US vs Europe

1998-04-16 Thread PHILLPS

I don't know where Nathan Newman gets his Canadian political
information from, but his post exhibits a great ignorance of
Canadian politics, history and immigration experience.
Unfortunately, I don't have the time to try to educate him
at this time but perhaps some time in the future

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





US vs Europe

1998-04-15 Thread PHILLPS

It has struck me somewhat odd in this exchange that nobody
has mentioned Canada which shares a more European political
system with the American geographical-class structure.
  I would suggest that the continued existence of a viable
social democratic party and its regional electoral success
at the provincial level in forming governments in almost
half of the country is evidence that it is the anti-democratic
constitution and government system that has ruled out
any class-based or social democratic party.
  On the other hand, the third party status of the NDP
and its predecessor, the CCF, would support the contention
that the power of capital and the existence of an agricultural
frontier has also created sectional divisions that
frequently produced electoral divisions based not on
class but region (regional populism) which, with a petit
bourgeois base has been right-wing (often close to fascist)
populism (e.g. social credit and the current Reform party.)

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





globaloney

1998-04-04 Thread PHILLPS

Jim writes to the effect that US corporations only served
the US market up to the 1930s.  I suggest he look at Mira
Wilkins work on the MNC.  American corporations began to
invade Canada in the last decade of the 19th C.  (See also
Southard et al., Canadian American Business which was, if I
remember correctly, was published in the 1930s.)  The move
into Canada was, in my opinion, an offshoot of the trust and
merger movement.  Having reached the limit of the US market,
the new corporattions could only achieve a larger market by
expanding to other countries.  Given the communication and
transportation limitations of the day, the most availble
market was Canada and this was the period when the first
major wave of foreign direct investment occured in Canada.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Yugoslavia and Market Socialism

1998-04-02 Thread PHILLPS

I think a couple of weeks ago Barkley posted something
about Yugoslavia and market socialism which prompted a
spirited response from somebody that Yugoslav socialism
was an 'oxymoron' because Yugoslavia was not democratic
and therefore could not be socialist.  Unfortunately, (as I
indicated previously) I lost all my previous e-mail so
if I am grossly misrepresenting some views posted to
pen-l then I apologize in advance.  However, I would
like to put my vote of confidence behind Barkley, rather
than his critics, who seem not to know much about went on
in Yugoslavia in the 1970s and 1980s.
  When Tito came to power at the end of WWII he and the
leadership of the JCP established a 'Stalinist' type
state which lasted justed a few years before Jugoslavia
broke with Stalin and began (after 1950) introducing
worker self-management and democratizing both the workplace
and decentralizing state powers to the republics and the
autonomous regions like Kosovo and Vojvodina.  Though there
was never 'two-party' elections (sic) like there are in the
US, there were multi-interest group elections at all levels
particularly after the implementation of the new
constitution in 1976.  There were in fact multi-'parties'
and the Communist Party was disbanded (to be replaced by
the 'non-party' League of Communists.)  Indeed, after the
breakup, these various groups reorganized as political
parties alternative to the growth of neo-liberal nationalist
parties favoured by the US (at the expense of so many lives.)
  Indeed, I would argue that Jugoslavia came closer to
establishing a truly democratic regime at both the industrial
and political level than any other regime in modern
European history.  It failed both because of internal
 contradictions and external interventions.  We have
argued this all in our book _The Rise and Fall of the
Third Way: Yugoslavia 1945-1991_  One may agree or disagree
with our analysis, but to argue that Jugoslavia was some
sort of anti-democratic, authoritarian offshoot of Stalinism
and was not (at least) attempting socialism is the kind
of bourgeois or crude-marxist crap that brings disrepute to
scholarship on the left.

Nasvidinje,

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Kosovo

1998-04-01 Thread PHILLPS

Barkley,
  While looking for something completely different, I
came across the source on the 1990 US law.  Not
unexpectedly, my memory was false and it was not the
source I expected.  Here I will quote it in full.
It is Sara Founders, "Bosnia Tragedy", International
Action Centre (founded by Ramsey Clarke), NY: 1995.

Origins of the breakup -- a U.S. Law

A year before the breakup of the Socialist Federal Republic
of Yugoslavia, on Nov. 5, 1990, the U.S. Congress passed the
1991 Foreign Operations Appropriations Law 101-513.  This bill
was a signed death warrant.  One provision in particular was
so lethal that evan a CIA report described three weeks later
in the Nov. 27, 1990, New York Times predicted it would lead
to a bloody civil war.
  A section of Law 101-513 suddenly and without previous
warning cut off all aid, trade, credits and loans from the
US to Yugoslavia within six months.  It also ordered separate
elections in each of the six republics that made up Yugoslavia,
requiring State Department approval of election procedures and
results before aid to the separate republics would be resumed.
The legislation further required US personnel in all
international financial institutions such as the World Bank and
the International Monetary Fund to enforce this cut-off policy
for all credits and loans.
  There was one final provision.  Only forces that the US State
Department defined as 'democratic forces' would recieve
funding.  This meant an influx of funds to small right-wing
nationalist parties in a financially strangled region suddenly
thrown into crisis by the overall funding cut-off.
  The impact was, as expected, devastating.
  This law threw the Yugoslav federal government into crsis.  It was
unable to pay the enormous interest on its foreign debt or even to
arrange the purchase of raw materials for industry.  Credit
collapsed and recriminations broke out on all sides.
  At thae time there was no civil war.  No republic had seceded.
The US was not engaged in a public dispute with Yugoslavia.
The region was not even in the news.
  [What was behind it?]
  With the collapse of the SU, the US big business was
embarking on an aggressive march to reshape all of Europe.
Non-aligned Yugoslavia was no longer needed as a buffer state
between NATO and the Warsaw Pact.  A strong, united Europe
was hardly desireble.  Washington policy makers considered
both to be relics of the Cold War.

[goes on to argue that US wanted to pre-empt the rise of
German power in the region.]

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Kosovo

1998-03-31 Thread PHILLPS

Barkley,
  I can't remember where I read it -- perhaps Covert Action --
about the US cutting all aid to Yugoslavia in the late 1980s
in an attempt to destabilize the country.  The references
sounded genuine and refered to State Department declassified
documents if my memory serves me correctly.  If I have time
after exams and marking I will try to dig up the reference
for you.

Re the Albanian population in Kosovo:  here are the figures
up to 1986.

1921 Albanian population as % of Kosovo population = 63.8
1948   = 69.5
1971   = 73.7
1981   = 77.4
1986   =  na

Growth rate of population by ethnicity SFRY:
   1953-60   1961-701971-80
Total14.9 10.69.0
Albanians25.6 29.9   30.0
Macedonians  19.6 15.0   11.5
Servs13.6  9.56.6
Croats   11.5  6.85.9

The high population growth rate (through natural increase)
was held as responsible for the continuing relative poverty
in Kosovo *despite* a transfer of development capital to
the regions greater than anywhere else in Yugoslavia --
estimated (circa 1988) at US$ 1,450,000 daily.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Peter Dorman

1998-03-29 Thread PHILLPS

Peter,
  Could you please resend your e-mail.  It got lost with
a lot of other stuff with my e-mail problems.

Paul
Paul Phillips






No Subject

1998-03-29 Thread PHILLPS

Date:Sun, 29 Mar 98 16:39 LCL
From:PHILLPS
To:  <[EMAIL PROTECTED]<
Subject: Kosovo (corrected)

I had trouble with my e-mail and the previous post was cut
off and the last part garbled.  So let me please correct it.

But this relates back to Barkley's message.  From what I have
been able to find out from anecdotal evidence so far there has
been little change in Yugoslavia from self-management institutions
(though I don't know aabout the state of property relations.)  I
suspect that part of the American antipathy to Serbia is due to
the lack of reforms in the economic system.  Yet, our evidence is
that it is (at least in part) the retention of much of the self-
management institutions in Slovenia which has eased its transition
without the gutwrenching declines that some of the other transitionary
economies have experienced.  If that is the case, then to what extent
is American policy willing to accept that maintenance of some form
of self-management and workers' control or will it require an
abandonment of worker participation as an ideologically acceptable
constraint before the US will abandon sanctions.  What worries me
is that when I was in Slovenia in December I attended a seminar
with the US ambassador who was leaving to take up the Yugoslav
Desk in Washington.  In his talk he basically said, if I
interpreted him correctly, that even Slovenia which 'had made
great strides' had not liberalized (i.e. privatized) sufficiently
to satisfy American goals -- that is, worker participation in
management had to go!  If that is the case, then one can understand
the basic 'cold-war' mentallity that is driving US-Serb relations
and the US intervention in Kosovo.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Kosovo

1998-03-26 Thread PHILLPS

I have a proposal for Barkley:  We invite leaders
from the Serbs and from Kosovo to join us in a
restaurant in Montreal for an evening with appropriate
amounts of wine (and in my case seafood) and we will
both guarantee peace --  at least for as long as the
wine and seafood lasts.  Do you accept the challenge?

On a more academic level, let me point out some of
the interesting dificulties.

I have been involved in a research study of the effect of
the privatization of social capital (and the move from
'worker self management' to capital direct management) on
both how workers respond (and how output responds) and on
the effect of legislated 'co-determination' on industrial
relations in Slovenia.  We now have interviews with approx
120 enterprises and union officials on the 'new regime'
representing most of the major entorprises in Slovenia.
  I have recently received an invitation to from the
respected (and independent) 'Institute of Economic Science"
(Institut Ekonomski Nauka) to do such a study in
Yugoslavia (Serbia and Cerna Gora) in conjuction with
the national trade unions.  But this relates back to
Barkeley's message -- to  what extent is American policy
kjwilling to accept accedemic research -- or to what extent
is it willing to confine 'research' to ideologically acceptable
constraints.?






Kosovo

1998-03-25 Thread PHILLPS


For the most part I agree with Barkley on his comments
on Kosovo but I would add a few considerations.

1.  The most recent crackdown on Albanian
separatists was a result of the killing of 4 (?)
Serbian Police in an ambush.  The police
responded by raiding the headquarters of a faction
of the Kosovo Liberation Army.  One may argue that
the scale of the response was inappropriate to the
provocation, but I have heard little about the
American sanctions on Britain for its military
response to IRA terrorism (or the genocide by
Suharto in East Timor.)  It is obvious that the
American response (and the British) is propelled
by something other than principle, though as
Barkely points out, what it is the makes the
US and Albright so war-mongering, I am not sure.

2.  It is abundantly clear that, if Kosovo was
granted independence, it would immediately begin
ethnically cleansing the region of Serbs.  In fact,
ever since I have been going there for 10 years,
there have been (documented) examples of 'cleansing'
done by the Albanians.

3.  The 'poverty' of Kosovo is probably not as
bad as Barkley intimates.  Many Kosovan 'families'
have networks of businesses inother parts of
Yugoslavia (past and present). Eg. in Slovenia
many of the fruit and vegtable stands, pastry
shops and even sum of the pubs are run by
Albanians (and owned by Albanians) who are
obligated by family connections to remit part of
their revenues to Kosovo. (i.e. a colleague
friend told me that when he was in the army,
an Albanian in his unit had to remit part of
his salary to his 'family' back in Kosovo.  The
families ahve the same sort of extended nature
and coersive (though not necessarily criminal)
as the Sicilian families.)

4.  The problem is almost sure to break out in
Macedonia because of the inequality in birth
rates between the Macedonians (Slavs) and the
Albanian minority.  At the present rates it
will not be too many years before the Albanian
population excees the Macedonian as in Kosovo.
The Macedonians also fear ethnic cleansing.  I
was told a couple of years ago (by a Slovene)
that the Macedonian government was exploring
asking the Serbs to provide soldiers to police
its border with Albania to prevent Albanian
migration into Macedonia.  I have no way of
knowing whether or not it is true, but it
does sound plausible.

5.  What is the answer?  I don't know -- but
the US response is only making matters worse.
Already it has brought to prominance and
leadership the ulti-rightist and nationalist
Voyslav (?) Seslj who makes Milosevic look like
a civil rights worker.  God save us from US
foreign policy.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Chase Manhattan Responds

1998-03-21 Thread PHILLPS

I don't know when Boddhisatva was last in Canada,
but at least here in Winnipeg, the percentate of aboriginal
peoples in population is approximately equal to the percentage
of blacks in the american population -- and this does not include
the peoples of east asian origin -- Filipinos, Vietnamese, Chinese --
nor the admittedly much smaller percentages of East and West Indians,
African and Latinos, none of which would be classified as he does as
'white'.  Indeed, in recent years the majority of immigrants to
Canada has been 'non-European' while the highest fertility rate
in the country has been among the aboriginals.  So don't give us
any of this guff about 'white Canada'.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Chase Manhattan responds

1998-03-20 Thread PHILLPS

The Chase Manhattan response boggles the mind as Wojtek
has noted.  On reflection I have some advice to Doug that,
rather than annex Canada (which has been the US response
for over a century to the upstart pretentions that some
other people on this continent have that they might
prefer some other, more humane and democratic system
than that in our neighbour to the south), all he really
needs to do is take out a membership in a Canadian credit
union, have his cheques deposited there, and then withdraw
his money through a Credit Union (bank) card.  You get the
current exchange rate with only a 1 or 2 dollar service
charge.  And you can actually use your credit union card
at the local bank machine of the Chase Manhattan bank!

Oh, and about the annexation of Canada.  I should note that
the US citizens of the NorthWest Angle of the US on lake
of the Woods are petitioning congress to secede and join
Canada because of the rotten treatment they are getting
from the US.  I just hope the US Government gives them the
same support in their seccession movement as it gives to
the Kosovo terrorists.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.





barriers

1998-03-14 Thread PHILLPS

Doug raises an interesting question.  He is being charged $45
dollars for each Canadian$ cheque he clears.  Now, of course,
the cost of clearing those cheques (thanks to modern technology)
approaches zero.  So someone is ripping him (and many others of
us) off.  Why?  And why do we accept it.  What stops an independent
(as suggested, I think by Maggie), from setting up shop in Canada,
accepting those canadian cheques, converting them to international
 bank draughts or money orders -- if I remember right at approx
5$ max -- and transmitting them to the US.  Have the monopoly
banks become so powerful that they can prevent absolutely the
market, imperfect as it is, from working even in a most primitive
matter. In short, is there really a market in international money
or have 'tansaction cost' completely destroyed the market except for
the multi-big players?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





What wnt right? -unemployment

1998-03-14 Thread PHILLPS


Valis,
It might help if I knew what SBF, n/s and n/d meant in
your post.

p/p
u/m
W/C





Re: green permits and taxes

1998-03-03 Thread PHILLPS

Barkely and Robin,
  Correct me if I am off track here, but if permits are
distributed free (based on some past pattern), or if they
are initially priced below social cost, and then a
tradeable permit market created, does this not act as
a barrier to the entry of new firms who must buy up
permits at full market price in order to produce?  Of
course, if permits had to be bought up every 6 mos or
year, that would tend to equalize the capital cost in
subsequent periods but it would still be an extra entry
cost for new firms.  This would not be the case for
taxes.  Does this make sense?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Brassed Off

1998-03-02 Thread PHILLPS

For those of you who appreciated "the
Full Monty", let me highly recommend
another British film in the same genre --
"Brassed Off" about the closure of a
coal pit and the performance of the
collery band.  It isn't quite as funny
but it is more explicitly political.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Red vs Green

1998-02-23 Thread PHILLPS

Max talks about the conflict between the coal miners
and ecologists in the US.  Here in Canada, there has
been a major conflict between loggers and ecologists,
particularly in BC where the forest industry is the
key to the provincial economy.
This has led to major problems for the NDP both
electorally and in policy making.  The NDP relies
on the unions for both financial and electoral support
but also on ecologist for support and election
workers.  The forest industry keeps yelling, if
you protect old growth forests and oppose clear
cutting you (the loggers) will lose your jobs. So
vote Liberal (the right-wing party currently> so
you can keep your jobs. (or federally, vote for
the unltra right Reform (sic) Party).  As a result,
the NDP government which has done more for the
ecology (increased parks, introduced more forest
restrictions, etc.) than any other jurisdiction in
Canada, is teetering on the electoral edge, while
still being roundly condemned by the environmentalist
who would prefera right-wing ecological collapse to
gradual improvement in forest practice.
It is all very discouraging for us Red-Greens.

Paul Phillips
Economics,
University of Manitoba




Re: Santa Fe

1998-02-01 Thread PHILLPS


Just thought you might like to know, Krugman was on CBC national
this morning explaining the Asian Crisis.  He said it was all
due to nepotism and corruption of Asian society.  The nephew of
a dictator will set up a bank or a company and everybody will
lend to him because the loan is, in effect, government guaranteed.
This led to a preponderance of bad loans that eventually came
tumbling down.

So there it is. No complexity at all!

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba




David Card's Response

1998-01-10 Thread PHILLPS

Thanks to all the pen-l-ers who responded to my
request, particularly to Bill Lear who posted me
Card's response.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba




David Card's response

1998-01-08 Thread PHILLPS

Some time ago (a year?) someone posted (Doug?) a response
by David Card to the critique that two other economists
had given to _Myth and Measurement_.  Unfortunately, I did
not save the response and now I have need of it to counter
claims by a neo-right critique of minimum wages who is
claiming that Card and Krueger's work has been discredited.
  I have tried going back into the Pen-l archives but
haven't been able to find it.
  a. does anyone have it who could e-mail it to me? or
  b. does anyone remember exactly when it was posted or
how I can find it in the Pen-l archives?

Please respond to [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba




Global Financial Crisis II

1997-11-28 Thread PHILLPS

In response to the exchange between Tom, Doug and Max, there
is recent evidence from Canada that they are both right.
  Yesterday the Canadian Council on Welfare issued its
report on child poverty in Canada in which my home province,
Manitoba, was third on the list after New Brunswick and
Newfoundland.  It is interesting that in both Manitoba and
New Brunswick the governments have adopted low wage policies
to entice in low wage employers (e.g. telemarketers).  The
rise in child poverty has come *as a result of falling
unemployment* as a consequence of the growing proportion
of low-wage jobs, even where both parents are employed.
Manitoba, for instance, has had the highest percentage
drop in unemployment -- and one of the highest increases
in child poverty.
  The welfare council is calling for a rise in the
minimum wage and in the social welfare system --
exactly the opposite of what is being advocated by
the neoclassicals and business and the Conservative
gov't.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of
Manitoba





Greenspan on Social Security

1997-11-22 Thread PHILLPS

Doug, perhaps you can explain to me Greenspan's thought
process.  If Social Security is privatized in the way he
was talking about this means a great deal of more money
flowing in to the stock market and, I believe he suggests,
an increase in the rate of saving.  But if, as you argue,
the stock market is not about financing new issues but
merely bidding up the price of existing paper, this means
that the 'saving' would not generate any real output when
the time comes to pay pensions.  Moreover, if as post Keynesian
thought has it, investment creates savings (rather than the
new classical savings creates investment) would not the
attempt to increase savings reduce investment and further
reduce the ability of the economy to produce pensions out
of future realized output?

Or am I confused?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





scale economies

1997-11-16 Thread PHILLPS

I think Michael is correct that the economies of scale are note
technical economies but marketing and finance.  In the automobile
industry for instance, a network of dealerships and parts depots
which service, not only different products (cars, trucks, etc.)
but also different models (mini, compact, mid, large, luxury) is
where the corporate economies, as opposed to plant economies.

I was involved with the suppervision of an excellent PhD thesis
here on the industrial organization of the
agricultural machinery industry in North America and one
of the conclusions of the study was that it was the marketing
and financing of farm machinery credit plus the availability
of full-line products (i.e. the firm had to be greater than any
one product plant).  So the question of technical efficiencies
sets only the *minimum* size of the firm, not the maximum.

On the related point of oligiopoly and inflation, I would have
thought that the general model (cost-plus) implies that oligopoly
prices remain relatively constant as long as demand is less than
optimum capacity (approximately 85%) at which time firms begin
to plan new investment and begin to raise prices to generate the
profits to fund such new investment.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Re: ripening contradictions?

1997-11-12 Thread PHILLPS

I really don't know what Doug is talking about.
I just got my IMF Survey a couple of days ago
and the headline reads: "Camdessus Commends
Indonesia's 'Impressive' Economic Policy
Program".  Obviously, nothing is wrong
with the far east.(;-))

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





5 minute lecture

1997-11-07 Thread PHILLPS

Can anyone translate Firket's 5 minute lecture into readable
e-mail text and repost it?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





"Rent"

1997-11-03 Thread PHILLPS

I happen to think that the original Puccini opera is
moving enough. It is interesting that Broadway has
also 'copied' Puccini's Madama Butterfly with their
"Miss Siagon".  The story is the same but the music
isn't.  But the story stands (unfortunately.)

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





Institutions

1997-10-29 Thread PHILLPS

Larry Shute asked for a list of the most important
institutions in the market to try to educate his
colleagues about the important constraints on the
neoclassical fraud (er. sorry "model") of the economy.
Unfortunately, I don't think this is a viable approach
to the problem.  Commons defined an institution as
"collective action in  control of individual action."
That means that "an institution" is anything that
constrains market behaviour -- from collective agreements
and labour union behaviour to oligopoly pricing behaviour,
to church teaching on the  moral depravity of working on
Sundays.  That is, there are no 10 (20, 30, 100) most
important institutional constraints/
  Institutionalism is a paradigm -- that is
institutions form a web of behaviour  that (like the
neoclassical paradigm) produce a resulting behaviour that
one can expect and pattern a policy on.  But it is not
 10 (20, 30, 40 ) institutions that  one can model in the
neoclassical sense.
  One should look at Veblen's classics on this:
The Theory of Business Enterprise,
Absentee Ownership,
The Engineers and the Price System.

These are particularly enjoyable reading in the current
context of the 'meltdown' of the stock market.  I am
sure that Thorstein is chuckling in his grave.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.





'Men of the Deeps'

1997-10-23 Thread PHILLPS

This is inspired by Louis' recent postings on working class culture.

Two nights ago I went to a concert at one of Winnipeg's major
concert venues given by the 'Men of the Deeps", a miners choir
formed 32 years ago in Cape Breton, Nova Scotia, to celebrate the
Canadian Centenary.  The qualifications to be a member of the
group is first, that you are (or have been) an underground miner;
and, secondly, that you can sing. (The only non-miner is the
conductor, a music professor from Antigonish College, John
O'Donell, who drives the 500 plus kilometers to Glace Bay
every week to reherse.)  At the moment, the 25 or so members of
the group, mostly aged 40-70s, are on a cross Canada tour, in
part to promote their most recent CD, "Coal Fire in Winter". (They
have 5 or 6 recordings, the previous one being "Buried Treasures"
released in 1995.)

The 'Men of the Deeps' have the largest repetoire of coal mining and un
union songs in Canada, many of them collected by O'Donell or written
by or for the group.  Many of the songs they sang recounted the under-
ground disasters that plagued the region throughout its history.
There was not a dry eye in the house when one relatively young
miner, a former president of the miners' union local, introduced
a song written about one of the more recent mine explosions
when, as union president, he was called out in the middle of the
night to watch as his cousin's and uncle's bodies were hauled out
of the burning shaft.

But these were proud workers, fathers and sons, brothers and
cousins, proud of Cape Breton and its labour tradition, and
proud of their union -- and willing to sing about it.  Among
the frequent sad refrains of death and disaster was also their
sometimes caustic humour.  One recounted the story of the union
president being interviewed on a local talk-radio show.  He
was being asked by the host about criticism that had been
levelled agains his leadership and the local union.  He retorted:
"We have heard of these them allegations -- But, you can be
sure, we know who these alligators are!"

Personally, a miners' choir strikes a responsive chord with me.
It is part of my own cultural background.  My grandfather
emigrated from the coal mines of Wales to work the hardrock mines
of the Boundary country of southern British Columbia early in
this century.  I'm not exactly sure which year(s) but he was
secretary of the Western Federation of Miners local in Phoenix
some time before the 1st World War.  One of his closest friends was
Bill Pritchard, one of the jailed leaders of the 1919 Winnipeg
General Strike and of the One Big Union.

I interviewed Pritchard in the early 1960s (part of my research for
my PhD thesis on the B.C. Labour movement.)  At that time Bill had
retired to San Diego where he was spending his retirement years --
conducting a Welsh ladies Choir.  Shortly afterwards, I
arranged to tape an interview with my grandfather, at that time
in his mid 90s on his history in the unions
and the music they sang. (He was an ardent opera singer.)
The day we were to do the interview he phoned to postpone, saying he did
not feel well.  A couple of days later he died -- I had lost
the opportunity not only to reclaim part of my personal
heritage, but to record for posterity a small part of Canada's
working class history.  I have always regretted that I waited too long.

This was just one of the memories and meanings that the concert
evoked.  For one thing, the Celtic sense of poetry -- from the
reading of a poem "Who are They" by a former member of the 'Men
of the Deeps'.

"Who are they who poke and rile, and sing out names with humour bold,
that load and hew and take the guff,
to those above these tales are never told.

"Who are they who lead the way, when rescue is in store,
when men are trapped and loving families weep,
as torches fail and lamps grow dim and darkness slowly creeps.

Who are they who fought to break the company's chains and
never shied when days were lean,
to change this way of life; and now, the fields are green."

The 'Men of the Deeps' sang for 2 1/2 hours in their pit clothing --
heavy work boots, dark grey green shirts and pants, held up
by wide black leather belts, and each with hard hat complete
with miners lamps.  The climax of the concert was the great
miners anthem penned by Canada's Nova Scotian songbird, Rita McNeil --
"Working Man".

"It's a working man I am, and I've been down underground,
And I swear to God if I ever see the sun,
Or for any length of time, I can hold it in my hand,
I never again will go down underground."

(She has recorded this with the 'Men of the Deep' on her
album, 'Reason to Believe'.)

As they sang, the stage lights dimmed as the miners/singers
turned on their head lamps.  By the end, the auditorium was '
dark as the dungeon' except for the lights of the miners
helmets which shone into the audience 'as dark as the coal.'

To a person, the audience rose in standing ovation .  While the
waves of applause continued, the choir 

[PEN-L:12745] Pensions

1997-10-01 Thread PHILLPS

First, let me thank all on the list who responded, on or
off the list, to my query for views on  pension
privatization or related questions.  I ended up with
enough material to write a book!  The TV debate went
I think well enough, though we didn't even get to
1/4 of the issues raised in the discussion that has
since taken place on both PKT and Pen-l as a result
of my query.
  Let me, however, share a couple of insights from
this: an excellent article on the Chilean pension
privatization in NEw LefT Review, #223 by Riesco and
Fazio "Pension Schemes in Chile" (1997).  I read it
on my way to the TV studio so I am not sure if I got all
the facts right, but if so, the Chilean experiment is
not very attractive.  Rate of returns in 1996 were - 3.5%,
1995, - 2.5 %.  Admininstrative charge 20 per cent of
employee contribution plus 10 % for disability ( plus
7% of income for health insurance.)  40% of the labour
force was not covered by any pension/insurance system.
  The best stuff on the Canadian Pension Plan is by
Monica Townsand, published by the Can Centre for Policy
Alternatives, and in the Alternative Budget Papers (Lorimer/
CCPA) where she exposes the fraudulent campaign by the
media and the financial community to create panic among
young Canadians about their future pensions in order to
dismantal the public plan.  Incidentally, this was
xactly the tactic used by my right-wing opponent in
our TV debate.
  One thing that no one addressed on the net (Doug was
off in Toronto shamelessly self-promoting because I
had hoped he might respond) was the question of Keynes
on pay-as-you-go versus funded pension plans.  I was sure
that it was Doug who claimed that Keynes was opposed to
funded plans.  Was I wrong. (Memory goes with age so it
could be.)

Paul Phillips,
economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:12697] Privatizing Pensions

1997-09-30 Thread PHILLPS

Pen-l-ers,
  I will be debating current proposals to reform the Canadian Pension
Plan on TV tomorrow evening.  The argument for 'reform' I believe
is similar to that for privatizing the US social security system
based on (inaccurate) claims that the present system  is bankrupt,
non-sustainable, etc.  I am not worried but these arguments
because they are based on factually wrong claims.  However,
other parts of the proposal involve increased funding of the CPP
through the stockmarket purchases and a much higher degree of
funding generally rather than 'pay-as-you-go'.  Further, some
of the support for this comes from extravagent claims of the
huge success of the privatization of the Chilean pension system.
Can pen-l-ers give me answers to the following three questions
which I know have been addressed in one form or another on this
list over the last few months.  I need the info by tomorrow
morning.

1) What are the arguments against stock market funding of basic
social security pensions?

2> What was Keynes' objection to funding pension plans as opposed
to 'pay-as-you-go' funding?

3> What is the downside of the Chilean pension privatization?

Much thanks in advance,

Paul Phillips,
economics,
Manitoba
[EMAIL PROTECTED]





[PEN-L:12671] ethnic identification

1997-09-29 Thread PHILLPS

I would have thought that the term "first nation" referred
more to the collective groups (i.e. the tribal councils are
refered to as "first nations"  as in the Manitoba "Assembly
of First Nations".  Here I would think that the term
aboriginal (rather than indiginous) is in common use to
refer to all groups, treaty and non-treaty indian, metis,
dene and inuit -- that is to individuals of aboriginal
descent whether or not they are members of first nations.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:12554] Civil war

1997-09-23 Thread PHILLPS

I would like to concur with Maggie on her excellent post
on the relation between the abolition of slavery and the
developing sectional economic interests in the US.  Just
as a minor contribution to this debate, I would like to
recommend a theoretical article by Evsey Domar on this
issue which supports the view developed by Clare Pentland
in his Labour and Capital in Canada, 1650-1860, that
'unfree labour' is the institutional form of capital in
economies of labour shortage.  Actually, I should say
the institutional form of capital-labour relations in
labour shortage economies.  See Evsey Domar, "The Causes
of Slavery or Serfdom: A Hypothesis", _J. of Econ. History_,
vol. 30, no. 1, 1970.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba






[PEN-L:11307] re CEO's Incomes

1997-07-16 Thread PHILLPS


In my attempt to be both brief and trenchant, I seem to have
confused Gil with respect to my use of power as the determinant
of executive incomes and the uselessness of the neoclassical
framework to try to justify CEO's pay and perks. I will try
to be more clear in the following elaboration.

The concept of marginal productivity involves the addition of a
single unit of the variable factor (which must be homogenous with
previous units of the factor or it is impossible to sort out the
productivity of what).  Now, if we add a CEO to an existing firm,
is his mp the total value of the firms output (on the assumption
that the firm can not operate without a CEO)? Or is it the change
in TP when a second CEO is added? (an obvious contradiction>, ?
Or is it the change inTP when one CEO is replaced by another?  This
then would indicate that all CEO renumeration (subtracting opportunity
wages) is a form of rent.  (i.e. the rent to a natural
or developed talent e.g. the return to Wayne Gretsky's hockey skills.)
  However, as Ricardo pointed out, rent is a result of price, not a
cause of price.  Since CEO's are in a position to influence price
through market power, they are also in a position to some extent to
determine their rents.  However, this is rather tortuous analysis
and the concept of marginal productivity is so unreal (we have gone
through all this before) that neoclassical theory in this regard
"has no clothes".  In any case, all rents in the long run are a
return to power, either in the form of ownership rights that
include the right to restrict output, monopoly market power, power
of the office to allocate rent, etc.
  To quote Marc Lavoie's comment on the importance of power:
"...power is the ultimate objective of the firm: power over its
environment, whether it be economic, social or political. 'Power
is the ability of an individual or a group to impose its purpose on others'.
(Galbraith, 1975, p. 108)  The firm wants power over its suppliers,
over its customers, over the government, over the kind of technology
to be put in use THE NOTION OF POWER, EXCEPT WHEN RELATED TO THE
CASE OF THE PURE MONOPOLY, HAS BEEN SYSTEMETICALLY IGNORED IN
ECONOMICS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF INSTITUTIONALISTS AND MARXISTS."
(Lavoie, Foundations of Post-Keynesian Economic Analysis, pp 99-100)
  In short to deal with the issue of power in income distribution
we have to leave the certai, equilibrium world of neoclassical economics and
utilize the models of surplus (post-classical or heterodox) economics.
It is here that the fundamental issue of power is joined.  It Becomes
the question of who has the power to distribute surplus.  Why do
American CEO's receive much greater incomes than do Japanese or
European CEO's?  Why do CEO's of private utilities receive greater
remuneration than _the same_ CEO's received prior to privatization
despite no change in productivity?  Why do CEO's of profit losing
firms get commensurate remuneration with those of profit making firms?
(etc. etc.) none of which can be explained by mp theory or even with
any reasonable application of neoclassical rent theory.  However, they
can all be explained within surplus models by modelling the sources and
distribution of power (although not necessarily in an econometrically
operational sense.)  Many Marxists, for instance, talk about working
class bargaining power over distributive shares in terms of the size
or proportion of the reserve army of unemployed.
  This was the context in which I used the example of the mugger (which
has been used on this list in the past in more or less this context.)
The mugger does not produce any marginal product, but his power over
the use of force allows him to redirect, to himself, part of the
surplus in the form of the above subsistence wages of the muggee.

I trust this makes sence of my earlier elliptical post.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:11221] on CEO Pay

1997-07-09 Thread PHILLPS

I must admit I am a little suprised that Pen-l-ers would be
debating this issue in terms of neoclassical marginal
productivity.  This is the equivalent of arguing, what is
the marginal productivity of a mugger? (i.e. someone who has
market power because of some non-market force.)
  The moment one moves to a non-neoclassic frameworke (as Jim D
suggests) then the problem is "solved".  There is a surplus
distribution problem.  This is not a market problem, but a power
problem. (Why is it that non-neoclassical economists avoid the
issue of power?)  One can utilize rent theory to justify the
resulting justification.  But, if we were honest, that is really
crap.  Let us put it a different way, what is the mp of
a crime king (and are CEOs really different?)

And on a different stream, a colleague of mine posted a
document documenting horrendous war crimes against the Unites
States  Government, specifically with regard to the use of
biological warfare against Cuba.  Yet, despite the level of
despisity (is that a word) of the offense, not one member
of this list from the US has responded.  Comment?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:11018] Re:K/Y ratios

1997-06-24 Thread PHILLPS

Doug,
 But that was my point.  If capital is expropriating human capital
productivity, the K/Y ratio would be low, but so would wages -- but
the HumanK/Y would be high, relative to Europe and Japan, n'est pas?
Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:11014] Apologies for Duplication

1997-06-24 Thread PHILLPS

Sorry about the duplication of my last two posts.  The e-mail was
down here at my university for a day and when it came back up it did
not send my posts.  As a result I resent them and then the computer
sent the others as well. Ah well !!!
Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:11007]

1997-06-24 Thread PHILLPS

Date:Mon, 23 Jun 97 16:58 LCL
From:PHILLPS
To:  <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Progressive Web Sites

The URL for the Cyber Picket Line is Http://www.cf.ac.uk/ccin/union/
I have only had time to take a cursury look at it and it seems that
some of the pages are still under construction (I checked the Slovenian
link and the page came up blank for example.)  However, as a source for
world union links, it appears impressive.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:11001] Progressive Web Sites

1997-06-24 Thread PHILLPS

The URL for the Cyber Picket Line is Http://www.cf.ac.uk/ccin/union/
I have only had time to take a cursury look at it and it seems that
some of the pages are still under construction (I checked the Slovenian
link and the page came up blank for example.)  However, as a source for
world union links, it appears impressive.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:11000] K/Y ratio

1997-06-24 Thread PHILLPS

Doug,
  Could not there be an additional explanation in the so-called
Leontieff paradox  -- that the US exports labour intensive goods
because the labour embodies a great deal of 'human capital'.  That
is, is it not possible that when human capital is added to physical
capital, the K/Y ratio would rise both absolutely and relatively.
This would also imply that capital is exploiting the workers
investment in human capital as well.
Paul
Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba.





[PEN-L:10952]

1997-06-20 Thread PHILLPS

Date:Wed, 18 Jun 97 09:59 LCL
From:PHILLPS
To:  <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Political Economy Programs

In response to the falling off of enrollment in economics programs across
Canada and at our university, some of us are pushing for the establishment
of an alternative political economy stream.  We have a strong contingent
of politcal economists in the department and already offer courses in
alternative macro (post keynsian/marxian> and micro (neo-ricardian/
marxian> as well as courses in Marxian economics and a number of
institutional based courses.  However, we still require our students
to take calculus, econometrics, orthodox neoclassical micro and
new-keynesian macro.
  What we have found is that a number of students -- including a
disturbing proportion of our best students,
are rejecting our honours and graduate programs because they feel
that orthodox economics (applied mathematics) is basically irrelevant
and becoming less and less marketable in the job market.  The spate of
articles recently in journals and in the Globe and Mail about the
irrelevance of contemporary economics is increasingly being reflected
in student attitudes, not to mention employers, politicians and the
general public.  This is the reason for our renewed interest in starting
an alternative stream.

This is all a prelude to a request:  Could all of you who have
polical economy programs at your university send me a brief outline
including required courses, program requirements, graduate programs,
etc., either by e-mail ([EMAIL PROTECTED]> or by snail-mail
at Paul Phillips
   Department of Economics,
   University College,
   University of Manitoba,
   Winnipeg, Manitoba,
   Canada. R3T 2M8

Thanks,

Paul
Paul Phillips





[PEN-L:10898] Progressive Web Sites

1997-06-18 Thread PHILLPS

A couple of weeks ago I asked on Pen-l for suggestions of progressive
web sites suitable to provide up to date material for a local social
action newsletter produced by a collective of retired, but socially
(progressive) concerned clergy.  I had only five replies, two of which
asked that I post a list of the suggestions to Pen-l.  All of the
suggestions that were made were also made to the entire list so it
may not be necessary to repost them.  However, at risk of repetition,
here they are with a few comments on my brief forays at checking them
out.

The first concern of my friend was keeping up to date on the New Zealand
experiment with radical neo-liberalism.  Bill Rosenberg responded (you can
can review his complete list of suggestions through the csf archives -
more on this later) with the general Web site of the library at Lincoln
University http://www.lincoln.ac.nz/libr. (hereafter, I will omit the
http:// 'prefix').  The link to political and other current affairs on
this site is called Ara Nui.  Through that I found the Council of Trade
Unions site (www.union.org.nz/) which had the article updating the
NZ 'miracle' that Sid Shniad posted a couple of days ago on this list.
The left/labour political sites are the Alliance (www.alliance.org.nz)
and the Labour Party (www.labour.org.nz). For political news Bill
suggested Newsroom (www.newsroom.co.nz) but I did not check it out.
Incidentally, last time I tried the lincoln library site, I could not
get it, I don't know why.

Sid Shniad suggested the web site of the Canadian Centre on Policy
Alternatives (www.policyalternatives.ca) which I did.  What is
particularly useful about this site, in addition to a number of the
most important articles from the Centre's excellent monthly magazine,
the Monitor, is the long list of links to other, not just Canadian,
progressive/left sites.

Max Sawicki pointed me not just to the web site of EPI (epinet.org)
but to the economic policy site sponsored by American Prospect which
has another long, long list of links to progressive (and some not so
progressive) sites. The URL for this is epn.org.

I have also been a regular visitor to Doug Henwood's LBO site (www.
panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_home.html) which not only has a judicious
selection of articles from past issues of LBO, but also has a some
what shorter list of links to progressive sites and, what is
useful for the economists, links to data sites and not just
American (i.e. includes links to Stats Canada.)

I would also point to the archives at csf.colorado.edu which includes
the pen-l, Pkt, progressive sociologists, and the environment list (the
name escapes me at the moment) archives which also has a search engine
for exploring these archives.  More detail on Bill's response re
NZ, for example can be found in these archives under his name.

I had no response from anyone outside North America and New Zealand.
However, there are links from the sites mentioned above to some other
countries/continents.  For instance, the NZ CTU site had links to
the British TUC and the Australian ACTU.  However, if anyone has any
other suggestions, please feel free to respond.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:10509] Labour Films

1997-06-04 Thread PHILLPS

For a real documentary on collective bargaining, see the
CBC/NFB film "Final Offer" which is a film of the Canadian
UAW-General Motors negotiations in 1984 (?) which led not
only to a different pattern of agreements in Canada but
also to the breakoff of the Cdn Automobile Workers from
the UAW.  It is an incredible documentary in that both
parties allowed the cameras into their negotiations and
into the union caucus sessions.  (It also comes with
a language warning -- this is the real stuff.)

Paul Phillips,
Economics and Labour Studies,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:10371] Umbrage

1997-05-28 Thread PHILLPS

But Tom, what you quote Alexa as saying is good social democratic
stuff -- make the capitalist system work properly through
redistribution, sound fiscal and monetary policy, and the provision
of a secure social wage.  You are criticizing her for not being
a socialist.  But the CCF abandoned any pretence of socialism
with the Winnipeg declaration in 1956.  This has been my point
all along, you can criticize social democracy if you want on
grounds that it won't deal with the problems of capitalism, but
don't criticize a social democrat for being a social democrat and
dealing with the problems as she sees fit.  She has addressed the
problems in the campaign (including the MAI), but you don't like
her solutions.  Within the context of what I think is possible in
the present climate, I think the alterntive budget etc. are
feasible, credible and would ease a lot of social pain.  But a lot
more will be needed in the long run to move to a socialist society of
course.  What I asked of you was what would you campaign credibly
on that you think wouldbring about a socialist society?
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
Manitoba





[PEN-L:10351] Umbrage

1997-05-27 Thread PHILLPS

I apologize if I offended Tom by my somewhat immoderate response
to his posting.  For Sid's benefit, I will quote the original comment
that prompted my frustrated response.
>Here in Canada, the social-democratic NDP abstains from even its own
>social-democratic, electoral politics in a vain attempt to be seen
>as a voice of moderation.  The NDP appeal in the current election
>coes down to nostalgia for the 1970s -- a presumably brighter,
>happier, more innocent time.  If you liked the Partridge Family,
>you'll love the NDP.  The PF was "wholesome" psychedelia without
>drugs.  The NDP is wholesome Keynesianism without fiscal crises.
>
>And there's the social democratic dilemma in a nutshell: it's not
>simply that social-democratic policy prescriptions are
>objectionable, it's that in order to be palatable to the
>"mainstream" they always have to be repackaged as even more
>innocuous than they are.  Social democratic policies can
>never be innocuous enough, at least until they are completely
>vapid -- at which point, they are readily dismissed by "the
>mainstream" as vapid.

Now Ken and Bill have responded to much of this and I don't want
to repeat what has been said.  But let me summarize my objections.
1. The NDP has tried to campaign on good solid issues -- jobs, health
  care, day care and social programs.  It is the media and the
  right wing politicians that have hijacked the election campaign
  to stress "national unity" as a way of deflecting attention from
  the NDP's critique of the right-wing, deficit obsessed neoliberal
  program they are all advancing.  As Alexa pointed out in frustration
  when she had a press conference of health care policy, they kept
(that is the media kept) asking her about Manning's extremist,
  anti-Quebec views and ignoring the issue of health care.

2.  The NDP's decision to accept that the Liberal's are highly
  likely to be returned is based on good solid electoral
  strategy.  In the last election, the NDP was sandbagged by
  voters combining behind the Liberals to get rid of the hated
  conservatives.  The Liberals ran as the left -- but when in
  power, they governed from the right (as they usually did) but
  to a more extreme right because of the lack of a left opposition.
  In this election, if voters are worried that the two extreme
right parties (Conservatives and/or Reform) are going to win,
  then voters will again desert the NDP for the Liberals, allowing
  again for a centre right Liberal government pressured only
from the extreme right with no even social democratic left
  influence in protecting the welfare state -- the erosion of
  which under the Liberals is the cause of rising poverty,
  particularly of children, the rise of a 2-tier health
  system, the decline in the social wage, etc. etc.

  No the Canadian welfare state, such as it is, is no utopia,
no partridge family psychedelia, and the 70s no golden age,
but they were still headed in the right direction, which we
can't say now.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:10325] Tom Walker's pronouncements

1997-05-25 Thread PHILLPS

I find  Walker's denounceations from on high of the NDP's current
election platform and position within the on going debate to be both
uninformed and counterproductive.  As one of many economists across the
country that was involved, to a greater or lesser extent, in developing
the alternative federal budget (which the NDP nationally has virtually
adopted), I am offended by Walker's ignorant attack on the policy
that so many of economists and other representatives of  non-goverment-
tal and women's and labour groups developed.  In short, he should
do some of the work, or shut up.
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
Manitoba.





[PEN-L:10317] Bill Burgess Misinformation

1997-05-24 Thread PHILLPS

A quick check of th World Fact Book shows that, of all the
major industrial (G7 and OECD) countries, Canada has the lowest
percent of military expenditure as % of GDP with one exception,
Japan.  (Canada, 1.6%: Japan 1.0 %).  Perhaps this is not
insignificant as I suggested in my post, but it is surely minimal
and I would argue virtually a minimal level necessary for
air-sea rescue, coastal and fishery servailance, and contribution
to peace keeping.  I gather from Bill's comments that he thinks
that Canada's peace keeping efforts are "imperialistic".  Well,
perhaps he might make his point  in one specific case or another,
but I would like to see him defend this position in Cyprus, Bosnia and/
or Haiti.
  I am not a militarist (though I spent 5 years in the military), but
I think a lot of the criticism of the military is a crock, based on
misinformation on what they can, and do, do.
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:10259] Re War and Primitive Accumulation

1997-05-21 Thread PHILLPS

Max, in his response to my request for references in Marx to
war ---> public debt ---> exploitation of workers ---> primitive
accumulation implies disagreement with Marx and the relationship
of war to public debt and defends public debt contracted to finance
social services.
  I should point out my interest is not in the current situation (which
is hardly one of primitive accumulation in any case.)  In Canada today
the military budget is miniscule and, thanks to the invaluable help
the Canadian forces were in fighting our recent floods, I would
hardly want to cut them any further.  Furthermore, as a strong
supporter of keynesian demand management, I would hardly want to cut
spending on social programs at a time when unemployment is running at
almost 10 per cent.
  My question was in reference to a research project I have under
way about the impact of the 1st World War, in particular on how
it was financed and the effect it had in consolidating industrial
capitalism and creating a rentier class and promoting class conflict
which broke out at the end of the war (Winnipeg General Strike in
particular but also the farmers' revolt through the Progressive
Party.)  The Royal Commission on Dominion-Provincial Relations (1939)
explictly blames the financing of the war for the emergence of class
and regional conflicts but without any theoretical understanding or
interpretation.  What I am attempting to do is a reinterpretation of
the accepted 'conservative' view of the importance of the war.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba

ps.  Max, thanks for the reference to epn.org -- a very useful site
for progressive and liberal web pages.  For the rest of
pen-l-ers, note that I have receive only 3 responses on suggestions
of progressive web sites. No one else have any recommendations?





[PEN-L:10219] War and Primitive Accumulation

1997-05-19 Thread PHILLPS

In his section on primitive accumulation in volume one of Capital,
Marx writes: "The public debt becomes one of the most powerful levers of pof
primitive accumulation  The destructive influence that it exercises
on the condition of the wage-labourer concerns us less however, here,
than the forcible expropriation, resulting from it, of peasants,
artisans, and in a word, all elements of the lower middle-class."

Somewhere, I have the recollection, that Marx linked the growth
of public debt with wars (there is a passing reference in the above
quoted section to "maritime trade and commercial wars" but nothing
very substantive.) Does anyone recall if, and where, Marx links
war with debt, with taxes transfering wealth from the workers and
the middle-class to capital - i.e. as part of the process of
primitive accumulation?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:10165] Progressive web sites

1997-05-16 Thread PHILLPS

Pen-l-ers,
  At a benefit dinner for Canadian Dimension the other night, I was
asked by a retired United Church minister who is now part of a
collective of clergy who publish a progressive newsletter on
social issues, if I could give him the addresses of progressive
web sites (specifically with regard to NZ, but also US, Canada, etc.)
which he could monitor for up to date info and opinion of a progressive
or radical nature.  I mentioned Doug Henwood's and EPI's site but
I didn't have the URPs handy.  In any case, he wants to put together
a listing of the most useful progressive web sites so I am asking all
on the list to send me their selection of the best progressive web
pages. (Remember, this is for laypersons and retired clergy, not
professional economists or related.)
If you don't think the list would be interested, send your suggestions
to me directly at [EMAIL PROTECTED]  If I get any response to
this request and there is any interest, I will post the top 10 or 20
suggestions to Pen-l.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.





[PEN-L:9990] Feudal economic relations

1997-05-08 Thread PHILLPS

I have some difficulty with Wojteck's  association of feudal
labour relations with labour abundance. I have always
associated feudal (and other forms of 'unfree' labour) with
labour shortage.  to be blunt, the ruling class imposes
'unfree' labour bondage because 'free' labour is too
expensive.  for references see Evsey Domar, "The Causes of
Slavery or Serfdom: a Hypothesis," *J of Ec History*, march 1970:
or my article on the subject, "Land Tenure and Economic Development:
a comparison of Upper and Lower Canada",  *J of Canadian Studies*,
May 1974.

Nasvidinje,
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University College
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:9802] May Day

1997-05-01 Thread PHILLPS

May I wish you all an affirmative May Day (a happy May Day would be
a bit much).  There are still so many out there that are suffering
from the ravages of capitalism that they deserve our sympathy, but
more than that, our organized help.
  At the moment we are battling the ravages of nature, the flood of
the century.  But when that battle is over, let us battle the
deprivations of inequality, poverty and homelessness!
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:9719] Globalization

1997-04-29 Thread PHILLPS

Pen-lers,
  I have had some enquiries by a member of the general public about
a number of issues relating to corporations, the environment and
globalization.
Specifically, he asked "if you knew of a single useful source of
information on the negative effects of globalization (a scientific
paper or even a thorough magazine article would be fine.)"  I
promised to post his request on the list and ask for a suggested
reading list that would be accessible to the intelligent lay person.

Suggestions?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.
[EMAIL PROTECTED]





[PEN-L:9495] Geometric mean CPI

1997-04-14 Thread PHILLPS

Can anyone tell me simply how the geometric mean CPI is calculated.
I know how the Laspeyres is computed but have not come accross
the geometric calculation.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.





[PEN-L:9356] Re: requiem for social democracy

1997-04-05 Thread PHILLPS

Ken Hanley, in discussing the introduction of medicare in Saskatchewan
in the early 1960s, called it a social democratic move but he did
not think that the CCF referred to themselves as social democrats
at that time.
  As it happens, I was leader of the young CCF on the Campus of the
University of Saskatchewan in the year leading up to the medicare
election.  (I was leader of the opposition in the mock legislature,
the premier of the government of the mock legislature was Roy
Romanow, now premier of Saskatchewan and leader of the NDP.  At that
time he was leader of NatCreCon, an actual registered party in
Saskatchewan but for purposes of the university elections, a kind
of Rhinoserous Party.)  We did refer to ourselves as social
democrats and used it more or less interchangeably with democratic
socialist.  Those more to the left were democratic socialist, those
more to the right, social democrats though, to the best of my memory
where one drew the line was self designated.  Again, if I remember
correctly, the Senior party thought we were too far left and often
refused the designation socialist for the softer social democrat.

  I am what I call a "veteran of the Saskatchewan Civil War", the
battle for medicare which was won in the streets and not directly
in the legislature.  When the doctors went out on strike to oppose
single-payer, socialized insurance, we took to the streets handing
out flyers, knocking on doors and demonstrating.  Despite some
consessions to the original proposals (e.g. opting out of the
direct payment, restrictions on community clinics, etc.), we won
the basic principle and, though not revolutionary, the political
agenda in Canada in the area of medical and health services has
never been the same since, though a concerted attack is underway
led by multinational medical corporations and the neoliberals in
Canada (Liberals, Conservtives and Reform), to reverse this
substantial reform.  Only the NDP (and the seperatist BQ) is
mounting any campaign to save health care from a two-tier, semi-
privatized system.  In that regard, I think it is worth fighting
for the NDP during election years, and becoming the left-wing
non-parliamentary opposition in intra-election years. This has
been the strategy of Cho!ces, the social justice coalition in
Manitoba which has pioneered the development of alterntive budgets
at the Municipal, Provincial and Federal levels where the broad
coalition of social action groups, labour and us socialists/
social democrats/left liberals academics develop through democratic
consultation and consensus an alterntive budget which is released
a day or two before the official budget.  (By the way this was
done in Saskatchewan this year, before the NDP budget.)
  One problem we have is that this year, the Alterntive Federal
Budget developed by CHo!ces and the CCPA (Cdn. Centre for Policy
Alternatives) with hundreds of social action groups and unions
accross the country, has been more or less completely adopted
by the national NDP as its election budget.

Kind of difficult getting respectable :-)

Nasvidinje,
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba




[PEN-L:9279] Slovenia

1997-03-31 Thread PHILLPS

Just a couple of comments on Barkley's and Ken's posts.
1.  The problem after the constitutional amendments of 74/76 was
that the banks were made subsidiary to the enterprises and, with
the demise of the state investment funds, this means that the
enterprises could invest out of borrowed funds, not out of internal
savings. (Though this was formally outlawed, it was unenforceable).
As a result enterprises borrowed from their capitive banks who used
the republic banks as lender of last resort to finance these borrowings
and the republic banks resorted to the federal bank as their lender of
last resort.  The result was, as one would expect, inflation -- but
that, of course, only further encouraged the enterprise to finance
investment in this manner (at negative interest rates.)  As Horvat
argued, the result was too much investment, not too little as the
Ward Vanek critics suggested.  i.e., the soft-budget constraint was
on the banks, not the enterprises, though this is not to deny that
local authorities also came to the aid of large companies to protect
employment.  But this points to a second problem, the bias in the
1974/76 constitution to large monopolistic enterprises and barriers
to entry without which the market socialist model (a la Schweikart or
Horvat or Ellerman) breaks down.

2.  Re the regional disparities problem.  My original visit to
Yugoslavia in 1986 was to study the problem of inter-regional
development in a federal system under worker self-management.  Two
problems were prominent.  One was that Slovenian (or Croation or
whatever) firms could not invest in other regions in supplyer firms.
This created problems for Slovenian firms (some of those that I
interviewed) in that they couldn't develop raw material supplies
needed for their enterprise.  Nevertheless, they did -- there were
something like 2,000 associated enterprises with Slovenian firms at
the time of the breakup -- though, of course, their investment was
lost in the breakup.
  The second problem was the National Fund for the Faster Development
of the Lesser Developed Regions.  This was the 1.86 % tax on Slovenia
Croatia and the more developed parts of Serbia to finance investment
in the poorer south.  The problem was that this fund could not be
targeted by the national government (because of the autonomy of the
republics.)  So the money was turned over to the governments of
the poorer regions, many of which could not absorb it.  For example,
there was considerable unhappiness in the contributing republics to
the funds allocated to Kosovo that were used to build a beautiful but
extremely expensive national library in Pristina, rather than to
promote economic development.  The decentralization of planning and
decision making had made national economic planning impossible.

3.  Re corporate taxes:  Ken, I think you are wrong here.  Most
taxes were levied by the firms themselves in conjunction with
their local commune to support the level of services (education,
research, health, community) that the local community wanted.  I.e.
the dominant form of taxation was payroll taxes imposed by negotiation
between the enterprises and the local governments.  It was very much
like the participatory process advocated buth others recently.  I have
no way of judging just how democratic it was, but I do no from my
co-author at the University that the faculty and staff met regularly
to decide what part of their grant would be spent on social programs,
benefits, salary etc.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:9235] co-ops and worker owned firms

1997-03-30 Thread PHILLPS

Jim, I came across another article that deals with the theory of
the worker owned firm, B. Horvat, "The Theory of the Worker-
Managed Firm RevisiteJ of Comparative Economics, I, 1986.
Paul





[PEN-L:9233] co-ops and unemployment

1997-03-29 Thread PHILLPS

Jim,
  I know that Horvat has written many articles oposing the
Ward-Vanek model and I have them somewhere, but where is the
question.  One reference I do have is "The Illyrian Firm: An
Alternative View: a Rejoinder" *Economic Analysis and Workers"
self Management*, 1986.  I do think that anyone who has the slightest
interest in market socialism, workers self-management, etc. should
read Horvat's 1982 book *The Political Economy of Socialism*, (
M.E. Sharpe). I think this is one of the best visions of an
alternative society -- a utopia many may denounce -- but a vision
yet worth persuining.
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.
Nasvidinnje!





[PEN-L:9221] co-ops and unemployment

1997-03-28 Thread PHILLPS

Jim,
I find it somewhat ironical that we, who rail against the neoclassical
model, accept a neoclassical model to judge the behaviour of
co-ops, socially owned firms etc.  The Ward-Vanek model begins with
the same assumptions as the standard neoclassical -- maximization,
methodological individualism, substitution (choice theoretic), and
market clearing equilibrium, plus (of course) a measurable marginal
product of labour and capital.  If you do not accept these axioms,
then there is no reason to expect the Ward-Vanek results.  If, on
the other hand, you begin with institutional economics axioms, then
you would get the expectations that appear in reality.

Horvat's point all along has been that people do not behave in the
way postulated by Ward-Vanek.  If one looks at the Yugoslav experience
or the Mondragon experience, Horvat is right.  Behaviour is not
determined by individual maximization in theory or practice.

Paul Phillips
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:9208] Slovenian/Yugoslavia

1997-03-27 Thread PHILLPS

Dear friends,
  After Louis' last piece of venom that attacked, not only me, but
my acquaitances that may (or may not) agree with me, but who have
never heard of Louis Proyet, I must withdraw from further discussion
on pen-l.  I will not unsubscribe, for that would deprive me of
the pearls of Doug and Jim and Michael et al., but it appears that
in my area of interest, rational discussion is not possible without
L P's irrational and incomprehensible attacks.  It is unfortunate
that a so called socialist hasn't the decency to engage argument
and rather resort to ad hominum attack and personal ridicule, even
when there is not the slightest material reason for doing so.
  I would like to continue the stream Slovenia/Yugoslavia with
Barkley, Paul, Jim and all those actually interested, but it appears
to be impossible on pen-l because of Louis.  You are all (except Louis)
invited to continue the stream personally off list if I can figure how
to do it.
  Nasvidinje,
Paul Phillips,
economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:9204] Slovenia/Yugoslavia

1997-03-27 Thread PHILLPS

Yes Jim, there is too much on our plate.  Unfortunately, marking
essays and setting finals etc. does not give me time to respond to
all the discussion but, a couple of points:
a) no Louis, I was not talking about Bruno Hzladj, whom I don't know
but Dimitar Mircev whom I have known for 10 years.
b) in my original studies in Yugoslavia in 1987, the rate of income
per capita Slovenia/Kosova was 5:1, at the end of the war, 15:1.
i.e. there was considerable convergence until the interregional transfer
of investment funds began to slow up.
c) it is Horvat who rails against the Ward/Vanek model as
empirically untrue -- in fact just the opposite.
d) the problem with the guestworkers was not the cutoff of jobs, but
the decline in remittances and the problem that added to the debt
crisis already set off by American and German monetarism.
e) Yugoslav trade before the collapse was approximately equally
divided between the Communist countries and the west, but to pay
the interest on the debt that was entirely in western currencies,
it had to raise a surplus in the west.  I deal with this in
my February 1990 article in Monthly Review.
  So much more to respond to but I don't have time now.
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:9186] re:Slovenia

1997-03-26 Thread PHILLPS

Unfortunately our e-mail has been down for the past couple of days
so I have not been able to respond to the Slovenia thread until now
at which point it has gone off in several directions.  Let me begin
by quoting Branko Horvat in a private correspondence he sent me after
I had sent him a long paper on the  rise and problems of the yugo
economy-- "as usual in Yugoslavia", he wrote, "it is not quite so
simple."  That was the jist of my response to Louis.
  Neither is the debt problem so simple.  I did write upon this in
an article in Monthly Review.  I am not trying to impress
anyone with quotes, just that I can't reproduce a decade of
articles and analysis in a few short lines here.  But in order to
understand the foreign debt problem that developed in Yugoslavia
in the 1980s, one has to understand the internal political (regional-
enthnic) problems at the time that Tito was dying around 1980, and
the structure of the banking institutions that resulted from the
constitutional changes i the mid-seventies that -- and this is for
Louis -- were motivated by Kardelj's utopian conception of the
ideal Marxist state.  Now I have a great deal of respect and
appreciation for this utopia (Djilas' claim that it was his is,
as far as I have been able to authenticate, absolute nonsense),
but it led to a breakdown in rational economic planning which we
try to illustrate in our book.  The reason that I said I couldn't
deal with it on Pen-l is that our argument/evidence is 120 pages
which (obviously) I can't reproduce here.
  However, let me say one thing in defense of my "utopia".  A year
ago I took part in a workshop with Slovenian union shop stewards on
how to maintain control of the work place -- through ownership and
through trade union and political action.  My presentation was on
the threat to workers participation and control of the North American
model.  They were miles ahead of North American workers.  If I
can quote one business commentator "... the main reason for the
attractiveness of internal subscripition [worker buyouts] lies
basically in the sense of commitment that employees have to
'their' companies.  Oviously, the majority of employed Slovene
citizens consent to a property struct which assures the
continuation of the existing [self] management structure without
introducing major change."
Boy! does that rile the apologists for neo-liberal capitalism!!
  In short, I think there are very good lessons from the Yugo
experience, particularly in Slovenia, for socialists and marxists.
  Also, as my good friend, the Ambassador or Macedonia to Slovenion,
points out, don't write off Macedonia.  It is doing better than the
western press ignores.

Nasvidinje,
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:9158] Re: Slovenia

1997-03-26 Thread PHILLPS

I think Barkley is quite correct about the relative success of the
Slovenian economy.  The unemployment rate peaked at 9.1 % (ILO
definition) in 1993 and had fallen to 7.4 % by 1995, well below the
German rate.  GDP had recoved to about 97 % of the
pre-breakup maximum by 1995 and real wages stood about 5% higher than
the were in 1990 before the war.  Inflation in 1996 was estimated at 10
% and the real growth rate at 3 %.  Much of this is detailed in
my article with Bogomil Ferfila  in *Slovenija*, "The Slovene Economy:
the First Five Years", Summer 1996.  I am in the process of updating
this article but existing trends seem to be being followed.

Re the property/ownership situation, the majority of the economy is
now privatized but the privatization scheme has left control largely
still in the hands of the workers/unions -- so much so that the
managers have been complaining that nothing has changed.  I hope to
get to Slovenia next year to do a survey of managers to find out if
that is still the case.  Barkley is also correct about FDI.  Of the
more than 1500 privatization programs received by the Slovene Agency
for Restructuring and Privatization by April 1995, only three
involved foreign participation.

Re the analysis of Yugoslavia outlined by Louis, it certainly doesn't
appear much like what I saw in Yugoslavia over the last 10 or so
years.  Ferfila and I give a much different interpretation in our
book *The Rise and Fall of the Third Way: Yugoslavia 1945-1991*.  In
fact, one of the causes we cite for the collapse of the country was
the imposition of utopian schemes by the top theoreticians (e.g.
Kardelj in particular) rather than working through praxis to modify
the system.  However, the whole argument is too long to present here.

In short, I would agree with Barkley that both its success and its
failure makes Slovenia a useful (though flawed) model for a feasible
socialist alternative.

Nasvidinje
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8949] Re: Cuba

1997-03-16 Thread PHILLPS

Just a footnote to Steven Zahniser's comment.  I have been told
(by a usually reliable source) that the Swiss embassy in Havana is
filled with American businessmen doing business with Cuba and
mascerading as Swiss to avoid US law.
Paul Phillips





[PEN-L:8939] Re: Cuba

1997-03-15 Thread PHILLPS

Bill Burgess writes:

This is exactly what Jesse Helms has been saying and the justification
for the Helms-Burton legislation that I, and the Canadian government,
has been opposing.  And I think Bill is wrong, very wrong and that
the propagation of this view hurts Cuba and Canada.

First, as I mentioned in my diary of the Cuba visit, I went down
on an aircraft and returned on an aircraft that included at least
two delegations of Canadians, funded by the Canadian government,
one in medicine, the other in technical education.  I took books
down to add to a collection that had been started by our University.
All of this was public aid and, in 2 of the 3 cases, funded by
the Canadian government.  As anybody who knows us knows, I am no great
fan of Lloyd Axworthy (though we have appeared on the same program/
platform on occassion) but his support for technical and other
aid to Cuba (his 14 points) is admirable and I don't think
entirely motivated by imperialist greed as Burgess suggests.

I think it is very destructive of Burgess to suggest that Canada's
support of Cuba's right to self-determination is based on corporate
self-interest.  As indicated, this is Helms' position.  But I think
it is also quite incorrect.  Canada may not support the revolution,
but our position has always been the right for the Cubans to make
their own decision.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba




[PEN-L:8935] Cuba

1997-03-15 Thread PHILLPS

Blair,
Perhaps I was being a little extreme, but then trying to starve into
submission 10 million people, depriving the sick of medicines etc.,
seems to me to be pretty extreme imperialism.
Paul Phillips





[PEN-L:8919] Marilyn Waring

1997-03-14 Thread PHILLPS

I have used the Waring video in my classes, in particular Women and
the Canadian Economy, very effectively.  It is very good on
the issue of the degrading of women's contribution to the economy
and *as a result*, the degredation of the environment.  But it
is shallow on the question of capitalism as the cause of the
problem and her environmentalism is very "Tory" -- the old
golden pastoral age of sheep and dung.  In fact she was here
promoting her most recent book a couple of weeks ago ( I missed
her as I was in Cuba) but my students who attended on my
recomendation were not impressed -- she had reduced all her analysis
to shit (dung).

Within limits, therefore, her video is useful.
But it is no substitute for analysis.

Paul Phillips





[PEN-L:8917] Cuba

1997-03-14 Thread PHILLPS

I would like to thank Shawgi for posting Fidel's speech and
the Granma article on the net.  I would also like to point out,
in furtherence of his previous posting about Walmart's decision
to take Cuban made PJ's out of their Canadian stores, that the
company under Canadian pressure decided to sell Cuban PJs again
but that now the American government is again trying to enforce
US law in Canada by pressuring (prosecuting?) Walmart's American
head office.  This is the most intolerable form of American
imperialism that I can imagine.  It disgusts me that Americans
put up with such clearly anti-humane behaviour on the part of
their government.

I suspect that one of the major reasons why Canada has continued
to support Cuba is that we would like to have the guts to stand up
to the American bully, but that since we don't, we will cheer on
the little guy who has the courage to do so.  If this is so,
"Three cheers!".

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8882] Re: Cuba

1997-03-11 Thread PHILLPS

Bill,
According to my figures, GDP for Canada in 1933 was 70.2% of GDP
in 1929, a ~ 30% drop compared to the approx 50% drop in Cuba.  If
these figures are correct then the drop in Cuba was over 50% greater
in Canada.
Paul





[PEN-L:8871]

1997-03-10 Thread PHILLPS

([EMAIL PROTECTED] [130.179.16.26]) by
for <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 10:21:53 -0600 (CST)
From: Helen Osman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
for [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 10:21:51 -0600 (CST)
Subject: Cuba visit(long)
To: phillps
Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 10:21:51 -0600 (CST)

This is a fairly long digest of our recent visit to Cuba.  I hope
the purists on the list will find it neither too "artsy feely" no
to non-analytical to be of interest.  To Jim D., I will return  to
the NAIRU battleground as soon as I can recover from the blissful
contentment of sun and ocean breezes, et al.

Reflections on a Cuba Visit
by Paul Phillips

The Helms-Burton law in the US which penalizes foreign
corporations conducting business in Cuba was the final incentive for
my wife and I to take a short "sun holiday" in that beleaguered
Carribean country during the University of Manitoba's February
mid-term break. Relief from a brutal winter and  exhausting work
schedules was, of course, the prime motivation for "snow birding"
to warmer climes but our choice of Cuba was also a political
statement in opposition to the extra-territoriality of America's
vindictive and punitive approach to Cuba.  We had always wanted
to visit Cuba, to see for ourselves what was happening in this small
country that the US is so paranoid about and which has suffered so
much economically from the collapse of the Soviet Union and the
continuing US economic embargo.

So we also combined a little business with pleasure by spending one
day at the University of Matanzas, about 35 kilometers west of the
main tourist resort strip of Varadarowhich is booming with
construction of huge,  grand tourist hotels, joint ventures with
Spanish, Italian and Canadian partners.  While at the University, we
met with the Deans of the Physical Education Faculty and presented
them with a promotional Spanish language video of the 1999 Pan
American Games in Winnipeg. (Donna, my wife, is Manager of
Communications for the Pan American Games.) We visited the
Canadian Studies library at the University, an initiative that began at
the University of Manitoba, and donated some books that we had
brought with us; and we had an extended discussion with the head
of the economics department about the state of the Cuban economy
and its prospects.  As well, as I had just finished a (co-authored)
draft of the entry on "market socialism" for the forthcoming
Encyclopaedia of Political Economy, I was interested in Cuba's
experience with  market oriented reforms designed to combat the
crisis that the end of Soviet aid and the American embargo had
engendered, a subject we also talked about.  Obviously, one week's
observation of daily life in Cuba and one day of conversations with
Cuban economists does not an expert make, but nevertheless, I
would like to share some observations and reflections on what I
saw and learned.

The Tourist Experience

We flew from Toronto to Varadaro and then on to Havana by
Cubana Airlines, the Cuban national carrier, in a Russian built
Ilusyian aircraft.  (Interestingly enough, it was smoother and much
quieter than the DC 9 we had flown in from Winnipeg to Toronto.)
The trip took an hour more than necessary because, being a Cuban
airline, it could not fly through US airspace and had to fly east to
the Atlantic, down the Atlantic coast, and then west to Cuba.  This
was just the first example of how US policy has not only added to
the cost of Cuban business, but also has contributed to global
ecological degradation by unnecessarily increasing fossil fuel
consumption.  From Havana, we were transported by modern
(Japanese) minibus to Santa Maria del Mar   22 kilometers east of
Havanawhere our  hotel was located on a very beautiful and
extensive stretch of Gulf beach.  The hotel, built some 20 years ago,
had seen better days but was clean and comfortable, everything
(satellite TV, radio alarm, air conditioning, elevators) worked and
the service was friendly and efficient.  The food was plentiful and of
good quality   just boring.
Cuban music, art and dance may be spicy and unique, but poor
Cuba must have inherited her food genes from England, except
perhaps for the beer and bread which were quite excellent.

We stayed at Santa Maria because it was relatively close to Havana
and we are inveterate urban prowlers when on holidays.  The
problem is how to get from the hotel to Havana.  Public transport in
Cuba has totally broken down, again the result of the American
embargo and the lack of domestic supplies of petroleum, a
commodity that Cuba had (prior to 1989) imported from the Soviet
Union at what were, in effect, subsidized prices.  Cuba, I was told,
now produces about 25% of the oil it consumes and, with help from
Canadian and European oil companies, hopes to increase domestic
production through  exploration and development.  This Canadian
and European assistanc

pen-l@galaxy.csuchico.edu

1997-03-04 Thread PHILLPS

Doug,
1 liner.  What does M&A stand for.
Paul
Paul Phillips,
U of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8590] Nairu, market socialism, etc.

1997-02-12 Thread PHILLPS

Ah, at last, some substantive discussion.

If we can now avoid the flames and irrelevancies  ...

Two important streams are now developing -- just when I am off
to Cuba for R &R and for research (:-)) that I would like to
persue.  One is the market socialism  stream.  I have just
finished the first draft of  the EPE entry on market socialism
along with Jim Stoddard, and am waiting for the flack.  I am conviced
that there can never be any concesus on 'market socialism'.  Be that
as it may (as a veteran fan of the Yugoslave system), and the flames
from the central planning enthusiasts, I think it is the central
debate now in the "reopolitic".

The second important stream is about Nairu and the labour market.
Jim asks about my ancestry, but I am proud to say, I (or none of
my family, except in an indirect way) had anything to do with
A.W. Phillips and his curve.  I say indirect since my grandfather
was a Welsh coalminer who came to Canada and was instrumental in
establishing control over the mining area of BC in this period for
the union.  His work with the union undoubtably raised the Phillips
curve! But I am sure that is not what you meant.

Jim's comments, to me, seemed to equate the long term to the short
term.  What I would really like is to see what he really meant in
distinguishing between long and short term.  But I will be awaY FOR
the forseable (great term) future.

I would like to see a real debate on these issues.  On the Pkt
network they have "seminars" based on specific papers on such
issues.  I think this is intellectually very superior to some
of the flame wars we have had.  Michael, how about it.

Hey, I'll report back on Cuba's beaches. Yea Helms-Burton!

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
Univseristy of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8562] Nairu, etc.

1997-02-11 Thread PHILLPS

I beg to differ with Tom Walker but not with the basic point he
makes -- that there is a need to modify, change, update etc. our
institutions to keep up with social and technological change. If
he looks carefully at what I said,however, it was to emphasize that
the verticle Phillips curve acceptance (and the causes for it) clears
the way for the neo-lib agenda which, in the absenc e of alternative
institutional change only serves to hurt labour for the benefit of
capital.  Unfortunately for Tom's position, the Nairu/NRU analysis
is based on neo-lib assumptions which makes favourable institutional
change outside the pall of acceptable policy solutions.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8559] Nairu,etc.

1997-02-11 Thread PHILLPS

(The Devine) Jim responded to my comments about the illogicality
of heterodox economists even accepting NRU OR Nairu as the basis
of macroeconomic debate by talking about shifts in the institutions
governing the labour market and the effect that this can have on
the trade-off between inflational and unemployment.  Now, of
course, no one can deny that institution change can improve or
reduce the efficiency of the trade-off i.e. can shift the
Phillips curve (though I reject the sexist and classist explanations
for the shift offered by orthodox economists as explained in my
last post).

But Jim seems to ignore the whole point I was trying to make.
Whether one is talking Nairu or NRU, you have to accept a
VERTICAL PHILLIPS CURVE by definition.  There is no trade-off.
Nairu stands for Non-accellerating inflation rate of unemployment.
i.e. below that unemployment rate inflation must continue to
accelerate so that attempting to reduce that level of unemployment
will automatically accelerate into runaway inflation until that
Nairu rate of unem. is reestablished at which the rate of
inflation will stabilize.  That means you can not reduce
unemployment through macro policy without first changing the
institutions (destroying unions, capping wages, reducing minimum
wages, UI payments, deregulating labour markets, etc., all the
elements of the neo-con agenda.)

This is what is so dangerous in accepting this approach.  Now with
Bill M's, my own, and someone else on the list that posted on this
the "class stuggle rate of unemployment", this problem is averted
because it isn't the rate of unemployment that is the determinant,
but rather the rate of inflation acceptable to the capos which
is also compable with the minimum rate of profits acceptable to the
capos.  It forces the debate onto not why wages and employment must
be contained, but why profits and rentier income have accelerated
to the point where unemployment has had to rise to keep wages down
so that productivity gains can be expropriated virtually entirely
by property.

Paul Phillips,
economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8513] Long waves

1997-02-07 Thread PHILLPS

Barkely suggests we may be on the beginnings of a long wave (swing)
upswing by referring to the fact that investment/GNP has been
rising.  Others have poo-pooed the whole concept of long waves,
a subject I don't want to debate at this time.  I do, however,
want to make two points.
  The first is that, a few weeks ago I made a rash offer to post
a bibliography of work on regualation and SSA theory with respect
to the long wave on Pen-l and several people took me up on that
offer.  I went back to my computer and have been unable to find
my reading list file for my graduate class.  My face is red.  I
have no excuse (except perhaps technological incompetance).  I have
all the articles piled up on my desk but, alas, the onerous task
of teaching deserving students means that I can not input all this
material at this time. Please accept my apologies.
  The second point relates to the regulation theory approach to
economic phases which stresses the relationship between the
regime of accumulation and the mode of regulation.  In a rather
simplistic interpretation, the 1850-1896 growth/stagnation period
was marked by an extensive regime of accumulation and a competitive
mode ofregulation.  The 1897-1940 period, by an
intesive regime of accumulation and a competitive mode of
regulation, the 1945-199?, an intensive regime of accumulation and
a monopoly mode of regulation.  Following Boyer's analysis,
one could argue that the current stirrings of expansion are based
again on an extensive regime of accumulation and a monopoly mode
of regulation (under the umbrella of global capital).  If this is
true (as was the case in the 1850-96 period) economic growth measured
in total (measured) output increases, quite dramatically in some
cases, though *per capita* income/output is stagnant.  Incidentally,
this is the case for Canada inthe 1870-96 period.  I have not seen
comparable data for the US though I believe this is also true for
the UK.  In any case, this means that the stagnant real wage but
macro growth scenario is quite compatable with long wave theory.
It also, however, suggests that the next upward swing will be
pretty dismall for all but the propertied class.

Cold Comfort from Manitoba
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8512] Nairu, etc.

1997-02-07 Thread PHILLPS

Not only have I got Jim D responding in hot denial, also my other
colleague and (usually) agreeable friend, Barkely R. :-)  Hey, none
of it was personal nor were my comments directed to anyone personally.
In fact, (if I must confess) I had deleted the comments from my
mail and was only responding to a kind of technical acceptance of
the idea of NRU/Nairu which I find totally anathema to radical *or*
post Keynesian analysis.  I think we all agree (?) that there is
nothing "natural" about the rate of unemployment.  Does anyone
disagree?
  What I find more insidious is the concept of Nairu -- the non-
accelerating inflation rate of unemployment.  What does this
imply?  Is it not a long-run vertical phillips curve?  And what
does that say?  YOU CAN DO NOTHING ABOUT THE LEVEL OF EMPLOYMENT
WITHOUT ACCELERATING INFLATION (presumably into hyperinflation).
Put another way, it means acceptance of the monetarist line.
It rejects -- not only the bastard Keynesian Phillips curve
analysis of the 1950s-1970s -- but also **all** Keynesian/
postKeynesian concepts of a horizontal Phillips curve (see,
for example, Wheeler in Piore, Unemployment and Inflation.)
  In short, before we can even talk about employment and macro
policy, I think we must divest ourselves of any NRU/Nairu
polutants and look again at the determinants and mechanisms of
the excercize of economic power in the distribution of income
and the determination of prices, at both micro and macro levels.
  NRU and Nairu are both related ideological constructs that, as
long as we keep arguing about them, will deflect us from analyzing
the real causes of exploitation and misery.

In northern frozen solidarity,
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8490] Nairu, etc.

1997-02-06 Thread PHILLPS

First, to Jim, my complaint was not specific to you but, as you know,
there is a similar discussion going on on PKT which is even less
progressive and I sort of conflated the two streams.

I just want to make a couple of points in response without dealing at
this time with the segmented labour market or war experience stuff.

My biggest complaint is with the expression the "natural rate" (Nairu
or NRU).  Pray tell, what is "natural" about it?  To accept the notion
is to accept the monetarist vertical Phillips curve which is to
deny Keynesian, post-Keynesian, post Keynesian, Kaleckian,
institutional, Marxian or any other heterodox approach to
macroeconomics.  Even Lipsey in his 1954(?) article pointed out
that the choice of unemployment rate was a *policy decision*, which
depended on the choice of social welfare function.  I am not saying
that the Phillips curve has not shifted out (though I think this is
greatly over estimated).  I don't buy the standard arguments -- the
growth of labour market regulation, unionism, UI etc -- which have been
in decline since the sixties in the US and the 70s in Canada; or
the growth in female participation which has, as the recent report
by Dave on the US market indicates, increased competition for jobs
such that male wages have shown a precipitous drop.  Incidentally,
as Piore himself notes in his 1972(?) introduction to  *Unemployment
and Inflation*, he saw the whole US market "tilting" to the
secondary labour market which should, by Nairu type thinking, have
resulted in an inward shift in the Phillips curve.

Now, if you started calling it the CGRU (the Capitalist Greed Rate
of Unemployment), I might be less critical.  Bill M, if I remember
correctely, has an alternative expression which is closer to the
mark -- but please don't call it natural.  Perhaps we should
call the US homicide rate the "natural rate of murder".  Makes as
much sense.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
U of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8481]

1997-02-06 Thread PHILLPS

Dear Pen-lers:

Phil O'Hara, who is in the final phase of editing the encyclopedia of
political economy, needs some help. He is teaching a subject he
has never taught before - International Economics 400 at Honors
level - and in the light of the enormous burden of the epe needs some
help with possible references and course outlines that may be of help.

Anything you might be able to send him would be much appreciated.
Any topics or references which you think might help students understand
the world economy or the international economy at honours level
would be useful. He was thinking of including some material on
Kaldor's Laws (BOP constraint; economies of scale; cumulative
causation); business cycles and waves at the international level;
international political economy issues; economic policy within
the world context; maybe exchange rates; Kaleckian models for the
world capitalist economy? He is hoping to include
quite a bit of heterodox material (maybe even some work on
development and the environment from a world context).

Anything you could suggest or offer would be very helpful to
him and especially the epe project!

His details are as follows:
Email address: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Phil O'Hara, Department of Economics, Curtin University,
  GPO Box U1987, Perth, Australia 6001.
Telephone: +61-9-351-7761 (work) +61-9-451-2618 (home)
Fax: +61-9-351-3026


=



===

Phillip O'Hara, Department of Economics
Curtin University of Technology
GPO Box U1987, Perth. 6001 Australia
email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Fax: +61-9-351-3026
Tel: +61-9-351-7761 (work - message machine)
   :   451-2618 (home)



===
Encyclopedia of Political Economy
===
 Entries in Need of Writers
 --

Business Cycles: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
Schumpeterian Political Economy: Major Cont. Themes [2000 words]
International Political Economy: History [1700 words]
Endogenous Growth and Cycles [1400 words]
Rate of Return Controversy in Sraffian PE [1000 words]

Methodology: History of in PE [1700 words]
Foundationalism and Anti-Foundationalism in PE [1200]
International Network for Economic Methodology [400 words]

Environmental Accounting [1200 words]

Social Control of Business [1200 words]
Centralised Private Sector Planning System [1400 words]

Financial Innovation [1500 words]
Justice [1400]
Conference of Socialist Economists [1000 words]

Please do let me know if you are interested, or can suggest
possible writers. They would have to be written by late
February at the latest.







[PEN-L:8473] UnemploymentNAIRU etc.

1997-02-05 Thread PHILLPS

I am having a little difficulty believing I am on a 'progressive'
economics network and yet reading the stuff that is being posted.

1. during the war (2nd WW) the unemployment rate fell to
around 1% without any structural and frictional constraints
but within the framework of  a strict f
(that should be) fiscal and monetary policy framework.  So
it is not the economic constraints that determine the rate
of unemployment, but the political (class power) constraints.

2.  In the post-war studies, the Phillips curve analysis gave
an approximate trade-off of 3-4% inflation for 3-5% unemployment.
What has changed?  What is the  great structural change that
caused this tradeoff to jump to this new, mythical, NAIRU (or
NRU) of which there is nothing natural except the gullibility of
the population and the culcability of the polititians.

3.  The dual (segmented) labour market analysis is so much more
sophisticated and  complex than the version given here that I
weep for our profession.  It is frustrating to see such simplistic
first-year neoclassical analysis passing off as so-called radical
analysis.

Get with it!

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





[PEN-L:8366] re: The Pack is Back

1997-01-28 Thread PHILLPS

Just a point: the packers may be the only US football team that is
community owned, but at least three CFL teams (North American pro
football) are community/socially owned, including our own Winnipeg
Blue Bombers.  It is interesting to note that in a league that has
been beset by financial problems and franchise losses, it has been
the community owned that have been the most stable and the most able
to retain fan support.
Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba,
Winnipeg, Canada





[PEN-L:8266]

1997-01-16 Thread PHILLPS

([EMAIL PROTECTED] [132.241.3.10]) by
for <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 20:48:16 -0600 (CST)
  by pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu (8.8.4/8.8.4) with internal
  id SAA03881; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:10 -0800 (PST)
Date: Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:10 -0800 (PST)
From: Mail Delivery Subsystem <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: 
boundary="SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu"
Subject: Returned mail: User unknown
Auto-Submitted: auto-generated (failure)

This is a MIME-encapsulated message

--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu

The original message was received at Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:09 -0800 (PST)
from hircismus.net.CSUChico.EDU [204.119.194.10]

   - The following addresses had permanent fatal errors -
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
(expanded from: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>)

   - Transcript of session follows -
... while talking to spam.ecst.csuchico.edu.:
>>> RCPT To:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
<<< 550 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>... User unknown
550 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>... User unknown

--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu

Reporting-MTA: dns; pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu
Received-From-MTA: DNS; hircismus.net.CSUChico.EDU
Arrival-Date: Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:09 -0800 (PST)

Final-Recipient: RFC822; <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Action: failed
Remote-MTA: DNS; spam.ecst.csuchico.edu
Last-Attempt-Date: Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:10 -0800 (PST)

--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu

Return-Path: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
  id SAA03879 for <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:09 -
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
([EMAIL PROTECTED] [130.179.16.47]) by
for <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 20:48:00 -0600 (
Date:Thu, 16 Jan 97 20:01 CST
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

OMDear Pen-lers,

As many of you know, there is in preparation the Encyclopaedia of
Political Economy (EPE) under the general editorship of Phil Ohara
at Curtin University in Perth Australia which involves quite a
 number on this list and also PKT.  This major volume is to be
published by Routledge.

Unfortunately, (for various reasons) there are still a number of entries
 that do not have authors and as the publishing deadline is fast approaching,
 Phil is seeking writers and asked me to post the list of items wanting
 authors to this list.  Now, from the discussion on this list, I know there
 are experts here that could write these entries in an evening, or who
 know who can.  I appeal to them to e-mail Phil at
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] and offer your expertise.

Paul Phillips


51. Entries in Need of Writers (as of 16 Jan 97)

53.
54. Business Cycles: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
55.
56. Work, labor and Production: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
57. Unions [1400 words]
58.
59. Increasing Returns to Scale [1500 words]
60. Verdoorn's Law [1200 words]
61. Okun's Law [1200 words]
62. Capital Reversing [1500 words]
63. Rate of Return Controversy [1000 words]
64.
65. Methodology: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
66. Methodology: History of in PE [1700 words]
PAUSE:
67. Foundationalism and Anti-Foundationalism in PE [1200]
68. International Network for Economic Methodology [400 words]
69.
70. Environmental & Ecological PE: History & Nature of [1700 words]
71. Environmental Accounting [1200 words]
72. Quality of Life [1
500 words]
73.
74. New Institutionalism [1400 words]
75. Social Control of Business [1200 words]
76. Centralised Private Sector Planning System [1400 words]
77.
78. Finance Capital [1000]
79. Financial Innovation [1500 words]
80. Crime [1500 words]
81. Justice [1400]
82. Rent Seeking and Vested Interests [1400 words]
83. Overhead Costs (J.M. Clark)[1200]
84. Conference of Socialist Economists [1000 words]
85.
86. Please do let me know if you
 are interested, or can suggest
87. possible writers. They would have to be written by mid-late
88. February at the latest.
89.
PAUSE:
90.
91.
92. =
93.
94. Phillip O'Hara, Department of Economics
95. Curtin University of Technology
96. GPO Box U1987, Perth. 6001 Australia
97. email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
98. Fax: +61-9-351-3026
99. Tel: +61-9-351-7761 (work - message machine)
   100.:   451-2618 (home)


--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu--






[PEN-L:8266]

1997-01-16 Thread PHILLPS

([EMAIL PROTECTED] [132.241.3.10]) by
for <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 20:48:16 -0600 (CST)
  by pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu (8.8.4/8.8.4) with internal
  id SAA03881; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:10 -0800 (PST)
Date: Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:10 -0800 (PST)
From: Mail Delivery Subsystem <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: 
boundary="SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu"
Subject: Returned mail: User unknown
Auto-Submitted: auto-generated (failure)

This is a MIME-encapsulated message

--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu

The original message was received at Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:09 -0800 (PST)
from hircismus.net.CSUChico.EDU [204.119.194.10]

   - The following addresses had permanent fatal errors -
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
(expanded from: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>)

   - Transcript of session follows -
... while talking to spam.ecst.csuchico.edu.:
>>> RCPT To:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
<<< 550 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>... User unknown
550 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>... User unknown

--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu

Reporting-MTA: dns; pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu
Received-From-MTA: DNS; hircismus.net.CSUChico.EDU
Arrival-Date: Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:09 -0800 (PST)

Final-Recipient: RFC822; <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Action: failed
Remote-MTA: DNS; spam.ecst.csuchico.edu
Last-Attempt-Date: Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:10 -0800 (PST)

--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu

Return-Path: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
  id SAA03879 for <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 18:48:09 -
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
([EMAIL PROTECTED] [130.179.16.47]) by
for <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 20:48:00 -0600 (
Date:Thu, 16 Jan 97 20:01 CST
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

OMDear Pen-lers,

As many of you know, there is in preparation the Encyclopaedia of
Political Economy (EPE) under the general editorship of Phil Ohara
at Curtin University in Perth Australia which involves quite a
 number on this list and also PKT.  This major volume is to be
published by Routledge.

Unfortunately, (for various reasons) there are still a number of entries
 that do not have authors and as the publishing deadline is fast approaching,
 Phil is seeking writers and asked me to post the list of items wanting
 authors to this list.  Now, from the discussion on this list, I know there
 are experts here that could write these entries in an evening, or who
 know who can.  I appeal to them to e-mail Phil at
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] and offer your expertise.

Paul Phillips


51. Entries in Need of Writers (as of 16 Jan 97)

53.
54. Business Cycles: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
55.
56. Work, labor and Production: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
57. Unions [1400 words]
58.
59. Increasing Returns to Scale [1500 words]
60. Verdoorn's Law [1200 words]
61. Okun's Law [1200 words]
62. Capital Reversing [1500 words]
63. Rate of Return Controversy [1000 words]
64.
65. Methodology: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
66. Methodology: History of in PE [1700 words]
PAUSE:
67. Foundationalism and Anti-Foundationalism in PE [1200]
68. International Network for Economic Methodology [400 words]
69.
70. Environmental & Ecological PE: History & Nature of [1700 words]
71. Environmental Accounting [1200 words]
72. Quality of Life [1
500 words]
73.
74. New Institutionalism [1400 words]
75. Social Control of Business [1200 words]
76. Centralised Private Sector Planning System [1400 words]
77.
78. Finance Capital [1000]
79. Financial Innovation [1500 words]
80. Crime [1500 words]
81. Justice [1400]
82. Rent Seeking and Vested Interests [1400 words]
83. Overhead Costs (J.M. Clark)[1200]
84. Conference of Socialist Economists [1000 words]
85.
86. Please do let me know if you
 are interested, or can suggest
87. possible writers. They would have to be written by mid-late
88. February at the latest.
89.
PAUSE:
90.
91.
92. =
93.
94. Phillip O'Hara, Department of Economics
95. Curtin University of Technology
96. GPO Box U1987, Perth. 6001 Australia
97. email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
98. Fax: +61-9-351-3026
99. Tel: +61-9-351-7761 (work - message machine)
   100.:   451-2618 (home)


--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu--





[PEN-L:8175] Farriers

1997-01-10 Thread PHILLPS

I hope it was on Pen-l and not PKT but there has been
a stream that has disparaged farriers (for the unitiated,
working class people who treat horses feet -- formerly known
as blacksmiths.)  This is totally inappropriate.  First of all,
if you have ever done it as I have, it is backbreaking work.
Farriers should be praised as the greatest of the working class.
But, I think that the real reason is that readers of this list
think that riding horses is a luxury, a measure of moral degradation,
a sinful extravegance that should be taxed out of existance.

Well, you are nuts.  I have two horses for the purpose of playing
polo.  It is an ecologically benign sport (unlike most other sports)
which gives me and the horses great pleasure.  (You don't think they
like it?  Well come and see me when I yell into the pasture "polo"
and they come running up to be saddled.)  My wife and I have also
ridden the (fox) hunt (not a live hunt) for a number of years which
the horses really enjoy.

So don't knock the farriers.  They also do the feet of the so-called
"working-horses", the heavy (draught) horses that are still used
here, and the light horses that are still used in Ontario by the
Old Order Mennonites as their prime sources of transporation and
motive power.  And they do the feet of my horses that are my prime
recreation vehicle.  Far more ecologically benign than those of you
who play golf or ride bycycles on paved hiways.

Nayhh!
Paul
Paul Phillips
University College,
University of Manitoba




[PEN-L:8173] Long Waves -- and a better question

1997-01-10 Thread PHILLPS


It seems to me that this whole discussion is taking place around
a very limited understanding of long wave/swing theory, of which
Schumpeter's model is only one (of many) theoretical variants.

First, there is the implication in this stream that there is
some form of cyclical nature to this phenomena (which by the
way is developed statistically in some detail and with impressive
econometric evidence in van Duijn's book, _The Long Wave in Economic
Life_) but there are two views on that.  One is that the long wave
is sinisoidal (i.e. wave-like) implying that the upswing is a
consequence of the downswing; the other that it is sigmoidal, implying
that each wave has a unique initiating factor.  The first, for instance,
is implicit in the Social Structure of Accumulation model where
institutional change is endogeous, the second in people like
Mandel and the French Regulationists where change is exogenous, or
at least not determinate in the model but determined by war, autonomous
technological change, etc.

Models have been developed for technological change -- e.g. the
"septic tank" model that requires the buildup of a minimum quantum of
investment inducing opportunities to promote a "fountain" of investment.
Others that deal with investment in infrastructure that, using purely
mathematical models, produces 'waves' of economic acitivity (e.g.
Forrester). The SSA model utilizes the  delays in the adjustment o
institutions for the periodization of the long wave phenomena.
In fact, the Schumpeterian explanation is one of the weaker
models of long-waves, though it can be utilized quite well to
explain long-wave development cycles/swings.

There is a host of theoretical models, some of the best being
developed by our late and greatly lamented colleague, David Gordon.
Since I have taught a graduate seminar in Long Wave, Social Structure
and Regulation Theory, I would be willing to share my reading
list with anyone really interested.  But, be forwarned, it is
long and may take some time before I can send it.

To Doug and Barkley, I think you should  move beyond the very
limited Schumpeter model and look at a lot of the other models
and explanations of long waves in economic activity.  If nothing
else, it makes great heuristic tools/

Paul
Paul Phillips,
University College,
University of Manitoba.




[PEN-L:7941] Cuba

1996-12-22 Thread PHILLPS

I, like many others on the list, were someone taken aback by Louis'
outrageous reaction to what to me seemed to be a very important and
interesting question posed by Peter.  Nor did I take Peter's
question to be some sort of Hayekian theoretical response to Louis
narrative of events in Cuba, but rather a practical question, what
was the role of central planning and the market in Cuban economy
and how is the central planning function made operational.  Indeed,
for economists interested in policy in socialist, or potential
socialist, economies, these are important issues that have been
under debate for most of this century.  While obviously, they
have become more important since the demise of the Stalinist
command system and the renewed interest in market socialism, they
have been present since the debate over the NEP in the 1920s.

I, for one, would like to see some debate on this issue -- and some
description of the planning mechanism in Cuba -- preferably after
the next week (as many people will have signed off for the holidays,
including myself).  In some of the discussions I have read recently,
planning in a market socialist system should (an can?) only be
indicative planning.  Others, hold to the view that only the
capital market need be comprehensively planned (a la Lange).  As I
understand what is happening in the foodmarkets of Cuba today,
basic subsistence levels are planned and distributed outside of
the market, surplus to these needs distributed by the market.

In any case, I hope to visit Cuba in the relatively near future and
wonder if anyone has any contacts among economists in or around
Havana who speak English and might be will to spend a few hours
with a visiting economist interested exactly in this issue -- how much
market and how much plan, and how is plan implemented.

Someone who wants to know (really Louis!)

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:7812] Stiglitz to WB

1996-12-11 Thread PHILLPS

Doug writes: >are the probems of the third world the result of
>information asymetry?

Yea, Doug: They know more about the US than the US does about them.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:7811] Serbian Crisis

1996-12-11 Thread PHILLPS

Just a quick response to Barkley and Sid.  According to local news
reports, the workers did not support some union leaders' calls to
join the demonstrations, which doesn't surprise me very much.  In
the interviews with the workers, they were more concerned with work
and wages (and a fear of losing their jobs) than they were with
the political basis of the demonstrations.

As to the dominant faction in the demonstrations, in all the
pictures in the newspapers here, the dominate face on the
signs the protesters are carrying is that of Vuk Draskovic, the
Serbian ultranationalist leader.  Some other were Serbian Orthodox
Church posters.

I did not mean to imply that the US was directly involved in the
organization of the original demonstrations, though since they
have occurred the US has obviously been backing the opposition with
threats to the Milosevic government of economic sanctions etc.
(Interestingly, when similar numbers of Canadian workers carried off
demonstrations in Toronto and Hamilton protesting neo-liberal
economic oppression on the poor and the public in Canada, the US
pretended it didn't even notice.  Shades of Milosevic).  What I
meant is that the US has been carrying on a campaign of destabilization
agains Yugoslavia, past and present, for 6 or 7 years and will not
giveup until it has a captive, rightwing government in place.
Milosevic, whatever his faults, is not a US puppet.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:7742] Re: Opposition in Serbia

1996-12-05 Thread PHILLPS


A short response to Barkley's queries and Marianne's brief
comment.
  First in direct response to Barkley's question about "to
what extent does workers' management survive in Servia?"
Unfortunately, I have to say, I don't know.  I was supposed
to visit Yugoslavia this spring but because of a mixup in
arrangements, I got only as far as Slovenia and a weekend on
the Croation coast.  That was one of the things I had wanted
to investigate.  The last time I was there, which was one
week before the sanctions were imposed, the state of affairs
was somewhat confused -- as they usually are these days in
Serbia.  Officially, self-management had ended and the managers
were in control, in capitalist style.  Unofficially, according
to the managers I talked to, although not required to do so
they had maintained their workers' councils as managing boards
so that, in effect, there was little change.  But that was --
what is it, 4 years ago?  What has happened since I do not know.
I suspect a lot will depend on how effective the unions have
been in maintaining a position of power in the workplace.  This
certainly has been a significant factor in Slovenia.

  I shudder a little at the prospect of the current opposition
coming to power.  If the news reports we get here are accurate --
and given my experience with  the reporting
throughout the Bosnian conflict, I don't have that much
confidence -- but if true, the leader of the opposition is Vuk
Draskovic who, as you may remember, was the right-wing nationalist
who exerted strong pressure on Milosevic to promote Serbian
nationalist goals, in collaboration with the Orthodox Church.  As
the war went on, he moved somewhat to the centre, in part to
distance himself from the neo-fascist Sesl and the Serbian Radical
Party.  However, the liberal-democratic opposition that was
supported by many of my academic friends, was fragmented, weak, and
unable to mobilize any popular support, in large measure because it
was led by ivory tower academics more concerned with theoretical
debate that popular organizing.  I would suspect, however, that
the opposition may not have much support among the rural Serb
population where Milosevic did have a strong power base.  Among
the blue collar workers, it is more problematic I suspect.  With
40% (?) unemployment, it may well be highly divided.

  In some respects, the opposition reminds me of the Tianamen Sq.
protests though I would not expect with the same final results.
Nevertheless, I have no doubt that the US is supporting the
opposition or even that it may have been involved in organizing
the protests.  But if it serves to bring to power the people
who the news reports suggest are behind it, this may not be good
news for the people of Yugoslavia or for the regions.  But then
the death and destruction wrought by US policy in the former
Yugoslavia is so enormous and sickening that a little dose of
killing and starvation in Serbia would hardly be noticed.

On a different, but related, topic, it is interesting to note
that the Anglican (Episcopal) Church of Canada has advised its
members not to take winter holidays in the US but to holiday in
Cuba as a Christian gesture to oppose Helms-Burton and American
imperialism against Cuba and the starvation of the Cuban people.
(This is the same church that in Britain is known as the
Conservative Party at Prayers!)

Dovidjenje,
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:7205] pomo and opera

1996-11-03 Thread PHILLPS

Maggie,
  Are you really saying that when you really found out what
the pomos were saying that you gave up reading them entirely?
Don't blame you, but the music is still beautiful!
  Paul



[PEN-L:7160] Pomo and Opera

1996-11-02 Thread PHILLPS

Bill mitchell likened the understanding of pomo with that of
opera and the need for "translation".  On that I do agree.

I did publish a couple of articles in the leading Canadian
post modern journal (which has since died due I believe to lack
of subscription support) but, to be honest, the only articles I
understood were those I wrote myself.  I find the language of
post modernism to be inpenetrable, not unlike the abstract math
of modern neoclassicism.  I keep asking students and colleagues
alike -- "what does it mean in terms of the behaviour of people.?"
Usually, the answer is as inarticulate as the original.

And that brings me to my favourite topic, opera.  Since bill is
a jazz fan, I can be an opera fan.  Yes he is absolutely correct.
The opera introduced "surtitles", a projection of a short translation
of the libretto (words) on a screen over the stage to allow those
people (the majority) who do not speak or understand the language
the opera is being sung in, to follow the story line of the opera
and to understand the language and emotions of what was being sung
at the time.

Surtitles were first introduced by the Canadian Opera Company which
was the pioneer in the field in the 1970s I believe.  The Manitoba
Opera Company introduced them shortly afterwards, when I was
vice president in charge of production and as a result of my motion
that we introduce surtitles in order to make opera more accessible
to young people and the "great unwashed" who had neither the time
nor money to buy and study translations etc.  As a matter of fact,
for a number of years I did the translations of the texts from Italian
or French and reduced the total text down to a "running simultaneous
translation" that made narrative (and poetic) sense without trying
to translate every word.  We then transferred all the text to slides
and I keyed every slide to the appropriate bar of music in the score.
During the opera, I (or someone who read music) sat beside the camera
person and told him/her when to change the slide as the music
progressed.  (You can't do it with a computer because different
singers and different conductors on different nights sing the opera
at different rates, never mind that the audience applauds longer on
different nights -- eg longer on Saturdays and shorter on Tuesdays.)

Some, perhaps even bill, might say why not sing it all in English.
Well, I am not a snob and am quite comfortable with opera in english.
Many companies make that kind of compromise -- particularly the
English National Opera which I think does all its productions in
English.  Unfortunately it is not that simple.  I remember going to
a production of Nabucco in Ljubljana where the principles sang in
Italian and the chorus sang in Slovenian.  Since I had just sung
the opera as a member of the chorus in Italian, I had some difficulty
in following the Slovenian chorus version.  Nevertheless the music
was, as always, beautiful.  But the point is, the way opera is
written is that the libretto (the poetry) was usually written first
and then given to the composer who fitted the music to the words.
It is difficult, then, to translate the words to fit the music.  If
you read some of the English translations of words for existing music,
it is quite ludicrous, sometimes even changing the meaning itself.
The fact is, french music is writen in the cadence of french
language, Italian music to Italian language, German music to german
language, Russian music to russian language etc.  For the recitative
(the chanted dialogue between arias and ensembles) translation is not
usually a problem.  For the arias and ensembles it is.  In some cases
we do the ultimate compromise -- sing therecitative in English and
the set musical pieces in the original language.

So what has all this to do with pomo.  Well, surely they (or someone)
has to translate their foreign tongue into one the majority of us
can understand.  Unless they do, they will be like the conservative
opera companies, catering only to those who know the language, or who
care only for the sound and not for the content.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:6771] Urban Growth and Professional Sports

1996-10-18 Thread PHILLPS

Dear Pen-ers,
Not that long ago there was a discussion on the net of the relation
between public expenditure on professional sports facilities and
urban welfare (I forget how defined).

A PhD student came to me today to ask about formal models of
urban economic growth with respect to professional sports teams
as "infrastructure" for a "world class city".  I argued that,
in fact, professional teams tended to be *negative* externalities
relative to amateur teams which is the opposite of which the city
and the (right-wing) provincial government argued when they wasted
30 million supporting the Winnipeg Jets for the year before the private
owners negotiated the best price to sell (Interestingly, the owners
transferred legal ownership out of the province to a numbered
company in Quebec during the time so they could avoid paying
capital gains taxes on the transactions.)  But all of this is perhaps
irrelevant.

Our student wants to know, what is the litterature about urban models
of sports (cultural) expenditure on subsidies and/or infrastructure on
economic growth (welfare?).  He is interested on the concept of
"externalities" in the provision of sports (cultural/recreational)
teams/facilities rather than the more usual multiplier effects of
such expenditures.

You may reply to me privately at <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> or, if
you think this is of more general interest, to the list.

My (and Our student's thanks),
Paul Phillips,
Economics and Labour Studies,
University of Manitoba.
Winnipeg, Manitoba.
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:6599] re: Big Mac Attack

1996-10-10 Thread PHILLPS

On most occassions I agree with Doug.  But now I am confused.  Within
the last couple of weeks two empty blocks at the end of my block have
been cleared and new construction begun.  One, is to construct a new
McDonalds outlet -- the other to construct a new Wendy's" outlet.  Now
I shouldn't let personal preferences dictate but I have never ever liked
any McDonalds product.  (When I visit my grandchildren I always give them
the option, any restaurant except McDonalds)  But I realize as an economist
that they are the market leader. (God knows why).
  Now Doug is arguing that they are competitive?  I find this  quite
ludicrous.  There is oligopistic competition ( go read Galbraith) but
it should probably be better described as rivalry rather than competition
 which,for better or worse, has become typified in neoclassical economics.
Once one accepts a non-comptetive product model (and labour model), the
whole edifice of neoclassical minimum wage analysis becomes a crock of ...
Why are we even bothering?



[PEN-L:6070] re: rethinking overdetermination

1996-09-09 Thread PHILLPS

I am a little suprised at a kind of a-historicism and cultural
insensitivity of Bill and  Doug with respect to both classical
music (in particular opera) and fold music a la Seeger et al.

With respect to opera, Verdi's music was considered so politically
dangerous by the elite that he was heavily censored on a number
of occasions by the political authorities.  Case in point was the
original version of Un Ballo in Maschera (Masked Ball) which
involved the murder of royalty in Sweden -- he was forced to
change it to a murder of a politician in Boston if I remember
correctly -- with the bad guys named Sam and Tom.  He was, himself,
politically active being elected a senator after the unification
of Italy as a liberal though he resigned because he did not like
political life.  However, his songs for the freedom of enslaved
(read political) peoples were extremely powerful and extremely
popular with the common people and a rallying cry against
political despotism.  Two pieces, in particular, became quite
famous for their appeal to the masses, the chorus of the oppressed
from McBeth, but most particularly, the chorus of the Hebrew slaves
from Nabucco.  It was the anthem of the revolutionary movement in
Italy and when Verdi died, his funeral procession was lined with
hundreds of thousands of working Italians who all new and sang it
as the procession passed by (Va pensiero!).  If you have ever heard
it or sung it, it really 'swings' and gives one goosebumps.  It is
still so popular that Nana Mouskouri wrote an upbeat 'freedom'
version of it and released it on one of her most recent "Classique"
album.  I heard her sing it at a sold-out concert a few years ago
in Winnipeg -- and the people at the concert were not 'the elite'
but mainly working-class people.  So a great deal of that music
can, and still does, move common people.  Another case in point,
at the local folk-music, jazz and local rock performance centre,
each year near easter, they sponsor a "sing-along" Handel's Messiah.
The place is packed and, believe me, not with the hoi poloi -- though
the conductor is usually the conductor of the Ballet co.  By the way,
one of the most recent popular CDs released in Winnipeg is a jazz
trio, featuring the piano jazz of the conductor of the Winnipeg
Symphony orchestra.

Now as to folk music.  Bill is a little young to remember, but
for many of us the Weavers were what woke us up to political
action.  And I can remember marching in the aldermaston anti-bomb
marches in London in the early 1960s with 44-50,000 people singing

"ban the bomb forever more" which was originally based on a
Welsh children's hymn "Calon Lan" and taken by Welsh miners
to the US where it became both a white gospel song and, in turn,
the miners union song, "union miner".  Over the last few years I
have sung with both the local opera company and with the Winnipeg
labour choir, a choir put together orignally to celebrate the
75th anniversary of the Winnipeg General Strike of 1919.  When
we sang at one union function and ended with the labour
anthem "solidarity forever", the labour audience jumped to their
feet their fists in the air and sang along, some with tears
running down their cheeks.  So don't tell me that kind of music
doesn't have the power to inspire and to bring emotion to people,
including a lot of young people.  At the winnipeg folk festival
this year there were 30,000 people -- a hell of a lot of them
teen agers.  An when a Celtic bank started a fast number, there
would be a thousand of them dancing in the grass.  So don't tell
me it doesn't swing either.

By the way, if it makes any difference, one of my favourite
performers is Bruce Springsteen.  Have any of you listened to
his latest, "The Ghost of Tom Joad".

Time to go listen to some music.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:5895] Medicare

1996-08-29 Thread PHILLPS

A short respose to Shawgi Tell on Canadian medicare.

1st, there are difficulties, primarily with reduction in funding
by the Federal government (though the provinces are not blameless
here).
2nd, there was a great need for reform in the system since it
discouraged _pre_ventative medicine in favour of crisis intervention
medicine and it encouraged high cost institutional care rather than
home care and other alternatives.
3rs, there is a real bias toward capital intensive hospital care in
our system  -- a bias that is expensive and, in medical terms,
inefficient.

The problem is that these probems can not be addressed easily at the
federal level which can only dictate the level of funding.  Furthermore,
the real escalation of costs has been in the cost of drugs that have
skyrocketed since Canada gave in to American pressure and extended
the patent protection to international drug companies such that the
cost of drugs now exceeds the cost of physician services in Canada.
In order to dealwith this problem, we will probably have to
cancel the Can-US free trade agreement.  This may be a necessary
precondition of providing affordable health care in Canada -- and
probably the US as well.

Nevertheless, Shawgi Tell's analysis is symplistic and does little
to help us save medicare in Canada.

On the line for health care,

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:5033] Payroll taxes

1996-07-09 Thread PHILLPS

I have been invited to do an article for the local newspaper on
the pros and cons of payroll taxes and their effects on
employment.

Does anyone on the list have suggestions for studies, articles,
etc. that they could recommend?

Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba.
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:3674] Graduate Schools in Sustainable Development

1996-04-08 Thread PHILLPS

Pen-lers,

I have a student -- a very good student -- who is looking for a
university to do a graduate degree in.  She is interested in a
non-neoclassical approach to environmental economics and
sustainable development.  She has a particular interest in
institutional economics as a framework for further theoretical
work in this context.  She asked me for advice as to where I
would recommend she might apply to  -- not necessarily this year,
but next year when she finishes her honours degree.  She is not
limited to North America, only to English speaking institutions.

Can some on the list give me suggestions of where she might
consider applying?

Thanks,
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba.
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:3329] Bercuson

1996-03-12 Thread PHILLPS

Ken Hanley posted a negative review of David Bercuson's work yesterday
on the net.  I would like to qualify somewhat this view.  Bercuson
did some quite excellent work early in his career.  He worked with
Kenneth McNaught,a well respected social democratic historian, in
his PhD thesis on the Winnipeg General Strike.  His book on the
One Big Union _Fools and Wisemen_, though not without problems, is
still a very good book.  I contributed to his collection on
Canadian federalism, more years ago than I want to mention, though
I still think the volume is worth reading. (Hey, naked promotionism!).

However, I think his more recent work is rightwing, nativist (in the
worst sence) and anti-intellectual.  I consider it rather sad to
see the degeneration of a rather accomplished scholar to a kind of
narrow "reformer".  But then, I have been told that the whole
history department at Calgary (devastated by cutbacks) has been
reduced to a department of regimental military historians celebrating
death and gore in the past, and ignoring society, past and present.

In sorrow,
Paul Phillips



[PEN-L:3246] Classics

1996-03-04 Thread PHILLPS

At Manitoba we require history of thought at the honours level as a
requirement for an honours degree.  Anyone entering the PhD program
is required either to have honours level history or thought and
at least one course in economic history, or if the student doesn't
have them on entry, must take one full year of history of thought and
one full year of economic history.  We, therefore, offer history of
thought at the 4th year honours level every year, and a graduate
course every other year.  But then we also teach graduate and
honours level theory courses in alternative macro (post Keynesian and
Marxian) and alternative micro (Marxian and Neo-Ricardian).  In
all these various courses, the classics are read in the original.

Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:2872] property and brogas

1996-02-10 Thread PHILLPS

  I have to agree totally wil Leo Casey "The notion that property
can be enforced as antything less than a civil right, that is,
within the state, (!!!)is, quite simply, dead wrong."  My point
exactly.
  And for those of you who don't know about Brolgas (from Barkeley's
post), here is the verse from my favourite song:

"The pelican and the crane they came in from the plain,
to amuse the company with a Higland fling;
The dear old bandicoot played  a tune apon his flute,
and the native bears sat round them in a ring.
The BROGA and the crow san a son of long ago,
The frill-necked  lizard listened with a smile,
and the Emu standing near with his claw up to his ear,
Said, "Funniest thing I've heard for quite a while."

Ask Bill what a Broga looks like! (Steeve might be able to help?)

Mishiveously,
Paul,
Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:2858] Rousseau on property

1996-02-09 Thread PHILLPS

I am afraid that my rather crude attempt at levity on this matter
was taken rather too seriously than I intended by Justin. At the
same time, there was a point behind it.  I object to the idea that
property rights are "granted" by the state.  Indeed, I would
argue (and this is the point of the quote from justice Bazalon) that
the causation is the reverse -- the state was created to protect the
rights of private property.  The courts have merely given the stamp
of legal protection to property rights claimed by those who have
already accumulated property.  This was the point of the quote
of Proudhon and was in keeping with the "quotes of the day" from
St. Thomas More and (help me out Peter), St. 'A'.  And, to finish
it off, my slogan "expropriate wealth" was in keeping with the
belief, so strongly advance by Trond, and supported by Judaic
teaching, in the necessity of a 'jubilee'.  But, perhaps I missed
something?

Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba



[PEN-L:2841] Rousseau on property

1996-02-08 Thread PHILLPS

Why are we quoting this long dead promoter of individualism?
Why not Proudhon?  "Property is Theft"!
Or, why not look at contemporary American jurisprudence.
"Property is never for long anything more or, really, anything
different from what some politically appointed court says it is."
(David Bazelon, in David Mermelstein, ECONOMICS, (1970)).
"Expropriate wealth!"
Paul Phillips,
University of Manitoba



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