Correction required: If you say you know you only damage your *credulity* as a LENR applications expert.
Should read If you say you know, you only damage your *credibility* as a LENR applications expert. On Tue, Jul 31, 2012 at 2:06 AM, Axil Axil <janap...@gmail.com> wrote: > Jed said: > > > I think that is nonsense. It will take 5 or 10 years to develop the > vehicle because that is how long it took Toyota to develop the Prius, and > there will be far more incentive -- and pressure -- to develop cold fusion. > Once cold fusion begins to replace conventional cars, the changeover will > be swift for various reasons I spelled out in the book. The half-life of a > modern car is about 4 years. Once half of the fleet is gone, gas stations > will go out of business and the owners will be forced to abandon the > others. So it will take 4 to 6 years to replace all cars. 99% of all cars > are replaced every 8 years now, so this will not call for much extra > production or resources. > > 1. Andrea Rossi > > July 29th, 2012 at 1:21 > PM<http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com/?p=679&cpage=1#comment-290431> > > Dear Neri B.: > 1- For cars applications you have to go through series of certifications > and tests by the carmakers. It will take no less than 20 years. > 2- Yes, the Hot Cats will be validated > 3- the electric power production is close, after the high temp. has been > reached > Warm Regards, > A.R. > Axil says: > > > Amazing: You now claim to know more about the Rossi reactor than Rossi > does. Putting a nuclear reactor into a car is more involved than putting in > a hybrid battery assist add-on onto a gas based combustion engine. > > > What evidence supports your conclusions about LENR based transportation, > or is your opinion based on enthusiasm and wishful thinking? Your > position might well be based on a defense of the conclusions as prophecy > contained in your book against the hard earned hands on reality of the LENR > business that Rossi has gained in his recent work experience. > > In my view, the certification of LENR's general use by a untrained > customers and untrained service personnel is a major delay factor in the > time it takes to field consumer based LENR products. > > How many nuclear capable engineers man the world’s auto service and > inspection stations? > > > These products must be judged by the certifiers of product safety to be > crash, tamper and moron proof and legally air tight from a product > liability standpoint. We have no idea at this juncture what this all takes > in terms of effort and time to market. If you say you know. you only damage > your credulity as a LENR applications expert. > > > > > > > On Mon, Jul 30, 2012 at 11:54 PM, Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com>wrote: > >> Axil Axil <janap...@gmail.com> wrote: >> >>> >>> You missed the significance in this important sentence of my post >>> regarding social engineering: >>> >>> *“All that is required is to delay the powering of transportation using >>> LENR to provide an economic incentive to the farmer for liquid fuel >>> production.”* >>> >> >> Ah. I get it. You are suggesting that an obsolete (or obsolescent) >> technology may improve in the face of potential competition from a new >> technology. Yes, that does happen. Sailing ships improved in the 1840s, >> partly in competition with steamships, and partly by borrowing technology >> from them. >> >> Nowadays, conventional automobile engine efficiency is improving partly >> in competition with hybrid technology. >> >> In this case, however, cold fusion is so much better than any liquid >> chemical fuel that I doubt any improvement to liquid fuel will delay the >> introduction of cold fusion. Various factors such as technical glitches may >> slow down cold fusion, but I doubt this particular factor will. For one >> thing, this form of liquid fuel would require a lot of expensive R&D to >> perfect, and I doubt any venture capitalist would fund this knowing that >> cold fusion will soon arrive. It would be like improving a vacuum tube >> computer after transistors were invented. >> >> >> >>> Elimination of farm waste will save 5000 lives a year from food >>> poisoning and a $trillion in medical bills. This advantage in itself is >>> worth delaying introduction of LENR in transportation products. >>> >>> >> There is not a single driver who would take this into account when making >> a decision to purchase a car! There are no manufacturers who would be so >> stupid as to delay the introduction of cold fusion powered cars because of >> this. Any delay competing would be fatal. Selling a liquid fuel car in a >> cold fusion world would be like trying to sell a wind-up record player to >> customers who want iPods. >> >> >> >>> Anyway, According to Rossi, it will take 25 years to develosp LENR for >>> transportation and 35 more years to replace all the old vehicles. >>> >> >> I think that is nonsense. It will take 5 or 10 years to develop the >> vehicle because that is how long it took Toyota to develop the Prius, and >> there will be far more incentive -- and pressure -- to develop cold fusion. >> Once cold fusion begins to replace conventional cars, the changeover will >> be swift for various reasons I spelled out in the book. The half-life of a >> modern car is about 4 years. Once half of the fleet is gone, gas stations >> will go out of business and the owners will be forced to abandon the >> others. So it will take 4 to 6 years to replace all cars. 99% of all cars >> are replaced every 8 years now, so this will not call for much extra >> production or resources. >> >> I get a feeling Rossi does not understand some of the fundamentals of >> business and technology. >> >> - Jed >> >> >
