[PEN-L:6323] (Fwd) Emergency Mobilization-Stop the War

1999-05-02 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 30 Apr 1999 12:37:13 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Emergency Mobilization-Stop the War

Emergency Mobilization to Stop the War
39 West 14th St., #206   New York, NY  10011
(212) 633-6646   fax:  (212) 633-2889
http://www.iacenter.org   email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Emergency Mobilization-Stop the War

May 1, 1999

It is time to act! As the U.S./NATO bombs are raining down on
Belgrade, Pristina, Aleksinac, and other cities in Yugoslavia, as
hundreds of thousands of people have been made into refugees since the
beginning of this bombing, we are urging you to join us in the
newly-formed Emergency Mobilization to Stop the War. 

On June 5, there will be a national mass march from the Vietnam
Veterans' Memorial to the steps of the Pentagon. Unless we stop this
madness, we will be witness to the Pentagon unveiling a Yugoslav
Veterans'' Memorial. On June 5, our demand will be "money for jobs and
education, not for war in Yugoslavia." 

Buses and car caravans will be coming to Washington D.C. for the June
5 demonstration from hundreds of cities and towns throughout the
United States. 

This is the most important anti-war demonstration since the Vietnam
war. We hope you will do everything in your power to participate in
this effort. We need to organize buses, print and circulate posters
and leaflets, send out email notices and press releases, organize
fundraising events, send mass mailings and information packets, hold
house meetings, send our spokespersons on speaking tours and recruit
thousands of volunteers. 

We are counting on you to help us in this massive grassroots campaign
to build a new anti-war movement. The timing of the June 5 National
Mass March could not be more urgent. Why? Because we are on the brink
of the abyss. Hundreds of thousands of troops may be dispatched in a
bloody rerun of Vietnam.  Ten years after the end of the Cold War, the
Pentagon is embarked again on another destructive adventure.  Instead
of a so-called peace dividend, we are being treated to the anti-people
ramifications of the New World Order.  

We urgently need to collect the funds necessary for a huge
demonstration. It is through the self-sacrifice and cooperation of
thousands of people of conscience that we will succeed in building
this new movement. Donations to the "People's Rights Fund/To Stop the
War" are tax deductible. 

Please see our web site for an endorsement/volunteer form, fact
sheets, flyers, and more.  Feel free to call our office or come by to
volunteer your efforts. 

End the war now before its too late! 

Ramsey Clark, Former U.S. Attorney General
Bishop Thomas Gumbleton
Rev. Lucius Walker, Jr., Exe. Dir., IFCO/Pastors for Peace
Howard Zinn, Historian
Edith Villastrigo, Leg. Dir., Women Strike for Peace
Nick Pavlica, Publisher, Marketing Consultant, Peace Activist
Rev. Djokan Majstorovic, Serbian Orthodox Cathedral of St. Sava, NYC
Rev. John Dear, J.S., Executive Director, Fellowship of Reconciliation
Leslie Feinberg, Author 
Michael Parenti, Author 
United Serbs of America 
Frank Velgara, Working Group on Puerto Rico/FS 
Brian Becker  Sara Flounders, International Action Center 
Cathleen Todd, Co-Chair, Global Peace  Disarmament Ministry, 
Riverside Church 
Leonore Foerstel, Women for Mutual Security 
Johann Christoph Arnold, Bruderhof Community 
Greek Americans for Action






[PEN-L:6191] (Fwd) NATO MISSILE STRIKES BULGARIAN TOWN

1999-04-29 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Thu, 29 Apr 1999 11:21:35 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:NATO MISSILE STRIKES BULGARIAN TOWN 

The Associated PressThursday, April 29, 1999

NATO MISSILE STRIKES BULGARIAN TOWN 

Bulgaria to sue pilot for damage in response 
to "drastic violation of airspace''

By Veselin Zhelev

SOFIA, Bulgaria (AP) -- NATO acknowledged today that a missile 
fired by one of its warplanes over Yugoslavia unintentionally landed 
in Bulgaria, apparently causing no injuries. 
Bulgarian officials earlier said a NATO plane had violated the 
country's airspace Wednesday evening and one of its missiles 
slammed into a suburb of the capital, Sofia, about 30 miles west of 
the Yugoslav border. 
In Brussels, Belgium, NATO spokesman Jamie Shea said today 
a NATO jet fighter launched the missile ''in self defense in response 
to the threat from a surface-to-air missile'' after a Yugoslav ground 
radar had locked on to the plane. 
He said ''the missile strayed from its target and unintentionally 
landed in Bulgaria,'' which neighbors Yugoslavia. 
''We understand that no civilians suffered a loss of life from 
what happened there,'' Shea said. 
Shea said NATO Secretary General Javier Solana had talked 
with the Bulgarian ambassador to explain the incident. 
Three NATO missiles have already struck Bulgaria's territory 
during the air campaign against neighboring Yugoslavia, and 
alliance planes have previously violated Bulgarian airspace. 
Bulgarian air force officials identified the missile as laser-guided 
anti-radar AGM-88 Harm. They said it is usually carried by F-16 jet 
fighters. 
In a meeting with U.S. Army Maj. Gen. Henry Kievenaar, a 
Defense Department official, Bulgarian President Petar Stoyanov 
expressed ''great concern'' about the incident. 
Kievenaar said, ''I just want to express our deep regret on the 
missile incident.'' 
Interior Minister Bogomil Bonev said Bulgaria would sue the 
pilot for material and moral damage caused to the house owners. 
''There hasn't been such a drastic violation of our airspace so 
far,'' Bonev said. 
Stoyanov and Foreign Minister Nadezhda Mihailova urged 
NATO to supply Bulgaria with sophisticated radar equipment that 
can identify planes. They said Bulgaria would mark its western 
border with lights for better orientation of allied fliers.
Despite the incident, the government will propose to parliament 
to provide NATO with a 70- to 90-mile air corridor along 
Bulgaria's western border, Bonev said. 
The public is divided between desires to join NATO and the 
European Union and sympathy for fellow Slavs and Christian 
Orthodox Serbs in Yugoslavia. 






[PEN-L:6188] Re: Re: (Fwd) Letter from Belgrade

1999-04-29 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Barkley,
The President of Yugoslavia is elected as is the Yugoslav 
assembly which has approximately the same powers vis-a-vis the 
two constituent republics as the old Yugoslav govt had with respect 
to the 6 republics. (The difference is that the president is elected at 
large and is not a 'presidency' i.e rotating collective as it was under 
the old system.)  The president can only serve I believe for one (or 
is it two) terms.  In any case, Milosevic was the first president of 
Yugoslavia and could not run in the last election.  His party ran a 
Milosevic associate (I forget his name) who was elected president 
while Milosevic ran for president of Serbia, which he won with the 
majority you mentioned (see below).
 When I was last in Beograd and discussing these issues and 
the inflation and monetary policy with economists in Serbia I was 
told that within the urban, middleclass, professional and intellectual 
class circles, Milosevic was quite unpopular (hence the opinion of 
the lady I forwarded from Sid's post).  However, his political and 
electoral strength is among the rural peasant and working class 
people who still look up to a strong leader -- a new Tito.  You will 
also note that in the other posting about Vuk Draskovic, he rose to 
influence on a right-wing nationalist appeal, only to be outflanked 
on the right-nationalist wing by Seselj.  I have good Serbian friends 
who were 'ethnically cleansed' twice from Kosovo by the Albanians 
who, though moderately left-liberals here, are pro-Seselj in 
Yugoslavia precisely because they have been/feel they have been 
oppressed by the Albanian minority in Yugoslavia.
 But I am straying from your question.  To the best of my 
knowledge, Kosovo and Vojvodina are represented in the Yugoslav 
parliament but not as autonomous provinces, only as regional 
constituency representatives (in the same sense as 
congresspersons from Vermont or any other state are 
representated in Congress.)

Have I answered all your questions?

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba


From:   "J. Barkley Rosser, Jr." [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:6162] Re: (Fwd) Letter from Belgrade
Date sent:  Thu, 29 Apr 1999 13:22:54 -0400
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Paul,
   Hmmm.   This woman has a name that
 is very similar to that of His Excellency's wife.
 But, more seriously I would ask you if you could
 really clarify the nature of the current political
 system in Yugoslavia.  This is triggered by this
 letter writer's lament that she (and her friends)
 did not elect this government.  But there clearly
 are quite a few elections in Yugoslavia, even if
 His Excellency tried to resist the results of some
 local ones a few years ago.  Clearly the repeated
 labeling by NATO of His Excellency as a "dictator"
 is seriously inaccurate.  Some specific questions:
  1)  Is there a Yugoslavia-wide parliament?  I 
 know that Serbia and Montenegro have their own
 parliaments.  I know that the Albanians in Kosmet
 have largely boycotted those elections.  I know that
 the breakdown in the Serbian parliament is that 115
 are either in His Excellency's party or his wife's party,
 that about 80 are in the right-wing chauvinist party of
 Seselj and about 40 or so are in Draskovic's party.
 I don't think Djindic's party (His Excellency's most
 severe "liberal" critic") has any.
  2)  How is the Yugoslav president selected?  Is
 there a nationwide election or is he appointed by some
 body?  If the latter, who is that body?
  3)  If there is no nationwide parliament, what is 
 the national level governing body.  I am aware that there
 is both a Serbian bureaucracy and a parallel Yugoslav
 bureaucracy in Belgrade.
  4)  How are the republican presidents selected?
 By the republican parliaments?
   Hope that you or somebody can clear this up.
 Barkley Rosser
 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Date: Wednesday, April 28, 1999 5:09 PM
 Subject: [PEN-L:6125] (Fwd) Letter from Belgrade
 
 
 
 --- Forwarded Message Follows ---
 Date sent:  Tue, 27 Apr 1999 16:36:52 -0700
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject:Letter from Belgrade
 
 Subject: Letter from Belgrade
 Date: Tue, 20 Apr 1999
 From: Marija Marjanovic [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: My side of the story
 
 Hello everyone! I am student from Architectural Faculty, 
 University of Belgrade, Yugoslavia. I spent great time in Porto 
 Alegre by the end of the year 1997.
 Some terrible things are happening to me and my people (Serbs) 
 and I wanted to tell you my side of the story.
 My people is in a very bad position: on one side, there is our 
 government that absolutely does not care about anything except 
 about how to save their own positions. We don't 

[PEN-L:6189] (Fwd) HOUSE VOTES TO REQUIRE ASSENT FOR GROUND TROOPS - Washin

1999-04-29 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Thu, 29 Apr 1999 11:56:52 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:HOUSE VOTES TO REQUIRE ASSENT FOR GROUND TROOPS - Washington
Post

The Washington Post   Thursday, April 29, 1999; Page A1 

HOUSE VOTES TO REQUIRE ASSENT FOR GROUND TROOPS 

Republican members display misgivings about Clinton's handling 
of war; Democratic resolution to support air war fails on tie vote

By Charles Babington and Juliet Eilperin

President Clinton signaled yesterday that the air campaign in 
Yugoslavia may continue for at least another three months, while he 
sought to quell congressional discontent by yielding to some GOP 
demands on military spending and agreeing to legislative 
consultation on the possible introduction of U.S. ground troops.
Despite his conciliation, the House voted 249 to 180 to block 
funding for U.S. ground forces in the Balkans unless Congress first 
gives its approval. Clinton, who had hoped to prevent the vote, 
tried to remove some of its political sting by issuing a preemptive 
letter agreeing to consult with legislators before sending in ground 
troops. He repeated that he does not intend to use U.S. ground 
troops to fight their way into Kosovo, but might deploy them in a 
peacekeeping or "permissive" setting.
A Democratic resolution to support the air war later failed on a 
tie vote of 213 to 213.
In Belgrade, meanwhile, Yugoslav President Slobodan 
Milosevic fired Deputy Prime Minister Vuk Draskovic, a maverick 
critic who had called for sending armed United Nations 
peacekeepers to Kosovo. Clinton said it was a sign that the 
Belgrade regime was splintering over the NATO campaign, though 
it consolidated the control of Milosevic and other hard-liners over 
the Yugoslav government.
And in Berlin, Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott said 
the United States and its allies were close to an agreement with 
Russia on how to manage an international peacekeeping force for 
Kosovo, once the conflict is over. Such an agreement could open 
the way to a new effort by Russia to broker a deal between NATO 
and Yugoslavia to end the war.
The flurry of activity came as the House began voting on the 
Kosovo war for the first time since hostilities began last month. 
With GOP members already displaying misgivings about Clinton's 
handling of the war, the president tried to minimize the impact of a 
congressional debate that White House aides feared could give 
comfort to Milosevic and undermine allied efforts to conduct rescue 
missions and keep military options open.
At the same time, the president gave his clearest signal yet that 
the air campaign may continue well into the summer. Clinton told 
reporters that NATO pilots now can "fly around the clock, at lower 
altitudes from all directions, in better weather. Historically, the 
weather [in Yugoslavia] is better in May than in April, better in 
June than in May, better in July than in June. And I feel very 
strongly that we should stay with, and be very strong, in 
determination to pursue our strategy."
Meeting with congressional leaders in the morning, the 
president told House and Senate leaders he would consult with 
them before sending ground troops, and he sent a letter to House 
members shortly before yesterday's votes, reiterating that promise.
Clinton also appeared to compromise in the area of military 
spending. He has asked Congress for $6 billion in emergency funds 
for Kosovo military and humanitarian operations, but Republicans 
have proposed doubling the amount to fund their own military-
related priorities.
While asking Congress to endorse his plan as introduced, 
Clinton privately told lawmakers they could add to it, provided they 
not make it so unwieldy and controversial that they delayed its 
passage.
"He said, 'Just please don't overload it so it gets bogged down,' 
" said House International Relations Committee Chairman Benjamin 
A. Gilman (R-N.Y.). "He was showing a willingness to try to work 
together with the Congress."
Many House leaders, however, said they could not afford to 
trust Clinton after he had forged agreements with NATO on the 
Balkans before conferring with Congress.
"We want to change that cycle," said House Majority Leader 
Richard K. Armey (R-Tex.). "We want to say, 'Mr. President, your 
relationship between the executive branch of this government and 
the Congress of the United States . . . comes before your 
relationship with allied nations.' "
After the meeting with the president, the House engaged in a 
civil, occasionally emotional debate on the conflict in the Balkans. 
The debate was precipitated by Rep. Tom Campbell (R-Calif.), who 
invoked the War Powers Resolution in an effort to force 

[PEN-L:6190] (Fwd) YUGOSLAVIA SUES NATO IN WORLD COURT

1999-04-29 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Thu, 29 Apr 1999 11:15:42 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:YUGOSLAVIA SUES NATO IN WORLD COURT 

The Associated PressThursday, April 29, 1999

YUGOSLAVIA SUES NATO IN WORLD COURT 

By Mike Corder

THE HAGUE, Netherlands (AP) -- In an unprecedented legal 
maneuver aimed at stopping NATO airstrikes, Yugoslavia filed 
World Court cases against 10 alliance members today, claiming 
their bombing campaign breaches international law. 
Yugoslavia also asked the 15-judge court, the United 
Nations' highest judicial body, to demand an immediate halt to 
NATO's campaign while the case is being considered -- a process 
that can take years. 
An emergency hearing is likely to be scheduled early next 
week to discuss Belgrade's request. Judges were believed to be 
meeting today to discuss their initial reaction. 
''This morning, we filed proceedings against 10 NATO 
members,'' Sanja Milinkovic, legal counsel at the Yugoslav Embassy 
in The Hague, told The Associated Press. She declined further 
comment and would not say which countries were named. 
An American Embassy official, speaking on condition of 
anonymity, confirmed that the United States was one of the 
countries named. 
The court, which has no enforcement powers and relies on 
states to comply voluntarily with its rulings, declined to comment 
on the case. 
A state has never before filed simultaneous cases against 10 
other countries at the World Court. 
International law expert Terry Gill of Utrecht University in 
the central Netherlands dismissed Yugoslavia's application as a 
''public relations stunt'' designed to promote disagreement among 
NATO nations. 
''There is some doubt among NATO states about the legality 
of what they are doing, so something like this could cause 
embarrassment,'' Gill said. 
Even if the court were to order a halt to airstrikes, 
Yugoslavia would have to seek a U.N. Security Council resolution 
ordering compliance if NATO refused to back down, Gill said. 
NATO began airstrikes against Yugoslavia on March 24 in 
an effort to stop Belgrade's purge of ethnic Albanians from the 
southern province of Kosovo.






[PEN-L:6135] (Fwd) RAMBOUILLET ACCORD: DECLARATION OF WAR DISGUISED AS PEAC

1999-04-28 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 28 Apr 1999 10:55:09 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:RAMBOUILLET ACCORD: DECLARATION OF WAR DISGUISED AS PEACE
AGREEMENT

International Action Center
39 West 14th St., #206
New York, NY  10011
(212) 633-6646   fax:  (212) 633-2889
http://www.iacenter.org   email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

THE RAMBOUILLET ACCORD: 
A DECLARATION OF WAR DISGUISED AS A PEACE AGREEMENT

Chapter 4a, Article I -- "The economy of Kosovo shall 
function in accordance with free market principles." 

By Richard Becker, 
Western Regional Co-Director of the International Action Center

The official line in the big business media is that the Pentagon had
no choice but to rain bombs and missiles down on Yugoslavia because
the Milosevic government refused to negotiate over the issue of
Kosovo, a region of that country where ethnic Albanians make up the
majority.

The reality was very different: The Rambouillet accord, the U.S./NATO
"peace plan" for Kosovo was presented to Yugoslavia as an ultimatum.
It was a "take it or leave it" proposition, as Albright often
emphasized back in February. There were, in fact, no negotiations at
all, and no sovereign, independent state could have signed the
Rambouillet agreement.

Appendix B of the accord would have opened the door for the occupation
of all of Yugoslavia.

The accord provided for a very broad form of autonomy for Kosovo. A
province of Serbia, one of two republics (along with Montenegro) which
make up present-day Yugoslavia, Kosovo would have its own parliament,
president, prime minister, supreme court and security forces under
Rambouillet. The new Kosovo government would be able to negate laws of
the federal republic's legislature (unlike U.S. states) and conduct
its own foreign policy.

All Yugoslav federal army and police forces would have to be
withdrawn, except for a 3-mile wide stretch along the borders of the
province. A new Kosovar police force would be trained to take over
internal security responsibilities. Members of the U.S.-backed KLA
(Kosovo Liberation Army) which is supposed to disarm under the
agreement, could join the police units.

But, in reality, neither the Kosovo police, the KLA nor the Yugoslav
federal forces would be the basic state apparatus under Rambouillet:
That function would be reserved for NATO. A 28,000-strong NATO
occupation army, known as the KFOR, would be authorized to "use
necessary force to ensure compliance with the Accords." 

As has been reported in the mainstream media, the Yugoslav government
indicated its willingness to accept the autonomy part of the
agreement, but rejected other sections, including the occupation of
Kosovo by NATO, as a violation of its national sovereignty and
independence. 

Many key aspects of the accord have been given very little or no
coverage in the corporate media.

Chapter 4a, Article I -- "The economy of Kosovo, shall function in
accordance with free market principles." Kosovo has vast mineral
resources, including the richest mines for lead, molybdenum, mercury
and other metals in all of Europe. The capital to exploit these
resources, which are today mainly state-owned, would undoubtedly come
from the U.S. and western European imperialists.

Chapter 5, Article V -- "The CIM shall be the final authority in
theater regarding interpretation of the civilian aspects of this
Agreement, and the Parties agree to abide by his determinations as
binding on all Parties and persons." The CIM is the Chief of the
Implementation Mission, to be appointed by the European Union
countries.

Chapter 7, Article XV -- "The KFOR [NATO] commander is the final
authority in theater regarding interpretation of this Chapter and his
determinations are binding on all Parties and persons." "This Chapter"
refers to all military matters. The NATO commander would almost
certainly be from the U.S.

Together, the CIM and the NATO commander are given total dictatorial
powers, the right to overturn elections, shut down organizations and
media, and overrule any decisions made by the Kosovar, Serbian or
federal governments regarding Kosovo.

At the end of three years of this arrangement, the "final status" of
Kosovo would be resolved through an unspecified process (Chapter 8,
Article I, Section 3). In reality, Yugoslav sovereignty over the
region would end the day the agreement was signed.

The Rambouillet accord would have turned Kosovo into a colony in every
respect, a colony of the United States, the dominant power in NATO.
But it also would have gone a long way toward subordinating all of
Yugoslavia. 

APPENDIX B

Appendix B, the "Status of the Multi-National Military Implementation
Force," includes extraordinarily intrusive provisions for Yugoslavia
as a whole.

Section 6a. "NATO shall be immune from all legal process, whether
civil, administrative, or 

[PEN-L:6133] (Fwd) It is ludicrous to demand a withdrawal of Yugoslav force

1999-04-28 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 28 Apr 1999 14:50:12 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:It is ludicrous to demand a withdrawal of Yugoslav forces as a
condition of a ceasefire - General Lewis Mackenzie

The Vancouver Sun   April 28, 1999

A Soldier's View

GLIMMERS OF HOPE FOR A CEASEFIRE IN YUGOSLAVIA

It is ludicrous to demand a withdrawal of 
Yugoslav forces as a condition of a ceasefire

By Lewis Mackenzie

As a result of my United Nations service in Sarajevo in 1992 I 
have the dubious distinction of brokering more ceasefire agreements 
than any other Canadian. Dubious, because most of them failed! 
Nevertheless, based on the theory that you learn from your 
mistakes, at around the 15th of 19 ceasefires I was beginning to get it 
right. 
A few basic rules apply to ceasefire arrangements and the 
follow-on activities that should be designed to create real peace. A 
ceasefire merely brings most of the killing to a stop. In 1992 in 
Croatia 200 ceasefire violations a day by the Serbs and Croats was 
described by the UN as "ceasefire holding." A ceasefire does not 
produce peace by itself. 
First of all, no side in the conflict should be humiliated. Pride 
plays a very important part in convincing one or all sides to accept 
the terms of a ceasefire. 
Secondly, all sides must feel that their people will be secure if a 
ceasefire is signed. If the agreement does not account for the 
re-establishment of law and order, the conflict will merely move from 
war to anarchy. 
Thirdly, peacekeepers should come from countries having nothing 
to do with the conflict either politically or militarily. Obviously, this 
rule does not apply to a peace enforcement contingent or an army of 
occupation, both of which would be capable of defending themselves 
and others in the conflict zone. 
During my recent three weeks in Belgrade I discussed a number 
of ceasefire/peace proposals with various government ministers and 
deputy prime ministers. I found a refreshing openness to ideas on 
how the war might be halted and the rebuilding begun. However, as is 
well documented, if President Slobodan Milosevic does not agree it 
won't happen. 
I hasten to add, before my critics launch a fresh assault, that I was 
operating as a private citizen offered suggestions to government 
officials where they were solicited. During those three weeks I 
discovered a number of "hot buttons" and some areas of compromise. 
Anyone discussing cease fire proposals on a more formal basis might 
want to consider the following:
A withdrawal of Yugoslav forces — military, police, and 
paramilitary — before a ceasefire is, quite frankly, a ludicrous 
demand by NATO. I can't believe the alliance is serious. No leader 
would ever concentrate his forces in Kosovo for the drive north to 
Serbia with NATO aircraft overhead still seeking targets. The 
ceasefire must come first. 
The disarming of the Kosovo Liberation Army will not happen. 
Their own spokesman, based in the U.K., has stated that their aim is 
to unite the Albanians of Macedonia and Albania proper with the 
Kosovo Albanians, thereby creating a Greater Albania. He also 
indicated they would never agree to disarm, considering what been 
done to them by Yugoslav security forces. I believe him. 
The Rambouillet agreement is dead and anyone who thinks 
otherwise has only been listening to NATO as opposed to the parties 
to the conflict, the Kosovo Albanians and the Yugoslav leadership. 
Their opinions should count for something.
The presence of a follow-on international "peacekeeping'' force in 
Kosovo to maintain security for returning refugees is a major problem 
for Milosevic; however, it is not an impossible problem. The first step 
is not to call it a "force". The word generates problems all by itself. I 
used the terms "peacekeeping mission" and "peacekeeping corps" — 
anything but "force". 
The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe 
monitors, pulled out just before the bombing started, did marvellous 
work. Their numbers were approximately 50 per cent of what was 
requested in the October 1998 Agreement. I would personally triple 
their size. The Yugoslav officials I met with saw no problem with 
that. 
I do not agree that nations participating in the air offensive should 
provide peacekeepers, for all of the obvious reasons. However, with 
the UN's inability to put mission into Kosovo on short notice, NATO 
troops wearing UN insignia  and authorized by a Security Council 
resolution for a limited deployment of three months might be the 
answer. 
During that time nations outside the conflict, such as Ukraine, 
India, Brazil, Argentina, 

[PEN-L:6134] (Fwd) Quick Political Scholastic Aptitude Test (QPSAT)

1999-04-28 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 28 Apr 1999 10:54:39 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Quick Political Scholastic Aptitude Test (QPSAT)

Quick Political Scholastic Aptitude Test (QPSAT)

This test consists of one (1) multiple-choice question.

Here's a list of the countries that the U.S. has bombed since the end of
World War II, compiled by historian William Blum:

  China 1945-46
  Korea 1950-53
  China 1950-53
  Guatemala 1954
  Indonesia 1958
  Cuba 1959-60
  Guatemala 1960
  Congo 1964
  Peru 1965
  Laos 1964-73
  Vietnam 1961-73
  Cambodia 1969-70
  Guatemala 1967-69
  Grenada 1983
  Libya 1986
  El Salvador 1980s
  Nicaragua 1980s
  Panama 1989
  Iraq 1991-99
  Sudan 1998
  Afghanistan 1998
  Yugoslavia 1999

In how many of these instances did a democratic government, respectful of
human rights, occur as a direct result?  Choose one of the following:

  (a) 0
  (b) zero
  (c) none
  (d) not a one
  (e) a whole number between -1 and +1






[PEN-L:6063] (Fwd) BOMBING BRINGS TERROR TO NOVI SAD

1999-04-27 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 26 Apr 1999 16:22:08 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:BOMBING BRINGS TERROR TO NOVI SAD

The Globe and Mail   Monday, April 26, 1999

BOMBING BRINGS TERROR TO NOVI SAD

Normal life ceased to exist a month ago
for residents of Yugoslavia's second-largest city

By Estanislao Oziewicz

Belgrade -- One of the most difficult things Milena Popov has to 
cope with are the questions of her two children: "What did we do? 
Why are they trying to hurt us? Why don't they like us?"
Like hundreds of thousands of Serbian children, eight-year-old 
Nina and three-year-old Dunia are collateral victims in the 
undeclared NATO air war against President Slobodan Milosevic of 
Yugoslavia and his policies in Kosovo.
For Nina there is no more school, there are no more piano 
lessons or gymnastics classes. For Dunia, there are no more 
preschool programs. For both girls, there are daily preparations to 
spend terrifying nights in an air-raid shelter.
Ms. Popov, 34, husband Sasha, 38, and their children live about 
150 kilometres north of Belgrade in Novi Sad, which has sustained 
unrelenting bombardment for going on five weeks.
With a population of 180,000 in the city proper and about 
500,000 in the surrounding urban area, Novi Sad is Yugoslavia's 
second-largest city. Its Danube River bridges, oil refinery, 
industries and nearby communication transmitters have all been 
devastated.
So has the city hall building, considered by residents as an 
architectural treasure. Water and electricity have been cut off to 
parts of the city.
The nightly and early-morning bombing has had a profound 
impact on its residents, and not only in terms of deaths and injuries, 
for which the authorities are not releasing numbers.
"Until a month ago, we led totally normal lives, no different 
from you or anybody else," Ms. Popov said in an interview. "What 
is happening to us could one day be happening to you. We never 
did anything.
"I don't want to sit here wondering whether my children will 
have something to eat, let alone whether they will be alive next 
week. That's too much for me to bear."
The middle-class Popovs are the kind of people who, in normal 
times, would be ideal immigrants to Canada. Ms. Popov speaks a 
number of languages -- English, Chinese, Russian and Japanese 
fluently -- and her husband, a former hockey player, is a 
watchmaker. Until the bombing began, Mr. Popov used to play 
pickup hockey with his friends a couple of times a week.
Well-educated and, up to now, citizens of the world, they are 
also entrepreneurial. Even with years of economic sanctions against 
Yugoslavia, they managed to open two watch shops. (One of Mr. 
Popov's sidelines is putting logos on watches for Western 
companies.)
Although Ms. Popov says she is flattered by the compliment, 
she does not want to be the perfect immigrant to Canada.
"I want to be a perfect tourist. I want to have friends in Canada 
who want to come here to have good time. I don't want to be a 
perfect immigrant, because that would mean something horrible 
happened to me, because I had to go. That is not good. I don't want 
that."
The Popovs live in a two-bedroom apartment in a five-storey 
building close to one of the bridges demolished by North Atlantic 
Treaty Organization missiles in central Novi Sad. They own a car, 
and before March 24, when the NATO campaign began, they were 
planning on buying another. They also were building a new home 
on the other side of the Danube.
Until the bombings began, Ms. Popov also worked as a health 
department volunteer making film documentaries on subjects such 
as childbirth. She is now among a group of volunteers helping 
children with psychological distress caused by the military attacks.
Ms. Popov also worries terribly about the toxic air and water 
effects of the destruction of Novi Sad's oil refinery and the 
Panchevo petrochemical complex, an hour's drive away.
All across Serbia, schools have been cancelled, leaving parents 
exhausted and stressed from the weight of NATO bombing, unable 
to provide home schooling. Ms. Popov said that parents, weary 
from lack of sleep and tension, simply cannot enforce any study on 
their children, many of whom are experiencing psychological 
problems.
Among younger ones, Ms. Popov said, this includes reversion 
to thumb-sucking; among older children there is a tendency to turn 
inward or to be aggressive.
"Shelters are instant proof that something is wrong," Ms. Popov 
said. "You get very tired, you don't sleep, it's cold, it's loud."
Besides comforting her children, she is trying to deal with her 
own rising feeling of resentment toward 

[PEN-L:6060] Kosovo Postings

1999-04-27 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Just so that it is clear to all on the list, I forward many of the 
postings I receive from Sid Sniad who used to be but is no longer 
on this list.  I do not necessary agree with them either with regard 
to the 'facts' they convey or with their interpretation.  However, I 
think they all are significant enough contributions to the debate to 
be worth posting.  Those that I don't think add anything I do not 
forward.  So, if you disagree with any of these, please remember 
that they do not necessarily express my views.

However, there is one point I wish to make clear.  Through many of 
the other posts on the list, the assumption/assertation is made 
that NATO began to bomb to *stop the ethnic cleansing of Kosovo 
and/or genocide of Albanians*.  This is false as there was no ethnic 
cleansing of Kosovo and no genocide in Kosovo prior to the 
bombing.  If you look at the UN figures previous posted on this list, 
of the *refugees* from the low level civil war initiated by the KLA, 
about 20 per cent were in Serbia.  Given that Serbs represent 10 % 
of the population of Kosovo, then there was a far higher percentage 
of Serb refrugees driven out than there were Albanians.  
Furthermore, of the estmated 2,000 killed, approximately 800 (or 
40 % were Serbs), 1,200 Albanian.  If ethnic cleansing and 
genocide was being done, then proportionately there was more 
being done by the Albanians than by the Serbs.  Perhaps NATO 
should have bombed Tirana instead.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba






[PEN-L:6061] Vietnam War Impact

1999-04-27 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Thanks to all on the list who answered my request for references 
on the economic impact of the Vietnam war.  I have passed on all 
your suggestions, papers and ideas to the student.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba






[PEN-L:5819] (Fwd) MORALITY? DON'T MAKE ME LAUGH!

1999-04-23 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Thu, 22 Apr 1999 17:47:50 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:MORALITY? DON'T MAKE ME LAUGH!

The GuardianTuesday April 20, 1999 

MORALITY? DON'T MAKE ME LAUGH!

Britain's military-industrial-arms trade, which Margaret Thatcher 
built and taxpayers subsidise through 'soft loans' to dictatorships, 
is central to the 'Blair project'

John Pilger sees only one Balkan winner: the arms trade 

'The struggle of people against power,' wrote Milan Kundera, 'is 
the struggle of memory against forgetting.' The idea that the Nato 
bombing has to do with 'moral purpose' (Blair) and 'principles of 
humanity we hold sacred' (Clinton) insults both memory and 
intelligence. The American attack on Yugoslavia began more than a 
decade ago when the World Bank and the International Monetary 
Fund set about destroying the multi-ethnic federation with lethal 
doses of debt, 'market reforms' and imposed poverty.
Millions of jobs were eliminated; in 1989 alone, 600,000 
workers, almost a quarter of the workforce, were sacked without 
severance pay. But the most critical 'reform' was the ending of 
economic support to the six constituent republics and their 
recolonisation by Western capital. Germany led the way, supporting 
the breakaway of Croatia, its new economic colony, with the 
European Community giving silent approval. The torch of fratricide 
had been lit and the rise of an opportunist like Milosevic was 
inevitable.
In spite of his part in the blood-Ietting of Bosnia, Milosevic, the 
'reformer', became a favourite among senior figures in the US State 
Department. And in return for his co-operation in the American 
partition of Bosnia at Dayton in 1995, he was assured that the 
troublesome province of Kosovo was his to keep. 'President 
Milosevic,' said Richard Holbrooke, the US envoy, 'is a man we can 
do business with, a man who recognises the realities of life in 
former Yugoslavia.' The Kosovo Liberation Army was dismissed by 
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright as 'no more than terrorists'. 
Last October, the Americans drafted a 'peace plan' for Kosovo that 
that was pro-Serbia, giving the Kosovans far less autonomy and 
freedom than they had under the old Yugoslav federation.
But this deal included, crucially for the Americans, a Nato 
military presence. When Milosevic objected to having foreign 
troops on his soil, he was swiftly transformed, like Saddam 
Hussein, from client to demon. He was now seen as a threat to 
Washington's post-cold war strategy for the Balkans and eastern 
Europe. With Nato replacing the United Nations as an instrument 
of American global control, its 'Membership Action Plan' includes 
linking Albania, Macedonia, Romania, Slovenia and Slovakia. Like 
Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic before them, these 
impoverished countries will be required to take part in a £22 billion 
weapons' buildup. The beneficiaries will be the world's dominant 
arms industries of the US and Britain - the contract for fighter 
aircraft alone is worth £10 billion.
Like the 1991 'moral crusade' in the Gulf, which slaughtered 
more than 200,000 people, including the very minorities the West 
claimed to be protecting, the terror bombing of Serbia and Kosovo 
provides a valuable laboratory for the Anglo-American arms 
business. Mostly unreported, the Americans are using a refined 
version of the depleted uranium missile they tested in southern Iraq, 
where leukaemia among children and birth deformities have risen to 
match the levels after Hiroshima. The RAF is using the BL755 
'multi-purpose' cluster bomb, which is not really a bomb at all but 
an air-dropped land-mine: readers will recall the Blair government's 
'ban' on land-mines. Dropped from the air, the BL755 explodes into 
dozens of little mines, shaped liked spiders. These are scattered 
over a wide area and kill and maim people who step on them, 
children especially.
Britain's new military-industrial-arms trade, which Margaret 
Thatcher built and the taxpayer subsidises through 'soft loans' to 
dictatorships, is central to the 'Blair project'. Each time New Labour 
has sought to bring big business into the fold, arms companies or 
their representatives have been at the head of the queue. A New 
Labour backer is Raytheon, manufacturer of the Patriot missile and 
currently under contract to the Ministry of Defence to build tanks. 
More arms contracts have been approved by the Blair government 
than by the Tories; and two-thirds of arms exports go to regimes 
with appalling human rights records - such as the dictatorship in 
Jakarta, which is currently deploying death squads in East Timor.
Indeed, it is no exaggeration to say that British-supplied small 
arms 

[PEN-L:5820] (Fwd) EVACUATION OF KOSOVARS HIGHLIGHTS NATO'S FAILURE

1999-04-23 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Thu, 22 Apr 1999 16:01:29 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:EVACUATION OF KOSOVARS HIGHLIGHTS NATO'S FAILURE 

The Vancouver Sun   April 22, 1999

A Soldier's View

EVACUATION OF KOSOVARS HIGHLIGHTS NATO'S FAILURE 

NATO's humanitarian rationale becomes increasingly muddy. This 
was supposed to be a war to avoid a humanitarian disaster in Kosovo. 
Now disaster has spread throughout Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia, 
Albania and Kosovo. 

By Lewis Mackenzie

Bracebridge, Ontario — What an obvious confirmation of NATO's 
failed strategy when the very alliance whose stated mission was to 
avoid a humanitarian disaster in Kosovo now finds itself trying to 
find a way to get the remaining 500,000 Albanians out — repeat 
out — of Kosovo before they die of starvation or exposure. 
If they are "successful" more than 1.5 million Kosovars will 
have been expelled during the last year, the vast majority as a 
result of Slobodan Milosevic's reaction to the first failed round of 
talks at Rambouillet when U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine 
Albright opted for threats rather than diplomacy. 
We are now hearing comments attributed to the U.S. state 
department indicating that perhaps we should not have started the 
air campaign against Yugoslavia, but now that we have, "we must 
win." 
What madness. 
To sacrifice young men and women in uniform because 
NATO's leaders made a mistake or, as some would say, a 
"miscalculation", is blatantly irresponsible, particularly to the dead 
soldiers' families. 
Without question we are revolted and emotionally moved by 
the forced departure of more than a million ethnic Albanians. 
However, I am not convinced that war is justified by deportation 
alone. 
If it is, we had better get ready for a very bloody 21st century 
and Canadians had better start lobbying their political leaders to at 
least double the defence budget. 
Current estimates suggest that somewhere in the region of 
4,000 people have been killed on all sides in the Kosovo conflict 
over the past year. That is the same as the number killed in 
Northern Ireland, albeit in a shorter time. 
Mind you, it is also 1.95 million less than in Tibet; 1.85 
million fewer than in Sudan; 950,000 less than in Rwanda and the 
same figure in Angola; 195,000 fewer than in Bosnia, and there 
are many, too many, more examples. 
As disgusting as it is to treat this aspect of the Kosovo crisis 
as a math exercise, the simple fact that there were no TV cameras 
in most of the above locations means that we have to find other 
ways to provide context. 
What is happening in Kosovo is not genocide. As the Nobel 
laureate Elie Wiesel stated a few weeks ago, the use of the term in 
the Kosovc, context is offensive to anyone who survived the 
Holocaust, and presumably to any Tutsis in Rwanda also. 
We are now hearing that the CIA believes that a significant 
number of the missing Albanian men in Kosovo were not rounded 
up and slaughtered by the Serbs as originally suggested. It is now 
believed they were forced by the Kosovo Liberation Army to join 
its ranks unless they could afford to pay a "deferment tax." 
Evidence of the so-called "rape camps" has yet to be provided 
as promised. And as someone who was accused by one of the 
parties to the Bosnian conflict of rape and murder in Sarajevo in 
1992, I'm particularly sensitive to the rhetoric surrounding the 
"rape card." I would like to see some proof before I accept it as 
justification for expanding the war. 
I have just returned from three weeks in the Belgrade area and 
while there I must admit that I was more than a little disappointed 
by the NATO rhetoric based on hearsay, speculation and erroneous 
comparisons to the Bosnian conflict. It is disappointing because 
the Serbs watch CNN, CNBC, the BBC, and a few other western 
channels and some of their reports are almost as outrageous as 
those of Serbian state television. 
As a result, the vast majority of Serbs I met do not trust any 
TV reports, either western or Serbian. What a missed opportunity 
for the West to exploit during the various NATO, Pentagon and 
state department briefings when we could be speaking to the 
Serbian people, rather than President Milosevic and the press. 
With respect, I would not buy a used car from the NATO 
spokesman Jamie Shea. 
It was my understanding that this was a war to avoid a 
humanitarian disaster in Kosovo. Well, nice going. We now have a 
disaster throughout Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia, Albania and 
Kosovo and no amount of precision weaponry can stop it. 
A lot of 20/20 hindsight? No way. 
A little bit of "we 

[PEN-L:5818] (Fwd) Are We Heading Towards Another Vietnam?

1999-04-23 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Thu, 22 Apr 1999 16:01:42 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Are We Heading Towards Another Vietnam?

From Economic Reform, Volume 11, No. 5 May 1999

Are We Heading Towards Another Vietnam?

During its first few days of its bombardment of Yugoslavia NATO's smart
missiles were reported homing in on their Serbian targets with pinpoint
accuracy--a tribute to the excellence of their spatial reference system.
On the other hand NATO's press releases dealt largely with ancient
hatreds and a battle lost six hundred years ago. It was unfortunate,
however, that Washington and the media did not seek their guidance in
the more recent past.

  The great landmark on which the current Balkan tragedy hinged
was the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. At the time a retired sage
from the US State Department even wrote a book proclaiming the end of
history. But subsequently we have been buried in a surfeit of history,
most of it of quite the wrong sort. And predictably so. Tito's
Yugoslavia had been a balancing act between the Soviet and American
camps. He was prominent in organising a "Third Camp" of neutral
countries between the superpowers. And in the economy, too, he sought a
middle ground between private and state ownership. To an extent,
decisions were made and profits distributed by the firms' employees.

  In its hour of triumph, however, Washington was in no mood for
dilly-dallying. The disastrous advice that it ladled out to
post-Communist Russia--instantaneous privatisation and untrammelled
freedom for foreign capital--was replicated in Yugoslavia with similar
results.

  Recently the 1984 National Security Decision Directive (NSDD
133) "United States Policy towards Yugoslavia," was released from
secrecy. Applied to the United States itself, that directive would have
ruled out Roosevelt's program for lifting the US out of the Great
Depression.

  Yet there were enough landmarks that warranted second
thoughts. The key false reference point that misled Washington
policy-planners might be called the Big Bang of 1981. In retrospect it
seems that at the time a giant chamber pot had crashed on our heads and
ushered in a new Age of Creation. That attempt of the US Federal Reserve
to wring inflation out of the economy led to the Fed adopting the
monetarist model. From then on its concern was supposed to be only with
braking the growth of the money supply, without regard for the effect on
interest rates. At the same time banks were deregulated so that they
could pay interest on chequing accounts as well as on saving deposits.
Naturally that prompted an influx of deposits into the new hybrid
accounts. And in an attempt to restrain that Fed Reserve Chairman
Volcker drove the bank rate up to 19%, bringing on mass unemployment and
bankruptcy throughout the non-Soviet world. Amongst much else this led
to mass lay-offs of Yugoslav "guest workers" in Western Germany on whose
remittances Yugoslavia had become dependent.

  Accordingly throughout much of the eighties the parks of
Yugoslavian cities in daytime were crammed with unemployed young men.
That left them with a dangerous amount of time to nurse the wrongs that
their ancestors had suffered six hundred years ago at the hands of their
fellow Yugoslavs of other religions. Official unemployment climbed to
17% throughout the Confederation; in Kosovo it topped 57%. Exports
plunged and government deficits soared under the combined effects of the
depressed economy and the high interest rates.

  Long since, Chairman Alan Greenspan of the Fed announced that
he no longer pays special attention to the money supply
statistic--nobody can even say how it is to be reckoned. In the United
States that has contributed to bringing down interest rates. However,
the mass unemployment, huge government deficits, and social break-down
brought on by the Big Bang of 1981 delivered the Third World and
"emerging lands" like Yugoslavia to the mercies of the International
Monetary Fund. And for the IMF the Big Bang is still certified gospel,
rather than a monumental mistake.

  At the end of the eighties the two powerful clamps that had
held Yugoslavia together since World War II disappeared. One of these
was the superpower rivalry already mentioned. The other was the
dictator, Marshall Tito. With his death free parliamentary elections in
1980 put considerable power in the hands of rightist nationalist
parties, while the Communists retained much strength in the south.

  Another important landmark was the reunification of Germany.
The reunited Germany, once again become a major power, seemed to be take
over in the Balkans just where Kaiser Wilhelm and the Nazis had left
off.

  With the best of intentions, of course. But by 1990
Hans-Dietrich Genscher, Minister of Foreign 

[PEN-L:5743] (Fwd) GREEKS TORN OVER THEIR NATO ROLE

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 21 Apr 1999 15:08:36 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:GREEKS TORN OVER THEIR NATO ROLE

The National Post   Wednesday, April 21, 1999

GREEKS TORN OVER THEIR NATO ROLE

Polls show overwhelming opposition to the bombing. 
NATO official lauds Greek government for its 
continued support in the face of domestic pressure. 

By Brian Murphy

Athens — For NATO member Greece, the main showdown isn't 
with Yugoslavia. It's within. 
Public opinion in the country is almost totally united against the 
air attacks. Greeks worry about being ensnared in a wider Balkan 
war and find kinship with Serbs as fellow Christian Orthodox, 
whose leaders often promote age-old paranoia about losing ground 
to Muslims and bowing to the West. 
The Greek government has so far managed to balance between 
domestic dissent and alliance obligations, but with the attacks 
showing no sign of easing, that may become harder. 
Escalating the air campaign could mean using Greek bases. 
Ground action in Kosovo would likely bring convoys of soldiers 
and troops through the northern port of Salonica en route to 
Macedonia, a corridor that has already been closed once by anti-
NATO protesters. 
Greek officials say they will not contribute any forces to attack 
Yugoslavia. But if public protests block even logistical support, the 
question would ring louder: Is there a place in NATO for an 
unreliable ally? 
"If Greece, because of public opposition, can't handle its NATO 
obligations in this case, there could be some wider fallout," said 
James Ker-Lindsay, an analyst at the Royal United Services 
Institute in London. "They could face some serious credibility 
issues with other NATO partners." 
Other Balkans nations desperate to join the alliance -- including 
Romania and Bulgaria -- could emerge as NATO's new regional 
operational points if Greece balks at full co-operation. Albania may 
find itself contentedly ensconced as an undeclared NATO 
protectorate. 
Protest rallies are held nearly every day now in Greece, allowing 
Greeks to revel in nationalism and U.S.-bashing reminiscent of the 
days before the big U.S. military bases closed in the early 1990s. 
Several times, riot police have been called out to protect the 
U.S. embassy. Last week, demonstrators temporarily blocked a 
French military supply convoy near the Macedonian border. 
Some polls show opposition to the bombing running at more 
than 95%. Sensing a huge potential audience, an Athens theatre 
troupe quickly put together a show lampooning NATO as a 
bumbling, Nazi-like power. 
Clerics have also helped stoke the anger. The leader of the 
Greek Orthodox Church, Archbishop Christodoulos, called the 
NATO attackers the "pawns of Satan." 
The protests -- many organized by Greece's Communist party --
are spilling over in the military. On Sunday, a navy lieutenant was 
taken into military custody for refusing to take part in a NATO 
deployment not directly linked to the attacks. 
Costas Simitis, the prime minister, was curt when asked about 
military dissent. "They go where I tell them to go," he said. 
Constantine Karistinos, a researcher at the Institute for 
International Relations in Athens, said: "Greece is part of the West. 
Its role has been established. But some voices still scream that . . . it 
doesn't belong alongside Western Europe and America. The 
Kosovo situation has enlarged this divide." 
But NATO appears ready to give Greece some leeway. A top 
NATO official, speaking on condition of anonymity, lauded Greece 
for "holding up very well . . . despite the domestic pressure." 
Forcing the Greek leadership to pick between its NATO 
obligations and pro-Serb public sentiment could create a 
government crisis and bring unwanted disruptions in the alliance. 

The Associated Press






[PEN-L:5745] (Fwd) NATO's unjust war

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 21 Apr 1999 15:08:12 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:NATO's unjust war

The Globe and Mail  Wednesday, April 21, 1999
 
NATO's unjust war

By Marcus Gee

Can the killing of innocent people in war ever be justified? That was the
question that came to mind after NATO accidentally bombed a convoy of
unarmed refugees in Kosovo last week.
In a just war, the answer has to be yes. Countless civilians died when the
Allies invaded France to free Europe from the Nazis, when the cause and the
war were undeniably just. Can the same be said of the war in Kosovo? Is
this a just war? To that question, the answer has to be no.
St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas each wrestled with the idea of a just
war. Over the centuries, scholars have refined their thoughts and come up
with five basic criteria: Is the cause righteous? Are the intentions good?
Was the war declared by a proper authority? Is there a reasonable chance of
victory? Are the means proportionate to the ends?
Let's be generous and concede points one and two to NATO. The stated aim
of this war -- the protection of Kosovo Albanians from Serbian attacks --
is hard to question. The intentions, too, are essentially good. This is not
a war of conquest or a war of revenge or a war for resources. The North
Atlantic Treaty Organization's unselfish motive is to rescue civilians and
stop a thug: Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic.
But on the other three points, NATO loses hands down.
Declared by a proper authority? Not one of the 19 NATO countries had the
honesty to declare war when the alliance began raining destruction on
Serbian cities four weeks ago today. In Canada, the government has not even
allowed Parliament the chance to vote.
Worse, NATO has completely bypassed the United Nations. Article 53 of the
UN Charter says the UN Security Council is the proper authority to approve
a collective police action such as the NATO bombing. Yet Canada and its
allies never even asked the Council's opinion. Why? Because Russia might
have voted against us. So we simply ignored the UN, and 50 years of
Canadian support for the rule of international law has gone down the drain.
Even NATO's sanction of the bombing is suspect. The NATO charter describes
the organization as a defensive alliance that is committed to use force
only when one of its members is attacked. No NATO member has been attacked
by Yugoslavia.
A reasonable chance of victory? There was always a chance that Mr.
Milosevic would fold his tent as soon as the bombing started. But from the
early days, it was clear that this was not going to happen. Instead of
folding, he attacked Kosovo and forced hundreds of thousands of Albanians
to flee. NATO should have known this might happen. Intelligence reports
before the war showed that he might unleash his troops on Kosovo if he
thought the rebels there had forged an alliance with NATO, which is how
Belgrade, with its acute victim complex, was certain to see it. Yet, with
feckless optimism, NATO bombed away.
Is there a reasonable chance of turning back Serbia's assault on Kosovo
with the means currently being used? No. If the political end we are
seeking is the total withdrawal of Serb forces and the occupation of Kosovo
by foreign troops, it seems highly unlikely that NATO will achieve it with
aerial bombing alone. Yet the bombs keep falling. NATO's only response to
the failure of its bombing campaign is to drop more bombs on more places.
Which brings us to the fifth and final criterion.
Are the means proportionate to the ends? This is perhaps the most
important measure of a just war. If we are to use violence justly, we must
be sure that the violence inflicted is less severe than the violence it is
trying to counteract, and that the ultimate gains outweigh the losses. Is
this so in Kosovo?
The violence Mr. Milosevic has inflicted on Kosovo is awful, but what NATO
is doing is pretty awful, too. Belgrade claims that the bombing has killed
1,000 people in Serbia. If this is true -- and given the number of deadly
mistakes that NATO has admitted, it could be -- it is possible that NATO's
bombing of Yugoslavia has already killed more people than Yugoslavia's
ground attack on Kosovo.
As NATO steps up the bombing, pummelling Serbian cities day and night,
more and more innocent civilians will die. In the end -- whenever that will
be -- it seems inevitable that the number of dead will exceed the 2,000
killed in Kosovo before the war began.
To NATO, that doesn't seem to matter. Convinced that their cause is just
and their motives pure, its leaders are determined to prosecute this war to
the bitter end. But as St. Thomas acknowledged, good intentions and a just
cause 

[PEN-L:5746] (Fwd) EUROPEAN UNIONS CALL FOR NEGOTIATED END TO WAR IN KOSOVO

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Tue, 20 Apr 1999 14:08:53 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:EUROPEAN UNIONS CALL FOR NEGOTIATED END TO WAR IN KOSOVO

(ANSA) Paris, 16 APRIL - ITALIAN AND FRENCH TRADE UNIONS ARE
CONVINCED THAT "THE ONLY POSSIBLE SOLUTION TO THE KOSOVO
WAR IS NEGOTIATIONS," CISL GENERAL SECRETARY SERGIO D'ANTONI 
SAID TODAY AT A PARIS PRESS CONFERENCE.

D'ANTONI STATED THAT THE ISSUE HAD BEEN ADDRESSED IN THE MEETING 
THAT THE GENERAL SECRETARIES OF ITALY'S CGIL, CISL AND UIL HAD 
WITH THEIR FRENCH COLLEAGUES FROM CFDT. THE MEETING, IN WHICH UNION 
OFFICERS SERGIO COFFERATI AND PIETRO LARIZZA ALSO TOOK PART, AIMED 
AT THE IMPROVEMENT OF TRADE UNION RELATIONS IN VIEW OF THE NEED TO 
CREATE A SOCIAL EUROPE WITHIN THE PROCESS OF ONGOING EUROPEAN INTEGRATION.  

GP 16-APR-99 19:14 






[PEN-L:5747] (Fwd) A German Insider's View of Kosovo Conflict

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 21 Apr 1999 13:41:19 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:A German Insider's View of Kosovo Conflict

Date: Tue, 20 Apr 1999
From: Gunder Frank [EMAIL PROTECTED]

A German Insider's View of Kosovo Conflict

BONN, Apr. 17 - The following report, which TiM has now received from a
multitude of sources, has been attributed to a "German insider."  Since we
normally don't publish articles from sources which we cannot authenticate,
we have sat on this text for several days now. 

But not only have some credible sources from the international intelligence
community also forwarded the same report to us, but it has now also been
passed on by Jürgen Reents, Press-spokesman of PDS at the German
parliament.  The original text, posted at the German, can be found at the
PDS site: http://www2.pds-online.de/bt/themen/99041303.htm

[AGF editorial note: I can at least certify the verity of the above:

Diese Seite ist Teil des WWW-Angebotes der PDS im Bundestag 
Erklärung eines Insiders aus dem Bonner Regierungsapparat zum
Balkan-Krieg vom 7. April 1999 
Beiliegende "Erklärung eines Insiders aus dem Bonner
Regierungsapparat zum Balkan-Krieg vom 7. April 1999" ging dem
Pressebüro der PDS-Fraktion am 8.4. anonym zu. Der Absender hat
ausdrücklich um Veröffentlichung gebeten. 
Jürgen Reents, Pressesprecher der PDS im Bundestag ]
Diese Seite ist Teil des WWW-Angebotes der PDS im Bundestag
Die Startseite mit allen Menüs können Sie in diesem oder einem neuen
 Fenster laden!

Erklärung eines Insiders aus dem Bonner Regierungsapparat zum
Balkan-Krieg vom 7. April 1999 

Beiliegende "Erklärung eines Insiders aus dem Bonner
Regierungsapparat zum Balkan-Krieg vom 7. April 1999" ging dem
Pressebüro der PDS-Fraktion am 8.4. anonym zu. Der Absender hat
ausdrücklich um Veröffentlichung gebeten. 
Jürgen Reents, Pressesprecher der PDS im Bundestag


And so, without further ado, here's a "German insider's" story about what
the "Kosovo Crisis" is all about…

"PLOTTING THE WAR AGAINST SERBIA: AN INSIDER'S STORY

1. Personal Preliminary Remarks

2. About the current lies told by [Chancellor] Schroeder, [Defense
   Minister] Scharping, and [Foreign Minister] Fischer

3. CIA covert action aimed at dismembering Yugoslavia

Personal Preliminary Remarks:

This text I am giving to a Catholic priest, who is a member of the Order
for Peace [Ordensleute für den Frieden] here in Germany. I am doing so
while maintaining confessional confidentiality, and divulging no
information as to my identity. He will transmit this text on my behalf to
those who need to know the truth.

I hold a high-security post in the government apparatus in Bonn, and for
reasons of conscience can no longer remain silent. The facts that I am
about to divulge are, for the better informed, examinable and verifiable.

Both the entire NATO propaganda staff as well as the Infernal Trio,
Schroeder, Scharping and Fischer, here in Germany are unabashedly lying to
the public with nearly every "fact" they present about the Balkans War,
while a willing media pack is keenly spreading these lies, unverified, as
gospel truth.

About the current situation:

The Federal Government knows the true reasons why the people are fleeing
and is cynically playing with the calculated misery of the refugees in the
border regions of Kosovo, in order to maintain an image comparable to WW II
deportations and "ethnic cleansing".

Neither the military intelligence arm of the Bundeswehr nor that of the
NATO have at their disposal photographic evidence, intelligence knowledge,
indications and proof leading to the conclusion that there is systematic
expulsion or deportation of refugees by the Yugoslav special forces, army
or police. According to internal acknowledgement of the defense ministry
the reasons for flight are more or less equally distributed:

  (1) Excess on the part of Yugoslav soldiers and police force, often
triggered in part by KLA attacks carried out under cover of Kosovo-Albanian
civilians. Information is on hand that Yugoslav soldiers caught looting are
summarily court-martialed;

  (2) The results of the NATO bombing, such as the lack of potable water in
nearly all cities of Kosovo and general devastation;

  (3)Understandable fear of getting caught in the crossfire between the
KLA, the Yugoslav military, and NATO attacks;

  (4) Constant spreading of panic and horror stories in the broadcasts of
dozens of small KLA, NATO or Albanian shortwave radio stations located in
the mountains, alongside the propaganda broadcasts of the KLA over Radio
Tirana;

  (5) Pillaging bands of the Albanian mafia, who with their weapons stolen
during the Albanian civil war, extort money, search abandoned houses for
anything of value and then burn the houses down to create political effect;

 

[PEN-L:5748] (Fwd) Is war crimes prosecutor Louise Arbour becoming a pawn o

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 21 Apr 1999 15:07:56 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Is war crimes prosecutor Louise Arbour becoming a pawn of NATO?

The Globe and Mail   Wednesday, April 21, 1999

DOUBTS RAISED OVER IMPARTIALITY OF PROSECUTOR

By Marcus Gee

Is war crimes prosecutor Louise Arbour becoming a pawn 
of NATO?
The question arose after Madam Justice Arbour, a 
Canadian, appeared at a news conference yesterday with British 
Foreign Secretary Robin Cook. He handed her a fat dossier of 
British intelligence reports on alleged atrocities in Kosovo, an 
unusual step for a Western government. Judge Arbour accepted 
the documents with gratitude.
That struck some as inappropriate. It is part of NATO's 
war strategy to portray the leaders of Yugoslavia as war criminals 
who must be stopped. By accepting the documents, critics say, 
Judge Arbour risked becoming part of that strategy and losing her 
impartiality.
University of Toronto law professor Craig Scott said he 
admires Judge Arbour (who is on leave from the Ontario Court of 
Appeal) and acknowledges the right of her war-crimes tribunal in 
The Hague to obtain information wherever it can.
"But at the same time it's very important that the tribunal 
not only appear to be but be at arm's length from the combatants."
Instead, he said, Judge Arbour has given the appearance of 
being in partnership with NATO.
"I am quite surprised she would do this," Prof. Scott said. 
"I see it as a lapse of judgment."
Others disagree. They say the critics are asking Judge 
Arbour to be impartial in the battle between the firefighter and the 
fire.
University of Ottawa expert Errol Mendes said Judge 
Arbour's tribunal has few resources of its own for gathering 
evidence. Besides, "she is a prosecutor, not a judge. Her role is to 
go out there and find sufficient evidence to indict war criminals."
When she accepts evidence from Britain or the United 
States, it is no different than a crown prosecutor in Canada 
accepting evidence from the police, Prof. Mendes said.
The problem is that, in this case, people can't always agree 
about who is the cop and who is the bad guy.
While refugee reports speak of terrible Serb atrocities 
against Kosovo Albanians, NATO bombing mistakes have killed 
civilians too. Last week, a NATO warplane accidentally hit a 
refugee convoy, apparently killing dozens of people.
"The rules of humanitarian law do not apply only to 
Milosevic," said Irwin Cotler of Montreal's McGill University, 
referring to the Yugoslav President. "They also apply to any 
violations that may be committed by NATO."
At some point, Prof. Cotler said, Judge Arbour may be 
asked to consider whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization 
has committed war crimes. That effort might be compromised now 
that she has stood side by side with a British minister as he 
denounces crimes by the other side.
The tribunal was set up in 1993 to investigate war crimes, 
genocide, crimes against humanity and breaches of the Geneva 
Convention in the former Yugoslavia.
Prof. Cotler points out that Article 16 of the tribunal's 
charter says the prosecutor "shall not seek or receive instruction 
from any government." On the other hand, it also says she may 
seek information from any source.
Judge Arbour herself told the news conference in London 
that she wants the help of Western governments because they have 
intelligence that she could not gather on her own.
"We have no access to judicially authorized electronic 
surveillance methods," she said. "We have no tribunal-based 
wiretap capacity with or without prior judicial approval. We have 
no standard form of execution of search warrants, which are 
standardly used in domestic criminal law enforcement to develop 
the evidence against suspects."
That sort of intelligence is crucial if she is to trace Kosovo 
war crimes to senior Yugoslav political and military leaders.
Judge Arbour has made it clear that she is not content 
merely to indict low-level police and army officials for Kosovo 
atrocities. She wants to go right to the top.
That desire happens to dovetail with NATO's propaganda 
effort, which seeks to maintain public support for the campaign by 
pinning Serbian atrocities on President Slobodan Milosevic and 
other Yugoslav leaders.
"We want not just the thugs who carried out the crimes, 
but those who gave the orders," Mr. Cook said as he handed the 
British file to Judge Arbour.
In recent days, French President Jacques Chirac has called 
Mr. Milosevic a dictator and U.S. President Bill Clinton has called 
him a "belligerent tyrant." 






[PEN-L:5749] (Fwd) SPINNING MAKES ME DIZZY

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

pen-l
pen-l

--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 21 Apr 1999 15:07:17 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:SPINNING MAKES ME DIZZY

Landau Pacifica April 21 1999 

SPINNING MAKES ME DIZZY

What to think amidst this verbal barrage against Yugoslavia's leader? 
AM radio talk show hostess Stephanie Miller compared Yugoslav 
President Slobodon Milosovic to Hitler. "I saw them loading poor ethnic 
Albanians onto trains, like Hitler did to Jews." She meant she saw it on 
TV, of course. Other commentators have also likened cleansing of ethnic 
Albanians to the Holocaust.
President Clinton promised to protect ethnic Albanians, but instead 
his bombing campaign induced Milosovic to accelerate their removal. So, 
for clarity, I called, Donald Wag-the-Dog King, secret White House Spin 
Doctor for Operation Allied Force. Will we send US troops, I asked.
"Troops," he screamed, "will go in when the media, which we feed, 
convinces the public that Milosovic's actions are akin to the Japanese 
bombing Pearl Harbor. But don't underestimate spin. Look how the public 
supports our bombing campaign. That's due to spin. Suppose that instead 
of accusing Milosovic of loading Ethnic Albanians onto deportation 
trains, we had said he was ousting fanatic Muslim fundamentalists? That 
would conjure images of PLO chief Arafat and terrorists like Osama Ben 
Laden.  "Take the Kosovo Liberation Army. Suppose we had publicized 
the CIA's claim, just 3 years ago, that the KLA were Maoist terrorists and 
narco traffickers?"
Not much public sentiment for backing people with those labels, I 
said. 
"So," he continued, "spinning makes yesterday's drug-dealing, red 
terrorist into today's freedom fighter, except in Afghanistan where 
yesterday's freedom fighter becomes today's fanatic Muslim terrorist. But 
let's not confuse the public with facts."
But, I objected, is this spinning democratic?
"Spinning the story shows us as upholders of democracy, freedom-
lovers. Milosovic becomes the newest demon threatening our lives."
Wait a sec, I said. Do you mean this campaign to save ethnic 
Albanians requires that we demonize yet another man?
"How else to sell a war? Remember Sodom Hussein, formerly, 
Saddam. We turned our one time pal -- during his war with Iran in the 
1980s -- into Satan with a few well-placed photos and stories. The media 
love it. Remember the Maine and the Kuwaiti babies thrown out of their 
incubators. Heh heh!"
This is cynical beyond belief I said.
"Hey, a few democracies have to keep order over less civilized 
nations. Our democracy demands spinning in the advanced info age. Our 
new story has Milosovic appointing only his cronies to high public office. 
Makes you hate him more, doesn't it?"
You mean, I said, Milosovic appoints the Yugoslav equivalents of 
Webster Hubbell? 
"Hey, spinning is supposed to take your mind off Clinton's 
appointments and most other leaders' for that matter. Spinning makes you 
think the way we want you to."
Well, I concluded, spinning isn't democratic and it doesn't convince 
me, but it sure makes me dizzy. 


Saul Landau is the Hugh O. LaBounty Chair 
of Interdisciplinary Applied Knowledge 
California State Polytechnic University, Pomona
3801 W. Temple Ave. Pomona, CA 91768
tel - 909-869-3115
fax - 909-869-4751






[PEN-L:5750] (Fwd) USE OF DEPLETED URANIUM (DU) BULLETS AND BOMBS BY NATO F

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 21 Apr 1999 14:41:04 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:USE OF DEPLETED URANIUM (DU) BULLETS AND BOMBS BY NATO FORCES
IN YUGOSLAVIA

April 18, 1999

THE USE OF DEPLETED URANIUM (DU) BULLETS AND BOMBS BY NATO FORCES IN
YUGOSLAVIA

Roger, my husband, and I are protesting furiously. It is extremely 
critical today. BBC does not give public information about DU 
(depleted uranium) ammunition - it was only briefly mentioned on 
CNN. This media blockade is incredibly difficult to break.

NATO does not PLAN to use depleted uranium ammunition, they 
are already DOING IT every day. All already fired missiles 
contained/contain depleted uranium. During the explosion, 80% of 
DU is transformed into uranium oxide, gas particles half micron in 
size.  Once inhaled these particles output equivalent to a chest X-
ray per hour for life (for their long period of decay). We are trying 
to draw the public attention to this horrible military practice in 
Yugoslavia and elsewhere in the world. This is suspected of causing 
the Gulf War Syndrome and there are around 80 thousand veterans 
of that war with similar symptoms today. In other words, ALL 
SIDES involved in bombing of Yugoslavia ARE ENDANGERED! 
Why would NATO worry about Yugoslav population when they 
don't worry about their own soldiers? I personally have impression 
that people are not aware how DANGEROUS, how horrific, and 
how long-lasting the effects of this inhumane military action is. This 
is not about bridges, houses, about the war casualties. This is a 
horrifying precedent. Even though it was used massively in the Gulf 
War, some quantities in Bosnia, this type of ammunition was 
NEVER in the history of this planet, used so concentrated in time 
and space. It can very well happen that the survivors of this war 
will envy the dead.

Please, stir up the public, this is more than just a game!!!

With love, 

Tamara and Roger Coghill

SPREAD THE WORD THROUGHOUT THE WORLD!

Nenad Gambiroza 
Home: (+381 11) 424-922 
Office: (+381 11) 434-596 (+381 11) 3228-401 
COGHILL RESEARCH LABORATORIES 
LOWER RACE, PONTYPOOL, GWENT NP4 5UH 
Tel: 00 44 1495 763389 
Fax: 00 44 1495 769882 
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]Website: 
http://www.cogreslab.demon.co.uk

08/04/1999

The public at large, both in UK and in Yugoslavia, are unaware that 
30 mm bullets being fired by A-10 anti-tank aircraft and probably 
all Tomahawk Cruise missiles in this action contain depleted 
uranium (DU).

The development of these radioactive weapons is based on the fact 
that uranium (atomic mass 238) is much denser than lead (atomic 
mass 207), and therefore its kinetic energy is sufficient to penetrate 
tank armour or concrete buildings more effectively than lead, prior 
to detonation. The design of the bullet is to incorporate a long thin 
cylinder of DU housed in a plastic sheath or "sabot". This means in 
turn that the very small leading edge of the bullet peirces with 
maximum impact. The same principle is used in Tomahawk Cruise 
missiles, with the aim of piercing concrete obstructions rather than 
metal.

The bullets were used in the Gulf War , and some 1 million of them 
still lie in the deserts of that region where subsequently the 
incidence of leukaemias, cancer, and birth defects have risen sharply 
as a consequence of the ensuing environmental radiation. The 
amount of DU scattered around the Gulf war zone is given as 350 
tonnes, but including the nose cones of Cruise missiles and 
helicopter rotors, the figure is nearer 750 tonnes. This is 27 
TBequerels of radioactivity, one fiftieth of the total alpha releases 
from Sellafield over its entire operating history. The same is 
happening in Bosnia where DU was also employed. Some 80,000 
US Gulf War veterans now suffer from the so-called Gulf War 
syndrome, whose symptoms are identical to radiation sickness. The 
US military are well aware of this and are on record as confirming 
2.5mGy/hr at the surface of a DU shell, a dose equivalent to a chest 
X-ray per hour. Each A-10 Thunderbolt 30mm cannon anti tank 
shell contains some 275g (10.1 Bq). A single 120mm Abrams tank 
DU shell contains 3kg of U-238 (111 MBq) of activity.

When DU bombs detonate, uranium oxide is formed in particulates 
of between 0.5 and 5 microns. These can be windborne several 
hundred miles or suspended electrostatically in the atmosphere. The 
half life of Uranium is 109 (ten to the ninth) years, so they do not 
decay. One "hot particle" of this DU material in the lungs is 
equivalent to a chest X-ray per hour for life. It is impossible to 
remove, so the donated lung gradually irradiates the victim until 
death ensues. In the use of DU both ground-based combatants and 
their targets are almost certain to suffer long term radiation sickness 
and premature death. The Pentagon view is that the 

[PEN-L:5744] (Fwd) Tony Blair's spin doctor is in Brussels telling NATO how

1999-04-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 21 Apr 1999 15:07:37 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Tony Blair's spin doctor is in Brussels telling NATO how to
tell "a story"

The Globe and Mail  Wednesday, April 21, 1999

Report on Business:
  
EUROPE'S WAR, EUROPE'S PEACE

Getting the word out to the world's media so important 
that British Prime Minister Tony Blair's chief spin doctor 
is in Brussels to tell the NATO team how to tell "a story".

By Peter Cook

Brussels -- At the Hotel Eurovillage, a group that calls itself the 
International Crisis Group briefs the press on why NATO's strategy 
in the Balkans is doomed to failure. A quick glance at the schedule 
shows the event is neatly timed to precede NATO's more reassuring 
briefing at its headquarters in suburban Evere, a daily event now 
entering its fifth week.
Brussels, host city of the European Union and also host city 
of NATO, is not a wartime capital in the same exposed way that 
Belgrade is. But it is home to what is arguably the most crucial 
apparatus of modern warfare as the place from which one side's view 
of what occurred in the skies over Yugoslavia on the previous night 
is disseminated to the world's media. Presently, this is judged to be 
so important that British Prime Minister Tony Blair's chief spin 
doctor and confidant, Alastair Campbell, is in town to instruct the 
NATO team on how they should use each day to tell "a story" rather 
than being so boringly factual and frank.
Whatever stories get told, it is clear that Europe, and 
Europe's capital, are in the front line. Brussels' dual function has 
already produced a European Council meeting at which 15 leaders 
proposed a peacekeeping force in Kosovo that would be led by 
NATO and mandated by the United Nations. Prior to its 
deployment, there would be a Serb military withdrawal and cessation 
of the bombing.
That initiative went nowhere, but it has not stopped others 
making the connection between the war with Yugoslav President 
Slobodan Milosevic and their own aspirations. Over the weekend, 
Albania suggested that the price for its acceptance of so many 
Kosovar refugees should be immediate admission to the European 
Union. Since there is now a 12-nation lineup of other countries 
seeking admission and Albania ranks as the poorest and possibly 
most disorganized nation in Europe, its efforts at queue-jumping 
were not taken too seriously.
The reality however is that this is Europe's war and the 
destruction being wrought by NATO bombs, the broken bridges 
across the Danube, the wrecked oil and power installations, the 
ruined road and rail communications, plus the towns and villages 
torched by Serbian forces, will in the fullness time -- and in the 
context of what NATO hopes is a liberated Kosovo and a 
Yugoslavia cleansed of Mr. Milosevic -- have to be rebuilt at 
someone's expense. Europe acknowledges that it will almost 
certainly be at its expense. Last week, when they made their peace 
bid, Europe's leaders talked of turning Kosovo into a UN 
protectorate that they would administer, and of creating a stability 
pact for the whole of southeastern Europe.
Too often in the past, European rhetoric has got ahead of 
reality. And one has to wonder whether this is another such case -- 
especially when that spellbinding rhetorician, French President 
Jacques Chirac, talks of the European Union having "a vocation and 
a capacity" to be a kindly rich uncle to the Balkan states.
To date, Europe has shown itself less than enthusiastic about 
the EU candidacy of two of the region's larger states, Romania and 
Bulgaria, putting them near the bottom of its list of applicants. 
Others such as Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Macedonia, Albania 
and Moldova are unstable or undemocratic or both, and have not 
been on anyone's radar screen when it comes to EU membership.
The current view is that a war, hastily entered into to stop 
Mr. Milosevic, appears to have no end in sight. But end it will, 
eventually. At which point, the commitments made to reconstruct 
large swathes of the former Yugoslavia will be substantial. Nor is it 
just a case of repairing what has been destroyed in the immediate 
war zone. All trade on the Danube from Budapest to the Black Sea 
has come to a halt. And a dozen national economies in a region 
stretching from Ukraine to Slovakia and southward to Greece have 
been badly hurt.
Europe's response to this is that it will do the job. In the 
words of German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, "it is important 
that the EU feels responsible for the development of the region, its 
infrastructure, its standard of education and its economic and social 
structure."
That is a mighty commitment to make for a union that 

[PEN-L:5663] (Fwd) REPORTER REPRIMANDED FOR TELLING THE TRUTH

1999-04-21 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Tue, 20 Apr 1999 12:34:30 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:REPORTER REPRIMANDED FOR TELLING THE TRUTH

THE VANCOUVER SUN   TUESDAY, APRIL 20, 1990

A Soldier's View:

REPORTER REPRIMANDED FOR TELLING THE TRUTH 

By Lewis Mackenzie

BELGRADE — During the past few days, I have observed the 
contingent of foreign journalists here in Belgrade aghast at the 
controversy surrounding John Simpson, a well-known and 
respected BBC journalist.
Earlier in the week, Simpson filed a piece that showed a 
small group of Belgrade residents gathered on a sidewalk in the 
downtown area berating Simpson and proclaiming that Serbia was 
united against NATO. I saw the news item and knew it accurately 
reflected the mood of the city. 
Within 48 hours, the piece was condemned in the British 
House of Commons as pro-Serbian propaganda that did not 
accurately reflect the true picture in all of Yugoslavia and that 
somehow Simpson was aiding the enemy. 
I think it is important to remember that we are not currently 
engaged in the Second World War, where our actual survival is at 
stake. In fact, none of the NATO countries conducting the war 
against Yugoslavia is under any measurable degree of threat. 
During the Second World War, journalists were quite 
understandably part of the weaponry employed by the Allies. They 
were confined to one side in the conflict and their reports were 
designed to alleviate concern at home and embellish success at the 
front and mislead the enemy. All very understandable. 
Starting with the Gulf War, the allies have had reporters on 
both sides, a bizarre but natural development, given that both sides 
felt they could exploit the media presence and 24-hour news 
coverage to their own good. 
And so we come to this war with a large contingent of 
journalists in Macedonia, Albania and Montenegro reporting on the 
horrific plight of the refugees, and a relatively small number here in 
Belgrade reporting on what is going on in the capital of the country 
being attacked and seen as the cause of the conflict. 
While our movements have to be cleared ahead of time, we 
have, in fact, travelled outside of Belgrade on numerous occasions. 
Articles that are sent out of the country — including this 
one — are not censored; however, there is some evidence that if the 
rhetoric were considered "Serb-bashing," one's welcome here 
would soon disappear. 
The important thing to remember in all this controversy 
about John Simpson and presumably, the rest of us, is that we are, 
in fact, in Belgrade and all we can report from firsthand knowledge 
is what is going on in Belgrade and the mood of the capital's 
citizens. To suggest that we should adjust our reporting of fact in 
order to assist NATO's objectives is somewhat distasteful, even to a 
retired general. 
Surely, individual members of the public are wise enough to 
absorb the information flowing out of this region and draw their 
own conclusions. 
Sunday, our CTV team visited a middle-class family in 
Belgrade to film their routine during an air raid warring.
The father is out of work as a result of the war and receives 
no compensation. The three children (aged 14,12, and five) shared 
with us their feelings when they hear and frequently feel the bombs 
explode. They became emotional and started to cry while all the 
time supporting each other. It was a tough thing to film. 
Undoubtedly, same viewers will immediately condemn the 
piece as Serbian propaganda and will miss the message that this is 
just another innocent family, like millions around the world 
experiencing the horrors of war and wanting nothing more than to 
have their children survive. 
If we were in East Timor we could show a similar family 
there. We just happen to be in Belgrade. 

Maj-Gen. Lewis MacKenzie, now retired, commanded UN troops 
during the siege of Sarajevo during the Bosnian civil war of 1992.






[PEN-L:5583] (Fwd) YUGOSLAVIA: BOMBING THE BABY WITH THE BATHWATER

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 17:30:22 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:YUGOSLAVIA: BOMBING THE BABY WITH THE BATHWATER

An editorial by Veran Matic, a former editor of Beograd's alternative media
Radio B92:

BelgradeMarch 30, 1999

BOMBING THE BABY WITH THE BATHWATER

NATO's bombs have blasted the germinating seeds of 
democracy out of the soil of Kosovo, Serbia and Montenegro 
and ensured that they will not sprout again for a very long time

by Veran Matic

The air strikes against Yugoslavia were supposed to stop the Milosevic
war machine. The ultimate goal is ostensibly to support the people of
Kosovo, as well as those of Serbia, who are equally victims of the
Milosevic regime.

In fact the bombing has jeopardised the lives of 10.5 million people
and unleashed an attack on the fledgling forces of democracy in Kosovo
and Serbia. It has undermined the work of reformists in Montenegro and
the Serbian entity of Bosnia-Herzegovina and their efforts to promote
peace.

The bombing of Yugoslavia demonstrates the political impotence of US
President Bill Clinton and the Western alliance in averting a human
catastrophe in Kosovo. The protection of a population under threat is a
noble duty, but it requires a clear strategy and a coherent end game.
As the situation unfolds on the ground and in the air day by day, it is
becoming more apparent that there is no such strategy. Instead, NATO is
fulfilling the prophecy of its own doomsaying: each missile that hits
the ground exacerbates the humanitarian disaster that NATO is supposed
to be preventing.

It's not easy to stop the war machine once its power has been
unleashed. But I urge the members of NATO to pause for a moment and
consider the consequences of what they are doing. Analysts are already
asking whether the air strikes are still really about saving Kosovo
Albanians. Just how far are NATO members prepared to go? What comes
next after the "military" targets? What happens if the war spreads? All of
these terrifying questions must be answered, although I suspect that
few will want to live with the historical burden of having answered them.

The same questions crowded my mind as I sat in a Belgrade prison on
the first day of the NATO attack on my country. Whiling away the hours in
the cell I shared with a murder suspect, I asked myself what the West's
aim was for "the morning after". The image of NATO taking its finger
off the trigger kept coming to mind. I've seen no indication so far that
there is a clear plan to follow up the Western military resolve.

My friends in the West keep asking me why there is no rebellion. Where
are the people who poured onto the streets every day for three months
in 1996 to demand democracy and human rights? Zoran Zivkovic, the
opposition mayor of the city of Nis answered that last week: "Twenty
minutes ago my city was bombed. The people who live here are the same
people who voted for democracy in 1996, the same people who protested
for a hundred days after the authorities tried to deny them their
victory in the elections. They voted for the same democracy that exists
in Europe and the US. Today my city was bombed by the democratic states
of the USA, Britain, France, Germany and Canada! Is there any sense in
this?"

Most of these people feel betrayed by the countries which were their
models. Only today a missile landed in the yard of our correspondent in
Sombor. It didn't explode, fortunately, but many others have in many
other people's yards. These people are now compelled to take up arms
and join their sons who are already serving in the army. With the bombs
falling all around them nobody can persuade them - though some have
tried - that this is only an attack on their government and not their
country.

It may seem cynical that I am writing this from the security of my
office in Belgrade - secure, that is, compared to Pristina, Djakovica,
Podujevo and other places in Kosovo. But I can't help asking one
question: How can F16s stop people in the street killing one another?
Only days before the NATO aggression began, Secretary-General Solana
suggested establishing a "Partnership for Democracy" in Serbia and the
other countries of the former Yugoslavia to promote stability
throughout the region. Then, in a rapid U-turn, he gave the order to attack
Yugoslavia.

With these attacks, it seems to me, the West has washed its hands of
the people, Albanians, Serbs and others, living in the region. Thus the
sins of the government have been visited on the people. Is this just? There
are many more factors in the choice of a nation's government than
merely the will of the voters on election day. If a stable, democratic rule is
to be established, and the rise of populists, demagogues and other
impostors avoided, the 

[PEN-L:5585] (Fwd) Understanding the War in Kosovo in the Fourth Week

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 17:47:44 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Understanding the War in Kosovo in the Fourth Week

From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Sun, 18 Apr 1999 23:51:00 -0500 (CDT)
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Weekly Analysis -- April 19, 1999

__

Stratfor's FREE Kosovo Crisis Center - 
http://www.stratfor.com/kosovo/crisis/
The most comprehensive coverage of the 
Kosovo Crisis anywhere on the Internet
__


STRATFOR's
Global Intelligence Update
April 19, 1999

Weekly Analysis: 

Understanding the War in Kosovo in the Fourth Week

Summary:

The war in Kosovo grew out of fundamental miscalculations in 
Washington, particularly concerning the effect Russian support 
had on Milosevic's thinking.  So long as Milosevic feels he has 
Russian support, he will act with confidence.  If Russia wavers, 
Milosevic will have to deal. With the air war stalemated and 
talks of ground attack a pipe dream, diplomacy remains NATO's 
best option.  That option depends on Russian cooperation.  
However, Russian cooperation will cost a great deal of money.  
That brings us to the IMF, the Germans, and former Russian Prime 
Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin, who is Russia's new negotiator on 
Serbia, a leading economic reformer and a good friend of the 
West.

Analysis:

On March 24, 1999, NATO aircraft began to bomb Yugoslavia.  We 
are in the fourth week of the campaign, which now appears to be a 
stalemate.  NATO is unable to force Belgrade to capitulate to its 
demands using the force currently available.  Yugoslavia is 
unable to inflict sufficient casualties on the attackers to 
dissuade NATO from continuing the campaign nor has it been able 
to drive a wedge into NATO from which a peace party might emerge 
that is prepared to negotiate a conclusion to the conflict on 
terms favorable to Serbia. As in most wars, the rhetoric on both 
sides is filled with purple prose, horrible accusations and much 
confusion.

Given that the current stalemate cannot be maintained 
indefinitely, we are, almost by definition, at a turning point.  
While the stalemate can, theoretically, go on indefinitely, 
neither side has it in its interest to permit this to happen.  
NATO's unity is fragile at best, particularly if the conflict 
fails to resolve itself.  Yugoslavia is losing valuable economic 
assets that it would rather not lose.  Since neither side appears 
ready to capitulate and neither side wants the current stalemate 
to continue, it is useful to consider, leaving rhetoric aside, 
how we got here and where all this is likely to go.

It is clear to us that the war began in a fundamental 
miscalculation by NATO planners and particularly by the civilian 
leadership of the United States: Madeleine Albright, Sandy 
Berger, Richard Holbrooke and the President.  They made a 
decision to impose the Rambouillet Accords on both sides in 
Kosovo.  It was simply assumed that, given the threat of 
bombardment, Slobodan Milosevic would have no choice but to 
capitulate and accept the accords.  By all accounts, Richard 
Holbrooke, architect of the Dayton Accords and the person most 
familiar with Milosevic was the author of this reading of 
Milosevic.

Holbrooke had good historical precedent for his read of 
Milosevic.  After all, when Serbs in Bosnia were bombed in 1995, 
Milosevic capitulated and signed the Dayton Accords.  Holbrooke's 
reasoning was that history would repeat itself.  The evidence 
that Washington expected capitulation was in its complete lack of 
preparation for an extended conflict.  At the time the air 
campaign began, NATO had about 400 military aircraft available 
for the campaign, with less than 200 hundred for bombing 
missions.  Even with the availability of cruise missiles, no 
serious military observer, including apparently senior U.S. 
military officials, believed this to have been anywhere near the 
amount required to inflict serious damage.  Indeed, most 
observers doubted that an air campaign by itself could possibly 
succeed without a ground campaign.  Thus, Washington and NATO 
were either wholly irresponsible in launching the campaign with 
insufficient forces, or had good reason to believe that Milosevic 
would rapidly capitulate.  Since Albright, Berger, Holbrooke and 
the President are neither fools, nor irresponsible, we can only 
conclude that they were guilty of faulty judgment about how the 
Serbs would respond.

There are three reasons for the difference in Milosevic's 
behavior in 1999 and 1995.  First, Kosovo is strategically and 
psychologically critical to the Serbs.  The demands of the 
Rambouillet Accords were crafted in such a way that the Serbs 
were convinced that NATO occupation would mean the loss of Serb 
sovereignty over Kosovo. Thus, where NATO was calculating that 

[PEN-L:5586] (Fwd) MOSCOW STANDS BY MILOSEVIC

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 11:08:48 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:MOSCOW STANDS BY MILOSEVIC 

Reuters April 19, 1999

MOSCOW STANDS BY MILOSEVIC 

Meanwhile, British Prime Minister tells Milosevic
he will be forced to withdraw from Kosovo

BRUSSELS - Russian President Boris Yeltsin warned the West 
Monday he would not allow it to defeat President Slobodan 
Milosevic and establish control over Yugoslavia.
Yeltsin, speaking hours before a scheduled telephone 
conversation with President Clinton, said Moscow could not ditch 
Milosevic whom the West has accused of war crimes.
Clinton had asked for the telephone call to seek a solution to 
the crisis in Yugoslavia, which NATO has been bombing for nearly 
four weeks to end what it calls Belgrade's attempt to empty the 
southern Serbian province of Kosovo of its ethnic Albanian 
majority.
The 19-nation alliance called off most of its air raids overnight 
because of bad weather in the Balkans.
Kosovo Albanian guerrillas pleaded Monday for NATO tactical 
air strikes to save thousands of cold and hungry refugees trapped in 
the mountains of central Kosovo from Serbian shelling.
A Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) official said some 40,000 
refugees sheltering in the Berisha mountains had come under heavy 
fire since Sunday.
The United Nations refugee agency, the UNHCR, said Monday 
Yugoslav forces appeared to be turning back ethnic Albanians 
trying to leave the country.
UNHCR spokesman Kris Janowski said the latest flow of 
refugees from Kosovo into Albania had stopped overnight. He said 
refugees had also stopped crossing into the neighboring former 
Yugoslav republic of Macedonia and Montenegro, which with 
Serbia makes up the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia.
British Prime Minister Tony Blair vowed to force Milosevic to 
pull his troops out of Kosovo and return the province to ''the people 
to whom it belongs.''
''You will be made to withdraw from Kosovo,'' Blair said in 
speech addressed to Milosevic.
Yeltsin, whose earlier attempts to mediate in the conflict have 
failed, met top security officials Monday, including Prime Minister 
Yevgeny Primakov and newly appointed Kosovo envoy Viktor 
Chernomyrdin, to work out Russia's strategy.
''Bill Clinton hopes that Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic 
will capitulate, give up the whole of Yugoslavia. We will not allow 
this. This is a strategic place,'' Itar-Tass news agency quoted Yeltsin 
as saying.
Russian news agencies quoted Yeltsin as saying that during his 
conversation with Clinton he would reiterate Moscow's call for a 
halt to NATO air strikes to allow more talks.
Interfax news agency quoted Yeltsin as saying Russia would 
exercise ''restraint'' in handling the Kosovo crisis, but it would 
maintain close ties with Milosevic.
It quoted him as saying: ''We simply cannot ditch Milosevic. We 
want to embrace him as tight as possible.''
Russia has bitterly denounced NATO air strikes but made clear 
it will not get drawn into the conflict militarily.
Washington said it had the support for the war from the states 
surrounding Serbia, to which hundreds of thousands of Kosovo 
Albanians have fled.
''All of the leaders made clear that they stand behind what 
NATO is doing, that President Milosevic is isolated and that his 
brutality and repression will not go unanswered,'' a spokesman said 
of Clinton's telephone calls to Hungary, Bulgaria, Albania and 
Romania.
Yugoslavia severed diplomatic relations with Albania Sunday, 
accusing it of siding with NATO.
Despite criticism that 26 days of NATO air strikes had failed to 
stop the killings and deportations in Kosovo, Secretary of State 
Madeleine Albright said Sunday there was no immediate plan for 
ground troops.
But she added: ''That assessment can be quickly updated and 
that is where we are.''
Blair, addressing what he described as a simple message to 
Milosevic, said Monday an international military force ''will go in to 
secure the land for the people to whom it belongs.''
''The dispossessed refugees of Kosovo will be brought back into 
possession of that which is rightfully theirs. Our determination on 
these points -- the minimum demands civilization makes -- is 
absolute,'' he said.
Hundreds of thousands of refugees have streamed out of 
Kosovo since to escape Yugoslav forces. But those unable to cross 
into neighboring countries have taken to the hills of central Kosovo.
''There is no escape for anyone from this area,'' Sokol Bashota, 
a member of the KLA General Headquarters, told Reuters by 
telephone.
''They are coming at us from 

[PEN-L:5587] (Fwd) BELGRADE 17-NGO APPEAL

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 12:33:08 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:BELGRADE 17-NGO APPEAL

http://www.dds.nl/~pressnow/extra/ngoappeal.html

BELGRADE 17-NGO APPEAL

Deeply shocked by NATO strikes devastation of our country and 
the plight of Kosovo Albanians, we, the representatives of non-
governmental organizations and the Nezavisnost Trade Union 
Confederation, energetically demand from those who have created 
this tragedy to immediately take all necessary steps to create 
conditions for the resumption of peace process.

For two weeks now the most powerful military, political and 
economic countries in the world have been killing people and 
destroying military and civilian facilities, bridges, railway lines, 
factories, heating plants, storage facilities and fuel tanks. This has 
produced an exodus of unprecedented proportions. Hundreds of 
thousands of Yugoslavs, primarily ethnic Albanians, are forced to 
leave their devastated homes to escape the bombing and military 
actions of the regime and KLA, in the hope that they will find 
salvation in the tragic status of refugee. It is obvious that all this 
leads to a catastrophe and that a negotiated and peaceful solution to 
the Kosovo problem, which we have urged for years, is now farther 
than ever.

Our effort to develop democracy and a civic society in Yugoslavia 
and help it restore its membership of all international institutions 
have taken place under constant pressure by the Serbian regime. 
We, the representatives of civil groups and organizations, have 
courageously and consistently fought against every war-mongering 
and nationalistic policy, and for the respect of human rights, and 
particularly against the repression of Kosovo Albanians.

We have always insisted on the respect of their human rights and 
freedoms and on the restoration of autonomy for Kosovo. 
Throughout this period, Serb and Albanian civil society groups 
were the only ones to retain contacts and cooperation.

The NATO intervention has destroyed everything that has been 
achieved so far and the very survival of the civic society in Serbia. 
Faced with the current tragic situation, we put up the following 
demands in the name of humanity and values and ideas that have 
been guiding us in our activities:

  We demand an immediate cessation of bombing and all armed operations; 

  We demand the resumption of peace process with international 
mediation at the regional (Balkan) and European level, as well as in 
the United Nations;

  We demand from the European Union and Russia to take their 
charge of responsibility for finding a peaceful solution to the crisis; 

  We demand an end to the practice of ethnic cleansing and 
repatriation of all refugees; 

  We demand support for peace, stability and democratization of 
Montenegro and every possible action aimed at helping this republic 
alleviate the disastrous consequences of the refugee crisis; 

  We demand from Serbian and international media to report 
professionally and impartially about current developments, to 
refrain from participation in the media war and from fanning inter-
ethnic hatred, hysteria and glorification of force as the only 
reasonable way out of the crisis.

We are unable to achieve this on our own. We expect from you to 
support our demands and help us realise them through your actions 
and initiatives.  

- Association of Citizens for Democracy, Social Justice and 
Support for Trade Unions 
- Belgrade Circle 
- Center for Cultural Decontamination 
- Center for Democracy and Free Elections
- Center for Transition to Democracy 
- Civic Initiatives 
- EKO Center 
- European Movement in Serbia 
- Forum for Ethnic Relations and Foundation for Peace and Crisis 
Management
- Group 484 
- Helsinki Committee for Human Rights in Serbia 
- Students Union of Serbia 
- Union for Truth About Anti-Fascist Resistance 
- VIN: Weekly Video News 
- Women in Black 
- Yugoslavian Lawyers Committee for Human Rights, and 
- NEZAVISNOST Trade Union Confederation. 






[PEN-L:5589] (Fwd) NATO GETTING COSY WITH RAGTAG GUERRILLA FORCE

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 12:33:21 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:NATO GETTING COSY WITH RAGTAG GUERRILLA FORCE

The National Post   Monday, April 19, 1999

NATO GETTING COSY WITH RAGTAG GUERRILLA FORCE

Canadian government no longer considers KLA a 
terrorist organization; U.S. State Department, CIA 
still classify them as terrorists. 

By Isabel Vincent

Last week, at one of the daily NATO press briefings in 
Brussels, the alliance's spokesman Jamie Shea noted that the 
Kosovo Liberation Army, the rebel force that is fighting for the 
independence of the troubled southern province of Serbia, was 
getting stronger. 
"Like a phoenix that rises from the ashes, it [the KLA] will be 
able to conduct a number of attacks," he said, adding that the 
combination of NATO air strikes and attacks by members of the 
rebel group would have a vice effect on the Serb armed forces and 
Slobodan Milosevic, the Yugoslav president. The longer Mr. 
Milosevic resists complying with NATO demands, the more the 
vice will tighten, he noted. 
On the same day, at a hearing of the Senate Armed Services 
Committee, William Cohen, the U.S. secretary of defence, 
described the KLA as resurgent. As if to illustrate NATO's and Mr. 
Cohen's statements, Kosovapress, the official news organization of 
Kosovo's provisional government run by the KLA, reported that 
over the weekend the KLA had made some "decisive" strikes 
against the Serb security forces in Kosovo. 
According to Kosovapress, the KLA overtook one unit of the 
124th Brigade of the Serbian army at Rahovec and killed five 
Serbian soldiers on Saturday. In another attack on Friday in 
Vushtrri, Kosovapress reported another KLA victory, claiming the 
rebels "liquidated" a Serb police patrol in the region, killing five 
Serb police officers. 
Of course, the press reports and the statements by U.S. and 
NATO officials about the strength of the KLA are impossible to 
confirm in the absence of independent journalists in Kosovo. 
In fact, just about the only credible information we have about 
the KLA is that they are lightly armed and poorly trained. But as 
NATO air strikes fail to have their desired effect in bringing 
President Milosevic to his knees, the KLA is gaining greater 
legitimacy in the eyes of the international community. 
In their desire to appear on the side of morality and justice, the 
NATO allies are transforming what in reality is a ragtag guerrilla 
force, dependent on the drug trade and outside donations for its 
financing, into a "phoenix" and a well-organized fighting machine, 
capable of taking on the Yugoslav army. In the process, they are 
legitimizing their own intervention in what started out as an internal 
civil conflict, and now threatens to escalate into a geopolitical 
disaster. 
Even though NATO officials have said that they are still 
reluctant to become the "air force for the KLA," their increasingly 
cosy relationship with the guerrilla force seems to suggest 
otherwise. 
Perhaps NATO is gradually preparing the public for the day 
when its members decide to send ground troops to Kosovo. Those 
troops will inevitably find themselves fighting alongside the KLA, 
and therefore it is in NATO's interests to portray these guerrillas as 
noble warriors. 
Already, the hundreds of diaspora Kosovar Albanians who have 
volunteered to fight alongside the rebels in Kosovo seem to recall 
the Spanish Civil War, when idealistic young people, known as 
internacionalistas, from around the world, volunteered to fight in 
Spain against General Francisco Franco's fascist forces. 
Moved by the commitment of Kosovar Albanians to fight for an 
independent homeland, at least one U.S. senator has suggested that 
Washington commit funds to the rebel group to strengthen their 
position against the Serbs. 
The Canadian government says it no longer considers the KLA 
a terrorist organization, even though the U.S. State Department and 
the CIA still classify them as terrorists. 
Unconfirmed reports on the weekend suggested that multi-
billionaire George Soros and his Open Society Foundation, which 
supports nascent democratic movements in the former Eastern bloc, 
were giving financial assistance to the KLA. 
In the past, the KLA has directly benefited from diplomatic 
negotiations conducted hundreds of kilometres outside Kosovo. 
Since October, 1998, when NATO came close to launching air 
strikes against Yugoslavia, the KLA rebels believed that they had 
the world's most powerful military alliance on their side. 
Emboldened by NATO's threat of air strikes against President 
Milosevic, the KLA reclaimed territory abandoned by Serb security 
forces 

[PEN-L:5590] (Fwd) MILITARY ANALYSTS SAY NATO DEATHS COULD TOP 5,000 IN GRO

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 12:32:57 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:MILITARY ANALYSTS SAY NATO DEATHS COULD TOP 5,000 IN GROUND WAR

The National PostMonday, April 19, 1999

MILITARY ANALYSTS SAY NATO DEATHS COULD TOP 5,000 IN GROUND WAR

Entry to Kosovo could take months to prepare, battle 
could last years; be prepared to fight guerrillas for 20 years, 
says director of University of Calgary's Military and Strategic 
Studies Centre

By Peter Goodspeed

As the public clamour to end the ethnic cleansing of Kosovo 
grows, military strategists are peering into the abyss of a ground 
war in the Balkans to glimpse the dangers facing NATO. 
It's not a pretty sight. 
While support for a ground war against the Serbs gains political 
strength, the military prospects of such a battle remain daunting. 
"I'm concerned that we have a chorus that is beginning to call 
for this without understanding the military implications of what it is 
they are asking for," said David Bercuson, director of the Centre of 
Military and Strategic Studies at the University of Calgary. 
"Militaries are not blunt instruments," he said. "They exist to 
achieve specific objectives. But when politicians simply throw the 
military at a problem, you have disasters." 
Any type of ground offensive faces huge obstacles, not the least 
of which is the simple geography of the Balkans. 
Kosovo is ringed with mountains and there are only 14 roads 
and river valleys leading into the territory. These are now all heavily 
guarded, mined, and covered by Serbian artillery. Most bridges are 
wired for demolition to resist an invasion. 
"Any possible way in would be extremely difficult," said Jim 
Hanson, a retired Canadian Forces brigadier-general who now 
works with the Canadian Institute of Strategic Studies. 
"I've heard people talk about airborne troops and that's fine. 
You can get them there. But then you have to link up with them. 
You still have to cross that rather forbidding terrain, and if the 
Yugoslav National Army decides to dig in to any extent, they can 
make you pay a price." 
In the Balkans, military intervention on the ground could pursue 
three very different objectives. 
NATO troops could: 
- try to carve out a protective enclave in Kosovo for the 
hundreds of thousands of ethnic Albanian refugees who have been 
driven from their homes; 
- drive into Yugoslavia to rip Kosovo from Belgrade's grip and 
place the territory under international protection; 
- seek to conquer Yugoslavia completely, seize Belgrade, and 
topple the government of Slobodan Milosevic, Yugoslavia's 
president. 
Few strategists put any faith in sending troops into battle simply 
to set up areas to receive refugees. 
Such a goal would not stop or reverse ethnic cleansing and 
would not provide much security for the refugees. Serb troops 
could be expected to bombard and harass "safe havens," much as 
they did when the United Nations adopted a similar protection 
policy in Bosnia earlier this decade. 
"The 7,000 or so people who died in Sebrenica, when it was a 
'safe-haven' under the UN, gave the whole concept a pretty bad 
name," said David Rudd, executive director of the Canadian 
Institute of Strategic Studies. 
"If the objective is to stop all of this at its source, then you go 
to Belgrade, you take out the president, you establish a military 
occupation, and you have to be prepared to fight the guerrillas for 
the next 20 years," Mr. Bercuson said. 
"If your objective is to take Kosovo, then be prepared to 
continue to fend off Serb attacks and Serb guerrilla operations in a 
low-intensity conflict for the next who-knows-how-many years," he 
added. 
Yugoslavia's military is prepared, Gen. Hanson says. In the days 
of the Cold War under Marshall Tito, the country feared invasion 
from the Soviet Union and prepared itself accordingly: People were 
psyched up for the sacrifices of a defensive war, they planned their 
defense in depth, and they built their own armaments industry. 
"A lot of their military equipment is pretty old, but it can do the 
job," Gen. Hanson said. "Especially if they are not too worried 
about casualties amongst their own troops and if they are fighting 
someone who is. That gives them a bit of an advantage right there." 
Most observers predict NATO will need to field an army 
ranging from 60,000 to 250,000 troops, depending on the battle 
plan it adopts. 
Yugoslavia's standing army totals 90,000 men and can be 
boosted to as many as 250,000 by calling up reserve forces and 
former conscripts. 
With no easy route into Yugoslavia, NATO 

[PEN-L:5591] (Fwd) MISSILE STRIKES POLLUTE DANUBE

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 12:32:34 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:MISSILE STRIKES POLLUTE DANUBE 

The Globe and Mail  April 19, 1999

MISSILE STRIKES POLLUTE DANUBE 

By Tom Walker
Special to the Globe and Mail
Pancevo, Yugoslavia

An ecological disaster was unfolding yesterday after NATO 
missiles ripped apart a combined petrochemical, fertilizer and 
refinery complex on the banks of the Danube River north of 
Belgrade. 
A series of detonations that shook the city early yesterday 
morning sent a cloud of smoke and toxic gases hundreds of metres 
into the sky where they were considered to be relatively safe. 
Among the gases reported to be billowing above thousands of 
homes were chlorine, hydrochloric acid and phosgene. 
Workers at the industrial complex in Pancevo decided to release 
tonnes of ether dichloride, a powerful carcinogen, into the Danube 
rather than risk seeing it blown up. At least three missiles strikes left 
large areas of the plant crippled, and oil and gasoline from the 
damaged refinery coursed into the river, forming slicks up to 20 
kilometres long. 
Scientists warned people to stay indoors and to avoid fish caught 
from the Danube. They said the pollution would spread downstream 
to Romania and Bulgaria and then into the Black Sea. At least 50 
residents of Pancevo were reported suffering from phosgene 
poisoning and health ministry workers tried to round up gas masks 
for belated protection. Residents were told to breathe through cloth 
soaked in water and bicarbonate of soda as a precaution against 
showers of nitric acid and nitrogen compounds. 
Thirteen hours after the first explosions, the Yugoslav army took 
journalists to the Pancevo site. 
"This plant is 37 years old and has never witnessed anything like 
it. This is our worst nightmare," said plant director Miralem Dzindo. 
"The sickness of the minds that did this too us is enormous. By 
taking away our fertilizer they stop us growing food, and then they 
try to poison us as well." 
He said the plant's production was strictly non-military, and 
noted that the warehouses had been largely empty when the North 
Atlantic Treaty Organization struck, because the attack had been 
expected and many chemicals and compounds had been moved to 
underground bunkers. 
Still, the Serbian environment minister, Dragoljub Jelovic, 
accused NATO of trying to destroy the whole Yugoslav 
environment. He said pollution in the Danube and in the atmosphere 
above Belgrade "knows no frontiers." 
"If NATO continues to attack us like this there is no future, he 
said. "A vast part of Europe is in danger. Those who ordered this 
crime do not have the minimum of sense." 
Mr. Dzindo took journalists around the huge plant complex, 
advising reporters to put handkerchiefs over their faces as they were 
shown two destroyed fertilizer storage areas. 
The choking air burned the eyes and nostrils and many reporters 
refused to get off the tour bus. 
Slobodan Tosovic, a physician and toxicology expert, said the 
worst gases had been released after a cruise missile burst into a part 
of the plant where plastics were made. "Not even Reagan when he 
attacked Libya ordered missiles against this sort of facility," Dr. 
Tosovic said, adding that the explosion had produced phosgene-
caronyl chloride, along with carbon monoxide and hydrochloric acid. 






[PEN-L:5588] (Fwd) FALLOUT FEARED FROM URANIUM SHELLS

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 12:35:28 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:FALLOUT FEARED FROM URANIUM SHELLS

The ProvinceMonday, April 19, 1999

FALLOUT FEARED FROM URANIUM SHELLS

LONDON — Depleted uranium, which is included in anti-tank 
weapons and other armaments available to the U.S. and Britain in 
the Kosovo conflict, could have long term health effects on soldiers 
and civilians. 
The U.S. has refused to say whether it has used the weapons 
but confirms it has them in the field and "picks the best weapons for 
the available target." The British defence ministry also has them in 
readiness for use on Harrier jet fighters. 
Weapons tipped or packed with depleted uranium were used 
extensively for the first time in the Gulf War and are blamed by 
some scientists for the phenomenon known as Gulf War syndrome 
and by the Iraqis for birth defects and cancers in southern Iraq. 
The uranium has been developed by NATO as an 
armour-piercim4 weapon because it is 2.5 times heavier than steel 
and 1.5 times heavier than lead and can be fired at high 
A-10 Warthog shoots uranium slugs at tanks.

er velocity, which causes more destruction. Depleted uranium 
has been used as a nose cone on Tomahawk cruise missiles, which 
can also contain a rod of uranium for penetrating bomb-proof 
targets. It is not thought these have so far been used in this conflict 
but the American A-10 Warthog ground attack aircraft uses 
uranium bullets for 
knocking out tanks. The Apache helicopters. soon to be 
deployed, have the same guns. 
Tests on Gulf veterans last year by independent Canadian 
scientists show that some have uranium in their bloodstream. 
Henk van der Keur, a molecular biologist from the Document 
and Research Centre on Nuclear Energy in Amsterdam, said: `'lt is 
becoming more and more clear in independent studies that depleted 
uranium is the main candidate for causing so-called Gulf War 
syndrome. At first no-one took this matter seriously because it is 
not highly radioactive, but on impact uranium turns to dust and can 
be breathed in. 
"In our view it is a serious danger long term to soldiers 
returning from the battlefield and to the civilians remaining behind 
in the war zone when peace finally returns. We think these weapons 
should be banned." 

— The Guardian






[PEN-L:5584] (Fwd) IN SERBIA, ORDINARY PEOPLE FEEL SUFFERING AND AGONY OF W

1999-04-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 19 Apr 1999 13:15:33 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:IN SERBIA, ORDINARY PEOPLE FEEL SUFFERING AND AGONY OF WAR

http://www.independent.co.uk/stories/B1004902.html

THE INDEPENDENT Saturday, 10 April 1999

IN SERBIA, TOO, THE ORDINARY PEOPLE FEEL THE SUFFERING AND AGONY OF WAR
 
 By Robert Fisk in Cuprija

 NATO's war is growing more brutal by the hour. I spent most
of yesterday - the Orthodox Easter Good Friday - clambering
through the rubble of pulverised Serb homes and broken water
pipes and roof timbers and massive craters. At Cuprija, Nato jets
have blasted away seven homes, two of them direct hits, during an
attack on the local army barracks. In Kragujevac, the workers at
the massive Zastava car plant who so stubbornly told me just over
a week ago that they would sleep on the factory floor to protect
their workplace - they even sent e-mails to Clinton, Albright and
Solana to this effect - were rewarded with an attack by cruise
missiles that smashed into the car works and wounded 120 of the
men.

 And at Aleksinac, it now turns out that up to 24 civilians
may have been killed five days ago in the attack by a Nato jet -
believed by the Yugoslav military to be an RAF Harrier. Workers
still digging through the wreckage yesterday told me that they
had recovered 18 bodies and that six more civilians were still
missing.

 The 13th funeral was held yesterday morning - of Dragica
Milodinovic, who died of her wounds three days after her husband,
Dragan, and their daughter were blasted to pieces in the bombing.
At the site yesterday, I found Svetlana Jovanovic standing beside
a mechanical digger, unnoticed by the policemen, rescue workers
and journalists walking over the wreckage. "Both my parents died
just over there - where the bulldozer is moving the rubble," she
said quietly. "I was staying in Nis for the night and this saved
my life." Beside her was part of the torn casing of the Nato bomb
that buried the couple in their cottage.

 There is a lot of palpable anger in Aleksinac - a Russian
resident shouted abuse when he heard me speak in English. But
there was not a word of malice from Svetlana, no rhetorical
condemnation of the Nato attacks. When I said how sorry I was for
her family, she replied in English: "Thank you for coming to see
our suffering."

 Spyros Kyprianou, the speaker of the Cypriot parliament,
turned up at the bomb sites during the day on a hopeless mission
to secure the release of the three American soldiers captured by
Serb forces last week - in anticipation, no doubt, of obtaining
US support for a Greek Cypriot solution to the island's
partition.  He was given a loud and angry account of Nato's sins
from Serbian government officials - nothing about the appalling
suffering of Kosovo's Albanian civilians, of course - and never
had a chance to hear the names of those who died in Aleksinac.

 Nato says the bomb that killed the people there may have
suffered a "malfunction" which caused - that obscene phrase yet
again - "collateral damage". The "damage" in this case includes
Svetlana Jovanovic's parents, the Milodinovics and their
daughter, Jovan Radojicic and his wife, Sofia, Grosdan
Milivojevic and his wife, Dragica. Nor was it "collateral": one
of the bombs landed square on the Jovanovic house. It was the
same story - with mercifully no deaths - at Cuprija.

 A farming town of 20,000 a hundred miles south of Belgrade,
its local barracks was attacked early on Thursday in a raid that
left a square mile of devastation through dozens of homes. The
Yugoslav army garrison had abandoned the place 10 days ago -
"we're not fools," a policeman said - but the civilians stayed on
and waited for the inevitable. When the first of seven bombs
fell, they ran to their basements as their houses collapsed on
top of them.

 I found one home that was simply blasted from its
foundations and hurled across the road into a neighbour's field,
the owner left crouching - miraculously untouched - in his
basement. Another bomb had exploded in a lane opposite a school,
breaking the local water mains and blasting down the walls of a
bungalow.

 True, there is a military barracks at Cuprija - at least two
bombs had torn off the roof of the empty Tito-era monstrosity
half a mile away. And there is a military building 800m from the
site of the Aleksinac slaughter. And yes, Nato believes - and
Yugoslav sources confirm - that part of the Zastava car factory
is used for weapons production. It is the fate of Yugoslav
industry that, thanks to Tito, hundreds of its factories have
dual production facilities. And the Kragujevac car plant
management had pleaded with its workers to end their sit-in.

 But Nato's refusal to show restraint when it knew the
workers had stayed in the 

[PEN-L:5432] (Fwd) CANADA CAN STILL MAKE PEACE IN KOSOVO

1999-04-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 16 Apr 1999 12:24:43 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:CANADA CAN STILL MAKE PEACE IN KOSOVO

The Toronto StarApril 16, 1999

CANADA CAN STILL MAKE PEACE IN KOSOVO

By Joanna Santa Barbara

We have to believe there were some good motives for Canada's 
involvement in bombing Serbia. The suffering of Albanian victims 
of ethnic cleansing was intolerable to people of good conscience. 
Something had to be done. We haven't yet evolved good ways of 
responding to massive human rights abuses within sovereign 
territories, so we bombed Belgrade.
There are murmurings about bad motives too - NATO's need to 
justify its existence and huge funding with the Cold War 10 years 
over. Is this why the attempt at non-violent curbing of human rights 
abuses by the Organization for Security and Co-operation in 
Europe was insufficient, slow, and undertrained for the job?
But whatever the motives, there can be no doubt about the 
combined effects of the violence by Serbian forces and by NATO.
The suffering of the Albanian Kosovars has increased 
enormously. The humanitarian disaster is straining neighbouring 
Macedonia, Albania and Greece, and is beyond the capacity of 
helping organizations. Political strains on the neighbouring 
countries create further risks of large-scale violence.
There is suffering among innocent people in Serbia, including 
many tens of thousands who have striven repeatedly to get rid of 
Milosevic. The worse the war becomes, the more dissidents will be 
conscripted, forced by threat of the death penalty to fight for an 
illegitimate leader they have tried to unseat. And why, for instance, 
was central heating to these citizens a target of NATO bombing?
Efforts for democracy in Serbia have been set back. A leader of 
a Serbian student movement for democracy writes that, ''NATO 
bombing has pulled the rug out from under a nascent opposition 
base. As the strikes intensify, we feel betrayed by those from whom 
we expected help in our attempts at creating a civil society in 
Serbia.''
Canada's joining the NATO war on Serbia violates international 
law and is in contempt of the U.N. Charter. This is a dangerous 
course and against Canadian tradition. The fact that the nuclear 
weapons states-dominated Security Council is a dysfunctional body 
for dealing with large-scale human rights abuses does not justify a 
shift of decision-making authority to the U.S. or to NATO - a 
military alliance with very different functions and history.
What is to be done now?
Stop the bombing. NATO will require a face-saving ''reason'': 
Surely having bombed all military targets will suit the purpose.
Get a well-funded U.N. mediation operation, preferably headed 
by U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan, working immediately. The 
non-violent elected leader of Kosovars, Ibrahim Rugova, should 
represent their interests, not the upstart violent men of the Kosovo 
Liberation Army.
Safe movement of refugees to their former homes should be 
protected, as far as possible, by unarmed observers, perhaps from 
the OSCE. These people should be well-trained in on-the-ground 
conflict resolution, among other skills, and should be adept at 
facilitating the work of peace-building non-governmental 
organizations.
What is to be done in the longer run?
Canada must work within the U.N. for Security Council reform, 
and for the creation of a legal framework for action within a 
sovereign country where there are large-scale human rights abuses. 
These will be long, slow tasks, but they must be undertaken. In 
addition, there must be a set of minimal requirements for 
international recognition of a recently seceded country, and in 
particular, protected rights of minorities within that country.
We should urge the development of an Organization for 
Security and Co-operation in the Balkans, attached to the OSCE. 
There will be difficulties between ethnic groups for decades ahead 
after all that has happened. There needs to be a forum for 
acknowledging and acting on these.
In Kosovo, we need to apply all that we have learned of peace-
building (and Axworthy's Department of Foreign Affairs has been 
developing strengths in this area). This needs to include a strong 
component of economic development, and built-in capacities for 
conflict resolution.
We need to recognize that we missed many opportunities for 
preventing this horrible situation. We, both in government and civil 
society, need to learn from this and quickly apply our learnings to 
situations of high risk - Macedonia and Turkey perhaps, among 
others. Canada's growing strengths in peace-building need to be 
applied to prevent war.   


Joanna Santa 

[PEN-L:5433] (Fwd) Letter from Yugo factory

1999-04-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 16 Apr 1999 16:57:21 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Letter from Yugo factory

Letter from Yugo factoryMonday, 12 April 1999

Dear friend,

We are sending you letter of workers from automobile company 
“YUGO” that was bombed by NATO planes regardless that workers 
decided to make live shield around their factory. Now with factory 
destroyed more than 40,000 people has lost their jobs and means to 
feed their families. Photos and more stories about crimes committed 
over Yugoslavia You can find at www.aic.org.yu and 
www.barw.org.yu.

COMMUNICATION TO THE PUBLIC OF ALL NATO 
MEMBER COUNTRIES

This night, the 9th of April, the ZASTAVA factory plants in 
Kragujevac were bombed. The live shield is broken through. This 
bombardment has inflicted sever damage to factory equipment and 
almost completely destroyed the energy supply complex that served 
not only to the ZASTAVA needs, but also for the heating of the 
entire city of Kragujevac: its residential houses, schools, faculties, 
hospitals... 

Yet, horror-stricken we were at the civilian victims: tens of men 
inside a live shield that was safeguarding the factory plants. Among 
the victims there were not only the ZASTAVA workers, but also 
members of their families and other citizens of the city of 
Kragujevac. What none from among us either could, or was willing 
to assume as possible did happen: Kragujevac has re-experienced its 
WW II tragedy, its citizens have again become the target of a 
barbarian assault. In the name of what aims did war planes take off 
from the once our friendly countries which used to send us the ideas 
of humanness, freedom, maybe the greatest treasure that we have in 
the modern civilisation? What has happened to all those ideas and 
have they been just an illusion that had dispersed at the first sound of 
raised arms? We, the small people, that has looked with admiration 
at all the great things coming from you, could nor, or did not want 
to accept that this was so. 

Haven't we, still, been mistaken? Has any one from among you give 
a thought to our future and the future of our children that has 
become entirely uncertain due to this insane act, and precisely this 
future we have been defending at the price of our own lives. Already 
exhausted by sanctions that have reduced our average monthly salary 
from DEM 870 to DEM 5-60, knowing that a destruction of the 
factory would bring into the question the very existence of ourselves 
and our families, we have made a desperate move: with our bodies 
we have made a live shield that has been guarding our factory night-
and-day.  We have been resolute, since the very onset of the attack 
on our country, and persisted  in the realisation of that decision 
every day, not to leave our plants after the expire of the working 
hours, not even when the alarms would sound air strikes, thus 
staying round the clock  by our workplaces. 

By night our family members and citizens of Kragujevac were 
visiting us, giving us support and making us these moments of 
painful suspense easier. In order to prevent a horrendous catastrophe 
that may arise due to an insane act of attack on our factory, through 
the media, we have addressed local and world public, giving the 
precise co-ordinates of the factory, and pointing at the potential 
losses, spiritual and material, that may be inflicted by its destruction. 
In our addressees we appealed to the public of NATO member 
countries, to the conscience of the common men in those countries. 
Besides by local, our appeal was published and broadcast by 
numerous foreign media: TV networks and news houses. We, the 
ZASTAVA workers and citizens of Kragujevac, are afraid of the 
future standing in front of us. Now we wonder  whether we  have 
any future at all. Our children are hungry, and their eyes  filled with 
horror. We have no more answers to their questions. 

Kragujevac, 9thpril 1999

EMPLOYEES AND MANAGEMENT OF  "ZASTAVA" AND 
CTIZENS OF KRAGUJEVAC

Sincerely Yours,

Belgrade Academic Association for Equal Rights in the World
[EMAIL PROTECTED]






[PEN-L:5428] (Fwd) NATO-BOMBED BRIDGES CLUTTER DANUBE - Blockage affects s

1999-04-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 16 Apr 1999 13:40:29 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:NATO-BOMBED BRIDGES CLUTTER DANUBE - Blockage affects
shipments from Romania, Bulgaria, Germany, Austria, Russia and Ukraine

Associated PressThursday April 8, 1999 
 
NATO-BOMBED BRIDGES CLUTTER DANUBE 
 
Blockage affects shipments from Romania,  
Bulgaria, Germany, Austria, Russia and Ukraine. 
 
By Anne Thompson 
 
BERLIN — NATO's bombing of bridges along the Danube in 
Yugoslavia  have left huge chunks of concrete in the river, jamming 
up freighter and barge  traffic along the 1,750-mile artery that 
stretches from Germany through the  Balkans to the Black Sea.
All along the Danube valley, shippers were scrambling to 
find alternative  routes for cargo stuck on ships now unable to 
reach their destinations now that  the river has been severed at Novi 
Sad, Yugoslavia's second largest city.
''Overnight, half of my business is at a standstill,'' said Hans 
Frank, manager  of a holding company in the southern town of 
Regensburg in Bavaria, the  German state where the famous river 
begins its eastward flow.
Frank, whose firm Gerhard Meyer handles transport for 
companies in  Germany, Austria, Hungary and Slovakia, said 
Thursday that 60 of his 155  ships are stuck on either side of Novi 
Sad, where two bridges were completely  destroyed by NATO.
First, the allies targeted an old iron bridge below Novi Sad's 
18th-century  castle; a large piece now lies in a section of river 
yards wide. Completely  blocking the Danube is the modern, white 
concrete bridge that was hit next.  Bombs split it in two, with both 
sides falling into the water. A third bridge hit  did not collapse.
The blockage separates downstream countries such as 
Romania and Bulgaria  from upstream Western nations like 
Germany and Austria. It was also stalling  ships coming and going 
from the Black Sea, many of them carrying iron ore  from Russia 
and Ukraine.
''It is a terrible situation for us, because we can only use the 
Danube,'' said  Frank, whose stranded vessels are carrying iron ore, 
steel, wood and fertilizer.  ''And all the countries along the Danube 
are affected by this.''
Those countries are Germany, Austria, Slovakia, Hungary, 
Croatia,  Yugoslavia, Bulgaria, Romania and Ukraine. In Romania, 
Mircea Toader,  vice-president of the Association of Ship Owners 
and Port Operators,  estimated that Romanian and foreign shipping 
companies had a total 60,000  tons of merchandise stuck on the 
Danube west of Novi Sad.
Carrying part of that merchandise are 126 Romanian barges 
and 18 other  transport vessels, Toader was quoted as saying 
Thursday by the private  Mediafax news agency.
Shipping agencies are seeking alternate land routes using 
trains and trucks,  Frank said, but that is more expensive.
Railways in Romania and Hungary are expected to sign an 
agreement  granting each other preferential fares to get the trapped 
goods moving to  western destinations. But transportation prices 
will still likely increase to $4  per ton from $2.
An official at the Austrian Transport Ministry, who spoke 
on condition of  anonymity, said the NATO strikes have hurt 
Danube shipping just as it was  recovering after a long slump 
caused by embargoes against Yugoslavia during  the Bosnian war.
Hungary, Romania and Ukraine are probably the worst hit 
by the crisis, as  all have a large volume of trade on the river, said 
Laszlo Koszonits, the chief  of a Hungarian state shipping company, 
Mahart.
''During the U.N. embargo against Yugoslavia it was very 
bad. But then it  slowly cleared up,'' said Koszonits, who estimated 
his company is losing  $12,000 a day from stalled traffic.
''The biggest problem now is that we can't see the end of 
this one,'' he said.  ''We don't know how long it will last.''   






[PEN-L:5429] (Fwd) CANADIAN CHURCH LEADERS' LETTER TO P.M. ON NATO BOMBING

1999-04-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 16 Apr 1999 14:21:46 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:CANADIAN CHURCH LEADERS' LETTER TO P.M. ON NATO BOMBING OF
YUGOSLAVIA

CANADIAN CHURCH LEADERS' LETTER TO PRIME MINISTER 
ON THE NATO BOMBING OF YUGOSLAVIA
 
April 13, 1999
 
The Right Honourable Jean Chrétien
Prime Minister of Canada
House of Commons
Ottawa, Ontario K1A OA6
 
Dear Prime Minister,
 
We write to you as leaders of Christian churches, appealing to you to 
press for an immediate, unilateral moratorium on the NATO bombing 
campaign. We are conscious of the heavy responsibilities you are carrying 
on this difficult question, and of the serious debate that took place in the 
House of Commons. Nevertheless, we appeal to you to replace the current 
strategy with renewed diplomatic efforts to reach a negotiated solution.
 
Our church colleagues in the Vatican, in churches throughout Europe and 
Russia, and particularly in the Balkans have appealed to NATO, to the 
Serbs and to the Albanian Kosovars to stop all military action and begin 
dialogue immediately. They also appealed to all parties to restrict 
themselves to non-violent means to achieve a just settlement to the 
conflict, as well as to protect vulnerable people. We join them in that 
appeal.
 
Our concern has been deepened by our church partnerships in the region 
and by our knowledge of people caught in the situation. It has been 
heightened by our experience of Holy Week and Easter, when we 
celebrated again the mystery of One who suffered and died so that all 
people everywhere should experience God's gift of reconciliation, justice, 
and peace. To spurn that offered gift in favour of violence is morally and 
spiritually wrong.
 
As Christians, we believe that all human persons constitute one world-
wide family. All people, within and beyond our borders are our 
neighbours. Therefore, we have a responsibility to do our utmost to 
protect fellow human beings when they are in great danger of human 
rights violations or of being caught in the path of warring parties. As a 
consequence of that responsibility, we have in principle supported 
Canada's interventionist role in defence of human rights and in 
peacebuilding. In the present case, we can not support the means.
 
In principle, we also support Canada's determination to see that human 
rights violators are vigorously prosecuted under international law. The 
moral issue for people and for states committed to peace and human rights 
is finding the means that will help build, and not undermine, the conditions 
that undergird peace and security for people and effective respect for their 
human rights.
 
We recognize that in the present situation in former Yugoslavia every 
course of action, including non-violent and diplomatic means, will produce 
tragedies. The challenge is to do the difficult work of finding the means 
that are best suited in this particular situation to the restoration of peace 
and justice. NATO bombing has only escalated the tragedy and created a 
starker humanitarian catastrophe.
 
We urge you to give leadership in seeking a wider range of diplomatic 
alternatives. For example: we believe it is urgent to shift the political 
focus of diplomacy out of NATO and into the Organization for Security 
and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), whose membership includes all of 
NATO, as well as Russia and all the other states affected by this crisis. 
Canada needs to take advantage of its hard-won position on the Security 
Council, calling on it to perform the central overseeing role in the 
diplomatic and humanitarian response to the crisis. Canada's formal 
commitment to human security makes diplomatic activism along these 
lines plausible. Our role in NATO bombing undermines it.
 
Our church members, like many other Canadians, are stepping forward to 
offer their support to people displaced by the bombing and by Serbian 
military action They are also standing by to receive refugees who choose 
to come here. They tell us how much they appreciate the government's 
efforts to protect displaced people in the affected region, as well as to 
offer refugees a place in Canada if they choose to come. But we also want 
to convey to you the horror people have expressed to us as they have 
witnessed the effects of these military actions on men, women, and 
children.
 
You who bear the heavy burden of governing are faced with the difficult 
recognition that, while a great good was sought, in fact a great evil has 
been done. In this moment we urge you as the Prime Minister of our 
country to stop, reconsider, and carefully change direction.

 
Sincerely,


The Most Rev. Michael G. Peers 
Primate, Anglican Church of Canada
 
Msgr. Peter Schonenbach, PH
General Secretary, Canadian Conference of Catholic Bishops
 
Archbishop Hovnan Derderian
Primate, Canadian Diocese of 

[PEN-L:5430] (Fwd) Covering Up NATO's Balkan Bombing Blunder

1999-04-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 16 Apr 1999 17:43:00 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Covering Up NATO's Balkan Bombing Blunder

http://www.transnational.org/pressinf/pf61.html

Covering Up NATO's Balkan Bombing Blunder

 TFF PressInfo 61

   April 14, 1999

"Western leaders are busy re-writing history to justify their Balkan
bombing blunder. The change in information, rhetoric and
explanations since the bombings started on March 24 is literally
mind-boggling. Most likely they fear they have opened a very dark
chapter in history and may be losing the plot. One way to make
failure look like success is to construct a powerful media reality and
de-construct real reality. That's the essence of media warfare and
that's what happens now," says TFF director Jan Oberg. 

"For instance, you must have noticed that the The Kosovo Liberation
Army, KLA or UCK, which existed some weeks ago and allegedly
participated in Rambouillet now suddenly never existed. The 13-months
war in Kosovo/a also conveniently has been expurgated.

The last few days President Clinton, prime minister Blair, NATO General
Wesley Clark, foreign secretary Cook, foreign minister Fischer, secretary
Albright, defence minister Robertson and other Western leaders have
explained to the world why NATO bombs Yugoslavia. They made NO
MENTION of KLA or the war. Their speeches are surprisingly uniform.
Their main points are:

• We have evidence that Yugoslavia, i.e.President Milosevic had a plan to
ethnically cleanse Kosovo/a of all Albanians.

• One proof of this plan is that some 700.000 have been driven over the
borders; it would have been many more, if not all 2 million Albanians, had
NATO not taken action.

• Milosevic deployed 40.000 troops and 300 tanks in the region even
while his delegation was in Paris.

• 'We have reports' and 'there are stories' about mass graves, rapes, and
endless atrocities. We have no hard evidence, but that's what refugees
consistently tell.

• Milosevic is now 'a cruel dictator' and 'a serial ethnic cleanser.'

• Innocent civilians are driven away 'only because of who they are and
not because of anything they have done,' as Bill Clinton and Tony Blair
express it.

• Milosevic has not been in compliance with the agreement he signed with
ambassador Holbrooke in October last year.

Why is this not credible, why is this probably a 'narrative' made to
influence emotions, perceptions, enemy images, and ultimately the
behaviour of governments, organizations, groups, and individuals?

Let me give you a few facts from my own visits and repeated meetings
over the years with the civilian Kosovar Albanian leadership, the
opposition and independent intellectuals in Pristina," says Oberg. "Dr.
Ibrahim Rugova repeatedly told me, as he did everyone from the West
who cared to listen, that he feared he could not keep the Albanian people
behind his pragmatic nonviolent strategy if the West did not 'do
something' such as persuade Belgrade to participate in talks mediated by
the international community.

Years ago I met Kosovar Albanians who were very critical of Dr.
Rugova's 'passive' leadership and advocated guerrilla struggle as the only
way out, sooner or later. In 1996 I was told by well-informed Albanian
intellectuals that they would not rule out that there existed an armed
fraction. Last year advisers to Dr. Rugova told me that they had heard
about the liberation army as early as 1993.

For years, I would say, Kosovo has been a police state. The only
response Belgrade had to the legitimate Albanian grievances was to step
up police repression. I have no doubts about the fact that there were
gross, systematic violations of political, economic, cultural and other
human rights. The Albanians feared Belgrade - which insisted that it was
an internal problem but never took steps to find a solution. At the same
time, the Albanian leaders 'needed' the repression to mobilize international
support for their project of an independent Kosova. Thus, they refused to
deal with moderate, dialogue-inclined leaders such as prime minister Milan
Panic and his excellent ministers in 1993.

Be this as it may, the truth is that there was no war, no mass killings, no
systematic ethnic cleansing, no genocide. Many Albanians left because of
the repression but also because of the misery, the utter poverty and lack
of future opportunities for themselves and their children. Serbs, too, left
for such reasons and not - as they sometimes claim - because they were
victims of an Albanian genocide plan.

The conflict that was said to have started in 1989 erupted into war in
February 1998 when KLA surfaced. It can NOT be denied that KLA
activity changed the situation from repression to war. The most surprising
is a) that the West turned a blind eye to Albania's role as a training ground
and base for KLA, b) that, in 

[PEN-L:5431] (Fwd) CANADA IS ABOUT AS INDEPENDENT AS A DOG ON A LEASH

1999-04-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 16 Apr 1999 17:44:11 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:CANADA IS ABOUT AS INDEPENDENT AS A DOG ON A LEASH

The ProvinceFriday 16 April 1999

Opinion

CANADA IS ABOUT AS INDEPENDENT AS A DOG ON A LEASH

By Rafe Mair

If nothing else this Kosovo mess we're in ought to make 
Canadians ask themselves just what the hell kind of a country are 
we, anyway? 
The wisdom of NATO's undertaking is, of course, very 
important. It is, to say the least, a very debatable point. 
For if the conditions precedent to a "police action" are that 
the objective be clear, that it be achievable and that once achieved it 
gets the job done, I would argue that we're 0-for-3. 
Unless, of course, the objective was to bomb and kill a lot 
of people in order to put Kosovars in even more danger of their 
lives and homes than they were in the first place. 
I disagree with Canada's involvement but that's only part of 
what I want to talk about. 
I think we Canadians should take a long hard look at our 
so-called democracy. Canada is a charter member of both the 
United Nations and NATO. The former organization was set up in 
1945 to act, amongst other things, as an international policeman 
especially through its Security Council of which Canada is presently 
a member. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization was set up in 
1949 as a defence mechanism against obvious aggression from the 
then Soviet Union. 
As a member of the United Nations, Canada has an enviable 
record as a peacekeeper under the UN flag. There is the Somalia 
blot on the escutcheon, of course, but our contribution to peace as 
peacekeepers has been accepted internationally. 
The United States, under a badly discredited President Bill 
Clinton, decided to intervene militarily in Kosovo. The proper place 
for this decision to be made was, of course, the United Nations 
Security Council. 
Yet because Mr. Clinton knew that Russia and China would 
veto intervention he prevailed upon NATO, hitherto a defence 
organization, to suddenly become a militarily active one. 
Canada, with all the independence of a dog on a leash, went 
along and is now actively participating in the bombing of Serbia and 
Kosovo. 
If nothing else, Canada has badly blotted its copybook and 
will have a difficult time persuading any future troubled region that 
it is a legitimate peacekeeper. What's worse, Canada has displayed 
to the world and worse still to itself, that it isn't even a reasonable 
caricature of a democracy. 
Was there any debate in the House of Commons before the 
decision was taken to support the NATO air strikes? No there was 
not. But appalling though that was, the Liberals went one step 
further and held a "debate" long after the war had started and then 
refused to have the matter put to a vote. 
My God! Even the bad old Iron Curtain countries NATO 
was set up to protect us against at least held votes in their 
parliaments however obvious the outcome. Moreover, even with 
the so-called debate, there was no real opposition. 
The duty of the opposition is to oppose. And there is good 
reason for this because out of the crucible of hard debate emerges, 
if not a solution, at least all the issues for a democratic society to 
consider. While it was laudable for Preston Manning to question the 
deplorable process and ask what was going to happen if ground 
troops were proposed, surely it was his greater duty to lay out the 
reasons why the government decision to meekly follow Bill Clinton 
was wrong-headed in the first place. 
But Preston Manning and the other opposition leaders have 
fallen into the Chretien trap. Instead of screaming blue bloody 
murder from the time we dropped the first bomb they have been 
supine ciphers rendering approval of the game by playing in it. 
Instead of using all the procedural devices at their disposal to bring 
to the attention of Canadians the serious downsides to the NATO 
exercise, they gave it legitimacy by participating in a phony baloney 
debate that didn't even have the formality of a vote at the end of it. 
We've reached the point in our development as a nation 
where the government can do whatever it damn well pleases but 
worse, where that government has become the will of one man and 
one man only. The Prime Minister is a tyrant while parliament is an 
enclave of eunuchs and cabinet but a covey of compliant cronies. 
This is where Canada's at, at the end of what was, according 
to Laurier, supposed to be our century. 






[PEN-L:5305] (Fwd) NATO'S BALKAN FOLLY - Marcus Gee, The Globe and Mail

1999-04-15 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 14 Apr 1999 15:26:23 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:NATO'S BALKAN FOLLY - Marcus Gee, The Globe and Mail

The Globe and Mail  Wednesday, April 14, 1999
  
NATO'S BALKAN FOLLY

By Marcus Gee

In her wonderful book The March of Folly, the late American 
historian Barbara Tuchman tried to explain why nations do foolish 
things. Why did the Trojans drag a wooden horse inside their walls 
when every sign pointed to a Greek trick? Why did the British court 
a revolt in their valuable American colonies by overtaxing the 
colonists? Why did the Renaissance popes ignore every call for 
reform and lose half their flock to the Protestant secession?
Simple ignorance is seldom the reason, Ms. Tuchman argues. 
When the United States embarked on its doomed intervention in 
Vietnam, for example, its leaders knew very well that they could be 
wading into a quagmire. A generation of scholarship and political 
intelligence had told them so. Yet in they went regardless, sinking 
deeper with every step.
"The folly consisted not in pursuit of a goal in ignorance of the 
obstacles," writes Ms. Tuchman, "but in persistence in the pursuit 
despite accumulating evidence that the goal was unattainable."
So it is for NATO in Kosovo today. Three weeks into our own 
little quagmire, it is plain that the North Atlantic Treaty 
Organization's goal of protecting the Kosovo Albanians from Serb 
aggression is unattainable with the present means: air power. 
Instead of forcing Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic to back off, 
the bombing has furnished him with a perfect excuse to burn and 
pillage his way through his rebellious province. Yet on we march on 
this Balkan folly, singing Onward Christian Soldiers as we go.
Ignorance did not cause this calamity. Evidence is growing that 
NATO knew Mr. Milosevic would lash out if attacked from the air. 
U.S. military officials have told American newspapers that they 
warned that the Serbian leader would strike brutally at the Kosovo 
Albanians as soon as NATO began to attack him.
NATO's leaders went ahead anyway, gambling that Mr. 
Milosevic would fold as soon as he knew the alliance wasn't 
bluffing. When he didn't fold -- when he instead counterattacked by 
crushing the Kosovo rebels -- they simply shut their eyes and 
marched on. "Milosevic is losing, and he knows he is losing," insists 
NATO Secretary-General Javier Solana. NATO will "persist until 
we prevail," says U.S. President Bill Clinton.
All of this is sadly typical. As one historian wrote of Philip II of 
Spain: "No experience of the failure of his policy could shake his 
belief in its essential excellence." Ms. Tuchman calls this quality 
"wooden-headedness." Once they have committed themselves to a 
counterproductive policy, she says, leaders find it all but impossible 
to reverse course, even if the evidence of failure is overwhelming.
Occasionally a leader will find the moral courage to admit he 
was wrong. Ms. Tuchman mentions Anwar Sadat, who decided to 
overturn a generation of Egyptian policy and make peace with 
Israel, defying the whole Arab world in the process. But examples 
like that are "as rare as rubies in a back yard." More often, 
"practitioners of government continue down the wrong road as if in 
thrall to some Merlin with the magic power to direct their steps."
The process is so predictable that Ms. Tuchman has divided it 
into stages. "In its first stage, mental standstill fixes the principles 
and boundaries governing a political problem. In the second stage, 
when dissonances and failing function begin to appear, the initial 
principles rigidify. Rigidifying leads to increase of investment and 
the need to protect egos. The greater the investment and the more 
involved in it the sponsor's ego, the more unacceptable is 
disengagement. In the third stage, pursuit of failure enlarges the 
damages until it causes the fall of Troy, the defection from the 
papacy, the loss of a transatlantic empire, the classic humiliation in 
Vietnam."
NATO is now entering the second stage. This is the period, says 
Ms. Tuchman, when, "if wisdom were operative," rethinking and a 
change of course would still be possible. Instead, classic stage-two 
rigidity is setting in. When NATO foreign ministers emerged from 
their summit on Monday, they said the bombing would continue for 
"as long as it takes." Instead of changing course, NATO will raise 
its investment by sending 300 more planes into the fray. More 
bombs will fall. More Serb soldiers and civilians will die. Albanians 
will keep fleeing and dying.
And for what? Why does NATO persist with a policy that is 
demonstrably failing? Above all, to save face. NATO began 
bombing because it had said 

[PEN-L:5365] Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Milosevic to blame for NATO bombing of refugees.

1999-04-15 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Date sent:  Thu, 15 Apr 1999 17:32:54 -0500
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Yoshie Furuhashi [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:5354] Re: Re: RE: Re: Milosevic to blame for NATO 
bombing 
of refugees.
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Will Michael Moore ever be tempted to make a film titled _Yugo_ (a la
 _Canadian Bacon_)?

Unfortunately, it wouldn't be funny.  If I remember it correctly, 
nobody got killed in Canadian Bacon.  Mind you, in Yugoslavia the 
people are not Americans or even Canadians, so death hardly 
matters does it.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba
 
 they drive among us,
 
 Yoshie
 






[PEN-L:5367] Re: RE: Re: Milosevic to blame for NATO bombing of refugees.

1999-04-15 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


Sounds good to me.

Paul Phillips

From:   [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Max Sawicky)
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:5348] RE: Re: Milosevic to blame for NATO bombing of 
refugees.
Date sent:  Thu, 15 Apr 1999 17:05:33 -0400
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Really.  NATO seems to be to blame for everything.  Refugees ran
 away from NATO bombs, not Serbs.  All damage in Kosova is from
 NATO bombs, not Serbian tanks etc.  Milo's suppression of his
 opposition is NATO's fault.  NATO ripped Croatia, Bosnia, etc.
 out of the Yugo federation.  Nationalism is NATO's fault.
 
 Maybe NATO wanted to prevent the Yugo from taking over the world
 auto market.
 
 If my souffle falls, it was probably NATO.
 
 Chef Boyardee
 
 
 
  -Original Message-
  From: Ken Hanly [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  To: pen-l [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
  Nathan whines about anti-bombing people blaming NATO for
  Milosevic's ethnic cleansing.
 






[PEN-L:5368] Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: NYC antiwar rally set for Friday

1999-04-15 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

I don't think there were any really blatant interferences with the 
elections.  The oppositions strength lay in the urban centres, 
particularly among the middle and 'academic' classes but, as I 
posted previously, the political opposition to Milosevic was divided 
and badly organized and without any coherent program.  
Milosevic's political strength lay in the country, among the 
peasantry (if I can use that word to refer to the rural, small-holders) 
who have always respected a strong leader -- a successor to Tito.  
When I was last in Beograd (in the early 1990s) most of the small 
businesses had a picture of Milosevic in their windows, just as they 
had of Tito in earlier periods.  So, I would think it is highly 
misleading to suggest that Milosevic doesn't have a strong 
'democratic' core of support, particularly since he has since picked 
up the support of his nationalist rivals (Seslje, Draskovic) since 
then on the basis of NATO bombing.  We may not like it but he 
has probably as much, or more, democratic support than a 
minority despot such as Clinton (;-)).

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
Unviersity of Manitoba


From:   "J. Barkley Rosser, Jr." [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:5350] Re: Re: Re: RE: NYC antiwar rally set for Friday
Date sent:  Thu, 15 Apr 1999 17:37:24 -0400
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Jim,
  I don't know the details.  Anybody else know?
 I know that he was the President of the Republic of
 Serbia before becoming the President of the Federal
 Republic of Yugoslavia.  The shift from being the former
 to the latter was partly why the Montenegrins became
 more restive as they came more directly under His Exc's
 control.  I think that what happened was that he switched
 positions with the guy who had previously been the President
 of the FRY.  But I don't remember that guy's name or if he
 is still the leader of the Serbian Republic.
 Barkley Rosser
 -Original Message-
 From: Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Date: Thursday, April 15, 1999 4:28 PM
 Subject: [PEN-L:5342] Re: Re: RE: NYC antiwar rally set for Friday
 
 
 At 03:54 PM 4/15/99 -0400, Barkley wrote:
 Max,
  There is democracy, if
 somewhat limited, in Serbia.  There is none whatsoever in Iraq.
 
 I believe it was Tariq Ali, in message forwarded to pen-l, who referred to
 Milosevic as being elected. I assume that, like most elections around the
 world, the election was tainted in some way. But what are the details,
 Barkley?
 
 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html
 
 
 






[PEN-L:5366] (Fwd) PILOT KNEW HE HAD HIT TRAIN ON BRIDGE BUT FIRED AGAIN

1999-04-15 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

"An uncanny accident, an uncanny accident."  Doesn't that make 
you sick.  I would call it war crimes.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba
--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Thu, 15 Apr 1999 12:18:00 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:PILOT KNEW HE HAD HIT TRAIN ON BRIDGE BUT FIRED AGAIN

The Daily Telegraph April 14, 1999

PILOT KNEW HE HAD HIT TRAIN ON BRIDGE BUT FIRED AGAIN

Nato working to limit "collateral damage," loss 
of civilian life from air strike campaign; air crews 
felt "very badly" about the incident.

By Toby Helm in Brussels 

The pilot who bombed a Yugoslav passenger train in which at 
least 10 people died fired a second missile after he had realised his 
error, Nato's top commander said yesterday.
Gen Wesley Clark, the Supreme Allied Commander for Europe, 
said the hits on the train as it was crossing the Grdelica bridge in 
south-eastern Serbia on Monday had been the result of a double 
"uncanny accident". Sixteen people were also injured.
The first missile had been fired from a distance of several miles. 
The pilot had seen a "flash of movement" in his sight just before he 
fired. But by then it was too late to abort the attack. He said: "He 
realised when it happened that he had not hit the bridge - that what 
he had hit was the train."
The pilot then circled and attempted to carry out his orders to 
destroy the bridge by firing at the other end, which by this time was 
clouded in fire and smoke. Gen Clark said: "At the last minute, 
again in an uncanny accident, the train had slipped forward so that 
striking the other end of the bridge he actually caused additional 
damage to the train. It is one of those regrettable things that happen 
in a campaign like this one." 
Nato was working very hard to limit "collateral damage" and 
loss of civilian life from its air strike campaign. Its air crews felt 
"very badly" about the incident. "It was certainly not was intended," 
said Gen Clark, who attributed no blame to the pilot. Nato officials 
refused to say what type of plane was involved or give the 
nationality of the pilot, but it is known that he is not British.
Yugoslav officials have used the incident, recorded in a cockpit 
film  shown by Nato yesterday, to bolster their propaganda 
offensive against the allied air strikes. The video film of the "aim 
point" showed the train coming into sight fractionally before the 
missile exploded.
 Caroline Davies in Gioia del Colle writes: Nato planes are 
undertaking three times the number of missions they flew last week 
as RAF Harrier pilots' work intensifies.
Working 12 hours on, 12 hours off, the No 1 Fighter Squadron 
is launching 24-hour raids on Kosovo and Serbia from the Gioia del 
Colle airbase in Italy. The crucial development is the clearance by 
Nato's air attack command centre in Vicenza, Italy, to allow the 
GR7s to bomb through cloud. It ended days of frustration when 
Harrier pilots were forced to abort missions.
The Harriers are undertaking rolling raids, dropping one set of 
weapons, then returning to base to be re-armed and await 
instructions on new targets. They can carry mixed loads, different 
weapons on different Harriers, so that even if one cannot drop 
another can. They are being regularly re-tasked in the air so that 
Nato can exploit their versatility and divert them to targets such as 
fuel installations or military convoys when opportunities arise. This 
means that sorties can be longer, and they have to refuel in mid-air, 
but it has resulted in more hits.
Wing Cdr Graham Wright, the RAF Detachment Commander at 
the base, said: "An increasing number of sorties are being flown 
from here. And I think that's indicative of the whole campaign." 
The decision on which weapons the Harriers will carry is made at 
high level in the Nato command chain. 






[PEN-L:5306] (Fwd) REPORTER CHALLENGES REPORTS OF MASSACRES IN PRISTINA

1999-04-15 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 14 Apr 1999 15:33:42 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:REPORTER CHALLENGES REPORTS OF MASSACRES IN PRISTINA

The Globe and Mail Wednesday, April 14, 1999

REPORTER CHALLENGES REPORTS OF MASSACRES IN PRISTINA

"There is no evidence that such a thing happened in Pristina" 
— Paul Watson, journalist for the Los Angeles Times 

By Marcus Gee

One of the few Western journalists reporting from inside Kosovo 
says his impressions clash with NATO reports of what is happening 
in the war-torn province.
Paul Watson, a Canadian who works for the Los Angeles Times, 
says he has seen no evidence that Serb authorities have massacred 
Albanians in the Kosovo capital of Pristina.
In an interview yesterday with the CBC radio program As It 
Happens, he said he has toured ethnic-Albanian neighbourhoods 
several times and has not seen any bodies.
"It is very hard to hide an anarchic wholesale slaughter of 
people," said Mr. Watson, who has been in Kosovo since the North 
Atlantic Treaty Organization began bombing on March 24. "There is 
no evidence that such a thing happened in Pristina."
NATO blames Serb troops for the exodus of hundreds of 
thousands of ethnic Albanians in the past three weeks. It says they 
have been raped, massacred and burned out of their homes. The 
reports of refugees in border camps support that version.
Yugoslavia, however, says the NATO bombings are forcing the 
ethnic Albanians to flee.
"I am certain it is a mixture of both," said Mr. Watson, who won 
a Pulitzer Prize for news photography when he was covering the 
international intervention in Somalia for The Toronto Star.
"I have spoken personally to people who have been ordered to 
leave their homes by police in black. I've also spoken to people who 
are simply terrified."
For example, he said, many people fled the area around Pristina's 
airport after a NATO bombing there. "I see a pretty clear pattern of 
refugees leaving an area after there were severe air strikes."
Mr. Watson said the effect of the NATO bombing has been to 
"stir the pot" in Yugoslavia. "We shouldn't be surprised that it has 
spilled over. And in spilling over it has created anarchy in the 
countryside."
That does not excuse Serb atrocities, he said. "But I don't think 
that NATO member countries can, with a straight face, sit back and 
say they don't share some blame for the wholesale depopulation of 
this country.
"If NATO had not bombed, I would be surprised if this sort of 
forced exodus on this enormous scale would be taking place."
He said the centre of Pristina has been devastated by the NATO 
bombing. The police headquarters, the post office and other 
government buildings are in ruins. A graveyard and a children's 
basketball court have also been hit.
Even so, people continue to walk in the streets. "Even this 
morning at 10 o'clock, as large explosions were rocking high-rise 
buildings in the centre of the city, there were people strolling up and 
down and oohing and aahing as if they were watching a fireworks 
demonstration."
Mr. Watson said most of the villages between Pristina and the 
Albanian border to the southwest were deserted when he travelled 
through them. He also saw large convoys of vehicles carrying 
refugees.
He did not see large groups of refugees living in the open, as 
NATO has reported, but he stressed that does not mean it is not 
happening. 






[PEN-L:5261] (Fwd) IMPACTS OF NATO'S HUMANITARIAN BOMBINGS: THE BALANCE

1999-04-14 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 12 Apr 1999 15:17:54 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:IMPACTS OF NATO'S  "HUMANITARIAN" BOMBINGS: THE BALANCE SHEET
OF DESTRUCTION IN YUGOSLAVIA

Date: Sun, 11 Apr 1999 21:07:29 -0400
From: Michel  Chossudovsky [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Impacts of NATO's "Humanitarian" Bombing

Ad-hoc Committee to Stop Canada's Participation
in the War in Yugoslavia
---
For immediate release, April 11, 1999. 

For distribution at Press Conference
Monday, April 12, 10 a.m.
National Press Theatre
150 Wellington Street, Ottawa


IMPACTS OF NATO'S  "HUMANITARIAN" BOMBINGS,
THE BALANCE SHEET OF DESTRUCTION IN YUGOSLAVIA

by 

Michel Chossudovsky

Professor of Economics at the University of Ottawa, author of The
Globalization of Poverty, Impacts of IMF and World Bank Reforms, Third
World Network, Penang and Zed Books, London, 1997. Professor Chossudovsky
can be contacted at 1-514-4252777;  email [EMAIL PROTECTED]; fax
1-514-4256224.


Amply documented, the bombings of Yugoslavia are not strictly aimed at
military and strategic targets as claimed by NATO. They are largely intent
on destroying the country's civilian infrastructure as well as its
institutions. 

According to Yugoslav sources, NATO has engaged around 600 aeroplanes of
which more than 400 are combat planes. They have flown almost 3,000 attack
sorties, "with 200 in one night alone against 150 designated targets". They
have dropped thousands of tons of explosives and have launched some 450
cruise missiles. 

The intensity of the bombing using the most advanced military technology is
unprecedented in modern history. It far surpasses the bombing raids of
World War II or the Vietnam War. 

The bombings have not only been directed against industrial plants,
airports, electricity and telecommunications facilities, railways, bridges
and fuel depots, they have also targeted schools, health clinics, day care
centres, government buildings, churches, museums, monasteries and
historical landmarks. 


Infrastructure and Industry 

According to Yugoslav sources: "road and railway networks, especially road
and rail bridges, most of which were destroyed or damaged beyond repair,
suffered extensive destruction". Several thousand industrial facilities
have been destroyed or damaged with the consequence of paralysing the
production of consumer goods. According to Yugoslav sources, "[B]y totally
destroying business facilities across the country, 500,000 workers were
left jobless, and 2 million citizens without any source of income and
possibility to ensure minimum living conditions". Western estimates as to
the destruction of property in Yugoslavia stand at more than US$ 100 billion.

Bombing of Urban and Rural Residential Areas 

Villages with no visible military or strategic structures have been bombed.
Described as "collateral damage", residential areas in all major cities.
The downtown area of Pristina (which includes apartment buildings and
private dwellings) has been destroyed. Central-downtown Belgrade --
including government buildings-- have been hit with cluster bombs and there
are massive flames emanating from the destruction. According to the
International Center for Peace and Justice (ICPJ): 

"No city or town in Yugoslavia is being spared. There are untold civilian
casualties. The beautiful capital city of Belgrade is in flames and fumes
from a destroyed chemical plant are making it necessary to use gas masks". 

Civilian Casualties

Both the Yugoslavia authorities and NATO have downplayed the number of
civilian casualties. The evidence amply confirms that NATO has created a
humanitarian catastrophe. The bombings are largely responsible for driving
people from their homes. The bombings have killed people regardless of
their nationality or religion. In Kosovo, civilian casualties affect all
ethnic groups. According to a report of the Decany Monastery in Kosovo
received in the first week of the bombing: 

"Last night a cruise missile hit the old town in Djakovica, mostly
inhabited by Albanians, and made a great fire in which several Albanian
houses were destroyed ... In short, NATO attacks are nothing but barbarous
aggression which affects mostly the innocent civilian population, both Serb
and Albanian. 

The Dangers of Environmental Contamination

Refineries and warehouses storing liquid raw materials and chemicals have
been hit causing environmental contamination. The latter have massively
exposed the civilian population to the emission of poisonous gases. NATO
air strikes on the chemical industry is intent on creating an environmental
disaster, "which is something not even Adolf Hitler did during World War
II."According to the Serbian Minister for Environmental Protection
Branislav Blazic, "the aggressors were lying when they 

[PEN-L:5262] (Fwd) Report on the Emergency Vancouver Meeting on NATO Bombin

1999-04-14 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 12 Apr 1999 16:10:54 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Report on the Emergency Vancouver Meeting on NATO Bombing,
April 10, 1999

Report on the Emergency Vancouver Meeting 
on NATO Bombing, April 10th 1999.

Citizens of Vancouver filled a 300-seat meeting room to
standing-room-only on Saturday morning for an emergency community
meeting on NATO’s bombing. The capacity meeting was organized by End the
Arms Race with help from other peace groups in less than three days,
demonstrating the high level of community concern and desire for more
information about NATO’s - and therefore Canada’s - war against
Yugoslavia.

Special guest speakers were Senator Doug Roche, OSCE Kosovo observer
Rolly Keith, and End the Arms Race Coordinator Jillian Skeet. NDP MP
Svend Robinson also spoke.

The meeting was chaired by End the Arms Race’s president, Peter Coombes.
Coombes stated that the peace movement has lost its traditional
parliamentary support from the NDP, and that it is up to citizens to
take control of the agenda to move the government toward a peaceful
policy.

Doug Roche began his comments by saying, “Stop the bombing!” to great
applause. He further called for a special emergency session of the
United Nations General Assembly to find a diplomatic solution to the
crisis. There is a great danger that events in the Balkans will spin out
of control because NATO has “demonstrated that they don’t know what
they’re doing.”

Doug Roche urged the churches, unions and politicians to break the
near-silence on this crisis, and call for an immediate end to the
bombing and for a commitment by the government to not send in ground
troops and risk a confrontation with the Russians. Roche received two
standing ovations before leaving the meeting to travel to Ottawa in
preparation for Monday’s debate on the dedication of Canadian ground
troops to the NATO war in the Balkans.

Rolly Keith began his presentation with an explanation of the role of
the OSCE (Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe), a
security organization whose members stretch from Vancouver to
Vladivostok. Keith, a long-time worker in international security teams,
participated in the OSCE Kosovo Verification Mission to monitor a peace
agreement negotiated between the Yugoslav government and the KLA. The
peace agreement quickly fell apart when, in Keith’s opinion, the KLA
violated the peace agreement and began conducting terrorist attacks and
killing policemen in order to provoke the Yugoslav authorities.

Keith was in Kosovo until March 20th when the OSCE’s 1300 observers were
quickly withdrawn a few days before NATO began its bombing campaign.
Keith reported that during his time in Kosovo, he saw no signs of
genocide or ethnic cleansing. There were no signs of religious
fundamentalism, and ethnic Serbs and Albanians were coexisting
peacefully, albeit with some minor problems. However, he did observe
political leaders exploiting nationalism and culture to turn Kosovo into
“a world gone mad.” Keith reported that there were some civilians being
displaced because of terrorism, but, “there was no mass humanitarian
problems until NATO bombs came down.”

Jillian Skeet has just returned from a citizens’ mission to Iraq. She
detailed the terrible devastation left by the Gulf War and the bombing
of industrial and civilian infrastructure. This destruction, combined
with strict sanctions on medical and other humanitarian supplies, has
resulted in 5000-6000 preventable infant deaths in Iraq (UN figures).

Skeet made the connection between the bombing of Iraq, and the identical
bombing of Yugoslavia, predicting that the same death and destruction
will soon be visited upon that country because of NATO’s bombing.

Svend Robinson tried to explain that the NDP has called for the end of
air attacks since originally adopting a position in favour of the
bombings. He has cancelled a trip to Geneva in order to participate in
the Parliamentary debate on Monday.

The audience asked many questions of the speakers, and there was a lot
of frustration expressed about the war. There was especially sharp
criticism for the NDP and its ambiguous position on the NATO air
attacks. Several labour leaders in the audience announced their
opposition to the bombings, notably the CAW.

In light of the success of this meeting, End the Arms Race will enter
into discussions with its members and allied organization to determine
the next step in the campaign.

Steve Staples
Executive Member, End the Arms Race






[PEN-L:5263] Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Preventing Genocide v. Complaining about it Afterwards

1999-04-14 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Actually, most were Serbs 'ethnically cleansed by the atrocities of 
the Albanians', a fact conveniently ignored by our apologist for 
NATO bombing.

Paul Phillips

Date sent:  Tue, 13 Apr 1999 20:08:03 -0500
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Yoshie Furuhashi [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:5254] Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Preventing Genocide v.
Complaining about it Afterwards
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 April 6, 1999
 Kosovo Refugees: How Many; Where
 By The Associated Press
 
 The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees estimates that nearly
 500,000 people, the vast majority of them ethnic Albanians, have left Kosovo
 since NATO began its air assault on Yugoslavia on March 24.
 
 Many others of Kosovo's about 1.8 million ethnic Albanians were already
 displaced before the current exodus. Following is a look at the number and
 whereabouts of the refugees:
 
 Albania -- 262,000 refugees, plus another 18,500 who fled previously.
 
 Macedonia -- 120,000 plus 16,000 previously.
 
 Montenegro -- 36,700 plus 25,000 previously.
 
 Bosnia Herzegovina -- 7,900 plus 10,000 previously.
 
 Turkey -- 6,000.
 
 *Yugoslavia -- 30,000 previously.*
 
 There are believed to be about 100,000 refugees from Kosovo in other
 countries in Europe who left before the current fighting. (emphasis mine)
 
 That's interesting. The above AP piece says that prior to the NATO
 bombings, "displaced ethnic Albanians" from Kosovo went to Yugoslavia.
 (BTW, it seems that the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
 refuses to recognize Kosovo as part of Yugoslavia.) The number attributed
 to Yugoslavia (30,000) is larger than the number of "refugees" who went to
 Albania (18,500), prior to the current exodus. What does it say about the
 pre-NATO-bombing treatment of Albanians by the Yugo government?
 
 Yoshie
 






[PEN-L:5260] (Fwd) FATAL FLAWS UNDERLYING NATO'S INTERVENTION IN YUGOSLAVIA

1999-04-14 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Mon, 12 Apr 1999 15:51:10 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:FATAL FLAWS UNDERLYING NATO'S INTERVENTION IN YUGOSLAVIA -
Former Commander and Head of Mission, UN forces in Yugoslavia

United Services Insitution of India, New Delhi, April 6, 1999

THE FATAL FLAWS UNDERLYING NATO'S INTERVENTION IN YUGOSLAVIA

By Lt Gen Satish Nambiar (Retd.)

(First Force Commander and Head of Mission of the United 
Nations Forces deployed in the former Yugoslavia 03 Mar 92 to 02 
Mar 93. Former Deputy Chief of Staff, Indian Army. Currently, 
Director of the United Services Insitution of India.)

My year long experience as the Force Commander and Head of 
Mission of the United Nations Forces deployed in the former 
Yugoslavia has given me an understanding of the fatal flaws of 
US/NATO policies in the troubled region. It was obvious to most 
people following events in the Balkans since the beginning of the 
decade, and particularly after the fighting that resulted in the 
emergence of Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and the 
former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, that Kosovo was a 
'powder keg' waiting to explode. The West appears to have learnt 
all the wrong lessons from the previous wars and applied it to 
Kosovo.

(1) Portraying the Serbs as evil and everybody else as good was not 
only counterproductive but also dishonest. According to my 
experience all sides were guilty but only the Serbs would admit that 
they were no angels while the others would insist that they were. 
With 28,000 forces under me and with constant contacts with 
UNHCR and the International Red Cross officials, we did not 
witness any genocide beyond killings and massacres on all sides that 
are typical of such conflict conditions. I believe none of my 
successors and their forces saw anything on the scale claimed by the 
media.

(2) It was obvious to me that if Slovenians, Croatians and Bosniaks 
had the right to secede from Yugoslavia, then the Serbs of Croatia 
and Bosnia had an equal right to secede. The experience of 
partitions in Ireland and India has not be pleasant but in the 
Yugoslavia case, the state had already been taken apart anyway. It 
made little sense to me that if multi-ethnic Yugoslavia was not 
tenable that multi-ethnic Bosnia could be made tenable. The former 
internal boundaries of Yugoslavia which had no validity under 
international law should have been redrawn when it was taken apart 
by the West, just as it was in the case of Ireland in 1921 and Punjab 
and Bengal in India in 1947. Failure to acknowledge this has led to 
the problem of Kosovo as an integral part of Serbia.

(3) It is ironic that the Dayton Agreement on Bosnia was not 
fundamentally different from the Lisbon Plan drawn up by 
Portuguese Foreign Minister Cuteliero and British representative 
Lord Carrington to which all three sides had agreed before any 
killings had taken place, or even the Vance-Owen Plan which 
Karadzic was willing to sign. One of the main problems was that 
there was an unwillingness on the part of the American 
administration to concede that Serbs had legitimate grievances and 
rights. I recall State Department official George Kenny turning up 
like all other American officials, spewing condemnations of the 
Serbs for aggression and genocide. I offered to give him an escort 
and to go see for himself that none of what he proclaimed was true. 
He accepted my offer and thereafter he made a radical turnaround. 
Other Americans continued to see and hear what they wanted to 
see and hear from one side, while ignoring the other side. Such 
behaviour does not produce peace but more conflict.

(4) I felt that Yugoslavia was a media-generated tragedy. The 
Western media sees international crises in black and white, 
sensationalizing incidents for public consumption. From what I can 
see now, all Serbs have been driven out of Croatia and the Muslim-
Croat Federation, I believe almost 850,000 of them. And yet the 
focus is on 500,000 Albanians (at last count) who have been driven 
out of Kosovo. Western policies have led to an ethnically pure 
Greater Croatia, and an ethnically pure Muslim statelet in Bosnia. 
Therefore, why not an ethnically pure Serbia? Failure to address 
these double standards has led to the current one.

As I watched the ugly tragedy unfold in the case of Kosovo while 
visiting the US in early to mid March 1999, I could see the same 
pattern emerging. In my experience with similar situations in India 
in such places as Kashmir, Punjab, Assam, Nagaland, and 
elsewhere, it is the essential strategy of those ethnic groups who 
wish to secede to provoke the state authorities. Killings of 
policemen is usually a standard operating procedure by terrorists 
since that usually invites overwhelming state retaliation, just as I am 
sure it does in the United 

[PEN-L:5083] (Fwd) CLINTON BOMBS AGAIN - The Village Voice

1999-04-10 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 09 Apr 1999 16:32:10 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:CLINTON BOMBS AGAIN - The Village Voice

The Village Voice   April 7-13, 1999

CLINTON BOMBS AGAIN 

How the Air Strikes Destroyed Democratic Movements In
Kosovo, Serbia, And Montenegro

By Jason Vest

Washington — Bill Clinton isn't the first chief executive in U.S. 
history to curtail democracy and human rights abroad ostensibly in 
the name of protecting them. He is, however, rapidly distinguishing 
himself in this regard. Not that the Clinton administration can be 
held entirely responsible for perpetrating the latest round of 
international lunacy, this time in the Balkans. Congress, as it did 
twice last year, has chosen not to exercise its constitutionally 
required duty to declare hostilities, thus allowing Clinton's dogs of 
war (Down, Sandy! Down, Madeline!) to run wild again. Not that 
this politico-military charge at a windmill is devoid of noble intent. 
However, among the many problems with this crusade is that, 
much as the average American no doubt is opposed to repression 
and annihilation, they are part and parcel of U.S. foreign policy — 
as the Clinton administration's Balkan approach continues to show. 
It's appalling enough that bombing a country in the name of halting 
depredation (and instead, engendering it) takes place against a 
historical backdrop of support for such repressive regimes as 
Turkey and Indonesia, which pursue their own policies of ethnic 
cleansing. But even more revolting was watching Clinton slyly 
revise history while trying to strike a morally imperative chord 
("We must apply the same lessons in Kosovo before what happened 
in Bosnia happens there too") without — surprise — taking any 
real responsibility for the machinations and calculations, deliberate 
and errant, that have have led to this debacle. 
But, then, Clinton has always been more inclined to say the 
right thing rather than do it. In regard to Bosnia, as Mark Danner 
astutely pointed out in a 1997 New York Review of Books essay, 
Clinton's articulated policy ("The U.S. should always seek an 
opportunity to stand up against — at least speak out against — 
inhumanity") was "one consisting solely of words [that] brought 
moral credit [and] carried no risk," and that helped pave the way to 
the Serbs' massacre of thousands at Srebenica. Rather like Bosnia 
— in which Clinton blamed European allies for undermining the 
"lift and strike" approach and made the case that his administration 
honestly tried, while the problem partially resolved itself through 
mass murders and expulsions — so too, perhaps, with Kosovo. 
The Clinton administration has shown itself to be adroit in the 
use of that old tool of statecraft, "signaling," to provoke ethnic 
purges rather than preventing them through proactive diplomacy. In 
1995, for example, Croatian forces (trained by ex­U.S. military 
personnel with the tacit blessing of the Pentagon) were giddy when, 
on the verge of undertaking a campaign for lebensraum against 
Serbs in Krajina, President Franjo Tudjman was informed that the 
U.S. was merely "concerned" about the buildup of Croat troops. In 
short order, at least 170,000 Serbs were driven from their homes or 
killed. While France, Russia, and Great Britain condemned the 
offensive, Clinton praised it, saying he was "hopeful Croatia's 
offensive will turn out to be something that will give us an avenue 
to a quick diplomatic solution." 
"In essence, the U.S. gave diplomatic cover to the Croatians for 
this action," says Hussein Ibish, a foreign policy analyst at the 
American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee. "It prevented any 
UN condemnation of what happened, and it certainly never 
registered any dismay." 
Last year, when U.S. special envoy Robert Gelbard visited the 
Balkans, he publicly vilified the Kosovo Liberation Army, saying, "I 
know a terrorist when I see one, and these men are terrorists." In 
Washington foreign policy circles, some regard this statement as the 
beginning of a chain reaction that resulted in the current situation, 
rife with the death of both human beings and democratic 
movements. 
When Gelbard spoke, the KLA was a fairly marginal force, seen 
by many in both Belgrade and Washington as a diplomatic irritant. 
Belgrade interpreted Gelbard's comments as approval to act against 
the KLA with impunity, which, in practice, meant the massacre of 
nearly 100 people (mostly women and children) in Kosovo's 
Benitsar enclave. 
Until that point, the KLA had not enjoyed broad support. In 
fact, for most of the past decade, the primary method of ethnic 
Albanian resistance to Serbian hegemony was a focused political 
movement utilizing civil 

[PEN-L:4962] (Fwd) War Report 4-1-99

1999-04-08 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 07 Apr 1999 15:59:07 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:War Report 4-1-99

NATO ATTACKS ON YUGOSLAVIA 
UPDATE * APRIL 1, 1999

KOSOVO ALBANIAN LEADER DENOUNCES NATO BOMBING
Kosovo Albanian political leader Ibrahim Rugova denounced NATO's bombing
campaign and demanded an immediate end to NATO's destruction of Kosovo.
Rugova, who NATO and Pentagon officials had claimed was assassinated by
Yugoslav police, spoke from his home in Kosovo on March 31.
Rugova was one of the key Albanian representatives at the talks in
France.

On April 1, Rugova met with Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic. In a
joint statement the two made on Yugoslva television, Rugova and
Milosevic said that the problems in Kosovo can only be settled by
"political means."

CANADIAN AUTO WORKERS DENOUNCE AIRSTRIKES
Buzz Hargrove, head of the Canadian Auto Workers union, criticized the
Canadian government's decision to participate in NATO air strikes
against Yugoslavia.

Hargrove said that the air strikes were not sanctioned by the United
Nations and could not be characterized as "peacekeeping," UPI reported
on March 31.

U.S. IS BOMBING CIVILIAN SHELTERS IN KOSOVO
ABC News Nightline reported on  March 29: "Late this evening, an
Australian aid agency reported a new cost of the war in Yugoslavia. For
the first time we are hearing of refugee centers in Yugoslavia hit by
NATO bombs. Care Australia says at least two centers housing women and
children were hit, nine people killed and another four centers may have
been damaged.







[PEN-L:4981] Kosovo

1999-04-08 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

I am reproducing here an e-mail I received from Tomis Popovic, a 
friend in Belgrade who is director of the Institute of Economic 
Science associated with the University of Belgrade.  This is an 
independent (of government) research institute with a highly 
western, liberal economics outlook.  It has an academic co-
operation and exchange agreement with the University of Manitoba 
and Professor Popovic has given seminars and lectures here.

Paul Phillips
Economics,
University of Manitoba

Centre for Strategic and Theoretical Studies of Development

Institute of Economic Sciences

Prof. Tomislav Popovic

KOSOVO:  ECONOMIC, SOCIAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC CAUSES OF 
THE CRISIS 

 Following the world media and expert magazines, as well as numerous 
discussions in the world public, The Institute of Economic Sciences has 
reached the conclusion that most people are not fully aware  of the 
demographic, social and economic situation in Kosovo, and therefore the 
solutions that are being proposed do not lead to a more permanent end 
of the crisis.
We believe that it is our personal and professional duty to inform the 
world public about ce rtain important facts and the assessments of the 
Institute of Economic Science contained in a number of studies, 
completed just before the breakup of the former Yugoslavia, on the most 
important structural characteristics of the Kosovo economy (and 
population).

The main finding of these studies is that the development strategy of 
Kosovo was based on erroneous theoretical and analytical premises, 
which promoted the creation and deepening of longterm economic, 
social and demographic imbalances. These imbalances were fertile 
ground for the aggravation of interentity antagonism and conflicts, 
especially in the circumstances involving internal (stalled 
democratisation of the country) and external factors related to the bloc 
and subbloc confrontation of geostrategic interests, the creation of a 
new configuration of Europe and the change of borders of sovereign 
countries.

Within the framework of current developments, the main thesis of these 
studies is that the geostrategic and political treatment of the Kosovo  
problem as a territorial issue, and not as an issue of development, 
conditions and way of living of the people and the system of the 
organisation of the society, will not lead to more permanent solutions. 
Forced and improvised solutions in the existing economic. social and 
demographic milieu of Kosovo can only present a temporary respite in a 
series of disturbances and confrontations in the wider area of the 
Balkans in the future. \par Certain facts from the Institute's studies 
substantiating this thesis are as follows. 
Economic imbalance  : In the 19801988 period, the net inflow of grants 
(mostly) amounted to 34% to 40% of the Kosovo gross domestic 
product, while small and mediumsize companies accounted for only 
0.9% of total investments. The level of investment selffinancing from 
Kosovo's own sources was only 10%; The share of agriculture in NMP 
was about 25% (1988), and only 16% in investments. Since investments 
were dominated by capitalintensive and technologicallyintensive 
industries, i.e. slowreturn investments (mostly in the energy industry 
and mining), the share of fixed investment in the gross domestic product 
was 48.5% (in the SFR Yugoslavia under 30%), with a very high annual 
growth rate, despite a low capacity utilisation rate, below 30% (the nonf 
errous metal industry 30.2%, leather and footwear production 26.3%, 
machinebuilding industry 3.9%...)
 
Such a "development" orientation and corresponding production 
structure promoted the aggravation of the social imbalance in several 
directions, including the following: the low share of capitalintensive 
industries and technology resulted in the chronic and extremely high 
unemployment rate: in 1988 it was 57.8% in Kosovo, in comparison with 
16.8% in the former Yugoslavia; of 1,893,0 00 inhabitants, only 123,000 
workers were employed in material production industries, while in the 
entire sociallyowned sector, of 232,000 workers only 23% were women, 
unlike the Yugoslav average of 39%; the continually high inflow of 
grants led to deformities in human capital, in the development sense, so, 
for example, the share of university students in the total population of 
Kosovo was 1.58%, which was above the Yugoslav average of 1.41%; on 
the other hand, the share of illiterate persons in Kosovo was 17.6% of 
persons above 10 years of age, which was almost twice the Yugoslav 
average of 9.5% at the time; one of the fundamental social imbalances, 
clearly demonstrating how misguided the "development" strategy 
implemented for decades was, is reflected in the fact that, of the 1,294,000 
inhabitants living in rural areas in 1988, twothirds were nonfarming 
population, i.e. 43% of the entire population. 
In view of the current armed conflict in Kosovo, it is clear that in such a 

[PEN-L:4965] (Fwd) REPORT FINDS SHARED GUILT INSIDE KOSOVO - NYT

1999-04-08 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 07 Apr 1999 15:59:44 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:REPORT FINDS SHARED GUILT INSIDE KOSOVO - NYT

The New York Times  April 2, 1999

CRISIS IN THE BALKANS: ATROCITIES

REPORT FINDS SHARED GUILT INSIDE KOSOVO

By Elizabeth Olson

GENEVA -- A report to the U.N. Human Rights Commission on 
Thursday accused both Yugoslav and Albanian forces of 
committing numerous killings and other atrocities in Kosovo before 
NATO began its airstrikes.
Jiri Dienstbier, a former foreign minister of Czechoslovakia, 
gave the U.N. group, which is holding its annual meeting here, a 
report on Kosovo that strongly criticized Yugoslav forces, noting 
that he was alarmed at "consistent disregard by Serbian state 
security forces of both domestic and international standards 
pertaining to police conduct and treatment of detainees." Kosovo is 
a province of Serbia, which with neighboring Montenegro forms 
Yugoslavia.
Dienstbier said, however, that human rights violations by both 
the Serbs and the ethnic Albanians were common. "It happened in 
Kosovo many times for both sides," Dienstbier said, citing 
abductions, murders and arbitrary arrests. He has been investigating 
human rights in Yugoslavia, Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina since 
March 1998.
Last fall, he said, "concentrations of corpses and evidence of 
massacres, including massacres of civilians," were discovered. The 
badly mutilated bodies of 14 Kosovo Albanians, including six 
women, six children and two elderly men, were found in a forest in 
the Drenica region, he said.
The Kosovo Liberation Army, on the other hand, which is 
fighting for independence for the ethnic Albanian majority in the 
province, conducted paramilitary tribunals and was believed to be 
responsible for the abduction and execution of civilians and police 
officers, he said. In two locations, Klecka and Glodjane, there were 
more than 40 bodies that Yugoslav authorities said were Serb 
civilians who had been kidnapped and killed by the KLA soldiers.
And all over Serbia, he said, "persons are arbitrarily detained by 
the police for questioning or held in pretrial detention longer than 
the period mandated by law." Such detainees are routinely denied 
access to lawyers, Dienstbier said, and also to personal doctors, a 
practice that he said is significant because state-employed 
physicians do not report injuries sustained during police questioning 
and also do not provide sufficient medical treatment.
In response, the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia gave the 
commission what it called "information on terrorist activities and 
provocations by the Albanian separatists in Kosovo."
Branko Brankovic, a representative of the Yugoslav 
government, said that between Oct. 13, 1998, and Feb. 21, 1999, 
there had been 827 attacks and provocations in Kosovo, including 
290 against civilians and 537 against officials. These attacks, he 
said, killed 99 people, including 80 civilians.
Since the Rambouillet peace talks, he said, people have been 
killed and wounded daily except for the period from Feb. 11 to Feb. 
17, 1999.
In light of the fighting and brutality in Kosovo in the past 
weeks, Mary Robinson, the U.N. high commissioner for refugees, 
said Thursday that a special investigation would begin next week to 
assess the reports of ethnic cleansing.
Ms. Robinson said she would send Dienstbier to investigate 
"reports of a vicious and systematic campaign of ethnic cleansing 
conducted by Serbian military and paramilitary forces in Kosovo."
"The gravity of these reports underlines the need for impartial 
verification of the allegations," Ms. Robinson said.
Human rights monitors are also being reassigned and sent 
immediately to interview refugees to evaluate the human rights 
situation in the battered province, she added.






[PEN-L:4963] (Fwd) MESSAGE FROM SERBIA'S WRITERS' ASSOCIATION

1999-04-08 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Wed, 07 Apr 1999 15:59:32 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:MESSAGE FROM SERBIA'S WRITERS' ASSOCIATION

e-Bulletin  No 54 / April 1, 1999  #4 
Nato Genocide over Serbs

SERBIA'S WRITERS' ASSOCIATION

To the writers of Europe and the World

Respected colleagues and dear friends, we expect Your Word.

It is most needed now, healing and responsible.

Since the night of March 24th 1999 our country, Serbia and 
Yugoslavia and all our cities have been attacked with cluster bombs 
and rockets, without Declaration of war by the North Atlantic 
Military Alliance NATO, which violated the sovereignty of 
Yugoslavia as well as the Charter and Declarations of the UN.

In continuous attacks by several hundreds of airplanes all the vital 
strategic objects of our home country have been attacked as well as 
schools, kindergartens, hospitals, medical factories, churches, 
monasteries, gas stations and water wells, cemeteries and national 
sanctuaries, libraries and cultural institutions, rivers, forests, 
mountains - our whole world.

Endlessly, NATO troops have been attacking for days now 
Belgrade, the capital of Serbia and Yugoslavia which has been 
bombed by Nazis in 1941 and by Allies in 1944.

Cetinje was bombed - a historical city, the sanctuary and the seat of 
the Mithropolites of Montenegro. Bombed was the peak of Lovcen, 
with its tomb of the legendary poet Njegos, the second time in this 
century - at its beginning and at its end.

A deadly missile fell in the port of our holy monastery Gracanica 
(1320) in Kosovo. The center of Kosovo and Metohija itself - the 
city of Pristina, former capital of the Serbian nobleman Vuk 
Brankovic, was bombed.

The park monument Sumarice in Kragujevac a graveyard of 7000 
Serbian citizens and pupils shot by fascists in 1941 was struck by 
missiles. This time the NATO pilots killed the already dead peasants, 
clerks and students. Even their sacred innocence was a "strategic 
military object and target".

There is no end to this madness!!!

We, the Serbian writers, believe that the great Austrian and German 
poet Peter Handke was right in his global message in which he called 
the whole free world - Yugoslavia!

Yesterday at the very moment that the new attacks on Belgrade have 
been announced, at the Liberty Square, 100 000 of young men and 
women came to the rock concert wearing targets on their breasts. 
Maybe You saw them on television last night? If you have, say so!

Let us address together in this protest the gentlemen leading these 
new barbarians, and stop them.

Let us save together the free and democratic spirit of Europe and the 
World, this altar of the Gift and the Mind which the Serbian people 
have built themselves into.

The writers of the world have never been accomplices, but 
witnesses. In the third genocide over Serbs in this century, let us add 
Your voice of the Biblical Jove to the book of conscience we are 
writing together, on the scales of the world temptation.

Belgrade, March 30th 1999.

SERBIA'S WRITERS' ASSOCIATION

FWD by

 
CONGRES MONDIAL SERBE  
WORLD SERB CONGRESS  
WELTKONGRESS DER SERBEN  
 






[PEN-L:4904] (Fwd) US/NATO'S HYPOCRITIC OATH

1999-04-07 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Tue, 06 Apr 1999 16:27:21 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:US/NATO'S HYPOCRITIC OATH

US/NATO'S HYPOCRITIC OATH

by Andre Gunder Frank 
April 4, 1999

The US government wishes to invoke international law to protect 
three American soldiers held by the Yugoslav government under the 
Geneva Convention regarding prisoners of war. Yet at the same 
time,

The 19 states of NATO led by the United States are or have 
just been flagrantly violating international law - and without 
even any declaration of war - in wantonly bombing military 
and civilian targets  in Yugoslavia, including two buildings 
in the very center of  Belgrade on April 2 deliberately 
blocking a major international waterway normally  used for 
commercial shipping by non combatant and neutral  
countries, by bombing a culturally significant bridge over 
the Danube in Novi Sad and plunging it into the river.

The NATO states deliberately by-pass the entire United Nations 
organization and set aside the consultative procedures it, and 
especially its Security Council, offers for the discussion and 
settlement of international Disputes. These include in particular 
those that guarantee human rights and those that may threaten the 
peace. Thereby the NATO member states including the United 
States are blatantly abrogating - even more than violating - the 
mainstay of international law

NATO and particularly the United States has been obstructing 
international criminal law by deliberately failing to arrest and 
remand to the War Crimes Court in The Hague persons indicted for 
genocide and other violations of human rights who are in the de 
facto and perhaps de jure jurisdiction of NATO forces in Bosnia, 
members of which provided for such arrest and remand as part of 
the settlement at Dayton, USA.

The very man, Milosevic, who at Dayton was selected and 
supported to guarantee and implement the Dayton agreement is 
now being demonized and used as the pretext for this illegal NATO 
bomb attack against an entire country. However, Milosevic 
abrogated Kosovo autonomy already ten years ago and began his 
autocratic rule fanning Serbian nationalism even more than ten 
years ago, when it was also Western generated causes of and then 
Western support for the breakup of Yugoslavia that gave Milosevic 
that opportunity. [Shades of the first US/Western support and then 
blame of Saddam Hussein, to whom Milosevic is only now being 
compared.]

NATO bombing has effectively emasculated the very Serbian 
opposition to Milosevic and his rule, which offered the best chance 
and mechanism for a democratic, peaceful political settlement and 
the furtherance of more humanitarian policies in Serbia, including 
Kosovo, and also in the Serbian populated regions of Bosnia. This 
domestic opposition to Milosevic was long led by the Serbian 
Peace, Women's and other Democratic movements.  They became a 
world wide model of peaceful mobilization when they brought 
hundreds of thousands of people out into the streets during a 
months of winter nights and which thereby obliged Milosevic to 
revoke a number of undemocratic and illegal measures. If the 
NATO powers had had even the slightest interest in promoting 
democracy or human rights anywhere in Yugoslavia, including at 
the time in Bosnia and Croatia, they would have worked with rather 
then undercut the domestic democratic movements. [Again exactly 
the same was and still is true in Iraq].

NATO bombing, as the CIA and Pentagon reportedly predicted, 
has immeasurably increased the deprivation of the Kosovo 
Albanians' life, property, home, and country. It is difficult to see 
how any measures could now or ever in the future restore even 
what little they had before NATO bombs and Serbian persecution 
drove them out into neighboring countries - where the humanitarian 
concern of NATO had not made the slightest preparation to care 
for them. And still at the time of this writing, the number of 
Albanian refugees FROM Serbia does not yet or is only just 
beginning to match the number of Serbian refugees TO Serbia, who 
were forced out Of Croatia by ethnic cleansing that was itself 
instigated and supported by NATO policy. So there is more than 
just hypocrisy in the comparison and relation of these two flows of 
refugees. It will be a macabre irony if the Croatian Serbs, who were 
displaced with NATO help and still have found no place to take 
root, end up in Serbian Kosovo after NATO also helps to chase the 
Albanians out!

NATO member states have always denounced and combated all 
'terrorist' military and para-military forces [except of course those 
that they themselves have trained, armed and financed around the 
world from Indochina, via Afghanistan and Angola to Columbia 

[PEN-L:4892] Kosovo

1999-04-06 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

I am sadly reminded over and over again as I read the posts on pen-
l that, as Santayana pointed out, those who do not know their 
history are bound to repeat it.

Some historical facts.  Today is the anniversary of opening up of 
German bombing of Belgrade.  This followed the demand by 
Germany that it be allowed to put an occupying force in Serbia or 
be bombed.  The government of the day agreed but two days after 
was overthrown by the Serb population who would brook no 
voluntary occupation.  Hence, the bombing and invasion of Serbia 
in WW2.  Sound familiar?

Before the opening of the second world war, the Germans invaded 
and occupied Czechoslovakia.  What was the reason given.  
Humanitary support for the oppressed german population.  Sound 
familiar?

During the second world war, Italy occupied southern Yugoslavia 
and  Albania and established a Quisling government with ethnic 
albanians in Kosovo.  At that time Serbs made up about 35% of 
the Kosovo population (note the figure Barkley.  I did some more 
research and got more exact figures.)  The Quisling government 
followed a similar policy as that of the Ustashe -- exterminating or 
ethnically cleansing Kosovo of Serbs.  (Many of my friends are 
refugees from Kosovo who were driven out during the war by the 
Albanian fascists, some of who returned after the war, others who 
were not able to.)  This was the second attempt to cleanse Kosovo 
of slavic peoples.  This was the declared intention of Ottoman-
Albanian League of Prizren founded in 1878 and was followed by 
persecution of the slavs driving many out of the region.  The third 
purge of Slavs from the province began in the early 1980s  which 
culminated in the lifting of Kosovo's autonomy in 1989 which 
Barkley and I disagree about.  (He sees it as a cause, I see it as a 
result.)  Nevertheless, there was never any attempt to ethnically 
cleanse or to persecute the Albanian population until the KLA 
began its military operations in Kosovo killing Serbian police, 
soldiers and harrassing and killing Serb civilians.

So, it would seem that aiding the KLA as NATO and the 
Ramboulliette agreement did was just the final stage of ethnic 
cleansing of Serbs to add a few hundred thousand more refugees in 
Serbia to add to the 3-400,000 already purged from Croatia with US 
and NATO help.

How about a big cheer for NATO supported genocide and ethnic 
cleansing.  It is so much nicer when you do it yourself by dropping 
bombs on civilian populations.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba






[PEN-L:4893] (Fwd) THE SERBIANS' OVERWHELMING EMOTION IS DEFIANCE

1999-04-06 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Tue, 06 Apr 1999 12:49:37 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:THE SERBIANS' OVERWHELMING EMOTION IS DEFIANCE

The Vancouver Sun   Tuesday 6 April 1999

THE SERBIANS' OVERWHELMING EMOTION IS DEFIANCE

As the air war hits home in Belgrade, daily protest
rallies in Revolution Square gather huge crowds.

By Lewis Mackenzie 

Belgrade — There's a strange feeling as you drive into this
beleaguered city after the long haul by road from Budapest, Hungary.
(Driving is the only way to get here since commercial flights were
cancelled at the onset of hostilities between the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization and the Serbians, and a couple of nights ago cruise
missiles hit the airport terminal.) 

It's strange since there's such a feeling of normality — people on the
streets going about their business, and traffic you'd associate more
with rush-hour on Ottawa's Queensway than with a city that's under
nightly attack from NATO forces. 

I arrived on Sunday and my first reaction to the stream of cars heading
out of the city was that there was a spontaneous evacuation under way.
Then I tumbled to the fact that none of them seemed to be carrying any
luggage or possessions and I realized the truth: These were people just
out for a Sunday drive. 

But beneath this appearance of life-as-usual, you quickly realize that in
this Serbian capital there's very little room — if any — for compromise
even at this stage of hostilities when the air war is really beginning to hit
home. 

If anything, there's a mood of defiance and a growing animosity to the
West in general and NATO in particular. 

The Serbs go to great lengths to warn western visitors that they can't
go wandering all over town, particularly if they are speaking English. It
just isn't safe and there have been some instances of journalists being
beaten up because they were from NATO countries participating in the
attacks. 

That's perfectly understandable to me. After all, there were no
journalists from the U.S., Canada or Britain on the ground reporting in
Berlin during the Allied bombing of the Second World War. 

My feeling that there's little room for compromise from the Serbs began
to set in on Monday when I met with the foreign minister of Yugoslavia,
Zivadin Jovanovic. 

He lived in Toronto from age 22 to 31 and retains warm memories of
the time he spent in Canada. 

But I quickly realized that Yugoslavia is resistant to any compromise.
And the feeling runs deep. 

For the Serbs it would be better to go down to defeat than to
compromise. 

Later in the day I met with the minister of health and ran into exactly the
same mindset. 

And you don't only hear it from government officials and politicians. You
run into the same feelings in talking to taxi drivers, hotel staff and
survivors of cruise missile attacks on Belgrade's heating plant and
interior ministry. 

Frankly, I'm not optimistic there is any room for any compromise at all. 

There's no doubt that the population — and this applies particularly to
the young people — is in a defiant mood. You can feel it every day at
the rock-concert protest rally they stage in Belgrade's Revolution
Square. The pop stars sing, the crowds wave their placards and love
every minute of it. And they're gathering some of the biggest crowds
Belgrade has seen in decades. 

The overwhelming emotion at these rallies is defiance. 

These are first impressions, based on a mere 36 hours in Belgrade, but
I can't help having an uneasy feeling that we are on an increasingly
slippery slope. 

And the feeling is so strong that I fear I may be right. 
_

Retired major-general Lewis MacKenzie of the Canadian Armed Forces
commanded United Nations troops during the siege of Sarajevo in the
Bosnian civil war in 1992.






[PEN-L:4891] (Fwd) CANADIAN SENATOR DECRIES NATO AIR RAIDS IN YUGOSLAVIA

1999-04-06 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Tue, 06 Apr 1999 12:46:16 -0700
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:CANADIAN SENATOR DECRIES NATO AIR RAIDS IN YUGOSLAVIA

Canadian Press  6 April 1999 

SENATOR DECRIES NATO AIR RAIDS IN YUGOSLAVIA

Canada participating in bombings to avoid upsetting U.S., 
says former Canadian disarmament ambassador to the UN

Edmonton — Alberta Senator Doug Roche has decried
Canada’s participation in NATO bombings of Yugoslavia, joining a
chorus of critics who have labelled it an illegal war. 

"The NATO bombings are morally outrageous, a violation of
international law and are causing untold human suffering," Roche told
about 250 protesters at a pro-Serbian rally in Edmonton on Sunday. 

Roche — former Canadian disarmament ambassador to the United
Nations — said only the UN Security Council has the authority to send
troops into conflict-ridden areas such as Yugoslavia. 

The only reason Canada is participating in the bombings of
Yugoslavia is to avoid upsetting the United States, Roche said in an
interview after his speech. 

"It’s sacrilege with the bombings going on during the Easter
weekend," added Roche, a former federal Conservative MP. 

He said a negotiated peace settlement is impossible unless the
bombings cease. 

Roche called the proposed Rambouillet peace pact a U.S.-imposed
solution that is too flawed to work. 

The pact, worked out in Rambouillet, France, would have provided
the Yugoslavian province of Kosovo a three-year period of autonomy.

— Edmonton Journal 






[PEN-L:4764] Re: RE: Military spending

1999-04-02 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Oh Max, have you been reduced to this sophistry.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba

From:   [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Max Sawicky)
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:4763] RE: Military spending
Date sent:  Fri, 2 Apr 1999 16:03:01 -0500
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 For the general amusement I've attached a .WKS file with U.S.
 defense spending data from 1940 to present, in terms of current
 dollars, $1992 dollars, % of GDP, and % of Federal outlays.  The
 deflator is a general one, not defense-specific, so it could
 overstate real increases in defense spending and understate real
 decreases, though probably not by much.
 
 The defense category is broader than just DoD; it includes Dept
 of Energy nukes and some other tidbits.  Source is Office of Mgmt
 and Budget.  Numbers for FY2000-2004 are Administration
 proposals.
 
 The ebb in defense/GDP since 1986 is evident, as is the decline
 in defense/outlays.  In the latter case, the Clinton budget
 flattens out the path, meaning the decline in defense/outlays is
 arrested.  The Clinton budget does increase nominal spending by
 FY2004, but only after a decrease in nominal and real from 1999
 to 2000.  There was an increase from 1998 to 1999 (as the Shalom
 article states), but it was only $8 billion nominal, and $4
 billion real.  So as I mentioned, I don't mind portraying Clinton
 as a defense spending hawk, but he's not a very prolific one so
 far; more like the Democratic defense counter-part to the
 "dime-store New Deal."
 
 Clinton spending is not far below the 1976 to 1990 period because
 by 1976 defense had been depressed (the famous peace dividend),
 it did not run up again as a percent of outlays or GDP until the
 first Reagan term, and it was allowed to sink after 1986 by
 Reagan and then Bush.  The Reagan buildup was relatively sudden,
 short-lived, and not all that big in share terms.  In absolute
 dollars -- both real and nominal -- it stands out more.  But you
 have the numbers and can judge for yourselves.  Alternative
 interpretations are welcome.  Evaluating the charts is a little
 like art appreciation.
 
 On balance the Shalom article, as far as interpreting the
 spending numbers goes, seems overheated.
 
 I repeat my suggestion that the fundamental political-economic
 development in U.S. fiscal policy is not found in the defense
 trend, but in prospective disposition of budget surpluses.  I'd
 be interested in illumination on the latter policy.
 
  From an article by Stephen Shalom titled "The Continuity of US
  Imperialism," in the current issue of New Politics.
  The complete article
  can be found at:
  http://www.wilpaterson.edu/wpcpages/icip/newpol/
 
 
 mbs
 






[PEN-L:4615] Slovenia /Kosovo Incomes

1999-03-28 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Barkley,

I don't know where I got the figure of 15 to 1 for the income 
differential after the war, but it appears you are correct and I was 
wrong.  However, I was also wrong in that differentials did not widen 
later in the 80s unless in the second half of the decade as a 
consequence of the economic crisis brought on by the IMF as 
described by Chossodovsky.  The figures I have here at home are:

1947 3.1/1
1955 7.2/1
1973 6.3/1
1983 5.7/1

That is, after the adoption of self-management, differentials appear 
to have slowly decreased.  (by the way the figures for 1947 and 
1973 are from Horvat, The Yugoslav Economic System; the figures 
for 1955 and 1983 are from the Yugoslav Statistical Yearbook.

I was trying to find the comparable figure for 1987 among some 
photocopies of Yugoslav data I have, but couldn't find it.  What I did 
find, however, was another series which paints a quite different 
figure.  In 1986, the ratio of net personal income per worker (cist 
licni dohodak po radniku) between Slovenia and Kosovo was only 
around 2/1, less than half the difference than national income per 
capita.  I would think that there are probably two main reasons for 
this discrepancy -- the very high birth rate among the Albanians in 
Kosovo which produced a very large dependency ratio (i.e. a low 
LF/Pop ratio); and secondly, a low female participation rate given 
the social pressures among the Islamic population to keep their 
women out of the labour force and home raising children.  It may 
also reflect the way figures are collected undercounting output in 
kind in the peasant sector which is still very large in Kosovo.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba






[PEN-L:4584] (Fwd) Kosovo Crisis Deepens Political Divisions in Ukraine

1999-03-26 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 26 Mar 1999 14:17:01 -0800
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Kosovo Crisis Deepens Political Divisions in Ukraine

STRATFOR's
Global Intelligence Update
March 26, 1999

Kosovo Crisis Deepens Political Divisions in Ukraine 

Summary:

NATO air strikes in Yugoslavia have triggered discussion in the 
Ukrainian Parliament about reevaluating the country's politico-
military orientation. Pro-Russian political factions in Ukraine 
are utilizing the Kosovo crisis to push their own agenda. 

Analysis:

The Ukrainian Parliament issued a statement on March 24 calling 
NATO military action in Yugoslavia an "aggression against a 
sovereign state."  The Parliament also urged the Ukrainian 
government to change the country's non-nuclear status due to the 
NATO air strikes in the Balkans.  The resolution was approved by 
an overwhelming majority of the members of the Ukrainian 
Parliament -- 231 in favor and 43 opposed.  In discussing the 
resolution, top parliamentary leaders made strong statements 
regarding Ukraine's future relationship with NATO.  For instance, 
the chair of the parliamentary Committee for Foreign Affairs and 
CIS Relations, Borys Oliynyk, said that Ukrainian officials had 
exceeded their authority by promoting closer ties with NATO.  
Heorhiy Kryuchkov, head of the parliamentary Committee for 
Defense and State Security, declared his support for Oliynyk's 
comments.

Perhaps the most notable statement was made by the Head of the 
Communist party of Ukraine, Petro Symonenko, who suggested that 
the country's legislative body reconsider immediately Ukraine's 
relationship with NATO.  "If we do not make a decision on the 
alliance, that may entail a change in relations with Russia," 
Symonenko told Russian press agency ITAR-TASS.  He also argued 
that Ukraine's cooperation with NATO complicates Kiev's relations 
with the CIS, especially with Russia and Belarus.  Symonenko 
proposed that Ukraine recall its ambassadors in NATO countries 
and coordinate its security matters in the future with Russia and 
Belarus.  Nearly all political parties in the Ukrainian 
Parliament have denounced NATO military activities in Yugoslavia. 
However, Ukrainian President Leonid Kuchma, currently visiting 
Sweden, called the Parliament's proposal to rebuild a nuclear 
arsenal "emotional."  Kuchma said that any efforts to change his 
country's nuclear status would complicate Ukraine's relations 
with the West and endanger European security. 

Ukraine's post-Soviet domestic politicians have struggled to find 
Ukraine's place between East and West.  This has pitted an uneasy 
alliance of Ukranian nationalists and pro-Western reformers 
against pro-Russian leftists.  The pro-Western faction is 
politically and economically aligned with the West.  It is also 
small.  The Pro-Russian faction is politically and economically 
aligned with Russia, and is large.  The swing vote that has kept 
Ukraine from following Belarus back to mother Russia has been 
that of the nationalists -- not exactly free-marketeers but 
viscerally opposed to loss of Ukranian independence.  NATO action 
against Yugoslavia appears to have produced a dramatic, if 
temporary, shift in Ukraine's political balance, with 
nationalists joining the leftists in pan-Slavic opposition to 
attacks on Yugoslav Serbs.

Pro-Russian political factions are exploiting the Kosovo issue to 
push for closer politico-military cooperation between Kiev and 
Moscow-dominated CIS.  Immediately preceding the passage of the 
above-mentioned resolution, the Parliament ratified an agreement 
on the status and division of the former Soviet Black Sea Fleet. 
This agreement normalizes relations between Russia and Ukraine, 
as its adoption is a pre-requisite for enacting the basic 
cooperation and friendship agreement between the two countries.  
Based on the Black Sea Fleet agreement, which still needs to be 
ratified by the Russian parliament, the Russian part of the fleet 
will remain stationed in Sevastopol until the year 2017. However, 
despite the nationalists' later agreement with leftists on 
opposition to NATO air strikes, nationalists remained fiercely 
opposed to the Black Sea Fleet agreement.

Thrown from one uncomfortable alliance into another, Ukranian 
nationalists joined Ukraine's pro-Russian faction to make the 
country's explicit position on the Kosovo issue essentially 
identical to that of Russia.  On March 25, Ukraine's Foreign 
Ministry said that "Ukraine believes it is unacceptable to use 
military force against a sovereign state without the approval of 
the UN Security Council, the only body tasked with taking 
decisions to bolster peace and security."  But on March 23, 
Ukrainian President Kuchma said at a press conference in 
Stockholm, "Ukraine needs military and other cooperation with 
NATO."  Moreover, 

[PEN-L:4586] NATO Bombing

1999-03-26 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Max,
A last comment on this exchange.

1.  The NATO bombing is clearly contrary to international law, of 
the Constitution of NATO and of the US and Canadian 
constitutions.  It also heralds the end of the UN as an international 
political agency.  Do Americans care so little of the UN that they 
wish to see it destroyed?  Are we in NA so contemptuous of the 
rule of law that we are willing to destroy the UN in favour of vigilanty 
justice -- lets string em up  (regardless of guilt or innocence) to 
satisfy our blood lust?

2.  Can you give me any evidence of civil rights abuses of the 
Albanian population of Albania BEFORE the KLA (characterized as 
a terrorist organization by the US) began its attacks on Serbs in 
Kosovo?  In fact, can you give me a single instance?

3. Can you give me any independent confirmation of the alleged 
atrocities of Serbs in Kosovo?

4.  When I pointed out the strong support for ethnic minorities by 
the Serbs against the Germans, Croats, etc. your response was -- 
that was then but this is now.  I was using history to show that 
Serbs have not had a history of discrimination.  But your cavalier 
response is that the Serb history of toleration should be ignored, 
without one shred of evidence that, in fact, there is any change in 
this attitude.

5.  Telephone reports this evening on CBC from Belgrade report the 
US/NATO bombing has targeted schools and hospitals.  Wow, 
what great humanitarian support from a country that pionnered 
ethnic cleansing with the enclosure of the aboriginal population in 
permanent reservations.

Yea, I am bitter and sick.  It is my friends that the recipients of US 
humanitary hospitality in the forms of bombs and death.

Thanks Max.






[PEN-L:4585] (Fwd) NATO BOMBING IS CRIMINALLY DANGEROUS

1999-03-26 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 26 Mar 1999 14:17:12 -0800
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:NATO BOMBING IS CRIMINALLY DANGEROUS

WAR IS PEACE BIG BROTHER ASSURES US: 

BUT NATO BOMBING IS DANGEROUSLY CRIMINAL AND CRIMINALLY DANGEROUS

by Andre Gunder Frank 
March 26, 1999

NATO bombing of Serbia is in abject violation of international law 
by taking it into your own hands to destroy it. That makes this 
NATO action first dangerously criminal and then criminally 
dangerous. The American NATO Military Commander's claim that 
he is speaking and acting for the 'International Community' is a 
deliberate hoax, since the membership of NATO is only about 15 
percent of the states and even less than that of the population of the 
United Nations, whose two largest countries with 2 billion people 
and many others oppose this action. UN Secretary General Kofi 
Annan put it mildly the day bombing started on March 24 that 
NATO member states should 'consult' the UN Security Council 
before attacking. They did no such thing in the knowledge that two 
permanent members would have exercised their veto. Therefore 
NATO action is criminal and dangerously so because it is yet 
another important step in the systematic violation of the UN 
Charter and the total abrogation of international law. NATO action 
and its expansion is also criminally dangerous for a whole series of 
political, legal, social, economic, and of course moral reasons to be 
detailed below.

NATO IS DANGEROUSLY CRIMINAL

NATO action is no only criminal, but dangerously so; because it 
extends not only the violation but the very elimination of the UN 
Charter, structure, and process and its replacement by NATO and 
its dominant power in the United States. It is difficult to decide 
where to start a quick review of this process. In 1950 the United 
States was able to fight Korean War under the UN flag, because in 
the Security Council China was represented by the regime in 
Taiwan, and the USSR was absent the day of the vote. Never mind 
that the UN Charter requires the affirmative vote of all permanent 
members. In 1961, the UN was used as a cover for United States 
foreign policy in the Congo, which resulted in the installation by the 
CIA of Mobutu after the expulsion and killing of Lumumba and the 
death there of UN Secretary General Hammerskjold. In the 1980s, 
the United States alleged that it is not subject to the rulings of UN 
International Court in the Hague after the latter found that US 
mining of the Nicaragua harbour violated the UN Charter. 

But in 1990/91 the United States and its allies availed themselves of 
the UN and its Security Council to 'legitimate' the war against Iraq 
by pulling legalistic wool over the eyes of the world community to 
pretend that their action was carried out for the UN. Nonetheless, 
the then UN Secretary General Perez de Cuellar clearly said 'This is 
a US war, not a UN war." His resignation for that reason would 
have made it much more loud and clear. In fact, the US led war 
against Iraq clearly violated at least seven different clauses of the 
UN Charter. The first one is that Article 27, Clause 3 of the UN 
Charter requires the affirmative vote of all permanent members. 
That was not the case, since China abstained [and the USSR only 
voted yes after being bribed to do so in its economic crisis. If it had 
at least abstained, China might have voted No, and probably France 
also]. This requirement is again relevant today: The United States 
and its NATO allies did not 'consult' the Security Council as the UN 
Secretary General reminded us simply because it is obvious that this 
time Russia would have vetoed this operation, and maybe China 
too.

The American pretence that no new Security Council resolution 
was required to legalize this NATO action is a sheer lie in yet 
another attempt to pull wool over world eyes. Indeed, that was so 
already in the war against Iraq. For Article 42 of the UN Charter 
bars the resort to war until the Security Council determines that all 
peaceful means to resolve the dispute have been exhausted pursuant 
to Article 41. [We return to peaceful means below]. Of course, 
there was never any compliance with any one of these and other 
requirements of the UN Charter, and least of all the provision that 
the military action be under UN military command [which has never 
been really established], and not under that of the USA or NATO. 
On the contrary, the Iraq war initiated another dangerous precedent 
in this regard: although it was not a NATO operation, NATO 
offered its infrastructural facilities and some military equipment, 
which were used by its member allies in their illegal war against 
Iraq.

So the United States converted the United Nations into a de facto 
arm of its own foreign policy and its spokespersons and the media 
availed 

[PEN-L:4583] (Fwd) CONFLICT IN THE BALKANS: THE ROLE OF GERMANY

1999-03-26 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Fri, 26 Mar 1999 14:29:56 -0800
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:CONFLICT IN THE BALKANS: THE ROLE OF GERMANY

The New York Times  March 26, 1999

CONFLICT IN THE BALKANS: IN GERMANY

By Roger Cohen

Berlin -- For the first time since the end of World War II, German 
fighter jets have gone to war, taking part in the attack on 
Yugoslavia as part of a NATO force and marking this country's 
definitive emancipation from post-war pacifism. 
Rudolf Scharping, the German Defense Minister, said four 
Tornado jets took off from their Piacenza base in northern Italy late 
Wednesday and participated in the NATO mission, before returning 
safely. The German Parliament has authorized up to 15 military 
aircraft to take part in the air strikes. 
Germany reacted calmly, indicating a profound change in its 
psyche since the fall of the Berlin wall. Throughout the period of 
post-war reconstruction, the saying that "only peace" would go out 
from German soil amounted to a kind of mantra. The one time 
during the cold war that German troops marched in a foreign land 
was in 1968, when East German troops assisted in the Soviet-led 
invasion of Czechoslovakia. 
The devastation, physical and moral, caused by Hitler's 
Reich and the country's delicate position at the front line of the cold 
war contributed to Germany's peace-only outlook. But Europe has 
changed and Germany has changed with it. 
"The last victim of the fall of the wall is German pacifism," 
Stephan Speicher commented Thursday in the Berliner Zeitung. 
Not everyone is ready. There have been dissenting voices 
and clear tensions within the governing coalition of Social 
Democrat Chancellor Gerhard Schröder. 
Gregor Gysi, the leader of the Party of Democratic 
Socialism, on Thursday denounced Germany's participation. "After 
what has happened this century, Germany above all has no right to 
drop bombs on Belgrade." He was referring to Hitler's flattening of 
Belgrade, which began on April 6, 1941, after Serbs tore up a pact 
with the Nazis. This event is etched on Serbian consciousness as if 
it happened yesterday. Still, Gysi's voice appeared relatively isolated 
amid what the conservative newspaper Die Welt called "a kind of 
public emptiness." 
German equanimity was clearly reinforced Thursday by the 
fact that it was a "Red-Green" coalition of Social Democrats and 
Greens that approved the decision to participate. 
"The Federal Government has not easily taken the decision 
that, for the first time since World War II, there are German 
soldiers in an operational mission," Schröder said. But "our 
fundamental values of freedom, democracy and human rights" were 
being flouted in Kosovo, he said. 
Just seven years ago, at the start of the Bosnian war, 
Joschka Fischer, then a Green member of Parliament, opposed any 
Western military intervention or deployment of German forces in 
Bosnia. But Germany eventually played a role, in the air and on the 
ground, in the United Nations peace-keeping force in Bosnia. As 
the Foreign Minister since October, Fischer has argued passionately 
for the West's responsibility to stop Serbian aggression in Kosovo. 
Daniel Cohn-Bendit, a Green colleague of Fischer and a 
fellow militant in the revolutionary struggles of the 1960's, said 
Bosnia had "simply transformed" the way the Foreign Minister 
approached the question of the use of force. 
Still, the German participation in air raids on Yugoslavia is 
potentially explosive, for it will confirm every dark Serbian 
suspicion about the West. If there has been a single obsession in 
Serbian policy this century, it has been to prevent what Belgrade 
sees as German expansionism in the Balkans. 
"We are not ready to make a distinction between the bombs 
of Adolf Hitler from 1941 and the bombs of NATO," Vuk 
Draskovic, the Yugoslavian Deputy Prime Minister, said. 
Strong German support for Croatian independence 
from Yugoslavia, and Croatia's adoption of the hymn "Danke 
Deutschland" when that independence came in 1991, only 
reinforced Serbian misgivings. 
The last time NATO bombed in the Balkans -- hitting 
Serbian positions around Sarajevo in 1995 -- the action prompted a 
response very similar to Draskovic's Thursday. 
"By its length, this bombardment is even more brutal than 
the bombardment conducted by Hitler on April 6, 1941, on 
Belgrade, given the fact that Hitler's bombardment was stopped on 
April 8, 1941, to allow the burial of victims under Christian 
custom," Gen. Ratko Mladic, then the commander of Serbian forces 
in Bosnia, wrote to a Western general. 
With 2,500 German troops now in Bosnia, and another 
3,000 in Macedonia, the possibility of some Serbian 

[PEN-L:4546] Re: Re: Protest against the Bombing

1999-03-25 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Although I am in large agreement  with Barkley's post (there are 
several other matters on which I do disagree), I think the comment 
below is quite factually wrong.  Whereas Serbian and Croatian are 
for the most part very similar (or at least were until Tudjman began 
to change the language so that it no longer resembled Serbian) as 
are, I believe, Macedonian and Bulgarian, Slovenian is quite 
different though related.  Slovenians do not understand Serbian or 
vice versa.  Only about 40-50 per cent of the words are the same.  
For instance, the word for worker in Serbo-Croat is 'radnik', in 
Slovenian 'delavec'; onion in S-C is 'luk', in Slov it is 'cebula' (to give 
two examples where the words are totally unrelated.)  Furthermore, 
the Slovenes have a different grammar involving not only singular 
and plural but also 'dual'.  Newscasts on Slovenian TV orginating in 
Zagreb or Belgrade usually are subtitled simply because many 
Slovenes don't understand Serbo-Croat. And so on.

I also believe Barkley's figures on income disparities are wrong.  In 
the 1950s the ratio of Slovenia to Kosovo was closer to 15 to one 
and declined up to the 1980s to the area of 5 to 1 before increasing 
again as the decentalization of economic powers and the decline of 
national economic policy increased the regionalization of the 
Yugoslav economy.  Furthermore, the autonomy of Kosovo had 
lead the Albanians to set up their own schools which specialized in 
Albanian culture and language to the detriment of technical and 
scientific studies.  (Also I have been told when I was there in the 
late 1980s shortly before the breakup, but can not verify, that there 
was strong islamic opposition to educating female students 
particularly in practical or work-related areas.)  The lack of 'human 
capital' made it very difficult to invest in economic development 
despite the large funds made available to Kosovo through the Fund 
for the Faster Development of Less Developed Regions.  As a 
result, taxes transfered primarily from Slovenia and Croatia to 
Kosovo for economic development projects was largely wasted in 
projects that never became operational or were absorbed in 
massive cultural white elephants such as the national library in 
Pristina.  The autonomy of Kosovo prevented the Serb or 
Yugoslavian governments from planning these investments in any 
way that could be integrated into a national development strategy.  
Meanwhile, the Albanians had been practicing an ongoing and 
quite vicious process of ethnic cleansing of Serbs from Kosovo.  It 
is interesting that, in the name of preventing ethnic cleansing, the 
US is giving military aid to the greatest ethnic cleansing operation 
in the history of Yugoslavia.

By the way, isn't it time to begin the real impeachment of Bill 
Clinton for real 'high crimes and misdemeanors'?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba



From:   "J. Barkley Rosser, Jr." [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Copies to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:4539] Re: Protest against the Bombing
Date sent:  Thu, 25 Mar 1999 16:27:47 -0500
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

  OK, sigh, I guess I'll get into this one, although
 I view it as pretty murky and not an easy call, although
 I think that ultimately this bombing is a mistake and
 could well lead to a really ugly mess.  I hope not.
  But let's get some of the history right for starters:
snip  
Although Slovenian,
 Serbo-Croatian, Macedonian, and Bulgarian are officially
 viewed as distinct languages, it is a fact that somebody can
 manage just fine with Bulgarian in Slovenia, and that one can
 walk from Varna, Bulgaria on the Black Sea to the northwest
 corner of Slovenia without ever encountering a linguistic
 discontinuity or divide.  These "languages" are artifices of
 governments and higher level entities.







[PEN-L:4555] Re: RE: Protest against the Bombing

1999-03-25 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Date sent:  Thu, 25 Mar 1999 22:47:59 -0500
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED], "Pen-L" [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:4552] RE: Protest against the Bombing
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Max Sawicky wrote:
 
 The fundamental question is whether the lives of many innocent people are
 under immediate, deadly threat at the hands of the Serbs.
 
 Sure they are, but so are the lives of many other innocent people all over
 the place - Kurds, at the hands of Turkey for example, where the casualties
 have been far greater. But Turkey, being a NATO member and a loyal stooge
 of the United States, gets a free ride. Africa is a goddamn "humanitarian
 catastrophe," to use the phrase I keep hearing on TV, and the U.S. won't
 even forgive its debts. These rescue missions are very selective, aren't
 they? Clinton doesn't have a strategy, or a foreign policy really; he's
 alienated the Russians seriously, and has no idea what NATO's doing in the
 former Yugoslavia. I don't even think there's any grand imperial design
 behind this.
 
 Clinton's dropped more bombs than Reagan by now, right?
 
 Doug
 

Doug,

Do you have any count of how many innocent people have died that 
can be accredited to the current US administration?  1 million in 
Iraq,  x thousands in Mexico and Latin America, up to now 50,000 
to 100,000 in the Balkans with the number escalating daly,...?

Let's have a contest.  The person who can document the most 
deaths to US foreign policy in the last 8 years gets a ?  An 
apology for honesty?  Hey, thats a contest.  What should they win?

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba







[PEN-L:4554] Re: Need NATO strikes Against US

1999-03-25 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Right on Jim,

And I wonder if many on this list has thought of the gender 
implications of US support for the KLA separatists?  I think they 
should have a close look at Afghanastan.  Do women on this list 
really want to support this kind of islamic nationalism?  If you have 
any doubts about the effect of US policy in separating Kosovo from 
'progressive' Yugoslavia, take a drive between Skopje and Ohrid in 
Macedonia, and look at the 8 foot fences that imprison the women 
so that they can not be seen by men.  The Serbs always opposed 
this kind of imprisonment of women, despite their chauvinist ways.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba


From:   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date sent:  Thu, 25 Mar 1999 22:38:28 EST
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:4551] Need NATO strikes Against US
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 It is all really too much, Nightly specials with Norman Schwarkopf as a pundit
 on an NBC Special. And all the sanitized photos showing destruction from a
 high-tech distance and all "our boys" came home.
 
 If imminent destruction of whole peoples is the criterion for launching NATO
 strikes, then there is genocide going on all over America and Canada. It is
 calculated, premeditated, there are big interests and profits at stake, the
 only difference is the methods of extermination and the time periods involved.
 Notice no reference to history except some cliche about these emnities go far
 back in history. For example, during the nazi occupations, who was who in
 terms of degree of alliance with or resistance to nazi rule.
 
 And of course no reference to the role of Cold War machinations and intrigues
 in nurthering and exacerbating historical enmnities and contradictions. 
 
 And that there is a real possibility that forces allied in NATO with their own
 histories and presents of responsibility for genocide supposedly allied to
 stop genocide--not in Rwanda or Cambodia or Chile or Guatamala or Indonesia or
 on Indian Reserves/Reservations or in many many other places, times and
 instruments of genocide.
 
 Henry Kissinger with a Nobel Peace Prize is like Ted Bundy with a NOW award or
 Himmler with a B'nai Brith Award.
 
 And as usual, the victims suffer the unimaginable having become imaginable
 suffering and death with sanitized glimpses of the suffering and death
 squeezed neatly in the media between the Budweiser frogs and Valtrex for those
 nasty herpes reminders from the 60s.
 
 Jim C
 






[PEN-L:4494] (Fwd) NO U.S./NATO BOMBING OF YUGOSLAVIA!

1999-03-23 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]


--- Forwarded Message Follows ---
Date sent:  Tue, 23 Mar 1999 15:52:41 -0800
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Sid Shniad [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:NO U.S./NATO BOMBING OF YUGOSLAVIA!

From: "iacenter" [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Tue, 23 Mar 1999 17:25:41 -0500
Subject: Demo, NYC, SF Against NATO Bombing

International Action Center
39 West 14th Street, #206
New York, NY 10011
212-633-6646  fax 212-633-2889
http://www.iacenter.org
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


March 23, 1999

Attention: Assignment Editor
Press Contact: Brian Becker Deirdre Sinnott
For: Immediate Release

Demonstration on Wednesday, March 24 in NYC Demands:
NO U.S./NATO BOMBING OF YUGOSLAVIA!

Anti-war protesters will gather at Grand Central Station 
(42nd Street and Park Avenue) at 5 p.m. on Wednesday, 
March 24 to protest the illegal bombing of Yugoslavia by 
U.S./NATO forces and the proposed occupation.  A 
simultaneous demonstration will take place in San 
Francisco, Minneapolis, Claremont, and other cities in the 
United States.  

The demonstration is called by the International Action 
Center (IAC), which was initiated by former U.S. Attorney 
General Ramsey Clark. IAC spokesperson Sara Flounders 
issued the following statement about the political 
orientation of the anti-war protests:

"U.S. soldiers and pilots are again being asked to kill 
and be killed in a far away land.  The Milosevic 
government of Yugoslavia has been demonized as akin to 
Adolf Hitler.  Make no mistake about it, this is simply a 
pretext to justify military aggression against a sovereign 
country.  The U.S. has earlier demonized Saddam Hussein in 
Iraq and Manuel Noriega in Panama to justify U.S. military 
aggression in those countries.

"The real issue, however, in all of these wars of 
aggression is that the U.S. military and economic 
establishment wanted to dominate these strategic areas.  
Is Yugoslavia invading and bombing the people of the 
United States?  No.  The people of Yugoslavia are the 
victims.

"What makes the U.S. government propaganda more absurd is 
that it claims that it must bomb Yugoslavia to defend the 
rights of a national minority people_the Albanians in 
Kosovo.  If one wants to defend the rights of national 
minority people from police brutality and abuse, you don't 
have to go thousands of miles away.  The shooting of 
Amadou Diallo in NYC is just the tip of the iceberg.  
African American, Latino, Native, Arab, and Asian people 
are routinely the victims of racism, discrimination, and 
police terror inside the United States.  Everyone should 
ask themselves, `Is it possible for a government that 
violates the rights of its own national minority peoples 
at home to pursue a policy of freedom and equality for 
national minority peoples on other continents?'

"The Yugoslav government is resisting the demands by the 
U.S. and NATO to dismember its country.  The same 
governments that constitute NATO imperialism are the ones 
that have funneled arms and funds to the so-called Kosovo 
Liberation Army and before them, ultra-right wing forces 
who initiated the civil war in Croatia, Slovenia, and 
Bosnia.  The responsibility for every person who dies in 
the planned bombing of Yugoslavia_be they Serb, Kosovar, 
or U.S. GIs_falls directly on the doorstep of the Clinton 
Administration and the generals in the Pentagon."

  --30--






[PEN-L:4258] Re: Slovakia and the Czech Republic

1999-03-09 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

"Prague, 17December 1998 (RFE/RL) by Jolyon Naegele

CZECH REPUBLIC: ECONOMY WORSENS AS GDP 
CONTINUES TO DROP

The Czech Republic's economic difficulties, which began some 20 
months ago, are worsening.  The Czeck Statistical Office reported 
this week that during the third quarter of this year gross domestic 
product shrank by 2.9 percent and that for the fist nine months of 
the year, GDP dropped by 2.1 percent compared with the same 
periods last year.

In the words of Prime Minister Milos Zeman, "we are falling into an 
abyss."  He blames the policies of the two previous govers of 
Vaclav Klaus and Josef Tosovsky.  Zeman dismisses Klaus' much 
touted privatization as "fiction" and say virtually no real privatization 
has occurred.  He told the progovernment daily Pravo yesterday his 
cabinet needs nine months of calm without criticsim to enable it to 
start turning the economy around.

(full article at 
http://www.rferl.org/nca/features/1998/12/F.RU.981217142836.html 
)

Paul Phillips,
Economics, 
University of Manitoba

Date sent:  Sun, 07 Mar 1999 22:30:32 -0800
From:   Peter Dorman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Pen-L [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:4208] Slovakia and the Czech Republic
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 I just finished reading the piece by Timothy Garton Ash on Central
 Europe in the most recent New York Review.  Most of it is a rumination
 on the meaning of "Central Europe" (and a mild critique of Samuel
 Huntington), but along the way he tells a story about Slovakia, its fall
 and redemption.  I have no love, of course, for the ethnic chauvinism
 and authoritarianism of Meciar, but it seems to me that Garton Ash
 seriously misrepresents the economic realities of Slovakia and the Czech
 Republic.  He lists "genuine free market economics" as one of his
 criteria of virtue, so perhaps this should come as no surprise.
 
 My understanding is that Garton Ash is wrong about both countries. 
 Slovakia, according to most accounts, is muddling through economically. 
 It is undergoing a slow, uneven transition toward a market economy, with
 enterprises gradually becoming more professionally managed.  It has
 respectable economic growth, and seems to be proceeding at approximately
 the same rate as Hungary (especially if one excludes Budapest).  I'm not
 endorsing this approach to transition, of course, simply placing
 Slovakia within the spectrum of CEE transitioners.
 
 The Czech Republic, on the other hand, is a disaster zone. 
 Pseudo-privatization has given the cronyklatura a corrupt grip on
 enterprises, few of which have even begun to transform themselves.  The
 combination of abrupt openness in trade and finance, along with the
 failure of transformation, has created a gaping hole in the current
 account.  The crisis has been delayed due to the absence of initial
 external debt in 1989 (perhaps the only positive bequest from the
 Stalinist era) and large tourism receipts in Prague, but as foreign
 exchange disappears the moment of reckoning draws imminent.  (The Czech
 economy is already in a recession, alone in central Europe, that marks
 just the first stage in a painful process of current account
 adjustment.)  This is terrible news for the people of the Czech
 Republic, of course, but it also casts a shadow over conventional views
 of that country and its figurehead, Vaclav Havel.  If this description
 is accurate, the Czech miracle is a sham, and the philosopher-king
 presides over a Potemkin economy of charlatans and kleptocrats.
 
 So: is this in fact a fair description of where Slovakia and the Czech
 Republic stand today?  And if so, how to explain the acquiescence of not
 only Garton Ash, but nearly all journalists, academics, and officials of
 international agencies, in a fraudulent story that will be smashed
 sometime within the next year or so?
 
 Peter
 






[PEN-L:4183] Re: Re: Re: circularities

1999-03-05 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

In Canada, and I believe in the US, the 1st WW was the impetus to 
the prohibition movement.  Women left the labour market in droves 
following the war leaving the situtation in circa 1920 more or less 
as it was in 19 13.  Space for women only opened up after the 2nd 
WW.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba
 In the case of women's suffrage, if I remember correctly, a big push
 was given by WWI.  German brewers here employed lots of women, and
 (therefore) also funded anti-suffrage campaigns.  WWI knocked out the
 brewers, opening up space for the women.
 
 
 Bill
 






[PEN-L:3767] Re: Re: Re: Re: Serbia

1999-02-23 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Barkley,
  I know you trace the problem back to the 89 elimination of 
Kosovo's autonomy and to Milosivic's policies, but I do think that is 
something of an oversimplification.  I was in Yugoslavia around that 
time staying with the senior civil servant in the Slovenian foreign 
affairs department and I can remember a long 3 hour discussion 
over what was happening in Kosovo and in Serbia and in 
Yugoslavia during the accellerating economic crisis and the impact 
on the other republics in the federation.  Also at issue was the 
federal fund for the development of the lesser developed regions -- 
the last major redistribution fund for regional development which 
was one of the grievances that Slovenia and Croatia had with the 
federation -- they were big net contributors of many of the funds 
going to Kosovo and there were all sorts of allegations of 
misallocation of the funds by the Kosovan authorities (e.g. the 
building of the huge, ornate though quite beautiful, library in 
Pristina) rather than it going into economic development.  That is, 
the fund was being used for nationalist monuments rather than 
development.
  My own investigation into the fund and the development planning 
in Kosovo indicated two things -- that the federal fund, because of 
the principle of self-management and the autonomy of Kosovo, 
could not determine the use of the funds and, secondly, that the 
Kosovan economic planners had little or no conception of 
development planning and I found little evidence that they could in 
fact allocate the funds in a rational or developmental manner.
  Secondly, of course, the Tito constitution had deliberately 
established a concensus machinery such that Serbia could not 
take any action without the approval of Kosovo which was blocking 
Serbia's attempt to deal with the crisis -- an attempt that to my 
mind was wrongheaded and doomed to failure in any case.  
Milosevic used this as the reason for ending the autonomy which it 
also did with Vojvodina with little or no similar opposition.  
Milosevic was also being pushed in a nationalist direction by Seselj 
and Draskovic on the right-nationalist side of the spectrum.  This is 
not to say that Milosevic was right or that he is a nice guy -- 
merely that his actions were propelled by the economic and 
political crisis engineered by the IMF, Germany and the US.

However, all that is not the point of my critique of Green.  Rather it 
is his claim that the KLA represents the revolutionary  working-
class trying to overthrow the fascist imperialists.  As you well 
know, the albanian nationalists are hardly the bastion of 
progressivism, particularly with respect to women's rights.  In any 
case, it appears that a deal has been reached but I do hope that 
any peacekeeping force is not a NATO one but rather a UN or 
contact group force including Russian troups.  But that I gather is 
yet to be negotiated.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba
 Paul,
  As you well know, I respect your knowledge of the situation in
 Yugoslavia, both current and former.  I find myself very much at odds over
 the current situation.  I do not like the idea of US troops in Kosovo.  I
 agree with you that there has been a long term demographic shift with a
 political/ethnic push behind it by the Albanian/Kosovars to push out the
 Serbian/Kosovars, something which may continue in Macedonia.  I am also
 aware that the ethnic Serbs have done some pretty awful things to the ethnic
 Albanians in the region, and that much of the current situation, including
 over all of the former Yugoslavia, stems from Slobodan Milosevic's removal
 of autonomy from Kosovo in 1989.
  It would be great to go back to Tito or perhaps some time in the 1980s
 and undo all that has happened since and "do it right."  But that is no
 longer possible.   Humpty Dumpty is now on the ground all in pieces.  If you
 were the king, how would you put him back together again?  Or more simply,
 what would you propose as the best possible policy strategy by the EU, the
 US, Russia, and the Yugoslav leadership at this point in time.  Various list
 members would propose a working class revolution, which might be nice, but I
 am not holding my breath on that one either.
   BTW, Henry Kissinger, of all people, just published a column in
 yesterday's Washington Post criticizing the proposed entry of US troops into
 Kosovo.
 Barkley Rosser
 -Original Message-







[PEN-L:3714] Re: Re: Re: Race as a construct

1999-02-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

It was interesting -- I was teaching the difference between systemic 
and statistical discrimination today in my IR class and I was 
talking about discrimination based on perceived differences in 
group behaviour affecting the individual (statistical discrimination) 
ane related Peter's story of the treatment of his 'black' student vis a 
vis her biological brother who appeared 'white'.  Immediately, two of 
my 'mixed parentage' students volunteered the same experience.  
One was a women of Chilean parentage (political refugees) who , 
as she put it, couldn't even get a tan when she tried in the summer, 
and her dark skinned brother, who was discriminated against.  The 
other was an (I think Eurasian) female student who has a brother 
who looks totally 'white'.  As she put it, she couldn't look 'white' no 
matter what she did and as a result was discriminated against 
because of her 'colour' while her brother faced no such 
discrimination.
  I think this gave my class a particularly good teaching experience 
today -- at least I was on a high -- because they really began to 
understand the meaning that 'race' (and gender) is a social 
construct, not a biological one.  It always brings to mind the 
quotation from Andy Friedman's book on the UK auto industry -- 
that racism and sexism was not invented by managers, but that 
they just use it to divide and conquer the working class.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba
 Charles Brown wrote:
  
 Skin color, hair texture and facial features are genetically determined in part, 
but they do not correlate with "humanity" "soulfulness", morality, "savagery", 
criminality, or intelligence, et al., as racists have asserted for hundreds of years.
 
 They (skin color, hair texture and facial features) don't even correlate
 with *themselves*.  There are no "races" biologically.
 
 Peter Dorman
 






[PEN-L:3715] Re: Re: Serbia

1999-02-22 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

First let me say I have some sympathy with John's position on 
Serbia/Kosovo.  I can not say the same about Joseph's who 
appears to be totally ignorant of what has been going on in the area 
and what are the global involvements.  He appears to be parrotting 
Ms. Albright and the Pentagon to an amazing degree.  Has he ever 
been to Kosovo?  Has he ever walked the streets and the back 
lanes of Pristina?  Has he ever talked with the economic planners 
and academics of Kosovo (Kosovars, not Serbs)?  Has he ever 
been hugged and honoured by working kosovars (restaurant 
workers)?  Well, I have, and what he says is nonsense and a 
betrayal of the working class, the kind of 'impossibilist' rhetoric that 
has held back the left in America for generations.

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba





   I don't have much time, but I should clarify a few things. 
 
   First off, I am not hewing to the trot line of "military but not
 political support," or some such thing.  You're right that I should
 clarify this, because there IS a great deal of slander directed against
 the Kosovars on the far left these days.  (By the same token, there is a
 lot of nonsense on the liberal left, which several years ago was holding
 up the government of the Islamic fundamentalist, Alija Izetbegovic, as
 some kind of last holdout of multicultural democracy and pluralistic
 tolerance.)  I was involved in an exchange on the Marxism List some months
 ago in which I criticized Diana Johnstone's CAQ piece as soft on Serbian
 chauvinism.  This is a problem on the radical left, and my hunch is that
 you place special emphasis on things like Kosovo because you are trying to
 go after some of the prejudices of the left when it comes to regimes like
 this.  Both you and your comrade Ben Seattle have produced some
 interesting stuff in this vein. 
 
   All of this said, I must insist that my comparison of Kosovo with
 "plucky little Belgium" does not constitute "slander."  To say that the
 Kosovar struggle is being manipulated by the Western powers for propaganda
 purposes does not constitute a denial of the oppression that the Kosovars
 are experiencing.  However, it does question the usefulness of stridently
 calling for "self-determination for Kosovo!" at a time when the Big Powers
 are preparing for war against Serbia. 
 
   You say that my strategy means abandoning Albanian villages to
 destruction.  I have to admit the grim reality that it does, just as
 opposing Allied intervention in World War I would have meant abandoning
 Serbia and Belgium to the tender mercies of the Central Powers.  It's
 cruel, but it involves a calculation that a full-scale war would be even
 worse. 
 
   Of course I am in favor of working-class unity and the
 encouragement of proletarian trends in the former Yugoslavia.  It's just
 that you haven't answered my question as to what exactly this would entail
 for leftists living in the United States.  Forgive any possible melodrama
 on my part, but what is to be done?
 
   Comradely, 
 
   John Lacny
 






[PEN-L:3602] Re: Serbia Article

1999-02-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]



centerboldcolorparam0100,0100,0100/paramFontFamilyparamC03 Swiss Roman 
10pt/paramSEEING YUGOSLAVIA THROUGH A DARK GLASS:/center

centerPolitics, Media and the Ideology of Globalization/center

/bold boldby Diana Johnstone/bold


boldDiana Johnstone/bold was the European editor of underlineIn These 
Times/underline 
from 1979 to 1990, and press officer of the Green group in the 
European Parliament from 1990 to 1996. She is the author of The 
Politics of Euromissiles: Europe in America's World (London/New 
York, Versa Schucken, 1984) and is currently working on a book 
on the former Yugoslavia. This article is an expended version of a 
talk given on May 25, 1998, at an international conference on 
media held in Athens, Greece.

center* * */center


Years of experience in and out of both mainstream and 
alternative media have made me aware of the power of the 
dominant ideology to impose certain interpretations on international 
news. During the cold War, most world news for American 
consumption had to be framed as part of the Soviet-U.S. contest. 
Since then, a new ideological bias frames the news. The way the 
violent fragmentation of Yugoslavia has been reported is the most 
stunning example.

I must admit that it took me some time to figure this out, even 
though I had a long-standing interest in and some knowledge of 
Yugoslavia. I spent time there as a student in 1953, living in a 
Belgrade dormitory and learning the language. In 1984., in a piece 
for "In These Times", I warned that extreme decentralization, 
conflicting economic interests between the richer and poorer 
regions, austerity policies imposed by the IMF, and the decline of 
universal ideals were threatening Yugoslavia with "re-Balkanization" 
in the wake of Tito's death and desanctification. "Local ethnic 
interests are reasserting themselves". I wrote, "The danger is that 
these rival local interests may become involved in the rivalries of 
outside powers. This is how the Balkans in the past were a powder 
keg of world war." Writing this took no special clairvoyance. The 
danger of Yugoslavia's disintegration was quite obvious to all 
serious observers well before Slobodan Milosevic arrived on the 
scene.

As the country was torn apart in the early nineties, I was 
unable to keep up with all that was happening. In those years, my 
job as press officer for the Greens in the European Parliament left 
me no time to investigate the situation myself. Aware that there 
were serious flaws in the way media and politicians were reacting. I 
wrote an article warning against combating "nationalism" by taking 
sides for one nationalism against another, and against judging a 
complex situation by analogy with totally different times and 
places. "Every nationalism stimulates others". I noted, "Historical 
analogies should be drawn with caution and never allowed to 
obscure the facts." However, there was no stopping the tendency 
to judge the Balkans, about which most people knew virtually 
nothing, by analogy with Hitler Germany, about which people at 
least imagined they knew a lot, and which enabled analysis to be 
rapidly abandoned in favour of moral certitude and righteous 
indignation.

However, it was only later, when I was able to devote 
considerable time to my own research, that I realized the extent of 
the deception-which is in large part self-deception.

I mention all this to stress that I understand the immense 
difficulty of gaining a clear view of the complex situation in the 
Balkans. The history of the region and the interplay of internal 
political conflicts and external influences would be hard to grasp 
even without propaganda distortions. Nobody can be blamed for 
being confused. Moreover, by now, many people have invested so 
much emotion in a one-sided view of the situation that they are 
scarcely able to consider alternative interpretations.

It is not necessarily because particular journalists or media are 
"alternative" that they are free from the dominant interpretation and 
the dominant world view. In fact, in the case of the Yugoslav 
tragedy, the irony is that "alternative" or "left" activists and writers 
have - frequently taken the lead in likening the Serbs, the people 
who most wanted to continue to live in multi-cultural Yugoslavia, to 
Nazi racists, and in calling for military intervention on behalf of 
ethnically defined secessionist movementssmaller1FontFamilyparamC03 Swiss Roman 
08pt/paramsmallersmaller1bigger "Ethnically defined" because, despite the 
argument accepted by the international community that it was the Republics that could 
invoke the right to secede, all the political arguments surrounding recognition of 
independent Slovenia and Croatia dwelt on 
the right of Slovenes and Croats as such to self-determination.FontFamilyparamC03 
Swiss Roman 10pt/parambigger - all supposedly in the name of "multi-cultural 
Bosnia", a country 

[PEN-L:3601] Re: Serbia

1999-02-20 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

I must say I agree with Louis on Serbia/Kosova.  In fact, I would go 
further and suggest that supporting Kosovar independence is to 
support a new American and German imperialism.  This is outlined 
in a very long article that I will send as a separate post (so that 
those who are not interested or who have to scan through the 
article before they exit can delete before they open it.)

Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba






[PEN-L:3582] Re: Serbia

1999-02-19 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Tom, 
I don't remember exactly when the crisis was but I think your 
characterization of the post-crisis events as an Albanian invasion is 
not quite accurate.  The KLA is, to the best of my knowledge, 
made up of native 'Serbians' -- ethnic Albanians who have lived for 
generations in the Serbian province of Kosovo (which they have 
been in the process of ethnic cleansing of native ethnic Serbs for 
decades.)  What the riots and crisis in Albania did produce was 
raids on police and army bases resulting in the seizure of large 
volumes of sophisticated arms which have been smuggled into 
Kosovo to arm the KLA and which has allowed the KLA to mount a 
fairly effective guerrilla campaign against the Yugoslav police and 
army in Kosovo.  I think it is highly likely that if the KLA succeeds 
(with military and political aid from the US and NATO) the process 
will repeat itselft in the western part of Macedonia where ethnic 
Albanians are gradually cleansing the area of Macedonians (slavs) 
and which is also coveted as a part of 'greater Albania' by the 
Albanians.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba

 Pen-L,
 
 Does anyone recall in what month and year the Albanian stock
 market(ponzi scheme) collapsed?  I'm pretty sure it was two or three
 years ago---anyone remember the exact month and year.
 
 Next question does anyone see a connection between the Albanian stock
 market collapse and the Albanian invasion of Serbia?
 
 Your email pal,
 
 Tom L.
 






[PEN-L:3529] Re: Re: Canadian Budget

1999-02-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Sam, you asked in your previous post if John Loxley, Cho!ses and 
the CCPA put out an alternative budget this year.  The answer is 
yes and they did meet with martin prior to his issuing of the budget 
but, as usual, he paid little attention to the AFT.  The AFT was 
released at press conferences across Canada, including 
Vancouver, two or three weeks before Martin's fiasco.
Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba

Sam wrote:
 I forgot to add that the Finance minister will _not_ be making the usual
 post-budget bum-sniffing tour of Wall Street to ensure Moody's and
 Salomon Bros. that everything is eh-o.k.  As already noted on the list,
 the gov't has increased CPP premiums and has been covering the budget
 deficit using the surplus resulting from the massive cuts in
 unemployment insurance eligibility.
 
 SP
 






[PEN-L:3427] Re: Re: Re: Canada (Ken)

1999-02-15 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Date sent:  Mon, 15 Feb 1999 22:28:24 -0600
From:   Ken Hanly [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:3424] Re: Re: Canada (Ken)


Now here is something I can agree with and heartfully endorse.  
Traditionally the social democrats have relied on regulation of 
capital as their method of  control.  This is why foreign ownership 
was so difficult -- it put capital beyond their regulatory grasp -- but 
also made foreign ownership an important issue (as it still is).  
Ken, however,  has laid out the issue succinctly.

 I don't think that it is altogether true that social welfare programs were
 brought in
 to serve contingent ruling class interests. If that were so why did the ruling
 class consistently oppose progressive measures every step of the way? Minimum
 wages, UI and improvements to it, pensions, closed shop legislation, pay equity,
 you name it. While the welfare state
 may have saved capital from even more radical demands and staved off
 revolutionary demands, the welfare state was more or less forced upon the ruling
 class. Surely Capital railed against the welfare state, and enlisted all its
 legions of flacks and PR people to try to
 defeat those promoting the welfare state every step of the way. The welfare
 state was a
 great victory for the working class.
 The ruling class didnt suddenly decide they didnt need the welfare state any
 more--although the
 disintegration of actually existing socialism may have been a factor in
 precipating the assault
 against the welfare state. In my view the welfare state was a feature of the
 Social Structures
 of Accumulation of what has been called the Golden Age of Capitalism...
 Burgeoning debt,
  problems in maintaining adequate levels of capital accumulation, plus many
 other factors
 such as increased global competition among capitals, the growth of the Asian
 tigers, etc.
 led to Capital's forceful attack on the welfare state.
 You are right the constellation of class forces has changed in that
 global capital
 has the upper hand at them moment. However, not all struggles against cutbacks
 and attacks
 by capital have failed. If anything the greatest failure has been with social
 democratic parties
 who have sacrificed any pretense of being the leaders in the counter-atttack
 against global
 capital and are bending over backwards to show that they are "responsible" i.e.
 they will
 kiss corporate ass just as well as any old-line party or as in the UK and NZ and
 I guess OZ too
 actually leading the way for global capitalism.
 The welfare state is not gone. Its reduced. If there had been no
 struggle the situation would be much worse than it. The left may think that all
 is lost but the right knows damn well that the welfare state is still popular.
 There are plenty of aging conservative voters in
 Manitoba. Prior to an election here the Conservatives are pumping money back
 into our health care system--after savage cuts of course. They know, and the
 polls show them this,
 that people want the health care system and want it improved. While the social
 democrats
 in power in the province next door refuse to pay nurses a decent wage and do
 away entirely with the provincial pharamacare plan, the Conservative govt. in
 Manitoba is pumping
 more money into the system and contented itself with raising the kick-in limits
 in the pharamacare plan.
 The game plan. I grant you the proper game plan for a revolution doesnt
 seem clear.
 At least in advanced capitalist societies, revolution doesnt seem to be on the
 agenda for the moment. This doesn't mean that capital cannot be opposed though.
 I will
 concentrate upon issues not specifically directed to gay and lesbian rights,
 aboriginal or race
 issues, or the quesion of  separatism.
 Oppose privatisation of all kinds. Some opposition to privatisation has
 been successful
 and any widespread opposition will make governments provincial or otherwise to
 think twice
 about trying it. Although provincial govt. here privatised the provincial phone
 company there
 was a great deal of opposition and the govt. lost a lot of support. They have
 not moved to privatise
 Manitoba Hydro or the auto insurance monopoly.
 Privatisation of hte phone company gave  a perfect opportunity for the
 NDP to have as a plank that they would take the phone company back into the
 public sector. If they have such a plank, they certainly
 have been mighty quiet about it. The NDP should be pressing for privatised firms
 to be taken back into the public sector. Again no bloody leadership, rather the
 NDP goes with the flow
 doing some privatisation itself as in Saskatchewan where the public road
 construction sector
 was privatised. In Saskatchewan though there is still a publicly owned bus
 company providing service throughout the province. SaskPower still controls gas
 

[PEN-L:3329] Biker Buddy

1999-02-13 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

I apologize to Bill if I misinterpreted his initial comment but his 
comment "I don't have too much of a problem arguing against 
helmet laws" implied to me that he opposed helmet laws -- i.e. 
supported Biker Buddy's position.  I am glad to see that he, in fact, 
supports helmet legislation.

1.  I too am skeptical of the biker argument that helmets increase 
medical costs.  In Manitoba where I (and Ken) live we have 
mandatory public (non-profit) auto and bike insurance.  The public 
insurer has strongly supported helmet legislation on the grounds 
that it reduces the cost of insurance to everyone.  In this it has 
been supported most vociferously by doctors who have had to treat 
what they consider to be needless head injuries.  Since they are 
either salaried doctors or paid by medicare, they have no monetary 
interest in supporting helmet laws.

2.  The victims of head injuries are not just the bikers themselves.  
If you know anyone who was involved in an accident in which 
someome else was killed or seriously injured whether or not the 
accident was his/her fault, you will know the anguish and pain 
suffered for years and years, often for a lifetime, by the person.  It 
is even worse when the death or serious injury could have been 
easily prevented by the simple act of wearing a helmet.

3.  I do not buy the parallel with forcing people to eat broccoli etc or 
banning liquor or tobacco consumption as some have suggested to 
me off-list.  First of all, we do try to compensate, in part, for the 
costs of tobacco and liquor in our health costs by "sin taxes" 
which are paid *only by those that indulge*. And indeed, in the 
case of tobacco, restrictions on its use are becoming more and 
more common -- e.g. at the University of Manitoba, smoking is 
banned in most if not all the buildings. This is true also of all 
government buildings and in all stores.  In some Canadian cities, 
smoking is also banned in restaurants.  Nor is this just in Canada. 
The alternative to helmet laws would be to charge an insurance 
surcharge to bikers who refuse to wear helmets but the cost of 
enforcement might be prohibitive, or the cost of the insurance might 
then be prohibitive.  That still would not compensate the 'innocent 
victim' in 2 above.

Further, driving/riding is not a necessity or a basic human right -- it 
is subject to certain rules -- that you have a valid drivers licence; 
that if you eyesight is impaired, that you wear corrective lenses; 
that your vehicle meets certain safety standards; that your vehicle 
is equipt with certain safety and environmental protection devices, 
etc.  Helmets can be seen as just one of those safety protection 
devices.

  Ya it is not as important an issue as poverty and starvation, but it 
is easier and relatively costless to solve.

Anyhow, this is the last I will post on this issue.






[PEN-L:3288] Re: Re: Biker buddy... sorta...

1999-02-11 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Bill Lear writes:

 I don't have too much of a problem arguing against helmet laws.  My
 take is that if a person does not hurt another person, then they are
 free to hurt themselves and the state should not regulate that
 behavior --- if it can be shown that not wearing helmets poses a
 threat to others, no red-blooded American should protest efforts to
 curb the harm.  My guess is that helmet laws and seat-belt laws were
 done at the behest of insurance companies, not a cadre of
 pajama-wearing socialists.
 
Well I do have a problem.  We have banned helmetless riders 
because of the selfish cost they impose upon others.  Cyclists 
without  helmets cause an enourmous extra cost to the insurance 
system that is passed on to other sensible drivers/riders.  It is the 
equivalent of arguing for the elimination of laws against drunk 
driving because the cost such idiots cause end up being passed on 
to others and, in our case, to the health system which must be 
paid by everyone.  I am all in favour of individual freedom -- up to 
the point that it begins to destroy other, innocent people's freedom. 
 Helmet and seatbelt laws are the beginning of freedom for others 
on the road.

It is sentiments like that of BigWayne that makes me question the 
rationality of American discourse.  That Bill Lear supports it makes 
me sad and despondent!

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba






[PEN-L:3287] Re: Re: Ernest Mandel on long waves

1999-02-11 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Jim writes: 
 It doesn't negate the swing interpretation as much as provide and apply an
 alternative framework. (To recap: I interpret the history of the 20th
 century -- including the 1930s Collapse -- in terms of aggressive
 accumulation causing overinvestment crises that appear in different forms
 depending on the institutional framework that exists at the time.

Aha!  I agree  and this is the point of the SSA/RT approach

Some of
 institutional framework part gets close to long-wave thinking, in that one
 can point to alternation of labor-abundant and labor-scarce periods, but I
 don't see how bringing in "swings" helps in any way. On the other hand, I
 can't see the international environment of capitalist nations struggling
 for (and sometimes winning) hegemony as behaving in a swing-like manner.

I have never seen this as part of the long wave approach.

 Goldstein's book on long cycles treats the hegemony stages as complementary
 to long swings, rather than reducing those stages to those swings.) 
 
 Nor am I convinced by 
 the Glick/Brenner criticism though I haven't looked at that stuff 
 recently.  Further, the French Regulation school involves a number 
 of writers, all of whom are not on the same wave length.  
 
 ... as it were. 
 
 But what I 
 appreciate is their dialectic approach between accumulation 
 variables and institutional and power variables, something which is 
 also core to the SSA approach.  
 
 I also apply a dialectical perspective on these issues, though I put a much
 larger emphasis on the aggressiveness of capitalist accumulation, and how
 it progressively undermines even its own status quo. I think that its
 theoretical absence of this aggressiveness is a problem for both Regulation
 and SSA thought.
 

Why?  I see it as part.

 Boyer has some very interesting 
 and complex analysis that is very useful for heuristic purposes -- 
 students find it extremely interesting as a way of seeing the 
 processes of capitalism.  I find it particularly useful in teaching 
 economic history because students can understand a 'system' of 
 accumulation and the  relation with the state, labour, the farmers' 
 movement, imperialism, etc.  And, they can also understand the 
 contradictions that produce the depression, war and the rise of 
 Fordism etc.  In short, long swings give structure to periods of 
 economic history, periods of capitalist development.  
 
 I have used various stage and swing frameworks in teaching, including Louis
 Hacker's (not Proyect's) scheme from his TRIUMPH OF AMERICAN CAPITALISM. As
 far as pedagogy is concerned, I usually don't concentrate on debates among
 leftists, so that most schemata will do, especially as I reinterpret them. 
 
 But in terms of understanding the world, however, I have problems with much
 that has come out of the Regulation approach. Glick and Brenner's critique,
 which is empirical, is relevant here. Also, Regulation-influenced books
 like WHO BUILT AMERICA? volume II of the American Social History Project
 overemphasize ideas such as "welfare capitalism" in the 1920s, where the
 bosses controlled labor in a paternalistic way but provided all sorts of
 non-wage benefits. The research I've seen indicates that this was true of a
 relatively small percentage of corporations. Most companies took advantage
 of labor's weakness to drive workers to produce surplus-value in the
 old-fashioned way, with none of the paternalism.

Yea but I don't think this is representative of RT/SSA thinking -- at 
least not my thinking on the subject.  I think if you look at the 
literature on it, this period was one of experimenting with different 
ways of controlling labour, the fruit of which did not mature until the 
post-war period.  That, certainly is my understanding of G,ER and 
of my own research on the subject.  Of course, as a control 
strategy it could not prevail until war brought a new 'swing' of 
capital accumulation.
 
 And, despite 
 all, the swings are there in the statistics so how else do you 
 interpret them?
 
 I've found that if one starts with the prior conviction that swings appear
 in the data, one finds them. If one doesn't, one doesn't find them.
 Further, the main evidence for K-waves concerns prices, not real variables. 
 
I disagree.  For Kondratieff, yes prices.  For Shaik, profits.  For 
G,ER growth rates.  For my own research on Canadian data, 
growth rates are the best indicator though obvious discontinuities in 
institutional structure supplement.  (and which are significant in 
time series regressions.)

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba

 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html
 






[PEN-L:3085] Re: Re: Re: Re: Ernest Mandel on long waves

1999-02-09 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

Date sent:  Mon, 08 Feb 1999 11:37:26 -0800
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:   Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:3035] Re: Re: Re: Ernest Mandel on long waves
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Jim and Sam,

I think there is some confusion and misunderstanding about long 
wave/swing theory.  The term wave or swing was substituted for 
cycle precisely because of the debate over whether the process 
was sinusoidal (cyclical) or sigmoidal (series of  upswings followed 
by stagnations with different and non-endogeous causes).  As I 
understand Mandel, the upswing was induced by exogenous 
causes (technological change or more usually, war) while the 
stagnation phase was endogenous caused by the falling rate of 
profit a la Marx.
 
For the Schumpeterians, the upswing was caused by major 
innovations -- technological or market (e.g. imperialism/ change in 
labour process, etc.)  Others saw in it batches of invention 
accumulating until a critical mass was achieved at which the 
innovation of one brought a flood of new 
products/processes/technology unto the market promoting bursts 
of investment etc. (The  principle is that of the septic tank.)

Others (Forrester I think) approach it more, as I understand it, from 
the Sante Fe approach based on swings in capital formation, if I 
remember correctly, tied to long term infrastructure investment. (a 
kind of long term accelerator.)

Many of these are laid out in several issues of FUTURES Journal 
some years ago and collected in a book edited, if my memory 
serves me correctly, by Williamson.

However, I think the most useful variant of long swing theory is that 
developed by the French regulation school and the American 
Social Structures of Accumulation school, both of which have 
strong marxist underpinnings.  For statistical evidence see Gordon, 
Edwards and Reich, Segmented Work, Divided Workers or the Van 
Dijn volume, The Long Wave.  For a succinct statement of the 
SSA/ Marxian theory of "stages of accumulation", see David 
Gordon, "Stages of Accumulation and Long Economic Cycles" in 
T. Hopkins and I Wallerstein, eds, PROCESSES OF THE WORLD-
SYSTEM, Sage 1980.

Louis wonders why we spend our time and effort investigating such 
things.  Well, capitalism is a relationship that is in constant flux 
and unless we understand how and why it is changing, we will not 
be very effective in opposing it or countering its effects on people.  
After all, isn't that why Marx developed his whole theoretical 
analysis of the origin and the laws of motion of capitalism?

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba

 At 10:07 AM 2/8/99 -0800, Sam P. wrote:
 I don't know much about long wave theory, but from the summary accounts
 I've read there is some empirical evidence for it. But, what exactly
 hinges on the existence of long waves? Just the ability to explain and
 predict economic growth?
 
 As a non-believer in long waves, I guess I shouldn't answer this. But I
 will anyway. The usual long-wave argument is that we're starting a
 long-wave upturn because of one of the periodic technological revolutions
 is taking hold. This means that we'll enjoy more supply-side growth
 (increases in labor productivity) than in recent decades, even if we go
 into a demand-side depression in the near future (with the US joining most
 of the rest of the world in stagnation) and/or global warming destroys
 civilization.  The supply side should be booming even though people's lives
 are being disrupted and AIDS is killing large numbers in Thailand, India,
 and Africa. 
 
 But while one could argue that there's empirical evidence for _past_ waves
 (mostly concerning price changes) that doesn't mean that the waves will
 continue in the future. Just because a clock is ticking now doesn't mean
 that it will tick forever; it could wind down or the batteries could die.
 And given the complexity of the economy and incomplete information about
 it, it's really unclear whether it's "ticking" or not. It's a little like
 those gestalt pictures: is it a picture of two people facing each other --
 or is it a goblet? But it's worse: we're seeing the gestalt picture through
 a dense fog. The picture might be a third thing, or nothing at all. Until
 we get a good theory for what's behind the perceived long waves, a good
 understanding of what's behind them, I think that long-wave thinking is
 deceptive, a snare and a delusion. 
 
 It's true that there are forces like technology that develop out of human
 control, but once we understand them better, we might use that
 understanding (if we had the power) to end the wave-like effects that some
 see as resulting from perceived waves of technological change. Similarly,
 technology doesn't simply drop from the sky; it's not exogenous. It's a
 societal product and is thus affected by class relations and the like. (As
 Braverman argued, because we live in a capitalist society, 

<    1   2