Re: AI-GEOSTATS: RES: Tomorrow: Webinar: April 28th, Applied Example of Data Science Technology

2015-04-28 Thread Isobel Clark
 Is it just me or does this advert say Monday 28th April??
http://www.kriging.com/whereisshe.htm
  From: Marcus Mattos Riether marcus.riet...@caixaseguros.com.br
 To: Lisa Solomon li...@salford-systems.com; ai-geostats@jrc.it 
ai-geostats@jrc.it 
 Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2015 11:43 AM
 Subject: AI-GEOSTATS: RES: Tomorrow: Webinar: April 28th, Applied Example of 
Data Science Technology
   
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{margin-bottom:0cm;}#yiv7785629914 ul {margin-bottom:0cm;}#yiv7785629914 Dear 
Lisa, I had already filled-up my agenda for today at the time of seminar. I 
would be very happy if you could send me a recording. Best regards,    
|  |  |  |

   
| 
|  |  |  |

 |  |

   
|   | Marcus M Riether
Gerente de Resseguro
Gerência de Resseguro - GERSEG
Diretoria Técnica e de Controle de Riscos - DIRAT
Tel + 55 61 2192 2759  |

      

De: gregoire.dub...@gmail.com [mailto:gregoire.dub...@gmail.com]Em nome de Lisa 
Solomon
Enviada em: segunda-feira, 27 de abril de 2015 16:52
Para: ai-geostats@jrc.it
Assunto: AI-GEOSTATS: Tomorrow: Webinar: April 28th, Applied Example of Data 
Science Technology    Webinar: Monday, April 28th This webinar will be a 
step-by-step presentation that you can repeat on yourown geo, spatial AND 
APPLIED datasets!Although the focus is ROI and Business,corresponding GEO and 
SpatialApplications include: scenario planning, risk 

Re: AI-GEOSTATS: The END of alghalandis.com

2013-02-06 Thread Isobel Clark
Sorry to see you go.
Isobel
 


 From: Younes Fadakar yfa.st...@ymail.com
To: Ask Geostatisticians ai-geostats@jrc.it 
Cc: alghalan...@ymail.com alghalan...@ymail.com 
Sent: Wednesday, February 6, 2013 6:48 AM
Subject: AI-GEOSTATS: The END of alghalandis.com
  



Dear All,

Just to let you know that I don't maintain the web-site (address) 
http://alghalandis.com anymore!
You are more than welcome however to contact me via emails: 
alghalan...@ymail.com or yfa.st...@ymail.com


Best Regards,

Younes
yfa.st...@ymail.com




AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Backtransforming variance

2010-05-05 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi
 
Some of my own thoughts on backtransforming the variance go as follows:
 
the backtransform for the variance in lognormal theory is exp{logarithmic 
variance-1} times the square of the mean. In kriging this would adapt to 
exp{logarithmic kriging variance-1} times the estimated value squared. Again 
you can substitute 10 for exp if you use log10 for all the calculations. 
 
However, this is not useful for producing confidence levels since the lognormal 
does not follow the Central Limit Theory and a Normal approximation does not 
work in practice.
 
Better to use lognormal theory such as described on the second page of my 
extract. The 'Psi' factors provide multiplicative factors for confidence 
levels, i.e. you multiply the Psi factor by the estimated value to get a 
confidence.
 
It really depends why you want to backtransform the variance. For a map, 
backtransform the variance, maybe just use exp{kriging variance-1} for a 
relative variance. For confidence levels, use the Psi factors.
 
Hope this helps
Isobel
http://www.kriging.com

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: large dataset and variography...estimation...sim

2010-04-21 Thread Isobel Clark
Younes

You can try what we used to do in the bad old days when it took 20 minutes to 
calculate a semi-variogram on 1,000 samples -- moving windows.

Choose a sub-region size which includes about 1,000 samples. Calculate and 
graph from the samples in this window. Shift half-a-window in one direction. 
Repeat. Then display all of your graphs as a 'map' for each level. 

In 1981, I covered the floor of an empty meeting room with computer print out 
;-)

Thank god for graphics. This approach has the added advantage of being able to 
visually assess stationarity or lack-of. Only then should you consider 
modelling.

Isobel
http://www.kriging.com/shopping/EcoSSe_3D_details.htm



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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Wikipedia geostatistics article

2010-01-11 Thread Isobel Clark
Can I offer a couple of rough attempts from our web collections:

http://www.kriging.com/whatiskriging.html 

is a short description for those coming to geostats cold and 

http://www.kriging.com/RSMA1978/

is a 500 word article I was persuaded to write for the student magazine at the 
Royal Scool of Mines 30 years ago. They wanted a simple explanation!! 

Feel free to use anything you find useful. I did try registering for editing 
articles on Wikipedia but failed to discover how to make amendments stick!!

Good luck and keep us posted.
Isobel



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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Sign of the Lagrange Multiplier Used in Back-transform

2009-12-21 Thread Isobel Clark
Yang

Yes the lagrangian multipier is subtracted, assuming you used the 
semi-variogram in your kriging equations. If you use the covariance, it is 
added. 

The extra terms in the back transform are to correct for the difference between 
the variance of the true values and the variance of the estimators. If you are 
estimating at points, the estimator is a weighted average which will have a 
smaller variance than single point values. Back transforming values with a 
smaller variance will bias the estimates downwards.

If you want unbiassed estimated values, you have to follow the formula. 

Hope this helps
Isobel

http://drisobelclark.kriging.com

--- On Mon, 21/12/09, yang yu fareyouw...@gmail.com wrote:

 From: yang yu fareyouw...@gmail.com
 Subject: AI-GEOSTATS: Sign of the Lagrange Multiplier Used in Back-transform
 To: ai-geostats@jrc.it
 Date: Monday, 21 December, 2009, 21:02
 Hello all,
  
 I'm trying to apply the lognormal kriging method
 to a highly negatively skewed dataset (data were reflected
 first). The back_transform formula given in the reference
 book takes the following form:
 
 Z(x) = EXP[ EstimatedValue + KrigingVariance/s -
 LagrangeMultiplier]
 
 
 in which the Lagrange multiplier is subtracted from the the
 first 2 items. Is this formula assuming that the Lagrange
 multiplier value calculated for each block/cell is POSITIVE?
 All of the Lagrange values I got for my dataset are
 NEGATIVE. In this case, should the negative Lagrange values
 be ADDED to the first 2 items?
 
 
 Many thanks for any guidance and happy hollidays
  
 Regards,
 Yang
 

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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Unconditional simulation

2009-11-17 Thread Isobel Clark
Nick

The simplest way would be to do a aussian simulation and then do a rank 
transfrom on the results, I think.

Isobel
http://www.kriging.com

--- On Tue, 17/11/09, Nick Hamm n...@hamm.org wrote:

 From: Nick Hamm n...@hamm.org
 Subject: AI-GEOSTATS: Unconditional simulation
 To: r-sig-...@stat.math.ethz.ch, ai-geostats@jrc.it
 Date: Tuesday, 17 November, 2009, 9:06
 Dear all
 
 I want to simulate a spatially-correlated random field
 which follows a
 uniform rather than than Gaussian distribution.  Does
 anybody know a
 straight-forward way to do this?
 
 Nick
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Straightforward calculation of (cross-) covariogram (covariance function)?

2009-07-01 Thread Isobel Clark

Meng

Your question sounds very complicated, so forgive me if I give a simplistic 
answer. Read our 1987 paper called a novel approach to co-kriging which 
explains what is now known as the non-co-located cross semi-variogram. You 
can download a copy from my personal website at:

http://drisobelclark.kriging.com/resume/

Follow Publications link. Noel Cressie's book on Statistics for Spatial Data is 
probably a good definitive reference for co-kriging of both co-located and 
non-co-located types, although it is heavily mathematical.

Computationally, it uses all observations on both variables and is faster than 
calculating the ordinary semi-variogram on the larger data set. I cannot speak 
for the software you are using, but that is certainly how ours behaves. 

You are correct that the sill will be biassed downwards if the overall mean is 
estimated. However, the bias should be equal to the variance of the error on 
the estimation of that mean, which should be minimal compared to the variance 
between individual samples -- even for a small data set. 

Isobel

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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: 3D Kriging neighborhood size

2009-01-07 Thread Isobel Clark
Greg

The answers to your questions depend heavily on what sort of data you have and 
what software you are using. 

If you are using borehole or other drilling data, sections of core down a hole 
will tend to get very similar weights. Most mining packages recommend 
compositing up into lengths of core equivalent to your block (bench) height. In 
this way you can effectively use more sampling but still have a reasonably 
small number of equations to solve.

If you are working with other 3D sampling, for example fisheries or 
meteorological data, which is irregular in 3D then the number of samples is 
more sensitive. 

There are many varied attitudes to negative weights, but they are usually the 
computer's way of telling you to narrow your search ;-)

Most software packages have a limitation on the number of equations they can 
solve and this will reflect the confidence of the programmer in the computer's 
precision. It really has nothing to do with the kriging as such.  We use a 
maximum of 80, for example. 

Personally, I do not use samples outside the range of influence unless I am 
doing Universal Kriging or Kriging with external drift, where they are useful 
in characterising the trend component. 

If you have very sparse data, this can lead to strange artifacts as the search 
sphere moves and single samples drop out and come in. This is not a fault of 
the kriging, but of the paucity of your data -- a sign you need more samples, 
in plainer talk! Smoothing these out by increasing your search radius can be 
misleading since the map looks acceptable when it is actually very unreliable.  

If you have very dense data, reduce your search radius down from the range of 
influence. Otherwise you will use a lot of computer time just tracking down the 
closest samples. 

Hope this helps and look forward to other viewpoints. Happy New Year!

Isobel
http://www.kriging.com

--- On Wed, 7/1/09, Greg White gregwh...@inbox.com wrote:

 From: Greg White gregwh...@inbox.com
 Subject: AI-GEOSTATS: 3D Kriging neighborhood size
 To: ai-geostats@jrc.it
 Date: Wednesday, 7 January, 2009, 4:28 PM
 All, 
 
 First of all a happy 2009 to everyone!
 
 I have a few (beginner?) questions about the neighborhood
 size (number of points) for Kriging, in particular in 3D:
 
 1) Firstly, I would just like to hear some user experiences
 - what number have you used in the past? Was that 3D? What
 range of numbers would you normally test?
 
 2) If I understand correctly, Kriging weights can become
 negative, but I get the impression that normally the large
 majority of the weights are positive. Could I therefore
 assume that if I use 100 points, then the smallest weights
 are likely to be (much) smaller than 0.01?
 
 3) I understand that (except for simple Kriging), it can be
 usefull to use a larger search neighborhood than the
 variogram range. What about the opposite, if you have
 relatively dense sampling, and there are many points within,
 say, one tenth of the range?
 
 Many thanks,
 Greg
 
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: DDH vs BH

2008-07-31 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi
   
  I tackled a similar problem back in the early 80s on a South-African Pb-Zn 
project where percussion holes had been used to infill a previous diamond 
drilling campaign. The company allowed me to publish the results. The reference 
is:
   
  Clark, I, 1983: Reserve estimation -- a geostatistical case study on the 
comparability of drilling methods in Surface Mining and Quarrying, Inst. Min. 
Metall., London, pp.135- 144
   
  and a copy can be read or downloaded from my personal web page at:
   
  http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume (follow publications link).
   
  I also find a variation of cross validation useful where you use the 
suspect results as the actual values and the more reliable data set to 
provide the estimates. This is useful particularly for highlighting bias 
between the sampling methods. It is discussed in my 1979 APCOM paper Does 
Geostatistics Work? but I have used it often right up to the present for 
comparing sampling methods, dates of sampling and so on.
   
  Hope this helps
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com
  

M. Nur Heriawan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Dear list,

I am doing the structural analysis for Pb-Zn grade in 3D. In the first step, I 
have used the diamond drill hole (DDH exploration) data. Then I work separately 
using blast hole (BH) data with number of data is much larger than DDH, but BH 
data cover the area much less wider in 3D space compare to DDH data. I would 
like to check the spatial consistency of Pb-Zn grade by statistics and 
variography analysis between DDH and BH. In this case is interesting also to 
discuss about change of support as the BH data have much closer spacing compare 
to DDH data, and BH result sludges/cuttings compare to DDH which result cores 
for assay data. I am performing the analysis for each rocktypes group (domain). 

I will be happy if anyone here in the list could share or suggest me any 
references related to this subject.

Thank you for kind help and attention.

Regards,
---
M. Nur Heriawan
Earth Resources Exploration Research Group
Faculty of Mining and Petroleum Engineering
Institut Teknologi Bandung (ITB)
Jl. Ganesha 10 Bandung 40132 INDONESIA
http://www.mining.itb.ac.id/heriawan




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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: coordinates units and semivariogram calculation

2008-04-13 Thread Isobel Clark
Pedro
   
  Why don't you work with the original co-ordinates? X in cm Y in metres. So 
long as you do not expect the semi-variogram to be isotropic, it does not 
matter what units you use. So long as you know, the computer does not need to!
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

Pedro Mardones [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Dear list members;

I would like to have any opinion (or suggestion) about the following
situation. I have a collection of data points spatially arranged on a
12 by 11 grid where the horizontal axis was measured in cm at 1 cm
intervals (from 1 to 12 cm) and the vertical axis was measured in
meters at 1.5 m intervals (from 1.5 to 16.5 m). The data set doesn't
represent a portion of land but instead they are points within a
(wood) pole that were assessed for some physical properties. That's
the reason of such dissimilar coordinates units.

I would like to create a map using these measured locations by
interpolating the information of interest
on a set of non-observed points within the grid. I tried by expressing
all the values in cm or m, but that didn't work well. For example, if
I express everything in cm, the max distance on the vertical direction
is of course much bigger than the max dist observed on the x-axis.

I'm wondering what could be the best way to approach the problem when
I have such a
different scales on the coordinates. Is it possible to express the
coordinates in a relative scale (0-1) instead of Cartesian coordinates
and then perform the analysis to obtain the variograms by having a
relative measure of h instead an absolute one?

Thanks in advance and sorry for cross postings

PM
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Adjusted ANOVA and power model, SAS PROC Mixed

2008-04-09 Thread Isobel Clark
Tomas
   
  This is probably the model also known as the generalised linear:
   
  gamma(h)=nugget effect + slope x distance-to-a-power
   
  parameters are slope and power for distance. 
   
  I may be wrong!!
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

tomas hlasny [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Dear all,
I am calculating ANOVA adjusted for spatial autocorrelation using SAS 
Proc Mixed. It uses variogram to reduce the number of degrees of 
freedom. Can somebody help me, how to define a power model? Normaly, the 
parameters are sill, range (resp. scale), exponent and nugget 
respectively. However, as I found in SAS manual that power models is 
defined only using 2 params.
Can somebody help?
Thank`s a lot
Best regards
Tomas

Dr. TomᚠHlásny
NATIONAL FOREST CENTRE
Department of Ecology and Biodiversity of Forest Ecosystems
--
T. G. Masaryka st. 22, SK-96092 Zvolen
Slovak Republic
http://www.nlcsk.org/
phone: +421/45/532 03 16
fax: +421/45/531 41 92




NARODNE LESNICKE CENTRUM
http://www.nlcsk.org

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n:Hlasny;Tomas
org:National Forest Centre - Forest Research Institute;Ecology and Biodiversity 
of Forest Ecosystems
adr:;;T. G. Masaryka 22;Zvolen;;96001;Slovakia
email;internet:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
title:Dr.
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Help with variogram

2008-03-30 Thread Isobel Clark
Fernando
   
  Thank you for your email. I do not know much about variowin and am not up to 
speed on semi-variograms in Surfer so I am posting your query on the 
ai-geostats site. I am sure that some of our members can help you out. 
   
  Email me again if you get no help ;-)
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

Fernando Cruz [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Hello,
   
  I'm a miner engineering student from University of Porto, I was wondering if 
you could help me with a work I have to do.
   
  I'm a starter in Geostatistic, and I'm having some problems in finding a 
relation between data from surface sismic and from shaft sismic. The thing is 
that I've some oil research data do you think you can send me a methodology to 
use surfer or variowin and to find some kind of relation between these to data 
files.
   
  I've from shaft data (check shots) the x,y and z coordinates and I've info 
about TWT, Average speed through horizonte. 
   
  I've from surface data (VSP) the TWT and average speed through horizonte.
   
  I've info about the six horizonts.
   
  So, let me thank you in advance and forgive me for asking these things but 
I'm really needing some kind of help.
   
  Best regards 
   
  Fernando Cruz
   
   
   



AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Numerical method to solve kriging equations

2008-03-28 Thread Isobel Clark
Adrian
   
  It is a common misconception that using the covariance (total sill - 
semi-variogram) rather than the semi-variogram brings more robust solutions. 
You get exactly the same answer either way since one is just a constant minus 
the other.
   
  You can avoid solution problems by simple pivoting or by putting the 
condition equation first -- sum of weights equals 1. 
   
  If you look at the details of the solution, you generally only have to pivot 
the first equation to remove the diagonal zeroes.
   
  Isobel
  http://courses.kriging.com
  

Adrian Martínez Vargas [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
What about to produce “pseudo covariance” to replace kriging matrix 
in term of variogram to make more efficient the numerical solution of the 
system?  The ceros in the matrix diagonal are a problem in robustness and 
efficiency!
   
  Some one knows how to implement something like that? Papers/books can be 
useful! 

- Original Message - 
  From: Adrian Martínez Vargas 
  To: ai-geostats@jrc.it 
  Sent: Friday, March 28, 2008 5:23 PM
  Subject: Numerical method to solve kriging equations
  

Hello dear list
   
  What numerical method give faster and robust solution to kriging equations. 
What to us as C++ library (for example TNT and JAMA?). It is usual to use 
cholesky in the case of simple kriging.
   
  I will appreciate your advice and experiences.
   
  Best regards
  Dr. Adrian Martínez Vargas 
Revista Minería y Geología 
ISMM, Las Coloradas, s/n 
Moa, Holguín, 
Cuba 
CP. 83329 
http://www.ismm.edu.cu/revistamg/index.htm





Re: AI-GEOSTATS: kriging or IDW in case study of hydrology?

2008-02-19 Thread Isobel Clark
Andrea
   
  In theory kriging will honour the sample values provided your semi-variogram 
model takes the value zero at zero distance.
   
  Whether the data are honoured or not depends on which computer package you 
use and what it does with the semi-variogram at zero. You can force this 
behaviour by replacing any nugget effect with a short range model component. 
For example a spherical component with a range of influence of 10cm or some 
such.
   
  See our completely free and public domain kriging game, for how the kriging 
system works.
   
  By the way, IDW will only honour your sample values if the algorithms are 
written with the same criterion.
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

Andrea Peruzzi [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Dear list,
I'm graduate student in hydrogeology, I've to spatialize data of
reservoir thickness, and I need to achieve a map having exactly the
sampled value in the sampled localization (piezometers). I've little
experience in geostatatistics.
I had a look at kriging algorithms, but I did understand that kriging
does not preserve the sampled value at sampled locations but it tends
to smooth results, even if estimates correctly the unsampled space. So
I wonder why should I use Kriging instead IDW (which it should
preserve my sampled values): kriging respects the spatial variability
but do not respect data
As I told you before, I've very small knowledge in geostatistics
stuff, but I'm interesting in kriging.
Could anyone help me?
Thanks a lot,

Andrea Peruzzi

PS: I apologize for writing you again but it's the first time I'm
writing you, then I'm not sure how the mailing list works. Thanks :-)
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Correlation between kriging residuals and input data

2008-01-30 Thread Isobel Clark
Gregoire
   
  The correlation between actual value and error of estimation is always 
present to some extent and is simply due to the estimation process. High values 
will b eunderestimated from neighbouring samples. Low values will be 
overestimated from neighbouring samples. The only way you can remove this is by 
using a more complex estimator than a weighted average.
   
  Have you plotted the actual value versus the estimates? This will tell you 
whether you are getting any meaningful prediction or not. Generally, the 
stronger the correlation here the less you'll get with the errors. 
   
  FYI: we use (actual - estimate) in our discussions. Not sure why, just a 
personal preference. 
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com
   
  

Monica Palaseanu-Lovejoy [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
Hi, 

If there is a very high nugget effect i would expect that the predictions are 
very close to the mean of the data, with very little variation. In this case 
you would get a very high correlation (either close to 1 or -1 - depending on 
how you calculated the residuals). Did you check for local outliers??? If you 
have a high percentage of local outliers kriging is not a good choice - in my 
experience -  stationarity is usually violated, and the predictions are very 
poor indeed. Maybe you should investigate other methods of interpolations . 
one of my favorite is multiquadric radial basis function which in many cases 
can be compared with kriging, performs better when a high percentage of local 
outliers exist, and does not require stationarity. 

Monica 


Monica Palaseanu-Lovejoy, PhD
Jacobs Technology
US Geological Survey
Florida Integrated Science Center
600 4th Street South
St. Petersburg, FL 33701
Ph: 727-803-8747 x 3068
Fx: 727-803-2031
email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 


Gregoire Dubois [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent by: [EMAIL PROTECTED]   01/30/2008 06:59 AM   Please respond to
Gregoire Dubois [EMAIL PROTECTED]


To
  ai-geostats@jrc.it   cc
Subject
  AI-GEOSTATS: Correlation between kriging residuals and input data
  



Dear list,   Having fit a variogram to a dataset (indoor radon measurements) 
and applied cross-validations, I noticed the perfect negative correlation 
(-0.95) between my kriging residuals and my input data.   This means that I am 
overestimating as much the low values as I am underestimating the high values, 
something I am expecting since the mean of the residuals  - 0, a property of 
kriging. Fine so far.   What I am puzzled about is of the possible reasons of 
getting such a strong slope (close to -1) of the plot of my residuals against 
my input data?   This, I understand, highlights that I am doing a systematic 
error somewhere which I want to avoid obviously. I thought I extracted properly 
the spatially correlated component of my dataset (the variogram of my residuals 
seems to show a pure nugget effect) but I still can't find any reasonable 
explanation for the systematic errors.   Any hints? I must have missed 
something obvious here.   Many thanks for any feedback.   Best
 regards,   Gregoire   



Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Variogram

2008-01-14 Thread Isobel Clark
Jamina
   
  Different software packages have different requirements for defining 
anisotropy. Some will allow you to define completely a model for each major 
axis of the anisotropy ellipse. The simplest (geometric anisotropy) just accept 
anisotropy 'factors' for the range of influence.
   
  In my experience, zonal anisotropy usually indicates geological 
non-homogeneity and/or discontinuities. For example, you may have a fult line 
which increases the apparent sill when you cross it. Or you may have different 
geological zones, again increasing the sill when you cross from one to the 
other. 
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

Jamina Dogic [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  

Dear experts,
   
  I¢ll be very grateful if you can help me with following question.
  I am geologist, and I need to use variogram for ore estimation process. I 
have problem with managing data in variography.
   I am looking at variation of cooper content in porphyry type of deposit and 
I did variograms in 4 directions. 0, 45, 90 and 135 degrees. I have both 
geometric and zonal anisotropy.  My question is connected with final variogram 
model, does it means that I need to produce only one model of variogram which 
will be suitable for all 4 directions, some kind of average variogram model for 
all direction.
   Thanks in advance
  Jasmina Beljic
  Belgrade, Serbia



  
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Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Variogram

2008-01-14 Thread Isobel Clark
The general method is to try to apply the same sort of shape in each direction, 
changing the range of influence for the different directions. 
   
  Have you tried looking at semi-variogram maps. These can often help with 
anisotropy when individual directional semi-variograms are vague.
   
  Isobel

enayat khojasteh [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Dear Mrs. Clark,

As you have mentioned,anisotropy is an important aspect in modeling.
For me one question always,is: although,we have usually rather strong 
structures in vertical direction, the horizontal direction is very much vague 
and with changing every graphical parameters or search parameters,it is changed 
very much.
1-If every change in such parameters affect our models how can we trust them?
2- Is there any possibility to make a link between vertical and horizontal 
variograms ( so that we may improve,the horizontal variogram,with the help of 
vertical variogram)?
 I would appreciate to have your idea about it.

Kind Regards
E. R. Khojasteh


Isobel Clark [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:Jamina
   
  Different software packages have different requirements for defining 
anisotropy. Some will allow you to define completely a model for each major 
axis of the anisotropy ellipse. The simplest (geometric anisotropy) just accept 
anisotropy 'factors' for the range of influence.
   
  In my experience, zonal anisotropy usually indicates geological 
non-homogeneity and/or discontinuities. For example, you may have a fult line 
which increases the apparent sill when you cross it. Or you may have different 
geological zones, again increasing the sill when you cross from one to the 
other. 
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

Jamina Dogic [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  

Dear experts,
   
  I¢ll be very grateful if you can help me with following question.
  I am geologist, and I need to use variogram for ore estimation process. I 
have problem with managing data in variography.
   I am looking at variation of cooper content in porphyry type of deposit and 
I did variograms in 4 directions. 0, 45, 90 and 135 degrees. I have both 
geometric and zonal anisotropy.  My question is connected with final variogram 
model, does it means that I need to produce only one model of variogram which 
will be suitable for all 4 directions, some kind of average variogram model for 
all direction.
   Thanks in advance
  Jasmina Beljic
  Belgrade, Serbia



  
-
  Never miss a thing. Make Yahoo your homepage. 




  
-
  Never miss a thing. Make Yahoo your homepage. 


-
  Never miss a thing. Make Yahoo your homepage. 


Re: AI-GEOSTATS: New geostatistical open source software

2008-01-08 Thread Isobel Clark
Why, thank you, Adrian. I like to strike a happy balance between sticking with 
what I know and being open to new ideas ;-)
   
  If it is good enough for NASA.
  Isobel

Adrián Martínez Vargas [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  

Isobel Clark I apologise about Fortran… 


Re: AI-GEOSTATS: New geostatistical open source software

2007-12-27 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi Michael
   
  Nice to see someone comfortable with rambling. I think we should have more of 
that in the list!
   
  Being an old warhorse and too far gone to change, I still use Fortran. My 
excuse is always if it's good enough for NASA..
   
  Visual Basic is pretty good too but Fortran is still the faster 
'computational' language and a very easy interface. I guess we'll just have to 
phase out as the compilers disappear ;-)
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com
   


AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Kriging variance, lagrangian multiplier

2007-11-12 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi Abani
   
  You need my 1983 Mathematical Geology paper, Regression Revisited which can 
be downloaded by folloing the publications link at 
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume

  Or, with less math, A simple alternative to Disjunctive Kriging written 
with Flemming Clausen in 1981 (TransIMM). Also on the web.
   
  I have seen later papers which propose similar with a lot more mathematics.
   
  Hope this helps
  Isobel
   
  
Abani R Samal [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
  My First question:
  I am using a mining software to get a krigged block model. The tool also 
saves a parameter called Slope of Regression. The Slope of Regression is 
defined as 
  (Block Variance – Kriging Variance 
+Lagrange_multiplier)/(Block_variance-KrigingVariance+2*abs(Lagrange_Multiplier))
 provided the denominator is not zero.
   
  Unfortunately, there is NO literature available (Including no help file). I 
have hard time to understand what this  Slope of Regressionmeans and how this 
slope is usable.
   
  I'll highly appreciate your thought on this.
   
  My second question:
   
  If s is the sample, v is the block and V is the whole panel of blocks or the 
whole deposit, the Krige’s additive relation can be written as: ó 2 (s,V) = 
ó2(s,v) + ó2(v,V)
   
  But how is: ó2(s,V) related to ó2ok?  (ó2okKriging variance), under what 
condition?
   
   
   
  Abani R Samal
  Lakewood, CO
   
   


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Re: AI-GEOSTATS: modelling and goodness of fit

2007-09-13 Thread Isobel Clark
Andrea
   
  We use Cressie's goodness of fit statistic which allows for number of pairs 
and other factors in semi-veriogram fitting. You can find a paper of his in 
Methematical Geology around 1992, or in his book. It is also illustrated in our 
free tutorial material at www.kriging.com
   
  Isobel

Andrea Sciarretta [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Hi,
  I’m working on variogram modelling and in the majority of cases only R2 is 
available to evaluate the best-fit values, but in cases of non-linear 
functions, it is very criticized.
   Are there other standard methods to evaluate the goodness of a fit of a 
non-linear function (for example asymptotic confidence intervals) and how to 
calculate them, considering that the majority of geostatistical software do not 
perform any alternative coefficient?
  Thank you
  Andrea
   
   
   




Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Intrinsic Random Functions -- what it mean for lambda to annihilate a polynomial?

2007-07-21 Thread Isobel Clark
Olumide
   
  I would think what they mean is that each order of polynomial has to be 
balanced between the 'drift' at the actual estimated point and the weighted 
average of the samples which proovides the estimator. For this you have to 
introduce an extra lamda and an extra equation on the kriging system which 
guarantees the unbiassedness of the estimate.
   
  At least, that is what happens in Universal Kriging. What is annihilated is 
any possible bias due to the order k. 
   
  I do not know why lamda is referred to as a discrete measure.
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com/courses

Olumide [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Hello -

I've made some progress understanding what intrinsic random functions 
are, and what increments are in that regard. The next question that's 
still puzzling me is the question of what the discrete measure lambda 
and the annihilation of polynomials.

Quote from Geostatistics Modeling Uncertainty by Chiles and Delfiner 
page 238:

Definition: a discrete measure lambda is allowable at the order k if it 
annihilates polynomials of degree less than or equal to k

Questions:
1. what does it mean for lambda to annihilate a polynomial
2. why the need to annihilate those poor polynomials (what have they 
done wrong? ;-) )

Thanks,

- Olumide
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Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Intrinsic Random Functions -- what it mean for lambda to annihilate a polynomial?

2007-07-21 Thread Isobel Clark
Olumide
   
  I recommend you work through our free tutorial on kriging with trend. It 
discusses Universal Kriging rather the IRF-K but I think it will answer your 
question better than I can do in a short email.
   
  Yes you can annihilate the trend by making the weighted average of the trend 
equal zero but it makes more sense to make the trend from the samples honour 
the trend at the point being estimated.
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

Olumide [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Isobel Clark wrote:
 I would think what they mean is that each order of polynomial has to be 
 balanced between the 'drift' at the actual estimated point and the 
 weighted average of the samples which proovides the estimator. For this 
 you have to introduce an extra lamda and an extra equation on the 
 kriging system which guarantees the unbiassedness of the estimate.

Sorry but I don't understand what you mean by this.

I've been doing some more thinking and reading and here's my GUESS -- 
please correct me if I'm wrong:

Suppose a RF Z(x) can be modeled as:

Z(x) = m(x) + Y(x)

where m(x) is the drift which is modeled as weighted sum of 
polynomials of order up to k (e.g. if k = 2, drift is w[0] + w[1].x + 
w[2].y + w[3].xy + w[4].x² + w[5].y²) and Y(x) a fluctuation or residual 
about this drift. Removing this drift would require somehow finding 
values for the weights such that the weighted sum *somehow* becomes zero 
thus annihilating the *effect* of the polynomials.

???



Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Universal Cokriging -- algebraic dependence between drifts

2007-07-13 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi Olumide
   
  You will find the basic kriging system for Multi-variable Universal 
Co-kriging in our definitive 1987 paper which can be viewed or downloaded from 
the web at:
   
  http://www.kriging.com/publications/Battelle1987
   
  Our thought was that interdependent trends would be adequately handled by 
including both trends in the co-kriging system.

  Isobel
  
Olumide [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Hi -

On page 312 of Geostatistics: modeling spatial uncertainty the authors 
Chiles and Delfiner discuss algebraic dependence between drift 
coefficients of a primary and secondary variable, in the simplest case. 
Under what typical conditions can such an assumption about drifts be 
made? In the case of terrain data for example, where the height is the 
primary variable and the slope or gradient the secondary variable. Are 
the drift coefficients of both variables ... erm ... dependent? And why.

Ultimately, I'm trying to work out the cokriging equation for such a 
problem.

Thanks,

- Olumide




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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: What does Drift mean?

2007-05-14 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi
   
  You will find drift also referred to as trend, generally understood as a 
change in the 'expected' value from place to place within your study area. For 
example, an airborne pollutant with a single source will show higher values 
close to the source tending to 'thin out' as the distance to the source 
increases. In this case, the relationship does not just depend on the distance 
between samples but also on the actual location relative to the source.
   
  We have a free tutorial on kriging with trend which can be found by 
following links on http://www.kriging.com
   
  Isobel

Olumide [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Hello -

I'm still new to geostatistics, and I've come across the term, drift a 
few times, but I don't really understand what it means. Can someone 
offer a simple explanation?

Thanks,

- Olumide

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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: ore grade and reserve estimation

2007-04-26 Thread Isobel Clark
The ones I have are:
   
   Applied Mineral Inventory Estimation by Alastair 
J. Sinclair and Garston H. Blackwell
  and
   Case Histories and Methods in Mineral Resource 
Evaluation (Geological Society Special Publication) by Alwyne E. Annels 
(Hardcover - Jun 1992)
  If you surf amazon you should get views and publisher details.
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

M. Nur Heriawan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Dear list,

I am looking for some books about integrated reserve
estimation and grade control (for mine planning).
These books are for teaching purpose.

From googling, I found two titles:
-
Ore Reserve Estimation and Strategic Mine Planning:
Stochastic Models and Optimizations with Case Studies
Dimitrakopoulos, Roussos 
Springer, 2006

Ore Reserve Estimation and Grade Control 
J.E. Gill
The Canadian Institute of Mining and Met, 1968
-

I did not find any reviews about these books.
Therefore, before I order them, may somebody give the
comment or suggestion.

Thank you for kind attention,

Regards, 

---
M. Nur Heriawan
Laboratory of Applied Geoscience and Technology 
Graduate School of Science and Technology
Kumamoto University, JAPAN
http://www.civil.kumamoto-u.ac.jp/tansa

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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Sichel's t estimator

2007-03-13 Thread Isobel Clark
Peter
   
  Sorry, that couple of days turned into five weeks!
   
  I have put the addenda to the lognormal paper up as images at:
   
  http://www.kriging.com/publications/SAIMM_87_addenda.htm
   
  The one you are interested in is probably Addendum 2, with Sichel's maximum 
likelihood theory.
   
  I will put a proper link on the publications page when I get time. If you 
have any queries, come back to me. 
   
  All the best
  Isobel

Peter Bossew wrote:
Thanks Isobel for the very fast reply. There is no hurry... I am just
curious because I never heard about Sichel's t before. 
  
Anyhow, my impression is that altogether the lognormal distribution is
less trivial a thing than it may appear at first glance. (I am currently
working on a paper about automatic identification of extrema / spatially: hot 
spots, by exploiting the differences of estimating the lognorm parameters from 
the data and from the moments, respectively.)

Peter


Isobel Clark writes:
Hi Peter
 
Sorry about the addendum. You are quite correct, none of the addenda seem
to have made it onto the web page!



AI-GEOSTATS: RE: spatial weights

2007-02-20 Thread Isobel Clark
Yes, but the problem with averaging the data in the cell is that the average 
has a different standard deviation, depending on the layout of the sampling 
within each cell. 
   
  So, if you decluster by averaging each cell you can end up with a set of 
cells which all come from different distributions -- same mean but different 
variance. Not stationary at all! Better to select one sample from each cell.
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com

Digby Millikan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
v\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}  o\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}  
w\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}  .shape {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
 You have to uncluster the data e.g. in resource exploration programs 
often more sampling takes place 
  in the higher grade zones, so this has to be compensated for by using an 
equal amount of sample 
  data from each area. If two samples are taken at one location it makes sense 
to average them, and 
   if the data is normally distributed and stationariay the data within each 
cell is normally distributed 
  so the average of that cell, is the mean of the data within it?
   
  
-
  
  From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bill Thayer
Sent: Saturday, 17 February 2007 7:29 AM
To: ai-geostats@jrc.it
Subject: AI-GEOSTATS: spatial weights

   
  In Isaaks and Srivastava’s Applied Geostatistics (1989), the use of 
‘de-clustering’ weights are described as a method for computing estimates of 
the mean and variance with data that are clustered geographically.  
   
  I would appreciate feedback regarding the theoretical basis for using spatial 
weights to compute estimates of the mean and (population) variance, and for 
making inferences regarding population parameters.  Through simulation tests, I 
have some evidence that this method performs fairly well with weights derived 
from Thiessen polygons for populations with varying degrees of spatial 
autocorrelation and skewness.  However, I am not aware of any theoretical 
basis/justification for the weights.  Intuitively, the use of spatial weights 
to account for geographic location of the observations (and possibly spatial 
autocorrelation among the observations) seems analogous to the common practice 
in survey statistics of adjusting sample weights to correct for non-response, 
etc, where the objective is to adjust the weights to account for observed 
differences between some attribute of the observations (e.g., socioeconomic 
status) and the target population.   In the spatial weighting case,
 the adjustment is to correct for observed geographical clustering.  One 
notable difference is that in many cases, the data that I work with was not 
collected using random sampling methods.
   
  Your feedback would be appreciated.
   
  Best regards,
  Bill 
   
   




Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Sichel's t estimator

2007-01-30 Thread Isobel Clark
The later papers discuss the variations on the lognormal prompted by Sichel's 
revivavl of interest in the late 1980s. The actual lognormal basis is not 
discussed in those papers. 
   
  I am tracking down a copy of my original paper to add the mathematical 
addenda on the 1987 paper and will post to the list when it is available.
   
  Isobel
  http://www/kriging.com

Eric PIRARD [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Hi Peter,
Additional work has been done by Sichel and Kleingeld more recently.
They should be more available than the original one :

Comparative study of three frequency-distribution models for use in ore 
evaluation 
Sichel, H S; Kleingeld, W J; Assibey-Bonsu, W J S Afr Inst Min Metall V92, N4, 
April 1992, P91–99 New generalized model of observed ore value distributions H. 
S. Sichel, C. E. Dohm 8c W. J. Kleingeld, Transactions - InsXitution of Mining 
 Metallurgy, Section A, 104(May- Aug), 1995, pp AllS-A123 

New generalized model of observed ore value distributions 
Sichel, H.S. / Dohm, C.E. / Kleingeld, W.J.,
International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences  Geomechanics 
Abstracts, Jan 1996 

Eric PIRARD   /.  
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Kriging using Nugget Model

2007-01-03 Thread Isobel Clark
Mehari
   
  SURFER will be giving you the arithmetic mean of the samples which fall 
inside your search radius, not all possible samples. Effectively, you are 
getting a moving average.
   
  Isobel
  http://www.kriging.com
  
 


AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Kriging using Nugget Model

2007-01-02 Thread Isobel Clark
Mehari
   
  If you use a semi-variogram which is just nugget, the kriging estimate will 
be the arithmetic mean of the sample values and the standard error will be the 
standard sigma/root n of classical statistics.
   
  Isobel

Mehari Tekeste [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Can I get some suggestion on this issue?

How good is estimation using kriging system that uses a nugget model? I 
have a geodata and the semi-variogram was best fit using a nugget model 
(with semi-variance=C_0; where C_o is a nugget for all h (lag distance) 
values.

Thanks.

Mehari Z. Tekeste, Ph.D.
Research Scientist
Department of Agriculture
Western Kentucky University
1906 College Heights Blvd. #41066
Bowling Green, KY 42101-1066
Phone: 270-745-5972
Fax: 270 745 5972

And God said, Let us make man in our image, after our likeness: and 
let them have authority over the fish of the sea, and over the fowl of 
the air, and over the cattle, and over all the earth, and over every 
creeping thing that creepeth upon the earth. Genesis 1: 26. 
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Lagrange Multiplier

2006-10-12 Thread Isobel Clark
NjeriThe full _expression_ for the estimation variance conains three terms:1) twice the weighted average of the semi-variograms between each sample and the point to be estimated2) the doubly weighted average of all the semi-variograms between every possible pair of samples used in the estimation3) if estimating over an area or volume, the average semi-variogram between every pair of points inside that area or volume(2) and (3) can also be described as the "variance amongst the sample values" and the "within-block variance" respectively and are subtracted from (1). When ordinary kriging is derived the lagrangian multiplier is introduced to make sure the weights add up to 1. It turns out that the lagrangian multiplier is equal to half of term (1) minus term (2). Intuitively, it
 is the balance between how well your samples relate to the unknown value and how well they relate to one another.For example: if your samples are all close to the estimated location, term (1) will be small; if they are all close to one another term (2) will be small. Ideally we want term (1) to be as small as possible and term (2) to be as big as possible. This translates into: "lagrangian multiplier value big and positive" samples are either too far from point to be estimated or are highly clustered. "lagrangian multiplier big and negative" samples (too?) close to estimated point and widely spaced around it. One might see a zero lagrangian multiplier as the perfect balance between the sampling layout and the prediction of unknown values. Or not, as you prefer.Hope this helps  Isobel  http://www.kriging.comNjeri Wabiri [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear listJust a newbabie questionWhat is the statistical interpretation of the Lagrange multiplier in kriging.At least I know if its positive we have a high kriging variance and vice versa.Grateful for a response and a referenceNjeri ++ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

AI-GEOSTATS: RE: pseudo cross variogram: h=0

2006-09-21 Thread Isobel Clark
PeijunI presume by the "pseudo" cross semi-variogram, you mean the 'non co-located' cross semi-variogram as opposed to the more traditional co-located cross semi-variogram?If so, the difference between the sill of your model and the nugget effect at zero is simply the classical covariance between your two variables. This is one way to calculate the covariance or correlation when you do not have co-located data for a more traditional statical calculation.Interestingly, this cross semi-variogram is the only one which actually takes a non-zero value at zero distance!Personally, I dislike the term "pseudo" which suggests that this is some sort of approximation to the "real" thing. Both approaches to co-kriging have strengths and weaknesses. So long as you are aware of these, you can gain valuable insight into your cross-relationships. 
   Isobel  http://www.kriging.comPeijun Li [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear Dr. Goovaerts,Thanks for reply.I compute the pseudo cross variogram from bi-temporal images for changedetection. I found that when lag h=0, the pseudo cross variogram imageobtained highlights the change in the image. So, I would like to understandwhy it happens.PeijunPeijun LiInstitute of Remote Sensing and GISPeking University, Beijing 100871P R China _ From: Pierre Goovaerts [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, September 21, 2006 2:15 AMTo: Peijun Li; ai-geostats@jrc.itSubject: RE: AI-GEOSTATS: pseudo cross variogram:
 h=0Hi,It just represents half the average squared difference between the values ofthe two variablesmeasured at the same location.. I don't know why you compute the pseudocross-variogrambut, personally, I don't like this statistic, mainly because of the lack ofinterpretation... for example, it cannot take negative values, hence you can't differentiatebetween positive and negative correlations. It is useful mainly when the twovariables have not been measured at the same locations.Pierre Pierre GoovaertsChief Scientist at BioMedware Inc.Courtesy Associate Professor, University of FloridaPresident of PGeostat LLCOffice address: 516 North State StreetAnn Arbor, MI 48104Voice: (734) 913-1098 (ext. 8)Fax: (734) 913-2201 http://home.comcast.net/~goovaerts/ _
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of Peijun LiSent: Wed 9/20/2006 12:35 PMTo: ai-geostats@jrc.itSubject: AI-GEOSTATS: pseudo cross variogram: h=0Dear List,I recently use the pseudo cross variogram (PCV) for remote sensingapplications. However, I don't know what does the PCV reflect when lag h=0?As we know, when lag h=0, the (univariate) variogram reflects the nuggeteffect. Is there any similar meaning for PCV? Could you give me somereferences related to PCV?Thanks in advance for reply.Peijun LiPeking University

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Linear regression

2006-09-21 Thread Isobel Clark
DigbyThe variance of the residuals (whether regression or kriging) is the sum of the squared residuals divided by the degrees of freedom. Since the "degrees of freedom" is a fixed number, minimising the variance is identical to minimising the sum of squared residuals.IsobelDigby Millikan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:Is minimizing the sum of the square of the the residuals equal to the minimization  of the variance of the residuals? Can we get any intuitive meaning from the relationship  between the sum of the squares and the variance?

AI-GEOSTATS: RE: pseudo cross variogram: h=0

2006-09-21 Thread Isobel Clark
PierreIf the relationship between your two variables is negative, the "pseudo" cross semi-variogram will start high and drop off, just like the co-located one. Difference is, the former doesn't go negative, the latter starts at zero and is all negative.One other feature of the "pseudo" version is that it can (if desired) preserve the 'sense' as well as relative direction, providing an 'odd' function rather than the symmetric-around-zero co-located semi-variogram. This can be useful if you are working in space-time or with a phenomenon in which absolute direction is a factor.IsobelPierre Goovaerts [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Hi,It just represents half the average squared difference between the values of the two
 variablesmeasured at the same location.. I don't know why you compute the pseudo cross-variogrambut, personally, I don't like this statistic, mainly because of the lack of interpretation... for example, it cannot take negative values, hence you can't differentiatebetween positive and negative correlations. It is useful mainly when the two variables have not been measured at the same locations.Pierre Pierre GoovaertsChief Scientist at BioMedware Inc.Courtesy Associate Professor, University of FloridaPresident of PGeostat LLCOffice address: 516 North State StreetAnn Arbor, MI 48104Voice: (734) 913-1098 (ext. 8)Fax: (734) 913-2201 http://home.comcast.net/~goovaerts/ From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of Peijun LiSent: Wed 9/20/2006 12:35 PMTo: ai-geostats@jrc.itSubject: AI-GEOSTATS: pseudo cross variogram: h=0Dear
 List,I recently use the pseudo cross variogram (PCV) for remote sensing applications. However, I don't know what does the PCV reflect when lag h=0? As we know, when lag h=0, the (univariate) variogram reflects the nugget effect. Is there any similar meaning for PCV? Could you give me some references related to PCV?Thanks in advance for reply.Peijun LiPeking University++ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: pseudo cross variogram: h=0

2006-09-21 Thread Isobel Clark
PeijunThat is interesting to hear. I wish you luck in its use. If you are writing any reports, you may wish to refer to our original paper "A novel approach to co-kriging" published in the 1980s and downloadable from my personal site at http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume (follow publications link).IsobelPeijun Li [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
   Dear Dr. Clark, 
   Thank you for reply.  You know that any point (i.e. pixel) in an image has a value (graylevel value), which is different from sparsely sampling data in geosciences.  We use the pseudo cross variogram to characterize the spatial cross correlation between two variables.Peijun  From: Isobel Clark [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, September 21, 2006 10:28 PMTo: Peijun LiCc: ai-geostats@jrc.itSubject: RE: pseudo cross variogram: h=0  PeijunI presume by the "pseudo" cross semi-variogram, you mean the 'non co-located' cross semi-variogram as opposed to the more
 traditional co-located cross semi-variogram?If so, the difference between the sill of your model and the nugget effect at zero is simply the classical covariance between your two variables. This is one way to calculate the covariance or correlation when you do not have co-located data for a more traditional statical calculation.Interestingly, this cross semi-variogram is the only one which
 actually takes a non-zero value at zero distance!Personally, I dislike the term "pseudo" which suggests that this is some sort of approximation to the "real" thing. Both approaches to co-kriging have strengths and weaknesses. So long as you are aware of these, you can gain valuable insight into your cross-relationships.Isobelhttp://www.kriging.comPeijun Li [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:Dear Dr. Goovaerts,Thanks for reply.I compute the pseudo cross variogram from bi-temporal images for changedetection. I found that when lag h=0, the pseudo cross variogram imageobtained highlights the change in the image. So, I would like to understandwhy it
 happens.PeijunPeijun LiInstitute of Remote Sensing and GISPeking University, Beijing 100871P R China _ From: Pierre Goovaerts [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, September 21, 2006 2:15 AMTo: Peijun Li; ai-geostats@jrc.itSubject: RE: AI-GEOSTATS: pseudo cross variogram: h=0Hi,It just represents half the average squared difference between the values ofthe two variablesmeasured at the same location.. I don't know why you compute the pseudocross-variogrambut, personally, I don't like this statistic,
 mainly because of the lack ofinterpretation... for example, it cannot take negative values, hence you can't differentiatebetween positive and negative correlations. It is useful mainly when the twovariables have not been measured at the same locations.Pierre Pierre GoovaertsChief Scientist at BioMedware Inc.Courtesy Associate Professor, University of FloridaPresident of PGeostat LLCOffice address: 516 North State StreetAnn Arbor, MI 48104Voice: (734) 913-1098 (ext. 8)Fax: (734) 913-2201 http://home.comcast.net/~goovaerts/ _ From: owner-ai-geostats@jrc.it on behalf of Peijun LiSent: Wed 9/20/2006 12:35 PMTo: ai-geostats@jrc.itSubject: AI-GEOSTATS: pseudo cross variogram: h=0Dear List,I recently use the pseudo cross variogram (PCV) for remote sensingapplications. However, I don't know what does the PCV reflect when lag h=0?As we know, when lag h=0, the (univariate) variogram reflects the nuggeteffect. Is there any similar meaning for PCV? Could you give me somereferences related to PCV?Thanks in advance for reply.Peijun LiPeking University  

Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Unbaisedness

2006-09-14 Thread Isobel Clark
No, average of (Z*-Z) is zero  average of (sum wZi - Z i)s zero  sum wi times average of Z - average if Z =0  if sum w = 1 then this is true, otherwise notSays nothing at all about the average of Z.OK?  IsobelDigby Millikan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:BLUE : “Best Linear Unbiased Estimator”Best : Minimium error variance.  Linear : Linear combination of sample values.  Unbiased : E(Z*-Z) = 0  Estimator: An estimateIs unbiasedness a fas? E(Z*-Z) = 0   E(sumwZ(x) – Z) = 0   sumwu – u =0 says all Z(x) =u this is not true?

Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Re: standardized anomaly

2006-08-31 Thread Isobel Clark
at the data for some phenominum on which one can subdivide. For instance in fluvial (river) deposits different material types, drastically different particle size etc according to what you are studying. I found generally that the lag distance at which the drift commenced was the width of the thinnest horizon in the case of two different populations, but it does not tell you whether it is the top or bottom layer. This must then be done by scrutinization of your data in the vetical plane. Once your data is split you can then do variography on each one of the two layers in the horizontal plane modelling the anistropy of the
 variance separately, This should only be done once you have again checked these two layers with vertical variograms for drift. If there are more than two populations present then the process can be repeated until all your layers have vertical variograms with no drift and therefore you have split your data correctly.  Hope this helps  Regards  Bill Northrop -Original Message-  From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [ mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>Behalf Of sebastiano trevisani  Sent: Monday, August 28, 2006 9:57 AM  To: Isobel Clark  Cc: ai-geostats@jrc.it  Subject: Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Re:
 standardized anomaly Hi Isobel I would like to use this transformation to deal with a 3D data set characterized by a peculiarity (well, this is quite common!) in the horizontal spatial variability.  In particular if I divide the dataset in horizontal layers I see that horizontal variograms show a similar shape but with a re-scaled variance.  So, my idea, in order to speed up the process of interpolation, consists to calculate the standardized anomaly for each layer and use the same calculated variogram (well, now it is a kind of standardized variogram calculated using all layers)) during interpolation with a 3D routine. Yes, in reality this is only a trick ...because I`m simply performing a series of 2D interpolations
 along layers. This because of, once the data have been transformed, it is not reasonable to use during interpolation samples coming from different horizontal layers.  Sincerely  Sebastiano At 14.06 25/08/2006, Isobel Clark wrote: Sebastiano  You will be fine so long as you actually have a "stationary" phenomenon. That is, there is a constant mean and standard deviation over your study area -- no trends, no discontinuities, no changes of behaviour. Such a transformation also assumes that your data follow a fairly symmetrical histogram.  Your semi-variogram will look exaclty the same as your 'raw' data semi-variogram but should have
 a sill around 1.  Isobel  http://www.kriging.com  Sebastiano Trevisani <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>wrote: Dear list member  A procedural question for you...  I'm thinking to transform my data in a standardized anomaly [i.e.  (raw datum- sample average)/sample standard deviation)] and then I`ll  perfom the geostatistical analysis on these transformed data. At  first glance, I don't see problem in the back-transformation of  interpolated data and in the correct evaluation of estimation  variance. Am I wrong?  Sincerely
  Sebastiano  +  + To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it  + To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list  + As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.  + Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/ ++ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general
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AI-GEOSTATS: Re: standardized anomaly

2006-08-28 Thread Isobel Clark
SebastianoYour standardisation produces a mean of zero and a standard deviation of 1, without changing the characteristics of the semi-variogram (range, relative nugget effect etc.)I presume you will standardise each 'layer' separately? Then use a 3D search which does not include samples from layers above and below the current one. Sounds very neat and efficient if your layers are flat and horizontal. Yes, I would definitely try that and see what you get. Let us know!All the best  Isobel  http://www.kriging.com

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: standardized anomaly

2006-08-25 Thread Isobel Clark
SebastianoYou will be fine so long as you actually have a "stationary" phenomenon. That is, there is a constant mean and standard deviation over your study area -- no trends, no discontinuities, no changes of behaviour. Such a transformation also assumes that your data follow a fairly symmetrical histogram. Your semi-variogram will look exaclty the same as your 'raw' data semi-variogram but should have a sill around 1.Isobel  http://www.kriging.comSebastiano Trevisani [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear list memberA procedural question for you...I'm thinking to transform my data in a standardized anomaly [i.e. (raw datum- sample average)/sample standard deviation)] and then I`ll perfom the
 geostatistical analysis on these transformed data. At first glance, I don't see problem in the back-transformation of interpolated data and in the correct evaluation of estimation variance. Am I wrong?SincerelySebastiano++ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Detrending the heads

2006-08-16 Thread Isobel Clark
RajniYou could download our free tutorial from the site http://www.kriging.comThere are lots of ways to detrend the data, this illustrates one of the simpler ways.IsobelRajni Gaur [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear List members,I am working on the kriging of piezometric head data using the othersecondary variable as an external drift.I need to remove the trend from the piezometric head data but i dontknow how to detrend the data set. Please guide me for this procedure?thankyou in advanceRajni++ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message
 body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Log versus nscore transform

2006-08-10 Thread Isobel Clark
YettaIf you have sub-populations, the lognormal backtransform probably wouldn't work very well -- this is one place where cross validation is extremely valuable. There are many methods of 'decomposing' mixed distributions. P.D.M. Macdonald has a nice shareware program using a maximum likelihood method. I like probability paper, but then I'm an old age pensionerIsobel  http://www.kriging.comYetta Jager [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Regardless of how well a lognormal model represents the distribution of the (one realization) of data,there are still significant issues in interpreting back-transformed kriging predictions and their
 back-transformedvariances. For example, because the back-transformed mean is a function of both the transformed mean and kriging variance, higher estimates result where kriging variances are higher (ie areas with lower density of sampling data). Does this make sense? Or just choose to model the median instead of the mean.I was advised to consider identifying different sub-populations with possible different means and variances as separate strata, which can be standardized by their individual variances and the residuals kriged (or simulated) together. We have one example (on my website) of where we developed a method to do this. Also, consider using covariates to reduce the variation in residuals first. YettaAt 11:37 AM 8/10/2006, you wrote:  Mike, I can't speak to EPA UCLs, and I'm too far removed from the literature at this point to make a
 cogent argument... but I do remember my work characterizing the hydraulic properties of artificial soils and there was no doubt that the soil water retention curves (tension vs water content) were log normal. I also remember Wilford Gardner (UW-Madison) commenting on how often that function form appeared in soil water physics. While digging through an old folder I found a classic reference ...Spatial Variability of Field-Measured Soil-Water PropertiesDR Nielsen, JW Biggar and KT ErhHillgardia Vol 42, Number 7, pp 215-260, Nov 1973MaribethAt 08:50 AM 8/10/2006 -0400, Michael Grant wrote:  My apologies. The email below accidentally only went to Gregoire only. It turns out that I haven't quite reconnected to the list correctly.. So...--- Original Message - From: Michael Grant To: Gregoire Dubois Sent: Wednesday, August 09, 2006 8:48 AMSubject: Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Log versus nscore transformHi Gregoire,Please forgive the rambling philosophical response but I find your question interestingly provocative.Is a preference of lognormality mathematical elegance or is it tradition? I remember an era of virtually automatic assumption of lognormality for two key classes of variables in our business (nuclear/environmental): contaminant concentrations and hydraulic conductivity. That practice lingers. By the early and mid 1990's many human and ecological risk assessors assumed lognormality of contaminant concentrations in environmental media as
 an article of faith. 'The data are skewed and hence lognormal.' In the US, I suspect that this state of affairs reflected in part the issuance of a single document--the USEPA's approachable supplemental guidance on calculating UCL for human health risk assessment (May 1992). While the EPA clearly evolved beyond that point, e.g., the agency's work on bootstrapping UCLs, numerical/computational savvy of many but not all 'street' assessors probably lagged.  This lag was due in part to a mix of professional focus (toxicology versus numbers), availability of tools, and convenience. Also the commercial environmental business has significantly matured as a class of business and we all know that it is crowded. Competitive pressures are significant, and thorough data analysis--an expensive endeavor--is often a loser. The convenience and economy of sanctioned lognormality (no-one reads the fine print) beckons. For
 me going beyond nominal practice(?) almost always as been on my time. However, that is the nature of things and as long as we learn...:O) I think that the wider development, elucidation, and/or implementation of computationally intensive techniques, e.g., bootstrap, Monte Carlo, is changing at a fundamental level how we formulate our approaches to many problems, vis-a-vis simulation. (Consider the transparency in the formulation of resampling methods relative to the 'obscurity' of traditional parametric statistics.) Now regarding hydraulic conductivity. Again lognormality is a long-standing tradition of nominal practice. Certainly the last 25 years have witnessed a real evolution of concepts and understanding with respect to hydraulic conductivity. And that evolution certainly continues. But again, a mature, over-crowded environmental business dictates nominal practice. Not everyone is a numbers-oriented
 (hydro)geologist, and many who compile/interprets conductivity data have other duties/interest. The convenience of long-standing tradition--all theory aside--is powerful when faced 

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: generalize kriging variance to average-based estimators different than

2006-07-12 Thread Isobel Clark
OriolDownload for free, my old book Practical Geostatistics. Chapter 4 tells you all about calculating the variance for any weighted average estimator. Follow links from http://www.kriging.comIsobelOriol Falivene [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear Colleagues,I’m a PhD student working on interpolation of categorical variables(like facies).I would like to know if it’s possible to generalize the kriging varianceto other average-based estimators different than kriging, such askriging with an areal trend, indicator kriging or inverse distanceweighting?; if it’s possible could you send me some references where Ican find that?.Thank you.Best
 regardsOriol--__Oriol Falivene[EMAIL PROTECTED]http://www.ub.es/ggactel. (+34) 93 4034028fax (+34) 93 4021340Fac. de Geologia,Univ. de Barcelona++ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: special case of ordinary cokriging

2006-06-07 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi MaartenShort answer is simply, No. If both variables are sampled at exactly the same location, introducing the secondary variable isprobably introducing more variation into your kriging rather than more information.IsobelMaarten De Boever [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear all,The potential improvement of cokriging depends on the extend to which the secondary variable has been sampled additionally to the primary.Is there any difference between ordinary kriging and ordinary cokriging in the situation where all observations of the primary and secondary variable are located at the same locations? Will ordinary cokriging have in that situation any advantage over ordinary
 kriging?Thanks in advantage,De Boever Maarten.-- ir. Maarten De BoeverResearch Group Soil Spatial Inventory Techniques (ORBIT)Department Soil Management and Soil CareFaculty of Bioscience EngineeringGhent University Coupure 653, 9000 Gent, BelgiumTel. + 32 (0)9 264 6042Fax + 32 (0)9 264 6247e-mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]http://www.soilman.ugent.be/orbit ++ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

AI-GEOSTATS: Effects of spatial autocorrelation on descriptive statistics

2006-05-26 Thread Isobel Clark
ChaoshengIf you are only describing your samples, such concepts as random and independent are irrelevant. They apply to the use of your sample statistics to estimate population parameters. If all you want to do is describe your samples, you can calculate any statistics you like.However, you talk about "normality" and "outliers". These concepts depend on teh notion of a population from which the samples were drawn. If you are trying to estimate the parameters of that population, then dependence and non-randomness are as important as potential outliers and the shape of the population.The "optimal weighted average" is usually known as "ordinary kriging" provided there is no significant trend. ;-)Isobel  http://www.kriging.comChaosheng Zhang [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear Isobel,Thanks for the helpful reply. In fact, I have been waiting for a reply fromyou. -:)I think the questions are fairly well answered by you. However, I want tomove a step forward or perhaps backward.A question "forward": What are the methods to calculate the "optimalweighted average"? Are they widely accepted/used/cited?A question "backward": Do we really need to care about if the data arespatially correlated or not, when we calculate descriptive statistics eventhough we are aware of such an issue? Results calcuated from only thenon-correlated samples (e.g., sill in a variogram) really reflect the "true"values of statistics? Generally we only care about outliers andnon-normality. In the spatial context, we care about sampling clusters.Otherwise, we still have to use conventional statistics.Best
 regards,Chaosheng- Original Message - From: Isobel ClarkTo: Chaosheng ZhangCc: ai-geostats@jrc.itSent: Thursday, May 25, 2006 3:59 PMSubject: AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Effects of spatial autocorrelation on descriptivestatisticsChaoshengSome thoughts in response to your questions:1: "Spatially correlated data provide redundant information for thecalculation of mean"I would not say "redundant". Even if information is correlated, thecorrelation is not perfect (=1) which would be "redundant". If the data isspatially correlated, the correlations should be included in the choice ofweight for each sample and in the calculation of the 'standard error' andconfidence levels. An optimal weighted average of spatially correlated datawill always give a better answer than a smaller subset on non-correlateddata.As an example, you might try kriging a large block with a set of
 (internal)samples spaced at the range of influence and then repeat the exercise with ahandful of samples between these 'independent' ones.2: "In the presence of spatially correlated data, would a dispersionvariance . be the proper calculation for the measure of variance?"The obvious answer is "yes and no". If by dispersion variance you mean thestandard calculation of variance:Sum(g_i - gbar)^2/(n-1) often calculated as{Sum(g_i^2)/n - gbar^2}/(n-1)where g_i represents each sample value and gbar the arithmetic mean of allsamples, then No, it is not appropriate.The proper calculation for dispersion variance of a spatially correlateddata set includes all the cross-covariances, not just the squares of samplevalues. It also requires a better estimate of the population than gbar (see1 above). If you are looking for descriptive statistics, then the dispersionvariance can be calculated using the
 'middle term' from the full estimationvariance -- the gamma-bar(S_i,S_j) term.In prectice, the most appropriate (and probably simplest) estimate of the'population' dispersion variance in the presence of spatially correlateddata is the total sill on the semi-variogram model. This is, theoretically,the dispersion variance as calculated from samples which are non-correlated.IsobelChaosheng Zhang <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>wrote:AI-GEOSTATSMove of the list to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Dear All,I'm looking for answers to effects of spatial autocorrelation onconventional descriptive statistics. More specifically, any comments on thefollowing statements?1. "Spatially correlated data provide redundant information for thecalculation of mean";2. "In the presence of spatially correlated data, would a dispersionvariance . be the proper calculation for the measure of variance?"Best
 regards,Chaosheng Zhang--Dr. Chaosheng ZhangLecturer in GISDepartment of GeographyNational University of Ireland, GalwayIRELANDTel: +353-91-492375Fax: +353-91-495505E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]Web1: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/zhang.htmlWeb2: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/gis+ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and"unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SENDSubscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary ofany useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Effects of spatial autocorrelation on descriptive statistics

2006-05-25 Thread Isobel Clark
ChaoshengSome thoughts in response toyour questions:1: "Spatially correlated data provide redundant information for thecalculation of mean" I would not say "redundant". Even if information is correlated, the correlation is not perfect (=1) which wouldbe "redundant". If the data is spatially correlated, the correlations should be included in the choice of weight for each sample and in the calculation of the 'standard error' and confidence levels. An optimal weighted average of spatially correlated data will always give a better answer than a smaller subset on non-correlated data.As an example, you might try kriging a large block with a set of (internal) samples spaced at the range of influence and then repeat the exercise with a handful of samples between these 'independent' ones.2: "In the
 presence of spatially correlated data, would a dispersionvariance . be the proper calculation for the measure of variance?"  The obvious answer is "yes and no". If by dispersion variance you mean the standard calculation of variance:Sum(g_i - gbar)^2/(n-1) often calculated as{Sum(g_i^2)/n - gbar^2}/(n-1)where g_i represents each sample value and gbar the arithmetic meanof all samples, then No, it is not appropriate.The proper calculation for dispersion variance of a spatially correlated data set includes all the cross-covariances, not just the squares of sample values. It also requires a better estimate of the population than gbar (see 1 above). If you are looking for descriptive statistics, then the dispersion variance can be calculated using the 'middle term' from the full estimation variance -- the
 gamma-bar(S_i,S_j) term.In prectice, the most appropriate (and probably simplest) estimate of the 'population' dispersion variance in the presence of spatially correlated data is the total sill on the semi-variogram model. This is, theoretically, the dispersion variance as calculated from samples which are non-correlated. IsobelChaosheng Zhang [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:AI-GEOSTATSMove of the list to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Dear All,I'm looking for answers to effects of spatial autocorrelation onconventional descriptive statistics. More specifically, any comments on thefollowing statements?1. "Spatially correlated data provide redundant information for thecalculation
 of mean";2. "In the presence of spatially correlated data, would a dispersionvariance . be the proper calculation for the measure of variance?"Best regards,Chaosheng Zhang--Dr. Chaosheng ZhangLecturer in GISDepartment of GeographyNational University of Ireland, GalwayIRELANDTel: +353-91-492375Fax: +353-91-495505E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]Web1: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/zhang.htmlWeb2: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/gis+ To post a message to the list, send it to ai-geostats@jrc.it+ To unsubscribe, send email to majordomo@ jrc.it with no subject and "unsubscribe ai-geostats" in the message body. DO NOT SEND Subscribe/Unsubscribe requests to the list+ As a general service to list users, please remember to post a summary of any useful responses to your questions.+ Support to the forum can be found at http://www.ai-geostats.org/

AI-GEOSTATS: Re: Skewed Distributions

2006-05-19 Thread Isobel Clark
DigbyIf your distribution has a positive skewness as calculated (bulks towards zero with long tail into high value) the proportion below the mean will be significantly higher than 50%. If negatively skewed -- e.g. Calcium in limestone, iron in iron ore -- more than 50% will be above the mean.The arithmetic mean is the equivalent of the centre of gravity -- one sample way out on the arm outweighs loads of samples close to the centre.Welcome all to the new list  IsobelDigby Millikan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Is it correct that the probability of being above or below the mean of a skewed  distribution is not necessarily 0.5?  

[ai-geostats] Re: Regional estimation - block kriging or conditional simulation?

2006-03-15 Thread Isobel Clark
Tom Would it be wise to state that if you only want the mean and variance =   use block kriging, if you want a pdf = use conditional simulation?  Oh, yes, please do. There are two ways to apply "discretisation". One is to estimate each of the fine grid of points and store the weights for each sample. You can then aggregate (average) the estimates and compute the estimation variance for the overall average. This has been suggested by Cressie and can also serve for non-Normal distributions and their back-transforms. Takes a lot of computer time, but not nearly as much as simulation. Has the advantage of only using the short part of the semi-variogram model and the disadvantage of having to compute the estimation variance.The other way is to directly krige the block average - one kriging system, one estimate with its
 associated kriging variance. Has the advantage of being very fast, with the disadvantages of potentially large sparse matrices and using all of your semi-variogram model. The sparse matrix problems have been well discussed by such experts as Don Myers in Math Geol. It is a common fallacy to trust the short distance semi-variogram and assume that model fit decreases with distance. In most cases, the bulk of pairs included in a semi-variogram graph are in the middle to larger distances - unless you go past the generally accepted distance of one-half maximum of study area. Models are actually most reliable in the middle. If you doubt this, try watching the (in)sensitivity of the Cressie goodness of fit measure when you change the nugget effect - and, hence, the initial slope of your model. Isobel  http://courses.kriging.com* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] RE: kriging without a nugget

2006-03-07 Thread Isobel Clark
Hello allThe real issue here is not what your philosophy is but what your software does with the semi-variogram model at zero distance.There are (to my knowledge) two possibilities in current software packages: (a) force the model to go through zero at zero distance, that is gamma(0)=0(b) allow the model to hit the vertical axis, that is gamma(0)=nugget effectOption (a) makes kriging an exact interpolator. If you krige exactly at a sample location, you will get the sample value and a kriging variance of zero. This is what Matheron orignally specified and will be found in all of the early geostatistics text books.Option (b) means that kriging will not exactly 'honour' your data, but will put the most weight on the sample and some weights on the other samples.
 If you have software that runs on option (b) the only way to honour your sample values is to have a zero nugget effect.You do not have to remove the nugget effect from your model, just add another (say spherical) component to your model whose sill equals the real nugget effect and whose range of influence is below your closest sample spacing. If you do not know which option is implemented in your software, run a kriging with nugget effect is and with this alternative. If there is no difference in the results, your software does option (a) gamma(0)=0.  As discussed in the other emails, nugget effect includes all 'random' variation at scales shorter than your inter-sample distances -- measurement errors, reproducibility issues and short scale variations. Measurement and reproducibility/replication errors can be quantified by standard statistical analysis of variance methods such as described in any experimental design textbooks. Remember, in this case, that
 it is the 'errors' that need to be independent of one another -- not the actual sampled values. Small scale variation can only be addressed by closer sampling, for example the famous geostatistical crosses.If you can quantify "sampling errors" and have (b)-type software, you can use a combination where a short-range spherical (say) replaces the smaller scale variability and the nugget effect reflects the 'true' replication error. It is then your choice as to whether you filter out the replication error by removing that nugget effect from your model.An important point to bear in mind is that if you use (b)-type software and/or remove the nugget effect when kriging, your calculated kriging variances will be too low by a factor of 2*nugget effect. If you divide the nugget effect as suggested, your kriging variance will be too low by a factor of 2*replication error. One more comment: some
 packages analyse and model the semi-variogram but use a covariance (sill minus semi-variogram) when kriging. It is odds-on that these packages will be type (b). Isobel  http://www.kriging.com/courses* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Software for Automatic Semivariogram Estimation

2006-03-01 Thread Isobel Clark
  Thanks Behrang, I see you are using Cressie weights.  Isobel  http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclarkBehrang Kushavand [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:Dear Prof. Clark  Here is thepaper:  http://www.ansinet.org/fulltext/jas/jas581405-1407.pdf  Formula
 (4) is the weight factor.  King regards.  Behrang.- Original Message - From: Isobel Clark   To: Behrang Kushavand   Cc: AI Geostats mailing list   Sent: Tuesday, February 28, 2006 9:53 PM  Subject: [ai-geostats] Re: Software for Automatic Semivariogram EstimationBehrangWhat weighting do you use in the weighted least squares?Isobel  http://www.kriging.comBehrang Kushavand [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  hi,I have a software for
 Variogram AUTO Modeling (winvam) that works with gslib(GAMV.exe).First you must calculate experimental variogram (omni or directional) withgamv.exe and then by using winvam, you can fit the best model by leastsquare and weights least square criteria for given model(s),You can find it at:http://www.ai-geostats.org/software/Geostats_software/WinVAM.htmKing regards.Behrang.- Original Message -From: "Edzer J. Pebesma" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>To: "Mach Nife" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>Cc: "ai-geostats" <AI-GEOSTATS@UNIL.CH>Sent: Tuesday, February 28, 2006 7:59 PMSubject: Re: [ai-geostats] Software for Automatic Semivariogram Estimation Mach Nife wrote: Hi,  I'm hunting for a software (freeware/openSource if possible), that would help estimating the best possible semivariogram curve in a non-interactive way. As an
 example, ArcGis Geostatistical Analyst does a pretty good job at this when we accept the defaults. It does some automatic calculations for the parameters of the selected model. I've tried Gstat "Fit" method (in the command-line version), but the results aren't what I expected. What I need is a command line software or one that can be controlled by programming.  Any ideas?   Some. I did have a look at your data, and at the ArcGIS fit window you sent me. Clearly, we do not fully agree on what is to be considered a "good" job. ArcGIS calculates semivariances up to the largest distances present in your data set; afaik the general recommendation is not to look further than half the longest distance (compare acf computation in time series); the gstat default is one third the diagonal of the
 area spanned. Have you tried modifying any of these defaults? Interval widths? When looking at the fit, it seems that ArcGIS shows a couple (4?) directional variograms in a single plot, but apart from that, the sample variogram suggests a linear model. It is obvious that fitting three parameters (exponential model with nugget) to something that tends to be linear will lead to problems -- an infinite set of solutions, for instance. When you insist on having an exponential model, you could for instance force the range to a certain (large) value. I suspect ArcGIS stops adjusting the range of the exponential model when it exceeds the data extent (Constantin, are you with us?), but should that be considered good practice? My experience with automatic, general-purpose automatic variogram fitting are not very positive; if it were, gstat
 would probably have such a function. Are there other ai-geostats readers who have positive or negative experiences with, or who routinely trust, automatically fitted variograms? Which software? Looking forward to a heated debate, -- Edzer machnife  __ Do You Yahoo!? Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around http://mail.yahoo.com  * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )  * To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or inthe body (plain text format) of an email message to
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[ai-geostats] Re: Software for Automatic Semivariogram Estimation

2006-02-28 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi AllIt is difficult to have an automaticbest fit semi-variogram until you define what you mean by "best fit". Noel Cressie's goodness of fit statistic goes a long way towards the ideal, but is very insensitive to changes in nugget effect and pretty insensitive to fairly large changes in the ranges. Optimal Cressie fits aren't always optimal visually, either.None of the automated methods I've heard of will choose the type of semi-variogram model and/or the number of nested components. Or anisotropy for the most part.As Ed says, if we knew the criteria we'd all write software for it (and retire!). I also look forward to varied opinions. Semi-variogram fitting is one of the most subjective stages of a geostatistical analysis.Isobelhttp://www.kriging.com* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Software for Automatic Semivariogram Estimation

2006-02-28 Thread Isobel Clark
EdI use the Cressie statistic to four significant figures as a guide in the interactive fitting, but generally end up using a visual judgement. It tracks as you drag the model around, so you can watch it change.I think the 'real' visual objective function is probably the perpendicular (to tangent) distance to the model line, which is effectively thecombination of both gamma and h. One should then be able to alter the relative weighting between distance and height. Haven't tried this yet.Isobel  http://www.kriging.com* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Some simple questions

2006-02-20 Thread Isobel Clark
Jan, you sent this to me personally not to the list - although you may have posted it earlier to the list and I din't see it.You lost the right to my response when you turned down my invitation 12 years ago. Your relentless attempts to denigrate a subject simply because you do not understand it does not improve the situation.I repeat my invitation. Come down to Reno, sit in my course, learn the answers to your questionsand put your point of view when appropriate. You might also want to study the differences in the use of English between North America and the dry humour of Scotland.   Isobel  http://www.kriging.com/coursesJW [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Hi Everybody,As a compassionate person who is married to a granny I would not want to scramble anybody's brain so I keep my questions simple enough to understand them myself. What I would want most of all isanswers to the following questions:Why is the real variance of a SINGLE distance-weighted average replaced with the pseudo kriging variance of a SET of kriged estimates? Visit ai-geostats.org, go to Documents/JW_Merks, look at the Excel template titled "Bre-X and the Kriging Game", and compare the statistics of two widely-spaced lines of salted boreholes with those for three lines of kriged boreholes. Could kriging possiblycreate spatial dependence where it doesn't exists? Next, look at the Excel template titled "Clark and the Kriging Game",
 and figure out what happens when Clark's coordinates are replaced with coordinates beyond the sample space defined by her set of hypothetical uranium concentrations . Examine whether or not Clark's ordered set displays a significant degree of spatial dependence by applying Fisher's F-test. Note how degrees of freedom change from positive irrationals to positive integers when the distance-weighted average converges on the arithmetic mean and its variance on the Central Limit Theorem as all weighing factors converge on 1/n.That is not too difficult to understand but what about testing for spatial dependence. One or othergeostats doctrine dictates that spatial dependence may be assumed , unless proved otherwise. How about that? I wouldn't mentionitifI couldn't post the proof on my website! AndMatheron didn't even teach his disciples how to prove otherwise!!! Why is spatial
 dependence assumed rather than verified by applying Fisher's F-test? Visit ai-geostats.org, go to Documents/JW_Merks, look at the Excel template titled "Bre-X Bonanza Borehole", and find out how Fisher's F-test proves not only that the ordered set of Bre-X's bogus gold grades displays a significant degree of spatial dependence but also that the intrinsic variance of Busang's gold is statistically identical to zero just the same.I could have proved that the intrinsic variance of Busang's phantom gold is statistically identical to zero on the basis of three to five boreholes and twenty to thirty duplicate gold assays for crushed and salted 2.9 m core sections. I shall prove that in due course. Some of you are unconvinced that the kriging game is about to grind to a halt, and that drum beating about the Wits bush is futile. After all, it is a scientific fraud to assume, krige, smooth and rig the rules of
 mathematical statistics.J W Merks   * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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Re: [ai-geostats] spherical model

2006-02-20 Thread Isobel Clark
  Hi, I do not know whether you received any answers off-list, so here goes.The "spherical" model of geostatistics was so-named by Matheron and is sometimes also known as the Matheron model. His idea was that a sample has a 'sphere of influence' around it. Potential (or actual) samples within this sphere have values which are 'related' to the value at the central point. Imagine, now, a second such point with its own sphere of influence. If the spheres do not touch, there is no relationship between the values at the two central points. If the spheres overlap, there will be a relationship. The more the spheres overlap, the stronger the relationship. The spherical semi-variogram is the simple geometric calculation for the volume of NON-overlap of the two spheres, given the distance between their centres. There is no real reason why it should work in so many cases --
 any more than there is for the Normal (Gaussian) distribution being found so often in nature. In fact, there is often a possibility to fit several of the semi-variogram models in practice. You could decide which is most appropriate using something like Cressie's goodness of fit test (analagous to a sort of chi-squared statistic).Isobel  http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark"M. Nur Heriawan" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Dear list,I have small query. Why almost all kind of spatialdata set (ore grade data, sea surface temperaturedata, soil thickness, etc.) is fitted to the spherical(variogram) model? May anyone explain the origin ofthis spherical model?Thank you for your help.Regards,M. Nur
 Heriawan---Graduate School of Science and TechnologyKumamoto University Kurokami 2-39-1, Kumamoto 860-8555, JAPAN * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Geostats Scam continued

2006-02-14 Thread Isobel Clark
O boy, I wish my world included the kind of data which would allow modelling of anisotropy on a 10m scale! I am full of envy.Isobel  http://www.stokos.demon.co.ukEdward Isaaks [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Hello ListFYI, a few comments related to the ongoing discussion re Geostats Scam.Stephen Henley makes some valid points on the shortcomings of geostatistics.In particular, I have also been troubled by the application of models"invariant under spatial translation" to real world data."The proper selection of data" for estimation is considered by many to bethe fundamental mantra of ore resource estimation. Typically, the selectionof data for variography and the estimation of block model grades iscontrolled through manually interpreted models of lithology,
 alteration,grade shells, structural domains and so on. Although these models arepractical at the scale of the deposit, they are not practical at localscales where local scale is defined by distances as short as 10 m, overwhich abrupt changes in the direction of geologic trends such as grade,fault direction, fracture patterns, and rock type contacts are observed.Obviously, it is not practical to control the selection of data at thisscale using manually interpreted models. However, the good news is that the proper selection of data for kriging canbe achieved at a local scale by aligning an anisotropic search ellipsoidwith the local geologic trend(s) on a block by block basis. The idea is simple. Before each block is estimated, the anisotropy ratios ofthe local search neighborhood are adjusted and the axes aligned with localtrends in the data. The method has come to be known as local anisotropykriging or LAK. The results
 are remarkable. I have an example where LAKapplied to grade control out performs ordinary kriging by reducing dilutionand ore loss. You can read more about this relatively new implementation ofan old idea by visiting www.isaaks.com and clicking on "Geo Docs".I would also add a note regarding popular geostatistical misconceptions, andthere are several. For example, Krige, Deutsch, Vann and many others havepublished papers admonishing conditional bias. However, in miningapplications (where geostatistics has its roots) conditional bias isactually irrelevant, unless the estimates are used for grade control. See"The Kriging Oxymoron" at www.isaaks.com "Geo Docs" for a peer reviewedpaper on the subject. I recently read a paper by J Vann, S Jackson, and O Bertoli (2003) thatactually proposes a method for designing the kriging search neighborhoodbased on minimizing conditional bias. Horrifying - do they not realize thatsuch
 practice actually increases the estimation error of the predictedtonnes and grade above cutoff? This paper is probably the worst (best?)example I have seen of a faulty misconception in 25 years of ore resourceassessment. One can almost understand why geostatistics might be labeled ascam. However, I'm not sure I agree with Stephen where he appears to suggest thatthe "vast array of methods and an array of intensely mathematical publishedpapers" are somewhat responsible for providing the means to deliver"whatever the client wants". The difference between a professional and anamateur practitioner is knowing which is the correct tool for the job andhow to use it properly. I'd argue that a packed toolbox is not the problembut rather, the inexperienced or dishonest practitioner is the problem.And finally, I have done some research on the subject of computing "weightedvariances" since a number of "weighted variance" estimators can
 be found inthe literature including Mr. Merks' version. Each of the estimators I foundprovided a different estimate of the weighted variance and to make mattersworse, not one was shown to be a valid statistical estimator -- they weresimply stated without derivation(see footnote). However, the good news isthat with careful work and with help from Colin Daly and Don Myers, I nowhave the mathematical derivation of an unbiased estimator for the populationvariance given a sample of N (iid) observations with associated weights.Now, it turns out that in spite of all the huffing and puffing by ourcolleague Mr. Merks, the "weighted variance" estimator that he so loudlychampions is biased under the iid model! Perhaps Mr. Merks' time could havebeen better spent looking for an unbiased variance estimator rather thanstalking the "lost variance". :-)A copy of this work will be made available to the list followingpublication.
 Derivation -- A logical or mathematical process indicating through asequence of statements that a result such as a theorem or a formulanecessarily follows from the initial assumptions. Edward IsaaksReferenceJ Vann, S Jackson and O Bertoli, (2003), "Quantitative Kriging NeighbourhoodAnalysis for the MiningGeologist - A Description of the Method With Worked Case Examples", 5thInternational Mining Geology 

[ai-geostats] Re: More on geo-stats

2006-02-13 Thread Isobel Clark
Jim (cc Fran!)Thanks for the long email. I think grandmother-hood must be scrambling my brains because I am not following some of your logic. Or maybe it is the after-effects of trying to thump sense into the heads of those shareholders ;-)It is most probable that Jan Merks got involved in this field in the first place because someone tried to horn in on his sampling theory expertise. He has written some awesome stuff on the problems of the sampling/assay process. I have had the privilege of being peripherally involved with that end of the business through Norman Lotter, currently at Sudbury and finishing his PhD on just this probability plot/sampling bias/mineralogical interpretation stuff. See joint paper at 2000 SME (http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume follow publications link).However, I am a mining engineer. It
 is my job to take the sample results, no matter how much they suck and give the engineers some indication of where and when they might mine in order to obtain payable ore. I have been doing this job since way before I learned any geostatistics. In fact, my first ever job was to produce 'correction factors' to allow a hydrothermal tin mine to predict their mining grades from their development grades. I only discovered later that the common sense methods I applied were identical to those produced by Sichel and Krige in the early 1950s in South African gold mines (also nothing to do with geostatistics). This job was extremely straight forward as the only issue was how to predict the average grade of 3,000 tonnes of rock from around 50 kilos of sample. The interesting parts of that work were the things I discovered in the numbers which the geologists forgot to tell me about. Like: three phases of mineralisation; a bloody great fault through the middle of
 the vein; grades falling off at depth and rising at shallows. Read my 1974 IMM paper to see where I got my basic training -- and all pre-geostats. YESyou should be doing geology and mineralogy first -- or hydrology, climate analysis, entymology or whatever your equivalent is. YES, statistical or geostatistical or any numerical analysis should enhance and support this analysis. In my experience, the second most common phrase I encounter is "oh! we didn't think that was important!". In my courses I use examples of where geostatisticans have mucked(?) up a resource evaluation because they ignored the geology. I also use examples where the geologists did the same because their interpretation of the geology was inappropriate. I also use examples where I knew intuitively something was wrong but couldn't for the life of me explain why until I managed to browbeat the client into given me the information they "didn't think was important". You don't find
 this stuff in the textbooks.Geostatistical methods are not a scam. They are just another way of looking at your sample data and trying to draw inferences from the data.They may be inappropriate for your application. They may be used by unscrupulous individuals. They may be used by resource evaluators who aregullible enough to trust the data given to them by the client. The scam of BreX wasn't perpetrated by the geologists, the assay labs or the geostatistics. The scam of BreX was perpetrated by the bastard who put handfuls of alluvial gold in the samples on site and robbed the shareholders blind. It isn't the resource evaluators who are now living in the Cayman Islands on the proceeds of shares which went to $250 and crashed overnight.   Geostatistical methods have their strengths and weaknesses, as do all interpolation methods based on real data. I don't see anyone writing emails about the "Bicubic splines scam?" or the
 "triangulation mapping method scam?" or the "join up the top and bottom of the ore zone with a fuzzy pencil scam?" or the "save the wavelets scam?". If you are uncertain of which approach you should apply, use your common sense. Ask these questions of any technique:- what are the basic assumptions?  - are the algorithms and/or software technically adequate?  - do the results make sense?Apart from anything else, the above process will make it easier for you to explain to other people (like your defence committee) why you chose (or didn't choose) those methods. Think for yourself and don't dismiss a technique because someone has made it his/her life's work to attack it -- especially if they present no alternative way to do the job. Isobel  http://www.kriging.com  * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Geostats Scam?

2006-02-07 Thread Isobel Clark
  Hi Mach (?)Jan Merks is a consultant with a formidable and well-earned reputation in sampling theory and applications. I understand he sits on many committees in Canada which define standards for sampling and evaluation. The first of his "geostatistics scam" articles appeared under the title "Geostatistics or voodoo statistics" in 1992, in just about every mineral industry publication from the Engineering  Mining Journal to the Northern Miner newspaper. In this article hereferences Michel David's book (1978) and my 1979 book Practical Geostatistics. In December 1993, after considerable pressure from my colleagues and many more publications of this article, I wrote a personal letter to Dr Merks inviting him to come down to Reno, Nevada and put his thoughts at a short course I was about to teach. I have now put both of these faxes up on the Web at http://www.kriging.com/correspondence so that you can judge for yourselves what the position was then. Please forgive the quality of the reproduction as thermal fax paper tends to fade with time!Since then, Dr Merk's has made it his life's work to visit every site possible (e.g. Amazon) and post negative reviews and comments about geostatistics. His comments are coherent and persuasive and have influenced many people, like yourself, against this whole field.His premise is that statistical theory does not apply to auto-correlated or spatially related variables.This will come as an unpleasant surprise to all statisticans involved in the study of stochastic variables including such authors as Sir David Cox (Emeritus Professor of Statistics, Imperial College London and author of the basic textbook in stochastic processes), Noel Cressie (Director of Spatial Statistics at Ohio State
 University)and even Brian Ripley (Professor of Statistics at Oxford University) -- not to mention Roger Mead (now retired, formerly Head of Department of Applied Statistics at Reading University, England) who taught me spatial statistics in 1969 before I'd ever heard of geostatistics. Make no mistake, there areflaws ingeostatistics both as a theory and in application. There is plenty of room for improvement across the spectrum and(hopefully) people around the world are working on this as we read. There are also advances in other approaches to spatial estimation which I (for one) watch with interest in the anticipation of new tools for the real world.Criticism should be seen as a good thing and an aid to development. However, relentless negativity serves no-one on either side of this non-discussion. An exchange of ideas is more profitable than an endless stream of insults on either side.  
   In the meantime? Learn what you can and judge for yourself whether the ideas of geostatistics make sense in practice and could be applicable to your own problems. Isobel Clark  http://www.kriging.com/courses  * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Normal score transform for conditional sequential simulations

2006-01-27 Thread Isobel Clark
PaulHave you considered doing your analyses in two stages:(a) presence/absence indicator where all values other than zero become '1' and you are effectively analysing the probability of presence (or absence) at your estimated or simulated points?(b) normal score transform or whatever on your actual "value if present"The combination of the results from (a) and (b)might give you a better handle than trying to include the zeroes as part of the same distribution. We have had some pretty good results using this approach on birds and bugs, so it might well work with fish!Isobel  http://www.kriging.com/coursesPaul Walline [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  I’ve been a ‘lurker’ for a while, and have learned a lot from reading thediscussions, so thanks in advance for that.My question concerns the use of the normal score transform when makingrepeated conditional sequential Gaussian simulations using GSLIB. I believethe criticism that the backtransform would give biased results (as discussedin the Saito and Goovaerts 2000 paper in the discussion about Multi-GausinanKriging) does not apply to simulations because at each point to besimulated, a single normal score value is drawn at random from the cdfobtained by kriging. The averaging takes place in the original data space. Icame to this conclusion from trying to figure out how I could apply thecorrection described in the Saito and Goovaerts paper.But even if the above is true, I may still have a problem because of thehigh percentage of zeros in my data sets, which ranges from 4 to 22%. I(the GSLIB program
 actually) rank these zero values randomly and I don’tknow how to implement the suggestion (of Goovaerts, citing Verly 1986) ofranking them based on the average value in a search radius so that zerosnear high densities have higher ranks than those in low density areas. Formy purposes, I calculate the total ‘abundance’ for each realization, and usethe frequency distribution of these totals to calculate empirical confidenceintervals, so I’m mostly interested in the variability in these totalabundance realizations. How would the zeros affect this? Someone hassuggested that doing the ranking randomly would increase the nugget effectof the normal score variograms. However, I have 6 data sets and the oneswith the highest % of zeros are not the ones with the largest nuggets. Ifthe nugget has been artificially inflated because zeros are not correlatedafter nscore transform when in fact they are correlated in the raw dataspace, is it
 reasonable to say that the variability of the simulated totalabundances would be overestimated (and thus conservative)?Cheers,Paul WallineNOAA Fisheries, Alaska Fisheries Science Center* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or in the body (plain text format) of an email message to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Signoff ai-geostats  * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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Re: [ai-geostats] Discrete Gaussian change of support

2006-01-25 Thread Isobel Clark
PerryI don't know about the fancy title, but theoretical change of support for Gaussian (Normal) distributions can be found in Chapter 3 of Practical Geostatistics, which is freely downloadable in lots of formats from http://www.kriging.com/pg1979_download.htmlIsobel* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Data on pH from Broom's Barn Farm

2005-12-27 Thread Isobel Clark
ErcanI have a full copy of the BromsBarn data which includes K and P values as well as pH.We got it direct from Dick Webster, but I can supply as text file in CSV or Geo-EAS format.Isobel  http://www.kriging.com/whereisshe.htmlercan yesilirmak [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:Dear list membersIf available to everyone, would you let me know where I can get the "pH dataof Broom's Barn farm", as used in GSLIB (Deutsch and Journel) and in Geostatistics forEnvironmental Scientists byWebster and Oliver?Regards  Ercan  Yahoo! for Good - Make a difference this year. * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or in the body (plain text format) of an email message to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Signoff ai-geostats  * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: A question on conditional simulations

2005-11-15 Thread Isobel Clark
How many simulations did you do?
IsobelAbhijith Titus D'souza [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Hello List:First of all I would like to thank all of you for yourfeedback on my earlier question.Just as an exercise I conducted conditional simulationon my dataset. I used the turning bands algorithmmethod and the sequential gaussian method. While theturning bands method produced a similar map ascompared to IDW and kriging, sequential gaussianproduced an interesting map. It matched the estimationmaps from IDW and kriging only in those neighborhoodswhich contained the sample values. For neighborhoodscontaining no sample values it tended to overestimate,i.e as one went away from the sample values the SGmethod overestimated while the estimation maps didnot.The maps were the average of 100 realizations.Iwas wondering if someone could tell me why thishappens. I am still trying to figure out the theorybehind the
 simulation methods, but it seems too farfetched for me. ThanksAbhijith __ Yahoo! FareChase: Search multiple travel sites in one click.http://farechase.yahoo.com* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or in the body (plain text format) of an email message to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Signoff ai-geostats* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: why do negative kriging values occur

2005-11-15 Thread Isobel Clark
lognormal kriging also solves the problem, where it is appropriate. That is, if your logarithms are close to Normal and cross validation shows that the backtransform is working.

with lognormal kriging, you can happily have negative weights and negative values on the logarithms. The backtransform will always produce positve numbers.

Isobel
http://www.kriging.comArmando [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Negative weights is a consequence of continuity, thus part of physical and mathematical solution.As point by Gregoire .. when de geometry of points is enough good some points are "masked" .The negative value in the estimator happens when high values receive negative weigths ... and the others are low... !Negative weights are familiar for filter´s users (seismic, geophysics and image)Remember that variogram is a expectation for all the domain thus doesn´t have the responsability to solve local problems. If you have some "rapport" with your data you know that this kind of problem appears in the contact of low values sometimes surround by high values.The king of the negative weights is gaussian model!The solution cited by Gregoire is old for mining users and work very well.Thanks for your
 attentionArmandoGregoire Dubois wrote:Negative kriging weights can occur when you have a so-called "screeningeffect", that is points close to the location at which an estimation isneeded "mask" points that are further appart. The problem is thus thetopology of your sampling locations.Solution: reduce the neighborhood of your estimator (e.g. use 1 or 2points in each sector of your serch ellipse to avoid searching too far)A reference explaining the maths behind the weights is: Clayton V.Deutsch, (1996) Correcting for negative weights in ordinary kriging,Computers  Geosciences, Volume 22, Issue 7,Pages 765-773.An excellent (free!) tool for visualising this problem is E{Z}-Kriging(see FAQ section of AI-GEOSTATS) written by Denis Walvoort.Hope this
 helps,Gregoire__Gregoire Dubois (Ph.D.)European CommissionTel. +39 (0)332 78 6360Fax. +39 (0)332 78 5466WWW: http://rem.jrc.cec.eu.intWWW: http://www.ai-geostats.org-Original Message-From: Abhijith Titus D'souza [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: 11 November 2005 21:59To: ai-geostats@unil.chSubject: [ai-geostats] why do negative kriging values occurHello List:I'm new to this list and just beginning to get into geostatistics. Itried searching for possible answers on the mailing list, but had noluck. So here I am with my question:My dataset consists of 149 samples(too less ???, butthat is all I have !!) from an offshore area and I amtrying to estimate the grade of a mineral. I used
 thesoftware ISATIS for my work. 40% of my data is between0 to 5% with the maximum being 99 %. The data displaysa uniform distribution if we ignore the 40% lowvalues.I tried using gaussian transformation, but tono avail and so stuck with the original data. Thevariogram model did fit well (at least globally)and asI proceeded towards ordinary kriging I got quite a few percentages ofnegative values (3% of the estimated values were negative), with thelowest being -6%. I contacted the ISATIS technical support team and theytold me to play around with the neighbourhood distance and number ofsamples in the neighbourhood etc. After many trial and error runs Ifinally got a nice kriging map but it sill had some negative values(less than 1% of the estimated values) with the lowest being -0.02.I'mcurious as to what could be the reasons behind the negative values. I doget some
 negative weights, but is that only reason. Could someone giveme a mathematical and/or intuitive meaning to the negative estimates?Thank you Titus __ Yahoo! FareChase: Search multiple travel sites in one click.http://farechase.yahoo.com * By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or in the body (plain text format) of an email message to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Signoff ai-geostats-- http://www.kadampa.org/portuguese/inspiring_quotes.shtml* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see
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[ai-geostats] Re: urgent please

2005-10-26 Thread Isobel Clark
1963 Georges Matheron. Principles of geostatistics. Economic Geology, Vol. 58: p1246--1266 

From Statistics for Spatial Data, Noel A.C. Cressie and a google search on "Georges Matheron Economic Geology" ;-)

Isobel
http://www.kriging.comRajni Gaur [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Dear List members,

Can I get the earliest reference of Prof. Matheron in which he proposed the methodology of regionalized variables and claimed that they posses definite structure depending on the spatial correlation, at different locations.IN ENGLISH and not in FRENCHPlease

Thanks to all who did the needful to me
Regards
Rajni* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or in the body (plain text format) of an email message to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Signoff ai-geostats* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Unusual Ordinary Kriging Results

2005-10-04 Thread Isobel Clark
David

You seem to have two problems: 

(1) the Vulcan answer does not match your hand calculation for the same weights and values. 

(2) you have negative weights.

I would think that (1) was of far more concern than two simply because it suggests that the software is not performing the correct calculations. If this block is wrong how about all the rest of them? Maybe you could try a few reasonable looking blocks and see if you can reproduce those answers. If not, Vulcan and all users need to know that the software has a bug! 

It is possible you have something like 'affine transformation' or recoverability factor switched on. Does Vulcan do stuff like that? This would produce results outside the range of the data and not equal to weight times grade calculation. 

On (2), opinions differ about negative weights. With your well behaved data and very small negative weights you are unlikely to get values substantially outside the range of the samples. Witness your own calculation. If negative weights worry you, reduce your search radius until the negative weights become negligible.

Does this help?
Isobel
http://www.kriging.com"Reid, David W" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


Hello,

After running ordinary kriging estimations using Vulcan mine planning software it wasnoticed there were some unusual estimated grades. I was hoping that someone can confirm that I on the right path + not heading up the yellow brick road to Oz.

The estimated value reported/calculated by Vulcan for one block was 80.77. I thought this unusual as thegrade of the 16 samples selected for the estimation range from 51.2 to 65.9 (mean 59.6).I calculated the estimated grade by summing the products of sample grade and sample weight(given by the software) and got a value of 60.13 which seems far more reasonable.

Maptek the software vendor's response was to suggest that negative weights were responsible for thehigh estimation.

Details of the samples are below.


Have Ioverlooked something in my calculation oris theresome otherexplanation for the result?

Regards

David Reid







Number
X
Y
Z
Grade
Distance
weight
weight * grade

1
51325.6
19954.3
205.28
64
8.755
0.316811
20.27589

2
51325.6
19954.3
206.8
64
12.751
0.047555
3.043512

3
51310
19953.7
206.95
65.9
15.699
0.097072
6.397071

4
51308.2
19968.6
206.58
51.2
19.183
0.078537
4.021086

5
51309.4
19970.1
206.67
63.9
19.557
0.05828
3.724066

6
51325.3
19939
205.08
58.2
19.948
0.08432
4.907436

7
51310
19939.3
204.78
55.1
21.197
0.117351
6.466049

8
51325.3
19977.5
204.98
56.7
21.267
0.182511
10.34838

9
51310.3
19938.7
204.88
60
21.646
0.085906
5.154343

10
51325.3
19939
206.6
58.2
21.843
-0.03607
-2.09928

11
51310
19939.3
206.3
55.405
22.767
-0.00408
-0.22581

12
51325.3
19977.5
206.5
56.7
22.98
0.028131
1.59505

13
51310.3
19938.7
206.4
60
23.259
-0.02124
-1.27434

14
51309.4
19970.1
208.9
62.3
24.395
-0.0517
-3.22108

15
51340.2
19939
205.48
61
28.172
0.040817
2.489816

16
51340.2
19939
207
61
29.772
-0.0242
-1.4764

TOTAL





1
60.12579




Ave
59.60031

block estimate 
80.77



David Reid 



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Re: [ai-geostats] back transformation

2005-09-05 Thread Isobel Clark
What back-transform would you use for (1)? I use Sichel's theory, which produces prediction intervals for the lognormal back transform. Download any one of my lognormal kriging papers from http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume (late 1990s, various audiences).

IsobelRecep kantarci [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Dear list members

Whenstudied on alog-transformed variable and intended toconstruct prediction intervals, whichoption should be followed? Why?

1) construct prediction interval first, back-transform later.

OR

2) back-transform first, construct prediction interval later.

Thanks in advance
Recep


Yahoo! kullaniyor musunuz?Simdi, 1GB e-posta saklama alani sunuyorhttp://tr.mail.yahoo.com* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or in the body (plain text format) of an email message to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Signoff ai-geostats* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Why degree of freedom is n-1

2005-08-31 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi Eric

What complications! You should find, in any basic statistical inference that the correlation is divided by (n-1) and has (n-2) degrees of freedom.

The logic behind this is because the correlation is actually calculated as the covariance divided by the two standard deviations. 

The covariance is calculated from n PAIRS of samples, not 2n individual observations andhas (n-1) degrees of freedom because it uses the pair of means(m1,m2) as its centroid. 

Dividing by the pair (s1,s2) loses you the other degree of freedom. Tests on the correlation have (n-2) degrees of freedom.

If you use (say) a regression relationship with 'k' coefficients including the constraint of the means, you lose k degrees of freedom. Any book which deals with 'Analysis of variance' will explain this for you. We use exactly this approach fortesting a trend surface (see free tutorial at http://geoecosse.bizland.com/softwares or download my SNARK (1977) paper from http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume). 

Hope this helps.
Isobel[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
This follow-up is slighlty aside the subject line of the mailing list, butas a geologist, this is the only statistically-flavoured one I amsubscribed to. Therefore :Federico Pardo <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>said: Having N samples, and then n degrees of freedom. One degree of freedom is used (or taken) by the mean calculation. Then when you calculate the variance or the standard deviation, you only have left n-1 degrees of freedom.Apart a rigorous calculation I am aware of that in this very case (cf.Peter Bossew's contribution on the same thread, that details it), gives aproof for this rule-of-thumb, what more or less rigourous statisticaldevelopments gives consistance to it ?I mean, for the empirical correlation coefficient,rhoXiYi = SUM_i=1..N( (x_i - mx).(y_i - my) / sx / sy ) / WHAT_NUMBERMust
 WHAT_NUMBER be, for a kind of unbiased estimate ("a kind of" meaning"with some eventual Fisher z-transform"...):* N for simplicity,* N-2 as I have most frequently seen in books that dare give this formula(N points, minus 1 for position and 1 for dispersion ?),* or 2N-4 -- 2N for the (x_i,y_i), minus 4 for {mx,my,sx,sy} -- as astrict application of the rule-of-thumb seems to suggest ?And what about, when fitting for instance a 3-parameter non-linearfunction, reducing the number of degrees of freedom, to N-3 (number ofpoints, minus one for each function parameter ? I have never read any kindof explanation to support it, though it seems widely Thanks in advance for enlightments or simply tracks for other resources ofexplanations.-- Éric L.* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the
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[ai-geostats] Re: Need Your Advises on Books

2005-08-05 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi Reza

The best 'geostatistics' book I know in oil is Mike Hohn's Geostatisticsand Petroleum Geology.

There is also Geostatistics for Natural Resources Evaluation by Pierre Goovaerts, which got pretty good reviews.
Isobel
Reza Nazarian [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Dear ExpertsI am going to order some Geostatistical Books. I need them for self training and need to contain numerical examples and practices. I have already ordered Practical Geostatistics written by Isobel Clark. It would be highly appreciated.if you could please advise me more specially on books with trend in Oil Reservoir.Waiting for your suggestions.Very Best RegardsReza NazarianGeophysicist* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules ( see http://www.ai-geostats.org/help_ai-geostats.htm )* To unsubscribe to ai-geostats, send the following in the subject or in the body (plain text format) of an email message to [EMAIL PROTECTED]Signoff ai-geostats* By using the ai-geostats mailing list you agree to follow its rules 
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RE: [ai-geostats] modelling trend and kriging type

2005-07-07 Thread Isobel Clark
Perry

Your basic semi-variogram graph has a parabola added to it. Shoots off upwards (usually) at some distance. If the distance is large (past the range of influence) you can ignore it. See some of our mid-80s papers on the Wolfcamp data whichlots ofpeople use as a teaching set now. Or read my free tutorial at http://geoecosse.bizland.com/softwares(kriging with trend).

Isobel[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


Hi all 
I may know this already, but what are the symptoms of data with a trend? What is the difference between a dataset with a trend and a non-stationary dataset?
Cheers 
Perry Collier 
Senior Mine Geologist Ernest Henry Mine Xstrata Copper Australia Ph (07) 4769 4527 Fx (07) 4769 4555 E-mail [EMAIL PROTECTED] Web http://www.xstrata.com  PO Box 527 Cloncurry QLD 4824 Australia  "Light travels faster than sound. That is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak" 
-Original Message- From: Pierre Goovaerts [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] Sent: Friday, 1 July 2005 12:54 AM To: Recep kantarci; ai-geostats@unil.ch Subject: RE: [ai-geostats] modelling trend and kriging type 
To add to the excellent comments by Edzer and Gregoire,  1. Universal kriging = kriging with a trend. The second terminology has been proposed by Andre Journel who felt that the term "universal" was vague and misleadingly "ambitious".  2. Kriging with an external drift (KED) is mathematically the same as universal kriging (UK). Secondary variables are simply replacing the spatial coordinates used in UK.  3. Regression kriging denotes all the techniques where the trend is modeled outside the kriging algorithm. There are various methods that can be used to model that trend, ranging from linear regression to neural networks. Kriging is used to interpolate the residuals. In practice these techniques have more
 flexibility than universal kriging in term of modeling the trend: multiple variables either categorical or continuous can be incorporated easily and many sofwtare are available for this trend modeling. The only limitation is that the trend is modeled globally (i.e. the regression coefficients are constant in space) while in KED the coefficients are reestimated within each search window.  Cheers,  Pierre  
Pierre Goovaerts 
Chief Scientist at Biomedware 
516 North State Street 
Ann Arbor, MI 48104 
Voice: (734) 913-1098 Fax: (734) 913-2201 
http://home.comcast.net/~goovaerts/ 
 -Original Message-  From: Recep kantarci [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]  Sent: Thu 6/30/2005 9:38 AM  To: ai-geostats@unil.ch  Cc:  Subject: [ai-geostats] modelling trend and kriging typeDear ai-geostats members   When the data used has
 a trend, it is needed to model trend and in this case there exists various types of kriging to apply (universal kriging, kriging with a trend, regression kriging etc).
 If this is the case, does one should use the same type of kriging or different depending on modeling the trend using coordinates of target variable or using other (namely, secondary or auxillary) variables such as elevation or topography ? That is , are there a dinstinction depending on the type of variables to model the trend while kriging?
  Best regards  Recep 
  _ 
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[ai-geostats] RE: Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-13 Thread Isobel Clark

I am a little worried by the statements:" As you point out, the sub-sample values should have a normal distribution. Increasing the number of samples (n) would help. "

Averages of lognormal (or other highly skewed) data are not Normal. The lognormal, in particular, does not conform to the Central Limit Theorem. This is why Sichel in the South African GoldMines and Finney in the Royal Statistical Society worked out the lognormal estimation theories. 

There are two issues here, I think:

(1) the sampling issue which uses a small aliquot to represent a large bulk of sample

(2) the estimation of an average value from highly skewed data -- or, if your prefer, data with the odd erratic high.

It was (2) that inspired Sichel to do his work. (1) is the province of such experts as Gy and Merks.

For those readers unfamiliar with South African Gold values, it is perfectly possible for neighbouring 'chip' samples to be two orders of magnitude different in value whether in situ or on a conveyor belt. It is less common but still perfectly feasible for bulk samples. Similar characteristics occur in hydrothermal veins and other 'erratic' geological environments. This is not a sampling issue but fact.

There are sampling and assaying issues, of course, and much has been published on this topic. I had the honour to be junior (very) author on a paper with Norman Lotter on this topic. This paper can also be downloaded from my personal site at http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resumeNorm provides a lot of references which you might find useful.

Isobel
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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-12 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi Kevin

Can I refer you to the works of Herbert Sichel which was developed exactly for this problem, earliest paper Trans Inst Min Metall 1949. Or you can download my 1987 SAIMMpaper from http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume which describes Sichel's work.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com"Kevin Lowe (Office Park)" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Hi, How should one treat obvious gold grade outliers from samples collected from a belt? 
The sampling is carried out by an automatic belt sampler prior to the ore being milled. The samples are collected and stored in a bin until there is approximately 1 ton of sample. The bin is then sent off to a lab which crushes and splits the 1 ton bin sample to produce 8 separate samples which are then assayed. Assuming there are no issues with the lab procedures, how should one treat a very high value?
For example purposes, say the 8 samples returned grades (g/t) of 2.8, 4.6, 5.2, 4.5, 35.6, 3.6, 4.2, 4.7. The arithmetic mean for the eight is 8.15g/t but if the one high grade is removed the arithmetic mean is 4.23g/t. Should I simply exclude the high value or should I cut the value of the sample to some arbitrary value (say the upper 95% confidence limit)? Although individual chip samples collected from the orebody, for the purposes of evaluation, are highly skewed, the samples from the bin approximate a normal distribution (excluding the high value).
I look forward to any comments or perhaps direction to papers or web sites on this topic. 
Many Thanks 
Kevin Lowe 

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Re: [ai-geostats] ...how to distinguish different form of stationarity...

2005-05-10 Thread Isobel Clark

Simone

Under the intrinsic hypothesis you can have a semi-variogram (bounded or unbounded) if the data is non-stationary.

Generally we assume a stationary mean when calculating a semi-variogram to simplify the calculation. If the mean is not stationary, you have to include a drift or 'trend' in your calculation. 

The data has to be stationary inthe mean to have a covariance function simply because you have to subtract the mean to get a covariance. This is theory.

In practice you can always calculate the covariance, you just assume a constant mean. This does not guarantee that it is in any way meaningful. 

If the mean is not stationary, you will get a parabola added to your 'real' semi-variogram graph. This is the universal sign of significant drift or trend. Your semi-variogram can be unbounded without going parabolic - see, for example, linear and power models. 

Ifthe variance of the data is non-stationary, you may still have intrinsic stationarity. The usual example used in the text books is a 'random walk' or Brownian motion. The test for intrinsic stationarity is obtaining a meaningful semi-variogram when you calculate it. You can also try jack-knifing - leave out some of your data and see if the semi-variogram still looks similar.

Isobel 
http://www.kriging.com (under construction)
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[ai-geostats] RE: A banal question...

2005-05-02 Thread Isobel Clark
Simone

Not so banal a question. 34 years ago my supervisor
gave me some papers to read which said exactly that.
Even with a Master's in applied statistics, I could
not make head-nor-tail of the explanation. So I went
on a three week short course at Fontainebleau and they
explained it around the middle of the third week!

A very simplistic explanation: when you calculate an
ordinary covariance you have two columns of figures,
say variable g and f. The covariance between g and f
is calculated (in practice) by multiplying the two
columns together, summing the results and then
subtracting the product of the two means. Difficult to
do in a text email but:

Sum(g x f)/n - mean(g) x mean(f)

This is exactly equivalent to:

Sum (g-mean(g)x(f-mean(f))/n

{leave out the whole n or (n-1) debate at this point)

In a geostatistical context, g would be the value of a
sample (any sample). f would be the value of another
sample a specified distance away. That is, specify one
particular distance (h), find pairs of samples that
distance apart, first sample in pair is g (first
column), second sample in pair is f (second column).
Calculate covariance as above with the modification
that the mean of g and the mean of f will be the same.


Repeat for many different distances and you end up
with a graph of how the covariance of the values
varies with the distance between the samples.

I, personally, prefer the semi-variogram approach
because it is a lot easier to explain! Also, you do
not need to know (or estimate) the mean. More
explanations in free downloadable Practical
Geostatistics 1979,
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/practica.htm.

If you have second order stationarity, the covariance
function is simply the sample value variance minus the
semi-variogram. 

Does this help?
Isobel

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[ai-geostats] Re: Who is J. W. Merks???

2005-04-30 Thread Isobel Clark
Jan Merks is an expert in sampling theory and works as
an independent consultant out of Vancouver, Canada. He
has a web site which I don't have to hand, where all
of these opinions are repeated and amplified.

Jan first starting publishing anti-geostatistics
articles in 1991 or 1992 and the article
Geostatistics or Voodoo Statistics appeared in every
mining publication from the Engineering and Mining
Journal to the Northern Miner newspaper. He
republishes every so often and had one a few years ago
in the Mining Journal on April 1st. 

The articles start with a quotation from Tolstoy to
the effect that even the most intelligent of people
can turn a blind eye to facts that don't fit their own
world view. It is ironic that he does not realise this
quotation is apropriate to his own world view too. 

His basic premise is that geostatistics is a con job
foisted on an unsuspecting industry by consultants
trying to rip them off for large sums of money. He
supports this view by pointing out that the
semi-variogram is divided by the number of pairs of
samples (N) and not by N-1 when every statistician
knows that variances are divided by N-1 not N. The
point missed here is that variances are divided by N-1
because we estimate the population mean.
Semi-variograms are not divided by N-1 because we
assume the population mean (difference) to be zeto and
do not estimate it.

His second point is that kriging with (say) k samples
should have k-1 degrees of freedom. This is not true
becuase the variance/covariance or semi-variogram
terms used in the kriging system are based on the
total number of pairs used in the construction of the
graph. I once asked Noel Cressie about this and he
said that the degrees of freedom in the kriging system
would be n(n-1) where n is the total number of samples
in the data set.

Back in 1992, I invited Dr Merks to come down to a
course I was giving in Reno to put his point of view
and debate it with myself and the students and staff
at University of Nevada-Reno. I still have his letter
on file. It basically says, I don't see the point you
aren't going to listen anyway.

Before you ask, the only reason I did this was because
his articles referred to only two geostatistical
publications: Michel David's Mining Geostatistics and
my Practical Geostatistics (1979). He also couldn't
spell my name right and I wanted to give him the
opportunity to change that. It was several years
before an editor pointed out to him that there is no
'e' on the end of Isobel Clark.

Isobel
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/practica.htm

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[ai-geostats] Re: Who is J. W. Merks???

2005-04-30 Thread Isobel Clark
Hello people

Thank you for your swift responses, especially on the
weekend. This turned out to be a long reply, so feel
free to read the next paragraph and skip on to the
last one.

I think we should be fair to Jan Merks. He got a bee
in his bonnet over an issue which is less than well
explained in the bulk of geostatistics text books,
especially 13 years ago. He tried discussing it with
some geostatisticians and got the usual how dare you
criticise us reaction from the mainstream. If you
don't believe me, get hold of the Engineering Mining
Journal and read Danie Krige's response to Merk's
article.

I have never met Jan Merks and issued my invitation to
discussion in the hope that we could learn something
from one another. It was turned down with no opening
for any continuation of debate, even by email. 

As a practising mining engineer who has to earn a
living valuing mineral resources, I use what works in
reality and follow (as much as I am capable of) new
theories and practice as they become proven. As Fran
says, every orebody is different and uncertainty is
part of our way of life. The best we can do is
minimise it and quantify what is left, if we can. 

There are many weak patches in geostatistical theory.
However, we are not going to fix them by roaming
through Amazon and writing hostile reviews of every
book we can find on the topic. Or by ignoring
opportunities for discussion and debate. 

Merks has a very powerful position in Canada, as he
sits on the National and Government committees which
determine standards for sampling design and such like.
He is also, judging by the bulk of his own work, a
very intelligent and persuasive communicator. 

And he is not alone. Read, for example, Philip and
Watson's paper in Mathematical Geology in the
mid-1980s. It took me several years to figure out why
their antagonism to geostatistics was so strong.
Finally, after a conversation with a land surveyor in
South Africa, I realised that they did not know that
we cannot see the surfaces we are mapping -- unlike
map makers. 

Geostatistics is not a panacea and (in my opinion) is
not a suitable method for automated mapping. Not till
we patch the weak places, like semi-variogram
modelling, conditional bias and handling non-Normal
data. However, until someone comes along with
something that is as easy to understand, test and
apply I am sticking with it. 

I never wrote a response to Merk's article. How can
you take a guy's criticism seriously when he can't
bother to spell your name right?

Isobel (with an o) Clark (without an e)
http://geoecosse.bizland.com

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[ai-geostats] matter of pronunciation

2005-04-11 Thread Isobel Clark
 Dutch-fashion, where the g is a kind of
 throat-clearing sound,
More like the ch in the Scottish loch or like the
greek letter chi which forms the first letter in
Christos.

If you want to be pedantic, the technique was not
named kriging by Matheron but krigeage - a attempt
to turn krige into a noun. This is pronounced with a
very soft 'g' almost a 'sh' sound.

Most of the other 'foreign' versions use a hard 'g':
krigaggio, krigovanie kriggage (quebecois) and so on.
Almost everyone I know use the short 'i' as in pig.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com

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[ai-geostats] matter of pronunciation

2005-04-11 Thread Isobel Clark
Colin

As a personal style, I tend to use a capital when
referring to (say) Ordinary Kriging, Indicator Kriging
and so on and a small letter when used as a noun or
verb: the area was kriged

Isobel
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark



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[ai-geostats] Re: A matter of pronunciation

2005-04-11 Thread Isobel Clark
Even stranger when you consider that the Rev Bayes
refused to have his work published during his
lifetime.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/whatsnew


--- Wilmer Rivers [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  In reports, should kriging, kriged, and krige be
 written with an uppercase
  K, or lowercase as shown here?
 
 Poor Mr. Krige.  It seems that the people who
 calculate the Lagrangian
 multipliers for Bayesian kriging must hold
 mathematical physicists and
 even mathematically inclined clergymen in higher
 regard than they do
 lowly mining engineers.  A capital offense,
 surely!  :)
 
 Wil
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[ai-geostats] Definition of standardize variograms

2005-04-05 Thread Isobel Clark
Gregoire

Michel David coined the term relative semi-variogram
back in the 70s for what I think you mean by general
relative -- that is, each lag is divided by the square
of the mean of the samples used at that lag.

Gary Raymond proposed the pairwise relative soon
after. I used the type you are describing where the
whole semi-variogram is divided by the same
mean-squared in my 1979 paper (Does Geostatistics
Work) because I was analysing a line of samples where
all samples are used at every lag.

The term standardised in general statistics usually
means dividing through by the variance or standard
deviation (not a mean). This is the first time I have
seen it in context with a semi-variogram. Seen with no
other information, I would have taken this to imply
standardised to total sill of 1. This would mean
dividing by the variance, not the mean-squared.

Relative semi-variograms help you avoid the
proportional effect if you are trying to calculate a
semi-variogram on positively skewed data. Noel Cressie
wrote a paper in Mathematical Geology (early 90s?)
which showed that the David relative semi-variogram
was topologically equivalent to using logarithms. You
data does not have to be lognormal to do this.

Computationally, taking logarithms is faster and more
stable than relative semi-variograms. Probably why
most people don't bother. Gary Raymond provides
software for the pair-wise and Geostat Systems will
have relative semi-variograms. Don't know of any free
stuff.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com

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[ai-geostats] Re: Automatic Kriging

2005-03-30 Thread Isobel Clark
 What I don't understand is, how to, automatically,
 calculate all the parameters (Sill, Range, Nugget)
 and
 fit the perfect model so it produce a as sharp as
 possible result.
All you need to do is be able to define perfect!
Please please let me know if you do - then I can
finally retire ;-)

You could do worse than start by optimising the
Cressie goodness of fit statistic. This incorporates a
lot (but not all) of the criteria for a perfect
semi-variogram fit.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com

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[ai-geostats] Re: question about kriging with skewed distribution

2005-03-05 Thread Isobel Clark
Ruben (et al)

It is true that Matheron's theory is based on no
distributional assumptions. In fact, there is no
requirement for the distribution to be the same at
every location in the study area.

The necessity for using traditional geostatistical
theory is that the 'difference between two values'
should have a common distribution for a specified
distance (and possibly direction). The form of this
distribution is irrelevant but it needs to possess a
mean and variance. 

The problem lies not with the theory but with the
practice. If you have the whole 'realisation' you can
calculate the true average and variance and the shape
of each distribution is irrelevant. If you have only a
few samples, then you can only find estimates for the
means and variances at each distance. 

If the underlying distribution is highly skewed then,
unless you have ideal conditions (large number of
samples, regular sampling locations), your estimate of
the variance will be unstable -- influenced by the
average of the samples included in the particular
estimate. There was a huge amount of debate about this
proportional effect back in the 70s [search for
'relative semi-variogram']. 

So, you have two potential problems:

(1) you may not get any true picture of the
semi-variogram due to the uncertainty associated with
each point exacerbated by the proportional effect;

(2) you may not wish to use an averaging technique
such as kriging on skewed samples. All of Sichel's
(mining) and much of Krige's work was motivated by the
fact that local averaging is not sensible when your
data has a coefficient of variation greater than
around 1.

The theory is terrific, witness its survival for over
40 years and its proliferation over many fields of
application. However, real life isn't so tidy at the
sharp end ;-)

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/whatsnew.htm 

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[ai-geostats] Re: question about kriging with skewed distribution

2005-03-04 Thread Isobel Clark
Marek

Although theoretically non-point support has no reason
to be lognormal, in practice it very often is. We have
had good results in estimating areas and volumes,
although we have limited experience with non-point
support of any significance.

You can test the persistency of lognormality by
aggregating your (point?) sample values into larger
units or by simulation. 

If you seek something theoretically sound you could
use a model based on your 'point' samples to simulate
aggregates and investigate the distributions which
result.

Noel Cressie has done quite a bit with aggregated
values. I do not have references to hand but I am sure
a search would turn up some interesting stuff.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/whatsnew.htm



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[ai-geostats] Re: example in practical geostatistics

2004-12-18 Thread Isobel Clark
Annelies

I hope I do not offend anyone on the list by answering
this question. Anyone who does not have the book can
download it free of charge from
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/practica.htm

Chapter 4 is dedicated to explaining the concept of
the estimation variance. In the 'old days' when this
book was written, it was felt to be simpler to use
examples where all samples were weighted equally to
get over the concepts of calculating the extension
variance. Only when this was established did we
introduce the concept of different weights for each
sample. This, then, leads to the development of
kriging. You will find this approach in all of the
early textbooks and course notes.

In Practical Geostatistics, Chapter 5 starts Let us
turn, now, to a much more common, and probably more
realistic, approach to the estimation

I admit that Chapter 5 is very brief, but if you take
the terms calculated in all of the examples in Chapter
4, you can arrange them in the kriging system and se
what weights the samples should have. You will then
see that the 'optimal' weighting will be different for
different length samples.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/seasonsgreetings.htm






 --- Annelies Govaerts
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
 I have a question about an excercise I found in
 Practical 
 geostatistics (Isobel Clark).
 In chapter 4 they look at the estimation variance of
 some, theoretical, 
 examples.
 One of the examples is a 2D panel (30m at 40m). They
 use the average 
 grade of two drives, (one along the side of 30 m en
 one along the side 
 of 40m) to estimate the value inside the panel. (for
 those who has a 
 texbook the excercise is on pages 80-84).
 
 I found it a bit strange to use samples with
 different lengths? And why 
 doesn't they get different weights in the formula
 for the estimation 
 variance?
 So even when you have a more extreme case where you
 have a 1m by 40 m 
 panel you should not taking in account this
 difference in length of the 
 two drives?
 
 Thanks,
 Annelies
 
 
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[ai-geostats] Re: Correlogram estimate

2004-12-18 Thread Isobel Clark
Jack

I find Edzer notation confusing, since evryone I know
uses C0 for the bugget effect not the total sill of
the semi-variogram model.

The correlogram relationship is a theoretical one but
should hold provided the paricular gamma(h) is
calculated using all the same samples at the total
sill. According to Noel Cressie (Statistics for
Spatial Data) the Cauchy Schwartz inequality should
hold for every point on the calculated semi-variogram
subject to all samples being used at the lag.

You are probably getting greater than 1 because of
clustered sampling (?) or non-Normality in your data.

Isobel



 --- jack webster [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
 Hi
 Thank you, for replying, but as you know the
 theorical
 relation between variogram and correlogram
 r(h) = (C0-gamma(h))/C0 does not holds for
 estimates!
 I compute correlogrm with 
   r^(h) = (C0^-gamma^(h))/C0^
 (^ = estimate notation)
 but in some lags r^(h) was grater than 1 !!
 
 Sincelely: webster
 ===
 --- Edzer J. Pebesma [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  jack webster wrote:
  
  hello,
  I need a good estimator for the Correlogram,
 under
  2nd
  stationary condition, and a SPLUS program for
  computing it (if there is).
  Sincerely: Webster
  

  
  Jack, you can use the S-Plus function acf() to
  compute
  autocorrelations from one-dimensional data. As
  you're
  on this list, you probably want it for 2-D or 3-D.
  For those
  data you can compute variograms.
  
  In S-Plus, library gstat (free; www.gstat.org) or
  the S-Plus
  SpatialStats module (commercial) are available for
  computing sample variograms and modelling
 variogram
  functions.
  
  The correlogram can be computed from a variogram
 by
  
  r(h) = (C0-gamma(h))/C0
  
  with C0 the sill of the variogram and gamma(h) the
  semivariance (model) value.
  --
  Edzer
  
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Re: [ai-geostats] Re: Correlogram estimate

2004-12-18 Thread Isobel Clark
 Edzer
 
 PS -- what was that bugget? :-)
Sorry, keyboard a bit congested ;-)

nugget effect C0, total sill C(0)!

Isobel

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[ai-geostats] Re: descriptive statistics or inference?

2004-12-12 Thread Isobel Clark
Digby

The variance/sill relationship is theoretical and does
not depend on the layout of the samples, regular or
clustered. Since the sill only uses pairs where
samples are uncorrelated from one another, the
clustering is irrelevant.

It does depend on the distribution of the samples
values being 'stationary', that is having constant
mean and variance over the study area. It also depends
on that distribution having a valid variance. For
example, the variance of samples from a lognormal
distribution depends on the average of those samples -
hence the proportional effect.

All of this is explained in any basic geostatistics
book, including Matheron's original Theory of
Regionalised Variables and my Practical Geostatistics
(Chapter 3) which cn be freely downloaded from
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/practica.htm

Isobel
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/seasonsgreetings.htm

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[ai-geostats] within line variance

2004-12-09 Thread Isobel Clark
Meng-Ying  

Assuming that you generated your line with a Spherical
model, range 3, 27 samples making 9 ranges the
variance within that line will (theoretically) be
0.9191 of the semi-variogram sill.

Of course this theory depends on you have every
possible sample in that length, not just 27 of them.

Isobel
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/practica.htm

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[ai-geostats] variogram analysis

2004-12-08 Thread Isobel Clark
Rajive

I haven't read the other responses yet, so this may be
redundant.

Two possibilities:

(1) anisotropy: if this is shallow marine data there
should be a difference between longshore drift and
off-shore deepening of sea-bed. You have an
omni-directional semi-variogram. It is possible that
the sampling grid is irregular enough to be
highlighting directional differences??

(2) mega-ripples: I have seen similar behaviour in
off-shore marine diamonds which tend to hug the bottom
of trenches or ripples. Major ocean beds have
mega-ripples on the kilometre scale, which is what you
are seeing here.

More worrying, I would say, is the fact that your
graph is dropping with distance. This suggests that
you also have some underlying trend (non-stationarity)
which is causing closely spaced samples to be 'more
different' than those further apart. 

I notice you are using a log transform. What does your
probability plot look like? 

Isobel

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[ai-geostats] Re: Sill versus least-squares classical variance estimate

2004-12-08 Thread Isobel Clark
Meng-Ying

No, I do not think we are communicating.

The variance of data values is not affected by
correlation between the sample values.

The estimated variance for the population IS affected
by correlation between the sample values. Statistical
inference about the population is based on the
assumption that samples were taken randomly and
independently from that population. 

It is the process of estimation of unknown parameters
by classical statistical theory which requires these
assumptions.

Geostatistical inference does not require absence of
correlation, quite the contrary. The semi-variogram
graph is constructed on the assumption that there is a
correlation between samples and that this depends on
distance and direction between the pair of samples.

If we have a stationary situation, where the mean and
variance are constant over the study area, the
semi-variogram generally reaches a sill value. The
distance at which this happens is interpreted as that
distance beyond which the correlation is zero. Sample
pairs at this distance or greater can be used to
estimate the variance, since the statistical
assumptions are now satisifed.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/whatsnew.htm




 --- Meng-Ying  Li [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
 Hi Isobel,
 
 I understand all points you pointed out, but I'm not
 sure why the variance
 should be defined as data NOT SPATIALLY CORRELATED
 when they may or may
 not be correlated.
 
 Thanks for the clarification, though, I don't think
 I'd be able to
 clarify the things you clarifies. You're good.
 
 
 Meng-ying
 
 On Wed, 8 Dec 2004, Isobel Clark wrote:
 
  Meng-Ying
 
  I don't know how to say this any other way. At
  distances larger than the range of influence,
 samples
  are NOT SPATIALLY CORRELATED.
 
  The variance of the difference between two
  uncorrelated samples is twice the variance of one
  sample around the mean.
 
  The semi-variogram is one-half of the variance of
 the
  difference.
 
  Hence the sill is (theoretically) equal to the
  variance. The sill is based on all pairs of
 samples
  found at a distance greater thn the range of
  influence.
 
  The classical statistical estimator of the
 variance is
  only unbiassed if the correct degrees of freedom
 are
  used. If the samples are correlated, n-1 is NOT
 the
  correct degrees of freedom.
 
  All explained in immense detail in Practical
  Geostatistics 2000, Clark and Harper,
  http://geoecosse.hypermart.net
 
  Did I get it clear this time?
  Isobel
 
   --- Meng-Ying  Li [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
   I understand why it is not appropriate to force
 the
   sill so it matches the
   sample variance. My question is, why estimate
 the
   overall variance by the
   sill value when data are actually correlated?
  
  
   Meng-ying
  
   On Tue, 7 Dec 2004, Isobel Clark wrote:
  
Meng-Ying
   
We are talking about estimating the variance
 of a
   set
of samples where spatial dependence exists.
   
The classical statistical unbiassed estimator
 of
   the
population variance is s-squared which is the
 sum
   of
the squared deviations from the mean divided
 by
   the
relevant degrees of freedom. If the samples
 are
   not
inter-correlated, the relevant degrees of
 freedom
   are
(n-1). This gives the formula you find in any
introductory statistics book or course.
   
If samples are not independent of one another,
 the
degrees of freedom issue becomes a problem and
 the
classical estimator will be biassed (generally
 too
small on average).
   
In theory, pairs of samples beyond the range
 of
influence on a semi-variogram graph are
   independent of
one another. In theory, the variance of the
   difference
betwen two values which are uncorrelated is
 twice
   the
variance of one sample around the population
 mean.
This is thought to be why Matheron defined the
semi-variogram (one-half the squared
 difference)
   so
that the final sill would be (theoretically)
 equal
   to
the population variance.
   
There are computer software packages which
 will
   draw a
line on your experimental semi-variogram at
 the
   height
equivalent to the classically calculated
 sample
variance. Some people try to force their
semi-variogram models to go through this line.
   This is
dumb as the experimental sill is a better
 estimate
because it does have the degrees of freedom it
 is
supposed to have.
   
I am not sure whether this is clear enough. If
 you
email me off the list, I can recommend
   publications
which might help you out.
   
Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/books.htm
   
 --- Meng-Ying  Li [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
 Hi Isobel,

 Could you explain why it would be a better
   estimate
 of the variance when
 independance is considered? I'd rather think
   that we
 consider the
 dependance when the overall variance are to
 be
 estimated

[ai-geostats] descriptive statistics or inference?

2004-12-08 Thread Isobel Clark
 And just a personal opinion, I would like to think
 geostatistic
 theories apply to population of any size, as small
 as 27, or as large as
 1,000,000. If I'm making an example that
 geostatistics doesn't apply, then
 there's something to concern about in this approach.
Geostatistics applies to any size of sample set but
for the theory to work ou have to have a relatively
enormous population to draw rom.

Put in plain terms, the assumption is that the
withdrawal of the samples does not materially affect
the behaviour of the population.

If you have the whole population, you don't need to do
tests or estimates.

Isobel
http:geoecosse.bizland.com/books.htm

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Re: [ai-geostats] Re: F and T-test for samples drawn from the same p

2004-12-07 Thread Isobel Clark
Digby

I see where you are coming from on this, but in fact
the sill is composed of those pairs of samples which
are independent of one another - or, at least, have
reached some background correlation. This is why the
sill makes a better estimate of the variance than the
conventional statistical measures, since it is based
on independent sampling.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/whatsnew.htm


 --- Digby Millikan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
 While your talking about sill's being the global
 variance which I read 
 everywhere,
 isn't the global variance actually slightly less
 than the sill, as the 
 values below the
 range of the variogram are not included? i.e. the
 sill would be the global 
 variance
 when you have pure nugget effect.
 
 
 
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[ai-geostats] Sill versus least-squares classical variance estimate

2004-12-07 Thread Isobel Clark
Meng-Ying

We are talking about estimating the variance of a set
of samples where spatial dependence exists. 

The classical statistical unbiassed estimator of the
population variance is s-squared which is the sum of
the squared deviations from the mean divided by the
relevant degrees of freedom. If the samples are not
inter-correlated, the relevant degrees of freedom are
(n-1). This gives the formula you find in any
introductory statistics book or course.

If samples are not independent of one another, the
degrees of freedom issue becomes a problem and the
classical estimator will be biassed (generally too
small on average). 

In theory, pairs of samples beyond the range of
influence on a semi-variogram graph are independent of
one another. In theory, the variance of the difference
betwen two values which are uncorrelated is twice the
variance of one sample around the population mean.
This is thought to be why Matheron defined the
semi-variogram (one-half the squared difference) so
that the final sill would be (theoretically) equal to
the population variance.

There are computer software packages which will draw a
line on your experimental semi-variogram at the height
equivalent to the classically calculated sample
variance. Some people try to force their
semi-variogram models to go through this line. This is
dumb as the experimental sill is a better estimate
because it does have the degrees of freedom it is
supposed to have.

I am not sure whether this is clear enough. If you
email me off the list, I can recommend publications
which might help you out.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/books.htm

 --- Meng-Ying  Li [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
 Hi Isobel,
 
 Could you explain why it would be a better estimate
 of the variance when
 independance is considered? I'd rather think that we
 consider the
 dependance when the overall variance are to be
 estimated-- if there
 actually is dependance between values.
 
 Or are you talking about modeling sill value by the
 stablizing tail on
 the experimental variogram, instead of modeling by
 the calculated overall
 variance?
 
 Or, are we talking about variance of different
 definitions? I'd be
 concerned if I missed some point of the original
 definition for variances,
 like, the variance should be defined with no
 dependance beween values or
 something like that. Frankly, I don't think I took
 the definition of
 variance too serious when I was learning stats.
 
 
 Meng-ying
 
  Digby
 
  I see where you are coming from on this, but in
 fact
  the sill is composed of those pairs of samples
 which
  are independent of one another - or, at least,
 have
  reached some background correlation. This is why
 the
  sill makes a better estimate of the variance than
 the
  conventional statistical measures, since it is
 based
  on independent sampling.
 
  Isobel
  

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[ai-geostats] RE: F and T-test for samples drawn from the same p

2004-12-05 Thread Isobel Clark
Hence my recommendation to use cross cross validation
Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/books.htm



 --- Colin Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
 
 
 Hi
 
 Sorry to repeat myself - but the samples are not
 independent.  Independance is a fundamental
 assumption of these types of tests - and you cannot
 interpret the tests if this assumption is violated. 
 In the situation where spatial correlation exists,
 the true standard error is nothing like as small as
 the (s/sqrt(n)) that Chaosheng discusses - because
 the sqrt(n) depends on independence.
 
 Again, as I said before, if the data has any type of
 trend in it, then it is completely meaningless to
 try and use these tests - and with no trend but some
 'ordinary' correlation, you must find a means of
 taking the data redundancy into account or risk get
 hopelessly pessimistic results (in the sense of
 rejecting the null hypothesis of equal means far too
 often)
 
 Consider a trivial example. A one dimensional random
 function which takes constant values over intervals
 of lenght one - so, it takes the value a_0 in the
 interval [0,1[  then the value a_1 in the interval
 [1,2[ and so on (let us suppose that each a_n term
 is drawn at random from a gaussian distribution with
 the same mean and variance for example).  Next
 suppose you are given samples on the interval [0,2].
 You spot that there seems to be a jump between [0,1[
 and [1,2[  - so you test for the difference in the
 means. If you apply an f test you will easily find
 that the mean differs (and more convincingly the
 more samples you have drawn!). However by
 construction of the random function,  the mean is
 not different.  We have been lulled into the false
 conclusion of differing means by assuming that all
 our data are independent.
 
 Regards
 
 Colin Daly
 
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Chaosheng Zhang
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Sun 12/5/2004 11:42 AM
 To:   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Cc:   Colin Badenhorst; Isobel Clark; Donald E. Myers
 Subject:  Re: [ai-geostats] F and T-test for samples
 drawn from the same p
 Dear all,
 
 
 
 I'm wondering if sample size (number of samples, n)
 is playing a role here.
 
 
 
 Since Colin is using Excel to analyse several
 thousand samples, I have checked the functions of
 t-tests in Excel. In the Data Analysis Tools help, a
 function is provided for t-Test: Two-Sample
 Assuming Unequal Variances analysis. This function
 is the same as those from many text books (There are
 other forms of the function). Unfortunately, I
 cannot find the function for assuming equal
 variances in Excel, but I assume they are similar,
 and should be the same as those from some text
 books.
 
 
 
 From the function, you can find that when the sample
 size is large you always get a large t value. When
 sample size is large enough, even slight differences
 between the mean values of two data sets (x bar and
 y bar) can be detected, and this will result in
 rejection of the null hypothesis. This is in fact
 quite reasonable. When the sample size is large, you
 are confident with the mean values (Central Limit
 Theorem), with a very small stand error
 (s/(sqrt(n)). Therefore, you are confident to detect
 the differences between the two data sets. Even
 though there is only a slight difference, you can
 still say, yes, they are significantly different.
 
 
 
 If you still remember some time ago, we had a
 discussion on large sample size problem for tests
 for normality. When the sample size is large enough,
 the result can always be expected (for real data
 sets), that is, rejection of the null hypothesis.
 
 
 
 Cheers,
 
 
 
 Chaosheng
 

--
 
 Dr. Chaosheng Zhang
 
 Lecturer in GIS
 
 Department of Geography
 
 National University of Ireland, Galway
 
 IRELAND
 
 Tel: +353-91-524411 x 2375
 
 Direct Tel: +353-91-49 2375
 
 Fax: +353-91-525700
 
 E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 Web 1: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/zhang.html
 
 Web 2: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/gis/index.htm
 


 
 
 
 
 
 - Original Message -
 
 From: Isobel Clark [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 To: Donald E. Myers [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 Cc: Colin Badenhorst [EMAIL PROTECTED];
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 Sent: Saturday, December 04, 2004 11:49 AM
 
 Subject: [ai-geostats] F and T-test for samples
 drawn from the same p
 
 
 
 
 
  Don
 
 
 
  Thank you for the extended clarification of F and
 t
 
  hypothesis test. For those unfamiliar with the
 
  concept, it is worth noting that the F test for
 
  multiple means may be more familiar under the
 title
 
  Analysis of variance.
 
 
 
  My own brief answer was in the context of Colin's
 
  question, where it was quite clear that he was
 talking
 
  aboutthe simplest F variance-ratio and t
 comparison of
 
  means test.
 
 
 
  Isobel

[ai-geostats] F and T-test for samples drawn from the same p

2004-12-04 Thread Isobel Clark
Don

Thank you for the extended clarification of F and t
hypothesis test. For those unfamiliar with the
concept, it is worth noting that the F test for
multiple means may be more familiar under the title
Analysis of variance.

My own brief answer was in the context of Colin's
question, where it was quite clear that he was talking
aboutthe simplest F variance-ratio and t comparison of
means test.

Isobel

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Re: [ai-geostats] problem of spatial continuity of groundwater head

2004-11-23 Thread Isobel Clark
Kai

I would suggest you take a look at:

Introduction to Geostatistics: Applications in
Hydrogeology (Stanford-Cambridge Program)  
P. K. Kitanidis 

which is a great base to work from.

Isobel
http:///geoecosse.bizland.com

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[ai-geostats] Re: regularization

2004-10-26 Thread Isobel Clark
Samuel

Practical Geostatistics (1979) Chapter 3. Get it for
free at
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/practica.htm

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/books.htm

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[ai-geostats] Re: Sample data sets

2004-10-18 Thread Isobel Clark
Mark

We have about 13 data sets available on our free
download site, ranging from mining data to fisheries,
agriculture and environmental stuff. Number of data
ranges from 27 to 20,000.

Download from http://geoecosse.bizland.com/softwares
and find details and references for most of them at
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/bookbits/Chapter1_PG2000.pdf

Isobel





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Re: [ai-geostats] A question on lag class and lag distance

2004-10-01 Thread Isobel Clark
xhy

your questions are long-standing and as yet unanswered
in general.

 1. How to select the lag class and lag distance in
 order to obtain a more reasonable experimental
 variogram? 
I always think of it as focussing a camera. Believe
there is a pattern in your data and our task is to
balance 'width of interval' versus 'number of pairs in
interval' to get the clearest picture.

One of the things I have found most useful with
irregularly spaced data is a 'nearest neighbour'
analysis. Take each sample and find the closest one to
it. Record the distance. Repeat for all samples. This
process takes twice as long as calculating the
semi-variogram but gives you an idea of the 'natural'
or model spacing between your samples. This can be
used to guide your choice of interval. 

Check out our free tutorial downloads at
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/softwares

 2. Is it reasonable to use an uneven set of lag
 (e.g. the lag increments are: 0-2.5m, 2.5-5.0m,
 5.0-12.0m, 12.0-19.5m, 19.5-27.0m, 27.0-30.0m,
 30.0-40m, 40-50m etc.) if a more stable variogram
 can be obtained?
I am not sure I have ever seen this done, but don't
see why not if you plot the point at the centre of
gravity of your interval (i.e. average distance of
pairs found).

Hope this helps
Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/books.htm





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[ai-geostats] spatial relationships

2004-09-02 Thread Isobel Clark
Dear oh Dear, I am failing to communicate (again).

As far as I know, I didn't say you could not use
geostatistics when a trend is present! I regularly use
Universal Kriging for data with a trend and kriging
with an external drift when the trend is governed by
an outside factor (see free tutorial at website).

The question originally posed what how does one decide
that geostatistics is not appriate. The answer
Gregoire and myself gave was when you cannot get a
semi-variogam graph after trying all possible
variations of transforms, interpretation and
de-trending. 

I recently worked with an orange grove in Florida
(bugs on oranges) which showed no decent
semi-variogram even though rough inverse distance maps
looked reasonable. It turned out they had two
different kinds of tree in the orchard. Separating the
'rootstocks' yielded a vastly improved semi-variogram
and decent geostatistical analysis.

My additional point was that failure to obtain a
semi-variogram model simply means that there is no
'distance related' structure. It does NOT mean there
is NO spatial structure. 

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/softwares





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[ai-geostats] Re: Frightened of Spatial Autocorrelation

2004-09-02 Thread Isobel Clark
Kevin

Sounds like an ideal case for Geographically Weighted
Regression. 

You could use semi-variograms or spatial
auto-correlation to determine exactly how proximity
defines relationship. My only current beef with GWR is
the seemingly pre-defined distance weighting
functions. Not had much time to get into this yet, so
don't dump on me all you experts out there.

I would be interested in any published results on this
as one of my business partners is doing similar work
on bronze age denmark.

Isobel
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark





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