Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 15, 2005, at 9:09 PM, Dave Land wrote:
I didn't say that they *are* getting their instructions from Jesus,  
only
that *they* believe so, and act as though they had that authority.

You may disagree. I suspect it is the case.
Bush seems to believe in some kind of phantasmal effect...
I love the fact that people pray for me and my family all around the  
country. Somebody asked me one time, how do you know? I said I just  
feel it.

Or there's this:
I believe that God wants me to be president.
http://www.beliefnet.com/story/149/story_14930_1.html
Or then there's this:
'According to Abbas, immediately thereafter Bush said: God told me to  
strike at al Qaida and I struck them, and then he instructed me to  
strike at Saddam, which I did, and now I am determined to solve the  
problem in the Middle East. If you help me I will act, and if not, the  
elections will come and I will have to focus on them.'

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/pages/ShArt.jhtml? 
itemNo=310788contrassID=2subContrassID=1sbSubContrassID=0listSrc=Y

==
I don't think it matters what the rest of the administration thinks  
when the CinC is listening to voices in his head.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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RE: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Andrew Paul

JDG wrote:
 
 At 11:27 PM 5/11/2005 +1000, Andrew Paul wrote:
 Are you of the opinion that American Foreign Policy is always led by
 selfless morality,
 or are there times when they too stoop to the level of the scummy
French
 or the sneaky, dirty
 Germans, and do things where the self interest of the USA outweighs
the
 moral thing to do?
 
 I would say that American Foreign Policy is almost always led by
America's
 self-interest, and that there are only a few rare instances of
American
 Foreign Policy being typified by selfless morality.
 

OK, well we agree on that. And that is not a bad thing, it is America's
duty to look after its own self interest. And of the world's countries,
I think the rare instances are more likely in America's case than in
most.

Andrew


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RE: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Andrew Paul
Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
 --- Andrew Paul [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Gautam, why is it that only other countries have
  self-interested
  agendas?
  Is it possible that now and then, America does too?
  I think it is, and
  that's why I think it is worthwhile getting a second
  opinion.
 
 No, the question is the exact opposite.  Why is it
 that you claim that it's _only_ America that acts only
 in its self-interest, and everyone else gets a pass?

Point out where I said that. No one else gets a free pass.

 We constantly hear about war for oil or what not in
 the US's case, when there's no logical connection
 there.

Look, I am not a War for Oil theorist, not in a direct sense, but you
can't deny that if Saddam was a dictator in some oil-free tinpot African
state, we would not be having this conversation, cos he would still be
in power.

 But when there _is_ a connection between
 corruption and self-interest and nations that _oppose_
 the United States - not a word.  Other countries -
 Britain, for example - do sometimes act in ways that
 are not purely self-interested.  That's why you have
 to analyze each case.  Now, in the Sudan, we have a
 case of genocide going on where the US is saying
 Let's try to do something.  And France is saying
 There's no genocide here.  Now one of those two
 countries has massive oil contracts with the Sudanese
 government.  I leave you to guess which one.  And
 which one is more likely to be acting for selfish
 reasons.
 

Umm, and after the US intervention, I will leave you to guess who would
have 'new' massive oil contracts with the 'new' Sudanese government.

  Perhaps that is what you believe. I don't know. I
  like America, but I
  don't think it is perfect.
 
 You have a funny way of showing it.  You know, I
 constantly hear, I like America from people who
 never have anything good to say about it and who
 oppose everything it does in the world - particularly
 when they are the _beneficiaries_ of what it does in
 the world.  You'll forgive me if the simple statement
 doesn't quite convince me one way or the other.
 

Well, that is your choice. I would not even be arguing about this if I
did not feel strongly about freedom and democracy, of which America is a
great champion. 

And how am I supposed to show it? By slavish adoration of every action
America takes? That's not democracy, or freedom. 
Right now we are debating something about which I disagree with the
actions taken by the Bush Administration. So, well, sorry if I don't
sound grateful enough but that will be because I ain't. Does that make
sense? I am arguing because I disagree, not because I am some dullard
whose knees jerk automatically every time I hear America mentioned.

 
  To use an argument style that really peed me off,
  does this inability to
  intervene in Darfur because the US is stretched out
  in Iraq, mean that
  support for the Iraq war is functionally, tacit
  approval of the
  slaughter in Darfur?
 
  I Was Shocked Too Maru
 
  Andrew
 
 Well the argument probably peed you off because it's
 _true_.  People said Don't invade Iraq.  And we said
 That will leave Saddam Hussein in power.  And they
 said, Don't invade Iraq.  And we said The _only
 way_ to remove Saddam Hussein from power is to invade
 Iraq.  and that statement is true, and hasn't been
 refuted by anyone on the list, and can't be refuted,
 because it is, in fact, a true statement. 

No, it can't be refuted because it is, in fact, too late to try any
other approach.

 Maybe you
 don't care.  Maybe you think removing Saddam isn't
 worth the cost.  But you can't say that opposing the
 invasion wasn't functionally a stand in favor of
 Saddam remaining in power, _because it was_.
 

In part it's your use of terms that peed me off. You use the term, a
stand in favour, implying that I liked Saddam, that I favoured him.
I did't, and never have. Opposing the invasion, was, surprisingly
enough, opposing the invasion. As a consequence, he may have stayed in
power, I accept that, but I did not favour him.

Andrew



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A very nice futurist scenario about news

2005-05-16 Thread d.brin
 1. A colleague pointed me to this intriguing website, which features 
a look at media history from the vantage point of the year 2014. 
http://www.robinsloan.com/epic/(Need I mention that every bit of 
this was forecast in a little novel called EARTH?)

2. Fight the big lie of the periodic table!   
http://photos9.flickr.com/12560931_6246357501_b.jpg

3. Offered without comment: http://www.theonion.com/news/index.php?issue=4119
4. www.zabasearch.com= find yourself or anyone else for free, 
your date of birth and a satellite photo of where you live. A 
complete background check costs money, but anyone can access it. 
Interesting, and maybe a bit scary, but actually surprising how long 
it took to come about.

5. Interesting article comparing tolerant America with the Umayad 
renaissance in Andalusia that ended a thousand years ago because of 
surging waves of sanctimonious intolerance. 
http://www.theglobalist.com/DBWeb/StoryId.aspx?StoryId=3130

6.  And Stefan suggests:  Look quick before eBay pulls this!
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItemcategory=15154item=4992718459rd=1
-
Finally, I recently shared with some of you one paranoid scenario - 
by a friend of mine - suggesting that the social security initiative, 
combined with frantic denial of climate change and depletion of oil 
stocks, can all be neatly explained by a plan to create a vast pool 
of greater fools to buy up dog stocks before the fit hits the shan. 
(After all, the deniers of climate change and resource depletion 
aren't ACTUALLY stupid.  They must have a reason.  This one fits.

Some of you have also heard MY crackpot theory - that this 
administration's list of assertive actions seem NOT to suit the needs 
of their official home constituencies - or even the insatiable wing 
of the American aristocracy.  If you list everything, the only TOTAL 
beneficiaries are members of a certain foreign royal house.

Are these notions crazy?
One problem we face is that OUR friends are mostly members of the 
Enlightenment, or what a neocon inside the White House once 
derisively called the reality-based community.(For an excerpt 
from the Suskind interview see 
http://www.theonion.com/news/index.php?issue=4119 )

Problem is that such people (Enlightenment modernists like people we 
generally hang around with) do not viscerally approve of conspiracy 
theories. And rightly so!  99% of conspiracy theories are just plain 
dumb and the 1% that have some degree of plausibility are often 
exaggerated out of all usefulness.  Indeed, this is a deeply cultural 
thing. The bazaars in macho-belt countries are rife with silly 
conspiracies like the west wants to spread polio, that harm us 
immensely in the memic struggle for a better world.  You and I know 
that isn't the way adults should behave.

So what do we do in an era when several conspiracies do actually seem 
to be (1) plausible, (2) feasible, (3) match all visible evidence, 
and (4) fit the character and motives of the people in power? 
Reality-based modernists are at a huge disadvantage in conceptually 
being ABLE to detect what used to be normal in most other cultures --

-- that is, conspiratorial collusion by society's leader-caste, using 
their position in order to cheat and manipulate the system (sometimes 
in conjunction with hostile foreign powers) in order to screw the 
masses.

Even typing those words felt turgid, immature, rash, even kooky...
...and yet, history inarguably shows that's exactly what happened in 
most human societies, a majority of the time!  That we would dismiss 
the possibility of a recurrence of such behavior, when all branches 
of governance have been taken over by a single clade of elite 
rationalizers - the same clade that showed their trustworthiness in 
the SL Scandal, Enron, the Accounting Scandal, etc. - shows how 
desperately accustomed we have become to being able to trust in the 
modernist agenda.

An agenda that is under attack as we speak.
Do I actually believe these two particular paranoid scenarios?  Only 
tentatively.  As a scientist, what I REALLY want is to put them to 
experimental test.  There are easy ways to check out both theories... 
and as far as I can see, these confidence building measures have been 
relentlessly prevented, adding fuel to a smoldering suspicion.
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan M.

- Original Message - 
From: Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Saturday, May 14, 2005 9:15 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


 Gautam, et al,

 I'm writing to retract my previous message. I reject your
 categorization of me as being out of the mainstream. Moreover, I found
 your message a little short on what I'll call intellectual honesty.

 First, you admittedly pulled your numbers out of your ... um ... head,
 whereas this thread was discussing *actual* numbers from a poll that
 has been conducted for 15 years by the Pew Research Center. Guess which
 ones I consider to have more weight?

 Second, your four groups of 20% are skewed to the right. Why didn't you
 have five groups:

 Very Conservative 20%
   Conservative 20%
   Moderate 20%
Liberal 20%
   Very Liberal 20%
 -- Source: My Ass

 Using the above categories, which at least provide a centered spectrum,
 feel free to provide your own numbers.

 Third, I don't understand why your four categories only added up to
 80%, leaving out 20% of the population. Do you think that the opinions
 of 20% of Americans don't count, or that 20% don't have any opinions?
 That is certainly heading in the direction of at least one finding in
 the Pew report: 63% of respondents feel that Most elected officials
 don't care what people like me think.

 Perhaps your story would be better served with these groupings (with no
 bullshit numbers): Extremely Conservative, Very Conservative,
 Moderately Conservative, Mildly Conservative, Lunatic Fringe.

 Returning to meaningful results of an actual poll, the categories and
 percentages under discussion are:

 Right-leaning:
  Enterprisers  9%
  Social Conservatives 11%
 Pro-Government Conservatives  9%

 Centrist/Unaffiliated:
   Upbeats 11%
  Disaffecteds  9%
Bystanders 10%

 Left-leaning:
Conservative Democrats 14%
   Disadvantaged Democrats 10%
  Liberals 17%

 As you can see, the Liberals *as defined by the Pew report* are the
 largest bloc. The mainstream, one might say.

 For the three general groupings that the Pewsters created, the
 percentages are:

 Right-leaning 29%
 Centrist/Neither 30%
  Left-leaning 41%

Well, that is very curious, since self-identification has long given
different results.  For example, the Harris poll asks people to identify
themselves as liberal, moderate, or conservative.  The results have been:


Year  C  M  L
2003 33 40 18
2002 35 40 17
2001 36 40 19
2000 35 40 18
1999 37 39 18
1998 37 40 19
1997 37 40 19
1996 38 41 19
1995 40 40 16
1992 36 42 18
1991 37 41 18
1990 38 41 18
1989 37 42 17
1988 38 39 18
1987 37 39 19
1986 37 39 18
1985 37 40 17
1984 35 39 18
1983 36 40 18
1982 36 40 18
1981 38 40 17
1980 35 41 18
1979 35 39 20
1978 34 39 17
1977 30 42 17
1976 31 40 18
1975 30 38 18
1974 30 43 15
1972 31 36 20
1968 37 31 17

Among other things, it's a amazing to lump folks who call themselves
conservatives among liberals. The questions sound kinda funny.  It doesn't
add to 100% because everyone doesn't self-identify.

Dan M.
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Sun, 15 May 2005 12:11:23 -0400, JDG wrote

 First of all, that is not what Dave Land proposed.   He proposed 
 that 17% was the mainstream.

It seems that we differ with respect to our understanding of what Dave might 
have meant.  I'd rather not assume that either one of is correct until we hear 
from Dave, as he may not have found the right words for what he was trying to 
convey.

 Secondly, it appears that the Pew Report rather arbitrarily grouped things
 into threes.   If one considers Conservative Democrats to be part 
 of the Moderate/Centrist bloc, the analysis changes quite dramatically.

I interpreted as a continuum in which the order is significant to the point 
where the rearrangement you propose would be nonsense.

 I'm sure that much of it has to do prioritizing key issues.   For 
 example, many people would never vote for a pro-segregation 
 candidate or a pro-baby-killing candidate, regardless of the 
 candidates' views on other issues.   On the other hand, I know that 
 if an election were held in 2002, I would probably have voted for a 
 pro-choice pro-Iraq-war candidate over a pro-life anti-Iraq-war 
 candidate.   So, in that sense, I would have voted for a candidate 
 with whom I very fundamentally disagreed.

Is it fair to say, then, that you believe that the Pew study asked the wrong 
questions to describe the basis on which people have voted in recent 
elections?  If so, I'd be curious to hear what kind of questions might have 
more accurately done so... and if you're aware of any polls or surveys that 
come closer, I'd love to see the results.

As I said earlier, the survey at hand doesn't seem to do much toward getting 
past the usual political dimensions, so I'm open to seeing more realistic 
ones.  Otherwise, I think we're stuck with the same old ideologies.

Nick
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Re: A dependable safety net (was Re: Social Security)

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Sun, 15 May 2005 14:40:55 -0400, JDG wrote

 Secondly, Social Security has no investments, so that's a bit of a 
 non sequitur.

I wrote bout investments in *people*.  Surely you wouldn't disagree that 
Social Security is an investment in people?

 Thirdly, Social Security it is inaccurate to describe Social 
 Security as merely an investment in today's needy people.   

Oh, look, you don't disagree.

 After 
 all, Bill Gates is going to get a Social Security check.   Moreover, 
 Social Security provides some *increased* benefits based on having 
 worked longer, or worked for higher wages, which I would expect to 
 be inversely correlated to need.

I didn't say it was a need-based program.  But it is a primary safety net for 
our neediest people.  For example... I just received a message saying that one 
of my friends, the youth pastor at a large church, died yesterday.  He leaves 
a wife and four kids.  The last time I saw him, five months ago, he was 
leading the funeral for another friend who died leaving seven kids and a 
pregnant wife.  These widows and their children are examples of people for who 
Social Security is the primary safety net -- and it isn't even much. 

 Lastly, your position as described above would lead to the logical
 conclusion that one should not save so long as there are needy 
 people - that that money would be better spend on charity than on savings.

Reductio ad absurdum!  Have I said one word against saving?  

The two places I've spent most of my life are Pittsburgh and Silicon Valley, 
which were centers of manufacturing.  I saw the mills close in the former and 
semiconductor fabs largely disappear from the latter, with those businesses 
and their jobs go oversears.  The best understanding of why that happened is 
that our failure to save, as a nation, has made capital far less expensive in 
places with high personal savings rates, such as Japan.

Our reponse has been to encourage other nations to stimulate consumption, to 
increase their cost of capital, rather than encouraging savings in our 
country, to decrease our own cost of capital.  I think that stinks.  
Consumerism is out of control.

So, while I am in favor of encouraging savings, which would strength our 
financial foundations, I don't favor taking money out of the Social Security 
safety net to do so.

 The question is:
 Should the government construct policies such that as few people as
 possible need the safety net.

What does that have to do with how dependable the safety net is?  If there 
were only ten people who needed it, but it wasn't there for some of them, then 
we're not being good stewards of the neediest.

Nick
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Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American Political Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Sun, 15 May 2005 13:04:29 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda wrote

 In particular, the categories are not continuous,
 obviously enough.  

Again with the tubular cured meat.

Left, middle and right are not continuous!  At what center are the centrists? 
What are the middle-of-the-road people in the middle of?  

From the report:

The Republican Party's current advantage with the center makes up for the 
fact that the GOP-oriented groups, when taken together, account for only 29% 
of the public. By contrast, the three Democratic groups constitute 41% of the 
public.

And:

At the other end of the political spectrum, Liberals have swelled to become 
the largest voting bloc in the typology. Liberals are opponents of an 
assertive foreign policy, strong supporters of environmental protection, and 
solid backers of government assistance to the poor. 

This affluent, well-educated, highly secular group is consistently liberal on 
social issues, ranging from freedom of expression to abortion. In contrast, 
Conservative Democrats are quite religious, socially conservative and take 
more moderate positions on several key foreign policy questions. The group is 
older, and includes many blacks and Hispanics; of all the core Democratic 
groups, it has strongest sense of personal empowerment.

And:

Taken together, the three Democratic groups make up a larger share of 
registered voters than do the three Republican groups (44% vs. 33%).

And how about this one?

Nearly two-thirds of Americans (64%) have a favorable opinion of Bill 
Clinton, the highest positive rating of 11 political figures tested. Six-in-
ten have a favorable opinion of former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and 
about the same number have a positive view of Sen. John McCain (59%).

Who is mainstream, according to this report?  Who, Gautam

Nick

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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American Political Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Who is mainstream, according to this report?  Who,
 Gautam
 
 Nick

Not you, Nick.  Most Americans don't think God has an
opinion on marginal tax rates, and most of those who
do don't share yours.  I am comfortable with my own
position as pretty near the median voter.  Could you
even _find_ the median voter?

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 This does not appear to be the case. People often
 vote *against* their
 self-interest. This conundrum appears to be resolved
 by the
 understanding that people vote their identities, not
 their interests.
 The Republican party did a superior job in the past
 election of
 appealing to the middle in this way.
 
 Dave

This is true _only_ if you are so arrogant that you
believe you understand people's self interest better
than they do.  Thomas Hobbes had something to say
about that centuries ago.  It wasn't true then that
elites could (or would) understand most people's self
interest better than they did, and it isn't true now. 
Maybe they _do_ vote their self interest, and you just
don't understand what their self interest is.  I know
which one seems more likely to me.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 You persist in making personal attacks on me.
 
 Knock it off.
 
 Dave

You persist in being a jackass.  Why don't _you_ knock
it off?  I'm still pissed at being maliciously quoted
out of context, forget about being accused of a lack
of intellectual honesty by someone who (as far as I
can tell) couldn't find it with a map.  So why don't
you remove your head from your ass, and then I'll stop
pointing out it's up there?

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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RE: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Andrew Paul [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam Mukunda wrote:
  No, the question is the exact opposite.  Why is it
  that you claim that it's _only_ America that acts
 only
  in its self-interest, and everyone else gets a
 pass?
 
 Point out where I said that. No one else gets a free
 pass.

Really?  Then when did you mention the behavior of
other countries, which are clearly acting for reasons
of corruption or avarice, with far better evidence
than anything for the US.  Where did you mention this
_even once_, in between your heated condemnations of -
as far as I can tell - anything and everything the US
does in the world?

 Look, I am not a War for Oil theorist, not in a
 direct sense, but you
 can't deny that if Saddam was a dictator in some
 oil-free tinpot African
 state, we would not be having this conversation, cos
 he would still be
 in power.

You're not?  Yet below you make the most facile of War
for Oil arguments about the Sudan, of all places. 
That's remarkable.  At any rate, so what?  Oil is
power.  A state with oil is more important than one
without oil, all other things being equal.  Your point
has relevance if and only if you believe that force
can be used only when it is irrelevant to, or actually
opposed to, the national interest.

 Umm, and after the US intervention, I will leave you
 to guess who would
 have 'new' massive oil contracts with the 'new'
 Sudanese government.

Gee, Andrew, do you _think_ this might be why I don't
believe you when you claim not to be anti-American? 
Do you seriously want to claim that helping in
genocide (France, Russia, China) and trying to stop
genocide (the US) are the same thing, morally?  I
guess being saved by Americans is worse than being
killed by someone else, or something?  If you're not a
War for Oil theorist, then this is a pretty crazy
argument.  If you are, it still is, but at least it's
consistent.

  You have a funny way of showing it.  You know, I
  constantly hear, I like America from people who
  never have anything good to say about it and who
  oppose everything it does in the world -
 particularly
  when they are the _beneficiaries_ of what it does
 in
  the world.  You'll forgive me if the simple
 statement
  doesn't quite convince me one way or the other.
  
 
 Well, that is your choice. I would not even be
 arguing about this if I
 did not feel strongly about freedom and democracy,
 of which America is a
 great champion. 

Ah yes, the rote statement.  You just think, though,
that in the Sudan we're trying to stop a genocide
because of the oil there.  It couldn't possibly be
because _we think genocide is bad_.
 
 And how am I supposed to show it? 

Well, looking at the Sudan and saying, Gee, I prefer
the people who are trying to stop the genocide to the
people who are trying to help it, even though the
people who are trying to stop it are Americans would
be a start. 


 No, it can't be refuted because it is, in fact, too
 late to try any other approach.

Since no one has suggested anything that even vaguely
resembles another approach with any sort of reasonable
possibility of success, this is pointless.  You can't
oppose something with nothing.  You can't say, I want
to get rid of Saddam but I want to do it without war. 
Well, I want the tooth fairy to do it, but since that
isn't happening, let's try something that might work.
 Opposing the invasion, was,
 surprisingly
 enough, opposing the invasion. 

And opposing genocide is, surprisingly enough,
opposing genocide, except when the US does it, right?

As a consequence, he
 may have stayed in
 power, I accept that, but I did not favour him.
 
 Andrew

Well, that's more honest than some people.  No one
said you favored him.  That's the difference between
saying that's what you wanted, and that's the _effect_
of what you wanted.  If you choose an action, you
choose the consequences of that action.  You can't
separate them, however much you want to.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Sunday, May 15, 2005 11:16 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today



 On May 15, 2005, at 9:07 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

  At 10:59 AM Sunday 5/15/2005, Nick Arnett wrote:
 
  How does one go about persuading people to vote for candidates with
  whom
  they fundamentally disagree?  Politics is quite mysterious.
 
 
  Perhaps it's because so often when people get to the polls they hold
  their noses and vote for the least objectionable of the available
  choices or the one they think is likely to either do the most for them
  personally or at least to do the least to harm them?

 This does not appear to be the case. People often vote *against* their
 self-interest. This conundrum appears to be resolved by the
 understanding that people vote their identities, not their interests.
 The Republican party did a superior job in the past election of
 appealing to the middle in this way.


Isn't there a simpler explanation?  Conservative Democrats are people who
are traditional Democrats, based on families, etc., but are actually
conservative.  Thus, they identify themselves as Democrats but often do
vote Republican based on their views of the issues.  The old yellow dog
Democrats in Texas, for example, were often very conservative.

With all due respect, this type of analysis, when not cross checked by
other techniques, can yield the results that are desired, instead of the
results that are accurate.  I think Gautam has overstated the present
conservative numbers, but conservatives do appear to outnumber liberals by
about 2 to 1.

IMHO, staring at what empirical information that is available and trying
hard to fit it with rough models is one of the best ways to get beyond
ideology.  Indeed, one could even do this to determine who has been able to
find common ground across the political spectrum most and find out what
techniques were used.

I fear, though, that getting around ideology is a liberal coping mechanism
for denying the fact that liberals need to retool and rethink their ideas
in light of the last 40 years of experience.

Dan M.


Dan M.


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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American Political Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 09:00:12 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda wrote

 Not you, Nick.  Most Americans don't think God has an
 opinion on marginal tax rates, and most of those who
 do don't share yours.  

When you write stuff like this, as if I'm another God-in-my-back-pocket 
prosperity-Gospel preacher, I'm pissed off.  I'm angry when I hear you 
misrepresenting ideas that are very important to me, life and death issues.

I'm certain that you know you are way out of line.

Nick
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 11:34:35 -0500, Dan Minette wrote

 Isn't there a simpler explanation?  Conservative Democrats are 
 people who are traditional Democrats, based on families, etc., but 
 are actually conservative.  Thus, they identify themselves as 
 Democrats but often do vote Republican based on their views of the 
 issues.  The old yellow dog Democrats in Texas, for example, were 
 often very conservative.

How can you reconcile this explanation with the data at hand?

The Republican Party's current advantage with the center makes up for the 
fact that the GOP-oriented groups, when taken together, account for only 29% 
of the public. By contrast, the three Democratic groups constitute 41% of the 
public.

This was from about self-identification. It was about core beliefs.

Here are the self-identification numbers:

Taken together, the three Democratic groups make up a larger share of 
registered voters than do the three Republican groups (44% vs. 33%).

Poll after poll shows that a vast gap between the popularity of conservative 
politicians and the popularity of their politics.  What will it take to debunk 
the myth that conservative politics and policies are popular?  What will it 
take for people to care more about their politics?

Nick
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Re: Is Iraq better off? (was Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons)

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/15/05, JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 At 07:34 PM 5/12/2005 -0700,Nick Arnett wrote:
  Again, Nick, after all, Saddam Hussein's regime was one of the 5
  worst regimes on Earth.
 
 Whose ranking?
 
 I said one of the top 5, because I think that it would be difficult to
 place Saddam Hussein's Iraq lower than 5 among the worst regimes on Earth.
 I'm not going to argue with anyone who says that the DPRK or Zimbabwe
 is/are worse. After that, Iraq is in a mix with places like Turkmenistan,
 Myanmar, the Central African Republic, Togo, and Sudan. I think you'd
 be straining to place all of those as worse than Iraq, though, so Top 5
 is about right.
 

I could agree he was in the top 20. There are awful places that don't make 
American news and many of which Bush is embracing.
-- 
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/16/05, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 --- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  You persist in making personal attacks on me.
 
  Knock it off.
 
  Dave
 
 You persist in being a jackass. Why don't _you_ knock
 it off? I'm still pissed at being maliciously quoted
 out of context, forget about being accused of a lack
 of intellectual honesty by someone who (as far as I
 can tell) couldn't find it with a map. So why don't
 you remove your head from your ass, and then I'll stop
 pointing out it's up there?
 
 Gautam Mukunda
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Freedom is not free
 http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
 

Way off his meds today and getting way out of line.

-- 
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Dave Land
On May 16, 2005, at 10:04 AM, Gary Denton wrote:
On 5/16/05, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
You persist in making personal attacks on me.
Knock it off.
Dave
You persist in being a jackass. Why don't _you_ knock
it off? I'm still pissed at being maliciously quoted
out of context, forget about being accused of a lack
of intellectual honesty by someone who (as far as I
can tell) couldn't find it with a map. So why don't
you remove your head from your ass, and then I'll stop
pointing out it's up there?
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
Way off his meds today and getting way out of line.
I'm not reading Gautam's messages these days except as they're quoted by
others (killfile and all that), and one might not expect me to come to
his aid, but in the spirit of fairness, your first phrase strikes me as
a personal attack.
It is clear that I have gotten up Gautam's nostril this week, and I have
found his messages more than a little intemperate, but I will not
descend with him to the level personal attacks, and hope you'll allow me
to invite you to resist the temptation as well.
The relevant part of our etiquette guidelines requires that I read the
offending message ALOUD... TWICE! and consider whether there may be a
milder way to interpret his remarks. Then I am to ask whether the
perpetrator meant the worse version of the message.
So I'll ask (taking Gautam temporarily out of my killfile so I can see
his no doubt thoughtful and honorable reply): When you said why don't
you remove your head from your ass, did you mean something other than
that you think I have my head up my ass?
Dave
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 11:59 AM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


 On Mon, 16 May 2005 11:34:35 -0500, Dan Minette wrote

  Isn't there a simpler explanation?  Conservative Democrats are
  people who are traditional Democrats, based on families, etc., but
  are actually conservative.  Thus, they identify themselves as
  Democrats but often do vote Republican based on their views of the
  issues.  The old yellow dog Democrats in Texas, for example, were
  often very conservative.

 How can you reconcile this explanation with the data at hand?

 The Republican Party's current advantage with the center makes up for
the
 fact that the GOP-oriented groups, when taken together, account for only
29%
 of the public. By contrast, the three Democratic groups constitute 41% of
the
 public.

 This was from about self-identification. It was about core beliefs.

 Here are the self-identification numbers:

One set of self-identification numbers.  The other, I gave for the last 30
years in an earlier post.  For the last available year (2003) the numbers
are:

Conservative: 33%
Moderate: 40%
Liberal: 18%.

 Taken together, the three Democratic groups make up a larger share of
 registered voters than do the three Republican groups (44% vs. 33%).

That's true...Conservative Democrats have been self-identified as
Democrats.  But, the advantage the Democrats have had is slipping.  For
example, in 1980, 41% were self-identified Democrats vs. 24% Republican.
In 2003, the numbers were 33% Dem, 28% Rep.

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=444

The Pew poll that was conducted seemed to do some rather atypical things to
arrive at catagories. It is inconsistant with years of polling data that
I've seen.  I've reconciled those polling data with the election results
that I've seen...without assuming cognative dissonence on the part of the
voters.

 Poll after poll shows that a vast gap between the popularity of
conservative
 politicians and the popularity of their politics.

I don't see it that way.  Let's take one contraversial subject: abortion.
The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions without
question.  Yet, if you look at

http://www.pollingreport.com/abortion.htm

you will see, in the 1st poll, that unlimited abortions are favored by less
than a quarter of the population.  Those who consider themselves pro-choice
and pro-life are close to equal.  There is one other poll that has the
majority of the people saying the Democrats are closer to their position,
and there is one other poll that has less than 20% identify with the
liberal  position.

What will it take to debunk  the myth that conservative politics and
policies are popular?

It isn't a myth because you don't want to believe it.  I try to read
numbers straight.  I consider myself liberal and I've felt, as such,  that
I've been in the minority since I left Madison Wisconsineven when I
lived in Conn.

What will it  take for people to care more about their politics?

A lot of people do care in Texasmany of them disagree with me, and,
probably, even moredisagree with you.

Dan M.


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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
Well this discussion certainly hasn't moved beyond Red and Blue.

In regards to recent comments, in issue after issue the conservative 
Democrats are more like the two groups to their left, the other Democrats, 
then to the Republican groups.

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?PageID=948

Right now the debate is centered around foreign policy and that is why on 
national politics the GOP keeps getting narrow wins.

War in Iraq - Was it the Right Decison?

Enterprisers 94% Yes
Social Conservatives 88%
Pro-government Conservatives 72%

Upbeats 66
Disaffecteds 50 
-- oops, the center slightly supports this

Conservative Democrats 28
Disadvantaged Democrats 15
Liberals 11

Perhaps the GOP should stop bashing liberals. Liberals are the only 
Democratic group where a slim majority believes since we are already there 
we need to stay and not send our troops home now. 

Politics does seem more about identity now and a few ideas that are repeated 
over and over again in the boom box media. French bashing for example. While 
praising Bush for acting out for America's self-interest it become morally 
beyond the pale and the basis for condemning entire countries like France 
when it is believed to have considered its own interests. 

There is way too much cheese-eating surrender monkey talk as you might 
expect when we have fallen into the politics of Eric Hoffer's True 
Believers and their particular psychological problems.

Gary who once heard Rush totally misread Hoffer as supporting his 
dittoheads Denton
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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American Political Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 When you write stuff like this, as if I'm another
 God-in-my-back-pocket 
 prosperity-Gospel preacher, I'm pissed off.  I'm
 angry when I hear you 
 misrepresenting ideas that are very important to me,
 life and death issues.
 
 I'm certain that you know you are way out of line.
 
 Nick

Then _distinguish what you believe_ from that, Nick. 
I posted on how your use of religion makes me -
someone from a different faith - enormously
uncomfortable.  It was ignored.  Instead I just got
more appeals to the Divinity for whatever policy you
appear to favor today.  I would say that someone who
dragoons God into supporting his own policies is out
of line, not someone who is perturbed by it.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 It is clear that I have gotten up Gautam's nostril
 this week, and I have
 found his messages more than a little intemperate,
 but I will not
 descend with him to the level personal attacks, and
 hope you'll allow me
 to invite you to resist the temptation as well.

 So I'll ask (taking Gautam temporarily out of my
 killfile so I can see
 his no doubt thoughtful and honorable reply): When
 you said why don't
 you remove your head from your ass, did you mean
 something other than
 that you think I have my head up my ass?
 
 Dave

Not really, no.  You're right, you've gotten up my
nostril.  I don't like being maliciously misquoted. 
I don't like being patronized by someone who is in no
way my superior.  I don't like people who distort
religion to support secular political agendas.  I
don't like having the unimaginably pompous and
self-important accuse me and others of such things. 
And when people do those things, I'm likely to react
angrily.  I don't use killfiles, because I guess
there's some theoretical sense that, say, Gary might
say something that is interesting, however low the
odds are.  But I probably would be better off doing so.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/16/05, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 - Original Message -
 From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 11:59 AM
 Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today
 
  On Mon, 16 May 2005 11:34:35 -0500, Dan Minette wrote
 
  Poll after poll shows that a vast gap between the popularity of
 conservative
  politicians and the popularity of their politics.
 
 I don't see it that way. Let's take one contraversial subject: abortion.
 The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions 
 without
 question. Yet, if you look at


FALSE. That is setting up a straw man to knock it down. I have never heard 
any politician defend all abortions without question. That is not the 
liberal position or the Democratic position.

http://www.pollingreport.com/abortion.htm
 
 you will see, in the 1st poll, that unlimited abortions are favored by 
 less
 than a quarter of the population. Those who consider themselves pro-choice
 and pro-life are close to equal. There is one other poll that has the
 majority of the people saying the Democrats are closer to their position,
 and there is one other poll that has less than 20% identify with the
 liberal position.


Because it isn't the liberal position but a straw man argument.

What will it take to debunk the myth that conservative politics and
 policies are popular?
 
 It isn't a myth because you don't want to believe it. I try to read
 numbers straight. I consider myself liberal and I've felt, as such, that
 I've been in the minority since I left Madison Wisconsineven when I
 lived in Conn.
 
 What will it take for people to care more about their politics?
 
 A lot of people do care in Texasmany of them disagree with me, and,
 probably, even more disagree with you.
 
 Dan M.
 
 
-- 
Gary working in local Texas politics Denton
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
I also retract the meds comment. I was catching up with my emails and it 
struck me how intemperate, even for Gautam, his remarks have been in the 
last day.
-- 
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Easter Lemming Blogs
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http://elemming2.blogspot.com
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Dave Land
On May 16, 2005, at 10:43 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
Not really, no.  You're right, you've gotten up my
nostril.  I don't like being maliciously misquoted.
I don't like being patronized by someone who is in no
way my superior.  I don't like people who distort
religion to support secular political agendas.  I
don't like having the unimaginably pompous and
self-important accuse me and others of such things.
And when people do those things, I'm likely to react
angrily.  I don't use killfiles, because I guess
there's some theoretical sense that, say, Gary might
say something that is interesting, however low the
odds are.  But I probably would be better off doing so.
Fair enough. You believe that I have my head up my ass, and you either
don't believe that it is a personal attack OR that you are above the
community etiquette of Brin-L.
As for pomposity, well: Hello? Pot? Kettle here, with a bit of bad
news for you...
Dave
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 12:25:52 -0500, Dan Minette wrote

 I don't see it that way.  Let's take one contraversial subject: abortion.
 The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions without
 question.  

Extremist strawman hogwash.  That is neither the party position, nor much of 
anybody in it.

Nick
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Re: Jane Galt on retirement risk and pensions

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/15/05, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 * Robert Seeberger ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
 
  Ouch! Good catch!
 
  Quite obvious and I didn't even think of it.G
 
 Her real name is Megan McArdle. Despite the reference to Atlas Shrugged,
 she is not your typical Randian. Perhaps a kindler, gentler, smarter,
 more...generally feasible flavor. Although she did endorse Bush, which
 subtracts a few points...but her blog is well worth reading.
 
 One of the more thoughtful if still IMHO usually wrong soft-libertarians. 
She does put a human face on their ideology.

-- 
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Easter Lemming Blogs
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Fair enough. You believe that I have my head up my
 ass, and you either
 don't believe that it is a personal attack OR that
 you are above the
 community etiquette of Brin-L.

No, but when one of the list-owners is as egregiously
offensive - and, frankly, malign - as you are, I'm
thinking it's pretty much a lost cause.  I regret
saying it.  I shouldn't descend to your level, however
well-deserved that might be.

 As for pomposity, well: Hello? Pot? Kettle here,
 with a bit of bad
 news for you...
 
 Dave

This from a guy who might well have been the basis for
Poobah?  Well, whatever.  I would have to care about
your opinion to be bothered by this - and I've
realized that I don't, so why am I bothering?

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: A dependable safety net (was Re: Social Security)

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
 5/16/05, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 On Sun, 15 May 2005 14:40:55 -0400, JDG wrote
 snip
 
Reductio ad absurdum! Have I said one word against saving?
 
 The two places I've spent most of my life are Pittsburgh and Silicon 
 Valley,
 which were centers of manufacturing. I saw the mills close in the former 
 and
 semiconductor fabs largely disappear from the latter, with those 
 businesses
 and their jobs go oversears. The best understanding of why that happened 
 is
 that our failure to save, as a nation, has made capital far less expensive 
 in
 places with high personal savings rates, such as Japan.


Unnh, wrong lesson. Capital is not that expensive in the United States. 
Perhaps you are conflating into capital both capital investment costs, 
including the regulatory environment, and labor costs. Neither of those 
relate to the personal savings rate except in indirect ways.


Our reponse has been to encourage other nations to stimulate consumption, to
 increase their cost of capital, rather than encouraging savings in our
 country, to decrease our own cost of capital. I think that stinks.
 Consumerism is out of control.
 
 So, while I am in favor of encouraging savings, which would strength our
 financial foundations, I don't favor taking money out of the Social 
 Security
 safety net to do so.
 
  The question is:
  Should the government construct policies such that as few people as
  possible need the safety net.
 
 What does that have to do with how dependable the safety net is? If there
 were only ten people who needed it, but it wasn't there for some of them, 
 then
 we're not being good stewards of the neediest.


Constructing safety nets is hard I wouldn't trust the job to those who think 
they aren't needed.

Nick



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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 12:56 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


 On Mon, 16 May 2005 12:25:52 -0500, Dan Minette wrote

  I don't see it that way.  Let's take one contraversial subject:
abortion.
  The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions
without
  question.

 Extremist strawman hogwash.  That is neither the party position, nor much
of
 anybody in it.

Didn't the Democrat's fight long and hard to keep third trimester
abortions.  How many pro-life Democratic senators are there?  How many
pro-choice Republican senators?

I'm trying to think of which abortions the Democrats are willing to outlaw.
I can't.  Maybe you can point to a wide range of abortions that the
Democrats favor outlawing that I've missed.  Then I'll admit to being an
extremist.

Out of curiosity, if I'm an extremist conservative, why did 40% of the
people to the left of me vote Republican in the last election?

Dan M.



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Re: US Pensions

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Friday, May 13, 2005 6:36 AM
Subject: Re: US Pensions


 At 10:29 PM 5/12/2005 -0500, Dan M. wrote:
  And what happens if the company goes bankrupt?
 
 The pension fund wasn't owned by the company...it was not considered a
 company asset.  The problem was not that the pension obligations went to
 other creditors (the employees were creditors after all).  It was that
the
 company was able to use vodoo ecconomics to fund the pensions.

 Wow, how surprising.   It really all always comes back to bashing
 Republicans with you, doesn't it?

Well, supply side ecconomics was voodoo.  Bush I was right.  Creative
accounting was allowed to overstate the values of the pension assets.

 First, we are talking about companies in bankruptcy.I find it very
 difficult to believe that everything would be hunky-dory if the company
had
 just made even *more* payments in the past.

Not everything.  You may not know the dynamics of what's going on.
Bankrupt companies are competing on price, _after_ they've been able to
write off major obligations.  As a result, their cost structures are lower,
and they can undercut companies that were better offforcing them down.
As a result of the bankrupt airlines competing (contributing to oversupply
and a price structure that's impossible for most airlines which have not
gone bankrupt to compete with, one by one the other carriers are going
down.  If one or two of the worst actually disappeared, then the rest could
stay out of bankrupcy.

 Second, many of these funds are invested heavily in the company's own
stock
 - perhaps not in the case of United - but it does exist, and this
practice
 should be discontinued.

That's one of the things that was allowed in the '80s.  My memory was that
was a change from the government regulations requiring prudent management
of the pensions before that.


 So, by your logic, I can presume that you favored the Bush tax cuts, as
 cutting taxes for the rich surely builds support among the rich for
helping
 the poor - without which we'd be leaving our grandparents to eat dog
food

No, because the net effect is to direct money away from the poor and toward
the rich.

Let me give a corporate parallel.  If a particular company within a has
high costs and higher income, the company is still profitable.  Slashing
the high costs in that company may be more detrimental than cutting lower
costs in another.  SS can be thought of as an entity.  There are SS taxes,
and SS payments.  The SS taxes are not enough to pay for future payments,
so I suggested a mechanism for slowing their growth.  The net effect is
progressive.  I really don't see the problem with me assuming the
properties of algebra in discussing economics.

Dan M.


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Re: A dependable safety net (was Re: Social Security)

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 13:09:51 -0500, Gary Denton wrote

 Unnh, wrong lesson. Capital is not that expensive in the United 
 States. Perhaps you are conflating into capital both capital 
 investment costs, including the regulatory environment, and labor 
 costs. Neither of those relate to the personal savings rate except 
 in indirect ways.

I believe you are mistaken.  The savings rate directly affects the cost of 
capital.  It is almost as simple as classic supply-and-demand -- the more cash 
that is saved, the more money is available for investment.  In the 
semiconductor business, for example, Japan beat us repeatedly by achieving 
economies of scale much faster than our companies by building larger fabs, at 
lower cost of capital, then manufacturing more product faster.  In that 
business, scale has has a multiplicative effect because high semiconductor 
yields (the percentage of good chips on a wafer) rise rapidly with volume 
because the manufacturer acquires the key resource -- experience with that 
chip and process.

For a long time, the U.S. semiconductor industry called for Washington to just 
keep out of any sort of trade regulation, but around 1985, the industry 
decided to call for political action, citing the difference in the cost of 
capital and its effect on their ability to compete.  Our government's 
response, which met with some success, was to persuade Japan to increase 
consumer spending, thereby decreasing the savings rate.

A major reason for the high personal savings rate in Japan was its lack of a 
Social Security system.  So one *could* conclude that we should abolish Social 
Security in order to strengthen our capital-intensive businesses.

I think it is easy to make moralistic argument about saving v. spending, but 
in reality, both are needed.  Where I think we get in trouble is focusing too 
much on one or the other.

FYI, this is a subject I wrote about in some depth around 1984-1985 as I 
reported on the chip business.  One of the most memorable moments of my career 
as a business journalist was on the phone with Bob Noyce of Intel, hearing him 
take a deep breath, a long pause and say that he had changed his mind about 
government intervention.

 Constructing safety nets is hard I wouldn't trust the job to those 
 who think they aren't needed.

;-)

Nick
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 13:18:26 -0500, Dan Minette wrote

 I'm trying to think of which abortions the Democrats are willing to outlaw.
 I can't. 

How many Democrats think abortion is a good thing?  I mean come on, is the 
subject the goodness of abortion or is it the decision about whether or not it 
should be illegal?  And here we are in the same old trap.

 Out of curiosity, if I'm an extremist conservative

I didn't call you an extremist conservative.  I was describing the idea you 
put forth.

Nick
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 12:46 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


On 5/16/05, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 - Original Message -
 From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 11:59 AM
 Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today

  On Mon, 16 May 2005 11:34:35 -0500, Dan Minette wrote
 
  Poll after poll shows that a vast gap between the popularity of
 conservative
  politicians and the popularity of their politics.

 I don't see it that way. Let's take one contraversial subject: abortion.
 The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions
 without
 question. Yet, if you look at


FALSE. That is setting up a straw man to knock it down. I have never heard
any politician defend all abortions without question. That is not the
liberal position or the Democratic position.

I guess, after two people got so excited, I may not have communicated
effectively.  The Democrats support the legality of all abortions without
question.  To me, in the public policy sphere, that's the support that is
critical.

Dan M.


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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 1:33 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


 On Mon, 16 May 2005 13:18:26 -0500, Dan Minette wrote

  I'm trying to think of which abortions the Democrats are willing to
outlaw.
  I can't.

 How many Democrats think abortion is a good thing?  I mean come on, is
the
 subject the goodness of abortion or is it the decision about whether or
not it
 should be illegal?  And here we are in the same old trap.

The point is, most Americans believe that abortions should be illegal some
of the time.  Most Democrats support the legality of all abortions, even
for development beyond viability.

The real important point to watch, IMHO, is whether someone states  late
term abortions should be acceptable if required for the health of the
mother or the life of the mother.  The latter is supported by most.  With
the former, one can always find a mental health professional who will state
that continued pregnancy will have an adverse effect on the health of the
motherso it's functionally on-demand.

Dan M.


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Re: A dependable safety net (was Re: Social Security)

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/16/05, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 On Mon, 16 May 2005 13:09:51 -0500, Gary Denton wrote
 
  Unnh, wrong lesson. Capital is not that expensive in the United
  States. Perhaps you are conflating into capital both capital
  investment costs, including the regulatory environment, and labor
  costs. Neither of those relate to the personal savings rate except
  in indirect ways.
 
 I believe you are mistaken. The savings rate directly affects the cost of
 capital. It is almost as simple as classic supply-and-demand -- the more 
 cash
 that is saved, the more money is available for investment. 


I was not objecting to that. Although that is a long term effect. Foreign 
capital and Fed actions have a large influence.

In the
 semiconductor business, for example, Japan beat us repeatedly by achieving
 economies of scale much faster than our companies by building larger fabs, 
 at
 lower cost of capital, then manufacturing more product faster. In that
 business, scale has has a multiplicative effect because high semiconductor
 yields (the percentage of good chips on a wafer) rise rapidly with volume
 because the manufacturer acquires the key resource -- experience with that
 chip and process.
 
 For a long time, the U.S. semiconductor industry called for Washington to 
 just
 keep out of any sort of trade regulation, but around 1985, the industry
 decided to call for political action, citing the difference in the cost of
 capital and its effect on their ability to compete. Our government's
 response, which met with some success, was to persuade Japan to increase
 consumer spending, thereby decreasing the savings rate.



Ahh, you were comparing Japan and the US in the mid-eighties. At that time 
the cost of capital in the US was high and in Japan was very low. Today the 
US is in the same position as Japan in the mid-80's. The Fed.Reserve here 
drove down the cost of capital in response to a major stock market decline. 
In the 80's the same thing occurred in Japan as well as government 
incentives for the major exporters to expand production in Japan. A losing 
battle - manufacturing follows low capital investment costs, low regulation 
and low wages - neither of which describes Japan or the United States today.

A major reason for the high personal savings rate in Japan was its lack of a
 Social Security system. So one *could* conclude that we should abolish 
 Social
 Security in order to strengthen our capital-intensive businesses.


Except that the cost of capital, the interest rates, had been very low in 
the US for the Bush presidency despite the low savings rate. Personally, I 
think this was Greenspan partially saving Bush's butt, partially doing what 
the Fed is supposed to do, and helped by several foreign countries that 
don't want to stop their own export booms so they were purchasing huge 
amounts of dollar denominated bonds. Both of these actions are slowing and 
the economy weak as it is should significantly slip.

I think it is easy to make moralistic argument about saving v. spending, but
 in reality, both are needed. Where I think we get in trouble is focusing 
 too
 much on one or the other.
 
 FYI, this is a subject I wrote about in some depth around 1984-1985 as I
 reported on the chip business. One of the most memorable moments of my 
 career
 as a business journalist was on the phone with Bob Noyce of Intel, hearing 
 him
 take a deep breath, a long pause and say that he had changed his mind 
 about
 government intervention.


You are much more knowledgeable than I of manufacturing in the 80's.. In the 
80's I was only worrying about a few mutual funds I was invested in and 
doing retail sales forecasts.

 Constructing safety nets is hard I wouldn't trust the job to those
  who think they aren't needed.
 
 ;-)
 
 Nick



-- 
Gary Denton
Easter Lemming Blogs
http://elemming.blogspot.com
http://elemming2.blogspot.com
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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 9:20 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
--- Andrew Paul [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Well, that is your choice. I would not even be
arguing about this if I
did not feel strongly about freedom and democracy,
of which America is a
great champion.
Ah yes, the rote statement.  You just think, though,
that in the Sudan we're trying to stop a genocide
because of the oil there.  It couldn't possibly be
because _we think genocide is bad_.
While one can argue that we're doing what we can in a limited way about 
the Sudan, it doesn't carry very well. Contrasted to what we chose to 
do in Iraq, the Sudan efforts are minimal to nonexistent.

I realize our military's heavily committed. But let's not forget that 
it didn't really have to be.

No, it can't be refuted because it is, in fact, too
late to try any other approach.
Since no one has suggested anything that even vaguely
resembles another approach with any sort of reasonable
possibility of success, this is pointless.
I thought I'd seen several suggestions. Such as punching up 
restrictions and allowing them some time and room to work, enforcing UN 
inspection rights, etc.

And of course there was my suggestion, which remains overlooked. Maybe 
you didn't see it. The idea was to start in Afghanistan, rebuild that 
nation totally, get it firmly democratized and rabidly pro-American, 
and spread from there.

Of course now it's beginning to look like even Afghanistan's a lost 
cause. Messing with the Koran was a stupid, stupid move.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 9:03 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
This does not appear to be the case. People often
vote *against* their
self-interest. This conundrum appears to be resolved
by the
understanding that people vote their identities, not
their interests.
The Republican party did a superior job in the past
election of
appealing to the middle in this way.
Dave
This is true _only_ if you are so arrogant that you
believe you understand people's self interest better
than they do.  Thomas Hobbes had something to say
about that centuries ago.  It wasn't true then that
elites could (or would) understand most people's self
interest better than they did, and it isn't true now.
Maybe they _do_ vote their self interest, and you just
don't understand what their self interest is.  I know
which one seems more likely to me.
There are ample cases in the US today of one set of people believing 
they understand others' self-interests better than those people do. 
Surely you haven't forgotten the abortion debates, for instance.

It's not necessarily elitism to suggest that someone's interests are 
more clear to others than they are to him/herself. And it's not elitist 
to suggest that many times people -- even voters -- act out of 
contingency or a kind of reflex when voting, rather than weighing 
long-term cost/benefit perspectives.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American Political Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 10:38 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
When you write stuff like this, as if I'm another
God-in-my-back-pocket
prosperity-Gospel preacher, I'm pissed off.  I'm
angry when I hear you
misrepresenting ideas that are very important to me,
life and death issues.
I'm certain that you know you are way out of line.
Nick
Then _distinguish what you believe_ from that, Nick.
I don't think he has to. I don't see evidence of the nasty bite of 
fundamentalism in many of Nick's comments. What I see is someone 
working to reconcile a faith, but not someone using it as a beat-stick.

I posted on how your use of religion makes me -
someone from a different faith - enormously
uncomfortable.  It was ignored.  Instead I just got
more appeals to the Divinity for whatever policy you
appear to favor today.  I would say that someone who
dragoons God into supporting his own policies is out
of line, not someone who is perturbed by it.
I don't see any evidence of Nick using any deity as a prop for 
supporting his policies, but then, maybe I missed something. It seems 
to me more that he's basing his ideas in his personal understanding of 
his faith, which -- and this is really remarkable -- is organic. Rather 
than falling back on a hardline stance that brooks no argument, Nick 
seems to be willing to discuss, concede and adapt.

Also, as an atheist, I feel I can ask you why others' discussing -- or 
even basing their views in -- their religion makes you uncomfortable. 
Do you feel they're evangelizing, and thus minimizing your perspective? 
Or do you feel they're overlooking other ideals, possibly from your own 
background, that are equally valid? If either, what would be the harm 
in pointing out the lacunae?

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/16/05, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 - Original Message -
 From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 1:33 PM
 Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today
 
  On Mon, 16 May 2005 13:18:26 -0500, Dan Minette wrote
 
   I'm trying to think of which abortions the Democrats are willing to
 outlaw.
   I can't.


Late term abortions are always done for the health of the mother - this is 
extremely rare and you find few places willing to do them. 


  How many Democrats think abortion is a good thing? I mean come on, is
 the
  subject the goodness of abortion or is it the decision about whether or
 not it
  should be illegal? And here we are in the same old trap.
 
 The point is, most Americans believe that abortions should be illegal some
 of the time. Most Democrats support the legality of all abortions, even
 for development beyond viability.


Most Americans support Roe v. Wade. Do you? 

The real important point to watch, IMHO, is whether someone states late
 term abortions should be acceptable if required for the health of the
 mother or the life of the mother. The latter is supported by most. With
 the former, one can always find a mental health professional who will 
 state
 that continued pregnancy will have an adverse effect on the health of the
 motherso it's functionally on-demand.


It is possible to make that the physical health of the mother and had been 
done.

I see you and I could have very different measures of what on-demand is. 
This was a rare procedure only used where the mothers life was in danger and 
after consultation with a specialist.

The big battle which the GOP thought up and focused-grouped was over 
late-term abortions because they found that was a wedge issue they could 
get polemic political mileage out of. But it wasn't over late-term 
abortions. They even manufactured the term partial-birth abortion because 
it precisely evoked the disgust people feel about that. Much like they come 
up with Social Security privatization and the nuclear option on 
filibusters but in those cases they tried to ban those words when they quit 
testing well. The legislation did not mention late-term abortions it 
banned a procedure. The procedure that was banned was used in only 0.004% of 
abortions is the United States. Yes my 0's are in the right place according 
to the AMA. 

Are you a doctor? Why do you want the government making medical decisions? 

*The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, the American 
Nurses Association and the American Medical Women's Association oppose this 
ban. And why shouldn't they? The most respected medical associations in the 
country oppose a law that will imperil the lives of women who have been 
entrusted to their care. *

*AGOG has stated its position clearly: Intervention of legislative bodies 
into medical decision making is inappropriate, ill-advised, and dangerous.*

*If it is ever enforced, this ban will put doctors in jail for providing the 
best and safest health care to women. This dangerous ban prevents women, in 
consultation with their families and trusted doctors, from making decisions 
about their own health.*

Liberals care about babies - we also care about their mothers.
-- 
Gary Denton
Easter Lemming Blogs
http://elemming.blogspot.com
http://elemming2.blogspot.com
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 11:38 AM, Dan Minette wrote:
The point is, most Americans believe that abortions should be illegal 
some
of the time.  Most Democrats support the legality of all abortions, 
even
for development beyond viability.
One quibble here. Even after being born, you can't really argue 
convincingly that a human infant is viable. Without active, constant 
nurturing it's dead, and that need for nurture goes on for about two 
years, at minimum, after birth. So if you're going to argue viability 
as the dividing line, well, maybe you need to find another dividing 
line.

Also, you understand I hope why full legalization is better.
Finally, as a consequence of some states' laws, we have cases such as a 
preteen girl getting pregnant after being raped by her own brother, and 
state legislatures attempting to prevent the girl having an abortion. 
That, I think, is an example of what can happen when you don't have 
universal legality.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 11:01 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Fair enough. You believe that I have my head up my
ass, and you either
don't believe that it is a personal attack OR that
you are above the
community etiquette of Brin-L.
No, but when one of the list-owners is as egregiously
offensive - and, frankly, malign - as you are, I'm
thinking it's pretty much a lost cause.  I regret
saying it.  I shouldn't descend to your level, however
well-deserved that might be.
Gautam, from here it seems that you're fairly sure of many of the views 
you hold. That isn't necessarily a bad thing, of course, but in this 
case I'm not sure your certitude is helping much.

There have been times when I've heatedly accused you of arrogance in 
one way or another; those comments weren't productive, and I apologize 
for them. But it might not hurt to consider that language communicates 
much more than ideas; it also communicates mindset and attitudes, and 
there have been times when I've seen a lot of belittlement of the 
perspectives of others in the statements you make. It might not be 
intentional but that is how it comes across.

It may not hurt to ask yourself, sometimes, whether your sense of 
frustration is fair. It's possible that what you're trying to express 
isn't getting through, and reworking the logic of an argument, looking 
for analogies and so on can help. I've seen you do that a couple times, 
and your points do get clarified when you do.

Sometimes it's possible for something to be blindingly obvious to you 
that just isn't so clear to others. When that happens I think it's 
usually more productive to attempt to explain what it is about the 
topic in discussion that is so clear.

Finally, discussion and debate often require everyone involved to be 
somewhat flexible -- or at least be willing to be flexible -- and to 
occasionally concede that others might have a good point about any 
given topic. Anyone who values his ideas and opinions might not feel 
entirely sanguine about such concessions, but when one is able to 
integrate other perspectives, one's own point of view tends to be ... 
not strengthened, per se, not more set, but perhaps tempered, and 
somewhat modulated.

The person you are now is not the person you were ten years ago, and 
it's safe to assume that you won't be as you are now in 2015. Views 
change, opinions change, attitudes change, particularly with broader 
experience. I don't think, for instance, that Nick is waffling when he 
reflects changes in outlook. That strikes me more as being personal 
growth.

There are no rules saying you have to hold the perspective you do now 
forever. There is no threat in changing one's mind on any subject or 
ideal. And there really isn't anything of merit to be found in 
defending a given point of view to extremes.

I realize I fall into these traps myself, and often; for what it's 
worth this is my take on things when I'm able to step back, breathe a 
little and think about what's really going on. When I get genuinely 
impatient with anyone in a discussion, often I think it's symptomatic 
of perceived threat. That doesn't, however, nullify the validity of the 
other's point of view, and it's unfair of me to proceed as though it 
does.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 2:26 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today



 They even manufactured the term partial-birth abortion because
it precisely evoked the disgust people feel about that. Much like they
come
up with Social Security privatization and the nuclear option on
filibusters but in those cases they tried to ban those words when they
quit
testing well. The legislation did not mention late-term abortions it
banned a procedure.

Which is a particular type of abortion that is almost always used in the
third trimester.  Why isn't partial-birth abortion descriptive?

The procedure that was banned was used in only 0.004% of
abortions is the United States. Yes my 0's are in the right place
according
to the AMA.

There have been some arguement that statistics on this procedure are not
being kept very well.  My brother-in-law and sister are both in medicine,
and my sister talked about personally witnessing it at a small hospital she
was at.  As far as not being very available, that is only true if insurance
refuses to cover itand it costs in the tens of thousands.  Otherwise,
market forces will always provide a supplier.

Are you a doctor? Why do you want the government making medical decisions?

Because I don't think it's a medical decision.  You assume your conclusions
when you make that statement. You assume that a 2 week overdue infant is
not human, but an 8 week premature baby is. I don't think humans should be
killed. But, the point is not even that abortion is right or wrong.  It's
that Democrats are taking positions that are favored by only the most
liberal 10%-20% of the nation and holding fast to those positions. Setting
aside the debate of whether abortion should or should not be illeagal...the
Democratic party's position favoring the

Dan M.


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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 2:27 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


 On May 16, 2005, at 11:38 AM, Dan Minette wrote:

  The point is, most Americans believe that abortions should be illegal
  some
  of the time.  Most Democrats support the legality of all abortions,
  even
  for development beyond viability.

 One quibble here. Even after being born, you can't really argue
 convincingly that a human infant is viable. Without active, constant
 nurturing it's dead, and that need for nurture goes on for about two
 years, at minimum, after birth.

OK, then you are arguing for a different dividing line.  I was thinking of
viability as a biologically independent organism (no direct, continuous,
connection to the bloodstream of another), and you seem to be arguing for
being able to carry one's own weight.  If one wishes to argue for the
rights of a mother to kill their one year old, then that would be
consistent with arguing for the right to kill a post-term undelivered
fetus.

Dan M.


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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/16/05, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 - Original Message -
 From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 2:26 PM
 Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today
 snip
 The procedure that was banned was used in only 0.004% of
 abortions is the United States. Yes my 0's are in the right place
 according
 to the AMA.
 
 There have been some arguement that statistics on this procedure are not
 being kept very well. My brother-in-law and sister are both in medicine,
 and my sister talked about personally witnessing it at a small hospital 
 she
 was at. As far as not being very available, that is only true if insurance
 refuses to cover itand it costs in the tens of thousands. Otherwise,
 market forces will always provide a supplier.
 
 Are you a doctor? Why do you want the government making medical 
 decisions?
 
 Because I don't think it's a medical decision. You assume your conclusions
 when you make that statement. You assume that a 2 week overdue infant is
 not human, but an 8 week premature baby is. I don't think humans should be
 killed. But, the point is not even that abortion is right or wrong. It's
 that Democrats are taking positions that are favored by only the most
 liberal 10%-20% of the nation and holding fast to those positions. Setting
 aside the debate of whether abortion should or should not be 
 illeagal...the
 Democratic party's position favoring the


You may have hit enter to fast judging by how that trails off.

But you are returning to your argument which was immediately jumped on. Why 
do you think Democrats are for unlimited abortions? Why do you think 
incorrectly that most Democrats don't hold the positions of most Americans?

About 40% of Republicans oppose efforts to make it more difficult to get 
abortions. 
About 25% of Democrats support efforts to make it more difficult to get an 
abortion. 
Why are the Republican who think we are going to far not heard from when 
there are debates about abortion in just about every Democratic meeting I 
attended?

I suspect is because it was part of that media drumbeat that pro-life people 
can't be heard in the Democratic party. It was a lie then that a governor 
was not permitted to speak at a national convention because he was pro-life 
and it suits some people to keep repeating the lie about those extreme 
Democrats. (He was not allowed to speak because he hated Bill Clinton and 
appeared on national media repeatedly saying he was not fit to be President 
and had not indicated a change in his views once Clinton won the primaries.)

Gary Denton
Easter Lemming Blogs
http://elemming.blogspot.com
http://elemming2.blogspot.com
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 1:29 PM, Dan Minette wrote:
From: Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED]

The point is, most Americans believe that abortions should be illegal
some
of the time.  Most Democrats support the legality of all abortions,
even
for development beyond viability.
One quibble here. Even after being born, you can't really argue
convincingly that a human infant is viable. Without active, constant
nurturing it's dead, and that need for nurture goes on for about two
years, at minimum, after birth.
OK, then you are arguing for a different dividing line.  I was 
thinking of
viability as a biologically independent organism (no direct, 
continuous,
connection to the bloodstream of another), and you seem to be arguing 
for
being able to carry one's own weight.  If one wishes to argue for the
rights of a mother to kill their one year old, then that would be
consistent with arguing for the right to kill a post-term undelivered
fetus.
I'm not arguing for that at all; I'm just suggesting that the test of 
viability is somewhat vague.

Are there better tests? Possibly. Maybe an EEG that confirms what we 
could call consciousness can be used. I really don't know *what* kind 
of test would suffice.

What I'm pretty sure of is that there's a lot of arbitrary thinking 
afoot when discussing pregnancy and birth. There are some who contend 
that life begins at conception, and yet they celebrate birthdays as 
being *genuine* anniversaries of the beginning of someone's life. That 
to me is an example of how an arbitrary idea clashes with observable 
behavior, which suggests at least one intellectual inconsistency.

To me abortion is a personal decision. I don't expect it to be an easy 
one when we're talking about a fairly anatomically developed fetus, and 
I am proximally sure that legislatures need to keep their mitts out of 
the oven entirely. We can't even agree, in many cases, on what basic 
terms mean, such as life or viability (or self-sufficiency, to 
look at it another way), and of course there's the elephant in the room 
-- what human actually means, when it starts, etc.

These problems only indicate, to me, that consensus will *not* be 
reached easily, and might *never* be reached, and since laws require 
either consensus or submission to arbitrary decisions made by others, 
there would be no benefit to be found in illegalizing *any* kind of 
abortion.

It makes a lot more sense to me to address the causes of unwanted 
pregnancy and strike at the root; the causes could be social, personal, 
or may other things, and probably are fairly intricate, not the kind of 
thing that can be addressed by a single law or any other simplistic 
solution. But once the horse is in the barn (to twist a cliché), it's 
too late to ask what to do about the open door.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 4:15 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


On May 16, 2005, at 1:29 PM, Dan Minette wrote:

 From: Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 The point is, most Americans believe that abortions should be illegal
 some
 of the time.  Most Democrats support the legality of all abortions,
 even
 for development beyond viability.

 One quibble here. Even after being born, you can't really argue
 convincingly that a human infant is viable. Without active, constant
 nurturing it's dead, and that need for nurture goes on for about two
 years, at minimum, after birth.

 OK, then you are arguing for a different dividing line.  I was
 thinking of
 viability as a biologically independent organism (no direct,
 continuous,
 connection to the bloodstream of another), and you seem to be arguing
 for being able to carry one's own weight.  If one wishes to argue for the
 rights of a mother to kill their one year old, then that would be
 consistent with arguing for the right to kill a post-term undelivered
 fetus.

I'm not arguing for that at all; I'm just suggesting that the test of
viability is somewhat vague.

I realize that you were arguing somewhat hypothetically concerning my
definition.  I was pointing out the result of using two different terms of
viable.

Are there better tests? Possibly. Maybe an EEG that confirms what we
could call consciousness can be used. I really don't know *what* kind
of test would suffice.

What I'm pretty sure of is that there's a lot of arbitrary thinking
afoot when discussing pregnancy and birth. There are some who contend
that life begins at conception, and yet they celebrate birthdays as
being *genuine* anniversaries of the beginning of someone's life. That
to me is an example of how an arbitrary idea clashes with observable
behavior, which suggests at least one intellectual inconsistency.

What inconsistancy?  It celebrates an arrival date, not the beginnning of
life. I don't think that anyone really argues that a embreyo is not
alivethe arguement is that they are not human...with the rights of
humans. Mothers and fathers are usually very excited about quickening, I
can tell you that.  I know that Teri thought our three children were alive
before they were bornshe had the bruises to prove it.


To me abortion is a personal decision. I don't expect it to be an easy
one when we're talking about a fairly anatomically developed fetus, and
I am proximally sure that legislatures need to keep their mitts out of
the oven entirely. We can't even agree, in many cases, on what basic
terms mean, such as life or viability (or self-sufficiency, to
look at it another way), and of course there's the elephant in the room
-- what human actually means, when it starts, etc.

But, there is a very very simple definition that is being ignored..location
in DNA space defines species.  If you use a functional capacity definition,
then you either include adults of other species or exclude a significant
fraction of humans that are now alive.  What's wrong with arguing that
humans are those animals that are in the human region of gene space?

and since laws require either consensus or submission to arbitrary
decisions made by
others, there would be no benefit to be found in illegalizing *any* kind
of
abortion.

What about civil rights laws that overturned the so called right of free
association?  There wasn't a consensus on those.

It makes a lot more sense to me to address the causes of unwanted
pregnancy and strike at the root; the causes could be social, personal,
or may other things, and probably are fairly intricate, not the kind of
thing that can be addressed by a single law or any other simplistic
solution.

I'd agree with that.  I have little patience with folks who are pro-life
but won't agree to decrease abortions that way.

Dan M.


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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 3:55 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today



 Are you a doctor? Why do you want the government making medical
 decisions?

 Because I don't think it's a medical decision. You assume your
conclusions
 when you make that statement. You assume that a 2 week overdue infant is
 not human, but an 8 week premature baby is. I don't think humans should
be
 killed. But, the point is not even that abortion is right or wrong. It's
 that Democrats are taking positions that are favored by only the most
 liberal 10%-20% of the nation and holding fast to those positions.
Setting
 aside the debate of whether abortion should or should not be
 illeagal...the
 Democratic party's position favoring the


You may have hit enter to fast judging by how that trails off.

The unfettered right to abortion alienates many voterseven self-defined
Democrats.

But you are returning to your argument which was immediately jumped on.
Why
do you think Democrats are for unlimited abortions? Why do you think
incorrectly that most Democrats don't hold the positions of most
Americans?

That's not really what I'm getting at. The origional claim was that the
liberals were the mainstream because they were the mode of the Pew poll.
Eric pointed out the mathamatical error in this analysis fairly clearly.
Conservative Democrats were considered liberal.  From reading the website,
I'd say that conservative Democrats were more conservative on social issues
and more liberal on issues such as government spending and taxes.

About 40% of Republicans oppose efforts to make it more difficult to get
abortions.
About 25% of Democrats support efforts to make it more difficult to get an
abortion.

Why are the Republican who think we are going to far not heard from when
there are debates about abortion in just about every Democratic meeting I
attended?

I was almost one of the 18 year old delagates for McGovern.  I know
personally that, in most places, a pro-life Democrat has a hard time within
the party.  I dropped out of politics because of that.  I'm not claiming
that this is a universal situation, but I've

I suspect is because it was part of that media drumbeat that pro-life
people
can't be heard in the Democratic party.

No, it's because the Democratic leadership seems to fear a slippery slope
on abortion.  If they make one single concession for any reason whatsoever,
then it's Katy bar the door.  Personally, I see simularities between this
and the NRA's position on gun control.

Even though I'm a liberal, I realize that there are fewer liberals than
conservatives.  I don't see the reason to look at the data sideways to deny
unpleasant realities.  That's a losing strategy.

Dan M.


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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 02:03 PM Monday 5/16/2005, Warren Ockrassa wrote:
Of course now it's beginning to look like even Afghanistan's a lost cause. 
Messing with the Koran was a stupid, stupid move.

Does that mean that you believe that the assertions in the _Newsweek_ story 
was accurate, even though they have apparently at least partially backed 
away from them?  (IOW, they haven't said absolutely that they made them up 
or that their source did.)

-- Ronn!  :)
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
On 5/16/05, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 - Original Message -
 From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 3:55 PM
 Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today
 
  Are you a doctor? Why do you want the government making medical
  decisions?
 
  Because I don't think it's a medical decision. You assume your
 conclusions
  when you make that statement. You assume that a 2 week overdue infant is
  not human, but an 8 week premature baby is. I don't think humans should
 be
  killed. But, the point is not even that abortion is right or wrong. It's
  that Democrats are taking positions that are favored by only the most
  liberal 10%-20% of the nation and holding fast to those positions.
 Setting
  aside the debate of whether abortion should or should not be
  illeagal...the
  Democratic party's position favoring the
 
 You may have hit enter to fast judging by how that trails off.
 
 The unfettered right to abortion alienates many voterseven 
 self-defined
 Democrats.
 
 But you are returning to your argument which was immediately jumped on.
 Why
 do you think Democrats are for unlimited abortions? Why do you think
 incorrectly that most Democrats don't hold the positions of most
 Americans?
 
 That's not really what I'm getting at. The origional claim was that the
 liberals were the mainstream because they were the mode of the Pew poll.
 Eric pointed out the mathamatical error in this analysis fairly clearly.
 Conservative Democrats were considered liberal. From reading the website,
 I'd say that conservative Democrats were more conservative on social 
 issues
 and more liberal on issues such as government spending and taxes.


I stayed out of that clearly wrong argument - the mode is not the median. 
Pew reported Liberals were one side, what they call Enterprisers was 
another. The liberals have been at 18 to 25% all of my life. Conservatives 
hit a high point under Reagan. Always the center of American politics are 
the self-identified moderates. I have a libertarian leaning firend who was 
bothered by the questions even though they clearly pegged him as a 
conservative Democrat which is usually the way he votes.

About 40% of Republicans oppose efforts to make it more difficult to get
 abortions.
 About 25% of Democrats support efforts to make it more difficult to get 
 an
 abortion.
 
 Why are the Republican who think we are going to far not heard from when
 there are debates about abortion in just about every Democratic meeting I
 attended?
 
 I was almost one of the 18 year old delagates for McGovern. I know
 personally that, in most places, a pro-life Democrat has a hard time 
 within
 the party. I dropped out of politics because of that. I'm not claiming
 that this is a universal situation, but I've
 
 I suspect is because it was part of that media drumbeat that pro-life
 people
 can't be heard in the Democratic party.
 
 No, it's because the Democratic leadership seems to fear a slippery slope
 on abortion. If they make one single concession for any reason whatsoever,
 then it's Katy bar the door. Personally, I see simularities between this
 and the NRA's position on gun control.


I think you are seeing a shake-up of that auto pro-choice position and the 
NRA example my have been accurate.

Even though I'm a liberal, I realize that there are fewer liberals than
 conservatives. I don't see the reason to look at the data sideways to deny
 unpleasant realities. That's a losing strategy.



You can pick and choose issues to show there are fewer conservatives but in 
my neighborhood I agree with you. It is sometimes surprising to see a large 
number of mainly white liberal families get together like we did Saturday 
for a Family Fun day and Dump Delay picnic in the park in DeLay's district.

Dan M.
 
-- 
Gary Denton
Easter Lemming Blogs
http://elemming.blogspot.com
http://elemming2.blogspot.com
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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Gary Denton
The Newsweek story is being Rathergated in the conservative controlled 
media.

Even though the substance of the story was accurate and the source stands by 
his statements the documentation cannot be verified so the conservatives 
jump up and down and say 'see - no story the media just lies.'

Problem is there were many other stories from many other sources talking 
about the desecration of the Koran as part of the psychological harassment 
published in many other mainstream media. Sources like the New York Times, 
the UK Guardian, Daily Mirror, Washington Post... conditions just hadn't 
gotten so bad then it wasn't the spark that ignited the riots in places that 
would really notice the Koran being trashed.

http://rawstory.com/exclusives/newsweek_koran_report_516.htm

A soldier who played the part of a POW in an Army training exercise in the 
90's said that the instructor concluded with ripping up and kicking the 
Bible and said it was a standard part of psychologically getting to the 
prisoners.


On 5/16/05, Ronn!Blankenship [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 At 02:03 PM Monday 5/16/2005, Warren Ockrassa wrote:
 
 Of course now it's beginning to look like even Afghanistan's a lost 
 cause.
 Messing with the Koran was a stupid, stupid move.
 
 Does that mean that you believe that the assertions in the _Newsweek_ 
 story
 was accurate, even though they have apparently at least partially backed
 away from them? (IOW, they haven't said absolutely that they made them up
 or that their source did.)
 
 
 -- Ronn! :)
 
 

-- 
Gary Denton
Easter Lemming Blogs
http://elemming.blogspot.com
http://elemming2.blogspot.com
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 5:23 PM
Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today


On 5/16/05, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 - Original Message -
 From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 3:55 PM
 Subject: Re: The American Political Landscape Today

  Are you a doctor? Why do you want the government making medical
  decisions?
 
  Because I don't think it's a medical decision. You assume your
 conclusions
  when you make that statement. You assume that a 2 week overdue infant
is
  not human, but an 8 week premature baby is. I don't think humans should
 be
  killed. But, the point is not even that abortion is right or wrong.
It's
  that Democrats are taking positions that are favored by only the most
  liberal 10%-20% of the nation and holding fast to those positions.
 Setting
  aside the debate of whether abortion should or should not be
  illeagal...the
  Democratic party's position favoring the

 You may have hit enter to fast judging by how that trails off.

 The unfettered right to abortion alienates many voterseven
 self-defined
 Democrats.

 But you are returning to your argument which was immediately jumped on.
 Why
 do you think Democrats are for unlimited abortions? Why do you think
 incorrectly that most Democrats don't hold the positions of most
 Americans?

 That's not really what I'm getting at. The origional claim was that the
 liberals were the mainstream because they were the mode of the Pew poll.
 Eric pointed out the mathamatical error in this analysis fairly clearly.
 Conservative Democrats were considered liberal. From reading the website,
 I'd say that conservative Democrats were more conservative on social
 issues
 and more liberal on issues such as government spending and taxes.


I stayed out of that clearly wrong argument - the mode is not the median.

Well, I'm glad to find someone who agrees with my understanding of
statistics.  I've been getting hit from left and right on that, so to
speak. :-)


Pew reported Liberals were one side, what they call Enterprisers was
another. The liberals have been at 18 to 25% all of my life. Conservatives
hit a high point under Reagan.

Agreed. But, self-identified Democrats had a much larger lead on
self-identified Republicans back thenwhich is interesting to mefor
the most part, it seems to be a function of Dixiecrats changing their
voting for president before their party lables.

Always the center of American politics are the self-identified moderates.

I have no arguement with that. But, as food for thought,  I just saw the
2004 Harris poll on this and it has

Conservative  36%
Moderate   41%
Liberal18%

If liberals get 2/3rds of the self identified moderates in a coalition, and
the conservatives got 1/3rd of them,  it would still favor the
conservatives.


 No, it's because the Democratic leadership seems to fear a slippery
slope
 on abortion. If they make one single concession for any reason
whatsoever,
 then it's Katy bar the door. Personally, I see simularities between this
 and the NRA's position on gun control.


I think you are seeing a shake-up of that auto pro-choice position and the
NRA example my have been accurate.

I see the first hints of one, and I think that will be a good thing if it
happens.

Even though I'm a liberal, I realize that there are fewer liberals than
conservatives. I don't see the reason to look at the data sideways to
deny
 unpleasant realities. That's a losing strategy.



You can pick and choose issues to show there are fewer conservatives but
in
my neighborhood I agree with you. It is sometimes surprising to see a
large
number of mainly white liberal families get together like we did Saturday
for a Family Fun day and Dump Delay picnic in the park in DeLay's
district.

We're more lucky a bit north of you, in the Woodlands.  Brady isn't really
all that bad, he's good friends with some very liberal folks we knowand
he helps out folks in his districthe got Nymbe (Neli's sister) a visa
for example. Perry is the idiot I want to give rid of.  I don't see why
Julia likes him so runs away before she throws something at me

Dan M.


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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The AmericanPolitical Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 09:51 AM 5/16/2005 -0700, Nick Arnett wrote:
 Not you, Nick.  Most Americans don't think God has an
 opinion on marginal tax rates, and most of those who
 do don't share yours.  

When you write stuff like this, as if I'm another God-in-my-back-pocket 
prosperity-Gospel preacher, I'm pissed off.  I'm angry when I hear you 
misrepresenting ideas that are very important to me, life and death issues.

In fairness Nick, what Gautam wrote is also my assessment of your
positions. You seem to couch an awful lot of your political viewpoints
in Christian terms.

And I don't see much difference in couching positions on abortion or
homosexuality in religious terms vs. couching positions on marginal tax
rates or foreign policy in religious terms.

JDG
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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American PoliticalLandscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 07:52 AM 5/16/2005 -0700, Nick wrote:
Taken together, the three Democratic groups make up a larger share of 
registered voters than do the three Republican groups (44% vs. 33%).

But the Pew Center seems to have arbitrarily assigned conservative
Democrats to the left-leaning bloc,  and further arbitrarily decided to
come up with three groups for each of left, center, and right.   For
example, 80% of the Upbeats voted for Bush, but that group gets assigned
to the center, rather than the right.

If you correct for this and move conservative Democrats to the center
and move Upbeats to the right, you reach much different conclusions.

JDG
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Etiquette Guidelines

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
In my humble opinion, the Etiquette Guidelines are not intended to be a
bludgeon.

In general, if you are a Party to the discussion, I think that you should
probably refrain from quoting the Etiquette Guidelines in response to other
parties in a discussion.   There are more than enough Third Parties on this
List who could interject to calm down a heated discussion by reference to
the Etiquette Guidelines, rather than letting participatns wield them
against each other.

Moreover, in general, I think that one generally has the best luck in
correcting someone's actions by pulling them aside *privately* and speaking
with them, rather than announcing your criticism of that person to the
whole list.

In today's discussion, I think there is enough lack of eitquette to be
spread among several parties.   While its unavoidable that the context of
this message will probably be interpreted as being a criticism of only one
person, suffice to say that I have criticized more than one person.

JDG
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Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 10:56 AM 5/16/2005 -0700, Nick Arnett wrote:
 I don't see it that way.  Let's take one contraversial subject: abortion.
 The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions without
 question.  

Extremist strawman hogwash.  That is neither the party position, nor much of 
anybody in it.

Oh really, NIck

Then I am sure that you are more than happy to provide information to
disprove Dan's proposition.   Republicans have proposed a number of
sensible restrictions on abortion over the years.   Can you name one such
restriction that was supported by liberal Democrats   

Allow me to provide a list of suggestions:
-no public funds should be used to fund abortions
-Catholic hospitals should not be required to perform abortions
-minors should be required to notify their parents or a judge before
getting an abortion
-there should be a mandatory waiting period for an abortion
-partial-birth/dilation and extraction abortions should be prohibited
-abortions after viability should be prohibited
-gender-selection abortions should be prohibited

As long as we are dealing with extremist strawman hogwash here, I am sure
that you'll have no problem identifying which of these restrictions is
consistently supported by liberal Democrats - especially since I've given
you a list of examples to get you started.

JDG
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needs sharing

2005-05-16 Thread d.brin
The following article shows how our controlled media have limited 
discussion of a major scandal... the smoking gun showing that Cheney 
et al knew they were lying about WMD in Iraq.

Unfortunately, Krugman still buys into the notion that going into 
Iraq to toss out Saddam was a mistake... when that is simply the 
wrong tack to take. The neoconservatives are persuasive because they 
use rationalizations that are *essentially* right, in order to 
support their ongoing reign of towering stupidity.

I believe, and many americans believe, that this country DOES have a 
duty to actively and vigorously promote democracy.  Toppling Saddam 
was a legitimate goal in and of itself.  Because it was right and 
decent and in our self interest.  And because - as our southern 
brethren so colorfully put it - 'he badly needed killin'.

BUT!
1) Cheney and the neocons deserve no credibility at all on this 
issue, since they had Saddam in their hands in 91, only then (on 
orders from you know who), left him in place, consigning the Iraqi 
people to 12 years of hell, for which they (rightfully) cannot 
forgive us.

2) They went after Saddam this time in the worst and most stupid of 
all possible ways.  A combination of imbecilities that, in sum, look 
almost deliberate. Their almost criminal military, social, diplomatic 
and public-relations incompetence should be matters that we use in 
criticizing them.

By allowing them top frame the debate, over whether we should have 
saved the Iraqis from a monster, we let them put us in a position of 
saying Saddam in charge was somehow preferable.

We must use jiu jitsu and stop letting them frame the argument their way.
===
Staying What Course?
By Paul Krugman
The New York Times
Monday 16 May 2005
Is there any point, now that November's election is behind us, in 
revisiting the history of the Iraq war? Yes: any path out of the 
quagmire will be blocked by people who call their opponents weak on 
national security, and portray themselves as tough guys who will keep 
America safe. So it's important to understand how the tough guys made 
America weak.

There has been notably little U.S. coverage of the Downing 
Street memo - actually the minutes of a British prime minister's 
meeting on July 23, 2002, during which officials reported on talks 
with the Bush administration about Iraq. But the memo, which was 
leaked to The Times of London during the British election campaign, 
confirms what apologists for the war have always denied: the Bush 
administration cooked up a case for a war it wanted.

 Here's a sample: Military action was now seen as inevitable. 
Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by 
the conjunction of terrorism and W.M.D. But the intelligence and 
facts were being fixed around the policy.

 (You can read the whole thing at www.downingstreetmemo.com.)
Why did the administration want to invade Iraq, when, as the memo 
noted, the case was thin and Saddam's W.M.D. capability was less 
than that of Libya, North Korea, or Iran? Iraq was perceived as a 
soft target; a quick victory there, its domestic political advantages 
aside, could serve as a demonstration of American military might, one 
that would shock and awe the world.

 But the Iraq war has, instead, demonstrated the limits of 
American power, and emboldened our potential enemies. Why should Kim 
Jong Il fear us, when we can't even secure the road from Baghdad to 
the airport?

At this point, the echoes of Vietnam are unmistakable. Reports 
from the recent offensive near the Syrian border sound just like 
those from a 1960's search-and-destroy mission, body count and all. 
Stories filed by reporters actually with the troops suggest that the 
insurgents, forewarned, mostly melted away, accepting battle only 
where and when they chose.

Meanwhile, America's strategic position is steadily deteriorating.
Next year, reports Jane's Defense Industry, the United States 
will spend as much on defense as the rest of the world combined. Yet 
the Pentagon now admits that our military is having severe trouble 
attracting recruits, and would have difficulty dealing with potential 
foes - those that, unlike Saddam's Iraq, might pose a real threat.

In other words, the people who got us into Iraq have done exactly 
what they falsely accused Bill Clinton of doing: they have stripped 
America of its capacity to respond to real threats.

So what's the plan?
The people who sold us this war continue to insist that success 
is just around the corner, and that things would be fine if the media 
would just stop reporting bad news. But the administration has 
declared victory in Iraq at least four times. January's election, it 
seems, was yet another turning point that wasn't.

Yet it's very hard to discuss getting out. Even most of those who 
vehemently opposed the war say that we have to stay on in Iraq now 
that we're there.

In effect, America 

Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American PoliticalLandscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 19:18:29 -0400, JDG wrote
 At 07:52 AM 5/16/2005 -0700, Nick wrote:
 Taken together, the three Democratic groups make up a larger share of 
 registered voters than do the three Republican groups (44% vs. 33%).
 
 But the Pew Center seems to have arbitrarily assigned conservative
 Democrats to the left-leaning bloc,  and further arbitrarily 
 decided to come up with three groups for each of left, center, 
 and right.   For example, 80% of the Upbeats voted for Bush, but 
 that group gets assigned to the center, rather than the right.

There's nothing particularly arbitrary about the ordering, given that the 
survey is intended to fit respondents into a continuum of political attitudes. 
 The arbitrary part is where to draw dividing lines, but that's even informed 
by inflection points in the results.

Nick
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Re: Etiquette Guidelines

2005-05-16 Thread Dave Land
John,
In my humble opinion, the Etiquette Guidelines are not intended to be a
bludgeon.
I agree and pledge to continue to use them to provide gentle correction,
and never as a bludgeon, as you have done here.
In general, if you are a Party to the discussion, I think that you
should probably refrain from quoting the Etiquette Guidelines in
response to other parties in a discussion.   There are more than enough
Third Parties on this List who could interject to calm down a heated
discussion by reference to the Etiquette Guidelines, rather than 
letting
participatns wield them against each other.
Point taken. Would that it worked that way. It does seem to me that some
folks get a pass for abusive behavior. I will only take so many public
hits before I decide to counter them. In particular, I will not brook
sustained personal attacks.
Moreover, in general, I think that one generally has the best luck in
correcting someone's actions by pulling them aside *privately* and
speaking with them, rather than announcing your criticism of that 
person
to the whole list.
That may be. I hope we'll get there.
In today's discussion, I think there is enough lack of eitquette to be
spread among several parties.   While its unavoidable that the context
of this message will probably be interpreted as being a criticism of
only one person, suffice to say that I have criticized more than one
person.
While I may be the most obvious target of your comments, I don't feel
in any way abused by your appeal to better behavior. I hope that other
recipients of your gentle reproof are as receptive.
Thank you sincerely,
Dave
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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 19:31:19 -0400, JDG wrote
 At 10:56 AM 5/16/2005 -0700, Nick Arnett wrote:
  I don't see it that way.  Let's take one contraversial subject: abortion.
  The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions 
without
  question.  
 
 Extremist strawman hogwash.  That is neither the party position, nor much 
of 
 anybody in it.
 
 Oh really, NIck
 
 Then I am sure that you are more than happy to provide information to
 disprove Dan's proposition.   Republicans have proposed a number of
 sensible restrictions on abortion over the years.   Can you name one 
 such restriction that was supported by liberal Democrats

Certainly if we change the question at hand to Have liberal Democrats 
supported legal restrictions on abortions, then your points would be 
relevant.  However, we were discussing whether defend all abortions is a 
standard liberal Democratic position or not.

Nick


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Re: Etiquette Guidelines

2005-05-16 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 06:56 PM Monday 5/16/2005, Dave Land wrote:
John,
In my humble opinion, the Etiquette Guidelines are not intended to be a
bludgeon.
I agree and pledge to continue to use them to provide gentle correction,
and never as a bludgeon, as you have done here.
In general, if you are a Party to the discussion, I think that you
should probably refrain from quoting the Etiquette Guidelines in
response to other parties in a discussion.   There are more than enough
Third Parties on this List who could interject to calm down a heated
discussion by reference to the Etiquette Guidelines, rather than letting
participatns wield them against each other.
Point taken. Would that it worked that way. It does seem to me that some
folks get a pass for abusive behavior. I will only take so many public
hits before I decide to counter them. In particular, I will not brook
sustained personal attacks.
Moreover, in general, I think that one generally has the best luck in
correcting someone's actions by pulling them aside *privately* and
speaking with them, rather than announcing your criticism of that person
to the whole list.
That may be. I hope we'll get there.
In today's discussion, I think there is enough lack of eitquette to be
spread among several parties.   While its unavoidable that the context
of this message will probably be interpreted as being a criticism of
only one person, suffice to say that I have criticized more than one
person.
While I may be the most obvious target of your comments, I don't feel
in any way abused by your appeal to better behavior. I hope that other
recipients of your gentle reproof are as receptive.
Thank you sincerely,

FWIW, I've noticed some less-than-exemplary behavior today on other, quite 
different lists.  Maybe we can blame the CME which hit Earth over the 
weekend . . .

-- Ronn!  :)
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Abortion and the Democratic Party Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
- Original Message - 
From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Why are the Republican who think we are going to far not heard from when
there are debates about abortion in just about every Democratic meeting I
attended?

I'm going to take a wild guess and somehow connect it to the fact that the
Democrats lost the last Presidential election and exit polls attributed it
in large part to the issue of moral values.

Losing always provokes more soul-searching than winning.

I suspect is because it was part of that media drumbeat that pro-life
people
can't be heard in the Democratic party.

I would hope that even you would agree that the failure to let PA Governor
Bob Casey speak at the Democratic National Convention played some role in
the Democratic Party deserving that storyline.

And the fact that:
a) Harry Reid is somehow considered to be a pro-life Senator in the
Democratic Party (compare his deviation from the Democratic mean vs.
pro-choice Republican Senators' deviation from the mean.)
b) Harry Reid is about the only pro-life speaker at a Democratic
Convention in a long, long time

At 03:26 PM 5/16/2005 -0500, Gary Denton wrote:
The procedure that was banned was used in only 0.004% of
abortions is the United States. Yes my 0's are in the right place
according
to the AMA.

Haven't you just made Dan's point?Liberal Democrats wouldn't even
restrict 0.004% of abortions?????????

JDG
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Infanticide Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 03:29 PM 5/16/2005 -0500, Dan M. wrote:
  The point is, most Americans believe that abortions should be illegal
  some
  of the time.  Most Democrats support the legality of all abortions,
  even
  for development beyond viability.

 One quibble here. Even after being born, you can't really argue
 convincingly that a human infant is viable. Without active, constant
 nurturing it's dead, and that need for nurture goes on for about two
 years, at minimum, after birth.

OK, then you are arguing for a different dividing line.  I was thinking of
viability as a biologically independent organism (no direct, continuous,
connection to the bloodstream of another), and you seem to be arguing for
being able to carry one's own weight.  If one wishes to argue for the
rights of a mother to kill their one year old, then that would be
consistent with arguing for the right to kill a post-term undelivered
fetus.

Actually, Dan, Warren has a very valid point.Your definition would
exclude several types of organisms from being biologically independent. 

Moreover, what you really mean is capable of being biologically separate.
   I don't think that the word independent really applies to newbies -
even without considering the role of incubators, respirators, and IV's in
the process.   Moreover the entity is not actually separate until birth,
what you really mean is being capable of separation.  

At 04:51 PM 5/16/2005 -0500, Warren wrote:
To me abortion is a personal decision. I don't expect it to be an easy
one when we're talking about a fairly anatomically developed fetus, and
I am proximally sure that legislatures need to keep their mitts out of
the oven entirely. 

But infanticide is also a deeply personal decision, and certainly not
expected to be an easy one.   Do you also believe that legislatures need to
keep their mitts out of that oven entirely as well?Or do you believe
that it is acceptable for legislatures to intervene in that decision?

JDG
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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American PoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 05:02 PM 5/16/2005 -0700, you wrote:


On Mon, 16 May 2005 19:31:19 -0400, JDG wrote
 At 10:56 AM 5/16/2005 -0700, Nick Arnett wrote:
  I don't see it that way.  Let's take one contraversial subject:
abortion.
  The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions 
without
  question.  
 
 Extremist strawman hogwash.  That is neither the party position, nor much 
of 
 anybody in it.
 
 Oh really, NIck
 
 Then I am sure that you are more than happy to provide information to
 disprove Dan's proposition.   Republicans have proposed a number of
 sensible restrictions on abortion over the years.   Can you name one 
 such restriction that was supported by liberal Democrats

Certainly if we change the question at hand to Have liberal Democrats 
supported legal restrictions on abortions, then your points would be 
relevant.  However, we were discussing whether defend all abortions is a 
standard liberal Democratic position or not.

If the standard liberal Democratic position is to oppose every one of those
restrictions on abortion, then isn't it true that they are defending all
abortions from any legalized restriction?

JDG
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Re: Infanticide

2005-05-16 Thread Alberto Monteiro
JDG wrote:

 Moreover, what you really mean is capable of being biologically separate.
I don't think that the word independent really applies to newbies -
 even without considering the role of incubators, respirators, and IV's in
 the process.   Moreover the entity is not actually separate until birth,
 what you really mean is being capable of separation.

The entity is separate even before birth: topologically, the entity
is totally separate from the entity's host. An intestinal parasite is
more attached to its host than the entity to the entity's mother.

Alberto Monteiro

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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 2:51 PM, Dan Minette wrote:
From: Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED]

I'm not arguing for that at all; I'm just suggesting that the test of
viability is somewhat vague.
I realize that you were arguing somewhat hypothetically concerning my
definition.  I was pointing out the result of using two different 
terms of
viable.
...Underscoring my point. ;)
What I'm pretty sure of is that there's a lot of arbitrary thinking
afoot when discussing pregnancy and birth. There are some who contend
that life begins at conception, and yet they celebrate birthdays as
being *genuine* anniversaries of the beginning of someone's life. That
to me is an example of how an arbitrary idea clashes with observable
behavior, which suggests at least one intellectual inconsistency.
What inconsistancy?  It celebrates an arrival date, not the beginnning 
of
life.
Not anywhere I've ever been, or indeed even heard of. DOB is used to 
calculate age in years. If the thinking (conception = life) were truly 
consistent, DOB would be totally irrelevant for calculating age in 
years.

That no one has ever in the history of birthdates been feted, at 3 
months after emergence, for being one year old simply highlights the 
inconsistency.

To me abortion is a personal decision. I don't expect it to be an easy
one when we're talking about a fairly anatomically developed fetus, 
and
I am proximally sure that legislatures need to keep their mitts out of
the oven entirely. We can't even agree, in many cases, on what basic
terms mean, such as life or viability (or self-sufficiency, to
look at it another way), and of course there's the elephant in the 
room
-- what human actually means, when it starts, etc.
But, there is a very very simple definition that is being 
ignored..location
in DNA space defines species.  If you use a functional capacity 
definition,
then you either include adults of other species or exclude a 
significant
fraction of humans that are now alive.  What's wrong with arguing that
humans are those animals that are in the human region of gene space?
We are ever so much more than the sum of our genes. If genes are to be 
the only measure of what is human and what is not, then the death 
penalty will have to be abolished, war will have to cease instantly, 
and no one will ever be able to unplug anyone connected to life support 
-- because those people all have exactly the same human rights as 
everyone else.

No, the genetic test is far too facile to work here.
and since laws require either consensus or submission to arbitrary
decisions made by
others, there would be no benefit to be found in illegalizing *any* 
kind
of
abortion.
What about civil rights laws that overturned the so called right of 
free
association?  There wasn't a consensus on those.
Not sure what you're referring to here.
--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: Infanticide Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 5:15 PM, JDG wrote:
At 04:51 PM 5/16/2005 -0500, Warren wrote:
To me abortion is a personal decision. I don't expect it to be an 
easy
one when we're talking about a fairly anatomically developed fetus, 
and
I am proximally sure that legislatures need to keep their mitts out 
of
the oven entirely.
But infanticide is also a deeply personal decision, and certainly not
expected to be an easy one.   Do you also believe that legislatures 
need to
keep their mitts out of that oven entirely as well?Or do you 
believe
that it is acceptable for legislatures to intervene in that decision?
The problem there is that your reasoning does not reduce. There is a 
distinct difference between, say, a blastocyst and an infant. The 
question is not even when the zygote becomes human. The question is 
what human actually means.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American PoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, 16 May 2005 20:23:09 -0400, JDG wrote

 If the standard liberal Democratic position is to oppose every one 
 of those restrictions on abortion, then isn't it true that they are 
 defending all abortions from any legalized restriction?

I suppose it does.  But that is dramatically different from defending 
abortion.  One can defend the legality of abortion without endorsing it.  The 
fact that something is wrong and undesirable, even horrible, cannot imply that 
it must be made illegal. Otherwise, wouldn't we have to make war illegal, for 
example?

Nick
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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American PoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I suppose it does.  But that is dramatically
 different from defending 
 abortion.  One can defend the legality of abortion
 without endorsing it.  The 
 fact that something is wrong and undesirable, even
 horrible, cannot imply that 
 it must be made illegal. Otherwise, wouldn't we have
 to make war illegal, for 
 example?
 
 Nick

We already have.  Kellogg-Briand, 1928.  They won the
Nobel Peace Prize for it.  It was signed by, among
other states, Germany, Japan, and Italy.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



Yahoo! Mail
Stay connected, organized, and protected. Take the tour:
http://tour.mail.yahoo.com/mailtour.html

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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The AmericanPoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 07:09 PM 5/16/2005 -0700, Nick wrote:
 If the standard liberal Democratic position is to oppose every one 
 of those restrictions on abortion, then isn't it true that they are 
 defending all abortions from any legalized restriction?

I suppose it does.  But that is dramatically different from defending 
abortion.  One can defend the legality of abortion without endorsing it.  

Well, Nick, here's my problem.  

Dan wrote:
 I don't see it that way.  Let's take one contraversial subject: abortion.
 The standard liberal Democratic position is to defend all abortions without
 question.  

And you responded very, very, forcefully with:

Extremist strawman hogwash.  That is neither the party position, nor much of 
anybody in it.

Yet. you have now conceded that liberal Democrats defend all abortions
from any legalized restriction - while at the same time holding that this
is dramatically different from 'defending abortion.' 

Is it fair for me to say that you are trying to stake out a *very* nuanced
position here?   

I would also point out that the statement you agreed with used the phrase
defend all abortions, which is the same phrasing Dan M. used in his
original remark, and which you may perceive as being different from
defneding abortion which you objected to in your most recent clarification.

JDG

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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The AmericanPoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 07:14 PM 5/16/2005 -0700, you wrote:
 I suppose it does.  But that is dramatically
 different from defending 
 abortion.  One can defend the legality of abortion
 without endorsing it.  The 
 fact that something is wrong and undesirable, even
 horrible, cannot imply that 
 it must be made illegal. Otherwise, wouldn't we have
 to make war illegal, for 
 example?
 
 Nick

We already have.  Kellogg-Briand, 1928.  They won the
Nobel Peace Prize for it.  It was signed by, among
other states, Germany, Japan, and Italy.

I'd also point out that if we want to extend the analogy, that if something
is considered to be undesiribale, but should still be available as a legal
resort, then one generally supports restrictions on it.

We have discussed numerous restrictions on war (even the most red-blooded
conservative doesn't believe that the US should choose a war without
restriction).On the other hand, we still don't have any examples of the
liberal Democrats supporting restrictions on abortion - and I even made the
question multiple choice! 

JDG
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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The AmericanPoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 7:23 PM, JDG wrote:
We have discussed numerous restrictions on war (even the most 
red-blooded
conservative doesn't believe that the US should choose a war without
restriction).On the other hand, we still don't have any examples 
of the
liberal Democrats supporting restrictions on abortion - and I even 
made the
question multiple choice!
This could be because the label liberal fits, hmm? ;)
--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: Infanticide Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread JDG
At 07:03 PM 5/16/2005 -0700, Warren wrote:
The problem there is that your reasoning does not reduce. There is a 
distinct difference between, say, a blastocyst and an infant. The 
question is not even when the zygote becomes human. The question is 
what human actually means.

If the answer is homo sapiens its actually a rather easy question.

JDG
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Re: Infanticide Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On May 16, 2005, at 7:34 PM, JDG wrote:
At 07:03 PM 5/16/2005 -0700, Warren wrote:
The problem there is that your reasoning does not reduce. There is a
distinct difference between, say, a blastocyst and an infant. The
question is not even when the zygote becomes human. The question is
what human actually means.
If the answer is homo sapiens its actually a rather easy question.
It's the easiest answers of which we should often be most suspicious. 
As I suggested in my note to Dan, extending the epithet human to 
every member of the species is an ideal and nothing more; in reality we 
barely allow that label to be placed on fellow countrymen with whom we 
do not agree, let alone other cultures.

The issue of what it is to be human lies at the core of some of our 
most divisive debates, I think. Abortion, capital punishment, 
end-of-life issues and elective wars (any elective war, not just the 
one frequently bandied about here) often, I think, boil down to the 
basic question of what we mean when we say human.

(Hmm, an aside -- it occurs to me that perhaps *all* wars are definable 
as elective. Someone always chooses to attack.)

As an example, unless one believes in the idea of a soul I don't think 
it's possible to suggest -- realistically -- that many members of this 
species (by strict definition) are human in many ways.

That sounds callous and brutal, or rather that suggestion can be used 
to reach callous and brutal conclusions, but unless we analyze what's 
really meant by our definitions of these seemingly transparent terms, 
there's no way any kind of discussion can go forward.

The problem as I see it is partly that many *do* believe in the idea of 
souls, which is -- sorry -- really not much more than superstition. 
There's never been anything like proof -- nor even evidence of a 
meaningful nature -- to suggest such a thing as a soul exists. Thus a 
discussion that begins with assuming the presence of a soul, to me, is 
based on a false premise.

Is a one-week-old zygote human? Genetically, sure, maybe even 
potentially. Actually? I don't think the question is so easily 
answered. Same for someone who's completely brain dead and on life 
support. Now, how about a third trimester fetus? Or someone in a PVS 
who appears to evince consciousness in rare and random ways? Those 
questions should be even more difficult to answer.

What about people who do brutal things deliberately? Is the label 
human applicable to, say, the BTK killer? Or the freaks of nature who 
raped and murdered those poor girls in Florida, or that Illinois 
creature that beat his daughter and her best friend, then stabbed them 
to death?

Easy labels are troubling to me. They rarely seem to apply universally 
when they're analyzed, and for that reason alone I think it's very 
risky to behave as though such abstractions represent anything but a 
hint about the way the world really is. This further suggests that we 
should not feel confident enough about those labels to begin using them 
to make universally-applicable decisions such as laws.

Until we can find or agree on a true, working definition of human, 
then, it seems very clear to me that there are some grey areas to which 
no law should be applied, because there will always be some cases in 
which those laws are inappropriate or insufficient to address 
circumstances.

The other problem I see with such an apparently straightforward 
definition is that it overlooks the simple truth that we share this 
planet with several other intelligent species. It arrogates to us alone 
certain traits that we can't be sure don't exist in other organisms, 
such as self-awareness or consciousness (whatever *that* word 
means...), and I'm not comfortable personally with applying to h. 
sapiens alone possession of those traits.

--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress The Seven-Year Mirror
http://www.nightwares.com/books/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf
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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American PoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Monday, May 16, 2005 9:09 PM
Subject: Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American
PoliticalLandscape Today


 On Mon, 16 May 2005 20:23:09 -0400, JDG wrote

  If the standard liberal Democratic position is to oppose every one
  of those restrictions on abortion, then isn't it true that they are
  defending all abortions from any legalized restriction?

 I suppose it does.  But that is dramatically different from defending
 abortion.  One can defend the legality of abortion without endorsing it.

Which is what I was referring to by saying defend abortions.  It is amazing
how close our language is on this. .  I would have used endorsing abortion
for saying it was inherently a good thing.

Also, by talking about aborition as reproductive rights one does defend
it as a fundamental human rightwhich actually goes beyond simply
defending the legality of it.

Finally, given the fact that I was specifically referring to polls on the
legality of abortion, I still don't see why it was such a stretch to see
that this is what I meant.  I'm always happy to clarify, but I'm not sure
why calling my ideas radical is considered a reasonable way to ask for such
a clarification.  All I did was look at the data and drew a conclusion from
the numbers...while giving others a chance to draw their own conclusion.

The  fact that something is wrong and undesirable, even horrible, cannot
imply that
 it must be made illegal.

It must not also be the least worse option.  Killing in self defense is
legal for this reason, even for private citizens.

Otherwise, wouldn't we have to make war illegal, for  example?

Well, if there were an international constitution for a Federated Republic
of the World that supported rights for all and that was backed by the World
Police Force which was backed by the International Guard, then that would
be a reasonable thing to do. In the absence of the ability to enforce such
a law fairly, it is merely words on paper, as WWII showed.

Dan M.


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