government to do.

Brent,

Out of curiosity: why do you care so much about what libertarians
think? They are a small minority. I believe most are very much aware
that big government is here to stay. Most people in the western world
vote for some variation of a conservative or liberal party, both
statist.

Surely if you are right, and global warming is an existential threat,
and government intervention is the only way to solve it, what
libertarians think should be quite low in your list of concerns no?


Except that they have a disproportionate voice in the public debate because
their message is amplified by monied interests who depend on fossil fuel
(e.g. the Koch brothers).  There was only a small number of lawyers,
publicists, and scientists who claimed that:

1. Smoking has nothing to do with lung cancer.
2. There may be a relation but the science is uncertain.
3. Lung cancer just occurs naturally.
4. There are new, healthier cigarettes.
5. It will hurt the economy to limit cigarettes.
6. People should be free to smoke if they want to.

and they delayed any government action against smoking for forty years.  In
fact some of them are *exactly* the same people hired to spread doubt about
global warming.  To undertake big government action in a democracy you need
a solid majority in the populace.  As long as libertarians and oil companies
can sow doubt that's enough to prevent any action.



Brent

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Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread Jason Resch
On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 1:48 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/10/2013 9:25 AM, Jason Resch wrote:




 On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 1:37 AM, LizR lizj...@gmail.com wrote:

   On 10 November 2013 08:13, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

  On 11/9/2013 1:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

 Tegmark thinks he will survive, if the gun works sufficiently well. if
 not he might degrade and eventually ... die. This makes no sense to me. It
 is annoying, but we can degrade a lot, yet we can't die (with just comp,
 or, ITSM, with just the quantum MWI). With comp, we can expect jump, and
 consciousness phase transition, though.


  Aside from not finding myself the oldest person on the planet, I see a
 problem with quantum immortality in that quantum mechanics is time-reverse
 invariant.  So I should be 'past immortal' also.  But as Mark Twain said, I
 do not fear death, in view of the fact that I had been dead for billions
 and billions of years before I was born, and had not suffered the slightest
 inconvenience from it.  If we are what our brains do it is easy to see why
 we should live from past (low entropy) to future (higher entropy), be born
 and die.

   Leaving aside time reversibility (which I am myself rather hot on)
 for a moment, if you're quantum immortal you can only expect to
 *eventually* find yourself the oldest person. Give it time. You have to
 go through the bit beforehand beforehand...


  Let's say the average life expectancy is a not infinite, but some very
 large number, like a google plex years.  If you were to draw a ball at
 random from an urn that had a googleplex balls in it, each with its unique
 number inscribed on it, would you be surprised if the number was less than
 100?

  That is found to be less than 100 is surprising to a lot of people who
 consider quantum immortality, but it shouldn't be for a few reasons.  One's
 statistical measure decreases over time.  This is easiest to see in the
 quantum suicide experiment, where each pull of the trigger cuts one's
 measure in half.  Imagine someone who did this every day of their life,
 their measure over time would be an infinite serious with a finite (not
 infinite) sum.  Just like 3.33 is a sum of an infinite number of
 numbers 3 + 0.3 + 0.003 ... nonetheless, it is still less than 4.  If one's
 measure diminishes geometrically as they live to ever increasingly absurd
 lifetimes 200 years, 300 years, 400 years, etc., then the same effect is
 the result, and we should not be surprised at drawing a number less than
 100.


 So when your measure becomes less than one bit or too small to support
 your experience - you're dead.



When it becomes small enough, then more probable extensions become more
likely.  I don't know if it can ever become zero, that would require some
experience which by its definition cannot have a following experience.
Even witnessing an atom bomb going off 1000 feet from you does not
necessarily count, because even that experience could continue as seen from
someone awaking from what turned out to be a simulation.





  The other reason we should not be surprised is that we have no idea how
 old we really are.  Let's say heaven is real and all people live eternally.
  Then probabilistically this moment you are experiencing now is infinitely
 more likely to be a moment of perfect recall of this moment of life on
 earth (from heaven) rather than your life as the first time you lived it.
  In other words, if heaven exists, then you are almost surely already in
 it.  Your age is some infinite number, and you have recalled this moment an
 infinite number of times.


 Nietzsche's eternal return.


Although not quite, for there may still be novel experience in such an
eternal life besides those that involve recall of the first life.  But
then, who is to say that this is the first or only life of that eternal
being?



 But is it heaven, or is it hell?


Good question.

Jason




 Brent
 Only through ignorance and delusion do men indulge in the
 dream that their souls are separate and self-existing
 entities. Their heart still clings to Self. They are anxious
 about heaven and they seek the pleasure of Self in heaven.
 Thus they cannot see the bliss of righteousness of the
 immortality of truth.' Selfish ideas appear in man's mind
 due to his conception of Self and craving for existence.
   --- Siddhartha Gautama



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Re: Spacetime is (nonphysical, platonic) mind

2013-11-10 Thread meekerdb

On 11/10/2013 5:59 PM, LizR wrote:
On 11 November 2013 13:53, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net mailto:meeke...@verizon.net 
wrote:


On 11/10/2013 3:54 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


Sure, but the thing is that *you have to*, and asking such question at that 
stage
is very likely... you can't be 10⁵ years old before having been 1 year 
old... it's
simply nonsense.


So you're falling back on the all-purpose 'everything' answer; whatever you 
observe
is one of everything and that why everything is consistent with it - like 
why I'm
not a Chinaman?

There isn't any falling back here that I can see. It seems quite reasonable to say you 
have to pass through your birthdays in ascending order. I can't see why that is 
problematic / contraversial?


Sure, but if I live infinitely long I will have almost all my experiences older than 75.  
So when I note that I'm not that old and that seems improbable, it's not an answer to say, 
Well, less than 75 is an age you must be sometime.  Jason at least had an answer, 
although I don't think his answer leads to immortality either.


Brent

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Re: QM Primer

2013-11-10 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 10 Nov 2013, at 18:36, Jason Resch wrote:


Telmo,

Thank you very much for that feedback; those are all good points and  
I will incorporate it into a new and improved version.


Do you think it would be clearer if instead of a block of wood I  
used a very small (but light absorbing object), like a dust mote, or  
a single atom, etc. (something that more intuitively could be moved  
by light?)


Perhaps I could built up with multiple levels, first the light hits  
an electron, which puts it into two states, and gives it two  
momentums, then the electron hits a phosphorescent screen, which  
puts it into multiple states of illumination, and then the person  
looking at the screeen is finally put into two states?



That would be nice I think.

One more remark, you seem to avoid formula, at all cost, including a(b 
+c) = ab+ ac. Of course I am a mathematician, and formula help them.  
I know some non mathematicians (and publishers) run away from any  
presence of formula, but it seems some simple one sum up so well what  
happend (cf one of Albert explanation of the interferometer ..).


Anyway, noce work!,

Bruno





Jason


On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 11:19 AM, Telmo Menezes te...@telmomenezes.com 
 wrote:

Thanks Jason, nice work!

A few comments:

- It's not obvious what's going on when the block of wood turns into
two. Even expecting the multiple outcomes, one does not intuitively
expect a beam of light to move a block of wood. I don't mind the
exaggeration but I suggest you make it explicit in the text and
indicate displacement in the figure somehow;

- Numbering figures would be a great improvement;

- You should sign your work!

Best,
Telmo.

On Sun, Nov 10, 2013 at 10:49 AM, Jason Resch jasonre...@gmail.com  
wrote:

 All,

 I've put together a primer on QM, as I think in the process of  
explaining
 something in simple terms can help improve one's understanding of  
a given
 subject.  I thought I would share it with this list in case it  
might help
 anyone else. I also welcome any feedback anyone has to offer  
regarding it.


 Jason

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