Re: Building a Movement That Outlasts the Occupation

2004-05-10 Thread Max Sawicky
At the risk of a round of raspberries I'll tell my Cambodia story.

I was a thoroughly cynical campus radical when Nixon
did his television number on why he had to invade
Cambodia, to protect American lives.  I was in
my dorm with none-too-radical dorm-mates.  After
it was over I said ho-hum and went back to my room.
Can't remember what I was doing.  An hour later I get a
phone call from a friend at the Campus Center.
The place was in an uproar.  Hundreds of people
had converged there to discuss what to do.
Max, get over here!  Oh, okay.

Moral:  you can get too far ahead of the masses.

mbs




- Original Message - 
From: Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, May 10, 2004 7:02 PM
Subject: Re: Building a Movement That Outlasts the Occupation


Joanna writes:
What's new is that somebody seems to care. Somehow, this seems to be
turning out to be the final straw. It was about time. So, I understand
that it is not really new as does most of the left, but this is an
inadequate response. If the media is actually willing to report this
story, what good does it do for the left to say Ah, that's nothing,
think about the prisons in the U.S., and the School of the Americas,
 etc.?

that's right. We have to be clear not only about what we think and know, but
about what people outside of the left are thinking and knowing. That helps
us bring them over to our side.

Jim Devine




RE: RE: Dirksen

2002-07-03 Thread Max Sawicky

No, you have us mixed up with Levy.  Our motto is:

Tables 'R Us.

mbs



Max, is it true that  a billion here a billion there, and pretty soon
you're talking about real money is carved in the marble arch at the main
doorway of the Economic Policy Institute's edifice?
Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




RE: Martha Stewart's cabbage

2002-06-26 Thread Max Sawicky

I don't watch Leno too often, but they had a great bit
on this last night, intercutting the Stewart interview with
shots of a knife mutilating the cabbage to the tune of
Psycho background music.

mbs


 Stewart Gets Sliced Up 
  
 By Howard Kurtz
 Washington Post Staff Writer
 Wednesday, June 26, 2002; 8:50 AM 
 
 She kept futzing with the stupid salad!




The Chomsky Documentation Project

2002-06-21 Thread Max Sawicky

hey kids, won't this be fun . . .

http://www.maxspeak.org/Hot_Buttons/chomsky.htm

mbs

*
Max B. Sawicky

  http://www.MaxSpeak.Org
BLOG:  http://www.MaxSpeak.Org/gm/index.htm 




RE: Re: Inheritance tax is Marxist

2002-06-13 Thread Max Sawicky

Let us not neglect the fact that the *Estate* tax
(there is no inheritance tax) collects about $30b
a year right now, so it isn't doing much in the way
of redistributing wealth.  What's more, regressive
loopholes in the income tax are huge compared
to Estate tax revenue.  I even surprized myself
when I did this:

http://www.epinet.org/webfeatures/snapshots/archive/2002/0417/snap04172002.h
tml

mbs



 
 Democratic foes of repeal advocate the redistribution of wealth, ``an
 old Marxist idea that has been rejected everywhere in the world but
 still has appeal'' in the United States, Sen. Phil Gramm, R-Texas, said
 Tuesday as debate began.

 Good old Gramm, past master in the uses of the Big Lie in political
 rhetoric.  Gramm's comment is, of course, stunningly and redundantly
 contrary to fact, most obviously because most other developed countries
 engage in much more redistribution of wealth than the US (though I was
 distressed to learn that Italy has repealed its inheritance tax).
  Second,
 redistribution of wealth is not only not a specifically Marxist idea
 (much too timid a social change from a Marxist standpoint), but it's one
 that obviously precedes Marx (e.g., an article in the most recent
 American
 Prospect notes that pre-Marxist James Madison wrote in favor of
 progressive
 redistribution to combat social stratification).

 Propagandist Gramm has also been flogging the death tax chestnut, even
 arguing the immorality of taxing death, oblivious to the fact that
 although 100% of the U.S. population (eventually) die, only 2% pay the
 inheritance tax.

 And yet Democrats largely cede the moral high ground to reactionary
 ideologues like Gramm by not challenging such absurd claims.

 Gil





RE: Re: Inheritance tax is Marxist

2002-06-13 Thread Max Sawicky

The former taxes the dead donor.
The latter taxes the recipient.  The difference
could be huge, depending on the details.

mbs


BTW, what's the difference between the estate tax and the inheritance
tax?
JD
-Original Message-
From: Ian Murray
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: 6/13/2002 9:52 AM
Subject: [PEN-L:26839] Re: Inheritance tax is Marxist


- Original Message -
From: Charles Brown [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, June 13, 2002 9:45 AM
Subject: [PEN-L:26838] Inheritance tax is Marxist


 Inheritance tax is Marxist
 by Ian Murray
 12 June 2002 19:09 UTC




  Manifesto
  of the Communist Party
  1848
 
 
http://www.anu.edu.au/polsci/marx/classics/manifesto.html#Proletarian
  Of course, in the beginning, this cannot be effected except by means
 of despotic inroads on the rights of property, and on the conditions
of
 bourgeois production; by means of measures, therefore, which appear
 economically insufficient and untenable, but which, in the course of
the
 movement, outstrip themselves, necessitate further inroads upon the
old
 social order, and are unavoidable as a means of entirely
revolutionizing
 the mode of production.
 
  These measures will, of course, be different in different countries.
 
  Nevertheless, in most advanced countries, the following will be
pretty
 generally applicable.
 
  1. Abolition of property in land and application of all rents of
land
 to public purposes.
 
  2. A heavy progressive or graduated income tax.
 
  3. ABOLITION OF ALL RIGHTS OF INHERITANCE  ( emphasis added -CB)
 

 =

 The philosophical and legal arguments for abolishing inheritance had
 been around before KM was even born.

 

 CB: You provided the heading - Inheritance tax is _Marxist_.  What
is the significance of it being Marxist, since, no doubt, the
inheritance tax was around before KM was born , too ?


Because Phil Gramm, incorrectly, asserted it was a Marxist idea. That
Marx was even mentioned by a major US politician in the 21st century is
interesting no?
Ian
Ian




RE: Re: RE: Re: Judi Bari Wins!

2002-06-12 Thread Max Sawicky

The larger question is misconduct by a law enforcement
agency that is acquiring increasing powers as we speak,
not the possible details of a domestic dispute.  We should
keep our priorities straight.

mbs



 While clearly the verdict in this trial is
 appropriate, in that the FBI and the Oakland PD failed
 to properly investigate the bombing and blamed the
 victims in a political attack against them, it does
 not address the larger question: Who *did* bomb Judy
 Bari? That the FBI botched the investigation does not
 mean the FBI itself bombed her. 
 
 I've already been accused of being an FBI flunky for
 not buying into the Ruppert conspiracy nonsense about
 9-11. But I don't buy into the FBI-bombed-Bari story,
 either. From my perspective, the simplest solution is
 usually the best, and when a woman gets attacked nine
 times out of ten it's by a man in her life; in this
 case, the husband. See:
 http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2002/05/23/judibari/index_np.html
 
 tim
 --- Max B. Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  please expand, with links if possible.
  
  max
  
  
  -Original Message-
  From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of
  Michael Perelman
  Sent: Saturday, June 08, 2002 10:31 PM
  To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Subject: [PEN-L:26732] Re: Judi Bari Wins!
  
  
  This is excellent news, but just think what the
  trial would have been like
  if the judge had allowed the COINTELPRO story to be
  told.
  -- 
  Michael Perelman
  Economics Department
  California State University
  Chico, CA 95929
  
  Tel. 530-898-5321
  E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  
 
 
 =
 Check out the Chico Examiner listserves at:
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/DisorderlyConduct
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ChicoLeft
 
 Subscribe to the Chico Examiner for only $40 annually or $25 for 
 six months. Mail cash or check payabe to Tim Bousquet to POBox 
 4627, Chico CA 95927
 
 __
 Do You Yahoo!?
 Yahoo! - Official partner of 2002 FIFA World Cup
 http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com
 




RE: Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Judi Bari Wins!

2002-06-12 Thread Max Sawicky

I'm more afraid of the FBI than of Earth First.

No tree-hugger ever denied me my constitutional rights.

mbs



 The largest question of all is Did any of the Earth
 First work on the north coast save even one tree from
 the timber industry?
 
 tim
 
 --- Max Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  The larger question is misconduct by a law
  enforcement
  agency that is acquiring increasing powers as we
  speak,
  not the possible details of a domestic dispute.  We
  should
  keep our priorities straight.
  
  mbs
  
  
  
   While clearly the verdict in this trial is
   appropriate, in that the FBI and the Oakland PD
  failed
   to properly investigate the bombing and blamed the
   victims in a political attack against them, it
  does
   not address the larger question: Who *did* bomb
  Judy
   Bari? That the FBI botched the investigation does
  not
   mean the FBI itself bombed her. 
   
   I've already been accused of being an FBI flunky
  for
   not buying into the Ruppert conspiracy nonsense
  about
   9-11. But I don't buy into the FBI-bombed-Bari
  story,
   either. From my perspective, the simplest solution
  is
   usually the best, and when a woman gets attacked
  nine
   times out of ten it's by a man in her life; in
  this
   case, the husband. See:
  
 
 http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2002/05/23/judibari/index_np.html
   
   tim
   --- Max B. Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  wrote:
please expand, with links if possible.

max


-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On
  Behalf Of
Michael Perelman
Sent: Saturday, June 08, 2002 10:31 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [PEN-L:26732] Re: Judi Bari Wins!


This is excellent news, but just think what the
trial would have been like
if the judge had allowed the COINTELPRO story to
  be
told.
-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]

   
   
   =
   Check out the Chico Examiner listserves at:
   http://groups.yahoo.com/group/DisorderlyConduct
   http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ChicoLeft
   
   Subscribe to the Chico Examiner for only $40
  annually or $25 for 
   six months. Mail cash or check payabe to Tim
  Bousquet to POBox 
   4627, Chico CA 95927
   
   __
   Do You Yahoo!?
   Yahoo! - Official partner of 2002 FIFA World Cup
   http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com
   
  
 
 
 =
 Check out the Chico Examiner listserves at:
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/DisorderlyConduct
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ChicoLeft
 
 Subscribe to the Chico Examiner for only $40 annually or $25 for 
 six months. Mail cash or check payabe to Tim Bousquet to POBox 
 4627, Chico CA 95927
 
 __
 Do You Yahoo!?
 Yahoo! - Official partner of 2002 FIFA World Cup
 http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com
 




RE: Re: Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Judi Bari Wins!

2002-06-12 Thread Max Sawicky

How long was 'right away'?

suspiciously,
max


 Tim gives a very hard edge to a serious controversy.  I was interviewed by
 a woman writing a book about the role of the hubby-bomber.  He makes it
 sound as if those who doubt his guilt think that the FBI planted the bomb.
 I doubt that many people believe that.  The only evidence against the FBI
 is that they were on the site right away.




RE: tompaine.com

2002-06-12 Thread Max Sawicky

LP said:
 is making a calculated effort to appear leftish. Charles Peters shares
 Kuttner's Democratic Leadership Council politics. 


As some here know, Kuttner is on the board of the organization
that employs me.  So you can make of that whatever you like.
All I want to say is that Kuttner, whatever his faults
(which you won't hear from me, duh), is not DLC.  He and
a bunch of cronies founded The American Prospect and EPI
to counter the DLC.  Some might reason that there's not a
dime's worth of difference between the DLC and Kuttner,
but that would gloss over a lot.

mbs






RE: RE: RE: tompaine.com

2002-06-12 Thread Max Sawicky

Kuttner, tompaine.com, and Moyers are political
comrades.  How much more 'left' one is than the
other is a trivial question.  How left they all are
compared to your ideal, or to what you think
is defensible, is more to the point.

By the way, Paul Starr, TAP co-editor, is notably less liberal
than Kuttner.

mbs



-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Devine, James
Sent: Wednesday, June 12, 2002 3:44 PM
To: '[EMAIL PROTECTED]'
Subject: [PEN-L:26772] RE: RE: tompaine.com


also, is it true that Kuttner is pretending to be leftist by being
associated with tompaine.com? or is he a tompaine.com-type leftist who is
pretending to be more moderate in THE AMERICAN PROSPECT? or is he trying
to build a coalition with the lefists?
in any event, I don't think it's useful to attach a label to Kuttner and
reject him. He says some interesting things, even though I don't like his
focus on the wonderful[*] Democratic Party. The key is he a logical thinker
who bases his conclusions on fact and doesn't leave important things (such
as class relations) out? or does he provide an incomplete picture that can
complement others' incomplete pictures to allow us to develop a more
complete understanding and a guide for political practice?
[*] irony intended.
Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




RE: Re: RE: Re: Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Judi Bari Wins!

2002-06-12 Thread Max Sawicky

I guess they could have been following them.
If not, it strikes me as pretty good evidence.

mbs


 I think that it was 5 minutes or so.
 
 On Wed, Jun 12, 2002 at 01:47:08PM -0400, Max Sawicky wrote:
  How long was 'right away'?
  
  suspiciously,
  max


 The only evidence 
 against the FBI
   is that they were on the site right away.




RE: Re: Re: Inheritance tax is Marxist

2002-06-12 Thread Max Sawicky

Neither punchy nor accurate.  An inheritance tax is not the same
as an estate tax.  Better would have been, we tax one in a thousand
dead people.  The rest can rest in peace.

mbs


 
 And Gramm saying death shouldn't be a taxable event is too. The NYT 
 quoted that, balanced by a liberal saying we don't tax deaths, we 
 tax inheritances, but that's nowhere near as punchy.
 
 Doug
 




RE: RE: Re: PK on race to the bottom (a different one)

2002-06-11 Thread Max Sawicky

Tariffs were an important source of Federal revenue
in the olden days.

mbs

\

Tariffs were, as Schumpeter put it, 'the household remedy' of the
Republican Party. -- Charles P. Kindleberger, THE WORLD IN DEPRESSION,
1929-39, University of California Press (1973), p. 133.
the footnote is to a book by E.E. Schattschneider, POLITICS, PRESSURES, AND
TARIFFS, Prentice-Hall, 1935, pp. 283-4.
The point is that in the earlier long period of U.S. rule by the GOPsters
(1861-1932, with short periods of DP rule, under Cleveland and Wilson), they
regularly raised tariffs. For example, any pro-competitive impact that the
anti-trust laws had was undermined by higher import taxes.
Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




RE: RE: Re: RE: Re: PK on race to the bottom (a different one)

2002-06-11 Thread Max Sawicky

My impression is the AFL-CIO was pro free trade until the
early 1980's, when Bluestone/Harrison and others began
writing about the vanishing 'middle class.'

mbs



-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Devine, James
Sent: Tuesday, June 11, 2002 3:35 PM
To: '[EMAIL PROTECTED]'
Subject: [PEN-L:26722] RE: Re: RE: Re: PK on race to the bottom (a different
one)


I wrote:
 The point is that in the earlier long period of U.S. rule by the
 GOPsters (1861-1932, with short periods of DP rule, under Cleveland
 and Wilson), they regularly raised tariffs. For example, any
 pro-competitive impact that the anti-trust laws had was undermined
 by higher import taxes.

Doug writes:
 And organized labor was anti-tariff at the time, right?
In general, the CIO was anti-tariff until the 1970s. I don't know about the
AFL, which was relevant back in the period I mentioned. My impression is
that the AFL was more involved in another kind of protectionism, that of
being anti-immigrant and anti-Black (and anti-woman-in-the paid workforce).
The Knights of Labor, the IWW, and the CP-oriented unions (e.g., the TUUL)
were of course better on (some of, all of?) these issues.
Please correct me if I'm wrong.
Free José Padilla! or at least put him under civilian law rules!
JD




RE: RE: Anti-globalization babe

2002-06-10 Thread Max Sawicky

 Thank you from the bottom of my heart for this one, Louis.
 Whoever created the Noreena Hertz character is clearly a satirist of the
calibre of Mark
 Twain. dd


She's kinda-young, kinda-wow, she's anti-globalization,
she's Jewish, she goes to demo's, she writes economics
tracts . . .

what's not to like?  Some people are never satisfied.

NH Groupie




RE: Re: 1,000 firms run the economy

2002-06-10 Thread Max Sawicky

Analytical Perspectives, Budget of the U.S. Government -- FY2003,
page 48, Table 3-4, National Wealth

mbs


 Almost all Intro texts include a section on types of business,
 sales, etc.,
 they they all show that propritors are numerous, but essentially
 irrelevant
 when it comes to sales and employment.  The one text that used to
 go beyond
 this basic point was Heilbroner.  He noted that ownership of assets, and
 thus control of decision making, is more important than sales or
 employment.
 The last edition of his text indicated that 3600 firms with assets in
 excess of $250M (0.018% of all firms) owned 80% of all business assets
 in 1990.

 I have tried to update these numbers several times, but I haven't been
 able to get all the info necessary.  Maybe Eric can help.

 It is easy to get the number of firms by type.  It is easy to get firms
 with assets in excess of $250M.  What I have not been able to nail down
 is total business assets in the US.  I have found total Corp. assets, but
 I have not found proprietor and partnership assets.

 Any ideas Eric?

 Doug Orr
 ---

 Date: Wed, 05 Jun 2002 11:57:58 -0700
 From: Eric Nilsson [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [PEN-L:26609] 1,000 firms run the economy

 Well not quite...

 But data I just put in my spiffy text is:

 Number of firms with 1-99 employees in the US: 4,800,582 (or 98% of all
 firms with employees)
 Number of firms with 10,000 or more employees:   936 (or 0.002% of all
 firms with employees)

 Number of employees working in firms with 1-99 employees:
 40,091,449 (or 36%
 of employees)
 Number of employees working in firms with 10,000 or more employees:
 29,715,945 (or 27% of employees)

 That is, fewer than 1,000 firms control the labor of more than 25% of all
 employees in the US economy. These same firms, of course, control a large
 part of the surplus generated within the US economy also. A large
 proportion
 of workers, however, work for very small firms (less than 100
 employees) but
 none of these firms is really very important (economically, politically,
 culturally, etc).

 I would never argue a political strategy of pitting small firms
 again the
 giant firms. Rather, I point out the role of these giant firms to
 underline
 that way that the decisions of a relatively small number of firms
 (over what
 to make, what sort of jobs to provide, what ad campaigns to run,
 etc) has a
 really big impact on the whole economy.

 Source http://www.census.gov/csd/susb/susb2.htm. US Census Bureau,
 Statistics of US Businesses, 1999 data

 Eric








 






RE: Estimating Surplus

2002-06-04 Thread Max Sawicky

Part of properietors' income is really a quasi-wage, and part of
wage  salary at the top is really a quasi-capital payment.
I would say net interest paid (not personal interest received)
and rent belong too.

mbs
 
 
 For the NIPA aware.
 
 If you want to come up with a crude estimate for the total 
 surplus generated
 by capitalist firms within the US economy, is there anything particularly
 wrong with simply summing up various data taken from the National Income
 data in NIPA (table 1.14)?




RE: RE: RE: Estimating Surplus

2002-06-04 Thread Max Sawicky

what about a corporation whose business is rental real estate
that includes improvements to the land?

max


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Eric Nilsson
 Sent: Tuesday, June 04, 2002 5:23 PM
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [PEN-L:26570] RE: RE: Estimating Surplus


 Max wrote,
 I would say net interest paid (not personal interest received)
  and rent belong too.

 I'm not sure about rent as my concern is with surplus generated within an
 economic relationship involving wage labor (i.e. capitalism).

 The rental income in NIPA is for PERSONS (except for those who are part of
 the real estate industry) and a large part of it is imputed rental income
 that homeowners (pay themselves?) for living in their own houses.
 Some of it
 is payments for copyrights, patents, etc, but not too much I think.

 If you rent out your house to someone else this is unlikely to involve
 capitalist wage labor. You might earn income from ownership of capital (a
 house) but this isn't capitalist profit.

 Of course, I'm not entirely sure whether net interest payments should be
 included as profit from lending something scarce (money) need not
 be profit
 from capitalist activities. But I haven't quite figured this out yet.

 Eric
 .








RE: RE: Re: RE: RE: Estimating Surplus

2002-06-04 Thread Max Sawicky

Part of profits are paid to households too.

I don't see how you can include profits but not net interest paid.

mbs


 Doug wrote,
  Net interest is figured as what biz pays to households, right? It's
  an expense for business and an income for households.
 
 Yes indeed that is the case. I guess such a number doesn't add to 
 capitalist
 surplus.
 
 For what it is worth:
 Corporate profits + Estimated profit part of proprietors' income
 = $767 billion + $84 billion = $851 billion.
 
 This is a crude estimate of the amount of capitalist surplus, but it is
 likely in the ballpark.
 
 Eric
 .
 




ilan pappe

2002-05-21 Thread Max Sawicky

Exerpt from petition in support of

 . . . Dr. Ilan Pappe, who holds a rank roughly equivalent to a tenured
Associate Professor, criticized the institution (University of Haifa) and
its procedures following the nullification of a highly controversial
Master's thesis that documented the fates of 5 Arab villages in northern
Israel during the 1948 war. The thesis, which was originally approved with
an excellent grade, was later nullified following pressure from veterans
groups. These groups threatened a libel suit because the thesis portrayed
them as possibly being responsible for a massacre. Dr Pappe unequivocally
asserted in his e-mail postings that the thesis was nullified not on
professional or scholarly grounds, but for personal and political reasons. .
. . 


TO SIGN, GO HERE:

http://www.PetitionOnline.com/pappe/petition.html





RE: RE: Hetero Depts

2002-05-17 Thread Max Sawicky

duly noted, but they link to the White House, the Fed, NBER, and Brookings.
and they don't link to EPI or any other left thing.  not good.

mbs


s
 
 
 rollins college/winter park florida, six member dept includes:
 
 charles rock  
 eric schutz (who was - and may still be - on pen-l, check out his 
 2001 book 'markets and power: 21st century command economy')  
 kenna taylor  
 
 michael hoover
 
 




Truthout

2002-05-17 Thread Max Sawicky

Saw LP's note and took a look at this.

Screamingly obviously a Dem Party site, but not your
ordinary DP thingy.  They post stuff from Cynthia
McKinney, including her comments on Mumia.

Cynthia's looking pretty good these days, what with the
brouhaha now about 'what Bush knew.'

Note -- many of the booshwah funders LP notes also
fund my employer.  God love 'em.

mbs


*

  http://www.MaxSpeak.Org
BLOG:  http://www.MaxSpeak.Org/gm/index.htm 




RE: Re: Doug tells the truth..........................

2002-05-16 Thread Max Sawicky

MJ:  The truthabout Doug 'I'm no pacifist' Henwood is that he, too, is in 
favour of US policy, that is, Henwood favours the policy of bombing Afghan 
towns and cities, he favours the random and/or mass slaughter of Afghanis, 
he favours the destruction of whatever remains of the social infrastructure 
in Afghanistan, in short he favours the kind of war of exterminism which 

mbs:  There is no evidence that 'bombing towns and cities', random
and/or mass slaughter, or 'destruction of whatever . . . ' are policies
of the USG, nor that they have been carried out.  This is simple hysteria
for the consumption of one-note anti-imperialists.  One could imagine
cogent critiques of the U.S. campaign, but not any beginning as above.
One could even connect the Russian campaign to U.S. machinations,
thanks to Zbig's zbig mouth.  Why engage in this sort of b.s.?

MJ: for example the Russian state has carried out in Chechya in recent years. 
The collapse of Afghan society as a result of the combined efforts of  US 
bombing and the insertion of Russian ground forces, troops, tanks etc, 
under the Northern Alliance flag, is creating not just a humanitarian 
catastrophe but prime-time genocide in Afghanistan. Henwood does support 

mbs:  there were more indications (false, as it turned out) of impending
genocide in Kosova than thus far in Afgh.

MB: this ongoing genocide. He is a 'voter for war credits', a person who has 
surely lost any shred of credibility as a spokesman of the left. You cannot 
be of the left while supporting US genocide in Afghanistan. Now, weasel 
words about supporting this or that bit of a policy can not help him 
slide out his moral complicity in the US genocidal assault on Afghanistan, 
and  no self-serving caveats about being against bombing but in favour of 
oher kinds of administering death should blind us to the truth of his 
politics: it is a cowardice and an instinct for personal survival, nothing 
more, that motivates it.

mbs:  how DH's article advances his 'personal survival' is beyond me.
The way to do that would be to follow Hitchens.  Unless one reasons
that supporting a campaign against terrorism might mitigate against
further attacks on NYC that threaten DH directly.  I guess this is what
Huey Newton meant by revolutionary suicide.

MJ: When assessing 'the truth' of Henwood's politics, let us begin with this 
obvious fact -- the man is simply a craven apologist for exterminism, for 
US imperialism in its newest and most lethal guise.
Mark Jones

mbs:  one might be tempted to invoke the WWII analogy if one hadn't
spent some time here on PEN-L and learned that the justice of WWII 
is a controversial matter.  So let us invoke the October revolution and
ask whether it is possible that innocents were not harmed, and whether
in light of that, the revolution was rendered invalid.  If not, then we have
a kind of selective pacifism at work here (not a new thing, BTW).  No
violence by the U.S. state can be justified, and any violence by anything,
and I do mean 'thing,' against the U.S. state is properly met, for all
practical purposes, with indifference.




RE: Re: Re: RE: Hetero Depts

2002-05-13 Thread Max Sawicky

are you serious about me listing Chico?  All I saw there
were a lot of guys who had run out of shaving cream.

mbs


 Chico State, where Gene Coyle lectured.




MaxSpeak, You Listen

2002-05-10 Thread Max Sawicky

Open for business.

*
Max B. Sawicky

  http://www.MaxSpeak.Org
BLOG:  http://www.MaxSpeak.Org/gm/index.htm 




RE: pop quiz time

2002-05-10 Thread Max Sawicky

sounds like Joan Robinson.


 
 
 [who said it?]
 
 ...confusion forces practical economists to explain the determination of
 interest by opportunity cost reasoning - a particular rate of interest
 being set by the 'pure' rate yielded by the riskless government bonds,
 with inflation, risk, and administrative cost premia added. But there is
 no watertight justification for the perpetual existence of this 'pure'
 rate. Interest exists because it is there; it is still held up by its own
 theoretical bootstraps. The failure of mainstream economics to explain
 adequately the existence of interest betrays the fact that it is merely a
 theoretical concept with no true basis in reality. It is a figment of our
 collective imaginations.
 




RE: Giddens: get tough on crime

2002-05-03 Thread Max Sawicky

Oh these brits they're sharp.

Giddens:  In the US, Bush won - by the skin of his teeth -
only because Ralph Nader took away votes from Al Gore.  

LOL.  Everyone knows it was Monica Moorehead's fault!!

mbs

 
 (Posted to Marxmail by Ed George)
 
 [Anthony Giddens is the man generally accredited with founding the 
 ideology of the 'third way', the ideological camouflage preferred by 
 neo-liberal European social democracy, the most complete practitioner 
 of which generally being held to be Tony Blair. This article is 
 Giddens' attempt to meet the criticism that the generalised 
 difficulties faced by European social democracy - and by extension 
 the rise of far-right forces - are a result of a too great move to 
 the right. Giddens responds with more of the same. Particularly 
 significant - and alarming - is Giddens' conclusion that to save 
 itself, and to counteract the threat of the right - social democracy 
 has to be more tough on crime, and on immigration: i.e. to defeat the 
 far right it has to adapt itself to its positions.]
 
 http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,709089,00.html
 
 -- 
 Louis Proyect, [EMAIL PROTECTED] on 05/03/2002
 
 Marxism list: http://www.marxmail.org
 




Latest from Stiglitz

2002-05-03 Thread Max Sawicky

http://www.nybooks.com/articles/15403




Enron: Much Bigger than You Thought

2002-05-03 Thread Max Sawicky


The Enron nine 
By William Greider

http://www.workingforchange.com/article.cfm?itemid=13260




Oh Six

2002-05-03 Thread Max Sawicky

EPI's labor market mavens Mishel/Bernstein/Boushey look pretty
good now, with their prediction of 6.5 UE by the end of the year.
We could be in for a double-dip.

See:

http://www.epinet.org/webfeatures/econindicators/jobspict.html

http://www.epinet.org/Issuebriefs/ib176.html

http://www.epinet.org/briefingpapers/bp121.html

Max Sawicky
EPI




RE: day of reckoning for the dollar?

2002-05-02 Thread Max Sawicky

Following the deficit debate, I've been hearing about this day
of reckoning for 12 years.  It must be getting really close!

I'd say the key issue in all this is the Bubble.  U.S. assets still
seem to be over-valued.

As for the accounting scandal, it may be that the ingenuity of
Euro and japanese accounting just hasn't seen the light of day
yet.  We can't doubt an equal capacity for chicanery by our
capitalist brethren.  Perhaps it is greater, if we grant that U.S.
capital markets are more honest, relatively speaking, then the
rest.

Bob Eisner used to point out that those holding dollar-denominated
assets who started to bail out ran the risk of taking a bath as the
process continued.  Paul Davidson would reply that on the micro
level, with atomized decision-making, anyone in the midst of such a
wave has a rational reason to try and dump before the next fool, leading
to the big communal bath.

Given the age structure of the U.S. population, with aging Boomers
trying to save after leading our dissolute lives, this ought to prop up
asset values for another ten years or so.  At that point who knows
what shape the world will be in.

mbs

 
FM:
 Related to the Business Week article sent to the list last Friday by Jim
 D. on the danger of the US deficit on the current account and increasing
 foreign debt, below is an article in last Saturday's Financial Times,
 which concludes that the day of reckoning for the dollar is close at
 hand.  . .




RE: Re: RE: day of reckoning for the dollar?

2002-05-02 Thread Max Sawicky

Don't know.  After the tornado takes me, I'll ask him.
Maybe he was referring to a consideration inhibiting
a possible decision by foreign governments.  - mbs


 Bob Eisner used to point out that those holding dollar-denominated
 assets who started to bail out ran the risk of taking a bath as the
 process continued.
 
 How's that any different from any other speculative market? People 
 sell stocks in a bear market, it drives the value of their remaining 
 shares down, they sell more, etc., until you have a selling climax. 
 How could prices ever go down in Eisner's world?
 
 Doug
 




Israel as a Client

2002-04-26 Thread Max Sawicky

I've been thinking about this a bit more.
What follows is today's hypothesis.  Next
week, who knows.

If you look at it from one end, there was
little to recommend Israel as a client state,
in and of itself, relative to other states. Why
not make Egypt a military collossus on
behalf of the U.S.?  Why indulge a nation
of six million rather than its far more populous
neighbors?  U.S. public opinion is a factor,
I would acknowledge, but is not sufficient
to explain U.S. policy in support of Israel.

A factor in British thinking around and after
WWI was Palestine's location in re: the Suez
Canal and Britain's connection to India.  But
the Brits were not interested in limiting themselves
to one client.  The more the merrier.  They were
more interested in denying clients to Russia
(and later, the USSR) and Germany.

Similarly, the interests of any would-be imperialism
would logically be to enlist as many clients as possible
in strategic locations.

A key caveat is that the actions of one client should
not be so odious as to drive away other clients.  So
Israel can survive as long as it doesn't get too big
for its britches.  No Nile to Euphrates nonsense.
It is all right for your clients to hate each other,
not all right for them to destroy each other.
Everybody is kept on a leash.

The Oslo process can be explained in this light
as an ambitious effort to recast arrangements
among clients who happen to be mutual enemies
for the sake of regional stabilization.

Islamic and Jewish fundamentalism in the ME have
both pushed this project off the rails.  Fundamentalism
has an autonomous, intransigent, volatile character that
can get away from you -- the proverbial blowback.

This development feeds and is fed by the emergence
of a new strategic orientation in the Son-of-Bush
Administration, as discussed in Lemann's New Yorker
piece.  The adoption of agressive, military projection
to pacify the U.S.'s Islamic clients and destroy the most
recalcitrant ones (Iraq, Iran, Syria).  Naturally in this
scenario Israel's role is paramount.  Not incidentally,
Israel's most vociferous partisans are also those most
committed to U.S. power projection.

In a nutshell, there are two alternative imperialisms in
question here, each with their own cohort of apologists
in the U.S. and associates in the ME, each moving to
make the other untenable.

In this context, pipelines are a small part of the puzzle,
just one stand of trees in the forest of the Great Game
of this century -- control of Central Asia and the ME
in conditions of increasing scarcity of oil.

mbs




Far Out Budgeting

2002-04-24 Thread Max Sawicky

my latest.

mbs

http://www.epinet.org/Issuebriefs/ib176.html




Business Week the Nineties

2002-04-23 Thread Max Sawicky
Title: Business Week Restates the Nineties 








[Apologies for html, but you need it for the charts. This came up a week or so ago. Dean finally finished this, after my
egging him on. Feel free to circulate, with credit of course to Dean Baker,
Center for Economic and Policy Research. mbs]



Business Week
Restates the Nineties





Dean Baker

Center for Economic and Policy Research

1621 Connecticut Ave., NW 

Washington, DC 20009

202-332-5218

[EMAIL PROTECTED]

April 22, 2002 


A recent issue of Business
Week featured a provocative
cover story, which offered a new interpretation of the economy's pattern
of growth in the nineties (Restating the 90s, 4-1-02; p 50). The
article claims that the big gainers from the nineties were actually workers,
not corporations and shareholders. One representative comment asserts that
workers received 99% of the gains from faster productivity growth at
non-financial corporations.



It is easy to demonstrate that
this was not the case. Data from the Commerce Department and the Labor
Department show quite clearly that there was a redistribution from labor's
share to capital's share (profits plus interest) during the decade. This is the
first time that this has been the case since the Vietnam War. During the rest
of the post World War II period, labor share has either increased, or at least
held constant. The fact that the redistribution went from labor to capital --
and not in the opposite direction, as implied by this quote -- means that
capital received more than its share of the faster productivity growth in the
nineties.



The basic issue on distribution
can be settled easily by examining the commerce department's data on corporate
income. This is graphed in the figure below.[1]
The starting point is 1988, because that 


 
  
   
  
  
   
   
  
 
 






was the peak profit year of the
last business cycle. The profit share dipped in the early nineties recession,
as it always does during a recession. However, it recovered strongly in the
mid-nineties, reaching a peak of 21.6 percent in 1997, a level exceeded only by
the Vietnam War era profit peaks. The profit share trails off slightly over the
next three years, but even in 2000, it is still above the peak share of the
last cycle. This is true regardless of whether the broad measure of capital
income is used -- combining profits and net interest, or a more narrow measure
that just takes the profit share directly. (From the workers' standpoint, it
doesn't matter whether their wages are reduced due to growth in the profit
share or the interest share, in either case the rising
capital share implies a decline in labor's share.)



 It is possible to tell a slightly different
story by focusing more narrowly on the non-financial corporate sector. Profit
shares in the non-financial sector also peaked in 1997 at a level well above
the eighties high point, but they fell more sharply in the last three years of
the decade, as shown in the graph below.[2]
As a result, the broader measure of profit share in 2000 was somewhat below 




 
  
   
  
  
   
   
  
 
 




the peak of the eighties cycle.
The main reason for the sharp falloff in the profit share in the last part of
the business cycle was a 20.5 percent decline in profits in the manufacturing
sector. This in turn was attributable to the flood of low cost imports
resulting from the run-up in the dollar following the East Asian financial
crisis. While this does support the claim of a shift away from capital at the
end of the decade, this is only due to the fact that post-peak years are
compared to the peak of the eighties or nineties cycle. At the peak on the
nineties cycle, the profit share was almost a full percentage point higher than
it peak in the eighties cycle (19.2 percent compared to 18.3 percent). 



It is also worth noting that
the non-financial sector is not very well defined. Profits can shift from
non-financial to financial as firms change the way they conduct their business.
For example, if a store extends credit directly to customers, and charges
interest, these earnings would appear as profits in the non-financial sector.
On the other hand, if they opt instead to rely on credit cards, then the
interest earned from their customers will appear as profits in the financial
sector. If more financial services
are out-sourced in this manner, thereby shifting profits from the non-financial
sector to the financial sector, it would be misleading to characterize the
development as a shift to labor. The data from the broader corporate sector is
unambiguous -- the profit share increased in the nineties, and remained above
its previous business cycle peak
(1988) until the onset of the recession in 2001.



One factor that may explain
some of the conclusions in the business week article is that it uses data for
the recession year of 2001. Profits always fall sharply in a recession, and
2001 was no exception. For example profits fell by 19.2 percent in the 

The Blame Game

2002-04-22 Thread Max Sawicky

If all the energy going into condemning Greens, Trots, and
what-not was devoted to thinking how the moderate left could
fashion a stable, governing, productive majority, it might just
happen.

In the end, Gore and Jospin, despite huge advantages in
money and media coverage relative to their left gadflies,
could not persuade enough people to vote for them.  The
elections were theirs to lose. If voting for them is such a moral
and practical imperative, if the case is so compelling, how
come it doesn't pan out?  The onus is on them and nobody
else.  They had the platform and they blew it.  And to
anyone who kvetches, YOU blew it.  Nobody ever got
votes by being a moral scold, whether it's Al G's boyz
warning of the dangers of the GOP, or Jesse J. trying
to sell his own unique claim to conscience.  If you don't
know that, you need to review politics 101. Look in the mirror.

A neglected factor is that those who control the Dems
et al. would rather retain control of a losing party than
lose control of a winning party.

mbs




RE: Re: Palestine Vietnam

2002-04-22 Thread Max Sawicky

 If it's not too obvious, it seems worth saying that the
 Middle East complex of issues -- fundamentalism, terrorist
 attacks on the U.S., oil, and Palestine -- is what will
 dominate U.S. political discourse for some time to come,
 much in the way that SE Asia did in decades past.  The
 future of the anti-globalization movement will depend on
 how it is able to link up with this.

 Concept shifting for $500 please Alex?
 Ian


Answer:  Israel is a garrison state that provides crucial support for
the projection of U.S. military power from Africa to the Indian
sub-continent, where the overwhelming bulk of the world's petroleum
reserves are located.  This military power is the armed force underlying
economic arrangements that are euphemistically referred to as free
trade, structural adjustment, neoliberalism,  democratic capitalism.

Question:  ?

mbs




Re: re: profit rates

2002-04-19 Thread Max Sawicky


I've worked with BEA people in the past.  A friend of mine in
Gov refers to them as righteous technicians.  They are
resolutely without political bias in their work.  All of their
procedures are vetted by panels of outside experts.

Without doubt, you can spot all sorts of problems in
their work.  But I would be willing to bet that you would
not be able to arrive at a better way of doing it, given
the same resources and data that are available to them.
This is probably the best sausage you can get, given
the ingredients.

One of my own truisms about the Gov, based on my own
admittedly limited experience in it, is that however crazy
something may seem from the outside (with reference
to bureaucratic procedures), there is always a good
underlying reason for it, and equally good reasons for
not doing it some other way.  There is rationality at
the micro level, more often than not.  Irrationality
emerges at the macro level, or it is injected by
elected officials or their appointees.

mbs


 I would like to expand on what Daniel said.  The problem with the 
 BEA accounting
 is that it presumes that depreciation follows a preset, regular pattern
 regardless of changing economic conditions.  In addition, the 
 depreciation rates
 apply to broad ranges of capital goods.




RE: RE: Profit Rates -- From Michael Yates

2002-04-19 Thread Max Sawicky

I think you missed Doug's sarcasm, or I have missed
his seriousness.

the public sector people are quite well educated.  sometimes
they are given things to do that are impossible to do well.
but they still have to do them.  they are not paid as well as
some in the private sector, but you would be foolish to
take this as a sign of their worth.

mbs

 
 I think what Doug mentioned is important. By the way, it is not
 just the public sector, where those who are in charge of
 producing such statistics are in desparate need of education. A
 similar problem exists also in the private sector, even at
 Investments Banks, where they are willing to pay good salaries
 for well educated people. One way to look at this is that it is
 an adverse selection problem. Of course, there is also a problem
 of moral hazard:  when you have deadlines, the accuracy of your
 estimates becomes a very minor concern.
 
 Sabri
 




RE: Re: Sharon quote

2002-04-19 Thread Max Sawicky

 The other was his as well. Oz is lying to cover up so
 he pinned it on the dead man.


how do you know?

don't you think there is enough to indict Sharon with,
even without the quote?

mbs




RE: Peter Camejo = Green Party Gubernatorial wild card

2002-04-18 Thread Max Sawicky

Cool.  Looey for Provost of the UC university system,
BDL's boss.  a guy can dream.


 Peter Camejo = Green Party Gubernatorial wild card
 Green Party can't be ignored, pundits Say

 There's not many of them, but they certainly know how
 to cause damage to the progressive agenda . . . he
 said. The Green Party single-handedly deserves the
 blame for Bush Jr. in the White House. And Joe

Would that the Dems really believed this.  If they did,
they would change their behavior.

mbs




RE: RE: Profit Rates -- From Michael Yates

2002-04-18 Thread Max Sawicky

but according to the Cambridge UK folks, you can't measure
capital stock to begin with . . .  To me the interest rate(s) is
more meaningful, since at least it is observed and is the
object of literal transactions, unlike capital.

profits are susceptible to what I suspect are flaky inventory
valuation and capital consumption adjustments, and even
a pristine profit rate can mislead in light of the time profile
of investment returns.

mbs


 From Michael Yates

 In the discussion about profit rates, I am confused.  Doug Henwood
 suggests dividing profits by capital stock.  Wouldn't this involve
 dividing a flow (profits) by a stock (capital stock) and therefore
 making a not very meaningful calculation?

 Dividing flows by stocks is not always bad voodoo.  This calculation would
 give a ratio equivalent at the macro level to Return on Capital
 Employed,
 which is always a useful thing to know in the context of companies and I
 don't see a fallacy-of-composition type argument which would make it not a
 useful thing to know about whole economies.  Or to put it another
 way, it's
 a flow divided by a stock in the same way that the rate of interest is a
 flow divided by a stock; it's a rate of return.




New Welfare Study from EPI

2002-04-16 Thread Max Sawicky


NEW DATA SHOW WELFARE FAILS TO HELP FAMILIES
MAKE SUCCESSFUL TRANSITIONS TO WORK

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Tuesday, April 16 2002
CONTACT: Nancy Coleman or Karen Conner,  202-775-8810
Report available online at http://www.epinet.org

From 1997 to 1999, while most of the nation experienced a surge of
economic prosperity, one group of Americans was conspicuously absent
from the party. Families who moved from welfare to jobs during this
period found themselves less able to pay for basic necessities like
food, housing, health care, and child care, says a new study released
today by the Economic Policy Institute.

Former Welfare Families Need More Help, by economist Heather Boushey,
paints a picture of the rising hardships suffered by families newly off
the welfare rolls and struggling to make a go of it in the low-wage
workplace. The report documents the clear need for continued and
expanded help from the government in the form of programs such as child
care and health care that are essential if welfare families are to make
a successful transition to work.

The findings of this study support criticisms found in a survey reported

in the Washington Post.  Governors and welfare directors in 39 states
think President Bush’s welfare plan is “simply not workable” because it
increases the hours people will be required to work, but cuts federal
grants that states use to provide temporary support to transitioning
workers in areas like housing and child care.

“With welfare reform, the government said that the best antipoverty
program was a job,” said Heather Boushey, author of the study.  “But
welfare reform will ultimately fail if jobs donÂ’t offer families a
ladder out of poverty.”

Most former welfare recipients left welfare and went to work.  However,
the earnings from the types of jobs available to most former welfare
recipients continued to leave too many families without adequate and
affordable child care, regular and preventive medical care, and
affordable housing.  Nearly half of the families that recently moved
from welfare to full time work faced critical economic hardships like
the lack of food, eviction, or the inability to receive needed medical
care.

* Under welfare reform critical hardships rose 9.3 percent among
families that recently left welfare for full-time, full-year employment.

* Under welfare reform critical hardships rose 10.1 percent among recent

recipients of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC)/Temporary
Assistance to Needy Families (TANF) working part-time.

* Recent AFDC/TANF recipients working part-time also experienced an
increase in food insecurity, (up 10.5 percent since 1997), and the lack
of health insurance increased 8.2 percent.

* For families with a full-time worker, the largest increases in
hardships overall were found in the inability to pay child care and
housing bills.  Indeed there is evidence that homelessness has been
increasing in some localities.

Although child care expenditures have increased on both the federal and
state level, only 12 percent of eligible families receive assistance
through the Child Care and Development Fund. More than six million
children are eligible but not enrolled in the ChildrenÂ’s Health
Insurance Program (CHIP).

“Immediate steps should be taken to bring eligible families into
existing support programs, particularly in light of the PresidentÂ’s
proposals to raise work requirements,” said Dr. Boushey. “Over the
long-term, fundamental reforms should focus on closing the gap between
earnings and the costs of basic necessities.”

Heather Boushey is an economist at EPI and co-author of Hardships in
America: The Real Story of Working Families, which examines the true
costs of living in every community in America. Former Welfare Families
Need More Help is an expansion of that report.

The Economic Policy Institute is a non-profit, non-partisan economic
think tank founded in 1986.  The Institute is located on the web at
http://www.epinet.org

-30-

Economic Policy Institute
1660 L STREET, NW, SUITE 1200
WASHINGTON, DC   20036
202/775-8810
FAX 202/775-0819
www.epinet.org






RE: ICDSM-Ireland - Solidarity with people of Palestine

2002-04-16 Thread Max Sawicky

 [right-left] ICDSM-Ireland - Solidarity with people of Palestine
 PRESS  RELEASE   -   OPEN  LETTER –
 To Media  -  Politicians  and  to  Friends
 CDSM-IRELAND   -   SOLIDARITY  WITH   PEOPLE  OF  PALESTINE

 John Kelly – Committee to Defend Slobodan Milosevic – Ireland

at this point I had to ask myself why I should read any further.  -- mbs




RE: Nader

2002-04-15 Thread Max Sawicky

 http://www.wsws.org/articles/2001/mar2001/nad-m30.shtml
 What is your assessment of this article from the Fourth
 International?


The object of Nader's critique is spending programs that
provide public subsidies to
corporations.  I don't necessarily buy his position, but
it's a perfectly respectable left statement.  This stuff,
incidentally, is a very small part of the budget. The
tax breaks are much more important.

The author reveals his/her stupidity with:

In assessing this altogether remarkable article, one is obliged to assume
that Nader's professed hope in Bush's ability to oppose the influence of
“corporate fat cats” is merely a journalistic device aimed at currying favor
with the new administration.

Otherwise the piece has multiple inaccuracies.  I'm not going to unpack them
all.  I would advise any interested party to try and verify any assertion
before taking it at face value.

mbs




Love me I'm a neoliberal

2002-04-08 Thread Max Sawicky

New from EPI:

The unremarkable record of liberalized trade
After 20 years of global economic deregulation, poverty and inequality are
as pervasive as ever

by Christian E. Weller, Robert E. Scott and Adam S. Hersh

http://www.epinet.org/briefingpapers/sept01inequality.html

juicy excerpt:


 . . . Finally, the World BankÂ’s conclusion that the lot of the poor has
improved during the era of increasing trade and capital flow liberalization
relies substantially on data from China and India, but the experiences of
both countries are anomalies. In reality, the facts in these countries
undermine the case for a connection between greater deregulation of capital
and trade flows and falling poverty and inequality. While in China the
percentage who are poor has fallen, there has been a rapid rise in
inequality (World Bank 2001a). Most notably, inequality between rural and
urban areas and provinces with urban centers and those without grew from
1985 to 1995. Also, a large number of ChinaÂ’s workers labor under abhorrent,
and possibly worsening, slave or prison labor conditions (USTDRC 2000; U.S.
Department of State 2000, 2001). This situation not only means that many
workers are left out of ChinaÂ’s economic growth, it also makes China an
unappealing development model for the rest of the world. Thus, improvements
in China are not universally shared and leave many workers behind, often in
deplorable conditions.

Using India to illustrate the benefits of unregulated globalization is
equally problematic to the World BankÂ’s position, since IndiaÂ’s progress was
accomplished while remaining relatively closed off to the global economy.
Total goods trade (exports plus imports) was about 20% of IndiaÂ’s gross
domestic product in 1998, or 10 percentage points less than in China and
only about one-fifth the level of such export-oriented countries as Korea
(IMF 2001a). Moreover, that the IMF (1999, 2000) continuously recommended
further liberalization of India’s trade and capital flows—the only large
developing economy for which this was the case—suggests that the IMF viewed
India as a laggard in deregulating its economy. . . 




Speaking of What's Left

2002-04-02 Thread Max Sawicky

Feel the excitement.


 SEATS ARE FILLING UP QUICKLY!
REGISTER  FOR CONFERENCE AND DINNER ONLINE AT
http://www.ourfuture.org.

 Campaign for America's Future
and
  Institute for America's Future
invite you to join us for

   RECLAIMING AMERICA
 A Conference on Progressive Strategies for
 the New Era
  April 10, 11, 12
 Washington, DC

ONLY TWO WEEKS LEFT!  Go to
  http://www.ourfuture.org and register online today!

  *** Wednesday, April 10th ***
  7:00 pm GALA AWARDS DINNER
  Hyatt Regency Capitol Hill
  400 New Jersey Avenue, NW

  MC Molly Ivins- Columnist, Author
  Rep. Nancy Pelosi- House Minority Whip
  Warren Beatty*- Actor, Political Activist
  Gerald McEntee- President, AFSCME
  Sen. Jon Corzine- D-NJ

  *** Thursday, April 11 ***
  8:00 am-5:00 pm
  POLICY CONFERENCE
  National Press Club
  529 14th Street, NW

  9:00 am UNITING AMERICA--Rejecting the
  Enron Future: Press Conference
  Robert Borosage- Campaign for America's Future
  Stan Greenberg- Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  John Sweeney- President, AFL-CIO
  Rep. Maxine Waters*- D-CA
  Rep. Jan Schakowsky- D-IL

  10:00 am GOVERNOR HOWARD  DEAN - Vermont

  10:20 am A PROGRAM FOR A STRONG HOMELAND
  Robert Kuttner- founder and co-editor, American Prospect
  Marian Wright Edelman*- Children's Defense Fund
  Rep. Rosa DeLauro- D-CN
  Chellie Pingree- Candidate for US Senate in Maine
  John Podesta*- former White House Chief of Staff, environmentalist

  11:45 am HOUSE MINORITY LEADER RICHARD GEPHARDT-
  D-MO

  1:00 pm Lunch Session
  Sen. John Edwards- D-NC

  2:00 pm Breakout Workshops

  CONFRONTING ENRONOMICS
  RETIREMENT SECURITY
  HEALTH CARE
  GLOBAL CRISIS
  POVERTY AND FAMILY SUPPORT
  EXPANDING DEMOCRACY

  3:30 pm BUILDING A COALITION THAT CAN WIN IN 2002
  Rev. Jesse Jackson- President, Rainbow-Push Coalition
  Kim Gandy- President, National Organization for Women
  Eliseo Medina*- Executive Vice President, SEIU
  Deb Callahan- President, League of Conservation Voters
  Sen. Paul Wellstone- D-MN

  *** Friday, April 12 ***
  8:00 am-3:00 pM
  TRAINING AND STRATEGY SESSIONS
  National Education Association
  1201 16th Street, NW

  9:00 am PANEL OF POLLSTERS
  Celinda Lake- President, Lake Snell Perry and Associates
  Rodolfo de la Garza- Professor, Columbia University
  Ron Lester- President, Lester and Associates
  Gloria Totten- Executive Director, Progressive Majority PAC

  10:15 am Workshop Strategy Sessions

  SOCIAL SECURITY
  HEALTH CARE
  ENRON
  NATIOANL CAMPAIGN FOR JOBS AND INCOME SUPPORT
  LIVING WAGE
  STATE PROGRESSIVE ACTIVISM CONFRONTS STATE FISCAL
  CRISIS
  NATIONAL HOUSING TRUST FUND CAMPAIGN
  MOBILIZING YOUNG VOTERS
  INTERNET ACTIVISM

  11:45 am PAUL BEGALA: Political activist; co-host, CNN Crossfire;
  Author, with James Carville of the new book, Buck Up, Suck Up...
 and
  Come Back When You Foul Up.

  12:45 Lunch Session
  Ben Cohen*- founder, Ben and Jerry's and organizer of Contract With

  the Planet, a project of the Priorities Campaign
  Jim Hightower- populist political agistator, media commentator,
  organizer for Rolling Thunder Down Home Democracy Tour

  *=invited

  FOR MORE INFORMATION OR TO REGISTER ONLINE,
  GO TO http://www.ourfuture.org.




RE: Re: Re: RE: Re: We are what's left

2002-04-02 Thread Max Sawicky

But man has almost constant occasion for the help of his brethren, and it
is in vain for him to expect it from their benevolence only. He will be more
likely to prevail if he can interest their self-love in his favour, and show
them that it is for their own advantage to do for him what he requires of
them. Whoever offers to another a bargain of any kind, proposes to do this.
Give me that which I want, and you shall have this which you want, is the
meaning of every such offer; and it is in this manner that we obtain from
one another the far greater part of those good offices which we stand in
need of. It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the
baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own
interest. We address ourselves, not to their humanity but to their
self-love, and never talk to them of our own necessities but of their
advantages.

By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry, he
intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a
manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own
gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to
promote an end which was no part of his intention. Nor is it always the
worse for the society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own
interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than
when he really intends to promote it.





 The sneaking arts of underling tradesmen are thus erected into
 political maxims for the conduct of a great empire.

 People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment
 and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against
 the publick, or in some contrivance to raise prices.  It is
 impossible to prevent such meetings, by any law which either could
 be executed, or would be consistent with liberty and justice.  But
 though the law cannot hinder people of the same trade from
 assembling together, it ought to do nothing to facilitate such
 assemblies.







RE: Re: Speaking of What's Left

2002-04-02 Thread Max Sawicky

  REGISTER  FOR CONFERENCE AND DINNER ONLINE AT
  http://www.ourfuture.org.
 
 Please count the young people for us Max: . . .

 grassroots empowerment. Ultimately, it is up to our
 generation to restore one person, one vote and get the
 movement back on the track of true democracy.
 
 [Guess the author...]


I agree with the first sentence of that essay.

I don't know the author, but whoever it is, he or
she is confused.  The smorgasbord of groups
and the implied atomization of program and
politics is the fruit of democracy.  People vote
with their feet.   Participation is nice, and so is
unity, but one doesn't necessarily promote the
other.

The description of SDS/SNCC is all wet, but there
isn't much point in unpacking all that.

Instead of counting young people, I should probably
count the Palm Pilots.

mbs




RE: RE: Speaking of What's Left

2002-04-02 Thread Max Sawicky

N.B.  You are sectually confused.

Challenge is Progressive Labor Party.

mbs


 speaking of excitement, Max has an article in the issue of CHALLENGE that
 came today, something about fighting recession, even though all
 Those Who
 Know are sure that the recession is dead and gone. (I have to check to see
 whether this is the CHALLENGE that is published by M.E. Sharpe or it's the
 one published by the Larouchite U.S. Labor Party. I'll be back to you on
 this.)
 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




RE: RE: RE: Re: Re: RE: Re: We are what's left

2002-04-02 Thread Max Sawicky

I appreciate the elaboration on Smith's moral philosophy,
but the context of this discussion was whether Nader
and populists were more like Smith than not.
My clipped summary of Smith emphasized the
contrast.  No embroidery of Smith's moral thought
can find any contact with the basic thrust of political
populism, either 19th century style or Naderite.  Restoring
or creating fair market competition is not the most pressing
theme in Nader's repertory, though it is not absent either.
We should be at least as interested in accurately gauging
current political trends as we are in rehabilitating dead
economists.

mbs

 
 Unfortunatetly, quoting of the butcher and baker passage out of
 context is exactly what the 1980s Adam Smith tie-wearing Reaganite
 Gordon Greed is Good Gekko types did to promote the idea of Smith as
 an unabashed promoter of self-interest.  . . .




RE: RE: Re: RE: RE: RE: Re: Re: RE: Re: We are what's left

2002-04-02 Thread Max Sawicky

The observation about the populist theme of the many and the few,
in contrast to class, is accurate.  So much the worse for hackneyed
class analysis.  (Workers and peasants of the Bronx!)

The way the Pops chose to 'unrig' the market included a) nationalizing
the railroads; b) co-ops allowing farmers to band together in buying
supplies and selling their output; and c) a new monetary system to
replace the extant chaos of private banks.  Laying this to Adam
Smith is quite a stretch, sort of like looking for crucifixion
symbolism in Hemingway.  -- mbs



 the above makes sense to me: in the U.S., at least, the late 19th century
 Populist movement was one of the little guys against the power of the
 elites (Eastern bankers, etc.) The cry was that the Big Corporations were
 rigging the market against the little guys. This suggests that
 the markets
 needed to be unrigged rather replaced by something different and better.
 That fits with the general Smithian viewpoint (though not necessarily with
 the _laissez-faire_ interpretation of his ideas).




RE: RE: 'Living Wage' Laws Reducing Poverty Levels, Study Shows

2002-03-27 Thread Max Sawicky

No doubt it is a politically useful 'man-bites-dog' story.
I would expect advocates to milk the study for all they can.

But as a word to those interested in the substance on an
intellectual level, my advice is there are much better
things to read.

mbs


  'Living Wage' Laws Reducing Poverty Levels, Study Shows

 I don't know about the methodology of this specific study, but
 it's always a
 good sign when someone who opposes some hypothesis does a study that backs
 it. It's as if Milton F. did a study which showed that the connection
 between the growth of the money supply and inflation was insignificant.

 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine





Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max Sawicky

Thursday, April 4, 2002, 10 pm on PBS
(check your local listings):

Resistance: Untold Stories of Jewish Partisans

I saw a screening of this.  It's pretty good.
Producer is a friend of mine.

mbs




RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max Sawicky

if true, one reason could be the extent to which the
resistance was intertwined with the Soviets.  the
documentary makes heavy use of Soviet archives,
including old reenactments that use Russian soldiers.
portraying both partisans and Nazi's.

mbs


 a friend of mine -- an anthropologist named Martin Cohen -- has done a lot
 of research on this (and he's not the only one). He argues that
 there was an
 amazing amount of Jewish armed resistance to the Nazis, even in Germany.
 Also, he argues that the U.S. Jewish establishment hates this stuff and
 wants to push the image of the European Jews before  during WW2 as being
 basically passive victims.

 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




RE: RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max Sawicky

 I think it's slightly more sinister: the elite wants passive 
 donors to their
 cause and support for Israel no matter what. Zionism and
 standing-and-fighting are seen as mutually exclusive 
 alternatives. Further,
 the Bund tradition of socialist or labor-oriented Jews is 
 anathema, whether
 or not the socialists were pro-Soviet. 
 jgd


Not necessarily.  Properly reconstructed, the resistance
could serve the purposes of elites.  For instance, the
recent TV movie about the Warsaw ghetto uprising was
leached of left political content and framed the rebellion
as a more honorable form of suicide: stand-and-fight
as a matter of Jewish honor.  The implicit subtext was the
ancient Jewish version of the Alamo -- Masada -- a staple
of zionist macho discourse.  Little or no hint of some
overarching, historical purpose in fighting fascism.
As I think of it, I don't remember the word 'fascism'
ever being uttered in the movie.

mbs




Living Wage

2002-03-14 Thread Max Sawicky

In related news, today Hell froze over.

PPIC aspires to be the Brookings of the West.
At this rate they'll never make it.

-mbs


-Original Message-
From: Industrial Relations Research Association
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Daniel J.B. Mitchell
Sent: Thursday, March 14, 2002 1:27 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: living wage laws


The report described below is available at:
www.ppic.org.

=
'Living Wage' Laws Reducing Poverty Levels, Study Shows

Labor: Battle between advocates and business opponents over
the issue has intensified in recent years.

By NANCY CLEELAND
TIMES STAFF WRITER

Los Angeles Times, March 14 2002

Living wage laws, adopted in dozens of cities and
counties in recent years, reduce overall poverty levels
despite causing some job loss, according to a
cautiously worded study from a conservative economist.

David Neumark, a Michigan State University economist known
for his opposition to minimum-wage hikes, said the
findings--to be released today by the nonpartisan Public
Policy Institute of California--surprised him.

Going into this, I would have been pretty negative,
Neumark said. But I come away saying these things work
reasonably well, and there's no reason to condemn them on
empirical grounds. The electoral fight between advocates
and business opponents has intensified in recent years over
living wage laws. The laws raise hourly wages beyond the
minimums for select workers, generally those with some
connection to government. About 80 such laws have been
enacted since the first was adopted in Baltimore in 1994,
and dozens more are pending. The city and county of Los
Angeles have adopted living wage laws, as have at least 10
other California cities and counties.

Neumark is still no fan of an increase in the minimum wage,
which he maintains won't reduce poverty and could even
exacerbate it. Living wage laws have the opposite effect,
he said, because they are more targeted. Beneficiaries are
more likely to be adults heading poor households rather
than those in middle-class homes, such as suburban
teenagers in part-time jobs. It's a distributional
question, he said.

The Public Policy Institute said the 145-page study is the
first comprehensive look at the outcomes of living wage
legislation. Neumark collected income data from 40 cities
that have living wage laws and compared trends with other
cities where no such laws exist.

He cautioned that his study should not be taken as a
prescription for the living wage approach. There are two
themes that come out of this, he said. One is if
you simply ask the question, 'Do these things tend to help
the poor?' It looks like they do, at least the broader
ones. The more subtle question is, 'Is this the best way
[to reduce poverty]?' That's not so clear-cut.

The findings were questioned by the Employment Policies
Institute in Washington, which is an organization of
restaurants and other employers of low-wage workers and a
prominent voice against living wage laws.

Chief economist Richard Toikka said it may be too early to
reach conclusions about costs and benefits. And because the
laws vary greatly, it is difficult to generalize about
them. More significantly, Toikka said, there are more
efficient ways to reduce poverty, such as with earned
income tax credits.

On the other hand, living wage proponents said the study
backs up what they've maintained all along.

These laws are running straight at some of the most dire
economic realities that poor people face, said Jen Kern,
director of the Living Wage Resource Center at ACORN, a
national coalition of anti-poverty community groups that
has been a leading voice for the living wage movement.
It's fundamental: If you work, you shouldn't be poor.
People in America believe that.

The living wage campaigns have been championed by groups
ranging from labor unions to affordable-housing advocates.

The laws vary widely as well. Nearly all set wage floors
for employees of government contractors, such as janitors,
food service workers and security guards. Many also cover
employers that receive any government subsidies or
benefits, or who lease space from the government, such as
airport concessionaires.

Emboldened by success, proponents have been raising the
living wage floor--from an average of $9 an hour in the
late 1990s to about $12 now--and broadening the definition
of covered employees.

And private employers are increasingly being targeted. One
example is Santa Monica's recently adopted coastal zone
living wage of $10.50 an hour, which covers private
employers near the beach and is being challenged by a
hotel-sponsored ballot initiative.

Just last month, voters in New Orleans approved a landmark
living wage that covers all workers in the city. It
immediately was met with a business-sponsored
legal challenge, and even proponents concede that it may
not survive.

Employer groups have fought each new wrinkle with lawsuits,
rival 

RE: Re: Living Wage

2002-03-14 Thread Max Sawicky

Well some people would say he didn't need any help.

I'm not into that literature, so I couldn't say.
But you know people who are, who could.

mbs


 
 
 Hasn't Neumark discredited himself enough working with Berman?
 




RE: RE: Re: Re: marx's proof regarding surplus value and profit

2002-03-13 Thread Max Sawicky


I've been suppressed this way for years, so I can identify.

--mbs



 What's the sound of one side suppressing Marx?  You have only to
 listen to the silence.
 Andrew Kliman




RE: Steel woes redux

2002-03-06 Thread Max Sawicky

Comical blending into tragedy.  My colleague
tells me the specific measure will have the opposite
effect desired, from the steelworkers' standpoint.

mbs

 
 [this is getting comical]
 
 World Fumes at U.S. Steel Move, EU Hits Back
 
 GENEVA/TOKYO (Reuters) - The European Union pledged on Wednesday
 to hit back ``immediately'' at the United States through the
 World Trade Organization (WTO) as steel producers went on a war
 footing over hefty U.S. tariffs on steel imports.




From the heartland

2002-02-25 Thread Max Sawicky

http://www.duluthsuperior.com/mld/duluthtribune/news/opinion/2741000.htm




RE: Krugman Komes Around

2002-02-22 Thread Max Sawicky

Not so fast Sparky.

http://www.epinet.org/Issuebriefs/ib175.html

http://www.epinet.org/webfeatures/econindicators/jobspict.html

http://www.epinet.org/briefingpapers/bp121.html


mbs

 [Maybe I should sue because of violation of my intellectual
 property rights
 (see http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/faculty/jdevine/talks/ESTalk020502.htm) ;-)
 ... still, this is a pretty good article.]

 The W Scenario
 By PAUL KRUGMAN
 First comes the victory parade. Later we'll find out if we won.




RE: RE: RE: Krugman Komes Around

2002-02-22 Thread Max Sawicky

no i meant you weren' t the only one w/claims to pre-K
vision.

mbs


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Devine, James
 Sent: Friday, February 22, 2002 5:44 PM
 To: '[EMAIL PROTECTED]'
 Subject: [PEN-L:23086] RE: RE: Krugman Komes Around
 
 
 Max, I don't understand your point. It sounds like PK is leaning 
 in the EPI
 direction on this one.
 
 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine
 
 
 
  -Original Message-
  From: Max Sawicky [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
  Sent: Friday, February 22, 2002 11:32 AM
  To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Subject: [PEN-L:23076] RE: Krugman Komes Around
  
  
  Not so fast Sparky.
  
  http://www.epinet.org/Issuebriefs/ib175.html
  
  http://www.epinet.org/webfeatures/econindicators/jobspict.html
  
  http://www.epinet.org/briefingpapers/bp121.html
  
  
  mbs
  
   [Maybe I should sue because of violation of my intellectual
   property rights
   (see 
  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/faculty/jdevine/talks/ESTalk020502.htm) ;-)
   ... still, this is a pretty good article.]
  
   The W Scenario
   By PAUL KRUGMAN
   First comes the victory parade. Later we'll find out if we won.
  
 




Fellowship at EPI

2002-02-15 Thread Max Sawicky



Last notice (for this year).  Application deadline is 4/1/02.
mbs


THE MARCIA McGILL RESEARCH FELLOWSHIP

Purpose
To provide advanced graduate students with experience in policy-relevant
empirical research and to assist them in developing their own
research/dissertation topic.

Activities
The research fellow will assist EPI economists in empirical research,
providing an opportunity to develop as well as use statistical and
methodological capabilities. The Fellow will develop research/dissertation
ideas and explore databases at EPI, and will be encouraged to attend
seminars, hearings and conferences in the D.C. area. SEIU will provide the
research fellow with the opportunity to learn about the role of labor unions
in the policy-making process.

Research will be empirical and relevant to public policy. Examples are the
outcomes of welfare reform, the distribution of the tax burden, trends in
labor markets and the income distribution, work reorganization and worker
participation, macroeconomic policy, and the evolution of privatization
efforts in state and local governments. Historically specific factors and
the role of institutions will be included in the analysis.

Eligibility and Terms of Award
The fellowship is available to advanced graduate students in economics,
public policy, industrial relations, and related fields who have completed
all requirements toward a doctorate except for the dissertation. It is
primarily intended for those who have not yet selected a dissertation topic,
but those who have begun their dissertations are also invited to apply.
Minorities and women are strongly urged to apply.

Application Requirements

Applicants must submit:

1. Statement from their department describing their current academic
standing.
2. A three page statement on the applicant's research interests and their
relevance to public policy. If applicable, the statement would briefly
describe the dissertation, including the research problem or area, research
questions, methodologies, sources of data or evidence (e.g., surveys, case
studies), and policy implications.
3. Two letters of reference from faculty, one of whom must be the
applicant's chief academic advisor.
4. Curriculum vitae and transcript from the graduate institution.
5. A writing sample, preferably a research paper, or equivalent.

Application Dates
Applications must be postmarked by April 1, 2002. Awards will be announced
by May 1, 2002. The award will cover a 12 month period between July 2002 and
August 2003. Start and end dates are somewhat flexible.

Arrangements
The Fellow will receive a pro-rated $25,000 annual stipend and reside in the
Washington, D.C. area. Health benefits are available if the Fellow is not
covered by his or her university.

Non-U.S. citizens are welcome to apply. It is the applicant's responsibility
to ensure that he or she has a visa/immigration status that permits
participation in the program. EPI will not support H1-B visa applications.

Affirmative Action
People of color are strongly encouraged to apply.

Contact
Please direct all e-mail correspondence to Max Sawicky at [EMAIL PROTECTED]
or fax inquiries and applications to (202) 775-0819.




RE: [PEN-L:22566] Re: [PEN-L:22555] Fw: [?$?i]?i,R?A?a A? A??i?a,| A?CN A$A$?c?cCN cAIAR ?ACA ?E3 !

2002-02-07 Thread Max Sawicky

Try a laxative.

mbs


 
 
 I get one or two each day.
 -- 
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 Chico, CA 95929
 
 Tel. 530-898-5321
 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 




RE: Re: Re: RE: Export tax subsidies that aren't?

2002-02-05 Thread Max Sawicky

 In a world in which transaction demand on the current account was the sole
 basis for forex markets, with constant PPP and never a whiff of pricing to
 market, then this type of analysis would make sense.  We're not
 in that world, however. Peter



AND . . . . ???

mbs




RE: Re: RE: Export tax subsidies that aren't?

2002-02-04 Thread Max Sawicky

Depends on the price elasticity.  If the price of jellybeans goes down,
do you spend more or less on jellybeans?  But I should beg off on this.
I don't do trade.  --mbs


 Wouldn't a decrease in the total cost of goods lead to a *decrease* in the
 demand for dollars?  In which case, the rest of the mechanism:

  cost of dollar (and good, in importer's currency) go up, cost advantage
  disappears.

 would be thrown into reverse, and the currency swings would reinforce the
 effect of the original subsidy.

 Michael
 __
 Michael PollakNew York [EMAIL PROTECTED]





RE: Re: Re: query: Historical Materialism

2002-02-01 Thread Max Sawicky

What's the best book for an introduction/overview/tour d'horizon of
analytical marxism?
One citation only, please.

mbs



 It's analytical Marxist. Most AMs, like me, do not believe that
 Marx's value
 theory is more than a heuristic, and think that the important and true
 insights in Marx can be stated without the labor theory of value.

 jks

 _
 Chat with friends online, try MSN Messenger: http://messenger.msn.com





RE: Q4 Sunbeam

2002-01-30 Thread Max Sawicky

you left out the fun part.  Nominal GDP actually fell,
but the price level went down more (3/10's%).  We're
in a deflationary recovery.  Will wonders never cease.

mbs

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Tom Walker
Sent: Wednesday, January 30, 2002 11:16 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [PEN-L:22093] Q4 Sunbeam


Surprise! Surprise! GDP rose in the fourth quarter by a breathtaking 0.2%.
0% financing on new car sales have raised the yankee economic chin just
millimetres above the bar. Huzzah! Huzzah! Buy! Buy! Happy days are here
again! Prosperity is just around the corner. We see the recovery Sunbeam* at
the end of the recession tunnel.

*Hint: Chainsaw Al, rebates, Arthur Andersen

Tom Walker




RE: Export tax subsidies that aren't?

2002-01-30 Thread Max Sawicky

The mainstream argument is that exchange rates adjust
to wash away all tax advantages, whether legal or illegal.

Not being a trade person, the best argument I can
think of goes like this:
If you want to buy US goods, you need dollars to pay
for them.  A cost reduction in said goods increases
demand for dollars relative to other currencies, cost
of dollar (and good, in importer's currency) go up,
cost advantage disappears.  I'm not familiar with
the Grossman paper.

If you have less faith in the flexibility of the price system,
you would favor the position that cost savings improve
U.S. competitiveness, so there are indeed tax subsidies,
relative to tax systems with no special concessions
for exports.  In the latter sense, the VAT and the CIT both
subsidize exports.  The U.S. problem is that the latter
is GATT illegal, and now thanks to the WTO, the U.S.
faces the prospect of actually facing up to the dictum
that crime doesn't pay.

The fun part comes when the free trade maniacs in Congress
are confronted with a breach of U.S. sovereignty (something
they claimed couldn't happen), in the form of instructions from
commie-pinko Europeans to change our red-white-and-blue tax
system.   It's kind of sweet.

max




 Jagdish Bhagwati has an op-ed in yesterday's FT where he says the US
 Congress's objections to that huge WTO ruling last month that declared we
 are unfairly subsidizing our exports to the tune of $4 billion are
 hypocritical, nationalistic and wrong.  No argument from me there.  But he
 makes one argument I can't follow:





How Much Is Enough

2002-01-25 Thread Max Sawicky


Simplifying radically:

If the baseline budget projections show unemployment of 6.0,
and we say 4.5 is a reasonable standard, we need a stimulus
sufficient to move the rate 1.5 percentage points.  OMB says
you need a percent of real GDP to get half a percent
less unemployment.  So you need three percent real GDP,
which means, say, five percent nominal GDP.  In a $10 trillion
economy, that's $500 billion.

So if the multiplier is 1.5, must we advocate a $333 billion
stimulus on an annual basis to force unemployment down
to 4.5%?

mbs




RE: Re: How Much Is Enough

2002-01-25 Thread Max Sawicky

You're right.  I'm using a conservative estimate of the
multiplier, which ironically implies a higher required
stimulus.  Alternatively, I could use a more optimistic
estimate that would imply less need for stimulus. --mbs


 So if the multiplier is 1.5, must we advocate a $333 billion
 stimulus on an annual basis to force unemployment down
 to 4.5%?mbs
 
 Why would the spending multiplier be this low? If, simplifying 
 very radically, it's 1/1-mpc+mpc(t)+mpm, and the tax rate is 
 going down, and generally mpc is, what?, .6 or something, then 
 why wouldn't the multiplier be much higher, like in the 2.5- 3 range?
 Christian
 




Gaining on Time

2002-01-24 Thread Max Sawicky

I propose we continue this by your putting forward
four (or less, if possible) basic policy changes that
would make possible the reduction of the working day.

To hold up my end, I will do the same now:

 Lower or no taxes on the first X dollars of labor
earnings, higher on the remainder (there is more
than one way to do this, but the principle is the
main thing).

 Preclude payment of health care costs by business firms.
(also disability  life insurance, other fringes) by establishing
alternative sources

 Increase mandated overtime pay (definition of work week, etc.)

 Facilitate non-standard work arrangements that
permit shorter weeks (conditional on ensuring
fringes noted above)

Then anyone who cares to can pick apart
the proposals or their rationales.

mbs



You're right.  Now is a good time to talk about it.
That still leaves the heap o' work.  -- mbs


I have to fall back on the position that it is therefore *always* important
in
principle to do the heap of work it takes to launch that discussion. . . .




RE: Re: From the Heartland

2002-01-23 Thread Max Sawicky

You're right.  Now is a good time to talk about it.
That still leaves the heap o' work.  -- mbs



I agree with you, Max, that the best time to raise the Time issue is when
the economy is in good shape. The problem then, however, is that no one is
worried much about unemployment and so it is off the political agenda. I
recall you specifically making that comment to me in this forum, oh, about
two or three years ago. That makes two times when it is not opportune to
raise the Time issue -- when unemployment is not an issue and when it is.

Having established that it is *never* opportune to raise the Time issue, I
have to fall back on the position that it is therefore *always* important in
principle to do the heap of work it takes to launch that discussion.
Certainly Lonnie's work and Eileen's are part of that heap and that's a
credit to EPI.

I still can't quite square your characterization of the spending paradigm as
the one under discussion when your op-ed piece was about the lack of
attention being paid to it by Dems and Repubs alike. Perhaps the signal that
it's time to try a different paradigm is when Dems and Repubs aren't even
paying the one under discussion much lip service.

mbs:  It's a different paradigm.  I'm sympathetic, but for a variety of
reasons I'm stuck in the current one.  It's going to take a heap of work
to launch that discussion.  The downside of the business cycle hands
us a context that is ignored if we shift to a timeless focus on time. It
would not pay to try and change the subject when the one under
discussion redounds to our advantage.  I would say the time to
raise the Time issue is when the economy is in what is ordinarily
thought of as good shape.


Tom Walker




RE: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Max Sawicky

I would say that keynesian demand management combined
with a good safety net, ample social insurance, and a new
agency that would rapidly resolve business bankruptcies and
redeploy their assets, would solve the underlying problems of
the capitalist system, if I only had a brain.

The problem here is RB is arguing with me and a corporal's guard
of others, but we're not in this thread, so he has to argue with people
who can't resist talking to him, even though they don't disagree with
him.  Like Reagan and Grenada.

mbs



 ^^^
 
 CB: So, who on this list or thread has claimed that Keynesian 
 demand management can solve the underlying problems with the 
 capitalist system  ? Perhaps it was the Scarecrow in the Wizard 
 of Oz who said it .




RE: Re: Re: Two, three many geniuses

2002-01-16 Thread Max Sawicky

I would like to announce that there is no way in Hell that I
would ever support J. Lieberman for president.  Where
have you gone, Monica Moorehead?

mbs




In my dreams I imagine that an alert CBS journalist immediately asked
Lieberman Just how DO you want capitalism to be?  And in my nightmares I
can hear his answer.

Gene Coyle

http://www.nightmareanalysis.org

Ian






RE: FW: today's papers: The Enemy of My Enemy is My...Enemy

2002-01-10 Thread Max Sawicky

I had the same thought, but reportedly the shipment included C4
explosives and other implements that go well beyond the needs
of a police force.  Unless you think the PA feared aggression
from Jordan.

mbs


 I don't get this: doesn't the Palestinian Authority have an army and a
 police force? isn't normal for organizations like that to buy 
 arms? doesn't
 the Israeli state import arms? if the PA can't arm its security 
 forces, how
 can it suppress the violence of Hamas, etc.? why in heck is this 
 a big flap?
 
 all of the above are rhetorical questions, not needing answers.
 
 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine
 




RE: Budget follies

2002-01-09 Thread Max Sawicky

when they feel compelled to address recession, they use
that claim.  otherwise they try to change the subject to the
long-term need for investment, or they try to inveigle people
with the promise of giving you your money back.  

On the positive side, they do not invoke the Democratic canard
that higher surpluses will cause interest rates to fall and
cause investment spending to end the recession.

mbs



 
 CB: Thanks, Max.  I forget. What is the rationale for their tax 
 cut ? That the rich will invest it, starting a new round of 
 investment , and ending the recesssion ?
 
 
 




RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-08 Thread Max Sawicky

State revenue forecasts came in below expectations last year,
so retrenchment has already begun.  As state legislatures begin
convening I suspect they will take a pessimistic view of revenues
(which probably are a lagging indicator anyway) and move
accordingly.  There is little indication the Feds are going to
help them out, so if the forecasts of recovery by summer are
wrong, the U.S. could be pretty deep in doo-doo.

mbs

 
 I have noticed that a number of forcasters have noted the less than 
 expected rise in unemployment indicates  that the economy is 
 beginning to rebound from the recession.  But if one of the reasons 
 that the rise in unemployment was due to the increase in 
 government employment, how much of that is at the state level 
 which, due to requirements for balanced budgets, means that 
 curtailment of employment will occur if the recession cuts into 
 state revenues.  In other words, is the recent increase in public 
 employment sustainable, or will subsequent cuts to state revenues 
 reverse the procedure and lead to falling public employment?
 
 Anybody got any ideas?
 
 Paul Phillips,
 Economics,
 University of Manitoba
 




RE: Budget follies

2002-01-08 Thread Max Sawicky



They say the recession is somebody else's fault and will be over soon.

mbs


 
 %%
 
 CB: Do supply-siders express an aim to lessen recessions' 
 unemployment etc by their tax cuts for capital, or do they say 
 recession is a necessary, good thing ? 
 
 




RE: Re: Re: Re: Fiscal Crisis of the State

2001-12-27 Thread Max Sawicky

thanks.  I don't expect to resolve any debates
about Marx, or even to engage them.  I don't
know anything about that stuff.  All I could
hope to do is fairly evaluate JOC's theory
in light of subsequent experience.  I don't
have a horse in the marx interpretation
contest, so in that sense I may be a bit
more objective than others.mbs


Max,
I think you might very helpful the discussion . . .




RE: Re: RE: Re: Re: RE: Enron's Success Story

2001-12-27 Thread Max Sawicky

I would say the relevant test in this context is whether
the product kept flowing to customers at prices that
covered production costs.  The California crisis is
clearly an example of consumptis interruptis, but no
role of Enron's bankruptcy in that crisis has been
raised, as far as I know.  So I see no downside in
the Enron affair as far as market failure is concerned.
Whether it was overhyped by some conservative
commentators is another matter.

If I was looking around for market failure, my first
impulse would be on concentration and the restricted
output, high prices, and inequitable distribution of rents
associated with them.  Also up there would be the
proliferation of external costs and failure of government
to deal with them.

mbs

Max, nicely clear statement, isn't there another issue here?  Enron
supposedly proved that market forces were superior to government
regulation.  It could create low prices for consumers and lush profits for
investors.   Michael Perelman




RE: Re: RE: Re: Re: RE: Enron's Success Story

2001-12-27 Thread Max Sawicky

You could read it that way, but whether or not
the affair does point to an inherent problem with
markets is another matter.  Choice and imperfect
law creation/enforcement make illegal acts possible;
that doesn't mean the underlying arrangement isn't
the best available.mbs


Max, I read the big push to define the Enron affair as criminal as an effort
to
suggest that there is nothing wrong with the functioning of the market, just
some bad apples who everybody thought were good apples.
Which is not to say that pushing the criminal investigation high into the
Bush administration is not a good idea.   Gne Coyle




RE: Re: Re: RE: Farm subsidy data base

2001-12-27 Thread Max Sawicky

That's a useful distinction, but I would say it is the
commodity sector that 'works' as far as markets
go, and the other one that doesn't.  The stability
of the intellectual-prop sector preserves its
inefficiency and unfairness.  Market functionality
travels over the dead bodies of failed suppliers.
-- mbs


Gene, I have been pushing the idea that the economy breaks into two
different sectors.  1 consists of the undifferentiated commodities, and
the other, those sectors protected by intellectual property rights.  The
former will remain in trouble while the latter will prosper as long as it
is backed by state power.  But then, you will have to wait until my book
comes out in a few months 

On Thu, Dec 27, 2001 at 09:47:31AM -0800, Eugene Coyle wrote:
 My argument is that selling an undifferentiated commodity on the market
 -- like many farm commodities -- actually results in prices that only
 cover marginal costs, not average costs.  The difference has to be made
 up somehow.  That is what I see as the idea behind farm subsidies.
-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Re: Re: RE: Enron's Success Story

2001-12-26 Thread Max Sawicky

Two different issues seem to be mixed in here.
One is market failure, the other is illegal acts by
Enron execs possibly linked to illegal acts by
the Bushies.  The mere fact of a company failing,
even a large one, is not a market failure.  Market
failures exist because markets keep functioning
in some perverse, diseconomical way.

Neither is the commission of illegal acts a market
failure.  In this case, such acts happen to be politically
sensational.  That's the importance, IMO.  Not
market failure.  Capitalism is guilty of its successes,
not its failures.

mbs



To answer Michael's question below:  No.

But the reason for the Wall ST Journal story was not to work through
micro theory to get the right answer.  The article appeared to head off
any questioning of the market in Congress or State legislatures.  People .
. .

Michael Perelman wrote:

 Is it ever possible to the disprove market efficiency to the satisfaction
 of a conservative economist?





RE: Re: Re: Query on Anti-Colonial Revolts

2001-12-23 Thread Max Sawicky

Crucible of Empire: The Spanish-American War
appeared on PBS.  I thought it was great, especially
for PBS.

to purchase, go to www.greatprojects.com\store

mbs


  Do you know of any movies of significance, be they documentaries or
  fictions, on the following subjects: the Sepoy Rebellion; the Mahdi
  Revolt; the Spanish-American War/the Philippines-American War; the
  Boxer Rebellion; and any other non-Marxist but anti-colonial revolts
   rebellions?
  --
  Yoshie




Fiscal Crisis of the State

2001-12-17 Thread Max Sawicky

I understand there is a new edition of this coming out.
I'm thinking of doing a piece on it and would like to know
of references to other works that refer or react directly
to O'Connor's book.

mbs




RE: Re: Fiscal Crisis of the State

2001-12-17 Thread Max Sawicky

thanks.   mbs

 
 1. a long footnote reference in Mario Cogoy, International Journal of 
 Political Economy, vol 17, no 2 (1987) see last article. . . .




RE: RE: pop quiz in lieu of finals

2001-12-12 Thread Max Sawicky

How do you know Karla Hoff?  She's a nearly-new assistant prof
at U-Md.  Does she have some rep I didn't know about?  (I knew
she was a Stiglitz student.)

mbs


 2)'[T]he evolution of economics as an academic profession is a case of
 lock-in comparable to the peacock's tail. Sets of genes producing the
 . . .
 
 a)Geoffrey Hodgson
 b)Karla Hoff
 b)Philip Mirowski
 d)Warren Samuels
 




RE: Re: Re: Stupid profit rate question

2001-12-12 Thread Max Sawicky


Sorry if I misinterpreted.

I agree that corporate influence is an eternal problem,
but it is the least interesting one analytically.
Even if without any such influence, there is an
intrinsic problem of contracting in some areas simply
because running a contract system has costs,
both government and vendors are self-interested,
and some public services are too complicated
or too risky for contracting to be feasible.  You
could have the same sort of problems if a socialist
Gov was dealing with an independent cooperative
and nobody except the Gov owned capital.

mbs


Max, I never intended to implement contracting out would be easy.  You
gave a number of examples of government screw-ups.  Won't they be almost
inevitable so long as the government is permeated with corporate
influence?

Max B. Sawicky wrote:

 MP suggested contracting was an easy alternative, tho
 he didn't advocate it.  I said it isn't easy.

---

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901




RE: Re: Stupid profit rate question

2001-12-11 Thread Max Sawicky

The Gov would have to organize a competitive bidding system,
evaluate contract proposals, monitor contract compliance,
enforce contracts, and have substitutes (possibly itself) in the
event of non-performance.  It ain't like ordering pizza.  Taxing
is definitely easier.

If the Gov is renting capital and paying managers what they
could earn in alternative employment, the extent of remaining
surplus that it has 'nationalized' is in some doubt.  In the
pharmaceuticals case, it would might own patents and
collect rents they earn.  But where would it get the patents?
What's really in question is the ownership of the research,
not the manufacturing.  The latter lends itself to contracting,
with above caveats, whereas the production of patents is
an excellent candidate for public ownership, as Dean Baker
has written.  -- mbs


Several people mentioned that taxing is easier than running businesses.
Maybe
so, but the experience of running businesses may prove valuable.  Also,
business may well be able to use its influence to undermine the taxing more
easily than to create a reprivatization.  Finally, both Bill and Gene
mentioned
pharmacueticals.  If government owned the business, they could easily
contract
out the production of the medicine.  I don't advocate that strategy, but at
least there would be nothing to run.
--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Baker on external debt

2001-12-10 Thread Max Sawicky

I have yet to hear a Bushie express anxiety about the
trade deficit.  The fact that foreigners own more U.S.
assets might mean little to the Bushies if they own the
foreigners.

mbs


A paranoid thought: what if George Bush's efforts to create a US-dominated
world government is an effort to change this? Now that the US external debt
is increasingly gigantic, if the US government can get taxing power over the
rest of the world... it would be a little like when the various states
joined the US union back in the 1780s and were able to get the Federal
government to help them with their debts.

On the other hand, the US already the ability to reduce its external debt
via inflation, since that debt is almost entirely denominated in dollars.

Another question: do pen-l people agree with Baker that The cause of the
[2001 U.S.] recession was the collapse of the stock market bubble? I'd say
that the popping of the bubble was only the _proximate_ cause, as in 1929,
but that the U.S. economy was riding for a fall.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




RE: Re: Re: Stupid profit rate question

2001-12-10 Thread Max Sawicky

Don't own; just tax.  Fewer headaches.  -- mbs

I'm just wondering with which markets we should start our program of
public ownership.  Bill




RE: RE: Re: Afghanistan class

2001-12-07 Thread Max Sawicky

 A desperate Jim D. writes:
 Can someone tell me how to set up a filter under Microsoft Outlook?


Step 1:  make sure you're in a mail folder (i.e., Deleted Items) with a
prospective filteree's post in the list.
Step 2:  click on organize on the toolbar, or if you don't use the
Toolbar, click on the menu item Tools, then Organize.  Your list of
posts should now split in two, revealing a new top panel for setting up
filtering rules.
Step 3:  click once in the bottom panel to highlight the aforementioned post
Step 4:  Next look to Create a rule (the second bullet) and try different
options in the little drop-down box (from, sent to, etc.) until the name
of the targeted sender of the post shows up to its right.
Step 5:  Next to the Create button, click on the destination of the
unwanted posts (i.e., Deleted Items, Inchoate Ravings, etc.) and click
on Create.  It will ask you if you want it to sweep up all such posts in
that folder.  Say yes.  You're done.

If you are stuck with an older version of Outlook, this will not work since
all you can do is filter the whole list or nothing at all.  In that case
you'll just have to shoot yourself.

cheers,
mbs






RE: 1929 stock market

2001-12-06 Thread Max Sawicky

If you value an asset according to a ROR above its long-run average,
doesn't that mean it is over-valued?

mbs
(chief asset:  '96 Lumina)


This is not as silly as it sounds. The fact is that in 1929, the profit rate
had attained its cyclical peak (before a very steep cyclical decline). High
earnings allow high stock market valuation. The problem was that the profit
rate -- and thus the stock market -- rested on a house of cards. The US and
world economies were extremely unstable. There probably was a stock market
bubble going on, too. But even if there wasn't, the stock market was going
to fall as earnings plummeted in the recession.
Jim Devine




RE: Land Value Taxation: The Basics

2001-12-05 Thread Max Sawicky

It's been discussed quite a bit, though not lately.
I'm a fan, in general.  One problem is that it implies
a new pattern of location that could disrupt the lives
of people.  If you rent in an area that should be high-
density, LVT would create pressure to turn your
home into something that generated higher profits.
In other words, it's a machine for urban renewal.
The reason is that a zero tax on 'improvements'
(buildings, equipment fixed in place) enhances the
incentive to maximize improvements where they
create maximum after-tax profit.  Sort of like an
'enterprise zone.'

mbs



Land Value Taxation: The Basics 

Does anyone have critics of land value taxation ?

Charles Brown






RE: A little rant about NPR propaganda on unemployment

2001-12-03 Thread Max Sawicky

Reciting trends in wages and incomes doesn't get
you very far in politics, truth be known . . .

mbs


Subject: [PEN-L:20293] A little rant about NPR propaganda on
unemployment

I was listening to NPR this morning and they had a brief report on
unemployment benefits paid by states.  They had an economist from the
Economic Policy Institute (EPI) on to describe the basic facts. . . .




RE: RE: RE: A little rant about NPR propaganda on unemployment

2001-12-03 Thread Max Sawicky

Jeff Wenger, who does excellent work.

I was not referring to him in particular, but to us (incl this list) in
general.

mbs




who was this EPI economist?
jd




RE: Re: A project for Pen-l -- Krugman point

2001-11-30 Thread Max Sawicky

. . . Krugman's work is similar to that for an optimal tariff in that it
is
possible to, theoretically, identify a government intervention into trade
that makes the nation (doing the intervention) better off. But the
response of Krugman . . .



This parallels a layer of public choice thinking that similarly
doubts the efficacy of anti-trust, regulation, public provision, etc.
Obviously if we are going to make comparisons, we would
compare real-world deregulation and its nominal
opposite.

I raised it, though, because free trade is itself put forward
in a bowdlerized academic form in the political arena.
You hear about wine and wool in newspaper columns.
When Gary Becker was asked why he supported the
Bush Campaign's tax cuts, he advised reporters to
consult a Principles of Economics textbook.  So
counter-models in this vein are not without practical
usefulness.

mbs




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