[osint] Colombian named in U.S. on terror charge

2005-07-05 Thread David Bier
"Hector Rodriguez-Acevedo is charged with conspiring to import cocaine
into the United States and to distribute cocaine; and conspiring to
use firearms and destructive devices in material support of a terror
group."

"The Council on Foreign Relations says the AUC is made up of several
right-wing paramilitary groups, and is supported by landowners, drug
cartels and factions in the Colombian military. AUC forces have
assassinated leftist guerrillas, politicians, activists and other
Colombian civilians."

http://www.washingtontimes.com/upi/20050705-043748-2674r.htm

Colombian named in U.S. on terror charge

Jul. 5, 2005 at 5:56PM

A man held in Colombia has been indicted in Miami on cocaine charges
and a charge of supporting a terror organization, the Justice
Department said Tuesday.
  Hector Rodriguez-Acevedo is charged with conspiring to import
cocaine into the United States and to distribute cocaine; and
conspiring to use firearms and destructive devices in material support
of a terror group.
  The department said Rodriguez-Acevedo was captured in Colombia
Monday, and the United States would seek extradition.
  The indictment, returned in May and unsealed Monday, says the
suspect conspired to provide hundreds of assault rifles, fragmentation
hand grenades, rocket propelled grenades, mortar grenades and
thousands of rounds of ammunition to the United Self-Defense Forces of
Colombia, known by the Spanish acronym AUC.
  The Council on Foreign Relations says the AUC is made up of
several right-wing paramilitary groups, and is supported by
landowners, drug cartels and factions in the Colombian military. AUC
forces have assassinated leftist guerrillas, politicians, activists
and other Colombian civilians.
  If convicted, Rodriguez-Acevedo could face life in prison.




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[osint] Central Asians demand pullout of Western military bases

2005-07-05 Thread David Bier
"Considering that the active phase of the military anti-terrorist
operation in Afghanistan has finished, member states ... consider it
essential that the relevant participants in the anti-terrorist
coalition set deadlines for the temporary use" of bases in Central
Asia, the declaration read."

http://www.metimes.com/articles/normal.php?StoryID
=20050705-090754-6735r

Central Asians demand pullout of Western military bases
Simon Ostrovsky
July 5, 2005

ASTANA --  The leaders of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO),
a six-nation security bloc, called for a deadline to be set on the
pullout of Western bases from Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan and slammed
outside interference in their affairs at a summit in Central Asia on
Tuesday.

At the meeting in the Kazakh capital Astana, the SCO, which comprises
Russia, China, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan,
signed a declaration that called for deadlines to be set on the
presence of military bases in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, set up in
2001 by the US-led coalition that toppled Afghanistan's Taliban
leadership.

"Considering that the active phase of the military anti-terrorist
operation in Afghanistan has finished, member states ... consider it
essential that the relevant participants in the anti-terrorist
coalition set deadlines for the temporary use" of bases in Central
Asia, the declaration read.

At what was their first meeting since the ouster of Kyrgyz leader
Askar Akayev in March and a military crackdown in Uzbekistan in May,
the leaders also included a clause on the inadmissibility of
"monopolizing or dominating international affairs" - apparently a
reference to growing US influence in Central Asia.

"This declaration calls for templates and standards not to be imposed
by force, or the threat of force," Russian President Vladimir Putin
said.

"There should be no place for interference in the internal affairs of
sovereign states," Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev said.

Tuesday's declaration echoes a similar one on the
"twenty-first-century international order" signed by Putin and Chinese
counterpart Hu Jintao in Moscow last week.

It follows a string of complaints by leaders such as Uzbek President
Islam Karimov suggesting that the West was behind uprisings in three
former Soviet republics in the last two years - Ukraine, Georgia and
Kyrgyzstan.

The Shanghai group leaders also signed a commitment on Tuesday not to
harbor persons sought by each other's security forces.

The latter appeared to fly in the face of recent Western criticism of
the mountain republic of Kyrgyzstan for handing back to Uzbek
authorities four people who fled the May violence in eastern
Uzbekistan.

The Shanghai group has made fighting alleged extremism in the region
its top priority, while also trying to use the forum to boost economic
ties.

Human rights groups have said that member states use the perceived
threat of extremism as an excuse to crack down on the political
opposition and other dissenters.

Relations between Central Asian states and Western countries have
cooled since the events in Uzbekistan in May, amid widespread
condemnation from rights groups that claim that Uzbek troops killed
hundreds of unarmed civilians.

Karimov on Tuesday thanked the leaders of Russia and China for recent
support, while saying that outside forces were threatening to "hijack
stability and impose their model of development" on Central Asia.

Amid the growing criticism of several of the Shanghai group members
over human rights, the New York-based Human Rights Watch urged the
group to condemn the military crackdown in Uzbekistan.

"The Shanghai Cooperation Organization should hold member state
Uzbekistan to account for the violence committed by government forces
in Andijan," Holly Cartner, Human Rights Watch's Europe and Central
Asia director said in a written statement.

The two main coalition bases, one at Karshi-Khanabad in Uzbekistan,
the other at Manas in Kyrgyzstan, have each been used to support
US-led operations in Afghanistan since 2001. Both are predominantly
staffed by US forces after other countries earlier had forces based at
the Kyrgyz base.

Germany also has a few hundred military personnel, most of them
engineering and medical staff, at a separate base in Uzbekistan,
Termez, while a few hundred French forces work from Tajikistan's main
airport in Dushanbe.




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[osint] London Blasts Claimed by Al Qaeda

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
Today's blasts in London have been claimed by Al Qaeda's European
chapter, Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe.

http://www.back-to-iraq.com/archives/000884.php

London Blasts Claimed by Al Qaeda

Today's blasts in London have been claimed by Al Qaeda's European
chapter, Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe. A statement has been posted on a
site often used by Qaeda agents, www.qal3ati.com. The statement
follows (translated by one of my staff here in Baghdad):

Announcement on London's Operation 7/7/2005

   Jamaat al-Tandheem Al-Sierri (secret organization group)
   Organization of Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe

   In the name of God the most merciful...

   Rejoice the nation of Islam, rejoice nation of Arabs, the time of
revenge has come for the crusaders' Zionist British government.

   As retaliation for the massacres which the British commit in Iraq
and Afghanistan, the mujahideen have successfully done it this time in
London.

   And this is Britain now burning from fear and panic from the north
to the south, from the east to the west.

   We have warned the brutish governments and British nation many
times.

   And here we are, we have done what we have promised. We have done
a military operation after heavy work and planning, which the
mujahideen have done, and it has taken a long time to ensure the
success of this operation.

   And we still warn the government of Denmark and Italy, all the
crusader governments, that they will have the same punishment if they
do not pull their forces out of Iraq and Afghanistan.

   So beware.

   Thursday 7/7/2005
   Jamaat al-Tandheem Al-Sierri (secret organization group)
   Organization of al Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe.

Posted by Christopher at July 7, 2005 03:47 PM




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[osint] Much Ado about the WTO

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
http://www.kommersant.com/page.asp?id=589227

Much Ado about the WTO
// The Ukrainian opposition goes after the microphones

A confrontation

Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko yesterday signed a decree
dismissing First Deputy Interior Minister Aleksandr Fokin, who accused
his boss the day before of arranging the tapping of telephone
conversations of high-ranking Interior Ministry officials [see
Kommersant of July 5]. Kiev has decided to suppress the scandal by
firing its initiator, and the center of tension shifted yesterday to
the Supreme Rada, where deputies spent the whole day sorting out their
relations with one another.
There was already a whiff of a brawl in the Supreme Rada the day
before. Representatives of opposition factions blockaded the
parliamentary rostrum, demanding that their colleagues in the
executive branch resign their powers as deputies. Ukrainian President
Viktor Yushchenko had tried to get the same from a number of
bureaucrats. The combined efforts paid off. Petr Poroshenko, the
secretary of the National Security Council, yesterday submitted a
letter of resignation from his powers as deputy.

This success reinforced the belief of the parliamentary opposition,
especially members of the Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU), that they
were on the right track in the political struggle. They continued to
blockade the rostrum, despite the fact that Speaker Vladimir Litvin
ordered the cost of the microphone torn from the parliamentary
leader's seat the day before to be deducted from the salary of one of
the deputies.

The ruling parties weren't asleep either. At the very start of the
session, about 30 deputies from the Yulia Timoshenko Bloc, the
People's Party, and the Our Ukraine faction surrounded the rostrum.
These elected representatives of the people had received instructions
from the government to ensure passage of a package of laws dealing
with Ukraine's accession to the WTO. However, as soon as the Speaker
tried to announce discussion of the question entered on the agenda,
Communist Party member Aleksander Bondarenko began to break off the
speaker's microphone. Members of the People's Party tried to stop him.
A scuffle broke out. After a while, passions cooled, but the Communist
deputies refused to leave the rostrum.

Somewhat later, when Litvin gave the floor to Prime Minister Yulia
Timoshenko in the discussion of the draft bills on WTO accession, the
Communists roused themselves again. In order to prevent the prime
minister from speaking, Communist Party member Aleksey Bondarchuk
turned on the siren. Andrey Shkil, Timoshenko's colleague in the bloc,
tried to obstruct the Communist. Communist Yury Salamatin came to his
comrade's defense, and a fight broke out between him and Shkil. Social
Democratic Party member Nestor Shufrich pulled the fighters apart, but
the remaining deputies blockading the rostrum had already joined in
the brawl.

Nevertheless, towards evening, the Supreme Rada passed the first of a
series of laws required to accelerate the country's accession to the
WTO and also approved another two draft bills on first reading.
However, the deputies refused to consider several other key draft
bills, despite the urging of Prime Minister Timoshenko and President
Yushchenko, who asked parliament to pass another ten laws eliminating
problems in the negotiations Ukraine's accession to the WTO before the
end of this week.
by  Olga Berezintseva

Russian Article as of July 07, 2005




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[osint] London Blasts Claimed by Al Qaeda

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
Today's blasts in London have been claimed by Al Qaeda's European
chapter, Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe.

http://www.back-to-iraq.com/archives/000884.php

London Blasts Claimed by Al Qaeda

Today's blasts in London have been claimed by Al Qaeda's European
chapter, Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe. A statement has been posted on a
site often used by Qaeda agents, www.qal3ati.com. The statement
follows (translated by one of my staff here in Baghdad):

Announcement on London's Operation 7/7/2005

Jamaat al-Tandheem Al-Sierri (secret organization group)
Organization of Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe

In the name of God the most merciful...

Rejoice the nation of Islam, rejoice nation of Arabs, the time of
revenge has come for the crusaders' Zionist British government.

As retaliation for the massacres which the British commit in Iraq
and Afghanistan, the mujahideen have successfully done it this time in
London.

And this is Britain now burning from fear and panic from the north
to the south, from the east to the west.

We have warned the brutish governments and British nation many
times.

And here we are, we have done what we have promised. We have done
a military operation after heavy work and planning, which the
mujahideen have done, and it has taken a long time to ensure the
success of this operation.

And we still warn the government of Denmark and Italy, all the
crusader governments, that they will have the same punishment if they
do not pull their forces out of Iraq and Afghanistan.

So beware.

Thursday 7/7/2005
Jamaat al-Tandheem Al-Sierri (secret organization group)
Organization of al Qaeda't al-Jihad in Europe. 

Posted by Christopher at July 7, 2005 03:47 PM




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[osint] So, Mr Bremer, where did all the money go?

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"The auditors have so far referred more than a hundred contracts,
involving billions of dollars paid to American personnel and
corporations, for investigation and possible criminal prosecution.
They have also discovered that $8.8bn that passed through the new
Iraqi government ministries in Baghdad while Bremer was in charge is
unaccounted for, with little prospect of finding out where it has
gone. A further $3.4bn appropriated by Congress for Iraqi development
has since been siphoned off to finance "security"."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/g2/story/0,3604,1522804,00.html

So, Mr Bremer, where did all the money go?

At the end of the Iraq war, vast sums of money were made available to
the US-led provisional authorities, headed by Paul Bremer, to spend on
rebuilding the country. By the time Bremer left the post eight months
later, $8.8bn of that money had disappeared. Ed Harriman on the
extraordinary scandal of Iraq's missing billions

Thursday July 7, 2005
The Guardian

When Paul Bremer, the American pro consul in Baghdad until June last
year, arrived in Iraq soon after the official end of hostilities,
there was $6bn left over from the UN Oil for Food Programme, as well
as sequestered and frozen assets, and at least $10bn from resumed
Iraqi oil exports. Under Security Council Resolution 1483, passed on
May 22 2003, all these funds were transferred into a new account held
at the Federal Reserve Bank in New York, called the Development Fund
for Iraq (DFI), and intended to be spent by the Coalition Provisional
Authority (CPA) "in a transparent manner ... for the benefit of the
Iraqi people".

 The US Congress also voted to spend $18.4bn of US taxpayers' money on
the redevelopment of Iraq. By June 28 last year, however, when Bremer
left Baghdad two days early to avoid possible attack on the way to the
airport, his CPA had spent up to $20bn of Iraqi money, compared with
$300m of US funds. The "reconstruction" of Iraq is the largest
American-led occupation programme since the Marshall Plan - but the US
government funded the Marshall Plan. Defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld
and Paul Bremer have made sure that the reconstruction of Iraq is paid
for by the "liberated" country, by the Iraqis themselves.

The CPA maintained one fund of nearly $600m cash for which there is no
paperwork: $200m of it was kept in a room in one of Saddam's former
palaces. The US soldier in charge used to keep the key to the room in
his backpack, which he left on his desk when he popped out for lunch.
Again, this is Iraqi money, not US funds.

The "financial irregularities" described in audit reports carried out
by agencies of the American government and auditors working for the
international community collectively give a detailed insight into the
mentality of the American occupation authorities and the way they
operated. Truckloads of dollars were handed out for which neither they
nor the recipients felt they had to be accountable.

The auditors have so far referred more than a hundred contracts,
involving billions of dollars paid to American personnel and
corporations, for investigation and possible criminal prosecution.
They have also discovered that $8.8bn that passed through the new
Iraqi government ministries in Baghdad while Bremer was in charge is
unaccounted for, with little prospect of finding out where it has
gone. A further $3.4bn appropriated by Congress for Iraqi development
has since been siphoned off to finance "security".

Although Bremer was expected to manage Iraqi funds in a transparent
manner, it was only in October 2003, six months after the fall of
Saddam, that an International Advisory and Monitoring Board (IAMB) was
established to provide independent, international financial oversight
of CPA spending. (This board includes representatives from the United
Nations, the World Bank, the IMF and the Arab Fund for Economic and
Social Development.)

The IAMB first spent months trying to find auditors acceptable to the
US. The Bahrain office of KPMG was finally appointed in April 2004. It
was stonewalled.

"KPMG has encountered resistance from CPA staff regarding the
submission of information required to complete our procedures," they
wrote in an interim report. "Staff have indicated ... that cooperation
with KPMG's undertakings is given a low priority." KPMG had one
meeting at the Iraqi Ministry of Finance; meetings at all the other
ministries were repeatedly postponed. The auditors even had trouble
getting passes to enter the Green Zone.

There appears to have been good reason for the Americans to stall. At
the end of June 2004, the CPA would be disbanded and Bremer would
leave Iraq. There was no way the Bush administration would want
independent auditors to publish a report into the financial propriety
of its Iraqi administration while the CPA was still in existence and
Bremer at its head still answerable to the press. So the report was
published in July.

The auditors found that the CPA didn't keep accounts of the hundreds

[osint] U.K. Officials Face Big Task in Bombings

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"In the end, authorities will have to identify "whatever failings
exist, if any, in the intelligence system that allowed this attack to
take place, because it is an intelligence failure,"

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20050707/D8B6QUC80.html

U.K. Officials Face Big Task in Bombings


Jul 7, 6:39 PM (ET)

By BETH GARDINER

LONDON (AP) - British investigators face the daunting task of
scrutinizing hours of closed circuit television footage, sifting
through tons of wreckage and analyzing tiny traces of explosives to
find those responsible for Thursday's deadly explosions in London.
Time may not be on their side.

Three weeks after bombs struck four Madrid commuter trains last year,
police found some of the plotters in a safe house with more
explosives, apparently planning fresh attacks.

"There is real passion now in the police to make arrests quickly
before further attacks can be carried out," said Charles Shoebridge, a
security analyst and former counterterrorism intelligence officer.

"While (the bombers) are at large now, a second attack is very likely,
because there's no reason for them not to, they've broken their
cover," he said. "They will now try to exploit whatever freedom they
have left" to kill again, because it is likely they will eventually be
caught, Shoebridge said.

Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said the bombings - which came the day
after London won the bid to host the 2012 Olympics and as British
Prime Minister Tony Blair prepared to open a G-8 summit in Scotland -
have the "hallmarks of an al-Qaida-related attack." But there was no
credible claim of responsibility.

A group calling itself "The Secret Organization of al-Qaida in Europe"
said in an Internet statement that it staged the blasts in retaliation
for Britain's involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan. Police said they
couldn't confirm the authenticity of the statement, which appeared on
a Web site popular with Islamic extremists.

Another unanswered question was whether any of the London attacks -
one on a bus and three on the subway - may have been carried out by
suicide bombers, as is often the case in Israeli bus bombings and in
Iraq. Police were investigating that possibility.

ABC News reported on its Web site that British officials had told
American law enforcement authorities that two unexploded bombs had
been found in London, but London's Metropolitan Police said it knew
nothing of any such find.

In the March 11, 2004, attacks on four commuter trains in Madrid,
which left 191 dead, the bombers left backpacks aboard the trains and
used cell phones to detonate them.

The phones gave investigators a lucky break that led them to some of
the attackers. One bomb failed to go off, and the subscriber identity
card inside that phone eventually led investigators to the suspects,
although they haven't found the plot's masterminds.

After New York's World Trade Center was attacked with a truck bomb in
1993, one of the conspirators gave investigators a hand by trying to
retrieve a deposit he'd put down on the vehicle destroyed in the
blast.

Police in London may get a break like that too, but they also have a
lot of hard slogging ahead of them.

London is crammed with closed-circuit television cameras - 1,800
monitor its train stations, 6,000 watch the Underground network and
some buses also have cameras.

Shoebridge said detectives will have to watch thousands of hours of
tape - slowly and carefully. The system is only loosely coordinated,
with cameras run by local authorities, traffic agencies and other
bodies, making the task even more unwieldy.

Investigators will try to find on tape the point at which bombs were
placed, then trace back the movements of the person they identify as
the bomber, an arduous task that could involve hundreds of cameras,
Shoebridge said. Most of London's Underground cameras are in stations,
not subway cars.

Shoebridge said investigators also will check records of cell phone
calls made in the bombed areas just before the explosions, a job that
might be difficult if investigators can't determine where bombers
boarded the trains.

Authorities will likely look at the ways someone might obtain
explosives, or the means to make them, talking to chemical suppliers
and others who might provide leads.

Forensic evidence will be key. If any of the perpetrators were suicide
bombers, there will be body parts to examine for clues. If not,
detectives will search for DNA or fingerprints.

They'll also have to examine recent intelligence - including the phone
and e-mail intercepts routinely collected as part of anti-terrorism
work - to see if any clues were missed or if any of the communications
contain information that looks significant in hindsight, Shoebridge
said.

Old interviews with informants will be re-examined and new ones
conducted.

In the end, authorities will have to identify "whatever failings
exist, if any, in the intelligence system that allowed this attack to
take place, because it is an intelligence fail

[osint] A short interview

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"a quick e-mail interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star
Families for Peace. Cindy and the GSFP were present in Washington on
June 15, 2005, to meet with Rep. John Conyers and other members of
Congress to demand a Resolution of Inquiry into the Downing Street
Memo and related documents."

Just keeping track of the "peace at any cost" activists.  I understand
the movtivation from her loss, but bailing out of Iraq at this point
would be a terrorism disaster.  Yes, Bush43 lied and got us into Iraq
for his own reasons (oil, ego, etc.) but now we are there and the
country has to be stabilized before we leave or it becomes both a
roiling civil war AND a huge terrorist training ground (albeit one
already) whose products will be exported to our shores...and subways.

David Bier

http://www.antichimp.com/

A short interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families
for Peace
Thursday 07 July 07:57 � 58 views, [0 comments] [ Permalink ]

I recently had the opportunity to conduct a quick e-mail interview
with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families for Peace. Cindy
and the GSFP were present in Washington on June 15, 2005, to meet with
Rep. John Conyers and other members of Congress to demand a Resolution
of Inquiry into the Downing Street Memo and related documents.

Cindy says that "the mission of GSFP is to stop the war so other
families won't have to suffer as we are." The organization's web site
states a dual purpose: To bring an end to the occupation of Iraq, and
to be a support group for Gold Star Families.

We talked about her son Casey and her thoughts on the war in Iraq.
Casey was 24 when he was killed in an ambush in Sadr City on April 4,
2004, as he rode in the back of an unprotected trailer while on a
mission to rescue wounded soldiers.

AntiChimp: Were you politically active before your son Casey was sent
to Iraq?

Cindy Sheehan: No. I still don't consider myself politically active. I
don't consider peace a political issue, although I know it is, it is a
bipartisan human issue. So, I still don't think I am politically
active in that sense... even though I meet with Congressman and
Senators and spoke at the hearing.

AC: Did your son ever express his feelings to you about his
deployment?

CS: He didn't think the war was right, but he thought it was his duty
to go.

AC: Because he made a commitment to military service? Or was it more
complicated than that?

CS: Because he thought it was his duty, and they (the soldiers) are
brainwashed into thinking their buddies and the mission are the most
important thing.

AC: How did you become affiliated with Military Families Speak Out
(MFSO)?

CS: I found them shortly after Casey died, and joined.

AC: Were you referred to MFSO by someone, or did you find them on the
Internet?

CS: A friend of mine, Bill Mitchell, whose son Mike was killed in the
same ambush as Casey, found them on the internet.

AC: Why did you establish Gold Star Families for Peace (GSFP)?

CS: To be an effective and compelling voice for peace and truth. To
support each other forever in our grief.

AC: Do you think that young Americans are still being misled by
military recruiters?

CS: I know they are.

AC: Do you believe that the administration uses religion in either a
positive or negative way?

CS: Negative; it is manipulative and hypocritical.

AC: How so?

CS: They have corrupted the Gospel message to be one of hate, war, and
greed.

AC: Your son was very active in the church; how do you think he would
feel about the administration's use of religion?

CS: He would hate it and think it is hypocritical, too.

AC: Is the mainstream media complicit in promoting the war in Iraq?

CS: Yes.

AC: What could they be doing differently?

CS: Reporting the truth, and making Iraq the front page and lead-off
stories.

AC: Do you think they've been reluctant to present stories critical of
the war or the Bush administration?

CS: Obviously.

AC: How would you argue for impeachment of President Bush? Do you
think he should face charges in an international court?

CS: He lied to the American people about WMDs and Saddam's link to
9/11. Of course he should be impeached. At the very least the DSMs
should be investigated. Our country has ignored the Geneva Convention,
and the lies have caused tens of thousands of innocent deaths.

AC: Who do you think is primarily responsible for your son's death?

CS: Me.

AC: Why do you say that?

CS: I didn't teach him not to die for this country.

AC: Do you believe that we as private citizens have the power to
change the course our government is taking?

CS: Yes, we in GSFP have already made a major impact.

AC: Can you give any examples?

CS: Helping to publicize the Downing Street Memos, exit strategies
coming from Congress... Our work has helped change public opinion.

AC: Do you have hope for the future?

CS: Yes, or I wouldn't be doing this.

[osint] So, Mr Bremer, where did all the money go?

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"The auditors have so far referred more than a hundred contracts,
involving billions of dollars paid to American personnel and
corporations, for investigation and possible criminal prosecution.
They have also discovered that $8.8bn that passed through the new
Iraqi government ministries in Baghdad while Bremer was in charge is
unaccounted for, with little prospect of finding out where it has
gone. A further $3.4bn appropriated by Congress for Iraqi development
has since been siphoned off to finance "security"."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/g2/story/0,3604,1522804,00.html

So, Mr Bremer, where did all the money go?

At the end of the Iraq war, vast sums of money were made available to
the US-led provisional authorities, headed by Paul Bremer, to spend on
rebuilding the country. By the time Bremer left the post eight months
later, $8.8bn of that money had disappeared. Ed Harriman on the
extraordinary scandal of Iraq's missing billions

Thursday July 7, 2005
The Guardian

When Paul Bremer, the American pro consul in Baghdad until June last
year, arrived in Iraq soon after the official end of hostilities,
there was $6bn left over from the UN Oil for Food Programme, as well
as sequestered and frozen assets, and at least $10bn from resumed
Iraqi oil exports. Under Security Council Resolution 1483, passed on
May 22 2003, all these funds were transferred into a new account held
at the Federal Reserve Bank in New York, called the Development Fund
for Iraq (DFI), and intended to be spent by the Coalition Provisional
Authority (CPA) "in a transparent manner ... for the benefit of the
Iraqi people".

 The US Congress also voted to spend $18.4bn of US taxpayers' money on
the redevelopment of Iraq. By June 28 last year, however, when Bremer
left Baghdad two days early to avoid possible attack on the way to the
airport, his CPA had spent up to $20bn of Iraqi money, compared with
$300m of US funds. The "reconstruction" of Iraq is the largest
American-led occupation programme since the Marshall Plan - but the US
government funded the Marshall Plan. Defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld
and Paul Bremer have made sure that the reconstruction of Iraq is paid
for by the "liberated" country, by the Iraqis themselves.

The CPA maintained one fund of nearly $600m cash for which there is no
paperwork: $200m of it was kept in a room in one of Saddam's former
palaces. The US soldier in charge used to keep the key to the room in
his backpack, which he left on his desk when he popped out for lunch.
Again, this is Iraqi money, not US funds.

The "financial irregularities" described in audit reports carried out
by agencies of the American government and auditors working for the
international community collectively give a detailed insight into the
mentality of the American occupation authorities and the way they
operated. Truckloads of dollars were handed out for which neither they
nor the recipients felt they had to be accountable.

The auditors have so far referred more than a hundred contracts,
involving billions of dollars paid to American personnel and
corporations, for investigation and possible criminal prosecution.
They have also discovered that $8.8bn that passed through the new
Iraqi government ministries in Baghdad while Bremer was in charge is
unaccounted for, with little prospect of finding out where it has
gone. A further $3.4bn appropriated by Congress for Iraqi development
has since been siphoned off to finance "security".

Although Bremer was expected to manage Iraqi funds in a transparent
manner, it was only in October 2003, six months after the fall of
Saddam, that an International Advisory and Monitoring Board (IAMB) was
established to provide independent, international financial oversight
of CPA spending. (This board includes representatives from the United
Nations, the World Bank, the IMF and the Arab Fund for Economic and
Social Development.)

The IAMB first spent months trying to find auditors acceptable to the
US. The Bahrain office of KPMG was finally appointed in April 2004. It
was stonewalled.

"KPMG has encountered resistance from CPA staff regarding the
submission of information required to complete our procedures," they
wrote in an interim report. "Staff have indicated ... that cooperation
with KPMG's undertakings is given a low priority." KPMG had one
meeting at the Iraqi Ministry of Finance; meetings at all the other
ministries were repeatedly postponed. The auditors even had trouble
getting passes to enter the Green Zone.

There appears to have been good reason for the Americans to stall. At
the end of June 2004, the CPA would be disbanded and Bremer would
leave Iraq. There was no way the Bush administration would want
independent auditors to publish a report into the financial propriety
of its Iraqi administration while the CPA was still in existence and
Bremer at its head still answerable to the press. So the report was
published in July.

The auditors found that the CPA didn't keep accounts of the hundreds

[osint] A short interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families for Peace

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"a quick e-mail interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star
Families for Peace. Cindy and the GSFP were present in Washington on
June 15, 2005, to meet with Rep. John Conyers and other members of
Congress to demand a Resolution of Inquiry into the Downing Street
Memo and related documents."

Just keeping track of the "peace at any cost" activists.  I understand
the movtivation from her loss, but bailing out of Iraq at this point
would be a terrorism disaster.  Yes, Bush43 lied and got us into Iraq
for his own reasons (oil, ego, etc.) but now we are there and the
country has to be stabilized before we leave or it becomes both a
roiling civil war AND a huge terrorist training ground (albeit one
already) whose products will be exported to our shores...and subways.

David Bier

http://www.antichimp.com/

A short interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families
for Peace
Thursday 07 July 07:57 � 58 views, [0 comments] [ Permalink ]

I recently had the opportunity to conduct a quick e-mail interview
with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families for Peace. Cindy
and the GSFP were present in Washington on June 15, 2005, to meet with
Rep. John Conyers and other members of Congress to demand a Resolution
of Inquiry into the Downing Street Memo and related documents.

Cindy says that "the mission of GSFP is to stop the war so other
families won't have to suffer as we are." The organization's web site
states a dual purpose: To bring an end to the occupation of Iraq, and
to be a support group for Gold Star Families.

We talked about her son Casey and her thoughts on the war in Iraq.
Casey was 24 when he was killed in an ambush in Sadr City on April 4,
2004, as he rode in the back of an unprotected trailer while on a
mission to rescue wounded soldiers.

AntiChimp: Were you politically active before your son Casey was sent
to Iraq?

Cindy Sheehan: No. I still don't consider myself politically active. I
don't consider peace a political issue, although I know it is, it is a
bipartisan human issue. So, I still don't think I am politically
active in that sense... even though I meet with Congressman and
Senators and spoke at the hearing.

AC: Did your son ever express his feelings to you about his
deployment?

CS: He didn't think the war was right, but he thought it was his duty
to go.

AC: Because he made a commitment to military service? Or was it more
complicated than that?

CS: Because he thought it was his duty, and they (the soldiers) are
brainwashed into thinking their buddies and the mission are the most
important thing.

AC: How did you become affiliated with Military Families Speak Out
(MFSO)?

CS: I found them shortly after Casey died, and joined.

AC: Were you referred to MFSO by someone, or did you find them on the
Internet?

CS: A friend of mine, Bill Mitchell, whose son Mike was killed in the
same ambush as Casey, found them on the internet.

AC: Why did you establish Gold Star Families for Peace (GSFP)?

CS: To be an effective and compelling voice for peace and truth. To
support each other forever in our grief.

AC: Do you think that young Americans are still being misled by
military recruiters?

CS: I know they are.

AC: Do you believe that the administration uses religion in either a
positive or negative way?

CS: Negative; it is manipulative and hypocritical.

AC: How so?

CS: They have corrupted the Gospel message to be one of hate, war, and
greed.

AC: Your son was very active in the church; how do you think he would
feel about the administration's use of religion?

CS: He would hate it and think it is hypocritical, too.

AC: Is the mainstream media complicit in promoting the war in Iraq?

CS: Yes.

AC: What could they be doing differently?

CS: Reporting the truth, and making Iraq the front page and lead-off
stories.

AC: Do you think they've been reluctant to present stories critical of
the war or the Bush administration?

CS: Obviously.

AC: How would you argue for impeachment of President Bush? Do you
think he should face charges in an international court?

CS: He lied to the American people about WMDs and Saddam's link to
9/11. Of course he should be impeached. At the very least the DSMs
should be investigated. Our country has ignored the Geneva Convention,
and the lies have caused tens of thousands of innocent deaths.

AC: Who do you think is primarily responsible for your son's death?

CS: Me.

AC: Why do you say that?

CS: I didn't teach him not to die for this country.

AC: Do you believe that we as private citizens have the power to
change the course our government is taking?

CS: Yes, we in GSFP have already made a major impact.

AC: Can you give any examples?

CS: Helping to publicize the Downing Street Memos, exit strategies
coming from Congress... Our work has helped change public opinion.

AC: Do you have hope for the future?

CS: Yes, or I wouldn't be doing this.

[osint] A short interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families for Peac

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"a quick e-mail interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star
Families for Peace. Cindy and the GSFP were present in Washington on
June 15, 2005, to meet with Rep. John Conyers and other members of
Congress to demand a Resolution of Inquiry into the Downing Street
Memo and related documents."

Just keeping track of the "peace at any cost" activists.  I understand
the movtivation from her loss, but bailing out of Iraq at this point
would be a terrorism disaster.  Yes, Bush43 lied and got us into Iraq
for his own reasons (oil, ego, etc.) but now we are there and the
country has to be stabilized before we leave or it becomes both a
roiling civil war AND a huge terrorist training ground (albeit one
already) whose products will be exported to our shores...and subways.

David Bier

http://www.antichimp.com/

A short interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families
for Peace
Thursday 07 July 07:57 � 58 views, [0 comments] [ Permalink ]

I recently had the opportunity to conduct a quick e-mail interview
with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families for Peace. Cindy
and the GSFP were present in Washington on June 15, 2005, to meet with
Rep. John Conyers and other members of Congress to demand a Resolution
of Inquiry into the Downing Street Memo and related documents.

Cindy says that "the mission of GSFP is to stop the war so other
families won't have to suffer as we are." The organization's web site
states a dual purpose: To bring an end to the occupation of Iraq, and
to be a support group for Gold Star Families.

We talked about her son Casey and her thoughts on the war in Iraq.
Casey was 24 when he was killed in an ambush in Sadr City on April 4,
2004, as he rode in the back of an unprotected trailer while on a
mission to rescue wounded soldiers.

AntiChimp: Were you politically active before your son Casey was sent
to Iraq?

Cindy Sheehan: No. I still don't consider myself politically active. I
don't consider peace a political issue, although I know it is, it is a
bipartisan human issue. So, I still don't think I am politically
active in that sense... even though I meet with Congressman and
Senators and spoke at the hearing.

AC: Did your son ever express his feelings to you about his
deployment?

CS: He didn't think the war was right, but he thought it was his duty
to go.

AC: Because he made a commitment to military service? Or was it more
complicated than that?

CS: Because he thought it was his duty, and they (the soldiers) are
brainwashed into thinking their buddies and the mission are the most
important thing.

AC: How did you become affiliated with Military Families Speak Out
(MFSO)?

CS: I found them shortly after Casey died, and joined.

AC: Were you referred to MFSO by someone, or did you find them on the
Internet?

CS: A friend of mine, Bill Mitchell, whose son Mike was killed in the
same ambush as Casey, found them on the internet.

AC: Why did you establish Gold Star Families for Peace (GSFP)?

CS: To be an effective and compelling voice for peace and truth. To
support each other forever in our grief.

AC: Do you think that young Americans are still being misled by
military recruiters?

CS: I know they are.

AC: Do you believe that the administration uses religion in either a
positive or negative way?

CS: Negative; it is manipulative and hypocritical.

AC: How so?

CS: They have corrupted the Gospel message to be one of hate, war, and
greed.

AC: Your son was very active in the church; how do you think he would
feel about the administration's use of religion?

CS: He would hate it and think it is hypocritical, too.

AC: Is the mainstream media complicit in promoting the war in Iraq?

CS: Yes.

AC: What could they be doing differently?

CS: Reporting the truth, and making Iraq the front page and lead-off
stories.

AC: Do you think they've been reluctant to present stories critical of
the war or the Bush administration?

CS: Obviously.

AC: How would you argue for impeachment of President Bush? Do you
think he should face charges in an international court?

CS: He lied to the American people about WMDs and Saddam's link to
9/11. Of course he should be impeached. At the very least the DSMs
should be investigated. Our country has ignored the Geneva Convention,
and the lies have caused tens of thousands of innocent deaths.

AC: Who do you think is primarily responsible for your son's death?

CS: Me.

AC: Why do you say that?

CS: I didn't teach him not to die for this country.

AC: Do you believe that we as private citizens have the power to
change the course our government is taking?

CS: Yes, we in GSFP have already made a major impact.

AC: Can you give any examples?

CS: Helping to publicize the Downing Street Memos, exit strategies
coming from Congress... Our work has helped change public opinion.

AC: Do you have hope for the future?

CS: Yes, or I wouldn't be doing this.

[osint] A short interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families for Peace

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"a quick e-mail interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star
Families for Peace. Cindy and the GSFP were present in Washington on
June 15, 2005, to meet with Rep. John Conyers and other members of
Congress to demand a Resolution of Inquiry into the Downing Street
Memo and related documents."

Just keeping track of the "peace at any cost" activists.  I understand
the movtivation from her loss, but bailing out of Iraq at this point
would be a terrorism disaster.  Yes, Bush43 lied and got us into Iraq
for his own reasons (oil, ego, etc.) but now we are there and the
country has to be stabilized before we leave or it becomes both a
roiling civil war AND a huge terrorist training ground (albeit one
already) whose products will be exported to our shores...and subways.

David Bier

http://www.antichimp.com/

A short interview with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families
for Peace
Thursday 07 July 07:57 � 58 views, [0 comments] [ Permalink ]

I recently had the opportunity to conduct a quick e-mail interview
with Cindy Sheehan, co-founder of Gold Star Families for Peace. Cindy
and the GSFP were present in Washington on June 15, 2005, to meet with
Rep. John Conyers and other members of Congress to demand a Resolution
of Inquiry into the Downing Street Memo and related documents.

Cindy says that "the mission of GSFP is to stop the war so other
families won't have to suffer as we are." The organization's web site
states a dual purpose: To bring an end to the occupation of Iraq, and
to be a support group for Gold Star Families.

We talked about her son Casey and her thoughts on the war in Iraq.
Casey was 24 when he was killed in an ambush in Sadr City on April 4,
2004, as he rode in the back of an unprotected trailer while on a
mission to rescue wounded soldiers.

AntiChimp: Were you politically active before your son Casey was sent
to Iraq?

Cindy Sheehan: No. I still don't consider myself politically active. I
don't consider peace a political issue, although I know it is, it is a
bipartisan human issue. So, I still don't think I am politically
active in that sense... even though I meet with Congressman and
Senators and spoke at the hearing.

AC: Did your son ever express his feelings to you about his
deployment?

CS: He didn't think the war was right, but he thought it was his duty
to go.

AC: Because he made a commitment to military service? Or was it more
complicated than that?

CS: Because he thought it was his duty, and they (the soldiers) are
brainwashed into thinking their buddies and the mission are the most
important thing.

AC: How did you become affiliated with Military Families Speak Out
(MFSO)?

CS: I found them shortly after Casey died, and joined.

AC: Were you referred to MFSO by someone, or did you find them on the
Internet?

CS: A friend of mine, Bill Mitchell, whose son Mike was killed in the
same ambush as Casey, found them on the internet.

AC: Why did you establish Gold Star Families for Peace (GSFP)?

CS: To be an effective and compelling voice for peace and truth. To
support each other forever in our grief.

AC: Do you think that young Americans are still being misled by
military recruiters?

CS: I know they are.

AC: Do you believe that the administration uses religion in either a
positive or negative way?

CS: Negative; it is manipulative and hypocritical.

AC: How so?

CS: They have corrupted the Gospel message to be one of hate, war, and
greed.

AC: Your son was very active in the church; how do you think he would
feel about the administration's use of religion?

CS: He would hate it and think it is hypocritical, too.

AC: Is the mainstream media complicit in promoting the war in Iraq?

CS: Yes.

AC: What could they be doing differently?

CS: Reporting the truth, and making Iraq the front page and lead-off
stories.

AC: Do you think they've been reluctant to present stories critical of
the war or the Bush administration?

CS: Obviously.

AC: How would you argue for impeachment of President Bush? Do you
think he should face charges in an international court?

CS: He lied to the American people about WMDs and Saddam's link to
9/11. Of course he should be impeached. At the very least the DSMs
should be investigated. Our country has ignored the Geneva Convention,
and the lies have caused tens of thousands of innocent deaths.

AC: Who do you think is primarily responsible for your son's death?

CS: Me.

AC: Why do you say that?

CS: I didn't teach him not to die for this country.

AC: Do you believe that we as private citizens have the power to
change the course our government is taking?

CS: Yes, we in GSFP have already made a major impact.

AC: Can you give any examples?

CS: Helping to publicize the Downing Street Memos, exit strategies
coming from Congress... Our work has helped change public opinion.

AC: Do you have hope for the future?

CS: Yes, or I wouldn't be doing this.

[osint] Re: Is There a Khilafah in Your Future?

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
It would seem that the American people are at risk from religious
zealots who would enroll us in either a real version of  a Christian
"Republic of Gilead" with its "Moral Values" or under the yoke of the
Islamic Khilafah enforced by "Sharia".

I would greatly prefer they all leave us alone...but neither group of
zealots is likely to just peacefully pray in their houses of worship.  

David Bier

--- In osint@yahoogroups.com, "Bruce Tefft" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/www/Chronicles/2005/February2005/0205Jatra
> s.html
> 
> 
> Is There a Khilafah in Your Future?
> The Coming Islamic Revolution
> by James George Jatras
> 
> Discussions of jihad terrorism and the best defense against it
rarely avoid
> entanglement in the contentious question of the relationship of
terrorist
> actions to Islam as a religion. Is the terrorism an aberration of
Islam, or
> is it, judged in light of history, the prevailing orthodoxy? Indeed, the
> question is an important one, and, in a society that avoids
uncomfortable
> realities, answering it honestly is less a matter of analysis than
of moral
> courage.
> 
> Perhaps less important in theory, but more central in terms of
policy, is a
> question less commonly asked: What is it, exactly, that the
terrorists mean
> to achieve? Nonstate violence as a political/military methodology is not
> new, nor does it exist in a vacuum. It proceeds from a worldview and, in
> almost all cases, has stated, ideologically defined, conscious
goals. The
> question then becomes one of whether the terrorists' motivations are
> essentially reactive (i.e., they are offended by the presence of
infidels on
> the sacred soil of Arabia, they are opposed to U.S. policy in the Middle
> East, they are trying to preserve a traditional way of life from the
> depredations of modern moral corruption, etc.), in which case we
would need
> to stop doing something (pull U.S. forces out of Saudi Arabia, stop
> supporting Israel, stop exporting trashy movies, etc.). Or is what
they want
> something affirmative, something that has an independent, positive
> imperative?
> 
> In suggesting an answer to the question, I ask the reader to do a quick
> Google search for the word khilafah. When I first tried this about a
year
> ago, the result was in the range of 26,000 to 29,000 links (some of them
> redundant). Now, the results are above 50,000, and, by the time you read
> this, maybe more. Almost all of these sites link to material
available in
> English; I can only guess what is out there in Arabic, Urdu, Farsi,
Turkish,
> Malay, and other languages. The location of the site operators is
not always
> clear, but many of them seem to be based in the United Kingdom.
(Since many
> of the quotations in this article were downloaded a few months ago,
some of
> the sites have been removed, to some extent because of action of the
British
> government. Since the sentiments expressed on the sites are unlikely
to have
> disappeared as conveniently as the sites themselves, this appears to
be, at
> best, treating the symptom.)
> 
> Khilafah—perhaps more familiar in the common form in English,
> caliphate—historically refers to the state ruled by a successor (called
> khalifah or, in English, caliph) of Muhammad, beginning in the seventh
> century. The khilafah, in one form or another, lasted until it was
abolished
> in 1924 by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk at the founding of the Turkish
Republic.
> 
> Even a cursory review of these websites shows that in only a very few of
> them does the khilafah reference pertain to this purely historical
entity.
> On the contrary, as far as I can see, most of them are found on advocacy
> sites. These are people who date the current decrepitude of the Islamic
> world in comparison with the West to abolition of the khilafah and
insist
> that all Muslims are obligated to work for its revival. For example, the
> following is from the website (hizb-ut-tahrir.org) of the Turkish
branch of
> an international political party whose stated goal is reviving the
khilafah:
> 
> ===>
> 
> It was a day like this 79 years ago, and more specifically on the 3rd of
> March 1924 that . . . the criminal English agent, Mustafa Kemal
(so-called
> Ataturk, the "Father of the Turks"!) announced that the Grand National
> Assembly had agreed to destroy the Khilafah; and . . . he establish
. . . a
> secular, irreligious, Turkish republic. . . .
> 
> Since that day the Islamic ummah [nation, community] has lived a
life full
> of calamities; she was broken up into small mini states controlled
by the
> enemies of Islam in every aspect. The Muslims were oppressed and
became the
> object of the kuffar's [unbelievers'] d

[osint] The 28,000 victims of terrorism

2005-07-07 Thread David Bier
"According to the NCTC figures, America suffered only five terrorism
incidents last year, which included an arson attack in Utah for which
the Animal Liberation Front claimed responsibility. Mr Brennan said
that the low number of attacks on US soil reflected the good job that
the Bush Administration has done in protecting the US homeland."

But of course, attacks against abortion clinics and their physicians
are not counted as terrorism even though they fit the definition in
the Patriot Act.  Nor are right wing terror groups such as the Army of
God and others listed as terrorist groups even though their stated
aims and actions fit the Patriot Act definition of a terrorist group.
A good example of how to lie with statistics and hide a problem which,
if exposed, would have to be addressed. But adding those groups to the
terrorist list and pursuing them would anger Bush43 right wing
Christian supporters.  So they bury the problem, with the FBI listing
the abortion clinic attacks as just local crime. 

And Bush43's folks brag about doing a good job...

David Bier

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/printFriendly/0,,1-3-1684077-3,00.html

July 07, 2005

The 28,000 victims of terrorism
>From Tim Reid in Washington
New figures show dramatic increase in global attacks

THERE were nearly 3,200 terrorist attacks worldwide last year, the
Bush Administration said yesterday, using a broader definition that
increased fivefold the number of incidents that Washington had
previously tallied for 2004.

In figures published in April, the US State Department said that there
were 651 significant international terror incidents, with more than
9,000 victims.

But under the newer, less-stringent definition of terrorism, which
counts domestic attacks without an international element, the National
Counterterrorism Centre (NCTC) reported 3,192 attacks worldwide, with
28,433 people killed, wounded or kidnapped.

Iraq, with 866, had the most attacks against civilians and other
non-combatants, according to the report. Under the April figures, Iraq
was considered to have suffered 201 attacks in 2004.

The new tally included attacks on Iraqis by Iraqis, a category
previously excluded because it was not considered international
terrorism. But attacks against coalition forces were omitted, because
soldiers are considered combatants. Insurgent attacks on Iraqi police,
deemed non-combatants, were included.

The Bush Administration’s terrorism figures have been the
subject of
repeated controversies. Last year the State Department withdrew its
annual report on global terrorism after claiming that terrorism
incidents had been declining for three years and that 190 cases
reported in 2003 represented the lowest total since 1969.

American officials trumpeted the report as evidence that the US was
winning the War on Terror. But the document was found to be full of
errors, and officials acknowledged that it had vastly understated the
number of attacks.

This year the State Department decided not to publish the terrorism
figures in its annual report. It handed the responsibility to the new
NCTC. John Brennan, its interim director, said that the methodology
that produced the April statistics was so flawed that the numbers were
unreliable.

For example, when Chechen rebels blew up two airliners over Russia in
near- simultaneous attacks last year, only one attack was counted
under the old system.

On board one aircraft were 46 Russians. The other had 43 Russians and
one Israeli civilian, a foreign citizen. That allowed only the second
attack to meet the criteria for international terrorism, which under
the old system required terrorists to claim at least one citizen from
another country among their victims.

According to the NCTC figures, America suffered only five terrorism
incidents last year, which included an arson attack in Utah for which
the Animal Liberation Front claimed responsibility. Mr Brennan said
that the low number of attacks on US soil reflected the good job that
the Bush Administration has done in protecting the US homeland. But he
noted that many attacks overseas are aimed at American and Western
interests. According to the report, only 19 per cent of terrorist
incidents last year were attributable to Islamic extremists.

A quarter were recorded as secular or political attacks, but it said
that the motives for 56 per cent remain unknown. Asked how the NCTC
distinguishes between freedom fighters and terrorists, Mr Brennan said
that the centre’s database is not “black and white and
perfect”.




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[osint] In the Streets of Londonistan

2005-07-08 Thread David Bier
The article contains some good background for Post 56937 in the
context of the UK. While the author is obviously biased against the
British security system,it gives some good background on Khalifah
elements in the UK. Also, one of the persons interviewed provided a
valid scenario for the development of anti-terror legislation and its
incorporation into fighting regular crimes.  A scenario that is
exactly valid and parallel to what is happening in the U.S. Example:
Last year anti-terror Patriot Act money laundering law was used as the
basis for the investigation of a bribery case in Las Vegas involving,
not terrorists, but politicians.
Note that the Northern Command, headed by the general (then at NORAD)
who failed to stop any of the four terrorist aircraft on 9/11 and was
then promoted, has been granted extraordinary powers by Bush43
executive order to overcome Constitutional provisions in the event of
a national security emergency.  The general is empowered to decide if
a NSE is occurring.  (Note the emergency security provisions in the UK
that are outlined at the end of the article.)

David Bier

"Tim Newburn, the director of the Mannheim Centre for the study of
criminology at the London School of Economics, wonders how different
the new threats are from those we faced before. 'I do think there is
an issue about the extent to which we assume the world has changed.
I'm not convinced by the arguments that we now face something that we
might regard as super-terrorism with a reach and a power and a
likelihood of inflicting damage that is completely different from the
things we faced before 11 September. Neither do I agree with the even
more dystopian picture of entire nation states now under threat from
the new terrorist activities. One of the reasons I feel sceptical
about those arguments, apart from the lack of evidence, is the
relatively recent history of terrorism. What tends to happen is that
we are presented with the idea that we face a new and terrible threat,
which necessitates the introduction of emergency powers and the
expenditure of vast amounts of money, and then in time we face a
normalisation of those powers.'

This process of normalisation, which concentrates power in the hands
of law enforcement agencies, has several distinct features. First, a
law introduced as a temporary measure is transformed in due course
into a permanent piece of legislation. Second, a symbiotic
relationship develops between the ordinary criminal law and emerging
legislation as elements of one are incorporated into the other - and
the effect is a general tightening up of the statutory criminal law.
Finally, emergency powers are used to deal with ordinary crime.

Unlike Tamimi, Newburn believes that 'the police services themselves
fuel the process. They are a significant player in what we always see
under these kinds of circumstance, which is the emergence of a
campaign for new legislative powers and new resources. However, I
would have to say that they are usually pushing at a fairly open
door."

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v26/n02/upto01_.html

LRB | Vol. 26 No. 2 dated 22 January 2004 | John Upton

In the Streets of Londonistan
John Upton

Perhaps it is the rain. The gaggle of BNP protesters standing behind
the crowd-control barrier on Tottenham High Road are very subdued.
They are almost to a man - they are all men - overweight,
shaven-headed and in their late thirties (think Private Eye's Yobs).
They stand rather meekly, as if trying hard to prove their
reasonableness. One of them, the oldest, holds a soaking piece of
paper in his left hand on which is written a speech, and in his right
a megaphone to berate his audience of passers-by and journalists on
the other side of the road. 'This is a sovereign nation. These people
are committing treason. Why are they not being arrested?' The
megaphone squeals with feedback. A man is talking about them on his
mobile phone; he laughs openly. The small group of policemen posted
outside the industrial estate where al-Muhajiroun are holding a press
conference, laugh too. The rain begins to fall even harder; on the
kebab shops, on the hairdressers, on the BNP. 'Fucking Pakis,' one of
the Yobs says. It is 11 September 2003.

I cross the road and ask a policeman where to go for the press
briefing. He points in the direction of a checkpoint set up by
al-Muhajiroun.

Al-Muhajiroun are holding a conference to commemorate the 19
mujahideen who gave their lives for the cause of jihad. I am frisked
thoroughly, quickly and professionally by a mountain of a man dressed
in a jellaba. He tells me to hurry up the stairs - the briefing may
already have started.

Upstairs is a large room with whitewashed walls and grey carpet tiles.
On one of the walls a banner proclaims that there is no God but God. A
panel of young, bearded men are sitting under the banner, facing a
semi-circular swathe of TV cameras on tripods and photographers
jostling for p

[osint] ‘A Long-Term Threat’

2005-07-08 Thread David Bier
"There will be the obvious demands for the Department of Homeland
Security to pony up an integrated transportation security planâ€"which
they have not done.  We don’t have a good sense of how much we ought
to be allocating to the air security versus rail security versus any
other transportation-mode security in this country. It’s a very
difficult question to address, and it needs to be done in a very
careful and integrated fashion."

There is $150 million in the Federal budget this year for ground
transportation (rail, bus, subway).  A pittance in comparison to the
scope of the problem.  Just to beef up security for New York City
alone would probably cost more than that.  Ground transport is going
to be vulnerable to terrorist attack for a very long time at the
current rate of funding.

David Bier

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8500211/site/newsweek/?rf=nwnewsletter

‘A Long-Term Threat’
A counterterrorism expert discusses how the London bomb attacks were
carried outâ€"and whether they could have been prevented.
WEB EXCLUSIVE
By Susanna Schrobsdorff
Newsweek
Updated: 4:06 p.m. ET July 7, 2005

July 7 - The first bomb went off at 8.51 a.m., in the midst of the
London rush hour. By 9.47 a.m.â€"56 minutes laterâ€"at
least four blasts
had rocked the heart of the British capital. Three were on crowded
underground trains; the fourth on one of the city’s signature
red
double-decker buses. Hours after the attacks, the number of dead
remained unclear. Hundreds, however, were injuredâ€"many
severelyâ€"and
tens of thousands of commuters were stranded after the city shut down
its subway and bus systems.

Who was behind the coordinated attacks? While British authorities
initially said they were keeping an open mind, a group calling itself
the Secret Organization of Al Qaeda in Europe quickly claimed
responsibility.  The group also threatened future assaults on Italy
and Denmark, two other U.S. allies that have supported  the war in
Iraq.  The London incident, following 15 months after the devastating
Al Qaeda-linked rail bombing in Madrid, has security officials around
the world on high alert and investigators scrambling for clues as to
exactly how the attack was carried out and by whom.

Jack Riley, associate director of RAND Infrastructure, Safety and
Environment and a founding codirector of RAND’s Center for
Terrorism
Risk Management Policy, spoke with NEWSWEEK’s Susanna
Schrobsdorff
about how terrorist cells operate and what counterterrorism experts
could learn from the attack on London. Excerpts:

NEWSWEEK: Is this attack similar to other Al Qaeda attacks?

Jack Riley: It is evident from [their] nature that this has the
hallmark of an Al Qaeda-inspired or actual Al Qaeda attack. There are
very clear parallels to what happened in Madrid [in March 2004] and
how the U.S. was attacked in September of 2001, which was also
multiple simultaneous attacks.


What was the logic behind the timing of the attack?  Is it relevant
that it was announced yesterday that London had won the 2012 Olympics,
or did it have more to do with the G8 summit of the world’s
economic
leaders in Scotland?

The timing [with respect to] Olympic announcement was just
coincidence. The timing of the attack was probably organized around
the G8 summit, [but] that might also be just a coincidence. When you
look at the list of cities worldwide that are at risk, London has been
on that list for virtually as long as New York and Washington, D.C. 


How prepared was Britain for this kind of attack?

There are very few places, in my opinion, that are as well prepared as
the United Kingdom in terms of rail security. There’s no
question that
the Brits have been very serious about terrorism preparedness for a
long time. They’ve intercepted major recent threats, including
the
ricin poisoning plot a few summers ago. They have long, long
experience with this kind of issue from the IRA [Irish Republican
Army] campaign. They had excellent intelligence capabilities,
particularly with respect to the radical Islamic threat. They watched
what happened in Madrid very carefully. And to me, that just
demonstrates how difficult it is to prevent these kinds of incidents
from happening.

What kind of logistical planning would it take to execute an attack
like this?

The demands on an organization to carry out [multiple] attacks like
that probably increase exponentially.  In other words, to carry out
four simultaneous bombings is more difficult than simply just four
times the difficulty of carrying out one bombing. You need to have
people in position at the right place and time. It increases the risk
of being observed by law enforcement and compromising the operation.
There are all sorts of ways that these kinds of attacks raise the risk
of the operation being compromised by someone on the inside who might
be a turncoat.  Or there could be law-enforcement penetration [of the
organization].


How many people might be 

[osint] Re: 'Police shot bombers' reports New Zealander

2005-07-09 Thread David Bier
The HSBC tower is located right next to Canary Wharf building which
contains a tube station.  Highly likely that the police intercepted
two bombers who had been unable to enter the tube station or pursued
them from it.  That scenario would be consistent with instructions to
the building occupants to stay clear of the windows so that the two
bombs (probably in backpacks) could be defused and removed or (with
possible glass impact) detonated in place if defusing was not
feasible.

This may be the source for the reporting that the British had
recovered two unexploded bombs.  If true, that will speed the
investigation as unexploded ordnance often evidences the "signature"
of the bomb maker and thence the group either by his identity or the
techniques of bomb construction taught by a particular group in its
training centers.  That data, along with tracing of materials used,
can speed identification and arrest of suspects.

David Bier

Background on HSBC tower: http://en.wikipedia.org/
wiki/HSBC_Tower,_London

HSBC Tower, London
>From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

(Photo of HSBC Tower in the article show a building to right which is
occuiped by Credit Suisse First Boston and Bank of America)

HSBC Tower is a skyscraper located in the Canary Wharf development in
the London Docklands. The building, whose formal address is 8 Canada
Square, serves as the international headquarters for HSBC Holdings PLC
(the largest bank in the world by some measures).

The tower was designed by Sir Norman Foster's team of architects.
Construction began in 1997 and was completed in 2002. There are 39
office floors in the 200 metre high tower, the second largest in the
United Kingdom. Standing alongside the HSBC Tower are 1 Canada Square
(known popularly as Canary Wharf); and the Citigroup Centre, which
forms the British head office of the multinational US bank, Citigroup.
The tower is not open to the public.

The nearest tube station is Canary Wharf, serving the Jubilee Line and
Docklands Light Railway. A bus service runs to London City Airport. A
small shopping mall is at the base of the development.

See Also

* Tall buildings in London Other tall buildings in the same city
as this building http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tall_buildings_in_London
* 1 Canada Square another building located on Canary Wharf
   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1_Canada_Square

--- In osint@yahoogroups.com, "Bruce Tefft" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> 
> http://www.nzherald.co.nz/index.cfm?c_id=2&ObjectID=10334992
> 
> 'Police shot bombers' reports New Zealander 
> 
>  
> 09.07.05  
> 
>  
> A New Zealander working for Reuters in London says two colleagues
witnessed
> the unconfirmed shooting by police of two apparent suicide bombers
outside
> the HSBC tower at Canary Wharf in London. 
> 
> The New Zealander, who did not want to be named, said the killing of
the two
> men wearing bombs happened at 10.30am on Thursday (London time). 
> 
> Following the shooting, the 8000 workers in the 44-storey tower were
told to
> stay away from windows and remain in the building for at least six
hours,
> the New Zealand man said. 
> 
> He was not prepared to give the names of his two English colleagues,
who he
> said witnessed the shooting from a building across the road from the
tower. 
> 
> Reports of attacks carried out by suicide bombers have been rife in
London. 
> 
> Canada's Globe and Mail newspaper reported an unconfirmed incident
of police
> shooting a bomber outside the HSBC tower. 
> 
> Canadian Brendan Spinks, who works on the 18th floor of the tower,
said he
> saw a "massive rush of policemen" outside the building after London
was
> rocked by the bombings.




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[osint] Where has all the money gone?

2005-07-09 Thread David Bier
"Both Saddam and the US profited handsomely during his reign. He
controlled Iraq’s wealth while most of Iraq’s oil went to Californian
refineries to provide cheap petrol for American voters. US
corporations, like those who enjoyed Saddam’s favour, grew rich. Today
the system is much the same: the oil goes to California, and the new
Iraqi government spends the country’s money with impunity."

"In the absence of any meaningful accountability, Iraqis have no way
of knowing how much of the nation’s wealth is being handed out to
ministers’ and civil servants’ friends and families or funnelled into
secret overseas bank accounts. Given that many Ba’athists are now back
in government, some of that money may even be financing the insurgents."

Meanwhile, the U.S. government...Bush43...blocked lawsuits in our
courts brought by military POWs from the first Gulf War who had sued
the Iraqi government for damages from torture during their
imprisonment.  Reason:  Funds were needed for reconstruction.  
  

David Bier

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v27/n13/print/harr04_.html

LRB | Vol. 27 No. 13 dated 7 July 2005 | Ed Harriman


Where has all the money gone?
Ed Harriman follows the auditors into Iraq

US House of Representatives Government Reform Committee Minority Office
| Link: http://www.democrats.reform.house.gov/

US General Accountability Office
| Link: http://www.gao.gov/

Defense Contract Audit Agency
| Link: http://www.dcaa.mil/

International Advisory and Monitoring Board
| Link: http://www.iamb.info/

Coalition Provisional Authority Inspector General
| Link: http://www.cpa-ig.com/

Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction
| Link: http://www.sigir.mil/

On 12 April 2004, the Coalition Provisional Authority in Erbil in
northern Iraq handed over $1.5 billion in cash to a local courier. The
money, fresh $100 bills shrink-wrapped on pallets, which filled three
Blackhawk helicopters, came from oil sales under the UN’s Oil for Food
Programme, and had been entrusted by the UN Security Council to the
Americans to be spent on behalf of the Iraqi people. The CPA didn’t
properly check out the courier before handing over the cash, and, as a
result, according to an audit report by the CPA’s inspector general,
‘there was an increased risk of the loss or theft of the cash.’ Paul
Bremer, the American pro-consul in Baghdad until June last year, kept
a slush fund of nearly $600 million cash for which there is no
paperwork: $200 million of this was kept in a room in one of Saddam’s
former palaces, and the US soldier in charge used to keep the key to
the room in his backpack, which he left on his desk when he popped out
for lunch. Again, this is Iraqi money, not US funds.

The ‘reconstruction’ of Iraq is the largest American-led occupation
programme since the Marshall Plan. But there is a difference: the US
government funded the Marshall Plan whereas Donald Rumsfeld and Paul
Bremer have made sure that the reconstruction of Iraq is paid for by
the ‘liberated’ country, by the Iraqis themselves. There was $6
billion left over from the UN Oil for Food Programme, as well as
sequestered and frozen assets, and revenue from resumed oil exports
(at least $10 billion in the year following the invasion). Under
Security Council Resolution 1483, passed on 22 May 2003, all of these
funds were transferred into a new account held at the Federal Reserve
Bank in New York, called the Development Fund for Iraq (DFI), so that
they might be spent by the CPA ‘in a transparent manner . . . for the
benefit of the Iraqi people’. Congress, it’s true, voted to spend
$18.4 billion of US taxpayers’ money on the redevelopment of Iraq. But
by 28 June last year, when Bremer left Baghdad two days early to avoid
possible attack on the way to the airport, his CPA had spent up to $20
billion of Iraqi money, compared to $300 million of US funds.

The ‘financial irregularities’ described in audit reports carried out
by agencies of the American government and auditors working for the
international community collectively give a detailed insight into the
mentality of the American occupation authorities and the way they
operated, handing out truckloads of dollars for which neither they nor
the recipients felt any need to be accountable. The auditors have so
far referred more than a hundred contracts, involving billions of
dollars paid to American personnel and corporations, for investigation
and possible criminal prosecution. They have also discovered that $8.8
billion that passed through the new Iraqi government ministries in
Baghdad while Bremer was in charge is unaccounted for, with little
prospect of finding out where it went. A further $3.4 billion
earmarked by Congress for Iraqi development has since been siphoned
off to finance ‘security’.

That audit reports were commissioned at all owes a lot to Henry
Waxman, a Democrat and ranking minority member of the House of
Representatives Committee 

[osint] More Trouble for Rove in CIA Leak Case?

2005-07-09 Thread David Bier
"This past weekend, Michael Isikoff of Newsweek reported that the
emails and notes turned over by Time indicated that "one of Cooper's
sources [for Time's article that named Plame] was White House deputy
chief of staff Karl Rove." Rove's attorney, Robert Luskin, confirmed
that Rove had been interviewed by Cooper for that article. But Luskin
maintained that Rove "did not tell any reporter that Valerie Plame
worked for the CIA." (But does that statement cover all possibilities?
Might Rove have confirmed Valerie Plame had a job at the CIA? Might he
have said that "Valerie Wilson"--not Plame--worked for the CIA?)"

BLOG | Posted 07/07/2005 @ 5:33pm
More Trouble for Rove in CIA Leak Case?


What happened on Wednesday in Courtroom 8 at the federal district
courthouse in Washington, DC, gave rise to more questions than answers
about the shrouded-in-secrecy Plame/CIA leak investigation. But those
questions may not be good for Karl Rove.

The most dramatic moment of the hour-plus hearing was when federal
District Court Judge Thomas Hogan ordered New York Times reporter
Judith Miller to jail for failing to reveal a source to special
prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald, who has been trying to find out which
Bush administration officials outed undercover CIA officer Valerie
Plame, the wife of former Ambassador Joseph Wilson, a critic of the
Bush White House. Conservative columnist Bob Novak first published the
leak in a July 14, 2003 article that cited "two senior administration
officials." Three days later, Time magazine posted a piece cowritten
by Cooper that noted that "government officials" had told Time about
Valerie Wilson's employment at the CIA. Miller wrote no article on
this matter but apparently she talked to at least one source about it.
Her decision to honor her pledge of confidentiality to her source and
resist a court order might have afforded her source--whoever that
might be--a measure of protection. But minutes earlier, Cooper--who
had also been held in civil contempt for not cooperating with
Fitzgerald--made a dramatic statement that could lead to trouble for a
source he had previously protected, and that source might be Rove.

Cooper told the court that he had left home that morning--after saying
good-bye to his six-year-old son and telling the boy that he might not
see him for a while--resolved not to comply with Fitzgerald's request
that he testify before the grand jury. (Time had already surrendered
Cooper's notes and emails to Fitzgerald--over Cooper's objections--but
Fitzgerald still sought Cooper's testimony.) But on the way to the
courthouse, Cooper said to the judge, his source had contacted him and
provided what Cooper called a "personal and unambiguous waiver to
speak before the grand jury." So Cooper declared that he was now
prepared to answer Fitzgerald's questions. He would not be sent off to
the hoosegow.

What does this mean for Cooper's source--a person apparently of
intense interest to Fitzgerald?

This past weekend, Michael Isikoff of Newsweek reported that the
emails and notes turned over by Time indicated that "one of Cooper's
sources [for Time's article that named Plame] was White House deputy
chief of staff Karl Rove." Rove's attorney, Robert Luskin, confirmed
that Rove had been interviewed by Cooper for that article. But Luskin
maintained that Rove "did not tell any reporter that Valerie Plame
worked for the CIA." (But does that statement cover all possibilities?
Might Rove have confirmed Valerie Plame had a job at the CIA? Might he
have said that "Valerie Wilson"--not Plame--worked for the CIA?)

Is Rove indeed the Cooper source being pursued by Fitzgerald and the
person who apparently gave Cooper the greenlight to tell all to the
grand jury? After Cooper's announcement, Rove's lawyer told Newsweek
that Rove and Cooper had not "spoken" about waiving confidentiality
prior to the court hearing. Luskin may have been playing it cute.
Perhaps the communication between Rove and Cooper was an email. And
The New York Times reported that lawyers representing Cooper and
Rove--not Cooper and Rove--had talked prior to hearing. Or could it be
that another Cooper source is Fitzgerald's target?

What's come out so far still points to Rove. And it does seem clear
that only one Cooper source is in the middle of this imbroglio. In a
recent court filing, Fitzgerald repeatedly noted that he needed
Cooper's testimony regarding "a" source (not more than one). And in
Cooper's last-minute courtroom drama, he noted that his "source"--one
person, that is--had released him.

**

Don't forget about DAVID CORN's BLOG at www.davidcorn.com. Read recent
postings on Supreme Court pessimism, blaming Hillary, and Safire's
latest mis-fact.

***

This focus on one person is curious. The Time story written by Cooper
reported,

And some government officials have noted to TIME in interviews, (as
well as to syndicated columnist Robert Novak) that Wilson's wife,
Valerie Plame, is a CIA official who monitor

[osint] Sharon Grants Egypt Military Rewards in Sinai, Is Outmaneuvered by a Secret UK-E

2005-07-10 Thread David Bier
"Arafat’s death has changed little in the financial administration of
the Palestinian Authority. And the back door for financing terrorists
from such transactions as Palestinian gas exports to Egypt is wide
open."

http://www.debka.com/article.php?aid=1051

Sharon Grants Egypt Military Rewards in Sinai, Is Outmaneuvered by a
Secret UK-Egyptian-Palestinian Gas Transaction

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report

July 5, 2005, 2:53 PM (GMT+02:00)

In the middle of last week’s Gush Katif clashes between Israeli
soldiers and anti-evacuation activists, a Hizballah commando raid on
northern Israel and traffic blockages by more protesters, prime
minister Ariel Sharon’s emissaries quietly wound up
negotiations on a
military protocol with Egypt. This protocol, under challenge now by
Israeli lawmakers, formally provides for the deployment of 750
Egyptian border police along the southern Gaza Philadelphi border
route to enable the withdrawal of Israeli troops and civilians from
the Gaza Strip.

But, according to DEBKAfile’s military sources, the tacit part
of the
deal offers Cairo much more than a military foothold along this 14-km
border strip. Against the recommendations of the Israeli high command
and military intelligence AMAN, the Sharon government has agreed to
Egypt’s deployment of commando troops, APCS equipped with
night-vision
equipment and helicopters along the entire border. Moreover, the
Egyptian navy will be allowed to use the northern Sinai Mediterranean
port of El Arish as a naval base for warships.

Likud Knesset Member Michael Eytan called the House into session
Tuesday, July 5, to air the deal before it is finally signed. He acted
on receipt of legal opinions confirming that even the limited
Philadelphi route deal contravened the military clauses of the
Egyptian-Israeli treaty which mandate the demilitarization of all
parts of Sinai including the borders. If the deal goes through without
parliamentary approval, a group of lawmakers stands ready to file High
Court petitions to declare it invalid.

June 30, the day after Israeli and Egyptian officials agreed on the
protocol, Israeli infrastructure minister Binyamin Ben Eliezer and
Egyptian oil minister Sameh Fahmi added their signatures in Cairo to a
$2.5bn agreement for the annual sale of 1.1 bn cubic meters of
Egyptian natural gas to Israel in the next 15 years.

The gas will be pumped through a maritime pipeline to Israel’s
Mediterranean port of Ashkelon. The deal was concluded between the
Israel Electric Corp. and the Israeli-Egyptian consortium East
Mediterranean Gas (Egyptian General Petrol Corporation and Yossi
Meiman’s Merhav).

Sharon preferred the Egyptian gas offer to the bid made by the
Palestinian Authority-British Gas on the grounds that any cash flow to
the Palestinian would end up bankrolling terrorist operations against
Israel.

DEBKAfile’s Middle East sources reveal that, when Ben Eliezer
shook
the hand of Fahmi in Cairo, he had no notion that Egypt and Britain
had secretly struck a separate deal behind Israel’s back. It
provided
for British Gas and its Palestinian partners - through the
Athens-based Consolidated Contractors Company â€" CCC - to resume
drilling at the Gaza offshore field and sell the gas to Egypt over the
same 15-year period as the contract with Israel. This contract stands
to put $150-200m a year in Palestinian pockets.

Britain and Egypt will lay a marine pipeline from the gas fields to El
Arish outside which the British have begun constructing a gas refinery
at Sheik Al Zwayed. A small part of its output will be piped to the
Gaza power station to replace the energy supplied by Israel’s
electric
corporation.

The Israel-Egyptian military protocol if signed will turn El Arish
into a boom port, the harbor of the Egyptian fleet and site of a gas
terminal for European tankers to transfer liquid gas outside the
Middle East. Britain is sinking $150 m into its construction. The
refined Palestinian gas left over from its domestic use, about 60%,
will be siphoned into Egypt’s gas pipe system which is linked
to
Jordan and by the end of summer 2005 will reach Syria. Egyptian and
Palestinian gas will both flow through this system and it is entirely
possible that Israel will end up with Palestinian gas after all.

DEBKAfile’s Palestinian sources add: The head of the
Palestinian
Electricity Company Walid Sayel (son of the PLO military commander in
Lebanon General Saad Sayel who was murdered by the Syrians in 1993) is
handling the project for the Palestinians. He

Is also the go-between with the CCC, which runs the Palestinian
Investment Fund.

This turn of events is at complete odds with the Ariel
Sharon’s energy
strategy.

His decision to buy Egyptian rather than Palestinian gas was
influenced by the following security considerations:

1. If Israel rejected Palestinian gas, it would have no alternative
buyers given the world’s glut of gas.

2. The Palestinians would thus be denied revenues that would obviously

[osint] Matt Cooper's Source

2005-07-10 Thread David Bier
What Karl Rove told Time magazine's reporter. "it was, KR said,
wilson's wife, who apparently works at the agency on wmd [weapons of
mass destruction] issues who authorized the trip." 

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8525978/site/newsweek/

Matt Cooper's Source
What Karl Rove told Time magazine's reporter.
By Michael Isikoff
Newsweek

July 18 issue - It was 11:07 on a Friday morning, July 11, 2003, and
Time magazine correspondent Matt Cooper was tapping out an e-mail to
his bureau chief, Michael Duffy. "Subject: Rove/P&C," (for personal
and confidential), Cooper began. "Spoke to Rove on double super secret
background for about two mins before he went on vacation ..." Cooper
proceeded to spell out some guidance on a story that was beginning to
roil Washington. He finished, "please don't source this to rove or
even WH [White House]" and suggested another reporter check with the CIA.

Last week, after Time turned over that e-mail, among other notes and
e-mails, Cooper agreed to testify before a grand jury in the Valerie
Plame case. Explaining that he had obtained last-minute "personal
consent" from his source, Cooper was able to avoid a jail sentence for
contempt of court. Another reporter, Judith Miller of The New York
Times, refused to identify her source and chose to go to jail instead.

For two years, a federal prosecutor, Patrick Fitzgerald, has been
investigating the leak of Plame's identity as an undercover CIA agent.
The leak was first reported by columnist Robert Novak on July 14,
2003. Novak apparently made some arrangement with the prosecutor, but
Fitzgerald continued to press other reporters for their sources,
possibly to show a pattern (to prove intent) or to make a perjury
case. (It is illegal to knowingly identify an undercover CIA officer.)
Rove's words on the Plame case have always been carefully chosen. "I
didn't know her name. I didn't leak her name," Rove told CNN last year
when asked if he had anything to do with the Plame leak. Rove has
never publicly acknowledged talking to any reporter about former
ambassador Joseph Wilson and his wife. But last week, his lawyer,
Robert Luskin, confirmed to NEWSWEEK that Rove didâ€"and that Rove was
the secret source who, at the request of both Cooper's lawyer and the
prosecutor, gave Cooper permission to testify.

The controversy arose when Wilson wrote an op-ed column in The New
York Times saying that he had been sent by the CIA in February 2002 to
investigate charges that Iraq was trying to buy uranium from the
African country of Niger. Wilson said he had found no evidence to
support the claim. Wilson's column was an early attack on the evidence
used by the Bush administration to justify going to war in Iraq. The
White House wished to discredit Wilson and his attacks. The question
for the prosecutor is whether someone in the administration, in an
effort to undermine Wilson's credibility, intentionally revealed the
covert identity of his wife.

In a brief conversation with Rove, Cooper asked what to make of the
flap over Wilson's criticisms. NEWSWEEK obtained a copy of the e-mail
that Cooper sent his bureau chief after speaking to Rove. (The e-mail
was authenticated by a source intimately familiar with Time's
editorial handling of the Wilson story, but who has asked not to be
identified because of the magazine's corporate decision not to
disclose its contents.) Cooper wrote that Rove offered him a "big
warning" not to "get too far out on Wilson." Rove told Cooper that
Wilson's trip had not been authorized by "DCIA"â€"CIA Director George
Tenetâ€"or Vice President Dick Cheney. Rather, "it was, KR said,
wilson's wife, who apparently works at the agency on wmd [weapons of
mass destruction] issues who authorized the trip." Wilson's wife is
Plame, then an undercover agent working as an analyst in the CIA's
Directorate of Operations counterproliferation division. (Cooper later
included the essence of what Rove told him in an online story.) The
e-mail characterizing the conversation continues: "not only the
genesis of the trip is flawed an[d] suspect but so is the report. he
[Rove] implied strongly there's still plenty to implicate iraqi
interest in acquiring uranium fro[m] Niger ... "

Nothing in the Cooper e-mail suggests that Rove used Plame's name or
knew she was a covert operative. Nonetheless, it is significant that
Rove was speaking to Cooper before Novak's column appeared; in other
words, before Plame's identity had been published. Fitzgerald has been
looking for evidence that Rove spoke to other reporters as well. "Karl
Rove has shared with Fitzgerald all the information he has about any
potentially relevant contacts he has had with any reporters, including
Matt Cooper," Luskin told NEWSWEEK.

A source close to Rove, who declined to be identified because he did
not wish to run afoul of the prosecutor or government investigators,
added that there was "absolutely no inconsistency" between Cooper's
e-mail and what Rove has testified to during his three gr

[osint]

2005-07-10 Thread David Bier
"Failure in Iraq, either by leaving too early or by losing control of
the country, would embolden warring Muslim radicals across the Middle
East and confirm what Osama bin Laden has preached: The United States
doesn't have the stomach for a prolonged fight.

The idea of Arab democracy would collapse with American credibility,
experts say. Americans would face a host of new security threats."

"A lot of the military recovery under (the first President) Bush and
Reagan and Desert Storm â€" a lot of that would be lost," Brookings'
O'Hanlon said. "If we lose in Iraq and you look back several decades,
you'd see more defeats than victories â€" Somalia, Beirut, Vietnam."

Yes Bush43 lied to the American public about the reasons for invading
Iraq.  But it wasn't Hussein support for Al Qaeda (he didn't even let
them operate in areas he controlled, only Ansar al Islami operated in
the Kurd zone...protected by allied air power). Nor was it Hussein's
WMD (he didn't have any he could use against the U.S.,per both the UN
and the 9/11 Commission).  It was about OIL with planning for
Operation Iraqi Liberation (OIL)(yes folks that was the original name
of the Iraq invasion project) starting in January, 2001 and the plans
of the Iraq oil infrastructure reviewed by Cheney in March 2001.  It
was also about Bush43's compulsion to be labeled in history (as he
stated to his ghost writer in 1999) as a warrior president.
Regardless, we did invade and now have the tiger by the tail.  Letting
go before it is tamed is an invitation to be eaten by Al Qaeda and
every Jihadi envisoning the Khalifah while our economy goes down the
toilet.  We have to "stay the course" but if we continue to do it like
Bush43 has been doing it (no plan to secure the nation of Iraq, huge
corruption and loss of billions unaccounted for, insufficient troops
to close the borders to jihadi suicide bombers flowing in to join
Zarqawi and not enough troops to secure urban areas from the Baathist
insurgents), then we will certainly fail.  Half measures will
guarantee you end up with half a posterior. 
Success in Iraq now will require at least 300,000 troops to ensure
sufficient coverage of the countryside and borders along with adequate
incident response forces to interdict, pursue and destroy insurgents.
Yes, we are training Iraqi forces but they are shaky right now at best
and too few to make much difference or halt the cycle of violence. 
Only a vast influx of U.S. troops can stop the current downward spiral
of escalating insurgent violence long enough for the Iraqi security
forces to stop disintegrating, stabilize and begin to grow in numbers,
quality and effectiveness.
However, I doubt seriously that Bush43 has the guts (he couldn't even
risk showing up for a NG flight physical) to risk his presidency on
moving more troops into Iraq and it is doubtful that either his own
party or the public would stand for it at this point.
Prognosis:  Failure in Iraq, collapsing economy at home, a demoralized
military, repressive security measures in the homeland, a rising tide
of terrorism and activity on the WMD and military fronts by Iran,
North Korea and many others.
I really, really hope I am wrong...

David Bier

http://www.clarionledger.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050710/OPINION/507100319/1046

Iraq: Stay the course

# Outcome to affect Americans

By John Yaukey
Gannett News Service

WASHINGTON â€" President Bush has been trying to rally war-weary
Americans by pounding home the message that staying the course in Iraq
is strategically and morally necessary.

On the flip side of that argument are the considerable costs of failure.

In interviews and panel discussions, experts in military strategy,
foreign policy, energy markets and national security overwhelmingly
conclude that failure in Iraq â€" either because of U.S. mistakes or a
loss of will to stay â€" would have far-reaching effects on Americans.

It wouldn't take long, they say, for the shock wave from a faltering
Iraq to rumble through U.S. living rooms. Oil prices would skyrocket,
Islamic extremists and terrorists would rejoice in an historic
victory, Americans would face a new world of security threats while
morale among U.S troops likely would sink.

"Let me remind you that Iraq is centered in an area with 60 percent of
the world's proven oil reserves and 40 percent of its gas," Anthony
Cordesman, author of Iraq's Evolving Insurgency," said. "In very
narrow, selfish strategic terms, what happens in Iraq will affect the
global economy, our economy and every job in this country for years to
come."

Civil war

If the United States were to lose its resolve in Iraq and pull out
early, civil war is a real possibility. But what would happen in such
a conflict? Iraqis fighting each other â€" much like they are now?

Much worse, experts say.

A civil 

[osint] Iraq: Stay the course

2005-07-10 Thread David Bier
"Failure in Iraq, either by leaving too early or by losing control of
the country, would embolden warring Muslim radicals across the Middle
East and confirm what Osama bin Laden has preached: The United States
doesn't have the stomach for a prolonged fight.

The idea of Arab democracy would collapse with American credibility,
experts say. Americans would face a host of new security threats."

"A lot of the military recovery under (the first President) Bush and
Reagan and Desert Storm â€" a lot of that would be lost,"
Brookings'
O'Hanlon said. "If we lose in Iraq and you look back several decades,
you'd see more defeats than victories â€" Somalia, Beirut,
Vietnam."

Yes Bush43 lied to the American public about the reasons for invading
Iraq. But it wasn't Hussein support for Al Qaeda (he didn't even let
them operate in areas he controlled, only Ansar al Islami operated in
the Kurd zone...protected by allied air power). Nor was it Hussein's
WMD (he didn't have any he could use against the U.S.,per both the UN
and the 9/11 Commission). It was about OIL with planning for
Operation Iraqi Liberation (OIL)(yes folks that was the original name
of the Iraq invasion project) starting in January, 2001 and the plans
of the Iraq oil infrastructure reviewed by Cheney in March 2001. It
was also about Bush43's compulsion to be labeled in history (as he
stated to his ghost writer in 1999) as a warrior president.
Regardless, we did invade and now have the tiger by the tail. Letting
go before it is tamed is an invitation to be eaten by Al Qaeda and
every Jihadi envisoning the Khalifah while our economy goes down the
toilet. We have to "stay the course" but if we continue to do it like
Bush43 has been doing it (no plan to secure the nation of Iraq, huge
corruption and loss of billions unaccounted for, insufficient troops
to close the borders to jihadi suicide bombers flowing in to join
Zarqawi and not enough troops to secure urban areas from the Baathist
insurgents), then we will certainly fail. Half measures will
guarantee you end up with half a posterior.
Success in Iraq now will require at least 300,000 troops to ensure
sufficient coverage of the countryside and borders along with adequate
incident response forces to interdict, pursue and destroy insurgents.
Yes, we are training Iraqi forces but they are shaky right now at best
and too few to make much difference or halt the cycle of violence.
Only a vast influx of U.S. troops can stop the current downward spiral
of escalating insurgent violence long enough for the Iraqi security
forces to stop disintegrating, stabilize and begin to grow in numbers,
quality and effectiveness.
However, I doubt seriously that Bush43 has the guts (he couldn't even
risk showing up for a NG flight physical) to risk his presidency on
moving more troops into Iraq and it is doubtful that either his own
party or the public would stand for it at this point.
Prognosis: Failure in Iraq, collapsing economy at home, a demoralized
military, repressive security measures in the homeland, a rising tide
of terrorism and activity on the WMD and military fronts by Iran,
North Korea and many others.
I really, really hope I am wrong...

David Bier

http://www.clarionledger.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article
?AID=/20050710/OPINION/5071003\
19/1046

Iraq: Stay the course

# Outcome to affect Americans

By John Yaukey
Gannett News Service

WASHINGTON â€" President Bush has been trying to rally
war-weary
Americans by pounding home the message that staying the course in Iraq
is strategically and morally necessary.

On the flip side of that argument are the considerable costs of
failure.

In interviews and panel discussions, experts in military strategy,
foreign policy, energy markets and national security overwhelmingly
conclude that failure in Iraq â€" either because of U.S.
mistakes or a
loss of will to stay â€" would have far-reaching effects on
Americans.

It wouldn't take long, they say, for the shock wave from a faltering
Iraq to rumble through U.S. living rooms. Oil prices would skyrocket,
Islamic extremists and terrorists would rejoice in an historic
victory, Americans would face a new world of security threats while
morale among U.S troops likely would sink.

"Let me remind you that Iraq is centered in an area with 60 percent of
the world's proven oil reserves and 40 percent of its gas," Anthony
Cordesman, author of Iraq's Evolving Insurgency," said. "In very
narrow, selfish strategic terms, what happens in Iraq will affect the
global economy, our economy and every job in this country for years to
come."

Civil war

If the United States were to lose its resolve in Iraq and pull out
early, civil war is a real possibility. But what would happen in such
a conflict? Iraqis fighting each other â€" much like they are
now?

Much worse, experts sa

[osint] Re: Sun: Evil disciples of Osama

2005-07-10 Thread David Bier
One of the hallmarks of a democracy with rule of law is that the
police have to demonstrate to the courts that a crime has been
committed in order to arrest someone.  Speech, absent any exigent
circumstance (yelling FIRE in a crowded theatre for example), is NOT a
crime in Britain or the U.S.
There was sufficient probable cause for the issuance of repeated
search warrants as the members' homes were searched repeatedly. 
However, apparently no prosecutable evidence of crimes or conspiracy
to commit crimes was found.  
Just clapping people in jail for saying bad things or speaking in
support of terrible people is generally considered the benchmark of a
totalitarian regime and most supporters of the Constitution are
hesitant to urge such actions...lest they be next.

David Bier

--- In osint@yahoogroups.com, "Bruce Tefft" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> Muslims, loyal to Osama bin Laden and there's not enough evidence to
arrest
> them?  Something definitely wrong with the Western criminal justice
system
> AND the western way of war.
> 
> Bruce
> 
> 
> "THE bomb blitz is feared to be the work of a new breed of
terrorists -
> young, well-educated British Asians loyal to Osama bin Laden. ...
The gang -
> mostly ex-students in their 20s - have had their homes watched for
months,
> but there has not been enough evidence to arrest them."
> 
> 
> 
> http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2005310429,00.html
> 
> 
> Evil disciples of Osama  
> By BRIAN FLYNN
> and JOHN KAY
> 
> 
> [photo] 
> Victim ... wounded commuter 
> in blood-drenched clothes
> 
> 
> THE bomb blitz is feared to be the work of a new breed of
terrorists -
> young, well-educated British Asians loyal to Osama bin Laden. 
> 
> Last night a terror cell based in the Midlands emerged as suspects
behind
> the outrage.
> 
> They are Muslim extremists - yet the bombs aimed to deal out death
and
> injury indiscriminately to people of ALL faiths.
> 
> The gang - mostly ex-students in their 20s - have had their homes
watched
> for months, but there has not been enough evidence to arrest them.
> 
> Intelligence agents have monitored calls between members and
al-Qaeda in
> Afghanistan. 
> 
> A US security source said: "The suspected cell is not the only one
being
> looked at but is one of the most serious lines of inquiry. The
suspects are
> British - disaffected graduates who graduated in the UK, then went
to
> Islamic schools in Pakistan, near the Afghan border."
> 
> 
> [photo] 
> Victims ... Muslim woman in burka and lad are helped 
> from ambulance at Royal London Hospital
>  
> 
> 
> Security services tried to locate the gang yesterday but it is
understood
> not all could be found.
> 
> Terror expert Professor Michael Clarke, of King's College London,
said
> planting a string of bombs would require a cell of at least 18 to 20
people.
> 
> Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said at the G8 summit last night the
bombings
> had "the hallmarks of an al-Qaeda-related attack".
> 
> NO warnings were given, and the TIMING came as massive security was
> concentrated on the G8 summit, with 1,500 Scotland Yard cops
drafted to
> Edinburgh. And public transport was the ultra-soft TARGET - just as
when
> al-Qaeda attacked Madrid last year.
> 
> 
> [photo] 
> Victims ... stunned passengers trudge from Edgware 
> Road station to have injuries treated at nearby Hilton
>  
> 
> 
> A European wing of the evil empire claimed repsonsibility for the
attack in
> a sick boast on the internet.
> 
> The group - calling itself the Secret Organization Group of
al-Qaeda of
> Jihad Organization in Europe - called the bombers "heroic" and
demanded
> troops be withdrawn from Iraq and Afghanistan.
> 
> It ranted: "We have repeatedly warned the British Government and
people. We
> have fulfilled our promise and carried out our blessed military
raid in
> Britain after our mujahidin exerted strenuous efforts over a long
period to
> ensure success of the raid.
> 
> "He who warns is excused."
> 
> The website is believed to be run by a bin Laden associate based in
London,
> with links to Abu Dhabi.
> 
> Radical Muslim cleric Sheik Omar Bakri issued a chilling warning
three
> months ago that a European wing of al-Qaeda was preparing to attack
London.
> 
> 
> [photo] 
> Evil ... Osama bin Laden
>  
> 
> 
> The sheik told a Portugese magazine: "One very well organised group
in
> London has a great appeal for young Muslims. I know that they are
ready to
> launch a big operation. It is inevitable."
> 
> He added: "We don't make a distinction between civilians and
non-civilians,
> inno

[osint] From Filmmaker in Los Angeles to Iraq Detainee

2005-07-10 Thread David Bier
"A Defense Department official who spoke on condition of anonymity
because of that Pentagon policy said Mr. Kar, his cameraman, Farshid
Faraji, and a taxi driver were arrested by Iraqi security forces in
Baghdad on May 17, when a search of the taxi turned up "dozens" of
washing machine timers - devices that Iraqi insurgents have used to
make improvised explosive devices."

"He's cleared," one of Mr. Kar's aunts, Parvin Modarress of Los
Angeles, quoted Mr. Wilson as saying, "They were waiting for a
lie-detector machine, but they finally got it. He passed the
lie-detector test."

Give me a break.  How the dickens would a passenger in a taxi know
what the taxi driver had stored in the vehicle?  When you hire the
taxi, you don't interrogate the driver about his political history. 

Astounding that it is obvious that this guy is NOT a terrorist but a
legitimate scholar and film maker who SUPPORTS the Bush43 war in Iraq.
 And yet the detention system over there is so screwed up that they
can't seem to just let someone GO!  Of course, the indications he
might have initially been tortured might have some bearing on why now
they don't want to let him loose after all the highly negative media
about Abu Ghraib and Guantanemo.  

Probable result: It will probably end up like the case of the young
Jewish American who was detained for several months in Iraq until his
case got media attention.  Then they kicked him loose with no support
or cash and the insurgents promptly kidnapped and murdered him.  Kar,
now that the mostly Sunni insurgents know he is an Iraq war supporter
and an Iranian (Shiite in their view), are probably circling the gates
of his detention center eagerly waiting for the bad press pressure on
the authorities to result in Kar being summarily and vulnerably booted
out onto the street...ready to be butchered in yet another video.

David Bier

http://www.nytimes.com/2005/07/06/international/mi
ddleeast/06detain.html?ex=1278302400&en=b4b9101fc7
4d564d&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss

July 6, 2005
>From Filmmaker in Los Angeles to Iraq Detainee
By TIM GOLDEN

LOS ANGELES, July 5 - Like a lot of aspiring filmmakers in Los
Angeles, Cyrus Kar was obsessed with his project, a documentary about
an ancient Persian king who championed tolerance and human rights even
as he built an empire that stretched across the Near East.

But Mr. Kar, 44, a naturalized American born in Iran, followed his
dream where few others might have gone. In mid-May, he traveled to
Iraq with an Iranian cameraman to film archaeological sites around
Babylon. After a taxi they were in was stopped in Baghdad, the two men
were arrested by Iraqi security forces, who found what they suspected
might be bomb parts in the vehicle.

Since then, Mr. Kar has been held in what his relatives and their
lawyers describe as a frightening netherworld of American military
detention in Iraq - charged with no crime but nonetheless unable to
gain his freedom or even tell his family where he is being held.

He is one of four men with dual American citizenship who have been
detained in Iraq beginning in April, a Defense Department official
said. But none of the others - all Iraqi-Americans suspected of ties
to the insurgency - nor an accused Jordanian-American terrorist
operative captured in a raid last year appear to have had anything
like Mr. Kar's ties to the United States.

Mr. Kar, the son of an Iranian physician, came to the United States
when he was 2 and was raised partly in Utah and Washington State,
where he played high school football. He attended college in
California, received a master's degree in technology management from
Pepperdine University, worked for years in Silicon Valley and served
in the United States Navy and the Naval Reserve.

Nonetheless, Mr. Kar's relatives and their lawyers said they had been
utterly stymied in trying to learn his fate despite repeated inquires
at the Defense Department, the Justice Department, the State
Department, the allied forces in Iraq and the offices of two United
States senators.

The relatives said the only detailed information they had received
came from one of the F.B.I. agents who searched Mr. Kar's apartment in
the Silver Lake neighborhood of Los Angeles on May 23. They said that
after analyzing his personal files, computer drives and other
materials, the agent, John D. Wilson, returned the seized items on
June 14 and assured them that that the F.B.I. had found no reason to
suspect Mr. Kar.

"He's cleared," one of Mr. Kar's aunts, Parvin Modarress of Los
Angeles, quoted Mr. Wilson as saying, "They were waiting for a
lie-detector machine, but they finally got it. He passed the
lie-detector test."

M. Catherine Viray, a spokeswoman for the F.B.I.'s office here, said
she could not comment on either the bureau's investigation of Mr. Kar
or Mr. Wilson's conversa

[osint] Rove's Leak Points to Bush Conspiracy

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"For two years now, what has been lacking from the White House is a
coherent explanation of how the information about Plame’s identity got
from the cloistered world of the CIA to White House meetings and then
into the hands of political adviser Rove.

Long ago, there should have been answers to the following questions:

--What national security purpose was served by giving Karl Rove a
sensitive secret that, if leaked, could endanger the lives of covert
intelligence operatives?

--Who attended White House meetings at which Wilson’s disclosures and
Plame’s identity were discussed? How was Plame’s identity brought into
these talks? By whom?

--Was George W. Bush present at any of these meetings? As the
president, who is ultimately responsible for decisions about national
security secrets, did Bush say anything about Wilson and Plame? If so,
what did he say and to whom?

--Did Bush or anyone else in the White House order Rove to disparage
Wilson?"

"The answer to the Plame mystery is not the Watergate advice of
“follow the money” or even the obvious question of who spilled the
beans to Novak. Instead, the route to the heart of this mystery is to
follow the trail from who knew Plame’s identity at the CIA through the
White House meetings to Karl Rove."


http://consortiumnews.com/2005/071105.html

Rove's Leak Points to Bush Conspiracy

By Robert Parry
July 11, 2005

A key national security principle for dealing with top-secret
information, such as the identity of undercover CIA officers, is
strict compartmentalization, often called “the need to know” â€" which
raises the question why George W. Bush’s chief political adviser Karl
Rove would know anything about the identity of CIA officer Valerie
Plame.

The answer to that mystery â€" why was Rove involved â€" may be more
crucial to unraveling who was behind the illegal leaking of Plame’s
name and the subsequent cover-up than even the identity of which Bush
officials passed the information to right-wing pundit Robert Novak for
his infamous column on July 14, 2003.

But rather than focusing on how and why Rove knew about Plame, the
latest controversy around the case has centered on whether Rove
explicitly used her name in an interview with Time magazine reporter
Matthew Cooper three days before Novak’s column.

Rove’s lawyer Robert Luskin told the Washington Post that his client
didn’t identify Plame by name, only mentioning her in giving Cooper
guidance about who was responsible for authorizing a fact-finding trip
by Plame’s husband, former U.S. Ambassador Joseph Wilson, to Niger in
February 2002. [Washington Post, July 11, 2005]

According to an internal Time e-mail (obtained by Newsweek), Cooper
informed his editor that Rove offered a “big warning” not to “get too
far out on Wilson” and that “KR said” the Niger trip was authorized by
“wilson’s wife, who apparently works at the agency (CIA) on wmd
issues.” [Newsweek, July 18, 2005, issue]

During Wilson’s 2002 trip to Niger, the ex-ambassador discovered that
claims about Iraq trying to buy yellowcake uranium were almost
certainly bogus. But Wilson’s findings â€" which were later corroborated
by United Nations officials â€" would remain politically sensitive
because they undercut Bush’s assertions about Iraqi nuclear ambitions,
a central rationale for invading Iraq in March 2003.

On July 6, 2003, three months after the U.S.-led invasion, Wilson
disclosed his Niger findings in a New York Times op-ed article that
represented an early crack in the president’s credibility on
the Iraq War.

Bush Spin Machine

The Bush spin machine quickly whirled into action, even though it was
clear by July 2003 that Bush was wrong about the existence of large
caches of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction as well as about an active
nuclear weapons program. Still, the goal in summer 2003 was to
discredit Joe Wilson.

It was in that context that the secret about Plame’s covert role as a
CIA officer working on WMD issues was somehow delivered to the White
House. From there, the sensitive fact, which also could have
jeopardized the lives of other operatives who were cooperating with
Plame, was fashioned into a public-relations attack on her husband.

Rather than keep the secret under tight control, Bush’s White House
bandied it about as a way to question Wilson’s manhood, as a guy who
needed his wife’s intervention to get him a job â€" although Plame
appears only to have mentioned her husband as one Africa expert
suitable for the Niger assignment.

To professional U.S. intelligence officers, the notion of sharing such
a precise secret â€" the identity of an undercover CIA officer â€" with a
spinmeister like Rove is anathema.

>From a national security viewpoint, it also doesn’t matter much
whether Rove used Plame’s name. He certainly gave Time magazine enough
information â€" that Joe Wilson’s wife was a CIA officer â€" to unmask her
identity with a little bit of research

[osint] Lessons of the London Bombing

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"...a simplistic black-and-white view of the enemy is not helpful in
winning this kind of conflict. As counter-insurgency experts have
taught for decades, effective strategies to quell rebellions require
multilayered responses aimed at winning hearts and minds, not just
killing all possible enemies.

These military experts note that success requires identifying
legitimate grievances, taking concrete steps to address these
problems, and then isolating the hard-core enemies."

"After years of bloody attacks, the back-and-forth terrorism between
the IRA and Protestant militants was brought under control as new
leaders, ironically including British Prime Minister Tony Blair, edged
back from the hard lines, addressed the reasonable demands of the
warring sides, and isolated the violent fringes.

Yet, given how deeply Bush has dug himself in to his
“with-us-or-with-the-terrorists” strategies, it is difficult to
envision how the United States might clamber out of the hole,
especially the one in Iraq, in the near future."

It would be nice to be able to draw an exact parallel between the IRA
and Al Qaeda, but of course, there is a vast difference between the
political Marxist/nationalist IRA and the fanatic Islamist Al Qaeda. 
It is doubtful there is any middle ground whatsoever possible between
the U.S. position of endless war to stamp out terror and the Al Qaeda
position of endless war to extend the Wahhabi version of the Khalifah
worldwide.
Thus it is very likely that while the lessons in the article are
noteworthy, and essentially true, they will mean little in the context
of stamping out terror.  Nor will Bush43's premise for fighting the
war in Iraq to keep terrorists out of the homeland prove true; given
the huge jump in terrorist recruiting (our Army should be so lucky)
and the large terror training ground in Iraq that Bush43 has so
thoughtfully provided.  Its graduates will go somewhere they hate. 
And that is us.

David Bier
http://consortiumnews.com/2005/070905.html

Lessons of the London Bombing

By Robert Parry
July 9, 2005

At about 9:30 a.m. on July 7, an overcast Thursday, I left a hotel in
the Kensington section of London and walked â€" with my wife and
16-year-old son â€" toward the Earl’s Court subway station, planning to
take the Piccadilly line to Heathrow Airport to catch a noontime
flight back to Washington.

When we reached the Underground, we found a surge of people moving
away from the entrance. We were told that the station was being
evacuated because of some emergency elsewhere in the system, possibly
an electrical explosion.

With little prospect for finding a cab and unclear how widespread the
problem was, we began trudging off â€" luggage in hand â€" toward the next
stop on the line, at Barons Court. Many Londoners were doing the same,
some in their business suits with cell phones to their ears trying to
glean the latest detail of what was happening.

The sorry parade had the feel of a disaster film in which people are
suddenly denied the transportation that they so casually rely on.

When we finally reached Barons Court, guards barred the door to that
station, too, informing us that multiple explosions had forced the
closing of the entire London Underground. It was becoming clear that
this incident wasn’t just the result of a malfunctioning electrical grid.

At the advice of one security guard, we double-backed about a quarter
mile and found a store-front office of a “mini-cab” company. We
secured the services of its last available car, which for the price of
40 pounds took us â€" and an elderly chap on his way to Belfast â€" to
Heathrow Airport.

By the time we boarded our flight and departed for Washington early in
the afternoon, news reports were describing how four bombs â€" three on
subway cars and a fourth on a double-decker bus â€" had killed an
undetermined number of people in London. Suspicions were already
focused on an al-Qaeda connection.

Back in the USA

Several hours later, after we landed at Dulles Airport, we climbed
into a cab for the last leg of our trip back to Arlington, Va.

The cab driver was listening to a right-wing radio station that was
already drawing lessons from the London bombings. George W. Bush’s
wisdom and resolve were vindicated again, the radio voices told us,
while American liberals were cowards and traitors for wanting to
coddle terrorists.

We were back in the USA.

But what are the real lessons of the London bombings â€" and what do
those lessons mean for the Iraq War, the War on Terror, and the shaky
future of American democracy?

First, there is the forensic evidence, the relatively crude nature of
the four bombs.

That could be viewed as a negative or a positive. On the one hand,
assuming that these bombs indeed were the work of a militant Islamic
group, their simplicity could suggest a declining terrorist
capability. On the other hand, the bombs indicate

[osint] Military: Frustration for the Fabled SEALs

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"...hundreds of veteran SEALs have not re-enlisted, while others have
resigned their commissions..."

"Right now," says Jackson, who spoke to NEWSWEEK after attending a
memorial service for the 10 dead Seals, "the SEALs are galvanized as one."

Considering the circumstances, the SEALS did not do so bad in that
engagement.  At least one SEAL escaped and survived.  In the Russian
Afghan war, the Afghan irregulars destroyed a Russian Spetznatz
battalion to the last man plus several fighter and helicopter
aircrews.  Then as now, the Afghan irregulars were able to operate
from and retreat to Pakistan (our ally?).  
It is obvious that the lessons learned from their war against the
Russians, developed after we gave them Stinger missiles, have not been
forgotten.  Interdict the ground force and set missile teams on each
hill to fire from the rear (to achieve impact with little warning) on
aircraft attempting to provide ground support or land to rescue or
augment troops.  No doubt that lesson was widely taught in the Taliban
and Al Qaeda training camps in Afghanistan and now Pakistan...our ally.
No doubt that lesson is also taught by Al Qaeda in Iraq...

David Bier

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8525634/site/newsweek/

Military: Frustration for the Fabled SEALs
Newsweek

July 18 issue - It was the worst setback in the 43-year history of the
Navy SEAL program. At least 10 of the elite commandos died when a
reconnaissance team came under fire in the mountains of Afghanistan's
Kunar province, and a SEAL rescue helicopter crashed trying to save
them. For many proud SEALs (an acronym for Sea, Air and Land Team),
the Afghan debacle was just a bitter new chapter in a very frustrating
war on terror. Since 9/11â€"but especially since the Iraq warâ€"many SEALs
have come to feel like second-class citizens in the exclusive world of
Special Forces.

Why? "The main reason has been severe restrictions on the types of
missions they are allowed to undertake," says a U.S. defense analyst
under Pentagon contract who works closely with Special Forces (he
declined to be identified because his work is classified). While the
Army's Delta Force and Green Berets get the best "direct action" and
unconventional warfare missionsâ€"going after the bad guysâ€"SEALs say
they are often relegated to doing VIP escorts in Iraq or rescue
missions, the defense analyst says. The Afghan recon mission was a
rare "bright spot," he says, despite its tragic end. The Army also
dominates the senior command, with Gen. Bryan Brown and Lt. Gen.
William Boykin running Special Ops worldwide.

The result is that hundreds of veteran SEALs have not re-enlisted,
while others have resigned their commissions, says the defense
analyst, citing official Pentagon numbers. That has deprived the
overall SEAL population of about 2,500 of experienced commandos, he
says. Asked to respond, SEALs spokesman Cmdr. Jeff Bender said: "We
can't go into the nature of our missions. But it's categorically
untrue that morale is low." He also said that "retention is better
than it has been."

Still, many SEALs have left for higher-paying jobsâ€"and sometimes
better actionâ€"with private security firms, like North Carolina-based
Blackwater USA (founded by ex-SEAL Gary Jackson). The Defense
Department has offered a "retention incentive" $150,000 bonus for
SEALs senior officers (and other Special Ops forces) who re-enlist for
six years. But John Arquilla, who teaches at the Naval postgraduate
program in Monterey, Calif., says the offer of extra money is "a sign
that we need to reconsider how we are employing them. These men don't
become SEALs for the money. They do what they do for the prospect of
action." Some experts say the SEALs might do well to revert to their
maritime origins by dealing with terror threats on the high seas or in
ports. Blackwater founder Jackson doesn't see a morale problem. "Right
now," says Jackson, who spoke to NEWSWEEK after attending a memorial
service for the 10 dead Seals, "the SEALs are galvanized as one."

â€"Michael Hirsh and Jamie Reno




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[osint] Israel Braces for Expanded Hizbollah Network

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"Last year alone, he added, Iran funneled $9 million through Hizbollah
to the Israeli-occupied territories to support terror operations." 

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=960524&C=mideast

Posted 07/11/05 07:34  

Israel Braces for Expanded Hizbollah Network
Tracks Maritime Buys, Links With Palestinian Terror Groups

By BARBARA OPALL-ROME, TEL AVIV

Israel is girding against a potential deep-sea infiltration and other
new types of increasingly sophisticated attacks by Iranian-backed
Hizbollah cells capable of operating well beyond the Islamic Shiite
organization�s Lebanese home turf.

In addition to ambush and attempted kidnapping operations along the
Israeli-Lebanese border � the latest of which occurred June 30 in the
disputed area known in Israel as Shebaa Farms � Hizbollah is expanding
into the West Bank, the Gaza Strip and even into Israel, where
citizens are recruited for terror activities, defense officials and
counterterrorism experts here said.

And while Hizbollah managed to surprise Israel during the past year
with two embarrassing unmanned overflights of its northern areas,
officials here say they are closely monitoring the organization�s
expanding procurement and training networks to minimize chances of
again being hoodwinked by the introduction of new methods and means of
attack.

�For some time, we�ve been following their interest in attacking from
the sea. At the same time, we�ve enhanced all appropriate measures to
deny them success,� said Amos Malka, a retired major general and
former director of Israeli military intelligence.

Security officials here confirmed that Israel has begun work on a
kilometer-long undersea anti-infiltration barrier along its coastal
border with the Gaza Strip. The project, first reported in mid-June
editions of the Jerusalem Post, includes a roughly 200-meter-long
concrete wall secured into the seabed north of the Strip, while
another 800 meters or so will involve a tethered wire fence.

Rohan Gunaratna, head of the International Center for Political
Violence and Terrorism Research at Singapore�s Nanyang Technological
University, said Hizbollah has developed an extensive procurement
network outside of the Middle East, particularly in Canada.

�What they don�t get directly from Iran or Syria, they buy with
Iranian money,� said Gunaratna, a visiting lecturer at the Herzliya,
Israel-based Institute for CounterTerrorism. �Recently their focus has
been on maritime equipment, scuba gear, speedboats and closed-circuit
communications systems [for underwater operations].�

In a July 4 exchange, Maj. Gen. Dan Harel, commander of Israel�s
Southern Command, said he expected Hizbollah operatives working with
local Palestinian terror groups to try to incite violence and
otherwise take advantage of Israel�s planned withdrawal from the Gaza
Strip, scheduled to begin in August.

�They�ve made a few attempts to infiltrate [agents and weaponry] from
the sea. Don�t forget the role they played in Karine A,� Harel said,
referring to Israel�s January 2001 high-seas seizure of a weapon-laden
ship destined for the Palestine Authority.

Israel, the United States and numerous international counterterrorism
authorities have accused Hizbollah agents in Lebanon of brokering the
Karine A smuggling deal between senior aides to then-Palestinian
leader Yassir Arafat and Iran. The original plan called for more than
50 tons of Iranian arms and munitions to be delivered off the Gaza
coast via dozens of specially designed Iranian containers that floated
one meter below the water�s surface.

Expanding Footprint

Perhaps more worrisome than Hizbollah�s expanding presence in the Gaza
Strip, security officials and experts here say, is the Lebanese
organization�s intensifying efforts to derail diplomatic progress
between Israel and the Palestinian government of Mahmoud Abbas, also
known as Abu Mazen. An Israeli intelligence official said June 27 that
Abbas has complained to Tel Aviv about Hizbollah�s repeated attempts
to undermine the Palestine Authority through financial and operative
support not only to rival Hamas, Islamic Jihad and other Palestinian
factions, but to Abbas� own Fatah organization.

According to the intelligence official, Hizbollah Secretary-General
Hassan Nasrallah administers a special unit for infiltrating,
supporting and directing Palestinian terror activities in the West
Bank and Gaza.

�This special unit of the Hizbollah is focused on fighting Abu Mazen
and what he stands for,� the official said. �For the first time, there
is a Palestinian leader who is at least making an attempt to fight for
his people�s right to the pursuit of happiness through nonviolent
means. Nasrallah doesn�t hide the fact that he is opposed to the
tahdiya,� the Abbas-brokered lull, or cooling-down period, among all
armed Palestinian factions, designed to allow Israel to complete its
planned withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and four settl

[osint] USN Seeks Riverine, Other Forces

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"The U.S. Navy is sailing flank speed into the war on terror. And more
sailors will be heading ashore to help fight it."

"A Navy Expeditionary Combat Battalion by 2007. How such a unit would
differ from U.S. Marines is unclear."

"A provisional civil affairs battalion attached to Navy construction
battalions, or Seabees, in 2006 and a reserve civil affairs battalion
by 2007."

"A Navy Expeditionary Combat Battalion by 2007. How such a unit would
differ from U.S. Marines is unclear."

Sounds like the Navy is expecting to be in Iraq for some time and
plans to start controlling the rivers system there with riverine
forces to patrol and respond to incidents, a backup combat force to
interdict incident zones and SEAL operations, and its own civil
affairs capability colocated with the SEABEE contruction units at port
facilities.

It is good to see SOMEBODY in the U.S. military finally making serious
plans to control the situation in Iraq and other future hot spots.

David Bier

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=963335&C=navwar

Posted 07/11/05 07:45

USN Seeks Riverine, Other Forces
By ANDREW SCUTRO

The U.S. Navy is sailing flank speed into the war on terror. And more
sailors will be heading ashore to help fight it.

In a July 6 memorandum from the office of retiring Adm. Vern Clark,
the chief of naval operations (CNO), a copy of which was obtained by
Defense News, officials spell out a series of actions to �expand the
Navy�s capabilities to prosecute� the so-called global war on terror.

Key directives call for establishing expeditionary and riverine
warfare units with the Navy. Riverine units would operate on rivers
running through combat zones.

Specifically, Clark ordered creation of:

• An active component riverine warfare force by 2006 and two reserve
component riverine units by 2007.

• A Navy Expeditionary Combat Battalion by 2007. How such a unit would
differ from U.S. Marines is unclear.

• A provisional civil affairs battalion attached to Navy construction
battalions, or Seabees, in 2006 and a reserve civil affairs battalion
by 2007.

• An active/reserve integrated structure for two helicopter combat
support special squadrons.

• A unit that will be able to �data-mine� information culled from the
National Maritime Intelligence Center, which tracks information on
global ship traffic.

• A team to exploit intelligence gathered from maritime interdictions.

• A community of foreign area officers who are experts in specific
regions of the world, similar to Army and Marine Corps foreign area
officers.

According to the memo, Navy end-strength �should not grow� as a result
of the new initiatives. It also notes, but does not specify, possible
budget requirements.

Navy officials were unavailable for comment.

Effort Wins Applause, Criticism

Tom Donnelly, a defense analyst with the American Enterprise
Institute, a conservative think tank in Washington, said the ideas
have long been on Clark�s agenda.

�Just as a principle, I applaud the CNO trying to be relevant for the
needs of the country,� he said. �Certainly, it�s a different attitude
than some people in other services, who have been waiting for this war
to go away.�

Donnelly noted the manpower and budgetary implications.

�It�s not like the Navy has a lot of excess money running around.
[These initiatives] are probably not that expensive, but they�ll run
up against resistance from entrenched communities in the Navy.�

One Navy industry analyst who has seen the memo and requested
anonymity, however, criticized the move, asking why the Navy would
take on missions already handled by the Coast Guard and Marine Corps.

Creating an entirely new command and structure, he said, makes little
sense.

�In general, you are more effective building up things that exist
rather than building new organizations,� the analyst said. �The Navy
has enough trouble managing today�s Navy without adding new structures.� •

E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 




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[osint] Canadian Agency Pushes Technology to Front Lines

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"The so-called direct-support plan already has developed an add-on
armor kit for light armored vehicles as well as an acoustic system to
pinpoint the location of enemy gunfire, researchers said."

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=957391&C=america

Posted 07/11/05 07:37Print-friendly version
Canadian Agency Pushes Technology to Front Lines
By DAVID PUGLIESE, OTTAWA

Canada�s defense science agency is shifting part of its focus from
longer-term research to deal with the more immediate technology needs
of troops on the front lines.

The plan would allow scientists with Defence Research and Development
Canada (DRDC) to quickly produce and deliver innovative equipment that
can be used in war zones like Afghanistan.

The so-called direct-support plan already has developed an add-on
armor kit for light armored vehicles as well as an acoustic system to
pinpoint the location of enemy gunfire, researchers said.

Denis Faubert, director-general of DRDC laboratories in Valcartier,
Quebec, said that while the agency has done direct-support programs in
the past, it will more aggressively seek out such technology projects
that could be of immediate use to the Canadian Forces.

He said the shorter-term programs will have �more of an engineering
flavor� and see military personnel and the research scientists working
more closely together.

�We will have [military] engineers working on that direct support,�
Faubert explained. �They�ll be working in collaboration with our top
scientists in top facilities. That�s the way to go.�

Faster Fielding

Faubert cited the development of an add-on armor kit to protect the
vulnerable undercarriage of the Canadian Forces� light armored
vehicles from land-mine blasts.

DRDC scientists started developing the kit 18 months ago after
receiving a request from the Army, he said. The system is undergoing
final tests before being fielded.

Another DRDC project, the Ferret Small Arms Detection and Localization
System, allows troops to pinpoint the location of enemy shooters using
passive acoustic sensors. The system is composed of a 3-D microphone
array mounted on the rear of the turret on a Coyote armored
reconnaissance vehicle. A controller inside the vehicle turret
processes the sound signals and displays the results on a hand-held
terminal providing a graphical and numerical display.

The Ferret was sent to Afghanistan after it was successfully
demonstrated at Canadian Forces Base Gagetown, New Brunswick, in May
2003. The Army operates 11 Ferrets in Kabul, while another two are
kept in Canada for training.

The Ferret can detect gunfire from silenced weapons and determine the
caliber of the bullet being fired. The system was developed by the
DRDC�s Valcartier laboratories and MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates,
Halifax, Nova Scotia.

Also in widespread use in Afghanistan is a DRDC-developed device that
allows troops to quickly attach night-vision goggles to their helmets.

Hypervelocity Missiles

Faubert stressed that the bulk of the DRDC�s work will continue to be
long-term research projects, but noted that those not directly linked
to the plans of the Canadian Forces could be dropped. An example he
cited is the agency�s development of a hypervelocity anti-tank missile.

DRDC researchers started work about five years ago on the development
of the missile especially designed to be used by Canadian light
armored vehicles. The project concentrated on designing a weapon that
was lighter but exceptionally fast and capable of knocking out a main
battle tank.

But Faubert said the military�s recently released Defence Policy
Statement emphasizes fighting in urban areas and in more complex terrain.

�You don�t really need as a priority that kind of [missile] capability
to strike at a couple of kilometers,� he said.

But Faubert noted the program still produced valuable research. The
hypervelocity project showed scientists how to increase the
effectiveness of a projectile�s penetrator by 10 percent to 20 percent.

�This same technology would be reused perhaps now to develop smaller
caliber missiles for the kind of ammunitions used by the LAV-25,� he said.

Defense analyst Martin Shadwick said the DRDC�s increased emphasis on
direct support makes sense because of operations in war zones like
Afghanistan.

�The important part will be if DRDC can strike a healthy balance
between the more shorter-term, operationally focused projects and
those that are still much more glimmer-in-the-eye, down-the-road,�
said Shadwick, a strategic studies professor at York University in
Toronto.

He said long-term research is still needed, even if the programs do
not produce actual technology that is incorporated in equipment.

�You still need an in-house expertise in various areas, particularly
when it comes to understanding the revolution in military affairs,�
Shadwick said.

Faubert said DRDC has an annual budget of about 240 million Canadian
dollars ($192 milli

[osint] Mixed Feelings?

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"Unlike some U.S. allies, including Britain and Australia, New Delhi
and Washington have considerable differences in matters of national
interest."

"India�s leftist parties, who were used to closer ties with the Soviet
Union during the Cold War, say they are worried by the clauses on
missile defense and multinational operations.

�We are extremely concerned about the provision in the Indo-U.S.
agreement � that the two countries would take part in multilateral
military action under U.S. leadership without U.N. ratification,..."

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=958048&C=asiapac

Posted 07/11/05 07:37

Mixed Feelings?
India Appears Ambivalent About Growing Relationship With U.S.

By VIVEK RAGHUVANSHI, NEW DELHI

The growing ties between the United States and India were tested when
leftist parties that support the ruling coalition objected to some
parts of the recent 10-year �New Framework for U.S.-India Defense
Relations.�

Indian Defense Minister Pranab Mukherjee, who signed the document with
U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld June 23 in Washington, had to
beat back fears that India would become a U.S. vassal.

At a July 5 news conference here, Mukherjee said the new framework was
merely an intent to carry forward the 1995 Agreed Minute of
Understanding with the United States. �There is no mention of any word
such as agreement, accord or treaty� in the new framework, he said.

The new framework specifies areas of cooperation, including:

• Collaboration in multinational operations.

• Strengthening each other�s military capabilities.

• Expanding interaction with other nations to promote regional security.

• Improving capabilities to fight the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction.

• Increasing bilateral defense trade and collaboration on missile defense.

• Exchanging more intelligence.

India�s leftist parties, who were used to closer ties with the Soviet
Union during the Cold War, say they are worried by the clauses on
missile defense and multinational operations.

�We are extremely concerned about the provision in the Indo-U.S.
agreement � that the two countries would take part in multilateral
military action under U.S. leadership without U.N. ratification,�
Sitaram Yechuri, a member of the politburo of the Communist Party of
India-Marxist (CPI-M), told journalists July 4.

The ruling United Progressive Alliance, led by the Congress Party, is
in power with the help of leftist parties who are not members of the
alliance but support it.

Mukherjee during his news conference denied that the framework would
lead India to participate in operations outside the ambit of the
United Nations. India has declined to send troops to Iraq to
participate in the U.S.-led military coalition there.

The framework says the two countries would �collaborate in
multinational operations when it is in their common interest.�

Of the missile defense provision, Mukherjee said, there was �no
question� of India accepting a missile defense shield from �anybody.�

India, which has been unable to develop its own anti-ballistic missile
system, is considering buying the U.S.-built Patriot Advanced
Capability-3 or the Israeli-U.S. Arrow-2.

Differences Between Allies

The leftist parties� charge and Mukherjee�s response reflects India�s
ambivalence about U.S. ties: wanting to embrace the United States as a
close ally while wishing to act independently on matters of national
interest. Many opposition party lawmakers and even some ruling party
members of India�s parliament, including Mukherjee, opposed U.S.
policies during the Cold War.

Unlike some U.S. allies, including Britain and Australia, New Delhi
and Washington have considerable differences in matters of national
interest. While in Washington, Mukherjee acknowledged the divergence.

For example, �the United States considers Pakistan an effective ally�
in the fight against terrorism, but �we consider that cross-border
terrorism in [the state of] Jammu and Kashmir is taking place inspired
by Pakistan,� Mukherjee said at a June 28 news conference in
Washington. �But these two perceptions of the situation [do not] mean
we are not friends.�

In a June 27 speech at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
in Washington, Mukherjee said, �A unipolar world is clearly not a
sustainable proposition in the long run.� Instead, New Delhi envisions
a �multipolar world � of partnership among the nations.�

More Agreements To Come?

Mukherjee�s visit was a prelude to a July 18-20 state visit to
Washington by Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. Singh and
President George W. Bush are expected to sign agreements relating to
cooperation on energy, civil nuclear and space programs.

Mukherjee�s visit to Washington also led to the creation of a Defense
Procurement and Production Group as part of the existing Defense
Policy Group, which coordinates policy discussions between the two
militaries

[osint] U.S. Attitude Shifts as China�s Military Improves

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
"China is preparing for a major war over Taiwan.

The U.S. military should pay attention to China�s military advances,
said Daniel Gour�, vice president of the Lexington Institute, a
defense research center in Arlington, Va. �There aren�t many uses for
these advanced weapons except against an equally large and capable
foe,� he said

Gour� cautioned against those who have advised that the QDR focus on
the war against terrorism. China and its role as a rising world power
are at least as important as the war on terrorism, he said.

The forces needed to check the military power that China may become
are substantially different from those optimized for the global war on
terrorism."

The Department of Defense is required to report to Congress each year
by March 1st on the status of the Chinese military.  The report for
this year has not yet been submitted and members of Congress from both
parties are demanding it be delivered.  It may be that DoD does not
want to let Congress know how far along the Chinese may be and how the
Taiwan factor may impact this nation's ongoing military operations in
Iraq and Afghanistan and the force structure and capabilities suite
being erected as part of the QDR.  The report has never before been late.

David Bier


http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=961396&C=america

Posted 07/11/05 07:43Print-friendly version
U.S. Attitude Shifts as China�s Military Improves
By WILLIAM MATTHEWS

In 1991, U.S. precision weapons, night vision, stealth and other
technologies dazzled the world by obliterating the Iraqi Army in four
days. Among those most profoundly impressed by the U.S. accomplishment
was China.

Awed by the power of U.S. technology, the Chinese military launched a
sustained effort to modernize and reorganize its military, said David
Finkelstein, an Asia expert at the Center for Naval Analysis.

A decade and a half later, it�s Americans who are beginning to be awed
by what China has achieved.

The Chinese military has acquired an assortment of new weapons:
Russian submarines and jet fighters, destroyers with state-of-the-art
phased-array radar, airborne early warning aircraft, cruise missiles
and wake-homing torpedoes, among others.

Stressing quality over quantity, China has cut the size of its
military, yet increased its capability, Finkelstein said. It has
developed new command-and-control doctrines and new standards for
training troops.

Chinese military leaders �know what�s broken and what has to be fixed
to make themselves a more capable, professional institution,�
Finkelstein said July 7 during a discussion on the Chinese military at
the Heritage Foundation, a Washington think tank.

China�s Ultimate Goal?

The question for the U.S. military is: What does China plan to do with
its improving military power?

For U.S. military planners, who are conducting the Defense
Department�s Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR), Finkelstein said,�it
would be prudent to assume� that China will continue to improve its
military.

But it would be a mistake to assume that China inevitably harbors
hostile intent toward the United States, he said.

That seems to be the assumption President George W. Bush and his
administration are making, another expert said.

As recently as December, former Secretary of State Colin Powell
referred to the U.S. relationship with China as the best in 30 years.
But since then, there has been a noticeable shift in the way top
administration officials discuss China, said John Tkacik, a research
fellow in China policy at the Heritage Foundation.

In June, for example, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld questioned
continued increases in Chinese military spending.

�Since no nation threatens China, one must wonder: Why this growing
investment?� Rumsfeld said.

Finkelstein contends that China perceives that it has legitimate
defense needs. China fears Japan, wants to protect the access of its
burgeoning industries to shipping lanes, and has reasons to worry
about the aspirations of Asian neighbors such as India.

Tkacik offers this answer: China is preparing for a major war over Taiwan.

The U.S. military should pay attention to China�s military advances,
said Daniel Gour�, vice president of the Lexington Institute, a
defense research center in Arlington, Va. �There aren�t many uses for
these advanced weapons except against an equally large and capable
foe,� he said

Gour� cautioned against those who have advised that the QDR focus on
the war against terrorism. China and its role as a rising world power
are at least as important as the war on terrorism, he said.

The forces needed to check the military power that China may become
are substantially different from those optimized for the global war on
terrorism.

Among the U.S. capabilities that have a clear impression on China is
the ability �to go downtown,� Gour� said. China is pursuing defenses
against the capabilities that enabled the United St

[osint] Re: From Filmmaker in Los Angeles to Iraq Detainee

2005-07-11 Thread David Bier
Fox News reported last night on its scrolling news line that Mr. Kar
had been released by U.S. authorities but there was no word on the
fate of his cameraman.  The taxi driver remains in custody.  

David Bier

--- In osint@yahoogroups.com, "David Bier" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> "A Defense Department official who spoke on condition of anonymity
> because of that Pentagon policy said Mr. Kar, his cameraman, Farshid
> Faraji, and a taxi driver were arrested by Iraqi security forces in
> Baghdad on May 17, when a search of the taxi turned up "dozens" of
> washing machine timers - devices that Iraqi insurgents have used to
> make improvised explosive devices."
> 
> "He's cleared," one of Mr. Kar's aunts, Parvin Modarress of Los
> Angeles, quoted Mr. Wilson as saying, "They were waiting for a
> lie-detector machine, but they finally got it. He passed the
> lie-detector test."
> 
> Give me a break.  How the dickens would a passenger in a taxi know
> what the taxi driver had stored in the vehicle?  When you hire the
> taxi, you don't interrogate the driver about his political history. 
> 
> Astounding that it is obvious that this guy is NOT a terrorist but a
> legitimate scholar and film maker who SUPPORTS the Bush43 war in Iraq.
>  And yet the detention system over there is so screwed up that they
> can't seem to just let someone GO!  Of course, the indications he
> might have initially been tortured might have some bearing on why now
> they don't want to let him loose after all the highly negative media
> about Abu Ghraib and Guantanemo.  
> 
> Probable result: It will probably end up like the case of the young
> Jewish American who was detained for several months in Iraq until his
> case got media attention.  Then they kicked him loose with no support
> or cash and the insurgents promptly kidnapped and murdered him.  Kar,
> now that the mostly Sunni insurgents know he is an Iraq war supporter
> and an Iranian (Shiite in their view), are probably circling the gates
> of his detention center eagerly waiting for the bad press pressure on
> the authorities to result in Kar being summarily and vulnerably booted
> out onto the street...ready to be butchered in yet another video.
> 
> David Bier
> 
> http://www.nytimes.com/2005/07/06/international/mi
> ddleeast/06detain.html?ex=1278302400&en=b4b9101fc7
> 4d564d&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss
> 
> July 6, 2005
> From Filmmaker in Los Angeles to Iraq Detainee
> By TIM GOLDEN
> 
> LOS ANGELES, July 5 - Like a lot of aspiring filmmakers in Los
> Angeles, Cyrus Kar was obsessed with his project, a documentary about
> an ancient Persian king who championed tolerance and human rights even
> as he built an empire that stretched across the Near East.
> 
> But Mr. Kar, 44, a naturalized American born in Iran, followed his
> dream where few others might have gone. In mid-May, he traveled to
> Iraq with an Iranian cameraman to film archaeological sites around
> Babylon. After a taxi they were in was stopped in Baghdad, the two men
> were arrested by Iraqi security forces, who found what they suspected
> might be bomb parts in the vehicle.
> 
> Since then, Mr. Kar has been held in what his relatives and their
> lawyers describe as a frightening netherworld of American military
> detention in Iraq - charged with no crime but nonetheless unable to
> gain his freedom or even tell his family where he is being held.
> 
> He is one of four men with dual American citizenship who have been
> detained in Iraq beginning in April, a Defense Department official
> said. But none of the others - all Iraqi-Americans suspected of ties
> to the insurgency - nor an accused Jordanian-American terrorist
> operative captured in a raid last year appear to have had anything
> like Mr. Kar's ties to the United States.
> 
> Mr. Kar, the son of an Iranian physician, came to the United States
> when he was 2 and was raised partly in Utah and Washington State,
> where he played high school football. He attended college in
> California, received a master's degree in technology management from
> Pepperdine University, worked for years in Silicon Valley and served
> in the United States Navy and the Naval Reserve.
> 
> Nonetheless, Mr. Kar's relatives and their lawyers said they had been
> utterly stymied in trying to learn his fate despite repeated inquires
> at the Defense Department, the Justice Department, the State
> Department, the allied forces in Iraq and the offices of two United
> States senators.
> 
> The relatives said the only detailed information they had received
> came from one of the F.B.I. agents who searched Mr. Kar's apartment 

[osint] U.S. Releases Filmmaker Detained in Iraq

2005-07-12 Thread David Bier
Kar is now a sitting duck for insurgents who might want to kidnap him.
 No passport and all alone in a Baghdad hotel. Does the American
Embassy have any interest in him.  Are they going to escort him to the
airport with a provisional passport they could issue in an hour. 
Probably not.  They just left him, an American citizen, swinging in
the wind.

Pray for him...

David Bier

http://www.rsicopyright.com/AP/content.html?id=D8B8UNBG0

 U.S. Releases Filmmaker Detained in Iraq

Monday, July 11, 2005 - 03:46:50 AM

By FRANK GRIFFITHS

Get Copyright Clearance Want to use this article? Click here for
options!
© The Associated Press. All Rights reserved.

An aspiring Iranian-American filmmaker who has been detained by the
U.S. military for nearly two months without being charged was released
Sunday, officials said.

Cyrus Kar, 44, of Los Angeles, was taken into custody May 17 near
Balad when potential bomb parts were found in a taxi in which he was
riding. His family had filed a lawsuit accusing the federal government
of violating his civil rights and holding him after the FBI cleared
him of suspicion.

"Kar was detained as an imperative security threat to Iraq," the
military said Sunday in a statement. "After his initial questioning,
the military notified the FBI, who initiated an investigation to
determine if Kar had engaged in terrorist activities."

The U.S. military then convened a review board hearing on July 4 to
determine whether Kar was an "enemy combatant."

"Based on the FBI investigation, the testimony of Kar and the witness
he called, and other witness statements, the board determined Kar was
not an enemy combatant and recommended his release, which was
approved," the statement said.

"I am very happy to be out," Kar told The New York Times, according to
a story posted on its Web site late Sunday. "My family wants me home
soon, and I'll be very happy to talk to everybody as soon as I get out
of Iraq."

The U.S. military defended its detention of Kar.

"This case highlights the effectiveness of our detainee review
process," spokesman Air Force Brig. Gen. Don Alston was quoted as
saying in the statement. "We followed well-established procedures and
Mr. Kar has now been properly released."

In Los Angeles, family members and Kar's lawyers celebrated his
release but criticized the government for the filmmaker's treatment.
They said Kar told them the government destroyed his laptop computer,
film equipment along with 20 hours of footage and his passport.

Kar, who is staying in a Baghdad hotel, told family members he was
exhausted and very hungry.

The Times reported that Kar won't be able to leave Iraq immediately
because U.S. officials told him his passport was destroyed in the
course of testing its authenticity.

The government owes Kar and his family an apology "for robbing him of
50 days of his life and creating a never-ending nightmare for them,"
said Mark Rosenbaum, legal director for the American Civil Liberties
Union of Southern California.

Kar was born in Iran but immigrated to the United States as a child.
He served in the Navy and worked in the computer industry before
becoming interested in filmmaking.

With help from independent director-producer Philippe Diaz, Kar began
working on a documentary about the Persian king Cyrus the Great. He
shot of footage at archaeological sites in Afghanistan and Iran,
according to his family and Diaz.

He was visiting Iraq to film in and around the ancient city of
Babylon, one of Cyrus the Great's conquests, according to his family.

Officials and relatives say Kar was traveling with an Iranian
cameraman after leaving a Baghdad hotel when their taxi was stopped at
a checkpoint Balad. Iraqi security forces allegedly seized several
dozen washing machine timers, which are frequently used in terrorist
bombs.

Balad is about 50 miles north of Baghdad.

Kar's relatives say FBI agents searched his home in Los Angeles but
later told them he had passed a polygraph test and had been cleared of
any charges. They said agents indicated the washing machine timers
belonged to the taxi driver, who was transporting them to a friend.

___

Associated Press Writer Michael Blood contributed to this story.




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[osint] Who Got the Pink Slip?

2005-05-13 Thread David Bier
Apparently General Weida feels that defending the  Constitution takes 
second place for the military.  Undoubtedly he would choose God 
before defending the Constitution if there is a conflict.  And that 
makes him dangerous.

Yes, the same extremist tendencies that fuel the Taliban and other 
Islamists are alive and well in Christian America.  And just as 
dangerous to democracy.  

Unless you want to live in a Republic of Gilead...

David Bier


http://thinkprogress.org/index.php?p=871

Who Got the Pink Slip?

Capt. Melinda Morton is the Air Force Academy chaplain who reported 
finding "stridently evangelical themes" at academy worship
services, 
and a "systemic and pervasive" problem of religious
proselytizing and 
intolerance throughout the school. Morton said one academy chaplain 
urged cadets to "try to convert" non-evangelical peers and
"remind 
them of the consequences … (that) those not `born again will
burn in 
the fires of hell.'" Morton brought these concerns to the
attention 
of superiors in a two-page memo.

Brig. Gen. Johnny Weida is a top commander at the same Air Force 
Academy. He's also a born-again Christian "who has been the
subject 
of complaints that he improperly mixes religion with education."
An 
analysis of the academy released last month by Americans United for 
the Separation of Church and State found "a host of reports"
about 
inappropriate, potentially unconstitutional statements by Gen. Weida. 

One of these people was just offered a major promotion from the 
Department of Defense. The other received a pink slip. Who got what? 
Take a wild guess. 

"wild guess" story links:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-
dyn/content/article/2005/05/12/AR2005051201740.html

""They fired me," said Capt. MeLinda Morton, a Lutheran minister who 
was removed as executive officer of the chaplain unit on May 4. "They 
said I should be angry about these outside groups who reported on the 
strident evangelicalism at the academy. The problem is, I agreed with 
those reports."
Morton, whose removal as executive officer was first reported in USA 
Today, said she has not been asked to brief the task force."

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2002269158_academy10
.html

"The Pentagon said yesterday it wants to promote a top commander at 
the Air Force Academy — a born-again Christian who has been the 
subject of complaints that he improperly mixes religion with 
education. 
The announcement about Brig. Gen. Johnny Weida came one day before 
the scheduled arrival of a task force investigating allegations that 
cadets were pressured to attend religious services, that public 
prayers were held before official events, and that Jewish cadets were 
harassed and insulted at the Colorado Springs school. 
In an e-mail in May 2003, Weida urged cadets to "ask the Lord to give 
us the wisdom to discover the right. ... The Lord is in control. He 
has a plan." 
Later he issued a memo stating that cadets are accountable first to 
their God."






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[osint] Simple but seminal: Cornell researchers build a robot that can reproduce

2005-05-14 Thread David Bier
http://www.news.cornell.edu/stories/May05/selfrep.ws.html

Simple but seminal: Cornell researchers build a robot that can 
reproduce

By Bill Steele
ITHACA, N.Y. -- One of the dreams of both science fiction writers and 
practical robot builders has been realized, at least on a simple 
level: Cornell University researchers have created a machine that can 
build copies of itself. 

Admittedly the machine is just a proof of concept -- it performs no 
useful function except to self-replicate -- but the basic principle 
could be extended to create robots that could replicate or at least 
repair themselves while working in space or in hazardous 
environments, according to Hod Lipson, Cornell assistant professor of 
mechanical and aerospace engineering, and computing and information 
science, in whose lab the robots were built and tested. 

Lipson and colleagues report on the work in a brief communication in 
the May 12 issue of Nature. 

Their robots are made up of a series of modular cubes -- 
called "molecubes" -- each containing identical machinery and the 
complete computer program for replication. The cubes have 
electromagnets on their faces that allow them to selectively attach 
to and detach from one another, and a complete robot consists of 
several cubes linked together. Each cube is divided in half along a 
long diagonal, which allows a robot composed of many cubes to bend, 
reconfigure and manipulate other cubes. For example, a tower of cubes 
can bend itself over at a right angle to pick up another cube. 

To begin replication, the stack of cubes bends over and sets its top 
cube on the table. Then it bends to one side or another to pick up a 
new cube and deposit it on top of the first. By repeating the 
process, one robot made up of a stack of cubes can create another 
just like itself. Since one robot cannot reach across another robot 
of the same height, the robot being built assists in completing its 
own construction. 

Although these experimental robots work only in the limited 
laboratory environment, Lipson suggests that the idea of making self-
replicating robots out of self-contained modules could be used to 
build working robots that could self-repair by replacing defective 
modules. For example, robots sent to explore Mars could carry a 
supply of spare modules to use for repairing or rebuilding as needed, 
allowing for more flexible, versatile and robust missions. Self-
replication and repair also could be crucial for robots working in 
environments where a human with a screwdriver couldn't survive. 

Self-replicating machines have been the subject of theoretical 
discussion since the early days of computing and robotics, but only 
two physical devices that can replicate have been reported. One uses 
Lego parts assembled in a two-dimensional pattern by moving along 
tracks; another uses an arrangement of wooden tiles that tumble into 
a new arrangement when given a shove. 

Exactly what qualifies as "self-replication" is open to discussion, 
Lipson points out. "It is not just a binary property -- of whether 
something self-replicates or not, but rather a continuum," he 
explains. The various possibilities are discussed in "A Universal 
Framework for Analysis of Self-Replication Phenomena," a paper by 
Lipson and Bryant Adams, a Cornell graduate student in mathematics, 
published in Proceedings of the European Conference on Artificial 
Life, ECAL '03, September 2003, Dortmund, Germany.

For example, the researchers point out that human beings reproduce 
but don't literally self-replicate, since the offspring are not exact 
copies. And in many cases, the ability to replicate depends on the 
environment. Rabbits are good replicators in the forest, poor 
replicators in a desert and abysmal replicators in deep space, they 
note. "It is not enough to simply say they replicate or even that 
they replicate well, because these statements only hold in certain 
contexts," the researchers conclude. The conference paper also 
discusses the reproduction of viruses and the splitting of light 
beams into two identical copies. The analysis they supply "allows us 
to look at an important aspect of biology and quantify it," Lipson 
explains.
 
The new robots in Lipson's lab are also very dependent on their 
environment. They draw power through contacts on the surface of the 
table and cannot replicate unless the experimenters "feed" them by 
supplying additional modules. 

"Although the machines we have created are still simple compared with 
biological self-reproduction, they demonstrate that mechanical self-
reproduction is possible and not unique to biology," the researchers 
say. 

Co-authors of the Nature communication are Viktor Zykov, a graduate 
student in mechanical engineering, Efstathios Mytilinaios, a former 
graduate student in computer science now at Microsoft, and Adams. 



Related World Wide Web sites: The following sites provide additional 
information on this news release. 

Hod Lipson

[osint] Army offers 1¼-year hitch

2005-05-14 Thread David Bier
Bet the recruit is not told about involuntary extension under the 
stop-loss program or recall for a full tour of duty after release 
from active duty (which has happened to thousands already) because he 
or she still has a total eight year obligation.  

In total...a real scam.

And with the born-again Republican imams in Congress about to put 
military women back in their subservient support place behind the 
men, the recruiting crunch (already so bad, recruiters are cheating 
and breaking the law to fill quotas) to fill combat and combat 
support slots is going to get a WHOLE lot worse.  

Isn't it about time for someone to start a pool on how long it will 
be before the draft is reinstated?

David Bier

http://usatoday.printthis.clickability.com/pt/cpt?
action=cpt&title=USATODAY.com&expire=&urlID=14220086&fb=Y&url=http%3A%
2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fprintedition%2Fnews%2F20050513%
2F1a_lede13_dom.art.htm&partnerID=1660

Army offers 1¼-year hitch
Recruit shortfall produces shortest enlistment ever
By Dave Moniz
USA TODAY 

WASHINGTON — The Army, faced with a severe and growing shortage
of 
recruits, began offering 15-month active-duty enlistments nationwide 
Thursday, the shortest tours ever.

The typical enlistment lasts three or four years; the previous 
shortest enlistment was two years.

Maj. Gen. Michael Rochelle, the head of the Army Recruiting Command, 
said 2006 could be even worse than this year, a continuation of
"the 
toughest recruiting climate ever faced by the all-volunteer Army."

Recruits in the new 15-month program could serve in 59 of the more 
than 150 jobs in the Army, including the combat infantry, and then 
serve two years in the Reserve or National Guard.

They would finish their eight-year military obligation in the Guard 
or Reserve, volunteer programs such as AmeriCorps or the Peace Corps, 
or the Individual Ready Reserve, a pool of former active-duty troops 
who can still be called to duty but aren't affiliated with any 
military unit.

David Segal, a military personnel expert at the University of 
Maryland, said the 15-month enlistments are no panacea. Fifteen 
months, Segal said, is often not enough time to learn complex tasks 
in a high-tech Army.

Jim Martin, a retired Army officer who teaches military culture at 
Bryn Mawr College, said parents and teachers "see the Army as a
real 
risk, a real danger" because of the war in Iraq. That, more than
the 
length of service, is the major obstacle to recruiting.

Rochelle projected the service will have only half the number of 
recruits ready for 2006 than it did this year, when it had an 
unusually low number of recruits signed up in advance. Under the 
Army's delayed entry program, recruits can sign up one year and 
report for service a year later.

In 2006, the Army's stockpile of recruits is projected to drop from 
18%, or 14,400 soldiers, of the recruiting target of 80,000 to just 
under 10%, or slightly less than 8,000, Rochelle said.

The Army usually aims at beginning a new recruiting year with 25%-35% 
of its goal signed up in advance.

That cushion of advance recruits often determines whether the Army 
meets or misses its goal.

It's "not a bright picture," Rochelle said during a
conference call.

More than halfway through its fiscal year, the Army has not been able 
to make a noticeable dent in the public's reluctance to enlist its 
sons and daughters. That's despite record-high bonuses paid to 
recruits, a new advertising campaign that targets parents and a 
dramatic increase in the number of recruiters throughout the nation.

Segal said he doesn't think the Army will make its goals this year or 
next. The Marine Corps is struggling.

But the Air Force and Navy, the two services not heavily involved in 
ground combat in Afghanistan or Iraq, should meet their goals this 
year, Segal said.

Rochelle said he believes the Army can meet its recruiting goal for 
2005, although recruiters are working 80-hour weeks to meet their 
monthly quotas.

In response to cases in which recruiters offered to provide fake high 
school diplomas and enlist recruits with disqualifying medical 
conditions, the Army will stop recruiting for one day later this 
month to provide ethics training.

So far this fiscal year, which runs from Oct. 1 to Sept. 30, the Army 
has reported 480 such allegations; 91 have been ruled valid. Eight 
recruiters have been relieved from duty, and 98 have been admonished.






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[osint] Bush asked to explain UK war memo

2005-05-14 Thread David Bier
http://www.cnn.com/2005/US/05/11/britain.war.memo/

Bush asked to explain UK war memo



WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Eighty-nine Democratic members of the U.S. 
Congress last week sent President George W. Bush a letter asking for 
explanation of a secret British memo that said "intelligence and 
facts were being fixed" to support the Iraq war in mid-2002.

The timing of the memo was well before the president brought the 
issue to Congress for approval.

The Times of London newspaper published the memo -- actually minutes 
of a high-level meeting on Iraq held July 23, 2002 -- on May 1.

British officials did not dispute the document's authenticity, and 
Michael Boyce, then Britain's Chief of Defense Staff, told the paper 
that Britain had not then made a decision to follow the United States 
to war, but it would have been "irresponsible" not to prepare for the 
possibility.

The White House has not yet responded to queries about the 
congressional letter, which was released on May 6.

The letter, initiated by Rep. John Conyers, ranking member of the 
House Judiciary Committee, said the memo "raises troubling new 
questions regarding the legal justifications for the war as well as 
the integrity of your own administration..."

"While various individuals have asserted this to be the case before, 
including Paul O'Neill, former U.S. Treasury Secretary, and Richard 
Clarke, a former National Security Council official, they have been 
previously dismissed by your administration," the letter said.

But, the letter said, when the document was leaked Prime Minister 
Tony Blair's spokesman called it "nothing new."

In addition to Blair, Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, Defense Secretary 
Geoff Hoon, Attorney General Peter Goldsmith, MI6 chief Richard 
Dearlove and others attended the meeting.

A British official identified as "C" said that he had returned from a 
meeting in Washington and that "military action was now seen as 
inevitable" by U.S. officials.

"Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by 
the conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts 
were being fixed around the policy.

"The NSC had no patience with the U.N. route, and no enthusiasm for 
publishing material on the Iraqi regime's record. There was little 
discussion in Washington of the aftermath after military action."

The memo further discussed the military options under consideration 
by the United States, along with Britain's possible role.

It quoted Hoon as saying the United States had not finalized a 
timeline, but that it would likely begin "30 days before the U.S. 
congressional elections," culminating with the actual attack in 
January 2003.

"It seemed clear that Bush had made up his mind to take military 
action, even if the timing was not yet decided," the memo said.

"But the case was thin. Saddam was not threatening his neighbors, and 
his WMD capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran."

The British officials determined to push for an ultimatum for Saddam 
to allow U.N. weapons inspectors back into Iraq to "help with the 
legal justification for the use of force ... despite U.S. resistance."

Britain's attorney general, Peter Goldsmith, advised the group 
that "the desire for regime change was not a legal base for military 
action" and two of three possible legal bases -- self-defense and 
humanitarian intervention -- could not be used.

The third was a U.N. Security Council resolution, which Goldsmith 
said "would be difficult."

Blair thought that "it would make a big difference politically and 
legally if Saddam refused to allow in the U.N. inspectors."

"If the political context were right, people would support regime 
change," the memo said.

Later, the memo said, Blair would work to convince Bush that they 
should pursue the ultimatum with Saddam even though "many in the U.S. 
did not think it worth going down the ultimatum route."
 
  
Find this article at: 
http://www.cnn.com/2005/US/05/11/britain.war.memo  





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[osint] US real wages fall at fastest rate in 14 years

2005-05-14 Thread David Bier
One of the results of deficit spending, escalating oil prices and 
the "guns versus butter" effect of extended military conflict is to 
begin to push up inflation while wages remain constant or even 
decline with a resultant reduction in consumer spending.  That 
impacts the economy and soon encourages even more deficit spending to 
offset high fuel costs, encourage the economy and pay for a war. And 
that elicits more inflation.  And so the spiral goes. 

Not a good time to hold an adjustable rate mortgage as the good times 
of low interest rates may soon be over.

David Bier

http://financialtimes.printthis.clickability.com/pt/cpt?
action=cpt&title=FT.com+%2F+Home+UK+-
+Real+wages+fall+at+fastest+rate+in+14+years&expire=&urlID=14187511&fb
=Y&url=http%3A%2F%2Fnews.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2Ff269a8f4-c173-11d9-943f-
0e2511c8%2Cft_acl%3D%2Cs01%3D1.html&partnerID=1700

US real wages fall at fastest rate in 14 years
>By Christopher Swann in Washington
>Published: May 10 2005 17:59 | Last updated: May 11 2005 15:20
>>
Real wages in the US are falling at their fastest rate in 14 years, 
according to data surveyed by the Financial Times.

Inflation rose 3.1 per cent in the year to March but salaries climbed 
just 2.4 per cent, according to the Employment Cost Index. In the 
final three months of 2004, real wages fell by 0.9 per cent.

The last time salaries fell this steeply was at the start of 1991, 
when real wages declined by 1.1 per cent.

Stingy pay rises mean many Americans will have to work longer hours 
to keep up with the cost of living, and they could ultimately 
undermine consumer spending and economic growth.

Many economists believe that in spite of the unexpectedly large rise 
in job creation of 274,000 in April, the uneven revival in the labour 
market since the 2001 recession has made it hard for workers to 
negotiate real improvements in living standards.

Even after last month's bumper gain in employment, there are 22,000 
fewer private sector jobs than when the recession began in March 
2001, a 0.02 per cent fall. At the same point in the recovery from 
the recession of the early 1990s, private sector employment was up 
4.7 per cent.

"There is still little evidence that workers are gaining much 
traction in their negotiations," said Paul Ashworth, US analyst
at 
Capital Economics, the consultancy. "If this does not pick up, it 
raises the prospect of a sharper slowdown in consumer spending than 
we have been expecting."
Economists are divided over the best source for measuring pay 
increases in the US, since the government releases three main 
measures. A gauge of average hourly earnings is released with the 
employment report. This rose by 0.3 per cent in both March and April 
and 0.1 per cent in February. Even with a slight rise in the hours 
employees are working, from 33.7 to 33.9, this suggests wages are 
struggling to keep pace with inflation. The gauge covers non-
supervisory workers, about 80 per cent of the workforce.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis figures for personal income showed 
wages rising at close to 6 per cent in 2004 but slowing down since. 
This measure also showed wages rising by just 0.3 per cent in each of 
the past 2 months. This is a broader gauge and includes small 
businesses and professional partnerships, but it measures total 
corporate wage bill rather than wages per person.

The Employment Cost Index, seen by some as the most reliable measure, 
excludes overtime and professional partnerships.

/
Subsequent Article:

http://news.ft.com/cms/s/057ec4b6-c1b9-11d9-943f-0e2511c8.html
Stagnant salaries push more families towards the breadline






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[osint] Former FBI 9/11 Whistle-Blower May Run for Congress

2005-05-27 Thread David Bier
http://www.911citizenswatch.org/modules.php?op=mod
load&name=News&file=article&sid=552&mode=thread&order=0&thold=0

Former FBI 9/11 Whistle-Blower May Run for Congress   
Tuesday, May 24, 2005 - 03:28 PM
Posted by: khence

Current News about 9-11

By FREDERIC J. FROMMER, AP

WASHINGTON (May 24) - A former FBI whistle-blower who urged the agency
to investigate terrorism suspect Zacarias Moussaoui in the weeks
before Sept. 11, 2001, is considering a race for Congress in
Minnesota.

Coleen Rowley told The Associated Press on Monday she will make a
decision by early next month on whether to run as a Democrat against
incumbent GOP Rep. John Kline in next year's election. Rowley, who
retired from the FBI last year, said she's spoken to people to get
their input, both inside and outside of politics, but has been put off
by some suggestions that she get a ''makeover.''

''I've butted heads with a few people - anyone who tells me I have to
spruce up my hair and buy a new wardrobe,'' Rowley said, declining to
identify the source of this unwanted advice. ''I haven't worn makeup
since I was 21. You have to be authentic and genuine in serving the
populace.''

Rowley was named one of Time magazine's people of the year for 2002
after criticizing the agency for ignoring her pleas to investigate
Moussaoui more aggressively. He was the only person charged in the
United States in the attacks.

Rowley said she would run as an ''independent-minded Democrat,''
focusing on issues such as international security and civil liberties.

The Kline campaign said in a statement that it was too early to
speculate about the race, and that Kline is focusing on congressional
business.

AP-NY-05-24-05 1048EDT




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[osint] NBC clashes with Tom DeLay on Law & Order

2005-05-27 Thread David Bier
The Republican Congress severely cut the Federal Marshal Service
budget for court and judiciary protection in the current budget and
there are further cuts in the 2006 budget.  At the same time DeLay and
other Republican lawmakers and their Christian Ayatollah allies such
as Falwell and Robertson, have engaged in inflammatory rhetoric
attacking federal judges. It amounts to encouragement of their more
volatile followers to commit violence and weakening judicial
protection to make it more likely for those sycophants to succeed as
fledgling terrorists.

What did Delay expect when he portrayed judges as heretics?  That does
not go unnoticed or unconcerned in the mainstream. It was only a
matter of time before his position became the butt of someone's humor.

Stand by for Jay Leno...

David Bier

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20050527/tv_nm/media_nbc_delay_dc

 NBC clashes with Tom DeLay on Law & Order

By Steve GormanThu May 26,10:05 PM ET

U.S. House of Representative Majority Leader Tom DeLay accused NBC on
Thursday of slurring his name by including an unflattering reference
to him on the NBC police drama "Law & Order: Criminal Intent."

DeLay's name surfaced on Wednesday night on the show's season finale,
which centered on the fictional slayings of two judges by suspected
right-wing extremists.

In the episode, police are frustrated by a lack of clues, leading one
officer to quip, "Maybe we should put out an APB (all-points-bulletin)
for somebody in a Tom DeLay T-shirt."

In a letter to NBC Universal Television Group President Jeff Zucker,
DeLay wrote: "This manipulation of my name and trivialization of the
sensitive issue of judicial security represents a reckless disregard
for the suffering initiated by recent tragedies and a great disservice
to public discourse."

The Texas Republican went on to suggest the "slur" against him was
intended as a jab at comments he had made about "the need for Congress
to closely monitor the federal judiciary."

NBC Entertainment President Kevin Reilly responded in a statement that
the dialogue in question "was neither a political comment nor an
accusation."

"The script line involved an exasperated detective bedeviled by a lack
of clues, making a sarcastic comment about the futility of looking for
a suspect when no specific description existed," Reilly said.

He added: "It's not unusual for 'Law & Order' to mention real names in
its fictional stories. We're confident in our viewers' ability to
distinguish between the two."

The show, which frequently incorporates stories and themes ripped from
the headlines, aired weeks after a white supremacist was sentenced to
40 years in prison for plotting to assassinate a federal judge whose
husband and elderly mother were later slain by another man angry at
the judge.

That judge, Joan Lefkow, appeared earlier this month before the Senate
Judiciary Committee to rebuke politicians and other public figures who
have used inflammatory language to criticize judicial decisions they
disagreed with. She said such rhetoric encouraged violence against
judges.

Some leading Republicans used harsh terms to condemn judges earlier
this year after courts failed to intervene to save the life of Terri
Schiavo, the brain-damaged Florida woman who died after her feeding
tube was removed at her husband's request but against her parents'
wishes.

At the time, DeLay said, "The time will come for the men responsible
for this to answer for their behavior."

Producer Dick Wolf, creator of the "Law & Order" franchise, took a
swipe at DeLay in his own statement on Thursday, saying, "I ...
congratulate Congressman DeLay for switching the spotlight from his
own problems to an episode of a TV show."

The flap came as ethics questions swirling around DeLay mounted with a
Texas judge ruling on Thursday that a political action committee
formed by the congressman violated state law by failing to disclose
$600,000 in mostly corporate donations.

The show's season finale drew 14.5 million viewers, but DeLay wasn't
one of them. An aide said he heard about the show through his wife,
who learned of it from someone else who saw the episode. 




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[osint] RESOLUTION OF INQUIRY

2005-05-27 Thread David Bier
It is highly unlikely any impeachment inquiry will emanate from a
Republican majority Congress.

David Bier


http://rawstory.com/exclusives/alexandrovna/coalit
ion_inquiry_downing_street_memo_526

RESOLUTION OF INQUIRY
Coalition of citizen groups seek formal inquiry into whether Bush
acted illegally in push for Iraq war

By Larisa Alexandrovna | RAW STORY

Advertisement

A coalition of activist groups running the gamut of social and
political issues will ask Congress to file a Resolution of Inquiry,
the first necessary legal step to determine whether President Bush has
committed impeachable offenses in misleading the country about his
decision to go to war in Iraq, RAW STORY has learned.

The formal Resolution of Inquiry request, written by Boston
constitutional attorney John C. Bonifaz, cites the Downing Street Memo
and issues surrounding the planning and execution of the Iraq war. A
resolution of inquiry would force relevant House committees to vote on
the record as to whether to support an investigation.

The Downing Street Memo, official minutes of a 2002 meeting between
British Prime Minister Tony Blair, members of British intelligence
MI-6 and various members of the Bush administration, notes that MI-6
director Richard Dearlove said, “Bush wanted to remove Saddam,
through
military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD.
But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the
policy.”

Bonifaz says the minutes were the impetus for his request.

“The recent release of the Downing Street Memo provides new and
compelling evidence that the President of the United States has been
actively engaged in a conspiracy to deceive and mislead the United
States Congress and the American people,” Bonifaz wrote in a
memo to
the ranking House Judiciary Committee Democrat John Conyers (D-MI),
outlining the case (read his memo here).

Blair and other British officials have not questioned the
minutes’
veracity.

In response to the revelations in the Downing Street memo, Conyers and
eighty-eight other members of Congress issued a letter to the White
House on May 5 requesting an explanation and answers to questions
about whether the President misled Congress into voting for the Iraq
war.

White House press secretary Scott McClellan waived off the letter,
saying he had “no need to respond,” according to the
New York Times.

Frustrated by the media’s silence, save a few articles buried
in major
American newspapers and pieces in the alternative media such as Air
America Radio, the Ed Schultz Show, Salon and RAW STORY, a grassroots
progressive movement has pushed the story forward, culminating in a
formal request for a Resolution of Inquiry.

Bonifaz wrote the request and outlined the case on behalf of a joint
effort by several groups, including: Veterans for Peace, Progressive
Democrats of America (PDA), 911Citizens Watch, Democracy Rising, Code
Pink, Global Exchange, Democrats.com, Velvet Revolution, and Gold Star
Families for Peace.

“The president, among other alleged crimes, may have also
violated
federal criminal law if the evidence from the Downing Street memo is
proven to be true, including the False Statements Accountability Act
of 1996,” Bonifaz wrote.

Some have criticized the media’s coverage of the memo.

"To me it's kind of the smoking gun, or maybe the latest in a number
of smoking guns,” Editor and Publisher senior editor Dave
Astor told
RAW RADIO Saturday. “And the fact that the media either didn't
cover
it or buried the coverage or poo-pooed it is appalling.”

“It goes back to the fact of who owns the media and the media
being
intimidated by this administration,” he added. “I think
that memo
indicates an impeachable offense, personally. If we had a Congress
that had some spine, and was maybe Democratic-controlled, it could be
an impeachable offense.”

Coalition member Medea Benjamin, founding director of Global Exchange,
said she supports legal proceedings.

“When a president so callously distorts the facts, manipulates
the
public and is responsible for so much needless death and destruction,
he must be held accountable,” Benjamin told RAW STORY.

Other members of the coalition, loosely titled “After Downing
Street,”
concur.

“We will be organizing the grassroots to demand Congress move
forward
with a Resolution of Inquiry,” PDA director Tim Carpenter
stated.

As part of Congressional approval for H.R.Res. 114; Authorization for
Use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution of 2002, the
administration was required to report to Congress that diplomatic
options had been exhausted before or within 48 hours after military
action had started.

In a conversation with RAW STORY, Bonifaz expressed the disappointment
of many who put their faith in the President.

“Within 48 hours after the attack on Iraq, the president wrote
a
letter to Congress indicating that Iraq posed a serious and imminent
threat to national security and if he knew that was not true at the
time he

[osint] Evgeny Adamov Doesn’t Want Return Home

2005-05-29 Thread David Bier
http://www.kommersant.com/page.asp?id=581342

Evgeny Adamov Doesn’t Want Return Home

// constrained

Extradition

Former Russian Atomic Energy minister Evgeny Adamov, charged with
large-scale fraud and now held in custody in Switzerland, rejected
simplified extradition both to the USA and Russia, Kommersant reported
earlier. Lenny A. Breuer, Mr. Adamov's American lawyer, explained to
Kommersant correspondent Igor Sedykh why his client wouldn’t
return home.
- Dr. Adamov is very upset by the fact that he is still kept in
prison. Once he is released, he is going to exercise his right of the
defense and challenge baseless charges put forward against him in the
US.

- Then why did not he accept simplified extradition to Russia?

- The arrest was illegal by all criteria, according to both the Swiss
and the international law. If Mr. Adamov had agreed to the simplified
procedure it would mean that we admit the arrest. But since we do not
agree with it, we proceed from the necessity to contest this decision
and turn down any simplified procedures because the arrest itself is
illegal. We believe that Dr. Adamov must decide for himself where to
go. That is why we decide in this way.

- What are your grounds for this?

- We have strong evidence that the arrest was illegal, which is also
proved by our Swiss colleague [lawyer Stefan Wehrenberg]. First and
foremost, Dr. Adamov arrived in Switzerland as a witness out of his
own accord to testify on a different case but was arrested on the
grounds of the US request and an arrest warrant, without even being
notified beforehand that there was an American request on the legal
cooperation. I am convinced that if a man arrives at a place of his
own free will, he must leave it on his own free will too. We hope that
the Swiss court will restore justice.

- And if it does not?

- Our further steps depend on this decision. If the court hands down a
ruling to release Dr. Adamov, we will start preparing for the
departure to Russia. If the court upholds extradition, we will be very
much disappointed by it. Then we will be waiting for the decision to
which country he will be extradited to and will be preparing to defend
him there.

- Why do you think Adamov may want to return to Russia where a
criminal case has been initiated against him?

- We have saying from the very beginning that he wants to go to Russia
and contest all the charges put forward against him as a free man. The
extradition request certainly changes the situation.

- Aren’t you really afraid that your client will be cuffed and
sent to
a pre-detention centre right at Moscow’s Sheremetyevo airport?

- I hope he will not be arrested. After all, no one attempted to put
him into prison in Moscow when he was there in April. So why would
they send him there now? I hope the Russian government will permit him
to stay free so that he could contest all the charges as a free man. I
guess our Russian colleagues will render him substantial assistance
for him to be completely acquitted in Russia. I do not understand why
he should got sent into prison in Russia if he has always loved his
mother land and has never sought shelter abroad, though he had a
plenty of opportunities to do it.

- Mark Kaushansky, the second accused in this case, was released by an
American court on bail. Can Evgeny Adamov count on a similar ruling,
should he be extradited to the US?

- I do not know if it may happen. We are holding talks with the
authorities on various aspects of this case. I can assure you that my
colleagues and I will do our utmost to achieve accords with the US
authorities. But now our primary goal is to achieve the release of Dr.
Adamov in Switzerland.
by  Igor Sedykh

Russian Article as of May 30, 2005




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[osint] China Sets Border of Cooperation with Russia

2005-05-29 Thread David Bier
http://www.kommersant.com/page.asp?id=581347

China Sets Border of Cooperation with Russia

// Ratification

The Chinese parliament ratified yesterday an additional agreement
between Russia and China on the Eastern part of the Russian-Sino state
border, which was earlier ratified by the Russian parliament. Now the
parties will have to exchange instruments of ratification. At this
point, there will be no more border problems left in the relations
between Russia and China.
An additional agreement between Russia and China on the eastern part
of their state border defines the border line in the area of the Isle
of Bolshoy in the upper reaches of the Argun River (Chita Region) and
the territory of the isles of Tarabarov and Bolshoy Ussuriysky in the
Amur River. These two strips total less than 2 percent of the whole
4,300 km border. The document was signed on October 14, 2004 during
the visit of the Russian president Vladimir Putin to Beijing. It was
already clear then that no problems with its ratification by the
parliaments of the two countries would arise.

However, the residents of the Russian territories adjacent to those to
be handed to China, tried protesting claiming they were losing
agricultural lands and meadows. Locals threatened to pitch tents on
these territories as a sign of protest. Yet, neither tents, nor
rallies were spotted in the islands at the moment of the
document’s
ratification by the Russian Parliament, held last Wednesday.

Sergey Razov, deputy Foreign Minister (who is soon to take over from
Igor Rogachev the Russian ambassadorship to China), spoke at the
session of the Federation Council’s External Affairs Committee
shortly
before this event. He said that the ratification of the additional
agreement did not mean either concessions, or the transfer “of
Russian
territories to China; the matter does not concern any territorial
gains of our territories by this country”. “It is
important that the
Russian-Sino border will not become a seat of tensions,” Mr.
Razov
continued. “The agreement concludes long-standing negotiations
that
were launched by the Chinese party in 1964.” He explained that
there
are no settlements or strategic objects situated in the plots of land
that are to be handed to China.

“The lived-in, inhabited part with 15,000 country houses will
remain
in Russia’s territory, so will a church-chapel and a
water-supply
point at the Argun River,” Mr. Razov added saying that the
document
rules out altering the provision on the line of the state border
demarcated in the locality as a result of natural changes happening in
the territory of the frontier region. He also reported that a joint
demarcation commission is to be formed in order to determine at the
spot the border line between Russia and China in compliance with the
agreement. The commission will aim at the determining the belonging of
the island in the frontier-region rivers and preparing draft document
on the demarcation of the border and the drawing-up of demarcation
maps.

The additional agreement was ratified by the 15th session of the
Standing Committee of China's National People's Congress yesterday.
“Our common [with Russia] goal is to make the Russian-Sino
border a
territory of friendship and cooperation,” Zhang Qiyue, Chinese
Foreign
ministry spokesman said.

Now the parties will have to exchange instruments of ratification.
This is expected to happen soon in Vladivostok where a meeting of
Russian, Chinese and Indian Foreign ministers is to take place on
June 2.
by  Andrey Ivanov

Russian Article as of May 30, 2005




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[osint] A Military Base Can Be Set Up at Osh

2005-05-29 Thread David Bier
http://www.kommersant.com/page.asp?id=580556

A Military Base Can Be Set Up at Osh

// Acting President of Kyrgyzstan Kurmanbek Bakiev talks to Kommersant
First Person

Acting President of Kyrgyzstan Kurmanbek Bakiev, who is resolutely
counting on winning the upcoming presidential elections in that
country, acknowledges the possibility of setting up a military base
near Osh in the south of Kyrgyzstan, under the auspices of the
Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) or the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization (SCO). He spoke about this with Interfax
correspondents Vladimir Kulikov and Igor Porshnev especially for
Kommersant.
You are entering the elections with associations with Felix Kulikov,
who will be prime minister if you win. Is that alliance tactical or
strategic?

That alliance can be seen as both tactical and strategic.

Before you decided to ally with Kulikov, some political scientists
were saying that the main fight in the upcoming election would be
representatives of the north and south of the country. What can be
said about that now?

Felix Kulikov and I formed an alliance mainly so as not to divide
Kyrgyzstan into North and South. My program is based on the wholeness
of Kyrgyzstan, the unity of the Kyrgyz people, by which I mean all the
nations and peoples living in Kyrgyzstan. I took that step to achieve
that goal and everyone has reacted positively to it. God willing, all
attempts to divide the republic will come to an end.

How do you see the chances of the other candidates in the election?
Can the new head of state be chosen in the first round?

I do not want to understate the chances of the other candidates, but I
have worked in Kyrgyzstan for a long time as an akim, the governor of
two regions and prime minister, I was twice elected to parliament, and
that people know me more. Nowhere I worked did I become entangled in
financial machinations or corruption. Therefore, after my alliance
with Felix Kulikov, I think the election can be decided in one round.

Can the current authorities guarantee fair and open elections and
prevent disorder caused bythose who won't be happy with the election
results?

Yes, it can. I am absolutely sure that the elections will proceed
fairly and honestly, in accordance with the Election Code, without the
unfair use of administrative resources. I am also certain that the
disorder caused by the parliamentary elections will not happen again.

If you win, will you be able to offer posts in the government or
presidential administration to your current opponents?

Everything will depend on who will run. And people need to meet
certain basic requirements: management experience, analytical
experience, an understanding of economic issues, an understanding of
the domestic politics of Kyrgyzstan and an ability to lead it. It only
looks like anyone who engages in politics can manage people and the
state. It is very responsible and difficult work.

Can the events in neighboring Uzbekistan have a negative influence on
relations between Bishkek and Tashkent? Who, in your opinion,
organized the disorder in Andijan?

The events in Uzbekistan cannot influence our relations for the simple
reason that, from the very beginning, the administration of Kyrgyzstan
has been doing everything it can so that Uzbek citizens feel alright
when they are in our territory. We provided first aid, help with food,
that is, provided basic human care. Therefore, relations between
Bishkek and Tashkent cannot be spoiled. I think that, most likely,
religious extremism, which is rising in Central Asia, is behind the
disorder.

What efforts are the authorities prepared to make to counteract
Islamic extremism in Kyrgyzstan?

Yes, unfortunately, there are hotbeds in Kyrgyzstan, although they are
not now as active or aggressive as in the neighboring state.
Sometimes, unfortunately, Islam and the Koran are interpreted
differently, especially by the ignorant. The special services have to
work with those people, and our spiritual leaders, and highly educated
spiritual people.

Former Kyrgyz president Askar Akaev stated in an interview that among
the organizers of the mass opposition at the end of March were drug
lords. He said that the new leadership of the republic is
“practically
a hostage of the narcotics mafia” and drug transport through
Kyrgyzstan is “now open.” What do you say?

Drug trafficking existed before Akaev, during Akaev and it exists now.
Narcotics came from Afghanistan through border states and they still
do. It cannot be tied to the people's revolution.

Will a military base be set up in the town of Osh? What will be the
fate of the existing bases â€" the Russian base at Kant and the
American
base at Manas Airport?

If it is necessary, a military base can be set up at Osh under the
auspices of the CSTO or the SCO. The airbase at Kant will exist as
long as it is needed, under previous agreements. The American airbase
at Manas Airport will fulfill its function under agreements previo

[osint] Karimov Shares Crude with China

2005-05-29 Thread David Bier
http://www.kommersant.com/page.asp?id=580609

Karimov Shares Crude with China
Uzbekistan’ President Islam Karimov sealed in Beijing yesterday a
long-term cooperation agreement for exploration and subsequent
production of Uzbek crude. But in China, they are not willing to
confine to the power industry, viewing Tashkent as the crucial
component to ensure stability of its western frontier. Exactly this
stance determines today's attitude of China to Uzbekistan and to all
events happening there.
China was the only country that had absolutely supported actions of
Uzbek authorities in Andijan bloodshed. Before Karimov’s visit to
Beijing, official spokesman of Chinese foreign ministry made it clear
that the latest events in Uzbekistan are internal affair of the
country and that China backs up all efforts against terrorism,
extremism and separatism.

China has been eyeing Uzbekistan for long. Beijing thinks that Islamic
fundamentalists have entrenched their power in Uzbekistan and that the
narrow strip of Kyrgyz territory couldn’t be counted on as an
insurmountable obstacle for them. Therefore, for China it is vital
that Uzbek authorities put an end to the Islamic underground and that
the U.S. military bases established in Uzbekistan after September 11,
2001 wouldn’t remain there for long. China fears Uzbekistan
disorder may result in expansion of the United States in any region
that is front-line to China.

In view of the above it is quite clear why a number of economic,
political and safety agreements targeted at strengthening stability in
Uzbekistan were sealed over Karimov’s visit to Beijing. No doubt,
China is sure that it won't be possible to attain stability in the
Central Asia without Uzbekistan.

by  www.kommersant.com

Russian Article as of May 26, 2005




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[osint] Caspian Hydrocarbons Flow through the Corridor

2005-05-29 Thread David Bier
http://www.kommersant.com/page.asp?id=580585

Caspian Hydrocarbons Flow through the Corridor

// Right past Russia

Ceremony

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev received the Presidents of Turkey,
Georgia and Kazakhstan on Wednesday to celebrate the opening of the
Baku â€" Tbilisi â€" Ceyhan oil pipeline. Russia did not take part in the
festivities.
Aliyev, Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili and Turkish President
Ahmet Necdet Sezer signed a declaration opening the Kars â€" Akhalkalaki
â€" Tbilisi â€" Baku oil corridor. The agreement foresees the construction
of a 98- kilometer rail line between Akhalkalaki, Georgia, and Kars,
Turkey, 68 km. of which will run through Georgia and 30 km. through
Turkey. The preliminary cost is set at $400-450 million. The rail line
transport up to 3 million metric tons of oil that now flows throw
Azerbaijan from Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan to the Black Sea ports in
Georgia. During the course of the ceremony, the Foreign Ministers of
Azerbaijan, Georgia and Kazakhstan, the Energy Minister of Turkey and
the U.S. Energy Secretary signed the declaration, which effectively
connects Kazakhstan to the Baku â€" Tbilisi â€" Ceyhan project.

The 1770-kilometer pipeline bears the name of the late Azerbaijani
president Heidar Aliyev, father of the current president, who said
that the capacity of pipeline will be 1 million barrels of oil per
day. Aliyev gave high praise to the role the U.S. government and the
British company BP played in the project. “Without the support of the
U.S., this project could not have been carried out. We feel their
support in all energy projects. We are partners and we approach all
world processes from the same position,” he said, also calling BP an
integral part of Azerbaijan.

U.S. President George W. Bush sent a congratulatory letter to the
participants in the ceremony, which was read by Energy Secretary
Samuel Bodman. “Baku â€" Tbilisi â€" Ceyhan opens a new era in the
development of the Caspian Basin. The project will allow Azerbaijan,
Georgia and Turkey to take part in the world economy,” Bodman read in
the name of the U.S. president.

Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbaev stated that Baku â€" Tbilisi â€"
Ceyhan is one of the most important paths for oil from his country to
reach world markets. He said that, last year, Kazakhstan produced 60
million tons of oil, and that figure will be 100 million by 2010. That
forces the country to create an energy corridor with its neighbors,
Nazarbaev said.

Saakashvili said that the Baku â€" Tbilisi â€" Ceyhan pipeline will allow
a new level of development “after the collapse of the great empire.”
He noted in particular that he wants to have protected sources of
hydrocarbons and stable export. “That corridor is important for the
diversification of our access to world markets and to eliminate
Western countries' dependence on the Middle East,” he said.

“Economic growth and stability are impossible without increase oil
exports. Demand for oil will grow by 60 percent by 2030. We will try
to turn the port of Ceyhan into a center of energy export and
trading,” the Turkish said. He spoke of the importance of developing
and exporting oil and gas from the Shakh Deniz field and said that
Turkey is already thinking about Turkey â€" Bulgaria â€" Romania â€" Austria
and Turkey â€" Greece â€" Italy lines. He said that the demand for gas
will grow by 70 percent by 2030, which will make Turkey one of the
world's main gas suppliers, along with Russia, Norway and Algeria.
by  Yusuf Osmanov, Baku

Russian Article as of May 26, 2005





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[osint] Across Iran, Nuclear Power Is a Matter of Pride

2005-05-29 Thread David Bier
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/29/international/middleeast/29nuke.html?ex=1275019200&en=7589d2a1adbbcc8e&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss

May 29, 2005
Across Iran, Nuclear Power Is a Matter of Pride
By NEIL MacFARQUHAR

TEHRAN, May 28 - From nuclear negotiators to student dissidents, from
bazaar merchants to turbaned mullahs, Iranians agree: the right to
develop nuclear power is a point of national pride.

"For a country to have nuclear energy means that it has made progress
in all other fields as well, so other countries have to respect its
technology," said Nilufar, 29, a graduate student in energy management
at the prestigious Sharif Industrial University. Nilufar, covered in
black so only her face was showing, agreed to be interviewed on such a
delicate topic only if her family name was not used.

Ehsan Motaghi, a 26-year-old seminary student in Isfahan, cited a
parable from Imam Ali, the Prophet Muhammad's son-in-law and the
inspiration for the Shiite branch of Islam, which most Iranians
follow. "They can offer me everything from the earth and heaven, but
in exchange if they want me to so much as take the food from an ant's
mouth that is his right to eat, I won't do it," he said. "Achieving
the peaceful use of technology is really a matter of pride and we will
not stop this for anything."

Such passions were echoed in two weeks of conversations with Iranians
across all walks of life. Virtually all supported Iran's defying the
West and moving ahead with its uranium enrichment program, which
carries the threat of further United Nations sanctions.

This widespread sense of national pride complicates any attempt to
persuade Iran's leaders to give up parts of the nuclear program, as
European negotiators have been trying to prevail upon them to do in
talks over the past few months, offering various incentives.

A monthlong United Nations conference on the Nuclear Nonproliferation
Treaty, which Iran has signed, ended Friday, having failed to address
the kinds of loopholes that the Americans and Europeans fear Iran is
using to pursue nuclear weapons under cover of developing nuclear power.

That issue aside, it is clear that Iran's attachment to nuclear
development is rooted in its own tumultuous history. The Islamic
republic is trying to use its nuclear program as a bargaining chip to
end the varying degrees of international isolation it has been forced
to endure since the Islamic revolution in 1979.

The nuclear standoff also echoes an older fight: Iran's colonial
struggle to control its oil resources, which it eventually wrestled
away from the British. Some reach further back, reflecting a desire to
revive the glory of ancient Persia. Others want to claim Iran's
future, to prove that the Islamic revolution can overcome its
reputation for abysmal management.

"It is a symbolic thing for Iranians," said Mohammad Saeidi, the vice
president for planning and international affairs at the Atomic Energy
Organization of Iran. "Our people are very clever, very smart and they
want to use all the advanced technology in the world-nuclear
technology, biotechnology, internet technology."

But for all the passion in the air, there are many nuances in Iranian
positions, according to Iranian officials, scholars and foreign
diplomats. In fact, they say, Iranian backing for nuclear development
indicates neither automatic support for the government nor hostility
to the United States.

Only a small group, mostly hard-core revolutionaries, wants Iran to
resign from the treaty and try to develop nuclear weapons, they say.
"It would be 100 percent better to have nuclear weapons, but only to
use them against anyone who tried to attack us," said Reza Jaedi, a
24-year-old interviewed in Isfahan who has little sympathy for the
government. "Iran should develop them as soon as possible."

It is rare to hear such views voiced in Iran, since they contradict
the official line that Iran wants the technology only for peaceful means.

Another group opposes nuclear development as entirely too expensive,
unnecessary given the vast oil or gas reserves and not worth the
international political headache. In fact, say some scholars who have
interviewed ordinary Iranians, some back off their support for nuclear
development if they are told it might bring further economic hardship
and international isolation to Iran.

But most Iranians, the experts say, fall into two other groups. One
believes Iran should use nuclear technology for peaceful purposes.
Another wants Iran to master the nuclear enrichment cycle both to
avoid depending on foreign suppliers for nuclear fuel and to be able
to move quickly to weapons development if Iran were threatened, either
by Israel, the United States or a regional rival. That group sees
nuclear power as an insurance policy against a forced change in the
government.

Unquestionably most Iranians would like to find a way to end economic
sanctions so the country could use its vast oil wealth - an estimated
$10 billion surpl

[osint] Venezuela rallies over Cuba exile

2005-05-29 Thread David Bier
The U.S. seems to be reluctant to act firmly when the terrorist has
attacked targets that it tacitly approves of;  regardless of the acts
meeting the definition of terrorism in the U.S. Patriot Act. The
extradition refusal on very shaky grounds (no doubt to mollify U.S.
Cuban voters in Florida) is part and parcel of the administration's
hypocritical stance of approving a life sentence for a terrorist who
murdered persons at the Atlanta Olympics and tried to kill fire,
medical and police personnel with a mousetrap bomb at an abortion
clinic (an attack pleasing to religious right voters) while at the
same time insisting on the death penalty instead of life imprisonment
for an arab terrorist who was in FBI custody at the time 9/11 occurred
and was not part of that particular attack group.  Is the arab guilty
of terrorism.  Yes.  Should he be treated any differently than a Cuban
or American terrorist.  No.  

Terrorist acts require punishment.  If the Bush administration is
unwilling to extradite Mr. Carilles, he should not roam scot free but
should be arrested and tried in the U.S. courts in accordance with
international agreements concerning aircraft terrorism.

The war on terror is rapidly losing any credibility in the minds of
most Muslims and a growing portion of the rest of the world because of
perceived excesses.  And this kind of variable treatment of terrorists
by the U.S. will push us further down the credibility rathole. 

Guess we have the same problem that others, such as the Saudis, have:
sorting out "freedom fighters" from terrorists.

David Bier

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/4590599.stm

 Venezuela rallies over Cuba exile
Tens of thousands of Venezuelans have rallied in the capital Caracas
to demand the US extradites a Cuban exile accused of bombing an
airliner in 1976.

The march comes a day after the US rejected Venezuela's request for it
to arrest Cuban-born Luis Posada Carriles, saying there was not enough
evidence.

Mr Posada Carriles is in US custody on suspected immigration violations.

The ex-CIA employee denies involvement in the bombing that killed 73
people on the flight from Caracas to Havana.

The naturalised Venezuelan citizen is wanted by both Cuba and
Venezuela in connection with the attack.

'Hypocrisy'

Supporters of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez took to the streets of
the capital, blowing whistles and chanting anti-US slogans.

The BBC's Iain Bruce in Caracas says there was good humour and
dancing, but despite the festive mood among protesters it is clear
that many people feel strongly about the issue.

Some accused US President George W Bush of double standards.

"Bush is protecting a terrorist while he is supposedly fighting
against terrorism - that's hypocrisy," Pedro Caldera said.

Mr Posada Carriles was charged last week with illegal entry into the US.

The 77-year-old faces a hearing at a US immigration court on 13 June,
at which he is expected to apply for asylum.

On Friday the US state department said it had rejected Venezuela's
initial request for Mr Posada Carriles to be detained with a view to
extradition, because this had not been backed up by adequate evidence.

Now the government in Caracas has announced it will be handing over
the full 700 page extradition request on Tuesday.

Mr Posada Carriles was twice acquitted by Venezuelan courts of
plotting to bomb the plane.

He escaped from a Venezuelan prison in 1985 while awaiting a trial on
appeal.

The US says it will not deport Mr Posada Carriles to any country that
would hand him over to Fidel Castro's regime in Cuba.

Caracas says it will not hand Mr Posada Carriles over, and Mr Castro
has said he will be happy to see him tried in Venezuela.

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/americas/4590599.stm

Published: 2005/05/29 02:45:27 GMT





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[osint] State-led murder and rape of villagers in Darfur uncovered

2005-05-30 Thread David Bier
http://news.scotsman.com/international.cfm?id=594012005

Tue 31 May 2005

State-led murder and rape of villagers in Darfur uncovered

GETHIN CHAMBERLAIN
CHIEF NEWS CORRESPONDENT

CONFIDENTIAL African Union (AU) reports have provided damning new
evidence of the involvement of Sudanese government forces and their
Janjaweed militia allies in the murder and rape of civilians in the
Darfur region.

AU monitors have collected photographic evidence of Sudanese
helicopter gunships in action attacking villages, and their reports
conclude that the Sudanese government has systematically breached the
peace deals that it signed to placate the United Nations Security
Council.

Reports from Darfur indicate that air attacks on villages have
continued amid defiance of UN resolutions calling on the Khartoum
regime to disarm the Janjaweed, with the latest helicopter attack in
south Darfur reported to have taken place on 13 May as the UN
secretary-general, Kofi Annan, was preparing to visit the province.

Pictures taken by AU monitors document attacks by a Sudanese
helicopter gunship on the village of Labado in December, a month after
the Sudanese government gave an assurance that there would be no more
such attacks. The Sudanese government markings are clearly visible on
the tailfin of the helicopter.

The village was visited by Mr Annan last week as he toured the region
to see for himself whether anything had changed a year after he first
visited Darfur.

The government in Khartoum has consistently denied using air attacks
against villagers, insisting that they have only been used defensively
against attacks by rebel forces.

The US and British governments have accepted Sudanese assurances that
there have been no air attacks since February, but the anti-genocide
Aegis Trust - which is campaigning for an enlarged AU force to be sent
to Darfur - claims it has received reports of a bombing raid involving
an Antonov aircraft on 23 March and a helicopter attack in south
Darfur on 13 May witnessed by AU monitors.

Yesterday, Dr James Smith, Aegis's chief executive, said: "Reports of
airstrikes against civilians in Darfur highlight the urgent need for a
UN mandate for peace enforcement operations in the region. The British
government should show leadership on this issue and table such a
resolution at the Security Council immediately."

The African Union currently has about 2,300 troops in Darfur, along
with hundreds of police officers, and last week a conference of
international donors pledged about $200 million in additional funding
to pay for an enlargement of the force. However, there is still a
significant shortfall on the $700 million the AU estimates it needs to
fund a successful mission.

Since last year, the AU's ceasefire monitors have been attempting to
investigate reports of attacks by government, Janjaweed and rebel
forces. Their confidential reports reveal in stark detail the scale of
the attacks and provide conclusive proof that Sudanese government
forces have carried out illegal attacks on civilians.

A report into two attacks on the village of Marla on 8 and 16 December
described how the AU team came upon Sudanese government forces in the
process of attacking the village.

"The GOS [government of Sudan] forces were fire-supported by
helicopter gunships which bombarded the edges of the village and flew
over the area for about 30 minutes thereafter," the report said.

"The team also found some unexploded rockets in the village. During
the team investigation on 16 December, the GOS soldiers were still
burning houses, looting and harassing the citizens of Marla."

Major Omar Bashir, the GOS commander, told the monitors that his
company entered Marla on 17 December at 0800 hours escorted by
helicopter gunships which were used to provide protection and
direction to the area.

He said he was deployed in the area to provide security and wait for
the police who would be deployed there in a few days. He said that
when he arrived, he saw that part of the village was burnt. There was
no resistance to entering the village, he added.

But a local citizen told a different story. Adam Juma Amar said the
first attack on 8 December involved troops firing and burning houses.
Eight days later, he said, a group of soldiers returned.

He said: "On entering the village, they were escorted by two
helicopter gunships firing at the edge of the village. They flew over
the area for almost 30 minutes before they left."

He said the soldiers set fire to houses and set up a base next to a
water borehole to prevent the residents using it.

"Some soldiers were within the village, looting, burning houses and
stores," he added.

The report - marked "AU confidential" - is accompanied by pictures of
Sudanese soldiers involved in the act of looting. It also contains an
interview with a man who was shot in the head

The report concluded that Sudanese forces had attacked Marla. "This
has led to looting, burning of houses and massive displacement of
villa

[osint] The War on Terrorism in Action

2005-05-30 Thread David Bier
http://www.kommersant.com/page.asp?id=581346

The War on Terrorism in Action

// Thanks to Russia and the United States

The War on Terrorism

The U.S.-Russian working group on terrorism met last week in
Washington. At the end of the meeting, they made a number of
optimistic statements, in which observers see the outlines of a coming
demarcation between Russia and the United States. Kommersant
Washington correspondent Dmitry Sidorov tried to discover exactly what
had been discussed at that meeting.
U.S. Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns and Russian deputy Foreign
Minister Sergey Kislyak spoke to reporters Friday afternoon at the end
of two-week negotiations. It was the first meeting of the cochairmen
at that level. Before, the working group had been headed by former
deputy heads of the respective foreign relations offices Richard
Armitage and Vyacheslav Trubnikov. This caused some talk of a lowering
of the level of the negotiations, with references to the lack of
results from the meetings. Kislyak, obviously aware of those
ruminations, reminded journalists that he and Burns were both former
representatives to NATO, as if to point out that they are engaged in
their professional activities.

Journalists were disappointed by the short opening speeches of the
cochairman. Both made general comments, from which it was hard to
gather what the negotiations had actually touched on. The main thought
in their speeches was that the U.S. and Russia are fighting terrorism
and drug trafficking practically everywhere in the world, from Central
Asia and the Near East to North America.

Burn's announcement of charges made against British citizen Hekmat
Lakhani was not very fresh news on their activities either. He was
arrested in 2003 by U.S. undercover agent in Newark, NJ, on a tip from
Russian special services as he was trying to sell an Igla
shoulder-held rocket launcher.

The Kommersant correspondent asked if there were any other results
from the group that the cochairmen would like to share. In response,
Burns talked about the “successful work of the group”
in cooperation
with U.S. Treasury agents “to uncover channel for money to
terrorists,
some in North America.” Burns did not provide any concrete
examples,
citing the secrecy of the information. After the briefing, a member of
the American delegation told the correspondent that “there is
no need
to expect big announcements until the work is finished.” The
diplomat
added that “no schedule for finishing has been set.”

The dialog with reporters got livelier when the discussion turned to
the recent events in Uzbekistan. The disagreement between the
cochairmen was obvious. Burns repeated the U.S. position that
“an
independent investigation should be carried out in Uzbekistan”
of the
events in Andijan, where “it is possible that the use of force
was
immoderate.” Kislyak said that “nobody knows what
exactly happened
there.” Then he repeated the position of the Russian Foreign
Ministry.
“Uzbekistan is an independent state that is independently
settling the
issue” of the need for independent investigation.

The Kommersant correspondent asked Kislyak to comment on Russian
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's recent statement that outside forces
that were connected to international terrorism were involved in the
upheaval in Uzbekistan. “I agree with the minister's point of
view,”
Kislyak responded, but refused to elaborate, citing the sensitivity of
the situation.

Kislyak's and Burn's responses inspired Ariel Cohen, Heritage
Foundation Russia and CIS expert, to comment to the Kommersant
correspondent on “the lack of a coordinated position between
Russia
and the U.S. on the solution of issues with Uzbek President Islam
Karimov.” A Kommersant source close to the U.S. administration
agreed
in large part with Cohen, saying that “the difference in views
on the
events in Uzbekistan, as well as Syria, Afghanistan and Iran, makes
one think that Russia is heading for demarcation with the U.S.”

The cochairmen made an effort to convince reporters that their
activities were not a tentative demarcation. Speaking of Iran, Burns
and Kislyak expressed satisfaction with the negotiations of the
“European Trio” (Great Britain, France and Germany)
with Teheran. “The
moratorium on nuclear research in Iran was preserved, and that's good
news,” Burns said. He added that “The U.S. has agreed
to allow the WTO
to begin negotiations on the admission of Iran to that
organization.”

Cohen told the Kommersant correspondent in relation to U.S.-Russia
differences over Iran that “Moscow is still holding on to its
nuclear
collaboration with Teheran” and suggested that “the
arrest of former
Minister of Nuclear Energy Evgeny Adamov was Washington's tough
response.”

The topic of Iraq also arose in the discussions of the working group.
The cochairmen did not want to talk about the details, but was Burns
finally induced to say that it was a matter of “joint solution
of
security issues arising in the Iraqi admin

[osint] Georgia/Russia: Base Deal Seen As Mutually Acceptable Compromise

2005-05-31 Thread David Bier
http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2005/5/401C4C
6E-277A-4FF3-BD7A-3348D441E304.html

Tuesday, 31 May 2005

Georgia/Russia: Base Deal Seen As Mutually Acceptable Compromise

By Jean-Christophe Peuch

Moscow and Tbilisi yesterday announced an agreement on the closure of
Russia’s two remaining military bases in Georgia by the end of
2008.
In theory at least, the deal puts an end to a dispute that started in
December 1999, when the Organization for Security and Cooperation in
Europe demanded that Moscow vacate all four former Soviet military
bases it had been maintaining in that Southern Caucasus country. By
2001, Russia had vacated two bases. But the fate of the two remaining
facilities -- in the Black Sea port of Batumi and the predominantly
Armenian region of Samtskhe-Javakheti -- had remained in abeyance for
nearly four years, triggering tensions between Moscow and Tbilisi.

Prague, 31 May 2005 (RFE/RL) -- Addressing reporters last week on 23
May at the Moscow headquarters of the “Komsomolskaya
Pravda” daily
newspaper, Russian President Vladimir Putin clearly indicated he had
abandoned all hope of maintaining military bases in Georgia.

“Is it a good thing, or a bad thing that we’re leaving
Georgia? From
the standpoint of our security and strategic interests, [these bases]
do not present any particular interest. This is not my personal
opinion. This is the opinion of the Russian Army General
Staff,” Putin
said.

At the same time Putin sounded regretful, saying the upcoming
withdrawal would diminish further Moscow’s influence in the
former
Soviet Union.

“Politically speaking is it good, or bad? I believe it is not
very
good because it means our military presence is no longer desirable to
our neighbors -- and I don’t see anything good in this.
Whether this
is a right decision with regard to [our neighbors’] interests,
it’s up
to them to decide,” Putin said.
"This is simply the usual way of negotiating. You start by placing the
bar very high and then you reach a compromise, a medium-level
solution."


But, the Russian president added pragmatically that Russia’s
insistence in maintaining troops in Georgia would eventually backfire.

“It would be even worse if we tried at all costs to prevent
[the
Georgians] from implementing their sovereign rights. That would give
rise to even greater mistrust toward our policies,” Putin said.

In this context, the agreement reached yesterday came as no surprise.

All the more because, when U.S. President George W. Bush was in
Tbilisi earlier this month, he urged his Georgian allies to not
antagonize the Kremlin and continue to negotiate the Russian
withdrawal.

Bush’s admonition followed Georgian President Mikheil
Saakashvili’s
refusal to attend the Moscow ceremonies that marked the 60th
anniversary of the end of World War II. Saakashvili had cited the
collapse of an earlier round of talks, during which Georgia had
insisted that the two Russian bases be vacated by 1 January 2008, to
justify his decision.

Addressing reporters after he had signed with his visiting Georgian
counterpart a joint declaration reaffirming Moscow’s
commitment to
vacate both bases, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov yesterday
said the sides had agreed on a new timeframe that clearly meets some
of Moscow’s requirement.

“The final withdrawal will be completed in the course of the
year
2008. The declaration outlines the [successive] stages of this
withdrawal in utmost detail, be it the withdrawal of heavy weapons,
equipment, other property and military personnel; or the transfer to
the Georgian side of Russian military facilities that are not part of
the Akhalkalaki and Batumi bases,” Lavrov said.

The Russian military seems satisfied with the expanded timeframe,
which roughly meets a demand made earlier this month by Defense
Minister Sergei Ivanov.

Colonel Vladimir Kuparadze, the deputy commander of the Russian Group
of Forces in Transcaucasia, yesterday told the ITAR-TASS news agency
would start pulling out military equipment in August.

Konstantin Kosachev, who chairs the foreign affairs committee of the
Russian lower house of parliament, or State Duma, yesterday welcomed
the agreement. In comments made to Russia’s Interfax news
agency,
Kosachev said he was satisfied to see that “Georgia has
eventually
stopped politicizing the base issue to heed to common sense.”

Georgian political leaders have expressed similar contentment,
describing yesterday’s joint declaration as a
“historical” document
that paves the way for a significant breakthrough in bilateral ties.

Anton Surikov is a political expert at the Institute of Globalization
Studies in Moscow. He tells RFE/RL he views yesterday’s deal as
equally beneficial to both sides.

“I do believe this is a sensible compromise that one could
equally
describe as a victory for Russia and a personal victory for the
Georgian president. On the one hand, it was obvious that one day or
another we would have to vacate those bases to meet our international

[osint] Group on U.S. terror list lobbies hard

2005-05-31 Thread David Bier
http://washingtontimes.com/upi-breaking/20050531-022253-5868r.htm

Group on U.S. terror list lobbies hard


By Angela Woodall
UNITED PRESS INTERNATIONAL

Washington, DC, May. 31 (UPI) -- U.S. lawmakers and former military
officers are backing Mujahedin-e Khalq, an Iranian opposition group,
despite its inclusion on the State Department's list of foreign
terrorist organizations and its role in the killing and wounding of
U.S. military personnel and civilians in the 1970s. 

 Supporters acknowledge the status of the group, once funded by
deposed Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein, as well as its role in the
killings of U.S. military personnel and civilians in the 1970s in Iran
when it was allied with Ayatollah Khomeini, but say the MEK has shed
its past activities and is a potential ally against the theocratic
regime in Iran.

Rep. Tom Tancredo, R-Colo., who sits on the House Intelligence
Committee, responded in a written statement saying he supports the MEK
because it is an "asset to U.S. intelligence" and "the most reliable
source of information for the region."

In recent years the MEK's political branch, the National Council of
Resistance of Iran, has provided information about Iran's nuclear
facilities, which the Bush administration contends are being used to
secretly make nuclear weapons.

Tancredo's press secretary, Carlos Espinosa, said it is not "too
unusual" for members of Congress to support a group listed as a
foreign terrorist organization, citing Sen. Ted Kennedy's support for
the Irish Republican Army as an example.

"Are these guys saints? No." Espinosa said. But, "if there's a
problem, it's that the MEK is on the list."

Other lawmakers who have expressed support for the MEK, including
Robert Filner, D-Calif., did not return repeated calls for comment.

The Council's Washington office has now been shut down and the
organization is banned in the United States because of its affiliation
with the MEK.

MEK leader Maryam Rajavi has suggested her group as an alternative to
Iran's revolutionary regime -- with Rajavi taking the place of the
supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. She has offered to head a
transition government for six months, after which elections will be
held, according to news accounts.

But, said Iran expert Mohamed Hadi Semati, the MEK has no support from
Iranians inside the country. Semati, a political science professor at
the University of Tehran and a scholar at the Woodrow Wilson Center in
Washington, said he had no doubt the MEK would be resisted if it tried
to take over the government in Iran because the group had "killed a
lot of innocent people."

"They would be killed instantly if they tried to go inside Iran," he
said, recalling that in 1987 the Iranian army and security forces
fended off the MEK after its members tried to invade the country
during the war with Iraq. At the time, the group was financed by
Saddam.

In contrast, the Iran Policy Committee, a Washington think tank of
former U.S. officials that specializes in Iran policy and favors the
removal of the group from the terror list, said the move would "send a
signal to the Iranian rulers that their days are numbered." In a
written statement to questions about the MEK, the IPC called the
organization the "best organized, most credible Iranian opposition
group" that stands for a democratic, secular republic in Iran.

Meanwhile, Rajavi is confined to MEK's base in France after she and
150 supporters were arrested there on suspicion of plans to attack
Iranian embassies and assassinate former members working with Iranian
intelligence services in Europe, according to news and think-tank
reports. The MEK has been on the European Union's list of terrorist
organizations since 2002.

Despite her confinement, Rajavi used a satellite link to address an
April 15 convention in Washington, during which she called on all
Iranians to unite toward achieving democratic change in Iran. At the
same event, the Iranian-American National Convention, former military
officials, Army Col. Kenneth Cantwell and Capt. Vivian Gembara praised
the People's Mujahedin of Iran (another name for the MEK) and urged
the Bush administration to remove it from the terrorist list,
according to a news release from the event. It was not clear who
sponsored the convention, however, and calls to the convention contact
number were not returned.

In the past, Washington has had mixed results with the strategy of
relying on opposition groups for intelligence or assistance in
thwarting a regime.

Most recently, the U.S. reliance on intelligence from Iraqi exile and
Iraqi National Congress leader Ahmad Chalabi proved to be unwise.
Chalabi and the INC were sources of intelligence about Iraq's weapons
of mass destruction capability now widely believed to be false.

Tancredo acknowledges the risk, according to Espinosa, who said
everything the MEK has told Washington about Iran -- that Iran moved
nuclear equipment to another undisclosed military location -- has been
"100 

[osint] Police force, military seek public's confidence

2005-05-31 Thread David Bier
http://washingtontimes.com/world/20050530-094032-8242r.htm

Police force, military seek public's confidence


By Levon Sevunts
THE WASHINGTON TIMES

JALALABAD, Afghanistan -- U.S. commanders in Afghanistan are upbeat
about the national army, saying it demonstrated its growing
effectiveness with its handling of recent riots sparked by an
erroneous Newsweek item. But, they concede, the national police force
still has a way to go.
The Afghan National Army, or ANA, "has been a huge success," said
Col. Gary Cheek, the outgoing commander of Regional Command East,
which covers 16 provinces in eastern Afghanistan along the border with
Pakistan. 
   "To put it into professional baseball terms, last year the Taliban
were playing against an AA league team. This year, it's against the
New York Yankees."
Lt. Col. Norm Cooling, commander of the 3rd Battalion 3rd Marine
Regiment, said the biggest challenge facing the Afghan forces is to
win public confidence in the face of attempts by Taliban-led
insurgents and other enemies of the government to manipulate
legitimate grievances into large-scale riots.
He blamed forces affiliated with former mujahedeen commander
Gulbuddin Hekmatyar for inciting several days of riots in Jalalabad.
The violence was sparked by the Newsweek item, later retracted, saying
a U.S. interrogator at U.S. Naval Base Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, had
flushed a copy of the Koran down a toilet.
"To be perfectly honest, we were surprised," Col. Cooling said.
"We walk in that city every day. Of all the people in Afghanistan, the
people of Jalalabad know us the best. And on the tactical level, we
didn't even know the [Newsweek] article existed until the
demonstrations started."
Poor training and planning by the Afghan National Police (ANP)
allowed Mr. Hekmatyar's operatives to drive most humanitarian agencies
out of the city, including most U.N. staff, whose offices were torched
by rioters, Col. Cooling said.
But after the initial difficulties, he said, both the ANP and the
ANA proved they can handle such situations on their own.
"A year ago, we would have had no option but to go there and put
down the riot ourselves," Col. Cooling said. "That would have only
inflamed passions even more and would have given anti-coalition
militias a public relations victory."
The coalition forces have drawn their lessons from the riots, he
said, and both now are receiving training in crowd control.
Col. Cheek said the ANA, which now has 23,000 men and is to
scheduled to grow to 39,000, has reached the stage at which its troops
are able to train routinely and operate alongside U.S. forces.
"The ANA is a very disciplined force," he said. "It's been a huge
plus, bringing security to Afghanistan. We gain a lot from their
cultural perspective: They see things we don't see."
But, the colonel said, more work is still needed in training the
ANP, which has almost 38,000 officers and plans to grow to 62,000 by
October 2006.
Unlike the ANA, which is ethnically diverse and integrated, the
ANP officers tend to serve near their homes, Col. Cooling said.
"They are more likely to be biased in tribal disputes or have
their own criminal affiliations," he said.
Col. Cheek said he is confident that the increased capabilities of
the ANA, ANP and the Afghan Border Police will eventually allow the
government to assert control over the volatile area along the border
with Pakistan.
But first, they must win over a local population that is
"uncertain which side they want be on," he said. "They are with us
when we are there. And when insurgents come, they support them."
Col. Cooling said the hope is to undermine support for the rebels
by increasing the legitimacy of local governments while sustaining
military pressure on midlevel insurgent leaders.
"If we can eliminate local government corruption," he said, "if we
can count on district chiefs to enforce laws, not their own laws, but
the laws of the national government, then maybe we can really build
Disneyland in downtown Khost, as the governor dreams."





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[osint] Cash-Poor USAF Cuts Flying Hours

2005-05-31 Thread David Bier
Recently the Air Force ordered big cuts in maintenance and many other
areas because its accounts are being starved to pay for the wars in
Afghanistan and Iraq.  This cut in flying hours is yet another slide
down the slippery slope to a hollow force.

David Bier

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=876917&C=america

Posted 05/30/05 15:29
Cash-Poor USAF Cuts Flying Hours
By LAURA M. COLARUSSO

Budget deficits are compelling the U.S. Air Force’s combat
squadrons
to absorb substantial cutbacks in training, leaving frontline units
unprepared to go to war, according to service officials.

Air Combat Command (ACC), the primary provider of combat airpower, is
cutting 32,000 flying hours to help compensate for its $825 million
operations and maintenance shortfall.

The cuts come as Air Force aircrews are heavily worked, flying
missions in Iraq, Afghanistan and over some U.S. cities in an attempt
to prevent another terrorist attack. 

“Starting early this summer, units may have aviators unable to
get
required training to maintain full combat-ready status,” Col.
Jim
Dunn, deputy director of flight operations for ACC, said in a written
statement. “Overall effectiveness will become a growing
challenge.”

With this cut, the command now has 21,000 flying hours left of the
original 53,000-plus hours programmed for the rest of this fiscal year
â€" a 60 percent reduction.

Still, officials estimate near-term readiness levels will only drop
between 20 percent and 40 percent because aircrews will fly fewer than
their required hours for only one month at a time. If a crew meets its
requirements in June, for example, it can fly less than required in
July.

Dunn stressed that squadrons preparing to deploy would still be given
enough flying hours to properly prepare to fight. Units that are not
scheduled for deployment will share the remaining hours.

Implementing the reductions will be left to wing commanders, but in
some cases upgrade flights will be canceled and some aircrew members
may find themselves in a flying blackout period, he said.

“Our intent is to preserve minimal combat readiness in at
least 60
percent of the force while keeping remaining aviators at basic
qualification levels,” Dunn said.

The cuts will not affect ACC testing units, the F/A-22 Raptor squadron
or the Thunderbird aerial demonstration team for the time being. The
Raptor, the Air Force’s newest fighter jet, is on a tight
schedule to
achieve initial operational capability by December.

Retired Gen. Hal Hornburg, former ACC commander, said the cuts are
“a
big deal” and show the military’s grim financial
situation.

“They’re not cutting fat, they’re cutting to the
bone,” Hornburg said,
noting the Pentagon has taken large sums of money away from the Air
Force to pay for the Army in Iraq.

Reducing flying hours will free up about $272 million, not quite a
third of the command’s shortfall, said Col. Dave Goossens, ACC
comptroller.

The command is taking other actions to rein in spending. Travel
budgets have been slashed by $6.5 million. Supplies and vehicle
maintenance are losing $59.8 million.

Construction projects and facility maintenance are taking a $131.9
million hit. ACC will spend $200 million less than expected on depot
maintenance because it’s deferring maintenance on 14 aircraft
and 17
engines until next year.

Fewer Photocopies

Combat squadrons are not the only units facing budgetary strain. The
rest of the Air Force has had to cut back spending on everything from
flying hours to maintenance to photocopying.

Air Education and Training Command must save $67 million to balance
its finances, said comptroller Col. Dave Weinberg. Air Force Materiel
Command is facing a shortfall of about $400 million. Air Force Special
Operations Command must find savings of $18.5 million.

Air Mobility Command, which transports military personnel and materiel
around the globe, has slashed its training flights by 53 percent.
That’s a reduction of 46,462 flight hours and a savings of
$160 million.

Pacific Air Forces had curtailed its flight training by about 9,000
hours. Gen. Paul Hester, commander of the Pacific Air Forces, said the
reduction will save $50 million, roughly 9 percent of the
command’s
2005 flying budget.

The financial pressure is a result of the high price tag for the war
in Iraq, which is costing approximately $5 billion a month. The Air
Force, in large part, attributes the shortfall to Operation Noble
Eagle, the air patrols flown over U.S. cities.

For the first time in three years, the Air Force has had to use its
own money to pay for the missions. The flights previously had been
financed through wartime supplemental funding requests separate from
the service’s baseline budget.

Service officials said they were not prepared to inherit Noble Eagle
costs.

Air Force officials at the Pentagon have recognized the
service’s dire
financial situation, estimating a $3 billion operations and
ma

[osint] Readers speak out about Horsey's recent military cartoon

2005-06-01 Thread David Bier
Sunday, May 29, 2005

Readers speak out about Horsey's recent military cartoon

By MARK TRAHANT
SEATTLE POST-INTELLIGENCER EDITORIAL PAGE EDITOR

Rufus King -- the one-time namesake of King County -- once complained
that the words used in American political debates were useless.

"The abuse of words," he said, "is as pernicious as the abuse of
things."

But what is an abuse of words?

King and many 19th-century politicians argued against using words that
were all-purpose, those that could be cited as code in a debate
without really revealing anything specific. The words then might be:
liberty, democracy, honor and love of country. Better arguments
focused on words that were sharp and clear.

Nothing in our political discourse -- then and now -- is as clear as a
cartoon.

Readers from across the country were offended by a Tuesday cartoon
drawn by the Post-Intelligencer's David Horsey.

Cartoon 
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/dayart/20050524/cartoon20050524.gif

It's hard "to reply in a measured, polite way. I suppose it's easy for
him to create such a drawing and then sit back and let all of us
so-called brain-dead, red-state Americans slobber our outrage at him,"
said one e-mail. "I imagine he must joyfully see himself as quite the
'Agent Provocateur' (No? It pains him greatly to be forced to speak
such uncomfortable 'truths?' But, of course!) What courage for him.
The truth-seer speaking truth to power, come-what-may."

Many of the offended readers were connected to the military.

"I served over 21 years to make the world safe for you to spread your
hate poison," wrote a retired Air Force major. "It was worth it. Each
day we get another example of why journalists are rated as one of the
least respected professions."

This intense reaction -- that I know from the telephone calls -- ought
to open a window about how different parts of America think. Why would
this cartoon, above all others, incite such reaction?

Horsey explained his thinking about the cartoon.

He said it started rolling around in his mind when he saw The New York
Times story about repeated instances of torture and details about the
deaths of at least two inmates in Afghanistan. The reports were based
on U.S. Army criminal investigations and it is similar to allegations
raised by other agencies as well as the International Red Cross.

"I am not making this stuff up," Horsey said. "The mainstream press is
not making this stuff up. It is real and is of great concern to our
military. I should think it would be of concern to anyone who cares
about the image of America in the world. It is unfathomable to me that
folks who claim to believe in American values get upset about a poorly
sourced item in Newsweek or a cartoon that is almost a literal
interpretation of the facts, yet seem to be unconcerned about torture
being perpetrated in their name."

But why call attention to this issue? This is where the debate gets
interesting, Horsey's reason is "a true patriot is one who loves his
country enough to call to account those who shame the flag by
despicable actions that in no way reflect the guiding principles of
this republic. This is not a liberal idea, a radical idea or a
treasonous idea. It is, in fact, a rather traditional, all-American
idea. Making excuses for torture is common practice in banana
republics and authoritarian regimes, but it is alien and antithetical
to our constitutional democracy."

Several of those I talked to do not buy this reasoning. They said the
cartoon made the military all "guilty" instead of reflecting the
actions of only a few. Others went further and said any questioning of
military misdeeds during a war should be considered treason.

"I don't think half the nation (probably the liberal half) thinks we
are at war," one reader told me in an e-mail. "Horsey is a wonderful
artist and very clever, but you can't convince me he isn't full of
hate for the president, the military and anyone associated with the
administration. I don't see how anyone could interpret his work
otherwise."

We have an interpretation gap. There's a natural tension between
freedom and sedition that is as old as this country (even during
wars). One side has always argued that dissent makes this country
stronger, while the other has claimed we should rally around our
leaders and the military (sometimes even being willing to jail those
who cannot agree).

We may never bridge the gap. Some of us will look at such cartoons,
get the point and think of ways U.S. institutions can be made
stronger. Others will look at the same sketch, get angry and demand
repudiation.

This gap is so wide that it may never be bridged; maybe it's a divide
that will always exist in this country. We value freedom too much, the
very reason why the First Amendment is incorporated into our founding
documents. We laugh, get angry, agree, disagree, write e-mails, make
phone calls, cancel a newspaper subscription or find a new favorite
cartoonist. It is this contradiction that's the 

[osint] Iraq War: Drafting the dead

2005-06-01 Thread David Bier
Wednesday, June 1, 2005

Iraq War: Drafting the dead

SEATTLE POST-INTELLIGENCER EDITORIAL BOARD

President Bush was among the 260,000 graves at Arlington National
Cemetery when he said it. But it was clear Monday that the president
was referring to the more than 1,650 Americans killed to date in Iraq
when he said, "We must honor them by completing the mission for which
they gave their lives; by defeating the terrorists."

Bush insists on clinging to the thoroughly discredited notion that
there was any connection between the old Iraqi regime -- no matter how
lawless and brutal -- and the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

U.S. military action against an Afghan regime that harbored al-Qaida
was a legitimate response to the 9/11 attacks. The invasion of Iraq
was not.

As of Memorial Day 2003, Bush had declared major combat operations at
an end, predicted that weapons of mass destruction would be found and
that U.S. forces were in the process of stabilizing Iraq. One hundred
sixty U.S. troops had died.

The U.S. death toll has grown more than tenfold. No weapons of mass
destruction were found. More than 700 Iraqis have been killed since
Iraq's new government was formed April 28.

Bush said of the insurgents at a news conference yesterday, "I believe
the Iraqi government is plenty capable of dealing with them."

Of course, this is the same president that assured the world that
military intervention in Iraq was a last resort and that the United
States would make every effort to avoid war through diplomacy. Giving
lie to that as well is the so-called Downing Street War Memo, which
shows that as early as July 2002, "Bush wanted to remove Saddam,
through military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and
WMD. But the Intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy."

Perhaps all presidents' remarks in military graveyards are by nature
self-serving. But few have been so callow as the president's using the
deaths of U.S. troops in his unjustified war as justification for its
continuance.






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[osint] U.S. Army officers cite lack of troops in key region

2005-06-01 Thread David Bier
http://www.realcities.com/mld/krwashington/11781484.htm

Posted on Tue, May. 31, 2005

U.S. Army officers cite lack of troops in key region

By Tom Lasseter

Knight Ridder Newspapers

TAL AFAR, Iraq - U.S. Army officers in the badland deserts of
northwest Iraq, near the Syrian border, say they don't have enough
troops to hold the ground they take from insurgents in this transit
point for weapons, money and foreign fighters.

>From last October to the end of April, there were about 400 soldiers
from the 25th Infantry Division patrolling the northwest region, which
covers about 10,000 square miles.

"Resources are everything in combat . . . there's no way 400 people
can cover that much ground," said Maj. John Wilwerding, of the 3rd
Armored Cavalry Regiment, which is responsible for the northwest tract
that includes Tal Afar.

"Because there weren't enough troops on the ground to do what you
needed to do, the (insurgency) was able to get a toehold." said
Wilwerding, 37, of Chaska, Minn.

During the past two months, Army commanders, trying to pacify the
area, have had to move in some 4,000 Iraqi soldiers; about 2,000 more
are on the way. About 3,500 troops from the 3rd ACR took control of
the area this month, but officers said they were still understaffed
for the mission.

"There's simply not enough forces here," said a high-ranking U.S. Army
officer with knowledge of the 3rd ACR. "There are not enough to do
anything right; everybody's got their finger in a dike."

The officer spoke on the condition of anonymity because of concern
that he'd be reprimanded for questioning American military policy in
Iraq.

The Army has no difficulty in launching large-scale operations to
catch fighters in "an insurgent Easter egg hunt," the officer said.
"But when we're done, what comes next?"

Control of the area is seen as key to stemming the insurgency in the
rest of Iraq. More than 650 Iraqis have been killed since the nation's
interim government took office April 28.

May also is turning out to be the deadliest month since November for
U.S. troops in Iraq, with 65 reported killed so far by insurgents,
according to figures tabulated by Iraq Coalition Casualty Count, a
group that tracks coalition troop deaths from Department of Defense
releases.

"This town is kind of like a staging point for the rest of the
country," said Capt. Geoff Mangus, 25, of Milledgeville, Ga., an Army
intelligence officer in Tal Afar. "They know that weapons and foreign
fighters can filter through here unscathed."

Army officials in northwest Iraq described a two-year cat-and-mouse
game with insurgents who move from one outpost or town to the next,
sustaining casualties but buoyed by an influx of fighters slipping
across the Iraq-Syria border, which in many places isn't patrolled.
>From their sanctuaries in the area, the fighters then spread across
the country, some volunteering to be suicide bombers.

They funnel cash, arms and recruits to the insurgency, Mangus said.
Repeated efforts to secure the area have failed.

In Tal Afar, the police - with only 150 officers left in what was a
600-man force - are holed up in the only remaining police station.
Insurgents destroyed three others last year. To the west, the mayor
and police have abandoned the town of Bi'aj. To the south, in Rawah, a
recent patrol found no evidence of the mayor, police or "rule of law,"
said Maj. Bryan Denny, 38, of Oxford, N.C.

Military commanders in the region said they planned to reinstall
police squads and governmental leaders where possible to keep
insurgents from overrunning the towns.

On Wednesday some 1,600 U.S. and Iraqi troops swept through Bi'aj and
other nearby towns with long columns of Bradleys and tanks. When they
arrived, most of the town was empty, and there were few military-age
men visible. American soldiers on the scene assumed they'd fled when
they heard the tanks rumbling. A car had raced ahead of the convoy and
fired an AK-47 in the air, presumably to warn of the impending
American presence.

"When the U.S. forces got to this country two years ago they did not
stay in the cities on the border. . . . They left it for these guys to
walk free. It allowed the Baathists (members of Saddam Hussein's
party) and the foreign fighters to organize themselves," said the
Iraqi army division commander for the region, Maj. Gen. Khursheed
Saleem Hasan. "It's a city (Bi'aj) that has been taken over by
insurgents."

U.S. forces retook Tal Afar from insurgents last September after a
two-week blockade, airstrikes and intense street combat. The top
American officer in the area, Brig. Gen. Carter Ham, predicted then
that the some 250,000 residents of Tal Afar would be back on their
feet soon.

More than eight months later, insurgents still launch daily sniper and
mortar attacks on U.S. and Iraqi soldiers. Car bombings in the town
killed 40 people and wounded 80, at a minimum, in May. Two helicopters
have been forced to land because of hostile fire during the past week.

Sectar

[osint] U.S. death toll in Iraq surges amid rebel violence

2005-06-01 Thread David Bier
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N31661115.htm

U.S. death toll in Iraq surges amid rebel violence
31 May 2005 20:45:59 GMT
Source: Reuters
By Will Dunham

WASHINGTON, May 31 (Reuters) - The death toll for American troops in
Iraq rose in May to the highest level since January, with the U.S.
military saying on Tuesday insurgents have doubled their number of
daily attacks since April.

This latest spree of violence by insurgents, who rose up after the
American-led invasion in 2003 toppled President Saddam Hussein, put a
dramatic end to a period when attacks on U.S. forces had waned after
the historic Jan. 30 elections.

At least 77 U.S. troops were killed in May, according to a count of
deaths announced by the military. That is the highest toll since 107
Americans were killed in January. It marked the second straight
monthly increase since 36 U.S. troops died in March, among the lowest
tolls of the war.

Lt. Col. Steve Boylan, a U.S. military spokesman in Baghdad, said
insurgents are staging about 70 attacks nationwide per day.

"There was a lull in attacks after the elections," Boylan said.

"There was a period of time right after the election until the
beginning of April or middle of April that we actually saw them (daily
rebel attacks) dip into the low 30s."

The latest Pentagon figures listed 1,658 U.S. military deaths since
the war began, with another 12,630 wounded in combat. The United
States has 139,000 troops in Iraq, with another 23,000 British and
other foreign soldiers.

In the recent spike in violence, insurgents also have aggressively
targeted Iraqi security forces and civilians. Boylan said more than
600 Iraqis were killed or wounded in May.

Boylan attributed the rise in U.S. deaths in May to several factors.

May was a record month for car bombs used by insurgents in suicide
attacks and with remote-controlled detonations, he said. Boylan added
U.S. forces suffered losses in offensives against the rebels such as
Operation New Market in the western town of Haditha and Operation
Matador around the western town of Qaim, close to the Syrian border.

'DON'T KNOW'

Asked if the insurgents, a mix of indigenous Sunni Muslim Arabs and
foreign radical Islamic fighters, could sustain the current level of
violence, Boylan said, "Don't know yet."

Defense analysts said the recent violence was the latest evidence Iraq
remains an uncertain project for America.

"Those who believed that the elections would be a decisive turning
point undermining the insurgency are disappointed yet again," Cato
Institute defense analyst Ted Carpenter said. "The insurgency seems as
capable as ever."

U.S. generals in the weeks after the election had talked about a
possible serious reduction in U.S. troop levels next year.

Gen. George Casey, top U.S. commander in Iraq, has not completed his
assessment of future troop levels, Boylan said, adding that the level
of violence and the capabilities of U.S.-trained Iraqi security forces
would be crucial factors.

"The reality is we have discovered, despite all our propaganda, that
we are facing a very tough, resilient and smart adversary," defense
analyst Daniel Goure of the Lexington Institute said.

Goure said rebels have continuously changed, updated and modified
tactics, dumping those that no longer worked. Goure also faulted U.S.
forces for being slow to cut off the supply of bullets, bombs, money
and recruits coming over the border from Syria.

"I think we are in there at least for the next five years in
significant numbers," Goure said.

Boylan preached patience.

"This is the hardest type of fight to be in," Boylan said. "If we get
too impatient and decide to throw in the towel too soon, then we give
up everything we've gained up to this point." 




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only. We beli

[osint] US 'losing its grip' on Baghdad's political process

2005-06-01 Thread David Bier
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/9506bdfe-d1ff-11d9-8c82-0
e2511c8,ft_acl=,s01=1.html

US 'losing its grip' on Baghdad's political process
>By Guy Dinmore in Washington
>Published: May 31 2005 19:27 | Last updated: May 31 2005 19:27
>>

Iraq's Sunni Arab insurgency has reached a “kind of
peak”. The Sunni
now realise they erred in boycotting last January's elections
“and so,
as Iraqis see their interests as represented in the political process,
the insurgency will lose steam”.

This sanguine view of the state of affairs in Iraq--as expressed by
Condoleezza Rice, the US secretary of state, in a recent Bloomberg
interview reflects the US administration's struggle to demonstrate
that it remains in control and still has an exit strategy.

In the more sombre assessment of others in the administration,
however, the US has long lost its grip on Iraq's political process.
“We are losing control,” said one veteran Arabist in the
administration who requested anonymity.

He described the US embassy in Baghdad, without an ambassador for
about six months, as “out of the loop” and not involved
in significant
decisions taken by the new transitional government dominated by the
Shia Arab majority.

Geoff Porter, analyst with the Eurasia Group consultancy, said US
interests had been “stymied on most fronts”, with US
officials
frustrated with, and ignorant of, Iraq's fractious politics.
“There is
an air of resignation, with people throwing up their hands that this
will be a long-term process.”

The US is not necessarily staring at defeat. The Iraqis may yet work
out power-sharing arrangements. And to an extent the Bush
administration consciously made an effort to let go before the January
30 legislative elections.

Washington accepted the risk that Iyad Allawi, the prime minister and
US favourite at that time, might not win a place in a new government
and that his vision of a secular Iraq might be thrust aside. In the
event, Mr Allawi was not included, while Ahmed Chalabi, who had fallen
from grace with the US, returned to a senior position by aligning
himself with Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, the Shia religious leader.

“We are not picking the people,” Robert Zoellick,
deputy secretary of
state, said following his two recent visits to Baghdad. But the US did
maintain a policy of encouraging an inclusive government, he said. The
US, he reasoned, had passed from the phase of running Iraq, through
encouraging self-government, to the present “very mutual
phase” akin
to the process of “moving along” a World Trade
Organisation agreement.

“The US still has enormous influence in terms of financial
resources
and obviously our military presence. The government knows it needs the
support of the US and also our global reach,” said Mr Zoellick,
formerly the US trade representative. “They have got to
succeed on
their own,” he said of the Iraqi government led by Ibrahim
Jaafari,
“but we have got to work closely with them and make our
suggestions
and prod and push.”

Most US prodding is directed at the process of writing a new
constitution acceptable to all the main ethnic groups: the majority
Shia, minority Sunni and the Kurds.

Already the US has failed to get more than two Sunni legislators
aboard the 55-member parliamentary commission responsible for the
project.

The semblance of US control rests on sticking to the timetable laid
out by Paul Bremer, Iraq's former US administrator, in the
transitional administrative law, or mini-constitution, imposed in
March 2004. That envisages a draft constitution completed by August
15, a referendum on the text by October 15, then parliamentary
elections by December 15. Again, the US has decided not to involve
itself in the detail but aims to uphold principles: a limit to the
authority of Sharia law, protection and inclusion of minority groups
and defence of women's rights.

“The Shia may accept the break-up of Iraq as the price of a
Shia-dominated Arab state,” said Peter Galbraith, a former US
ambassador with close ties to the Kurds, estimating Iraq may hold
together for five more years.

The US, according to Mr Zoellick and other senior US officials, would
be content to have Mr Bremer's TAL forming “the foundation
stone” of
the constitution, making Sharia law one source of authority but not
the only one.

Mr Galbraith said a restatement of the TAL would be acceptable to the
Kurds as a continuation of “de facto independence”,
although there
needed to be clarification of sharing of natural resources, the status
of Kirkuk and the scope of the national army. The US, he said, could
not leave Iraq to its own devices now.

Independent experts aiding the Iraqi government are concerned that the
11 weeks left to draft a constitution are not enough and that the US
and Iraqi parties are rushing to complete the process.

Neil Kritz and Jonathan Morrow of the congressionally funded US
Institute of Peace said it would be very difficult to make the August
15 target date. There should be more time for public consultat

[osint] Jet Airways' US flights caught in Al-Qaeda storm

2005-06-01 Thread David Bier
http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_1384636,00050001.htm

Jet Airways' US flights caught in Al-Qaeda storm

Lalit K Jha (HindustanTimes.com)

Minneapolis, June 1, 2005

The plan of the Jet Airways to launch the Mumbai-Newark flight -- the
first by any private Indian airline -- from June 23 seems to have
received a major setback.

A little known American airlines with the same name tag has challenged
before the US Department of Transportation (DOT) the Jet Airways'
application seeking a "foreign air carrier permit" under the open
skies agreement signed between India and the US in mid-April.

The Delaware-based Jet Airways Inc, which is yet to launch its
commercial operations, in its objection on May 23 before DOT claimed
that the Jet Airways (India), if given the permit, would threaten the
US' national security as this would allegedly give Al-Qaeda "scope to
fly and control aircraft" over American cities.

Primarily based on media reports, published in India, the Jet Airways
Inc in its objection has alleged that ever since the Jet Airways
(India) was started and planned in 1991, it has been "funded by
Al-Qaeda and Specially Designated Global Terrorist Dawood Ibrahim".

Early this month, the UN had named Dawood in the "most -wanted" list
of individuals having links with the Al-Qaeda.

"No matter how wonderful the service and the (Jet) airline may be in
India, it is still an enterprise which is used to launder money for
Al-Qaeda and is still an Al-Qaeda airline," alleged Nancy M Heckerman,
Chief Executive Officer and President of the Jet Airways Inc.

"It does not matter how much clean and non-criminal their passengers
may be in India, the fact remains that such funds are commingled with
the original black money from the Al-Qaeda and specified unlawful
activity," he added.

"The first dollar that would be made by Jet Airways (India) in the US
would be criminally tainted in gross violation of the Laundering of
Monetary Instruments (1956) and engaging in monetary transactions in
property derived from specified unlawful activity."

The Jet Airways Inc further went on to say, "Secretary Mineta would
never welcome Jet Airways (India) if he was made aware of Naresh Goyal
and Dawood Ibrahim's plan to inflict real and imminent danger on the
United States."

Referring to the Jet Airways (India) statement in its May 2
application that it would soon be "designated and licensed by India to
operate the services authorised under the bilateral agreement", the
Jet Airways Inc claimed this means the Indian company could not
legally fly to the US from India at this time, even if they are
"granted" foreign air carrier permit because the Indian licenses have
not been granted yet.

"Is this the reason that other Indian airlines have not applied for
this permit in the US?" the Jet Airways Inc asked. It pleaded before
the Department of Transportation and Transportation Secretary Norman
Mineta not to issue the foreign air carrier permit to Jet Airways
(India).

However, Jet Airways (India) has said that the allegations of it
having links with global terrorist network Al-Qaeda are not only
sensational, unsupported and offensive but also scurrilous.

Jet, in its reply to the DOT on May 27, categorically said that
neither the company nor its chairman Naresh Goyal, "has or had at any
time, any association, financial or otherwise with any underworld or
terrorist groups or individuals, including Al-Qaeda and Dawood
Ibrahim."

"It has falsely accused the Jet Airways of being an "Al-Qaeda airline"
and has otherwise attempted to besmirch the reputation of the company
and its chairman," it claimed in its reply, a copy of which has been
made available to the HindustanTimes.com.

The company further asserted that since its inception, all equity
contributions have been made through legitimate sources and with
necessary approval from the Government of India.

"All aircraft acquisitions and operations have been financed through
the internationally accredited multilateral institutions and banks
including the Export-Import Bank of the US, the International Finance
Corporation and other prominent commercial banks and financial
institutions in India and abroad," it said.

May 23 was the last date for filing objections to the Jet's
application of May 2 before the DOT. No other objection has been filed
so far.

Despite Jet Airways' refutation, the fact that US security agencies
are "hyper sensitive" to anything even remotely related or linked to
Al-Qaeda, has sent 'jitters' among the officials of this major private
Indian airlines.

It is now understood that DOT has sought the view of the US Department
of Homeland Security, which is believed to be thoroughly verifying the
allegations, Therefore, any decision on the issuance of "foreign air
carrier permit" to Jet Airways (India) has been put on hold for the
time being.

"We are reviewing the application after the objections were raised and
replies filed by the Indian company. It is hard to say when a 

[osint] Trump, Investors Sell Property for $1.8B

2005-06-01 Thread David Bier
Bush41 will be happy to hear the Carlyle Group is adding NYC real
estate to its portfolio.

http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/business/AP-Trump-Land-Sale.html?

June 1, 2005
Trump, Investors Sell Property for $1.8B
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

Filed at 3:09 p.m. ET

NEW YORK (AP) -- Donald Trump and a group of investors plan to sell a
parcel of Manhattan riverfront land and three buildings for $1.8
billion, the biggest residential sale in city history, a source
familiar with the matter said Wednesday.

The land, the former site of a rail yard, will be sold to the Extell
Development Corp. and Carlyle Group, said the source, who spoke to The
Associated Press on condition of anonymity because the deal is not
final.

Details of the transaction were reported in Wednesday editions of The
New York Times.

The 77-acre parcel of land stretches from 59th to 72nd streets on the
Upper West Side of Manhattan, along the Hudson River. The area is
known as Riverside South or Trump Place.

Extell is buying the three rental buildings on the side, plus lots to
build eight more apartment houses, the Times reported. Four
condominium buildings at the site are not part of the deal, the
newspaper said.

Representatives of the Trump Organization, Extell and the Carlyle
Group either could not immediately be reached or said they had no
comment on the Times report.

The rail yard property has a troubled past: Trump had gained control
of it in 1974 and again in 1982, both times frustrated by intense
community opposition to his plans to develop there.

A group of Hong Kong and Chinese investors paid $82 million in 1994,
when Trump was in debt, for a $300 million mortgage on the land.
Development of the apartment buildings started in 1997.

News of the sale brought expressions of relief from Trump's critics.

''Even though they're paying an exorbitant price in this overheated
market, we hope the new owners will be more responsive to the
community,'' Madeleine Polayes, a leader of the Coalition for a
Livable West Side, told the Times.

The deal reflects a red-hot real estate market in Manhattan. The
average price of a condominium has soared to $1.2 million, the Times
reported.




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[osint] Testimony at an Oversight Hearing on the USA PATRIOT Act of 2001:

2005-06-02 Thread David Bier
http://www.aclu.org/SafeandFree/SafeandFree.cfm?ID=18330&c=206

Testimony of Acting Director Gregory T. Nojeim and National Security
Policy Counsel Timothy H. Edgar At An Oversight Hearing on Sections
505 and 804 of the USA PATRIOT Act

May 26, 2005

American Civil Liberties Union
Testimony at an Oversight Hearing on the USA PATRIOT Act of 2001:
Section 505 (National Security Letters) and Section 804
(Extraterritorial Criminal Jurisdiction) and the Material Witness Statute
Before the Subcommittee on Crime, Terrorism and Homeland Security of
the House Judiciary Committee

Submitted by

Gregory T. Nojeim
Acting Director, Washington Legislative Office

and

Timothy H. Edgar
National Security Policy Counsel

 

Chairman Coble, Ranking Member Scott and Members of the Subcommittee:

I am pleased to appear before you today on behalf of the American
Civil Liberties Union and its more than 400,000 members, dedicated to
preserving the principles of the Constitution and Bill of Rights. This
is an oversight hearing on sections of the USA PATRIOT Act of 2001
expanding national security letter powers and extraterritorial
jurisdiction for federal criminal prosecutions,[1] as well as the very
important topic of the Justice Department�s use of the material
witness statute.[2]

This statement�s main focus is on national security letters and
material witness detention. While these powers are not set to expire
at the end of the year, their unrestricted use poses a serious threat
to basic civil liberties and should be the subject of this
subcommittee�s careful scrutiny. The statement also briefly addresses
extraterritorial jurisdiction.

Secret Records Searches Without Judicial Review, Probable Cause or an
Ability to Challenge: National Security Letters

Perhaps no sections of the Patriot Act have become more controversial
than the sections allowing the government secretly to obtain
confidential records in national security investigations �
investigations �to protect against international terrorism or
clandestine intelligence activities.�

National security investigations are not limited to gathering
information about criminal activity. Instead, they are intelligence
investigations designed to collect information the government decides
is needed to prevent � �to protect against� � the threat of terrorism
or espionage. They pose greater risks for civil liberties because they
potentially involve the secret gathering of information about lawful
political or religious activities that federal agents believe may be
relevant to the actions of a foreign government or foreign political
organization (including a terrorist group).

The traditional limit on national security investigations is the focus
on investigating foreign powers or agents of foreign powers. Indeed,
the �foreign power� standard is really the only meaningful substantive
limit for non-criminal investigations given the astonishing breadth of
information government officials might decide is needed for
intelligence reasons. The Patriot Act eliminated this basic limit for
records searches, including the FBI�s power to use a �national
security letter� to obtain some records without any court review at all.

Section 505 of the Patriot Act expanded the FBI�s power to obtain some
records in national security investigations without any court review
at all. These �national security letters� can be used to obtain
financial records, credit reports, and telephone, Internet and other
communications billing or transactional records. The letters can be
issued simply on the FBI�s own assertion that they are needed for an
investigation, and also contain an automatic and permanent
nondisclosure requirement.

Although national security letters never required probable cause, they
did require, prior to the Patriot Act, �specific and articulable facts
giving reason to believe� the records pertain to an �agent of a
foreign power.� The Patriot Act removed that standard.

As a result, a previously obscure and rarely used power can now be
used far more widely to obtain many more records of American citizens
and lawful residents. Because the requirement of individual suspicion
has been repealed, records powers may now be used to obtain entire
databases of private information for �data mining� purposes � using
computer software to tag law abiding Americans as terrorist suspects
based on a computer algorithm.

In Doe v. Ashcroft, 334 F. Supp. 2d 471 (S.D.N.Y. 2004), a federal
district court struck down a �national security letter� records power
expanded by the Patriot Act, agreeing with the ACLU that the failure
to provide any explicit right for a recipient to challenge a national
security letter search order violated the Fourth Amendment and that
the automatic secrecy rule violated the First Amendment. The case is
now on appeal before the United States Court of Appeals for the Second
Circuit.

There has been some confusion about whether Doe v. Ashcroft struck
down a provision of the Patriot

[osint] Countering Bioterrorism - Can Europe and the U.S. Work Together?

2005-06-02 Thread David Bier
http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=860155&C=thisweek

Posted 05/30/05 15:35   
Countering Bioterrorism 
Can Europe and the U.S. Work Together?

The recent Atlantic Storm simulation showed the United States and EU
member states are not prepared for a bioterrorism attack. With U.S.
and EU biodefense programs varying markedly, can the Atlantic alliance
develop suitable defenses together? Are differences in EU and U.S.
programs based purely on threat perception, or are other critical
factors involved? If the EU should strengthen its homeland security
infrastructure, does that mean developing something similar to the
U.S. Department of Homeland Security�s National Response Plan?

The Sept. 11 attack on the World Trade Center, followed by the anthrax
letter attacks, are often cited as a primary catalyst for European
policy implementation on counterterrorism, bioterrorism awareness and
a range of so-called homeland security initiatives.

While both events affected international perceptions of security, the
European debate was perhaps more directly influenced by the U.S.
engagement in Iraq and the Madrid transit bombing of March 11, 2004.

The Madrid bombings consolidated EU action, and while biological
terrorism response is addressed under the RAS BISCHAT program,
trans-Atlantic gaps in perception of threat and the capabilities to
address it continue.

Sept. 11 allowed all the trans-Atlantic partners to close ranks. The
post-9/11 climate was one of solidarity. Pre-emptive engagement of the
United States in Iraq significantly strained the trans-Atlantic
relationship. The subsequent failure to find weapons of mass
destruction [WMD] and the failure of intelligence has critically
affected threat perceptions on both sides of the Atlantic.

While the debate over WMD in Iraq often degenerates into politically
charged accusations for valid reasons, the actual threat such weapons
pose has not diminished. The advancement of biotechnology, the
potential for abuse of science and conventional weapon proliferation
remain central security issues.

How do we create and sustain a viable partnership when variations in
capability and the value placed on certain capabilities, mainly
defense, influence response to shared problems?

In order for Europe to fully engage as partners, diplomatic, police,
intelligence and military capabilities to counter the new security
threats are necessary. The European Security and Defence Policy has
been created for precisely this purpose.

• Have gaps in capabilities affected how we perceive the
security
environment?

• What consequences are we likely to face from existing gaps?

• What immediately needs to be addressed in terms of European
security
policy, capabilities and mechanisms for delegating specific action?

• Would the trans-Atlantic relationship to counter bioterrorism
gain
from the United States strengthening its diplomatic ties and
supporting multilateral approaches to international conventions?

• Is the creation of a homeland security agency necessary for
Europe?

• Would nations object to situating such activity at the
European
level and the potential strengthening of third-pillar powers?

• If there are differences in threat perception which affect
how we
develop policies for preparedness and response, can the EU and U.S.
agree on an agenda for action?

If a bioterror event were to occur today, are the EU, the U.S. and
Canada prepared to act as equal partners to respond to such an event?
Atlantic Storm, a war-game scenario run in January, demonstrated the
inadequacies of international preparedness and response to a Class A
biowarfare agent used in a catastrophic or mass destruction event.

Atlantic Storm

Atlantic Storm posits that a routine trans-Atlantic summit is under
way in Washington when, suddenly, reports come in about a multicity
bioterrorist attack under way on both sides of the Atlantic. The
biological agent used is smallpox.

In 1980, this disease was eradicated after a decade of vaccination and
isolation in a global campaign led by the World Health Organization.
Its appearance in several cities simultaneously clearly indicates a
planned and orchestrated release is under way.

The scenario stipulates that terrorists with microbiological training
were able to acquire all the necessary lab equipment to grow and
process the variola major seed stock into a relatively high-quality
dry powder that�s then used in the attacks. Are the EU, U.S. and
Canada creating coordinated policies to deny procurement? Are EU and
U.S. dual-use export control lists consistent and applied
consistently?

The laboratory contained all the equipment required for a modern
microbiology laboratory, including incubators, fermenters, freezers
and biocontainment cabinets, as well as instruments and reagents
required for modern molecular biology techniques and genetic
engineering. All of this laboratory equipment is entirely dual-use;
it�s commercially available.

Turkey, a NATO ally, immediately reques

[osint] Re: DEEP THROAT

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
But that scumbag Nixon never stood trial for his numerous felonies
because scumbag Ford pardoned him.  And lost the next election because
of that. Large numbers of voters, including many law enforcement types
like myself, were unwilling to stomach Ford's betrayal of the rule of
law in America, and said so in exit polls.

Had Felt come forward publicly to expose Nixon's crimes, he would have
been roasted, tossed out of government and become (as Nixon and
Haldeman noted in their recording about Felt) virtually unhireable.

That career and personal destruction is why potential whistleblowers,
knowing full well that protection assurances are bogus, become
informants instead.  It may not fit the naive hero image of American
manhood to inform, but it damn well allows justice to be done without
destroying the messenger (or on Bush 43's watch, the messenger's wife).

David Bier

P.S.  I was also disgusted with the special prosecutor letting Clinton
off the hook as well.  He lied and covered up and should have faced a
jury of his peers...just the same as should have happened to Nixon.


--- In osint@yahoogroups.com, "Bruce Tefft" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> This about covers that scumbag Felt...
> 
>  
> 
> Bruce
> 
>  
> 
>  
> 
> =
> 
>  
> 
> This will run someplace tomorrow - not sure where yet.  It captures
most of
> 
> the issues, I think.  Those who lump all bureau whistleblowers
together are
> 
> shallow minded and have a simplistic world view, in my opinion: 
Here's the
> 
> oped:
> 
>  
> 
> "Deep Throat" has at last come forward.  Arguably the most notorious
> 
> informant in recent history is former FBI official Mark Felt, and
it's been
> 
> confirmed
> 
> by The Washington Post.   Felt was second in command at the Federal
Bureau 
> 
> of
> 
> Investigation during Watergate, and is now 91 years of age.  In stepping
> 
> forward he not only destroys his reputation, but he takes a chunk
out of the
> 
> reputation of the agency that supported him and his family in a
comfortable
> 
> lifestyle for so many years.
> 
>  
> 
> Had Felt used the lawful route to voice his concerns about the Nixon
> 
> Administration he might be remembered with a modicum of respect, if not
> 
> admiration.
> 
> Some in the Nixon Administration were misusing their powers but not
because
> 
> they were feathering their own nests like Felt was.  For their sins
they got
> 
> lengthy trials and prison sentences.   Felt broke numerous federal
laws, but
> 
> received immunity from prosecution by hiding behind the skirts of two 
> 
> Washington
> 
>  
> 
> Post reporters. They made their careers, and he made a clean getaway.
> 
>  
> 
> Felt's whistleblowing didn't cost him the respect of his peers.  He
was not
> 
> censored by his agency.  He didn't lose his job.
> 
>  
> 
> An informant for the Post, Felt avoided cross-examination.  He appeared
> 
> before no grand jury, gave no oath to congressional committees as
legitimate
> 
> whistleblowers often do, nor was he questioned or attacked by political
> 
> opposition.
> 
> No one in authority had a chance to examine his motives or
credibility.  No
> 
> other media could interview Felt to look for inconsistencies, or probe 
> 
> critical
> 
>  
> 
> data.  No federal jury ever weighed his evidence.
> 
>  
> 
> In fact, Felt's information was second and third hand.  He was not 
> 
> collecting
> 
> testimony through the examination of witnesses.  He performed no
search, 
> 
> made
> 
> no arrests.  He had read report summaries given to him by FBI agents
who 
> 
> were
> 
> doing the real work.
> 
>  
> 
> Agents briefing Felt then must wonder today about the real reasons
why he
> 
> asked his questions.  How many of his inquiries were based on his
promise to 
> 
> a
> 
> newspaper to keep the information flowing?  His subordinates and his
boss, 
> 
> the
> 
> acting FBI Director, believed Felt was working for the FBI and
that's why 
> 
> they
> 
> gave him highly secret information.  But Felt was serving two masters.
> 
>  
> 
> Why did the Post believe Felt?  Was it because he was an FBI agent? 
> 
> Contrast
> 
> that with how the Post treated me, a 26-year veteran of the FBI when
I came
> 
> forward with political allegations against Bill Clinton.  They
attacked me 
> 
> in
> 
> many articles, writing that I could not possibly be telling the
truth.  They
> 
> accused me of using second and third hand information when in fact I
worked 
> 
> in
> 
> the White House day after day

[osint] See no evil

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
Bush43 is again trying to kill the messenger because the message is
too factual to destroy.  That is especially the case since a Federal
judge has ruled in an ACLU case that photos and videos from Abu Ghraib
must be released.

David Bier

http://fairuse.1accesshost.com/news2/blumenthal-see-no-evil.html

See no evil
Cloaked in myopic self-righteousness, the Bush administration is
trying to make its gulag problem disappear by attacking Amnesty
International. This isn't just blind and arrogant, it's harming the
national interest.

- - - - - - - - - - - -
By Sidney Blumenthal

June 1, 2005  |  President Bush's press conference on Tuesday, at
which he denounced Amnesty International's annual report containing
allegations of torture by the United States as "absurd" and dismissed
all such allegations as inspired by terrorists, was the crescendo of a
concerted administration campaign to stifle the rising clamor on its
torture policy.

Amnesty International released its report on human rights on May 25.
Among other findings, it documents that some 500 detainees are being
held at the Guantánamo military base. The Supreme Court ruled six
months ago in Rasul vs. Bush that they are entitled to legal counsel
and due process, but Amnesty noted that the detainees have not been
provided with lawyers in secret administrative reviews to determine if
they are "enemy combatants." And the more than 50,000 detainees being
held in 25 prisons in Afghanistan and 17 prisons in Iraq are
"routinely denied access to lawyers and families." An unknown number
of people have disappeared into secret prisons -- having been
"rendered" to U.S. allies like Uzbekistan, where torture is routine.
The Amnesty report called this shrouded network "the gulag of our
time," and concluded that the administration's methods are
counterproductive: "The 'war on terror' appeared more effective in
eroding international human rights principles than in countering
international 'terrorism.'"

The Amnesty report followed on the heels of the Bush administration's
blame casting at Newsweek magazine for provoking anti-American riots
in Afghanistan that resulted in 17 deaths by its publication of a
story that a Quran had been flushed down a toilet at Guantánamo.
After
the anonymous Pentagon source for the item hesitated about his
certainty, the Defense Department, through its spokesman, Lawrence Di
Rita, demanded that Newsweek apologize, and editor Mark Whitaker
abased himself elaborately for its error. But a week afterward the
Pentagon disclosed that there had indeed been five incidents involving
abuse of the Quran, though not a toilet flushing. (Some further
clarification may be helpful on this fine point: As it happens, the
detainees don't have flush toilets but buckets.) At a press conference
on the same day the Amnesty report was issued, Di Rita was asked, in
light of the acknowledged Quran abuses and the apology he had insisted
that Newsweek make, "Mr. Di Rita, as the Department of Defense, are
you going to present your apologies to the Arab world?" Di Rita
replied: "For what?"

A day later, on May 26, in a suit brought by the American Civil
Liberties Union seeking information about detainees, federal District
Court Judge Alvin Hellerstein ruled that 144 photographs of abuse at
Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq must be publicly released. The judge stated
that the "photographs present a different level of detail and are the
best evidence the public can have of what occurred."

Immediately, the Bush administration launched a ferocious
counteroffensive to obscure any debate about its torture policy,
discrediting Amnesty's report, which was largely based on previously
released official documents. The seriousness with which the
administration regards the torture issue -- as a political matter --
was reflected by the senior level of the deniers. Now, the questions
were not left to the likes of press secretaries Di Rita or Scott
McClellan. All the voices sang in a choir from a common book of
talking points. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice hit Amnesty's
report as "absurd." Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman Gen. Richard Myers
called the report "absolutely irresponsible." And Vice President
Cheney took umbrage at the insult: "Frankly, I was offended by it. For
Amnesty International to suggest that somehow the United States is a
violator of human rights, I frankly just don't take them seriously."
He added that the "allegations of mistreatments" came from "somebody
who had been inside and released to their home country and now are
peddling lies."

The Wurlitzer of the conservative media was playing from the same
songbook, but in a higher octave. On May 27, before the administration
heavyweights made their statements, the Wall Street Journal's
editorial page dec

[osint] Videos and photos of Abu Ghraib prison abuse ordered released by New York judge

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
See No Evil...

http://signonsandiego.printthis.clickability.com/p
t/cpt?action=cpt&title=SignOnSanDiego.com+%3E+In+I
raq+--+Videos+and+photos+of+Abu+Ghraib+prison+abus
e+ordered+released+by+New+York+judge&expire=&urlID
=14435116&fb=Y&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.signonsandiego
.com%2Fnews%2Fworld%2Firaq%2F20050602-1714-detaine
erecords.html&partnerID=621

Videos and photos of Abu Ghraib prison abuse ordered released by New
York judge

By Larry Neumeister
ASSOCIATED PRESS

5:14 p.m. June 2, 2005

NEW YORK â€" A judge has ordered the government to release four
videos
from Abu Ghraib prison and dozens of photographs from the same
collection as photos that touched off the Iraqi prisoner abuse scandal
a year ago.

The federal judge issued the order late Wednesday requiring the Army
to release the material to the American Civil Liberties Union to
comply with the Freedom of Information Act.

The ACLU said the material would show that the abuse was "more than
the actions of a few rogue soldiers."

Judge Alvin Hellerstein said the 144 pictures and videos can be turned
over in redacted form to protect the victims' identities. He gave the
Army one month to release them.

The judge ordered the release after he viewed eight of the photos last
week. They were given to the Army by a military policeman assigned to
Abu Ghraib.

In October 2003, the ACLU filed a lawsuit seeking information on
treatment of detainees in U.S. custody and the transfer of prisoners
to countries known to use torture. The ACLU contends that prisoner
abuse is systemic.

"These images may be ugly and shocking ... (but) the American public
deserves to know what is being done in our name," said Anthony D.
Romero, executive director of the ACLU.

So far, 36,000 pages of documents and the reports of 130
investigations, mostly from the FBI and Army, have been turned over to
the ACLU. The group is seeking documents from the CIA and the
Department of Defense as well.

The judge said last week that he believed photographs "are the best
evidence the public can have of what occurred" at the prison.

Government lawyer Sean Lane had argued that releasing pictures, even
in redacted form, would violate Geneva Convention rules by subjecting
the detainees to additional humiliation.

Lane did not immediately return a telephone message for comment
Thursday.




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[osint] Finding Work Hard for Troops Back From War

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic
le/2005/06/03/AR2005060300117_pf.html

washingtonpost.com
Finding Work Hard for Troops Back From War

By KIMBERLY HEFLING
The Associated Press
Friday, June 3, 2005; 2:36 AM

WASHINGTON -- Nearly every day he was in Iraq, Army Staff Sgt. Steven
Cummings would get so shaken by mortar round explosions that, even
now, a year after his return home, he drops to the ground at the
crackle of lightning.

Iraq had a big impact on Cummings in another way _ his finances. In
his absence, his wife took out two mortgages on their home in Milan,
Mich. They fell $15,000 in debt, as the pay Cummings earned during his
14 months overseas was less than he had made as a civilian electrical
controls engineer.

Looking back, those almost seem like the good times.

Cummings has been laid off from two jobs in the year since he left
Iraq. While other reasons were given for the layoffs, Cummings thinks
both were related to his duty in the Michigan National Guard and the
time off it requires.

Like some other veterans who have returned from Afghanistan and Iraq,
he is struggling to find work.

"I don't know what I'm going to do now. I'm in the exact position I
was when I came back from Iraq," said Cummings, a father of two. "I'm
50 years old and I have a mortgage payment due. I'm tired of it."

Although many employers take pride in hiring veterans and make up any
pay an employee lost while deployed, some are reluctant to hire
reservists and Guard members who might have to deploy again, said Bill
Gaul, chief officer at Destiny Group, an online organization that
seeks to match employers and veterans.

Almost 490,000 troops from the Guard and reserve have mobilized since
Sept. 11, 2001, overseas or for duty in-country. Of those, about
320,000 have completed their mobilization.

The number of unemployed Guard members and reservists who served in
Iraq is unclear because the Labor Department will not begin gathering
data specifically on post-Sept. 11 veterans until August. The
unemployment rate for veterans of all wars was 4.6 percent last year,
the department said, compared with an overall unemployment rate of 5.5
percent.

Rep. Allyson Schwartz, D-Pa., and Rep. Joe Schwarz, R-Mich., are
co-sponsoring legislation that would give companies up to $2,400 in
tax credits for each veteran from the Afghanistan and Iraq wars they
hire.

That could be a "mini-windfall" for a small company, said Schwarz, a
Vietnam veteran. "It will make a difference."

The lawmakers said their proposed tax credit also would be extended to
companies that hire dependents of soldiers who died in combat and the
spouses of those in the Guard and Reserves who deployed longer than
six months.

"This is a way to give respect to our servicemen and women who have
served," said Schwartz, daughter of a Korean War veteran.

There are laws designed to protect the civilian jobs of deployed Guard
and reserve troops, but some still come home unemployed if their
companies skirt the law or cut jobs for other reasons, such as the
closure of a business.

Others looking for work were unemployed when they left or they are
coming off active military duty and entering the civilian job market
for the first time.

Some are changed by war, and find their old civilian jobs have become
less meaningful.

That was the case with Army Cpl. Vicki Angell, 32, who gave up her job
as a customer service supervisor for an equipment company to serve in
Iraq with the 324th Military Police Battalion out of Chambersburg, Pa.
Upon her return in 2004, it took a year for Angell to find
satisfactory work. She is now an editor at The Sheridan Press in
Hanover, Pa.

"You send out a lot of resumes. You try to do everything you can do,
but it's really hard to account for the time you are in Iraq, and
really to try to make that, the things you were doing in Iraq,
relevant to what an employer is looking for today," Angell said.

Army Sgt. Benjamin Lewis, 36, a civilian chef in Ann Arbor, Mich.,
lost his job when the restaurant where he worked burned down while he
was in Iraq with the Michigan National Guard. He said some potential
employers told him they could not hire him because he might be
deployed again and would need weekends and time off in the summer for
drills.

Others asked if he struggled mentally because of his time at war,
Lewis said. He got so desperate he considered returning to Iraq with a
new unit. Ultimately, he found work at a restaurant that is flexible
and supportive of his military service.

"I was pretty frantic in the end," Lewis said. "It was almost a year
without a job."

Cummings, a member of the 156th Signal Battalion who did
telecommunications work in the Iraqi cities of Baghdad and Mosul,
thought he was returning to Gentile Packaging Machinery Co., where he
worked for 11 years in Bridgewater, Mich. However, the first day he
was back at work, he was laid off, he said.

Anthony Gentile, director of marketing for Xela Pack Inc., a sister
compa

[osint] Pentagon details mishandling of Quran

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
Perhaps Newsweek was not far from reality with its Quran mistreatment
coverage.
David Bier

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8090656/

Pentagon details mishandling of Quran
Detainees’ copies of holy book kicked, splashed with urine
The Associated Press
Updated: 8:51 p.m. ET June 3, 2005

WASHINGTON - The Pentagon on Friday released new details about
mishandling of the Quran at the Guantanamo Bay prison for terror
suspects, confirming that a soldier deliberately kicked the Muslim
holy book and that an interrogator stepped on a Quran and was later
fired for “a pattern of unacceptable behavior.”

In other confirmed incidents, water balloons thrown by prison guards
caused an unspecified number of Qurans to get wet; a guard’s
urine
came through an air vent and splashed on a detainee and his Quran; and
in a confirmed but ambiguous case, a two-word obscenity was written in
English on the inside cover of a Quran.

The findings, released after normal business hours Friday evening, are
among the results of an investigation last month by Brig. Gen. Jay
Hood, the commander of the detention center in Cuba, that was
triggered by a Newsweek magazine report â€" later retracted
â€" that a
U.S. soldier had flushed one Guantanamo Bay detainee’s Quran
down a
toilet.

The story stirred worldwide controversy and the Bush administration
blamed it for deadly demonstrations in Afghanistan.

‘Respectful handling of the Quran’
Hood said in a written statement released Friday evening, along with
the new details, that his investigation “revealed a consistent,
documented policy of respectful handling of the Quran dating back
almost 2½ years.”

Hood said that of nine mishandling cases that were studied in detail
by reviewing thousands of pages of written records, five were
confirmed to have happened. He could not determine conclusively
whether the four others took place.

In one of those four unconfirmed cases, a detainee in April 2003
complained to FBI and other interrogators that guards
“constantly
defile the Quran.” The detainee alleged that in one instance a
female
military guard threw a Quran into a bag of wet towels to anger another
detainee, and he also alleged that another guard said the Quran
belonged in the toilet and that guards were ordered to do these
things.

Hood said he found no other record of this detainee mentioning any
Quran mishandling. The detainee has since been released.

Reprimand in urine splashing case
In the most recent confirmed case, Hood said a detainee complained on
March 25, 2005, of urine splashing on him and his Quran. An
unidentified guard admitted at the time that “he was at
fault,” the
Hood report said, although it did not say whether the act was
deliberate. The guard’s supervisor reprimanded him and
assigned him to
gate guard duty, where he had no contact with detainees for the
remainder of his assignment at Guantanamo Bay.

As described in the Hood report, the guard had left his observation
post and went outside to urinate. He urinated near an air vent and the
wind blew his urine through the vent into the cell block. The incident
was not further explained.

In another of the confirmed cases, a contract interrogator stepped on
a detainee’s Quran in July 2003 and then apologized.
“The interrogator
was later terminated for a pattern of unacceptable behavior, an
inability to follow direct guidance and poor leadership,” the
Hood
report said.

Hood also said his investigation found 15 cases of detainees
mishandling their own Qurans. “These included using a Quran as
a
pillow, ripping pages out of the Quran, attempting to flush a Quran
down the toilet and urinating on the Quran,” Hood’s
report said. It
offered no possible explanation for those alleged abuses.

In the most recent of those 15 cases, a detainee on Feb. 18, 2005,
allegedly ripped up his Quran and handed it to a guard, stating that
he had given up on being a Muslim. Several of the guards witnessed
this, Hood reported.

Last week, Hood disclosed that he had confirmed five cases of
mishandling of the Quran, but he refused to provide details.
Allegations of Quran desecration at Guantanamo Bay have led to
anti-American passions in many Muslim nations, although Pentagon
officials have insisted that the problems were relatively minor and
that U.S. commanders have gone to great lengths to enable detainees to
practice their religion in captivity.

Hood said last week that he found no credible evidence that a Quran
was ever flushed down a toilet. He said a prisoner who was reported to
have complained to an FBI agent in 2002 that a military guard threw a
Quran in the toilet has since told Hood’s investigators that
he never
witnessed any form of Quran desecration.

Desecration allegations
Other prisoners who were returned to their home countries after
serving time at Guantanamo Bay as terror suspects have alleged Quran
desecration by U.S. guards, and some have said a Quran was placed in a
toilet.

There

[osint] Man Indicted in Phnom Penh Attacks Active in GOP Causes

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
A convicted terrorist contributing money to the National Republican
Congressional Committee and invited to sit on the group's Business
Advisory Council.  

WOW!  Some kind of war on terror...

David Bier

http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-cambodian3
jun03,0,6591613.story?coll=la-home-local

Man Indicted in Phnom Penh Attacks Active in GOP Causes
Long Beach accountant Yasith Chhun, whose group is labeled a terrorist
organization, raised funds to elect Republicans.
By David Pierson
Times Staff Writer

June 3, 2005

Yasith Chhun often boasted to newspapers and magazines about
masterminding an attack on government buildings in Cambodia and his
plans to overthrow the Southeast Asian country's communist regime.

The U.S. State Department declared the group he headed, the Cambodian
Freedom Fighters, a terrorist organization in 2001.

But that label didn't stop Chhun, 48, from gaining friends among GOP
stalwarts, such as Rep. Dana Rohrabacher of Huntington Beach and the
National Republican Congressional Committee, which raises funds for
electing Republicans to Congress.

Before his federal indictment this week on charges of plotting to
overthrow the Cambodian government, the Long Beach accountant had
raised $6,550 for the National Republican Congressional Committee and
was invited to sit on the group's Business Advisory Council, which has
tens of thousands of members nationwide, said Carl Forti, a spokesman
for the committee.

Rohrabacher said he was aware of the State Department's concerns about
the Cambodian Freedom Fighters but remained a supporter of Chhun and
his allies because of their passionate efforts to topple the Cambodian
government led by Prime Minister Hun Sen.

"The State Department quite often will worship at the altar of
stability and not consider liberty and justice as part of the
equation," the congressman said in a phone interview. When "you talk
about a dictator like Hun Sen, you don't want stability, you want
change. Let's hope our State Department is not condemning anybody who
would act to eliminate Hun Sen."

But Rohrabacher said he would not support activities that cost
civilian lives.

Chhun attended the annual meeting of the National Republican
Congressional Committee's business advisory council in Washington,
D.C., last year. Forti said the committee did not know Chhun's group
had been designated a terrorist organization, saying it was impossible
to do background checks on all its members.

"At this point, the gentleman hasn't been convicted of anything,"
Forti said. If he is a terrorist, "it's something we need to look at.
Clearly, we wouldn't want any leader of a terrorist organization being
members of our business advisory council."

Chhun, a U.S. citizen, has never made a secret of his role in the 2000
attack on several government buildings in the capital, Phnom Penh. He
spoke openly about it to newspapers and magazines, where he was
portrayed as a would-be revolutionary who ran his resistance movement
out of his tax office in Long Beach.

Federal prosecutors allege that Chhun raised money in the U.S., then
provided weapons to Cambodian Freedom Fighter members. The attacks
killed three of Chhun's group members and injured at least eight
government officials.

He spoke to Time magazine from a hideout in Thailand shortly after the
failed coup attempt, saying: "We're definitely going to try again.
There will be more operations. It won't be long."

He later repeated the assertion to the Los Angeles Times and the New
York Times. He told the New York Times last year that the FBI had
questioned him about the attacks but that he told the agents he
planned more violence. "We won't stop. We'll have more plans in the
future," he said.

"Next time," he said, "we will attack the whole country."

There is no indication that Cambodian Freedom Fighters carried out
additional attacks.

Chhun's lawyer, Leonard Matsuk, said Thursday that his client was a
fundraiser for the organization and not its mastermind. Chhun and
other members want to see freedom in their country "like Cubans wanted
Fidel Castro out of their country," Matsuk said.

Experts say it is not uncommon for staunch anti-communist immigrants
to align themselves with the Republican Party, which has gained large
support among the Vietnamese in Orange County and the Cubans in
Florida.

"It's strictly ideological. The Republicans are seen as
anti-communist, mainly because of [President] Reagan," said Frank
Gilliam, a professor of political science at UCLA. "The party's
underlying themes of individualism, self-reliance, freedom from
government intervention naturally plays to those victimized by
state-sanctioned redistribution of property and limitations of
individual freedoms."

Sakphan Keam, an English-Khmer translator in Long B

[osint] Two Army Dog Handlers Charged in Abuse Scandal

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
"We always suspected that politicians and military higher-ups had
ordered all these things to occur to get information from the
detainees," Volzer said. "In the case of the dog handlers, we have
irrefutable evidence that they were ordered to use the dogs."

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-
na-dogs3jun03,0,2319401.story?coll=la-home-nation

Two Army Dog Handlers Charged in Abuse Scandal
Soldiers say they were following orders and deny using the animals in
a game to scare Abu Ghraib prisoners into soiling themselves.
By Richard A. Serrano
Times Staff Writer

June 3, 2005

WASHINGTON â€" Army officials named two military dog handlers at
Abu
Ghraib prison in criminal charges Thursday, alleging that they used
their unmuzzled animals to "threaten and harass detainees" and scare
them into cooperating with interrogators.

The two sergeants are the first dog handlers to be named as criminal
defendants in the abuses at the prison outside Baghdad. Photos of dogs
barking and growling at inmates, some of them naked, were among the
scenes of detainee torture broadcast around the world.

According to Army charge sheets obtained by the Los Angeles Times,
Sgt. Santos A. Cardona and Sgt. Michael Smith "intentionally scared
detainees to make them urinate on themselves as part of a game" at the
prison from November 2003 to January 2004, during the height of the
abuse scandal at Abu Ghraib.

The charges also state that Cardona used his "unmuzzled barking and
growling military working dog" to frighten detainees and make them
defecate.

The charge sheet names two detainees whom Cardona allegedly was
involved in abusing, Mohammed Bollendia and Kamel Miza'l Nayil.
Bollendia was allegedly attacked by a dog; his injuries were unknown.
Nayil was allegedly harassed and threatened with injury.

If convicted on all charges, Cardona could be sentenced to as much as
20 years in prison.

Cardona's charge sheet states that he conspired with Smith to abuse
detainees. Other specific charges against Smith were not immediately
available.

Harvey Volzer, a Washington lawyer representing Cardona, said his
client was being made a scapegoat by a military system that had held
no senior officers accountable for the abuses at Abu Ghraib.

"We always suspected that politicians and military higher-ups had
ordered all these things to occur to get information from the
detainees," Volzer said. "In the case of the dog handlers, we have
irrefutable evidence that they were ordered to use the dogs."

He was referring to statements made by Army Col. Thomas M. Pappas,
head of the 205th Military Intelligence Brigade at Abu Ghraib, to his
superiors last year.

Pappas said that dogs were authorized for use for interrogation
purposes at the prison, and Cardona and Smith told Army investigators
that they were following those orders.

Last month Pappas was reprimanded, fined $8,000 and cited for two
counts of dereliction of duty, effectively ending his 24-year military
career, but he was not criminally prosecuted.

Army officials declined Thursday to discuss why the charges against
the dog handlers were being filed now, a year after eight soldiers,
including several military police officers, were accused of abusing
and sexually humiliating detainees.

Seven have received sentences ranging from no jail time to 10 years;
the eighth case is pending.

"As the investigations are ongoing, and as information is developed,
we are holding soldiers accountable for their actions," an Army
spokeswoman said.

But Volzer contended that continuing to charge only low-ranking
soldiers tended to shield superiors from being held responsible.

"The Army works in strange ways," he said. "They need to keep the
public thinking they are going after more people, and they hope that
eventually everyone will forget that none of the high-ranking officers
were charged."

The charges against Cardona also accuse him of making a false
statement to an Army criminal investigator by telling Special Agent
Warren Worth that he and Smith never intended to harm anyone or use
the dogs in a game to see which prisoners would urinate on themselves.

"There is no game that Smitty and me play," Cardona reportedly told
Worth in an official statement to the investigator. "It's just that we
would go through and the detainees would get scared and urinate."

But according to the charge sheet, Cardona "intentionally scared
detainees to make them urinate on themselves as part of a game with
Sgt. Michael Smith," and he knew his statement to Worth "to be false."

The charges also allege that Cardona conspired with others â€"
specifically with Army Cpl. Charles A. Graner Jr., Army Staff Sgt.
Ivan L. Frederick II and Steve Stefanowicz, a civilian interrogator
â€"
to harass and threaten detainees.

Graner and Frederick, who have since been demoted to the rank of
private, described as the ringleaders of the abuse, were prosecuted in
military courts and are serving prison sentences. Stefanowicz, who was
emplo

[osint] Reports of terrorists meeting in Syria were flawed, U.S. officials say

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
Bush43's folks still willing to generate intelligence from whole
cloth...felt, no doubt.

David Bier


http://www.realcities.com/mld/krwashington/11810108.htm

Posted on Fri, Jun. 03, 2005

Reports of terrorists meeting in Syria were flawed, U.S. officials say

By Warren P. Strobel and Jonathan S. Landay

Knight Ridder Newspapers

WASHINGTON - U.S. intelligence has no evidence that terrorist Abu
Musab al Zarqawi visited Syria in recent months to plan bombings in
Iraq, and experts don't believe the widely publicized meeting ever
happened, according to U.S. officials.

Two weeks ago, a top U.S. military official in Baghdad, Iraq, told
reporters that Zarqawi had traveled to Syria in April and met with
leaders of the Iraqi insurgency to plan the recent wave of bombings
against American troops and the Iraqi government. The official spoke
on the condition of anonymity.

In the following days, top Bush administration and Iraqi officials
increased their threats against Syria.

The reassessment comes amid a debate within the U.S. intelligence
community over how to fight the insurgency and over Syria's role in
it, the officials said.

Some analysts argue that, while Damascus has been unhelpful in
stopping terrorists crossing its border, its importance is being
exaggerated and that the key to defeating the insurgency is in Iraq,
not in Syria or Iran.

Three officials who said that the reports of Zarqawi's travels were
apparently bogus spoke on condition of anonymity because intelligence
matters are classified and because discussing the mistaken report
could embarrass the White House and trigger retaliation against them.

The allegation by the U.S. military official in Baghdad that Zarqawi
and his lieutenants met in Syria suggests that, despite the
controversy over the Bush administration's use of flimsy and bogus
intelligence to make its case for war in Iraq, some officials are
still quick to embrace dubious intelligence when it supports the
administration's case - this time against Damascus.

One of the U.S. officials said the initial report was based on a
single human source, who has since changed his story significantly.
Another official said the source and his information were quickly
dismissed as unreliable by intelligence officials but caught the
attention of some political appointees.

These officials and two others said the CIA and other U.S.
intelligence agencies were mystified by the reports of Zarqawi's visit
because they had no such information.

"We are not aware of any information that suggests that Zarqawi met in
Syria with his lieutenants in April," a defense official said.
"However, it doesn't preclude his having met with them most likely in
al Anbar," a largely Sunni Muslim province in western Iraq.

The Jordanian-born Zarqawi leads the al-Qaida in Iraq group, which has
claimed responsibility for some of the country's deadliest bombings.

U.S. military officials, confirming postings on a Web site used by
Zarqawi's group, believe that he was wounded recently in a firefight
in Ramadi, west of Baghdad.

Syria has long supported Palestinian terror groups that attack Israel,
and Syrian officials have said they're unable to police the long
border with Iraq. France and the United States sponsored a U.N.
Security Council resolution that forced Damascus to withdraw its
troops from Lebanon following the February assassination of Lebanese
Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.

Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld issued a thinly veiled warning
Wednesday to Damascus against providing harbor to anyone allied with
Osama bin Laden's network.

"Any country that decides it wants to provide medical assistance or
haven to a leading terrorist, al-Qaida terrorist, is obviously
associating themselves with al-Qaida and contributing to a great many
Iraqis being killed, as well as coalition forces in Iraq. And that is
something that people would want to take note of," Rumsfeld said.

But there are sharp differences within the U.S. government over the
roles Syria and Iran are playing in the insurgency, which has claimed
the lives of more than 800 Iraqis and 80 U.S. troops since Iraq's
Shiite-led government was named April 28.

A U.S. official said experts at the Pentagon believe "the keys to the
insurgency are external to Iraq" and that closing the Syrian and
Iranian borders to the transit of Islamic extremists, weapons and cash
would cripple the guerrillas.

But officials at other agencies see the insurgency - the bulk of which
is being waged by former members of Saddam Hussein's regime and Sunnis
opposed to the Shiite-led government and its U.S. allies - as "an
internal Iraqi phenomenon," he said.

Despite the charges that Syria is an important supporter of the
insurgency, the U.S. Army has deployed only 400 U.S. soldiers to
patrol a 10,000 square-mile area in northwest Iraq abutting Syria and
Turkey, Knig

[osint] AFGHANISTAN: IS RECONCILIATION WITH THE NEO-TALIBAN WORKING?

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
http://www.eurasianet.net/departments/insight/articles/pp060205.shtml



Friday, June 3, 2005
EURASIA INSIGHT

AFGHANISTAN: IS RECONCILIATION WITH THE NEO-TALIBAN WORKING?
Amin Tarzi 6/02/05
A EurasiaNet Partner Post from RFE/RL

Print this article   Email this article

The latest surge of violence associated and often claimed by the
neo-Taliban brings into question Afghan President Hamid
Karzai’s
reconciliation policy with members of the ousted regime. However, the
incidents, including the deadly suicide attack inside a mosque in the
southern Afghan city of Kandahar on June 1, may involve more actors
than the resurgent elements from the Taliban regime, or the
neo-Taliban, and, as such, can be a destabilizing factor in
Afghanistan’s future.

THE RECONCILIATION POLICY

In a little-noticed speech before a gathering of the ulema in Kabul in
April 2003, Karzai said that a "clear line" has to be drawn between
"the ordinary Taliban who are real and honest sons of this country"
and those "who still use the Taliban cover to disturb peace and
security in the country." No one has "the right to harass/persecute
any one under the name of Talib/Taliban anymore," Karzai emphasized
(see "RFE/RL Afghanistan Report," July 3, 2003).

In some senses, Karzai speech was an announcement, albeit not formally
at the time, of the launch of his reconciliation policy designed to
weaken the resolve of the neo-Taliban by breaking their ranks into
good and bad Talibs. Moreover, at the time Karzai -- who was leading a
transitional administration in which he was not the dominant force --
needed the backing of his co-ethnic Pashtuns who were perceived to be
-- or were actually -- marginalized from the Afghan political scene
since the demise of the mostly-Pashtun Taliban regime in December
2001.

The reconciliation policy, more articulated by Karzai since April
2003, essentially maintains that other than between 100 to 150 former
members of the Taliban regime are known to have committed crimes
against the Afghan people; all others, whether dormant or active
within the ranks of the neo-Taliban, can begin living as normal
citizens of Afghanistan by denouncing violence and renouncing their
opposition to the central Afghan government.

The list of the unpardonable former Taliban members has never been
made public by Karzai despite requests for such an action by the
Afghan media and politicians. Moreover, comments made in May by
Sebghatullah Mojaddedi -- which were initially supported by Karzai --
has changed the issue of who cannot be pardoned into a contentious
political problem. As the head of the Independent National Commission
for Peace in Afghanistan, an organ established to facilitate the
reconciliation process with the former Taliban members, Mojaddedi
announced that the amnesty offer from Karzai’s government
extended to
all Taliban leaders, including the regime’s former head, Mullah
Mohammad Omar (see "RFE/RL Afghanistan Report," May 17, 2005). Both
Mojaddedi and Karzai have since backed off of those statements, but
distrust has increased and the door of misuse of the reconciliation
policy has opened wider.

UPSURGE IN VIOLENCE

In line with the expectations of Afghan authorities and U.S.-led
coalition forces, disruptive activities and terrorist acts either
committed by or in the name of the neo-Taliban and their allies has
increased since the weather improved in southern and eastern
Afghanistan. In April, U.S. Major General Eric Olson said that there
"has been an increase in Taliban and enemy activity in the spring
[compared to the winter months]. And we anticipate that the enemy has
the intention of trying to raise the level of activity this spring."
However, Olson predicted that these activities would lack cohesion and
fade in traditional neo-Taliban strongholds (see "RFE/RL Afghanistan
Report," March 11, 2005).

While from a purely military perspective -- often no more than
sporadic gun battles and launching of small rockets -- engagements
between the neo-Taliban and the coalition forces and their Afghan
National Army allies have not shown any significant cohesion or an
increase that has not been expected, acts of terror have become more
organized and, indeed, deadlier.

The well-planned murder of Mawlawi Abdullah Fayyaz, head of the
Council of Ulema of Kandahar on May 29 and an ardent opponent of the
neo-Taliban, and the suicide blast inside a Kandahar mosque on June 1
which claimed at least 21 lives, are gruesome illustrations of the
increase in terror activities in Afghanistan.

DILEMMA FACING KABUL

Following Fayyaz’s murder, the office of Karzai’s
spokesman issued a
statement in which the Afghan president strongly condemned the murder
of the cleric, adding that Fayyaz was assassinated by "the enemies of
Afghanistan’s peace and prosperity," without mentioning the
neo-Taliban by name.

Soon after Fayyaz’s assassination, Mufti Latifullah Hakimi, a
spokesman for the neo-Taliban, claimed responsibility for the act,
call

[osint]

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
http://www.eurasianet.net/departments/insight/articles/pp060305.shtml

EURASIA INSIGHT

UZBEKISTAN: BUSH ALLIES SEEK HARSHER US TREATMENT OF KARIMOV
Andrew Tully 6/03/05
A EurasiaNet Partner Post from RFE/RL

A number of Bush supporters who once welcomed US military ties with
Uzbekistan now say it is time to reassess those relations.

One is Ariel Cohen, an analyst with the Heritage Foundation, a private
policy center in Washington. Cohen wrote recently in "The Washington
Times" that Karimov’s authoritarian rule only emboldens radical
opponents who would turn Uzbekistan into what he calls a "militarized
Muslim state: a caliphate."

Another is William Kristol, the editor of "The Weekly Standard," a
policy magazine that often reflects the thinking of the Bush
administration. In the publication, Kristol -- with Stephen Schwartz
-- recently wrote an article urging Bush to re-assess U.S. ties with
Karimov’s government.

In their conclusion, Kristol and Schwartz write that the
administration must be prepared to consider what they call the
"consequences for US aid and support for the regime." But in an
interview with RFE/RL, Schwartz insisted that this does not mean
breaking relations.

Instead, Schwartz said, it’s time for the Bush administration to tell
Karimov that he’s now regarded as being no different from leaders in
other former communist countries who have been rejected by their
people -- including former Ukrainian Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich,
former Kyrgyz President Askar Akaev, and former Georgian President
Eduard Shevardnadze.

"If he [Karimov] doesn’t want to understand this, we’re going to have
to make him understand this," Schwartz said. "I frankly think that
with the war in Afghanistan essentially over, there’s no reason to
maintain any base in Uzbekistan and they [the United States] should
remove the base. I think they [the United States] should cut off any
military or police training to Uzbek troops since we now have to face
the scandalous fact that the troops in the Andijon incident apparently
were trained in the United States."

Further, Schwartz said, the Bush administration should begin shifting
its attention to Uzbekistan’s much larger neighbor, Kazakhstan, as an
ally in Central Asia. He called President Nursulatan Nazarbaev "a
dictator." But he added that Kazakhstan also has a free press and a
thriving civil society.

Schwartz said the overall US policy decisions -- on Uzbekistan, at
least -- are made not in the State Department, but in the Pentagon.
And he said he understands Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld is
unhappy with the situation in Uzbekistan.

Rumsfeld’s dismay, Schwartz said, comes not only from the violence in
Andijon, but goes back to the Orange Revolution in Ukraine in
December. He said Andijon merely confirmed the administration’s
concerns about the quality of Karimov’s rule and brought the problems
in Uzbekistan to the attention of the wider public.

Schwartz said that since the change in Ukraine, the Bush
administration has become adamant that it can no longer regard all
postcommunist governments as representative of their peoples.

"The bottom line [the point] here is that the Bush administration,
after Ukraine, is clearly not going to take the position that
Uzbekistan is somehow different from Georgia, Ukraine, and Belarus --
and Russia itself," Schwartz said.

But Marina Ottaway of the Rule of Law Program at the Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace, another Washington think tank, said
there is little evidence that the Bush administration is prepared to
withdraw its troops from Uzbekistan.

After all, Ottaway told RFE/RL, the United States needs that base more
than Uzbekistan needs to provide it. And its location is based on
geographical -- not ideological -- concerns.

"We [the United States] put that base there because we thought we
needed it. We did not put that base there because he [Karimov] was a
nice guy," Ottaway said. "The lack of democracy in [Uzbekistan] is not
going to change the Pentagon’s calculus on whether or not that base is
needed. It seems to me extremely unlikely that the US government would
implement a policy of that sort as long as it sees a military reason
to have a base in Uzbekistan."

Besides, Ottaway said, Uzbekistan is part of a longstanding Rumsfeld
strategy that so far has overridden the more diplomatic approaches of
the State Department.

"The Pentagon certainly has a different set of concerns than the
people [elsewhere in the Bush administration] who are talking about
promoting new revolutions in these countries," Ottaway said. "From the
beginning, Rumsfeld has been talking about moving American bases
further east -- closing some of the bases in Europe and moving further
east. So certainly Uzbekistan is part of that strategy."

Ottaway said there is more evidence that Bush will maintain the status
quo. She noted that in 2004, the State Department suspended $18
million in aid to Uzbekistan because of Tashkent’s poor human rights

[osint] THE WORLD'S FIRST TERRORIST AIR FORCE

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
http://www.saag.org/%5Cpapers14%5Cpaper1398.html



 Paper no. 1398

  02. 06. 2005

THE WORLD'S FIRST TERRORIST AIR FORCE

by B.Raman

Speaking at a meeting of the Foreign Correspondents'
Association of Sri Lanka at Colombo on  May 26,2005, Hagrup Haukland,
the chief of the  Norwegian-led military mission, which monitors the 
three-year-old ceasefire between the Government of Sri Lanka and the
Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), confirmed the allegation of
the Sri Lankan Government  that the LTTE had constructed an airstrip
near Iranamadu  in the Wanni area under its control in the Northern
Province of Sri Lanka,

2. He said: "We have seen the airstrip  while flying in a Sri
Lankan military helicopter." However, he did not comment on the other
allegation of the Government that the LTTE has acquired at least two
aircraft which looked like the Czech-built Zlin Z-143.He said that his
mission had been denied access by the LTTE to verify the Government
charges that the LTTE  possessed  at least two light aircraft. From
his statement, it would appear that while his mission was able to see
the airstrip from the Sri Lankan helicopter, it could not notice the
presence of any aircraft on the ground on or in the vicinity of the
airstrip. He did not give any other details as to whether the mission
noticed any hangar or any other construction in which the LTTE might
have kept the aircraft concealed..

3. He warned that  any move by the Government forces to bomb
the airstrip could lead to a  resumption of the war. Haukland said an
air capability would "mean a hell of a lot" to the LTTE. "Those two
aircraft, if they have any, represent a very serious threat," he said,
and added that  India had also expressed concern over the matter.

4. Asked what would happen if the Sri Lankan military were to
bomb the airstrip, he said: "If the air force bombs the air strip,
then it will be war. If bombs fall, we pull out... it is not a
ceasefire anymore. If the Tigers fly, it will be a violation of Sri
Lankan airspace and also of international law because the air space is
a matter only for the Sri Lankan government."

5. The Sri Lankan authorities, who have been seriously
concerned over the implications of the LTTE's success in clandestinely
acquiring an air capability for terrorist operations, have for the
present confined their reaction to bringing the matter to the notice
of  foreign governments, including reportedly those of India and
Pakistan. President Chandrika Kumaratunga is expected to discuss this
development with Indian leaders during her expected visit to New Delhi
this week.

6. The LTTE's plans to acquire an air-mounted capability for
suicide missions against Government personalities and ground
infrastructure were known for nearly 15 years. The Western and Indian
intelligence agencies had detected its instructions to its followers
in countries such as the UK and Switzerland to join the local flying 
clubs and learn flying. They had also noticed  that its cadres in 
West Europe and Canada were buying a large number of expensive
technical books relating to flying and that they had been making
enquiries in Europe about the availability of microlite aircraft and
the price. They were closely monitoring its efforts in order to
prevent it from acquiring any aircraft.

7. The fact that it had hoodwinked them and succeeded in
acquiring some aircraft and having it smuggled to the areas under its
control---possibly in a dismantled condition---became evident on
November 27,1998, when its Voice of Tigers clandestine radio station,
in a broadcast on a function held in the Wanni area in memory of its
cadres killed in terrorist operations, claimed that aircraft of the
"Air Tigers" had sprinkled flowers from the air on the memorial. It
did not specify the number and whether they were fixed-wing planes or
helicopters.

8. Since then, there were periodic reports that the LTTE had
managed to acquire abroad and smuggle to the Wanni area at least one
light aircraft, but the Sri Lankan authorities kept denying these
reports. What is new now is not that the LTTE has acquired aircraft
for its air wing, which is at least seven years old, but that the Sri
Lankan Government has, for the first time, officially admitted it and
taken up the matter with the international community.

9. While the LTTE's acquisition of an air-mounted capability
for suicide terrorism is thus old news,  it needs to be added  that it
has not so far used the aircraft, in a conventional or unconventional
manner, either for suicide missions or in its operations against the
Sri Lankan security forces before the ceasefire came into force in 2002.

10. During its various rounds of fighting against the Sri
Lankan security forces before 2002, it was totally relying on
conventional anti-aircraft weapons and surface-to-air missiles for
bringing down aircraft of the Sri Lankan Air For

[osint] UZBEKISTAN: BUSH ALLIES SEEK HARSHER US TREATMENT OF KARIMOV

2005-06-03 Thread David Bier
Repost of 55198. Subject not recorded even though shown on Preview.

http://www.eurasianet.net/departments/insight/articles/pp060305.shtml

EURASIA INSIGHT

UZBEKISTAN: BUSH ALLIES SEEK HARSHER US TREATMENT OF KARIMOV
Andrew Tully 6/03/05
A EurasiaNet Partner Post from RFE/RL

Print this article   Email this article

A number of Bush supporters who once welcomed US military ties with
Uzbekistan now say it is time to reassess those relations.

One is Ariel Cohen, an analyst with the Heritage Foundation, a private
policy center in Washington. Cohen wrote recently in "The Washington
Times" that Karimov's authoritarian rule only emboldens radical
opponents who would turn Uzbekistan into what he calls a "militarized
Muslim state: a caliphate."

Another is William Kristol, the editor of "The Weekly Standard," a
policy magazine that often reflects the thinking of the Bush
administration. In the publication, Kristol -- with Stephen Schwartz
-- recently wrote an article urging Bush to re-assess U.S. ties with
Karimov's government.

In their conclusion, Kristol and Schwartz write that the
administration must be prepared to consider what they call the
"consequences for US aid and support for the regime." But in an
interview with RFE/RL, Schwartz insisted that this does not mean
breaking relations.

Instead, Schwartz said, it's time for the Bush administration to tell
Karimov that he's now regarded as being no different from leaders in
other former communist countries who have been rejected by their
people -- including former Ukrainian Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich,
former Kyrgyz President Askar Akaev, and former Georgian President
Eduard Shevardnadze.

"If he [Karimov] doesn't want to understand this, we're going to have
to make him understand this," Schwartz said. "I frankly think that
with the war in Afghanistan essentially over, there's no reason to
maintain any base in Uzbekistan and they [the United States] should
remove the base. I think they [the United States] should cut off any
military or police training to Uzbek troops since we now have to face
the scandalous fact that the troops in the Andijon incident apparently
were trained in the United States."

Further, Schwartz said, the Bush administration should begin shifting
its attention to Uzbekistan's much larger neighbor, Kazakhstan, as an
ally in Central Asia. He called President Nursulatan Nazarbaev "a
dictator." But he added that Kazakhstan also has a free press and a
thriving civil society.

Schwartz said the overall US policy decisions -- on Uzbekistan, at
least -- are made not in the State Department, but in the Pentagon.
And he said he understands Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld is
unhappy with the situation in Uzbekistan.

Rumsfeld's dismay, Schwartz said, comes not only from the violence in
Andijon, but goes back to the Orange Revolution in Ukraine in
December. He said Andijon merely confirmed the administration's
concerns about the quality of Karimov's rule and brought the problems
in Uzbekistan to the attention of the wider public.

Schwartz said that since the change in Ukraine, the Bush
administration has become adamant that it can no longer regard all
postcommunist governments as representative of their peoples.

"The bottom line [the point] here is that the Bush administration,
after Ukraine, is clearly not going to take the position that
Uzbekistan is somehow different from Georgia, Ukraine, and Belarus --
and Russia itself," Schwartz said.

But Marina Ottaway of the Rule of Law Program at the Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace, another Washington think tank, said
there is little evidence that the Bush administration is prepared to
withdraw its troops from Uzbekistan.

After all, Ottaway told RFE/RL, the United States needs that base more
than Uzbekistan needs to provide it. And its location is based on
geographical -- not ideological -- concerns.

"We [the United States] put that base there because we thought we
needed it. We did not put that base there because he [Karimov] was a
nice guy," Ottaway said. "The lack of democracy in [Uzbekistan] is not
going to change the Pentagon's calculus on whether or not that base is
needed. It seems to me extremely unlikely that the US government would
implement a policy of that sort as long as it sees a military reason
to have a base in Uzbekistan."

Besides, Ottaway said, Uzbekistan is part of a longstanding Rumsfeld
strategy that so far has overridden the more diplomatic approaches of
the State Department.

"The Pentagon certainly has a different set of concerns than the
people [elsewhere in the Bush administration] who are talking about
promoting new revolutions in these countries," Ottaway said. "From the
beginning, Rumsfeld has been talking about moving American bases
further east -- closing some of the bases in Europe and moving further
east. So certainly Uzbekistan is part of that strategy."

Ottaway said there is more evidence that Bush will maintain the status
quo. She noted that in

[osint] U.S. and Israel evacuate staff from Uzbekistan

2005-06-04 Thread David Bier
http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/06/04/news/uzbek.php

 U.S. and Israel evacuate staff from Uzbekistan
By C.J. Chivers The New York Times

SATURDAY, JUNE 4, 2005
MOSCOW Signs of instability deepened Friday in Uzbekistan after Israel
swiftly evacuated most of its diplomats from the country amid fresh
warnings of terror attacks, and the U.S. Embassy authorized much of
its staff to leave as well.
 
Only the Israeli ambassador and a senior official remained in
Tashkent, the Uzbek capital, according to Mark Legev, a spokesman for
Israel's Foreign Ministry, who said that 13 other embassy employees
and their families flew out of Uzbekistan on Thursday night.
 
The evacuation came as the United States issued a warning saying that
it had received new information that Islamic terror groups were
planning attacks, perhaps against Americans.
 
The warning mentioned four terror organizations - Al Qaeda, the
Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, the Islamic Jihad Union and the
Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement - that it said are active in the
region.
 
Diplomats from both countries declined to release details of the
intelligence. Legev said in a telephone interview only that Israel had
received "a specific threat against an Israeli target by an extremist
element." After the threat was evaluated, he said, the decision was
quickly made for most of the diplomatic corps to leave.
 
The threats underscored the fresh difficulties in Uzbekistan for the
United States, whose activities in the country are being restricted
simultaneously by the risks of terror attacks and by diplomatic chill.
 
The Uzbek government, stung by criticism of its bloody crackdown on a
prison break and antigovernment demonstration last month, and
increasingly isolated by its antidemocratic posture, has adopted a
cooler position toward the United States, which has used a former
Soviet air base near the Afghan border since late in 2001.
 
This week, the Uzbek government refused to renew visas for 54 Peace
Corps volunteers, who were forced to leave the country, according to
Barbara Daly, the Peace Corps' spokeswoman in Washington.
 
The nation's stability and direction are in question. An authoritarian
state with a population deeply resentful of its central government's
repression and corruption, it has been buffeted by terror attacks and
wider public unrest and has suffered three waves of violence since
early last year.
 
In April 2004, several attacks, including ones by suicide bombers,
were staged in Tashkent and Bukhara, an ancient Silk Road city in the
country's west. Nearly 50 people were killed, according to official
Uzbek reports.
 
Three more suicide bombers struck nearly simultaneously last July, one
each at the Israeli Embassy, the American Embassy and the Uzbek
general prosecutor's office in Tashkent. In addition to the bombers,
at least two more people died.
 
The country, an ally of the United States in efforts against
terrorists, has been enveloped by uncertainty since May 13, when Uzbek
security forces used gunfire to put down a revolt, prison break and
large antigovernment demonstration in Andijon, a city in the
northeastern Fergana Valley.
 
Witnesses say hundreds of unarmed people were killed when the
authorities resorted to indiscriminate force.
 
The Uzbek government says 36 soldiers and 137 others, mostly armed
men, died.
 
By either account, it was the worst violence of its sort in a
post-Soviet region since the Soviet Union collapsed.
 
With violence apparently fueled both by social disaffection and
militant Islamists, it is not entirely clear who has been responsible
for each outbreak - a subject of debate among diplomats, analysts,
scholars and intelligence officials.
 
The government of President Islam Karimov, who routinely blames
Uzbekistan's ills on Islamic terrorists, has said the Andijon uprising
was planned by international terror groups and a faction of Hizb
ut-Tahrir, or Party of Liberation, a mostly underground organization
that seeks to create governments ruled by its view of Islamic
tradition.
 
The party, which says it is peaceful, has denied any involvement.
 
Demonstrators who survived the crackdown contend the uprising was
organized by local men made desperate by the economic underdevelopment
and repression that have become synonymous with Karimov's regime.
 
 
MOSCOW Signs of instability deepened Friday in Uzbekistan after Israel
swiftly evacuated most of its diplomats from the country amid fresh
warnings of terror attacks, and the U.S. Embassy authorized much of
its staff to leave as well.
 
Only the Israeli ambassador and a senior official remained in
Tashkent, the Uzbek capital, according to Mark Legev, a spokesman for
Israel's Foreign Ministry, who said that 13 other embassy employees
and their families flew out of Uzbekistan on Thursday night.
 
The evacuation came as the United States issued a warning saying that
it had received new information that Islamic terror groups were
planning attacks, perhaps against Amer

[osint] U.S. sets sights on nuclear detection

2005-06-06 Thread David Bier
The machines don't reliably detect weapons grade uranium, nor
explosives or chemicals.  They approach being useless for any
effective counterterrorism cargo container inspection purpose other
than detection of arms and heavy munitions, but are definitely good
for the economic health of government contractors.

David Bier

http://usatoday.printthis.clickability.com/pt/cpt?
action=cpt&title=USATODAY.com+-+U.S.+sets+sights+o
n+nuclear+detection&expire=&urlID=14457629&fb=Y&ur
l=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fnews%2Fwashingto
n%2F2005-06-05-nuclear-detection_x.htm%23&partnerID=1660

U.S. sets sights on nuclear detection
By Mimi Hall, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The federal government is stepping up efforts to stop
terrorists from smuggling nuclear or radiological material into the
USA, even as critics fault it for poor planning and outdated
equipment.

The government is spending hundreds of millions of dollars to screen
more cargo at the nation's ports, test next-generation radiation
detectors and develop intricate plans to track deadly weapons if they
are brought across the borders.

Just last week, the departments of Homeland Security and Energy broke
ground on a $35 million nuclear and radiological countermeasures
center at the Nevada Test Site, northwest of Las Vegas. Scientists
will test the latest detectors to improve what's already being used at
ports.

Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff also announced last week
that the nation's busiest seaports, Los Angeles and Long Beach, will
have enough drive-through radiation monitors to screen every container
by year's end.

Still, members of Congress and nuclear specialists say some of the
efforts — including creation of a new Domestic Nuclear Detection
Office — suffer from misplaced priorities and rely on detectors so
primitive that they can't tell the difference between highly enriched
uranium and naturally occurring radiation in cat litter.

Homeland security expert Randall Larsen, a former National War College
faculty member, says that by buying flawed technology the government
is "wasting money with good intentions."

White House science adviser John Marburger says the government must
proceed with costly plans to thwart an attack with a nuclear bomb.
Although it has long been considered unlikely, it would be "the most
catastrophic thing that could happen to us."

To better prepare the nation, President Bush this year instructed the
Homeland Security Department to set up the nuclear prevention office.
He asked Congress for $227 million to finance the office. It will
deploy detection equipment at ports, border crossings, major
transportation routes and in cities, and oversee research to build
better detectors.

Rep. Hal Rogers, R-Ky., chairman of the House Appropriations
subcommittee on Homeland Security, says the office is a good idea. But
he slashed $100 million from Bush's budget request last month because
he complained the department didn't provide a solid plan for how the
office would spend the full $227 million.

Homeland Security also is buying hundreds of radiation detectors to
screen 26,000 cargo containers from abroad as they are unloaded at 314
ports each day. More than 500 of the $250,000 machines are at ports
around the country. The monitors are notorious for false alarms, set
off by innocuous products.




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[osint] Israel bugged Syrian first lady’s e-mails

2005-06-06 Thread David Bier
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/printFriendly/0,,1-52
4-1641307-524,00.html

June 05, 2005

Israel bugged Syrian first lady's e-mails
Uzi Mahnaimi-

THE personal computer of Syria's British-born first lady was
bugged by Israeli military intelligence to build up a profile of her
husband,President Bashar al-Assad, it emerged last week.

The Israelis used "Trojan horse" spy software to record her
messages,including e-mail exchanges with her husband, and forward them
to a server computer.

Intelligence sources quoted in an Israeli newspaper admitted to the
operation after police arrested 22 suspects in Israel's biggest
industrial espionage scandal last week.

The so-called Trojan Horse affair involved leading defence contractors
stealing secrets from rivals by sending spy software to their
computers disguised as a package of confidential documents. The
programme recorded every keystroke and collected business documents
and e-mails, which it then sent to a server computer registered in
London.

Intelligence sources claimed the Syrian leader and his wife had proved
ideal targets. Assad is said to be addicted to computer games.

Asma, his wife, is a computer science graduate from King's College
London, and is known to spend long hours corresponding online with her
friends and family.

The sources claimed Assad was aware that Israeli intelligence experts
had gained access to all his wife's e-mails and documents and had
complained about it to "some European leaders".

Another military intelligence expert said: "The wives of leaders
are soft targets."

Most leaders, including Assad, would have well- protected computers,
he said, but those belonging to their spouses were less secure.
"Sometimes they do not even have a basic firewall."

Syria's first lady, the former Asma al-Akhras, now 29, graduated
in 1996 and worked as an economist for Deutsche Bank and JP Morgan.
She married Assad, who trained as an eye surgeon in London, in
December 2000.

The intelligence official said Asma's personal correspondence was
of little value but the bugging provided an ideal method of monitoring
the thoughts of the president.

"Israel is, of course, interested in the husband, not the wife," he
said. "Assad, even after five years in power, is an enigma."




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[osint] President Bush, With the Candlestick...

2005-06-07 Thread David Bier
Iraq overthrow planning at the Bush43 White House began in January
2001, according to Clarke and O'Neill. January 2001 was long before
Bush43 focused on Islamic terrorism after 9/11/2001. Also, Cheney's
energy policy planning group asked the Energy Department for Iraq oil
infrastructure plans in March, 2001; again, long before 9/11. 

In the context of all of this prior planning about Iraq and its oil,
it is apparent the war on terror had little to do with Bush43
intentions or intelligence about Iraq.

David Bier

http://www.consortiumnews.com/Print/2005/060605.html

consortiumnews.com

President Bush, With the Candlestick...

By Robert Parry
June 7, 2005

The clues are falling into place, pointing to the incontrovertible
judgment that George W. Bush willfully misled the United States into
invading Iraq, in part, by eliminating the possibility of the peaceful
solution that he pretended to want.

Many of the clues have been apparent for three years – and some
were reported in outlets such as our own Consortiumnews.com in real
time – but only recently have new revelations clarified this obvious
reality for the slow-witted mainstream U.S. news media.

The latest piece of the puzzle was reported by Charles J. Hanley of
the Associated Press in an article on June 4 describing how Bush's
Undersecretary of State John Bolton orchestrated the ouster of global
arms control official Jose Bustani in early 2002 because Bustani's
Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons [OPCW] was making
progress toward getting arms inspectors back into Iraq.

If Bustani had succeeded in gaining Iraq's compliance with
international inspection demands, Bush would have been denied his
chief rationale for war, even before U.S. military divisions were
deployed to the Persian Gulf. Bustani had made himself an obstacle to
war, so he had to go.

`Red Herring'

On the surface, the Bush administration needed other reasons for
ousting Bustani. So the arms control official was accused of
mismanagement and Washington threatened to withhold dues to the OPCW
if Bustani remained.

Even at the time, skeptics of Bush's motives charged that the real
reason for Washington's bullying was the threat that Bustani
posed to Bush's war plans. But a senior U.S. official dismissed those
suspicions as "an atrocious red herring." [Christian Science
Monitor, April 24, 2002]

So, U.S. officials called an unprecedented special session of the OPCW
to vote Bustani out, only a year after he had been unanimously
reelected to a five-year term. A vote of just one-third of the member
states was enough to boot Bustani on April 22, 2002.

Three years later, former U.S. officials have stepped forward to tell
the AP that Bustani's firing indeed was sparked by his insistence
on pushing Iraq and other Arab states to accept a ban on chemical
weapons, which would have opened those countries to international
inspections.

"It was that that made Bolton decide he [Bustani] had to go,"
said retired career diplomat Avis Bohlen, who served as Bolton's
deputy. (Bolton is now Bush's nominee to be U.S. ambassador to the UN.)

"By dismissing me," Bustani told the UN-sponsored OPCW in a
failed plea for his job, "an international precedent will have been
established whereby any duly elected head of any international
organization would at any point during his or her tenure remain
vulnerable to the whims of one or a few major contributors."

Bustani warned that "genuine multilateralism" then would
succumb to "unilateralism in a multilateral disguise."

Bustani's words proved prophetic. With Bustani and the OPCW out
of the way, Bush and his advisers pressed ahead with their invasion
plans based on assertions to the American people that Hussein was
hiding dangerous weapons of mass destruction and defying international
demands for inspections.

Hanley noted that if Bustani's Iraq plan had worked out in 2002,
"Bustani's inspectors would have found nothing, because Iraq's
chemical weapons were destroyed in the early 1990s. That would have
undercut the U.S. rationale for war." [AP, June 4, 2005]

British Memo

Another recent disclosure has added more new pieces to the puzzle of
Bush's pre-war deceptions.

According to the so-called Downing Street Memo, British Prime Minister
Tony Blair – two weeks before Bustani's firing – secretly agreed to
Bush's plan for invading Iraq. In other words, the die had already
been cast for war, said the memo, which recounted a meeting on July
23, 2002, between Blair and his top national security officials.

At that Downing Street meeting, Richard Dearlove, chief of the British
intelligence agency MI6, also described his trip to Washington in July
2002 to discuss Iraq with Bush's National Security Council officials.

"Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by
t

[osint] Russert failed to correct Mehlman's claim that 9-11 Commission, Senate report

2005-06-07 Thread David Bier
http://mediamatters.org/items/200506060008

Russert failed to correct Mehlman's claim that 9-11 Commission, Senate
report "totally discredited" Downing Street Memo

On the June 5 edition of NBC's Meet the Press, moderator Tim Russert
questioned but failed to correct Republican National Committee
chairman Ken Mehlman's claim that the "findings" of the Downing Street
Memo, a secret British intelligence memo suggesting that the Bush
administration manipulated intelligence to support its case for war in
Iraq, "have been totally discredited by everyone who's looked at it,"
including the 9-11 Commission and the Senate.

In fact, neither the 9-11 Commission nor the Senate Select Committee
on Intelligence addressed the Bush administration's use of pre-war
intelligence.

In the same appearance, Russert also failed to correct Mehlman when he
made the misleading claim that the Bush administration "is the first
administration ever that has funded with federal dollars embryonic
stem cell research. In fact, Bush's stem cell policy replaced a less
restrictive set of rules issued by the Clinton administration, though
those rules had yet to take effect.

When Russert raised the issue of the Downing Street Memo's contention
that, in the Bush administration's push for war in Iraq, "the
intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy," Mehlman
replied: "Tim, that report has been discredited by everyone else who's
looked at it since then. Whether it's the 9-11 Commission, whether
it's the Senate, whoever's looked at this has said there was no effort
to change the intelligence at all." When Russert noted "I don't
believe that the authenticity of this report has been discredited,"
Mehlman reiterated: "I believe that the findings of the report, the
fact that the intelligence was somehow fixed, have been totally
discredited by everyone who's looked at it."

The Senate Intelligence committee's report examined the creation of
the 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq, which was the
intelligence community's most comprehensive and authoritative
statement about Iraq. But the committee decided at the outset not to
investigate the Bush administration's use of intelligence, including
public statements by administration officials, in the first phase of
its investigation.

Though the committee initially planned to conduct the second phase of
its investigation following the 2004 election, Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS)
indicated in March that the committee's investigation into whether the
administration misrepresented intelligence judgments in its public
statements would be indefinitely postponed, because of administration
officials' insistence that "they believed the intelligence, and the
intelligence was wrong." "[W]e sort of came to a crossroads, and that
is basically on the back burner," Roberts said.

The 9-11 Commission report said even less about the Bush
administration's use of intelligence in the run-up to the Iraq war.
The 567-page report focuses entirely on issues surrounding the
September 11 terrorist attacks, addresses Iraq only in the context of
Al Qaeda and September 11, and does not assess the accuracy or honesty
of the Bush's public statements about the Iraqi threat.

Other official reports have similarly avoided the question of whether
the Bush administration politicized intelligence. The Robb-Silberman
commission's report on intelligence regarding weapons of mass
destruction noted: "[W]e were not authorized to investigate how
policymakers used the intelligence assessments they received from the
Intelligence Community." The Duelfer report presented the results of
the Iraq Survey Group's hunt for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq
following the invasion but did not compare these findings either with
Bush's prewar statements to the public or with the prewar assessments
of the intelligence community.

The British inquiry into prewar assessments of Iraq's weapons program,
known as the Butler report, determined that Bush's 2003 State of the
Union address claim that the "British Government has learned that
Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from
Africa" was "well-founded," but did not examine the administration's
other uses of intelligence. But despite the report's findings, Bush's
statement clearly contradicted the judgments of the U.S. intelligence
community: in a statement released in July 2003, then-CIA Director
George Tenet said agency officials "differed with the British dossier
on the reliability of the uranium reporting."

Beyond the Downing Street Memo, other evidence indicates that the Bush
administration misused intelligence. For example, as Media Matters for
America has documented, accounts by Bush administration and U.N.
intelligence officials and consultants, documented by CBS News, the
Associated Press, and Fairness and Accuracy in Reporting, indicate
that the administration and CIA were aware at the time that much of
the information provided in former Secretary of State Coli

[osint] After Downing Street

2005-06-07 Thread David Bier
http://www.thenation.com/docprint.mhtml?i=20050620&s=cobble

After Downing Street

by STEVE COBBLE

[posted online on June 6, 2005]

It's not exactly a news flash that the Bush Administration lied to the
public before the invasion of Iraq. What should be on front pages,
though, is new proof of the Bush Administration's lies brought to
light by the previously unknown Downing Street Minutes, recently
obtained and printed in the Times of London. (The Downing Street Memo
is a transcript of minutes of a secret meeting chaired by Tomy Blair
in Britain in July of 2002 to discuss preparations and propaganda
before going to war. It was marked "Secret and strictly personal--UK
eyes only.")

The Downing Street Minutes are deserving, in the words of
constitutional lawyer John Bonifaz, of an official "Resolution of
Inquiry directing the House Judiciary Committee to launch a formal
investigation into whether sufficient grounds exist for the House of
Representatives to exercise its constitutional power to impeach George
W. Bush, President of the United States."

Bonifaz, who two years ago took the Bush Administration to court on
behalf of a coalition of US soldiers, parents of soldiers and twelve
Members of Congress (including John Conyers Jr., Dennis Kucinich,
Jesse Jackson Jr., Jim McDermott, José Serrano, Sheila Jackson Lee) to
challenge the constitutionality of the Iraq war, adds:

"The question must now be asked, with the release of the Downing
Street Memo, whether the President has committed impeachable offenses.
Is it a High Crime to engage in a conspiracy to deceive and mislead
the United States Congress and the American people about the basis for
taking the nation into a war? Is it a High Crime to manipulate
intelligence so as to allege falsely a national security threat posed
to the United States as a means of trying to justify a war against
another nation based on 'preemptive' purposes? Is it a High Crime to
commit a felony via the submission of an official report to the United
States Congress falsifying the reasons for launching military action?"

As in previous investigations of "High Crimes and Misdemeanors," such
a "Resolution of Inquiry is the appropriate first step in launching
this investigation."

Bonifaz's memorandum making the case for launching a Resolution of
Inquiry is posted at www.afterdowningstreet.org/, a new website
founded by David Swanson, Bob Fertik, Bonifaz and others (including
this writer), together with a broad array of public interest groups
that is posted on the web site.

Our memo is written to Representative Conyers, both because he is the
ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee and because he has
been a brave truth-seeker on this issue and so many others. We support
his letter demanding answers from the Bush Administration, signed
originally by eighty-eight of his House colleagues; his call for
100,000 signatures to back up that letter; and his plan to go to
London to seek more answers.

We have also made contact with several other members of Congress, and
we believe that it will not be long before a group in Congress
officially calls for an ROI.

Unfortunately, as most Nation readers know, the Downing Street Minutes
have only been a story in the rest of the world, especially in
Britain. In the United States it is taking much longer for the
mainstream to pick up on it, and the issue is still being treated far
less seriously than the seriousness of the charges warrant.

Fortunately, the blogosphere has found this new proof of George W.
Bush's "misleadership" much more compelling than the mainstream press
has; writers like Apian have posted incisive diaries on
www.dailykos.com/, which regularly covers the story, as has Georgia10
and her friends, who founded the wonderful site
www.downingstreetmemo.com/.

Despite a slow start, the Downing Street Minutes may have a long life
expectancy, and the Misleader of the Pack may yet have to confront the
truth. 




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[osint] The Other Bomb Drops

2005-06-07 Thread David Bier
"Michigan Democratic Representative John Conyers has called the latest
revelations about these attacks "the smoking bullet in the smoking
gun," irrefutable proof that President Bush misled Congress before the
vote on Iraq. When Bush asked Congress to authorize the use of force
in Iraq, he also said he would use it only as a last resort, after all
other avenues had been exhausted. But the Downing Street memo reveals
that the Administration had already decided to topple Saddam by force
and was manipulating intelligence to justify the decision. That
information puts the increase in unprovoked air attacks in the year
prior to the war in an entirely new light: The Bush Administration was
not only determined to wage war on Iraq, regardless of the evidence;
it had already started that war months before it was put to a vote in
Congress."

This article can be found on the web at
http://www.thenation.com/doc.mhtml?i=20050613&s=scahill

The Other Bomb Drops

by JEREMY SCAHILL

[posted online on June 1, 2005]

It was a huge air assault: Approximately 100 US and British planes
flew from Kuwait into Iraqi airspace. At least seven types of aircraft
were part of this massive operation, including US F-15 Strike Eagles
and Royal Air Force Tornado ground-attack planes. They dropped
precision-guided munitions on Saddam Hussein's major western
air-defense facility, clearing the path for Special Forces helicopters
that lay in wait in Jordan. Earlier attacks had been carried out
against Iraqi command and control centers, radar detection systems,
Revolutionary Guard units, communication centers and mobile
air-defense systems. The Pentagon's goal was clear: Destroy Iraq's
ability to resist. This was war.

But there was a catch: The war hadn't started yet, at least not
officially. This was September 2002--a month before Congress had voted
to give President Bush the authority he used to invade Iraq, two
months before the United Nations brought the matter to a vote and more
than six months before "shock and awe" officially began.

At the time, the Bush Administration publicly played down the extent
of the air strikes, claiming the United States was just defending the
so-called no-fly zones. But new information that has come out in
response to the Downing Street memo reveals that, by this time, the
war was already a foregone conclusion and attacks were no less than
the undeclared beginning of the invasion of Iraq.

The Sunday Times of London recently reported on new evidence showing
that "The RAF and US aircraft doubled the rate at which they were
dropping bombs on Iraq in 2002 in an attempt to provoke Saddam Hussein
into giving the allies an excuse for war." The paper cites newly
released statistics from the British Defense Ministry showing that
"the Allies dropped twice as many bombs on Iraq in the second half of
2002 as they did during the whole of 2001" and that "a full air
offensive" was under way months before the invasion had officially
begun.

The implications of this information for US lawmakers are profound. It
was already well known in Washington and international diplomatic
circles that the real aim of the US attacks in the no-fly zones was
not to protect Shiites and Kurds. But the new disclosures prove that
while Congress debated whether to grant Bush the authority to go to
war, while Hans Blix had his UN weapons-inspection teams scrutinizing
Iraq and while international diplomats scurried to broker an
eleventh-hour peace deal, the Bush Administration was already in full
combat mode--not just building the dossier of manipulated
intelligence, as the Downing Street memo demonstrated, but acting on
it by beginning the war itself. And according to the Sunday Times
article, the Administration even hoped the attacks would push Saddam
into a response that could be used to justify a war the Administration
was struggling to sell.

On the eve of the official invasion, on March 8, 2003, Bush said in
his national radio address: "We are doing everything we can to avoid
war in Iraq. But if Saddam Hussein does not disarm peacefully, he will
be disarmed by force." Bush said this after nearly a year of
systematic, aggressive bombings of Iraq, during which Iraq was already
being disarmed by force, in preparation for the invasion to come. By
the Pentagon's own admission, it carried out seventy-eight individual,
offensive airstrikes against Iraq in 2002 alone.

"It reminded me of a boxing match in which one of the boxers is told
not to move while the other is allowed to punch and only stop when he
is convinced that he has weakened his opponent to the point where he
is defeated before the fight begins," says former UN Assistant
Secretary General Hans Von Sponeck, a thirty-year career diplomat who
was the top UN official in Iraq from 1998 to 2000. During both the
Clinton and Bush administrations, Washington has consistently and
falsely claimed these attacks were mandated by UN Resolution 688,
passed after the Gulf War, which called for an end 

[osint] E-Mails Detail Air Force Push for Boeing Deal

2005-06-07 Thread David Bier
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/06/AR2005060601715_pf.html

washingtonpost.com
E-Mails Detail Air Force Push for Boeing Deal
Pentagon Official Called Proposed Lease of Tankers a 'Bailout,' Report
Finds

By R. Jeffrey Smith
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, June 7, 2005; A01

For the past three years, the Air Force has described its $30 billion
proposal to convert passenger planes into military refueling tankers
and lease them from Boeing Co. as an efficient way to obtain aircraft
the military urgently needs.

But a very different account of the deal is shown in an August 2002
internal e-mail exchange among four senior Pentagon officials.

"We all know that this is a bailout for Boeing," Ronald G. Garant, an
official of the Pentagon comptroller's office, said in a message to
two others in his office and then-Deputy Undersecretary of Defense
Wayne A. Schroeder. "Why don't we just bite the bullet," he asked, and
handle the acquisition like the procurement of a 1970s-era aircraft --
by squeezing the manufacturer to provide a better tanker at a decent cost?

"We didn't need those aircraft either, but we didn't screw the
taxpayer in the process," Garant added, referring to widespread
sentiment at the Pentagon that the proposed lease of Boeing 767s would
cost too much for a plane with serious shortcomings.

Garant's candid advice, which top Air Force officials did not follow,
is disclosed for the first time in a new 256-page report by the
Pentagon's inspector general. It provides an extraordinary glimpse of
how the Air Force worked hand-in-glove with one of its chief
contractors -- the financially ailing Boeing -- to help it try to
obtain the most costly government lease ever.

The inspector general's report, slated for release today at a Senate
Armed Services Committee hearing, adds a new dimension to what Sens.
John McCain (R-Ariz.), John W. Warner (R-Va.) and Carl M. Levin
(D-Mich.) have already called one of the most significant military
contracting abuses in several decades. Already, the scandal has
resulted in prison terms for former Air Force principal deputy
assistant secretary Darlene A. Druyun, and a senior Boeing official,
Michael M. Sears.

Besides documenting precisely who was responsible, the new report
details the Air Force's vigorous efforts on Boeing's behalf. It also
shows how Air Force leaders and Boeing officials jointly manipulated
legislation to authorize the deal and later sought to suppress
dissenting opinion throughout the Pentagon.

After interviewing 88 people and reading hundreds of thousands of
pages of e-mails, the inspector general's office concluded that four
top Air Force officials and one of Defense Secretary Donald H.
Rumsfeld's former top aides, Undersecretary of Defense Edward C.
"Pete" Aldridge, violated Pentagon and government-wide procurement
rules, failed to use "best business practices," ignored a legal
requirement for weapons testing and failed to ensure that the tankers
would meet the military's requirements.

The report also connects Rumsfeld to policymaking on the lease,
recounting a statement by former Air Force secretary James G. Roche
that Rumsfeld had called him in Newport, R.I., in July 2003 to say "he
did not want me to budge on the tanker lease proposal," despite criticism.

Earlier, after Roche made what he acknowledged was a "special
pleading" for the lease at a key meeting with Rumsfeld on Jan. 31,
2003, Pentagon spokesman Lawrence T. Di Rita jokingly said "that my
comments 'were brought to you by the Boeing Company,' " Roche later
told Air Force Chief of Staff John P. Jumper in an e-mail. "I didn't
rip his heart out," Roche added.

Air Force spokesman Douglas Karas said he could not comment on the
report in detail until it has been officially released. He said,
however, that "we've learned from this experience" and will apply the
lessons to future procurement of large weapons systems. Di Rita and
Rumsfeld were in Thailand yesterday. A Boeing spokesman said the
company could not comment on a report it has not read.

The Pentagon and Congress ultimately killed the lease deal. Pentagon
officials have noted that the department is now conducting special
oversight of Air Force weapons-buying, in part because of the problems
with the Boeing deal.

In the copy of the report obtained by The Washington Post, 45 sections
were deleted by the White House counsel's office to obscure what
several sources described as references to White House involvement in
the lease negotiations and its interaction with Boeing. The Pentagon
separately blacked out 64 names and many e-mails. It also omitted the
names of members of Congress, including some who pressured the
Pentagon to back the deal.

The report is nonetheless the most damning of the three reviews of the
tanker deal completed by the inspector general since early 2004. It
includes, for example, a statement from an unnamed cost analyst that
"numbers were contorted a lot of different ways to se

[osint] Critics: Pentagon in blinders

2005-06-07 Thread David Bier
"There's nothing that you can do in Iraq today that will work," said
Lind, one of the original Fourth Generation Warfare authors. "That
situation is irretrievably lost.

http://fairuse.1accesshost.com/news3/chtr19.htm

Chicago Tribune

Critics: Pentagon in blinders
Long before 9/11, the military was warned about low-tech warfare, but
it didn't listen


By Stephen J. Hedges
Washington Bureau

June 6, 2005

WASHINGTON -- Nearly 16 years ago, a group of four military officers
and a civilian predicted the rise of terrorism and anti-American
insurgencies with chilling accuracy.

The group said U.S. military technology was so advanced that foreign
forces would be unlikely to challenge it directly, and it forecast
that future foes would be non-state insurgents and terrorists whose
weapons would be suicide car bombs, not precision-guided weapons.

"Today, the United States is spending $500 million apiece for stealth
bombers," the group wrote in a 1989 article that appeared in a
professional military journal. "A terrorist stealth bomber is a car
with a bomb in the trunk--a car that looks like every other car."

The five men dubbed their theory "Fourth Generation Warfare" and
warned that the U.S. military had to adapt. In the years since, the
original group of officers, joined by a growing number of officers and
scholars within the military, has pressed Pentagon leaders to
acknowledge this emerging threat.

But rather than adopting a new strategy, the generals and civilian
leaders in the Defense Department have continued to support
conventional, high-intensity conflict and the expensive weapons that
go with it. That is happening, critics say, despite lethal
insurgencies in Iraq and Afghanistan.

"They don't understand this kind of warfare," said Greg Wilcox, a
retired Army lieutenant colonel, Vietnam veteran and critic of
Pentagon policies. "They want to return to war as they envision it.
That's not going to happen."

Wilcox is just one of a number of maverick officers, active and
retired, who have been agitating for change. Others include Marine
Col. T.X. Hammes, whose recent book on the subject is required reading
in some units, as well as Marine Col. G.I. Wilson, currently serving
in Iraq, and H. John Poole, a retired Marine who has written
extensively on insurgencies.

Together they make up the public face of a much larger debate within
the U.S. military over whether the Defense Department is doing enough
to train troops to fight insurgents.

It is a debate with enormous consequences. Though most of the more
than 1,350 American combat deaths in Iraq and Afghanistan have been
caused by low-tech insurgent weaponry such as roadside bombs, the Army
plans to spend more than $120 billion in the next decade on a future
combat system of digitally linked vehicles, weapons and unmanned
aircraft. It is based largely on conventional warfare theory.

The Army also is reorganizing its 10 divisions into 43 more flexible,
5,000-soldier brigades that can be plunked down in a war zone. But the
weapons and training those forces receive still will lean heavily
toward the traditional view of conflict, with heavy tanks,
helicopters, close air support and terrain-holding troops.

Soldiers take initiative

The mavericks' Fourth Generation Warfare theory is about as far as one
can get from current Pentagon doctrine. But many of the captains,
corporals and privates fighting today have adopted the mavericks'
theories and tactics.

"So much of it was validated that it's theoretically right on the
money," said Jim Roussell, a chief warrant officer in the Marine
Reserves who focuses on gang crime in Chicago as a sergeant in the
city's Police Department. He recently returned from Iraq after leading
a Marine unit against insurgents.

Army and Marine Corps officials in Washington declined to answer
questions on the changes suggested by the mavericks.

But in November, the Army issued a revised field manual on fighting
insurgencies that had not been updated in more than a decade. It has
received a mixed reception.

"We really have a lot of institutional friction right now," said Lt.
Col. Jan Horvath, the Army manual's primary author. "There are a
number of junior officers who understand this." Senior officers,
Horvath said, have been less accepting.

Still, some units are adapting. The Army's 3rd Armored Cavalry
Regiment, for instance, last month began its second tour of Iraq after
months of innovative training, including a requirement that all
officers and soldiers receive basic Arabic language and culture
training.

"It's working," said Col. H.R. McMaster, the regiment's commander, who
has lectured at U.S. Military Academy in West Point, N.Y., and written
a book about the failures of the Vietnam War. "It's a hard problem.
Nothing is easy over here. But I'm telling you we're getting after it,
we're pursuing the enemy, we are totally on the offensive right now."

Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld's office has given irregular warfare
a "higher pr

[osint] Iraq’s politically savvy insurgency proves its staying power

2005-06-07 Thread David Bier
"...hopeful talk of significant troop reductions by year's end - that
began circulating at Pentagon briefings shortly after the successful
Jan. 30 elections - has disappeared."

http://www.armytimes.com/print.php?f=1-292925-895732.php

June 06, 2005

Iraq's politically savvy insurgency proves its staying power

By John Yaukey
Gannett News Service

The insurgent stronghold of Fallujah fell in November. The
parliamentary elections Jan. 30 came and went. Iraq's new elected
government took power in April. Each was touted as a major victory
against Iraq's insurgents.

And yet Iraqi forces, backed by U.S. troops, are now conducting the
largest offensive in Iraq since Baghdad fell two years ago. The
mission is to root out what has become an insurgency with proven
staying power and evolving sophistication especially capable of
exploiting political vulnerabilities.

May saw a bump in U.S. casualties — the highest since January — as
insurgents ramped up a car bombing campaign largely responsible for
killing 79 U.S. troops and hundreds of Iraqis. So far, more than 1,600
U.S. forces have been killed in Iraq, and American taxpayers have
spent more than $190 billion - with no end in sight.

Experts say the insurgents will get a major opportunity at creating
political chaos this summer and fall as Iraq's recently assembled
constitutional committee attempts to draft the document that will
guide Iraq to a second round of elections at year's end.

"The real struggle for power in Iraq is going to be over the
constitution," said David Phillips, a senior fellow at the Council on
Foreign Relations and author of "Power Sharing in Iraq." It will
define the country's future for decades to come."

The troops' view

For the 138,000 American troops in Iraq, the rebounding insurgency and
the looming constitutional drama raises once again the question of how
much longer the campaign will last as some units are facing third
tours of duty.

But then, experts say, that's the question the insurgents want
lingering.

"The insurgents are trying to wage a protracted fight, because they
know they can't win a short conflict," said Marine Corps Col. Thomas
Hammes, author of an acclaimed book on modern insurgency warfare
titled "The Sling and the Stone." "So that raises the question: Can we
sustain the force long enough for our side to win?"

President Bush and Pentagon officials have said they're determined to
make sure Iraqis can secure their own country before U.S. troops
leave.

That might explain why hopeful talk of significant troop reductions by
year's end - that began circulating at Pentagon briefings shortly
after the successful Jan. 30 elections - has disappeared.

Vice President Dick Cheney recently predicted on CNN that fighting in
Iraq should end before the administration leaves in 2009. If U.S.
forces leave that year, the war will have lasted six years.

Dangerous summer

Ever since the transfer of sovereignty from American civil authorities
to the Iraqis on June 28, the insurgents have struck especially hard
at political targets.

The delay in forming the interim government in the late spring gave
the insurgents the opening for the current wave of violence that has
lasted weeks.

For the upcoming constitutional process to succeed, Iraq's majority
ruling Shiites must negotiate power sharing with the Sunni Arabs, now
fueling much of the insurgency, and the Kurds who want to retain their
autonomy.

Not yet fully under way, the constitutional process could drag on for
nine months if all the time-extension provisions are enacted.

If the 101-member constitutional committee cannot produce a draft by
August, it can seek a six-month extension. But American commanders
clearly would prefer the Iraqis complete the task sooner rather than
later.

The sooner the post-constitutional elections can be held, the sooner
the Sunnis, who stayed out of January's elections, can re-enter the
political process with the hopeful result of a reduction in violence.

If the constitutional process bogs down in debate, or worse, "it will
serve as great stage on which to launch sectarian violence," said
Thomas Sanderson, with the Center for Strategic and International
Studies.

Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld recently said he was encouraged by
the political process so far.

"The (Shiites) are reaching out to the Sunnis and allowing them to
come into the constitutional drafting process in a very constructive
and healthy way," Rumsfeld said. "So there's an awful lot good that's
happening in that country."

Initially, only one member of the 55-member constitutional committee
was a Sunni, but the committee was expanded so 18 of the now 101
members are Sunnis.

That said, noted Iraq war analyst Anthony Cordesman cautioned against
trying to read too much into the early signs of anything in an
insurgency.

"Insurgencies involve patterns that can play out over years and
sometimes decades," Cordesman writes in the early draft of his book,
"Iraq's Evolving Insurgency." "

[osint] Bush's SEC Choice Hyped 'Chinagate'

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://consortiumnews.com/2005/060805.html

Bush's SEC Choice Hyped 'Chinagate'

By Robert Parry
June 9, 2005

George W. Bush's nominee to oversee Wall Street produced a
congressional report in 1999 that laid the principal blame for China's
alleged theft of nuclear secrets on the Clinton administration when
the primary rupture of secrets actually could be traced to the
Reagan-Bush administration of the 1980s.

Last week, Bush picked the report's author, Rep. Christopher Cox,
R-Calif., to become chairman of the Securities and Exchange
Commission, which regulates stock trading in the United States.Bush's
choice of Cox, a self-described "free market" advocate, is seen as a
possible retreat from a period of aggressive SEC enforcement that
followed scandals at Enron Corp., WorldCom Inc. and other major
companies.

During his 16 years in Congress, Cox's best-known investigation
examined the politically sensitive issue of Chinese nuclear spying. In
May 1999, Cox released an 872-page report in three glossy volumes
accusing the Clinton administration of failing to protect the nation
against China's theft of top-secret nuclear designs and other
sensitive data.

The Cox report dovetailed with allegations that a Chinese government
front had funneled $30,000 in illegal "soft money" donations to the
Democrats in 1996. Some conservative operatives even accused President
Bill Clinton and Vice President Al Gore of treason for supposedly
trading nuclear secrets for campaign cash.

In 2000, George W. Bush's campaign exploited these suspicions by
running ads showing Gore meeting with saffron-robed monks at a
Buddhist temple in California. Millions of Americans surely went to
the polls thinking that Gore's temple appearance and the Chinese
nuclear spying were somehow linked.

Clinton Focus

But the Cox report's emphasis on the Clinton years – and protection of
the Reagan-Bush administration – looks, in retrospect, more like a
partisan cheap shot than a fair and balanced investigation.

One sleight of hand used in Cox's report was to leave out dates of
alleged Chinese spying in the 1980s to obscure the fact that the
floodgates of U.S. nuclear secrets to China – including how to build a
miniaturized W-88 nuclear warhead – appeared to have been open during
the Reagan-Bush years.

While leaving out time elements for the Reagan-Bush era, Cox listed
the years for alleged lapses during the Carter and Clinton
administrations.

For instance, the Cox report's "Overview" states that "the PRC
(People's Republic of China) thefts from our National Laboratories
began at least as early as the late 1970s, and significant secrets are
known to have been stolen as recently as the mid-1990s." In other
words, Cox started with the Democratic presidency of Jimmy Carter and
then jumped over the 12 years of Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush to
Bill Clinton's administration.

In the report's "Overview" alone, there are three dozen references to
dates from the Clinton years and only five mentions of dates from the
Reagan-Bush years, with none of those citations related to alleged
wrongdoing.

In a two-page chronology of the scandal – pages 74-75 – the Cox report
puts all the boxes about Chinese espionage suspicions into the Carter
and Clinton years. Nothing sinister is attributed specifically to the
Reagan-Bush era, other than a 1988 test of a neutron bomb built from
secrets that the report says were believed stolen in the "late 1970s,"
the Carter years.

Only a careful reading of the text inside the chronology's boxes makes
clear that many of the worst national security breaches apparently
occurred on the Reagan-Bush watch.

For instance, a box for 1995 states that a purported Chinese defector
walked into a U.S. government office in Taiwan that year and handed
over incriminating Chinese documents. While that would seem to apply
to a Clinton year, the documents actually showed that Chinese
intelligence may have stolen the W-88 secrets "sometime between 1984
and 1992," Reagan-Bush years.

The Chinese tested their miniaturized warhead in 1992 while George
H.W. Bush was president.

Spy Suspect

Left out of the chronology also was the fact that suspicious meetings
with Chinese scientists – that made Los Alamos scientist Wen Ho Lee an
espionage suspect – took place from 1985 to 1988, while Ronald Reagan
was president.

When released on May 25, 1999, the Cox report was greeted by
conservative groups and the national news media as an indictment of
the Clinton administration. By then, of course, the Washington press
corps was obsessed with "Clinton scandals" and viewed almost any
allegation through that prism.

Yet, despite the intensity of the media spotlight, little attention
was paid to the shallowness of the Cox report. Though filling three
volumes and toting up 872 pages, the report had the look of a term
paper written by a student trying to stretch the length by expanding
the margins and triple-spacing.

The Cox report certainly didn't resemble the typical 

[osint] Will the PKK Become a Tool of the US?

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=12231

 Will the PKK Become a Tool of the US?

Source:US

Ghosts of the past

Evren Deger
The New Anatolian/ Ankara


• Will the PKK become a tool of the US?

• Will the US use the PKK to create unrest in Syria and Iran before
possible attacks against these two countries?

The year is 1990. Saddam Hussein's forces invaded Kuwait on Aug. 2. In
the aftermath, the international community took action.

Sanctions determined within the framework of the resolutions of the
United Nations were implemented. First came economic sanctions and
then… the first Gulf War.

But this was only the visible side of what has happened. Shortly after
the invasion of Kuwait, a U.S. Army elite unit known as the Green
Berets were deployed in northern Iraq. This unit, which was
operational from Incirlik Airbase located in Turkey, served on
different missions in northern Iraq. The Kurdish population of the
region received theoretical and military training.

The final goal was unrest within the country in the aftermath of the war.

The first Gulf War began on Jan. 16, 1991, and lasted approximately
two months. In the aftermath of the bombings that were watched by the
whole world live on TV, Iraq took a step back and the war halted.

It didn't end, but halted...

Suddenly, Kurds trained by the Green Berets created tension in
northern Iraq and in the aftermath, masses of people dramatically fled
to the Turkish border. Thousands of Kurds migrated to Turkey.

And, the U.S. was in charge. Tent cities were formed, security
maintained for the Kurds. As a result, a no-fly zone to the north of
the 36th parallel was declared, and the Kurds returned home.

The year is 2005. Almost two years have passed since the toppling of
the Saddam regime. Turkey has been involved in a series of efforts to
end the presence of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK),
especially in northern Iraq, before and after the war. It received a
series of pledges as a result of its every effort. But these pledges
were never fulfilled.

On Monday Deputy Chief of General Staff Gen. Ilker Basbug, who is
visiting the United States, listed Turkey's demands:

"Time is up. We've been waiting patiently for more than two years.
People on the street are waiting for the U.S. to take action. It's
hard to tell the people to be patient for another two years."

Turkey is running out of patience. But this is only the tip of the
iceberg. The U.S. is on good terms with the PKK in northern Iraq. They
held meetings, but nothing concrete has emerged.

Moreover, two parties have links with the PKK, Syria and Iran. The two
countries that the U.S. stipulated as targets after the Iraq operation.

Sudden clashes started to occur in both countries.

News reports reveal the beginning of a new era:

- Syrian police and nationalist Arabs in southwestern Kurdistan
attacked houses and workplaces belonging to Kurds. Four died, and
dozens of Kurds, 30 of them women, were wounded. According to local
sources, hundreds of people were taken into custody and the majority
of them were tortured.

- Iran reportedly launched an operation against the Kandil Mountains
area and city of Piransehir near the Iraqi border. They bombed the PKK
camps located in the mountains and arrested a number of people on
charges of providing aid and shelter to the organization.

The U.S. seems to have found its new tool in the new order that it
will establish in the Middle East. During this process, the PKK will
be the tool used to create unrest in Iran and Syria.

This is not a prediction, it is intelligence.


Source: TNA, 8 June 2005






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[osint] 6 Critical Fields Ankara Crosses with Washington

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://www.zaman.com/?bl=international&alt=&hn=20443

INTERNATIONAL   06.09.2005 Thursday - ISTANBUL 05:28

[NEWS INVESTIGATION]

6 Critical Fields Ankara Crosses with Washington

By ALI H. ASLAN
Published: Wednesday 08, 2005
zaman.com

Iraq

Turkish-American relations are most problematic when the issue comes
to Iraq. Turkey adapts a manner of criticism against the US on the
subjects such as Iraq's territorial integrity, the status of Kerkuk
(Kirkuk) and providing civilian security in the US military
operations. The Americans on the other hand think Ankara has been of
little help to Washington in Iraq and that Ankara sees Iraq in general
through the northern Iraq perspective.

Since Turkey did not approved the March 1 deployment motion and was
not willing to accept Kurds in particular as the addressee caused
reactions in the US. The bagging incident in Suleymaniye, the
operation in Felluce (Fallujah) and no Sunni participation in the
elections disturbed the Turkish side. The latest efforts of the new
Iraqi government and Ankara to build new relations are appreciated by
the Washington administration. Even if the official targets are the
same, Iraq heads the topics on which the two capitals fail to trust
each. Despite promises given, the US somehow continues not to take any
action against the Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) in northern Iraq and
it does not entertain the idea of Turkey opening a new border gate in
Ovakoy. "Security concerns" of the Pentagon are affective in
particular for the failure to reach a conclusion in these issues.

Regional reforms

US President George W. Bush's Broader Middle East and North Africa
Initiative, fails to create the amount of excitement in Ankara that
Washington would like. Ankara would like, as much as possible, to make
independent contributions to the process even though it supports the
US initiatives in the region. Since Ankara views Washington's
revolutionist approach in the region dangerous for regional stability,
distancing itself from the US policies on regime changes, even more
so, for the use of violence to achieve this purpose is loathed by
Ankara. Upon these reactions, Washington, which wanted to show Turkey
as a "model" country, gave up on the idea. Americans wanted to use
Turkey as an example of a democratic Islamic country and to use this
in its political discourse. While the AKP government does not object
to this, secularist bureaucratic elitists do not want the utterance of
the expression "Islamic country" for Turkey. These circles widely hold
the opinion that the US wants to transform Turkey into a moderate
Islamic regime.

Syria

One of the issues creating tension between Ankara and Washington is
that the conflict that Turkey has the desire to establish good
relations with Syria while the US attempts to bring down the regime in
Syria. In a period in which international pressure intensified on
Syria to pull out its troops from Lebanon, the visits of Prime
Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan firstly, followed by President Ahmet
Necdet Sezer to Damascus were preceded with concerns from Washington.
Ankara in particular is willing to be on good terms with Syria. The US
on the other hand, sees Damascus as a foe and claims the Syrian
administration helps the insurgence in Iraq. While the US is trying to
push for the overthrow of the oppressive Asad regime, the Turkish
party does not believe that a better leader will fill Asad's position;
believing that trying to encourage Syria to initiate reforms through
friendly relations will be more affective, however, the US party finds
this approach naive. Widespread opinion in Washington is that the AKP
government acts with the Islamist reflexes.

Iran

Trying to prevent Iran's nuclear program, the Bush administration had
had the expectations to observe Iran from Turkey using spy planes;
however, Ankara signifying their relations with Tehran and their
refusal to take any part in creating any kind of tension in the
region, failed to fulfill Washington's expectations. Turkey has
concerns about the possibility of Iran's nuclear armament as well;
however, it does not want a war to break out for this reason. Turkey
supports the notion that the issue should be solved through diplomatic
means. The US also does not retract from the possibility of using the
option to conduct military action. If the issue comes to the use of
power against Iran, it will become an extremely controversial issue
with regard to Turkish-US relations after Iraq.

Cyprus

Cyprus is among the issues in which relations are on good terms.
Washington's support of the Annan Plan has greatly pleased Ankara and
its pro-solution policy for Cyprus. When Turkish Cypriots said "yes"
and Greek Cypriots said "no" in the referendum, the US began efforts
to lift the economic and political isolation imposed on the Turkish
Cypriots, albeit the symbolic and political gestures yielded few
results. The two capital cities, however, are in consensus regarding
the Cyprus issue. Turkey

[osint] The Turkey- U.S. Divide

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-dumanli8jun08,0,3934903.story

COMMENTARY
The Turkey- U.S. Divide
Lack of understanding strains a vital relationship.
By Ekrem Dumanli
Ekrem Dumanli is executive editor of Zaman, a national newspaper
headquartered in Istanbul.

June 8, 2005

What's gone wrong between the U.S. and Turkey? Plagued by
misinformation and misperception, the two countries have seen
significant deterioration in their relations over the last few years.

Rising wrath against Turkey in Washington, especially at the Pentagon,
is threatening what has long been a strong, important relationship. It
seems to be a response, in turn, to a perceived rise in
anti-Americanism in Turkey. But this is a mistake. The roots of the
problem lay, for the most part, in misunderstanding.

Just as the Iraq war was beginning in early 2003, Turkey rejected a
U.S. effort to open a northern front. For many U.S. officials, this
was an indication of growing anti-Americanism. Although it is true
that the Turkish parliament rejected the motion, the context has been
badly misunderstood.

On that day — March 1, 2003 — 533 lawmakers voted on the motion. Of
those, 264 were in favor, 250 rejected it and 19 abstained. The motion
required a simple majority, 267 votes; it was rejected for want of
three votes. The vote was so close that for a few minutes after the
voting it was believed that the motion had been approved. In short,
much of the wrath against Turkey in Washington, especially in Pentagon
circles, is based on just three votes.

In October 2003, the parliament agreed to send as many as 10,000
troops to Iraq to help in reconstruction and peacekeeping. This time
the vote was 358 to 183 in favor of deployment. But Turkey got little
credit for its willingness to help because the plan fell apart when
the Iraqi Governing Council announced that it did not want Turkish
troops. In yet another effort to cooperate with Washington, Turkey
subsequently agreed to send troops to Afghanistan, and the Turkish
army has twice taken command of the International Security Assistance
Force there.

I'm not denying that the last two years have been a tense period for
the two countries. There's no doubt that the Turkish people, in line
with global public opinion, were worried about the occupation of Iraq.
Although Turks hated Saddam Hussein and wished for an end to his rule,
they were also concerned about a war in the region. Not just because
it was becoming clear that there were no weapons of mass destruction
and no link between Hussein and Al Qaeda, but because they were afraid
the war would spread to neighboring countries such as Syria and Iran.

And it is certainly true that the horrible images from Fallouja and
Abu Ghraib shocked Turkish society, as they shocked the people of many
nations. When one also considers that Iraqis are Muslims and that many
mosques were in the war zone, the Turkish public's concern may be
better understood.

But Turkish reservations about Bush administration policies in the
Middle East do not make us "anti-American." Yes, there was one Turkish
member of parliament who said last year that the U.S. was conducting
"genocide" in Fallouja — but it must be remembered that routine
pressure is put on Turkey regarding Armenian allegations of "genocide"
after World War II. For many Turks, this is annually discussed,
debated and forgotten — they see the so-called genocide as a false
accusation, and the word itself is viewed as an exaggeration. So when
one parliamentarian accuses the U.S. of "genocide" in Iraq, it does
not carry the harsh meaning that Americans have reacted to.

After Sept. 11, many Muslims in the U.S. returned to their countries,
Turks among them. This trend accelerated after the invasion of Iraq.
But despite post-Sept. 11 anxiety and difficulty in obtaining visas,
statistics indicate that Turkish families and their children still opt
for a U.S. education when possible.

The Turkish people believe that the U.S. helped Muslims in Bosnia and
Kosovo. They haven't forgotten that the leader of the terrorist
Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK), Abdullah Ocalan, was caught with U.S.
assistance. Nor have they overlooked U.S. support for Turkey's
membership in the European Union.

Despite years of "strategic partnership," the policymakers of the two
countries don't fully understand each other. Turkey asks the U.S. to
take concrete action against the PKK militants in Iraq, but this is
not a high priority for the Americans. Armenian genocide allegations
are raised like clockwork in the U.S. Congress, but so far the Turkish
government has not formally recognized that such a thing occurred. If
that changes, the Turkish public will not react calmly.

Each party tries to evaluate the other side within the framework of
its own political culture and experience. This can cause confusion and
ill will. But these two countries need each other. At a time when
potential global conflicts exist in abundance along cultural and

[osint] A Reform Agenda for the New DNI

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=887913&C=thisweek

Posted 06/06/05 09:12
A Reform Agenda for the New DNI
By CHRIS MELLON

The swearing in of John Negroponte culminated a lengthy examination of
the intelligence failures associated with the 9/11 terrorist attacks
and inaccurate estimates of Iraq�s weapons of mass destruction. This
led Congress and the White House to concentrate power in a new
director of national intelligence (DNI) under the premise that greater
accountability and authority produces better results.

Now that we have a powerful intelligence �czar,� what should he 
do to
make the intel community more effective and efficient?

Above all, better intelligence requires more rigorous and systematic
processes to plan, recruit and conduct operations. The taxpayer (and
probably most members of Congress) would be shocked to learn that the
DNI lacks the tools to independently and comprehensively evaluate the
multibillion-dollar budgets of the agencies he is now responsible for.
Although he has an able, hard-working staff, they do not have the
necessary access or capabilities.

For example, there is no means to quantitatively assess all proposed
intelligence radar collection systems, regardless of agency or
classification, against the full range of customer requirements. In
fact, most detailed assessments today are performed by the very
agencies (CIA, National Security Agency, National Reconnaissance
Office) whose programs the DNI is supposed to independently evaluate.
Some duplication is necessary, and some cost overruns are inevitable,
but we have an excess of both.

An even more glaring deficiency is the lack of rigorous, standardized
procedures among intelligence analysts. Our analysts are dedicated
;public servants, but they operate without uniform methods. The very
term �analytic tradecraft� is telling; the intelligence community
needs to make analysis less like a trade or craft and more like a
profession, with a common understanding of how to link logic and data,
and how to make clear where there is irreducible uncertainty.

No one can explain, for example, why analysts were prone to ignore so
much credible reporting indicating Saddam�s weapon programs were
defunct while accepting dubious intelligence to the contrary. Analysts
and consumers will benefit enormously from a more transparent,
uniform, objective methodology that consistently categorizes
information and is fully exposed to alternative hypotheses.

There also needs to be far greater use of open-source information. The
creation of the DNI gives us an opportunity to do this across all
analytic organizations within the intel community.

Finally, the establishment of the DNI gives us an opportunity to
reinvigorate intelligence collection. The DNI should be able to forge
a better partnership between human source intelligence and intercepted
communications, or signals intelligence. This is the only way we are
likely to penetrate terrorist networks effectively before they strike,
or obtain timely and deep insights into the intentions of closed,
hostile nations such as North Korea.

While he is at it, the new DNI can push the CIA and other agencies to
leverage U.S. diversity by energetically reaching out to patriotic
Americans from all walks of life, many of whom have extraordinary
foreign language skills and access. A good start is being made, but
this area requires continued strong emphasis.

Addressing these issues depends less on additional funding,
legislation or technology than on leadership and strategic direction �
the main reasons for creating the DNI. Negroponte needs to keep his
eye on the big changes that U.S. intelligence needs, not on the
President�s Daily Brief. Otherwise the DNI will get bogged down and
become just another bureaucratic layer.

By contrast, if he prioritizes and delegates carefully, the DNI could
transform the system in a manner that will make our country safer for
generations. The DNI was not intended to provide additional oversight
and he should not micromanage. Rather, he must provide sorely needed
strategic leadership and direction. •

By Chris Mellon, a partner in Mellon Strategic Consulting, Washington,
and former deputy assistant secretary of defense for intelligence.
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[osint] Israel Accents Multimission Robotics for Anti-Terror Ops

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=886937&C=thisweek

Posted 06/06/05 09:07Print-friendly version
Israel Accents Multimission Robotics for Anti-Terror Ops
By BARBARA OPALL-ROME, HERZLIYA, Israel

Technological advances combined with lessons learned from nearly five
years of continuous anti-terror urban warfare are providing a clearer
picture of how the Israel Air Force will look and operate in the
coming years.

In the not-too-distant future, numerous unmanned aircraft of all
sizes, operating as a single unit, will persistently patrol the skies
� hunting and killing not only terrorists on the move but also mobile
rocket launchers, weapon labs and illicit arms caches. At the same
time, a reduced percentage of manned fighters, helicopters and special
mission planes could be relegated to supporting unmanned counterterror
operations while honing their ability to wage standoff, pre-emptive
attacks against increasingly long-range threats.

In a rare unclassified discussion here of doctrine, operational
concepts and weapon system development trends, service officials and
industry experts on May 30-31 painted a picture of a future force
aspiring to omnipresence, omniscience and the ability to precisely
deliver just the amount of force needed to destroy targets without
inflicting damage on innocents nearby. In the process, officials and
experts said they expected Israel�s deterrent capabilities to soar, as
terrorists and terrorist-supporting countries and organizations
realize they cannot hide from Israeli airpower.

�The ability to strike lone terrorists, and not just buildings or
locations, has already seeped into the consciousness of the other
side,� said Avi Dichter, the recently retired director of Israel�s
Shin Bet internal security service.

Speaking at a May 31 confer-ence on the role of air power in
counterterror warfare, sponsored by the Fisher Institute for Air and
Space Strategic Studies, Dichter said Israel�s effective use of
targeted killing operations � what critics assail as extrajudicial
aerial assassinations � has prompted the majority of the Palestinian
population and its leadership to turn away from terror as a means of
achieving political goals.

�Palestinian children today cannot draw a picture of the sky without a
helicopter overhead. [A child] may not draw clouds, but he�ll draw
helicopters. � Most have become sick and tired of seeing the sun only
in photographs, and that�s thanks to the adaptation of air power for
this anti-terror mission,� Dichter said. �They say big brother 
watches
from above and that there is a god. But there is also the Israel Air
Force.�

Unmanned Power

While the former Shin Bet chief emphasized the role of helicopters in
successfully striking terrorists from the air, several current and
former Air Force officers here noted the role unmanned aerial vehicles
(UAVs) already are playing in such operations.

In addition to gathering intelligence and transmitting it immediately
to airborne gunships, Palestinian and foreign sources insist UAVs were
used in the March 2004 assassination of Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, leader of
the Hamas Palestinian terrorist organization, and numerous other
so-called aerial liquidation operations.

Although this Israeli-adapted combat UAV system has been widely
reported around the world, Israel�s military censor still prohibits
specific reporting on details and operational capabilities of the
unmanned hunter-killer vehicle.

�I don�t want to relate to the issue of whether it was or 
wasn�t a
UAV,� Col. Ofer Haruvi, a former head of the Israel Air Force�s 
UAV
Department, told conference participants after showing a television
news clip citing sources attributing a Gaza Strip operation to
UAV-launched missiles. �But the more important question is: How can we
extend such pinpoint capabilities to a more global solution for
fighting terror?�

In his presentation, Haruvi, now director of the NetCentric Warfare
Center at Israel Aircraft Industries, said Israel and other nations
are constantly shifting the air power balance toward unmanned rather
than manned aircraft, as a means of ensuring optimum operational
efficiency.

�We want to be there all the time in order to see every event. We need
to collect all the information from a wide variety of sensors so that
in the end, we�ll be able to say with certainty that we can employ air
strikes [through unmanned means],� Haruvi said.

In his notional future force structure, Haruvi said he envisioned a
blend of platforms, from the relatively small tactical UAVs now used
by the service to very large, long-endurance systems that could weigh
nearly 5,000 kilograms and carry payloads of more than 1,000
kilograms. Underlying this concept of an expanded, all-capable
unmanned force, Haruvi said, is the requirement that all aircraft be
integrated through a command-and-control system that supports the same
mission.

�It shouldn�t matter who operates the shooters ... Tens of 
platforms
should be above the area per

[osint] Lockheed Converts Antitank Missile

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=871327&C=thisweek

Posted 06/06/05 12:00
Lockheed Converts Antitank Missile

Responding to an urgent request from the U.S. Marine Corps, a
subsidiary of Lockheed Martin has expanded the capabilities of the
company�s Predator antitank missile and delivered 400 to the Marines.

The Marine Corps asked Lockheed Martin Missiles and Fire Control,
Orlando, Fla., to modify the shoulder-fired, short-range Predator into
a direct-attack urban assault missile. Renamed the Short-Range Assault
Weapon-Multiple Purpose Variant (SRAW-MPV), the new missile has a
multipurpose blast warhead, enabling it to defeat a variety of targets
such as buildings and bunkers.

�The conversion ... was prompted by the need for fire-from-enclosure
assault weapons, which has become paramount to support current
actions,� said Andy Hawkins, the SRAW-MPV program manager at Lockheed
Martin Missiles and Fire Control, in a company statement. �Other
current short-range assault weapon systems cannot meet the requirement.�

�The SRAW-MPV ... can be safely fired from buildings with single
hearing protection, which protects the gunner by minimizing exposure
to enemy counterfire,� he said. �In addition, its point-and-shoot,
fire-and-forget inertial guidance system minimizes gunner operations
and corrects for in-flight disturbances such as crosswind.�

The SRAW-MPV passed an acceptance test at the Naval Air Warfare Center
in China Lake, Calif., in November and other firings in December, the
statement added.

The flight tests included two rounds that breached a triple-brick
target, leaving a gap wide enough for troop entry, and another round
that disabled an armored personnel carrier. All of the shots were at a
range of 200 meters. •

U.K. Muscle Machine Unveiled

Lord Drayson, the U.K. minister for defense procurement, recently
unveiled a prototype of the Terrier, a combat engineer vehicle under
development for the British Army by BAE SYSTEMS. The Terrier is being
designed to be entirely operated by remote control, should the area it
needs to work in be initially too dangerous for troops to enter.

The London company is building the Terrier under a 300 million pound
($374 million) contract with the U.K. Ministry of Defense, said an MoD
statement. Built to withstand mine explosions, small-arms and
artillery fire while digging trenches or clearing obstacles, the
Terrier is expected to enter service toward the end of the decade.

It will be equipped with a machine gun for self-defense. The vehicle
is designed to be transported on the C-17 or A400M airlifter.

ASC To Build Air Warfare Ships

An Australian state-owned defense supplier, ASC Pty Ltd., has won a 6
billion Australian dollar ($4.5 billion) government contract to build
three air warfare destroyers, Defence Minister Robert Hill said May 31.

The contract is the biggest single domestic construction program under
Australia�s 10-year, 50 billion Australian dollar defense acquisition
plan. The first ships are due to start service in 2013.

The contract, run through a subsidiary known as ASC Shipbuilder,
should boost the value of government-owned ASC, previously known as
the Australian Submarine Corp., ahead of the company�s privatization
scheduled for next year. Hill said the ships would be built at ASC
shipyards in Adelaide and would have the U.S.-made Aegis air warfare
system at the core of their combat systems.

New MEADS Contract Signed


On May 31, MEADS International (MI), a U.S.-European partnership,
signed a design and development contract for the Medium Extended Air
Defense System (MEADS). The United States, Germany and Italy are
partners in the approximately $2 billion program.

�The D&D contract extends the period of performance of a previous
letter contract that was awarded to MI by the NATO MEADS Management
Agency in September 2004,� MBDA, one of the industrial partners, said
in a June 1 statement.

MEADS is a mobile air and missile defense system designed to replace
the Patriot in the United States and Germany and the Nike Hercules in
Italy. The United States has 58 percent of the work share in MEADS;
Germany holds 25 percent and Italy 17 percent.

MEADS International is a joint venture of MBDA Italia, Rome; EADS/LFK,
Unterschleissheim, Germany; and Lockheed Martin, Bethesda, Md.

In September, the United States and Italy signed a contract to
formally begin design and development, while Germany had a six-month
transition period to obtain parliamentary approval. Germany�s
parliament on April 20 signed onto the program.

New Agency Turns to NATO

The European Union�s fledgling European Defense Agency (EDA) has
handed a small contract � its first � to NATO�s command, 
control and
communications wing for an operational analysis of the union�s future
peacekeeping force.

Though the move is unprecedented, EDA officials stress that their
agency acted only as the contracting authority for the EU military
staff. �The military staff does not have the resour

[osint] Bush and Blair Deny 'Fixed' Iraq Reports

2005-06-08 Thread David Bier
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/06/08/international/08prexy.html?

June 8, 2005
Bush and Blair Deny 'Fixed' Iraq Reports
By ELISABETH BUMILLER

WASHINGTON, June 7 - President Bush and Prime Minister Tony Blair of
Britain presented a united front on Tuesday against a recently
disclosed British government memorandum that said in July 2002 that
American intelligence was being "fixed" around the policy of removing
Saddam Hussein in Iraq.

"There's nothing farther from the truth," Mr. Bush said in his first
public comments about the so-called Downing Street memo, which has
created anger among the administration's critics who see it as
evidence that the president was intent to go to war with Iraq earlier
than the White House has said.

"Look, both of us didn't want to use our military," Mr. Bush added.
"Nobody wants to commit military into combat. It's the last option."

Mr. Blair, standing at Mr. Bush's side in a joint news conference in
the East Room of the White House, said, "No, the facts were not being
fixed in any shape or form at all."

The statements contradicted assertions in the memorandum, which was
first disclosed by The Sunday Times of London on May 1 and which
records the minutes of a meeting of Mr. Blair's senior policy advisers
more than half a year before the war with Iraq began.

The contents of the memo have dogged Mr. Blair, who has taken years of
political criticism at home for joining Mr. Bush in the Iraq war and
has come to Washington on his first trip since his re-election in May
expressly to seek support on his plans for more aid to Africa and for
fighting global warming.

Mr. Blair, generally unsmiling through the 25-minute news conference,
went home after dinner at the White House on Tuesday night with much
less than he had wanted.

The two leaders pledged to cancel the debts of 27 of the world's
poorest nations to the World Bank and the African Development Bank,
although no deal has yet been reached. And as expected, Mr. Bush
announced that the White House would release $674 million in aid to
Africa, mostly for food aid to Ethiopia and Eritrea, drawn from money
already appropriated by Congress.

But Mr. Blair failed to persuade Mr. Bush to agree to a doubling of
aid to Africa, to $25 billion, from the world's richest nations, or to
close the gap with the administration on policy toward climate change.
Mr. Blair has cited the two areas as top foreign policy priorities.

Mr. Bush defended his decision not to join with Mr. Blair by
repeatedly saying that the United States has already tripled aid to
Africa to $3.2 billion during his administration. But he promised,
"We'll do more down the road." The United States has one of the lowest
levels of aid among developed countries in the share of national
income it gives, or 16 cents to each $100.

Mr. Bush and Mr. Blair also appeared far apart on the issue of global
warming - "I think everyone knows there are different perspectives on
this issues," the prime minister acknowledged - as the president
sidestepped a question about whether climate change was man-made.
Instead Mr. Bush reiterated his longstanding position that the
development of new technology was the best way to reduce emissions of
heat-trapping gases.

Such differences were pushed aside in the public formalities of the
news conference, where the two leaders seemed happy to have survived
their re-elections after the war in Iraq.

"Glad you're here," Mr. Bush said to Mr. Blair. "Congratulations on
your great victory. It was a landmark victory, and I'm really thrilled
to be able to work with you to be able to spread freedom and peace
over the next years."

The two expressed common ground most emphatically on the Downing
Street memo, which was written by Matthew Rycroft, a top aide to Mr.
Blair.

In particular, it reports that Sir Richard Dearlove, the chief of
Britain's Secret Intelligence Service, had been in talks in Washington
and had told other senior British officials that Mr. Bush "wanted to
remove" Mr. Hussein "through military action, justified by the
conjunction of terrorism and W.M.D.," or weapons of mass destruction.

"But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy,"
Sir Richard was reported in the memo to have told his colleagues.

Since the disclosure by The Sunday Times, 89 Democrats in the House of
Representatives have written to the White House to ask if the
memorandum accurately reflected the administration's thinking at the
time, eight months before the American-led invasion of Iraq began.
Scott McClellan, the White House press secretary, has said there is
"no need" to respond to the letter.

In his comments at the news conference, Mr. Bush noted of the
memorandum that "they dropped it out in the middle of his race,"
indicating that he thought it had been made public last month to hurt
Mr. Blair's chances for re-election.

Mr. Blair, who spoke frequently about the memorandum during his
campaign, said it was written before the United States and Britain

[osint] Pre-9/11 Missteps By FBI Detailed

2005-06-09 Thread David Bier
Naturally, no one was punished and at least one promoted who choked
off field requests for search warants in the Moussaoui case.

David Bier

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/09/AR2005060902000.html

washingtonpost.com
Pre-9/11 Missteps By FBI Detailed
Report Tells of Missed Chances To Find Hijackers

By Dan Eggen
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, June 10, 2005; A01

The inability to detect the Sept. 11, 2001, hijacking plot amounts to
a "significant failure" by the FBI and was caused in large part by
"widespread and longstanding deficiencies" in the way the agency
handled terrorism and intelligence cases, according to a new report
released yesterday.

In one particularly notable finding, the report by Justice Department
Inspector General Glenn A. Fine concluded that the FBI missed at least
five chances to detect the presence of two of the suicide hijackers --
Nawaf Alhazmi and Khalid Almihdhar -- after they first entered the
United States in early 2000.

"While we do not know what would have happened had the FBI learned
sooner or pursued its investigation more aggressively, the FBI lost
several important opportunities to find Hazmi and Mihdhar before the
September 11 attacks," the report said.

Although many of the missteps surrounding Alhazmi and Almihdhar have
become well known, Fine's report adds significant new details about
the FBI's role in fumbling the case. Previous reports, including the
best-selling tome by the independent Sept. 11 commission, focused more
heavily on the CIA's failure to track the men after a pivotal
terrorist summit meeting in Malaysia.

The FBI said in a statement that it agreed with many of Fine's
conclusions but "has taken substantial steps to address the issues
presented in the report."

"Today, preventing terrorist attacks is the top priority in every FBI
office and division, and no terrorism lead goes unaddressed," the FBI
said. "Stronger centralized management has strengthened
accountability, improved information sharing, facilitated coordination
with outside partners and guided a national counterterrorism strategy."

The 371-page report is the latest in a stream of assessments from
Congress, the Sept. 11 panel and other investigators documenting
serious shortcomings in the performance of various U.S. government
agencies in the months leading up to the hijackings. It also comes
amid a wave of criticism of the FBI in recent months over a scrapped
$170 million software program and its continuing struggle to attract
qualified analysts, translators and other intelligence personnel.

"We believe that widespread and longstanding deficiencies in the FBI's
operations and Counterterrorism Program caused the problems we
described in this report," Fine's investigators wrote, including a
shoddy analytical program, problems sharing intelligence information
and "the lack of priority given to counterterrorism investigations by
the FBI before September 11."

Jamie S. Gorelick, a deputy attorney general in the Clinton
administration who served as a member of the Sept. 11 panel, said the
"litany of reports" documenting FBI problems in recent months "has to
be a wake-up call" for Director Robert S. Mueller III and other FBI
officials.

"I think they believe they have made significant progress, but there
is still quite a bit of work to be done," she said.

Fine's investigation was requested by Mueller shortly after the Sept.
11 attacks, but it has been held up for 11 months over classification
and legal issues. It focuses on three major episodes before the Sept.
11 attacks: the missteps in tracking Alhazmi and Almihdhar, the
failure to connect al Qaeda operative Zacarias Moussaoui to the
hijacking plot, and the handling of a July 2001 memo theorizing that
al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden might be sending operatives to U.S.
flight schools.

Although the memo from Phoenix FBI agent Kenneth Williams was proposed
as "a theory rather than a warning or a threat," the report concludes
that the bureau "failed to fully evaluate, investigate, exploit and
disseminate information related to" the memo because of shortcomings
in the way its analysis and intelligence programs were set up and run.
"Even though it did not contain an immediate warning and was marked
routine, Williams's information and theory warranted strategic
analysis from the FBI," the report says.

Fine's conclusions about Moussaoui are less clear, because most
references to the case have been blacked out by court order. U.S.
District Judge Leonie M. Brinkema, who is presiding over Moussaoui's
prosecution in Alexandria, blocked release of the full report because
of objections from defense attorneys.

Some hints of Fine's conclusions are still evident in the censored
version of the report, however. In one paragrap

[osint] Judges Are Seeking Cover on The Bench

2005-06-10 Thread David Bier
Amidst Republican Congress cuts in judicial protection funding for the
Federal Marshal Service and vicious attacks, some bordering on
incitement, by Republican lawmakers and their religious conservative
allies, it is no wonder that judges are exhibiting a "bunker
mentality." The urge for survival is indemic.

David Bier

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic
le/2005/06/04/AR2005060401507.html

washingtonpost.com
Judges Are Seeking Cover on The Bench
Safety Is Top Concern After Recent Attacks

By David Finkel
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, June 5, 2005; A01

DANVILLE, Ky. -- An unprotected head, an exposed neck and the top few
inches of a judicial robe: That's all that can be seen of Judge Bruce
Petrie as he bunkered down on his bullet-resistant judge's bench,
panic button within reach, armed bailiffs nearby, taking on the first
case of the day.

Two sisters had gotten in a fight, first with words, then with
punches.

"Do you believe this is a fair and accurate representation of the
injuries you sustained?" Petrie asked one of the sisters as he studied
a photograph of some bruises.

It was an utterly routine question -- except this is the year that
being a judge has been anything but ordinary. The number of reported
threats against judges has been increasing. So have verbal and
physical attacks against judges and other court officials, in
courthouses and elsewhere. A judge in Atlanta was gunned down in his
courtroom. In Florida, the state court judge in the Terri Schiavo
right-to-die case had to be put under protective guard. In Chicago,
the husband and mother of a federal judge were gunned down by a man
who had broken into the judge's home to kill her.

"The madness in the shadows of modern life," is how that judge, Joan
H. Lefkow, described these times in a recent congressional hearing
about judicial safety.

Six months ago, Petrie's little courtroom in the center of this pretty
town, on the top floor of a courthouse with a gazebo in its lawn, was
as it always had been. "You would have walked in, taken the elevator
to the third floor and walked into the courtroom and not seen any law
enforcement until the bailiff came in and said, 'All rise,' " Petrie
said.

Then came the arrest of a man who is now charged with Petrie's
attempted murder, the day the shadows extended into Kentucky.
According to authorities, the man was on his way to a hearing in
Petrie's courtroom with an accordion file stuffed with papers, and
that the papers had been hollowed out to conceal two clips of
ammunition and a gun.

"It was just another case to me," Petrie said of the case he was to
hear that day. It was a case about a restraining order, just like the
case this day involving the two sisters, which is why, after asking a
routine question of a woman who has been glaring at her sister, Petrie
is watching carefully as she swivels her head toward him.

"Do what ?" she said, seething.

Petrie, 39, is a judge in Family Court, also known by those who work
in it as Hate Court, and Demonic Relations. The court for divorces and
domestic violence cases, it is a funneling point for such rawness and
heartbreak that when Petrie became a judge, he used part of his
acceptance speech to acknowledge the tenderness of those he would be
judging, saying with sympathy, "There is a lot of sadness that comes
through our courts."

Now, thousands of cases later, he would add anger, a litany of it as
the morning goes on:

"Nobody makes me angry and gets away with it."

"He does have a temper."

"I was gonna fistfight him."

"I was done dirty."

Case after case -- 729 times last year alone -- Petrie is the one to
make a decision that inevitably leaves someone upset. And although
that has always been part of being a judge, the increase in hostile
responses is changing the very nature of American courtrooms. Once
universally accessible, the modern courthouse now features not just
the Kevlar-reinforced benches and panic buttons, but camera monitors,
walk-through magnetometers, X-ray scanners and, just in case all of
those measures fail, "safe" rooms and detailed evacuation plans.

There are guides to making courthouses safer ("Are spectator seats
solidly built and fastened to the floor?" asks one checklist. "Are
public restrooms routinely searched?"), and there are measures to make
judges feel safer, including a recent $12 million congressional
appropriation for federal judges to install alarm systems in their
homes.

"Obviously, had the Lefkow family had such a system at home, this
horror could have been avoided," Joan Lefkow told the Senate Judiciary
Committee when she testified in May. "We judges are grateful beyond
words to this committee and the Congress for authorizing this
appropriation so quickly after this latest tragedy."

In D

[osint] Bush's Optimism On Iraq Debated

2005-06-10 Thread David Bier
"We are just paying a heavy price for mistakes made before," said Sen.
John McCain (R-Ariz.).

"It's dangerous when U.S. officials start to believe their own
propaganda," said David L. Phillips, a former State Department
consultant who worked on Iraq planning but quit in frustration in 2003
and has written a book called "Losing Iraq: Inside the Postwar
Reconstruction Fiasco." "I have no doubt that they genuinely think
that Iraq is a smashing success and a milestone in their forward
freedom strategy. But if you ask Iraqis, they have a different
opinion."


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic
le/2005/06/04/AR2005060401506.html

washingtonpost.com
Bush's Optimism On Iraq Debated
Rosy View in Time Of Rising Violence Revives Criticism

By Jim VandeHei and Peter Baker
Washington Post Staff Writers
Sunday, June 5, 2005; A01

President Bush's portrayal of a wilting insurgency in Iraq at a time
of escalating violence and insecurity throughout the country is
reviving the debate over the administration's Iraq strategy and the
accuracy of its upbeat claims.

While Bush and Vice President Cheney offer optimistic assessments of
the situation, a fresh wave of car bombings and other attacks killed
80 U.S. soldiers and more than 700 Iraqis last month alone and
prompted Iraqi leaders to appeal to the administration for greater
help. Privately, some administration officials have concluded the
violence will not subside through this year.

The disconnect between Rose Garden optimism and Baghdad pessimism,
according to government officials and independent analysts, stems not
only from Bush's focus on tentative signs of long-term progress but
also from the shrinking range of policy options available to him if he
is wrong. Having set out on a course of trying to stand up a new
constitutional, elected government with the security firepower to
defend itself, Bush finds himself locked into a strategy that, even if
it proves successful, foreshadows many more deadly months to come
first, analysts said.

Military commanders in Iraq privately told a visiting congressional
delegation last week that the United States is at least two years away
from adequately training a viable Iraqi military but that it is no
longer reasonable to consider augmenting U.S. troops already strained
by the two-year operation, said Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.).
"The idea that the insurgents are on the run and we are about to turn
the corner, I did not hear that from anybody," Biden said in an
interview.

Rep. Curt Weldon (R-Pa.), who joined Biden for part of the trip, said
Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld and others are misleading
Americans about the number of functional Iraqi troops and warned the
president to pay more attention to shutting off Syrian and Iranian
assistance to the insurgency. "We don't want to raise the expectations
of the American people prematurely," he said.

After dialing down criticism of Bush's policy following the successful
January elections in Iraq, congressional Democrats are increasingly
challenging the president's decisions and public assessments, and
developing alternative policy ideas. "The administration has failed to
level with the American people," said Senate Minority Leader Harry M.
Reid (D-Nev.). "It's terrible because they refuse to provide a full
picture of what is really happening there."

Reid traveled to Iraq in April and was confined to heavily fortified
zones in and around Baghdad and prohibited from visiting some of the
most troubled areas where the insurgency is particularly strong. "The
place is in turmoil," he said. Since then, Reid said, he has been
meeting with former Clinton administration officials in an effort to
devise a new Iraq plan, including the possibility of calling for more
U.S. troops and requesting additional international assistance.

The White House says the focus on recent killings overshadows
substantial long-term progress in Iraq, where the January elections
allowed the United States to turn over more control for security to
the Iraqis and set the stage for a new constitution to be written and
approved this fall. Once that happens, White House officials say, a
democratically elected Iraqi government protected by a better trained
and equipped Iraqi military will hold off what remains of the
insurgency and gradually allow U.S. forces to withdraw. Iraq's recent
decision to put 40,000 troops around Baghdad, the most ambitious
military move yet by the two-month-old government, proves that the
U.S. plan to eventually turn over peacekeeping duties is not only
viable, but working, White House officials maintain. Bush and Cheney,
however, continue to decline to set deadlines for how long U.S. troops
will remain.

"I am pleased that in less than a year's time, there's a
democratically elected government in Iraq, there are thousands of Iraq
soldiers trained and better equipped to fight for their own country
[and] that our strategy is very clear," Bush said during a Rose Garden
new

[osint] Baghdad And Bust

2005-06-10 Thread David Bier
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic
le/2005/06/04/AR2005060400119.html

washingtonpost.com
Baghdad And Bust
Small-Business Owners Defending America Are Losing Their Shirts

By Amy Joyce
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, June 5, 2005; F01

Stanley Adams spent more than 30 years building up his business. But
he had just days to decide what to do with his thriving livestock
trailer companies when he was activated for duty in Iraq in April
2003.

"My wife didn't have a clue. I had to cram-course her and my daughter
in a day and a half," said Adams, 52, who had applied to retire from
the National Guard six months before he was called up.

While he was in Iraq, his wife had to shut down one of the Montgomery,
Ala., companies, and the other one barely made it. Adams's revenue
dwindled from $1.5 million in 2002 to just $250,000 in 2003.

"I had over a million dollars' worth of trailers here. Everything came
to a halt, and all this money still had to be paid," he said.

Self-employed reservists and small-business owners who are called to
duty run into problems other reservists don't. Most employees' jobs
are protected by the Uniformed Services Employment and Reemployment
Rights Act (USERRA) when they are called to duty. But small-business
owners like Adams have little support to help them save companies they
have labored to build.

"When you get mobilized in the National Guard, they go through to make
sure you have power of attorneys, all your affairs are in order, you
have insurance, make sure your wife knows what to do. They tell you
about the Soldiers' and Sailors' act [which protects reservists called
up from eviction and provides some debt relief]. That's all real good
if you're not an owner of a business," Adams said. "But it doesn't
affect business credit cards or business loans or business notes."

Many small-business owners who must leave their companies behind,
often at a moment's notice, have no plan for managing the business, or
for a partner to take over. As a result, they find themselves deeply
in debt or forced to shut down while they serve their country. Some
businesses never recover.

"USERRA doesn't really cover self-employment, and so there is no
protection per se," said Maj. Robert Palmer, Air Force Reservist and
public affairs officer for Employer Support of the Guard and Reserve,
a Department of Defense agency. "Obviously, mobilization can be
catastrophic to someone who is self-employed or a small-business
owner. There's no question that it's a huge challenge. A reservist who
is self-employed or owns his or her own small business has to
calculate the risk."

Some lawmakers have attempted to bring attention to the situation.

Rep. Tom Lantos (D-Calif.) introduced a bill in the House in February
-- a Senate version was introduced last month -- that would provide
for tax credits for employers who lose key employees to active duty,
including themselves.

A small-business owner could be eligible for up to $42,000 in tax
credits under the Lantos bill.

But that's no help to those who have been called up during recent
conflicts.

Robert Kalb, an orthopedic surgeon in Toledo, has been a Navy
reservist since 1999 and was called to duty about nine months ago. "I
had a lot of friends injured and killed in Vietnam, and I thought,
it's a huge sacrifice people make and you have to do your part," he
said. However, he didn't expect his sacrifice to include the
possibility of losing his medical practice.

Kalb, deployed to Camp Lejeune in North Carolina, was told he would be
gone "for a year or two."

"The experience has been extremely difficult," Kalb, 53, said. First
he had to inform patients who had been waiting for surgery that he
couldn't operate.Then he tried to find other surgeons to take over his
patients' care. Kalb had 10 days to get everything in order.

"When you are in the military, you have no relief from your
obligations to continue to pay your lease for your office, your
equipment, and you have to continue to maintain staff to complete the
transfer of care, provide medical records and take care of the
patients' business," he said.

So far, Kalb estimates, he has lost more than $500,000 and is digging
himself deeper into debt every day.

Because he will be gone for longer than three months, he will have to
reapply for reinstatement to the hospitals where he performed
surgeries. It will take two to four months before he can receive
credentials to practice again, while he continues to pay $70,000 a
year for malpractice insurance.

The experience has forced him to make a major decision about his
future -- and it doesn't include the military. "When I get relieved of
my activation status, I'm going to return to private practice and pick
up and rebuild, because I have the loans to pay back and can't afford
to pay those back if I stay in the military," he said. Deployments in
the past few years have been longer than in previous eras because of
the war on terrorism and the Iraq war. Tr

[osint] Trial to Reveal Reach Of U.S. Surveillance

2005-06-10 Thread David Bier
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic
le/2005/06/04/AR2005060401319.html

washingtonpost.com
Trial to Reveal Reach Of U.S. Surveillance
Wiretaps to Be Used Against 4 Terrorism Suspects

By John Mintz
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, June 5, 2005; A03

For a decade, FBI agents covertly monitored every telephone call and
fax sent and received by Florida university professor Sami al-Arian as
he communicated with alleged top leaders of the Palestinian Islamic
Jihad terrorist group about its suicide bombings of Israelis, shaky
finances and high-level turf struggles.

Starting tomorrow, many of those 20,000 hours of phone calls and
hundreds of faxes will be revealed in a federal courtroom in Tampa,
where al-Arian and three other alleged members of the terrorist group
will be tried on charges of conspiracy to commit murder through
suicide attacks in Israel and the Palestinian territories.

The trial, expected to last at least six months, will provide a rare
view of what the government contends are the clandestine operations of
a terrorist group. It is the first case in which vast amounts of
communications monitored under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance
Act (FISA) will make up the bulk of the evidence in a criminal
prosecution of alleged terrorists -- demonstrating the enormous power
the government now wields under that counterterrorism law.

The wiretaps, approved in 1993 through 2003 on as many as 10 phones by
a secret FISA court, were originally intended for use only by FBI
agents conducting open-ended "intelligence" probes, and not for use in
criminal trials. But after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, the enactment
of the USA Patriot Act and a ruling by the supersecret FISA court of
appeals allowed much greater use of intelligence material in
investigations such as this one.

Many civil liberties experts express grave concern about U.S.
officials' introduction into criminal court of years of wiretaps
approved by FISA judges under a lower standard of proof than that
demanded by criminal-court judges. But U.S. District Judge James Moody
has rejected defense attorneys' arguments that the information should
not be heard in court.

Using FISA wiretaps in court is "a serious problem" that puts
defendants at a disadvantage, said David Cole, a Georgetown University
expert on the law related to terrorism. "Unlike with criminal
wiretaps, FISA doesn't give defendants any meaningful chance to
challenge the validity of the tap."

U.S. officials say al-Arian and three associates who worked with him
at a cluster of institutes affiliated with the University of South
Florida (USF) in Tampa were secretly top leaders of the Palestinian
Islamic Jihad, sharing duties with other leaders in Syria.

Attorneys for al-Arian, a USF professor of computer engineering until
he was fired in 2003, and the other defendants contend that their
clients do not condone the terrorist group's violent tactics, and that
U.S. prosecutors are criminalizing their opposition to Israeli
policies. The U.S. government declared the Palestinian Islamic Jihad a
terrorist organization in 1995, making any association with it
illegal. Defense attorneys have said that any promotion of the
organization by al-Arian and others before then was protected
political speech.

"The government has a major leap trying to connect people talking on
the phone in Tampa, and doing fundraising, with bombs exploding in
Israel 6,600 miles away," said lawyer Stephen Bernstein, who
represents defendant Sameeh Taha Hammoudeh, a former USF student. "The
government is trying to say, 'If you have an interest in a subject,
and if you talk about it with other people, then you must have been
involved in it.' "

Moody has also ruled that he will limit defense attorneys' efforts to
bring up during the trial the history of the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict in their bid to dramatize the Palestinians' plight and their
right to resist what they see as Israeli oppression. The defense
asserts that the U.S. government has embraced the Israeli government's
intelligence findings on the Palestinian Islamic Jihad and that the
group represents no threat to the United States.

Lawyer Kevin Beck, who represents defendant Hatim Naji Fariz, manager
of an Illinois-based Muslim charity, said there will be clashes in
court over "the context and meaning of some conversations," including
some in which he said officials unfairly assert the defendants spoke
in code about the terrorist group. The prosecutors' case "is built on
assumption built on assumption built on assumption, with some
hearsay," he said.

The Palestinian Islamic Jihad, founded in Egypt in 1979 and largely
funded by Iran, has devoted itself to two missions: the destruction of
Israel and the creation of a Muslim Palestinian state. The group is
bitterly opposed to peace talks between Israel and the Palestinians
and has often stepped up attacks when talks show promise. It has also
targeted sites symbolic of coexistence, such as a Haifa

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