I'm on the county health board here, they are extremely worried about what
is to come. They say the "peak" and "flattening" isn't expected till Mid
May. They have not released that to the public yet because they don't want
to create panic but sounds like this lockdown could be a new way of life
for at least a few months. They are also talking about the possibility of
refrigerated semi trailers for the dead bodies if they get that many. Our
county population is over 40,000 and between the two hospitals here they
have only 8 ventilators. If just one half of 1 percent of the population
here needs critical care that is over 200 people. The two hospitals here
are only setup for a couple dozen ICU beds each. Traditionally trauma
patients that come in here are forwarded to one of the bigger cities which
will not be an option due to overstretched resources in the bigger cities
and them having even bigger problems than us. Consider that some of the
data suggests 10-20% of the infected will need hospitalized you start to
grasp the real threat to the healthcare system. Trump knows all this, he
was probably briefed with the numbers over a month ago. He would not be
tanking the economy right now if this wasn't a real threat of happening. If
it wasn't for the travel ban we would probably be right there with Italy as
we speak...

On Fri, Mar 20, 2020 at 12:21 AM Mathew Howard <mhoward...@gmail.com> wrote:

> It's especially bad when revolting people revolt...
>
> On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 11:01 PM Jason McKemie <
> j.mcke...@veloxinetbroadband.com> wrote:
>
>> People are revolting, but they will start to revolt...
>>
>> On Thursday, March 19, 2020, James Howard <ja...@litewire.net> wrote:
>>
>>> are you saying that you're not revolting now?   Makes me think of the 3
>>> Stooges line "I resemble that remark"......
>>>
>>> Oh wait.  Did you mean that people will start to revolt?  Hmmm....  I
>>> thought you meant people were going to be revolting and most people already
>>> are.....
>>> ------------------------------
>>> *From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> on behalf of Jason McKemie <
>>> j.mcke...@veloxinetbroadband.com>
>>> *Sent:* Thursday, March 19, 2020 8:37:51 PM
>>> *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
>>> *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: virus anomalies
>>>
>>> Yeah, you can't have businesses closed past then or you're going to have
>>> people revolting (myself included).
>>>
>>> On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 3:43 PM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> The isolation can not last more than a few weeks, or maybe a month -
>>>> month and a half. At that point, we should have reduced the number of
>>>> walking infections without symptoms, and maybe have the ability to actually
>>>> test for it. After that, it's a crap shoot.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> bp
>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 3/19/2020 1:18 PM, Mike Hammett wrote:
>>>>
>>>> With "flatten the curve" as your primary tool expected to take years
>>>> and people only able to half pay attention for a few weeks, we'll have to
>>>> find something else.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> -----
>>>> Mike Hammett
>>>> Intelligent Computing Solutions <http://www.ics-il.com/>
>>>> <https://www.facebook.com/ICSIL>
>>>> <https://plus.google.com/+IntelligentComputingSolutionsDeKalb>
>>>> <https://www.linkedin.com/company/intelligent-computing-solutions>
>>>> <https://twitter.com/ICSIL>
>>>> Midwest Internet Exchange <http://www.midwest-ix.com/>
>>>> <https://www.facebook.com/mdwestix>
>>>> <https://www.linkedin.com/company/midwest-internet-exchange>
>>>> <https://twitter.com/mdwestix>
>>>> The Brothers WISP <http://www.thebrotherswisp.com/>
>>>> <https://www.facebook.com/thebrotherswisp>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> <https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCXSdfxQv7SpoRQYNyLwntZg>
>>>> ------------------------------
>>>> *From: *"Bill Prince" <part15...@gmail.com> <part15...@gmail.com>
>>>> *To: *af@af.afmug.com
>>>> *Sent: *Thursday, March 19, 2020 2:54:45 PM
>>>> *Subject: *Re: [AFMUG] OT: virus anomalies
>>>>
>>>> The "plan" (no jokes please) seems to be short term isolation to try
>>>> and flatten the curve. With that, all the infected people not having
>>>> symptoms will become immune (to some extent) and no longer be contagious. I
>>>> don't think we can keep people bottled up for more than a few weeks.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> bp
>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 3/19/2020 12:49 PM, Adam Moffett wrote:
>>>>
>>>> Has anybody laid out what the long term plan is?
>>>>
>>>> We can't keep everybody at home forever and we can't stop all
>>>> international trade and travel so sooner or later the virus has to run it's
>>>> course, or so it seems to me.
>>>>
>>>> I know we're trying to slow down the spread so we don't overwhelm the
>>>> hospital capacity and that's great.  Are we going to somehow reduce social
>>>> isolation over time in a controlled way, or will social isolation end
>>>> organically as people get sick of staying home?
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 3/19/2020 3:16 PM, Steve Jones wrote:
>>>>
>>>> I dont know how many times i need to point out this logic
>>>>
>>>> The US is undercounted, thats a given. undercounting does not equate
>>>> hidden numbers of magnitude
>>>>
>>>> Heres the logic thats completely being ignored
>>>>
>>>> The deaths associated with COVID19 that werent tested would have been
>>>> attributed to flu
>>>> There has been no reported increase in flu deaths per the anticipated
>>>> rates this year
>>>>
>>>> The testing that has been done is very promising. Yesterdays counts of
>>>> those tested were running around 8 percent positive. This does NOT equate
>>>> to 8 percent of the population. The "administration bad, nobody can just go
>>>> get a test for curiousity" argument further strengthens this as a promising
>>>> number. The ONLY people being tested for the most part, are those in the
>>>> very high probability category. So of those assumed to be infected, only 8
>>>> percent of them actually are.
>>>>
>>>> We still havent hit globally the number of infections and deaths from
>>>> the swine flu in the US alone. let me reiterate this GLOBALLY TODAY, there
>>>> are less sick and dead, than from swine flu in the US ALONE. The current
>>>> response is such that has never been seen in the history of the planet.
>>>>
>>>> Inmates are an issue, with a guard and an inmate at rikers island
>>>> infected now, we have a national issue. if we dump the prisons, not only do
>>>> we have a ton of criminals on the street, we have hundreds of thousands of
>>>> indigent on the streets in the middle of a pandemic. (maybe not having
>>>> locked up such a percentage of the population in the first place is a whole
>>>> other OT rant). Iran dumped 70k inmates on the streets, i cant imagine that
>>>> having helped their situation.
>>>>
>>>> Morons on spring break making a point of interacting even more than
>>>> they normally would have is illogical enough to eliminate any logic.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 2:00 PM Mathew Howard <mhoward...@gmail.com>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> I don't know that Russia's numbers are terribly inaccurate... it's
>>>>> really just starting to spread there now, and the numbers aren't far off
>>>>> what other countries reported early on, and the cases they have reported
>>>>> are almost all in Moscow. They also have much tighter border controls than
>>>>> most of the world, and they're going on lockdown earlier into the outbreak
>>>>> than most countries did... so it's not unbelievable that they'd have low
>>>>> numbers at this point.
>>>>>
>>>>> But who knows what's really going on in some of these countries... it
>>>>> certainly wouldn't surprise me if China is lying about their numbers, it
>>>>> all depends on what they think is in their best interests at this point,
>>>>> and I don't trust any information from or about North Korea, no matter 
>>>>> what
>>>>> the source is, but the high level of government control over everything in
>>>>> North Korea could certainly give them an advantage in this situation.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 1:42 PM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com>
>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> North Korea, Iraq, Iran, Russia, India, Mexico. I heard something on
>>>>>> NPR this morning about mass graves in Iran. It may be years (or never)
>>>>>> before we understand the scope of this.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> bp
>>>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 3/19/2020 11:37 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I still believe North Korea has a huge problem that they are covering
>>>>>> up.  Especially in the labor camps.  Communal sleeping barns etc.  No
>>>>>> sanitation facilities.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> *From:* Bill Prince
>>>>>> *Sent:* Thursday, March 19, 2020 12:34 PM
>>>>>> *To:* af@af.afmug.com
>>>>>> *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: virus anomalies
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Only if they attribute it properly. There is plenty of data to
>>>>>> indicate that deaths have been incorrectly attributed,
>>>>>>
>>>>>> bp
>>>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 3/19/2020 11:09 AM, James Howard wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> the death count is the death count
>>>>>>
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