Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Re: Betmoose is taking over where Intrade left off [image: Post] by *ko * » Sun Jun 29,

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

LENR-Invest Fund invested in Lenuco, the startup of George Miley 12 hours ago http://www.lenr-forum.com/forum/index.p ... rge-Miley/ New LENR-Invest, the LENR investment fund r

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

An interesting exchange I had on the CYPW Cycone Power message boards that seems appropriate for this thread. http://finance.yahoo.com/mb/forumview/?&v=m&bn=6ed54729-7ab6-30d3-94f3-a20d6f37996d - Reply to hellokevin and CYPW pumping

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Wed, Jun 4, 2014 at 3:41 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > H Veeder wrote: > > >> How do you view the decision to not build a higher sea wall? >> > > Unfortunate. But understandable. The previous tsunami of this magnitude > occurred in 869 AD. There were records of it, and even man-markers of the > h

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

H Veeder wrote: > How do you view the decision to not build a higher sea wall? > Unfortunate. But understandable. The previous tsunami of this magnitude occurred in 869 AD. There were records of it, and even man-markers of the high water mark. But I think experts assumed the ancient records wer

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 11:40 PM, Eric Walker wrote: > If it can be commercialized, and it > doesn't cause cancer within a 2 km radius or beckon forth giant sea > monsters, Hah! Release the Kraken! http://elmisa.deviantart.com/art/Kraken-v2-424365880

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 1:42 PM, Alain Sepeda wrote: be sure all the people will consider cold fusion as a black swan event, > while it is predictable in principle since 1990, and more or less planned > since 2010. > I think the spread of cold fusion will be a black swan event, even if we've seen

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 7:49 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > James Bowery wrote: > >> Whenever you see some idiot standing on a bully pulpit in media, >> government and/or academia and saying "Who could have foreseen?" You can >> bet someone did foresee it and not just because a broken clock is right >

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

James Bowery wrote: Whenever you see some idiot standing on a bully pulpit in media, government > and/or academia and saying "Who could have foreseen?" You can bet someone > did foresee it and not just because a broken clock is right twice a day. > Yes, indeed. The Three Mile Island disaster w

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

One point where you probably agree is that many blackswan were in fact ignored voluntarily, like cold fusion is. >From the point of view of mainstream many things were unpredictable, yet some like Roubini predicted them in detail.* I din not read the blackswan, but antifragile. and this author is

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Whenever you see some idiot standing on a bully pulpit in media, government and/or academia and saying "Who could have foreseen?" You can bet someone did foresee it and not just because a broken clock is right twice a day. On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 2:58 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > Alain Sepeda wro

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Alain Sepeda wrote: One basic of Taleb philosophy is that knowing what will be good or bad, > innovation or crackpots, is often not possible. > I was not impressed by Taleb's book "The Black Swan." I disagreed with most of the examples of things that he claimed were not anticipated by experts.

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

One basic of Taleb philosophy is that knowing what will be good or bad, innovation or crackpots, is often not possible. Another is that if you have skin in the game, will pay your faults, you will instinctively better use the information you have. this is one basic idea to prefer entrepreneurs t

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Mon, Jun 2, 2014 at 10:18 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > "The difference between a visionary and a crackpot is that the > visionary turns out to be right"... Given, otherwise, he would simply be another crackpot.

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

the position of Nassim Nicholas Taleb is that history is written (not rewritten) by the losers, the academics, because they own the books of history. This is why in most official history the role of theory is very overstated, that the initial discoverers who observed anomalies without the least th

RE: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Kevin sez: ... "The difference between a visionary and a crackpot is that the visionary turns out to be right"... History is always revised by the victor. All good points, Kevin. Regards, Steven Vincent Johnson svjart.orionworks.com

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Those are great examples. But your writing is so superior that I shouldn't be reading it on the web for free. It should have been in your book. The counterexamples would include the guys who built videogames into a huge, legitimate industry that drove CPU clock speeds; the Wright brothers & A.I.

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Kevin O'Malley wrote: It's my understanding that people in high demand in the media get paid for > their appearances. And they go on lecture tours, where the lecture fees > paid to them can run into 6 figures per lecture. That's how famous you > could become. > That sounds like fun! But I have

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

I tried a minor alteration of this report and got this error message: An error has been detected. You have reached your quota limit. Please try again later. Basically, I'm not interested in metrics that aren't freely available on the web. On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 11:11 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wr

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Uh, yeah... what he said. He's just so much more eloquent than I am. Mats Lewan wrote his book. I never heard of Mats before Rossi came on the scene. I heard of Jed well before that. Write that book, Jed. Before the media frenzy. Because after the media shark feeding festival starts, you wo

RE: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Jed sez: > I have often said I wish I had the movie rights to cold fusion, > but alas I do not. I assume you are being a little snarky here. In which case, who the hell does? In the meantime, what's stopping you from writing a personal account, one that is strategically sprinkled with

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

It's my understanding that people in high demand in the media get paid for their appearances. And they go on lecture tours, where the lecture fees paid to them can run into 6 figures per lecture. That's how famous you could become. You could also close off Lenr-canr.org to all but paying members

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Kevin O'Malley wrote: I want their money, not a mass media circus they might trigger. > ***Jed, I like to think you are probably one of the few that will > financially benefit from such a mass media circus. > How?!? Tell me how I might make a buck from this. I have often said I wish I had the m

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

I strongly recommend the book "The Innovator's Dilemma." I discussed in my book. - Jed

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Interesting point. I was not aware of that aspect of their development. Are they trying to be so oil-independent that they refuse to use it as a lubricant? That would be stupid. On Sat, May 31, 2014 at 10:16 PM, Terry Blanton wrote: > On Sun, Jun 1, 2014 at 12:18 AM, Kevin O'Malley > wrote:

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Sun, Jun 1, 2014 at 12:18 AM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > CYPW: 10% > ***Unhealthy penny stock due to development money starvation. In the past > it has seen a >100x spike based upon conventional news. Dr. Yeong Kim > consults with them. If this black swan event does not happen in 2 years, > th

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

I don't think CPST will be pissing off their customers by jumping on CF when it breaks out. It will be their customers who will be pissing off the oil & gas industry. When hard drive manufacturers started selling to PC vendors, they didn't stop selling to minicomputer vendors. They just stopped

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

You're right, even better. They're trading at about $1.50/share. On Sat, May 31, 2014 at 9:25 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > "CPST: 10% > ***Reasonably healthy penny stock that should be reasonably healthy in 2 > years + 1 day. " > > CPST is listed on the nasdaq with a 496.52M market cap. Th

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

"CPST: 10% ***Reasonably healthy penny stock that should be reasonably healthy in 2 years + 1 day. " CPST is listed on the nasdaq with a 496.52M market cap. They are not a penny stock. On Sat, May 31, 2014 at 9:18 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > Interesting portfolio. There's a couple of hitche

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

I'm going to remove CPST from the portfolio. They are in bed with the oil & gas industry. I think they will piss off their customers if they jump on CF. FSLR Put Options (2 years): 50% XOM Put Options (2 years): 20% CYPW: 20% I agree we need to find more companies that make thermocouples and ste

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Interesting portfolio. There's a couple of hitches in yer giddyup. FSLR Put Options (2 years): 60% XOM Put Options (2 years): 20% ***I dunno how to do put options, and if the breakout comes in 2 years + 1 day, you lost everything without the benefit of what you were actually betting on. CPST:

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

I want their money, not a mass media circus they might trigger. ***Jed, I like to think you are probably one of the few that will financially benefit from such a mass media circus. On Sat, May 31, 2014 at 4:24 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > Patrick Ellul wrote: > > >> But remember the chain: >> >>

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

"Are you here to make a buck on fellow vorticians?" Yes ***Then my criticism of you is justified.

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Here's a possible portfolio so far: FSLR Put Options (2 years): 60% XOM Put Options (2 years): 20% CPST: 10% CYPW: 10% Entry will occur on a combination of google trends and when these equities make coordinated movements that aren't influenced by other factors such as general market conditions.

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Sat, May 31, 2014 at 2:17 PM, Eric Walker wrote: > On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 11:11 PM, Blaze Spinnaker < > blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote: > > If we decide the report is fully credible and those graphs make historical >> highs, I think that's a good time to short. >> > > I'm less confident on g

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Patrick Ellul wrote: > But remember the chain: > > Rossi -> Tom Darden (Cherokee/IH) -> Bill McDonough ( Cherokee/McDonough > Challenge) > ->Larry Page, Richard Branson, Elon Musk, Jimmy Wales etc > Yup. That is who I had in mind. So far there is nothing in the mass media. I suppose those peop

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

You are so right Jed. (not that it means anything from me) But remember the chain: Rossi -> Tom Darden (Cherokee/IH) -> Bill McDonough ( Cherokee/McDonough Challenge) ->Larry Page, Richard Branson, Elon Musk, Jimmy Wales etc see: https://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/HO64ew8KwyUfNz-RD63k69MTjNZE

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Eric Walker wrote: I'm less confident on getting the timing right for a breakout development > than you. Even if we saw a spike of interest comparable to the one shown > for the first Elforsk test, I very much doubt there will be more publicity > following upon it than happened the last time. >

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Some people though, I guesss, for whatever bizarre reasons I'll never > understand - profoundly believe they don't deserve it. > Goodness gracious! Who do you have in mind? Tell them to send me their share of the moola. When they gave Martin Fleischmann a medal at an

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 11:11 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: If we decide the report is fully credible and those graphs make historical > highs, I think that's a good time to short. > I'm less confident on getting the timing right for a breakout development than you. Even if we saw a spike of inter

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

"Are you here to make a buck on fellow vorticians?" Yes, but I'd like to think everyone here can share in the wealth if they were paying attention. Certainly they deserve it. Some people though, I guesss, for whatever bizarre reasons I'll never understand - profoundly believe they don't deserv

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Terry Blanton wrote: > > Nuh-uh. It is 7.64%. You forgot to take into account the Coriolis effect > on > > this year's election cycle. > > I think you rounded up when you should have rounded down. I get 7.63%. > ;-) > You must be in Australia. - Jed

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Sat, May 31, 2014 at 7:47 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > Kevin O'Malley wrote: > >> >> Looks like I'll need to revise my estimate downwards, YET AGAIN, that >> Blaze will pull it out. Down to 7.88%. > > > Nuh-uh. It is 7.64%. You forgot to take into account the Coriolis effect on > this year's ele

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Kevin O'Malley wrote: > Looks like I'll need to revise my estimate downwards, YET AGAIN, that > Blaze will pull it out. Down to 7.88%. > Nuh-uh. It is 7.64%. You forgot to take into account the Coriolis effect on this year's election cycle. - Jed

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

You've been trying to milk Vortex members since you first arrived. Otherwise, you would have explained how to short long ago. Not only did you shy away from your original 10:1 odds that I jumped at, but you haven't done anything to further vortician interests since you've been aboard. Otherwise,

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Ok sure, not really we, but rather "vortex". There's a group of folks of vortex that I feel are fairly credible / not gullible. They reacted very smartly to defkalion, so I'll be looking to their reaction to this report carefully. They have a track record of being correct which is what bayesian

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

"If we decide" Exactly how is that supposed to play out in your mind? And note that you overlook (so far) entirely the mechanics & how-to's of shorting oil, Exxon, Solar, or anything else. It has been posted before, on your own thread... that you have abandoned. http://www.mail-archive.com/v

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Eric, take a look at this: http://www.google.ca/trends/explore#q=lenr%2C%20andrea%20rossi%2C%20e-cat&cmpt=q If we decide the report is fully credible and those graphs make historical highs, I think that's a good time to short. On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 9:58 PM, Eric Walker wrote: > On Fri, May

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

I probably inferred too much by thinking that there are rumors about cold fusion circulating among a wider audience, ***I would hope there's a wider audience, such as among the decision makers at the X prize committee like Peter Diamandis. But I doubt it. There's a lack of true scientific thinki

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 10:12 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: ***What rumors are those? Is this the same X prize popularity contest that > I submitted was exactly the same as my FQXI essay about the LENR incentive > prize? > I had in mind this quote from a link you shared [1] two days ago: After par

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 9:58 PM, Eric Walker wrote: >(Note that rumors already appear to be circulating, e.g., in connection > with the X Prize.) A year or two after? > ***What rumors are those? Is this the same X prize popularity contest that I submitted was exactly the same as my FQXI es

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Yup. Blaze ignored that issue as well on his own thread. I imagine he'll ignore it on this thread as well. http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l%40eskimo.com/msg93568.html On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 9:58 PM, Eric Walker wrote: > On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 2:19 AM, Blaze Spinnaker > wrote: > > Star

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 2:19 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: Start shorting any of the alt energy plays. > The challenge with short selling is when to start? Immediately? A few weeks or months after news of cold fusion is starting to spread? (Note that rumors already appear to be circulating, e.g.

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

So of all the things to focus on in that post, Blaze chooses to pick gnat shit out of pepper. Looks like I'll need to revise my estimate downwards, YET AGAIN, that Blaze will pull it out. Down to 7.88%. Does Blaze want to further LENR or its advocates? Only his hairdresser knows for sure. On

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

Price weighted volume for CYPW is not 5x avg, it's less than 1x On Fri, May 30, 2014 at 2:47 AM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > I went for CYPW, Cyclone Power. Dr. Kim consults for them. They're an > unhealthy penny stock so it's real cheap with a high upside potential. > Today's volume was 5Millio

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

I went for CYPW, Cyclone Power. Dr. Kim consults for them. They're an unhealthy penny stock so it's real cheap with a high upside potential. Today's volume was 5Million shares, about triple the usual. Perhaps Capstone Turbine would be a better choice: CPST On the plus side, they have product