On 11-12-20 04:53 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote:
We all know that Defkalion is behind their originally announced
schedule. It sounds like their R&D is difficult and it is taking
longer than expected. Anyone who has been involved in R&D would expect
that. It takes twice as long and it costs 10 times more than planned.
Yup. And sometimes, as we all know, when it's time for a demonstration
and the thing still doesn't work, there's a temptation to do a bit of an
end run:
http://articles.latimes.com/1985-12-13/business/fi-16784_1_indictment
Paradyne eventually delivered something, and so they didn't all go to
jail, they just got their knuckles rapped. The problem in Rossi's case,
and DGT's case, is that, if either or both of them have been cheating a
bit, then there may be no chance at all that they can ever deliver. In
short, if Rossi's not on the up and up, then the whole approach may be a
dead end.
That's because nobody else has demonstrated usable (that's **usable**)
amounts of energy, on demand, from a nickel/light-hydrogen cell. The
only evidence that this is a solid path forward comes from Rossi.
In Edison's case, light from a hot wire, on demand, had been
demonstrated. Longevity and fragility were major problems, but whether
the basic process would work was absolutely not in question.
In the case of the Wrights, nobody who had every watched a large bird
gliding through the air should have doubted that fixed wing flight was
possible.
Again, in Rossi's case, there is no evidence at all that his device can
be made to work at useful energy levels ... except the evidence which
comes from Rossi himself.
