[EM] Re: Definite Majority Choice, AWP, AM

2005-03-31 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Jobst Heitzig [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: Definite Majority Choice, AWP, AM The following proves that the only immune candidate is the least approved not strongly defeated candidate, assuming no pairwise defeat or approval ties: Let A be that candidate, with approval a. To prove that

[EM] DMC,AWP,AM

2005-03-30 Thread Forest Simmons
Chris, I wonder if the following Approval Margins Sort (AMS) is equivalent to your Approval Margins method: 1. List the alternatives in order of approval with highest approval at the top of the list. 2. While any adjacent pair of alternatives is out of order pairwise ... among all such

[EM] Re: DMC,AWP,AM

2005-03-30 Thread Forest Simmons
On Wed, 30 Mar 2005, Forest Simmons wrote: Chris, I wonder if the following Approval Margins Sort (AMS) is equivalent to your Approval Margins method: 1. List the alternatives in order of approval with highest approval at the top of the list. 2. While any adjacent pair of alternatives is out

[EM] Approval Strategy

2005-03-29 Thread Forest Simmons
Basic Approval Strategies: 1. Given a list L of winning probabilities for the various alternatives, you should approve an alternative A if and only if it is more likely that the winner will be worse than A than that it will be better than A. That's the recommendation when the alternatives are

[EM] Re: Democratic Fair Choice

2005-03-29 Thread Forest Simmons
For those who are not ready to consider randomization, I suggest that you at least consider the ballot type and its utilization for gathering the pairwise and approval information (steps 1 through 3, below). (Ninety percent seriously) I suggest that we start with any good method that makes

Re: [EM] median rating / lower quartile

2005-03-28 Thread Forest Simmons
I would just like to point out that median rating is to range voting as Bucklin is to Borda. This was noted back in the days when we first considered Majority Choice Approval (Bucklin based on CR ballots of resolution 3), and were exploring to see if there might be any fruitful generalization

[EM] Re: Democratic Fair Choice

2005-03-28 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 29 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: Dear Folks! Under the working title Democratic Fair Choice, I described on our Wiki a detailed voting procedure composed from ideas by Forest (most) and me (some): http://wiki.electorama.com/wiki/Imagine_Democratic_Fair_Choice I tried to make it more

[EM] Manipulation Proofing Approval

2005-03-28 Thread Forest Simmons
Approval's weakness is that it is vulnerable to media manipulation. To counteract this we could look at all of the approval winners under all possible media manipulations, and then choose by random ballot from these. Less ambitious, but feasible and adequate: Choose by random ballot from among

[EM] Re: Quartiles for CR

2005-03-25 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Fri, 25 Mar 2005 09:25:46 +0100 From: Jobst Heitzig [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Andrew: Sincere methodsd ... The median is a simpler, more accurate, and more robust measure of social utility than the sum! It has the additional advantage that we need not assume that utilities possess

[EM] Re: Approval Questions

2005-03-24 Thread Forest Simmons
Sorry, I was thinking in terms of equilibria that are stable under Rob's ballot-by-ballot DSV procedure. On Wed, 23 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: Dear Forest! You answered to me: The point is that when all ways to fill in the ballot are admissible strategies, there is never as group strategy

[EM] Re: public acceptability

2005-03-24 Thread Forest Simmons
From: James Green-Armytage [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] I forgot something important... James wrote... I forgot to mention something important before I sent my last post, CWO may be worth fighting for. I wrote: Here is one possible progression for single winner elections (to

[EM] Re: Sincere Methods

2005-03-24 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Wed, 23 Mar 2005 18:50:26 +0100 From: Jobst Heitzig [EMAIL PROTECTED] There is no sincere way to specify utilities. Prove me wrong and tell me what a sincere utility could possibly be! How about the probability that the candidate in question would represent me accurately in his vote on a

[EM] Re: Approval Questions

2005-03-24 Thread Forest Simmons
On Fri, 25 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: Forest, you wrote: Sorry, I was thinking in terms of equilibria that are stable under Rob's ballot-by-ballot DSV procedure. And: In Rob's algorithm, once A is in the lead, the ABC voters stop approving B. But why should they do so when A wins already? They

[EM] ruminations on ordinal and cardinal information

2005-03-22 Thread Forest Simmons
On Sun, 20 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: Dear Russ! I completely agree with what you wrote! Just like you, I think that an ideal election method must integrate both ordinal and cardinal information, and the cardinal information should be simple approval (yes/no for each candidate). I would even

[EM] Re: a name for random ballot from P

2005-03-22 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 22 Mar 2005, Monkey Puzzle wrote: Jobst, could you please clarify below? On Mon, 21 Mar 2005 16:56:06 -0800 (PST), Forest Simmons wrote: On Sat, 19 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: By the way, here's a simple procedural version of the method, to be used in meetings: First, options may

[EM] Dyadic Weighted Pairwise ( was S/WPO )

2005-03-22 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 22 Mar 2005, James Green-Armytage wrote: James G-A replying to Forest, on the subject of cardinal-weighted pairwise (CWP)... I've delayed bringing this up because I didn't want to dampen your spirits; I think that Cardinal Pairwise suffers from a bunching up near the extremes problem

[EM] Ted's DMC proposal

2005-03-21 Thread Forest Simmons
Ted, it looks like most list members prefer ordinal ballots with approval cutoffs to graded ballots. Perhaps those of us who like graded ballots are not vocal enough. I like graded ballots, and I think that (for public proposal) the standard A,B,C,D,F scale is sufficient, with C as the default

RE: [EM] Re: Ted's DMC proposal

2005-03-21 Thread Forest Simmons
On Mon, 21 Mar 2005, Paul Kislanko wrote: At the risk of both complicating the discussion and (again) showing some ignorance, I think the analogies are not quite precise and possibly not as intuitive as it may seem. Everybody understands the concept of grades, but in the classroom situation all

[EM] Re: a name for random ballot from P

2005-03-21 Thread Forest Simmons
On Sat, 19 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: ... However, one could make a minor modification which would only seldom be used: Determine P, and as long as all of P is beaten by a candidate outside P, add the most approved such candidate to P. I will try to prove its monotonicity... That would be nice

Re: [EM] ruminations on ordinal and cardinal information

2005-03-21 Thread Forest Simmons
On Sun, 20 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: Dear Russ! I completely agree with what you wrote! Just like you, I think that an ideal election method must integrate both ordinal and cardinal information, and the cardinal information should be simple approval (yes/no for each candidate). I would even

Re: [EM] ruminations on ordinal and cardinal information

2005-03-21 Thread Forest Simmons
Sorry! I hit the wrong key on that previous message. Please don't include it in the message digest! Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Re: majority rule vs. maximum approval (was: least additional votes)

2005-03-18 Thread Forest Simmons
On Fri, 18 Mar 2005, James Green-Armytage wrote: James G-A replying to Forest I should have made it more clear that I wasn't talking exclusively about 100% consensus, though that is the (usually impossible) democratic ideal. But the greater the consensus, the better. If no significant consensus is

[EM] Full Majority as Part of Strong Defeat

2005-03-17 Thread Forest Simmons
Jobst, the more I think about it, the more I like your idea (influenced by Kevin) of requiring full majorities for strong defeat. I don't think that we lose any of the basic properties, and it solves Kevin's 49C, 24B, 27AB problem without the additional randomness that I was beginning to

[EM] TSA/DMC, etc. (was Total Approval Ranked Pairs)

2005-03-17 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Thu, 17 Mar 2005 13:14:10 -0800 From: Araucaria Araucana [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: Total Approval Ranked Pairs Ted wrote: About the Approval Cutoff Candidate, as both name and concept. In general I think it is an excellent idea, but I would still suggest using graded ballots

[EM] Dyadic Approval and Bubble Sorted Approval (fwd)

2005-03-17 Thread Forest Simmons
Here's most of a message I sent to Ted Stern recently, but I'm not sure if his new email server allowed it past the filter. I like the idea of Grade ballots and the use of Cardinal Ratings for seeding the bubble sort. I'm not sure how much temptation there would be to distort the ratings,

Re: [EM] Total Approval Ranked Pairs

2005-03-16 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Tue, 15 Mar 2005 21:49:20 -0800 From: Russ Paielli [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: Total Approval Ranked Pairs To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Russ worried that putting in an approval cutoff might be too costly. The cost is the same as adding one extra candidate, the ACC (Approval Cutoff

[EM] a name for random ballot from P

2005-03-16 Thread Forest Simmons
Before I read your post I proposed a Madison Avenue style name of Majority Fair Chance. It's not very scientific. Perhaps, Fair Chance Democratic Choice would be better, though still not taxonomically descriptive. I don't think it has quite enough randomness in it for the tough examples.

Re: [EM] About random election methods

2005-03-15 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Mon, 14 Mar 2005 22:03:25 -0800 From: Russ Paielli [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] About random election methods Russ wrote to Andrew: Andrew, I think voters will reject any method that isn't deterministic. Barring actual numerical ties, why should the selection of the winner depend in

[EM] How to describe RAV/ARC

2005-03-15 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 15 Mar 2005, Ted Stern wrote: I don't think anybody could argue with that. Bart inoculated me against ever using that sentence :') Here's my sales pitch (to EM members) for RAV/ARC: When candidate X beats Y in both approval and by head-to-head choice, let's say that X strongly beats Y.

[EM] Re: least additional votes

2005-03-15 Thread Forest Simmons
A variation on least additional votes: Let f(A) be the fewest number of additional ballots (by friends of A) that can turn A into the CW. Let g(A) be the fewest number of additional ballots (by opponents of A) that can turn A into the Condorcet Loser. In other words g(A) is the same as the

[EM] Re: majority rule vs. maximum approval (was: least additional votes)

2005-03-15 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 15 Mar 2005, James Green-Armytage wrote: James G-A replying to Forest Simmons, about fundamental Condorcet vs. approval issues James opined that the winner should always come from the Smith set because otherwise majority rule is violated more than necessary. However, it seems to me

[EM] Re: Total Approval Ranked Pairs (Was Re: Ted's Total Approval Beatpath)

2005-03-14 Thread Forest Simmons
Here's the original recursive procedure that I gave for Approval Seeded Bubble Sort: 1. List the candidates in order of approval, from top to bottom. 2. Percolate the bottom candidate as far as possible up the recursively sorted list of the other candidates. How's that for concise? Jobst is

[EM] least additional votes

2005-03-14 Thread Forest Simmons
James opined that the winner should always come from the Smith set because otherwise majority rule is violated more than necessary. However, it seems to me that majority is just one form of consensus. Max approval is another form. Consider (sincere) 52 ABC 48 BCA Candidate B is the max approval

[EM] Ted's Total Approval Beatpath

2005-03-12 Thread Forest Simmons
Dear Ted, Your TAB method is what I used to call Approval Seeded Bubble Sort. Then after a year of thinking that it was my invention I came across an article about the Kemeny Order in which the authors called our bubble sort process Local Kemenization and suggested using it as a way of refining

[EM] Approval/Condorcet Compromise

2005-03-12 Thread Forest Simmons
Kevin's Approval Runoff in which low approval candidates are eliminated until there is a Condorcet Winner, can also be described as follows: Pick the lowest approval score candidate that beats all of the candidates with greater approval scores. Proof of equivalence: Kevin's winner KW has to

[EM] Chain Climbing -- Chain Filling

2005-03-11 Thread Forest Simmons
Ted, Thanks for your thoughtful critique. I have been thinking along similar lines for different reasons, mainly a desire to achieve IDPA. Unfortunately, reverse TACC is not monotonic with respect to approval. If the winner moves up to the top approval slot without also becoming the CW, she

[EM] Approval/Condorcet

2005-03-11 Thread Forest Simmons
I agree with Russ that Kevin's Approval Runoff method (eliminate lowest approval candidates until there is a CW) is a decent public proposal. It would be interesting to compare that method with what I call TACF, Total Approval Chain Filling: Proceeding from the highest approval candidate to

[EM] Re: is the Raynaud method Smith-efficient

2005-03-09 Thread Forest Simmons
James, your proof is sound, but here's a shorter one based on Kevin's comment: Raynaud eliminates candidates one by one until there is only one candidate left. At some stage the Smith set must have only one candidate A left. This candidate A is not beaten pairwise by any of the remaining

[EM] Approval/Condorcet Compromise

2005-03-09 Thread Forest Simmons
Most of the proposed Approval/Condorcet Compromises assume that the CW is more desirable than the Approval Winner when they are not the same candidate, i.e. the Approval Winner is only to be considered when there is no CW available. That seems to me like a kind of one sided approach to

Re: [EM] Re: chain climbing methods

2005-03-09 Thread Forest Simmons
Jobst, I'm worried about a kind of incentive for insincere voting: Consider x ABC y BCA z CAB where max{x,y,z} 50%, x+y+z=100%. If we do random ballot chain climbing, then the respective winning probabilities for A, B, and C are z, x, and y. Supporters of A have an incentive (up to a certain

Re: [EM] Re: chain climbing methods

2005-03-07 Thread Forest Simmons
On Mon, 7 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: ... Perhaps I should make clear again why I propose randomization in the first place: ... Methods such as Condorcet Lottery, RBCC, and RBACC accomplish this ... But the Condorcet Lottery picks the CW with certainty when there is one. Wouldn't this

[EM] Re: chain climbing methods

2005-03-05 Thread Forest Simmons
My email server was down for a while, but I'm glad to see this message from Jobst. I like the TACC option the best, but I would like to suggest the following variation (which I will call TACC+ if you don't mind): After finding the (deterministic) TACC winner, create a lottery based on random

Re: [EM] R. B. MacSmith

2005-03-02 Thread Forest Simmons
On Wed, 2 Mar 2005, Jobst Heitzig wrote: Dear Forest! When I understand you right, you propose to just strike out all strongly covered candidates and then use Random Ballot on the rest, right? But then there must be some error in your proof of monotonicity, I fear -- look at the following

Re:[EM] R. B. MacSmith

2005-03-01 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Mon, 28 Feb 2005 23:37:05 +0100 From: Jobst Heitzig [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] R.B.MacSmith snip Anti-strategic properties: I did not yet test many anti-strategy criteria, but the main anti-strategic feature is that, due to the above-mentioned randomization, in every majority which

[EM] axioms for lotteries

2005-02-25 Thread Forest Simmons
Let P represent the set of candidates that have a positive probability of winning, i.e. P is the support of the winning lottery. What if we require the following? 1. The set P cannot be empty. 2. Any candidate that has more approval than some member of P must also be a member of P. 3. Any

[EM] Re: Lottery methods. wv between all possible lotteries? New methods.

2005-02-22 Thread Forest Simmons
I consider Mike's recent posting under the above subject heading to be very thoughtful and a good summary of some of our common interests and where we are currently in our quest to find methods that are in line with those interests. Regarding wv between all possible lotteries (a small part of

[EM] lotteries

2005-02-22 Thread Forest Simmons
Here's an idea to stimulate thought: Ballots are Cardinal Ratings or Ordinal Rankings. Approval cutoffs are optional. Some default scheme is used for ballots that do not have indicated approval cutoffs. If there is a CW, the winner is chosen by random ballot among all of the candidates that

Re: [EM] Clock Methods

2005-02-15 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Mon, 14 Feb 2005 01:46:38 + From: Gervase Lam [EMAIL PROTECTED] snip A . ACB . .[4] ABC Not(B) . . Not(C) CAB [2].. BAC C . . B CBA . .[3] BCA .

Re: [EM] How to break this tie?

2005-02-15 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Markus Schulze [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] How to break this tie? Dear Chris, here is an example to illustrate my reservations about the uncovered set. Suppose the defeats are (sorted according to their strengths in a decreasing order): D A A B B C C A C D B D The

[EM] Approval with 2 ballotings

2005-02-15 Thread Forest Simmons
Gervase proposed changing the quota to more than fifty percent based on the number of candidates. Could this give some party an incentive to field dummy candidates just to drive up the quota? Forest From: MIKE OSSIPOFF [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Approval with 2 ballotings To: [EMAIL

[EM] more on lotteries

2005-02-15 Thread Forest Simmons
I'm still intrigued by the idea of electing lotteries for choosing candidates. Here's an example of where they might come in useful: Suppose that true preferences are 45 ACB 30 BCA 25 CAB. Then C is the Condorcet Winner, but the A faction, not liking C all that much, has an incentive to vote

[EM] Re: sprucing up

2005-02-15 Thread Forest Simmons
Dan, Thanks for your interest. Sprucing Up is still in a state of evolution. Originally it meant restricting to the Uncovered Set, then collapsing any beat clones that might remain, then (recursively) applying the method being spruced up to the collapsed clone sets until an actual candidate

[EM] How to break this tie?

2005-02-10 Thread Forest Simmons
Suppose the electorate is divided into the following three factions of equal size: x A1A2A3BC x BCA2A3A1 x CA3A1A2B How should this tie be resolved? Every candidate is in the Dutta set. Random Ballot Dutta gives the win to A1, B, or C with probability one third each. Spruced up Random Ballot

[EM] Re: How to break this tie?

2005-02-10 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Brian Olson [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] How to break this tie? On Feb 10, 2005, at 8:06 AM, Forest Simmons wrote: A1A2A3BC BCA2A3A1 CA3A1A2B I don't suppose it would help to know that just about every system I've implemented answers C, eh? The A's form a clone set, which collapsed

[EM] Re: A few more poll comments

2005-02-09 Thread Forest Simmons
What is the supposed purpose of pre-election popularity polls today? Is it just to entertain the voters? Is it just to satisfy their curiosity? Is it to help them make decisions about whom to vote for? If it is the latter, do those who commission and report these polls realize that they are

[EM] Re: lying to pollsters

2005-02-04 Thread Forest Simmons
Craig's diagnosis: * the geriatric with the incredible shrinking brain, Mr Forest Simmons. One of our slowest learners, I guess. Do we have data on his learning speeds ?. Date: Thu, 03 Feb 2005 23:03:25 -0800 From: Russ Paielli [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] lying to pollsters

[EM] Re: simulating an Approval campaign/election

2005-02-03 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Wed, 2 Feb 2005 14:45:57 -0800 (PST) From: Rob LeGrand [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: simulating an Approval campaign/election Forest wrote: Actually, DSV with Strategy A can sometimes converge to a stable equilibrium even when there is no Condorcet Winner: 4900 C 2400 B 2700 AB Rob

[EM] lying to pollsters (was comparative effectiveness ...)

2005-02-03 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Russ Paielli [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Comparative Effectiveness of Approval and Condorcet in the case of a three candidate cycle. snip Yes, Approval does have some nice properties under the ideal conditions of DSV, but let me play devil's advocate again and bring up some

[EM] Re: simulating an Approval campaign/election

2005-02-02 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Rob LeGrand [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: simulating an Approval campaign/election Russ wrote: You seem to have confirmed my hypothesis that, in the idealized case (DSV batch mode), Approval voting almost always converges on the Cordorcet winner if one exists, but rarely (never?)

Re: [EM] Clock Methods

2005-02-01 Thread Forest Simmons
Gervase, Thanks for taking time to explore. And nice text graphics for the clock! It turns out that as long as you allow only strict rankings, the center of gravity of the distribution will fall in the the four hour (i.e. 120 degree) sector of the clock face centered on the Borda winner, so

[EM] (no subject)

2005-02-01 Thread Forest Simmons
and voter re-evaluation of his vote. I simply assumed that complete and perfect polling data is available to every voter. Then I have each voter re-evaluate his approval/disapproval of his middle candidate based on Forest Simmons elegant strategy rule (special case for three candidates only

[EM] reply to Dan Bishop's Condorcet Failure ...

2005-02-01 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Daniel Bishop [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Condorcet failure of Approval Voting (was Re: Dave reply) MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote: ... [Dave] continued: BUT the voter's actions, such as strategy, have to be based on what is practical for voters to learn and use (it is too easy for EM

[EM] Re: simulating an Approval campaign/election

2005-02-01 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Russ Paielli [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Re: simulating an Approval campaign/election Rob LeGrand honky1998-at-yahoo.com |EMlist| wrote: You're simulating a DSV (Declared-Strategy Voting) election with Approval. My current research is on just that topic, though I'm also interested

[EM] apology for no subject posting

2005-02-01 Thread Forest Simmons
That no subject posting was just a slip of the Return key while scrolling down the EM digest. Sorry for the bother. Forest Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Re: Approval Strategy in the Three Competitive Party case.

2005-01-28 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Russ Paielli [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Rewording Strategy A (BF(1st)) Forest Simmons simmonfo-at-up.edu |EMlist| wrote: Departing from Strategy A, we offer the following refinement in the same spirit: For each candidate C, if you think the winner is more likely to come from

Re: [EM] Rewording Strategy A (BF(1st))

2005-01-27 Thread Forest Simmons
From: MIKE OSSIPOFF [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Rewordng strategy A (BF(1st)) The strategy that's been called Strategy A, and which I've been calling BF(1st) has been worded like this: The Approval cutoff point goes adjacent to the candidate expected to get the most votes, toward the side of

[EM] More Lottery Methods

2005-01-25 Thread Forest Simmons
Jobst brought up the idea of electing lotteries and letting the lotteries choose the candidates, instead of electing the candidates directly. He found that it had already been proved that there is always a Condorcet Winner among lotteries provided that you compare lotteries in a certain way.

[EM] Clock Methods (for Three Candidates)

2005-01-22 Thread Forest Simmons
Take a clock face and put labels A, B, and C at 12:00, 4:00, and 8:00, respectively. At 2:00, 6:00, and 10:00 put the labels not(C), not(A), and not(B), respectively. Then on the intervals between the hour marks put the labels ABC (between 12:00 and 1:00), ABC (between 1:00 and 2:00),

Re: [EM] How Approval locks onto the CW in two or three moves

2005-01-21 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Russ Paielli [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] How Approval locks onto the CW in two or three moves A couple of days ago, Forest Simmons posted an interesting message about how Approval can elect a third-party candidate within a few election cycles if that party is truly preferred

Re: [EM] Re: Approval/Condorcet Hybrids

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Ted Stern [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Re: Approval/Condorcet Hybrids To: Jobst Heitzig [EMAIL PROTECTED] Cc: election-methods-electorama.com@electorama.com, Ted Stern [EMAIL PROTECTED] On 11 Jan 2005 at 14:40 PST, Jobst Heitzig wrote: But ... your argument that, if W

Re: [EM] How Approval locks on to the CW in two or three moves.

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 20 Jan 2005, James Green-Armytage wrote: Forest, Interesting stuff; I'll have to look at this for awhile. Might be good to mention the operative approval strategy at the beginning of these posts, to avoid confusion. You mentioned a few possible strategies in your 1/17 e-mail; I'm not quite

[EM] Another Grand Compromise

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
In this Grand Compromise voters can choose which kind of ballot they want. The ballot styles to choose from are ordinal rankings,and a variety of cardinal ratings style ballots including range ballots, grade ballots (whether A to F or A to Z), 0 to 10 olympic, 0 to seven psychological, Yes/No

RE: [EM] Re: Counting Time

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 20 Jan 2005, Paul Kislanko wrote: Forest Simmons wrote (Thursday, January 20, 2005) Here's a quick way to find the Condorcet Winner if there is one: Use Rob LeGrand's ballot by ballot approval idea, but instead of ballot by ballot, use voter by voter. For fairness, either randomize

Re: [EM] Another method idea

2005-01-19 Thread Forest Simmons
Daniel Bishop wrote: Forest Simmons wrote: Ballots are ordinal rankings or cardinal ratings. Any candidate with more than average first place rankings or ratings gets a point. Any candidate with fewer than average last place (or truncated) rankings or ratings gets a point

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-17 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Anthony Duff [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] approval strategy My favourite approval strategy to recommend generally is vote for your strategic plurality candidate and every candidate you like better. (suggested to me by Marc LeBlanc) Besides Kevin's suggestion (approve everybody that

[EM] Re: Re: electionsmethods website is cancelled

2005-01-16 Thread Forest Simmons
It seems to me that it would be perfectly ethical for Russ to post his own versions of Mike's ideas as long as he identifies them as such. It is common in the acknowledgements in the forward or preface of a book for an author to thank many proof readers and others who have made helpful

[EM] Why Three Candidate Methods Are So Important

2005-01-14 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Tue, 11 Jan 2005 23:40:47 +0100 From: Jobst Heitzig [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: Approval/Condorcet Hybrids snip Forest has made [a plausibility argument] that in public elections it will be paramountly probable that there is either a CW or a three-element covering set, that is, a

[EM] Re: approval strategy

2005-01-10 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Sat, 08 Jan 2005 07:42:29 -0800 From: Michael A. Rouse [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Question/Strategic Approval Voting Mike wrote: I've been bouncing back and forth between Range and Approval voting for the past couple of days, trying to see how each is affected by strategy. I

[EM] redistricting

2005-01-07 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Fri, 07 Jan 2005 15:07:16 -0800 From: Mike [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Deterministic Districting Mike wrote ... Well, it's not really deterministic (in the sense that the results are repeatable), but one could could put the districting maps on the ballot along with the candidate.

[EM] Re: twisted prism, etc.

2005-01-06 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Jobst Heitzig [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Sprucing up vs. Condorcet Lottery vs. immunity: The twisted prism example Jobst wrote: Dear Forest! Your sprucing up technique is a very nice idea since it can simplify the tallying of those methods which fulfil beat-clone-proofness and

[EM] Re: lotteries

2005-01-05 Thread Forest Simmons
This looks like another way of doing Spruced Up Random Candidate. In particular, properties 7 and 8 below correspond to the first two steps of the Spruce Up process. Because of this, Spruced Up Lottery has to be equivalent to Lottery. And then properties 5 and 6 finish the characterization of

[EM] Re: lotteries

2005-01-05 Thread Forest Simmons
ACB y BCA z CAB . From: Forest Simmons [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: lotteries snip However, even though it is non-deterministic, and highly manipulation resistant, it is not totally manipulation free: (following Bart's critique on non-determinism...) Suppose that there are three

[EM] R Suter's commentary on IRV

2005-01-04 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Tue, 4 Jan 2005 12:06:14 EST From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Corrected commentary re IRV To: election-methods-electorama.com@electorama.com Message-ID: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Content-Type: text/plain; charset=US-ASCII The commentary is better suited to its purpose than any that I have ever

[EM] 48 C, 24 B, 28 A B example

2004-12-31 Thread Forest Simmons
In this example, Borda, IRV and Margins go with C, while wv and Bucklin say B. Besides this disagreement, there is the problem that if the win is given to B for this ballot set, then if the 24 faction voters' true preferences were BAC, they would be sorely tempted to truncate so that B would

[EM] sprucing up

2004-12-29 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Tue, 28 Dec 2004 13:40:07 -0800 From: Ted Stern [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [EM] Re: Sprucing up MMPO and other methods ... I have a question about the first stage, eliminating covered candidates: On 21 Dec 2004 at 16:09 PST, Forest Simmons wrote: 1. Eliminate covered candidates until each

[EM] non-determinism and PR.

2004-12-29 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Forest Simmons [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: election-methods-electorama.com@electorama.com Subject: non-determinism and PR. From: Bart Ingles [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] non-deterministic methods ... Wouldn't a random cycle-breaker provide strong incentive for a sure loser in a cycle-free

[EM] Re: non-determinism and PR.

2004-12-29 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 28 Dec 2004, Forest Simmons wrote: Here are two analogous questions concerning a cycle in which A beats C beats B beats A: 3000 A 3000 A=B 4000 BC (1) Suppose that A, B, and C represent parties, and that based on these ballots, we are supposed to allocate 100 seats in congress

[EM] Re: 49 A, 24 B, 27 CB example

2004-12-27 Thread Forest Simmons
I'm sure that Kevin has given more thought to this example than I have, but it just occured to me that C cannot win under approval no matter where the third faction members place their approval cutoffs, whether above, below, or equal to B. Since C can never win (under approval) the best

[EM] non-deterministic methods

2004-12-27 Thread Forest Simmons
As Jobst recently pointed out, non-deterministic methods have not been adequately studied or promoted, considereing their potential contribution to fairness and to strategy free voting. Consider, for example the following cycle of three: 34 ABC 33 BCA 33 CAB Though most methods would give

[EM] Re: questions about sprucing up

2004-12-23 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Kevin Venzke [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Re: sprucing up Forest, I certainly think this is an impressive, interesting idea, even if I don't have a lot of comments on it. But: --- Forest Simmons [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : In particular, Spruced Up River, Spruced Up Ranked Pairs

[EM] Woops!

2004-12-23 Thread Forest Simmons
Kevin wrote Sprucing up Bucklin and IRV seem particularly interesting. But I doubt it is able to do anything helpful with the 49 A, 24 B, 27 CB scenario. I (mis)read 49 A, 24 BC, 27 CB In Kevin's example B beats A beats C beats B, so there is no covered candidate to eliminate nor any beat clone

[EM] One more correction

2004-12-23 Thread Forest Simmons
The last paragraph of my previous message should have said Remember the symmetric completion and reverse cancellation are not part of the sprucing up process; they are only an assumption making possible two dimensional geometrical analysis of spruced up methods that already happen to satisfy

[EM] Re: sprucing up

2004-12-22 Thread Forest Simmons
to misunderstanding. If I have piqued your interest, and you would like more complete explanations, just let me know, so I can ask someone with more patience (like Jobst) to provide some concrete examples, etc. if I don't have time to do it myself. Cheers! Forest From: Forest Simmons [EMAIL

[EM] Sprucing up MMPO and other methods

2004-12-21 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Gervase Lam [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] MMPO, Majority, Condorcet failures Date: Mon, 20 Dec 2004 21:59:38 +1030 From: Chris Benham Subject: [EM] MMPO, Majority, Condorcet failures To me the price MMPO (MinMax Pairwise Opposition) pays for strategy benefits you describe is just far

[EM] Re: Range Voting and Cardinal Ratings Runoff

2004-12-17 Thread Forest Simmons
Kevin Venzke [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote ... Subject: Re: [EM] Range Voting and Cardinal Ratings Runoff To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Message-ID: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Content-Type: text/plain; charset=iso-8859-1 --- Forest Simmons [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : For this reason Kevin came up with the Runoff Without

[EM] Range Voting and Cardinal Ratings Runoff

2004-12-16 Thread Forest Simmons
Date: Wed, 15 Dec 2004 20:30:19 -0800 From: Brian Olson [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Is range voting the panacea we need? Straight rating summation is vulnerable to strategic voting. Perhaps in this study people voted honestly because it obviously didn't matter and so there was no

Re: [EM] Re: Schwartz//SC-WMA

2004-12-14 Thread Forest Simmons
On Wed, 15 Dec 2004, Chris Benham wrote: Forest, I can't pretend to understand your proposed de-cloning mechanism, and I'm surprised that you are interested in Copeland because I thought that one of its main problems is that it usually isn't very decisive. Well I came up with de-cloned

[EM] Re: Schwartz//SC-WMA

2004-12-13 Thread Forest Simmons
It's interesting to me that before I opened my email today I was already thinking about proposing Banks//WMA. Now that Chris has brought up this clone problem, maybe I'll hold off. Some thoughts on other possible ways of de-cloning WMA. 1. Proceed as in my de-cloning of Copeland. (Use an

[EM] Consistency in PR methods

2004-12-11 Thread Forest Simmons
Recently, in his grand compromise proposal, Jobst suggested k-consistency as a valuable criterion. In the multiwinner context, a method is k-consistent iff a candidate set S winning in each of its k candidate supersets implies

[EM] Approval/Condorcet Hybrids

2004-12-10 Thread Forest Simmons
Jobst's recent postings about complaints and their rebuttals, and short ranked pairs has led me to the following Approval Condorcet hybrid: Ballots are ordinal with approval cutoff, equal rankings allowed. Let U(A) be the set of uncovered candidates that cover the approval winner A. The member

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